Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-26-24 | Calgary v. Ottawa UNDER 51.5 | Top | 6-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Calgary/Ottawa game. Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total, including 5-0 UNDER in games played at Ottawa. And that's the way we will look, here. The Redblacks are 4-2 UNDER this season, including 3-0 UNDER at home (where they are also 3-0 SU/ATS). This season, Ottawa's home games have averaged just 40.66 ppg. And they're 21-13 UNDER their last 34 at home. Meanwhile, the Stampeders have gone UNDER 36-14-3 away from home when the O/U line is greater than 47 points. We'll look for another low-scoring game at TD Place Stadium tonight. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-26-24 | Calgary v. Ottawa +1.5 | Top | 6-33 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Calgary. The Redblacks are off to a 3-0 SU/ATS start here, at TD Place Stadium this season, and are 4-2 overall. And they've been installed as a home underdog vs. Calgary, which is 3-3 on the season. The Stampeders have covered the spread on the road by 5.33 ppg LESS than what they've done at home, while Ottawa has covered the spread by 13 ppg MORE at home, than what it's done on the road. We will happily take the points with the home underdog, as home dogs (or PK) have cashed 60% in the CFL when they've owned a better win percentage than their opponent. Take Ottawa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-25-24 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes Under the total. The Alouettes lost their starting QB, Cody Fajardo, in their last game -- a 37-18 upset loss to the Toronto Argonauts, as a 6-point home favorite. That was Montreal's first loss of the season, after a 5-0 start. Caleb Evans replaced Fajardo behind center in that defeat to the Argos, and Evans is a big step-down from Fajardo. For his career, Evans has completed just 60.9% of his passes (Fajardo is at 71.1%), and has thrown a whopping 22 interceptions, while passing for just 15 TDs. He averages just 7.22 yards per pass attempt. Fajardo has a career 77:49 TD-to-Interception ratio, and has averaged 8.38 yards per pass attempt. This season, those numbers were even better (10:4 TD-to-INT ratio; 8.98 yards per pass attempt). In its last game, Montreal scored a season-low 18 points. That game did go Over the total, however. Still, the Alouettes are 81-52 UNDER following a game which went Over. And they're 11-6 Under their last 17 at home vs. the Roughriders. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-21-24 | BC v. Calgary +3.5 | Top | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over the British Columbia Lions. Off a 35-20 blowout of Saskatchewan, and a 44-28 demolition of Hamilton before that, the Lions come into this game on a 5-game win streak (4-1 ATS). We'll fade the Lions, as CFL road favorites, off back-to-back wins, have cashed just 43.8% since 2006. And CFL favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins in which they scored 34+ points have cashed just 34.2% vs. foes off a SU loss. Take Calgary + the points. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-21-24 | BC v. Calgary UNDER 53 | Top | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the British Columbia/Calgary game. We played on all 3 unders so far this week (and won all 3). Today, we'll look for a 'CLEAN SWEEP' on the CFL games to go UNDER this weekend. Both of these West division rivals come into Sunday's game off back-to-back high-scoring affairs. The Lions are off 35-20 and 44-28 wins, while the Stampeders lost, 41-37, at Winnipeg last week, and lost at Montreal, 30-26, the week prior to that. The O/U line has been installed north of 50 points, and that bodes well for the under. Dating back to 2006, CFL games have gone 63.4% UNDER the total when the O/U line was 52+ points, and each team was off back-to-back Overs. Take BC/Calgary UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-20-24 | Toronto v. Hamilton UNDER 54 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Toronto/Hamilton game. In their previous game, the Tiger-Cats gave up a whopping 44 points, and fell to British Columbia, 44-28. For the season, the Ti-Cats have been a sieve on defense, and have allowed 33.80 ppg. And four of their five games have gone Over the total. That has led to a very high O/U line for this evening's game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game. But we will run the other way, as CFL teams off an OVER, that allow 24 (or more) points per game, have now gone UNDER in 17 straight games with O/U lines > 52 points. Take the Argonauts and Tiger-Cats Under. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-20-24 | Toronto v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Toronto. The Argos upset Montreal, 37-18, last week, which was the first time all season the defending Grey Cup champs tasted defeat. But off that win, we'll fade Toronto, as favorites off upset wins over defending champs have had letdowns the following game, covering just 33% of the time. Meanwhile, Hamilton has yet to win or cover a football game this season. It's 0-5 SU/ATS after losing, 44-28, to British Columbia two weeks ago. The good news for the Ti-Cats is that is had last week off to re-group, and get ready for this home game. And rested home dogs off a SU loss have cashed 75% vs. foes off a double-digit win. More good news: home teams on 5-game (or greater) ATS losing streaks have cashed 73% if they didn't own a winning record. We'll grab the points with the undervalued Ti-Cats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-19-24 | Winnipeg -3.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Saskatchewan. After an 0-4 start, the Blue Bombers are starting to right the ship. They've won their last two games, straight-up, and will look to make it three-in-a-row tonight. This will be the first meeting this season between these teams, and the Blue Bombers have dominated the series, with a 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS record. Winnipeg walloped Saskatchewan in the previous meeting, 51-6, and I expect another easy win tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-19-24 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50.5 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total. We played on the Over in last Friday's Winnipeg/Calgary game, and were rewarded with a 41-37 Blue Bombers victory. This week, Winnipeg will be on the road at Saskatchewan, and we'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonight. Since 2006, road teams off a win in a high-scoring game, where 78+ points were scored have generally gone UNDER the total their next game, as the under has cashed 61%. Even better: the Under is 11-4 the last 15 games in this West division rivalry. Take the Under. | |||||||
07-19-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa UNDER 53 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Edmonton game. These two teams met five days ago, and the Redblacks won, 37-34, and went OVER the total of 51 by 20 points. The oddsmakers have adjusted the total for this game a couple of points higher, which I believe has created value on the Under. Indeed, games have gone under 56.9% if the season's previous meeting went over by 20+ points. Take the under. | |||||||
07-19-24 | Edmonton Elks +1.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Ottawa. These two teams met last week in Alberta, and the Redblacks upset the Elks, 37-34, as a 3-point underdog. We'll take Edmonton in this rematch in Ontario, as teams have covered 85% since 2006 if they were upset by their opponent as a 3-point (or greater) home favorite in their previous game, and aren't getting 3+ points in the current game. The underdog has gone 15-6 ATS in this series, while revenge-minded teams are 13-7 ATS. Take the Elks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-14-24 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Edmonton/Ottawa game to go OVER the total. The Elks have been installed as a small home favorite. And they've gone OVER the total 40-26 when favored at home by 7 or less points. Even better: the Redblacks only scored 16 points in their previous game. But CFL teams have gone OVER the total 56.1% following a poor offensive game in which they scored less than 17 points, if the O/U line in the current game was < 50 points. Take the Redblacks and Elks to sail OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-13-24 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52 | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders UNDER the total. This series has seen the UNDER go 23-12-2 the last 37 meetings. And that's the way we'll look for Saturday's game, especially given that British Columbia put up 44 points in its win last week over Hamilton. The Lions have gone 19-13 UNDER the total following a 44-point game. Even better: Saskatchewan has scored at least 30 points in each of its three previous games. And CFL teams have gone UNDER 56% following 3 straight games where they tallied at least 30 points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-12-24 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 46.5 | Top | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 90 h 10 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders to go OVER the total. Winnipeg's #1 QB, Zach Collaros, missed last week's game (a 25-16 win over Ottawa), so backup Chris Streveler stepped in to lead the Bombers to their first win of the season. Winnipeg employed a run-heavy attack last week, and QB Streveler rushed 13 times for 79 yards. Overall, the team rushed for 212 yards, while only passing for 127. The good news for Winnipeg is that Collaros came off the injured list Monday, practiced fully, and showed no ill effects from his thorax injury. With Collaros back in the fold, we'll look for a higher-scoring game on Friday. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-12-24 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 37-41 | Loss | -115 | 38 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Calgary. The Blue Bombers entered this season off four straight Grey Cup appearances, in which they won two Championships (in 2019 and 2021). But this season got off to an unexpected 0-4 start. Winnipeg finally got off the schneid last week with a 25-16 win behind 2nd string QB, Chris Streveler, who stepped in for the injured Zach Collaros. The good news is that Collaros will return under center on Friday night, and we'll lay the points with the Blue Bombers, who will play with revenge from a 3-point loss to the Stampeders two weeks ago. Winnipeg is 33-9-1 ATS its last 43 when playing with revenge from a loss in the prior meeting. Take the Blue Bombers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-11-24 | Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 51.5 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Toronto Argonauts/Montreal Alouettes game. These two teams met earlier this season, and Montreal won, 30-20, and that game went UNDER the total. And that was the 24th of 34 meetings between these rivals that have gone UNDER. We'll look for Thursday's game to also go UNDER as Montreal has scored 30+ points in each of its last three games. And CFL teams have gone UNDER 56.4% since 2006 after scoring 30 or more points in their three previous games. Take the Argonauts + Alouettes UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-11-24 | Toronto +6.5 v. Montreal | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over the Montreal Alouettes. Last season, Montreal won the Grey Cup and has sprinted out to a 5-0 start this season. We played against the Alouettes last week, as I thought they were overvalued, and we got the $$$ with Calgary +9.5, as it lost by just 4. I still believe Montreal is overvalued, and we'll grab the points with Toronto as a road underdog. These two teams already met once this season, and the Argos lost, 30-20. But revenge-minded teams have cashed 67.4% vs. defending Grey Cup champs if our revenger owned a .500 (or better) record. Grab the points with Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-07-24 | BC v. Hamilton +5 | Top | 44-28 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over British Columbia. The Lions are 3-1, while the Ti-Cats are 0-4. But we'll happily grab the points with Hamilton, as 0-4 (or worse) teams off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 8 straight (and 11 of 12). Even better: Hamilton is 6-1-1 ATS its last eight meetings vs. the Lions. Grab the points with the Tiger-Cats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-06-24 | Calgary +10 v. Montreal | Top | 26-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over Montreal. The Alouettes won last year's Grey Cup, and are defending their championship perfectly this season, with a 4-0 record. But they're laying their biggest number yet tonight, and we'll grab the points with the Stampeders. Indeed, defending CFL champions are a horrible 21-55-4 ATS when laying 2+ points to a non-division foe, and not off a double-digit loss. Take Calgary. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-05-24 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg -2.5 | Top | 16-25 | Win | 100 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Ottawa. The Blue Bombers reached the Grey Cup championship game each of the last four seasons. So, it's a bit of a head-scratcher that they've started the season with four straight defeats. The last three defeats, though, have been narrow, as they lost by 4, 2 and 3 points. One of those was a 23-19 upset defeat at Ottawa in Week 2. We'll take the Blue Bombers in this revenge game, as teams off a SU loss, and playing with revenge from an upset defeat earlier in the season have cashed 59%. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
07-05-24 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 46 | Top | 16-25 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the OVER in the Winnipeg/Ottawa game. The Blue Bombers come into this game off a 22-19 overtime loss at Calgary. And that game went under the total of 47.5, and was Winnipeg's fourth straight game to go under the total. This streak of low-scoring games has impacted the O/U line for this game, and I believe the value is squarely on the OVER. For technical support, consider that teams off four (or more) unders have gone OVER the total 61% if they scored less than 21 points in their previous game. Additionally, the Blue Bombers have gone 32-14-1 OVER the total when the O/U line ranged from 43.5 to 47.5 points. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-24 | Winnipeg -3 v. Calgary | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers minus the points over Calgary. This season has not gone as expected for the Blue Bombers. They were favored by 7.5 in Week 1 vs. the Montreal Alouettes, and were upset, 27-12. And they proceeded to get upset in each of their next two games, as well. We'll lay the points with Winnipeg this evening, as road favorites of 7 or less points, off back to back losses, have gone 13-1 ATS vs. division foes. Take the Blue Bombers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-29-24 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 47 | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers/Calgary Stampeders game. The Blue Bombers come into this game off 3 straight Unders. We'll take tonight's game OVER the total, as CFL teams have gone OVER 58% in games with O/U lines 49 or less following 3+ unders. And Winnipeg is 15-7 OVER off 3+ unders. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-27-24 | Edmonton Elks +7.5 v. BC | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over British Columbia. We've played on the Elks each of the past 2 weeks, and got the cash in both games, against Montreal and Toronto. Unfortunately for Edmonton, even though it covered in each of those games, it lost both, and is now 0-3 on the season. Tonight, they're catching a big number at British Columbia, and we'll happily take the points with the underdog, as 0-3 teams have cashed 70% in Week 4 as an underdog. And home favorites of 13 or less points, off back to back wins, have covered just 40.2% vs. foes off back to back losses. Grab the points with the Elks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-23-24 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50.5 | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -108 | 86 h 57 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Hamilton game. These two teams met last week, and the Roughriders triumphed, 33-30. We'll take the UNDER in this rematch, as 15 of the last 21 meetings have gone UNDER the total. Additionally, the 2nd meetings of teams have gone UNDER 61.1% if the first meeting totaled 63+ points. Take the Roughriders & Tiger-Cats Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-23-24 | Hamilton +2.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Saskatchewan. We're off to a 2-1 start this Canadian Football season. Our lone loss was last Sunday when Hamilton blew a 10-point lead with less than 5 minutes to go to fall, 33-30, as a 1.5-point underdog. The same two teams will play Round 2 tonight in Regina, and the Roughriders have been installed as a small home favorite. In the regular season, when teams play against each other in back to back weeks, road teams that lost at home in the first meeting have cashed 60% the following week. We'll take Hamilton + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-22-24 | Edmonton Elks +6 v. Toronto | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 62 h 58 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Toronto. The Argonauts had last week off following their 35-27 upset win over British Columbia in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Elks dropped its first two games -- both at home -- to start the season. We'll take Edmonton to bounce back this week, as CFL teams have cashed 75% in Week 3 following back-to-back home losses to start the season. Additionally, the Argos are an awful 35-48-3 ATS as a home favorite. And since 2006, rested favorites off upset wins have covered just 38.4%. Take the Elks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-16-24 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats + the points over Saskatchewan. Last week, Hamilton lost, 32-24, at Calgary to open its season, while the Roughriders upset the Elks, 29-21, on the road. We'll fade Saskatchewan this evening, as teams that open the season with back to back road games have not done well in Week 2 following a road win in Week 1 (including 17% ATS off an upset win). And CFL underdogs off a road loss in Week 1 have cashed 64.2% vs. foes off a SU win to open their season. Grab the points with Hamilton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
06-14-24 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +5.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over the Montreal Alouettes. Edmonton looked very good through the first three quarters last week, but collapsed in the 4th quarter in a 29-21 loss to Saskatchewan. Key to the Elks' defeat were a fumble and interception by QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson in the game's final three minutes. Still, MBT threw for 336 yards and two touchdowns, and I expect him to have another strong game vs. Montreal. Last season, the Alouettes won the Grey Cup, with a 28-24 win over Winnipeg. And the Alouettes got this season off to a great start last week with a 27-12 upset win over the Blue Bombers, in a rematch of the title game. We'll fade Montreal as a road favorite at Edmonton, as defending Grey Cup champions have gone just 31-57-4 ATS when favored against non-division foes. And Montreal is also a poor 0-13 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points off an upset win. Take Edmonton + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
09-04-16 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +4.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
At 3 pm on Sunday, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders plus the points over Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers are one of the hottest teams in the Canadian Football League as they currently ride a four game win streak while covering the point spread in all four contests. Their latest victory came on the road at Montreal where they easily outdistanced the Alouettes by a 32-18 score back on August 26th. But they now travel out west to face the bottom feeder in the CFL in Saskatchewan, and I feel the Blue Bombers are vulnerable to a letdown. This is the third straight game on the road for this team. And this is a type of situation when things start to go wrong for teams that have been experiencing good fortune. Winnipeg was actually outgained last week by Montreal but were catapulted by a pick-six defensive touchdown to help win that game. The insertion of journeyman quarterback Matt Nichols four weeks ago into the starting lineup has received most of the attention for this team but the biggest difference, really, has been their league-high 18 interceptions that has helped produce a CFL-leading 33 forced turnovers. However, sooner or later, their takeaway margin will level out. The Roughriders' terrible start has been in large part without their veteran QB Darian Durant under center. But Durant is healthy again and completed 27 of 38 passes for 314 yards without an interception in a very competitive 33-25 loss at defending Grey Cup champion Edmonton last week. A healthy Durant (a former Grey Cup champion) makes the Roughriders dangerous in every game they play. This football team will continue to improve as former Eskimos' head coach Chris Jones puts his winning stamp on this team in his first season running the show in Regina. For technical support, consider that Saskatchewan's 43-23 ATS as home underdogs. Take Saskatchewan plus the points. CFL Game of the Year! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Sean Higgs | $1,089 |
Dave Price | $925 |
Bobby Conn | $709 |
Sal Michaels | $694 |
R&R Totals | $690 |
Rob Vinciletti | $647 |
Juan Carlos Flores | $615 |
Chip Chirimbes | $572 |
Doc's Sports | $498 |
Jim Feist | $416 |