Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-30-25 | Giants -146 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -146 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Arizona Diamondbacks. You'd be hard-pressed to find a more reliable and consistent starter over the past four seasons than the Giants' Logan Webb. And the 28-year-old RH is having another outstanding campaign, going 7-5 with a 2.52 ERA in a league-leading 17 starts so far in 2025. His 5.22 K:BB ratio is the best number he's had since his 2023 season in which he finished second in the NL Cy Young. Webb will get start number 18 tonight and it will come against a Diamondbacks team which he's recently had a lot of success against. In his two starts vs. Arizona last season, Webb held the D-Backs scoreless on just six hits over 13 innings with eight strikeouts and two walks and one of those starts was here at Chase Field. This will be Webb's sixth start of June and so far this has been one of the best months of his career as he is 2-0 with a 1.85 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in five starts covering 34 innings. Take the Giants. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-25 | Sun +21 v. Lynx | Top | 63-102 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Minnesota. The Lynx are 13-2 on the season and are laying more points this evening than any team has in this 2025 season. Granted, Connecticut has dropped eight straight games. But we'll happily take the points with the Sun, as Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS its last eight when laying more than 14 points. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 6-3 ATS this season when catching double-digits. And the underdog has gone 32-23-1 ATS in this series. Finally, 0.666 (or better) teams have cashed just 33 of 91 vs. foes off 3+ losses. Take Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-25 | Toronto +2.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 29-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over Ottawa. The Argos have gotten off to an 0-3 SU/ATS start this season. Last week's 39-32 loss was particularly irksome, as they tied the game with a TD and a 2-point conversion with less than 30 seconds to go, but gave up a 99-yard kickoff return for a TD right after. Toronto will look to get off the schneid this evening and will face an Ottawa team it has thoroughly dominated. Toronto won in the Playoffs, 58-38, vs. the Redblacks last season, and has won 20 of the last 25 meetings, straight-up (17-8 ATS). We'll grab the points with the Argos, as Ottawa is an awful 11-31 ATS as a favorite, including 1-11 ATS if Ottawa's win percentage differential was greater than 0.250. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-25 | Cubs v. Astros -145 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Chicago Cubs. It's hard to pitch any better than Framber Valdez did in his last start and not come away with a victory. Last Tuesday, the 31-year-old LH threw seven scoreless innings against the Phillies, allowing just four hits but walked away with a no-decision. Had the Astros plated just a single run while he was the pitcher of record, it would have been Valdez's seventh victory in a row. The important thing however is that the Astros won that game and that's been the theme more often than not when Valdez goes to the mound this season. In fact, in his last nine starts going back to May 7, the 'Stros are 9-0. That's hard to do no matter how good you or your team is. They'll try to make it an incredible 10 straight this afternoon when Valdez goes out for his 17th start of the season. And Valdez loves pitching in the afternoon as he is 25-14 (.641) with a 2.78 ERA in 56 career games (47 starts) during the day. By comparison, Valdez is 51-31 (.622) and 3.48 in 117 games under the lights. Take the 'Stros. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-25 | Padres v. Reds -126 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds over the San Diego Padres. This afternoon is the rubber game of this three-game set in Cincinnati between the Padres and Reds. In the first game of the series, the Reds sent out Nick Martinez and he beat his former team handily. In game two however, the Padres got back, beating the Reds and Andrew Abbott, 6-4. Today Cincy will send out another "Nick" as in Lodolo, a talented young southpaw who is having a breakout campaign in his fourth MLB season. The 27-year-old is just 5-5 but he's posted a very nice 3.63 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 16 starts covering just over 89 innings. The Pads have been having some trouble with left-handing pitching this season, batting just .232 vs. southpaws so far (vs. .253 vs. righties). And Lodolo had one of the best starts of his young career last season against San Diego on April 29. In that one, he threw seven, one-hit innings, allowing one run while striking out 11 and walking two. Take the Reds. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-28-25 | BC v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50 | Top | 18-37 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total. The Roughriders enter this game with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, and have scored 31, 28 and 39 in their first three games. We'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening, as CFL teams have gone 56% UNDER following a three-game stretch where they tallied 90+ points. Even worse, if our high-scoring team was off back to back wins, and playing at home, then our 56% stat zooms to 61%, including 8-0 UNDER the last eight. In this series, these two teams have gone 13-5-2 UNDER here at Regina, including both meetings last season. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-28-25 | Rays +100 v. Orioles | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles traded with the Rays last season for RH starter Zach Eflin and the veteran was great down the stretch for the O's (5-2 with a 2.60 ERA). With Eflin still under contract for 2025, the O's were understandably excited about him being their ace after the departure of free agent Corbin Burnes. But this season hasn't worked out for either Eflin or Baltimore. The 31-year-old soon-to-be free agent has had an injury-riddled first half and at 10+ games under .500, the O's are likely to be sellers at the upcoming trade deadline. Can Eflin summon his old self for his first start as an Oriole against his former team? It's unlikely. For their part, the Rays will go with veteran RH Zack Littell. The 31-year-old probably reminds Tampa of Eflin when he was there as he's a smart, solid innings-eater, capable of grinding out wins while not necessarily overpowering opponents. Littell has 3.78 ERA in 16 starts covering just under 98 innings and he has a career 3.03 ERA vs. the O's. Take Tampa. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-28-25 | Twins v. Tigers -143 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over the Minnesota Twins. Back in 2018, when both of them were drafted by the Tigers, it was Casey Mize that most people -- Detroit fans and coaches alike -- were most excited about and not Tarik Skubal. But of course it was Skubal who would go on to win a Cy Young award six years later while Mize battled injuries and never reached his potential. Now this season Skubal is obviously still the real deal, but a mostly healthy Mize has turned a lot of heads and it seems like the best may be still to come from the 28-year-old RHP. Mize has made just one short trip to the IL so far and otherwise has mostly pitched like the ace that the Tigers thought he could be, going 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA 64 strikeouts and 18 walks in 72 innings. He'll get his 14th start of the season this afternoon against a Twins team that he knows pretty well. Mize's career ERA in day games is more than a half-run lower than it is under lights (3.70 vs. 4.35) and this season it's even better as he's 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA in seven afternoon starts. Take the Tigers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-27-25 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 49.5 | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Hamilton game. These two teams have played unders in 10 of the last 13 meetings. And that's the way we will look on this Friday. It's true that Montreal has scored 69 points in its last two games, combined, with each going over the total. But the Alouettes are 85-55-3 UNDER off an Over, and 19-9 UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in back to back games. And the Tiger-Cats are 56-35 UNDER vs. foes off back to back wins. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-26-25 | Edmonton Elks +11.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 23-36 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over British Columbia to start the season, while Edmonton is off back to back blowout losses. Unfortunately, favorites of -3 (or more) points off back to back double-digit wins to start a season have cashed just 33%. And Winnipeg is a poor 25-35 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Edmonton + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-26-25 | Marlins v. Giants -172 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -172 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Miami Marlins. Hayden Birdsong is a 23-year-old RH pitcher for the Giants in his second year in the Majors. The former Eastern Illinois standout was drafted in the 6th round in 2022 and he made his debut in the big leagues exactly one year ago today with a start against the Chicago Cubs right here at Oracle Park. Birdsong was used exclusively out of the rotation last season, but this year he campaign as a reliever until Justin Verlander landed on the IL. On May 20th, Birdsong made his first start of the season and he hasn't pitched out of the bullpen since as he's allowed three runs or less in five of his six starts coming into this afternoon. This will be Birdsong's second career start against the Marlins as he beat them just 25 days ago in Miami, allowing one run on five hits in 5 1/3 innings for his third victory of the season. Birdsong is 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in nine games -- three starts -- at home this season and that's more than a run lower than he's tallied on the road (1-1 with a 3.91 ERA). The Giants are also 15-2 in their daytime home games this year. Take San Francisco. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-25-25 | Sun +19 v. Aces | Top | 59-85 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Las Vegas. We played on the Aces on Sunday and got the $$$ in their 8-point win over Indiana. Tonight, they'll welcome the Sun to Sin City, and Connecticut will be looking to snap a 6-game losing streak. Las Vegas is a poor 4-9-1 ATS the last two seasons off a SU win, when favored vs. a foe off a SU loss. And it is also 6-15-1 ATS its last 22 when favored by 6+ points off a SU win. Meanwhile, the Sun are 17-4 ATS their last 21 when getting more than 10 points, including 7-0 ATS if they failed to cover the spread in their previous game by 10+. With Connecticut off a 24-point blowout loss to Golden State, as a 9.5-point road underdog, we'll take Connecticut to bounce back on this Wednesday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-24-25 | Sparks -5.5 v. Sky | Top | 86-97 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Chicago Sky. The Sparks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, with losses to the Lynx (twice) and Storm. We'll take L.A. to bounce back tonight, as they'll step down in class to take on the 3-10 Sky. Los Angeles is an awesome 25-12-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, while Chicago is 16-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. And the Sky are 32-56 ATS as a home dog, if they owned a losing record. Lay the points with the Sparks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-23-25 | Mariners -120 v. Twins | Top | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Minnesota Twins. Bryan Woo's role in the Mariners rotation has changed quite a bit this season. Normally Seattle's #4 or 5 starter, the 25-year-old RH has been forced into what is basically the #2 slot -- behind Luis Castillo -- due to first-half injuries to Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, and Bryce Miller. Now Gilbert and Kirby have returned and this should help Woo considerably -- not to mention the Mariners overall. Not that Woo has been doing poorly, in fact just the opposite. In 14 starts covering 89 1/3 innings, Woo is 6-4 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. He'll get start number 15 tonight against a team that he threw a quality start against less than a month ago (May 30). And he's looking for some revenge as, despite allowing just three runs in 6 2/3 innings in that one, the bullpen imploded and the Twins went on to take a 12-6 victory. Woo comes into tonight off his best start of the season, as he one-hit the Red Sox over seven shutout innings last Tuesday. Take the Mariners. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-22-25 | Pacers v. Thunder -8 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 68 h 27 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana. The Thunder were 68-14 in the regular season, which was tops on the league. In the Playoffs, home field advantage is crucial in series that extend to a 7th game. Indeed, Home teams have won 63 of 90 Game 7s, straight-up since 1990. Importantly, the Thunder have won 79% of their games this season. And NBA teams with a win percentage of .777 (or better) have cashed 86% in NBA Game 7s since 1990. Admittedly, OKC laid an egg in Game 6. But that was on the road, where OKC has gone 1-9 ATS in the Playoffs. At home, the Thunder are 9-3 ATS in the Playoffs, and 37-15-1 ATS in the regular season and post-season combined. We'll lay the points with the Thunder. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-22-25 | Fever v. Aces +1.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Indiana. Becky Hammon's women have started the season slowly, with a 5-7 record, and are 0-6 ATS their last six games. We'll take the Aces to bounce back this afternoon against Caitlin Clark & Co., as Las Vegas is a solid 31-21-2 ATS at home off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Indiana, meanwhile, is 17-25-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. WNBA teams off 5+ point spread losses have cashed 56.3% in the regular season. And, finally, the Aces have won 15 straight vs. the Fever (and 23-1 their last 24). They're also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 vs. Indy, including 8-1 ATS as an underdog. Grab the points with Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-22-25 | Mariners -110 v. Cubs | Top | 14-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Chicago Cubs. Over the last three or so seasons (roughly since the acquisition of Luis Castillo from the Reds), the Mariners have consistently had one of the best -- and most reliable -- starting pitching staffs in the League. But that run has hit a bit of a speed bump in 2025. Three of their top starters, outside of the aforementioned Castillo and Bryan Woo, -- Bryce Miller, George Kirby, and Logan Gilbert, have all been battling injuries in the first half of the season. As a result, a team that should probably be at least 10 games over .500 is struggling to stay above that mark right now. Gilbert has been limited to just seven starts all season, but he's returned to action for now and is slated to get his eighth start this afternoon against the Cubs. When Gilbert is right, he's one of the best in the League and the M's are certainly hoping for a return to that form. The 28-year-old RH has been an inter-league machine in his career, going 13-8 with a 2.98 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 28 starts vs. teams from the National League. Take Seattle. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-22-25 | Reds -111 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds over the St. Louis Cardinals. Sometimes, it's easy to tell when a pitcher's breakout season is about to occur. Not so with the Reds' Andrew Abbott. Sure, the 26-year-old had put in two solid seasons in 2023-2024 with an 18-16 record and ERA under four runs. That would have hardly portended that he would become one of the most dominant southpaws in the league this season. But so far, that is exactly what has happened as Abbott is 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 12 starts covering just over 68 innings (the Reds are 9-3 in those 12 starts). And, oh by the way, he also has a complete game shutout to his credit. Abbott will go back to the hill this afternoon against the Cards in St. Louis and that last part is important as in his last three road starts, Abbott has been nearly flawless, allowing no runs on eight hits in 21 innings with 21 strikeouts and only two walks. This will be Abbott's second start of the season vs. St. Louis, and for his career he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in two previous starts here at Busch Stadium. Cincy is also 18-11 (+11.8 net games) in his 29 career road starts. Take the Reds. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-21-25 | Winnipeg v. BC +4.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions + the points over Winnipeg. These two teams met last week, and the Blue Bombers upset the Lions, 34-20, as a 4.5-point home underdog. The Lions are at home for this rematch, and have been installed as a home dog. We'll take BC + the points, as home teams have gone 47-38-3 ATS off a SU/ATS loss if it was playing the same opponent in back-to-back games. And Winnipeg is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. foes off a SU loss, if its foe was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take British Columbia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-21-25 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Calgary. The Stampeders come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Hamilton (38-26) and Toronto (29-19), while the Redblacks have started the 2025 campaign 0-2, with losses at Saskatchewan (31-26) and at home vs. Montreal (39-18). We'll take Ottawa as the underdog as CFL underdogs off back to back losses have cashed 76.5% vs. foes off back to back upset wins. Grab the points with the Redblacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-20-25 | Storm v. Aces +2.5 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over Seattle. The Aces are currently riding a 5-game point spread losing streak after losing at Minnesota, 76-62. We'll take Las Vegas to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as it is 31-20-2 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses. And the Aces are 15-7 ATS vs. the Storm, including 4-0 ATS as an underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-20-25 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over Saskatchewan. The Argos are off to an 0-2 start to the season, while the Roughriders are 2-0. Toronto's been installed as a home dog tonight, and we'll happily grab the points, as winless home underdogs, with an 0-2 (or worse) record, have cashed 67% the last 20 years. And the Roughriders are a woeful 7-27 ATS on the road vs. foes off back-to-back losses. Take Toronto + the points. Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-19-25 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 223 | Top | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, our selection is on the Pacers and Thunder to go UNDER the total. The Pacers find themselves with their backs against the wall tonight. They lost Game 5 to fall behind 3-games-to-2, and now face elimination. It's also the very first time in Indiana's four Playoff series that it has even trailed by a single game. Then, to add to the pressure tonight, its best player, Tyrese Haliburton, is dealing with a calf strain. Haliburton will play tonight but the conditions are far from ideal. Teams (like Indiana) off a loss in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and facing elimination in Game 6 have gone UNDER the total 67% since 1990. The Pacers are also 10-6 UNDER when facing elimination, while OKC is 5-3 UNDER when attempting to close out a series. We'll take Game 6 UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-19-25 | Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees minus 1.5 runs over the Los Angeles Angels. In one of the most unlikely scenarios in MLB this entire season, the Angels go for the four-game sweep in the Bronx over the defending AL Champions. After the Halos shut out the Yanks in the first two games, they won their 3rd straight over New York on Wednesday night by beating them, 3-2. In the series finale this afternoon, the Angels will hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, while the Yankees will turn to one of their two southpaw aces as Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the 16th time this season. Anderson has struggled outside of Anaheim this season. In 7 starts, he has a 6.31 ERA. He's also 0-3 in six daytime starts, with a 5.64 ERA. And his ERA over his last five outings is 7.30. Meanwhile, Rodon -- along with teammate Max Fried -- is having an All Star-worthy first half with an 8-5 record, 3.01 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in just under 90 innings. Rodon's overall numbers vs. the Angels may not stand out much (a 4-4 record with a 4.40 ERA) but most of the eight starts were when he was with other teams. In his last two outings against them as a Yankee, Rodon is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings with 15 strikeouts and one walk. Rodon is 29-22 with a 3.67 ERA in 75 career daytime games (72 starts). Take New York minus 1.5 runs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-18-25 | Mercury v. Sun +13.5 | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over Phoenix. The Sun lost, 88-71, at Indiana last night, as a 17.5-point underdog, while Phoenix won at Las Vegas, 76-70, on Sunday. We'll take the Sun as a double-digit home dog, as unrested home dogs have gone 26-11-1 ATS vs. rested foes, including 15-3-1 ATS off an ATS win. Additionally, double-digit dogs off double-digit losses have gone 35-19-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. We'll grab the points with the Sun. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-17-25 | Oilers +135 v. Panthers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. With their 5-2 victory on Saturday night, the Florida Panthers are now one win away from defending their NHL Championship. And tonight they get to try to close it out at home in Game 6. But don't count the Oilers out of this thing yet. Edmonton has shown it can come back in a series, as it went 3-1 in last year's Stanley Cup Final when facing elimination (Game 4-7), and is 6-2 the last three seasons when facing elimination. And Edmonton is a dominant 16-4 the last three seasons when trailing in a Playoff series. Florida, meanwhile, is 14-11 (minus 1.3 net games) when leading in a Playoff series, and 7-8 when its opponent was facing elimination. And it's a poor 45-41 (minus 17.8 net games) as a home favorite of -200 (or less). The Oilers have not yet announced if it will be Stuart Skinner or Calvin Pickard in goal, but Skinner's puck-handling ability could be the deciding factor. Regardless, we'll take Edmonton as an underdog. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-16-25 | Angels v. Yankees -186 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -186 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Anaheim Angels. The Yankees return home to the Bronx this evening after ending a 6-game road trip on a 3-game losing streak. The Yankees lost to rival, Boston, by scores of 2-1, 4-3 and 2-0 over the weekend. We'll take New York to bounce back on this Monday, as it is 26-13 (+10.1 net games) off back to back losses, and 35-16 (+8.4 net games) when priced at home between -150 and -200. The Angels are a poor team being outscored by 0.88 runs per game this season. And the Yankees' Clarke Schmidt has been very profitable in his career vs. bad teams outscored by at least 0.5 runs per game (17-5, +8.0 net games, compared to 17-27 (minus 15.1 net games) otherwise). Take the Yankees. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-15-25 | Rays v. Mets -147 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Tampa Bay Rays. Griffin Canning spent his first three seasons in the Majors in Anaheim with the Angels, then missed all of 2022 due to injury and came back in 2023 and 2024. Those last two seasons in Los Angeles were not particularly good and so the Angels granted him free agency last November. Canning then signed with the Mets on a team-friendly one-year deal and it's one that New York must be very happy with at this point. In his first season in Queens, the 29-year-old RH is 6-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 13 starts. Start number 14 will come this afternoon against the Rays as Tampa goes for the three-game sweep. Canning is only 1-2 vs. the Rays but has a decent 4.01 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in five games (four starts) against them. In four daytime starts this season, Canning has a 2.79 ERA (vs. 3.40 in nine starts under the lights). And his teams have gone 36-20 (+15.6 net games) in his home starts in his career. Finally, Canning has been the ultimate "stopper" this season, as New York has gone 7-0 with Canning this season following a loss in their previous game. Take the Mets. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Panthers v. Oilers -117 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -117 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. It's hard to recall a bigger game in their history for the Oilers than Game 4 of this Stanley Cup Finals on Thursday night. If Edmonton lost, they would trail 3-1 -- a seemingly impossible situation. And yet it looked like that's exactly what was going to happen at the end of the first period as the Panthers took a 3-0 lead. And dating back to Florida's overtime winner in Game 2, the Panthers had outscored the Oilers 10 goals to 1. But the Oilers clawed their way back with 3 goals in the 2nd period, and finally ended it in dramatic fashion in OT with a goal from their star, Leon Draisaitl. For the second straight game, Edmonton replaced goalie Stuart Skinner with Calvin Pickard but this time the 33-year-old from New Brunswick was outstanding, allowing just one goal with 19 seconds left in the 3rd period, while making 22 saves -- including a couple of critical ones in the overtime period. There's no doubt the Oilers should go with Pickard from the get-go this evening at home, but skipper Kris Knoblach has not announced a starter as of this writing. Regardless, we're on the Oilers, as Edmonton is 66-29 (+13.3 net games) as a home favorite, while Florida has burned money as a road underdog (10-15, -2.5 net games). Take the Oilers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Yankees -158 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Boston Red Sox. If last night's game is any indication, this series is going to be a good one, perhaps hearkening back to Yankee-Red Sox clashes of old. Yankee skipper Aaron Boone didn't get to see the walk-off win by the Sox in the 10th inning from the field as he was ejected after a heated argument with the umps in a game that Boston really needed. Tonight, New York will send Carlos Rodon to the mound for his 15th start of the season. The veteran LHP is having an All-Star-caliber season, with an 8-4 record and 2.87 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in just under 85 innings. After battling injuries for years -- including 2023 in his first campaign with the Yanks -- Rodon is healthy for the second straight season and paying huge dividends. In five career starts here at Fenway Park, Rodon has a very nice 3.72 ERA with 41 strikeouts and 10 walks in 29 innings. And this season he has done his best work on the road with a 4-1 record and 2.61 ERA in six starts away from the Bronx (vs. 4-3 and 3.09 at home). These two pitchers (Rodon and Hunter Dobbins) matched up in the Bronx last week, and Boston won, 11-7. We'll take New York and Rodon to avenge that defeat. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Saskatchewan. The Ti-Cats have been installed as a home underdog on this Saturday after dropping their season-opening game at Calgary, 38-26. We'll happily grab the points, as Hamilton is a solid 76-56-5 ATS as an underdog, including 39-21-2 ATS off a point spread loss, while Saskatchewan is a wallet-busting 19-43-1 ATS as an unrested favorite vs. losing teams. Additionally, in Week 2, CFL underdogs off a double-digit loss have cashed 64% vs. foes off a SU win. Take Hamilton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 | Top | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toronto/Calgary game to go UNDER the total. The Over/Under in this game has been installed north of 50 points. And these two teams have gone UNDER the total in 12 of the last 16 meetings when the O/U line was 50+ points. Last week Calgary blew out Hamilton, 38-26, while Toronto lost to Montreal, 28-10. Teams off high-scoring wins, in which they tallied 38+ points have gone 57% UNDER over the last 20 years. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Liberty v. Fever +5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams met earlier this season in a thriller which went down to the wire. New York escaped with a 90-88 victory as a 4-point road favorite. We'll take Indiana, as Caitlin Clark will be back in the lineup this afternoon. The Fever are a solid 14-5 ATS the last two seasons vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, while New York is a nasty 47-89-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. The Fever were blown out by 19 points by the Dream on Tuesday. But WNBA teams off a SU/ATS loss are on a 29-10 ATS run vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-25 | Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Matt Boyd will get the start for Chicago. He's in terrific form, with just 3 earned runs allowed across his last three starts (19 IP). In Boyd's career, his teams have gone 23-11 as a favorite with him on the mound, and 25-17 (+9.3 net games) vs. division rivals (including 24-18 (+7.3 net games) on the run-line). This season, the Cubs are +8.2 net games on the run line as a favorite, while the Buccos are -11.4 net games on the run-line. And Pittsburgh is an awful 10-23 (-8.1 net games) on the road this season, including 0-5 vs. lefties and 1-7 vs. division foes. Take Chicago -1.5 runs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-13-25 | Thunder -6 v. Pacers | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana. We played on the Pacers in Game 3 and got the $$$ when they upset OKC, 116-107. That SU/ATS loss now makes OKC 0-8 ATS on the road in this year's Playoffs. The strange thing is that OKC set the best regular season point spread mark in the NBA since 1990 with a 54-26-3 ATS record. And they were stellar both at home and on the road (25-13-2 ATS on an opponent's home court; 1-1 ATS on a neutral court in the In-Season Tournament). So, its 0-8 ATS mark in the Playoffs is a head-scratcher. We're going to lay the points notwithstanding this 0-8 mark. The Pacers have been awesome in this Playoffs following a loss (5-0 ATS), and vs. an opponent off a win (9-0 ATS), but they've burned money vs. an opponent off a loss (4-6 ATS, including 1-3 ATS at home). Finally, the Thunder are 36-15 ATS off a SU loss when playing a .611 (or better) foe, including 8-0 ATS their last eight. Take OKC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-13-25 | Sky +12.5 v. Dream | Top | 70-88 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream. The Sky come into this game off a 19-point loss to the Liberty, while the Dream won by 19 over Indiana in its last game. We'll grab the points tonight with Chicago, as double-digit dogs off losses by 15+ points have cashed 61.6% vs. foes off wins by 15+ points. Additionally, Atlanta is an awful 15-31 ATS as a favorite off a SU win vs. foes off a SU loss. Take the Sky + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-13-25 | Montreal v. Ottawa +5 | Top | 39-18 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal. The Redblacks lost to Saskatchewan, 31-26, as a 4-point road underdog last week, while Montreal blew out Toronto, 28-10, as a 7-point home favorite. The Alouettes are favored on the road at Ottawa, and we'll happily grab the points with the home team. Indeed, home dogs of more than 3 points are 9-0 ATS their last nine off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points. Take Ottawa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-12-25 | Oilers +134 v. Panthers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 134 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. Things got ugly on Monday night, both in general and for Edmonton specifically in Game 3. The Panthers completely overwhelmed their opponent at home and ran away with the game, 6-1. Brawls erupted in the third period as the Oilers became completely frustrated with Florida's superior play and forechecking. With the smoke now cleared, Edmonton has a lot of soul searching to do. It appears that the Oilers will stick with Stuart Skinner to start Game 4 tonight, but Kris Knoblauch has said he won't make a final decision until later in the day. Skinner has been running hot and cold and he often follows up horrible performances like Game 3 with very solid play. The other good news for Edmonton is that it has not lost three games in a row since a regular-season skid that started February 7, and the stakes are significantly higher now in this Stanley Cup Final. The Oilers are 34-16 (+11.2 net games) off back to back losses. And they're 10-0 in Game 4 of a Playoff series since 2023. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-11-25 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Game 3 between Indiana and Oklahoma City to go UNDER the total. The Oddsmakers have installed a relatively-high over/under line for this series so far. Game 2 squeaked over the total of 228 when OKC won, 123-107. We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as NBA teams have gone 23-6 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines north of 223, following a Playoff defeat in which they gave up 122+ points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-11-25 | Thunder v. Pacers +5.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Oklahoma City. We played on OKC and its two home games to start this series, but will switch gears and grab the points with the Pacers at home tonight. When you look at how the Thunder are performing on the road in the Playoffs, compared to its home games, there is a stark difference. At home, the Thunder are 8-3 ATS and have covered the point spread by an average of 11.31 ppg. But on the road, it is a horrid 0-7 ATS and has failed to cover the point spread by an average of 13.64 ppg. The Pacers, meanwhile, are 5-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs, and have covered by an average of 3.68 ppg. Even better: Indiana is a dominant 12-0 ATS in the Playoffs when playing with revenge from a Playoff defeat by more than 12 points. With Indy off a 123-107 loss in Game 2, we'll grab the points with Indy tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-10-25 | Sky +18.5 v. Liberty | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over New York. These two teams met last month, and the Liberty blew out the Sky, 99-74, as an 11.5-point road favorite. This game will be played in the Big Apple, and we will grab the points with the revenge-minded Sky. Chicago did lose by 27 points to the Fever on Saturday. But the good news is that the Liberty are a horrid 0-20 ATS when favored by 5+ at home vs. a revenge-minded foe off a loss. We'll grab the points with the Sky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-09-25 | Oilers +122 v. Panthers | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. Two Stanley Cup games; two overtime thrillers. That's how this series would be summed up so far. After falling in OT in Game 1, the Panthers gave the Oilers a little taste of their own medicine, ending Game 2 on an exciting Brad Marchand goal with eight minutes to go in the second extra period. The Oilers will look to get back on track on the road tonight after two full days off. Once again as they did in Game 1, the Oilers out-shot the Panthers in Game 2 on Friday, 46-42. Splitting the first two games of a playoff series has not shown to be a problem for Edmonton as it did the same thing in the Western Conference Finals against Dallas before reeling off three straight victories. And Edmonton is 15-5 in its last 20 road games that followed a home game, and a super 9-4 as a road underdog of +150 or less. Meanwhile, Florida is a poor 50-32 (but minus 5.9 net games) as a favorite this season. Take the Oilers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-09-25 | Blue Jays -109 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the St. Louis Cardinals. You'd be hard-pressed to find a more consistent starter throughout the last decade than the Blue Jays' (and before them, the Twins') Jose Berrios. Now 31-years-old, the RHP is having another typical -- for him -- campaign. His 3.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP are right in line with his career numbers and most importantly, he's on track to have another injury-free season with at least 30 starts. But if there's a problem for him in 2025 it's that Berrios has been a bit of a hard-luck starter and doesn't always get the run support he deserves. It's the main reason he's just 2-2 after 13 starts. The Jays have won the majority of his starts, including the last two and Berrios knows that if he keeps doing what he's good at -- namely, logging quality starts -- then the victories will eventually come. This is the first meeting of these two teams this season, but the Jays swept the series in 2024, including an easy 7-2 win on September 14 when Berrios threw seven innings of one-run, two-hit ball. St. Louis is a wallet-breaking 8-13 (minus 4.7 net games) vs. winning teams with Andre Pallante on the hill. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-08-25 | Pacers v. Thunder -10.5 | Top | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana. The Thunder have been dominant at home this season -- both in the regular season and the playoffs. OKC was 35-6 SU and 28-12-1 ATS at home in the regular season, and is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home in the Playoffs (43-8 SU and 35-15-1 ATS combined). Unfortunately, the Thunder blew a 15-point, 4th quarter lead and lost Game 1, 111-110. We'll take the Thunder to rebound tonight, as they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 (and 40-15-3 ATS their last 58) when playing a .611 (or better) foe, if the Thunder were not off a SU/ATS win. Even better: NBA teams off upset losses have gone 31-22-2 ATS in the NBA Finals. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-08-25 | Astros v. Guardians -141 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Guardians over the Houston Astros. The Guardians won the AL Central pretty comfortably last season (6 1/2 games) but they've round the waters in their division a bit deeper in 2025 as both the Tigers (42-24) and Twins (34-29) appear to be improved. Meanwhile, Cleveland has taken a small step backwards. There have been injuries and some regressions among their best players, including RH Tanner Bibee. The 26-year-old broke out last season with 12 victories and a 3,47 ERA and he parlayed that performance into a new five-year contract to stay in Cleveland. But this year has been more of a struggle as Bibee is just 4-6 after 12 starts although he does seem to do his best work later in the season. He started June off with a quality start against the Yankees and he's looking to follow that up with another good performance today against the Astros. The Guardians are 28-14 in their last 42 day games at home. And they are 30-11 as a favorite with Bibee on the hill (and 14-1 at home with Bibee, if priced from -100 to -150). Take Cleveland. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-07-25 | Dodgers -179 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -179 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cards drew first blood in this series on Friday night with a shutout of the Dodgers. This, despite the fact that Los Angeles out-hit St. Louis by 10-7. It might have been a bit of a throwaway game for the Dodgers as they sent a sixth starter to the mound -- Justin Wrobleski -- due to the fact that it was their eighth game in as many days. Things seemingly get back to normal for L.A. today as it will send out #1 starter Yoshi Yamamoto for his 13th start of the season. The 26-year-old RH had his shortest start of the season last time out, lasting just 3 2/3 innings vs. the Yankees in a 7-3 loss. Yamamoto should be able to put that clunker behind him this afternoon as he faces the Cards for the second time in his career. Last season, Yamamoto threw five shutout innings vs. St. Louis on March 30, allowing just two hits with five strikeouts and no walks. Erick Fedde will toe the rubber for the Cards. And they've lost 16 of his 22 starts since acquiring him from the ChiSox. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-06-25 | Panthers v. Oilers -122 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -122 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. If Game 1 is any indication, this is going to be one heck of a Stanley Cup Finals. Edmonton took the early lead on a first period goal from Leon Draisaitl, only to have Florida tally the next three goals to take what looked like a pretty safe lead two minutes into the second period. But then the Oilers got one more in the 2nd and the only goal in the 3rd to force overtime and they ended it the way they started it -- with a goal from Draisaitl with just 31 seconds to go in the extra stanza. The score may have been close, but the Oilers out-shot the Panthers by a lopsided 46-32 margin. The Oilers were my preseason pick (at +850 odds) to win the Stanley Cup, and I have no reason to doubt them now. Edmonton has its two-headed monster of Draisaitl and Connor McDavid and those two seem to get stronger with each playoff game. The Oilers are 24-7 this season coming off a home win, and they're 8-3 when leading in a playoff series. Meanwhile, the Panthers are a poor 10-15 (minus 2.5 net games) as a road underdog. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-06-25 | Cubs v. Tigers -198 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over the Chicago Cubs. Tarik Skubal -- last year's Cy Young Award winner -- will match up against Ben Brown on this Friday night. Skubal is having another great campaign, and especially here at Tigers Stadium, where he is 4-0 (in 6 starts) with a 1.83 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP. Brown, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, where his ERA is 5.88 in five starts. This will be a tough match-up for the Cubs against the American League's best southpaw, as Chicago is a wallet-busting 23-27 (minus 9.9 net games) vs. lefties. The Tigers have excelled at home this season, with a 21-8 record, including 4-0 their last four. We'll back Skubal and the Tigers tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-05-25 | Pacers v. Thunder -8.5 | Top | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana. The Thunder set the record this season (at least since 1990, the year my database goes back to) for best point spread percentage. Including the in-season tournament, OKC went 54-26-3 ATS in the regular season (67% ATS). It's true that the Thunder are just 7-9 ATS in the post-season. But that includes an 0-7 ATS mark on the road in the playoffs; at home OKC has been terrific, going 7-2 ATS. And at home in the regular + post-season combined, the Thunder are 35-14-1 ATS this season, including 13-1-1 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes. (Dating back to 2022, OKC is 32-11-2 ATS at home vs. the Eastern Conference.) I won't fade these numbers. Lay the points with the Thunder. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-05-25 | Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 231 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 115 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 1 between Oklahoma City and Indiana. The Thunder come into this game off back to back high-scoring wins to eliminate the Timberwolves: 128-126 and 124-94. Off those two offensive outputs, we'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Thursday. Indeed, NBA teams have gone UNDER 65.6% since 1990 following back to back games where they tallied 124+ points. OKC has gone 21-14 UNDER its last 35 home playoff games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-05-25 | Liberty v. Mystics +14 | Top | 86-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over the New York Liberty. These two teams met a week ago here, in the nation's capital, and the Liberty won by 22, 85-63, as a 9-point road favorite. For this rematch, the oddsmakers have significantly raised the price on the Liberty, who are now a big double-digit road favorite. We'll take Washington, as the Liberty are a lousy 46-88 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-10 ATS if they won the previous meeting by a margin ranging from 19 to 29 points. And the Mystics are 9-1-1 ATS as a double-digit home underdog. Grab the points with Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-05-25 | Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees -1.5 runs over the Cleveland Guardians. Max Fried will get the start for the Pinstripes this evening as he looks to continue a sensational start to 2025. Fried is 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 outings. This is a favorable match-up for Fried, as Cleveland is 3-9 vs. lefties this season (and 4-8 vs. lefties on the run-line). And the Guardians are a dreadful 3-10 on the run-line with Slade Cecconi in his nighttime starts, while Fried's teams are 73-50 (+23.2 net games) on the run-line in his nighttime starts. The Yankees have outscored their opponents in Fried's six home starts this season by an aggregate of 50-18. Take New York -1.5 runs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-04-25 | Panthers v. Oilers -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Florida Panthers. With all the talent in the NHL this past season, the chances of getting the Oilers and Panthers in the Stanley Cup Finals again were pretty slim (especially when you consider that neither team was in the top four in their respective Conference, points-wise). But here we are in early June and it's Game 1 with Florida traveling north to Edmonton to face Connor McDavid & Co. The Oilers won the Western Conference title over a very good Dallas Stars team despite the fact that they lost veteran LW Zach Hyman -- surgery to repair an upper body injury -- which is a testament to how deep they are. But if there's a differentiator between these two teams, it's that the Oilers will have home ice advantage. The Oilers are 65-29 (+12.3 net games) as a home favorite, while Florida is 10-14 (minus 1.5 net games) as a road underdog. And the Oilers are 31-11 at home when playing with revenge. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-03-25 | Padres v. Giants -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the San Diego Padres. We played on the Giants last night, and lost an extra innings affair, 1-0. The Giants' starter, Logan Webb, tossed 8 innings of shut out ball, but got no run support, and the home team fell in 10 innings. We'll come right back with San Francisco tonight with Landon Roupp on the mound vs. Ryan Bergert. Roupp has given up just one earned run over his last three starts, across 16 innings. And when he last faced the Padres at home in San Francisco (Sept 15, 2024), he gave up 0 runs in 5 innings. The Giants are 17-9 (+6 net games) off a loss this season, including 5-1 off a shutout loss. And they're 27-15 vs. righties (+10.5 net games), including 15-4 at home. The Padres, meanwhile, are 9-10 on the road vs. righties, and 7-8 (minus 2.4 net games) on the road off a win. Take the Giants. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-02-25 | Padres v. Giants -168 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -168 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the San Diego Padres. Since 2021, you'd be hard-pressed to find a more consistent MLB starter than Logan Webb. In the last 4+ seasons, the Giants veteran RH has averaged over 30 starts (the only season he didn't have at least 30 was 2021 when he was added to the rotation full-time), and he's amassed a combined 55-40 record with a 3.14 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. That's why, when Webb drops two straight decisions, we are quite surprised. But we also know that it's likely only a blip and that Webb will shake it off as he always does and go back to being, well, Logan Webb. So far in 2025, Webb is tied for the lead in the National League with 12 starts and has won five games with a 2.82 ERA, with 84 strikeouts and 17 walks in 73 1/3 innings. Start number 13 will come tonight against a very good Padres club, but Webb should be up to the task. In 15 previous outings vs. San Diego, Webb has a solid 3.26 ERA. Meanwhile, the Padres' Stephen Kolek's career ERA vs. the Giants is 6.00 in four appearances. The Giants are 47-28 (+7.9 net games) with Webb at home. Take San Francisco. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-01-25 | Mercury v. Sparks -4 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks minus the points over the Phoenix Mercury. These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun on May 21, and the Mercury defeated the Sparks, 89-86, as a 4-point home favorite. Still, the Sparks covered the spread, and they're now 23-16-1 ATS vs. Phoenix, including 9-2 ATS as a home favorite. That bodes well for the Sparks. As does the fact that they fall into a 193-125-2 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points with Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-01-25 | Sun +18.5 v. Liberty | Top | 52-100 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the New York Liberty. The Sun upset the Fever as a 10.5-point underdog, 85-83, on Friday. Off that big win, we'll ride the momentum and grab the points with the Sun on Sunday. Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed 58.2% as underdogs off upset wins as a double-digit dog in their previous game. Take Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-31-25 | Knicks v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 108-125 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over New York. We played on New York in Game 5, and were rewarded with a 17-point win. But off that blowout loss, we'll come back with Indiana on Saturday night. The Pacers are a super 17-0 ATS their last 17 (and 52-19-2 ATS their last 73) when rested off a loss, and playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU win if Indiana lost to its opponent by 14+ points in the prior meeting. And underdogs off a win in the conference finals have cashed just 18% the last 20 years when facing elimination. Lay the points with Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-31-25 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 220 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Indiana and New York. Game 5 was won by New York, 111-94, and went under the total of 222.5 by 17.5 points. The Pacers have now gone 27-17 Under the total when attempting to close out a playoff series, while the Knicks are 52-36-5 Under as a road underdog in the Playoffs. Additionally, Game 6s in the Conference Finals, with O/U lines north of 206, have gone Under 61%. We'll look for another low-scoring game on Saturday. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-30-25 | Liberty v. Mystics +8.5 | Top | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Mystics + the points over New York. We played against the Liberty last night, and got the $$$ with the Valkyries. And we will once again fade New York tonight, on the road, playing without rest. Indeed, WNBA teams have cashed just 35.2% on the road off 3+ wins, if they were playing without rest. Even better: Washington is 9-2 ATS its last 11 vs. New York, and 15-4-1 ATS its last 20 as a home dog of 8+ points. Take the Mystics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-29-25 | Pacers v. Knicks -5 | Top | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 43 h 56 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Knicks enter Game 5 down 3-games-to-1 after dropping Game 4, 130-121. We'll lay the points with New York, as home teams down 3-games-to-1 have cashed 62% in Game 5 of a 7-game series after losing Game 4 on the road. Additionally, New York is 37-18 ATS as a revenge-minded single-digit favorite, while Indiana is 1-8 ATS when up 2 games in a playoff series. Lay the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-29-25 | Valkyries +19 v. Liberty | Top | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over New York. These two teams met on Tuesday, and the Liberty blew out the Valkyries, 95-67, as an 18-point home favorite. This game is also being played in the Big Apple, and we'll take the revenge-minded double-digit underdog. Over the last 14 regular seasons, underdogs of 14+ points have cashed 78.6% when playing the same opponent they lost to in their previous game. Even better: revenge-minded road underdogs of 5 (or more) points, off a straight-up loss, have gone 19-0 ATS their last 19 games at New York. We'll grab the points with the Valkyries. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-28-25 | Reds v. Royals +107 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 107 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals over the Cincinnati Reds. The Royals have seen some very good pitchers come through their system in the last several years and maybe by the end of this season, we'll say that you can add Noah Cameron to that list. The lefthander was a seventh round pick by KC in 2021 out of the University of Central Arkansas, so not all that high on most people's radar. But after a strong Minor League campaign that culminated with last season's excellent stint at AAA Omaha (a 2.32 ERA with 62 strikeouts and nine walks in nine starts), the Royals have decided to promote the 25-year-old to the Bigs. Cameron has not disappointed in his three MLB starts so far, pitching to a 0.93 ERA in just over 19 innings with all three outings being quality starts. His lone start here at home was very strong (against the Cardinals) and no doubt Cameron should benefit from the cavernous surroundings of Kauffman Stadium once again. The Royals are 17-11 at home this season (10-5 when playing home at night). Take Kansas City. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-27-25 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 121-130 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between New York and Indiana. We played on the Knicks in Game 3, and they rewarded us with a 106-100 upset win. That game stayed under the total of 223.5 by 17.5 points. The oddsmakers have moved this number south of 223.5, but it's not enough of an adjustment. The Knicks are 19-11-2 Under on the road in the playoffs, while the Pacers are 11-3 Under in the Playoffs following an upset loss. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-27-25 | Valkyries +17 v. Liberty | Top | 67-95 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over the New York Liberty. The Valkyries come into this game off an upset win as a 10.5-point road dog last Friday at Los Angeles. We'll take Golden State + the double-digits on Tuesday, as underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 61.4% since 2006 off a SU win, if they were well-rested with at least 3 days off. Even better: WNBA underdogs off an upset win as a double-digit dog have cashed 62% in the regular season. Grab the points with Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-26-25 | Dodgers -164 v. Guardians | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Cleveland Guardians. After winning the first game of the big weekend series in New York on Friday, the Dodgers proceeded to drop the next two to the Mets, scoring just three total runs in the process. Now they travel to Cleveland for the first time since 2023 for this Memorial Day match-up with the Guardians. It's obviously early in the season still, but if you had to name a top pitcher in the NL for 2025, you would likely say it's the Dodgers' Yoshi Yamamoto. The 26-year-old RH from Japan hasn't missed a start and he leads all starters with a 1.86 ERA and a 5.4 hit rate. Yamamoto has also punched out 68 batters in 58 innings. And although he plays in one of the best pitcher's parks in the league in Dodger Stadium, Yamamoto has done just as well on the road as he has at home with exactly the same amount of innings (29). The Dodgers are 4-1 in the last five meetings with the Guardians going back to August of 2023. Take Los Angeles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-25-25 | Knicks +2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Indiana. The Knicks are in a virtual-must-win situation tonight. Down 2-games-to-none, they can't afford to go down by 3 games, as no NBA team (in 159 series) has ever climbed out of a 3-0 hole. We'll take New York, as it's an awesome 71-28 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against a .500 (or better) foe. Meanwhile, the Pacers are 1-7 ATS when up exactly two games in a playoff series. And favorites off upset wins have cashed just 42% in the semifinals since 1990. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-24-25 | Thunder v. Wolves +3 | Top | 101-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder have had a home/road dichotomy in this year's playoffs. At home, OKC has gone 4-2 ATS, but on the road it's a woeful 0-5 ATS. Tonight, they're favored at Minnesota. And we'll happily grab the points, as Minny is 28-7 ATS as a home dog vs. a .581 (or better) division rival. It's true that OKC won two blowouts at home vs. the Wolves. Unfortunately, OKC is 1-12 ATS in the Playoffs from the 2nd round forward off back to back wins, if it defeated its opponent by double-digits in the previous game. And .720 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 2 of 15 in the playoffs after back to back ATS wins to start a series. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-24-25 | Liberty v. Fever +4 | Top | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over New York. Dating back to last season, Caitlin Clark & Co. are 19-12-1 ATS their last 32. We'll grab the points with the Fever this afternoon, and go against the Liberty, who won 99-74 over Chicago on Thursday. Unfortunately for New York, WNBA teams off wins by 20+ points have covered just 37% vs. .555 (or better) foes. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-23-25 | Pacers v. Knicks -5.5 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana. The Pacers stormed back in the final 3 minutes from a 14-point deficit to stun the Knicks, 138-135, as a 4.5-point road underdog at Madison Square Garden. And that triumph was Indy's 3rd straight upset win in these Playoffs. We'll fade the Pacers in Game 2, as underdogs have cashed just 37% since 1990 in the Playoffs when they were off 3+ upset wins. Even better: New York is a solid 37-17 ATS as a revenge-minded, single-digit favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-22-25 | Wolves +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder trounced the T-Wolves, 114-88, on Tuesday to take a 1-0 lead in this semi-final series. We'll take Minnesota, as Western Conference teams are 34-18-2 ATS when down 1-0 in a series. Additionally, OKC is a dreadful 15-46 ATS off back-to-back wins, if it was playing a .500 (or better) revenge-minded foe off a loss which it defeated by 10+ points in the season's prior meeting. And Minnesota is a super 33-15-2- ATS as an underdog (or PK) when playing with revenge. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-22-25 | Liberty v. Sky +12.5 | Top | 99-74 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the New York Liberty. The Liberty are the defending WNBA Champs, and opened the season with a big win over the previous champion, Las Vegas. We'll fade New York tonight, as it is an awful 16-37 when laying more than 9 points, including 9-27 ATS off a win. And the Sky are 30-22 ATS when catching more than 9 points, including 6-1 ATS at home. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-22-25 | Fever -4 v. Dream | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever minus the points over Atlanta. This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams. The Dream pulled off an upset on Tuesday, as a 7-point road underdog, 91-90. We'll take the Fever in this revenge match, as Atlanta is a wallet-busting 77-101 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. Additionally, Indiana falls into a 63% ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-21-25 | Astros -130 v. Rays | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Tampa Bay Rays. The mound match-up this afternoon features Tampa's Taj Bradley against Houston's Hunter Brown. Bradley has been pedestrian, at best, this season. He is 3-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in nine starts. Tampa has won five of his outings, but is also just 1-5 in his career when installed as a home underdog. Brown, meanwhile, has been one of the best pitchers in the Majors in 2025. In his last start, he was on the wrong end of a 1-0 score. Still, he was masterful, with just one earned run and three hits allowed over eight innings (and nine strikeouts). For the season, Brown is 6-2 with a 1.43 ERA, and eight quality starts among his nine outings. The Rays are 1-14 their last 15 at home vs. American League starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.40 (or better). And Houston is 15-8 as a road favorite with Brown. Take the Astros. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-20-25 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -119 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Florida Panthers. The Hurricanes made short work of the #1-seeded team in the East beating Washington in five games. They out-scored the Caps by a lopsided total of 15-7 and out-shot them in all five of those games, finishing the series five days ago in DC. But while the 'Canes are well-rested for this Conference Finals, the Panthers are anything but, needing seven grueling games to get past the stubborn Maple Leafs. Yes, they finished things impressively, beating the Leafs in Toronto in Games 5 and 7 by identical 6-1 routs, but they were still taken to the brink and have only had Monday off to recover. And Carolina should offer a much stiffer challenge than Toronto did, as evidenced by the 'Canes' suffocating attack throughout the series with Washington -- a very good team in its own right. The 'Canes won the last meeting of these two in January and Florida is 5-9 in its last 14 revenging a same season loss on the road while Carolina is 8-0 in its last eight home games after a three-game win streak. Take the 'Canes. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-19-25 | Mets -133 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:45 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Boston Red Sox. The Mets signed RHP Kodai Senga to a five-year contract when he came over to the Majors from Japan in 2023. He rewarded them right away with an All-Star campaign that season which featured a 12-7 record with a 2.98 ERA in 29 starts. But last year was a lost season as shoulder and calf injuries limited Senga to just a single start. Now 33-years-old, Senga is back and having his best season in the Majors so far. In eight starts, Senga is 4-2 with a ridiculous 1.02 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with 42 strikeouts in just over 44 innings. He'll try to keep it going tonight against the Red Sox, a team he's faced only once before (July of 2023). Senga is on quite a roll at home this season (only one ER in 20 1/3 innings) but he's been pretty incredible on the road as well with a 1.50 ERA in 24 innings away from Citi Field. The Mets swept this series last season, taking all three meetings by a combined score of 19-6. Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-18-25 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -143 | 43 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs 'under' the total. After a blow-out with seven total goals on Wednesday night, these two played a totally different kind of game last night in South Florida, with the Maple Leafs throwing some water on the Florida fire. Toronto shut out the Panthers, 2-0 (their second straight victory in this series by that score), setting up this Game 7 at Scotiabank Arena. So, will this be another offensive explosion like we saw in Game 5 or a taut, defensive battle similar to Friday when the two teams went scoreless for the first 46 minutes, and just a total of just 39 shots were fired on the goaltenders? We're banking on it being the latter. Neither team is going to want to fall behind in this one, so look for some tight play with plenty of fore-checking in the early going. The under is 15-10 in the last 25 meetings of these two clubs and also 6-0 in the last six games in which the Maple Leafs were facing elimination from a playoff series. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-18-25 | Nuggets v. Thunder -7.5 | Top | 93-125 | Win | 100 | 62 h 34 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. The reason teams want home court advantage in the Playoffs is for a decisive Game 7. And home teams have had a distinct advantage in these games. Since 1990, they've gone 62-27, straight-up. And if they were favored by more than 3 points, then they've gone 44-29-2 ATS. Admittedly, the Nuggets have covered the spread in each of the last 4 games. But NBA teams off 3+ ATS losses have gone 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in Game 7s. Even better: the Nuggets are a nasty 46-108 ATS on the road off a point spread win, if their foe was off a loss and failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game. OKC is a super 11-3 SU and 12-2 ATS at home in the playoffs following a double-digit loss. And it is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS its last seven at home off 3 ATS losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-17-25 | Mariners v. Padres -159 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -159 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Seattle Mariners. As regional match-ups go, this one is a great west-coast meeting of two of the best teams in their respective leagues. Although the Padres have a better record than the M's, they have to contend with the Dodgers in the NL West so it's Seattle which is sitting prettier thanks to some very mediocre competition over in the AL. Tonight, the Pads will send RHP Nick Pivetta to the mound for his ninth start of the season. The 32-year-old is having a super season in his first campaign in San Diego as the Pads signed him to a very team-friendly four-year deal back in February. In eight starts covering just over 44 innings, Pivetta is 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with 49 strikeouts and 14 walks. But if you think that's impressive, check out Pivetta's numbers at his new home, Petco Park, this season: 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in four starts covering just over 25 innings. Take the Padres. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-16-25 | Maple Leafs +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 goals over the Florida Panthers. After losing the first two games in Toronto, the Panthers came back to win both Games 3 and 4 at home. But then Florida completely demolished Toronto on the latter's home ice, 6-1, in Game 5. As bad as that performance was for the Leafs, they have no choice but to put it behind them as the series switches back to south Florida tonight. Toronto is 4-0 this season (3-0 on the road) off 3+ losses, and they're 6-1 their last seven road games after allowing more than 5 goals. Three of the first five games of this series have been decided by one goal. Take the Leafs +1.5 goals tonight. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-16-25 | Cardinals v. Royals -147 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -147 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals over the St. Louis Cardinals. In the last two seasons, Cole Ragans has emerged as one of the elite strikeout pitchers in the League. After a mini-breakout in 2023 in which he went 5-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 12 starts, Ragans put it all together last season in a full slate (32 starts). Although the 27-year-old RH saw his ERA rise to 3.14 in 2024, Ragans won 11 games and struck out 223 in 186 1/3 innings (a career-best 10.8 Ks per nine) while finishing fourth in the AL Cy Young. This season, Ragans has seen his ERA rise a bit more but the strikeout rate is even higher with the Florida native punching out over 14 per nine while lowering his walk rate as well (2.9 per nine). Ragans will get his ninth start of the season tonight and it will be his sixth at home. This is the first meeting of these two in 2025. Last season, the Royals took three of four meetings with the Cards in the "I-70 Series." In 22 career inter-league games (15 starts) Ragans is 5-2 with a 3.35 ERA with 117 strikeouts in just under 97 innings. Take Kansas City. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-15-25 | Stars v. Jets -115 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars. Here we are again on the cusp of a Presidents Trophy-winning team begin eliminated from the post-season in the first two rounds. With the Stars' 3-1 victory at home on Tuesday, they now lead the Jets by that same margin (3-1) and a victory tonight would put Dallas one series away from its fourth Cup Finals (not counting the two times that Minnesota got there before moving to Texas). But the Jets played very well in that fourth game in Dallas which could have easily gone their way as they out-shot the Stars 32-24. Look for them to come out with the same aggression tonight at home in a do-or-die situation and don't be surprised if they jump on the Stars early. The Stars are 0-3 in their last three road playoff games when leading in a series while the Jets are 16-5 in their last 21 when revenging a loss vs. an opponent at home. And in this year's playoffs, the Jets are 5-1 at home, compared to 0-5 on the road. Finally, the Jets are a spectacular 57-18 (+25.3 net games) as a home favorite while Dallas is 18-24 (minus 2.8 net games) as a road underdog. Take Winnipeg. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-15-25 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 6 between Denver and Oklahoma City. We played on the UNDERS in Game 3 (our NBA Total of the Year) and Game 5, and got the $$$ in each. And we will come right back with the Under in this Game 6. The first two games of this series were very high-scoring, as they combined for 240 and 255 points. But all three games since have gone Under the total. Game 3 only went for 217 -- and that game also went into Overtime. Next, Game 4 saw the two teams manage just 179 points, and went under the total of 228 by 49. Then, on Tuesday, the Under covered by 4.5 points, as OKC won, 112-105. We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 4th straight game on Thursday, as these two teams have now gone Under in 10 of the last 14 meetings. And the Nuggets are also 9-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 24-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win. Take the UNDER in Game 6. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-14-25 | Knicks v. Celtics -4 | Top | 102-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New York. The Knicks are now in the driver's seat to represent the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals. Boston's Jayson Tatum had surgery to repair his ruptured achilles, and will likely not return until the 2026-27 season. And the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers were bounced from the Playoffs by the #4-seeded Indiana Pacers. Although it will be quite difficult for the Celtics to win the next three games in this series, they certainly can win tonight. And I believe they will rally as a team for this first game without their injured superstar. Boston is 27-10 ATS off an upset Playoff defeat, including 7-1 ATS vs. a division rival. Lay the points with Boston at home in Game 5. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-13-25 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 46 h 5 m | Show |
On Tuesday, at 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Oklahoma City/Denver game. The first two games of this series went for 240 and 255 points. We then had our NBA Total of the Year in Game 3, and that game only went for 217 -- in OVERTIME! Then, Game 4 was even lower scoring, with just 179 points tallied. So, it went under the total of 228 by a whopping 49 points. We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 3rd straight game on Tuesday, as these two teams have played 9 of their last 13 games UNDER the total. And the Nuggets are 8-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 23-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
05-13-25 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana. The Cavs were blown out by 20 points on Sunday night, and need to win three straight games to move on in the Playoffs. They will have two of those three games at home, including this Game 5. We'll fade Indiana, as teams seeded #4 (or worse) have covered just 39% in the playoffs since 1990 after a blowout win over their opponent by 20+ points, including 0-6-1 ATS their last seven. Even better: the Pacers are a poor 11-28 ATS off a home blowout win by 20+ points. Lay the points in Game 5 with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-12-25 | Wolves v. Warriors +5.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 4 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Minnesota. The Warriors dropped Games 2 + 3, and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this quarterfinal series. We'll take Steve Kerr's men to bounce back on Monday, as the Warriors are an awesome 21-4 ATS in the Playoffs off a loss, if their foe was off back-to-back wins (including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the Warriors were off a home loss). Additionally, road favorites (or PK) off back-to-back wins, that lead 2-games-to-1, have cashed just 38.4% since 1990. Finally, Golden State also falls into 73-33, 68-27, 81-39 and 95-49 ATS playoff systems of mine. Grab the points with the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-12-25 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 209.5 | Top | 113-121 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/New York game. By all rights, all three of these games so far in this 7-game series should have gone UNDER the total. Game 1 did not, but that was only due to an overtime session which allowed it to push the closing line of 213. The game was tied at 100 at the end of regulation, so it was a bad beat for under bettors. Games 2 + 3 DID go under the total. And that's the way we'll look for this Game 4. Indeed, Boston and New York are 35-23-1 UNDER the total in their last 59 meetings. Additionally, the Celtics are 12-4 UNDER when they've trailed in a Playoff series, while the Knicks are 35-15 UNDER when they've led in a Playoff series. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-11-25 | Jets +135 v. Stars | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars. The Jets needed to do two things in Game 2 on Friday: 1) stop Mikko Rantanen, and 2) make a statement on the scoreboard. Mission accomplished on both fronts as Winnipeg dominated the contest and came away with a well-deserved 4-0 victory to even this series. It's the second 4-0 win for the Jets over the Stars in less than a month and that bodes well for them the rest of the series, which now switches back to Dallas for Games 3 and 4. No doubt the Stars will come out firing this afternoon so the Jets need to continue the forechecking pressure of Game 2 which resulted in just 21 Dallas shots on goal. The other thing the Game 2 victory did was give Winnipeg goalie Connor Hellebuyck some much-needed confidence as the 31-year-old net-minder has vacillated between brilliant and shaky for most of this post-season. The Jets are 14-3 in their last 17 games coming off a home blowout win by three or more goals (6-1 in their last seven road games in those situations). Take Winnipeg. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-11-25 | Thunder -5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 29 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. These two division rivals alternated wins in their four regular season meetings this season (each going 1-1 in its two home games). So far in this playoffs, they're also alternating wins, with Denver notching victories in Games 1 + 3. We'll lay the points with OKC, as NBA favorites of -4 (or more) points, playing back to back games against a division rival, have cashed 67% since 1990 if they were off a SU loss as a 4-point (or greater) favorite. Additionally, the Thunder are 25-10 ATS off a playoff loss by 7+ points, including a perfect 6-0 ATS when favored by 4+ points. Take OKC. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-11-25 | Red Sox v. Royals -123 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals over the Boston Red Sox. Seth Lugo came out of nowhere last year to have a Cy Young-caliber season (he ended up finishing second for the award). And through his first four starts of 2025, it was looking like the Kansas City veteran RH's 2024 might have just been a one-off aberration. But since then, Lugo has fired off four straight quality starts to get his ERA down to a number that is actually lower than it was at the end of last season. And, more importantly, the Royals have gone 3-1 over that span. Lugo will get start number nine this afternoon at home where he has done by far his best work this season. In five starts here at Kauffman Stadium, Lugo is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA in just over 31 innings (vs. 1-2 and 4.19 in three starts covering 19 1/3 innings on the road). For the Red Sox, it will be RHP Lucas Giolito (and his 8.38 ERA) getting his second start of the season. The Royals have won 14 of their last 17 home games. Take Kansas City. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-10-25 | Celtics -5 v. Knicks | Top | 115-93 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks. Boston blew not one, but two 20-point leads in the first two games of this series. It now finds itself with its back against the wall in Game 3. I like Boston to bounce back, as it is 68-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and 20-2 ATS off back to back upset losses, if favored by 2+ points in its current game. Additionally, defending NBA Champs have cashed 77.2% since 1990 as a road favorite (or PK) off a SU/ATS playoff loss. Lay the points with Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-09-25 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 233.5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Oklahoma City and Denver. The Thunder put up 149 points in a 43-point blowout win on Wednesday. We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday, as teams off 148+ point games have gone 15-6 UNDER their last 21. Likewise, teams off 148+ point games have gone 83% UNDER in the Playoffs since 1990. Denver has gone 13-5 UNDER its last 18 home playoff games (compared to 25-14 OVER on the road), while OKC has gone UNDER 16 of its last 24 road playoff games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-09-25 | Stars v. Jets -115 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars. The Jets lost the first game of this second round series, 3-2. Newly acquired Dallas forward Mikko Rantanen was the main culprit as the superstar had a natural hat trick in that first game on Wednesday, scoring all three of the Stars' goals in the second period. The Jets will need to neutralize Rantanen if they are going to have success the rest of the way. The good news is that Winnipeg out-played the Stars for most of the game, out-shooting them in the third period by a lopsided 10-4 margin. The Jets did everything in that final 20 minutes except put the puck in the net and if they pick up tonight where they left off they should be fine. Winnipeg is 22-5 in 27 games this season when playing its second consecutive at home and it's also 5-1 in its last six revenging a home loss at home. Take the Jets. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-09-25 | Cavs -2 v. Pacers | Top | 126-104 | Win | 100 | 38 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana. The Pacers pulled off back to back upset wins at Cleveland to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the series. But off those 2 upsets we will fade Indiana on Friday night. Indeed, the Pacers are a putrid 1-21 ATS off an upset win, if they also covered as an underdog two games back, and owned a .575 (or better) win percentage. And NBA teams off back to back upset wins have cashed just 40.1% since 1990 when matched up against foes with a win percentage greater than .750. Lay the points with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-09-25 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 126-104 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland/Indiana game. The Pacers have won 4 straight games, by scores of 129-103, 119-118, 121-112 and 120-119. And all four games went OVER the total. We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday evening, as NBA Playoff games have gone UNDER 62% since 1990 if a team has scored 119+ points in its four previous games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-08-25 | Warriors v. Wolves -9.5 | Top | 93-117 | Win | 100 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors won Game 1, but lost a key player when Steph Curry sustained a hamstring injury. Curry will be listed as "day-to-day," but hamstring injuries have a tendency to linger. We'll take Minnesota in Game 2, and go against Golden State which has won its last two games by 103-89 and 99-88 scores. Unfortunately for the Warriors, teams off back to back double-digit road playoff wins have covered just 35.4% since 1990. And the Warriors are also an awful 44-99 ATS off a point spread win, when playing a revenge-minded foe. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-07-25 | Stars v. Jets +109 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars. The #1 seed, and Presidents' Trophy-winning Jets advanced to the second round, but not without a struggle. In fact, it took double overtime in Game 7 for them to get past the St. Louis Blues. One thing is for sure -- Winnipeg will have to play better in round two as the Stars are a step-up from the Blues. The good news is that the Jets seem to have the Stars' number lately, winning three of the four meetings this season (and four of the last five going back to April of 2024). The Stars had to play their entire first round series without the services of star winger Jason Robertson (knee) and it appears he will still be sidelined for the start of this series as well. Like the Jets, the Stars also had to win a grueling seven-game series (vs. the Avalanche) in order to get here, with goalie Jake Oettinger playing well in some games and faltering in others. The Jets are 26-7 in their last 33 games coming off a home win (16-3 coming off a home win when playing at home). Take Winnipeg. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-07-25 | Nuggets v. Thunder -10.5 | Top | 106-149 | Win | 100 | 43 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets upset the Thunder for the 2nd straight meeting when they won, 121-119, on Monday in Game 1 of this quarterfinals match-up. We'll lay the points with OKC in Game 2, as double-revenge-minded teams, favored by more than 10 points, have cashed 67.4% since May 1991 vs. division foes. OKC also falls into another revenge system of mine which is 85-34 ATS since 1990. And the Thunder are a terrific 41-21-2 ATS at home off an ATS loss when playing with double-revenge. Finally, Denver is a dreadful 36-93-3 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, if its opponent was off a SU loss and failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game. Take the Thunder minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
05-07-25 | Knicks v. Celtics -9.5 | Top | 91-90 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New York. The Celts won all four regular season meetings vs. New York, and were 8-1 their last nine vs. the Knicks, going into Game 1. Boston had a 75-55 lead in the 3rd quarter on Monday, and then collapsed, eventually losing in overtime, 108-105. I expect Boston to bounce back strong in Game 2, as it is 26-9 ATS off an upset playoff loss, including 6-0 ATS vs. division rivals. Additionally, NBA teams off home upset losses to #3-seeded division rivals in the Playoffs have cashed 75% since 1990. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
John Ryan | $1,769 |
Jimmy Boyd | $1,523 |
Oliver Smith | $1,420 |
Bobby Wing | $1,245 |
Bobby Conn | $1,187 |
Matt Fargo | $882 |
Michael Alexander | $695 |
Marc Lyle | $656 |
Dana Lane | $598 |
William Burns | $495 |