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At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, Feb. 9, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  At the start of the Playoffs, I predicted the Eagles would defeat the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, and I have no reason to run away from that prediction now.  Especially since Philly has been installed as the underdog.  I've always agreed with the adage that -- at least in the NFL -- "defense wins championships."  Admittedly, this Super Bowl 59 matches up two excellent defensive teams.  But Philly has been the league's best defensive team throughout the season, when assessed by the most important metrics.  For example, the Eagles ranked #2 in the league in scoring defense, with 303 points allowed.  And they fell just 2 points shy of the Los Angeles Chargers' defense, which allowed 301 points.  Kansas City ranked #4 in scoring defense, at 326 points allowed.  Then, in yards per game, the Eagles were #1, at 278.4 ypg, while the Chiefs were 9th, at 320.6 ypg.  And, finally, the Eagles were also #1 in yards per play, at 4.8 ypp, while the Chiefs ranked #12, at 5.4 ypp.  Most years, the team with the better scoring defense is installed as the favorite; here, it's the underdog.  And underdogs have gone 10-4 ATS in Super Bowls with the better scoring defense.  And Philly has gone 8-1 ATS as an underdog in the Playoffs with the better scoring defense.  Meanwhile, for all of Andy Reid's success, his teams have gone just 5-6 ATS when favored in the Playoffs, if they didn't own the better scoring defense (compared to 14-11-1 ATS when Reid's team DID own the better defense).  So, defense + underdog status is one reason why I favor the Eagles.  The other is that Philly has played relatively better than the Chiefs down the stretch, whether in the Playoffs, or in the last five games.  And, to be generous to the Chiefs, I will toss out their 38-0 loss to the Broncos in the season finale, when they rested their best players.  So far, in the Playoffs, KC has covered the point spread by an average of 2.0 ppg, while the Eagles have covered by an average of 12.5 ppg.  Then, over the teams' last five games (with the game vs. Denver tossed out), KC's average point spread differential was +7.2, while the Eagles' point spread differential was +12.5.  And these point spread differential statistics tie into a Super Bowl 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 77.2%.  Finally, Philadelphia has the better scoring margin than Kansas City.  The Eagles have outscored their foes by an average of 10.5 ppg, while the Chiefs are at 3.73 ppg (or 6.05 ppg if the 38-0 loss is excepted).  Now, most of the time, the team with the better scoring margin has NOT been the underdog in the Playoffs.  That's been the case in 383 of the 490 post-season games played up to this point since 1980.  But in the games where they were installed as an underdog, they've gone 63-41-3 ATS since 1980.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  We played on the Bills as a 1-point home dog last week, in part because of Buffalo's strong record at home in the Playoffs (now, 16-3 SU at home).  But it's been a completely different story for the Bills outside of Orchard Park.  Since 1980, the Bills have gone 3-15 SU and 4-13-1 ATS in the Playoffs when not in front of their home faithful.  And if Buffy's opponent owned a .714 (or better) win percentage, then our 4-13-1 ATS mark collapses to 0-9 SU/ATS.  The Chiefs (obviously) have excelled in the playoffs the last six seasons, with a 15-2 SU record, and a 12-4-1 ATS ledger.  And they're a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS when not laying 3 or more points.  And this success as an underdog or a short favorite has extended to the regular season, as well.  When one looks at KC's ATS record in all games, it is a sensational 24-9 SU/ATS when not favored by more than 3 points.  For this AFC Championship game, one of the key factors for me is the superiority of the Chiefs' defense.  KC is allowing just 18.88 ppg, while Buffalo is 2.17 points worse, at 21.05.  And, since 1980, in AFC Conference Championship games, favorites of less than 9 points, with scoring defenses at least 1.3 ppg better, have gone 11-1 SU/ATS.  Lay the points with the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Washington.  Last weekend, the Commanders put up a whopping 45 points and defeated Detroit, 45-31.  But off that offensive explosion, we'll fade the Commanders in this NFC Title game.  Indeed, since 1980, teams that scored 35 (or more) points in their previous game have cashed just 31.2% of Conference Championship games, when installed as an underdog.  Even better:  Philly plays this game with revenge from a 36-33 loss last month at Washington.  However, the good news for Philly is that it is 102-75 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Buffalo game.  This is a great match-up, as they're two of the 4 best scoring margin teams in the league (along with the Lions and Eagles).  The Ravens are outscoring their opponents by 9.50 ppg, while Buffalo has outscored its foes by 10.05 ppg.  I like playing on match-ups between elite teams Over the total, and especially when the O/U line projects the game to be relatively high-scoring, with a line of greater than 50 points.  Buffalo's home playoff games have gone OVER 13 of 17 since 1991.  Additionally, over the last 45 years, the Ravens have gone OVER in 60% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50, while the Bills have gone OVER in 57% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50.  Take the Over.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Baltimore.  It's not often you get the Bills priced as an underdog.  And at home, no less.  But that's the case today against the Ravens, who are 13-5 SU and 11-6-1 ATS.  We'll grab the points with Josh Allen & Co., as they're an awesome 19-4-2 ATS their last 25 (and 40-18-3 ATS their last 61) vs. foes with a winning SU/ATS record, if the Bills were not favored by 4+ points.  The Bills have also won 15 of their last 18 home playoff games, straight-up, including 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS when the game was competitively-priced with a point spread between PK and 4.5.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams to go OVER the total.  The Eagles come into this game off back-to-back low-scoring affairs.  They defeated the New York Giants, 20-13, to end the regular season.  And, then, they took care of business last week with a 22-10 win over Green Bay.  But off those two relatively low-scoring games, we'll look for a much higher-scoring game on Sunday.  Indeed, Philadelphia is 11-4 OVER the total its last 15 after going Under in two straight games.  And five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total, including Philly's 37-20 triumph over the Rams back in November.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Eagles have completely dominated the Rams, with SU/ATS wins in each of the current and previous seasons.  And Philly is 8-1 SU its last nine vs. L.A., and 16-3-1 ATS its last 20 games in this series.  Some might be tempted to take Los Angeles because it was playing with double revenge from its 37-20 loss this season, and its 23-14 loss to the Eagles last season.  But NFL teams playing with double revenge have gone 11-27-2 ATS in the Playoffs if they weren't getting more than 7 points, and were not off an ATS loss.  Take Philly to blow out Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  We played on the Texans as a home underdog last week, and were rewarded with a blowout win, 32-12, over the L.A. Chargers.  But off that game, where the Texans covered by 22.5 points, we'll fade them on the road against the defending champs.  Since Andy Reid took over the coaching reins of the Chiefs, they've gone 35-24 ATS vs. foes that covered the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game, including 21-13 ATS at home.  That bodes well for Kansas City on Saturday.  As does the fact that NFL home favorites of more than 7 points, off a SU loss in their previous game, have gone 22-12 ATS in the Playoffs.  Finally, in Reid's years as a head coach with the Eagles and Chiefs, his teams have excelled when playing with a week of rest, as they've gone 33-7 SU and 25-15 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  These two teams met in Los Angeles earlier this season, and the Rams defeated Minnesota, 30-20.  And that was the 3rd straight win by the Rams in this series -- each time scoring 30+ points.  I like the Rams as an underdog, as they're 8-4 ATS their last 12 in this role.  Meanwhile, Minnesota is 28-40-4 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. non-division foes.  And it's 4-12 ATS its last 16 playoff games away from home.  Finally, the Rams fall into a 55-16 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with worse W/L records.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Philadelphia.  The Packers lost to the Chicago Bears, 24-22, as a 10-point favorite last weekend.  I like Green Bay to bounce back on Sunday, as it will play this game with revenge from a loss to the Eagles in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on opening weekend.  And revenge-minded teams have cashed 78% in the NFL playoffs vs. non-division foes, if our revenger was off an upset loss to end the regular season.  Additionally, the Packers are 21-12 ATS off a SU loss, while Philadelphia is 4-12-1 ATS its last 17 vs. foes off a SU loss (and 1-8 ATS its last 9 vs. foes off back-to-back losses).  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  This is arguably the league's best current rivalry.  And, like many heated rivalries, the underdog has barked loudly.  Indeed, the underdog has won 10 of the last 14 meetings in this series OUTRIGHT.  Even better:  when the underdog has also owned a worse W/L record, it's gone 13-0 ATS over the last 13 in this situation!  We'll grab the points with Mike Tomlin's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Chargers will be playing their 3rd straight road game on Saturday.  And that doesn't bode well, as teams playing their 3rd straight road game are a poor 27-43-3 ATS in the Playoffs.  Even worse:  favorites are a soft 49-66-1 ATS in their first playoff game of the season, if they weren't a playoff team the previous year.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Ohio St.  The Buckeyes have rebounded nicely off their upset loss to Michigan, with back to back blowout wins over Tennessee and Oregon.  Texas, meanwhile, has also rebounded off its SEC Championship game loss to Georgia with wins over Clemson and Arizona State (though it took overtime to defeat the Sun Devils).  I like Texas + the points, as SEC Conference teams have gone 55-29 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points in the Bowls, if they weren't off 3+ wins.  Even better:  Ohio State is a horrid 4-12 ATS away from Columbus, Ohio vs. SEC Conference foes, including 1-10 ATS when it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Notre Dame.  (No write-up as I have been evacuated due to the Los Angeles fires and am away from my data.)

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Minnesota/Detroit game.  The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total.  But off that string of high-scoring games, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday night.  Indeed, NFL teams off EXACTLY 4 Overs have gone 136-72-5 Under the total in division games with O/U lines greater than 36 points.  Take the Lions and Vikings UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Miami.  The Jets were blown out, 40-14, last week by Buffalo.  We'll take New York to rebound off that blowout loss, as NFL home dogs (or PK) with a losing record have gone 58-43 ATS in division games off a loss by more than 25 points.  Take the Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Sean McVay has signaled that he plays to rest his starters.  We'll fade Los Angeles, as it is a soft 18-31 ATS off back to back wins in McVay's coaching tenure, including 6-15 ATS at home.  Take Seattle.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Andy Reid won't play his starters in this meaningless game, so the Chiefs have been installed as a big underdog.  We'll take Denver to bounce back off its two losses to the Chargers and Bengals, as winning teams have gone 35-20 ATS when favored by more than 3 points against foes off back to back wins.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Buffalo.  The Bills defeated New England by 3 points two weeks ago.  We'll grab the points with New England, as it's 22-7-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Patriots.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Falcons have a negative scoring margin, at -1.75, but are laying north of a touchdown.  I don't like laying 7+ points with teams that have negative scoring margins, as they've cashed just 42.8% since 1980.  Take Carolina.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Washington.  The Cowboys were blown out last week at Philly, while Washington won in overtime vs. Atlanta.  We'll grab the points with Dallas as the underdog in this NFC East division rivalry has gone 40-18-1 ATS if its opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Cowboys + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Philadelphia.  The Giants are an awesome 80-47-1 ATS away from home when it doesn't own the better W/L record, including 28-15 ATS vs. division foes.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points over New Orleans.  The Saints mustered just 10 points last week at home vs. the Las Vegas Raiders.  We'll fade New Orleans in this final game of the season, as road teams have cashed just 36% since 1980 vs. winning foes in the season finale after scoring 10 points or less at home in their previous game.  Take Tampa.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Chicago.  Green Bay lost last week to Minnesota.  We'll take the Packers at home vs. Chicago, as the Bears are 11-33 ATS on the road vs. winning foes that weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Take Green Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  We played against the Colts last week, and got the $$$ with New York, which upset Indy, 45-33.  We'll switch gears and play on the Colts this week, as they're a solid 61-36-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Indianapolis.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Indianapolis/Jacksonville game.  Indianapolis' division home games are 72-43-1 UNDER the total since 1990.  I look for another low-scoring game on this Sunday.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Philadelphia/New York game.  Last week, the Eagles put up 41 points vs. Dallas.  But off that offensive explosion, I expect Philly's offense to take a holiday on Sunday -- especially since their key personnel will be on the sidelines.  The Eagles are 21-8-1 Under after scoring 40+ points.  Even better:  the Giants are 53-26-1 UNDER in their last 80 games.  I won't fade those stats, and look for a very low-scoring game in Philadelphia on Sunday.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  This series has largely favored the Under, as the Under has gone 36-19-3 the last 58 meetings.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday.  Also, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 346-240-12.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Under the total.  Pittsburgh has played 19 of its last 28 home games Under the total, including 9-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 41 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Cleveland.  The Browns upset the Ravens, 29-24, earlier this season.  We'll take Baltimore on Saturday, as Cleveland is 5-24 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Cleveland game.  The Ravens are 9-4-1 OVER their last 14 home games, while Cleveland is 13-5 Over their last 18 road games.  I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Over.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Buffalo.  The Flames have superior rushing stats, as they have rushed for 5.6 ypr on the season, and have allowed just 4.0 ypr.  In contrast, the Bulls have rushed for just 4.1 ypr, and have also allowed 4.0 ypr.  I'm not a fan of laying points in Bowl games to teams with the better rushing stats, and will happily grab the points with Liberty.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Texas State.  This is a quasi-home game for the Mean Green, as the game will be played in Dallas, a mere 40 miles from Denton, Texas.  In two previous seasons, the Mean Green played a Bowl game in Dallas (vs. UNLV (Jan 1, 2014) and vs. Army (Dec 27, 2016), and they covered the point spread in each game.  We'll grab the points with North Texas, and go against Texas St., as .500 (or better) Sun Belt Conference teams are a poor 16-37 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes off a win.  And double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 94-77 ATS.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Ole Miss/Duke game.  The O/U line in this Gator Bowl opened at 53.5.  But it's a couple of points lower today, and the current O/U line has triggered two Bowl Totals systems of mine, with records of 46-23 and 95-59.  Twelve of the last 16 Bowl match-ups between the SEC and ACC Conferences have sailed OVER the total.  And we'll look for a high-scoring game in this Gator Bowl on Thursday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal matchup, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Oregon.  We played on Oregon in the regular season and it was a rare 5* play for me.  The Ducks rewarded us with a 32-31 upset win over the Buckeyes.  We'll switch gears, and take the Buckeyes in this rematch.  Ohio State is an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 (and 21-6 ATS its last 27) when playing with revenge when it wasn't favored by more than 6 points.  I look for Ryan Day's men to roast the Ducks.  Take Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Baylor.  The Bears have been installed as a favorite over LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with the Tigers, as SEC Conference teams have gone 65-41 ATS in the Bowls when getting 3+ points.  Meanwhile, Baylor has lost its last 3 Bowl games outright as a favorite.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Reliaquest Bowl at Tampa, Florida, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines reached their zenith this season when they upset rival, Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, as a 19.5-point underdog.  The Wolves have generally had letdowns following upset wins, including 3-11-1 ATS their last 15 after pulling an upset as an underdog of 4+ points (and, then, 0-6 ATS if their current opponent was playing with revenge).  Last year, the Wolverines bounced 'Bama out of the Playoffs in the semi-final game at the Rose Bowl.  We'll take the revenge-minded Crimson Tide minus the points this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the 49ers/Lions game.  Detroit enters this Monday night tilt off 3 straight high-scoring affairs, in which they scored 34, 42 and 34 points.  Off those 3 high scores, we'll look for the Lions + Niners to go UNDER, as Monday Night Football games have gone 70.5% Under if a team scored more than 30 points in each of its 3 previous games.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over Detroit.  These two teams met in last year's NFC conference championship game.  San Francisco won that game, 34-31, to reach the Super Bowl.  This season, the 49ers won't reach the post-season, while Detroit is the odds-on choice to represent the NFC in the title game.  I like the 49ers as a home underdog tonight.  It's San Francisco's final home game of the season, and it enters off back to back upset losses to the Rams and Dolphins.  San Francisco is a terrific 81-47-3 ATS off an upset loss.  And teams playing their final home game of the season on Monday Night Football have gone 33-21-1 ATS.  Take the 49ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Missouri.  The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the Bowl games.  Outside of the FBS Playoff loss by Indiana to Notre Dame, the Big 10 has rolled to a 5-0 ATS record in the Bowl games.  We'll look for that streak to continue this afternoon, as Iowa is an underdog with the better rush offense and rush defense.  The Hawkeyes are averaging 5.2 ypr compared to Missouri's 4.2 ypr.  And on defense, the Hawks allow 3.7 ypr compared to 4.0 ypr for Missouri's defense.  Iowa falls into a 159-100 ATS Bowl system of mine, based on these stats.  Grab the points with Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Washington Commanders.  Last week, Washington stormed back in the final seconds to defeat Philly, as a 3.5-point home dog.  Off that huge upset win over the division-leading Eagles, we'll fade Washington this evening.  The Commanders are a soft 86-120 ATS as a regular season home favorite.  Even worse:  home favorites off upset home wins have covered just 44% over 45 years.  Take Atlanta + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Miami.  The Browns have lost their last four games, both SU and ATS.  Still, I'll grab the points with the Browns, as in the final 2 weeks of the NFL season, home dogs have cashed 61.2% since 1980 off 4 SU/ATS losses.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Indianapolis.  This is the Giants' final home game of the season.  And home dogs have gone 77-49 ATS in their final home game off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take New York + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Jacksonville game.  These two teams played a low-scoring game in the season's first meeting, with the Jaguars prevailing, 10-6.  I'll look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL games have gone over the total 58.2% if the previous meeting totaled less than 35 points.  Take the Over.

At 5:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack ended their season with an upset win over rival, North Carolina, while ECU was upset by Navy, 34-20.  Unfortunately, the Wolfpack are a woeful 55-82-2 ATS away from home off a SU Win, including a wallet-busting 18-40 ATS vs. foes off an ATS loss.  But that's not the worst part.  If NC State's opponent failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game, then our 18-40 stat tumbles to 2-18 ATS, including 0-8 ATS the last seven.  Grab the points with East Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over TCU.  The Cajuns lost at home, 31-3, to Marshall in the Sun Belt title game.  Still, Louisiana is a solid 10-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS this season.  We'll take Louisiana to bounce back on Saturday, as Louisiana is a perfect 8-0-1 ATS following a home game where it failed to score 14+ points.  Additionally, underdogs of 3+ points, with a SU/ATS record greater than 0.600, have cashed 60.4% since 1980 off an upset loss.  Even better:  Big 12 Conference teams are a soft 19-29 ATS in the Bowls when laying more than 6 points.  And the Sun Belt Conference has gone 10-2 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes when installed as an underdog of +14 points (or less).  Finally, Louisiana-Lafayette falls into one of my favorite Bowl systems, which is 102-60-5 ATS since 1980.  Take the Cajuns on Saturday + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Boston College.  The Cornhuskers have done great as a favorite in the Bowls (10-4 ATS), and not-so-great when installed as an underdog (6-9 ATS).  The good news for the 'Huskers, then, in this Pinstripe Bowl, is that it's been installed as a favorite vs. the Eagles.  Boston College does come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pitt and North Carolina.  But Nebraska is a super 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins if the Huskers weren't laying more than 11 points.  Finally, the Big 10 Conference has been dominant vs. the ACC in the Bowls, going 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Washington St. Cougars + the points over Syracuse.  The Cougars come into this game off 3 straight losses -- all as a favorite -- to New Mexico, Oregon St., and Wyoming.  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Wazzu, as Bowl teams have cashed 60% over the last 45 years off 3 upset losses.  Even better:  the Orange are 0-7 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the Orange weren't getting more than 3 points.  Grab the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Commodores come into this Birmingham Bowl game off a season-ending loss to rival Tennessee, 36-23.  And that was Vandy's 3rd straight loss, overall.  We'll grab the points with the Commodores on Friday afternoon, as SEC Conference teams have gone 81-54 ATS in Bowl games since 1980 off a SU loss, including 37-14 ATS if they were getting more than 2 points.  Take Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Seattle.  Chicago will be playing its last home game of the season, and will seek to snap a long 9-game losing streak tonight.  Chicago falls into 13-1 and 72-26 ATS 'Last Home Game' systems of mine that play on certain teams in their final home game off SU losses.  Also, the Bears are a super 47-27 ATS at home off back to back losses, if they're not favored by more than 3 points.  Take the Bears + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  The Bears have been installed as a home dog in this game.  And Chicago has gone 38-22 UNDER when installed as a home dog, if the O/U line was between 41 and 48 points.  Additionally, the Seahawks are 68-51-1 UNDER as a road favorite.  I'll look for a low-scoring game on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs come into this game off a 27-19 victory over Houston, while the Steelers were blown out by Baltimore, 34-17.  We'll fade KC on Christmas, as defending Super Bowl champs are an awful 2-13 ATS on the road off a SU win, if they were playing a winning, non-division foe.  Even better:  the Steelers are an awesome 18-0 ATS off a SU loss, in which they gave up 30+ points, if they weren't getting 6+ points in their current game.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, in the Hawaii Bowl, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over San Jose St.  San Jose ended its regular season with a SU/ATS home win over Stanford, while South Florida lost, 35-28, to Rice.  We'll fade San Jose as a favorite tonight, as it has gone 10-23 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS win, including 3-11 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 13-6 ATS in Hawaii Bowl games, including 8-2 ATS vs. opponents off a SU win.  Finally, the Bulls fall into a 128-81 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off a SU loss.  Grab the points with South Florida.

At 11 am, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  Coastal Carolina is playing this Bowl game in its home stadium, and has been installed as a double-digit home underdog.  Dating back to 1981, double-digit dogs have rolled to a 90-71-3 ATS record in the Bowl games.  That bodes well for Coastal Carolina in this game.  As does the fact that the Chanticleers are 10-5 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games, while the Roadrunners are 3-8 as favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Buccaneers pulled off a massive upset last week, when they pummeled the Los Angeles Chargers, 40-17.  But off that huge 23-point win, I'll fade Tampa, as NFL favorites are a dismal 85-109 ATS off a 10-point (or greater) upset win.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/New England game.  The Bills come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs vs. the Rams and Lions.  And Buffalo allowed 44 points to L.A. and 42 to Detroit.  I'll take the UNDER in this game, as NFL teams have gone 157-116 UNDER in games with O/U lines between 42.5 and 56, if they gave up more than 33 points in each of their two previous games.  Take New England + Buffalo Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  This is Seattle's last home game of the season.  And winning teams have cashed 60% since 1980 off a straight-up loss, if they were playing their final home game, and installed as an underdog (or PK).  Seattle's also 25-15 ATS its last 40 as a home dog, while the Vikings are a poor 54-72-5 ATS as a road favorite, including 6-14 ATS vs. winning foes.  Take the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Chicago game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs vs. the Packers (34-31) and Bills (48-42).  Off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the UNDER, as NFL teams have gone 43-26 UNDER following two games where 65+ points were scored in each.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Philadelphia.  This is the Eagles' last road game of the season, and they have 2 more home games on deck.  Since 1990, NFL teams have cashed just 73 of 170 when they were playing their final road game with at least 2 more home games to go.  Additionally, the Commanders are 47-27 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if the Commanders were also off a win.  Grab the points with the home underdog.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Bears have been installed as a home dog vs. Detroit, which defeated the Bears on Thanksgiving Day by 3 points.  We'll grab the points, as Chicago is a super 12-3 ATS as a home dog of +6 (or more) points, if it didn't cover the spread in either of its two previous games.  Additionally, in the season's final 3 games, NFL road teams with a win percentage > .800, have covered just 1 of 13 since 1986 vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if our home team was playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jets/Rams to go UNDER the total.  The line in this game has ticked up to 47, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Under, since it now falls into a super 334-238-12 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Rams are 42-22-4 Under vs. foes off 3+ Overs, including 11-0 Under their last 11 (and 20-3-3 Under their last 26) if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Tennessee.  The Buckeyes lost yet again to rival Michigan, as the Wolverines stunned Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, to end the season.  The good news for the Buckeyes is that its season didn't end with that loss, and it has a great opportunity ahead of it to still win the NCAA Championship.  I look for Ohio State to get off on the right foot in this opening round game, as it has gone 59-28-3 ATS when scoring less than 25 points in its previous game.  Take Ohio St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Clemson.  The Longhorns lost the SEC Conference championship game, in overtime, to the Georgia Bulldogs, while Clemson upset SMU to win the ACC Conference title.  We'll lay the points with Texas, as SEC Conference teams have gone 80-54 ATS in the Bowls off a SU loss, including 19-13 ATS if they lost the SEC Conference title game.  Meanwhile, teams off wins in the ACC Conference title game have been poor in the Bowls, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-3 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  And ACC teams are 0-7 ATS vs. the SEC in the Bowls, if our ACC team was getting 7+ points and off a SU win.  Take Texas to blow out Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs covered last week vs. Cleveland, but that was their first point spread win in eight games.  We'll fade Kansas City on Saturday, as defending Super Bowl champs have gone 3-13 ATS when they were off 4+ wins, and favored by 3+ points (including 0-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win).  Additionally, the road team has gone 9-2 ATS in this series when the line was less than 8 points.  And, finally, the underdog has gone 24-13-1 ATS in Houston's last 38 games, and 18-9 ATS in KC's last 27 games.  Take the Texans + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans to go OVER the total.  The Chiefs have played their last 3 games under the total, but they are 29-18-1 OVER off 3+ unders.  Likewise, the Texans have gone under in their last two games.  But Houston is 40-24 OVER following back-to-back unders.  The last 5 meetings between these clubs have sailed OVER the total, and I look for a relatively high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Florida.  The Gators have been installed as a big favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl vs. Tulane.  Generally speaking, big favorites have NOT done well in Bowl games, as they've gone 71-90-3 ATS when laying double-digits.  And I can't lay ANY number with Florida -- much less, double-digits -- given how bad the Gators have been as a favorite.  Indeed, Florida is 6-18-1 ATS its last 25 games when installed as a favorite, including 2-13 ATS off a win, and 1-6 ATS in non-conference games.  Meanwhile, the Green Wave are 7-4 ATS their last 11 as an underdog.  Finally, sub-.800 SEC Conference teams have burned money in Bowl games when laying 8+ points, as they've gone 6-17 ATS.  Take Tulane + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks + the points over Ohio U.  Both teams come into this Cure Bowl game off blowout wins.  The Gamecocks routed Western Kentucky, 52-12, while the Bobcats blew out Miami-Ohio, 38-3.  The underdogs have dominated the Cure Bowl games, going 7-1 ATS since 2016, including 5-0 ATS their last five.  And, speaking of domination, Conference USA teams have largely controlled games vs. Mid-American Conference foes of late, as they've gone 16-7 SU and 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings.  This season, only Boise State, Notre Dame and New Mexico gained more yards per rush than the Gamecocks, who averaged 5.7 ypr.  And underdogs of less than 8 points have gone 22-8 ATS in the Bowls if they averaged 5.7 (or more) yards per rush.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the New Orleans Bowl, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats + the points over Georgia Southern.  Both of these teams enter this game off wins to end their regular season.  The Bearkats upset Liberty to finish 9-3 on the year, while the Eagles defeated Appalachian St. to finish 8-4.  The Bearkats have been installed as an underdog in this evening's game, and they're a super 10-4 ATS when getting points.  The Eagles, on the other hand, are a money-burning 2-6-1 ATS when laying points.  That doesn't bode well for Georgia Southern tonight.  Nor does the fact that Sun Belt Conference teams, with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have gone 26-45 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes, including 0-10 ATS if their foe was off a SU/ATS win.  We'll take Sam Houston St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs have now failed to cover the spread in each of their last 7 games.  We'll fade Patrick Mahomes & Co. as road favorites on Sunday, as winning teams are a wallet-breaking 30% ATS since 1980 off 7+ ATS losses.  Moreover, defending Super Bowl champs are a poor 21-39 ATS away from home, when favored off a SU Win and ATS Loss in their previous game.  Take Cleveland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Army.  The Black Knights won the AAC Championship last week with an upset win at home over Tulane.  And, in a strange scheduling quirk, the Black Knights will now play a regular season game against conference rival, Navy, which had last week off.  The Midshipmen lost the last two meetings with Army, and I like them to get revenge on Saturday.  For technical support, consider that rested, revenge-minded underdogs of +5 (or more) points, off a SU win, have gone 153-112-4 ATS since 1980 vs. unrested conference foes.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Los Angeles.  These two division rivals met in L.A. earlier this season, and the Rams upset the Niners, as a 6-point home underdog, 27-24.  We'll take San Francisco on Thursday, as it's cashed 67% over the last 45 seasons when favored and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  Additionally, the Rams are a poor 16-30 ATS off back to back wins during coach Sean McVay's tenure.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Dallas.  The Bengals come into this game off 3 straight losses, including a 44-38 defeat as a home favorite vs. Pittsburgh last Sunday.  We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in Dallas, as NFL teams that scored more than 36 points in defeat have gone 43-23 ATS in their next game, including a perfect 5-0 ATS on Monday Nights.  Look for Joe Burrow & Co. to roast the Cowboys.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Dallas game to go UNDER the total.  The Bengals gave up 44 points last week to the Pittsburgh Steelers.  But off that defensive debacle, we'll look for a much better defensive effort tonight.  Indeed, Cincy has gone 65-45 UNDER the total following a game where they gave up 33+ points, including 39-17 UNDER on the road.  And Monday Night Football games, where the home team was installed as an underdog, have gone 44-20-2 UNDER (compared to 53-46 OVER when the home team was favored), including 30-7-2 UNDER when the O/U line was between 43 and 50 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers/Cleveland Browns game.  These two teams played very high-scoring games last week.  The Steelers won, 44-38, while the Browns lost at Denver, 41-32.  Over the last 45 years, games between teams that each played a high-scoring game the previous week that totaled more than 72 points have gone UNDER the total 75% of the time.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Giants have lost their last 7 in a row -- both SU and ATS.  I'll take New York + the points, as teams off 7+ point spread defeats have gone 16-4-2 ATS when priced as an underdog of less than 6 points.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Tigers were upset by South Carolina, 17-14, last week, and have been installed as an underdog in this ACC Championship game.  Clemson is 71-44-1 ATS when installed as a pup, including 13-4 ATS in the post-season (and 4-0 ATS in the post-season if it was off an upset loss).  Take the Tigers.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Oregon.  Single-digit underdogs have gone 5-1-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference title games, and that's the way we'll look in this game.  The Ducks have burned money in the post-season when favored by 14 or less points, as they've gone 5-13 ATS, including 0-5 ATS their last five.  Meanwhile, the Nitts have gone 8-3 ATS in the post-season when installed as an underdog of less than 6 points (or PK).  Take Penn State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd went into Harrisonburg last week, and upset James Madison, in overtime, 35-33.  We'll fade Marshall here, as it has gone 2-9 ATS off an upset conference win.  And it also falls into a negative 34-93-1 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Cajuns are a super 29-16 ATS vs. conference foes with winning records, while Marshall is 21-30-1 ATS in conference games vs. winning foes.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Iowa State.  Arizona State has been installed as a small favorite vs. the Cyclones.  ASU has cashed 7 straight as a favorite, while the Cyclones are 2-15-1 ATS their last 18 vs. .750 (or better) foes, including 0-10-1 ATS in Big 12 Conference games.  Take the Sun Devils.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders minus the points over Tennessee.  We played on the Titans last week, and were rewarded with a huge upset win over the Texans, as an 8-point road underdog.  But off that stellar game, we'll fade Tennessee on Sunday, as road underdogs, off upset road wins as an underdog of 8+ points, have gone 35-58 ATS.  Take the Commanders.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati game.  The Bengals have gone Over in eight of their last 10, and their games are averaging 53.9 ppg this season.  But the Steelers are one of four teams whose defensive ppg is less than 17 points.  And only one of Pittsburgh's games had an O/U line this high.  That was its game vs. the Ravens -- another team playing high-scoring games.  Baltimore's games were averaging 57.1 ppg, but its game vs. Pittsburgh finished 18-16.  The Steelers are 47-26 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines at 47+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jags had their Bye week last weekend following their 52-6 loss to Detroit.  I like them to bounce back from that 46-point shellacking, as rested home dogs, with a losing record, off a SU/ATS loss, have gone 14-2 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a winning record.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Chargers/Atlanta Falcons game.  Both of these teams have largely played unders this season.  The Chargers are 7-4 to the Under while Atlanta is also 7-4 under.  And the Falcons are 29-10 UNDER in non-division home games, including 5-0 UNDER the last five.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Falcons were blown out, 38-6, last week by Denver.  I like the Falcons to bounce back at home this afternoon, as home dogs (or PK) have gone 113-74 ATS off a road loss by 28+ points.  Take Atlanta.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Indianapolis.  In the last 5 weeks of an NFL season, home dogs of less than 11 points (or PK) have covered 57.1% since 1980 off back to back ATS losses.  And New England is 58-33-1 ATS off a loss, if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Take the home dog Patriots.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Seattle.  The Jets are 18-0 ATS when priced from -1.5 to +11.5 points in the 2nd of back to back home games, if they were not off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent has a winning record.  Take New York.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Air Force.  The Falcons come into this game off 3 straight wins, and 4 straight covers, while the Aztecs have lost five straight.  But these disparate results have triggered an 86-44 ATS system of mine on SDSU.  Grab the points with the Home Underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall upset Old Dominion last week, as a 2.5-point underdog, while JMU was upset by Appalachian St, 34-20.  The Thundering Herd have covered just 38.4% off an upset win.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Florida.  The Gators come into this final game off back to back upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss.  We'll fade Florida, as favored teams have covered just 23.5% since 1990 in their final game of the season off back to back upset wins.  Take Florida St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Alabama last week, 24-3, as a 14-point home dog.  We'll fade Oklahoma, and lay the points with 7-4 LSU, as winning teams have gone 92-68 ATS when favored vs. Conference foes off an upset win, as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas pulled off an upset last week, when they knocked off Western Michigan, 16-14, as a 6-point home dog.  CMU is now catching double-digits at Northern Illinois, and we'll lay the points as the Huskies are a super 22-12 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while the Chippewas are 0-10 SU/ATS when getting 6+ points off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide are 8-3 after last week's 24-3 loss (as a 14-point favorite) at Oklahoma.  We'll lay the points as the Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 23-3 ATS their last 26) in SEC Conference games off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Alabama.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, they're 11-26 ATS on the conference road off back to back wins.  And in this heated rivalry, you can throw the records out the window, as the underdog has gone 24-10 ATS when it's owned the worse W/L record.  Take Arizona + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia State.  Last week, the Panthers pulled off a massive upset, as a 23-point underdog, at Texas State.  But prior to that shocking win, the Panthers were 2-10-3 ATS their previous 15 games.  The Panthers have covered just 3 of 9 home conference games off an upset win.  We'll take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Illinois.  The Wildcats enter this final game of the season off 2 horrible losses.  They fell last week at Michigan, 50-6, and were walloped, 31-7, by Ohio State two games back.  Meanwhile, Illinois comes into this game off an upset win at Rutgers, and a blowout win vs. Michigan State before that.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as teams off back to back blowout losses by 24 points, in which they scored less than 10 points in each, have cashed 64.2% the past 45 years vs. opponents off upset wins.  Illinois is a soft 12-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils come into this final game of the season off back to back upset wins over NC State and Virginia Tech.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 4-7 Demon Deacons, who have lost their last 3 games.  We'll take Wake Forest + the points, as revenge-minded underdogs have cashed 93% since 1990 in vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, in the final game of the season.  Take the Demon Deacons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats + the points over Liberty.  The Bearkats are 8-3, but are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take the Bearkats, as underdogs playing their Last Home Game of the season have cashed 64.7% if they were off 3 ATS losses, and playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  Additionally, .727 (or better) teams that have lost their last 5 to the spread, have cashed 67% of conference games since 1980, including 11-2 ATS when competitively-priced between +3 and -3 points.  Take Sam Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over Texas State.  Going into this final weekend, South Alabama is one of four teams still alive to play in the Sun Belt Conference Title game next week.  The Jaguars need to win this game on Friday, and then hope that Louisiana-Lafayette loses to Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday.  Last week, the Bobcats took themselves out of the running for the Title game when they lost as a 23-point home favorite to Georgia State.  We'll fade the Bobcats on the road, in Mobile, as NCAA teams off SU losses as a 23-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed just 12 of 43 games, including 5 of 24 as a favorite.  Take South Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Oregon State.  The Broncos are currently the 4th seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, which will earn them a Bye into the quarterfinals.  Last week, the Broncos struggled at Wyoming, and won by just 4, as a 22.5-point favorite, while Oregon State upset the Washington State Cougars, 41-38, as an 11-point underdog.  The good news for Boise, here, is that it will be back home, where it's gone 12-3-1 its last 16 FBS games.  Even better:  the Broncos are 13-1-2 ATS off a point spread loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  The Badgers are mired in a 4-game losing streak after getting blown out last Saturday, in Lincoln.  Wisconsin was a 2-point underdog in that game, but lost by 19, 44-25.  We'll take the Badgers as a small favorite, as they're 21-11-1 ATS as a favorite when they lost their two previous games.  Moreover, Wisky has dominated this 'Battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe,' as it's won 24 of the last 29 meetings.  Take the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.