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*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Steelers had a bye week to think about how awful they were through the first four contests of the season. Pittsburgh still has a very good defense, and I expect them to show up ready to play in this one. The Jets offense is still one of the worst in the league. Defensively, the Jets have been even better than expected. This sets up perfectly as a game where both teams will have to fight hard for all their yardage. Expect the scoring to consist of a lot of field goals. If you like defense, this should be your type of game. I think this stays in the low to mid 30's. Take the under.

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Denver Broncos are an offensive juggernaut. The Dallas Cowboys defense isn't terrible, but they didn't look very good last week against Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers offense. Peyton Manning is going to pick apart this Cowboys secondary. The Broncos are averaging a ridiculous 44.8 points per game. I give them a very reasonable chance of hitting 40 again in this one. Dallas' offense will have plenty of opportunities too. The Denver defense isn't very good against the pass, and I see Dallas airing it out often after getting behind early on. Denver is giving up 316 passing yards per game.

The over is 8-0-1 in the Broncos last 9 games following a win by 10 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Denver's last 4 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Cowboys last 5 during week 5 of the season. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The New Orleans Saints offense is firing on all cylinders once again. The Saints have Sean Payton back on the sideline, and Drew Brees is at his best once again. Brees has all kinds of weapons to work with, and this Saints offense is going to be hard for anyone to slow down. The Bears defense isn't what it used to be. Offensively, the Bears are much better than they were the last couple years. Chicago is averaging 31.8 points per game. The Bears defense is forcing turnovers that lead to a lot of points as well. Rob Ryan is improving this Saints defense, but they are going to get exposed sooner or later. This number is too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 against an NFC oppponent. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 week five games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. In all, a 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Jacksonville Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL by a mile right now. Their offense is just brutal. Jacksonville is averaging just 7.8 points per game this season. The Jaguars will likely have trouble scoring in St. Louis against a Rams defense that plays much better at home. The Jaguars defense isn't good, but they should be able to keep the Rams off the board enough to keep this one under the total. St. Louis has no real running game, and Sam Bradford has been struggling with inconsistency this year. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in the Jags last 5 after allowing more than 30 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 250 yards through the air in the previous game. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL ATS Best Bet* The Miami Dolphins were exposed last week in New Orleans. Miami was 3-0, but they aren't one of the top teams in the league. Cameron Wake is the team's best defensive player, but he is still dinged up. He might not play in this one, and if he does he won't be as effective as normal. Baltimore is 2-2, and the Ravens have played well off a loss in their last couple years. The Ravens should use Ray Rice early and often here, and that is always a good thing. Rice is one of the most versatile backs in the NFL. Baltimore is better than some believe, because the Ravens still have stars on both sides of the ball. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against teams with a winning record. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Detroit Lions offense is so much better with Reggie Bush in the backfield. Bush can do it all, and that gives Matt Stafford and this offense the missing piece to the puzzle. Green Bay's offense is tremendous, but their defense is giving up points in bunches. The Packers first three games have finished with a total of 62, 58, and 64 points. Detroit is fully capable of getting into a shootout with the Packers, and that is what I expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record. The over is 7-1 in the Packers last 8 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing the previous game. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Dolphins/Saints ATS* The Miami Dolphins are 3-0, but they have been outgained in all three games. They aren't going to be able to continually get outgained and still win football games. The New Orleans Saints are much improved on the defensive side of the ball, and they are extremely tough to beat at home. Miami's defense is normally pretty good, but they are short-handed for this one. Cameron Wake may miss the game as well, and he is the Dolphins best defender. Ryan Tannehill isn't a bad QB, but he hasn't proven himself in a tough environment on the road yet. The Saints have far too many weapons for the Dolphins. The Dolphins are improved, but they aren't in the same class as the Saints. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games at home when Sean Payton is on the sideline. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night Football games. The Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games at home during primetime. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the Saints.

*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football ATS* The New England Patriots are 3-0 so far this year, but they have probably been the least impressive 3-0 team in the league. Atlanta is 1-2 on the year, but their two losses came in the last minute at Miami and at New Orleans. The Falcons haven't looked bad at all this year, and they are always extremely difficult to beat at home. The Falcons backs are against the wall here, and I expect them to come out ready to play. Matt Ryan has far more weapons to work with than Tom Brady does. The Patriots can't squeak out every tough game, and this is the best team they have played so far this year. The Falcons are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 following an ATS loss. Take Atlanta. *The line has moved throughout the week since I selected this one last Sunday night- I would play this up to Atlanta -3. Thank you.*

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos square off in a matchup of high-octane offenses. Neither of these teams will huddle up, and there will be a ton of plays run in this one. Peyton Manning has had a ton of great seasons in the NFL, but he is off to the fastest start of his career. Manning has 12 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions this year. This Eagles defense is giving up 323 yards per game through the air and Manning should shred them up here. On the other side, the Broncos have allowed at least 21 points in each game this year. The Eagles fast-paced offense can put up points as well. Denver is number one in total offense and Philly is number two in the NFL.

The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 90 yards or less on the ground in the previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Broncos last 6 following a win. The over is 7-0-1 in the Broncos last 8 following a win by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a game where they scored 30 points or more. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 after gaining at least 150 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 after gaining at least 350 yards in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. In all, a 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CASH* The Dallas Cowboys looked a lot better last weekend. While I'm not completely sold on the Cowboys, I do rate them as a much better team than the San Diego Chargers. Phillip Rivers just makes too many mistakes, and the Cowboys defense has proven very good at forcing turnovers. Dallas is a much more dangerous team when Murray is running the ball well, and he looked great last week. Tony Romo has far more weapons to work with than Phillip Rivers. The Cowboys defense has a lot more talent than the Chargers. Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after accumulating 350 yards or more in the previous game. The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take Dallas.

*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker Error* The Cleveland Browns picked up a nice win on the road in Minnesota last week, but I think people are a little too anxious to believe that Cleveland is much improved. The Browns still have a major question mark at quarterback and no real running back after Richardson was traded away. The Bengals lost a tough game in Chicago and then won against Pittsburgh and Green Bay. Cincinnati has a much more balanced team than Cleveland, and the Bengals appear to be much better this year than they have been in the past couple seasons. I think this is a case of two teams headed in different directions. This line is too short. Take advantage of it. Take Cincinnati.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears have played three games that have went well over the posted total this year. Chicago's offense is improved, and their defense is forcing turnovers in a big way so far this season. Detroit's offense is one of the most dynamic in the league, and Reggie Bush will be back for this one. With Bush and Calvin Johnson around him, Matt Stafford should have a great season. Johnson should take advantage of a banged up Bears secondary. The Bears are averaging 31.7 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5. The over is 7-1 in the Bears last 8 road games. The over is 6-1 in the Bears last 7 during week 4. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins are both going to be airing it out on Sunday afternoon. The Redskins secondary might be the worst in the league, and you better believe Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson are going to exploit that. On the other side, Robert Griffin III has slowly improved in the first two weeks and I expect him to play his best game of the year so far in this one. Reggie Bush is questionable here, but I think the Lions score plenty whether he plays or not. Washington's offense is quite a bit more sharp at home.

The over is 6-0 in the Redskins last 6 September games. The over is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. A nice 12-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Green Bay Packers have the top ranked offense in the NFL right now. Don't be surprised if the Packers stay at or very close to the top of the NFL in total offense throughout the season. The Bengals have an elite front seven, but Cincinnati has some problems in the secondary. Look for Aaron Rodgers to expose Cincinnati's problems in the secondary in this game. The Bengals have more play makers on offense than they have had in a very long time. Gio Bernard is a great addition to this team, and A.J. Green is an elite receiver. The Packers defense has been giving up a lot of yards, and I think that continues here. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns offense was horrendous in the first two weeks. Now, they'll be without their starting quarterback and running back from the beginning of the season. The trade of Trent Richardson was a confusing one, and it is going to really hurt this offense. Cleveland is averaging 8 points per game so far this year, and now they are permanently without Richardson, who was their best player. Minnesota's offense is all about running the football, and the Browns are 5th in the NFL at stopping the run. Minnesota is likely to win, but I don't think they'll put up many points. Look for an ugly game here. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star Thursday Night Chiefs/Eagles ATS CASH* The Philadelphia Eagles got a lot of praise after their week one victory over the Washington Redskins. After week two, the Eagles were getting bashed by a lot of people once again. Chip Kelly has brought a much improved offensive scheme to Philadelphia, but if anything the Eagles defense is even worse than last year. This game has some extra story lines as Andy Reid comes back to face his old team. Reporters are trying to make that the big story here, but Andy Reid is too much of a professional to let that story line change the way his team prepares. I like what I've seen out of the Chiefs this year. Kansas City has 5 pro bowlers on their defense, and this should be a top 10 defense in the league this year. Alex Smith is a great game manager, and Jamaal Charles is an elite running back. Philadelphia just lost at home to a San Diego team that I rate much lower than the Chiefs. I'll take the better defense and grab the points here. The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. They are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. Take the Chiefs.

*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals are bitter rivals, and you better believe both teams want this game badly. Not only is this game a huge rivalry, but both teams really want to avoid going 0-2. The Steelers were embarrassed at home last week, while the Bengals blew a game in Chicago. The strength of both of these teams is their defense, and I expect both defenses to rise up and play great Monday night. The Steelers defense is still one of the best in the NFL, and they'll show pride in this game. The Bengals defensive front is very good, and I expect them to get after Big Ben here.

The under is 8-0 in the Steelers last 8 week 2 games. The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last 6 against the AFC. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games after gaining at least 250 yards passing in the previous game. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL 49ers/Seahawks ATS CASH* The San Francisco 49ers are most people's top ranked team in the NFL right now. I can't necessarily argue against the 49ers as a great team, but I will argue that Seattle has the single best home field advantage in football. That effect will be multiplied here as this is a night game in Seattle. You better believe this building will be absolutely rocking Sunday night. Colin Kaepernick picked apart the Packers defense, but this Seattle defense is one of the best in the NFL. Don't overlook Russell Wilson, who is a very good young quarterback. He knows how to win football games. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good as it was a couple years ago, and I think that shows up here. The Seahawks spanked the 49ers last time at home. It won't be as big of a margin here, but I think Seattle gets it done. Seattle is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The 49ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC West. Take Seattle.

*3 Star NFL ATS CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Bucs are coming off a disappointing last second loss to the New York Jets. While a lot of people are saying this is a great chance for them to catch the Saints napping, I don't see it that way. New Orleans should be highly motivated this year under Sean Payton. Payton missed all of last season, and the Saints basically wrote off the season. In 2013, expect a lot more out of the Saints. New Orleans has all kinds of offensive play makers, and I don't think the Bucs can keep up. Josh Freeman has to prove he is a capable NFL starter after a lot of bad mistakes the past year and a half. New Orleans should move to 2-0 with an easier than expected win. Take the Saints.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Miami Dolphins had an impressive week one showing against Cleveland on the road. The Browns aren't an elite team, but they aren't as bad as many think. Miami's defense looked very tough in that game, and I think we'll see as the season moves along that this Dolphins defense is much improved this year. Ryan Tannehill isn't tremendous, but he is a solid quarterback for this system. The Colts were lucky to get out with a win against a bad Oakland team in week one. Indianapolis is one of the teams that I believe is overrated going into this year. Miami has the better defense and I think this line should be at least pick'em. Miami is 26-9 ATS in their last 35 road games against a team with a winning record. Grab the points here. Take Miami.

*4 Star Monday Night Texans/Chargers ATS SMASHER* There are sometimes when you need to not overanalyze a game. This is one of those times. Houston has an extremely well-balanced team. The Texans used to have a major weakness in the secondary, but they have since turned that weakness into a strength. Houston runs the ball as well as anyone in the league. Matt Schaub has even more weapons on the outside this year, and DeAndre Hopkins could be huge for this team. The Chargers are a team that has been subpar the last few years, and I actually think they are headed south at this point. Phillip Rivers is a turnover machine, and the Chargers don't have all that many talented players around him. The defense is no longer elite. Houston is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Houston.

*3 Star Eagles/Redskins Total Domination* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to be a completely different team this year. Chip Kelly's offenses were the best in the country at Oregon. Some think it will take a long time for the Eagles offense to look good, but I think they'll rack up the points right away against a bad Washington Redskins defense. At the same time, the Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I think they are a bit weaker heading into this season. RG3 isn't 100%, but he should be plenty good enough to pick apart this defense. Fast pace and lots of big plays should equal a very high scoring game. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 September games. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Kansas City Chiefs went 2-14 last year, but this team is going to be much much better this year. Jamaal Charles is fresh and ready to go go this year, and he has a better quarterback in Alex Smith alongside. Kansas City has a very good defense built around some solid youngsters who are becoming all-pros. Jacksonville is a team that doesn't really have much of anything going for them. Blaine Gabbert isn't all that good, and he isn't even 100%. If he can't finish the game, Hanie will be in, and he hasn't proven anything. KC's defense should be licking its chops in this one. Kansas City is a team on the rise quickly, while Jacksonville is definitely one of the worst teams in the league. It is a perfect chance for Andy Reid to get off to a quick start with his new team. Take Kansas City.

*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker Error* The Tampa Bay Bucs should be a better team than they were last year. Revis instantly makes this defense better, and the fact that he isn't on the Jets defense instantly makes them worse. The Jets offense is a complete mess, and I expect Geno Smith to have some major problems in his first start in the NFL. Don't be surprised if Tampa Bay scores a couple times on defense or at least sets up quick scores with their defense. The Jets no longer have the players to win with the ground game, and they certainly don't have a good passing game. Nothing about this Jets team is good right now. It's going to be a long season for the Jets, and it starts here. Tampa Bay is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. Take Tampa Bay.

*3 Star Falcons/Saints ATS CRUSHER* The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet in a high profile week one matchup in the Superdome on Sunday. The Saints are coming off essentially a "lost season" when Bountygate basically ended their season before it got started. Sean Payton will be back on the sideline here, and the Saints will be very fired up for this contest. Atlanta is a quality team, but I'm still not convinced they are any better than the Saints. The teams split in two very evenly played games last year. The Saints won at home by 4, and two years in the Superdome the Saints won by a score of 45-16. This is a great chance for the Saints to start the season by making a statement at home. New Orleans is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Atlanta. Take the Saints here.

*3 Star NFL Opening Night Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 38-35 en route to a Super Bowl win last year. The Broncos and Ravens both got a lot worse on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason, and we get a total that is set at just 48.5. Von Miller is a huge loss for the Broncos, and the Ravens absolutely have the offensive weapons to put up big numbers against Denver. Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense can score against anyone, and Baltimore is going to miss Ray Lewis and Ed Reed this season. Denver's no huddle offense gets them extra plays throughout the course of the game. Look for this total to climb as the game draws near, so bet the over as early as possible. I think this one gets into the mid 50's. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games in September. The over is 3-0-1 in the Broncos last 4 against the AFC. Take the over.

*3 Star Super Bowl Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens used to be known for their superb defense. The defense is still pretty good, but it is far from what it used to be. You could make a good argument that Baltimore is better on the offensive side of the ball now. Joe Flacco is playing like an elite quarterback, and that makes all the difference in the world for this offense. Ray Rice is one of the best players in the NFL, and he is a guy the defense has to account for on every single play. San Francisco's defense carried it through most of last year and early on this year, but with the change to Colin Kaepernick, the 49ers are far more dangerous offensively. Kaepernick can beat a team with his feet or his arm. Frank Gore and LaMichael James are both very good in the backfield for San Francisco. The 49ers defense has given up quite a few yards in both playoff games. Green Bay scored 31 points and Atlanta put up 24. Look for both teams to be able to move the ball in this one. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games on field turf. The over is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star AFC Championship Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots have definitely seen a lot of each other over the past few seasons. These teams know what the strengths of weaknesses of their opponent is very well. The Ravens defense hasn't been as good this year, but they still have play makers who will make it tough on Tom Brady. The Patriots defense is quite a bit better than it was last season. A big X factor to watch in this one is the weather. The wind is expected to be gusting up to 35 mph during this one, and that is no good for passing games. With a total this high and the weather looking that way, I like the under. The under is 5-2 in the Ravens last 7 playoff games. Take the under.

*3 Star NFC Title Total Domination* The San Francisco 49ers offense is a completely different animal with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. Kaepernick is explosive on the ground, which makes teams pay a lot of attention to him and leaves more running room for Frank Gore. The Falcons defense has relied on turnovers all year, and at some point it has to come back to bite them that they allow so many yards. Matt Ryan and the Falcons receivers are tremendous, and they should be able to throw it against the 49ers as long as Ryan gets some time to throw the ball. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 home playoff games. Take the over.

*3 Star Texans/Patriots Total Domination* The Houston Texans and New England Patriots just met a few weeks ago and the Patriots won 42-14. I don't expect the same spread in this one, but I do think the Pats offense will put up a big number again. New England is playing excellent on offense right now, and other than J.J. Watt the Texans defense has regressed a bit. Arian Foster and the Texans running attack should be able to get going against a mediocre Pats defense. New England's games rarely stay under this number, and the weather looks pretty decent for Sunday. The over is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 January games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star Packers/49ers Total Domination* The Packers and Niners met in week one in Green Bay. In that game, we saw 52 points put up on the board. I believe both offenses are in better shape now than they were for that game. Aaron Rodgers has some of his receivers back and healthy. Rodgers is playing as well as ever right now. San Francisco's offense has more firepower with Kaepernick at quarterback. The running game is still terrific, and I'm not sure Green Bay can stop it. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good with a dinged up Justin Smith. Rodgers doesn't need much time to pick apart defenses. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Niners last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star Colts/Ravens Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens defense gets a big boost from Ray Lewis being back in the lineup for this one. Baltimore's defense hasn't been nearly as good this season, but I think they'll pick up their game in the postseason. They still have guys like Lewis, Suggs, and Reed to lead the team. The Colts are too one-dimensional, and the Ravens should be able to get after Andrew Luck with their pass rush. The Ravens offense has been disappointing for much of the year. They have a lot of talent, but they haven't put it all together. The under is 5-0 in the Colts last 5 playoff road games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 playoff home games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 after allowing 90 yards of rushing or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. I like the under here.

*3 Star Vikings/Packers Total Domination* Minnesota and Green Bay meet in the first round of the playoffs tonight at Lambeau. There is a public perception out there that points are extremely tough to come by at Lambeau in the playoffs because of the cold weather, but the numbers don't show that to be true. The over is actually 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home playoff games. Minnesota's pass defense has been a problem this year, and Aaron Rodgers is playing tremendous football right now. Nobody has been able to stop Adrian Peterson of late, including the Green Bay Packers. This total is set a little lower than it should be. The over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. The over is 17-6 in the Packers last 23 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints have shown that they are going to play all the way to the end this year. The Saints offense is clicking much better as the season moves along. Drew Brees and his receivers are starting to look like they have the last couple years. Carolina's defense has been good of late, but they haven't been able to even slow down the Saints the past couple years, and I don't think they'll slow them down here either. Carolina's offense should be able to move the ball against a Saints defense that is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Cam Newton is playing with a ton of confidence right now. The over is 13-3 in the Saints last 16 against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 against the NFC South. Take the over.

*3 Star Giants/Ravens Moneyline CASH* The New York Giants have been in this spot before. In fact, they were in this spot last year before they went on a run and won the Super Bowl. New York is used to having their backs against the wall and having to win. Ahmad Bradshaw is expected back for this game, and that helps take some pressure off Eli Manning. The Ravens offense has been curiously bad of late, and the Baltimore defense is badly dinged up. The Giants have dominated both the 49ers and the Packers this year, and it won't surprise me if they win this game handily. The Giants need this game and I think they get it. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a double digit home loss. Take the Giants in this big spot.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Oakland Raiders haven't been competitive on the road this year. Oakland has won only once away from home and that was against the lowly Kansas City Chiefs. In their five losses on the road, four of them have been by more than 20 points. Basically, this Raiders team is no stranger to getting blown out on the road. It seems strange to lay this big of a number with a team that is 5-9 on the year, but the Panthers are playing very well right now. Cam Newton is playing the best football of his NFL career, and the Panthers defense has improved a lot. Carolina is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 December games. Oakland is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 following an ATS win. Take Carolina.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* It looks like RG3 is a go for Sunday afternoon. Kirk Cousins has done great, but obviously RG3 is the man for this team when he is ready to go. There isn't a better play maker in the league at the quarterback position, and he is only a rookie. Philadelphia's defense has injury issues, and they don't rush the passer well. Washington put up 31 points a few weeks ago against the Eagles. Washington's defense isn't very good, and Nick Foles is starting to get in a rhythm with the Eagles offense. I think the Eagles can put up some points here as well. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in the Redskins last 7 following a victory of 14 points or more. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Carolina Panthers have really been on a roll of late. Cam Newton was in a sophomore slump for the first half of the season, but he has been great in the team's last few games. San Diego's offense looked great in Pittsburgh last week, and the Chargers seem to always make that late run at the end of the season. The Carolina defense isn't very good, and they haven't shut down many teams this year. The over is 5-0 in Carolina's last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the Panthers last 6 December games. The over is 5-1 in the Chargers last 6 games against teams with a losing road record. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals have the worst offense in the NFL right now, and it isn't even close. Arizona has scored a total of 6 points in their last two games. It's hard to believe, but the Cardinals were actually 4-0 at the start of the season. They have now lost 9 straight games. They haven't scored more than 19 points in any of those games. The Cardinals defense is still better than most realize, but they haven't gotten any help from the offense. The strength of this defense is their secondary. Detroit relies heavily on the pass, and I think Arizona can slow them down a bit. Detroit's defense should be able to keep the Cardinals offense out of the end zone most of the game. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Minnesota Vikings are 7-6 this year, but they are just 1-5 on the road. Adrian Peterson is a superstar, but I still don't trust Christian Ponder or anyone else on this offense. The Rams defense is one of the most improved in the NFL. Look for St. Louis to stack the box and force Ponder to beat them with the pass. St. Louis has played well at home this year, and the Rams have pretty good balance on offense right now. Danny Amendola is expected back for this game, and that will help the offense a lot. The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take St. Louis.

*3 Star NFL Total Value Play* The Tampa Bay Bucs and New Orleans Saints are both probably out of the playoff picture at this point. Tampa Bay's offense has improved quite a bit as the season has gone along, but their pass defense is terrible. Tampa Bay ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. New Orleans can air it out with the best of them. The Saints put up 35 points at Tampa Bay earlier this year. The Saints defense is one of the worst in all of football. Tampa Bay has scored 30 points or more in 4 of their last 9 games. Don't be surprised if they do it again here. Take the over.

*3 Star Packers/Bears Moneyline CASH* The Green Bay Packers started the season 2-3, but they have only lost one game since. Green Bay's defense is playing much better than it was a year ago. As Aaron Rodgers gets more of his wide receivers back, I expect the Packers offense to hit its stride once again too. Chicago looked like a Super Bowl contender early in the year, but their flaws have been exposed in the past few weeks. Brandon Marshall has been great, but Cutler can't seem to get the ball to anyone else. Green Bay has beaten the Bears five straight times. I think this one will be hard fought, but I expect the Packers to win. The Packers have more depth and talent. Take Green Bay.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Miami Dolphins have an underrated defense. Miami is especially strong against the run. San Francisco can throw the football, but they still rely heavily on their rushing attack. It looks like Colin Kaepernick will get another start in this one. He certainly has the potential to be a special player, but he has plenty of room for improvement. The 49ers defense is the best in the NFL. San Francisco is giving up only 14 points per game this year! I expect both teams to settle for field goals in a low scoring battle. The under is 26-9 in Miami's last 35 road games. The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 following a loss. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals meet in a very important game Sunday afternoon. The Bengals have won four straight and they are right in the thick of the AFC playoff race. Dallas has struggled much of the year, but they are still 6-6 and very much alive. Tony Romo should be able to throw it against a Bengals secondary that has struggled this year. The Bengals offense has been much better of late, largely thanks to a strong offensive line and a great wide receiver in A.J. Green. BenJarvus Green-Ellis has three straight 100 yard rushing games. The over is 12-5 in the Cowboys last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Atlanta Falcons have the best record in the NFL, but their defense relies too heavily on forcing turnovers. Cam Newton and the Panthers offense have had a lot of success against the Falcons in their last few matchups. Look for Carolina to surprise some people and score several times in this on. On the other side, the Falcons offense is much better than it was a year ago. Matt Ryan has a tremendous group of pass catchers at his disposal. The Panthers don't have the personnel to stop the Falcons passing attack. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NFC. The over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie SMASHER* The San Diego Chargers have found ways to lose games that many people didn't think were possible this year. No loss was tougher for the Chargers than their brutal loss at the hands of the Ravens last week. In this game we have two teams going in different directions. The Bengals are playing their best football of the season right now. The Chargers are headed the wrong way in a hurry. Cincinnati's dominating win at home over the Giants served notice of this young team's potential. The Bengals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 following an ATS win. The Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. Take the Bengals.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Jacksonville Jaguars are probably a better football team with Chad Henne at the quarterback position. Henne has been solid throwing it around the past couple games. The Buffalo Bills spent a ton of money on their defense in the offseason, but they aren't any good defensively again this year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good either, but Jacksonville has been a covering machine on the road this year. Jacksonville is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in week 13. Look for this one to be a sloppy game where a late field goal decides the winner. Take the dog here.

*3 Star NFL Play of Week* The Houston Texans are probably the most complete team in football right now. Other than one bad game against Green Bay at home, Houston has been terrific this year. The Texans are unbeaten on the road, and they are taking on a Titans team that hasn't shown much fight of late. Tennessee lost 51-20 to Chicago in their last home game. The Texans beat the Bears in the Windy City last month. Houston should have both Arian Foster and Ben Tate for this game, and that will likely be too much for the Titans run defense. The Texans are 16-5-2 in their last 23 vs. the AFC. The Titans are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the AFC South. Take Houston in this one.

*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense hasn't been what they were last year, but they are still are a very formidable unit. The New York Giants defense has struggled against top quarterbacks this year, and the Packers have a terrific QB in Aaron Rodgers. Look for his quick passes to chew up this secondary. On the other side, the Packers secondary has given up a lot of yards this year. Eli Manning is putting up big numbers this year, and he has been good in the past against the Packers. The over is 11-4 in the Packers last 15 games against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star 49ers/Saints Moneyline CASH* The San Francisco 49ers are definitely one of the best teams in the NFL, but I really like this spot for the Saints. New Orleans started 0-4, but they are back to 5-5. This is another must win game for the Saints. It looks like Colin Kapernick will get the start at QB for the Niners. He has a lot of upside, but I think it is a lot to ask of him to win at the SuperDome. The Saints will want revenge for last year's tough playoff loss at the 49ers as well. Look for Drew Brees and the Saints offense to pull this game out. The Saints are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 home games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last against the NFC. They are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 November games. Take the Saints.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* Matt Ryan is having the best season of his career. Having said that, he played very poorly last weekend. Ryan should fare better against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Opponents are racking up 313 yards through the air against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense has been on fire of late as well. The Bucs have scored at least 27 points in each of their last six games. Atlanta's defense relies on forcing turnovers, but Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball. The over is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 games following a victory. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star Patriots/Jets Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders right now. No team in the NFL is scoring more than New England. Tom Brady has had quite a bit of success against the Jets in the past, and I think he'll have even more now without Revis on the outside for the Jets. New England's rushing attack has been very good this year, which helps Brady and the passing game in a big way. The Jets offense should be able to get their points against a mediocre Patriots defense. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 Thursday games. The over is 13-3 in their last 16 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star Redskins/Cowboys Turkey Total* The Washington Redskins offense has been terrific all year. RG3 has been everything anyone could have expected and more. The Redskins are very balanced on offense, and I expect them to move the ball well against Dallas. The Redskins defense has been bad all year. Washington's secondary is a major weakness. Tony Romo makes a lot of mistakes, but he can pick apart bad secondaries. Until last week, Washington had allowed at least 21 points in every game this year. Both teams should put up a decent amount of points here. Both of these teams have been on a recent under streak, which gives us great value here. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints are still in a must win situation after a horribly slow start to the year. New Orleans' offense has been clicking after a bit of a slow start. Drew Brees seems to have a nice rhythm, and the Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop anyone lately. Oakland allowed 42 and 55 points in their last two games. New Orleans is absolutely capable of putting up 40 plus points here. The Saints defense isn't very good, and Carson Palmer should be able to find plenty of open receivers to help the Raiders get on the board a few times here. The over is 7-1 in the Raiders last 8 home games. The over is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense was shockingly terrible last week against the Carolina Panthers. RG3 and the Redskins just couldn't get the job done in that game. I expect them to bounce back and be much better this weekend. Philadelphia will have Nick Foles starting at quarterback, and I actually think Foles will do a solid job for them. Washington's defense has given up at least 21 points in every single game this year, and the Eagles have some nice offensive weapons. Don't be surprised if Foles looks better than most expect in this game. Neither defense has been shutting anyone completely down this year. Look for a relatively high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in Washington's last 8 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a big win against the New York Giants last week. The Bengals defense played by far its best game of the season in that one. This unit has been dinged up pretty badly this year, but they are slowly getting healthier. The Chiefs offense has been horrible of late, and I think the Bengals defense will play well again. Kansas City has a good pass rush, and I think they'll make life difficult on Andy Dalton in this game. The Bengals don't have much of a ground game to keep them honest. The under is 9-0 in the Chiefs last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 7-0 in the Bengals last 7 games following a win by 14 points or more. Look for a low scoring game here.

*3 Star Thursday Night NFL ATS CASH* The Miami Dolphins absolutely laid an egg last weekend, but prior to that game the Dolphins have actually been surprisingly good this year. Miami's defense is excellent against the run because of a strong front seven, and they do a pretty good job rushing the passer as well. Buffalo's defense has a way of making the opposition look pretty good. Ryan Tannehill should bounce back from a very rough performance last week. Reggie Bush will have a new fire in him after being benched last week as well. The Dolphins have played in a ton of close games. In a game like this, I'll take the better defense with the points. The Bills are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 following an ATS win. The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following a straight up loss. Take Miami.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is one of the worst in the NFL. The reason the Rams have been more competitive this year is their defense is much improved. I don't expect the Rams to be able to do much offensively against the stacked 49ers defense. San Francisco is first in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 12.9 per contest. The Rams defensive strength is stopping the run, and we know that is what the 49ers normally do is run the football early and often. This is the type of game where I expect the Niners to get an early lead and then play it pretty safe the rest of the way. Don't be surprised if the Rams struggle to get above 10 points or so. The under is 6-2-1 in the 49ers last 9 games. The under is 4-0-1 in the 49ers last 5 against the NFC. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have a real history of putting up big points when they meet. In 4 of the team's last 5 meetings, the final total has been at least 60 points. In the meeting earlier this year, the Patriots scored 31 points in the 4th quarter alone in a blowout win in Buffalo. New England ranks first in the NFL in total offense and points per game. The Patriots are averaging 33 points per game. Buffalo's defense has given up at least 35 points in 3 of their last 5 games. Buffalo's offense is getting healthier, and they should be able to put up points against a mediocre Pats defense. The over is 6-0 in the Pats last 6 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bills last 6 against the AFC East. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Minnesota Vikings jumped out to an impressive start to the season, but they have fallen back to earth over the last few weeks. Christian Ponder still has a lot of room for improvement in the passing game, and other than Adrian Peterson the Vikings don't have weapons on offense now that Harvin is out. The Vikings defense is dinged up now as well. Detroit started slowly, but they are coming on of late. Detroit has a much higher upside than the Vikings, and now that things are clicking I think the Lions will keep it rolling. Matt Stafford and the passing game are in sync well right now. The Lions defense has improved as the season has moved along. The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. The Vikings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4. Take Detroit.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Seattle Seahawks are a completely different team at Qwest Field. Their defense has been dominating at home, even against some of the best offenses in the league. Seattle's run defense is amazing, and that really is Minnesota's bread and butter on offense. Seattle games often end up being field goal battles. Poor weather is expected in this one, which just makes me feel even more strongly about the under. Both defenses should have the upper hand in this game. The under is 6-1 in the Seahawks last 7 games against the NFC. The under is 5-2 in the Vikings last 7 games overall. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie SMASHER* The Detroit Lions haven't been as good as most expected so far this year, but they will be playing against much lesser competition this week. Jacksonville has struggled to be competitive this year. The Jaguars were walloped at home by the Bengals and the Bears, and they have only one win so far this season. Detroit's passing attack is now ranked second in the NFL in yards per game, and I think we'll see Stafford and Calvin Johnson put together a big game against a shaky secondary. The Jaguars are completely one-dimensional on offense, and that should allow the Lions to stack the box. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take Detroit.

*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a good team to play the 'over' with because they are very good offensively with RG3 at the helm and very suspect on the defensive side of the ball. Washington is dead last in the NFL in passing defense, and they are allowing 28.4 points per game. Carolina looked pretty good in a 23-22 loss to Chicago last week, and if they come out with that same kind of enthusiasm here they should put up a big number. The Panthers defense is giving up 24 points per game, and no one has had the answer to stopping RG3 all season. I don't see the Panthers having the answer in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Panthers last 5 after allowing 150 yards or less through the air in their previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Redskins last 6 after an ATS loss. Take the over big!

*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints have a way of making games very high scoring. The Saints have a high-powered offense that can score very quickly, and they also have a defense that gives up a ton of points. Denver is a much more potent offense now with Peyton Manning at the helm. Manning should be able to take advantage of a very poor Saints secondary. The Saints are giving up 30.3 points per game and scoring 29.3 per contest. Denver is averaging 29 points per game at home this year. In a game that is played at a quick pace, I expect both teams to get plenty of chances to put points on the board here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 after a bye week. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 October games. Look for lots of points here. Take the over.

*3 Star Giants/Cowboys CASH* The New York Giants are a team that has risen to the occasion in their biggest games over the past year. Dallas took out the Giants in the season opener this year, and you have to think the Giants will be out for some revenge here. Eli Manning is having a terrific season even with his wide receivers more dinged up than ever. As they are starting to get healthy, this offense becomes even more dangerous. The Giants dominated the 49ers a couple weeks ago, and it wouldn't surprise me to see them take it to the inconsistent Cowboys in this one. The Giants are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 road games. The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in Dallas. Take the Giants.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets will be playing in some ugly conditions Sunday afternoon. Hurricane Sandy will be dumping rain on this game and kicking up the wind. These kind of conditions aren't helpful to offenses, especially the wind. Miami's defense has been solid all year. The Jets offense is very inconsistent, and this kind of weather will lead to a lot more running. With the clock ticking throughout the game, it will be hard to get as many points as normal. Look for a defensive battle played in the driving rain in New York. The under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 October games. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a terrific 'over' team this year. Washington hasn't had a quarterback in the last few years, but now they have a star dual-threat quarterback. RG3 has more than lived up to all the hype so far this year. He is a game changer for this offense. Washington is averaging 30 points per game this year. At the same time, the Redskins defense continues to have problems stopping anyone. The Redskins are dead last in the NFL in pass defense. The New York Giants have a terrific passing attack, and I expect them to shred up this defense. The Giants are also averaging 30 points per game. This is a game that I expect to reach at least 55 points, so I really like the value on this one. The over is 6-1-1 in the Redskins last 8. Look for these offenses to get up and down the field quickly. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints finally got a win two weeks ago by coming back and beating the San Diego Chargers. New Orleans is still only 1-4, but they are holding onto faint hopes that they will be able to get into the postseason. New Orleans is 4th in the NFL in total offense, and I don't see Tampa Bay slowing them down much. The Bucs are second to last in the NFL in passing defense. Drew Brees seems to be coming into his own of late, and he should have a big day in this one. At the same time, the Saints defense isn't very good at all right now. The Saints are allowing 31 points per game on the season. Look for both teams to put up quite a few points here. The over is 8-0 in the Saints last 8 games against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 games following a straight up win. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie SMASHER* The Baltimore Ravens lost Ray Lewis and LaDarius Webb last weekend. Those are certainly two very big injuries, but I think the betting public and the oddsmakers have overreacted a bit here. Remember, this Baltimore team is absolutely a Super Bowl contender. They still have Ngata, Reed, and many other play makers on the defense. Offensively, they have the best all-around running back in football in Ray Rice. Joe Flacco is a much improved quarterback. Houston is missing their best linebacker (Cushing) right now too, and I just don't see them being favored by a touchdown against this good of a Ravens team. Too good of a value to pass up. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star Giants/49ers Total Domination* The New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers have quite a bit of bad blood between them at this point. They met in the NFC Championship game last year, and it was the Giants who pulled off a come from behind victory in that one. San Francisco is definitely looking for revenge here. The 49ers do it with defense first. At this point, it is tough to argue with the fact that the 49ers have the best defense in the league. They are giving up less than 14 points per game. The Giants have had offensive explosions this year several times, but they haven't played a defense like the Niners. New York's defense should get a good pass rush on the 49ers, and I expect both defenses to bring their best in this intense game. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 games after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals are 4-1 this year, but a lot of people see their offense and assume they aren't a very good team. Many people overlook the fact that Arizona has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Patrick Peterson is a star at cornerback, and the Cardinals have a ton of very solid guys in their front seven. No team has scored more than 21 points on Arizona this year. Buffalo's offense has been dreadful of late. The Bills scored three points last week against the 49ers. Kevin Kolb and the Cardinals offense is out of sync right now, and I don't expect them to put up too many points without any kind of running game. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinals 5 games this season. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Dallas Cowboys had the week off last week. Two weeks ago they looked horrible in a 34-18 loss to the Bears. The Cowboys were also blasted by the Seahawks earlier this year. Some are taking the angle that Dallas will come back strong after a bye week, but I just don't think the Cowboys are that good of a team right now. On the other side, the Baltimore Ravens are a complete football team. Baltimore has arguably the best running back in football in Ray Rice. They also have a much improved quarterback in Joe Flacco. The Ravens defense hasn't been as spectacular as usual so far this year, but I still think they are a very good veteran unit. Giving only three points at home against a mediocre Dallas team, I definitely like the Ravens. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following an ATS loss. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie SMASHER* The Green Bay Packers may only be 2-2, but they are definitely still one of the elite teams in the league. Indianapolis should get better with Andrew Luck at the helm, but they still have tons of holes in their roster right now. Vontae Davis is the Colts best corner, and he'll miss this game. That's not a good recipe for success against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers passing attack. Dwight Freeney is questionable, and the Colts don't have the pass rush they used to have. The Packers defense should get after Andrew Luck in a big way in this game. The Packers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. Take Green Bay.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens are one of the best teams in the NFL right now because of their balance. Baltimore has one of the best play makers in the league in Ray Rice. Rice can do it all. Joe Flacco is no longer a weakness, but now he is a strength at quarterback. The Ravens defense is still very good with play makers like Ngata, Lewis, and Reed leading the way. Kansas City has been blown out twice at home already this year. The Chiefs are one-dimensional on offense and I think the Ravens will make Matt Cassel beat them with his arm. On defense, the Chiefs were one of the worst in the NFL last year, and they still are fairly weak this year. Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a double digit home loss. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the week* The Cincinnati Bengals have gone on the road and beaten the Washington Redskins and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bengals offense has been very good this year, while the defense has been dinged up. The Bengals defense should have Dre Kirkpatrick and Nate Clements both in the secondary this week, and that will help a ton. Miami's Ryan Tannehill is a rookie who hasn't been consistent at all this year, and I don't see him lighting up this Bengals defense. On the other side, the weakness of the Miami defense is their secondary. A.J. Green is quickly becoming a star in this league. No one in this Miami secondary will be able to slow him down. The Bengals are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Cincinnati is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 following a straight up win. Take the Bengals.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense has been unstoppable so far this year. Robert Griffin III has been amazing through his first three weeks in the NFL. Washington has scored 40, 28, and 31 points in the first three weeks of the season. Tampa Bay's defense was good against Carolina and Dallas, but they allowed Eli Manning to throw for more than 500 yards in a 41-34 loss to the Giants. Don't forget that Tampa Bay was dead last in the NFL in total defense a year ago. Washington should score quite a few here again. Tampa Bay's offense is improved this year as well. Dating back to last season, Washington's defense has allowed 31 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Tampa Bay should pile up the yards and points against a poor Redskins secondary. The over is 4-0-1 in the Redskins last 5. The over is 21-7-1 in the Bucs last 29 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Cincinnati Bengals went on the road and defeated the Washington Redskins last week. Cincinnati's offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Bengals have a great tandem in quarterback Andy Dalton and A.J. Green. Jermaine Gresham is also a solid tight end, and the offensive line is strong for the Bengals. Cincinnati's defense has struggled this year, but their struggles are in the secondary. Jacksonville isn't a team that is good at just airing it out. Blaine Gabbert hasn't proven he can consistently sling it around. I think the Bengals offense will be a little too much for Jacksonville to keep up with here. The Jaguars are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Take Cincinnati.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots are off to a slow 1-2 start. The Patriots are unlikely to drop to 1-3, but the Bills do pose some problems for their defense. New England has scored at least 34 points in each of their last 4 meetings against Buffalo. Look for Tom Brady and his receivers to get on track in a big way in this one. At the same time, the Bills are starting to get healthier and the Patriots defense isn't very good. There is no reason to expect New England to shut down Buffalo here. The two meetings last year ended at 34-31 and 49-21. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last 4 week 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in Buffalo's last 5 vs. the AFC East. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Houston Texans are one of the most complete teams in the NFL this year. No team in the league has a better running game than the Texans. The offensive line is very good, and Matt Schaub is a quality quarterback. Andre Johnson is one of the best receivers in the business. It is the defensive end where this team has improved most. The Texans secondary used to be a liability, but now it is a strength. The front seven is great pressuring the quarterback. Peyton Manning showed plenty of rust this past Monday. The Broncos running game isn't very good, and I expect the Texans to get heat on Manning. Denver's defense isn't bad, but they aren't up to par with the Texans defense. Houston is better in all phases of the game. I think the Texans are definitely undervalued here. Denver is 0-6-1 ATS when playing on Sunday following a Monday night football appearance. The Texans are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a game where they allowed 15 points or less. Take Houston.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals offense woke up nicely last week against Cleveland. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green are a great pass and catch tandem. The Bengals offensive front is strong, which should allow them to run the ball some as well. RG3 has been spectacular through the first two weeks, and the Bengals defense has been very disappointing. Cincinnati's secondary has been beaten deep far too many times through just two weeks. The Bengals are dinged up at the linebacker spot as well, and that will hurt when trying to keep Griffin inside the pocket. Look for Griffin to run around on the Bengals and make plays outside the pocket. Both teams should put up quite a few points. The over is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the Redskins last 4 games overall. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The San Francisco 49ers look like they might have the best team in football right now. They are absolutely taking on the mentality of their coach. This is a very tough team that will run through walls if they have to. Alex Smith showed a ton of heart last weekend, and Michael Crabtree is finally coming into his own. The 49ers defense is awesome against the run, and I don't think the Vikings can beat them through the air. Harbaugh's team doesn't have very many letdown type games, and I don't expect them to play down to their competition in this one. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take San Francisco.

*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Dallas Cowboys were impressive in week one in New York. Still, I don't think we should overreact to one week of results. The Seahawks are a very tough team to beat at home, and the Cowboys still have a ton of question marks. The Seattle front seven is terrific, and Murray will likely struggle in this one. Russell Wilson was decent in his first NFL start, and I expect him to be better in his home debut. Few stadiums are as difficult to play in as Seattle, and the Cowboys have had trouble here before. Dallas is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Take the Seahawks and the points.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Andrew Luck threw for more than 300 yards in his NFL debut, but he threw three interceptions. The Bears secondary is very good, so that was a tough matchup for Luck. The Vikings secondary will likely start three rookies in this one, and I think Luck will have a much easier time in this one. On the other side, the Colts will be without Dwight Freeney so the pass rush won't get to Ponder as much. In addition, the Colts are terrible against the run. Adrian Peterson should be able to gash the Colts for quite a few yards in this one. Both offenses should have the edge in this game. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Kansas City Chiefs were crushed 41-7 in the season opener last year by the Buffalo Bills. The Bills fell apart late in the year, and the Chiefs came on late in the year. Kansas City has the better defense here, and they are stacked at running back. Charles is healthy again and he is great, and Peyton Hillis is a terrific backup. Fred Jackson is out for this one, which hurts the Bills a ton. David Nelson is also out, and Ryan Fitzpatrick has been shaky of late. I think the Chiefs are the better team, so I love getting the points here. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Kansas City.

*3 Star Battle of Ohio ATS* The Cleveland Browns only lost by a point to the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend, but they were dominated in the stat book. The Eagles outgained them by almost 250 yards. Philadelphia turned the ball over 5 times to keep Cleveland in the game. Cincinnati was thrashed 44-13 by the Ravens in week one. The Bengals were only down 17-13 late in the third quarter before it all fell apart. I saw some positives for the Bengals in that loss. Cincinnati's offensive line was getting a good push against a great Ravens defensive front. The Bengals seem to have more balance on offense now. The Browns are without star corner Joe Haden. The Bengals should win comfortably in this one. Take the Bengals.

*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints defense was absolutely chewed up by RG3 and the Redskins last week. Griffin was great, but I can't help but think part of the reason for his amazing day was a poor Saints defense. New Orleans still put up 32 points, and they should be able to score points in bunches against a less than mediocre Carolina defense. Cam Newton and the Panthers put up 27 points in a 30-27 loss to the Saints at home last year. I think Carolina can get a lot from the tape of last week's Redskins game and use that against New Orleans in this one. The two meetings between these two last year finished at 57 and 62 points. Both offenses have a significant edge on the defenses here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 games. 5 Star Play of the Week on the over in this game!

*3 Star Bears/Packers Total Domination* The Chicago Bears clearly have a much better offense than they did a year ago. The Green Bay Packers obviously have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Why do I like the under in this one? It is all about value. Getting a number like 51.5 isn't something I expected here. The public has pushed the number up enough to where this fits in as a solid play. The Bears secondary is one of the best in the NFL, and Green Bay simply can't run the football. Green Bay's defense is good at pressuring the quarterback. The highest total set for meetings between these teams in the past four years is 45.5. I think both teams have to settle for field goals enough here. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star MNF Totals SMASHER* The San Diego Chargers defense took a big step backward last year. This team doesn't have a good secondary, and Carson Palmer will air it out against them in this one. The Raiders have lost key pieces in their secondary for two straight seasons, and they now have a real weakness at the cornerback spot. Phillip Rivers is healthier now, and I expect him to lead the Chargers offense to quite a few yards against this mediocre Raiders defense. Neither team has a strong pass rush and both secondaries are susceptible. I think the offenses will have the upper hand here. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 season openers. The over is 4-0 in the Raiders last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals finished the season on a 6-2 run. Skelton was at the helm during that period, and he got the starting nod over Kevin Kolb for this year's season opener. One thing many people overlook about the Cardinals is that they now have a very solid defense. Arizona can get after the quarterback very well, and Patrick Peterson is a major play maker in the secondary. He'll be the best special teams player on the field in this one as well. I like Russell Wilson, but I don't understand his team being favored by three on the road in the first start of his career. Seattle was nothing special last year. They may have made some upgrades, but I don't value them any higher than the Cardinals. Arizona is a much better team at home, and both meetings between these two teams were settled by a field goal last year. Arizona is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings with the Seahawks. Take the home underdog and the points here with Arizona.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 38-19 and 48-16. Carolina has a very balanced offense with Cam Newton under center. The Panthers have two very good running backs in Stewart and Williams and Newton can run as well as any QB in the NFL. On the other side though, Carolina's defense just isn't very good at all. Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball with ease through the air. Josh Freeman should have a solid season and Doug Martin is a good addition to the offense. Tampa Bay's defense gave up at least 31 points in their final four games last year. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at Tampa Bay between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints have heard about Bountygate all through the offseason, and I'm guessing they are ready to take out their frustration on the Redskins. Washington's defense allowed 33 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games last year. New Orleans is quite likely to get into the 30's here. Drew Brees has weapons all over the field. Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston are great pass catchers, and the backfield is stacked with talent. New Orleans does give up points. The Redskins should have an improved offense with RG3 at the helm this season. Washington will have more balance and that should help them put up several points here. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5. Take the over.

*3 Star Super Bowl XLVI ATS CASH* By now you've definitely heard that this is a rematch of Super Bowl 42. The Giants ruined the Patriots perfect season in that one. Some are playing the revenge angle in this one, but I don't buy it. Of course the Patriots want to win this game badly, but it is the Super Bowl and the Giants want it badly too! I think both teams come out highly motivated in a game like this. The Giants pass rush should force the Patriots into throwing more quick passes, but that also makes the offense more predictable. New England has been able to outscore teams this year, but their defense simply isn't good at all. The secondary should get chewed apart by a very underrated group of wide receivers form New York. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks are ready for a big game on the big stage here. The Giants secondary isn't good, but I do think they are better than the Patriots secondary. They'll also get more help from the pass rush. Eli Manning has been stepping up in a big way in big games. I think the value here is on the Giants. The Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as a playoff underdog. Take the Giants.

*3 Star NFC Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers have done it all year with their defense. The 49ers stop the run better than anyone in the NFL, and last week they proved they can get after the quarterback as well. The 49ers should have a conservative game plan here. Look for Frank Gore to get quite a few carries in this one. The Giants will open up the passing game quite a bit, but San Francisco has an above average secondary. The under is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 games, and this Giants defense is really improving right now. Conference Championship games tend to run a little lower scoring than average, and I think both of these defenses will be ready for this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL AFC ATS Bookie BEATDOWN* The New England Patriots played well last week in their win over the Denver Broncos, but beating Denver and playing against Baltimore are very different things. The Ravens have plenty of playoff experience, and they came to Foxboro and beat the Patriots two years ago. The last four times these two teams have played, the Ravens have either won or lost by less than a touchdown. I don't understand why we are getting such a big number here. Sure the Patriots have a big advantage at quarterback, but Baltimore is much better defensively. Terrell Suggs, Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, and the rest of the Ravens defense will be hungry this weekend. Expect Ray Rice to find plenty of running room as well. Getting more than a touchdown, I really like the Ravens.

*3 Star Giants/Packers Total DOMINATION* The New York Giants and Green Bay Packers met in early December. The Giants gained 447 yards and scored 35 points in that one. The Packers gained 449 yards and scored 38 points in that one. I don't see any reason to believe that the defenses will be able to change much in this one. The Packers offense is the most prolific in the NFL. The Giants passing offense has been great all year, and the Packers secondary is last in the NFL in pass defense. The Giants have a great pass rush, but the Packers are great at quick drops to neutralize that advantage. The over is 8-2 in the Packers last 10. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over.

*3 Star Saints/Niners ATS CRUSHER* I really like what the Saints have done this year, but I think this line is skewed too heavily toward the road team. San Francisco put together an extremely impressive season under Jim Harbaugh, and I love the fact that the Niners are so tough defesnsively. The Saints have been an indoor team the last couple years, and the Niners should have a nice home field advantage here. These teams met last year when San Francisco wasn't very good, and the Niners only lost by three. New Orleans will get their yards here, but I think the 49ers will force them to kick field goals. Frank Gore and the Niners rushing game should have success in this one. San Francisco is 12-3-1 ATS this year. I'll take the home team getting more than a field goal.

*3 Star Falcons/Giants Total Domination* The Atlanta Falcons offense really found its own in the last four weeks. Atlanta scored at least 31 points in three of their last four games. The Giants have a good pass rush, but the secondary takes too many chances and gives up big plays too often. On the other side, Eli Manning has some real weapons on the outside. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have turned into young superstars for the Giants. Atlanta's secondary is below average, and they aren't that great at pressuring the quarterback without bringing a blitz. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Wild Card Total Domination* Houston's offense has done fairly well under the leadership of rookie T.J. Yates, but there is no doubt this unit isn't as strong as it was at the start of the season. The Bengals will likely gear up to stop the run, something they have done well this year. On the other side, Houston quietly has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Cedric Benson and the Bengals running game hasn't been very good of late. The Bengals offense hasn't scored more than 24 in a game in their last nine games, and the playoff jitters should hurt this young offense. Look for both defenses to play well here. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Both Carolina and New Orleans can pile up the points. Cam Newton has shown that he can perform well against just about any defense in the NFL. Drew Brees and the Saints starters are expected to play in this game. The final game of the season generally lends itself to a higher scoring game. The over is 6-2 in the Saints last 8 January games. The over/under here is posted extremely high, but I think these two teams have a good shot at getting to 60 in this situation. Both pass defenses are very poor, and I think that will be on full display in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star Eagles/Cowboys GUARANTEED Cash* The Philadelphia Eagles dominated the Dallas Cowboys 34-7 earlier this year. The Eagles are actually playing their best football of the year right now. Mike Vick is healthy and the Eagles defense is starting to perform like most expected they would at the beginning of the year. Believe it or not, this game actually means something for the Eagles. If Philadelphia wins this and the Giants lose this weekend, the Eagles are right back in the race in the NFC East. Dallas hasn't proven to be a clutch team of late, and there is a lot more pressure on the Cowboys than the Eagles right now. Dallas is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite. Take Philadelphia.