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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal.  The defending champion Alouettes are 11-3-1, and have already clinched the East division title, and a bye into the semi-final round of the playoffs.  So, its last three games of the regular season are a bit meaningless.  Meanwhile, Ottawa is sitting in 3rd place in the division, and will play Toronto in the first round of the playoffs.  That much is known.  But Ottawa can still leapfrog Toronto in the standings (they play next week) and host the playoff game.  So, this afternoon's game still has great meaning for the Redblacks.  We will grab the points with Ottawa, as defending Grey Cup champs (like Montreal) are a horrible 40-74-3 ATS when favored by more than 4 points, if they weren't off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  Montreal won the season's first two meetings by scores of 47-21 and 24-12.  But double-revenge-minded road dogs have cashed 82% in the regular season if they lost season's prior two meetings by more than 10 points.  Grab the points with Ottawa this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/New York game.  I'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday night, as the Giants have gone 68-45 Under the total when the O/U line was greater than 46 points, while the Bengals are 37-10 Under on the road when the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 336-233-12 Totals system of mine.  Take the Giants and Bengals Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the New York Giants.  Cincy lost to the Baltimore Ravens, 41-38, in overtime last week, while the Giants upset the Seahawks, 29-20.  We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in the Meadowlands, on Sunday night, as they're 16-8-1 ATS as a road favorite, including 8-2 ATS off a SU loss.  Additionally, NFL teams off a SU loss, in which they scored more than 36 points, have covered 64.6%.  Finally, over the last 45 years, the Giants have covered just 39% of home non-division games, if they were off an upset win, and their opponent was off a SU loss.  Lay the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  The Broncos blew out Las Vegas, 34-18, last week.  They'll now host the rested Chargers, who had last week off to rest and regroup following their 17-10 loss to the defending champion Chiefs two weeks ago.  I'll take Los Angeles, as the Broncos are a brutal 4-18 ATS at home off an ATS win, if they were playing a .500 (or better) foe in their current game.  Additionally, each of these teams is playing the 2nd of back to back division contests.  And AFC West teams have covered 62% of division games, if they were off a division loss, and their opponent was off a division win.  Take L.A. minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead.  We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Eagles are 2-2 on the season, and have been outscored by 2.4 ppg. They're now favored by more than a touchdown against Cleveland, which is 1-4 SU/ATS.  I'm not a fan of laying 7+ points with teams that have negative scoring margins, and especially not against opponents with worse won/loss records, as our favorites have covered just 35.7% since 1980.  This season, underdogs in the +7 to +10 price range are a staggering 7-0 SU/ATS!  We'll grab the points with the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in London, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Chicago.  The Bears blew out Carolina, 36-10, and that was their 2nd straight win and cover.  I'll fade Chicago in this game across the pond, as Chicago is a wallet-crushing 35-54 ATS off a win by more than 10 points, including 2-14-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  And it is 0-8-1 ATS its last 9 after covering the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Commodores stunned #1-ranked Alabama last week, 40-35, as a 23-point home underdog. I look for a letdown on Saturday night in Lexington, as winning teams, off an upset win as an underdog of more than 18 points, have gone 2-18 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points vs. a foe off a SU win. That doesn't bode well for Vandy on Saturday. Nor does the fact that the Commodores are 0-8 SU/ATS as underdogs away from home off an upset win. Lay the points with Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Ohio State. The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship. They're currently ranked #3 in the country, and this game vs. the #2-ranked Buckeyes will go a long way toward determining the seeds in the 12-team tournament at season's end. We'll happily grab the points as home underdogs have gone 10-0-1 ATS their last 11 if they were off 5+ wins, and playing an undefeated foe. Likewise, home underdogs with scoring margins of 18+ points (like Oregon), off back to back wins, have cashed 65% since 1985 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Finally, the Ducks are 27-14 ATS in conference games off 4+ wins, while Ohio State is 1-5 ATS on the Big 10 road vs. undefeated foes, when the spread was 4 points or less. Take Oregon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over BYU. We played against Arizona last Saturday, and cashed a huge play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were a 6.5-point underdog, and won that game outright, 28-22. Off that upset loss, we'll take the Wildcats to bounce back at BYU. Since 1980, the Cougars have covered just 25% as a home favorite off a SU win, vs. opponents off home upset defeats. Meanwhile, Arizona is an awesome 17-6 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss. Grab the points with Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over California. The Golden Bears suffered a heartbreaking loss, 39-38, to the undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes last Saturday. They now have to play another undefeated team -- the #22-ranked Panthers. We'll fade California, as it's an awful 0-8 ATS its last 8 (and 1-11 ATS its last 12) off a home game where it lost SU and covered the spread. And Pitt is 5-0 ATS its last 5 home games. Finally, at Game 6 forward, NCAA home teams with a win percentage greater than .750, have cashed 58% when favored by 7 or less points against foes off an ATS win. Lay the points with Pitt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Elks to go UNDER the total. The defenses of these two teams are both surrendering a lot of points. The Elks' defense is giving up 28.25 ppg, while the Stampeders' defense is allowing 30.0 ppg. The upshot is that each team has tended to play high-scoring games that have gone over the total. The Elks have gone 10-5-1 over the total, including each of its last two games, while the Stampeders have gone 9-6 over. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here. But we will run the other way, and look for this game to go under the total, as Edmonton is 7-0-1 UNDER following back-to-back overs. Additionally, the first two meetings between these teams went over the total. However, CFL games have gone UNDER 60% if the season's two prior meetings both went over. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians 'over' the total.  Pretty much everything that can be said about Tarik Skubal's pitching has been said.  The presumed AL Cy Young winner was brilliant this season going 18-4 with a league-leading 2.39 ERA and 228 strikeouts.  But what may not be as well-known is how the Tigers support their 27-year-old southpaw ace at the plate.  In fact, in Skubal's last 12 regular season starts, the Tigers scored six or more runs six times.  With everything on the line today, Cleveland will go with its own lefthander in Matthew Boyd.  The 33-year-old has been very good since joining the Guardians in June but he's heading into uncharted waters today in this winner-take-all matchup.  The over is 11-6 in Skubal's last 17 starts as a road favorite.  Take the 'over.'  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts to go Under the total.  We played on the Under in Winnipeg's game vs. Hamilton last week, and were rewarded with a low-scoring 31-10 win by the Blue Bombers.  That moved Winnipeg's O/U record this season to 13-3 Under the total.  These two teams met in Toronto earlier this season, and the Argos won a very low-scoring game, 16-14.  Winnipeg is 93-62-4 Under the total when playing with revenge, including 75-38 when the O/U line was 49+ points.  Take Winnipeg + Toronto Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Seattle Seahawks.  We played against the Niners last Sunday, and got the $$$ when Arizona pulled off a 24-23 upset, as a 7-point road underdog.  But off that big upset defeat, we'll take San Francisco to bounce back at Seattle.  Indeed, the Niners are a sensational 71-33-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they were favored by 3+ points in their previous game, including 28-7 ATS if the 49ers owned a losing record off the defeat.  San Francisco has also won five straight vs. the Seahawks (covering four of the five).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies have been competitive at home this season, with a narrow, 30-24, loss to Liberty (as a 22-point dog), and a 50-40 loss to New Mexico (as a 9.5-point dog).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Aggies were shut out, 48-0, by Fresno (as a 20-point dog), and blown out, 31-11, by Sam Houston St. (as a 15-point dog).  Taken together, the Aggies have covered the spread by an average of 7.75 ppg in their home FBS games, but have FAILED to cover the spread in their road FBS games by 16.5 ppg.  Given that this game is being played in Jacksonville, New Mexico St.'s home/road splits don't bode well for it on Wednesday night.  Even worse:  the Aggies are 21-42 ATS when getting 20+ points, including 0-5 ATS when rested.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Mets. After another loss to the Mets yesterday, this is a must-win situation for Philadelphia. The Phils will turn to southpaw Ranger Suarez tonight to keep their post-season hopes alive. The 29-year-old was the Phillies' best starter in the first half of the 2024 regular season but an injury derailed him right after the All-Star break and it took him a while to get back on track. He showed some signs of his earlier self in September. And the extra time off that Suarez has had -- he hasn't pitched since September 27 -- should help him tonight as he goes out to even this series. And Suarez pitched very well against the Mets this season, going 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA in three starts covering just under 16 innings. Take the Phillies. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win.  This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night.  Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs.  And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:38 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees 'under' the total.  Game 1 of the ALDS was a back-and-forth affair with five lead changes before the Yankees finally prevailed, 6-5.  Game 2 is tonight, back in the Bronx, and it will feature a pair of southpaw starters who have been pretty stingy lately.  Carlos Rodon finished the season with a career-high 16 wins.  And although his overall ERA of 3.96 in 32 starts doesn't jump off the page at you, the 31-year-old really turned it up in the second half.  In 12 starts after the break, Rodon went 7-2 with a 2.91 ERA.  He also flourished at home this season, going 9-2 with a 3.11 ERA in 14 starts here at Yankee Stadium.  LH Cole Ragans of the Royals broke out in a big way this season, going 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA in 32 starts with 223 strikeouts in 186 1/3 innings.  He shut down the Orioles in Game 1 of the Wild Card series, throwing six innings of shutout, four-hit ball with eight strikeouts in a 1-0 victory.  The under was 13-2 in Ragans' 15 road starts during the regular season.  And the under has also cashed his last 7 starts, overall.  Take Game 2 under the total.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Cowboys come into this game off 3 straight ATS losses to the Saints, Ravens, and Giants, though they did win straight-up, 20-15, in the Thursday Night Football game vs. New York.  We'll take Dallas to get off the point spread schneid tonight, and grab the points with the underdog.  Indeed, Dallas is a solid 61.2% since 1980 off back-to-back ATS losses, if they won their previous game, straight-up (and 73% off 3 ATS losses).  Also, in NFL match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, underdogs of less than 6 points off 3 ATS losses have gone 68-46-3 ATS, including 31-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series.  We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%.  Even better:  the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat.  We'll lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals were favored by 3.5 at home vs. Washington last Sunday, but were blown out 42-14.  Meanwhile, San Francisco smashed New England, 30-13.  We'll take Arizona to rebound , as road underdogs off double-digit upset losses have covered 63% since 1980 vs. division foes off double-digit wins.  That bodes well for Arizona.  As does the fact that San Francisco is 4-18 ATS at home when favored against an opponent not off a win.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas.  The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday.  I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship.  Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg.  That bodes well for the road team.  Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%.  With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%.  And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Jaguars have started the 2024 season with four straight losses.  We did play on the Jags last week, and were rewarded with an ATS win when the Jags fell by just four points, 24-20.  Here, they're favored vs. Indianapolis, and we'll lay the points, as winless teams (at Game 5 forward) have gone 83-59 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  The Ravens have been installed as a small road favorite at Cincinnati.  And when the Ravens are a road favorite, they've gone UNDER the total 50-31-2.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday.  As does the fact that division games that are competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 or less, have gone 211-156 (57.4%) UNDER when the O/U line was 45 (or more) points.  Take the Ravens + Bengals Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins over the New England Patriots.  Miami was embarrassed on Monday Night Football when they got blown out by Tennessee, 31-12, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  We'll look for the Fish to bounce back on Sunday, as underdogs (or Pk'em teams) off upset losses by more than 17 points on MNF have gone 10-1 ATS.  Even better:  the Patriots are a poor 0-8 SU/ATS vs. losing teams.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Washington.  The Browns were a 2.5-point road favorite at Las Vegas, but were upset by the Raiders, 20-16.  They're now a road underdog at Washington, which comes into this game off back to back upset wins.  We'll grab the points with Cleveland as underdogs off upset losses have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Additionally, Washington is a woeful 31-72 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) vs. opponents that don't own a winning record.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  The Panthers were 2-15 last season, and scored just 13 points in their first two games this season before benching QB Bryce Young.  With Andy Dalton under center, the offense has looked much better, and the Panthers scored 36 at Las Vegas, and then put up 24 in defeat vs. Cincy.  This week, the Panthers have been installed as a road underdog at Chicago.  We'll grab the points, as Carolina is 49-30 ATS as a road dog vs. .500 (or worse) teams, including a perfect 8-0 ATS off a point spread loss, if their foe was off a SU win.  Additionally, the Bears are a brutal 43-64-4 ATS off a SU/ATS win if their foe was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Panthers.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning (in a game played in London, England), our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Minnesota.  The Jets were upset, 10-9, by the Denver Broncos last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll take New York to bounce back on Sunday.  Indeed, Aaron Rodgers' teams have been terrific with him under center when coming off a SU/ATS loss, as they've gone 58-29 ATS, including 10-3 ATS as an underdog.  And Rodgers' teams have also gone 56-35 ATS in his starts vs. opponents off a SU/ATS win.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats stunned Utah, 23-10, as a 7.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade Arizona as a home favorite this weekend.  Indeed, the Wildcats are a woeful 4-17-1 ATS as a favorite off an outright win as an underdog (or PK), including 1-12 ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Miami-Fla.  Something's gotta give on Saturday night in Berkeley, as California owns the 12th-best scoring defense (12.7 ppg), while Miami owns the 2nd-best scoring offense (49.4 ppg).  I like the defensive-minded home dog, as California is 16-7-1 ATS its last 24 as a home dog, while Miami is 2-14 ATS away from home off an ATS loss.  Additionally, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, with a defense that gives up < 14 ppg, have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take California.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Michigan.  This is a rematch of the National Championship game won by the Wolverines last January.  Michigan is off to a 3-1 start this season after downing Minnesota, 27-24, last Saturday, in Ann Arbor.  Meanwhile, Washington is 3-2, and enters off a tough loss at Rutgers last week.  We'll fade Michigan, as defending National Champs are a dismal 16-37 ATS away from home off back-to-back wins, when not favored by 7+ points (including 0-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss).  Lay the points with Washington.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Gophers last week, and got the $$$ in a 27-24 loss to the Michigan Wolverines.  Minnesota is back home on Saturday, and will welcome the USC Trojans to Huntington Bank Stadium.  Unfortunately for the Gophers, they're a brutal 0-6 SU/ATS at home when not favored by 3+ points.  And Minnesota also falls into a negative 103-182-6 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans are 3-0 ATS this season in its FBS games, after covering the spread at Washington State, in a 54-52 overtime defeat its last time on the field.  Meanwhile, Nevada is 2-2 ATS in its 4 FBS games, but did blow out FCS Eastern Washington, 49-16, its most recent game.  Even though San Jose is 3-0 ATS, we'll fade it on Saturday night, as the Spartans are a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS after covering the spread in its three previous games.  And Nevada is a solid 13-7 ATS vs. opponents that did cover the spread in each of their three previous games.  The Spartans also fall into a negative 24.1% ATS system of mine that fades certain home favorites off road losses.  Grab the points with Nevada.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa State.  The Bears enter this game off an upset home loss to Big 12 Conference rival, BYU, last Saturday.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Bears to bounce back in Ames on Saturday night, as Baylor is a super 14-3-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss.  The Bears also play this game with revenge from a 30-18 loss in Waco last October.  And the revenger in this rivalry is 11-2-1 ATS, including 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 44-7 blowout loss at Jacksonville St. in their last game.  Officially, the Golden Eagles are 0-2 SU/ATS in their FBS games this season.  But they were on their way to another SU/ATS loss in their season opener at Kentucky, before that game was halted in the 3rd quarter due to lightning strikes.  Dating back to 2019, the Golden Eagles are 19-29 ATS, including 4-19 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  And they're also 0-9 ATS in home conference games off a double-digit non-conference loss.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Elks currently sit in 4th place in the West division, and need to win on Saturday to avoid being eliminated from playoff contention.  After covering six straight games, from August 3 to September 7, the Elks lost back-to-back games to Winnipeg, including a 55-27 defeat last Friday.  We'll take the Elks to bounce back off that debacle, as underdogs have gone 39-25-2 ATS off a loss by 28+ points.  Likewise, teams have cashed 78% following a road loss in which they gave up 55+ points.  Finally, the Roughriders are 0-10 ATS as a road favorite of less than 7 points vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points with Edmonton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Marshall.  Appalachian State got a much needed week off after losing to South Alabama 16 days ago.  The Mountaineers were favored by 8.5 points at home vs. the Jaguars, but fell behind, 28-0, in the 2nd quarter, and got buried, 48-14.  I like the Mountaineers to bounce back in Huntington.  App State is 12-4 ATS its last 16 as an underdog, and is 11-1 SU and 8-2 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  the Thundering Herd are a wallet-breaking 8-23 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Appalachian State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the North Carolina/Pittsburgh game.  The Panthers rolled up 73 points in their last game.  But that was against Youngstown St., an FCS division school.  Pitt will find the sledding a lot more difficult Saturday at North Carolina, and I look for a relatively low-scoring game.  Indeed, road favorites have gone UNDER 68% in FBS games following an FCS win, in which they scored more than 50 points, if the O/U line was > 59 points.  And North Carolina has gone 27-16 UNDER as a home underdog, and also 67% UNDER vs. foes that topped 50 points in their previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Syracuse.  The Rebels routed Fresno State, 59-14, last Saturday and are a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS this year.  Off that 45-point win, we'll ride with the Rebels on Friday night.  Syracuse will make the trek out West after starting the season with four straight home games.  The Orange hammered Holy Cross last week, 42-14, and are 3-1 on the season.  UNLV has been dominant in its non-conference games, going 21-7 ATS its last 28 vs. non-conference FBS foes.  Even better:  the Rebels are 15-0 ATS off a win by more than 28 points, if their opponent wasn't off an upset loss.  Lay the points with UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory.  The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece.  We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2.  Even better:  Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss.  And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win.  Take the Sun minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Winnipeg game.  Last week, Winnipeg erupted for 55 points in a 55-27 blowout of Edmonton.  But prior to that offensive explosion, the Blue Bombers had averaged just 23 ppg.  And they had gone UNDER the total in 12 of their previous 14 games!  Winnipeg has also gone UNDER in 24 of the last 34 meetings with Hamilton.  We'll look for Winnipeg to revert to form on Friday, and take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Tampa Bay.  This is Atlanta's 3rd straight home game.  And perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm.  The Falcons didn't cover the spread two games back vs. Kansas City.  And they also didn't cover the closing line last week vs. New Orleans.  But home teams playing their 3rd straight home game, that failed to cover the spread in the previous two, have gone 65-42-3 ATS.  Additionally, Tampa blew out Philly last week, 33-16.  But road underdogs (or PK) off 14-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 111-166 ATS.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over the Troy Trojans.  Last season, the Trojans blew out the Bobcats, 31-13, in San Marcos.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bobcats tonight, as favorites of more than 7 points have gone 75-42-1 ATS their last 118 when playing away from home with revenge.  Additionally, Troy has been terrible in front of its home faithful, as it's gone 26-45-1 ATS its last 72 at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat.  Even better:  the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York.  The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77.  We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss.  And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog.  Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs.  Grab the points with the Aces.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Miami game.  The Dolphins come into this game off an outing where they scored just 3 points (a 24-3 loss to the Seahawks).  And Miami has played each of its first three games Under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with backup QB Tyler Huntley getting the start.  But NFL teams tend to go OVER the total in Week 4 after commencing a season with 3 straight Unders, and especially when the O/U line is in the 35 to 42.5-point range (42-22-1 OVER).  Indeed, yesterday, the Falcons, Steelers, Vikings and Bears all went Over the total after starting the season with 3 Unders (only the Chargers went Under on Sunday after starting with 3 Unders).  Take the Titans/Dolphins OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Las Vegas Raiders.  The Browns were upset by the New York Giants last week, 21-15. I like Cleveland to bounce back, as it’s 13-2 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent which isn’t a winning team. Also, the Raiders have been horrible at home vs. losing teams when not getting 3 or more points, as they’ve gone 24-60 ATS. Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington.  The Cardinals lost at home to Detroit, 20-13, last week, while the Commanders upset Cincy on Monday Night, 38-33.  We’ll take Arizona to bounce back at home, as it is 35-11 ATS at home off a home loss when it wasn’t favored by 6 or more points.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Milwaukee Brewers.  Welcome to MLB Final Sunday.  It's the only day of the MLB Season when every game begins at the same time.  While the Wild Cards in the American League are settled, the situation in the National League comes down to today and possibly even Monday when the Mets and Braves play a double-header.  But, for today, the Mets will be wrapping up their series in Milwaukee against the Brewers, who have already punched their ticket with another NL Central division pennant.  New York will send LH David Peterson to the mound for the 21st time this season, as they look to snap their 3-game losing streak.  The veteran southpaw is having a breakout campaign, going 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 20 starts covering 114 innings.  This will be Peterson's first start of 2024 against the Brewers.  And he has done his best work on the road this season.  In 11 starts away from Queens, Peterson is 5-1 with a 2.88 ERA (vs. 4-2 and 3.35 in nine starts at Citi Field).  And New York is a solid 23-17 (+7.0 net games) on the road off a loss.  Take the Mets.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jaguars were annihilated on Monday Night Football by the Buffalo Bills.  Buffalo scored touchdowns on its first 5 possessions, and had a 34-3 lead at halftime. The final score was 47-10, and the Jaguars are now 0-3 on the season. We’ll take Jacksonville to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as underdogs have gone 48-28 ATS following a blowout loss on Monday Night Football by 20+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Indianapolis game.  The Steelers have the best defense in the league, as they’re giving up just 8.66 points per game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here. But consider that great defensive teams with scoring averages of less than 11.6 points per game, have gone OVER the total 130-99 since 1980, at Game 4 forward.  I’ll take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota.  Last week, the Vikings were a 1.5-point home dog, and they blew out Houston, 34-7. Minnesota is now 3-0 on the season. Unfortunately, undefeated teams off upset home wins by more than 20 points have gone 1-12 ATS when they weren’t favored by 4+ points. Even worse: the Vikings are 5-13 ATS on the division road when facing a foe with a .625 (or better) win percentage.  We’ll fade Minnesota as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the New Orleans Saints.  When these two teams last met in the final week of the 2023 season, the Saints blew out the Falcons, 48-17. We’ll take Atlanta in this game, as NFL favorites off a SU loss, who are playing with revenge from a game where they gave up 48 or more points, have gone 10-1 ATS. Take the Falcons.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Saints on the road, 15-12. But they’re now playing their 2nd straight road game. And winning teams are a poor 68-95-5 ATS on the non-division road, if they won outright as a road underdog in their previous game, and their opponent wasn’t off a SU/ATS win. With Tampa off an upset loss to Denver, we’ll take the Bucs to bounce back here at home on Sunday.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Carolina game.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog.  And they've gone 16-4 UNDER when they were a home dog.  Even better:  the Bengals have gone 37-9 UNDER away from home when the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Carolina.  The Bengals are one of the most disappointing teams in football, with an 0-3 record. But we’ll lay the points with Cincy and go against a Panthers team off a 36-22 upset win at Las Vegas. Indeed, winless favorites of more than 3 points have gone 28-11 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver.  There has only been one team to have covered as a favorite of 6 or more points this season.  And that was the New York Jets last week, when they blew out the Patriots, 24-3, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But, overall, favorites of -6 or more have gone 1-12 ATS this season.  Still, I like the Jets here as a big favorite, as NFL teams (like Denver) off 19-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 130-177-8 ATS in their next game.  And Denver is also 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 15-30 ATS its last 45) off an upset win when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the LSU/South Alabama game.  The Over/Under number for this game has been installed in the mid-60s.  I look for a relatively low-scoring game, as the UNDER falls into a 70-23 Totals system of mine.  Moreover, the Jaguars have gone 41-23-3 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 54 points.  Take LSU and South Alabama UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have been installed as a huge underdog in East Lansing.  Unfortunately, Michigan State has been miserable in the role of a big dog, as they've covered just one of their last 11 when getting more than 13 points.  Ohio State is absolutely loaded with talent this season, and is the current favorite (at 7-2 odds) to win the National Championship.  The Buckeyes have completely dominated Sparty the last eight years, as they're 8-0 SU.  They're also 7-0 ATS over the last seven seasons vs. MSU, covering the spread by an average of 14.21 ppg.  And Ohio State is 75-48-4 ATS as a road favorite.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Stanford.  Last week, the Cardinal upset Syracuse in their maiden ACC Conference game, 26-24, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Off that huge upset win, we will fade Stanford in Death Valley on Saturday night.  Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-41 ATS off an upset win, including 0-9 ATS when catching 13.5 (or more) points.  And Clemson is a sensational 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 8-0 ATS when favored by 19+ points.  The Tigers blew out NC State, 59-35, last Saturday.  And that bodes well for Dabo Swinney's men, as Clemson is 19-3 ATS after scoring more than 56 points.  Lay the wood with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Ottawa game.  The O/U line for this game has been installed at 51.5.  We'll take the UNDER, as the Redblacks have gone 13-5 UNDER on the road when the O/U line was north of 51 points.  Likewise, the Roughriders are 18-8 UNDER at home when the O/U line was greater than 51 points.  These two teams met in Ottawa last month, and that game finished in a 22-22 tie -- easily going UNDER the total of 48.5 -- as it was tied at 13 at the end of regulation.  The number for this game is considerably higher, and I think the value is squarely on the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines last Saturday as a home underdog vs. Southern Cal, and were rewarded with a 27-24 upset victory.  This week, we'll switch gears and go against Sherrone Moore's men as a big favorite vs. the Gophers.  The Wolverines have gone 0-8-1 ATS at home following an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Even worse:  after defeating USC at home, conference foes have covered just 15 of 46 conference games.  Finally, Big 10 Conference teams, after an upset home win the previous week, have gone 2-18 ATS at home vs. .600 (or worse) conference foes.  Look for U-M to suffer a letdown on Saturday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over the NC State Wolfpack.  Last week, the Huskies were upset, 23-20, by Buffalo.  And that upset loss followed Northern Illinois' huge upset win at Notre Dame, as a 27.5-point road dog.  Certainly, it wasn't a surprise that the Huskies had a letdown following its win in South Bend.  After all, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame generally fall flat in their subsequent game.  But off its own upset defeat, we'll take Northern Illinois to bounce back on Tobacco Road against NC State.  The Huskies are a sensational 54-28-1 ATS as a road underdog.  And they're also 9-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS on the road.  Meanwhile, NC State is a poor 3-13 ATS as a favorite/PK vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take N. Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and British Columbia Lions to go UNDER the total.  The Ti-Cats have gone 'over' the total each of their last 3 games, including a 33-31 victory at Toronto last week, which went over the total of 52.5 by 11.5 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially because the previous meeting between these teams this season was a 44-28 win by BC.  But Hamilton has gone 20-9 UNDER its last 29 road games where the O/U line was 47+ points.  And CFL games have also gone 77-56-1 UNDER when a team played its previous three games Over the total, and went Over by 7+ points in its previous game.  Take the Lions & Tiger-Cats UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over the Washington Huskies.  Washington comes into this game off a 24-5 blowout win over Northwestern, while Rutgers moved to 3-0 last week with an upset win, 26-23, at Virginia Tech.  Greg Schiano's Scarlet Knights have been installed as a small home favorite vs. the Huskies.  And we'll lay the points, as Rutgers is 18-9 ATS its last 27 as a favorite.  Additionally, Big 10 Conference teams are a woeful 35-58-3 ATS in their first road game of the season, if they were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Chicago Cubs.  The Phillies have clinched another post-season appearance and they could have clinched another division title as well with a win over the Mets last night but that didn't happen.  So now, with their Magic Number at one, the Phils only need a win over the Cubs today -- a seemingly easier task than they had on Sunday.  They'll send one of their best to the mound tonight in RHP Aaron Nola.  The 31-year-old is not the ace of the staff anymore and that's likely fine with him as he's still one of the top starters in the league.  In 31 starts this season, Nola is 12-8 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with 183 strikeouts in just over 188 innings.  This will be Nola's first start of the season vs. the Cubs, but for his career, he has a 6-2 record against them in nine starts covering just under 56 innings.  Nola has done his best work at home this season as he is 6-4 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 16 starts here at Citizens Bank.  Additionally, the Phillies are 24-10 (+8.2 net games) their last 34 at home with Nola on the mound.  Take the Phillies.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  Last week, Arizona annihilated the L.A. Rams, 41-10.  But off that high-scoring win, we'll fade Arizona as a home dog on Sunday.  Indeed, home teams have been poor (92-126-2 ATS) in non-division games off a win the previous week, in which they scored more than 40 points.  Additionally, the Lions are 21-6 ATS under coach Dan Campbell, if their opponent was not off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  The Rams were annihilated last week, 41-10, by Arizona.  But off that 31-point loss, we'll take the Rams as a huge home dog vs. San Francisco.  Indeed, NFL home dogs off losses by 27 (or more) points, have gone 161-113-4 ATS since 1980.  The Rams are also a solid 21-14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always.  Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Las Vegas.  The Panthers have been the worst offense in football to start the season.  They scored just 10 points in Week 1 and managed only 3 last week in their 2nd game.  Andy Dalton will get the start at QB this week for the Panthers, and we'll take the underdog, as teams that start the season 0-2 SU/ATS, while not scoring more than 10 points in either game, have gone 17-7 ATS in Week 3.  Additionally, teams (like the Raiders) off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have gone 44-59-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have been the most impressive team thus far, with blowout wins over the Panthers and Cowboys.  And New Orleans has scored 93 points across those two games.  But teams off back to back high scoring SU/ATS wins, in which they tallied 35 (or more) points in each game, have covered just 42 of 100 vs. foes off a SU loss.  With Philly, indeed, off an upset loss to the Falcons this past Monday, we'll grab the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Pittsburgh Steelers/Los Angeles Chargers game.  Both the Chargers and Steelers come into this game playing great defense.  Los Angeles held the Raiders to 10 and the Panthers to 3, while the Steelers held Atlanta to 10, and Denver to 6.  Teams that opened the season with 2 strong defensive games, and held each of their two opponents to 15 (or less) points, have gone OVER the total 71% since 2007.  Take the Steelers/Chargers OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Green Bay/Tennessee game.  Last Sunday, the Packers upset the Indianapolis Colts, 16-10, as a 2-point home underdog.  This week, Green Bay will travel to Nashville to play a Titans team which lost its first two games by the identical score of 24-17.  Green Bay is 65-37 OVER the total after not scoring 17+ points in its previous game, while Tennessee is 59-41 OVER the total off a point spread loss.  Take the OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New York Giants/Cleveland Browns game.  The defenses of these two teams have not played well thus far.  The Browns' defense is allowing 23 ppg (ranking #23), and gave up 33 to Dallas (which only scored 19 vs. New Orleans).  Meanwhile, the Giants are allowing 24.5 ppg (ranking #26).  By my math, this Over/Under line is too low, and the value is on the OVER.  Additionally, the Browns are 9-3 OVER the total off a win, and the OVER also falls into 82-35 and 60-18 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Kansas State.  The Cougars moved to 3-0 with a 34-14 blowout win in Laramie, as a 10-point road favorite vs. the Wyoming Cowboys last weekend.  BYU has been installed as a big home dog vs. the ranked Wildcats.  We'll grab the points, as undefeated home dogs with a 3-0 (or better) record, off a double-digit cover, have cashed 62.2% vs. conference foes since 1980.  And the Wildcats have covered just 11 of their last 34 games as road favorites.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Longhorns are ranked #1 in the country, and looked great with "backup" quarterback Arch Manning at the helm.  Texas smashed UTSA, 56-7, after erstwhile starter, Quinn Ewers, was injured in the 2nd quarter of that game.  Ewers was downgraded to "doubtful" for this week's game vs. the Warhawks, and we'll lay the points with Manning under center.  Texas is one of 3 teams with 3 SU/ATS wins vs. FBS competition this season (Pitt and Arizona St. are the other two).  Texas is 12-4-1 ATS when laying 32+ points vs. non-conference foes, while Monroe is a wallet-breaking 22-39 ATS in non-conference games when getting 24+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Boston College.  The Spartans are 3-0 after pounding Prairie View, 40-0, last weekend.  We'll take the Spartans + the points, as they're 47-25-2 ATS off a SU win, when playing on the road vs. winning foes.  Meanwhile, Boston College falls into a negative 63-130 ATS system of mine following its loss last week vs. Missouri.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia Southern.  Ole Miss has taken no prisoners this season.  It's 3-0 SU/ATS after blowout wins over Furman (76-0), Middle Tennessee (52-3) and Wake Forest (40-6).  I won't step in front of this freight train, as Ole Miss falls into a 133-84-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with big scoring margins.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Tennessee.  The 3-0 Sooners have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 Tennessee.  And we'll happily take the points with the home team, as Oklahoma is a sensational 49-26-3 ATS at home when not favored by more than 21 points.  Additionally, the home teams have gone 193-145-9 ATS in matchups between top-level teams (with win percentages of .875+) that are both off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami/South Florida game to go UNDER the total.  The Hurricanes will travel to Raymond James Stadium on Saturday night to take on the Bulls.  We'll take the UNDER, as South Florida is 6-1 UNDER its last 7 non-conference FBS games, while Miami is 20-10 Under the total when the O/U line has been 60+ points.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 70-22 totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Toledo.  Western Kentucky is a super 41-12 ATS when priced from -1 to +10 points vs. FBS competition.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Hilltoppers.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  This Dallas metroplex rivalry has favored the underdog (24-15 ATS) and the revenge-minded team (21-14 ATS).  SMU falls into both categories on Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points with the Mustangs.  Additionally, TCU is a terrible 24-48-3 ATS vs. revenge-minded winning teams.  Take SMU.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Memphis.  Navy is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Bucknell (49-21) and Temple (38-11), while Memphis is 3-0 following wins over North Alabama (40-0), Troy (38-17) and Florida State (20-12).  The Midshipmen have been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points.  Since 1980, home dogs of +8 (or more) points are 90-63 ATS in FBS games after back to back wins by > 7 points.  And Memphis is a miserable 13-37-2 ATS when favored by 13 or less points vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Navy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the USC Trojans.  The defending champs have gotten off to a slow start this season.  They're 2-1 SU, but 0-3 ATS.  Michigan has been installed as a home dog vs. USC, and we will happily grab the points.  USC has burned bettors' money over the years when installed as a road favorite of more than 4 points vs. foes off a win, as they've covered just 15 of 51.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Toronto game.  Both of these teams won high-scoring games last weekend.  Toronto blew out British Columbia, 33-17, while Hamilton knocked off Ottawa, 37-21.  But off those high-scoring victories, we'll look for the offenses to take a holiday tonight.  Indeed, games between two teams that were off wins in which they each scored more than 30 points, have gone 72% under since 2018.  Even better:  Hamilton is 9-1 UNDER on the road following a SU win which went Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the South Alabama/Appalachian State game.  Last week, the Jaguars put up 87 points vs. Northwestern State.  And that was the most points scored by an FBS team since Fresno State walloped New Mexico, 94-17, on October 5, 1991.  We'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonight, as FBS games have gone 62% under when the O/U line was > 60 points, and a team scored more than 70 in its previous game.  Even better:  the Jaguars have gone 32-14-2 UNDER in conference games with O/U lines > 53 points.  Likewise, Appalachian State is 21-12 UNDER in conference games with O/U lines > 53 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the San Francisco Giants.  Hayden Birdsong will get the start for San Francisco, and he's lost his last five decisions.  Even worse, the Giants are 0-7 in his last seven starts, and 0-5 in his five career interleague starts.  Dean Kremer will toe the rubber for the Birds, and the Orioles have gone 30-18 (+11.8 net games) in his 48 career home starts.  Kremer also has a 2.76 ERA over his last three outings, and is 1-0 in his career vs. the Giants with a 3.00 ERA.  Take Baltimore.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth.  Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season.  The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight.  Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana).  This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker.  We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.