Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-09-25 | Chiefs -125 v. Eagles | 22-40 | Loss | -125 | 330 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS CITY. Have we not learned to not bet against the Chiefs in the playoffs? I tried that last year taking the Bills, Ravens and Niners and went 0-3. I am 2-0 taking KC this post season, soon to be 3-0. Andy Reid is head and shoulders better than Sirianni. Look no further than the last time these guys met in the Super Bowl. Eagles up 10 at half, outplayed and outcoached in the 2nd half. Chiefs win. And they win another 1 score game which they are now on an incredible 17-0 run. KC wins close games. Hurts threw for over 300 yards, had 70 yards rushing and 4 total TDs vs KC in the Super Bowl. Not good enough for a win. Steve Spagnuolo will have the Chiefs defense up to task to slow down the 1/2 rushing combo of Barkley and Hurts. How am I going against Mahomes? The guy is just clutch. Last year in the Super Bowl. Down at the half. Down with a minute or whatever left in regulation. Down in OT. Doesn't matter. And my final point. Vic Fangio defense. Well. Mahomes went 6-0 when he ran it in Denver. 3 in a row for KC. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS -- also on the UNDER | |||||||
02-09-25 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 | 22-40 | Loss | -110 | 250 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Eagles | |||||||
01-26-25 | Bills v. Chiefs -120 | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 152 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS CITY. If the Bills win, then so be it. I tried the .. well KC is never a dog and doesn't look as good as last year .. in last years playoffs. That went 0-3 as the Bills and Ravens both lost at home and the Niners continue with a HC who blows leads in Super Bowls. Terrible. Not going to fall for the banana in the tailpipe again. (google it youngsters) Mahomes 17-3 in the playoffs last 20 games SU. Lost to Brady in OT. Lost to Brady in a Super Bowl. Lost to Burrow. I will take my chances vs the Bills here. Chiefs have their playoff number. These guys have met 8 times in the last 5 years. Bills have won 4 of 5 in the regular season. KC all 3 in the playoffs. 7th AFC Championship Game for Reid and Mahomes. 4-2 SU/ATS. Chiefs make plays when they need to. Or, they get a friendly flag. It isn't fixed. It isn't rigged. Magic, MJ, Kobe, LeBron. Good teams get the calls. This is nothing new. KC at home in a PK to go to another Super Bowl. They have won the last 2. Square play, perhaps. But haven't we seen this play out before? 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS | |||||||
01-26-25 | Commanders +5.5 v. Eagles | 23-55 | Loss | -111 | 159 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON here. So these guys split this season. Philly rolling on a short week. Washington a big come from behind win. Let's start there. Oh, Hurts didn't play. Well. Washington turned the ball over 3 times and still ended up winning. This team is playing well right now. I think people forget way back to weeks 1+2 where they didn't even punt the ball in a game. The offense is clicking. Daniels looks special in his rookie season. I understand not wanting to grab a rookie QB in a road Championship Game. But last I looked, Eagles have some problems. Hurts was knocked out of that Iggles loss to the Commies. Didn't look all that sharp vs Green Bay. Take away the snow and the Rams probably win that game last week. Are we sure that Hurts even finishes the game here? The offense does go through Barkley. But if you think they win with Kenny Pickett taking any meaningful snaps, you are nuts. I just do not see that happening. I see this as FG type of game with the winner having the ball last. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS | |||||||
01-19-25 | Ravens v. Bills +1.5 | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Why do I feel like everyone is on the Ravens? And, I am also. Albeit a Super Bowl future ticket. But for a team that has covered 5 in a row and all the wins by at least 14 points, I can see all the love. Especially when we saw the Bills give up 80 something points on the road to the Rams and Lions. We know that the Ravens smacked these guys 35-10 back in September. Both teams off easy wins last week. I think this one is a flat out battle. A 1pt game, 3pt game. For me. It is really just pick the winner. I am not worried about cold and snow or wind here. Both these teams are not strangers to that. I was leaning to the Ravens based on the way their defense has played overall. But Allen at home gets the call over Lamar on the road. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS | |||||||
01-19-25 | Rams v. Eagles UNDER 44 | 22-28 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Snow doesn't really mean lower scoring, but I think it will hinder the Rams passing a bit. Especially if the winds pick up. This was going to be a run first type of game from Philly anyway. Don't be fooled by last week's Eagles cover. I had them. But that was 22-10 win when you get 4 TOs? Should have been a lot bigger margin. But Hurts is still rounding into form after being out a few weeks. Rams defense has been better of late and I don't believe anyone cracks 24 points. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Eagles | |||||||
01-18-25 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 136 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Texans/ Chiefs | |||||||
01-18-25 | Texans v. Chiefs -8 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. I know they ol' KC wins and doesn't cover. But 12-4 ATS in the playoffs. Different animal. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | |||||||
01-13-25 | Vikings v. Rams +2.5 | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. This is a tricky one with the move to Arizona and the fires. Safe to think the Rams heads may not be totally in the game. But nothing like a huge episode to rally behind. This Rams team is good. I mean. They could have won last week and be facing a rookie QB making his first road start. Instead they settled for the loser of a game between 2 teams with 14 wins. They beat the Vikings on a short week already. The played the Lions tough in Detroit. I think the Rams poound the ball with Williams and that lets Stats Padford, I mean Matt Stafford get the ball to his 2 WRs in Puka and Kupp. Darnold off a dream season. I was hoping they won last week to lock up my Minny Coach of the Year Award. Now, we wait. Vikings looking putrid last week. Hate betting against a team in a spot like that. The old, what have you done for me lately, and that sticks out. I thought to start November the Rams could be a dangerous team. I think they win this and will give Philly all they handle next week. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
01-12-25 | Commanders v. Bucs -3 | 23-20 | Loss | -118 | 165 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA. I think I am in the minority with this pick. I liked Tampa last year at 10/1 to win the South, you're welcome. I told you to fade Atlanta and take the Falcons again to the win south. Hello another division title. Baker with a great season. Game 1 was Tampa 37-20. What will Game 18 be? I think something along the same. High Scorer. Tampa into the 30s. Tampa led 13-0, 23-7 and 37-14 in that one. Yes, Daniels has grown since then. But so has Tampa. I have to think the defense comes up with some new wrinkles to throw Daniels off a bit. Baker will be solid, but I think this is the Bucky Irving show tonight. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS | |||||||
01-12-25 | Packers v. Eagles -4 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 162 h 48 m | Show | |
Give me the EAGLES. Who the heck has Green Bay beaten to think they stay within 10 year? I think this is Philly blow out. Barkley is going to something like 125+ 2 TDs a few catches. Packers lost to these Eagles and Minny + Detroit twice. Philly I think got better as the season went on as they got their new OC/DC play calling down. Fly Eagles Fly. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | |||||||
01-12-25 | Broncos v. Bills OVER 46.5 | 7-31 | Loss | -115 | 69 h 26 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total here. I think this is a shoot out. If you remember, everyone thought Denver would give the Ravens a battle when they traveled to Baltimore. Well - that was 41-10 Ravens. While I do think the Bills crack 30, I think this is more inline with 37-20. Either way. First half over, full game over. Josh Allen with a big today. 4* Total Money OVER Broncos/ Bills | |||||||
01-11-25 | Chargers v. Texans +3 | 12-32 | Win | 100 | 137 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS this afternoon. Home dog for me and I won't think twice about it. Texans off a bad regular season when much more was expected of them. A lot of injuries, but, still a division winner. Home dogs in the wild card round a pretty decent run of 24-10 ATS. I think people forget that Houston also has a pretty good defense themselves. Chargers have a pair of banged up RBs and a 1 man receiving corps of rookie Ladd McConkey. I think this one will be an ugly one. Will be looking to move on the Under here also. Stroud will do just enough to get us the win, while the defense shuts done Herbert and friends. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS | |||||||
01-05-25 | Vikings +3 v. Lions | 9-31 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. A pair of 14-2 teams in the same division, final regular game season game. Division Title. Home Field. Bye Week. #1 Seed. All the marbles. What a game Sunday night! Loser will be the 5 seed and will be the first 14 game winner to play a Wild Card game. Unbelievable. 31-29 win for Detroit last time these guys met. Lions rolled on MNF (we had Detroit) in San Fran and get a little extra rest as this is late, but still a full less. The defense is the difference for me here. Sam Darnold on a tear the last month. 14-2. Guy won 13 games with the Jets in 3 years, coaching matters folks. I saw he has thrown for more yards and TDs than Josh Allen. Higher completion percentages than Lamar and Mahomes. What a year for this guy, good for him. We have Minny in a revenge spot. Detroit off their playoff revenge spot in San Fran. Why do I think Dan Gamble, I mean Campbell, does something here that doesn't go his way. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS | |||||||
01-05-25 | Chiefs +9.5 v. Broncos | 0-38 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. I know they will be resting guys. But honestly. I will be shocked if we don't get at least a quarter of Mahomes here. Yes. These guys just win games. 15-1 and Mahomes having a very average season. This is the ONLY team in the NFL not to score more than 30 points this year. The scored 30 in OT vs Tampa, and 30 in Carolina. And as much as I want Nix to air it out for 350 yards so I win my rookie most passing yards prop with him, I don't trust him as a double digit favorite. KC still plays defense. Denver is locked into a trip to Buffalo with a win. That is all they need to do. Take the points. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | |||||||
01-05-25 | Dolphins -140 v. Jets | 20-32 | Loss | -140 | 162 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. Miami needs the big dog Chiefs to pull the upset in Denver to make the playoffs. But they have to do their part and win. I think they win. This Jets team can't wait to hit the links, or the beaches. Or wherever the heck Rodgers is headed. I will be a little nervous if we get full game Tyrod Taylor here. I think the Jets should start him next year. Down 40-0 last week, these guys are absolutely cooked. I'm saying under 5 thousand fans in New Jersey on Sunday! 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS | |||||||
01-05-25 | Commanders v. Cowboys +3.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -120 | 145 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Washington needs to win and the Bears to win at Green Bay to move up in the wild-card. I hate saying things like, oh, that never happens. But come on. Packers have won the last 10. I can't see them losing outright as near double digit favorites. I bet GB FH -6 on Tuesday. So - Washington. Safe to say they rest some guys and get ready for their projected game in LA to play the Rams. Dallas is a team that just got rocked. I had them. Loser. It happens. But this team will win outright today. That is what it does. Win meaningless games so you think they are headed in the right direction. McCarthy the first Dallas HC since Dave Campo to have a pair of losing seasons (4 8-8 seasons under Garrett!. May as well be losing seasons!!.. angry Cowboys fan). Cowboys win this one for any fans that show up! 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS | |||||||
01-05-25 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 39 | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 143 h 22 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. 6 straight losses for the Patriots. 7-21-17-24-15-22-19-17-25-16-21-10-13-3-20-16. Look at that rosy offensive numbers for New England. Bills will be resting guys. I don't think Trubisky throws 4 TDs today. Josh Allen will start for his consecutive game streak, then hit the sidelines. Patriots currently in the #1 slot in the upcoming draft. Will they fumble this away like the Raiders and Giants? I don't believe in teams quitting and tanking. I do believe this team is that bad though. Please don't be fooled by that wild shoot-out in Buffalo 2 weeks ago. Bills home after b2b roadies at Rams + Lions that were offensive wonders. Bad spot for Bills there. Always a bad spot for Patriots offense. 4* Total Money UNDER Bills/ Patriots | |||||||
01-04-25 | Bengals -120 v. Steelers | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. I'll be honest. My first thought when I did Look Ahead Lines last Sunday was Pitt and the 2.5. Right? We have them at home. 3 straight losses. Can't rest people since you are on a 3 game slide. Do you want to go to on the road, even to Houston, on a 4 game slide? Then I wake up the next morning. Ok. Steelers have lost 3 in a row to good teams. KC, Ravens, Philly. Is Cincy in that group? We all agree no because of the defense. I will gladly take the Burrow and vs this Steelers defense right now. 29-34-27 points allowed. Let's not forget the wild 44-38 game in Cincy Pitt won on December 1st. After their revenge win over Cleveland, Pitt hit the skids. Cincy has reeled off 4 in a row since that loss posting 27-37-24-30 points on offense. Burrow has thrown 15 TDs this month, 3 in every game. I think he tosses at least 3 today. Two teams going in different directions. A Bengals win doesn't guarantee a playoff spot, but this is still a rivalry game and the ball is their court to continue their season. Pitt had a fast start, and an even faster fall to the finish. Ravens as 20 point faves are not losing to the Browns. Steelers locked in at 5. Maybe the starters play a half here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS | |||||||
12-30-24 | Lions -3 v. 49ers | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 189 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking DETROIT. Not going to overthink this one at all. Revenge for last year NFC Championship Game. Detroit blows a 24-7 halftime lead. Lions still fighting for the 1 seed. The Niners - SF had a lead at halftime in the Super Bowl. They had a lead with Under 2 minutes left in the Super Bowl. They took the lead in OT in the Super Bowl. And now they are 6-9 in last place in the NFC West. Fitting for the Lions to put the fork in San Fran. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS | |||||||
12-29-24 | Falcons v. Commanders -3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 287 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. We had the Giants vs Pennix and the Falcons, why wouldn't be on the Commies today? Not a chance I am taking a rookie QB making his 2nd pro start, on the road, a dome team, outside, in December. 3.5 can be 8.5 - Not gonna happen. Washington off a miracle come from behind win. ( I had Philly - also had Washington the week before when they choked themselves) Normally I would be worried off a big division game like that. But I got a defensive HC in Quinn, who, once led this Atlanta team. I am sure he can work in some kinks to upset the rookie here. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS | |||||||
12-29-24 | Packers v. Vikings -1 | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 283 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA. Have to grab the home team here. Line has been bouncing around. Minny faved, Packers favorite. Then Pk. Vikings beat GB in GB. I know you think, well, good teams split against each other, especially division rivals. I just think that Minnesota is the right here. 8 straight wins for the Vikings. GB has won 5 of 6 and 8 of 10 themselves. Their losses over that time, to the Lions twice. We getting mad at losing to Detroit? Of course not. A little extra day of rest for Minnesota. Packers off MNF, but really a practice game shutting out the Saints. And that 34-0 probably makes this game a PK instead of Minnesota being a small favorite. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS | |||||||
12-29-24 | Dolphins v. Browns +6 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Not a lover of Miami when they hit the road. Especially when the weather is not ideal. This is Cleveland in December. Browns have knocked off Baltimore and the Steelers here at home. Battled KC + Cincy to 21-7 losses. You have that much faith in Tua coming up here and covering a TD? I don't. Miami has a 2% shot at the playoffs with a win today. 4% if they win next week at the Jets. Come on. DTR is not a great QB. But as I mentioned above, Cleveland shows some heart at home. I will also be on the Under in this one. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS | |||||||
12-29-24 | Dolphins v. Browns UNDER 38.5 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 49 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Miami/ Browns | |||||||
12-29-24 | Cowboys +9.5 v. Eagles | 7-41 | Loss | -108 | 120 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. With Hurts head hurting, we had to take the points. I was really hoping to take Philly laying 10+ here. Eagles off that horrible game, blowing it with 22 points allowed in the 4th. Last second miracle by rookie QB Daniels - this had 40-13 written all over. And as a Cowboys fan, maybe getting McCarthy canned. But nope. Philly chokes and I am forced to dog it up here. No Cee Dee Lamb for Dallas. But it wont' matter. This will be a slop fest of Barkley and Dowdle running the ball. Cowboys have been competitive since being eliminated from the playoffs. I think they keep it close here also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS | |||||||
12-29-24 | Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 38 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Jaguars | |||||||
12-28-24 | Cardinals v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. This line has shot up because Arizona is out of the playoffs and with their win in NY (we had the Jets), the Rams are looking to lock up the West with todays game, and win next week right here vs Seattle. We locked this game early thinking we would be getting LA off a loss. But they pull it out and Arizona continues to be Arizona. Rams with 4 straight win, 5 of 6, 8 of 10 and are peeking at a good time. The defense has turned it around. 9-6-14 in 3 of last 4 - the 4th, that wild 44-42 game vs Buffalo. Arizona is NOT Buffalo. A 15-3 December SU run for LA has me thinking this is a 14+ point win. Rams will remember that 41-10 beat down they took in September when they were banged up. Marvin Harrison 130 yards 2 TDs. Hasn't sniffed anything close to that since. PAYBACK 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS | |||||||
12-28-24 | Broncos v. Bengals -3 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Denver can clinch a playoff spot with a win here, or next week at home vs KC. Chiefs are locked into that 1 seed. They will be resting guys. The urgency lies with Cincy who have a sliver or playoff life. A loss knocks them out - it is that simple. Not betting against Joe Burrow today. Guy has been great all year. If they won a few more games, probably in MVP talk with to date, a career high 39 TDs and just 8 INTs. He has throw at least 3 TDs in 7 straight games. Denver with the easy path next week at home. Cincy keeps their slip playoff hopes alive. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS | |||||||
12-28-24 | Chargers v. Patriots +6 | 40-7 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 56 m | Show | |
Gonna grab the PATRIOTS at this price. I really think this a FG type game. Not a lover of the Chargers at all. New England a defense first club. We know LAC likes to run + play defense. I was thinking of taking this at 4.5, will grab the 6. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | |||||||
12-25-24 | Ravens -3 v. Texans | 31-2 | Win | 100 | 76 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. This line has moved up as the injuries continue to mount for the Texans. Ravens somehow have lost 5 times this year. I think this is a team really peaking right now. 69 points their last 2 games. Lost to an Eagles team in the middle of a long win streak. Lost to the Steelers 18-16 when they missed to FGs and a 2pt conversion they wouldn't have needed if they hit their FGs! Texans beat the Bills 23-20 here on a last second FG with Buffalo playing a B2B off the Ravens. Now both teams off a Saturday game. Tank Dell now out. OL and DL question marks. Ravens by 10. Monday. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS | |||||||
12-25-24 | Ravens v. Texans UNDER 47 | 31-2 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Ravens/ Texans | |||||||
12-25-24 | Chiefs v. Steelers UNDER 43 | 29-10 | Win | 100 | 184 h 51 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total today. Third game in 10 days for KC. These guys still are looking for their first 30 point game of the season. Think about that. 14-1 and have yet to score 30 points. Needed OT to get to 30 vs Tampa. Now they are on the road vs the Steelers who allow 18 points a game. This game just screams 19-16 to me. With no Pickens we have seen Pittsburgh score 17 and 13 points their last 2 games. When you come home on Christmas after 2 straight losses, you focus no one thing. The defense. As my buddy Scoop used to say. You can't win if you can't score. The offense has struggled, time for the defense to regroup and hold KC down. Chiefs still have not locked down the 1 seed. We have seen their defense allow 19-7-17-17 their last 4 games. Give me the under 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Steelers | |||||||
12-22-24 | Bucs -3.5 v. Cowboys | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 168 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA. Uh. Not a lover of taking teams in the back of a road trip. Especially one off a 40+ point outburst. But I do not like the Cowboys. Will be on Bucs TT Over 25.5 for sure. I think this one plays out like the Cincy game when we had the Under. Expect I think Dallas doesn't get 20 in this one. Tampa 5-2 on the road, Dallas 1-6 at home (16-0 the las 2 regular season games!) Tampa #3 in Total Offense. 150 yards rushing their last 4 games. With Atlanta playing early, (they beat TB twice already) a loss may have Tampa out of 1st if they lay an egg here. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS | |||||||
12-22-24 | 49ers v. Dolphins -1.5 | 17-29 | Win | 100 | 258 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Is Tua out here? The line has flipped to San Fran favorite. We have seen this before. San Fran is 5-6. They have dropped 4 of 5 with the win being over the Bears. 12 times in 14 games they have been favored. NFL did the Niners a favor by giving them the 4pm window. I know a group that has moved on SF so maybe that is why we are seeing movement here. A bad Tua pick cost the Dolphins a possible win. If SF would have beat the Rams last week, Ok, I can see the play here. They lost. They are 11th in a 7 team Playoff Race. Are they sweeping the last 3 games? Rams in first by 2 games. Seattle ahead of them by 2 games. They can't beat either in a h2h tie breaker. We have to think they are motivated here? They are done. Miami HC might be coaching for his job - he needs the win. Motivation edge Miami. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS | |||||||
12-22-24 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 46.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Bills | |||||||
12-22-24 | Vikings v. Seahawks +2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | |||||||
12-22-24 | Cardinals v. Panthers +3.5 | 30-36 | Win | 100 | 254 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Panthers back in the dog role after a rare trip into the land of the favorites last week. I am not one to trust Arizona as a road favorite. Panthers not a good football team. 11 or more losses for the 5th time in last 6 years. Arizona on the outside of the playoff window so the pressure is on - explains to me the line growing. But just because a team has to win, doesn't mean it does it. And if it wins, does it cover? They were, an albeit 1 pt road fave at Seattle this year. Lost outright. Last year, a 2pt fave at Seattle. Again, Outright loser. Never a road fave in 2022. In 2021 a 13pt road fave at Detroit, lost Outright. That 2021 was 10-2 before 3 straight and 4 losses in their last 5. But this is 2024. The beat a bad NE club at home. I am not running to back Murry as a road favorite vs any NFL team. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS | |||||||
12-22-24 | Rams v. Jets +3 | 19-9 | Loss | -105 | 162 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Rams the better team? Sure. Better coached? Absolutely. Sitting in first place in their division with their future in their own hands. Yeppers. But give me the home dog today. Just a bad spot for LA. One. December in New Jersey. Like that is a fun trip 3 days before Christmas. You have reeled off 3 straight win, you want to lock up the NFC West. But you get the Jets today, and then Arizona and Seattle both in LA to end your season. This is the proverbial 'trip up' spot. Jets as bad as they have been, they have been fighting. Pulled a wild win off down in Jacksonville. Nearly did the same in Miami only to lose in OT. Probably should have won that one. The Seattle and Colts games. Another pair of tough losses. But they continue to be in these games. Now. At home, you put up a clunker? I don't see it happening. 4* Money Maker NY JETS | |||||||
12-22-24 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 49.5 | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 144 h 39 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Cleveland changing QBs again. This team is just a disaster. Cincy can score. Do they score 40 this afternoon? Because they will have to do all the heavy lifting to get this to 50. Might do a little Bengal Team Total Over just in case they really poor it on. We saw 21-14 in October. I think the Browns top out at 10. 4* Total Money UNDER Browns/ Bengals | |||||||
12-22-24 | Giants +9.5 v. Falcons | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. I was thinking about the G-Men even before the benching of Cousins. Now you want me to think that a rookie QB, with 5 passing attempts, is coming in to win by double digits. I know New York is a hot mess. 9 straight losses. A totally lost team right now. But even in the playoff hunt, are the Falcons some model of consistency you want to lay a big number with? On the road this season, NY lost by 3 at Washington - beat Cleveland 21-16 - beat Seattle by 9 - lost to the Steelers 26-18 - lost to Carolina 20-17 in OT - lost to Dallas by 7. Now though vs, an underachieving Falcons team, they will get blasted by a kid making his first career start. Nah. Not buying it. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS | |||||||
12-22-24 | Eagles -3.5 v. Commanders | 33-36 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Philly took care of Pitt with ease last week. Washington on the other hand, well another story. We had them and thought we were looking good. Come out of your bye week up 17-0 vs team going nowhere with a backup QB. And nearly pulled out a loss! What the heck! Eagles took care of Daniels in the 2nd half of their first meeting this season. Philly seems to be jelling at the right time. The new OC/DCs have the players reeling humming right now. With the Lions banged up, maybe Philly sneaks in for the Top Seed overall. Tough to get in front of a team that has won 10 in a row. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES | |||||||
12-22-24 | Lions v. Bears +7 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS | |||||||
12-16-24 | Falcons v. Raiders +3 | 15-9 | Loss | -110 | 215 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Not the best line, but sometimes we get a good one, the Browns +6 yesterday, today not so much. But the best doesn't mean a winner. As I said on Look Ahead Lines last night for the Opening Lines Report for Week 16.. Panthers +6.5 a loser for me. We will see if the Texans +3.5 pays off this week as they are now 2.5 faves. Back to Monday Night.. 3-4-5-6 I don't care what the number is. How do you take the Falcons as a favorite. Cousins has not thrown a TD Pass since November 3rd against Dallas. 8 INTs since then though. Maybe Ridder pulls a rabbit out of his hat vs his old team. Ridder should just look for Brock Bowers and if he isn't open, just run! Falcons vs 4 straight losses, 9 straight for Vegas. Something has to give right? A tie maybe! - Again. Cousins with no TDs in a month. 8 INTs. Falcons with just 1 takeaway in their last 5 games. Why are they favored again? Give me the home dogs. 4* Money Maker VEGAS RAIDERS | |||||||
12-16-24 | Bears v. Vikings -7 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Had the Bears last week thinking they would pull one out. But man, a bad team is a bad team no matter who is on the sidelines. Minnesota playing as well as anyone, 11-2 on the year. With the Lions loss, Detroit at 12-2 now in striking distance. Every game matters. GB + Detroit still on the schedule for the Vikings. Can they win the North? It start with getting past the Bears who they edged 30-27 in OT in Chicago a couple weeks ago. Now they get the Bears in their 3rd straight road game. That is rough for a good team. Absolutely brutal when you are a bad team. 3-20 SU as a road dog since 2022 are the Bears. Minny by 2 TDs tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS | |||||||
12-15-24 | Packers v. Seahawks +3 | 30-13 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Four week ago these guys were in last place. A last second win over SF. Rock fight win vs Arizona. Hit the road for a back and forth win in New York. Then head to Arizona to knock off the Cards again, and, just like that,4 straight wins and they are home dogs? Packers with the extra Thanksgiving rest, and in need of a win off that loss (34-31) in Detroit. So I worry about a slow start for Seattle here. I like GB for the First Quarter minus a half at +114. I just can't go against a home dog on a 4 game win streak. Might be a square play, but count me in. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | |||||||
12-15-24 | Jets v. Jaguars +3 | 32-25 | Loss | -110 | 278 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Had these guys last week, and will do it again. How the heck are the Jets still getting all this love by line makers putting them out as favorites? 2 ATS covers their last 10 games. Basically favored in 9 of them with dog spots of 1 and 2. NYJ 1-6 SU/ATS last 7 as favorites and as I said, 1-9 SU 2-8 ATS last 10. I get that Jacksonville is going nowhere fast. But, Jags 5-1-1 ATS their last 7. We have a pair of 3-10 teams and the road team gets the nod because of their HOF QB? 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | |||||||
12-15-24 | Chiefs v. Browns +6 | 21-7 | Loss | -110 | 278 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. So had both of these guys last week. Both failed to get us to the window. KC with a 'doink' to win their 9th straight AFC West. And how about 15 straight 1 possession wins. I've said about these guys all year on Mid Day Money about playing with fire. Browns are not a good team, but they have a gun slinger and a coach who they don't quit on. KC 0-7 ATS last 7. Cleveland themselves not an ATS power-house either. But give me the home dogs vs a team that just seems to get past everyone without covering. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS | |||||||
12-12-24 | Rams +3 v. 49ers | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 119 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Had LA over the Bills, had the Bears over the Niners. A split, it happens. Was locked into this one though before those outcomes. Niners just have not been themselves the entire season. San Fran with revenge as the Rams trailed 14-0, 21-7 and 24-14 and still won 27-24 way back in September. Not sure the Niners, who are now down to what, their 4th or 5th string RB can pull this one out. The Line Makers still think San Fran is their same old self. Puca and Kupp are too much to handle, for, at least what I think, is not a good defense. I don't think the points even matter here. I know we are off a big win over the Bills. But - if the Ram don't win this outright, then San Fran wins by 10+ and it's good night Irene. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 | 17-19 | Loss | -105 | 167 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Are these guys easily the most over rated 11-1 team ever? Last week, they get the gift fumble and 3 missed FG from the Raiders. Will they ever play a good game? Look - I am the first to say these guys play down to teams. They don't care about covers or scores. They just want to win, get to the playoffs, and say, Super Bowl or bust. I took it on the chin last week as the Chargers beat my Falcons. Thought that was a great spot with LAC off 2 prime games, wins, short week, KC on deck - and I have a QB toss 4 INTs including a Pick 6. LAC apparently had 1 player on offense in McConkey. 50 yards rushing as a team. KC does play defense. This is another b2b road game for LAC who have lost in this spot at Pitt 20-10 and at Arizona 17-15. Pacheco, Hunt, Hopkins, Worthy, Gray, Kelce. The offense has guys back. I think this one goes 26-20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Bills v. Rams +4 | 42-44 | Win | 100 | 197 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS here. This is a simple fade the Bills spot for me. Bills win. Maybe. But a FG gets us a cover. That is what I am looking for. Buffalo off their snow globe game and destruction of San Fran. That team is a mess. Rams will be ready to go here. Not like they have wiggle room to lose games. This NFC West is wide open. Unlike the AFC East when the Bills have wrapped that puppy up like an early Christmas gift. But we have the Detroit Lions on deck for Buffalo. Rams can put up points with their WRs and QB. McVay will have these guys ready for the best the AFC has to offer. I think this game plays to the 50s and that gives us a punchers chance not only for the cover, but maybe an outright win. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Bears +6 v. 49ers | 13-38 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. If you saw you me on Sports Grid back in August I said Bears win 5 games. I said OK Gabe, 7, maybe, tops. Look at the schedule - rookie QB - new OC - new schemes - and the worse HC in the NFL. Well. We got a new OC then they realized it was the HC and let him go after another brutal loss for Chicago on Thanksgiving. I talked about this game on my Look Ahead Lines Show even before Thanksgiving. The Niners. These guys, as I have said since Week 1 when I lost taking the Jets, will not be a 10 win team this year. For whatever reason, they are not a good team. A good team would beat KC to avenge their Super Bowl loss. They would not lose to Arizona or Seattle on their home field. We had both the Packers and Bills the last 2 weeks. Now we take the Bears. Purdy is a good QB when he is managing the game with players around him - they are dropping like flies. Bears easily could have quit multiple times this season. Some of these losses, good grief! 6 straight losses. The Washington Hail Mary. Arizona trucked them. Then to lose at home to New England. Ouch. This is a their get right spot believe it or not. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Falcons +5 v. Vikings | 21-42 | Loss | -115 | 193 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Are you kidding me Cousins? 4 INTs. What a spot last week. Home Dog. You got trucked in Denver. Chargers off b2b prime time games, short week and KC on deck. And you do that? Talk about giving the game away. Now the Cousins return to Minny is in jeopardy. Will there be a Pennix sighting at some point? I still like the points here and lean under if you are looking at a total. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 40.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 193 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Total Money OVER Browns/ Steelers | |||||||
12-08-24 | Jets v. Dolphins -6.5 | 26-32 | Loss | -105 | 160 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Dolphins with 3 straight series wins over the Jets. You can say, oh, they have Rodgers now, a real QB. Really. They are 3-9. Stop it. Get some help. Tua put up some numbers but no win or cover in site last week in Green Bay. Before that though. 34-34-23-27-27. The offense had been humming. 13 TDs 1 INT for Tua since his return. Defense pretty good also allowing 15-19-15 in their previous 3 games. Jets iwth not 1, but now 2 straight close, tough losses. As I said 3-9! 1-8 ATS run and people still run to bet them as they have been favored in 9 of their 12 games! Dolphins by 10+ and I like the Over also. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Panthers +13 v. Eagles | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 160 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS, (for the 3rd straight week). These guys have shown fight since coming out of their bye week. The schedule helps. Big dogs vs KC off a game in Buffalo. Tampa off their big win on the road in the Meadowlands. Now they get the big points as the Eagles have won 8 in a row (6-2 ATS) and just knocked off Lamar and the Ravens. And - Steelers on deck for Philly in a battle of Pennsylvania. If you want to look at the Over here as well, I would lean that way too. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Jaguars +5 v. Titans | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 160 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Titans with 9 wins last 10 at home vs Jax. No Trevor and his 2-15 record or whatever run he was on. Mac Jones looking to salvage his career on a 2-10 Jaguars team. But the 3-9 Titans are no world beaters. Is it really a down grade from Trevor to Mac at the QB spot? I don't think it justifies this kind of point spread. Jags 6-5-1 ATS Titans a league worse 2-10 ATS. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Saints v. Giants +5.5 | 14-11 | Win | 100 | 47 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Saints are 4-8 and laying points on the road. Dome team, outside, December. I don't care how bad the Meadowlands Giants are, I will gladly scoop up any points you want to give me. I think this is the Drew Lock show as he is looking to cash in this offseason. Giants outright perhaps? 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS | |||||||
12-08-24 | Browns +7 v. Steelers | 14-27 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. What a crazy Monday nighter in Denver for Cleveland. A couple more INTs and Pick 6s for Winston. But that doesn't matter to me. Pitt as a big favorite. That matters. Cleveland loves their coach. This is their Super Bowl. Sweep the season series. Win in Pitt during the regular season (think an 0-20 run! Baker won a playoff game here). Too many points to resist. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS | |||||||
12-05-24 | Packers +3.5 v. Lions | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Will grab the 3.5 here. Normally that isn't a big deal for me. I would probably be on the favorite in this spot. 3, sure Lion me up. But this line in GB a couple weeks was 3. You would think this would be 4 or more at here at home. 9-3 ATS. 11-1 overall. I'm guessing it is because of Detroit's banged up defense. Both teams with the Thanksgiving rest to help them out. Do lean over but haven't pulled the trigger on it. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS | |||||||
12-01-24 | 49ers v. Bills -3.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 285 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. What is there to say. A little line move here. I do the Look Ahead Lines Show (YouTube IheartRadio). I said this was going to move after their Green Bay game. Not because I though of QB problems, but because we had GB and after a loss, the line will move. Especially a team coming off their bye week. And a 1st place, Super Bowl type team to boot. This game isn't a solo package so only monthly members probably have it at this price. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS | |||||||
12-01-24 | Bucs v. Panthers +6 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS | |||||||
12-01-24 | Chargers v. Falcons | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 278 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Another bye week home dog spot. Chargers off back to back prime timers. Have rival Chiefs on deck. Have to face the Falcons off their bye week and a road beat down, 38-6 at Denver. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS | |||||||
12-01-24 | Seahawks v. Jets | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 160 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Put a fork in the Jets. We have two teams going in opposite directions. Jets talking of benching/ IRing their QB. 1-7 SU/ ATS last 8. That firing of the coach had the desired result! This is spot off a bye week I will be running to the other team to bet on. Seattle off 2 big wins over San Fran and Arizona. So 2 big division wins and now a slight road fave. Not exactly a great spot. But - Geno vs an old team. Maybe a little added bump vs an otherwise overlooked opponent. The fact the Jets were favored to even begin with is nutty. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | |||||||
12-01-24 | Texans v. Jaguars +176 | 23-20 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Love this spot. Trevor's 2-12 run as a starter. Texans 17-4 last 21 SU vs Jacksonville. What is there not to like? We are off a bye week. Texans have not looked good at all this season. Home dog with revenge from a few weeks ago. Add in last time we saw them they were hammered 52-6! Love it - OUTRIGHT! 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | |||||||
12-01-24 | Steelers v. Bengals -3 | 44-38 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS today. So 4-7 favored by a FG over 8-3. Love it. We are off a bye week. We need it. The Cincy defense has been, in the words of Charles Barkley - turrrabull. And the Steelers. Man everyone loves them lately. But - the 2nd half schedule. Started last week with a loss at Cleveland. Now at a desperate Cincy team. Home vs the Browns. At Philly and Baltimore. KC at home on Christmas, home Cincy to close out the season. Did they look good in that loss last Thursday? How about the 18-16 win over the Ravens that Baltimore missed to FGs and a 2pt conversion. Should have been a Ravens cover! A TD with 2 minutes and change left to get a win at Washington. Don't be fooled by the FG and, oh, Tomlin as a dog. He is a dog here for a reason. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS | |||||||
11-28-24 | Bears v. Lions -10.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -100 | 206 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. If you watch my Mid Day Money Show, or have seen me on Sports Grid, you know my feelings on the Bears. 5 win team. 7 tops. Another late, tough, heart breaking - what other words do we put into play here. Hail Mary at Washington. Trucked in Arizona. Lose to Patriots. Blocked FG Green Bay. Rally in the 4th to lose in OT. Short week vs the best team in the NFC. A team that lost last Thanksgiving. A team off a ho-hum sleep walk road win. That was where Detroit was ripe for the picking. Not at home vs a division rival. I thought the Lions would take that step forward this year. Well. 0-3 SU on Turkey Day under HC Dan Campbell. Time to get that first W. Lions last games at home 52-52-42 points. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS How about Lions Team Total OVER 31.5 +130 - 32.5 +130 - 33.5 +154 - 34.5 +195 - 35.5 +225 - 36.5 +240 - 37.5 +295 -38.5 +370 - 39.5 +400 - 40.5 +450 | |||||||
11-25-24 | Ravens v. Chargers +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 179 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Ok. Chargers finally gave up more that 20 points in that wild game vs Cincy. Ravens defense barely a shell of what they were. But - we have some coaches that know each other. They are familiar with the offense and defense of each other. Chargers will want to run, keep Lamar off the field. Had Baltimore last week in a dogfight that should have been a win. 2 Missed FGs? come on. This game screams to me a close, FG type game. I'll take any points. I can see this one being 24-23, 22-20 type of battle. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS | |||||||
11-24-24 | Eagles v. Rams UNDER 48 | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Eagles/ Rams | |||||||
11-24-24 | 49ers v. Packers -122 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 163 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Well. Another good number for us. These have had believe it or not, not the best results on the year. We had the Colts, in this building as 4.5 dogs, they went off the favorite, and lost outright. I still recommend you coming to the Look Ahead Lines Show for early looks on NFL though! - I like GB. We had GB wins over last year. We believed in Love. I like them this year even though they were that trendy team to like. Niners are not the previous versions. 5-5 SU - favored in all 10 games. The perception is they are good. They are not. We also have GB in payback mode from a playoff loss. It isn't the playoffs, but you want to beat a team that knocks you out of a Playoff Run. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY | |||||||
11-24-24 | 49ers v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 33 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. I was on this before the Purdy news. SF is not that same team. Defense is ok. Should be able to keep Love in check. I had this game playing out 26-20 anyway. Not much to change my mind now. 4* Total Money UNDER Niners/ Packers | |||||||
11-24-24 | Cardinals v. Seahawks | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 77 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I get it. Tough spot off that last second Niners win. Arizona has the bye week. A wide open NFC West. Should be a good one and that is why we are looking at a line like this As good as Arizona does look, sitting in 1st place, this is still asking them to go on the road, vs a team that has beaten them 5 straight times, and win. Give me the veteran Geno Smith to pull the rabbit out of the hat here at home. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | |||||||
11-24-24 | Broncos -4.5 v. Raiders | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 162 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. I am a believer in the Broncos defense. Raiders have trailed by 10 in every game this season. Brock Bowers is the main focal point of the Vegas offense. Bo Nix is getting better each week. I don't like the line jumping, but, expected. You blowout a team at home and the other team again gives up late points to lose, the line is going to move. Better HC, QB and defense for the visitors. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS | |||||||
11-24-24 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 41 | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 89 h 55 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. After a slow start the Broncos offense is coming together. The Raiders are bad. I like Denver today. So I see them in a 33-20 type of game today. Vegas, as bad as the 2-8 looks, is 7-3 to the Over. The defense doesn't do their job. The offense does just enough to annoy you if you are an under back. 4* Total Money OVER Broncos/ Raiders | |||||||
11-24-24 | Cowboys v. Commanders -10 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. Dallas is absolutely done. I said way back in August that these guys would not get close to their win total. A rebuilt OL - no running game - 1 WR - a new DC bring a new scheme to town. All of that and now Dak out. 3-7 on their way to a Top 7 pick in the draft. Cooper Rush won some games filling in a few years ago with a team that was light years better than this bunch. Washington HC Quinn is licking his chops to beat Dallas after turning around their defense. As if he doesn't know how to scheme for Lamb or a geriatric Elliot or Rico Dowdle. I am looking to alt line Washington to 19.5. Big D. D as is Drubbing, because that is what we have seen from Dallas. Do not expect them to 'flip a switch' at the end of November and start winning. Monday night loss - short week on the road - home Thanksgiving vs NYG. I don't even if Cowboys fans will want to eat on Thursday after Monday and now Sunday's beat downs. Washington by 20+ 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON | |||||||
11-24-24 | Chiefs v. Panthers +11 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 159 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Off a bye week, KC off big Bills game. Raiders on deck. Too many points even for a terrible Panthers team. Eyeing the over here also. (41.5 Sunday evening). 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS | |||||||
11-24-24 | Bucs v. Giants UNDER 41.5 | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 86 h 50 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Giants with a huge move releasing Daniel Jones. Then going not to their #2 or #3 QBs - but ole Tommy Cutlets. The guy won a few games. 6 TOs in 1 and 3 TOs in 2 others. You tell me today that TB turns it over 4 times, I see why NY wins. Tampa defense will allow nothing to this guy. 23-6. 4* Total Money UNDER Bucs/ Giants | |||||||
11-24-24 | Patriots v. Dolphins -6.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Dolphins offense has been turning things up since Tua has returned. 34-23-27-27. For me, time to buy a ticket on the Miami ride for some ATS covers. Patriots are not good. A couple tough wins sure. But Drake Maye is still a rookie. 4 INTs the last 3 games. Miami 9-1 ATS 8-2 SU last 10 in the series. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS | |||||||
11-21-24 | Steelers -3.5 v. Browns | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Uh. Short week, going with a road favorite vs a division rival. Look. You know I do my Look Ahead Lines Shows. This was a game I was taking before the Ravens game even ended. I had Baltimore - thought that would be a Baltimore win and Steelers get right beating a Browns team still looking like a ship without a rudder. Well. If BLT hit their FGs this is a different story. Same story out of Cleveland. What a disaster. That is 2 weeks in a row the Saints get teams that can't hit FGs and in the Browns case, look entirely lost. Home dog or not. And I love the coach, zero shot I grab Cleveland here even with the hook. I see that and this game to me is Steelers by 13. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS | |||||||
11-17-24 | Bengals v. Chargers UNDER 45 | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 168 h 4 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. I know the Bengals defense is bad. But the Chargers offense is a plodding mess. They will run like it is 1986. And even though the defense has looked good, nobody has scored 20, that has been vs some teams that don't have a QB like Burrow. Joe Cool with 24 TDs 4 INTs looks pretty good. That being said, Chargers will bring this game to down to the mud. 4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Chargers | |||||||
11-17-24 | Seahawks v. 49ers UNDER 49 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 163 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Total Money UNDER Seattle/ San Fran | |||||||
11-17-24 | Colts v. Jets UNDER 44 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 264 h 56 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. I'll say it. Two bad QBs. I also like the Colts here because I think the Jets defense is not all that great. 4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Jets | |||||||
11-17-24 | Ravens -3 v. Steelers | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. All these games have been close ones. And the Steelers 7-1 SU in the last 8. I am a Lamar believer. Yes it is tough fading the Steelers the way they have been playing lately. I am shocked this hasn't come down with the Steelers dog numbers. 8-3-1 ATS as home dogs since 2021 with 8 outright wins. As much as I love my dog spots, this one screams to me to go opposite. * Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS | |||||||
11-17-24 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 42 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 159 h 20 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. The Bears. I took a lot of heat on The X when I went on Sports Grid and said Chicago would 5, games, 7 tops. Fire the OC. The HC has been the problem! Packers defense will hold the Bears down. Bears OL a mess. Williams sacked 38 times. Green Bay off the bye week and a loss to Detroit before that. Worse case the Packers score 40 themselves. And we can still win 40-0! 4* Total Money UNDER Packers/ Bears | |||||||
11-17-24 | Browns +2 v. Saints | 14-35 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Uh. These guys. Time for them to get back to business. Off their bye week - OL getting healthy - Chubb getting back in to form. The teams loves the HC. They won't quit on him and are happy with the new QB. Saints get the fire the HC win, but barely since the Falcons missed FGs. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS | |||||||
11-17-24 | Raiders v. Dolphins UNDER 44 | 19-34 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Raiders are looking for a QB in the draft. Hello Sanders. Maybe a Sanders HC too. I can't see Vegas scoring more than 13 here. And as long as Tua plays like he has the last 3 weeks, that is 27 points for Miami, we are good with the under. Add in the short week and that might help slow things up a bit with a lack luster 1st half. 4* Money UNDER Raiders/ Miami | |||||||
11-17-24 | Rams -4.5 v. Patriots | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Patriots off a nice road upset win. Rams off a bad home Monday Night loss. New England a miserable 2-12-1 ATS and 3-13 SU their last 16 home games. NE had the win in Chicago, a tough OT loss at Tennessee, and knocked off the lowly Jets in their last 3 games. None of those teams have a QB as good as the Rams (Sorry Rodgers, not counting the glory days) nor a HC. Bears look like they quit. Back to normal here. Rams with a 10 point win, Patriots with a loss. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
11-17-24 | Colts +4 v. Jets | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Why the heck are the Jets favored? These guys are 1-3 SU/ATS last 4, 3-7 ATS on the year. Got blitzed in Arizona where they had extra time to prep and rest and maybe, salvage the season with winnable games ahead. Nope. Indy 7-3 ATS on the year. They don't quit. Change the QB. Sit the QB. We come to play, and we cover. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS | |||||||
11-11-24 | Dolphins v. Rams -2.5 | 23-15 | Loss | -109 | 297 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Miami has looked good in Tua's return. 27 points on the board in both games. But, still 3 straight losses. 6 losses in 7 games. Rams come in off OT win over Seattle. That is 3 straight in the win column for the home team. I will lean on Stafford and his banged up WRs before Tua and a banged up Hill. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Lions -2.5 v. Texans | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 273 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. I know the Texans have extra prep off their Thursday night loss. Nico Collins should play. I don't think it matters even with Detroit off a big rivalry win at Green Bay. Lions are 7-1 ATS on the year, something like 44-18 ATS under Dan Campbell. The team has 28 TDs and 24 incompletions their last 6 games. I'm won't get in front of that train. If Houston wins, great. I won't be backing them here though. Jets sacked Stroud 8 times on Halloween. If the line plays like that again, this game is going to get out hand fast tonight. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Titans v. Chargers -7 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 164 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Big number for a team that plays a boring running offense. LA does beat up on lesser teams. And the Titans fit that bill posting a 1-7 ATS mark. They won last week, in OT, beating a possibly worse team in the Patriots. No clue if Levis or Rudolph is behind center. Doesn't matter to me. (Will be on the Under also). I don't think the Titans score 13 points today. 14 at Detroit. 10 at Buffalo. 17 at Chicago. Somehow scored 31 at Miami. As I said - Chargers beat the bad teams. 26-8 over the Saints. 27-10 Cleveland. 26-3 Carolina. 22-10 Vegas. Heck 17-10 loss to KC and 20-10 loss to Pitt. The defense is there. This game screams 23-13. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 39 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 21 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Titans are bad, but, they play defense. The Chargers also struggle a bit on offense vs a better defense. Where does the Tennessee offense come from? 14 at Detroit. 10 at Buffalo. 17 at Chicago. Somehow scored 31 at Miami. Charges offense - 26-8 over the Saints. 27-10 Cleveland. 26-3 Carolina. 22-10 Vegas. Heck 17-10 loss to KC and 20-10 loss to Pitt. The defense is there. This game screams 23-13. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Chargers | |||||||
11-10-24 | Falcons -1 v. Saints | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Not excited about the Saints coaching change. I know this line has moved a bit now at 3.5. Is this line moved based on the loss to Carolina. The coach being canned. Or maybe, the Falcons offense will put up some points here and win this one by 10. Saints have dropped 7 in a row, 5 straight ATS losers to boot. Do we remember them dropping 47 on Carolina and 44 on Dallas? New Orleans is getting healthier sure. Does it matter? Cousins is getting healthier as the season progresses. He is getting in better sync with his weapons. They opened up with a 18-10 loss to the Steelers. No shame their. 1st game for their new QB freshly back from injury. They lost to KC in game where their WR was tackled before the ball hit him in the endzone for what should have been a game winning TD. And they lost to Seattle in a bad sandwich spot at home between a road win at Carolina and a road win at Tampa. Falcons 3-0 on the road - Cousins 7 TDs the last 3 weeks. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Patriots v. Bears UNDER 39 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 161 h 15 m | Show | |
Going UNDER. A pair of solid defense and questionable offenses. A pair of rookie QBs. Both teams near the bottom of Red Zone scoring attempts. Did I mention rookie QBs - oh. Bears 29th in passing, Patriots 32. I will be shocked if either team touches 20. 4* Total Money UNDER Patriots/ Bears | |||||||
11-10-24 | Patriots +7 v. Bears | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 146 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Do we even need a reason to fade the Bears? I have been fading these guys since Week 1. Look can the Bears cover this one? Sure. They have the better QB. But they have a trash HC. The defense is good. That being said, for them to allow Arizona, with 20 seconds on the clock, to run for a 53 yard TD? Then nothing, not a peep in the 2nd half. At least New England will show some heart. They won at Cincy 16-10. Lost to Seattle 23-20 OT. Lost to Miami 15-10. Beat the Jets. Lost at Tennessee in OT. Houston trucked them and SF and Jets got them. I don't think the Bears drop 40 here (Will also be on the Under today). 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Steelers v. Commanders -2.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. Steelers off their bye week and the better defense. But let's not discount the Washington defense. Take out the 30-23 loss to Baltimore. 22-15-7-13-14 in those 5 games. That is a little more than 14ppg. I know they have a short week with the Eagles on Thursday night. But at 7-2, Washington has not been taking anything for granted. Will also be on the Under in this one. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMANDERS | |||||||
11-10-24 | Steelers v. Commanders UNDER 45.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 59 m | Show | |
Will be going UNDER the total here. Also like Washington to win this thing. But to the UNDER. If we remove the Ravens game, and look at those other 5 games, Commies giving up just 14.2ppg. Steelers off their bye week, for me at least, not a real big offensive team. They are defense first. We know Tomlin has a solid record vs rookie QBs. But rookie QBs have been covering machines this year. Again. 14ppg allowed. We have seen Washington struggle a bit vs the better defenses they have faced. 4* Total Money UNDER Pitt/ Washington | |||||||
11-07-24 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 48.5 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 97 h 55 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. Line has moved a few points as I see 52.5 and even 53.5 out there. If you aren't comfortable with the big move, I would say Ravens Team Total Over. Now. If you watch or listen to Look Ahead Lines you would have been down on this one at the early number. Even said it on Mid Day Money. We saw a wild 41-38 game a couple weeks ago. Cincy defense is still not a solid unit. Ravens will put up 30+ here at home. Baltimore 8-1 to the over this season, Cincy 6-3. Lamar is possibly on his way to another MVP. Henry hasn't lost a step. They should have at least 5 TDs between them with their feet and Lamar's arm. Again. This is now around 53 - I have this game at 34/37 points for Baltimore - 20/23 points for the Bengals. 4* Total Money OVER Bengals/ Ravens | |||||||
11-04-24 | Bucs +9 v. Chiefs | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 192 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. KC clearly better even with Mahomes having more INTs (9) than TDs (8). Better QB + HC for sure. But Tampa is a tough group. Look. KC off the Raiders and have Denver on deck. They do get a banged up TB team that is also in a tough spot. Just a tough early schedule set up and their own set of injuries. But at this price, the backdoor should be open. They do put points on the board and KC usually plays down and doesn't care about covering. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS | |||||||
11-03-24 | Rams -115 v. Seahawks | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Man. Who had Geno leading the league in passing yards. Are the Jets kicking themselves for getting rid of him and Sam Darnold! Oh the Jets.. Anyway. Give me the Rams here. Seattle has beaten Denver with Bo Nix making his first NFL. Then went to New England and barely escaped. They get Miami with a backup QB isn't a back up QB. And the Falcons who were in a division sandwich spot. Not impressed. Rams with extra rest following their Thursday win over the Vikings. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS | |||||||
11-03-24 | Bears v. Cardinals +1.5 | 9-29 | Win | 100 | 272 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. A never in doubt winner for us last week with Washington over the Bears. Chicago now 0-3 on the road. They face another QB who I think will give them a hard time. Arizona is a weird team. Beating San Fran. 20-13 loss to Detroit. Battle Bills on road. Lose to Washington badly. Crush the Rams. Who shows up? I think the good Cards show up. You know I have no love for Chicago and their HC and he hurts their rookie QB. Good defense at home is one thing. Pulling games out on the road as they found out last week, a different ball of wax. McBride and Harrison are a nice little combo for Murray and Arizona will get their 3rd straight win and 4th in 5 games. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
John Ryan | $1,518 |
Matt Fargo | $1,477 |
Steve Janus | $967 |
Dan Kaiser | $863 |
Mike Lundin | $770 |
Oliver Smith | $769 |
Bobby Wing | $742 |
Calvin King | $735 |
Timothy Black | $646 |
Cole Faxon | $639 |