Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-11-23 | Lafayette v. Navy -5.5 | Top | 59-50 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Navy minus the points over Lafayette. The Midshipmen were upset by Lehigh, 78-73, as a 9-point home favorite on Sunday. We'll take Navy to bounce back tonight, as it's 10-5 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Nevada v. San Diego State -9 | Top | 65-74 | Push | 0 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Nevada. The Wolf Pack blew out San Jose St, 67-40, on Saturday. But San Diego St is 90-53-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs a foe off a win by more than 8 points. Take the Aztecs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Suns v. Warriors -11.5 | Top | 125-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix. The Suns have won the last 3 meetings in this series, but will field a much different team tonight due to their injuries. And the Suns are struggling mightily without their best players, as they have lost six straight games. Golden State is also on a losing streak, but a much smaller one. The Orlando Magic upset Golden State, 115-101, on Saturday. And that was Golden State's 2nd straight upset defeat here, at home. We'll take the Warriors to bounce back, as they're 131-96 ATS off back to back losses, including 24-12 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points. Moreover, the Warriors are 25-14 ATS when playing with double revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Temple v. Tulsa +4.5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Temple. The Golden Hurricane have lost 4 straight games (both SU and ATS), but are undervalued tonight. Temple is 1-11 ATS on the road when playing an opponent off back to back losses (and on a 3-game ATS losing streak). Take Tulsa + the points. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame -5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech. The Irish have lost their last 3 games SU/ATS. But over the last 33 years, ACC teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 68% as single-digit favorites vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss. And the Irish are 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings vs. Ga Tech. Lay the points. | |||||||
01-10-23 | VCU v. Loyola-Chicago +3.5 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over VCU. The Ramblers have lost four straight games, and are a home dog tonight vs. the Rams, who won, 89-72, vs. Davidson, on Saturday. We'll fade the Rams, as they're a poor 15-29 ATS on the conference road off a SU/ATS win, if they're playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take Loyola-Chicago + the points. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams + the points over Dayton. The Rams are 12-1 at home, but have been installed as a big home dog vs. the Flyers, who are on a 6-game SU/ATS win streak. Unfortunately for Dayton, it's an awful 2-14 ATS on the road when it's been on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. Take Fordham. | |||||||
01-10-23 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys + the points over Kansas St. The Wildcats upset Baylor on the road, 97-95, in overtime on Saturday. But off that upset win, we'll fade the Wildcats at home tonight, as it falls into a negative 30-81 ATS system of mine. Additionally, the Wildcats are a wallet-burning 14-25 ATS off back to back wins, if it was off an upset win in its previous game. Grab the points with Oklahoma St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-09-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Los Angeles. The Lakers enter tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak. And Los Angeles was an underdog in each of those 5 games! Will it make it six-in-a-row tonight? I don't think so, as the Lakers are a poor 26-47-4 ATS in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if L.A. is off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Nuggets. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-09-23 | Oral Roberts v. New Mexico -5.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Oral Roberts. The Lobos come into this home game off back to back upset losses to Fresno and UNLV. We'll lay the points with New Mexico, as it's 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 (and 39-19-2 ATS its last 60) at home off back-to-back losses. Take the Lobos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite. But they've been an average team against the point spread this year. They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75. In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00. Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points. We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-09-23 | Bulls v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after 3 upset wins over the Nets, 76ers and Jazz. Tonight, they'll face a revenge-minded Celtics team which is looking to avenge a 14-point loss to Chicago earlier this season. We'll take Boston, as Chicago is a dismal 35-53 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins if they were matched up against a revenge-minded foe. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-08-23 | Jazz v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 118-123 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz. This is the 2nd game in two days for the Jazz, who lost in Chicago on Saturday, 126-118. And that was Utah's sixth loss in its last seven games (2-5 ATS). Utah is now 20-22, which is a far cry from its 10-3 SU/ATS start to the season. In that 10-3 start, the Jazz defeated Utah twice. But both of those games were in Salt Lake City. Today's game is in Memphis, where the Grizzlies are 34-15 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge. Utah's a poor 4-16 ATS on the road when its opponent has revenge from a loss earlier in the season. And it's 30-48-2 ATS when unrested and playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games (including 5-16-1 ATS when getting more than 6 points). Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | Top | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were blown out last week, and they’re now a road favorite against Nathan Peterman and the Bears. Unfortunately for Minnesota, it’s 0-12 ATS as a division road favorite of -3 (or more) points if Minnesota lost its previous game. And it’s 0-2 ATS this year, and 2-9 ATS its last 11 when favored by more than 5 points. Meanwhile, the Bears are 21-5 ATS as a home dog if they were off back to back losses, and failed to cover the spread by more than 3 points in their previous game. Take Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-08-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -9 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens. This will likely be the first of back-to-back meetings between these AFC North rivals, as Cincinnati will probably be seeded #3, while the Ravens will probably earn the #6 seed in the conference seedings. Anything could happen, of course, but that's the most likely scenario. If they meet next week, there would also possibly be a major change in the Ravens' on-field personnel, as QB Lamar Jackson would make his return from injury. For this game, Baltimore will once again start Tyler Huntley. That gives the decided edge in this game to Cincinnati, which is playing the best of any team in the league. Last Monday, in the cancelled game vs. Buffalo, the Bengals had scored a touchdown on their first possession, and looked to be on their way to scoring at least a field goal, if not a touchdown, on their second possession. When the Bengals/Bills game was halted, the in-game line was Cincinnati -3.5, with an over/under of 56.5. I believe the Bengals would have gone on to win that game. This Bengals team is just not one I want to step in front of right now. They’ve covered 12 of their last 13, with their only loss coming on Monday Night Football in a horrible situation against the Browns, who were looking to snap a 4-game losing streak. The Bengals are an incredible 9-0 ATS their last 9 (and 20-4 ATS their last 24) when playing a winning opponent, if the Bengals were not getting more than 5 points. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | Top | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans. The Mavs had last night off, while New Orleans lost, 108-102, to the red-hot Brooklyn Nets. We'll take Dallas, as it's 29-13 ATS at home when favored by more than 5, and playing with rest against an unrested division foe. And Dallas is also 20-6-1 ATS at home vs. the Pelicans, if New Orleans wasn't playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-06-23 | Pistons v. Spurs -1 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Detroit Pistons. The Spurs have been installed as a small favorite (as of this writing). And it's just the 2nd time all season that the Spurs were favored. Surprisingly, the only other time was against the Milwaukee Bucks, who (obviously) played without Giannis Antetokounmpo on that night. The Spurs blew out Milwaukee, 111-93, in that game. And they're now 21-12-1 ATS their last 34 as a favorite. Even better: the Spurs have gone 65-22 ATS at home vs. Eastern conference foes, if the Spurs were off a loss, and their opponent was not off a SU/ATS loss. And San Antonio is 11-4 ATS the last 15 meetings vs. Detroit, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-05-23 | Washington +19 v. Arizona | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Arizona. The Huskies come into this game off 3 home losses to Auburn (84-61), USC (80-67) and UCLA (74-49). I love Washington to bounce back tonight, as it falls into a 269-173-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses. Additionally, NCAA teams off 3 SU/ATS home losses have gone 139-109-3 ATS away from home in the regular season since 1990. Finally, Washington is a solid 40-24-1 ATS as a double-digit road underdog off a SU loss. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-05-23 | Jazz -5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Houston. The Jazz suffered their fifth straight defeat on Tuesday when Sacramento edged them for the 2nd time in five days, 117-115. And the most frustrating part of this 5-game losing streak is that the losses have been by 4, 5, 1, 3 and 2 points. Tonight, Utah will travel to Houston to take on the woeful Rockets. Houston is also riding a 5-game losing streak. But, unlike Utah, its losses have been by 24, 15, 20, 5 and 11 points. The Rockets are an ugly 4-27 ATS at home off 3+ losses, if they were playing a rested foe with a losing record. And Utah's 43-21 ATS off an upset home loss, if the Jazz were rested, and playing a losing team. Take the Jazz minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie | |||||||
01-05-23 | Southern Miss v. UL - Lafayette -2.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss. The Cajuns are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after dropping a 70-66 decision to Old Dominion on Saturday. But all of those losses were on the road. The good news is that the Cajuns are back home tonight to take on the Monarchs. And La-Lafayette has cashed 71% as a home favorite since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take Louisiana Lafayette tonight. | |||||||
01-05-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 124-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Dallas. The Celts were smashed, 150-117, by Oklahoma City in their previous game. And that was their 2nd straight upset defeat. But Boston is 14-1 ATS off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by 2+ points in their current game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-05-23 | Green Bay +18.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Fort Wayne. The Phoenix lost by 16 at Oakland, 81-65, as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. And that was their 2nd straight ATS defeat. But Green Bay is 72-52 ATS on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. Grab the points. | |||||||
01-05-23 | Jacksonville State +16 v. Liberty | Top | 41-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks + the points over Liberty. The Gamecocks come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to North Alabama and Jacksonville. But the Gamecocks have excelled as double-digit underdogs, as they're 66-42 ATS. And they've also gone 27-14 ATS on the road off back to back ATS losses. Take the Gamecocks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5.5 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut. Providence has won and covered 7 straight. And this hot streak has triggered several 'momentum' systems of mine, with records of 33-4, 50-20 and 55-24 ATS. Additionally, the Friars are 21-12 ATS as a home dog off a win. Take Providence. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri. Arkansas is 11-2 on the season while Mizzou is 12-1. We'll lay the points with the Razorbacks, as they're 40-21-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes with a better SU/ATS record. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +4 v. Alabama State | Top | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions + the points over Alabama State. The Hornets defeated Mississippi Valley St, 70-61, on Monday. But they're 13-20 ATS off a conference win. We'll grab the points with Pine Bluff, as it falls into a 64.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams as road underdogs. Take the Golden Lions + the points. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets blew out San Antone, 139-103, for their 12th win in a row. We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as NBA teams on a 5-game (or better) win streak, are 11-37 ATS off a win by more than 25 points. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Evansville +14.5 v. Missouri State | Top | 62-85 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Missouri St. The Bears are a woeful 2-15-2 ATS at home when favored by more than 12 points. Take Evansville as a double-digit dog. | |||||||
01-04-23 | VMI +14 v. Samford | Top | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Samford. Samford is 8-7 on the season, while VMI is 5-10, including back to back SU/ATS losses in its last two games. We'll take the underdog, as VMI is 30-6 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points when playing a foe with a winning record, while Samford is 0-7 ATS at home vs. losing teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Grab the points with the Keydets. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Grizzlies v. Hornets +7.5 | Top | 131-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies blew out Charlotte, 130-99, when these teams met earlier this season. We'll take the Hornets to avenge that loss, as they're 52-35 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Thunder v. Magic -2 | Top | 115-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Last night, OKC scored 150 in its upset win over Boston. But unrested NBA road teams have covered just 36% the past 33 seasons off a home win in which they scored more than 140 points. Take Orlando. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Pacers v. 76ers -7 | Top | 126-129 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers. Indiana comes into this game off 4 straight upset wins. But each of those games was at home. Now, the Pacers have to play on the road where they've won 17 of their last 60 games, straight-up. Even worse: NBA underdogs off back to back upsets in which they scored 120+ points in each victory have gone 10-29-1 ATS. Take Philly minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-04-23 | The Citadel v. Furman -15 | Top | 72-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over The Citadel. The Paladins enter tonight's game with a 10-5 record, while The Citadel is 6-8. We'll lay the points, as the Paladins are an awesome 50-13 ATS vs. .455 (or worse) foes, if Furman was favored by 6+ points. Take Furman to blow out The Citadel. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | Top | 77-93 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Tulane. The Green Wave upset Memphis on Sunday, 96-89, as a 4-point home dog. We'll fade Tulane tonight, as it is 0-8 ATS its last eight games off a SU win. And it's 4-16-1 ATS at home off a conference win. Take Tulsa + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-03-23 | Kansas State v. Texas -9 | Top | 116-103 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Kansas State. This is a great Big 12 match-up, as both teams enter on 6-game win streaks. The Wildcats are 12-1 straight-up. But they've also only played 1 game as an underdog on their opponent's home court this season. And that was their lone loss, as they fell at Butler, 76-64, as a 2.5-point road underdog. We'll lay the points with Texas, as it's 25-15-2 ATS off an ATS loss vs. a conference foe off an ATS win. And K-State is a poor 6-12 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points away from home vs. a foe off a win. Take Texas minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-03-23 | Virginia -5.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over the Pitt Panthers. The Virginia Cavaliers enter tonight's game looking up at the Pitt Panthers in the ACC Conference standings. Pitt's a perfect 3-0, while Virginia is 2-1. But Virginia's an awesome 28-9 ATS in ACC Conference play in the regular season when it owned the worse W/L record, including 18-4 vs. foes off back to back wins, and 14-4 ATS on the road. Take Virginia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the St John's Red Storm + the points over Marquette. The Red Storm have lost their last three games SU/ATS, while Marquette's off back to back SU/ATS wins. We'll take the Red Storm to bounce back at home, as they're 21-2-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes, if St John's was off back to back ATS losses, and not getting 4+ points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-02-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -7.5 | Top | 65-64 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Purdue. The Boilers are 13-0, and ranked #1 in the country. But they've had scant success "in Vegas" this season, as they're currently riding a 7-game ATS losing streak. We'll take Purdue minus the points tonight, as it's 58-24-3 ATS at home off a point spread loss, when playing a Big 10 foe, and not favored by double-digits. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie | |||||||
01-01-23 | Ohio State v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Ohio St. The Buckeyes come into this Big 10 game off back to back blowout wins over Maine (95-61) and Alabama A&M (90-59). Unfortunately for Ohio St, it's a dreadful 5-16 ATS off back to back wins, in which it scored 80% points, including 0-8 ATS if the Buckeyes weren't favored by more than 4 points. And home dogs (like Northwestern) with a W/L percentage greater than .750, at Game 10 forward, have cashed 59% of conference games since 1990 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota. The Packers and Vikings met in Week #1. Early in that game, rookie WR Christian Watson dropped a sure TD pass as he sprinted wide open down the right sideline. That miscue was the key play in that game, and the Packers could never get their offense on track in the 23-7 loss. Fast forward to mid-November, and Watson had still never hauled in a TD pass. But he had his coming-out party in Green Bay's 31-28 overtime win vs. Dallas, as he caught 3 TD passes of 58, 39 and 7 yards. The Packers snapped their five-game losing streak that afternoon, and have won three of their five games since to pull into the Playoff picture. Should the Packers win today and next week, and the Commanders lose once more, the Packers would qualify for the playoffs. So, today's game is huge for Aaron Rodgers & Co. And the Packers are an awesome 72-42-4 ATS at home with Rodgers under center, including 29-10-2 ATS in the regular season vs. an opponent off a SU win. Lay the points with Green Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
01-01-23 | Tulsa +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over SMU. Tulsa was humiliated at home by Houston, 89-50, on Wednesday. We'll look for Tulsa to rebound this afternoon, as it's 7-1 ATS off a loss by 28+ points. Take the Golden Hurricane + the points. | |||||||
01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars minus the points over USC. The Cougars lost by a single point here, at home, to UCLA on Friday. But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Washington State against USC, which is on a 7-game win streak. The Cougars are 24-6 ATS at home off a home loss, if matched up against an opponent off a win, and the Cougars were not getting 5+ points. Take Washington St. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State +6.5 v. Georgia | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 109 h 13 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Georgia. The Buckeyes were a whopping 9-point home favorite, but were blown out in the 2nd half of their season-ending game vs. rival Michigan. Ohio State actually held the lead, 20-17, at the break. But it couldn't find the end zone after intermission, and lost, 45-23. The Buckeyes, though, have excelled as an underdog in Bowl games, including 9-1 ATS when getting 4 or more points! Even better: Bowl underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +8 points, off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 10-0 ATS. This will be a difficult match-up for the Bulldogs, who are 2nd in scoring defense (12.77 ppg), but whose pass defense ranks 51st, surrendering 215.1 passing yards per game. Ohio State will be able to exploit Georgia's secondary, as OSU boasts the nation's top QB in passer efficiency rating (CJ Stroud), and a brilliant route-runner (Marvin Harrison, Jr) at WR. Stroud threw for 3,340 yards, 37 TDs (and just six INTs), while Harrison had 72 receptions for 1,157 yards (16.1 avg yds), and 12 TDs. Ohio State's covered 15 of 18 away from home off a home loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes. And, finally, defending National Champs are a wallet-busting 22-44 ATS away from home off a win, if priced from -4.5 to -14 points. Take the Buckeyes + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-31-22 | St. Mary's v. Santa Clara +6 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos + the points over St Mary's. The Gaels knocked the Broncos out of last season's West Coast Conference tournament, with a 75-72 win. We'll take Santa Clara to avenge that tournament loss, as it's gone 86-61-5 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog in conference games. Take the Broncos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-31-22 | San Diego +10.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 80-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros + the points over San Francisco. The Toreros were blown out by 27 points, 85-58, at St Marys in their previous game. And that was San Diego's 2nd straight loss (both SU and ATS). But we'll take the Toreros to bounce back as they fall into a 449-247 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take San Diego. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Loyola Marymount v. Pacific +4.5 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Loyola Marymount. The Tigers were blown out by BYU, 69-49, in their previous game, which was their West Coast Conference opener. We'll take Pacific to bounce back, as home dogs, with a losing record, off a 20-point (or worse) loss in conference opener, have covered 70% as home dogs in their 2nd conference game vs. winning foes off a conference win. Take Pacific. | |||||||
12-31-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming +3.5 | Top | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over New Mexico. The Cowboys come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses. But they've covered 76.4% at home the past 33 seasons off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 84.6% in conference play. Grab the points with Wyoming. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Texas-San Antonio +24.5 v. UAB | Top | 67-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over UAB. The Blazers are a poor 12-18-1 ATS their last 31, including 4-10-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss. Take UTSA + the points. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Hilltoppers were upset at home by Rice in their previous game. But Western Kentucky has gone 35-21-1 ATS as an underdog off a loss. Take the Hilltoppers + the points. | |||||||
12-31-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota State -3.5 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits minus the points over St. Thomas. The Jackrabbits are a spectacular 53-26-1 ATS at home if they won their previous game. With the Jackrabbits in off a 7-point triumph over Western Illinois, we'll lay the points today vs. the Tommies. Take South Dakota State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Central Arkansas +11 v. Kennesaw State | Top | 66-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Arkansas Bears + the points over Kennesaw St. The Bears come into this game off a blowout loss (103-57) at the hands of TCU. We'll take the Bears to bounce back, as they've cashed 71% off a loss by 33+ points. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Illinois-Chicago v. Bradley -13 | Top | 45-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves. The Braves were upset by Belmont in their last game, while Illinois Chicago won, 55-51, vs. Illinois St. We'll take Bradley to bounce back as it's cashed 61% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. a conference foe off a SU/ATS win. Take the Braves minus the points. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -3.5 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes minus the points over Western Illinois. The Leathernecks had their 6-game win streak snapped on Tuesday, 71-64, by South Dakota State (though they covered the +8 point spread in that game). We'll fade Western Illinois today, as they're 47-69-2 ATS in conference games off a conference loss, including 7-21-1 ATS off a point spread win. Take South Dakota. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Elon v. Delaware -12.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Elon. Delaware comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses (vs. Ohio and Hofstra). We'll take Delaware in this game, as it's 36-21-1 ATS Colonial Athletic Ass'n games off back to back SU/ATS losses. Lay the points. | |||||||
12-31-22 | St. Louis -6.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 83-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over St Josephs. The Billikens were upset by SIU-Edwardsville in the previous game, while St Joe's blew out Central Connecticut St, 83-66. We'll take St Louis to rebound off that loss, as it's covered 64% since 1990 as a favorite off a loss, vs. a conference foe off a win. Take the Billikens. | |||||||
12-31-22 | Iowa -2.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, in the Music City Bowl, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kentucky. The Over/Under line (currently 31) is the lowest OU Line for any FBS game in the past 10 seasons. And the Hawkeyes have excelled in games with low OU lines, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight when the line has been less than 42 points. Iowa's also 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in 'win situation' games where the line was less than 3 points. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread by an average of 4.70 ppg away from home this season, while Kentucky's point spread differential away from home has been -0.75. That bodes well for the Hawkeyes. As does the fact that they're 13-7-1 ATS their last 21 bowl games. Take Iowa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-30-22 | Coppin State +26 v. Rutgers | Top | 57-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Coppin State has been installed as a huge underdog tonight, at Rutgers. We'll go against the Scarlet Knights, as they're an awful 9-22-1 ATS as a favorite of -14 (or more) points. Even worse: the Knights are 8-4 SU/ATS this season, including back to back SU/ATS wins over Wake Forest + Bucknell in their last two games. But Rutgers is a miserable 18-40 ATS off back to back point spread wins, if it owned a winning SU/ATS record, including 0-9 ATS its last nine. Take Coppin State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-30-22 | Wyoming v. Ohio -2 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Wyoming. These two teams will meet in the Arizona Bowl, in Tucson, this afternoon. We'll go against a Cowboys team which laid an egg (literally, a 'Goose Egg'), as it was shut out, 30-0, by Fresno in its final regular season game. Wyoming is a horrid 8-27 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS loss, if it wasn't getting 5+ points. And the Cowboys are 3-18 ATS away from home after scoring 14 points or less, if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game. Lay the points with Ohio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame -3 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks come into this game off back to back upset wins over Tennessee and Clemson. But I expect Notre Dame to halt their win streak, as the Irish are a perfect 13-0-1 ATS, if they owned a winning record, and were installed as a favorite of less than 14 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. We played against the Irish last Bowl season, in Marcus Freeman's debut as Notre Dame head coach, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State as our 5* NCAA Football Game of the Year. The Irish blew a big, 21-point lead in that Bowl game. Rest assured that Freeman won't let that happen here. Notre Dame is a spotless 5-0 SU/ATS in Bowl games when priced from -2 to -6 points (but 6-18 ATS when it wasn't). And South Carolina is a wallet-busting 9-27-2 ATS off back to back ATS wins, when the point spread was 13 points or less (or PK). Take Notre Dame minus the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-29-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota +1.5 | Top | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is South Dakota over St Thomas. The Coyotes are 13-5 ATS their last 18 Summit League games, including 9-1 ATS when not getting 2+ points. And the Tommies are 1-11 ATS in conference games, when priced from +15 to -5 points. Look for South Dakota to blow out St Thomas tonight. Good luck as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -2 | Top | 50-46 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Florida Atlantic. North Texas comes into tonight's game off 5 straight wins, and 2 straight covers. We'll take North Texas, as it's 36-19 ATS in conference games, including 10-2-1 ATS if it wasn't favored by 4.5 points. Take the Mean Green. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota State -8 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on South Dakota St. minus the points over Western Illinois. The Jackrabbits are a powerful 73-38-1 ATS at home, including 32-12 ATS vs. foes off a win. With the Leathernecks, indeed, off a 19-point win over North Dakota St, we'll lay the points with South Dakota State tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Clippers v. Celtics -6 | Top | 110-116 | Push | 0 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
| |||||||
12-29-22 | Grizzlies -3 v. Raptors | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Toronto. Memphis comes into this game off back to back double-digit losses to Golden State and Phoenix. We'll take the Grizzlies to bounce back, as they're 10-0-1 ATS their last eleven (and 17-1-1 ATS their last 19) off back to back losses when they weren't getting more than 4 points. Take the Grizzlies minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Cavs -5 v. Pacers | Top | 126-135 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavs minus the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Cavaliers are a solid 32-16-1 ATS when rested, and playing a winning opponent. And Indiana is 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 11-36-4 ATS its last 51) when not getting more than 8 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Cleveland. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Rice v. Western Kentucky -6 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Rice. The Hilltoppers were upset by South Carolina, 65-58, as a 2.5-point road favorite last Thursday. We'll look for Western Ky to bounce back tonight against Rice. The Owls are an awful 9-19 ATS as a road underdog, including 0-4 ATS vs. an opponent off an upset loss. Take Western Kentucky. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Central Michigan +21.5 v. Michigan | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Michigan. The Wolverines covered in their previous game vs. North Carolina, as they lost by 4, as a 5-point underdog. But the Wolverines are a poor 2-16 ATS when favored by 2+ points, and off a point spread win. Take Central Michigan. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies over Wisconsin Milwaukee. We played on the Grizzlies in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered as a 21-point underdog vs. Michigan St. We'll come right back with Oakland tonight, as it's 10-0 ATS its last 10 games vs. a foe off a win, if Oakland was off a game where it scored 60 or less points. Take the Golden Grizzlies. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Providence v. Butler -2.5 | Top | 72-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Providence. Butler opened its Big East season 0-2. But we'll lay the points with Butler tonight, as it's 14-3 ATS off back to back conference losses, including 8-0 ATS when not getting 7+ points. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Oklahoma +10 v. Florida State | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida St. Over the last 42 years, Bowl underdogs of +8.5 (or more) points have gone 84-50-2 ATS if they weren't off back to back wins. Take the Sooners + the points. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Air Force v. San Diego State -16 | Top | 55-71 | Push | 0 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs minus the points over Air Force. The Falcons are 9-4, including 4 straight wins heading into this Mountain West contest. Meanwhile, the Aztecs come into this game with a 9-3 record following a 62-46 win over UC San Diego. We'll lay the points tonight, as SDSU is 86-45-2 ATS vs. winning opponents, if SDSU was off a win by 15+ points. Take the Aztecs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Wyoming v. Fresno State | Top | 53-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno. The Cowboys are on a 2-game losing streak. But Wyoming is a super 12-1 ATS away from home (and 23-7 ATS its last 30 away from home) off back to back losses. And Fresno is 0-3 ATS at home this season, including an outright loss as a 9.5-point home favorite vs. Sacramento St the last time they took this court. Take Wyoming. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Nuggets v. Kings +2.5 | Top | 126-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Denver. The Kings blew a 20-point lead last night in their 7-point loss to the Nuggets. We'll take the Kings as a home dog tonight, in this rematch, as Denver is a wallet-breaking 32-54-2 ATS on the road off a road win. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 58 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on Mississippi minus the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders ended their season by scoring the most points they had all season vs. an FBS school, when they upset Oklahoma, 51-48, as a 2.5-point home dog. Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's 1-7-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points in its previous game. And it's 12-25 ATS after an upset win, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2 to +10 points. Finally, the Red Raiders are 1-9-1 ATS in the Bowls when priced from +7 to -3.5 points, while the Rebels are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 Bowl games. Take Ole Miss minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Arkansas v. LSU +4.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Arkansas. The Razorbacks are 16-36-1 ATS on the road as a favorite in SEC Conference games, if Arkansas was off a win. Take LSU + the points. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Kentucky -2.5 v. Missouri | Top | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Missouri. The Tigers are 11-1 following upset wins over UCF and Illinois. Unfortunately, NCAA teams upset wins, with a .900 (or better) record, have covered just 34% as home dogs vs. a foe off a SU win. Lay the points with Kentucky. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Harvard v. Maine +6 | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Harvard. The Black Bears return home following a road trip to the Buckeye State, which saw them lose to Ohio State, 95-61. We'll take the home underdog tonight, as Harvard's 0-7 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 18+ points. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Temple +1.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Temple Owls over East Carolina. The Owls come into this game off 3 straight losses, and are 0-2-1 ATS in those games, while ECU is on a 3-game win streak. But Temple is 27-14 ATS when on a 2-game ATS losing streak, including 8-0 ATS its last eight. Take the Owls. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Kansas +3 v. Arkansas | Top | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, on Wednesday, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Arkansas. The Jayhawks greatly overachieved this season. Picked by the media to finish last in the Big 12 conference, Kansas went 5-0 SU/ATS out of the gate, and was competitive in defeat vs. teams like TCU and Oklahoma. Kansas did stumble badly its last two games, as it lost to Texas (55-14) and Kansas St (47-27), but still finished 6-6 to earn a bowl bid. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS their last six post-season games, while Arkansas is 8-18-1 ATS its last 27 post-season games. That bodes well for the Jayhawks as an underdog in this game. As does the fact that the Underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the Liberty Bowl games since 2004. Finally, underdogs that were outscored, in the aggregate, by more than 40 points in their two previous games, have covered 62% in the post-season. Take Kansas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-28-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Monmouth +12 | Top | 68-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over NC Wilmington. The Hawks were blown out by Yale, 76-44, in their previous game, while NC Wilmington is currently riding a 9-game win streak after it dispatched of Campbell, 74-66. We'll take the Hawks as a home underdog tonight, as it falls into a 63% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off a loss by more than 20 points, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win. Take Monmouth. | |||||||
12-28-22 | Central Florida +3.5 v. Duke | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke. The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season. And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game. We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons. Take UCF. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie | |||||||
12-27-22 | Hornets +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Golden State. The Warriors pulled off a big upset win in their previous game, 123-109, vs. Memphis. But Golden State is an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a 7-point (or greater) upset win. Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-27-22 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Dallas Mavericks. New York lost earlier this season, at home, to these Mavericks, 121-100. We'll take the Knicks tonight as a road dog, as they're 79-37 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Knicks were also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game. With New York in off a home loss to Philly on Christmas Day, we'll take Tom Thibodeau's men tonight. | |||||||
12-27-22 | Tex A&M Commerce +30 v. Texas | Top | 72-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions + the points over Texas. In the last 20 days of November, the Lions were 6-0 ATS. But in the first 20 days of December, they reversed course, and went 0-5 SU/ATS, including a 62-52 loss to IUPUI, as a 12.5-point favorite in their most recent game, last Tuesday. I look for the Lions to get back into the win column, in Vegas, and cover this large number tonight. Texas is a horrid 0-7-1 ATS off a win, when matched up against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And Texas is also 0-11 ATS at home vs. foes off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss. Take Texas A&M-Commerce + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-27-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Lakers have dropped 4 in a row following their nine-point loss at Dallas on Christmas Day. We'll take Los Angeles as an underdog tonight, as Orlando's an ugly 17-43 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses. Grab the points. | |||||||
12-27-22 | Jacksonville v. Notre Dame -7.5 | Top | 43-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Jacksonville. The Dolphins are 7-3 after winning by 11, as a 7.5-point road favorite vs. Louisiana-Monroe. In contrast, the Fighting Irish come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses to Marquette, Georgia and Florida State. But I look for the Irish to get back on the winning track tonight, as it will step down in class in hosting the Dolphins. For technical support, consider that Notre Dame is 20-10-1 ATS off 3 SU losses, if matched up against an opponent off a SU win. And Jacksonville is 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS away from home off back to back wins, as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take the Irish. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green. After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022. Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU. Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable. Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points. His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game. They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch. In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games. They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog. The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference. And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game. Take the Aggies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-25-22 | Utah State -3.5 v. Washington State | Top | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Washington St. The Aggies were upset, here, in Honolulu, on Friday by SMU. Utah State was favored by 12, yet lost, 77-74. Likewise, Washington St. was also upset in the 2nd round of the tournament by homestanding Hawaii, 62-51, as a 2.5-point favorite. We'll take Utah St. to bounce back, as it's 31-23-1 ATS off a loss where it failed to cover by more than 11 points. Additionally, Washington St is a poor 4-13 ATS as an underdog away from home, if it was priced from +2.5 to +10 points, and off an upset loss. Lay the points with Utah St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-25-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 118-139 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Boston. The Bucks come into this Christmas Day game vs. Boston off back-to-back losses at Cleveland and Brooklyn. We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as it is an awesome 83-43-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 26-7 ATS their last 33 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .625. Grab the points with Mike Budenholzer's men. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-25-22 | DePaul +16 v. Creighton | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Creighton. After winning its first two road games this season (at Minnesota, at Loyola-Chicago), the Blue Demons have dropped their last three on the road (at St. Johns, at Duquesne, at Northwestern). And their 83-45 loss at Northwestern was their worst defeat of the season yet. We'll take the Blue Demons to bounce back off that blowout loss, as it's 10-2 ATS off a loss by more than 30 points, and 9-1 ATS after scoring 46 or less points. Meanwhile, Creighton's a wallet-breaking 12-33 ATS vs. conference foes that failed to cover by more than 10 points in their previous game. Take DePaul + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St. The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season. The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force. They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite. Even worse: Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss. And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games. With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 102 h 22 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Philadelphia. We played against the Eagles last week, and cashed our NFC Underdog of the Month on the Chicago Bears. This will be Philly's 3rd straight road game, and underdogs playing their 3rd straight road game, off back to back wins, have gone 24-37-1 ATS since 1980. Meanwhile, the Cowboys lost, 40-34, at Jacksonville. But the Cowboys are 25–12-1 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were playing an opponent off a SU win, including 7-0 ATS if they allowed 34+ points in that upset loss. Take Dallas minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-24-22 | Texans +3 v. Titans | Top | 19-14 | Win | 105 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Tennessee. The Titans are 7-7, but mired in a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. They now will be hosting a Texans team which is 1-12-1, but still playing hard, as evidenced by their last two losses to the KC Chiefs (30-24, overtime) and Dallas Cowboys (27-23). I don't want any part of a Titans team without its #1 signal caller, Ryan Tannehill, who underwent ankle surgery, and will be unlikely to play the remainder of this season. Tennessee will be quarterbacked this afternoon by rookie Mailk Willis. Houston will be familiar with Willis, as he led Tennessee to a 17-10 win at Houston earlier this season (his first-ever NFL start), as a 1.5-point road favorite. But non-winning NFL teams off a loss have covered just 34% at home vs revenge-minded foes, if they were favored by less than 7 points (or PK). Take Houston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-24-22 | Lions v. Panthers +3 | Top | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 74 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Detroit. This is Carolina's final home game of the season, and they're off a loss to Pittsburgh where they failed to cover the spread by 11 points. Meanwhile, Detroit’s off three straight wins, and has won 6 of 7. We’ll take Carolina, as home teams have covered 59% of their final home games of the season if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins. Take the Panthers. | |||||||
12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto. This series has been dominated by the home team. Dating back to 2015, the home team has gone 27-12-1 ATS, including a perfect 2-0 ATS this season, and 13-2 ATS since Dec 2018. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS its last eight home games vs Toronto, and it's also on a 5-game win streak coming into this game. We had our 2nd strongest play of the NBA season-to-date this past Wednesday on Cleveland in its 114-106 win vs. Milwaukee. And we'll come right back with the Cavaliers tonight, as they seek their 6th straight win. Cleveland owns the best home record in the NBA, at 16-2, and it's covered the spread by 4.86 ppg at home this season. Meanwhile, Toronto is a dismal 4-12 on the road, and it's failed to cover the spread by 2.46 ppg in those 16 road games. Lay the points with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Southern Miss v. UNLV -8 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Southern Mississippi. UNLV was upset here, at home, by San Francisco on Saturday, 75-73, as a 6-point favorite. But after seeing what San Francisco did last night to Arizona State (which was 11-1) -- a 37-point blowout win -- then losing by just two to the Red-Hot Dons doesn't seem all that bad. And prior to losing to San Francisco, the Rebels had won 10 in a row, going 6-3-1 ATS. UNLV is 21-12 ATS at home off a home upset loss. Take the Rebels minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Hartford +26.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 53-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Hartford Hawks + the points over San Francisco. Yesterday, the Dons played a great game, as they smashed Top 25-ranked Arizona State, 97-60, as a 2.5-point underdog. But off that huge win, I'll look for a letdown tonight against lowly Hartford, as the Dons are 8-23-1 ATS off an upset win. Take the Hawks + the points. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor -3 | Top | 30-15 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force. The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6. But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule. The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season: Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St. And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St. This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight. And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas. Key stat: Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600. Take the Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Western Kentucky -2 v. South Carolina | Top | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks upended Western Kentucky last season, 75-64, so the Hilltoppers will be looking for a measure of revenge tonight. We'll lay the points with Western Kentucky, as they've cashed 65% since 1990 away from home when playing with revenge against a non-conference foe. And South Carolina is a poor 35.7% ATS at home since 1990 when playing a revenge-minded, non-conference foe. Take the Hilltoppers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Yale v. Monmouth +13.5 | Top | 76-44 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Yale. This past Saturday, the Hawks were hammered by Charlotte, 80-46, as a 10 points home underdog. But off that blowout defeat, we'll grab the points with the Hawks here, at home, tonight, as Monmouth falls into a 269-177 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by 20+ points in their previous game against foes off a SU win. Take the Hawks. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Steve Janus | $751 |
Chip Chirimbes | $636 |
Rocky's Lock Club | $630 |
Pure Lock | $473 |
Marc Lawrence | $380 |
Mike Lundin | $340 |
Jack Jones | $305 |
Rocky Atkinson | $291 |
Dave Price | $274 |
R&R Totals | $265 |