Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-19-24 | Colorado v. Arizona -2 | 34-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
Arizona ATS The Wildcats clash with Colorado on Saturday and we’re laying the points with Arizona here. The Buffs have been hit hard with injuries on the offensive end and this will be a spot they struggle without those key pieces. Travis Hunter has not been cleared to play and even if he does, he certainly won’t be at 100% come Saturday. Combine that with them also missing two other receivers and this will be a struggle for them to get things going offensively. Arizona will be able to force this Colorado offense into some tough situations and they should be able to get off the field on third downs. Look for Arizona to blitz all night long as they’re going to cause a lot of havoc in this Colorado backfield. Back the Wildcats. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-19-24 | East Carolina +16.5 v. Army | 28-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 49 m | Show | |
ECU ATS Army and ECU clash on Saturday at noon and this is a tricky spot for Army. The nation all has eyes on Army now. They’re undefeated and sit in the top 25 now coming into Saturday. East Carolina can cause them some issues here as Army may be looking ahead to Air Force next week. The Pirates continue to make Army wait as well when it comes to announcing who will be under center come Saturday. They have utilized a pair of QBs and could end up using both even. Regardless this game will be determined on the defensive end for ECU. They have a very underrated front that can slow down this Army rushing attack. Look for them to stack the box and really put an emphasis on selling out for this run. This is the kind of game the Pirates can catch a few breaks with Army looking ahead and it gives them good value with the points. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-19-24 | Nebraska +6.5 v. Indiana | 7-56 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 47 m | Show | |
Nebraska ATS Nebraska and Indiana will meet in a crucial Big Ten showdown and we’re getting a good number on Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are off a bye and the rest will serve them well here. Nebraska has leaned on their defense all season long and it’s been when of the best in the nation. They are giving up just 13.0 ppg and they have forced a lot of turnovers with their pressure. They’ve allowed just 17 points combined over their last two games and this will be a game where they look to put an emphasis early on creating havoc in the Hoosiers backfield. Look for many different blitz packages and for them to slow down this Indiana attack that loves to play with speed. Nebraska likes to slow things down and they’ll have the Hoosiers off their rhythm all game long. Grab the points with the road side. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-19-24 | Miami-FL v. Louisville +5 | Top | 52-45 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 54 m | Show |
Louisville +5 The Cardinals and Hurricanes battle on Saturday at noon and we’re getting good value on the Cardinals at this number. Miami has been just a ticking time bomb when it comes to getting upset. They’ve survived late comebacks and Hail Marys as they have been on the beneficial side of many breaks. Louisville however, is not a team that you want to flirt with disaster with. The Cardinals are 4-2 and this is a game they need to stay in the conference race. Louisville is going to pick apart this Miami defense. The Hurricanes have given up 34 and 38 points in their last two games and the speed of the Cardinals is going to be too much. Louisville has the defense to slow down Cam Ward as well, which adds more value. They’ll have their chances to steal this game outright. Grab the home side and the points on Saturday. Saturday 10* *RARE* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-18-24 | Oregon v. Purdue +28.5 | 35-0 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
Purdue ATS Purdue welcomes in Oregon on Friday night and this is a good spot for Purdue to keep this close. This is a trap spot for Oregon on Friday night, there’s no doubt about that. The Ducks are off what was one of their most emotional wins as they took down the Buckeyes last Saturday. Going from that and charging the field to going to play Purdue on shorter rest should provide some sloppy play from the Ducks. Purdue played their most impressive game as they fell to Illinois in OT as the offense got rolling. Purdue opened up the playbook far more than they’ve had this season and they’re going to pull out all the stops here. Look for Purdue to try and sustain drives, while putting an emphasis on keeping this Ducks offense off the field. If Purdue can move the ball early, it’s going to open this game up for their offense and put some doubt in the Oregon minds. Grab the points. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-18-24 | Florida State +3 v. Duke | 16-23 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
FSU +3 The most disappointing team in college football this year has been Florida State. The one thing about this Florida State program though has been their dominance over Duke. They’ll come in with a lot of fire on Friday and look to make it 23-0 against Duke in the program’s history on Friday night. The Blue Devils are coming in off a loss to Georgia Tech, which was their first of the year. They struggled offensively all game long and the Seminoles can take a page out of the Yellow Jackets playbook in this game on the defensive end. Florida State is going to blitz and stack the box, as Duke just had no time to sit in the pocket on passes against Ga Tech. The Seminoles are young on the offensive side now and this is a good spot for these guys to come out and take chances. Look for them to open the playbook and utilize their speed on the edges against this Duke defense. Grab the points. Thursday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-16-24 | Florida International -7 v. UTEP | 21-30 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
FIU -7 FIU and UTEP battle on Wednesday night and we’re on FIU laying the points. This is more of a fade play on UTEP, who has been awful all season. They’re winless and getting the doors blown off of them in every game, which includes a loss to Western Kentucky last week. They have failed to stop anyone all season long and they’ve given up huge chunk plays. FIU gave a good Liberty team a run for their money last week in what was an overtime loss. This is a talented FIU team that has a stingy defense. They’ll force a ton of problems on UTEP offense, who already has enough issues when it comes to taking care of the ball. Lay the points. Wednesday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-12-24 | Ohio State -3 v. Oregon | 31-32 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 45 m | Show | |
Ohio State -3 The Buckeyes and Ducks welcome in College Gameday to Eugene as the marquee game of the week. We’re on the Buckeyes here, laying the points on the road. Ohio State is just too powerful this season. They came into the year and knew the Big 10 would take a step up and they’ve shown they’re going to be the class of the conference. They trounced Iowa last week in dominate fashion and they’re going to look to send a message here to Oregon. The Ducks are just 1-4 ATS and they haven’t looked as dominant as they were supposed to be either. Dillion Gabriel hasn’t looked sharp either as of late. Last week against Michigan State, he threw 2 interceptions and this is an Ohio State defense that gives you no room to breathe. Offensively, Ohio State is going to play with a ton of tempo and push the issue on the Ducks. The Buckeyes have so many weapons with the run game and out wide. Will Howard has settled in and they are going to pick apart this Ducks’ defense. Lay the points here. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-12-24 | Cincinnati +3 v. Central Florida | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
Cinci +3 The Bearcats and UCF meet Saturday afternoon and we’re grabbing the points here with the road underdog. The Bearcats are better than their 3-2 record shows as they took a good Red Raiders team to the brink last time out as they put up 41 points in the loss. The Bearcats’ passing attack is a lot to handle and this UCF defense is going to struggle. Cincinnati ranks 20th in pass yards per game and 35th in completion percentage. They aren’t shy about slinging it all over the field and they make the lives of opposing secondaries so tough. UCF ranks 121st in the nation when it comes to stopping the pass game and that ultimately is going to be the difference here. They’re going to struggle to slow down the attack and this is a spot where the Bearcats will overwhelm UCF. Look for them to take plenty of shots deep and beat these UCF safeties. Grab the Bearcats. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-12-24 | California v. Pittsburgh -3.5 | 15-17 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 12 m | Show | |
PITT -3.5 Cal and Pitt battle Saturday afternoon and we’re on Pitt in this matchup. Cal has to jump on a plane and fly across the country just a week after blowing a 25 point lead to Miami with College Gameday there. And this Pittsburgh team by no means is a pushover. They are 5-0 and they’re lighting up the scoreboard early in the season. The Panthers are averaging over 500 yards a game and they’re doing it both with the run and pass game. They’re torching opposing defenses and wearing them down, which doesn’t bode well here for Cal. They can take a page out of Miami’s playbook from last week and sling the ball all over the field. Even playing with some tempo had this Cal team on its heels, which Pitt can incorporate. This Pitt defense is also underrated. They have been able to slow teams down and force turnovers, which Cal will struggle with. This is such a good matchup for Pitt to bury Cal, who has to have such a low confidence level right now. Back the home side. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS PLAY | |||||||
10-12-24 | Texas v. Oklahoma UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 53 h 46 m | Show |
UNDER 50.5 Used to be known as the Red River Shootout, the Sooners and Longhorns renew their rivalry as SEC opponents now on Saturday. This game is going to be low scoring and a grind. Oklahomans offense just isn’t as good as it’s been in past seasons. We’ve seen when they play good teams, they simply cannot move the ball and this Texas defense is one of the best in the nation. Oklahoma’s offense is going to struggle moving the ball all game long and they won’t put up many points. Texas will also have its hands full with the Sooners’ defense. They gave the Volunteers a few frustrations already this season and they can put together some different packages to confuse this Longhorns’ offense. This will be a game dominated by the defenses and produce many punts and field goal attempts when teams do put together drives. Grab the under. Saturday 10* RARE Top O/U Play | |||||||
10-12-24 | Washington v. Iowa -2.5 | 16-40 | Win | 100 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
Iowa -2.5 Iowa and Washington battle as the new Big 10 goes will meet in Iowa on Saturday. This is a huge let down spot for the Huskies. They come in off a huge win over the Wolverines, at home, last week and they’re feeling good. However, now they’re traveling across the country for a game against an Iowa team that will match up well with them. It’s no secret what the Hawkeyes are going to do to this Washington defense. They’re going to run down hill at them and wear out this Huskies front. Iowa is going to see this Washington defense as a breath of fresh air after dealing with the Buckeyes last week. Remove last week’s game and this Iowa offense has looked far better than in the past. They will control the line of scrimmage and Washington is going to struggle here going on the road. Back the Hawkeyes and lay the small number. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-11-24 | Utah v. Arizona State +5.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
ASU +5.5 The Sun Devils welcome in the Utes on Friday night and we’re playing the home side here. The Utah quarterback situation is still up in the air and with Cam Rising questionable, it’s too hard to trust the Utes. Rising has been battling injuries and despite winning games, Utah’s offense has had very minimal passing game. This is the perfect spot for ASU to catch the Utes in some trouble as they’re scrappy. ASU is unbeaten at home and they’re averaging over 37 ppg when playing in Tempe. Given all the issues right now with injuries for the Utes, Arizona State has a chance to dictate a lot in this game. They’ve been running a balanced attack offensively and they can control the possession in this game. This is a pretty even game and we’re getting good value on this line. Back ASU. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-10-24 | UTEP +19.5 v. Western Kentucky | 17-44 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
UTEP +19.5 UTEP heads into WKU on Thursday night and we’re playing the visitors, grabbing the points. UTEP comes in winless, but this team has something to build off of from last week. While they lost by 20 to Sam Houston State, they still battled back and the offense finally showed some spark in the 2nd half. UTEP is working with a first year coach and he has made a point to say to remain patient as this team is going to come together. WKU is not overwhelming by any means either. They lost to Boston College last time out and this will be the kind of game they get some frustrations. They may be even in a look ahead spot with Sam Houston State next week lingering. Look for UTEP to establish a run game early as they’re going to try everything to control the time of possession. They can keep this close if they build off of that 2nd half from last week. Grab the points. Thursday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Miami-FL v. California +10.5 | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 38 m | Show | |
CAL +10.5 Cal welcomes in Miami across the country here on Saturday night and we’re playing Cal with the points. This Miami side is just too hard to trust laying this many points and Cal has been respectable so far. Cal is off to a solid 3-1 start and this team has one of the best defenses in the nation. They will put together so many different blitz packages and their ability to close down receivers has been incredible. They’ve been able to have such a good pass rush and it caused so many issues for Cam Ward last week. That’s going to be their gameplan once again as they will lean on this defense. Miami’s offense has made plenty of mistakes and they’re going to be rushed into some quick decisions on Saturday night. Cal has a history of doing well against top teams in the country and making things so difficult. They’re going to have their chances to steal this game and they’ll keep it close. Grab the points. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Michigan v. Washington -1 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 36 m | Show | |
UW -1 The Huskies will welcome in Michigan for a Big Ten clash and we’re on the Huskies. This will be Michigan’s first road contest of the year and having to travel across the country is not going to be easy for this team. This Michigan team has been tested already twice with games against Texas and USC and this Washington defense will be a stingy test for them. The Michigan offense just hasn’t looked good and they’ve struggled when it comes to throwing the ball. Their inability to have that big playmaker downfield has been costly and Orji has thrown for just 113 in total over the last two games. Washington is far better than their 3-2 record and their defense can sell out for the run. They’ll stack the box and feed off this crowd energy. We’re getting good value here in this spot at home for the Huskies. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Clemson v. Florida State +15.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 9 m | Show | |
Florida State +15.5 The Seminoles will welcome in Clemson in prime time on Saturday night. In what was supposed to be a marquee game at the beginning of the season is now a game where Florida State is grasping for any sort of positivity. They will make the change at QB and we’ll get Brock Glenn here under center on Saturday. That will provide a boost for this Florida State side, who needs some sort of spark right now. The Noles are going to put together a game plan here to simply try and sustain drives. They have to keep the ball away from this Clemson offense and they’re going to try and set themselves up with short third down situations. If they can get the run game going early, they’re going to find success against this Clemson defense. This is a bit of a let down spot for Clemson, while the Seminoles will get up for this one under the lights. Back the Seminoles here with the points as they’ll put up a fight here. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 45.5 | 6-52 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
UNDER 45.5 Purdue and Wisconsin will clash at noon on Saturday and this has all the makings of an under game. Purdue’s offense has been so bad all season long and they’ve struggled both with running and passing. They have scored under 21 in 3 straight games and now they run into a Wisconsin team that has such a physical presence on the defensive end. They get their push on the defensive line and opponents have zero luck running the ball against them. This will be a game where Purdue has a ton of issues moving the ball and sustaining drives. The Badgers offensively lack a spark too. They’ve struggled and now will be without top rushing Chez Mellusi, who opted out. This is going to be a sloppy game where both teams have issues moving the ball. Saturday 6* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Boston College v. Virginia | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Virginia PK Virginia The Cavaliers and Eagles clash on Saturday and we’re playing the home side here. Boston College has battled injuries at the QB position and they needed quite the comeback last week to take down Western Kentucky. The schedule is going to catch up to them here regardless who is at the QB spot. The Eagles will be playing their 6th game in the last 33 days with all the scheduling and this is a Virginia team that had two weeks to prepare for this game. This is also a revenge spot as the Cavaliers blew a lead last season in what was eventually a loss to BC. Virginia will run down hill and wear down the opposition. This is a case in point where they are going to wear down the Eagles as this game goes on. We’re getting a good number and good value situationally on Saturday. Back Virginia. Saturday 10* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-04-24 | Michigan State v. Oregon -23.5 | 10-31 | Loss | -109 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
Oregon -23.5 Michigan State and Oregon will battle under the lights on Friday night and we’re on the Ducks here. Michigan State just looks to be a struggle this year on both sides of the ball. They mustered just 7 points against the Buckeyes last week as they struggle in every which way. Now, they have to deal with another high flying attack in Oregon and this is just a complete mismatch. Oregon has figured themselves out after what was a slow start as they’ve put up performances of 49 points and 34 in back to back weeks. They are back to playing with a ton of tempo and they’re going to have this Spartans defense on their heels. Oregon has shown they can strike down field on any play and they just wear opposing defenses down. Combine that with Michigan State ranking 97th in total rush yards and 102nd in points per game and they don’t have the firepower to keep up. Oregon keeps their foot on the gas and that’s exactly what they’ll do here in a blowout. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-03-24 | Texas State -13 v. Troy | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Texas State -13 Texas State and Troy battle on Thursday night and we’re playing Texas State, laying the points. This is a nice spot to fade Troy as they have some questionable QB issues. Troy has both quarterbacks, Goose Crowder and Tucker Kilcrease, questionable for Thursday’s contest which could cause a lot of problems. Even if one goes, they’re not at 100% and that plays into the favor of the Bobcats. This is a spot where Texas State can come out with their explosive offense and put the Trojans in such an early hole. Texas State will play with tempo and force this Troy defense on their heels, which should wear them down as the game goes on. This is a good spot for the Bobcats to come out with some fire and they have the edge in every facet. Back the visitors and lay the points. Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | Cincinnati v. Texas Tech -3.5 | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas Tech -3.5 Texas Tech and Cincinnati clash on Saturday night and we’re taking the home side here as the Red Raiders have the value. This Texas Tech offense is causing so many issues for opposing teams right now. They come in after a 30 point performance and they’re doing it with such a balanced attack. It’s rare to see this Texas Tech team be good at running the ball, but they continue to run down hill at opponents as they rumbled for 133 yards against ASU. They’ve been able to sustain drives and they aren’t shy about opening the playbook up when they’ve established the run game. This will be the toughest competitor so far for this Cinci side as they have played a very soft schedule. They’re going to have a tough time slowing down this attack and we should see them struggle to get off the field on third downs. This is a good spot and number for the Red Raiders, under the lights on Saturday. Lay the points. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | Georgia v. Alabama +2.5 | Top | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 106 h 21 m | Show |
Alabama +2.5 The Crimson Tide and Georgia meet on Saturday night as #4 and #2 meet with a lot on the line. The SEC foes rarely meet in the regular season, but with the new additions to the conference, these two will meet early. Alabama hasn’t broke stride since Saban retired as they’re rolling through teams at 3-0. Prior to the bye it was a blowout win over Wisconsin on the road and now they’ll have a capacity crowd behind them here under the lights. Milroe is going to be the impact player that makes the difference. The star QB has 8 touchdowns through the air already with 6 coming with his legs. He is so tough to contain and he is on a different level right now. Combine that with their defense playing well and they’re in a good spot here. The defense is producing turnovers and they’re going to lock down these wideouts from Georgia. They’re going to mix in a lot of different packages and will look to make things so difficult for this Bulldogs offense. Alabama is playing with every ounce of confidence, while we’ve seen Georgia struggle on the road already once this season. Grab Alabama. Saturday *RARE* 10* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | Ohio State v. Michigan State OVER 48 | 38-7 | Loss | -111 | 81 h 3 m | Show | |
OVER 48 Ohio State heads on the road for their Big Ten opener as they take on Michigan State on Saturday night. The Buckeyes and Spartans have had some heated games in past season and this year we get a lower total because of how the Spartans play. Still, Ohio State’s offense is just far too composite and this Over is worthy of a move. The Buckeyes have put up 52,56, and 49 in their first 3 games and they’ve had everything working. They’re running over teams with their duo of backs, while Will Howard can beat teams with both his arm and legs. They’re going to score their fair share of points as the Spartans defense hasn’t been anything special. The Spartans will have to open the playbook themselves as they need points and plenty of them. It’s no secret the Buckeyes are going to score and know this the Spartans have to take shots down field. An early score will open this up completely. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | Iowa State -12 v. Houston | 20-0 | Win | 100 | 130 h 12 m | Show | |
Iowa State -12 The Cyclones head into Houston to take on the Cougars Saturday night. We’re on the visitors here, laying the points as this is a complete mismatch. Houston just doesn’t have enough to compete here. They were shut out against the Bearcats and looked atrocious in the game from start to finish. They’re now just 1-3 and they’re having such a hard time moving the ball. That doesn’t bode well against this Iowa State defense, that has allowed 3, 19, and 7 points through their first 3 games. The Cyclones ran wild for 237 yards in their Week 3 blowout win over Arkansas State as they right now are dominating the line of scrimmage. They’re getting a huge push up front and they’re going to have significant edge here against the Cougars. Look for them to establish the run game early and continue to open things up as Houston will get worn down. Iowa State has the edge on both sides of the ball and they’re going to show that early in the one. Back Iowa State. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | TCU v. Kansas -2 | 38-27 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
KU -2 Two very disappointing Big 12 teams out of the gate meet with Kansas and TCU clashing. We’re backing Kansas here as their record shouldn’t be as bad as it is. They’ve lost to West Virginia, UNLV, and Illinois, which is 3 games they were in until the very end. They could just as easily be undefeated right now, but failed to close any of those games out and now sit desperate for a win. This is a great matchup for them as TCU has stumbled out of the gate and looks bad so far. The Jayhawks are even out gaining the opposition by an average of 100 yards per game so far. They’ve been able to develop a rushing attack as well, which will be the difference maker here. RB Devin Neal has rushed for over 100 yards in every game and will set the tone. Given how bad TCU’s offense is, this is a great spot for the Jayhawks to push the issue and wear down the Horned Frogs. Situationally, this play makes sense for Kansas to get back on track. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | BYU v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 9 m | Show |
Baylor -2.5 We’re on Baylor here, laying the points at home as this spot has been over adjusted. Oddsmakers saw Baylor fall to Colorado, while BYU ran over Kansas State last week. This is a bounce back spot for Baylor and a let down spot for BYU on Saturday. Baylor could just as easily be 3-1, but failed to close out the Buffs and fumbled on the goal line to lose. This team still has a lot of talent and they are going to run the ball right at this BYU defense. They ran for over 200 yards 2 weeks ago and then put up 165 yards on the ground against the Buffaloes. They are going to be able to wear down the Cougars defense and force them on their heels. It should open up a lot of passing lanes as well as this game goes on. BYU is in a letdown spot and going on the road in a tough environment like this won’t be easy for them. Expect Baylor to come out quickly and feed off this home crowd energy. Grab the home side. Saturday 10* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-27-24 | Washington +1.5 v. Rutgers | 18-21 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
UW +1.5 The Huskies come in 3-1 as they have really started this season off successfully after a tough offseason that saw them not only lose their coach, but return just one starter. They’re riding that hot start into play here and have value grabbing the points. The Huskies have leaned on their defense, that has continued to step up here in the early going. They rank 7th in the entire nation as they’ve allowed just 237 yards as a team per game. Offensively, having transfer Will Rogers has helped tremendously. He’s been able to keep this offense calm with his veteran leadership and this is a nice spot for him to step up in the road. Rutgers quality of opponents hasn’t been anything special so far either. This is a game where Washington will win the battle of the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and really put some pressure on Rutgers early. They’re the better team and getting points here is a valuable move. Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-27-24 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -19 | 34-38 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami -19 The Hurricanes and Hokies clash on Friday night and we’re backing the Hurricanes here laying the points. Miami looks like a team on a mission as they’ve won in blowout fashion in all 4 games and they’re doing it with Cam Ward playing at such a high level. He’s thrown for 1,439 yards already while racking up 14 touchdowns. This offense looks incredibly different from past years as they are just so tough to slow down with all the weapons they have. This is a complete mismatch against the Virginia Tech side that comes in off a loss against Rutgers. Tech simply does not have the firepower to keep up. They’ve struggled out of the gates on both sides of the ball and they’re going up against a much faster and more physical side in Miami. The Hurricanes are going to impose their will early and wear out this Hokies side. The Canes will be in control throughout and they aren’t shy about running scores up as we’ve seen through the first 4 weeks. Back Miami. Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Fresno State -14.5 v. New Mexico | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 94 h 17 m | Show | |
Fresno State -14.5 Fresno State heads into New Mexico State on Saturday night and we’re on the visitors here laying the points. This is a complete mismatch every which way you look at it. New Mexico State is 0-3 with a pair of blowout losses and a home loss to Montana State. They have allowed 35, 61, and 45 points in those 3 losses as they haven’t slowed anyone down. That doesn’t bode well with a good offense like Fresno State coming in. They have put up 46 and 48 points in their last two games and they are clicking on all cylinders right now. They run such a balanced attack that saw them throw for 244 yards, while rushing for 281 last week. They’re going to establish a run game early and wear down this New Mexico State side. This will be a case where passing lanes become open more and more as the game goes on and the Bulldogs start to pick up bigger chunks as the game goes on. We’re getting a good number and value in this spot on Fresno. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Tennessee v. Oklahoma +7.5 | 25-15 | Loss | -115 | 116 h 6 m | Show | |
OU +7.5 Welcome to the SEC Oklahoma! Their first conference task pins them against the Volunteers who are riding high right now. However, this is too high of a number. Prior to the season, Vegas actually had this game totally flipped and had Oklahoma -5. Before last week, it was Tennessee laying 2.5, but now this number has sky rocked. The volunteers put up 71 last week, but that number was against a Kent State side that is abysmal in every which way. Oklahoma’s defense is extremely talented and they’re going to put together many different schemes here to not allow Tennessee to sustain drives. They’re also going to be able to keep their offense off the field as they can control the possession. The Sooners and Jackson Arnold’s dual threat ability has been able to keep defenses guessing and that’s going to be the case here. This will be the best offense this Tennessee defense has seen this season so far. We’re getting a good number on a home side that will have a capacity crowd rocking under the lights. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Duke v. Middle Tennessee State UNDER 52 | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 50 m | Show | |
UNDER 52 Duke and Middle Tennessee State will battle Saturday and we’re playing the under here as this game should be played at a slower pace. Duke is 3-0 and they’ve done it with leaning on their defense throughout the early portion of this season. The Blue Devils have allowed performances of 3, 20 (overtime), and 21 on the defensive end and they’re causing just so much havoc for opponents with their ability to get in the backfield. They’re also dominate in the secondary with their ability to lock down on receivers. They play at such a slow tempo where they chew clock offensively and they’re going to methodically get down the field. They’re going to have MTSU out of their rhythm and this should be the kind of game where they dominate the time of possession. Expect neither team to have any big, explosive plays as this game will stay lower scoring. Grab the under. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Arizona State v. Texas Tech -2.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 112 h 8 m | Show | |
Texas Tech -2.5 We’re playing Texas Tech here minus the points at home on Saturday. Arizona State has done a nice job out of the gates, but now they run into a Big 12 road contest that will surely be a tough task for them. The Red Raiders are flying high offensively as they racked up 66 points in the win over the Mean Green on Saturday afternoon. This offense can make things so difficult for opposing defenses and this is going to be another case as their run and gun style is so hard to slow down. They have built in a running game as well with their tempo that also keeps defenses on their heels. They rushed for 232 yards and threw for 354 as they buried North Texas from the outset. They’re going to wear down this ASU side and it’s going to open up a lot of passing lanes. Playing on the road in the Big 12 is never easy and this is going to be a tall task for the Sun Devils. Grab the home side here and lay the number. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Ohio +20 v. Kentucky | Top | 6-41 | Loss | -109 | 86 h 29 m | Show |
Ohio +20 We’re on the Bobcats on Saturday as they head into Kentucky to take on the Wildcats. Kentucky nearly took down Georgia and a questionable punt in Georgia territory late has this fan base still upset following the loss. This is a typical trap game for a team like Kentucky. They go from a night game against the #1 team in the nation and almost beating them, to a noon start against a much lesser opponent from the MAC. However, you can’t overlook a team like Ohio. They are 2-1 and they have an offense that can make some noise. They put up 22 against a good Syracuse defense and then had solid performances on both sides of the ball in the last 2 weeks. They can frustrate this Kentucky side with their run game, that put up 148 yards last week. Look for them to try and control the possession and set themselves up in some short yardage third downs. If they can get things rolling early, they can really put some doubt in the Wildcats minds. Saturday 10* RARE NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-20-24 | Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 42 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 42 This is such a low total and it feels like these two offenses are getting overlooked a little bit. The Cornhuskers and Fighting Illini come in averaging over 30 points a game through the early portion of this season. They’re both built with the ability to make big plays and we should see the playbooks open up a bit given the importance of this conference showdown. The one important thing to note is how these defenses really haven’t faced much of offensive threats this season. Nebraska held Colorado down, but they’re so inconsistent themselves. This will be a true test both ways for these defenses and we’re going to see plenty of big chunks gained with the way these offenses have moved the ball. With this total being adjusted so low given the start these teams have had, we’re getting good value on this over. Friday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-14-24 | UTSA v. Texas -34.5 | 7-56 | Win | 100 | 106 h 39 m | Show | |
Texas -34.5 We’re playing the Longhorns here, laying the number on Saturday night. Texas is clearly one of the best teams in the country and they proved that as they went into the Big House on Saturday and throttled the Wolverines. Texas QB Quinn Ewers looked impressive once again as he threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns. He’s playing at such a high level and he is going to pick apart this UTSA defense that just allowed 49 points to Texas State. They struggled all game with every aspect on the defensive side and that comes after they snuck by Kennesaw State in Week 1. The Longhorns will play with the same intensity here as they’re looking to continue to make their statements before going into SEC play this fall. Look for them to have far too much speed and have a ton of success both on the ground and through the air. This is will be a lopsided game right from the start. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-14-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida +4.5 | 33-20 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida +4.5 Florida opens as a home dog for the 2nd time this season and we’re backing them here on Saturday. The Gators bounced back in a big way after their opening week loss to Miami as they took some frustrations out on Samford 45-7. Florida isn’t as bad as they showed in Week 1 and they welcome in the Aggies who are 1-1 as well. Texas A&M struggled Week 1 against Notre Dame and this is going to be just as much of a physical game for them as that one. Florida threw for nearly 500 yards and ran for 166 in their win over Samford and while this is clearly a few steps up in competition, the Gators will wear down the Aggies defense. It was clear A&M was worn out by the Fighting Irish in Week 1 and Florida will lean on their run game to start. No matter what, playing inside the swamp is going to be tough and this Aggies side will struggle with the crowd. Florida has the value as they’ll have a chance to steal this outright. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-14-24 | Oregon v. Oregon State +16.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 74 h 20 m | Show | |
Oregon State +16.5 The rivalry formally known as the Civil War takes place in Week 3 and we’re grabbing the Beavers with the points. Oregon has looked very mediocre so far through their first two games as they struggled with Idaho and then had to come from behind to beat Boise State. They just haven’t looked good on either side of the ball and this rivalry is typically one where both teams throw everything at each other. Oregon State wore their first two opponents down with their ability to run the ball as they’re averaging over 300 yards on the ground so far. That’s going to be the same game plan here as Oregon’s defense has had its issues with slowing down the run game so far. The Ducks just aren’t as explosive anymore without their playmakers from last season and this game should go down to the wire. Grab the points. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-14-24 | Washington State v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 24-19 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 8 m | Show |
UW -4.5 The Apple Cup rivalry continues as the Cougars and Huskies battle on Saturday. Washington has the value here as they are going to lean on their defense. The Huskies have given up just 6.0 ppg this season through their first two games and they can completely change the complexion of this game. The Cougars love to run and gun, but we’ve seen teams like this struggle when they run into a hot defense. Washington has been able to put together different blitz packages and their secondary is completely lock down. Offensively, they control the line of scrimmage and that’s going to help them wear down the Wazzu front. The Cougars defensively aren’t going to slow anyone down and this will be a game the Huskies control the time of possession. This is a good line for the Huskies on Saturday. Saturday 10* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-14-24 | Alabama -16 v. Wisconsin | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show | |
Bama -16 The Crimson Tide and Wisconsin Badgers clash on Saturday at noon and we’re playing Alabama here in this spot. Alabama did struggle with USF last week, but they were missing a few key pieces on the offensive line that should be back this week. That will play a huge part for them with the run game and protecting Milroe in this game. The Crimson Tide are just far more explosive and have many more playmakers than the Badgers. Wisconsin’s air road offense just isn’t as threatening and it’s even tough to trust QB Tyler Van Dyke right now against this secondary. Look for Alabama to wear down the Badgers with their push up front and that’ll open up plenty of running and passing lanes for the offense. This is just a case where Alabama is the better team and will prove that in a lopsided win on Saturday. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-13-24 | UNLV +7 v. Kansas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 51 m | Show | |
UNLV +7 UNLV has the value here as they catch points on the road at Kansas. The Jayhawks did just about everything wrong last Saturday as they fell to the Fighting Illini 20-17 in what was a major disappointment for them. They struggled offensively and Illinois won the battle at the line of scrimmage. UNLV’s offense is so fast and it’s going to give the Jayhawks so many issues on Saturday. While their offense typically overshadows everything, this defense actually has played exceptionally well through the first two games. They haven’t given up many chunk plays and their ability to get off the field on third down has been a huge key. They are going to give Kansas everything they can handle and then some in what should be a close game throughout. Grab the visitors with the points. Friday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-12-24 | Arizona State v. Texas State +2 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 37 m | Show | |
Texas State +2 The Bobcats are going to be a team that will cause a lot of issues for the opposition this season. Texas State returned 14 starters and they also saw Sun Belt Player of the Year, Jordan McCloud, transfer in to take the QB spot. They have one of the most electric offenses in the nation as they can beat teams with their speed and ability to find many of the playmakers out there offensively. Arizona State is the perfect opponent for them. The Sun Devils are very one dimensional and they will look to lean on their run game. The Bobcats can make things extremely uncomfortable if they get out to an early lead and for ASU to throw the ball. This Sun Devils team isn’t built to come from behind and with Texas State expecting a capacity crowd for this national tv game, the Bobcats will come out with a ton of fire. This is a good spot for them to show the nation what they have we’ll see plenty of big plays from them on the offensive end. Grab the home side. Thursday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-07-24 | Appalachian State +17 v. Clemson | 20-66 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 23 m | Show | |
App St. +17 We’re playing Appalachian State on Saturday as they take on Clemson. The Mountaineers are going to be upset minded after Clemson looked awful against Georgia last week. The Tigers just simply had nothing going for them from the start and QB Cade Klubnik didn’t look comfortable within this offensive scheme. He’s going to struggle and take time to figure things out here and right now his confidence has to be shot after only accumulating 188 yards as an offense. App State wasn’t shy about throwing the ball in week 2 themselves as QB Joey Aguilar racked up 326 yards and 2 touchdowns in their win over ETSU. They certainly aren’t Georgia offensively, but they have some explosive players and they can get out early on Clemson who will still have a hangover from that opening week loss. As this game stays close throughout, they’re going to put more and more doubt in the minds of the Tigers. Grab the visitors. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-07-24 | Tennessee v. NC State +9.5 | Top | 51-10 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 50 m | Show |
*TOP PLAY* NC State +9.5 We’re on the Wolfpack here on Saturday as they take on Tennessee under the lights at home. This is an inflated line after the performances of these two teams last week. NC State had their fair share of issues with Western Carolina as they eventually pulled away in the 4th quarter. This team came out with some rust and got caught maybe looking ahead to this matchup. The Wolfpack are still going to be a top team this year and they’re going to come out looking to make a statement. QB Grayson McCall will be in much more rhythm here as the Coastal Carolina transfer took a few quarters to get himself going. Look for him to have a much better game to come out firing. Defensively, they’re going to be up for the task here against this explosive Volunteers offense. The Wolfpack will blitz all night and not allow the Volunteers much time to throw. This will be a game they can feed off the home crowd and will have their chances to steal this one. Saturday *RARE* 10* NCAAF ATS TOP PLAY | |||||||
09-07-24 | Iowa State v. Iowa -2.5 | 20-19 | Loss | -109 | 88 h 41 m | Show | |
Iowa -2.5 The Hawkeyes welcome in Iowa State for their yearly battle and Iowa has the value here at this price. The Hawkeyes did play Illinois State to open their season, but we still can take away a lot from their offensive production. They put up a 40 spot and for a team that couldn’t score against anyone last season, this is a huge jump. Combine just even a capable offense with how good this defense is and the Hawkeyes are going to be a tough team to crack. Iowa put up nearly 500 yards of offense in the win and they’re going to run downhill at this Cyclones defense. They’re at their best when they can do that and wear teams down, which is exactly the case here. Iowa is such a physical team on both sides of the ball and they’re going to impose their will here. Combine that with the home crowd playing a factor and we’re getting good value on Iowa on Saturday. Back the Hawkeyes. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-07-24 | Northern Illinois +28.5 v. Notre Dame | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show | |
NIU +28.5 Northern Illinois clashes with Notre Dame on Saturday and we’re backing the Huskies with the points here. This is a spot where Notre Dame can have a little bit of a letdown and come out flat. They just had a very emotional win last week on the road late at Texas A&M and now they return home to take on a much lesser opponent out of the MAC. Northern Illinois can catch them a bit off guard here and maybe steal a couple early points from them. The Huskies returned 16 starters which includes their QB, who threw for 5 touchdowns in Week 1. Notre Dame is going to lean on their defense more this year and they aren’t going to light up any scoreboards offensively. Look for this game to be a slow developing kind of game that will stay within the number. Grab the Huskies. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-07-24 | Texas v. Michigan +7.5 | 31-12 | Loss | -109 | 84 h 19 m | Show | |
Michigan +7.5 Michigan catches a lot of points here as they welcome in Texas on FOX on Saturday. This is simply too many points and it feels like an overreaction to Week 1. Michigan needed to pull away in the 4th quarter against Fresno State, while Texas had little issues on their end. Still, the Wolverines are going to lean heavily on their defense, that is still one of the best in the nation. The Wolverines shut everything down on the ground and they’re going to come out with a ton of different packages as they’ll fluster this Longhorns offense. They are at their best when they get into the backfield with different blitz types and that will ultimately lead to a ton of issues for Texas. Michigan will also see a depleted backfield for the Longhorns as they lost 2 of their 3 main tailbacks as they were prepping for the season. This is too many points for what will be a capacity crowd rocking on Saturday. Grab the Wolverines. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-02-24 | Boston College v. Florida State -16 | 28-13 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
FSU -16 The Seminoles are in a prime bounce back spot here on Monday night against Boston College. They return home after getting beat over in Ireland and despite the loss, they still have plenty of time to make up ground and get into the playoff. Offensively, they simply have to be better and DJ Uiagalelei is going to be the one to step up here. He threw for under 200 yards in the loss and looked tentative at times. He's going to pick apart the Boston College secondary, that is expected to be very weak this season. Look for the Seminoles to wear down this BC side right from the start of this game, as they are going to come out with a little bit of aggression here. Defensively, Florida State still look good last week and they’re going to make things extremely difficult for this Boston College offense. Expect many different blitzes and for them to cause a lot of havoc in that backfield. Grab the home side. Monday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
09-01-24 | LSU v. USC OVER 64 | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
OVER 64 The Trojans and Tigers will clash on Saturday as one of the headline matchups on the CFB slate. We’re playing the over as these two teams are going to be similar to how they were last season. Obviously, both QBs are gone from last season, but they’re in good hands and should be the similar run and gun style. Looking at LSU, we saw Garrett Nussmeier dominate the bowl game last season and he’s going to have a solid target out wide with the new Liberty transfer, CJ Daniels. Combine that with their defense still expected to be a mess and LSU is going to have a lot of points in their games. USC will have Miller Moss calling the shots, who had a ton of success in last year’s bowl game himself. These two QBs are going to put on a show and they’re going to want to make a statement here early. Grab the Over as points will be scored in flurries. Sunday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
08-31-24 | Notre Dame +3 v. Texas A&M | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Notre Dame +3 The Fighting Irish will head into the home of the 12th man as they take on the Texas A&M Aggies to start their season off. This is by no means an easy game for the Fighting Irish, but this team returns a lot of starters and had some key transfers in that will help on both sides of the ball. We’re getting great value here as Notre Dame welcomes in Duke transfer, Riley Leonard, who had a ton of success last season. He made a name for himself and was able to put up impressive numbers overall. He fits right into this offense at Notre Dame that has explosive receivers and can really frustrate opposing defenses with their downhill running style. Combine that with the Fighting Irish defense being able to force the Aggies into some tough 3rd down situations, and they have the advantage on both sides of the ball. An early Notre Dame score will put a lot of doubt in this crowd and take them out of the game. Back Notre Dame with the points. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
08-31-24 | Western Kentucky +33 v. Alabama | 0-63 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
WKU +33 Western Kentucky and Alabama battle on Saturday and we’re taking WKU with the points. The new era for the Crimson Tide begins as they will start without Nick Saban. It’s a big loss and huge obstacle to start with as they won’t have the same spark as they’ve had in the past. This is by no means a pushover game either as WKU has a solid attack and their passing offense is extremely dangerous. Texas State transfer, TJ Finley, will take the QB spot for the Hilltoppers and he comes from a similar style offense. That’ll bode well as he gets things going and we have seen this team in the past not be shy about throwing the ball all over the field. Alabama will come out rusty with the new coaching change and they’ll struggle at times slowing this team down. Look for WKU to keep this one closer than people think here on the spread. Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
08-31-24 | Miami-FL v. Florida +3 | 41-17 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Florida +3 The Gators grabbing points inside the Swamp is going to be a nice valuable play here. This is a game where both teams are going to try and dictate the tempo and pace. Florida QB Graham Mertz returns and he gives this team a ton of experience and leadership. That bodes well going up against this Miami side that hasn’t won in the Swamp since 2002 and they were as sloppy as it gets last year. They made far too many mistakes both on the field and on the sidelines, as the coaching was abysmal. The Hurricanes just found zero consistency last season and that’s likely going to be a factor here this season as they return a lot of starters from last season. Typically, that’s a good thing, but this Miami team had a ton of issues and their inability to move the ball and create short yardage 3rd down situations was ultimately their doom. Florida’s defense is going to pin their ears back and come right at this Miami backfield on Saturday. Grab the Gators with the points. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
08-31-24 | Clemson v. Georgia -11.5 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia -11.5 Georgia has the value here as they take on Clemson at noon on Saturday. Georgia is just the much better overall team and with this basically being a home game for Georgia, the crowd will be one sided. The Bulldogs return so many different weapons this season, which includes QB Carson Beck. He’s a Heisman front runner right now and he has a lot of confidence coming into this season. The Bulldogs offense is loaded and they’ll be able to really wear teams down with their downhill style. Clemson will have its issues Saturday as QB Cade Klubnik is going up against one of the best defenses in the NCAA. They create many different blitz packages and they’re going to be in the backfield all day long. Georgia is just too powerful and will impose their will early. Grab the Bulldogs. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
08-30-24 | TCU v. Stanford UNDER 60 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
UNDER 60 Stanford and TCU battle on Friday night and we’re getting good value on the under here. This is going to be a game played at such a slow pace and we shouldn’t see much of a tempo from either side. Stanford will join the ACC after struggling all of the last 3 seasons in the PAC-12. They really haven’t had much of a spark in either of those 3 seasons offensively and they still haven’t made a decision on who will be starting at QB Friday. Regardless of who’s there isn’t much explosiveness on this side and they’re going to put much more emphasis on running the ball. TCU went just 5-7 last season and they still have a lot of question marks offensively on their end. They were runners up just a few years back and things have taken quite the turn for this side. They should improve this season, but don’t expect that same kind of team we saw play in the title game. They are a much slower team and will play a similar style to Stanford. Expect a slow developing game and for this one to stay under the total. Friday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
08-29-24 | North Carolina -1.5 v. Minnesota | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
North Carolina -1.5 The Tar Heels have the value on Thursday as they take on Minnesota in the season opener. UNC will likely see their pair of QBs take the field as Mack Brown has already stated both will see playing time. They both had a good camp and their main job will be to get Junior RB Omarion Hampton the ball. He rushed for 1504 yards and 15 touchdowns last season as he was such a huge piece to the offense next to Maye. He also is a huge threat out of the backfield as he finished last season with 29 receptions and 222 yards through the air. He’s going to cause this Minnesota defense a ton of issues as they struggled against the run and have a lot of gaps in this defense entering the season. With Minnesota going with an FCS transfer at QB, there’s just far too many question marks on them. Grab the Tar Heels on Thursday. Thursday 9* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
08-24-24 | Florida State -10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 21-24 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Florida State -10.5 The Seminoles and Yellow Jackets kick off the season in Ireland and were on the Seminoles. This is a clear cut mismatch overall as Florida State is the better team. If you ever wanted to see a team eager to get back out there and prove something it’s this Florida State side. They return 73 starters and after being screwed out of the CFP spot, they are going to look to make a statement early. DJ Uiagalelei will take the reins at QB as the Clemson and Oregon State transfer is trying to find his home here. He will work with a receiving core that returns 9 players that had 86 receptions overall. Florida State is going to be one of those teams that isn’t shy about taking chances and because of that, they’re going to have a wide open playbook. Georgia Tech just simply isn’t going to have enough of a spark here to compete and because of that, we’re getting good value on Florida State. Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan OVER 55 | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 4 m | Show | |
OVER 55 #2 Washington (14-0) takes on #1 Michigan (14-0) in the 2024 CFB National Championship on Monday January 8th at 7:30pm ET from NRG Stadium, in Houston, TX. Watch this one on ESPN. This total opened at 54.5 and was up to 55.5 within minutes of me locking in this play. I expect it to go higher! Despite being considered underdogs, UW has an impressive 20-game winning streak. Michigan has a strong defense to slow down UW's running game, but they may struggle to contain Penix Jr. with their secondary. Both teams' offensive masterminds, Sherrone Moore and Ryan Moore, will use extensive game footage to come up with creative strategies. The game's final outcome is uncertain (at least to me), but it's clear that it will require a lot of points to win. I'm confident that both teams will do well in the red zone. This is going to be a matchup of contrasting styles. Michigan can run, and pound the rock all day long. They've run the ball 30+ times in every game this season. (That will keep the clock moving) Washington showed me in the CFP Semi vs. Texas that stopping the run isn't their forte. What Washington can do well is throw the ball. They might have to throw it 50x in the Final if their starting RB Johnson is out. (That will slow down the clock. LOL) Michigan hasn't faced a WR core that is even close to what Washington is going to throw at them on Monday night. Penix Jr. could be a top 5 pick in the NFL draft and UW in my opinion can score points against anybody. They just have to protect Penix. Michigan averaged 36.7 PPG, and Washington's 37-31 victory over the Longhorns showcased Penix Jr.'s 430-yard passing performance. The Huskies' offense totaled 532 yards, ranking #1 in the nation with 350 passing yards per game. Although Big Blue may have a better shot at winning, they'll face a formidable challenge containing McMillan, Polk, and Odunze, potentially leading to sleepless nights for their defense. This is going to be a heavyweight slug fest with a TON of points. Buckle up. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* CFP National Championship O/U Play | |||||||
01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 703 h 56 m | Show | |
Washington +4.5 The #2 Washington Huskies (13-0, 7-6 ATS) take on the #3 Texas Longhorns (12-1, 6-6-1 ATS) in the CFB Playoff Semi Final on New Year's Day. This game will be played at 8:45 ET January 1st from the Caesar's Super Dome in New Orleans, LA. The game opened with UW a +4 underdog at UT (-4pt favorite) and the O/U is set at 64. Unfortunately for UW fans they'll have to travel to New Orleans instead of their preferred Rose Bowl closer to home in Pasadena CA. Not sure why the committee did that. But it is what it is. Last game for UT, they won 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship game vs. OKST. For Washington, last game out they won the Pac 12 Championship in Las Vegas, taking down Oregon 34-31. (Washington covered the +9.5, and the line went UNDER the 65). In case you forget, there's some intrigue with this matchup. Steve Sarkisian (current UT Coach) used to be the HC at Washington from 09-13. This game is also a rematch from the 2022 Alamo Bowl, where we saw UW defeat the Longhorns 27-20 in San Antonio. In that matchup UT scored 10 late points but behind Penix's arm (287 yards and 2 TD's) UW got the job done. UW also got the job done on the ground in that one. In this game though I think the Huskies will have their greatest chance to cover this spread vs. UT via the pass. UW is the best passing attack in the country. Can UT's frosh corner(s) play mistake free football? Sure, UT have some dudes on their DLine, but I like how the Dawgs match up in the trenches to give Penix time. UW have faced the Ducks twice. Those 2 games have prepared the Huskies for what UT will bring on defense. What did they do to them? They ran screens and routes going sideline to sideline, AND they mixed in an explosive run-game combined with play-action. Expect a game plan that keep's UT on their toes all game long. Penix will be relentless. OU beat Texas this year, and that's exactly what UW is going to do in this one. UW's plan will be to wear down the UT defense. I just don't see a scenario where Texas covers this spread (+4.5). Trends, UW are 10-0 SU L10, and 5-1 ATS L6 when playing as an underdog. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday New Year's Day 8* ATS Play | |||||||
01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -115 | 630 h 51 m | Show |
Alabama +2 We're going with the UNDERDOGS in the CFB Playoffs when the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1, 9-4 ATS) take on the #1 Michigan Wolverines (13-0, 7-5-1 ATS) in the 2024 Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. Bama jumped up to #4 from #8 after their takedown of the #1 ranked Georgia in the SEC title game. Michigan got here with pretty much a "practice" game against the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Championship. These two last met up in the 2020 Citrus Bowl. Michigan lost 35-16, but most "experts" will say this isn't the same Alabama team, I'd argue it's not that much different. They're still coached by Saban, and they play his brand of ball. On the other side Michigan hasn't had much luck in the bowls the last couple years. 2022 they lost to TCU, and in 2021 it was a loss to Georgia. Here's the tale of the tape for this one. Scoring: Michigan (14th) 36.7PPG, Alabama (19th) 35.1PPG. Defense: Michigan (1st) 9.5PPG, Alabama (17th) 18.4PPG. Total offense: Michigan (68th) 380.5YPG, Alabama (54th) 401.2YPG. Total defense: Michigan (2nd) 239.2YPG, Alabama (18th) 313.3PPG. As you can see, not much separates these two. This is only the second time in the Saban era that Bama are dogs in B2B games, and now that they've had the dog feeling, they'll have that dog mentality for this matchup. Saban is a master at playing the "they're disrespecting us angle" and play it he will. The last 4 times Bama were dogs (vs. UG) the Tide are 3-1 ATS. These two teams are the top 2 teams to win the national title too, so remember the futures bets that play into this one. Bama is one of the nations most popular teams to bet on (we all know that) and their lines are routinely inflated but in this case its warranted. What has Harbaugh done lately in bowl games? He needs to show me more before I'll bet on him. Sorry Jim. Trends, Bama 5-1 L6, 10-0 SU L10, 8-1 ATS L9 vs. Big Ten teams, and 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog. Flip it and Michigan is 1-4 L5 vs. SEC teams. You know what to do. Lock in Bama, grab some roses for your significant other and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. New Year's Day 10* *RARE* CFB ATS TOP PLAY | |||||||
12-30-23 | Georgia v. Florida State +14 | 63-3 | Loss | -100 | 288 h 7 m | Show | |
Florida State +14 Get ready for the Orange Bowl showdown happening on Saturday, December 30, 2023, at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. It's the Georgia Bulldogs (12-1, 4-8-1 ATS) going head-to-head with the Florida State Seminoles (13-0, 8-4 ATS), and you can catch all the action on ESPN. The opening betting odds for the Orange Bowl put the Seminoles as two-touchdown underdogs, and the game's total points are set at 44.5. If you're into straight-up betting, the moneyline stands at Georgia (-651) and Florida State (+454). This will be matchup #12 in this long running rivalry. UG leads the series over FSU 6-4-1. They haven't met in 20 years. The last matchup was Bowden vs. Richt's 2022 Sugar Bowl. A 26-13 Georgia win. In their recent matchups, the Bulldogs faced a tough challenge against Alabama, falling short with a final score of 27-24 in the SEC Championship game. On the other hand, the Seminoles are coming off a solid win against Louisville, 16-6 in the ACC title matchup. Let's take a closer look at the stats. Georgia ranks 7th in scoring, with an average of 38.4 PPG. However, they are 97th in points allowed in the NCAA. On the other hand, Florida State's offense is performing well, averaging 37 PPG, which places them 9th in the NCAA. Defensively, Florida State is currently 54th in points allowed, giving up 15.9 PPG. Trends, FSU are 10-0 L10, 4-1 L5 vs. SEC teams, 6-1 SU L7 DEC games, 16-0 L16 Saturday games, and 7-1 ATS L8 games as a DOG. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* Orange Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 48.5 | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 (10-2, 8-4 ATS) Missouri takes on (11-1, 6-5-1 ATS) Ohio State in the 2023 Cotton Bowl on Friday. Kickoff is at 8pm ET from Jerry World (AT&T Stadium) in Arlington, TX. Regardless of whether Harrison Jr. plays or not I like the OVER to hit in this matchup. Ohio State enjoys a commanding 10-1-1 historical advantage in their longstanding rivalry with Mizzou. The only victory for Missouri in this series dates back to 1976 when they narrowly defeated OST 22-21. Missouri is currently riding high from a recent 48-14 victory over Arkansas, boasting an offense that averages 34 PPG, ranking them 27th in the NCAA. Defensively, they stand 73rd in points allowed. Meanwhile, Ohio State is fresh off a 30-24 loss to Michigan, failing to secure a 4th-quarter comeback as Michigan outscored them by one point in that final period. The Buckeyes have maintained an average of 32.8 PPG this season, positioning them 33rd in the national rankings. Ohio State is still motivated despite missing the College Football Playoff, and we know Missouri is determined, making them a tough out. We hope Ohio State is just as ready. Kyle McCord is out, but Devin Brown, a good highly touted QB recruit, has just been coached up by Ryan Day for three weeks. (Worth it's weight in gold) He's prepared for the upcoming challenges. Trends, The total has gone OVER in 7 of Missouri's L10. Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 bowl games, and the Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 neutral site games. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* CFB Cotton Bowl O/U Play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Oregon State | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Notre Dame -6 #21 vs. #15. The games are getting better aren't they? Friday we get the (8-4, 6-6 ATS) Oregon State Beavers taking on the (9-3, 8-3-1 ATS) Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Kicking off at 2 pm ET on CBS. ND closed the regular season with impressive back-to-back wins, defeating Stanford 56-23 as 26-point favorites. Their offense has been prolific, scoring 45+ points in 4 of the last 5 games, while their defense allows just 16.6 PPG. Missing players or not, ND are the better all-around team here on Friday. Oregon State faces a challenging matchup after losing to top-10 ranked teams in their recent 2 games. The history, the Fighting Irish have a historical bowl game record of 20-21, which includes a perfect 1-0 record at the Sun Bowl. In contrast, Oregon State holds a solid 12-7 bowl game record, with an impressive 2-0 record specifically in games played in El Paso. The Fighting Irish boast superior overall team talent and a stronger presence at the line of scrimmage compared to what the Beavers will bring to the field on Friday. Notre Dame is battle-tested and highly motivated to make a statement in this game. It has the potential to turn into a lopsided contest of monumental proportions, and I doubt we'll be nervously watching as the clock ticks down in the fourth quarter. It's just a shame we don't get Hartman vs. Uiagalelei! Trends, OST are 1-4 ATS L5, and 1-4 L5 games in DEC. ND are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 9-2 SU L11 vs Pac 12 schools, and they're 5-2 SU L7 in DEC. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF Sun Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky OVER 44 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
OVER 44 The Clemson Tigers (8-4, 6-6 ATS) are set to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (7-5, 6-6 ATS) in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Friday. The game will kick off from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida, at Noon ET and will be televised on ESPN. Clemson, with a 26-23 record, heads to the Gator Bowl for the 10th time, where they're 4-5. Facing Kentucky in Jacksonville, they aim for a 5th consecutive win this season. Kentucky, initially 5-0 but later struggling with a 5-1 stretch, redeemed themselves with a notable win over #10 Louisville. They hold a 12-10 bowl game record. Although Kentucky leads the series 8-5, Clemson won their recent clash 21-13 in the 2009 Music City Bowl. Listen, I'm going to make this a quick write-up ok? BET THE OVER. For some reason this line has trickled down after the opening. The public thinks that because players are missing this game (it's a good list) that there won't be offense. Problem is bettors aren't realizing (for some reason) that the guys missing this game are on the defensive side of the ball. (8+ guys combined on D for both teams) I think we'll see 50+ points in this matchup. The teams are going to fling it around, and I think we're going to see a really entertaining game (if you like offense), and two teams that will be runnin' & gunnin' all day. Trends, Kentucky exceeded the Over in 7 of 9 recent games with an 8-4 season Over record. Clemson hit it in 3 of 6 games. The Over trend favors Kentucky with a 6-0 record against winning teams and 4-0 following wins. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF Gator Bowl O/U Play | |||||||
12-28-23 | Arizona -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona -2.5 (Love -2 or -1.5 even more) Winning night on my Wednesday Bowl plays! Back for more Thursday. Time for the 2023 Valero Alamo Bowl featuring the (9-3) Arizona Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2). Kick off is at 9:15pm ET from Alamodome, in San Antonio, TX. These two have played each other 2x thru the years. They've split the series 1-1. The Sooners are playing in their 25th straight bowl matchup, while the Wildcats return after not playing in a bowl since 2017. Arizona's impressive journey, from 1-11 in 2021 to 8 wins, marks a historic turnaround. Fueled by a convincing 59-23 victory over ASU, the Wildcats aim to sustain their momentum. They come in red hot and they take on a new look Oklahoma side on Thursday night. The Sooners saw Dillion Gabriel walk out the door and head to Oregon and they’re going to turn to their future, true freshman Jackson Arnold. He’s up for a tall task against this Arizona team that is playoff at such a top level. The Wildcats finished the season winning 6 straight games and the most points allowed in one of those games was just 24. This Arizona defense is going to pin their ears back and fire away on this true freshman in the backfield. Expect this defense, that gives up just 20.8 PPG, to really mix in different blitz packages. Offensively, they have been on fire since Noah Fifta took over. He’s been able to lead this offense during their winning streak with his ability to beat teams through the air. He threw for over 500 yards in the win over ASU into the season finale and will have a field day with this Sooners defense that has opt outs. Momentum and motivation are on the Wildcats side. Arizona, are battle-tested, and grabbed W's in 4/6 games against AP Top 25 teams during a rigorous season. Trends to consider, Arizona shines with a remarkable 7-1 ATS streak in their L8 and a flawless 8-0 SU record when favored. OU is 1-6 SU record in their L7 games as a dog. Back the Cats in the Alamo Bowl. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* ALAMO Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +2.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 221 h 35 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State +2.5 On Wednesday evening Dec 27th the Texas A&M Aggies (7-5, 5-6-1 ATS) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-4, 7-6 ATS) in the 2023 Texas Bowl from the Texans' NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Kick off is at 9pm ET. A&M are 1-0 neutral site this season, while OKST are 0-1. Opening betting odds favored the Aggies -2 in this one, while the initial O/U total was set at 53. For straight up ML bettors you'll get Texas A&M (-136), Oklahoma State (+114). A&M owns a 18-9 series record vs. the Cowboys. The last time they played each other was 12/27/19, a 24-21 Aggies victory. Before that game, the Cowboys had won 4 straight. (2011, 2010, 2009, 2008 as Big 12 foes) In recent games, the Aggies lost 42-30 to LSU but surprisingly outgained the top-ranked offense 390-389, showcasing their impressive #8 ranked defense. The Cowboys, on the other hand, suffered a 49-21 defeat against Texas in the Big 12 championship game. Despite winning 7 of 8 leading up to the championship, Oklahoma State was dominated by Texas, with the Longhorns scoring on their first 4 possessions for a decisive W. They simply were too good for OKST. Stats: Oklahoma State is ranked 51st for rushing yards and 24th for passing yards, averaging 264.2 yards per game. They score 29.5 PPG (37th) and allow the 20th fewest points. Texas A&M averages 34.2 PPG (26th) on offense and concedes 21.3 PPG (74th) on defense. Trends, Oklahoma State boasts a 6-3 ATS record in their L9 games and a 7-2 SU record during that span. They've excelled as underdogs, going 4-1 ATS in their L5 such games. In contrast, Texas A&M has struggled, with a 1-5-1 ATS record in their L7 games and 0-5-1 ATS against Oklahoma State. Additionally, Texas A&M holds a 1-4 SU record in their L5 matchups with Oklahoma State and a 3-7 ATS record in their L10 games against Big 12 conference opponents. You know what to do. Hop ON! Razor Ray. Wednesday 9* Texas Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-27-23 | Louisville v. USC +6.5 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
USC +6.5 (Love +7 if you can find it) In the 2023 Directv Holiday Bowl, the Cardinals (10-3, 2-1 Neutral Site, 6-6-1 ATS) will face USC (7-5, 3-9 ATS). USC has a 1-2 record in past Holiday Bowl appearances and has never met Louisville before. The San Diego weather for game time is expected to be in the 60s to low 70s and light 5mph winds. USC appears to have the edge in explosiveness, averaging 41.8 PPG, ranking 6th nationally, and 329.8 passing yards per game, also ranking 6th. We’re on the Trojans here in the Holiday Bowl. USC had probably the most disappointing season as Caleb Williams continued to put up impressive numbers but this USC defense failed him on many occasions. From National Championship aspirations to now the Holiday Bowl with all these opt outs, the line is what it is for a reason. However, motivation is still on the side of this USC team. They have a pool of talented young players who are eager to get their shot. Truthfully, it’s better having them play than the veterans who struggled all season. The Trojans will turn to Miller Moss at QB and he’s going to take on a dejected Louisville side themselves. The Cardinals overachieved without a doubt. They however, have to be disappointed as they wanted to be playing in a New Years Six Bowl, but failed to take down Florida State in the ACC Championship game. The Cardinals sputtered down the stretch with losses to Kentucky and FSU. It’s so tough to even look at trends here given the opt outs on both sides. One thing we know though is Lincoln Riley will have this young group ready to go. This is a lot of points for a Trojans team that still has a ton of talent to go around. Trends, USC holds a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 matchups against ACC teams. I'm backing the Men Of Troy tonight. You know what to do. Fight On & Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* Holiday Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
West Virginia -6 The 2023 Duke's Mayo Bowl will feature a showdown between the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4, 1-0 Neutral Site, 6-6 ATS) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game is scheduled for Wednesday at 5:30pm ET and will take place at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. We’re on the Mountaineers here, laying the points in this spot. North Carolina started off as one of the top teams in the NCAA, but finished with 4 losses and now have a date with the Mountaineer here in the Dukes Mayo Bowl. The key here is North Carolina will be without star QB Drake Maye and number 1 WR Devontez Walker. These two propelled the entire offense to their 8 wins and now they will have to turn to plenty of inexperienced players in this game. That doesn’t bode well against a WVU team that is extremely physical. The Mountaineers finished the season with two impressive wins over Cinci and Baylor and they won 4 of the last 5 overall. Momentum is on the side of this team that averaged 32 ppg. They will have a majority of their roster playing here and should be able to overpower this UNC side. West Virginia will lean on their rushing attack, that averages 234.3 ypg, which is one of the best marks in the NCAA. Trends, North Carolina has struggled recently, going 1-5 ATS in their L6 games and holding a 3-7 SU record in December. In contrast, West Virginia is thriving with a 4-1 SU record and a perfect 5-0 ATS record against ACC opponents. I'm backing the Mountain Men in this one. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 9* Duke's Mayo Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-26-23 | Kansas -12 v. UNLV | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 487 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas -12 (Love -11.5 if you can find it) In Phoenix, AZ on December 26th from Chase Field it's the Guaranteed Rate Bowl featuring the Kansas Jayhawks (8-4, 5-4 Big 12, 7-5 ATS) vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (9-4, 6-2 MWC, 10-3 ATS). (Two basketball schools hammerin' it out on the gridiron! I can't wait!) The Jayhawks are the favorite by -12.5 (Open), and the total is set at 64.5. If you're a ML bettor (straight up, you'll see KU -466, and UNLV -347. Who's betting that? These two schools share a bit of history, although not extensive. Big 12 vs. MWC matchups are rare. Kansas and UNLV are set to meet for the third time. They previously faced off in a home-and-home series in 2002 and 2003. Kansas emerged victorious in the most recent encounter in 2003, with a score of 46-24. However, UNLV secured their inaugural matchup in Las Vegas in 2022, winning 31-20. One of my favorite teams to watch this year was the KU Jayhawks. They come into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl with some momentum too which is always a critical factor when I'm making bowl picks. I ask myself, do they have something to play for? In KU's case the answer is YES. They haven't won a bowl game in years and they have a good enough team this year to do it, and expectations are higher because of their 8 win season. They're tired of being KU basketball's little brother. They finished off their season with confidence after securing a 49-16 victory against the Cincinnati Bearcats on the road. A bowl win here would put a bow on an impressive season. They're building big things in the flatland. They're set at QB, and RB, and they have a handful of players who could even be playing on Sunday's in their future. This is a good looking football team. UNLV comes in off of a 10-win season sure, but they are limping into this one, and there's some obvious question marks for them in this game. The Rebels are coming off a defeat against the Boise State Broncos, with a final score of 44-20. They lost their last 2 in fact. It's their first bowl game in nearly 10 years too. To make matters worse, I'm reading QB Maiava is in the transfer portal, so that's another kick to the shins. Also, Barry Odom is aware there are a TON of NCAA coaching vacancies around the country, and his name is coming up for a lot of them. Money talks, and if it does he won't be around to coach this one more than likely. Trends: UNLV are 2-5 ATS in their L7 vs. B12 teams, and are 1-4 in their L5 December games. On the other side Kansas are 4-1 ATS L5, 8-4 SU L12, and 9-2 SU in their L11 playing as the FAV. I have KU as a 2-TD favorite. KU have the better QB, and they're the better team. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* Guaranteed Rate Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-23-23 | Utah -6 v. Northwestern | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah -6 Utah (8-4, 6-5-1 ATS) take on the Northwestern Wildcats (7-5, 8-4 ATS) on Saturday at 7:30pm ET from Allegiant Stadium in LV. These two last played on 12/31/18. A 31-20 NW win that saw NW cover the +6.5 Saturday however, the Utes are the move here, laying the points in the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl. Northwestern lacks the level of coaching expertise that Utah benefits from. Kyle Whittingham is widely regarded as one of the top head coaches in the nation. Prior to the 2023 season, he expressed confidence that the 2023 Utah team was the most talented they had ever assembled. Despite facing numerous injuries Utah has a clear cut advantage here on Saturday night. For starters, the Utes are going to have the advantage when it comes to the fan base in this stadium. Utah already travels well and with this being in Vegas, there should be plenty of red in the crowd. Northwestern just doesn't have any sort of fire power on their side. This team averages just 22.8 points per game, while putting up just over 300 yards per game. This offense has struggled to find any sort of consistency here in 2023 and they go up against one of the best defenses in the nation. Utah has allowed under 20 ppg and they love to put together a lot of different blitz packages. Utah's offense battled all year, they only really looked bad in 1 game (Oregon), but they continued to find consistency and put up good numbers. This is going to be a mismatch every which way you look at it. Utah is much better on both sides of the ball and they'll feed off this "home" crowd energy. NW are 3-6 L9 vs. PAC 12 teams, and 4-13 SU L17 as a DOG. The Utes are 14-6 SU L20, 5-0 SU L5 in DEC, 7-3 L10 SU vs B10 schools, and are 15-5 SU L20 playing on a Saturday. Backing the Utes -6. Enjoy the game! You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-23-23 | James Madison v. Air Force +1.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
Air Force +1.5 The Armed Forces Bowl on December 23, 2023, features a matchup between the (11-1, 8-4 ATS) James Madison Dukes and the (8-4, 4-7-1 ATS) Air Force Falcons. The game kicks off at 3:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ABC. In their last appearance, the Dukes secured a dominant 56-14 win against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. On the other hand, the Falcons faced a 27-19 loss to the Boise State Broncos. Air Force has the value here, with the points. James Madison was the Cinderella story of the season. They went 11-1 and had the entire nation watching them as they even got College Gameday to come out their way. (Granted that was their lone loss of the year) However, despite a good season, the Dukes have been hit with a lot of departures prior to this game. For starters, head coach Curt Cignetti departed for Indiana and they’ll now have their offensive line coach calling the shots for this game. They’re going to get a look at this triple option from Air Force and it’ll be something they’ve not seen this season. That’ll cause a lot of issues for them, especially with the Falcons getting healthy. QB Zac Larrier will be back after missing the last two games. He’ll lead this attack that ranked second among FBS teams in total rushing yards (3,309) and rushing yards per game (275.8) during the regular season. The triple option will open a lot of gaps on this JMU defense that will get worn down. Plus, this is the 7th time Air Force will be playing in the Armed Forces bowl. The experience is there and on this side. Trends, AF are 5-1 ATS L6 in DEC, and are 4-0 ATS in their L4 bowl games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* Armed Forces Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy OVER 44.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER 44.5 Troy (11-2, ATS) takes on the Duke Blue Devils (7-5, ATS) in the 76 Birmingham Bowl Saturday. Kick-off at NOON ET from Protective Stadium in Birmingham, AL. Duke won the last meeting between these two in 2014 34-17, hardly relevant to this matchup, but felt like telling you! LOL These are two teams that tend to open the playbook during bowl season. Looking at historic trends of Troy in bowl games, they love to push the issue. The Overs have hit in 8 of the 9 Troy bowl games in their history of the program. The Trojans have also been on a tear lately with the over. Over their last 4 games of the year, they averaged 40 points per game themselves as this offense has been clicking on all cylinders. The Trojans averaged 32 points per game this year and their ability to strike for the big play will help this total out. On the other side of things, Duke has been equally as good on hitting overs in bowl games. The Blue Devils have hit the over in 5 of the last 6 bowl games and they went over this number in their final 4 games of the season. Duke averaged 28 points per game this season and they tend to really open the playbook and take their shots in games like this. Look for plenty of action and fireworks, with this low total going over. The total score has gone OVER in the L5 of Duke's most recent 6 matches, and the OVER has hit in 4 of Troy's L5. Plus, Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils L5 bowls as a dog, it's also 5-0 in Trojans last 5 neutral site games as a favorite, and it's 5-0 in Troy's L5 bowls as a FAV. Lastly the total has gone OVER in Troy's L4 following a SU win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* 76 Birmingham Bowl CFB O/U Play | |||||||
12-22-23 | Central Florida -6 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
UCF -6 Two 6-6 teams battle it out here on Friday. (GT 7-5 ATS) (UCF 5-7 ATS) We’re on UCF here, laying the points in the Gasparilla Bowl on Friday night. UCF has made a living on this field in bowl season over the recent seasons. They are in search of their third Gasparilla Bowl win over the last five seasons, as they’re extremely familiar with this bowl game and field. That does play into the advantage side of things as the experience of being in this environment does factor in. UCF comes in 6-6 after winning their final game of the season to clinch a spot in bowl season. They’ve had a few impressive wins down the stretch of the season that saw them go 3-1 over their last 4, including an absolute dominant performance over #15 Oklahoma State 45-3. QB John Rhys Plumlee has battled injuries, but over his last 6 starts he’s compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and rushed for 310 yards and another 4 touchdowns on the ground. The Knights will also lean on RJ Harvey, who compiled nearly 1300 yards on the ground and 16 touchdowns this year. Georgia Tech threw everything they had and then some in their finale against Georgia, only to fall short. The Yellow Jackets conceded over 30 points per game and this fast paced attack from UCF is going to cause a lot of issues for them. This will be the kind of game that Georgia Tech struggles to contain the speed and ultimately they falter because they’re not built to come from behind. GT are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. AAC teams, UCF 12-5 L17 playing at a FAV. You know what to do. UCF -6. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday Gasparilla Bowl 8* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
USF +3 (6-6, 6-5 ATS) The USF Bulls take on the Syracuse Orange (6-6, 4-7 ATS) in the 2023 Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl this Thursday at 8 PM ET. The game will be held at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, FL, and the ATS Betting Lines favor Syracuse at -3. For the Boca Raton Bowl Moneyline Odds, USF is at +132, and Syracuse is at -160. The College Football Betting Total is set at O/U 61. This year's bowl games have been full of uncertainties, but this matchup seems less affected. USF has only one player in the transfer portal, Summerall, who is ruled out for this game. USF has proven they can play good football, coming off a convincing 48-14 win over Charlotte. Their offense averages 185.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt, ranking 36th in rushing yards and 34th in passing yards nationally, with an average of 270.7 yards per matchup. They've been putting up 30.8 points per game, thanks to their QB, Byrum Brown, who boasts 3,078 passing yards, 23 TDs, 11 INTs, 745 rushing yards, and 11 TDs on the ground, placing them 44th in the nation. On the other side, Syracuse, who recently beat Wake Forest 35-31, will have an interim coach, Nunzio Campanile, leading them. Syracuse had a bit of some drama unfold prior to them being put into this spot. They decided to part ways with coach Dino Babers after a very inconsistent and sub par season. The Orange's starting QB, Garrett Shrader, is out for the Boca Raton Bowl due to shoulder surgery, and Braden Davis will start in his place. Boca Raton isn't that long of a trip so they'll have good support. (Compared to Cuse) I wouldn't even have a problem with you sprinkling a little on USF's moneyline odds here. USF needed a win over Charlotte in their last game and they got it in dominant fashion as they put them away 48-14. It was a complete win for them as they threw for 315 yards and ran for 188. This team runs a balanced attack and they use their run game to open up the pass game. USF is built with speed and they’ll try to get to the outside and make some big plays. USF has the better playmakers and getting points is a nice spot for this Bulls side. Trends, SYR 2-6 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, 2-8 ATS L10 vs. USF, and 5-11 ATS L16 vs. AAC Teams. Last time these two met was a 45-20 USF win on 9/17/2016. I'm expecting more of the same. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion UNDER 49.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
UNDER 49.5 WKU (7-5, 5-7 ATS) take on ODU (6-6, 7-5 ATS) at 2:30pm ET today in the Famous Toastery Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina. In a game that nobody seems to want to watch or predict I'm going to weigh in with a play on the TOTAL. Backing the UNDER in this one. Reason #1. WK will have a frosh starting at QB who has thrown less than 5 career attempts in college football. The coaches kid. Turner Helton. Reason #2. WK's defense is actually pretty good. They've gotten the better of many a QB this season keeping completion rates down, and they cause turnovers (Top 20 in the nation in picks). They also get fumbles (Top 20 in the country). We're going to get a team that is well coached, but for this game they'll be undermanned due to all the player transfer portal and injury news coming from this team. I'm not overly impressed with ODU's defense to brag about it here, but what I do like is the fact their offense isn't good either. They scored 31 TD's all year. That's the 5th least of ALL bowl teams playing this bowl season. Weather high 50's 50% chance of rain, 10-15mph winds. Playing on a Monday afternoon is the most ideal situation for this teams. This has the makings of a sluggish game from the outset. Also, neither of these teams are going to light up the scoreboard. While the Hilltoppers averaged over 28 points per game this season, but now they have a backup qb going that has barely seen any sort of time under center. This offense is going to be slow and really try to work the run game in. That plays into our advantage as WKU will chew a lot of clock. On the other side, ODU is as slow as it gets offensively. They put up just 22 points per game and their defense only allows 26. This will be the kind of game runs dominate. Look for a slow tempo both ways and for these teams to put their main focus on sustaining drives. Trends, total has gone UNDER in 5 of ODU's L7, and in 4 of their L5 when they're the favorite. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | California +2.5 v. Texas Tech | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 19 m | Show | |
California +2.5 The (6-6, 6-6 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) Texas Tech Red Raiders in the 2023 Independence Bowl from Independence Stadium, in Shreveport, LA this Saturday at 9:15pm ET. We’re backing Cal in the Independence Bowl as they take on Texas Tech. When looking at this, there’s a few factors to consider. Cal is excited to be here. This team was 3-6 heading into their matchup with Washington State. They needed a defensive stop in a shootout to hold off the Coogs in a 42-39 win. They then had to go on the road to beat Stanford and UCLA to become bowl eligible. Winning 3 in a row, they come in hot right now and are going to have all the motivation to be in this spot. On the flip side, Texas Tech comes in with no momentum. They limp in after getting throttled in what will be their final meeting with rival Texas for quite some time in a 50 point loss. Cal’s offense is going to be a problem in this one. They finished their season with performances for 42, 27, and 33 in their victories. They’re clicking on all cylinders right now and take on a Tech defense that has struggled at times this year. This is a matchup where they can open the playbook up and cause a lot of issues for this Red Raiders defense both on the ground and through the air. Some trends, Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 pts. Plus, CAL are 4-1 ATS L5, and 4-2 ATS L6 games played on Saturday's! TT are 2-4 ATS L6, and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games as a favorite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB Independence Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA -4 v. Boise State | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 103 h 55 m | Show | |
UCLA -4 The (7-5, 5-7 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (8-5, 7-4-2 ATS) Boise State Broncos in the 2023 LA Bowl (hosted by Gronk) from SoFi Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA this Saturday at 7:30pm ET. The Bruins have value here on Saturday against Boise State. Some may think UCLA underachieved this year and while that’s true, this team is still going to be happy to be here. The Bruins did take down rival USC in dominant fashion here in 2023 and now a bowl win will be a bonus to end the season. Boise State is dealing with a lot of opt outs and injuries as well. The Broncos latest saw WR Eric McAlister transfer, leaving them another weapon down. This offense is going to struggle all night long here to move the ball as they simply do not have the weapons to keep up. The Bruins can lean on this defense too. They allowed just 18.1 points per game this season as they really fluster opposing defenses. They put together a lot of different blitz packages and force a lot of turnovers. They’re going to pin their ears back and come at this Boise State team, as they lack the weapons. Combine all this with this game being a home game for the Bruins with this played in California and they’ll have the crowd behind them. An added bonus is Gronk is expected to be in attendance. If that doesn’t get this team pumped, nothing will! Some trends BST 1-4 SU L5 vs. Pac 12 teams, 1-5 ATS L6 in DEC, and 1-5 SU L6 playing as a DOG. On the other side, UCLA 7-3 SU L10 vs. MWC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* LA Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
Miami OH +6.5 (Circa) I've had some good luck backing the RedHawks this season, and expect that trend to continue on Saturday when the (11-2, 10-3 ATS) Miami-Ohio RedHawks on the (8-5, 6-6-1 ATS) Appalachian State Mountaineers in the 2023 Cure Bowl from FBC Mortgage Stadium, in Orlando, FL this Saturday at 3:30pm ET. Miami OH is getting points here and it’s just too many to pass up on. They're looking for their 12th win which be only the second time getting this done. (The first was Ben Roethlisberger's team in 2003 that went 13-1). The Redhawks continue to be doubted and undervalued and they keep ignoring all of that and just winning. That was the case in the MAC Championship as they entered as 7 point underdogs and came away winners 23-14 in a game where their defense dominated. That has been the theme all year long for this Miami OH side as they are allowing just 16.2 points per game this year. During this 5 game winning streak, the most points allowed has been 16 and they even have a shut out to add to their resume. App State comes in on a low after Troy throttled them in the Sun Belt Championship. App State’s defense has been far too inconsistent this year and the Redhawks can certainly win the battle of possession. Look for this game to be a grind, which favors Miami. The Redhawks can dictate the possession and sustain drives, frustrating this App State side all night long. MIA-OH lost 24-20 to UAB in the Bahamas Bowl last year, while App ST. didn't play in a bowl game last season. Trends, M-OH are 10-2 ATS in their L12 games, are 5-0 SU in their L5, and are 10-1 SU in their L11 played on a Saturday. Appalachian State are 1-6 ATS in their L7 in December, plus they're 3-10 ATS in their L13 when they're the favourite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB Cure Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Jacksonville State -2.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State -2.5 The (8-4, 8-3-1 ATS) Jacksonville State Gamecocks take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) ULL Rajin' Cajuns on Saturday at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA in the 2023 New Orleans Bowl. Kick off is at 2:15pm ET. Watch this one on ESPN. Jacksonville State has a lot of value in this spot. In Bowl games, motivation is everything. If you want one team that has all the motivation in the world coming into this game, then look no further. Jacksonville State is new to the FBS and this will be the first bowl game in program history. They got in on a technicality about there not being enough bowl worthy teams, but they won't care. They have a huge edge coaching wise too. Rich Rodriguez has seen plenty of bowl games throughout his coaching career as this will be his 12th bowl appearance. That holds a huge factor for us here in this spot on Jacksonville State. This team has played hard all year to get to this spot, as they finished with 8 wins overall. They averaged just 20 points against while putting up 28 as a team, as they play with a ton of pace. On the flip side, Louisiana will be playing in this bowl game for the 7th time in 12 years. The repetitiveness is going to play a factor for sure as this is no longer a special treat for them. Jacksonville State will lean on their defense, while this offense will open things up and take plenty of shots. We’re getting the better team at a nice number here. Jax State lost their regular-season finale 20-17 to New Mexico State. Meanwhile, the Ragin' Cajuns are headed to their 11th bowl game, becoming bowl eligible with a 52-21 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. Trends, ULL are 2-4 SU in their L6, and are 0-8 ATS in their L8 following a straight up win. JVST are 4-1 ATS L5, and are 8-4 SU L12. Plus, they're 6-0 ATS in their L6 following an ATS loss. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Georgia Southern -3.5 v. Ohio | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 41 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern -3.5 Myrtle Beach Bowl time as the Georgia Southern Eagles (6-6, 4-8 ATS) face the Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 6-6 ATS) on Saturday from Brooks Stadium in Conway, SC. Kick off is at 11:00am ET. Betting lines favor Georgia Southern -3.5, with Ohio at +3.5, Moneyline odds Georgia Southern -169, Ohio +138, and an over/under of 49 points. In their latest matchup, the Eagles faced a tough defeat against the App State, falling 55-27. Meanwhile, the Bobcats secured a 25-14 victory against Akron. Sun Belt vs. MAC games are always exciting. Right? I'm on GASO in this one. When you see this list of names out for OHIO you'll realize why. Rourke, Harris, Bangura, Allison, Cross. All NOT playing in this one. Down to their 3rd string QB, and missing a couple 1000 yards of production from this past season. Georgia Southern boasts a potent offense, anchored by quarterback Davis Brin, who delivered an impressive regular season with 3,431 passing yards and 22 TD's. In the rushing department, Jalen White led the charge, accumulating 891 YDS & 9 TD's. They'll be in tough vs. an OHIO DEF. that was one of the better ones in college football, but bowl season brings us weird things on the field. Motivation is a massive x-factor for these games, and for my $, the motivation to win this matchup lies with GS. Their defense will do just enough to get them this cover. Trends, Bobcats are 2-4 ATS L6. GASO are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 Non-conference games. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 7* Myrtle Beach Bowl ATS Play | |||||||
12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 28 | 17-11 | Push | 0 | 141 h 46 m | Show | |
OVER 28 It's the annual clash between the Army Black Knights (5-6, 3-6-1 ATS) and the Navy Midshipmen (5-6, 4-6 ATS, 5th in the AAC), set to take place on December 9, 2023, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. 3:00PM ET kickoff, on CBS. Army is coming in as a slight favorite with a -2 spread, the Moneyline odds show Army at -131 and Navy at +111, offering some enticing options. As for the Over/Under, the initial total is set at 28. Navy's recent performance wasn't exactly stellar, suffering a 59-14 loss to the SMU Mustangs. In contrast, Army heads into this showdown with a sense of momentum, having secured a 28-21 victory over the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Nov. 18th. I'm playing OVER the 28 just because the line is forcing me to play over the 28. I want action on this game, I hate the spread but the total is just begging me to play OVER. This Over is worthy of a move for a few reasons here on Saturday. It's obviously low for a reason, but these two offenses always tend to pull out the trick plays and open the playbooks when they meet. These two teams tallied 37 points last season and they come in with the ability to put up some numbers. Army games averaged 43 points per game, while Navy's sat at 41. These two teams had the ability to strike for some big runs, while allowing big plays on the defensive side of things. Navy's defense comes in after allowing 59 points in their final game against SMU, which will knock their confidence here. This is one of those games where patience will be key. Both teams will establish their run games, but look for more passing than you'd expect. We're going to see a wide open game, with both Army and Navy taking their chances. Navy has scored, 14, 10, 31, 18, 6, 14, 27, 30, 24, and 24 points in their L10. That's a 21.8PPG average for those not great at the Maths. Army has scored 28, 17, 23, 14, 0, 0, 24, 16, 37, and 57 in their L10. That's a 23.6PPG average for Army. On defense Army allows 22PPG, and Navy allows 23PPG. Last year in this matchup Army won 20-17 in OT. (O32) In 2021, we saw a Navy 17-13 scoreline (U35.5), and in 2020 the final score was 15-0 Army. (U36) Here's a brief history of the Army-Navy matchup: The series between these two teams has been continuous since 1930. As of their last meeting in 2022, Navy holds the lead in the series with a record of 62 wins, 54 losses, and 7 ties. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's L4 games. Plus, the Over is 6-1 in Black Knights L7 vs. a team with a losing record. The total has only gone OVER in 2 of Navy's L5. You know what to do! Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa OVER 34 | 26-0 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 56 m | Show | |
Over 34 It's the Big Ten Championship Game. A neutral site game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN at 8pm ET on Saturday. Iowa (10-2, 6-5-1 ATS) vs. Michigan (12-0, 6-5-1 ATS) for all the marbles. Oh, and Coach Jim is back on the sidelines for Michigan. UM is a 21.5pt favorite. The O/U is set at 34. Get your popcorn ready. Last game out Michigan took down Ohio State 30-24, before that they beat Maryland 31-24. On the other side Iowa got past Nebraska 13-10 last week, and before that a 15-13 win over Illinois. These two met up on 10/1/22, a 27-14 Michigan win. Before that on 12/4/21, a 42-3 Michigan win. This total is comically low for a Conference Title Game. But it does come with good reason. However, this game can feature more scoring than the oddsmakers think. The Wolverines come in off a 31 point performance against the Buckeyes as they are in such a nice groove right now. They also get a huge spark with Jim Harbaugh returning to the sidelines. This Wolverines offense has played much better with him on the sidelines and they can produce a lot of big plays against the Hawkeyes. Iowa is going to have to open things up themselves to have any chance here. They have prided themselves on the defensive end and here they're going to have to take chances. This is the kind of game where one big turnover or a broken play can open the game up. With a lower total like this, both teams have the chance to strike early and give us a good chance at this one going over. This isn't your typical matchup. Michigan can put up a bunch of points (13th in the Nation on offense 37PPG, Iowa can't (I don't think 18PPG), but they can run the ball and keep the score low and try to control the TOP. (4th in the Nation on D 12PPG) CAN THEY? is the $1000000 question. My money says NO. Two of the top defensive teams in the Nation and we're looking OVER. You have to love football! Trends, the total has gone OVER in 7 of the L8 for Michigan, and in 5 of Michigan's L6 in December. Plus the OVER has hit for 6-0-1 ATS in the Wolverines L7 following an ATS win. For Iowa, the total doesn't go over much, but it did go OVER in 6 of their L9 games vs. East Division teams in the Big Ten. Michigan has allowed 24, 24, 15, and 13 the L4 games. We're hoping Iowa can score a couple TD's here to help us out. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 54 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 60 m | Show | |
OVER 54 2023 SEC Championship game time! The Georgia Bulldogs (12-0, 4-7-1 ATS) take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1, 8-4 ATS) in a battle of conference heavy's. UG/Bama head-to-head stats, Bama has won 7 out of the last 8 since 2008. It might surprise you, but this Saturday marks the 4th SEC Championship clash between these teams since 2012, with Bama taking three of those. However, UG had their moment last year, securing a 33-18 win in the 2022 National Championship Game. When I see something continually happening I usually tend to bet on it. Case in point. The OVER in the SEC Championship game has cashed 12/14 times thru the years. UG's L5 games, 31, 38, 52, 30, 43. Average of 38.8PPG. For Bama 27, 66, 49, 42, 34. Average of 43.6PPG. Both teams have some nice OVER's on their 2023 resume's so I'm going back to the well here on Saturday. These two teams going back and forth have become the norm and we should see a lot of fireworks here. Looking at Alabama first, they clicked in the middle of the season and have taken off since then. However, it took a miracle for them to win in the Iron Bowl, but that is what this offense can do. They finished the season averaging over 35 points per game as the offense was able to strike for big plays constantly. Georgia isn't the same as they've been in the past seasons either. They have struggled at times on the defensive end, which bodes well for us here. They also have been a dominant team on the offensive end per usual. They are averaging 39.6 points themselves as they will come downhill at opposing defenses. This has the makings of a game that is wide open from start to finish. Neither team is shy about what they want to do and they aren't scared to take chances. Trends, Over has hit in 6 of UG's L9, and in 4 of their L5 in December. For Bama the OVER has hit in 5 of their L5, and in 9 of the L11 when they play UG. Bama's play OVERS on Saturday too. 7 of the L8 SAT games go high! Get my drift? Let's watch some offense. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB O/U Play | |||||||
12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 113 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami-OH +7.5 Get ready for the 2023 MAC Conference Championship showdown! It's the (10-2) Miami (OH) RedHawks facing off against the (11-1) Toledo Rockets. The game is set for Saturday, December 2nd, at 12:00 ET, happening at Ford Field in Detroit, MI. Let's talk numbers: The initial ATS Betting Line had Toledo favored by -8, but it's now adjusted to -7.5 as of Monday. On the Moneyline, Miami (OH) stands at +246, while Toledo is at -315. The Total is set at O/U 46.5. No matchup last year, but they did play each other earlier this season, and Toledo managed to secure a 21-17 victory. Miami owns a 28-23-1 series lead all time in this series. The first game played in 1936. The Redhawks are catching too many points in this spot. The MAC was as close as ever here in 2023 as it seemed like there were more teams than usual who were bunched together at times. However, Miami OH and Toledo were the two stand outs and the Red Hawks are right there with the Rockets. Miami OH comes in winners of 4 straight and their defense was easily one of the best in the conference. They rank 23rd in the entire nation in total defense giving up 322 yards per game. They come into this MAC Championship allowing 16.3 points per game. The Redhawks defense is going to be the difference maker here. They aren't going to allow anything easy and have a revenge factor after falling 21-17 to them earlier this season. That game was there for the taking and Miami wants this to be lower scoring. The RedHawks have been catching my eye lately. They'll have to prove to me that they CANNOT hang with Toledo, I think they can. Looking at the trends, it's clear Miami-OH have got some momentum. They've got a strong 9-2 ATS record in their L11 games and an impressive 10-1 SU record during that same stretch. So, my pick for this one is the underdog to cover the spread at +8. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 6* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +9.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 97 h 39 m | Show | |
UW +9.5 2023 Pac 12 Championship Game. Ducks are -9.5pt favorites, the O/U is set at 66.5. ML bettors can get UW +275, and UO at -353. Is this the last time we see this game? Who knows...but I'm going to enjoy this one as the (11-1, 8-2-1 ATS) Oregon Ducks take on the (12-0, 5-6-1 ATS) Washington Huskies on Friday night from Las Vegas. Series History: In Seattle, Huskies are 33-23 with 4 ties. In games played in Eugene, Ducks are 18-14. Recently, the Ducks have been dominant, winning 20 out of 28. In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Washington picked up the 37-34 win (last year). Earlier this year Oregon suffered their only Pac-12 loss in dramatic fashion as UW scored a go-ahead TD with just over a minute left to win at Husky Stadium, 36-33. The Ducks had a big win last week, beating the Oregon State Beavers with a score of 31-7 in the CIVIL WAR. Meanwhile, the Huskies are coming off a solid victory in the APPLE CUP, where they defeated the Washington State Cougars 24-21. Get ready for an epic showdown as the two leading Heisman hopefuls face off once more! Check out these stats: Penix has racked up 3,899 passing yards, averaging 324.9 yards per game with a completion rate of 65.4%. He's thrown 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. On the other side, Nix boasts 3,906 passing yards, averaging 325.5 yards per game, with an impressive 78.6% completion rate. He's thrown an incredible 37 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Plus, Nix has added 159 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns to his name, carrying the ball 47 times. You know I'm locking in UW here. You're going to give me 9.5 points in a Championship game with a Heisman Trophy candidate leading the offense vs. a team they already beat 1x this year? I'm taking it. UO could win this straight up, but it's going to be close. There's nothing fishy in Seattle here with the spread, Vegas is trying to screw with you. Don't overthink this. Back the DAWGS! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 7* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
New Mexico +11.5 The Aggies (10-3, 7-1 CUSA, 11-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) are coming in hot with 8 consecutive wins, facing off against the #22 Flames (12-0, 8-0 CUSA, 8-4 ATS, 7-0 HOME), who have had an even better season (undefeated) in the 2023 Conference USA Championship on Friday at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA. The game kicks off at 7pm ET and can be watched on CBS Sports. Weather looks to be a non-factor (mid 50's 25% chance of rain, less than 5mph winds in the forecast). This is a Liberty home game (in case you were wondering with a lot of the other games this week being neutral site) When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), New Mexico State stands at +320, while Liberty holds -425. Unless you're betting on NMSU I'd strongly avoid the ML in this one. Looking at the ATS odds, Liberty is favored at -11.5 (-110), and the total (O/U) is set at 56.5. Both teams have a ton to play for. Liberty is playing to get into the Group of 5 upper rankings of bowl teams. NMSU wants a conference title. Liberty's undefeated record makes them a solid 2-score favorite, I get that, I even respect it, a little bit, but they're only 4-4 ATS in their last 8 games. Have there been better teams ATS this season than NMSU? If you backed the Aggies this year, you did quite well, as they boast a 9-0-1 ATS record in their last 10 games, including three consecutive underdog covers, and yes, outright wins. If you're a fan, you had to love that impressive 31-10 victory over Auburn, hey? For this bet to pay off, we need New Mexico State to stay competitive and believe they can go toe-to-toe with Liberty for the full 60 minutes. They have to flip the field this time, and chip into that "TOP" that Liberty owned in the last game. The last time these two teams met, Liberty secured a 33-17 win and covered a -9.5 spread on September 9th. NMSU is 9-1 since that game. Jerry Kill's kids are having a hell of a year, and with this being their first conference title game you know the entire state is going to watching this game. It's massive in New Mexico. So, it's an intriguing matchup for all the football enthusiasts out there. Trends, New Mex are 10-0 ATS L10, 8-0 SU L8, 6-0 ATS L6 on the road, 4-1 ATS L5 in December, NMSU are also 5-1 SU L6 playing as a dog. I'm banking on NMSU going all in on this matchup. I'm all in on them. They'll cover the +11.5. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-25-23 | Kansas -7 v. Cincinnati | 49-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Kansas -7 In this upcoming college football clash, Kansas (7-4, 6-5 ATS) is set to take on the Bearcats (3-8, 4-7 ATS) at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN2. The odds favor Kansas, with a moneyline of -270, while Cincinnati stands at +217. The point spread has the Bearcats as 1-touchdown underdogs, and the total points for the game is set at 58.5. We're backing Kansas here on Saturday as they take on Cincinnati. In their recent performances, the Jayhawks suffered a 31-27 defeat against Kansas State, with Ballard leading the charge with 162 passing yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs. He also contributed on the ground with 10 rushes for 55 yards. Neal had a notable performance as well, rushing for 138 yards on 18 carries, including 3 touchdowns. The combination of these two players could pose a significant challenge for a Bearcats defense that has struggled this season. Both teams have been battling injury issues, especially at the QB position as they come into play on Saturday. Kansas however, is in good hands as they have depth at this spot and they've been rotating different packages for two different QBs. Jason Bean and Cole Ballard both have experience and they've been able to come in at some spots and make some plays for the Jayhawks. Cincinnati lost Emery Jones and now Brady Lichtenberg is banged up and questionable for this contest. If he does go, he still won't even be close to 100%. The Bearcats don't need those kinds of issues as they've dropped 8 of 9 overall too. They're struggling on the offensive end and this Jayhawks team can get out early on them. With these two teams heading in different directions, the Jayhawks are the valuable team on Saturday at this number. Looking at recent trends, Kansas has covered the spread in 4 of their L6. On the flip side, Cincinnati hasn't had a great run lately, going 2-7 ATS in their L9 games and suffering 8 straight losses in overall matchups. Their struggles extend to their home games, where they've lost their L5 straight. It's safe to say that the Bearcats are in a rough patch this season. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
11-25-23 | Florida State v. Florida OVER 50 | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
OVER 50 On Saturday night in Gainesville, it's a clash between the #4 Florida State and Florida. The game is set to kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The initial odds are as follows: Florida State is favored at -250 on the Moneyline, while Florida stands at +202. Looking at the point spread (ATS), Florida State is giving away 6.5 points at odds of -110. As for the Over/Under (O/U), it's set at 51.5. Florida State remains undefeated with an 11-0 record, but they didn't quite cover the 48-point spread in their last game, winning 58-13 against FCS North Alabama. On the other side, Florida faced a tough loss to #10 Missouri, finishing 33-31. In their historical matchups dating back to 1958, the Seminoles and Gators have played 66 games, including 2 bowl games. Florida holds the edge with a 37-27-2 record. Things are going to be a lot more interesting as the Gators and Seminoles renew their rivalry on Saturday. Florida State remains unbeaten, but took a huge blow as Jordan Travis saw his college career come to an end with a leg injury. Despite that, they are still in good hands here, which is why we're on this Over. Tate Rodemaker took over and still threw for over 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win last week against Northern Alabama. Florida State had the playbook still open for him and they weren't shy about throwing the ball. We're going to see even more aggression against this Florida Gators defense that is giving up nearly 400 yards per game (91st in the NCAA). Florida's offense has been able to keep them in games despite the lack of defense. They nearly took down Mizzou last week on the road as they are ranked 42nd in the nation in total offense. This is going to be a game filled with a lot of plays down field and both teams being creative. Given the struggles on the defensive sides as well, we should see back and forth action in this rivalry game. A couple trends of note, The total has gone OVER in 10 of FSU's L14, and the total has gone OVER in all of FLA's L7 games, and in 4 of their L5 games vs. FSU. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB O/U Play | |||||||
11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 24 m | Show | |
WSU +16.5 The Washington State Cougars (5-6, 2-6 Pac-12, 5-6 ATS) face off against the Washington Huskies (11-0, 8-0 Pac-12, 5-5-1 ATS) this Saturday at Husky Stadium in Seattle, with kickoff at 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's check out the initial betting info. Moneyline shows Washington State at +580 and Washington at -880, while the spread is Washington -16.5 (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 67.5. The Cougars grabbed a victory over Colorado in the elimination bowl, staying in the hunt for a bowl game while ending Colorado's postseason hopes. Washington State broke a losing streak, while the Huskies barely escaped a close call with a 22-20 win against Oregon State. The Apple Cup could be an interesting matchup here as WSU and UW clash. Washington comes in off their big win as all the pressure mounts with them as they look to find themselves in a position to join the BCS Playoffs. Washington State is going to have a say here. The Cougars routed Colorado last week, giving them a lot of momentum coming into this one. They put up 56 points as they ran for 127 yards, while piling up 342 through the air. Cameron Ward had this Coogs offense ranking 4th through the air this year, putting up 338.6 yards per game. Here is the mismatch for us as Washington's defense ranks 119th in the nation in pass yards against, allowing 260.5. Washington State can get into rhythm early, it's going to open up a lot of things here for the Cougars. Washington is in a let down spot as well after the huge win on the road in a rainy Oregon State. Washington State certainly has the ability to keep this close and continue to put doubt in the back of the Huskies' minds as this game goes on. Washington State are 6-3 ATS in their L9 in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAA ATS Play | |||||||
11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah -20.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
Utah -20.5 The 2023 Rumble in the Rockies isn't what we were hoping for at the beginning of the season. Colorado (4-7, 1-7 Pac-12, 6-4-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) comes into Utah (7-4, 6-4-1 ATS, 5-1 HOME) on Saturday looking to finish their season with any kind of a positive they can cling to. Kickoff at Rice-Eccles is at 3pm ET. The Buffaloes are on a tough losing streak, dropping their last five games. Their latest defeat came at the hands of WSU, where they were beaten 56-14 Friday. Meanwhile, the Utes had a tough road game against #16 Arizona and ended up losing 42-18 in Week 12. Now, let's talk odds. When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), Colorado is sitting at +920, while Utah has a commanding -1800. Looking at the Against the Spread (ATS), Utah is favored by -21.5 points (-115), and if you can find it at -20.5, you're in good shape. Lastly, the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 52.5. The last time these two met was 11/26/22, a 9-TD 63-21 Utah win. Utah leads the series 34-32-3. With the first game coming back in 1903. They've won 6 straight. Key point for this one. Shedeur Sanders is a GTD. It's unclear if he suits up for this one. But honestly, why would he? He left Friday's loss with hand soreness in the 56-14 blowout loss to WSU, and why would he take the field? To pad his getting sacked numbers? (Leads the Nation) The CU O-line has proven they couldn't protect an elephant so I don't see why he'd risk it. Give his backup some reps (whomever that is). CU can't make a bowl game, so I'm not sure how much pride there is to play for here. Colorado a 22-point underdog, needs a win to avoid finishing alone in last place in the Pac-12. Utes destroy unranked teams at Rice-Eccles and have taken down the Buffs in the L6 matchups by 20+. EVEN IF Sanders plays, I still like Utah to blow the doors off CU in this one. They're assured a bowl game, so this will be about ironing out the kinks before December. Some trends to note, CU are 0-5 SU in their L5, 1-6 ATS in their L7 vs. Utah, 0-6 SU in their L6 vs. the Utes, and are 2-14 SU in their L16 on the road. The Utes are 4-2 ATS in their L6, 13-6 SU in their L19, and are 19-1 SU in their L20 at home. (The lone loss coming vs. Oregon this year) Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 46 m | Show | |
Ohio State +3.5 #3 Ohio State, with a perfect 11-0 record (8-0 Big Ten, 6-4-1 ATS), is set to face #2 Michigan, also 11-0 (8-0 Big 10, 5-5 ATS), at Michigan Stadium in the highly anticipated "The Game!" It's a noon ET kickoff (FOX). The odds for Ohio State are +146 on the Moneyline, while Michigan sits at -176. The ATS line favors Michigan at -3.5 (-115), and the Over/Under is set at 46.5 points. The Buckeyes recently dominated Minnesota, winning 37-3 on Senior Day, while the Wolverines secured a 31-24 victory over Maryland. Get ready for an exciting showdown! We're backing Ohio State here as one of the best rivalries all in sports once again has so much on the line. The winner will move on to the Big 10 Championship and likely find themselves in the BCS Playoff and this is just too many points in this spot.Ohio State's offense is on another level right now. They're doing it with their ground game, led by TreVeyon Henderson, who rumbled his way for 146 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win over the Golden Gophers last week. His ability to pick up huge chunks of yardage is opening passing lanes as well for Kyle McCord. The Buckeyes have everything clicking right now on the offensive end and they should be able to wear down this Michigan defense as the game goes on. Combine that with how well this Ohio State defense is playing too. The Buckeyes are allowing just 9.3 points per game, which is 2nd in the entire nation. We're going to see Ohio State make things miserable for JJ McCarthy, who has significantly worse stats without Harbaugh on the sideline. Ohio State are 5-1-1 ATS in their L7, ane are 10-0 SU in their L10, plus, they're 15-3 SU in their L18 games against Michigan, and lastly, they're 9-0 SU in their L9 games on the road. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
11-24-23 | Oregon State v. Oregon -13 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
Oregon -13 On Friday, it's a Pac-12 showdown as #6 Oregon (10-1) takes on #15 Oregon State (8-3) at Autzen Stadium. The opening odds are as follows: Oregon is the favorite with a spread of -13.5 points. The moneyline odds favor Oregon at -561, while Oregon State stands at +406. The total points for the game are set at 62.5. In their recent games, the Ducks dominated ASU with a 49-13 victory, while the Beavers faced a tough loss to Washington, falling 22-20. The Ducks and Beavers rivalry may feature the best talent of the two teams we've seen in many years. This however, is going to be overwhelming for the Beavers. Oregon is still holding out hope they can sneak into the BCS Playoff conversation with some help and they've done all they've needed to do with style points. Oregon racked up 42 first half points last week against Arizona State and Bo Nix is just on a different level once again. He has tossed for 3539 yards this year and has 35 touchdowns. While those numbers are outstanding, his ability to take care of the ball is the difference maker really. He has just 2 interceptions in 2023 and should pick apart this Oregon State defense. Oregon plays with such speed and they can score in flurries. They strike so quickly and Troy Franklin is just so tough to guard out wide. He racked up 128 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week and will be the main target here once again for Nix. Oregon is also playing to blow teams out when they can, knowing big wins are needed for the committee should it come down to that. Some trends to note, Oregon State are 3-12 SU in their L15 against Oregon, plus, they're 0-7 SU in their L7 games when playing on the road against Oregon. Oregon are 8-2-1 ATS in their L11, and they're 7-0 SU in their L7 at home, and are 11-4-1 in their L16 vs. Pac 12 teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-24-23 | Texas Tech v. Texas -14 | 7-57 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
Texas -14 Texas (10-1, 7-1 Big 12, 5-5-1 ATS) hosts Texas Tech (6-5, 5-3, 5-6 ATS) at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium this Friday, kicking off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The initial odds are as follows: Moneyline (ML) shows Texas Tech at +385 and Texas at -520 (I'd steer clear), while the Against the Spread (ATS) is Texas -13.5, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 52.5 points. Texas is coming off a 26-16 victory against Iowa State on the road, covering the 6.5-point spread as the favorite. Meanwhile, Texas Tech narrowly defeated UCF Knights 24-23 last Saturday but couldn't cover as a 2-point favorite at home. We're backing the Longhorns here on Friday night as they welcome in rival Texas Tech. Texas has a lot riding on the line here as they are still playing for an outside chance at crashing the BCS Playoffs. The Longhorns currently sit at number 7 in the nation, but will receive some help as a couple of conference foes will have to play each other coming up. Texas should have a field day with this Red Raiders defense. Texas Tech comes in at 74th in the nation in total defense, as they have struggled to slow teams down. They're struggling at forcing turnovers and their inability to get off the field on 3rd down has been an issue. Texas has too dangerous of an offense in this spot. They also are playing for style points too. It could come down to a few one loss teams in the nation vying for a final Playoff spot. They won't be shy about getting a lead and doing whatever they can to put up. I'm not all about the offensive love for Texas today. Their D allows 2.9 yards per rush attempt, which put them in the Top 10 in the FBS. Good luck with that TT RB's. Trends, TT are 4-9 ATS in their L13, vs. UT, are 4-16 SU in their L20 vs. TEX, and are 2-10 SU in their L12 games when playing on the road against Texas. On the other side, Texas are 6-0 SU in their L6 games at home. This is a very nice spot for Texas to provide us with a lopsided win. I'm on UT tonight. Enjoy your Black Friday! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
Iowa +2.5 It's "The Heroes Game" this week! On Friday, #19 Iowa (9-2, 2-1 AWAY, 5-5-1 ATS) take on Nebraska (5-6, 4-2 HOME, 4-6-1 ATS) in Lincoln. The Big Ten's West Division champion (Iowa) has clinched a place in the conference title match on December 2nd in Indy, while the Huskers need a win to get to a bowl game. I'm still scratching my head as to why Nebraska is favored. I had this feeling 2 weeks ago when BC played PITT and were dogs, and I wondered why, and I lost that pick. It left me angry. LOL I'm not losing this one. Iowa comes into this one with the #3 defense in the Nation allowing a paltry 12.3 PPG to Nebraska's 18.7 PPG. Iowa has won 2 of the L3 in this series, and 5 of the L6. Let's dive deeper into the series history. Nebraska, in its time with the Big Ten, took down Iowa 4 times, with 3 W's on the road and 1 at home. On the flip side, Iowa managed to best Nebraska 8 times, scoring 5 away W's and 3 home W's. IN NEB's favor Friday is the fact, Iowa's scoring average of 18.5 points per game ranks them 121st out of 130 FBS teams. NO Bueno. Answer me this...What has this team done to warrant being a favorite over a top 25 team, who is going to the Big 10 Championship? Nebraska ranks near the bottom in almost every offensive category for starters. They have dropped 3 straight games and have looked awful in doing so. Losses to Michigan State, Maryland, and Wisconsin were just dull performances. Now, we’re not saying Iowa is going to blow anyone out of the water here. However, this Iowa defense is one you can lean on in this matchup. They’ve been the best in a lot of different categories and they create turnovers. Nebraska’s offensive line is one of the worst in the conference, and should struggle with this front from Iowa. This will still be a field position game, but that’s Iowa’s speciality and they’ve dominated it in all 9 wins. Some trends to note, the UNDER is 7-0 in the Hawkeyes L7 road games, and they're 5-0 ATS in their L5 games as a underdog. Plus they're 6-1 SU in their L7, and 7-1 SU L8 vs. Nebraska, and 5-0 SU in their L5 when on the road in Lincoln. Huskers are 2-10 ATS in their L12 as a favorite, and they're 1-9-1 in their L11 as a favorite of 0.5-3. CHECK. This tells me this is going to be a backyard brawl on Friday. Iowa covers the +2.5. Ferentz secures his 196th win on Black Friday. I love it as a 9* play. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
11-23-23 | Ole Miss -10 v. Mississippi State | 17-7 | Push | 0 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Ole Miss -10 Happy Thanksgiving! In Week 13 of 2023 NCAAF, we've got a matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels, with a record of 9-2, and the Mississippi State Bulldogs, sitting at 5-6. The game kicks off at 7:30 ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. Check out the betting lines for this NCAA showdown: Ole Miss is favored at -11.5 points, and if you're into moneyline bets, Ole Miss is at -467, while Mississippi State stands at +346. As for the total points in this college football battle, the Over/Under is set at 55.5. We're playing Ole Miss here, laying the points in the Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night. Ole Miss has a lot more to play for here for starters. They are looking to crash the New Year's Six Bowl party as they come in with just 2 losses on the season. The Rebels rank 12th nationally in total offense and 17th in the nation with 36.5 points per game. They love to work quickly and have the ability to strike for big plays. On the flip side of that, this Bulldogs team is not as threatening by any means whatsoever. They have the 104th offense in the NCAA and only put up 23.2 points per game as a result. This is just a mismatch when you look at it. Ole Miss is far superior on both sides of the ball and they can really dig a quick hole for Mississippi State. This should be a lopsided game where the Rebels dominate and clinch their way into a New Year's Six Bowl game. Trends, Ole Miss are 6-1 SU in their L7, are 5-1 SU in their L6 games against SEC teams. On the other side, MISSST are 2-8 ATS in their L10, and are 3-6 SU in their L9 games. Finally, they're 1-5 ATS in their L6 games at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-21-23 | Bowling Green -1 v. Western Michigan | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Bowling Green -1 Bowling Green (6-5, 4-3 in MAC, 7-4 ATS) and Western Michigan (4-7, 3-4 MAC, 7-4 ATS) clash with the game set to start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU at Waldo Stadium. In their recent matchup, Bowling Green defied the odds as a 9.5-point underdog, covering the spread in a close 32-31 loss to Toledo. On the flip side, Western Michigan couldn't cover the spread, falling short as a 4-point underdog in a 24-0 defeat against NIU. MACtion! We're playing the Falcons on Tuesday night in the season finale for both Bowling Green and Western Michigan. The Falcons come in with 6 wins and are bowl eligible and this is going to be an angry bunch when they come out here. After rattling off 4 straight wins, they blew a huge lead over rival Toledo last week. Still, take away from that game that Bowling Green should have in fact beat the Rockets who are one of the best in the MAC. Bowling Green will lean on their defense here and should be able to contain this Western Michigan offense. The Falcons rank 37th in the entire nation in total defense, while the Broncos counter with the 80th scoring offense in the NCAA. The edge sits with Bowling Green there as they are going to frustrate this Western Michigan offense all night long. Bowling Green's offense is also clicking here as they run a balanced attack. They can not only wear down opposing defenses, but they're going to feed off this WMU side that allows over 31 points per game (110th in the NCAA). Bowling Green are 4-1 ATS in their L5, and are 4-1 SU in their L5. Western Michigan are 3-7 SU in their L10. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
11-18-23 | Texas v. Iowa State UNDER 47.5 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 82 h 2 m | Show | |
Under 47.5 Texas (9-1, 6-1 Big 12, 4-6 ATS) is set to face off against the Iowa State (6-4, 5-2 Big 12, 6-4 ATS) in the Corn State (LOL, isn't that what it is?) this Saturday at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA. The game kicks off at 8pm ET and will be broadcast on FOX. A night game here pins UT and ISU against one another here so the atmosphere will be LIT. This matchup has always provided a lot of interesting games and closely played games. That should be the case once again here as health is going to play a part as well. In terms of betting, Texas holds the advantage with a -300 ML, while Iowa State stands at +260 for ML bettors. The initial point spread (ATS) was Texas -7.5 and the Over/Under opened at 48.5, we're still remaining close to that mark. Both quarterbacks had solid performances last week, with Ewers and Becht putting up good numbers. However, the focus may shift to the run game, as both teams aim to control the clock. Most recently, Iowa State saw them defeat BYU 45-13, covering as a 7.5-point road fav. Texas, on the other hand, comes into the game on a 4-game win streak, albeit failing to cover as a 12.5-point road fav vs. TCU, they did win 29-26. Bad news though, Texas RB Jonathan Brooks tore his ACL last week and will obviously miss the rest of the year. He was such a huge piece to this offense and now they will struggle with having that spark offensively. In their last 10 meetings since 2013, Texas leads Iowa State 6-4, with 8 of those games going under the total. Their most recent clash in October 2022 ended with a 24-21 victory for Texas, staying under the total 48.5. Iowa State likes to go at a slow pace and they will have to control the tempo in this game if they hope to have a chance to win this. Iowa State, especially, looks dangerous with their 235-yard rushing performance last week, led by Sama III. Expect to see more of that ground game strategy in this matchup. The Under has hit in 8 straight meetings between these two teams and Texas has gone under in their last 6 games against unranked teams. We're going to see a game where there isn't a lot of deep plays down field. Some more trends, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas' L8, and in 4 of the L5 vs ISU. Also, the total has gone UNDER in 13 of Iowa State's L18, and 8 of Iowa State's L9 at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* CFB O/U Play | |||||||
11-18-23 | Washington v. Oregon State -2 | 22-20 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 43 m | Show | |
Oregon State -2 As you know, I'm a west-coast HONK, and love these Pac 12 games. The #10 Oregon State (8-2) is set to take on the #5 Washington Huskies (10-0) at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, OR, in a big Pac-12 showdown. Weather will be mid 50's and RAIN in the forecast. In their last games, the Beavers triumphed 62-17 over Stanford, while the Huskies secured a 35-28 win against Utah. This is a tough play for me, as you know I'm a Washington grad. But, on Saturday we're backing the Beavers in what should be the best game on the slate here this week. This game features a quarterback clash between Michael Penix Jr. and D.J. Uiagalelei, both likely future NFL players. Last week, Penix had a solid performance, going 24/42 for 332 yards, 2 TDs, and no interceptions, while Uiagalelei was equally impressive with 240 yards on 12/19 passing (63.2%), 2 TDs, and 0 INTs. Oregon State opens as favorites against the #5 team in the nation and they should have all the confidence coming into here. They are undefeated at home this season and have a 62 point performance last week to build off of. Washington survived last week, but this defense looks very suspect coming into play on Saturday. The Huskies have a lot of gaps exposed by Utah and this Beavers team is going to feed off of those. Look for the Beavers to have a lot of success with the big play as they can match Washington's attack. With the crowd here going to be a huge factor, Oregon State should have all the energy here to shake up the College Football Playoff standings. Washington emerged victorious in their previous encounter with OREGON STATE, winning 24-21. They've also dominated the series, winning 10 of the last 11 games (It's a tough choice for me, to be honest! LOL). However, the Beavers did manage to beat the Huskies 27-24 in their last matchup in Corvallis back in 2021. Trends, Washington are 1-4-1 ATS in their L6, and 1-4 ATS in their L5 vs. OST. Flip it, and Oregon State are 13-4 ATS in their L17, and are 12-2 SU in their L14, and are 9-0 SU in their L9 at home. Last one, OST is 5-1 in their L6 vs. Pac 12 schools. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB ATS Play | |||||||
11-18-23 | UCLA v. USC -5.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
USC -5.5 6-4 (4-6 ATS) UCLA vs. 7-4 (3-8 ATS) USC Just can't lay off the Pac 12 games this weekend. Backing USC on Saturday. This line has dropped a 1/2 point since open and I'll take it. Weather will be in the low 70's...(Who Am I Kidding..its LA) There might be 5mph winds...ewwww. In the history of their matchups, USC has taken the lead with a 50-33-7 record (not counting two vacated USC wins (violations). I know, I know...USC's D hasn't been good of late. I get it, but they're playing UCLA. This is their last Pac 12 matchup, with LA bragging rights on the line. You don't think they can't get up for this one? Their most recent showdown happened on November 19, 2022, resulting in a 48-45 victory for USC. UCLA hasn't been faring well lately, losing two consecutive games to Arizona teams, with a recent 17-7 setback against ASU. The Bruins have only managed to secure 1 road win since September, vs. Stanford (ages ago). On the other hand, USC may have lost to formidable Top 10 teams like Washington and Oregon, but they put up a good fight in both, staying within single digits. There's some buzz about coaching changes and team motivation, with reports suggesting Kelly is facing challenges at UCLA. With all this in mind, I have more confidence in USC and Caleb Williams. He's tied with Nix for passing TD's in the Nation with 29, plus he has 11 rush TD's. He's the better QB in this matchup. No brainer. So, my pick is to go with USC. UCLA are 1-4 ATS L5, 2-6 SU in their L8 vs. SC, and 2-10 L12 when playing USC at USC. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NCAA ATS Play | |||||||
11-18-23 | Utah v. Arizona -1 | 18-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
Arizona -1 On Saturday at 2:30 PM ET, we've got an exciting Pac 12 college football showdown happening in Tucson, Arizona, at Arizona Stadium. You can catch all the action on the Pac 12 Network. The #22-ranked Arizona Wildcats (7-3, 7-2 ATS, 4-1 HOME) will be hosting the #16-ranked Utah Utes (7-3, 6-3-1 ATS, 2-2 AWAY). It's shaping up to be my second favorite Pac 12 matchup of the day, right behind the UW/OST game, of course. The Wildcats come in as slight favorites (-1) against the Utes, and the over/under for the game is set at 46 points. The Cats still can get into the Pac 12 Championship game, so a TON to play for here. Also, good bye Pac 12 as both join the Big 12 in 2024. In their previous game, the Wildcats secured a 34-31 victory over Colorado, while Utah had a tough battle at Husky Stadium in Seattle, falling 35-28 to UW. There are four key players to watch in this matchup, all of them on the offensive side. Quarterback Fifita had a solid performance in the last game, throwing for 214 yards with a 60% completion rate, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs. It wasn't his best game of the year, but he's still a STUD, and I'm expecting his passing yardage and completion numbers to jump back up! Running back Coleman rushed for an impressive 179 yards on just 11 carries. And don't forget about Cowing, the wide receiver with 70 receptions, 518 yards, 51.8 yards per game, and 10 touchdowns. McMillan, another wide receiver, displayed explosive speed in the previous game, and we'll be looking for him to repeat that performance on Saturday. All four of these guys have the potential to make a significant impact, especially with the home advantage on Arizona's side. I'm not saying Utah doesn't have their own weapons, hell, they've got the better Coach in this matchup and don't give up till the end, in any game, ever, I'm just higher on Arizona in this one. AZ 30PPG, UT 25, AZ 275PYPG, Utah 147, RUYDS Utah 192, AZ 152, they run the same # of plays, but AZ avg. 1 yard more per, and both are pretty close on the possession numbers. It's going to be a close game. The spread reflects that. Utah looks tired to me. As for the prediction, Utah might not be exhausted, but they will likely be feeling the effects of their recent travel schedule, going from Utah to Washington and then back to Utah before heading to Arizona within a span of seven days. It's not the ideal situation for them. Arizona's injury report looks a lot smaller too. Trends, H2H Utah is 3-0 L3. Averaging 39PPG to AZ's 19. However, Arizona are 5-1 ATS in their L6, are 4-1 SU L5, and 4-1 ATS L5 vs. Pac 12 teams. Utah is 3-3 L6. Arizona has a 19-25-2 record all-time against Utah, and they last met Nov 5, 2022 a 45-20 Utah win. The tides will flip on Saturday and AZ will get their 5th straight W (2014 was last time I could say that). Go Cats! Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-18-23 | Coastal Carolina -3.5 v. Army | 21-28 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 2 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina -3.5 Coastal Carolina (7-3) takes on Army (4-6) at Michie Stadium in West Point, NY this Saturday, with CBS broadcasting the game. The initial odds favored Coastal Carolina by 3.5 points, with a total score projection of 42.5 points. For Moneyline bettors, Coastal Carolina stands at (-168) and Army at (+142). We're playing Coastal here, on the road at Army. Coastal Carolina is going to impose their will on this Army team. These two teams play such a contrast in styles and Coastal has the defense to stop this triple option attack. Army has still struggled offensively, despite even winning their last two games as they haven't had much spark. Even with the triple option in the past, they have been able to find some big plays at times. Those haven't come this year and now they face an explosive Coastal team that can score quickly. Winners of 5 in a row, Coastal continues to put up points and they're getting stops on the defensive end. Look for them to force Army into playing at an uncomfortable pace. Key players like Grayson McCall (1,919 PASS YDS, 10 TD), Braydon Bennett (5 TD, 151 YDS), and Pinckney (6 TD, 763 YDS) are pivotal to CC's success this season, leading the offense. Coastal will speed this game up on them and produce some big plays downfield. The Chanticleers recently triumphed over Texas State, securing a 31-23 victory, while the Black Knights squeezed out a 17-14 win against Holy Cross in their last matchup. Trends, Coastal Carolina are 5-0 ATS in their L5, and are 5-0 SU too. Plus they're 4-1 ATS in their L5 on the road. On the other side, Army are 2-5 SU in their L7 games, and are 1-5 ATS in their L6. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play |
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