Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-19-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Chicago Bears OVER 48 | 27-14 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bears have a lot of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. They covered them up well last week in Atlanta, but I don't think they'll be able to keep the Dolphins down that well. The Bears offense is rolling right now. Jay Cutler is finally getting comfortable in this offense, and his wideouts will have some major height advantages on the Dolphins smaller corners. It might also surprise you to learn that the team who is playing second fastest from a tempo perspective so far this year is the Miami Dolphins (behind only the Eagles with Chip Kelly's fast paced attack). I expected this total to be around 52 points, and finding four points of value in the NFL is difficult. Take the over. | |||||||
10-12-14 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 50 | 0-27 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line is starting to get healthier, and that should help this offense. Chip Kelly's offense is innovative and it has shown to be very good in the past, but this year the Eagles haven't gotten it going yet. Look for Nick Foles and the Philly receivers to get in sync this week. McCoy has been a big disappointment in the backfield, but he has a good past against the Giants defense. Eli Manning has been playing some really good football of late. Manning is getting rid of the football far quicker than he has in the past, and that's working in a big way. This looks like a back and forth high scoring game all the way. Take the over. | |||||||
10-12-14 | Chicago Bears v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 53.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -108 | 112 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons meet in the Georgia Dome on Sunday afternoon. Both of these teams come in with lots of offensive weapons and a quarterback who can sling it around. The two defenses have some major problems in the secondary. Chicago is banged up badly in the secondary, and Matt Ryan is amazing at home. The Falcons receivers are as good as anyone in the league. The Falcons don't have a good pass rush, and without a strong pass rush, Jay Cutler is likely to pick apart this Atlanta secondary. This is a game where I expect a lot of big play touchdowns, so both teams should get the ball a lot of times here. The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 vs. the NFC. The over is 5-0 in Chicago's last 5 after gaining 250 passing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after running for 90 yards or less. The over is 5-0 in Atlanta's last 5 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Falcons last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-0 in Atlanta's last 6 as a home favorite. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
10-12-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. Seattle Seahawks -8 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star Cowboys/Seahawks MONEYMaker* The Dallas Cowboys are 3-1 and they have played solid football this year. I won't take anything away from the Cowboys, but I don't think they are in the same class as the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle is the champion until someone beats them, and they haven't disappointed so far this year. The Seahawks are amazing at home, and this will be a raucous environment on Sunday afternoon. Tony Romo is still a turnover machine, and the Cowboys are unlikely to be able to run consistently against this Seahawks front seven. Seattle's offense is better this year behind an improved Russell Wilson and a healthy Percy Harvin. The Cowboys defense may be a bit better than last year, but they aren't as good as they have looked thus far. I expect them to get gashed in this one. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more through the air. Seattle is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team that is averaging 7 yards or more passing yards per attempt. A 23-1 angle. Take Seattle. | |||||||
10-12-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins OVER 49 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 108 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers both like to get off a lot of snaps. There should be plenty of no huddle offense and scoring opportunities in this game. Green Bay's defense has really disappointed this year, and I think they can make just about any quarterback look good. The Dolphins have an impressive running game. Green Bay's offense wasn't too good in the first couple weeks, but Aaron Rodgers has gotten it going of late. Rodgers should be able to carve up a mediocre Dolphins secondary. The Green Bay offense is much more impressive now that it has balance with Lacy in the run game. Plenty of points here. Take the over. | |||||||
10-12-14 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +3 | Top | 37-22 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 32 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Month* The New England Patriots have been up and down this year. The Patriots were blown out on the road by both Miami and Kansas City though, and that's something that bettors need to keep in mind. Buffalo is a better team with Kyle Orton at quarterback because he is far more consistent than Manuel. The Bills are tremendous in the trenches on both sides of the ball as well, and that's where they hold a major edge against the Patriots. The Bills defensive line is one of the top five in the NFL, and I expect them to give the Patriots offensive line fits. Buffalo's running game is terrific, and the Patriots have been torched on the ground in their road games this year. The public is rushing to back New England here because they looked great in their home game against the Bengals on Sunday Night Football. The line has moved toward the Bills side even though the public is almost 90% backing the Patriots. This is a sharp line move. I'll gladly fade the public here. I think the Bills win outright. Take Buffalo big! | |||||||
10-05-14 | Baltimore Ravens +3.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | 13-20 | Loss | -125 | 155 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens aren't getting the respect they deserve from the oddsmakers. Baltimore lost to a very good Bengals team in week one, and they have won all three games since. Their win over Carolina last weekend was really impressive, and Steve Smith's contributions in this offense are making the team far more dangerous. The Baltimore defense is fast and they rally to the football well. The Ravens don't have any real apparent weakness on either side of the ball. Andrew Luck is amazing, but the offensive line in front of him is awful. The Ravens should get pressure on Luck a lot in this game. The Colts secondary has been beatable, and I like the way Flacco is playing right now. Given more than a field goal, I'm taking the Ravens in a game where I think they could pull the outright upset. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
10-05-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints -10 | 31-37 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Oddsmaker ERROR* It may seem a bit odd to call a favorite at -10 in the NFL a strong value play, but I think the Saints are precisely that in this game. New Orleans sits at 1-3, and they absolutely need to go on a big run now to be any part of the playoff conversation. The Bucs have looked listless for much of the year, but they are coming off a surprise win at Pittsburgh. Don't let that win fool you, this team still isn't good. The Saints have made a bit out of covering at home under Sean Payton, and I see no reason for this trend to stop working on Sunday. Drew Brees has tons of weapons, and he'll carve up this Tampa Bay defense. The Saints defense was great against Tampa Bay last year, and they should handle them again. Look for the favorite to roll here. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The Saints are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games following a loss. The Bucs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NFC South games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more. A 31-1 angle. Take New Orleans. | |||||||
10-05-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 47 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Jacksonville Jaguars defense wasn't a huge problem last year, but this year they are arguably the worst in the league. Ben Roethlisberger is playing well in this new Steelers offense, and they are getting a good running game this year as well. Jacksonville hasn't been slowing anyone down, and I don't think they'll slow the Steelers either. Blake Bortles is clearly a big upgrade for the Jaguars at the quarterback spot. Bortles is throwing it well and moving this team up and down the field. This Pittsburgh defense is far weaker than they were a few seasons ago. Both teams should get plenty of scoring chances in this game. The over is 5-0 in the Steelers last 5 after allowing 90 rushing yards or less. The over is 7-0 in the Steelers last 7 games vs. a team averaging less than 75 yards per game on the ground. The over is 4-0 in the Steelers last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in the Jags last 4. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 250 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 in Week Five. A 42-0 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 53 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Dallas Cowboys defense has looked slightly better than expected so far this year, but I believe that might be largely because of the teams they have played against. The 49ers offense has struggled this year, and the Titans and Rams offenses aren't very good. New Orleans' offense is definitely one of the best in the league, and the Saints are going to test the Cowboys in a big way. I don't think the Dallas defense will be able to hold their own against this group. New Orleans puts up a big number. The Cowboys have some great balance on offense right now, and the Saints defense has looked shaky. I see a back and forth affair with both offenses lighting up the scoreboard. Take the over. | |||||||
09-28-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 47 | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* Teddy Bridgewater is the new starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings after the injury to Matt Cassel. Bridgewater should end up being a good quarterback, but I think the Vikings need to keep the playbook pretty vanilla for him early in his career. The Vikings aren't nearly as good of a team without their main star in Adrian Peterson and now opposing teams can really get after the quarterback without the big running threat in Minnesota. Minnesota's defense is improving fast with Mike Zimmer in as the team's new coach. Zimmer is a mastermind on the defensive side of the ball, and I love the way he has this team playing. They did very well last week against a Saints offense that is fantastic. This game will be played outdoors, which limits Matt Ryan's effectiveness. The under is 7-1 in the Falcons last 8 games after scoring 30 points or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
09-28-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 47 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been awful this year. San Diego's offense is likely to have a field day here. Phillip Rivers is really playing well right now, and the Chargers have a plethora of weapons for Rivers to get the ball to on the outside. Blake Bortles came in and helped the Jaguars offense get moving last week. San Diego's defense isn't bad, but they aren't an elite unit. I expect Bortles to help the Jaguars offense quite a bit right away. Both teams should have plenty of opportunities to put the ball in the end zone here. A very reasonable number here. Take the over. | |||||||
09-28-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Houston Texans UNDER 41 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills are both teams that are led by their strong defenses. Buffalo used to have a weak defense, but they have corrected that problem. It starts with a tremendous defensive line led by Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus. All three of the Bills games so far this year have stayed under the total, and that includes their season opener with Chicago that went into overtime. The Texans defense is strong as well. Houston is without Clowney, but they still have Watt, Cushing, and a secondary full of very good players. Both offenses have question marks at the quarterback spot and they struggle to put together long drives. I like the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 September games. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS defeat. A 12-0 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
09-28-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Baltimore Ravens -3 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens are a really tough team to beat on their home field. Baltimore started the season with a tough loss at home against Cincinnati, but the Bengals look as good as anyone in the NFL so far this year. They bounced back with wins over the Steelers and Browns the last two weeks. Joe Flacco is gaining confidence in the team's new offensive system, and I like the look of this offensive line. Steve Smith was a huge pickup for the Ravens as he gives the team a go to guy on the outside. Carolina is a team I'm low on this year. The Panthers defense isn't quite as good as last year, and Cam Newton doesn't have enough play makers surrounding him. The Ravens defense is very good, and they'll pressure Newton a lot in this one. The Ravens take care of business at home. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 142 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Super Bowl Rematch 100% CASH* The Seattle Seahawks dominated the Denver Broncos in last year's Super Bowl. It made that game one of the most boring Super Bowls I've ever seen. The Seahawks defense was totally dominant and Peyton Manning never got going. Seattle's defense is very similar this year, and the Broncos now have to contend with the 12th man in Seattle. I've never seen a better home field advantage in the NFL. The Seahawks now have a healthy Percy Harvin on offense too, and that's worth a lot. Denver's defense is good at rushing the passer, but outside of that I'm not impressed with their defense. The revenge factor has a lot of people taking the Broncos, but Seattle's home field is probably worth at least 5 points. Do you really think the Broncos should be favored on a neutral field after what you saw last year? I don't. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 during week 3. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of a touchdown or less. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on turf. A 20-0 angle. Take Seattle. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 | 34-15 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total PERFECTION* The Kansas City Chiefs offense can't seem to get on track. They haven't faced an elite defense this year, but they still have had trouble moving the ball. Jamaal Charles may play here, but he is certainly less than 100 percent with a high ankle sprain. The Dolphins defense has been great this year. Even last week when the team allowed quite a few points against Buffalo, those points were largely scored because of offensive turnovers or special teams plays. The defense was very good. I see the Chiefs defense as a solid unit, especially in the front seven. I'm not sure the Dolphins have the type of team to air it out all game long. I see lots of running in this one, which means a clock that keeps on ticking. The under is 6-0 in the Chiefs last 6 September games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dolphins last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 after gaining 90 yards or less on the ground. A 14-0 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
09-21-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals will start Drew Stanton in this game. That should mean a more vanilla offense for the Cardinals this weekend. More running the football and safe short passes are in store. The 49ers haven't played well so far this year, but it hasn't been the defense that has been disappointing. In fact, the defense has played very well in both games. Colin Kaepernick is struggling badly, and I don't see him turning it around against a very good Cardinals defense. This Arizona front seven is tremendous, and they have ball hawks like Patrick Peterson and Tyronn Mathieu in the secondary. I think the defenses dominate throughout this game. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Cards last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards. The under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 September games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -9.5 | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints are 0-2, but don't let that fool you. The Saints are a very good football team. I still think this is a Saints team that has a real shot to be a Super Bowl contender. Obviously being 0-2 makes things a lot more difficult, but the Saints still have 8 games left at home, and everyone knows how good this team is at home. The Minnesota Vikings are a team that I think will move in the right direction in the long run with Zimmer as head coach. In the present though, Minnesota has some major issues without Peterson in the backfield. The Vikings defense is improving, but they aren't good enough to slow down the Saints in the Superdome. I don't see Minnesota's one-dimensional offense being able to keep up. The Saints bounce back in a big way here. Take New Orleans. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Oddsmaker ERROR* Why can't the oddsmakers see how good the Cincinnati Bengals are? Cincinnati is taking care of business at home on a consistent basis, and they even came up with a big road win at Baltimore in the season opener this year. Andy Dalton seems to be much more comfortable in Hue Jackson's offense, and that's a huge deal since Dalton has been the guy holding this offense back. There are tons of weapons around him and A.J. Green is a total beast at wide receiver. The Titans looked good in week one, but that was against a Chiefs team that is way down this year. They laid an egg last week at home against Dallas. Jake Locker will have to face a much better defense than he has faced all year in this one, and I don't think it will go well for him. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 September games. The Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. A 17-1 angle. Take Cincinnati. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions OVER 52 | 7-19 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Lions/Packers Totals CASH* The Detroit Lions have some real issues in the secondary. You better believe Aaron Rodgers is going to spot those weaknesses and take advantage of them on a consistent basis in this one. The Green Bay defense has plenty of problems of their own, and Matt Stafford looks very comfortable in the Lions new offense. Detroit is a really dangerous offense on their home turf. It's hard to imagine either team falling short of the upper 20's in this game. It will be a long day for these defenses. Take the over in this NFC clash. | |||||||
09-21-14 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 50 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Value* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to get their points. Chip Kelly's offense is ultra dynamic with McCoy in the backfield and Foles airing it out. The Redskins defense may be a bit better this year, but they haven't faced a good offense yet. They will in this one, and they'll give up a lot of points. Washington's offense has been running great with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, and at least for now he seems like the better option at QB. The Redskins have a good running game and lots of weapons on the outside. This Eagles defense showed their weaknesses in a big way last Monday night in Indianapolis. Take the over. | |||||||
09-14-14 | Houston Texans v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 40 | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Houston Texans offense is going to need some work. Houston's offensive line isn't all that good right now, and the passing game will likely struggle for a while with Fitzpatrick at quarterback. On the other hand, the Texans have a dominating defense that should be shutting down most opponents this year. Oakland's offense is a mess right now, and Derek Carr is in for a rough game here against a very good pass rush and a very good secondary. Oakland's defense is better than most believe, and the Raiders should do a good job keeping everything in front of them here. I believe this will be a field goal kicking contest. Take the under here. | |||||||
09-14-14 | NY Jets v. Green Bay Packers -7.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Green Bay Packers have had ten days to think about their disappointing loss in week one against Seattle. Even though the Packers were dominated in that game, we do need to keep in mind that Seattle is going to dominate a bunch of people on their home field. Green Bay should be just fine. Aaron Rodgers has more weapons than he has had in the past. Eddie Lacy will play in this one, and his emergence really changes things for the Packers offense. Green Bay is in a great spot for a bounce back here. New York's defense isn't as good as it was a couple years ago, and the Jets offense doesn't have enough firepower to keep up with Rodgers and company. The extra time to prepare and the need to get that first win propel a large victory here for Green Bay. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games Aaron Rodgers starts after the team lost last game. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 following a loss where their opponent is also coming off a win. A 13-0 angle. Take Green Bay. | |||||||
09-14-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Cincinnati Bengals -5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals have been a great home team in the last couple years. Andy Dalton still has to prove himself as a quarterback, but he definitely has the weapons around him to succeed. A.J. Green is a beast and the Bengals offensive line is underrated. Cincinnati's defense is probably top five in the NFL. Atlanta is coming off a nice come from behind victory at home over New Orleans, but the Bengals picked up a road win in Baltimore. The Falcons haven't been nearly as good on the road in the past, and Atlanta doesn't have the kind of defense that Cincinnati has. I like the well-balanced Bengals in their home opener to take care of business here. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 during week two. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. A 17-1 angle. Take Cincinnati. | |||||||
09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thursday Night THUNDER ATS Play* The Baltimore Ravens have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. That makes some people want to play against them. In fact, more than 60 percent of the betting public is backing the Steelers here. I think that's the wrong way to look at this game. Pittsburgh had a home game against a weak Browns team in week one. The Steelers survived thanks to a field goal as time expired. Baltimore lost at home in a tough battle against Cincinnati, but the Bengals are a very good team. Cincinnati has a lot more talent than does Pittsburgh. The Ravens are now up against a wall. Baltimore is either going to bounce back and go 1-1 or fall to 0-2 and see their season going downhill in a big way before it even gets going. This is a team that won the Super Bowl the year before last. They have a bunch of talent and a bunch of pride. Look for them to show up ready to go here. The Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 September games. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
09-07-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -118 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Line Mover MONEY* The line here has been steamed toward the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for good reason. Lovie Smith is a huge coaching upgrade over anyone Tampa Bay has had since Jon Gruden. Carolina had an amazing year last year, but there are lots of signs that point to a move backward for the Panthers in the season ahead. Steve Smith was a big loss for Cam Newton. Newton still has to prove he is an efficient passer in the NFL, and without his top target it will be much more difficult. Newton is considered a gametime decision for this one due to his rib injury. Newton will likely play here, but he won't be 100%, and he won't run as much as normal. That allows Tampa Bay's defense to get much more aggressive against this Panthers offense. Tampa Bay's move to Josh McCown in the offseason was a wise one, and I think the Bucs offense will be better than most believe. The sharp money is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Take Tampa Bay here. | |||||||
09-07-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Chicago Bears OVER 47 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Buffalo Bills offense looked bad in the preseason, and that's the only reason this number is set so low. Remember, the Bears defense was absolutely awful last year, and they didn't do much to change that in the offseason. The Bears are going to give up a lot of points this year and make mediocre offenses look good. I think that will happen in this game. On the other hand, Chicago's offense looks set for a big season. Jay Cutler has weapons all over the place at his disposal, and Marc Trestman's system worked well last year. The offense should be that much better in a second year in the same system. Buffalo's cornerbacks are going to have a hard time shutting down Marshall and Jeffery. Expect plenty of points in this contest. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games played on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games played in September. A 13-0 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
09-07-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. St. Louis Rams -3 | 34-6 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The St. Louis Rams were favored by about six points before Sam Bradford went down. The line movement here is an overreaction. While I hate that Bradford went down because I was rooting for him to have a better season this year, it has to be said that Bradford hasn't done anything special for the Rams. Shaun Hill isn't a large downgrade from Bradford at all. Jeff Fisher is one of the best coaches in the NFL at getting the most out of his talent. The Rams have a scrappy defense that is usually very good against the run. Minnesota's passing game is highly suspect, and the Rams should do a decent job of slowing down Peterson. Minnesota will likely move in the right direction in the long run under new coach Mike Zimmer, but in game one I can't expect a lot. This is still a Vikings team that has a poor defense and a poor passing game. The Rams are the better team overall, and at home only laying a field goal we are getting a good value on them. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos +1 | 43-8 | Loss | -110 | 332 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Super Bowl 48 ATS CASH* The Seattle Seahawks have had a very impressive ride to the Super Bowl. I've backed the Seahawks successfully several times, including last game against the 49ers. Seattle is nearly unbeatable on their home field. While they have improved on the road, this Seahawks team still isn't even close to the same when they leave Seattle. Denver was the most dominant team in the NFL for the majority of the season. The Seahawks defense is very good, but it's hard to imagine them stopping Peyton Manning and this high-powered offense completely. Russell Wilson's inconsistent play of late worries me for the Seahawks. Manning is on a mission this year, and I love the way he is playing. Too much has been made about the cold weather conditions here. Denver plays in cold conditions all the team at Mile High Stadium. I think Denver is the better team, and at -3 or better I like the Broncos. Take Denver. **Bonus One Unit Prop Play- My favorite prop play on the board for Sunday is Knowshon Moreno over 27.5 pass receiving yards. Peyton Manning will have to check down more than normal against this elite Seattle defense, and Moreno is a great pass catcher out of the backfield. Take Over 27.5 receiving yards for Moreno. Thank you.** | |||||||
01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -3 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 43 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Championship ATS SMASHER* The San Francisco 49ers have had a difficult road to the NFC Championship, and it doesn't get any easier here. Seattle is the single toughest place to play in the NFL. The 49ers won at Green Bay in the 4th quarter, and won at Carolina thanks to their defensive stands on the goal line. While the 49ers have won their last 8 games, I don't think they have been dominant in those wins. What has happened the last two times they've gone to Seattle? The Seahawks have won by a combined 71-16 score. I don't trust Colin Kaepernick against this elite Seattle secondary. The Seahawks will have a 12th man behind them in this ridiculous crowd. It's the perfect setup for the Seahawks, and I expect them to take care of business. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Seattle is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following an ATS loss. A 16-2 angle. Take Seattle. | |||||||
01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star AFC Conference Championship CASH* The New England Patriots deserve a ton of credit for getting to this point in the playoffs despite all of their injuries this year. This team doesn't have even close to the same amount of talent they have had in past runs through the playoffs. Denver is arguably the most talented team in the NFL, and in this one I think talent wins out. Peyton Manning is a man on a mission, and he can shred this Patriots secondary. The Broncos defense has improved in recent weeks, and I think they'll hold their own here. While a lot of the public money has been coming in on the Patriots, I'll take the Broncos here. The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference title games. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 13-0 angle. Take the Broncos. | |||||||
01-12-14 | San Diego Chargers +10 v. Denver Broncos | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos ATS CASH* The San Diego Chargers have been rolling along very nicely over the last few weeks. The first sign of the team being a real contender was their win on a Thursday night in Denver. The Broncos didn't lose any other games at home all year. Remember, the Chargers gave Denver a tough game at home as well earlier this year, and it seems like San Diego matches up well with Denver. The Chargers offense should get their points here, because Rivers is playing extremely well. While I'm not sure the Chargers can win this time around, I do think this is too many points on the underdog. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these teams. San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 6-1-4 ATS in their last 11 games at Denver. A 17-1 angle. Take San Diego. | |||||||
01-12-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Playoff Total of the Year* The San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers met a few weeks ago in San Francisco. Carolina won that game 10-9. Neither offense showed any signs of being able to consistently move the ball against the opposing defense. The 49ers had only 151 total yards of offense. The Panthers had only 278. These are two of the top five defenses in the NFL up against each other. Both teams run the football a bunch, so the clock will keep rolling much of the game. I don't see either of these defenses giving up 20 points here. The winner of this game will be beat up badly on Monday morning. Look for a hard fought game where the defenses are in control. The under is 8-0 in the Panthers last 8 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the NFC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. An 18-0 angle. Take the under big! | |||||||
01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Cold Hard CASH* The San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers will meet late Sunday at Lambeau Field. The big story here will be the temperature, which will be well below zero. San Francisco certainly isn't used to that kind of cold. While I expect both teams to struggle some with the cold, I'm not sure that hurts the offenses. Aaron Rodgers will have plenty of chances to pick through the 49ers defense. Colin Kaepernick is a riddle that the Packers defense hasn't been able to solve. The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards last game. The over is 5-1 in the Packers last 6 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
01-05-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 47 | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 66 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Bengals Total DOMINATION* The Chargers and Bengals play early Sunday afternoon. The weather forecast for Cincinnati on Sunday looks very ugly. The current weather forecast for gametime calls for windy conditions with rain mixed with snow and freezing rain. This should make it tough for the aerial attacks to get going. Look for both teams to keep it on the ground more than normal. Both run defenses are pretty strong, and the clock should keep ticking away here. These teams played to a 17-10 final in San Diego a few weeks ago. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under. | |||||||
01-04-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 54.5 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -105 | 140 h 2 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Saints/Eagles TOP Play Total* The New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles will do battle Saturday night in Philadelphia. While it will be chilly, the weather report looks good for this one. New Orleans has a high flying passing attack, and the Eagles secondary allowed more yards through the air than any other team in the league. The Eagles have the number one rushing attack in the NFL, and the weakness of this Saints defense is stopping the run. Both offenses should move the ball relatively easily in this one. I think there is a good chance this game tops the 60 point mark. The over is 8-1-1 in the Saints last 10 playoff games. The over is 10-2 in the Eagles last 12 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. A 23-4 angle. Take the over big! | |||||||
12-29-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals have the number one ranked rushing defense in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers really can't throw the ball. All the 49ers do is run it, and I suspect they'll have trouble moving it against this stout front seven of Arizona. The Cardinals have quietly been very good this year, especially at home. The 49ers defense has been among the best in the NFL over the last few weeks. This looks like a game where both defenses will force the opposition into a lot of field goal attempts. The under is 4-0 in the Caridnals last 4 against the NFC. The under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 after allowing less than 250 total yards last game. The under is 4-1 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. A 13-2 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
12-29-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Cleveland Browns were tied at the top of the AFC North after four weeks, but they are right back at the bottom of the division after another ugly slide through the main part of the season. Cleveland's offense can't run the ball, and their passing attack isn't very good either. Gordon is their only real offensive weapon, and the Steelers should be able to slow him down. Pittsburgh has been playing better of late, and they don't want to finish below .500. The Steelers still have an outside shot at the playoffs. Pittsburgh is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the AFC North. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 12-0 angle. Take Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-29-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 17-34 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals often get into defensive battles against each other. The Ravens won a 20-17 battle in Baltimore earlier this year. That game went into overtime after finishing regulation at 17-17. Cincinnati and Baltimore both have plenty to play for in this game, and that makes the under look even better. Neither of these offenses have been consistent this year. The under is 17-3-1 in the Bengals last 21 games following a win. The under is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 in week 17. Take the under. | |||||||
12-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | 11-54 | Win | 100 | 72 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Chicago Bears beat the lowly Cleveland Browns on a fourth quarter comeback last week in Cleveland. The Eagles played poorly last week, but their recent body of work tells me they are a pretty decent team right now. The Bears haven't been good on the road against quality teams this year. The Bears run defense ranks last in the NFL. The Eagles are first in the NFL in rushing yards. There is heavy rain in the forecast for Sunday during gametime. If there is rain and wind here, it should help the Eagles. Philadelphia is comfortable running it all game long. They have a big edge on the ground in this game. Take the Eagles. | |||||||
12-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 41-7 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens picked up a huge win on the road at Detroit last Monday. Kicker Justin Tucker was the hero. The Ravens defense came up big as well, and they have been playing great at home all year. Six of the Ravens last seven home games have stayed under this total. The one that went over the total was their game against Minnesota when there were five TD's in the final two minutes. New England's offense isn't even close to the same without Gronk on the field. Heavy rain is in the forecast for this game, and heavy rain often leads to both teams running the ball more often. I think both teams struggle to get in the end zone here. The under is 12-3-1 in the Ravens last 16 games in week 15. The under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 games after allowing 250 yards or more through the air in their last game. Take the under. | |||||||
12-22-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints are tied atop the NFC South. The Saints dominated the Panthers in the Superdome a couple weeks ago and I was on the Saints -3 in that game. This time around the game is in Carolina and I'll be on the Panthers -3. The Saints aren't even close to the same team on the road. They have already lost road games this year to the Jets and Rams. They also were beaten 34-7 in Seattle. The Panthers defense should be ready for this one, and Carolina's rushing attack should be able to have success against a poor Saints rushing defense. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining more than 250 yards through the air last game. The Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. A 17-0 angle here. Take Carolina. | |||||||
12-15-13 | NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41 | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The New York Jets picked up a nice win last week, but I'm still not buying that this team is any good. The Jets offense is a disaster against decent defenses and the Panthers have had the top defense in the NFL this year. Carolina's offense is still one-dimensional and based around the run. The Jets are second in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. The Jets defense hasn't been their problem this year, and I think they'll hold their own against Carolina. The under is 6-0 in Carolina's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 during week 15. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 350 yards in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. A 32-1 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-13 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. NY Giants | 23-0 | Win | 100 | 66 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Seattle Seahawks were beaten in the last minute by the San Francisco 49ers in a key divisional rivalry game last week. New York lost badly at San Diego and their faint playoff hopes are completely gone now. The Giants have nothing to play for, and that should show up in their lack of effort this week. Seattle has a secondary that forces quarterbacks to make mistakes. Eli Manning has made more mistakes than any other quarterback this year. Expect Seattle to pick off at least a pass or two. Russell Wilson is playing great right now. Seattle is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as 3.5-9.5 point favorite. The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 December games. Take Seattle. | |||||||
12-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs are two teams built to win with defense. Tampa Bay completely shut down Buffalo last week, and now that the Bucs have a relatively healthy defense, i think they are one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL. They are 9th in the NFL against the run, and that's really all the 49ers can do on offense. The 49ers defense has been elite over the past few weeks, and Tampa Bay's offense has struggled all year. It's hard to see either offense putting up any more than 21 points here. The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The under is 6-0 in the Bucs last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 week 15 games. A 24-0 angle here. Take the under. | |||||||
12-12-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense has really heated up recently. San Diego has scored 37 and 41 points in two of their last three games. Their one poor offensive performance was against a very good Cincinnati defense. Denver's offense has been amazing all year. Denver is averaging 40 points per game through 13 games, which is truly amazing. San Diego slowed down the Broncos pretty well in the first meeting between these two, but history tells us Peyton Manning generally shreds up the defense in his second time seeing them (look at the KC example from a couple weeks ago). The over is 15-1 in Denver's last 16 games following a game where they had 400 yards or more of total offense. The over is 6-0-1 in the Broncos last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Denver. A 27-2 angle. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this early in the week- I would play this one up to 57.5, but not higher. Thank you* | |||||||
12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 49 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total DOMINATION* The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears played to a 34-18 final last year. Tony Romo threw five picks in that game. Romo will look for redemption against a Bears defense that has been really bad of late. Chicago is allowing 27.7 points per game this year, and they have allowed at least 20 points in every single game this year. Dallas' defense is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Chicago is averaging 28 points per game, and the Cowboys are averaging 27. Look for both offenses to have plenty of trips into the red zone here. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The over is 10-4 in the Bears last 14 games. The number is relatively low here, and I expect plenty of points. Take the over. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CRUSHER* The Carolina Panthers have really been on a roll of late. I like what the Panthers are doing, but I think everyone is overreacting to what they saw last week from the Saints. the Saints were blasted at Seattle on Monday night. Yes, that was an ugly game for New Orleans. Still, they are now back in the Superdome where they are next to unbeatable. The Saints have been money in the bank at home under Sean Payton. Carolina's offense is too one-dimensional to keep up with this Saints offense in the dome. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a loss. They are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after gaining less than 250 total yards of offense. They are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. A 20-2 angle. Take the Saints. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 | 17-19 | Loss | -109 | 42 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Seahawks/49ers ATS CASH* The Seattle Seahawks have the best record in the NFL. I respect Seattle a bunch, and I have backed them successfully multiple times in the last couple seasons. This time I'm going to go against the Seahawks. Seattle isn't even close to the same team on the road. They should have lost on the road to St. Louis and Houston earlier this year. The Seahawks defense is really banged up right now, and I think that allows the 49ers receivers to find open spots in the defense. Jim Harbaugh's team will be extremely motivated after getting blown out in Seattle earlier this year. Great spot for the 49ers here and a very short price to pay to back them. The 49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. They are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning percentage of at least 75%. A 22-2 angle. Take the 49ers. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 49 | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tennessee Titans have a pretty good defense, but they'll be up against the best offense in the NFL this weekend in Denver. A lot has been made about the fact that it will be extremely cold in this one, but I'm not convinced the cold will really change the way this game is played. There isn't any wind expected during the game, and wind is a quarterbacks worst enemy. The Titans offense has put up at least 23 points in four of their last five games. If they put up 23 points here, this one should sail over the total. Denver is averaging 38.7 points per game this season. The over is 5-0-1 in the Titans last 6 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a loss. It is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 15 points or less in their last game. The over is 5-0-1 in Denver's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5 | 26-29 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens have life in the AFC playoff picture. They enter this one at 6-6 on the season. This is probably their easiest game on the rest of the schedule, so they absolutely need to take care of business here. While Baltimore hasn't looked good on the road, the Ravens are still a very good team at home. Christian Ponder had been playing decent, but he'll miss this game so it will be Matt Cassel starting for Minnesota. The weather is expected to be nasty here with freezing rain and snow in the forecast. I think that helps the team with the better defense, and that's clearly the Ravens. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 at Baltimore. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against NFC North opponents. A 14-0 angle here. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Kansas City Chiefs -3 v. Washington Redskins | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Kansas City Chiefs weren't as good as they looked in the first nine weeks. They also aren't as bad as most people think they are now that they have lost three straight games. Two of those games were against Denver, who is one of the top two or three teams in the NFL. The Chiefs defense is still without Justin Houston, but they are healthier this week than they have been the last couple weeks. Washington's offense has been horrendous for the last three games. The Redskins defense is one of the worst in the NFL. Washington has seemingly packed it in for the year. A nice value on the much better team. Take Kansas City. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 42 | 6-27 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good. The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
12-08-13 | Oakland Raiders v. NY Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big! | |||||||
12-01-13 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances. The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
12-01-13 | Atlanta Falcons v. Buffalo Bills -3 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* Why should we expect a strong effort out of Atlanta this week? The Falcons put forth their best effort in quite a while last week in a home loss against New Orleans. In their last couple road games, the Falcons have been blown out of the water. Buffalo will have a nice crowd here in this Toronto home game, and the Bills have been pretty good at home this year. The Bills defense is better than the Falcons, and this Falcons offense is so one-dimensional that it allows opposing defenses to tee off on Matt Ryan. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last home games against a team with a losing road record. The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after gaining 350 yards or more in the last game. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. A 22-1 angle. Take Buffalo. | |||||||
12-01-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under. | |||||||
12-01-13 | Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miami's offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30's. Take the under. | |||||||
12-01-13 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big! | |||||||
11-28-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 47 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Day Top Total* The Oakland Raiders offense will get a big boost from the return of Darren McFadden in this game. McFadden is one of the best runners in the league when healthy, and this Cowboys defense has been bad against the run. Dallas is dead last in the NFL in total defense and they are without Sean Lee, their best linebacker. The Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop the pass this year, and Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense have been clicking through the air of late. Romo's numbers are pretty impressive this year, and this is a good chance for him and the offense against a poor secondary. The over is 3-0-1 in the Raiders last 4 games. I think this has a good chance to top 50 points. Take the over. | |||||||
11-24-13 | Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots OVER 56 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 138 h 39 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Denver Broncos have the best offense in the NFL. The New England Patriots offense wasn't very good earlier this year, but that is definitely changing as they get healthy. Neither of these defenses are very good. Both of them are decent against the run, but these offenses are going to be airing it out in this game. The Broncos are averaging 40 points per game. The Patriots have scored an average of 33.25 points per game in their last 4 games. The weather here is a little iffy, but both of these teams are used to inclement weather. *Note- The line has moved down since I have picked this game, so I feel even stronger about the over if you can get it below 56* The over is 22-5 in the Broncos last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 games after playing on Monday night. The over is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 31-6 angle. Take the over big! | |||||||
11-24-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 42 | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs offense is one of the worst in the NFL when it comes to putting up yardage. They are especially bad through the air. San Diego's defense has been gradually improving over the last few games. The Chargers are very reliant on throwing the football offensively. They really don't have much of a running game. Expect the Chiefs to put a ton of heat on Phillip Rivers and make life miserable for him. KC has the best pass rush in the NFL. The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 November games. The under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 against the AFC. The under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. A 17-1 angle here. Take the under. | |||||||
11-24-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Detroit Lions OVER 48.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 108 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tampa Bay Bucs still aren't a good football team, but their offense has been much better over the last few weeks. Glennon is starting to get into a bit of a rhythm and it is turning into much better productivity for this group. Tampa Bay got an amazing performance out of Bobby Rainey last week at RB, so they might have found a really nice new weapon. Detroit's offense can score on anyone, and this Tampa Bay defense has been a big disappointment this season. Both of these offenses have a big advantage here. The over is 6-0 in Tampa's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the Lions last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more passing in the last game. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in TB's last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 32-0 angle here. Take the over. | |||||||
11-24-13 | Chicago Bears v. St. Louis Rams -109 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 84 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Moneyline CASH* The Chicago Bears are in a tough spot here. They are still without Jay Cutler. While McCown has done a pretty good job for the team, they are clearly much better off with Cutler in the lineup. The Bears picked up a hard win at home last week in OT over the Ravens. Chicago's defense isn't looking good at all of late. The Ravens ran the ball at will against them, and Baltimore hadn't been able to run against anyone before that. The Rams are running it well with Stacy right now, and Clemons is doing a solid job at QB. Jeff Fisher is doing a nice job with this Rams team. Look for the Rams to be motivated at home and pick up a nice win. Take St. Louis ML. | |||||||
11-24-13 | NY Jets v. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 35 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The New York Jets aren't as good as they looked earlier this year. I give Rex Ryan and the coaching staff credit for making this team look decent early on, but they aren't very talented. Geno Smith makes too many mistakes with the football, and there aren't playmakers around him. Baltimore isn't even close to the team they were last year, but the Ravens still have pride, and they play very well at home. The Ravens have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Lay the points here. *Note- If you can get -3 on the Ravens I would bump this up to a 4 star rated play.* | |||||||
11-18-13 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 47.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total* The New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers meet in what should be a great game Monday night. New England's defense is much improved from a couple years ago. Carolina's offense still isn't elite, but the Panthers defense is amazing. Carolina is first in total defense in the NFL. If you haven't bought into this defense being elite, then you should do it now. New England's offense definitely isn't what it was the past few years, and Carolina's defense should be well-prepared for this one. The Panthers haven't given up more than 15 points in their last 5 games. Take the under. | |||||||
11-17-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 47.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 49ers/Saints Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers and New Orleans Saints meet in a key matchup in New Orleans this weekend. The 49ers were humbled last week by Carolina at home. Colin Kaepernick is starting to get criticized by the experts. The 49ers need to establish the run here, and I think they can against a Saints front seven that isn't very good. New Orleans has been able to move the ball well against everyone they have faced. The Saints are really tough to stop in the Superdome. I think this total is several points too low. The over is 6-0 in the Niners last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 on turf. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
11-17-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 45.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Miami Dolphins have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. Miami's offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive line was already terrible, and without Incognito and Martin they are even worse. San Diego's defensive line should control the line of scrimmage in this one. The Dolphins still have a pretty solid defense, and the Chargers have had trouble converting in the red zone this season. The under is 5-0 in the Chargers last 5 vs. the AFC. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dolphins last 6 during week 11. The under is 9-0 in the Dolphins last 9 games against teams allowing 350 yards or more per game. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. | |||||||
11-17-13 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 52.5 | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles have a lot in common. Both of these teams have offenses that can score a lot of points quickly. They both also have defenses that can give up a lot of points in a short amount of time. The last few times these teams have gotten together it has been very high scoring. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Nick Foles is playing great for the Eagles and the Redskins secondary is terrible. RG3 is starting to look like himself once again, and he has had a ton of success against the Eagles in the past. Take the over here. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6 | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 50 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Cowboys/Saints CASH* The Dallas Cowboys beat the Minnesota Vikings last week, but they weren't a bit impressive in that win. New Orleans is a beast at home under Sean Payton. Drew Brees and the entire Saints offense is red hot again this year, and now they have a much improved defense with Rob Ryan at the controls. I think he'll be able to slow down Romo and the Cowboys offense better because of his familiarity with the system. Dallas isn't an elite team, and New Orleans is. This is a statement game for the Saints. How good have the Saints been at home under Sean Payton? New Orleans is 13-0 ATS in the Superdome with Sean Payton on the sidelines since 2011. The Saints are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their last game. An 18-0 angle here. Take New Orleans. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +7 | 28-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The Denver Broncos are a very good football team, but they have shown some vulnerability on the road. They squeaked out a win, but no cover against Dallas on the road. They were then beaten by Indianapolis on the road. San Diego has been great at home this year. The Chargers have dominated Dallas and Indianapolis both at home. San Diego is getting much better quarterback play from Rivers this year, and Danny Woodhead has fit into their offensive system really well. While the Broncos offense is great, their pass defense has been bad all season long. San Diego will fight hard in this one, and I think this game goes down to the wire. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after a loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the Chargers. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 42.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers meet for what should be a very good game on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers started a little slowly, but this offense is on fire right now. San Francisco has scored 31 points or more in five straight games. San Francisco also had a bye to prepare for this game, and I think that gives Jim Harbaugh and this offense an edge when it comes to facing a solid Panthers defense. On the other side, Carolina's offense is clicking in a big way right now. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. The 49ers run defense isn't all that good, and the Panthers should find room to run. The over is 15-2 in the 49ers last 17 following a bye week. The over is 9-0 in Carolina's last 9 games against a team averaging at least 27 points per game. The over is 7-0 in the 49ers last 7 against teams averaging at least 24 points per game in the last half of the season. A 31-2 angle backs this one. Take the over. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday. This is a game I selected on Monday before Aaron Rodgers went down with an injury. At this number (52), I would not have selected the over in this game with Rodgers out, but at a current level of 46.5 I do believe the 'over' is worth a look. Seneca Wallace will be better with a week of practice, and this Eagles defense is pathetic. Philly's offense should find plenty of holes in a weak Green Bay secondary. There's a good chance this game gets into the low 50's. I recommend a play on the over at 48 or less. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +2 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Baltimore Ravens are just 3-5 on the year. The defending Super Bowl champs clearly aren't going to repeat, but it's hard to imagine them bowing out of the playoff race this early. This is a great spot to expect a huge effort out of the Ravens. Baltimore hasn't lost ATS at home this year, and Joe Flacco has played much better at home than on the road. While the Bengals do have a very good defense, they aren't even close to full strength. Cincinnati comes into this one with key injuries all over the defensive unit. Baltimore's pass rush will get after Andy Dalton, and he's prone to turning it over. Expect a max effort from Baltimore. Take the Ravens. | |||||||
11-10-13 | Seattle Seahawks -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Seattle Seahawks haven't played well the last two weeks, but Pete Carroll should have no trouble getting his team motivated for this game. Seattle lost a heart breaker to Atlanta in the playoffs last year, and you better believe this team remembers that very well. Seattle is on the way up, while Atlanta is a shell of its former self. Matt Ryan is looking bad without top options to throw it to, and the Falcons defense isn't very good. Seattle has a great secondary, and the Falcons simply cannot run the football. Look for Seattle to come out and make a statement here. Seattle wins this one much bigger than the linesmakers are suggesting. Seattle is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a game where they gained 6 yards or more per play. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. A 19-2 angle here. Take Seattle. | |||||||
11-07-13 | Washington Redskins v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 48 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 96 h 59 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Thursday TOP Play Total* The Washington Redskins are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because of their horrible defense and very well-balanced offense. RG3 wasn't himself at the beginning of the season, but he is playing well right now. How about Minnesota's defense? The Vikings have allowed at least 23 points in every game this year, and they have allowed 27 or more in every game but one. This Minnesota defense is a shell of its former self. Washington is giving up 31.6 points per game, so even though the Vikings offense isn't special they should be able to score plenty here. In the last two weeks, Minnesota put up 31 on Green Bay and 23 against Dallas. Christian Ponder is playing pretty well, and Adrian Peterson is running the ball as well as ever. The over is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-1 in the Vikings last 7 games against a team with a losing record overall. A 19-1 angle backs this play. Take the over big! *Note- I would rate this a 5 star play up to 50 and a 4 star play to 51.* | |||||||
11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens -120 v. Cleveland Browns | 18-24 | Loss | -120 | 42 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens clearly aren't the same team they were last year when they won the Super Bowl, but I believe this team still has a run in them. Baltimore is better than their 3-4 record would indicate. The Ravens had a week off before this game, which was huge to help them get healthy. John Harbaugh knows the Ravens need this game badly if they are going to get back into the playoffs. The Ravens have won 11 straight games against the Browns. Baltimore has also won five straight games following their bye week. This 16-0 angle isn't one that should be overlooked. The Browns are a bit better this year than they have been in the past, but the Ravens have a huge talent advantage. Cleveland doesn't have the offensive weapons that the Ravens have. Take Baltimore in this one. | |||||||
11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 41.5 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns have a long history of playing hard fought low scoring battles against each other. Earlier this year, the Ravens won 14-6 over Cleveland in Baltimore. Cleveland is really lacking play makers on the offensive side, but the Browns defense is very good. Joe Haden and the secondary have given Joe Flacco a hard time the last couple years. Baltimore's pass rush will disrupt Cleveland's offense in this one as well. I was very surprised to see 41.5 here. I lined this one at 37 points. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Browns last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 after gaining 250 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Cleveland. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams overall. A 26-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. | |||||||
11-03-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Oakland Raiders -1 | 49-20 | Loss | -123 | 100 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Eagles/Raiders ATS Cash* The Philadelphia Eagles have been an absolute trainwreck the last couple weeks. The offense was great through the first few weeks, but they have been awful the last two games. Philadelphia's defense is still a major weakness. Oakland is better than most people (myself included) expected this year. The Raiders appear to have found a quarterback for the future in Terrelle Pryor. Pryor is an excellent runner who makes plays with his feet. The passing game is slowly coming around. Oakland's defense is in the top half of the NFL in the major categories as well. Oakland is the more consistent team. I'll back them at home. Take Oakland. | |||||||
11-03-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Seattle Seahawks -14.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS CRUSHER* The Seattle Seahawks were very fortunate to beat the St. Louis Rams last Monday night. Seattle didn't come ready to play in that one, and you better believe they heard about it after the game. Pete Carroll's team is much much better at home with the amazing home field advantage in Seattle. Tampa Bay comes in with an inexperienced quarterback in Glennon, and this is a disastrous setup for them. Seattle feasts on inexperienced quarterbacks at home. Tampa Bay is 0-7 and the Bucs aren't showing any real signs of improvement. Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a loss. They are 0-4 ATS following an ATS loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after losing by 14 points or more. Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 30 points or more. Seattle is 4-0 ATS after less than 150 yards through the air in their last game. They are 5-0 ATS after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. A 36-0 angle backs this play. Take Seattle. | |||||||
11-03-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 47 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 155 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Vikings offense isn't great, but the Dallas Cowboys defense is dead last in the NFL in yards allowed per game so far this year. Adrian Peterson should be able to do some damage here. On the other side, the Vikings defense is miserable. Minnesota has allowed 32.1 points per game so far this year. Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense are out to prove something this week after coming up just short against Detroit. Dez Bryant had an outburst last week, and I'm thinking he'll have a big game here. The over is 10-1 in the Vikings last 11 games during week 9. The over is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. The over is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more through the air the previous day. A 21-1 angle. Take the over. | |||||||
10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams UNDER 42.5 | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 187 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is going to look a whole lot different without Sam Bradford under center. Bradford went down with a season-ending injury last week, and I believe the Rams are going to struggle in a big way to score points without him. Kellen Clemens will start here for the Rams. Clemens hasn't been good in his NFL career, and the Rams have virtually no running game. How do the Rams score points here? The Rams defense does play much better at home, and I expect them to fight to keep this game competitive, at least for a while. The posted total here hasn't been adjusted down enough for Bradford's injury. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. | |||||||
10-27-13 | Washington Redskins v. Denver Broncos OVER 53.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 159 h 9 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins defense has been one of the worst in the NFL for the past two years. The Redskins are giving up 30.7 points per game, and now they'll go up against the highest scoring team in the league. Denver is ticked off after losing last week in Indy, and the Broncos should light up the scoreboard here. RG3 wasn't completely ready at the beginning of the season, but he has looked much better in the past couple games. This Denver defense isn't very good. They are actually dead last in the NFL in pass yards allowed per game. The Redskins have one of the most balanced offenses in the league, and they should score plenty too. The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 against a team with a losing record. The over is 13-3 in the Broncos last 16 October games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game on Sunday, but my numbers had this one at 66 points. I would play this up to 61 points.* Take the over big here! | |||||||
10-27-13 | NY Giants +6.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 130 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The New York Giants only have one win, but if they win this Sunday they will legitimately still have a chance in the crazy mess that is the NFC East. The Giants have played much better football the last two weeks. They narrowly lost at Soldier Field and then dominated Minnesota. The Giants are a better team than they showed early in the year, and I think they can take advantage of a weak Eagles secondary here. Philadelphia is dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Eli Manning has the pass catchers to tear apart this secondary. Mike Vick is still dinged up and the Eagles have been terrible at home over the last couple years. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a double digit home loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after gaining less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game. Philadelphia is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing more than 350 yards of offense in their last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the Giants. | |||||||
10-27-13 | Buffalo Bills v. New Orleans Saints -11 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints are very tough to beat at home. They are even tougher to beat off a bye week. Sean Payton has established himself as one of the brightest minds in the league, and you better believe he will have his team ready to play after an extra week of preparation. The Buffalo Bills have been playing better than expected, but the Bills aren't even on the same level as the Saints. Thad Lewis has been pretty good as their quarterback, but this is a tough environment. In addition, C.J. Spiller is now listed as questionable for this game, and that is huge. Fred Jackson will play, but he isn't 100 percent. The Saints should roll here. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games when playing against a defense that allows 350 or more yards per game. Buffalo is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an upset win. A 27-1 angle backs this. Take the Saints. | |||||||
10-27-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots -6.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Miami Dolphins have been proven as a fraud over the last few weeks. They started off the season red hot, but the Dolphins have completely fallen apart of late. Miami has an extremely inconsistent offense, and that offense puts too much pressure on the Dolphins defense. New England is 5-2 but the Patriots haven't played very well in 2013. Tom Brady got a key weapon back last week in tight end Rob Gronkowski. Look for that to make a huge difference moving forward for this Patriots offense. I don't think the Dolphins have the schemes to slow down Brady and the improved Patriots offense. Miami's offense won't be able to keep up. Take New England. | |||||||
10-27-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 39.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense isn't any good. Jason Campbell comes in here and it's hard to expect him to be much better than Brandon Weeden. Campbell doesn't have much help around him. After the Browns got rid of Trent Richardson, the offense became helpless. Defensively, Cleveland is a very solid unit. The Browns are 7th in the NFL in total defense. Kansas City is 1st in the NFL in points per game allowed. The Chiefs are giving up just 11.8 points per game. No opponent has scored more than 17 points on the Chiefs. KC's offense isn't high-powered and they are content to win low scoring games. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 during week 8. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 after throwing for less than 150 yards in the previous game. The under is 21-5 in the Chiefs last 26 home games. The under is 7-1 in KC's last 8 following a win. The under is 12-2 in Cleveland's last 14 after scoring 14 or less in the previous game. A 51-9 angle backs this. Take the under. | |||||||
10-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 64 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens are the defending Super Bowl champs, but they still aren't getting the kind of respect they deserve. I've won backing the Ravens two of the last three weeks, and I'll go back to the well again here. Pittsburgh did play better last week, but they definitely didn't prove they have fixed all their problems. Remember, this Steelers win was against a Jets team that simply isn't that talented. The Ravens have a great pass rush to exploit Pittsburgh's biggest weakness which is their offensive line play. Ray Rice is starting to get going, and he is dangerous weapon for the Ravens offense. The Steelers offense relies solely on Roethlisberger and the passing game, and the Ravens pass rush should tee off on them here. Baltimore is the better team, and getting points I have to take the Ravens. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
10-20-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 46.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense is a real mess right now. Only Brian Hoyer has had any real success moving this team, and he is injured. Brandon Weeden has been bad all year, and the Packers defense has looked much better the last couple weeks. Green Bay's offense is missing several play makers right now, and I'm not sure they'll score as easily as most think here. The Browns defense is pretty good, especially in the secondary where they have Joe Haden and T.J. Ward. The Packers last two games finished at 31 and 36 points. The Browns know they can't win a shootout with the Packers and I expect them to try to slow this game down and control the ball. The under is 6-1 in the Browns last 7 during week 7. The under is 5-1-1 in the Browns last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the under. | |||||||
10-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker ERROR* The San Francisco 49ers weren't on top of their game earlier this year, but this team has looked much better the last couple weeks. San Francisco is an elite team that is capable of beating just about anyone in the NFL by a big margin when they are playing well. The Titans are a bit overrated now in my opinion. They only lost to the Seahawks by 7 last week, but the Titans were badly outplayed in that game. The Titans haven't played a difficult schedule at all this season. Tennessee's offense will get back Jake Locker for this one, but he is less than 100 percent. The 49ers defense should handle them. Offensively, the Niners running game is looking strong of late. The Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. The 49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 October games. Take San Francisco. | |||||||
10-20-13 | New England Patriots -3 v. NY Jets | 27-30 | Loss | -125 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots got a bit fortunate to sneak past the Saints last week. This week they are matched up an inferior Jets team. The Jets outplayed New England on the road earlier this year, but the Patriots still won because they forced so many turnovers from Geno Smith. I expect the Patriots to be better prepared for this one. Rob Gronkowksi is expected back on the field here, and he instantly becomes Tom Brady's best pass catcher. He will be a huge boost to this offense. The Jets offense looked terrible last week against Pittsburgh and I expect the same against the Pats defensive schemes. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games played on the road against the Jets. The Patriots are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games during week 7. Take New England. | |||||||
10-20-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* Cincinnati isn't a bad team, but they haven't proven they are elite this year. Andy Dalton has been very underwhelming so far this season. Dalton has been a turnover machine, and this Lions defense thrives on turnovers. The Lions have forced 13 turnovers already this year. The Bengals have turned it over 12 times. Dalton is going to have a lot of heat on him in this one against a Lions defense that has a very strong front four. On the other side, the Lions offense is much better with a healthy Reggie Bush. Bush keeps the opponents off guard and the Bengals defense isn't going to know what's coming here. Matt Stafford is a better QB than Andy Dalton, and there is a good chance he'll have Calvin Johnson back for this game. Detroit is only laying 2.5 at home against a Bengals team with plenty to prove. I'll take the home team. Take Detroit. | |||||||
10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 | 34-22 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thursday Night CASH* The Seattle Seahawks dispatched the Arizona Cardinals 58-0 in Seattle in the last meeting between these two late last year. Arizona was very short-handed in that game, and the Cardinals are a much better team than they were at that point. It's also important to keep in mind that Arizona actually beat Seattle by a field goal at home last year. Bettors see that Seattle won big late last year and don't worry about laying the number here, but I think the value is on Arizona. Seattle isn't even close to the same team on the road. Arizona's front seven has been great at stopping the run, and the Seahawks are all about the running game on offense. Arizona has a bit of running game now, and Palmer can throw it deep to Fitzgerald. The Cardinals are a much more dangerous team than they were last year. Arizona is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS loss. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take Arizona and the points. *Note- This line has been moving since I played it. I would suggest getting at least 6 points with the Cardinals here. Thank you.* | |||||||
10-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts -113 v. San Diego Chargers | 9-19 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Colts/Chargers Moneyline CASH* The Indianapolis Colts were thought to be a team that might decline a bit from last year before the season. The Colts played pretty well early on, and then they made a huge move to get an elite running back in Trent Richardson. Andrew Luck is a terrific QB, and this offense is now balanced. The Colts defense has struggled against the run, but they are top notch against the pass. The Chargers can't run the ball well at all, so they are all about the pass. I trust Andrew Luck far more than Phillip Rivers to take care of the football. The Colts clearly have the better defense here as well. Remember, the Colts dominated the 49ers on the road a few weeks ago. The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. San Diego is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 October games. Indianapolis is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a losing home record. A 24-0 angle backs the Colts here. I'll take the moneyline here since I believe its the best value. Take the Colts. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 52 | 16-31 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football Total* The Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys meet in an interesting Sunday Night game this week. These two teams have a rivalry that goes back a long ways. Robert Griffin III hasn't been very sharp early on this year, but I expect him to get much better as the season progresses. The Cowboys defense isn't very impressive, and Griffin has had plenty of success in Dallas before. Tony Romo had a terrific game last week, and I think he can back it up with another great performance against a really bad Washington defense in this one. The over is 16-2 in the Cowboys last 18 games against teams averaging at least 260 yards per game through the air. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 against a team with a losing record. Take the over. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41.5 | 20-32 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals defense is one of the best in the NFL right now. Arizona is third in the NFL against the run, and they have one of the best corners in the NFL in Patrick Peterson. San Francisco is all about the running game, and I expect the Cardinals to slow them down pretty well throughout this game. Arizona's offense hasn't been very good this year. Carson Palmer is far too inconsistent, and the Cardinals have virtually no running game. San Francisco's secondary is very good against the pass, and I don't see Arizona putting together long drives against the 49ers. The under is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 October games. The under is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games following a win. A 24-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Seattle Seahawks -12.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS CRUSHER* The Seattle Seahawks are in a great spot here. Seattle is coming off their first loss of the season. The Seahawks were beaten in Indianapolis by a good Colts team. Now, Seattle returns home to play against what I believe is an overrated Tennessee team. The Titans haven't played in a really hostile environment this year, and they'll be without starting quarterback Jake Locker in this one. Seattle's home field advantage is far bigger than anyone else's in the NFL, and the Seahawks still have a bad taste in their mouth from last week. Seattle is better than Tennessee on both sides of the ball. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS loss. Seattle is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 after gaining at least 6 yards per play in their previous game. Take Seattle here. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Carolina Panthers +2.5 v. Minnesota Vikings | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 46 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Carolina Panthers have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Carolina has been solid both against the run and the pass. Adrian Peterson is the Vikings entire offense at this point, and I feel like the Panthers have the personnel to slow him down. I don't trust Matt Cassel as the team's new starter at all. Cam Newton and the Panthers offense has been up and down, but this Vikings defense has been terrible all season. Minnesota is 30th in the NFL in total defense. Minnesota has allowed at least 27 points in every single game so far this year. Carolina has the better defense and the better quarterback. Take the points here. Take Carolina. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Baltimore Ravens +3 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Packers/Ravens ATS* The Green Bay Packers have a top quarterback in Aaron Rodgers, but their offensive line doesn't always do a good job protecting him. Baltimore can get after the quarterback, and I fully expect the Ravens to make Rodgers uncomfortable in this one. Baltimore's offense is much better when Ray Rice is a big part of the game plan, and he should be once again this week. Rice had a great game last weekend in the team's win at Miami. The Packers are without Clay Matthews, who is clearly the team's best defensive player. This Green Bay secondary has a lot of holes, and Joe Flacco should have a good game here. I like getting the points on the home underdog here. Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on turf. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 17-0 angle here. Take Baltimore. | |||||||
10-13-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 41 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs have stunned everyone with their red hot start. Many people expected this team to be better, but no one saw this team sitting at unbeaten heading into week 6. Oakland was considered by many to be at or near the bottom of the NFL power rankings this year. The Raiders aren't a good team, but they are definitely more competitive than expected. Oakland's defense has been pretty solid against both the run and the pass. Kansas City's offense is about ball control and letting their defense win the game. Oakland will struggle to score here, but I don't see the Chiefs putting up all that many points either. The under is 14-2 in the Raiders last 16 during week 6. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing more than 250 passing yards in the previous game. The under is 11-1 in the Chiefs last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at KC. A 37-3 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Sean Higgs | $1,221 |
Kevin Young | $985 |
Michael Alexander | $830 |
Jack Jones | $731 |
Kenny Walker | $717 |
Bobby Conn | $681 |
Brody Vaughn | $651 |
Joseph D'Amico | $560 |
Dave Price | $535 |
Kyle Hunter | $358 |