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*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia 76ers definitely like to run, but they are also the least efficient offense in the NBA. Indiana has the top defense in the NBA. The Pacers could easily hold the 76ers to 75-80 points in this game. These two met last week and the game finished at 195 points despite the Pacers shooting 58.2% from the floor. The Pacers should get a big lead and then slow the game down because they don't care enough to keep piling on the points as much as they could.

The under is 6-0-1 in the 76ers last 7 games vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The under is 8-1-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record. An 18-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Sacramento Kings were running and gunning as much as anyone for a while, but they have slowed their tempo down of late. The Chicago Bulls are the second slowest paced team in the league. They are also the second best defense in the league. The Bulls were embarrassed in Sacramento when they met last month. Sacramento won that game 99-70. The Bulls won't forget that, and I expect Chicago to come out playing some great defense in this one. This number is relatively high for a Chicago total. I had the game lined at 186 points.

The under is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of at least 60%. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 following a win of 10 points or more. A 26-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The San Antonio Spurs and Chicago Bulls meet in what should be a defensive battle in Chicago on Tuesday night. These teams met recently in San Antonio and the game finished at 182 points. The shooting numbers in that one were actually relatively good, but the pace was slow. The Bulls are great at controlling the tempo, and the Spurs are running less this year than they have the last couple. The Spurs have the #5 ranked defense in the NBA and the Bulls have the #2 ranked defense. Open shots will be hard to come by here.

The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest Division. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these two teams. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Sacramento Kings and Detroit Pistons are pretty similar teams. Both teams like to run and try to win high scoring games. Neither of these teams puts in much effort at all on the defensive end. Detroit has been the best over team in the league so far this year, and against a team like Sacramento they should be able to put up a bunch of points. They'll give up a lot too though, and I think this game could be very high scoring.

The over is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in the Pistons last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Detroit. An 18-0 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Early Bird Special* The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls meet in what will be a very early game for these players. The game starts at noon local time, which will feel more like 11 am since the clocks moved forward early Sunday morning. The Bulls are the second best defense in the league and they can't allow this to turn into a high scoring game. Look for them to slow the game down and look to win with defense. The early start makes me like the game even more, because there are far more likely to be tired legs late on a early Sunday game. I had this game lined at 184 points myself.

The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 when playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in the Heat's last 5 games following a loss. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* This line is set high, but it isn't high enough. Detroit has been the best over team in the league this year. The over is 43-18 in their 61 games. The Timberwolves are all about running and Detroit isn't about to slow the game down. Detroit's defense allows fast teams to score 115 or 120 points on a regular basis. The Timberwolves defense has been slacking badly of late too. New York scored 118 points on them last game. The over is 23-4 in Detroit's last 27 against the Western Conference. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls have been very good on offense the last few games, but those impressive showings were against teams that play virtually zero defense. Brooklyn and Chicago both like to slow the game down. There's no reason to believe this will be an up and down game. The last two meetings between these two have stayed well below this total. Chicago's defense is second best in the league and their offense is third to last. The under is 9-2 in the Nets last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more. The under is 2-0-2 in the Nets last 4 home games. The under is 8-2 in the Bulls last 10 vs. the Atlantic Division. The under is 2-0 in their 2 meetings this year. A 21-4 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star TGIF NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls defense is better than any other in the NBA other than the Indiana Pacers. Chicago is also the third slowest team in the NBA in terms of pace. The Bulls have a way of turning the game into a defensive slugfest. Chicago's offense is one of the worst in the league, but they can really guard. The Bulls physicality should bother the Mavericks. The first meeting stayed under the posted total, and the Bulls are playing better defensively now. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-1 in the Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star Clippers/Thunder Total DOMINATION* The Clippers and Thunder meet in a matchup of two of the best teams in the Western Conference. This could certainly be a playoff preview. Oklahoma City has Russell Westbrook back, but getting him back into a rhythm may take some time, and I could see that slowing down their offense a bit at first. The Thunder are much better defensively than most realize. This is an early game for both teams (10 am PST and 12 PM CST). Early Sunday games are some of my favorites to play the under with. Look for a lower than expected score here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors meet tonight and both of these teams like to slow the game down. Both of them are at their best when playing well defensively. The Raptors are very good defensively on their home court. Cleveland has several injuries which have been slowing down their offense. I think this one is set a few points too high (I had it lined at 193.5).

The under is 18-3-1 in the last 22 meetings between these two in Toronto. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 following a win. A 26-4 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Brooklyn Nets and Utah Jazz both rate in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. This game should be played slowly with very few run outs for either team. Utah's defense has been bad this year, but they have been defending much better of late on their home court. Brooklyn isn't efficient on the offensive end. I think this game stays in the 180's. The under is 6-1-1 in Utah's last 8. The under is 3-0-1 in Utah's last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Brooklyn's last 4 against a team with a win percentage under 40%. A 13-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards have really stepped it up on the defensive end this year. These two teams have played twice already this year, with the totals finishing at 184 and 189 points. I think this game plays to the high 180's again. Neither team pushes the tempo and both are very good in the halfcourt defensively. These teams both have playoff aspirations and they have plenty of reasons to work hard on the defensive end in this game. The under is 6-1 in the Raptors last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves are both missing key pieces right now. Denver is without Ty Lawson, and he is the man that gets their offense running. Lawson is the fastest guard in the NBA, and without him the Nuggets offense will slow down significantly. Minnesota is without Kevin Martin, who is averaging 19 points per game. The Timberwolves defense has also been much better of late. This game should stay lower than expected. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks injury list is as long as any you'll ever see in the NBA. None of their best players will be on the court here. It's hard to imagine them putting up 90 points or more. New Orleans isn't a team that pushes the tempo at all, so this one should stay slow. Look for an ugly game between two teams that aren't very good. I projected this one at 189. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under here.

*4 Star NBA Oddsmaker ERROR Total* The San Antonio Spurs aren't the same team without Manu Ginobili and Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Their last few games have shown that. They struggled offensively for 3 of 4 quarters against a weak New Orleans defense last game. They had low scoring games against Houston and Sacramento, who both like to push the tempo. Washington isn't very fast anymore, and they do play some defense. The Spurs defense is top five in the NBA. The first time these teams met this year the game finished at 171 despite both teams being healthy. The under is 4-1 in the Wizards last 5 home games. Take the under.

*Note- The line opened here at 200 points. It has moved down significantly since I selected it on the open. I would play this one down to 194 points, but not any lower. Thank you*

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The San Antonio Spurs aren't the same team without Kawhi Leonard and Manu Ginobili in the lineup. These are two of their top four scoring options out of the lineup. In their last couple games, I have noticed the Spurs are playing significantly slower and they are less efficient on offense now that they are short-handed. The Pelicans don't like to run, and their offense has been really bad of late. The under cashed in last time these two met. Also, the under is 6-0 in the Spurs last 6 following an ATS loss. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pelicans last 7 playing on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Pelicans last 4. The under is 3-0-1 in the Pelicans last 4 against a team with a 60% or higher winning percentage. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA, and it isn't even close. Indiana has been playing a lot of higher scoring games of late, but those games have been against teams that play very fast. Here, they'll be up against an inferior team that isn't able to push the tempo. Orlando has been dreadfully bad of late. Indiana is great at holding teams like this to some ugly shooting numbers. The under is 6-0 in Orlando's last 6 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 7-1 in the Pacers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. A 13-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Portland Trail Blazers have the most efficient offense in the NBA. Portland is averaging 108 points per game this year. The average total in their games this year has landed at 212 points. The Blazers don't play much defense, but they can definitely outscore you. Washington is capable of scoring in bunches and they should be able to get to the basket here. Look for Portland to get a lead and Washington to need to keep pushing to try to catch up. I like the value here. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA 100% Total Domination* The Cleveland Cavs and New York Knicks are both more comfortable playing a half court slow it down type of game. The addition of Luol Deng gives the Cavs a solid defender, and I don't expect the Knicks to be able to continue their ridiculous shooting numbers from the last few games. Cleveland would prefer a defensive battle in this one. The last time these two played the posted total was 190 points. A seven point bump up in the total is far too much. The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 games on 1 days rest. The under is 5-0 in the Cavs last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after their opponent scores more than 100 points in their previous game. The under is 7-0 in the Cavs last 7 versus the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks get together on Tuesday night. I think Carmelo Anthony's red hot offensive run has inflated this total a bit. Both of these are teams that slow the game down and don't get many transition opportunities. Both games between these teams have stayed safely under this total. Neither offense is efficient at all with their shots.

The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 following a loss. It is 4-0 in their last 4 when playing a team with a losing record. It is 4-0 in their last 4 on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Knicks last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings overall between these two. A 35-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star TGIF NBA Total DOMINATION* The Memphis Grizzlies play at a slower pace than any other team in the laegue. Memphis experimented with picking up the tempo earlier this year, and that experiment failed miserably. Now, they are back to slowing the game down and trying to out-physical the opposition. Marc Gasol just returned to the lineup and that means the Grizzlies will be even better defensively and they'll slow the game down even more. The first two meetings between these two teams stayed well under this posted total at 179 and 192 points. Memphis will battle hard to keep this one at a slow tempo.

The under is 4-0 in the Grizzlies last 4. The under is 3-0-1 in the Rockets last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 2-0-2 in their last 2 following a win by 10 points or more. The under is 2-0 in their last 2 meetings. A 15-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Chicago Bulls have been a great 'under' team since Derrick Rose went down. The Bulls play at a slow tempo, and they always lock you up defensively. The Bulls offense has gotten significantly worse without Derrick Rose or Luol Deng. Those guys used to be their top two scoring options. Cleveland's offense isn't efficient at all, and in their last game against the Bulls they scored just 84 points. Cleveland isn't a team that controls the tempo of the game very well at all. I expect a sloppy game and a low scoring game. The under is 5-0 in the Cavs last 5 vs. the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Play 100% Total* The Sacramento Kings have been a totally different team of late. Rudy Gay joining the team has turned this team into a much higher scoring unit, and the Kings are running as much as anyone in the NBA in recent weeks. New Orleans and Sacramento are two of the bottom three defenses in the NBA. Both teams are going to get plenty of easy scoring chances in this one. The Kings will force the tempo all game long. I think this line is far too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Kings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 following a loss of 10 points or more. The over is 7-0 in the Pelicans last vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New Orleans. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings overall between these two. A 30-0 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* You probably know that the Indiana Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA. You might not know that Golden State ranks fifth in the NBA in total defense. When these two teams go against each other, I expect a lot of difficult shots for both offenses. Steph Curry and the Golden State offense won't find easy looks from long range against the Pacers. Indiana knows they need to slow this game down a bit to give themselves a better chance to win. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies both like to slow the game down. Anthony Davis gives the Pelicans a good rim protector at the back of the defense. Memphis has their best player back now that Marc Gasol is in the lineup again. He is their best defensive player, and with him in the game they slow the pace down even more. Look for these two offenses to use up the shot clock and shoot a relatively low percentage in this one. This total is set a few points too high. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Knicks/Pacers Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers got together earlier this year and the Pacers won in OT at MSG. I played the under in that game and would have won without OT. I'm going back to the under here. New York is playing at a slower tempo than any other team in the NBA. The Pacers like to slow it down, and the Pacers have the best defense in the league. Low scoring all the way here.

The under is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 on one days' rest. It is 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against an opponent with a win percentage below 40%. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 or more in their previous game. A 24-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Clippers aren't slowing things down at all without Chris Paul. In fact, it seems as if their offense has played even faster. They aren't a better team, but they are really running the floor. Dallas' defense is one of the worst in the NBA. The Clippers are very efficient on offense, and Dallas doesn't have anyone to slow down the Clippers big men. Dallas has plenty of scoring options as well, and this has high scoring written all over it. The over is 11-2 in the Mavs last 13 vs. a team with a win percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in the Clips last 6 following an ATS win. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Memphis Grizzlies got back Marc Gasol last night. That means they will be a much better defensive team and they'll play slower on the offensive end as well. Milwaukee and Memphis are two of the five slowest teams in the league. The Bucks defense has been awful on the road, but pretty good at home. It's hard to imagine either of these teams getting far above 90 points in this one. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in the Bucks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 9-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Toronto Raptors are playing some really good basketball right now. It all starts with the way they are playing defense. Toronto is locking down their opponents on the defensive end. Boston isn't very efficient offensively, and the Celtics are much better defensively on their home floor. Neither team likes to push the tempo, so we should see a lot of slow play in this one. The under is 5-0 in the Raptors last 5 road games. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 5-1 in the Celtics last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic. A 17-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Chicago Bulls have been under machines at home this year, especially since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. Chicago has the second best defense in the NBA and the second worst offense. That combined with their very slow pace makes them a great under team. Washington isn't the fast paced high scoring team they used to be. They play decent defense now, and they are actually slower than most teams in the NBA. I had this game lined at 178 points.

The under is 10-1 in the Bulls last 11 home games. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 following a win. The under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. A 27-3 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star Lakers/Clippers Totals CASH* The Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers meet at Staples Center Friday night in the battle for LA. Both teams look a lot different than normal since Kobe Bryant and Chris Paul are out. They probably shouldn't be, but the Lakers are still pushing the tempo because that's what Mike D'Antoni coached teams do. They are giving up loads of points. The Clippers have plenty of scorers and they'll get back J.J. Redick for this one. The Clippers should pile up the points here.

The over is 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 9-0 in the Lakers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Sacramento Kings experimented with playing slower and trying to win with defense and ball control earlier this year. That didn't last long! They are back to running and trying to outscore the opposition now. The Kings and Blazers scored 89 points in the 4th quarter alone earlier this week. Sacramento jacks up shots quickly, but they have plenty of guys who can score now. Rudy Gay has really boosted their offensive output.

The over is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 Friday games. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings. A 25-3 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers meet Friday night, and the Pacers will be ready to go for this one. Indiana played very poorly two nights ago against the Hawks, and I expect a very focused effort out of them coming off that bad performance. When Indiana is focused, they usually do it on the defensive end. Indiana is the number one defense in the NBA. Washington is playing much slower now than they did a couple years ago. The Wizards won't push the tempo here.

The under is 6-0 in the Pacers last 6 overall. The under is 14-2 in the Pacers last 16 on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 20-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Portland Blazers have been the most efficient offense in the NBA this year. Portland piles up the points against everyone, and the Kings defense is atrocious. After slowing the game down early this year, the Kings are running as much as anyone in the NBA right now. Sacramento has been playing a bunch of very high scoring games lately.

The over is 4-0 in the Blazers last 4 against the Pacific. The over is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 against a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 6-0 in the Kings last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 against the West. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more last game. A 34-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns and Chicago Bulls meet Tuesday night at the United Center. Chicago is a totally different team now that Derrick Rose is out again this year. The Bulls don't have any offensive firepower, but this team still scraps and plays very hard on the defensive end. Their pace has slowed down in a big way since Rose went down with an injury again. Chicago isn't letting games get very high scoring because of their style.

The under is 4-0 in the Suns last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. The under is 4-0 in the Suns last 4 after scoring 100 points last game. The under is 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 following a win. The under is 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their last game. A 32-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Toronto Raptors have been very competitive of late, and their newfound competitiveness starts with a much improved defense. Indiana is the best defensive team in the NBA. I expect some good defense to be played when these two teams get together. Both of these teams are also in the bottom 7 in the league in terms of pace, so the pace should stay slow.

The under is 4-0 in the Raptors last 4. The under is 4-0 in the Raptors last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the East. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 against the NBA Central. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 games. A 27-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Top Play of the Week* The Chicago Bulls are my single favorite under team in the NBA right now. Not only do the Bulls have a terrible offense, but they also play tremendous defense and slow the game down. This is the perfect under team. Atlanta can generally score plenty, but they'll be slowed down by this Chicago team. This number is too high.

Looking for great trends for this one? The under is:
-4-0 in the Bulls last 4 Saturday games.
-5-0 in their last 5 following a win.
-7-0 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record.
-6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference.
-5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win.
-5-0 in their last vs. a team with a winning record.
-4-0 in their last 4 when opponent scores 100 points or more in their last game.

The under is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these teams in Chicago as well. In all, a massive 46-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics rank 10th in the NBA in total defense. Chicago ranks fifth in the league in total defense. Boston is 20th in the league in tempo and Chicago is 28th, so both of them like to slow the game down. Look for both of these teams to set up halfcourt sets and run the shot clock down in this one.

The under is 7-0 in the Bulls last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 against the Atlantic Division. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 against the Eastern Conference. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Charlotte Bobcats are competitive this year. Why are they competitive? Because they are playing tough defense. Charlotte ranks third in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Clippers started slow defensively, but they rank seventh in the NBA in total defense. Charlotte will slow the pace down here, because that's the only way they have a chance in this one. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 against the Western Conference. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 16-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA. Indiana's defense is even more dominant when they are playing at home. Cleveland's offense isn't efficient at all. I expect the Cavs to have a really tough time getting buckets in Indiana on Tuesday afternoon. Look for the Pacers to key in on Kyrie Irving and make someone else beat them. The Pacers tempo is slow too, and the Cavs won't be able to dictate tempo in this one. The under is 12-4 in the Pacers lats 16 home games. I had this game lined at 190 points. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics aren't very efficient at all on the offensive end. Both of these teams are slightly slower than the average team in terms of pace, and with their inefficiency on offense that makes for a good combination for the under. The Celtics defense is much improved under Coach Stevens early this year, and they have been especially good at home. This is an early game on the weekend, and those are spots where I like to play the under.

The under is 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 against the NBA Atlantic. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 21-3 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The New York Knicks have played at the second slowest tempo of any team in the NBA so far this year. They have been decent defensively, but they should get much better defensively now that Tyson Chandler is back in the lineup. He is the shot blocker in the paint this team has been missing. Orlando isn't pushing the tempo the way they were earlier this year. The Magic have been really struggling of late. These teams shot very high percentages in their last meeting that went over the total. Expect a return to normal here. I had this one lined at 188 points. The under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers are both much better defensively than they are on the offensive end. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA, while the Celtics rank in the top ten in the league in all the major defensive categories. Both teams prefer to play at a slow tempo, so their shouldn't be too many possessions in this game.

Seven straight meetings between these two teams have gone under this posted total. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in the Pacers last 8 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of 40% or lower. A 22-1 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Play Total DOMINATOR* The Cleveland Cavs had a tough overtime game last night against Milwaukee. Cleveland will likely be a little tired heading into this one on no rest. Chicago is slowing the tempo down in a big way since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. Chicago's offense has been downright awful, but they still play very solid defense. The last couple games have been a little higher scoring, but they played Houston and OKC. Those are two of the best offenses in the NBA. I think this total is set far too high. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 13-1 angle. Take the under big!

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavs are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Milwaukee is dead last in points scored per game at 90 per contest. Cleveland's offense is in the bottom five in the NBA in efficiency. Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters are both game-time decisions. Irving is ill and won't be 100 percent no matter what here. The Bucks slow the game down and Cleveland won't be at full strength. I made this total 188 points. Look for an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks get Tyson Chandler back in the lineup tonight, and that means better defense instantly. The Knicks already play at a very slow pace, so they have been a pretty good under team. They should be in even lower scoring games moving forward. Milwaukee plays very slow, and the Bucks will be without O.J. Mayo for this game. The Bucks don't have many scoring options to start with, and without Mayo they'll be very thin on offense. Look for a sloppy game here. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls have been a complete mess since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. The team still competes hard on the defensive end, but they can't get anything going offensively. Orlando's offense has gotten less efficient in recent weeks as they haven't been hitting as many long range jumpers. The Bulls will slow the pace down in a big way in this game.

The under is 4-0 in the Magic's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 following a double digit loss. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 Monday games. A 23-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have been more competitive this year. How have they done it? Charlotte is playing very good defense. The Bobcats are second in the NBA in points per game allowed at just 92.4 per contest. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA. The last three games between these teams have finished below 180 points. There should be plenty of defense here.

The under is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games vs. the NBA Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pacers last 7 against a team wtih a winnning record. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 against the NBA Southeast. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two at Indiana. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 between these two overall. In all, a MASSIVE 58-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Oklahoma City Thunder still like to run when given the opportunity, but they are no longer an automatic over. Their defense is now one of the best in the league, and that makes them a real contender. Memphis plays at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies are great at dictating the tempo, and if they know what's good for them they'll slow this game down in a big way. I projected this line at 188 points. None of the Grizzlies last six home contests have finished higher than 190 points. Expect the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under big!

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play* The Golden State Warriors play pretty quick, but their defense is one of the best in the NBA. Charlotte is all about slowing the game down, and the Bobcats are quietly playing some very good defense this year. Charlotte is third in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Bobcats have only had one game in their last 10 go over 193 points. Without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, the Bobcats offense is even weaker, so they will likely need to keep this one low scoring to have any chance.

The under is 7-0 in the Bobcats last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Pacific Division. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA High Noon MONEYMAKER* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks tip things off at noon eastern on Sunday afternoon. I always like to look at the under in games like this. New York City has a lot of nightlife and there are plenty of NBA players who are out late on Saturday nights in New York City. That can often lead to poor shooting percentages and sloppy play on early games on Sunday. The Knicks aren't a good team despite playing better of late. Both of these teams play slowly, and the offenses aren't very efficient. Boston is working hard defensively for Brad Stevens. The under is 12-2 in the Celtics last 14 road games. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York. A 24-3 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't as good of a team without Andre Iguodala healthy. Golden State's defense has been very good so far this year, but their offense has been less efficient than normal. Memphis tested out a new experiment of running earlier this year. It didn't work. Memphis decided to slow things down even more than ever. These teams met and the game finished 88-81 in overtime. At the end of regulation, that game was tied 75-75. The under is 16-5 in Memphis' last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* I took the under in the Wizards vs. Bucks game last week when they met in Milwaukee and the score was 87-87 at the end of regulation. I ended up losing the under by one point in overtime. It was a rough loss, but I'm going back to the under here. Washington isn't the same fast paced team they were in the past. They are much better defensively now, and without Bradley Beal, they aren't that good offensively. The Bucks offense is among the worst in the league in terms of efficiency and Milwaukee plays a very slow pace. I had this one lined at 186. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this for 5 Stars down to 191, 4 Stars down to 189. Thank you.*

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks got together just a few nights ago. I took the under and won in that game, and I'll take the under again here. The Bucks hit an uncharacteristically high 49% of their shots in that game, and the under still cashed in comfortably. The Celtics defense is now top ten in the NBA. The Bucks and Celtics both rank in the bottom five of the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency. Look for a slow paced game with both defenses having the upper hand.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Bucks last 6 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play of Day* The Boston Celtics aren't a very talented team, but Brad Stevens has this team working hard defensively. The Milwaukee Bucks have much better defensive numbers on their home court. Milwaukee slows the pace down in a big way this year, and the Celtics are usually fine with a slow pace. Neither team has a high powered offense at all. I had this one lined at 182 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 playing on zero days of rest. The under is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Washington Wizards aren't the run and gun team that they were a couple years ago. Randy Wittman has this team working hard on the defensive end. Indiana has the best defense in the entire NBA. The Pacers also like to slow the tempo of the game. With two solid defenses and a slow pace expected, I projected this total at 182 points. The under is 8-0 in the Pacers last 8 games after 1 day of rest. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 versus the NBA Southeast. The under is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 home games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings between these teams in Indiana. A 25-2 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Milwaukee Bucks and the Charlotte Bobcats are very similar teams. Neither of them has very much fire power on offense. Both of them love to slow the game down and play in the half court. While the Bobcats certainly aren't a good team, it should be noted that they rank in the top ten in the NBA in field goal percentage defense.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Bobcats last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in the Bobcats last 4 games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 versus the Eastern Conference. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 versus the NBA Central division. In all a 44-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a much better defensive team than they have been in the past couple years. Bradley Beal is now out with an injury, which will slow down the offense since he was averaging 20.6 points per game to lead the team in scoring. Milwaukee slows the game down in a big way, and the Bucks have played much better defense at home than they have on the road. Five of their first six home games have stayed under the posted total. Slow pace here and not much offensive firepower on either side.

The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 after giving up 100 points last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The under is 11-1 in the Bucks last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Memphis Grizzlies experimented with speeding up the tempo in the first couple weeks of the season. It didn't work. What have they decided to do? Slow the pace down even more than they ever did in the past. It is working out very nicely. This is a team with a strong frontcourt that plays solid defense and controls the tempo. Boston doesn't have many offensive weapons, and the Celtics aren't a running team either. Memphis' last four games have been played at a ridiculously slow pace. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Ride the under with the Grizzlies in this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets were the fastest paced team in the NBA last year. They have slowed down a bit since Dwight Howard is on their team this season. The Rockets tried to make Memphis play fast paced games last year, but it didn't work. In the four meetings between these two last year, Houston topped 94 points only once. Memphis tried to play fast earlier this year, but it didn't work, and they abandoned the strategy. Now, they are playing slower than anyone else in the league. Look for the Grizzlies to slow this game down in a big way. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Portland Trail Blazers have been the biggest surprise in the NBA so far this year. Portland is very good offensively, but they are also much improved on the defensive end. Portland is capable of winning an uptempo game or a slow paced game. Golden State may be without Andre Iguodala and Steph Curry here. Even if these two do play, they won't be 100%. The offense hasn't been even close to the same without Curry. Golden State is one of the best defensive teams in the league. This number is several points too high. The under is 6-0 in the Blazers last 6 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4 against the Western Conference. Take the under. (Note- Curry will now likely miss this game as will Iguodala so the line has plummeted. Without those two in the lineup, I would play this for 4 Stars down to 198 and 3 stars down to 196. Thank you*

*4 Star NBA TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team than they used to be. Washington used to be a high-octane team that didn't play any defense. They have slowed down significantly, and the Wizards have committed themselves on the defensive end under Randy Wittman. Toronto is playing at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA outside of Memphis. The Raptors will control the tempo here, and both defenses are better than average. I had this game projected at 187 points, so I definitely see value on the under. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers meet on Wednesday, and both of these teams have been inefficient offensively of late. On the other side, Mike Brown has the Cavs playing pretty good defense and Randy Wittman has the Wizards committed on the defensive end. These two teams aren't what they were a couple years ago. Even if the tempo of the game is a bit quick, I expect to see low shooting percentages from these teams in this one. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 on 0 days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. A 21-3 angle. Take the under. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars down to 193, and for 3 stars down to 191*

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Indiana Pacers are playing better defense than any other team in the NBA once again this year. Indiana is playing at a slow pace again as well. New York has slowed their pace down even more, and the Knicks offense isn't even close to as efficient as they were last year. The games between these two last year were lined in the mid 180's every time, so we're getting line value here. Look for the Knicks to be competitive here, but it will likely be because they show up better than expected defensively. The under is 11-2 in the Pacers last 13. The under is 5-0 in the Knicks last 5 Wednesday games. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved since I picked it at the open. 5 Star rated down to 188- 4 star to 187 and 3 star down to 186. Thank you*

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been the biggest surprise in basketball thus far, especially when it comes to covering the number. How has this young team done it? Phoenix is working extremely hard on the defensive end. They are fifth in the NBA in total defense right now, ahead of several other teams who are seen as defensive stalwarts. Sacramento is playing as slow as anyone in the NBA right now (a big change from their past) and the oddsmakers haven't been able to line their games low enough yet. I think this game stays in the 180's.

The under is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 23-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks have a solid history of playing low scoring games against each other. The Hawks are playing slightly faster this year, but the Knicks aren't going to get into a track meet with them. This line is more indicative of a game where both teams will run, and that isn't the case here. The Knicks offense was efficient last season, but they are putting up some horrible shots now. New York has been taking contested shots and settling for long range jumpers too often. I had this one lined at 197 points, so I like the value here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers have been picking up the pace over the last week or so. With a backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, the Cavs have plenty of speed to burn. Minnesota is playing as fast as anyone in the NBA right now. The Timberwolves are taking advantage of having a healthy Ricky Rubio running the point. This team is really playing well on the offensive end. These teams met earlier this year with the final score being only 93-92, but a closer look at that game shows that the shooting percentages (especially from 3 point range) were horrendous. With normal shooting numbers that game would have sailed over the total. Plenty of value here on the over. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Detroit Pistons have a much more athletic team than they did a year ago. Brandon Jennings and Josh Smith are guys that run the floor very well. Detroit is going to be playing much faster and scoring a lot more efficiently than they did last season. There should be opportunities on the Pistons games to go over the total early in the year. Golden State has more outside shooters than anyone else in the NBA. The Warriors should find it easy to bury a lot of three's against a Pistons defense that is terrible at guarding beyond the arc.

The over is 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 overall. The over is 10-1 in the Warriors last 11 against the NBA Central. A 30-2 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* Here we have a meeting of two of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Both Indiana and Memphis have very good interior players that work hard on the defensive end. It isn't easy for guards to get inside against these teams. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA, and the Pacers are a team that likes to control the tempo. Memphis has sped up a bit since last year, but they are far from a run and gun team. Last year's meetings between these teams finished 88-83 and 82-81. The posted total here is more than 10 points higher than it was the last time these teams met.

The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 games on a single day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against the NBA Southwest. A 13-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Philadelphia 76ers surprised everyone by winning their first three games of the season. Remember, this is a very long season, and the 76ers are still a bad team. One thing that we can tell from the 76ers start to the season is they are going to run early and often this year. They are going to score quite a few and give up a bunch on a nightly basis. All five of the 76ers first five games finished above this posted total. Four of their first five games have gotten to at least 211 points. Kyrie Irving and Cleveland's struggling offense will hit stride here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Toronto Raptors are playing at a slower tempo than any team in the NBA right now. Indiana is barely faster. Toronto's defense is improving, and the Pacers once again have the best defense in the NBA so far this season. It's hard to imagine either of these teams putting up a big number in this game. Quarters where the teams don't even combine for 40 points should be expected in this one at some point and those are killers an over bet. I think this stays low scoring. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 home games. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Cleveland Cavaliers have ramped up their effort on the defensive end this year. Cleveland is second in the NBA in total defense so far this year. Milwaukee doesn't have the scoring firepower that most teams in the NBA do, so the Bucks have slowed down the pace this year. Expect to see quite a few unders from this team until the oddsmakers get a handle on what is going on in Milwaukee. I had this one projected at 183 points. Take the under. *Note- The line has dropped since I made this selection at the open, but I would play this one down to 185.5*

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Los Angeles Clippers are lighting up the scoreboard right now. Doc Rivers has this team running and gunning and the offensive is flowing extremely well. The Clippers are averaging 119 points per game through their first four contests. Orlando is playing at a faster tempo with a new look roster this year. The Clippers are giving up 112.5 points per contest. The Magic are averaging 104.8 points per game so far this season. Orlando is first in the NBA in offensive rebounds, so that should give them extra chances in this one. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game at the open yesterday. I would play this one up to 209, but not higher.*

The over is 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 road games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The over is 8-1 in the Clippers last 9 when playing on one day of rest. A 20-1 angle backs the over. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Bulls/Pacers Total Domination* Every time the Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers get together, it is hard fought game between two teams that really get after it on the defensive end. Don't expect anything different in this one. The Pacers haven't given up more than 91 points in a game this year, and the Bulls aren't about to try to push the pace. Tom Thibodeau's team works hard on the defensive end, and they can rebound well and keep the Pacers off the offensive glass. Indiana is accustomed to scoring easy buckets on the offensive boards. The under is 6-1 in the Pacers last 7 games overall. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons and Memphis Grizzlies are both teams I have circled as teams that will play much faster this year. Early in the season is a good chance to get good values on teams that are changing up their styles. Detroit has guys who run the floor well all over the court now, and they would be crazy to not run at every opportunity. The Grizzlies are committed to speeding up this year and looking for transition buckets. This one should be lined in the 192-193 area. Look for plenty of easy baskets in transition and lots of trips to the line. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Mavericks/Rockets Total* The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets don't care for each other very much right now. Dwight Howard picked the Rockets over the Mavericks and Mark Cuban isn't happy about it. The problem for Dallas here is they don't have any answer for Howard. Dallas' interior defense is a major weakness, and Howard should exploit that here. Houston is still running and gunning this year, and Dallas will play faster this year with Monta Ellis added to the roster. Neither of these teams is any good on the defensive end. Both teams will get up plenty of shots here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Lakers/Warriors Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels Lakers are going to push the pace all year long. Without Dwight Howard in the lineup, the Lakers don't have someone slowing the offense down. They also don't have a big defensive presence in the paint. Los Angeles will run and gun and have some very high totals this year. Golden State plays solid defense, but the Warriors are still going to run and put up big point totals. With Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, and now Andre Iguodala this team is stacked with scorers. The total here is set artificially low because it is early in the season. Look for these teams to clear this number easily. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Opening Night Total Domination* The Orlando Magic will be one of the NBA's worst teams this year. I'm not a fan of their experiment of moving Victor Oladipo to point guard. Oladipo is ultra-talented, but I feel like the team is taking away from his talents by putting him in a spot where he isn't as comfortable. Indiana had the league's best defense last year, and they'll be top notch again this year. The Pacers are great at controlling the tempo of the game. Indiana should win this game comfortably, and they will likely take their foot off the gas before the end of the game. It usually takes the offenses a bit to get going at the beginning of the season, and this has low scoring game written all over it. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star Knicks/Pacers Total Domination* I successfully played the 'under' in Game 6 of the Spurs/Warriors series on Thursday night. History tells us that this potential close out games are generally very low scoring. Why is this? The game is played at a slow pace because of how big the game is, and the defensive intensity is ratcheted up quite a bit as well. Since the 2004 season, the under is 32-12 in a Game 6 or Game 7 of the NBA's playoffs. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Expect a defensive battle. Take the under.

*3 Star Spurs/Warriors Total Domination* History tells us that close out situations are a very good opportunity to bet on the under. Since 2004, potential close out games that are either Game 6 or Game 7 in the series have gone under 31 times versus just 12 overs. The pace of the game slows down and the defensive intensity picks up. The Spurs aren't pushing the tempo nearly as much in this series as they did during the regular season. Both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Mark Jackson is going to be preaching defense to his young team in this game. The under is 12-3-1 in the Spurs last 16 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 Total* The Grizzlies and Clippers have gone 'over' the posted total in 3 of the first 4 games in this series. The one game that stayed under saw both teams shoot just 38% from the floor. The Grizzlies have been dominating inside and getting a lot of easy buckets of late. Los Angeles has been getting a lot of open looks from deep, but they have been unable to hit those shots. Look for them to hit a few more of those open long range jumpers at home in Game 5. The Clippers will try to push the tempo to wear down the Grizzlies. The over is 7-1 in the Clippers last 8 home games. Take the over.