Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-09-25 | Chiefs v. Eagles OVER 49.5 | Top | 22-40 | Win | 100 | 332 h 15 m | Show |
OVER 49.5 The Eagles (17-3) and Chiefs (17-2) square off in the Super Bowl, and this matchup has all the ingredients for a thrilling, high-scoring showdown. Both teams lit up the scoreboard in the conference championships, with the Eagles putting up an impressive 55 — the most in a conference championship game since 1970—and the Chiefs themselves put up 32. The Eagles are red-hot, and the Chiefs are making their fifth Super Bowl appearance in 6 years, with coach Reid facing his former team yet again. Both offenses are firing on all cylinders. Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes have been connecting to their playmakers, setting up plenty of scoring opportunities. Both the run and pass games are humming for these teams, creating a balanced attack that's tough to stop. History adds an extra layer of intrigue, as Mahomes and the Chiefs edged out the Eagles 38-35 in their last Super Bowl meeting in Arizona. With two explosive offenses and plenty of talent on the field, this game is shaping up to be a shootout. Don't be surprised if it turns into a back-and-forth battle that soars past 60 total points. Take the over and get ready for fireworks in New Orleans in two weeks! *RARE* 10* Super Bowl LIX O/U Play | |||||||
01-26-25 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
OVER 47.5 Buffalo and KC meet once again with a spot in the Super Bowl on the line. These two teams have made it a norm to meet in the AFC Championship. Both offenses right now are rolling and we get two of the best QBs in the game here for this over. Both teams are averaging a lot of yards and big plays during the postseason and with the amount of playmakers on the field, this will be a game where both offenses go back and forth. Typically these two teams play to high scoring and very entertaining games. Expect that Sunday. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-19-25 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 51.5 | 25-27 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
UNDER 51.5 Frigid temps are in the forecast and this is a great spot for the under. Combine that with snow flurries as a potential and neither team is going to be able to throw the ball deep. That bodes well for both offenses to lean on their run game, which will result in a much slower pace. For the Ravens, they’re going to lean on Henry and do everything to sustain drives to keep this Bills offense off the field. The Bills offensively will have similar mentality as well as they don’t want Jackson to have the ball as keeping him on the sidelines will be the key for them. Grab the under. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-11-25 | Chargers v. Texans UNDER 42.5 | 12-32 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 35 m | Show | |
UNDER 42.5 Los Angeles and Houston meet in the Wild Card round and this is a great spot on the under. While their defense did taper off a bit down the stretch, the Chargers still boast one of the best defenses in the league. Combine that with Harbaugh making the adjustments in the playoffs and this defense will swarm Stroud and company. Houston’s offense has been depleted by injuries as well, which adds massive value to this under. Expect this game to be a grind and have minimal deep plays, as both teams will chew up a lot of clock and slow the game down tremendously. Grab the under. Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-09-25 | Notre Dame v. Penn State OVER 45 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 21 m | Show |
OVER 45 The first semi final pins Notre Dame and Penn State against one another on Thursday night. Notre Dame and Penn State will both have offensive success on Thursday and this game should be more open than expected. The Fighting Irish will lean on Riley Leonard, both with his arm and legs. He produced some big runs against Georgia and this Penn State defense has a lot of gaps in it. The Nittany Lions offense wears opponents down and they’ll look to do just that here. This game should see plenty of red zone chances both ways. Grab the over. Thursday 10* *RARE* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
01-05-25 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 44.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Over 44.5 This Saints and Bucs Over has good value as Tampa Bay is going to light up the scoreboard themselves. They put up 51 points in the first meeting and Baker Mayfield is playing at an unreal level. He threw for 5 touchdowns last week and this offense is rolling with Irving in the backfield causing havoc. The Saints are going to have to open the playbook themselves, knowing this Bucs offense is unstoppable right now. Look for this game to be wide open both ways, with scoring chances coming in waves. Grab the over. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-03-25 | North Texas v. Texas State OVER 62.5 | 28-30 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
OVER 62.5 North Texas and Texas State meet on Friday and this is a good over spot. Both teams love to play with so much pace and this will be a wide open game. North Texas averages 34 ppg while they’re giving up 34.5 ppg against. They’ve been involved in many shootouts this season and they should have plenty of success with their speed against Texas State. The Bobcats have scored no less than 38 points in their last 4 games and their similar style has led to many high scoring affairs as well. Look for both sides to take shots down field and produce a lot of scoring chances. Grab the over. Friday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
01-02-25 | Duke v. Ole Miss UNDER 51.5 | 20-52 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
UNDER 51.5 Duke and Ole Miss meet and this is a good under spot. Both teams will have little motivation here and this game should be a little sloppy too. Ole Miss has gone under in 10 of their last 11 games overall and they have one of the best defenses in the nation. Combine that with Duke on their third string QB coming into this one and this will be a game where neither side has much success offensively. Look for the game to slow down and for this to be one where big plays don’t come around often. Grab the under. Thursday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
01-02-25 | Notre Dame v. Georgia OVER 45 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
OVER 45 Notre Dame and Georgia meet on New Years Day and this is a good spot for the over. Notre Dame has been lighting things up overall as of late and this offense should have plenty of success against Georgia. The Bulldogs have struggled in the secondary and this Fighting Irish side loves to utilize the run game early to open up passing lanes. Georgia will go with QB Gunner Stockton, who has a lot of upside. Both offenses will put together some solid drives and big plays in what will be a high scoring game. Wednesday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
01-01-25 | Ohio State v. Oregon UNDER 56 | 41-21 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
UNDER 56 Ohio State and Oregon clash in the quarterfinals and this is a good under spot. These two teams battled to an epic one point Ducks win earlier this season and it’s going to be a game where neither defense is going to give up a lot. The game plan will be for both teams to establish their run games early and keep the opposing offense off the field. Oregon goes up against a Buckeyes defense that gives up just 11.4 ppg which is tops in the nation. The Ducks defense will match the intensity and this will be a lower scoring affair. Wednesday 8* New Year's Day NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-31-24 | Penn State v. Boise State OVER 53.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Over 53.5 Penn State and Boise State meet and this is a good spot on the over. This game is going to be wide open as these two teams come in with a ton of momentum. Penn State throttled SMU in their opening game of this playoff and they are going to continue to push the issue in this game. They’re at their best when they can open the playbook up and they will pick apart this Boise State secondary. On the flip side, the Broncos offense runs through Jeanty. He’s going to to open up a lot of running and passing lanes as he’s going to wear down this Penn State defense. Expect a back and forth game all night long. Grab the over. Tuesday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-28-24 | Broncos v. Bengals OVER 50 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
OVER 50 The Bengals and Broncos meet in Cinci on Saturday and this is a good spot for an over play. Both of these offenses continue to play well, as Burrow and Nix have both put up some big numbers. Cinci comes in averaging nearly 29 ppg and they are firing on all cylinders right now. They’ve scored 27, 37, and 24 in three straight wins and it’s kept them alive with slim playoff hopes. On the flip side, Denver’s offense gets better every week. This will be a game that will be back and forth with both teams producing scoring chances. Grab the over. Saturday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-28-24 | Connecticut v. North Carolina OVER 53 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Over 53 The Huskies and Tar Heels meet in the Fenway Bowl. This is a good spot for the over as these teams can produce some fireworks. UConn was a huge surprise going 8-4, while putting up 32 ppg. They’ve come a long way and they will certainly be ready for this bowl game come Saturday. UNC was right there around 32 ppg themselves as well as they love to sling the ball all over the place. Both teams are going to take their chances down field and this will be a game with many red zone appearances. Back the over. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-24-24 | South Florida v. San Jose State OVER 65 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
OVER 65 USF and San Jose State meet in the Hawaii Bowl and this is a good spot for the over. Both offenses have shown a lot of brilliance at times this season and this game will be paced by the Bulls, who are averaging over 31 ppg. Their last 3 games have been extremely high scoring, with USF scoring 59, 63, and 28. San Jose State put up 34 in their finale and they’re going to open the playbook here. This will be a high scoring affair with back and forth action all night long. Grab the over. Tuesday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-22-24 | Rams v. Jets OVER 46.5 | 19-9 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
OVER 46.5 The Rams and Jets meet and this is a good over spot on Sunday. The Rams dealt with a ton of rain and a tough 49ers defense in their last game, as they couldn’t get anything going offensively. Still, this offense will bounce back as they have so many weapons out wide that’ll pick apart this Jets defense. New York has continued to impress as of late and they put up 32 in a win over the Jags. We’re going to see both offenses find success and they’ll open things up here as the opposing secondaries have struggled at times this season. This will be a back and forth game where both teams take their shots down field. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-21-24 | Tennessee v. Ohio State UNDER 47 | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
UNDER 47 Tennessee and Ohio State will play under the lights in Columbus and this is a fresh spot for an under. With freezing temps, throwing the ball is going to be tough with the wind issues. This will be a game where both teams try to establish a run game early and chew a lot of clock. Combine that with both these defenses being at the top of many categories and this should be a game where big plays are limited. This is a good situational spot for the under and for these teams to struggle to move the ball. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-21-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
UNDER 44.5 Baltimore and Pittsburgh meet and this under has value. This series has been so tightly played and the last 7 meetings have gone under the total. Pittsburgh’s defense will be the difference maker here as they won’t let Jackson use his legs to beat them. This is going to be the kind of game that features a lot of ground game with the running backs, while chewing a lot of clock. With cold temps predicted as well, the pass games for both teams will be held to minimal and we won’t see much down field. Grab the under in what’ll be a low scoring, physical game. Saturday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-19-24 | Georgia Southern v. Sam Houston State UNDER 48.5 | 26-31 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
UNDER 48.5 Sam Houston State and Georgia Southern have value to the under here. Sam Houston State not only lost their head coach to Temple, they also have a lot of losses to the transfer portal coming into play. They’re going to be missing so many key pieces on the offensive side and it’s going to lead them into some tough spots when it comes to moving the ball. Georgia Southern is going to run the ball and chew up a lot of clock here, which will result in this game being slow developing. Neither team will have explosive plays and it’s going to be a grind of a game from the start. Thursday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-17-24 | Memphis v. West Virginia OVER 58.5 | 42-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
OVER 58.5 Memphis and West Virginia meet on Tuesday in the Frisco Bowl and this is a good spot on the over. These two teams love to take chances down field and they will have plenty of explosive plays in this game. Memphis had one of the best offenses this season as they averaged over 36 ppg and they love to air it out. They’ll pick apart this Mountaineers defense and get out early. The same goes for West Virginia, who has played to some very high scoring games. This has the makings of a shootout and is worthy of a nice over play. Tuesday 6* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-16-24 | Falcons v. Raiders UNDER 44.5 | 15-9 | Win | 100 | 121 h 48 m | Show | |
UNDER 44.5 Atlanta and Vegas play in game 2 of the pair of MNF games and this is a good under spot. Desmond Riddler will go up against his old team and he was an under machine for the Falcons when he started. His games only went above 40 points twice out of 11 games and he isn’t one who will take shots down field. Cousins hasn’t looked very good at times this season either and the Falcons offense has had major issues in the red zone. This is going to be a game that turns into a grind and it’ll be very slow developing. Given how both teams will establish the run game, the clock will be chewing up. Grab the under in a low scoring game. Monday Night Football 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-14-24 | Navy v. Army OVER 38.5 | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 68 h 30 m | Show |
OVER 38.5 Army and Navy renew their rivalry as the two will play inside Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. This game will feature a much different feel as Army has been lights out this season. The winners of the AAC Championship were just one game away from a spot in the BCS Playoff, but had no chance against Notre Dame earlier this season. Still, this offense has been lights out and they’re averaging 32.9 ppg as they have been finding the end zone both with the run and pass. Navy is 8-3 themselves and they’re right there with 32.3 ppg. These two offenses have been electric and they’re going to put on a show in what will be a back and forth game. Grab the over. Saturday *RARE* 10* NCAAF ATS TOP Play | |||||||
12-12-24 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 48.5 | 12-6 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 The Rams and 49ers meet on TNF and this is a good over spot. Both of these offenses are playing well and they’re getting a lot of production from the pass game. Both QBs are easily off their best game of the year and they’re going to carry that momentum into play on Thursday. The Rams have so many weapons out wide and with Nucua and Kupp both producing right now, this is a game where they can pick apart this 49ers secondary. San Francisco put up 38 and was dominant in the win over the Bears last week. They threw for 325 and ran for 131 and they’re going to have that same game plan here. Grab the over in what will be an entertaining game from the start. Thursday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-08-24 | Jets v. Dolphins OVER 44.5 | 26-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
OVER 44.5 The Jets and Dolphins have good value to this over here. Both of these teams have a lot of talent out wide and it should produce a lot of big plays. Defensive injuries have also plagued both teams and that’s going to give even more success to these passing games. Look for Rodgers and Tua to open things up and take their shots down field, as they know the secondaries are weak. Both teams have been scoring a lot lately as well, while their respective defenses have struggled as a whole. Look for a back and forth game all day long in what will be an entertaining one. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-07-24 | Clemson v. SMU OVER 55 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
OVER 55 Clemson and SMU battle on Saturday and this is a good over spot. This has the makings of a game where SMU will pull out all the plays and really open things up. This is their rare chance to find themselves a spot in the playoff with a win and they’ll need everything to go their way against a good Clemson side. Expect them to take plenty of shots down field, as this offense averaged nearly 40 ppg. Clemson wasn’t far behind with 35.7 ppg and they have heated up all season long. This will be a back and forth game from the start. Saturday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-07-24 | Penn State v. Oregon UNDER 50.5 | 37-45 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 52 m | Show | |
UNDER 50.5 Penn State and Oregon meet in the Big 10 title game with a spot in the Playoff on the line. This is a great under spot as Penn State will try to slow this game down and keep things lower scoring. Penn State has had zero success against top 5 teams under James Franklin as they continue to find different ways to lose every time. Because of that, this will be a game they slow things down and keep the ball out of the Oregon offense’s hands. Look for them to chew a lot of clock and put an emphasis on getting into short yardage third down situations. They also can slow down this Oregon offense when they do have the ball as their defense is swarming. Grab the under in this one. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-07-24 | Iowa State v. Arizona State UNDER 50 | 19-45 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 28 m | Show | |
UNDER 50 Iowa State and Arizona State meet Saturday and this is a great spot on the under. Iowa State comes in with the best scoring defense in the entire conference as they’re giving up just 19.6 ppg. They are swarming on the defensive end and they will suffocate opposing receivers all game long. The good news here is that Arizona State’s defense isn’t far behind. They give up just 21.5 ppg and they will cause a lot of havoc defensively themselves. This is going to be a game where both teams look to blitz and get into the backfield, not allowing either offense to get into rhythm. This has the makings of a lower scoring game on Saturday. Saturday 6* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-06-24 | Western Kentucky v. Jacksonville State OVER 58.5 | 12-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
OVER 58.5 This game should feature a ton of back and forth action, giving value to this over on Friday night. These two offenses have been solid all season long and they’re lighting up the scoreboard. WKU has put up performances this season that has seen them score over 30 and they just saw this Jax State defense to end the season. While the game was lower scoring, adjustments will be made and they’ll take a lot of shots against this defense that has a lot of gaps in the secondary. This will see both teams push the issue a little bit more than last week and it’ll result in some big yardage plays. Grab the over. Friday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-02-24 | Browns v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 32-41 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
UNDER 42 Cleveland and Denver meet on MNF and this is a good under spot. This will be a game with chilly temps and it’ll be one where both teams work to run the ball first. Denver’s defense is giving up just 16.2 ppg, while Cleveland’s is scoring under 17 themselves. This has the makings of a game where neither offense really comes up with big yardage plays and it results in a lot of clock chewing. With neither offense having that explosive outlook here, this is a great spot to grab the under. Monday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-01-24 | 49ers v. Bills UNDER 45 | 10-35 | Push | 0 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
UNDER 45 Weather will be an issue in SNF as the Bills battle the 49ers. Snow and cold temps are in the forecast and that doesn’t sit well for a 49ers team who is traveling across the country and not used to the cold. The snow is expected to be in feet and it’ll cause both offenses to have to run the ball. This will be the kind of game where we see plenty of clock chewing and longer drives. The weather will also play a factor in field goal kicking as these teams will struggle with the wind and snow, which will result in these teams potentially having to go for it on 4th down instead of taking the points. Expect a grind of a game and a lower scoring one. Grab the under. Sunday Night 6* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-01-24 | Eagles v. Ravens OVER 50.5 | 24-19 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 Phili is hitting their stride and this is going to be a fun matchup against the Ravens on Sunday. This is a case of two offenses that are rolling right now and they’re going to produce a lot of big plays both ways. The Ravens have gone over in 10 of 12 games this year and they come in with the 24th ranked defense in the NFL. That doesn’t bode well for them against the Eagles who are clicking on all cylinders right now. This will be the kind of game that is back and forth all night long and both offenses will have plenty of red zone trips. Grab the over. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-30-24 | Kansas State v. Iowa State UNDER 51.5 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
UNDER 51.5 Kansas State and Iowa State meet on Saturday and we’re on the under here. These two teams hold 2 of the top 4 scoring defenses in the conference and this will turn into a slow developing game. Kansas State gives up just 21.3 ppg while the Cyclones are at 19.5 ppg against. These two teams can cause so many issues with their ability to blitz and get into the backfield. That’s going to be the game plan for both teams as this will be one where neither QB has a lot of time back there. With both teams loving to run the ball as well, it’ll slow everything down in a low scoring game. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-30-24 | Texas v. Texas A&M UNDER 50.5 | Top | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 43 h 29 m | Show |
UNDER 50.5 The Aggies and Longhorns renew their rivalry and this one has a lot of things on the line. This will be a defensive minded game as the Aggies are completely different at home. This season, they’re giving up just 15 ppg at home and they’re going to have so much intensity as they try to ruin Texas’ season. This will be a game that’s slower developing and neither team is going to get a lot of big plays. Expect this to be a game where both offenses are forced into some long yardage 3rd down durations and for this game to be chewing a lot of clock. Grab the under. *RARE* Saturday 10* NCAAF O/U TOP Play | |||||||
11-29-24 | Utah State v. Colorado State UNDER 58.5 | 37-42 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
UNDER 58.5 Utah State and Colorado State meet to end the season and this is a good under spot. Neither of these teams play with any pace and this will be a game where they both slow the tempo down. Colorado State is the team that will dictate the pace and they’re giving up just 23.2 ppg. They slow things down tremendously and they will almost take the air out of the ball. It’ll force Utah State into some uncomfortable spots and it’s going to force them to play this game slower. The run games will dominate this game and it’ll produce a much lower scoring game. Grab the under. Black Friday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-28-24 | Memphis v. Tulane OVER 54 | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
OVER 54 Memphis and Tulane meet as Tulane continues their trek toward trying to get into the playoff. This has the makings of a game where both teams put up a lot of points. Memphis comes in averaging 35.3 ppg, while Tulane sits at 40.5. Both offenses love to run and gun and they love to play with tempo. Look for this game to feature a ton of quick plays and shots down field, which certainly benefits this over. Given how much these two teams open their playbooks and aren’t shy about throwing deep, this will be a game where red zone trips come plenty. Grab the over in what will be an extremely entertaining game. Thanksgiving Day 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-25-24 | Ravens v. Chargers OVER 51 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
OVER 51 Baltimore and Los Angeles have good value on this over as both offenses have playmakers that can be explosive. Lamar Jackson and company have shown all season that they can beat teams on the ground and through the air. They’re putting up big numbers and come into Monday scoring over 30 ppg. The Chargers right now have been clicking offensively as well. They’re fresh off a 34 point showing and have scored at least 26 points in 4 straight games. This has the makings of a game where both offenses find success downfield and it turns into a battle inside the redzones. Grab the over. Monday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-24-24 | Bucs v. Giants UNDER 40.5 | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
UNDER 40.5 The Giants and Bucs meet and this is a good under spot on Sunday. The Giants dramatics continue as they’re benching and even talking about releasing Daniel Jones as they’ll go with Tommy DeVito at QB. Last season, the Giants averaged 12.4 ppg with him at QB and the struggles of this offense are going to continue once again. They do have the defense to rely on and it’s going to be the key here against the Bucs as this will a very slow paced game from the start. Look for both teams to struggle to move the ball and for neither side to find the red zone many times. The Bucs have had their issues and Mayfield will struggle against this defense. Grab the under. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-23-24 | BYU v. Arizona State OVER 48.5 | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 This is a good over spot as BYU and Arizona State meet on Saturday afternoon. Both of these teams have had a lot of success offensively and they’re producing some big numbers at times. Coming into Saturday, they’re averaging 30+ points each per game and this game should be no different. BYU has been hitting overs on a regular basis and Arizona State hasn’t scored under 27 points yet at home. This game could easily turn into a shootout and we’re getting good value on this number. Grab the over. Saturday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 41 | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
UNDER 41 The Texans and Cowboys battle on MNF and we’re on the under here. Houston has been a much worse offense on the road this season and they haven’t eclipsed over 22 points in any road opportunity. They also continued to be banged up at receiver and they’re asking guys to play with injuries which doesn’t help this offense when it comes to picking up big yards. The Cowboys are just a mess themselves too. Cooper Rush under center is not the answer and we saw this offense struggle mightily against the Eagles. Grab the under in what will be a low scoring game. Monday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-17-24 | Falcons v. Broncos OVER 44.5 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 20 m | Show | |
OVER 44.5 The Falcons and Broncos will meet in Denver on Sunday and we’re getting good value here on the over. Atlanta is off a brutal loss that saw both teams combined for over 800 yards of offense in the game. Before that game that saw them miss three field goals, they had hit at least 48 points in 6 straight games. Denver meanwhile has had some solid performances themselves offensively. They’ve scored 28 or more in recent games against the Panthers, Saints, and the Raiders as Bo Nix has this offense rolling right now. This has the makings of a back and forth game where both offenses will find a ton of success. Both QBs are going to pick apart the opposing secondary and it’ll result in a high scoring affair. Grab the over in what will be a very entertaining game. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-17-24 | Raiders v. Dolphins UNDER 44 | 19-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
UNDER 44 Las Vegas and Miami meet on Sunday in Miami and this is a good under spot. The Raiders have been a disaster all season long on the defensive end. They’ve struggle to find their footing and they just haven’t had any sort of spark all season. The Dolphins defense is off their best performance so far this season as they shut down the Rams last Monday night. Neither of these teams are going to strike for many big plays and this will be a game where the run games are established on both ends. Expect plenty of long drives and punts/field goals in what will be the kind of game where field position plays a role. With neither team having that big spark offensively, this will result in a lower scoring game. Grab the under on Sunday. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-16-24 | Kansas v. BYU OVER 57.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
OVER 57.5 The Jayhawks and BYU meet Saturday night with cold temps on the horizon. This is still going to be a game where both teams have plenty of chances in the red zone and because of that, we’re going over here. Looking at Kansas, their last 6 games have seen at least 56 points in them. They play quick and they can strike quick, which will be their emphasis on Saturday night. BYU’s offense is no slouch either. They have scored at least 38 points in each of the last 4 home games for themselves. Both of these offenses play with speed and they aren’t shy about taking chances down field. This is a game where they’ll go back and forth all night in a high scoring game. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-16-24 | Tennessee v. Georgia UNDER 48 | 17-31 | Push | 0 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
UNDER 48 College Gameday will headline Georgia and Tennessee on Saturday night in what is a must win game here for both teams. This has the feelings of a grind it out type of game given how physical these two sides play. Georgia’s defense is going to look for a bounce back game after Ole Miss threaded them at times. This Bulldogs defense will see Tennessee QB Nico Lamaleava play under 100% as he’s been battling injuries. This will be a game where both teams establish a run game early and neither defense gives up anything big. These are two very talented defensive teams and that’ll be on showcase Saturday night. Grab the Under in a low scoring game. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-13-24 | Kent State v. Miami-OH OVER 46 | 7-34 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 36 m | Show | |
OVER 46 Kent and Miami meet on Wednesday night and this is a very good over spot. Kent State continues to be the only winless team in the NCAA and they’re getting just pummeled on the defensive end. They gave up 41 to OU last week, which came after allowing 52 to WMU the previous week. Miami’s offense is rolling right now and they can put up similar numbers against this defense. Kent’s offense is taking chances more and they’re trying to get some things rolling with downfield passes. Given how Miami will be moving up and down the field at will, Kent State will open their playbook more and more. Grab the over. Wednesday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-13-24 | Eastern Michigan v. Ohio OVER 50.5 | 10-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 EMU and OU meet on Wednesday and this is a great spot for the over. Both these offenses have had success so far this season and it stems from their ability to run a balanced attack. Both teams will establish a run early and it’ll open up some down field plays for these QBs. Neither defense has shown much as well, adding to the value. EMU gave up 29 points against the Rockets last week and they’ve had issues with teams that like to run down hill. Look for both of these teams to have a lot of fireworks as this game goes on as they’re going to wear the opposing defense down. Grab the Over in what will be a back and forth game all night long. Wednesday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-12-24 | Western Michigan v. Bowling Green UNDER 58.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
UNDER 58.5 Western Michigan meets with Bowling Green on Tuesday night and this is a good under spot. Bowling Green’s defense is going to be the difference maker in this game and why it stays under the total. They have been stellar all season and their ability to get off the field on third down is one of the best in the MAC. They are putting together some good blitz packages and they’re forcing teams into some bad decisions. They love to play slow offensively as well which will knock Western Michigan off their rhythm. Expect this game to feature a lot of runs and for the Falcons to really slow everything down. With colder temps predicted as well with wind, it’ll affect both passing games. This is a good value spot on the under. Tuesday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-09-24 | Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 56 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
UNDER 56 The Bulldogs and Ole Miss meet Saturday in what should be a solid SEC showdown. This is a good spot for an under as it’s going to turn into a grind. The Bulldogs have looked very well defensively over their last two games as they’re back to themselves on this side of the ball. They’re blitzing and putting together a ton of good packages that is fooling opposing fronts. They’re going to wreck havoc in the Ole Miss backfield and cause a lot of issues. The Rebels are sneaky good right now too. They’re not getting much attention, but this is a team that has a shot at the playoff. Look for them to try and establish a run game, which will keep the clock moving. They want the possession battle to be won by them as they know they can’t have this Georgia offense on the field. This is a good spot for an Under. Saturday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-07-24 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina OVER 62.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
OVER 62.5 App State and Coastal Carolina clash on Thursday night and this is a good over spot. These two teams love to play with a ton of pace for starters and it produces a lot of scoring chances both ways. Looking at App State, all of their games of been high scoring as their defense has been absolutely beaten in the secondary. Because of that, they’ve put up some high point totals themselves and that’s going to be the case here. Coastal has been the same way and they’ve given up 36 and 38 points in their previous two games. Both teams will make some big plays and pick up big chunks of yardage, resulting in a lot of scoring chances. Grab the over in what will be an entertaining game. Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
11-06-24 | Ohio v. Kent State UNDER 53 | 41-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
UNDER 53 Kent and OU meet Wednesday inside Dix Stadium. This is a good under spot for a few reasons. For starters, the weather in Ohio is rainy and going to be windy. It’ll cause these offenses to adjust a bit and focus more on the run. This will lead to a much more slower developing game where the clock will be chewed up from both offenses. As for Kent State, they have been atrocious on both sides of the ball really, but offensively it’s been a debacle. They struggle to move the ball and this will be a game where they don’t find much against a good OU defense. With all the factors coming into play, this will be a lower scoring game. Back the under. Wednesday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-05-24 | Bowling Green v. Central Michigan OVER 47.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
OVER 47.5 MACtion begins Tuesday night and Bowling Green takes on Central Michigan. We’re on the over here as this should be a game where both offenses find success. Both teams have had solid offensive showings as they are averaging over 27 ppg. Bowling Green has put up 27 and 41 in back to back wins and they’re going to roll into this one with confidence. That bodes well as the Chops defensively have been getting torched. They gave up 27, 38, and 46 in their 3 straight losses as it’s been a struggle for them to get off the field. This should be a game where both teams find some open lanes down field and we’ll see big chunks of yards picked up. Grab the over in what will be an entertaining game. Tuesday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
11-04-24 | Bucs v. Chiefs OVER 45.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
OVER 45.5 The Chiefs and Bucs battle on MNF and we’re on the over here as this game should feature a ton of back and forth scoring. The Bucs defensively have had so many issues this year. They’re getting beat deep down field and their inability to get off the field on third downs has allowed opponents to have a lot of scoring chances. The Chiefs offensively are rolling and they’re going to have a field day against this secondary. Baker Mayfield and the offense for Tampa Bay has also been clicking. They’ve put up at least 26 points in each of their last 5 games as this offense has looked good overall. This will be a game where both offenses get scoring chances and with two solid QBs, they’re going to find the end zone many times. Grab the over. Monday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-03-24 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 45 m | Show | |
UNDER 47.5 The Packers and Lions meet in the game of the week and this has the feels of a game that turns into a grind. For starters, Jared Goff is a different QB when playing outside. He’ll have a ton of issues playing inside this stadium where the temps will be colder and this crowd will be loud. The Lions numbers offensively dip down typically too when they play on the road, which adds value to this spot. On the flip side, the Packers are still working through their options at QB. If Love does play he wont be at 100% and the offense will rely more on the run. If Willis plays, this offense isn’t nearly as threatening. Regardless, we’re going to see two teams that will lean on the run games early and chew a lot of this clock. Expect this game to be slow developing and for the defenses to now allow anything big down field. Grab the under in this spot. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-03-24 | Commanders v. Giants OVER 44 | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
OVER 44 The Giants and Commanders meet on Sunday for the 2nd time this year and this game has the makings of an over. These two teams played to a 21-18 game in week 2 that certainly should have gone over. The Commanders Jayden Daniels has been on another level since then and he had this team poised for a run at the playoffs. He continues to get healthier as well, which will add some value as he will be able to do more with both his legs and arm. The Giants have let up 28 and 26 points in their last two games as this defense has plenty of gaps in it. They’ll be able to find success offensively themselves given how this Commanders defense has fared at times against the pass. This will be a game where both teams get scoring chances like their week 2 matchup and this time they’ll find the end zone more. Grab the over. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
11-01-24 | San Diego State v. Boise State UNDER 56.5 | 24-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
UNDER 56.5 The Broncos and Aztecs meet on Friday night and this is a good under spot. It’s no secret what this Broncos offense wants to do. They’re going to run the ball and lean heavily on Jeanty throughout the entire game. They’re going to do just that on Friday, which will chew up a lot of clock. The Broncos defensively have also been solid this season, especially as of late. The Aztecs run a very balanced attack and they will work the clock themselves here. Their strategy will be to keep Jeanty off the field and if they can put themselves in short yardage third downs, it’ll work the clock and chew up a lot of it with them sustaining drives. Expect this to be a very slow developing game both ways and we will see a lot of runs and short passes. Look for a low scoring game. Grab the under. Friday 6* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
10-31-24 | Tulane v. Charlotte OVER 56 | 34-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
OVER 56 Tulane and Charlotte will meet on Thursday night and this over has good value. Tulane sits in first in the American Athletic and they are on a tear right now. Offensively they’re putting up big numbers during this 5 game winning streak that includes performances of 71, 41, and 45 twice. It’s coming from a rushing attack that is unstoppable right now and they’re picking up huge chunks of yards at time. It’s wearing defenses down and that’s what they’ll do against Charlotte, that has struggled to stop the run. Charlotte should have their share of scoring chances as well, given how much of a struggle this Tulane defense has been. Expect both teams to put up some points in what will be a high scoring game. Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play | |||||||
10-27-24 | Jets v. Patriots OVER 41.5 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 122 h 28 m | Show | |
OVER 41.5 New England and New York will renew their rivalry on Sunday and this is a good spot for the over. This total opens lower, but the Jets new look is going to cause a ton of issues for the Patriots. New York and DeVante Adams put together some solid drives against the Steelers on Sunday as they got into Pittsburgh territory in 3 of their 5 2nd half drives. They couldn’t finish any of those, but they’ll be able to find some scoring drives against this Pats defense. New England should also find their own set of success. The Jets were torched by Russell Wilson and that doesn’t bode well for them moving forward. This defense has been a mess all season long and Drake Maye provides a much more threatening offensive boost for the Pats. Grab the Over. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-27-24 | Falcons v. Bucs OVER 46 | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 85 h 34 m | Show | |
OVER 46 The Falcons and Bucs battle on Sunday and we’re on the over here. We’re getting a smaller number, but at a cost as the Bucs lost two of their stud receivers in Evans and Godwin. Still, there’s plenty of weapons for this Bucs side as Baker Mayfield continues to sling the ball all over the place. He threw for over 300 yards again and 3 touchdowns in the loss to the Ravens as this Bucs defense has continued to put this team in holes. They allowed 41 points and that’s been a theme lately which bodes well for this over. Atlanta’s offense will have a field day with this Bucs secondary that has struggled all season long. Both defenses have had their problems and they rank near the bottom in defensive scoring. This should be a wide open game that is back and forth, with both QBs making some deep down field passes. There’s good value on this Over. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-27-24 | Titans v. Lions UNDER 45 | 14-52 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 41 m | Show | |
UNDER 45 The Lions and Titans battle on Sunday afternoon and this is a good spot for the under. Here is one trend to keep an eye on entering Sunday. When it comes to non conference games with double digit home favorites, those games have gone under in 21 of the last 28 situations. The home side typically plays a much slower game and dictates the possession. That is exactly what’s going to happen here with the Lions, who are one of the best who can establish a run game. This Titans defense also doesn’t allow many big plays and they’re going to have a big gap offensively after trading away Hopkins this week. This is a spot for the Lions where they know they have a huge edge and want to get through this week with a divisional opponent looming next week. Expect a very slow developing game and for neither team to have many explosive plays. Grab the under. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-26-24 | Penn State v. Wisconsin UNDER 48 | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
UNDER 48 The Big 10 will go under the lights on Saturday with Penn State and Wisconsin battling. This has all the feels of a game that is so tightly played and low scoring given the circumstances. For Penn State, going on the road to Camp Randall is not an easy task to begin with at night. They also have a huge home game against Ohio State looming next week which no matter what they’re going to have one eye on. Both teams have been stellar on the defensive end too. Wisconsin looks like the Badgers of old as they’ve allowed just 16 points combined over the last 3 games. This will be a game both sides want to establish a run game too. Winning the possession battle and not turning the ball over are the main focuses here, which plays to an under game. Expect a lot of clock chewing and for this game to be a grind right from the opening kick off. Grab the under. Saturday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
10-20-24 | Eagles v. Giants UNDER 43 | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Under 43 The Giants and Eagles renew their rivalry and this game should be relatively low scoring. The Eagles got a win over the Browns last week in very ugly fashion as this offense has a lot of issues in it. They struggle to sustain drives and their inability to find the end zone in the red zone has been costly. This is a tricky Giants team that has made a living blitzing and causing a ton of havoc in opponents backfields. They’re 5-1 to the under so far this season and 9-2 at home dating back to last year. This will be a game where both teams work to establish a run game early, which will work a lot of the clock. Neither secondary gives up big yardage plays and that will be the case once again here. Jones and Hurts have looked sloppy at times and with that, it gives value here to the under. Sunday 6* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-13-24 | Texans v. Patriots UNDER 38 | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 43 m | Show | |
UNDER 38 Houston and New England meet on Sunday and the under has the value here. Drake Maye will get the nod as the starter for the first time this season and this is not a defense you want to see. Maye will see a defense that ranks 4th in the NFL in net yards per pass play. They put together a ton of blitzes and this secondary doesn’t give much room for opposing receivers to work with. They know the rookie QB is going to be nervous and they’ll blitz early and often. New England will work to establish a run game and try to keep that clock moving. Combine that with the Pats defense being underrated and this game should feature very minimal scoring chances. Also take into account that Nico Collins will be out for the Texans and this offense is going to lack a spark. There’s good value to this under on Sunday. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-12-24 | Texas v. Oklahoma UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 53 h 46 m | Show |
UNDER 50.5 Used to be known as the Red River Shootout, the Sooners and Longhorns renew their rivalry as SEC opponents now on Saturday. This game is going to be low scoring and a grind. Oklahomans offense just isn’t as good as it’s been in past seasons. We’ve seen when they play good teams, they simply cannot move the ball and this Texas defense is one of the best in the nation. Oklahoma’s offense is going to struggle moving the ball all game long and they won’t put up many points. Texas will also have its hands full with the Sooners’ defense. They gave the Volunteers a few frustrations already this season and they can put together some different packages to confuse this Longhorns’ offense. This will be a game dominated by the defenses and produce many punts and field goal attempts when teams do put together drives. Grab the under. Saturday 10* RARE Top O/U Play | |||||||
10-10-24 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 49 | 36-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 43 m | Show | |
OVER 49 The Seahawks and 49ers battle it out on TNF and we’re playing the over as this game should produce a lot of fireworks. The Giants offense moved the ball with some ease last week against this Hawks defense, that is struggling right now. This 49ers offense is a step up in competition too as they have so many different playmakers that can create explosive plays. The Seahawks have given up performances of 42 and 29 so far this season and they’re going to struggle slowing down this balanced attack. Offensively, they have just as many playmakers and Geno Smith has looked good with this offense. With the weapons he has out wide, they can do what the Cardinals did last week where they get some plays deep downfield. These are two offenses already with a ton of success in 2024 and they should pick apart the opposing defense. Grab the over. Thursday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-07-24 | Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 43 | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 177 h 5 m | Show | |
UNDER 43 The Chiefs and Saints battle on Monday Night Football and we’re on the Under here. The Chiefs continue to find ways to win, but received a huge blow as they lost Rasheed Rice for the year on Sunday. This game is going to be played so slow and that’s what has given the Chiefs a ton of success. They are still moving methodically down the field and they are sustaining drives. We’re seeing more and more 7 or 8 minute drives from them as they’re chewing clock. Kansas City has hit the under in 8 of their last 11 home games and this one should be no different. The Saints will continue to lean on Kamara and their strategy is to get this offense to stay on the field. They would love to utilize a lot of clock and keep Mahomes and company on the sidelines. Expect this game to see a lot of runs and short passes, which will keep that clock moving. Back the under. Monday Night Football 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-06-24 | Jets v. Vikings UNDER 40.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 83 h 7 m | Show | |
UNDER 40.5 The Jets and Vikings will battle in London on Sunday morning and we’re on the under. The early start time combined with how the Jets typically play are two huge factors for this total. The Jets are very slow moving and this team just lacks any sort of spark. They love to establish a run game, while also utilizing the short check downs with Rodgers. This is an offense that will chew up a ton of clock and they’ve been settling for field goals in the red zone. While the Vikings did score 31 last week, they still do have Sam Darnold under center. He will have his regression and this Jets defense is extremely tough to solve. They don’t allow the big play and you will see them blitz in a variety of ways all game long. Typically these overseas games have resulted in lower scoring affairs and this one lines up perfectly for it. Back the under. Sunday 6* (UK Game) NFL O/U Play | |||||||
10-05-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 45.5 | 6-52 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
UNDER 45.5 Purdue and Wisconsin will clash at noon on Saturday and this has all the makings of an under game. Purdue’s offense has been so bad all season long and they’ve struggled both with running and passing. They have scored under 21 in 3 straight games and now they run into a Wisconsin team that has such a physical presence on the defensive end. They get their push on the defensive line and opponents have zero luck running the ball against them. This will be a game where Purdue has a ton of issues moving the ball and sustaining drives. The Badgers offensively lack a spark too. They’ve struggled and now will be without top rushing Chez Mellusi, who opted out. This is going to be a sloppy game where both teams have issues moving the ball. Saturday 6* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-30-24 | Seahawks v. Lions UNDER 47 | 29-42 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
UNDER 47 The public is pounding this Over and we’re fading that as this game should be lower scoring. Neither of these teams have played to a game that has totaled 46 so far as they’re seeing their defenses step up. Detroit has hit back to back unders at home and this will be another case where they look to sustain long drives. This Seattle defense does not allow many big plays over the top and they know they have go get the run game going early. Seattle has built a similar game plan as they try to establish the run and allow it to open up the pass game. These are two veteran built teams that will not give up big chunks. Seattle has hit the under 7 out of 10 times dating back to last season as well and this game should feature limiting scoring chances. Back the under. Monday Night Football 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-30-24 | Titans v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
UNDER 37 The Titans and Dolphins battle on MNF and we’re playing the under here. These two teams have dealt with injuries and sluggish play from the outset. Miami has had to deal with so many key injuries and now they’ve reached a point where they’re planning to start Tyler Huntley at QB. While he’s a viable backup, he just got to Miami and he’s not going to have a full grasp of the playbook. Miami is going to want to run the ball and it’s going to lead to them trying to establish it early. Tennessee’s offense has been awful so far. They haven’t even cracked the 17 point mark themselves and they just have so many issues in every which way. This is going to be a game where both teams really want to get their run games going and play at a slow tempo. The lack of explosive QBs is going to lead to this game being low scoring. Grab the under. Monday Night Football 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-29-24 | Bengals v. Panthers OVER 47 | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
OVER 47 The Panthers benched Bryce Young and saw reward from it right away as they got into the win column last week with Andy Dalton. Now, Dalton will reunite with his former team as the Panthers meet with the Bengals on Sunday. This is a good spot for an Over play. We saw on MNF that Cincinnati’s defense has a ton of gaps in it. They were torched through the air and their inability to get off the field on third down was so costly. Andy Dalton and this Panthers offense has a ton of momentum right now and they’re going to run with that right into play here. They should be able to spread the field and have this Bengals defense on their heels. On the flip side, Cinci’s offense was electric as Higgins and Chase both proved to be a lot. They’re going to have a field day with this secondary, which should result in many scoring chances. Expect a high scoring affair as both teams will have their chances. Sunday 10* *RARE* Top O/U Play | |||||||
09-28-24 | Ohio State v. Michigan State OVER 48 | 38-7 | Loss | -111 | 81 h 3 m | Show | |
OVER 48 Ohio State heads on the road for their Big Ten opener as they take on Michigan State on Saturday night. The Buckeyes and Spartans have had some heated games in past season and this year we get a lower total because of how the Spartans play. Still, Ohio State’s offense is just far too composite and this Over is worthy of a move. The Buckeyes have put up 52,56, and 49 in their first 3 games and they’ve had everything working. They’re running over teams with their duo of backs, while Will Howard can beat teams with both his arm and legs. They’re going to score their fair share of points as the Spartans defense hasn’t been anything special. The Spartans will have to open the playbook themselves as they need points and plenty of them. It’s no secret the Buckeyes are going to score and know this the Spartans have to take shots down field. An early score will open this up completely. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-21-24 | Duke v. Middle Tennessee State UNDER 52 | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 50 m | Show | |
UNDER 52 Duke and Middle Tennessee State will battle Saturday and we’re playing the under here as this game should be played at a slower pace. Duke is 3-0 and they’ve done it with leaning on their defense throughout the early portion of this season. The Blue Devils have allowed performances of 3, 20 (overtime), and 21 on the defensive end and they’re causing just so much havoc for opponents with their ability to get in the backfield. They’re also dominate in the secondary with their ability to lock down on receivers. They play at such a slow tempo where they chew clock offensively and they’re going to methodically get down the field. They’re going to have MTSU out of their rhythm and this should be the kind of game where they dominate the time of possession. Expect neither team to have any big, explosive plays as this game will stay lower scoring. Grab the under. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-20-24 | Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 42 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 42 This is such a low total and it feels like these two offenses are getting overlooked a little bit. The Cornhuskers and Fighting Illini come in averaging over 30 points a game through the early portion of this season. They’re both built with the ability to make big plays and we should see the playbooks open up a bit given the importance of this conference showdown. The one important thing to note is how these defenses really haven’t faced much of offensive threats this season. Nebraska held Colorado down, but they’re so inconsistent themselves. This will be a true test both ways for these defenses and we’re going to see plenty of big chunks gained with the way these offenses have moved the ball. With this total being adjusted so low given the start these teams have had, we’re getting good value on this over. Friday 8* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
09-19-24 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 39 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
UNDER 39 The Pats and Jets clash and this year things look incredibly different for the two sides. The Patriots are under a new coach and Aaron Rodgers is calling the shots for the Jets this season under center. We’re taking the under as these two teams always seem to play low scoring battles. The Jets offense starts with Breece Hall and them establishing a run game. They love to get him as many touches as possible while slowing the game down for Rodgers. We’ll see a ton of short passes and check downs from them as well as they try to control the clock. The Pats have had early season success slowing the tempo down themselves too. Stevenson has been a key part to their success as they will have a similar game plan. Look for this game to not have much of a spark in terms of deep plays, which will result in some long drives. Grab the under. Good luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-15-24 | Giants v. Commanders OVER 43.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
OVER 43.5 The Giants and Commanders battle on Sunday and were playing the over here. Washington and Jayden Daniels were throttled in their opener to the Bucs as they simply had no answer for the Bucs offense. Daniels showed some bright spots in the loss and it’s encouraging for this offense heading into Week 2. Daniel Jones and the Giants were booed off the field and they know a bounce back is necessary here. The Giants offense is far better than what they showcased in Week 1, but he’ll see a much weaker offense in the Commanders this week. Look for both teams to have a ton of success through the air as these secondaries have a ton of work to do. This should be a game where passing lanes are open and each team’s playmakers are able to get out into space. We’re getting a good number on this total that should see back and forth action all afternoon long. Grab the over. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 48.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 Buffalo and Miami battle on Thursday Night Football and we’re playing the Over here as these two teams should have a ton of success offensively. Buffalo got into a shootout with the Cardinals last week as we saw those two teams go back and forth all afternoon long. This Buffalo offense is going to be one of the best again as Josh Allen is just such an elite playmaker both with his arm and feet. Miami had issues with the Jags passing game and Allen will have a field day with this secondary. Miami also will have far more success with their pass game after seeing what Arizona did to this Buffalo defense. Look for Hill to have a huge game himself and for Miami to take plenty of shots down field. The passing lanes will be open both ways, producing a lot of big plays for these offenses. Thursday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles OVER 49 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
OVER 49 The Packers and Eagles will play the first game ever in Brazil and we’re on the Over here between the two teams. Big things are in store for both sides as they’re expected to be playoff bound. We get two very offensive minded coaches who aren’t afraid to throw the ball all over the field. With Hurts and Love both being so talented and having such a good receiving core out wide, this is the kind of game where we could see a lot of explosive plays both ways. Philadelphia’s defense essentially costed them last year as they were torched down the stretch of the season. Green Bay has brought in a new defensive coordinator themselves who will probably need some time to acclimate. This should be a game where both sides want to produce some fireworks and we’ll see plenty of big chunk plays. Back the over. Friday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
09-01-24 | LSU v. USC OVER 64 | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
OVER 64 The Trojans and Tigers will clash on Saturday as one of the headline matchups on the CFB slate. We’re playing the over as these two teams are going to be similar to how they were last season. Obviously, both QBs are gone from last season, but they’re in good hands and should be the similar run and gun style. Looking at LSU, we saw Garrett Nussmeier dominate the bowl game last season and he’s going to have a solid target out wide with the new Liberty transfer, CJ Daniels. Combine that with their defense still expected to be a mess and LSU is going to have a lot of points in their games. USC will have Miller Moss calling the shots, who had a ton of success in last year’s bowl game himself. These two QBs are going to put on a show and they’re going to want to make a statement here early. Grab the Over as points will be scored in flurries. Sunday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
08-30-24 | TCU v. Stanford UNDER 60 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
UNDER 60 Stanford and TCU battle on Friday night and we’re getting good value on the under here. This is going to be a game played at such a slow pace and we shouldn’t see much of a tempo from either side. Stanford will join the ACC after struggling all of the last 3 seasons in the PAC-12. They really haven’t had much of a spark in either of those 3 seasons offensively and they still haven’t made a decision on who will be starting at QB Friday. Regardless of who’s there isn’t much explosiveness on this side and they’re going to put much more emphasis on running the ball. TCU went just 5-7 last season and they still have a lot of question marks offensively on their end. They were runners up just a few years back and things have taken quite the turn for this side. They should improve this season, but don’t expect that same kind of team we saw play in the title game. They are a much slower team and will play a similar style to Stanford. Expect a slow developing game and for this one to stay under the total. Friday 9* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 42 h 52 m | Show | |
OVER 51 The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have the total points expected set at over/under 51. We're on the Over here as the Lions look to continue their historic run against the top seeded 49ers. Injury update: Samuel will play Sunday. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. For starters here, the weather is supposed to be great. After dealing with rain in San Fran in the Divisional Round, weather projects show 70 degrees and clear on Sunday evening. The Lions are rolling right now, especially on the offensive end. Overall, this team has averaged 394.8 pass yards per game (3rd) and 2nd in pass yards (258.9 ppg). That has led them to 27.1 ppg this season as they continue to put up big numbers with Goff. He has leaned on his playoff experience, posting performances of 24 and 31 so far. He should find success against the 49ers defense that was picked apart by Jordan Love. The 49ers offense put up 24 against Green Bay and that number should go up with the weather being better and this Lions defense struggling. The Lions allowed Mayfield to throw for 349 yards and 3 touchdowns. Purdy will have a field day with this Detroit secondary. Expect scoring chances both ways here in a back and forth game. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's L11, and in 7 of their L9 played on Sunday's. For the 49ers, the total has gone OVER in 7 of their L10 played on a Sunday at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFC Championship O/U Play | |||||||
01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 37 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 Saturday NFC Divisional game features the Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). Levi’s Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. Two healthy football teams, good weather, right off the hop I'm ruling out variables that I usually consider when looking at NFL totals. The 49ers are 10-point favorites, the Over/Under is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. The most recent matchup was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. That matchup was Garoppolo vs. Rodgers at Lambeau. Dan Quinn the Cowboys DC is up for several HC jobs this offseason. He's been touted as one of the best defensive minds in football. The Packers last week made his defense look pathetic. This week we get Jordan Love playing at the top of his game going up against the all-world 49ers defense, and I still think Love will get his this week. He had a near perfect passer rating last week, and and his offense put up 41 points. Aaron Jones looks amazing and healthy, and his WR's are all up and coming. Coach LaFleur put on a masterclass, and I believe in the Packers offense to put up points on the Niners. It won't be as easy of course, but they'll eat. As for the Niners, they're loaded with Pro Bowlers and All-Pro's. They come in off a bye week, and they're the #1 seed for a reason. They'll score on the Packers D. You've got two efficient QB's in this game, two QB's that don't turn the ball over "much", and I could see the Niners up 7-10 most of the game, and the Packers playing catch-up. AND they have the offense to do it. Packers ranks since Week 10. On Offense #3 DVOA, #4 EPA per play #4 Success Rate. On Defense #28 DVOA, #25 EPA Per Play #27 Success Rate. That Pack defense is the big X-factor in this one. Their D was #31 this season with only 7 INTs. 49ers have been dominant this season EVERY time they're favorites, it's going to be on GB to play catch up. If GB can't force Purdy into mistakes the 49ers offense has been too efficient in 23/24 so far for us to not see SF putting up points in bunches. Trends, TOTAL has gone OVER in 7 of GB's L8, 6 of their L6 on the road, and 6 of their L8 on the road vs. SF49. For SF, the OVER has hit in 5 of their L7, 10 of their L14 vs. GB, and the OVER has hit in 6 of SF's L9 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 44 | 9-32 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 43 m | Show | |
OVER 44 NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles' aspirations for a second NFC East title were dashed when they lost out to the Giants. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. This season the Eagles averaged 25.88 PPG, and that includes the Week 18 game where they benched everyone and still put up 10 points. They put up over 25 PPG 10x. We're getting a battle tested playoff team, that is rested "enough" coming into the WC game vs. Tampa. The Bucs averaged 21 PPG, including that 9 point stinker in Week 18 vs. the Panthers. They scored over 25 6x. Nice weather, good conditions, I'm expecting points. The Bucs and Eagles provide such an entertaining matchup here on Monday night. The playmakers and explosiveness these two teams have are going to put together quite the game. Tampa Bay did just enough to win the division in Carolina and Baker Mayfield is going to get an extra day rest which will be a huge boost for the Bucs. Mayfield has been showing up in big games all season long and comes in after tossing for 4044 yards and 28 tds. He’s been able to find Mike Evans out wide and he’s been a huge engine for this offense. They’re running into the Eagles at the right time too. Things are dicey in Phili as they limp into the postseason defensively. They allowed 62 points combined over their final two games and the Bucs are going to pick apart this secondary. Philadelphia has a lot to prove themselves here. The offense did put up 31 in one of those losses and they’re going to come out and try to prove a point here. The Bucs are inconsistent defensively and the Eagles can expose that. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFC Wild Card O/U Play PS I have the ATS premium play up for this matchup up too! | |||||||
01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 52 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 This could very well be my favorite bet during Wildcard Weekend. Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. Noticing a trend? These two score points vs. each other in the playoffs. 50 is TOO low for this one and I'm all over the OVER. The Pack average over 25PPG on the road (top 5 in the NFL) It seems DAL always has high scoring games when they're at home. I expect no different this week. A clear Packers trend favors high-scoring games, attributed to their low defensive ranking and an 11th-ranked offense. This trend results in a 10-7 OVER record, particularly strong at 7-2 in away games. Remarkably, the OVER prevailed in 6 consecutive Packers' games, starting back on Thanksgiving. Not total is safe with these Packers. Trends, OVER is 5-0 In GB's L5 road games, the total has gone OVER in 6 of GB's L7, and we've seen the OVER hit in GB's L5 road games vs. Dallas. The OVER has hit in 4 of DAL's L5 vs. GB, and in 11 of DAL's L15 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play | |||||||
01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 44.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
UNDER 44.5 AFC Wildcard action Saturday at 8pm ET from Arrowhead! Dolphins (11-6, 10-7 ATS, 4-3 AWAY) vs. Chiefs (11-6, 9-8 ATS, 4-4 HOME). I'm jumping on the UNDER train here in this matchup on Saturday. It's the typical "Dolphins are a warm-weather team, how can they play in such cold weather scenario!" The Weather prediction for Saturday in KC anticipates a high of 16°F and a low of -2°F. The 7 p.m. kickoff, happening almost two hours after sunset, might see the temperature dip below zero, potentially creating one of the NFL's coldest games ever. I tend to agree that this will be a running game, especially with any kind of wind in KC. (I've lived in Kansas City - it's always windy there) I read somewhere that the Fins have never won a playoff game when temps are colder than 48 or something like that. Check the forecast. Chiefs are rested after giving starters a bye week in Week 18, most Fins played a ton in Week 18 vs. BUF and in high leverage situations, so the Chiefs D will be fresh. Kansas City holds the #2 position, allowing just 17.3 PPG and limiting opponents to an average of 289.9 YPG. I think Achane and Pacheco will both feature in this one as well which will help keep this clock movin'. Achane finished with 800 yards rushing this year (in limited action) a whopping 7.8 YPC average with 8TD's. Pacheco finished with 935 yards rushing this year, 4.6 YPC, with 7 TD's. He also had 44 receptions. Dolphins ended 6 games this year vs. playoff teams 1-5, they have to zig not zag at this time of year. Their strong suit lies in the running game, which they must emphasize for success. In GERMANY vs. KC, they achieved 5.6 YPC, and the Chiefs' defense ranks 27th in rushing DVOA. It's the only way MIA keeps this one close, and running helps us with the UNDER. To add salt to the Dolphins wounds they're going to miss Chubb, Phillips, Howard (likely), Baker, Van Ginkel, and Goode are all OUT too. Miami are signing guys off the street this week. Trends, Under is 5-0 in Chiefs L5 as a home favorite of 3.5-10, plus, UNDER 6-0 Chiefs L6 vs. teams with winning road records. Also, UNDER has hit in Chiefs L5 at home, and in 5 of their L6 JAN games. You know what to do here. Back the UNDER. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan OVER 55 | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 4 m | Show | |
OVER 55 #2 Washington (14-0) takes on #1 Michigan (14-0) in the 2024 CFB National Championship on Monday January 8th at 7:30pm ET from NRG Stadium, in Houston, TX. Watch this one on ESPN. This total opened at 54.5 and was up to 55.5 within minutes of me locking in this play. I expect it to go higher! Despite being considered underdogs, UW has an impressive 20-game winning streak. Michigan has a strong defense to slow down UW's running game, but they may struggle to contain Penix Jr. with their secondary. Both teams' offensive masterminds, Sherrone Moore and Ryan Moore, will use extensive game footage to come up with creative strategies. The game's final outcome is uncertain (at least to me), but it's clear that it will require a lot of points to win. I'm confident that both teams will do well in the red zone. This is going to be a matchup of contrasting styles. Michigan can run, and pound the rock all day long. They've run the ball 30+ times in every game this season. (That will keep the clock moving) Washington showed me in the CFP Semi vs. Texas that stopping the run isn't their forte. What Washington can do well is throw the ball. They might have to throw it 50x in the Final if their starting RB Johnson is out. (That will slow down the clock. LOL) Michigan hasn't faced a WR core that is even close to what Washington is going to throw at them on Monday night. Penix Jr. could be a top 5 pick in the NFL draft and UW in my opinion can score points against anybody. They just have to protect Penix. Michigan averaged 36.7 PPG, and Washington's 37-31 victory over the Longhorns showcased Penix Jr.'s 430-yard passing performance. The Huskies' offense totaled 532 yards, ranking #1 in the nation with 350 passing yards per game. Although Big Blue may have a better shot at winning, they'll face a formidable challenge containing McMillan, Polk, and Odunze, potentially leading to sleepless nights for their defense. This is going to be a heavyweight slug fest with a TON of points. Buckle up. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* CFP National Championship O/U Play | |||||||
12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 46 Sunday night football this week features the Green Bay Packers (7-8, 7-8 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) travelling to Minnesota to take on the Vikings (7-8, 7-5-3 ATS, 2-5 HOME). Kick-off is 8:20pm ET on NBC. I'm backing points in this game. Last week, the Vikings suffered a 30-24 loss to the Lions as 2.5-point underdogs, while the Packers held off the Panthers with a 33-30 win. In their recent Minneapolis meeting, the Vikings won 23-7 on 9/11/22. Earlier this season, they secured a 24-10 victory at Lambeau on 10/29/23, with Cousins playing a key role. The Packers/Vikings have played 126x, with the Packers winning 65, the Vikings 58, and 3 ties. With Jefferson (141 YDS, 6 REC, 1 TD) back and looking as explosive as ever he's worth his weight in gold for OVER bettors this week. The Packers have seen Jordan Love become what should be their future QB for quite some time after his success in 2023. Love has tossed for 3587 yards and 27 touchdowns as he’s found his success with the ability to hit the long ball. That bodes well for this Over as we’ve seen Green Bay not shy about taking chances deep downfield. They come in off a 33 point performance and should find plenty of success against this Vikings secondary. However, the defense has let them down tremendously. They conceded 30 to a lowly Panthers offense and they’re going to have their hands full with Minnesota here. The Vikings have played QB roulette this season, but they’ve still been able to score over the last couple of weeks. They’ve put up 24 and 23 points in those games, but their defense has been atrocious. All the situational edges point here to a game with scoring chances both ways and a lot of offensive production. Trends, the total has gone OVER in all of GB's L5, and in 4 of GB's L5 vs. NFC teams. For MIN the total has gone OVER in 5 of their L7 vs. the Packers. The Packers and Vikings are both looking to stay alive in their playoff races. We should see some fireworks here between these two sides. I'm backing points in this matchup. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-31-23 | Falcons v. Bears UNDER 39 | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 33 m | Show | |
UNDER 39 The Bears (6-9, 5-10 ATS, 4-3 HOME) are set to host the Falcons (7-8, 7-6-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) at Soldier Field Sunday at 1pm ET, on CBS. Falcons come into this matchup 24th at PPG (19.13 PPG) in the NFL, and the Bears are 21st (20.9 PPG). Neither are Top 10 in the NFL in the red zone, and the Falcons have the 6th D in the NFL (19 PPG). Last week the Falcons pulled off a convincing 29-10 victory over the Colts, they were 3pt home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bears beat the Cardinals 27-16 covering as 4.5pt home favorites. Examining their H2H history, these teams have crossed paths 29 times since 1966, with the Bears holding a slight 15-14 edge. Each team has won 2 of the last 4. The Falcons secured the latest win, 27-24 in a home game on 11/20/22. Chicago, on the other hand, has grabbed wins in 6 of the last 10. Chicago comes into play on Sunday with only themselves to blame for not making the postseason. They’ve choked games away and their offensive production just hasn’t been there from the start. They are putting up just 20.9 points per game, which is one of the worst marks in the NFL. Their issues stem from their inability to finish in the red zone and turnovers have killed them this season. On the flip side, Atlanta’s hopes hang by a thread, but their inability to score has costed them as well. This team is putting up only 19.1 points per game. They’ve been able to stay in contention thanks in large part to them only allowing 19.2 on the defensive end. This is going to be a game where neither side is able to move the ball with the big play, forcing them to establish a run game and chew the clock. That will play into the favor of this Under in a game where scoring chances come at a premium. Look for a lot of short check downs and runs, which is what these two offenses really have done all season long. I just don't see either of these two teams having offenses that can roll up the other. I think as we get closer to the end of the season points will be at a premium in this one. Trends, for ATL, the UNDER is 6-0 in their L6 as a road dog, the UNDER has hit in 4 of ATL's L5, and in 8 of ATL's L9 in DEC. (dating back to 22 season) For CHI the UNDER has hit in 6 of the L8, and 9 of the L12 vs. Atlanta, plus the UNDER has hit for CHI 3-0-1 L4 overall. I'm on the UNDER. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
OVER 52 (11-4, 6-2 AWAY, 10-5 ATS) Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (10-5, 7-0 HOME, 9-6 ATS) on Saturday night. (MNF) 8:15 ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. This game opened at 53.5. So we're getting good value. Lions AVG. 27.5 PPG (5th), Cowboys 30.1 PPG (2nd). Lions allow 23.7 PPG (22nd) Cowboys allow 19.1 PPG (5th). Both are top 15 in the Red Zone, and Top 10 in TOT YDS PER GAME and TOT YDS Per play. Plus these are two of the top 3 passing offenses in the NFL, and both are Top 15 in RUSH yds per game too. It's offense all over the place. In 4 of the past 5 Dallas home games, there has been a total of 55+ games. The Lions have surpassed the total in 10 out of 15 games. I'm anticipating a high-scoring game with plenty of passing, and this is where the Lions have shown vulnerabilities in their defense. I just have to have action on this game. There's too many weapons. Goff vs. Dak, Gibbs vs. Pollard, CeeDee vs. Sun God, Ferguson vs. LaPorta. Cooks vs. Raymond/Williams. Weapons everywhere. Not to mention two good kickers who can put up points from 75 yards if needed! LOL. I put it off, and put it off, and I stared at it some more tonight and I'm going to hit the OVER 52. I'm expecting both teams to hit 28 midway thru the 3rd quarter. This is going to be a set it and forget it game. Trends, Over has hit in 6 of DTowns L7, and 4 of their L5 on the road, plus, the over is 6-0 in Lions L6 games on turf. Over is 4-0 in Cowboys L4 games on a Saturday, and 8 of their L10 vs. the Lions. Don't overthink it. We're cashing. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 48.5 | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 (10-2, 8-4 ATS) Missouri takes on (11-1, 6-5-1 ATS) Ohio State in the 2023 Cotton Bowl on Friday. Kickoff is at 8pm ET from Jerry World (AT&T Stadium) in Arlington, TX. Regardless of whether Harrison Jr. plays or not I like the OVER to hit in this matchup. Ohio State enjoys a commanding 10-1-1 historical advantage in their longstanding rivalry with Mizzou. The only victory for Missouri in this series dates back to 1976 when they narrowly defeated OST 22-21. Missouri is currently riding high from a recent 48-14 victory over Arkansas, boasting an offense that averages 34 PPG, ranking them 27th in the NCAA. Defensively, they stand 73rd in points allowed. Meanwhile, Ohio State is fresh off a 30-24 loss to Michigan, failing to secure a 4th-quarter comeback as Michigan outscored them by one point in that final period. The Buckeyes have maintained an average of 32.8 PPG this season, positioning them 33rd in the national rankings. Ohio State is still motivated despite missing the College Football Playoff, and we know Missouri is determined, making them a tough out. We hope Ohio State is just as ready. Kyle McCord is out, but Devin Brown, a good highly touted QB recruit, has just been coached up by Ryan Day for three weeks. (Worth it's weight in gold) He's prepared for the upcoming challenges. Trends, The total has gone OVER in 7 of Missouri's L10. Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 bowl games, and the Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 neutral site games. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* CFB Cotton Bowl O/U Play | |||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky OVER 44 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
OVER 44 The Clemson Tigers (8-4, 6-6 ATS) are set to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (7-5, 6-6 ATS) in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Friday. The game will kick off from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida, at Noon ET and will be televised on ESPN. Clemson, with a 26-23 record, heads to the Gator Bowl for the 10th time, where they're 4-5. Facing Kentucky in Jacksonville, they aim for a 5th consecutive win this season. Kentucky, initially 5-0 but later struggling with a 5-1 stretch, redeemed themselves with a notable win over #10 Louisville. They hold a 12-10 bowl game record. Although Kentucky leads the series 8-5, Clemson won their recent clash 21-13 in the 2009 Music City Bowl. Listen, I'm going to make this a quick write-up ok? BET THE OVER. For some reason this line has trickled down after the opening. The public thinks that because players are missing this game (it's a good list) that there won't be offense. Problem is bettors aren't realizing (for some reason) that the guys missing this game are on the defensive side of the ball. (8+ guys combined on D for both teams) I think we'll see 50+ points in this matchup. The teams are going to fling it around, and I think we're going to see a really entertaining game (if you like offense), and two teams that will be runnin' & gunnin' all day. Trends, Kentucky exceeded the Over in 7 of 9 recent games with an 8-4 season Over record. Clemson hit it in 3 of 6 games. The Over trend favors Kentucky with a 6-0 record against winning teams and 4-0 following wins. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF Gator Bowl O/U Play | |||||||
12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 40 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
OVER 40 XMAS DAY NFL! (6-8, 1-5 AWAY, 7-6-1 ATS) Raiders take on the (9-5, 3-3 HOME, 7-6-1 ATS) Chiefs at 1pm ET from GEHA Field at Arrowhead. Weather shouldn't be a "BIG" factor here. High 30's, 10-15mph winds, and 15% chance of precip. Late addition. Limited write-up considering it's XMAS DAY. Going to just make this a 6* play. 1-step above my free plays. Make it a small play for sure. The initial number started at 42.5 but has since dropped to 40. I'm taking this opportunity to bet on the OVER. Mahomes played well against the Raiders in Vegas, and the Chiefs need to build confidence in their passing game for the playoffs. I think Mahomes could have a game with two touchdowns and over 275 passing yards today. Pacheco is also back today for KC. Let's go with it. I'm banking on LV doing enough to help us get OVER here too. The Raiders, confident after a Thursday night victory over the Chargers, have extra rest, and should be riding high after a franchise-record 63-21 win against the Chargers on Dec. 14. Last time they met they put up 48. Trends. OVER has hit in 6 of L7 games between these two teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday XMAS DAY 6* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-24-23 | Packers v. Panthers UNDER 36.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
UNDER 36.5 NFL Week 16 features a matchup between the (6-8, 2-5 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Packers and the struggling (2-12, 2-4 HOME, 4-9-1 ATS) Panthers at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The game will be televised on FOX, and the current betting odds have the Packers as -4.5 favorites with a ML of -231, while the Panthers stand at +184. The over/under for the game is set at 36. Last week was a tough one for the Packers as they faced disappointment at home, losing 34-20 to the Bucs. Love couldn't make 'that play' needed for a victory. The Packers, however, have a historical edge over the Panthers, winning 11 out of 17 matchups. In their last two meetings in 2019 and 2020, Green Bay emerged victorious. When it comes to scoring on the road, the Packers have been averaging 23.1 points per game. However, the Packers offense have struggled on the road compared to their home games. On the other side, the Panthers secured an unlikely win in front of an empty stadium and unfavorable weather conditions last week, ending a 6-game losing streak. The final score was 9-7, highlighting their offensive struggles. Carolina has not scored more than 18 in the last 5 games, averaging just 14.7 PPG, placing them 26th in the NFL. Bryce Young, the Panthers' rookie QB, has thrown 9 TD's and 9 INT's this season, reflecting his challenging debut. Expect a game where both teams feature their running backs, Hubbard and Jones, with moderate success. Neither team has been efficient in the red zone, with the Packers ranking 22nd and the Panthers at 29th in this aspect. Trends, the UNDER has hit in 7 of CAR's L8, and Under is 6-0 in Panthers L6 home games, 4-0 in CAR L4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and the UNDER is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.0. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy OVER 44.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER 44.5 Troy (11-2, ATS) takes on the Duke Blue Devils (7-5, ATS) in the 76 Birmingham Bowl Saturday. Kick-off at NOON ET from Protective Stadium in Birmingham, AL. Duke won the last meeting between these two in 2014 34-17, hardly relevant to this matchup, but felt like telling you! LOL These are two teams that tend to open the playbook during bowl season. Looking at historic trends of Troy in bowl games, they love to push the issue. The Overs have hit in 8 of the 9 Troy bowl games in their history of the program. The Trojans have also been on a tear lately with the over. Over their last 4 games of the year, they averaged 40 points per game themselves as this offense has been clicking on all cylinders. The Trojans averaged 32 points per game this year and their ability to strike for the big play will help this total out. On the other side of things, Duke has been equally as good on hitting overs in bowl games. The Blue Devils have hit the over in 5 of the last 6 bowl games and they went over this number in their final 4 games of the season. Duke averaged 28 points per game this season and they tend to really open the playbook and take their shots in games like this. Look for plenty of action and fireworks, with this low total going over. The total score has gone OVER in the L5 of Duke's most recent 6 matches, and the OVER has hit in 4 of Troy's L5. Plus, Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils L5 bowls as a dog, it's also 5-0 in Trojans last 5 neutral site games as a favorite, and it's 5-0 in Troy's L5 bowls as a FAV. Lastly the total has gone OVER in Troy's L4 following a SU win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* 76 Birmingham Bowl CFB O/U Play | |||||||
12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion UNDER 49.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
UNDER 49.5 WKU (7-5, 5-7 ATS) take on ODU (6-6, 7-5 ATS) at 2:30pm ET today in the Famous Toastery Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina. In a game that nobody seems to want to watch or predict I'm going to weigh in with a play on the TOTAL. Backing the UNDER in this one. Reason #1. WK will have a frosh starting at QB who has thrown less than 5 career attempts in college football. The coaches kid. Turner Helton. Reason #2. WK's defense is actually pretty good. They've gotten the better of many a QB this season keeping completion rates down, and they cause turnovers (Top 20 in the nation in picks). They also get fumbles (Top 20 in the country). We're going to get a team that is well coached, but for this game they'll be undermanned due to all the player transfer portal and injury news coming from this team. I'm not overly impressed with ODU's defense to brag about it here, but what I do like is the fact their offense isn't good either. They scored 31 TD's all year. That's the 5th least of ALL bowl teams playing this bowl season. Weather high 50's 50% chance of rain, 10-15mph winds. Playing on a Monday afternoon is the most ideal situation for this teams. This has the makings of a sluggish game from the outset. Also, neither of these teams are going to light up the scoreboard. While the Hilltoppers averaged over 28 points per game this season, but now they have a backup qb going that has barely seen any sort of time under center. This offense is going to be slow and really try to work the run game in. That plays into our advantage as WKU will chew a lot of clock. On the other side, ODU is as slow as it gets offensively. They put up just 22 points per game and their defense only allows 26. This will be the kind of game runs dominate. Look for a slow tempo both ways and for these teams to put their main focus on sustaining drives. Trends, total has gone UNDER in 5 of ODU's L7, and in 4 of their L5 when they're the favorite. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
OVER 41.5 This is a RARE 10* top play! On Sunday night, the Ravens (10-3, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) will be facing the Jaguars (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 7-6 O/U), kick off at 8:20pm ET from EverBank Stadium, in JVille, FL, watch on NBC. Sunday Night Football and I'm expecting a gunfight at the O.K. Corral. Both of teams have what we call in the industry "high octane offenses". Both can score quick and if you look at what the did last year it tells me we can expect more of the same this year. (28-27 final score). This upcoming matchup could very well surpass that high-scoring affair. The Ravens look of late like they have shifted their offensive strategy towards a greater emphasis on passing. It's working. They're showing us explosive big-play potential. Lamar averaged 11+ air yards per attempt vs. the Rams. This transformation has resulted in them scoring 31 points or more in 6 out of their last 7. Flowers, OBJ, & Likely are all HR hitters, and Lamar...well. At this juncture of the season, Jackson stands out as one of the NFL's premier performers. His impressive record now sits at 14-3 for December, making him the 2nd-most successful QB in the NFL since 2018. They're on top of their game as evidenced by the fact that 3 out of their last 4 games they've scored more than 54, and in 5 of their last 7 they've managed to go over 44. The Jags are quite familiar with high-scoring games as well. In their recent 4, they have consistently reached a total of 45+, and this pattern has persisted in 7 of last 9. Their D isn't what everyone thinks it is either. Allowing 24+ in their last 4. The last prime-time Jags game vs. the Bengals is just a taste of what this game will offer. So buckle up. It's going to be fun! Trends, Over has hit in 5 of Ravens L7, and OVER has hit in 4 of Jags L6 at home. The OVER has also hit in 7 of the Jags L8 in December. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday *RARE* 10* NFL O/U Top Play | |||||||
12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 38 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
UNDER 38 In Week 15, it's Chicago (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) facing off against Cleveland (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 6-1 HOME) at Cleveland Browns Stadium, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The odds for this matchup are as follows: Moneyline (ML): Bears +148 | Browns -170, Against the spread (ATS): Browns -3, and the opening total, Over/Under (O/U): 37.5. The last time these teams met was on September 26, 2021, in Cleveland, where the Browns secured a 26-6 victory as a 7.5-point favorite. Over the years, they've clashed a total of 17 times since 2009, with the Browns claiming victory in 10 of those matchups and the Bears winning 7. Chicago has been on a roll lately, winning 3 out of their last 4 games. Their defense has been impressive, conceding 13 or fewer points in 3 of those 4 games. On the flip side, the Browns have been strong in both passing and rushing defense this season. However, they gave up 27 points and nearly 400 yards of offense in Week 14. This performance puts the responsibility squarely on the shoulders of Walker Jr, Harris, Smith, and Garrett. I anticipate a full turnaround from them this week against the Bears. Neither team is particularly good in the red zone (bottom 15 in the NFL), Neither average more than 22PPG, both are bottom 12 in the NFL in TOT Yds per game, and both are bottom 5 in TOT Yds per play. When it comes to passing stats, both are Bottom 8 in the NFL. Don't get me started on QB ratings. Trends, UNDER has hit in 5 of the L6 Bears' matchups, and we've seen the UNDER in 4 of the L5 Bears' games vs. AFC North teams. On the other side, the UNDER is 8-1-2 in the Browns' L11 home games, and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Browns' L5 vs. the Bears, 11 of their L16 vs. NFC Teams, and all 5 of the Browns' games vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions UNDER 47.5 | 17-42 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 20 m | Show | |
UNDER 47.5 Denver (7-6, 5-7-1 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Detroit (9-4, 8-5 ATS, 4-2 HOME) will clash in a rare Saturday NFL matchup at Ford Field, going up against a slate of college football bowl games for ratings. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET, with opening odds showing Moneyline (ML) Broncos +168 | Lions -200, Against the Spread (ATS) Lions -4 (-110), and Over/Under (O/U) total 40. Historically, Denver leads the series 9-5, winning their last 3 meetings, including a dominant 38-10 victory in 2021. The Lions come off a 28-13 loss to the Bears on Dec. 10, while the Broncos secured a 24-7 win over the Chargers. In last week's action, Goff threw for 161 YDS, 1 TD, and 2 INT's for the Lions, while Wilson passed for 224 YDS, 2 TD's and 1 INT for the Broncos. Not overly stellar numbers for either QB. The Broncos hold a 9-5 record in 14 regular-season games dating back to 1971. Denver faces a challenging week, playing their third consecutive road game on a short week, despite winning six of their last seven games. On the other side, the Lions are highly motivated, eyeing a playoff spot in the competitive NFC. Trends, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Broncos L8, and the UNDER is 5-0 in DEN's L5 as a DOG, and is 7-0-1 in the Broncos L8 following a win of +14, lastly we've seen the UNDER hit in 4 of DEN's L5 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 35 | 21-63 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
Under 35 In a Thursday Night Football showdown, the (5-8, 3-3 AWAY, 4-8-1 ATS) Chargers take on the (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Raiders Thursday at Allegiant Stadium in LV, on Amazon Prime at 8:15pm ET. Las Vegas is favored by 3 points, with a Moneyline of -161, while the Chargers are at +134. The over/under for the game is 33.5 points I'm not a fan of the spread on this one, but I'll likely look more into it in the AM and put it out as a 5* free play. My big play on this game is on the TOTAL. Looking at the UNDER. We've had some success this season betting unders on prime time games. Tell me again why the Chargers are dogs? The Chargers have averaged 21.7 PPG, ranking 15th, whereas the Raiders have scored 15.5 PPG, placing them 25th. In yardage, the Chargers average 334.3 YPG (17th), while the Raiders trail with 277.7 YPG (29th). In their initial meeting this season, the Chargers secured a 24-17 victory against the Raiders. With the point spread favoring the Chargers by -6.5. Not on my life can I back the OVER in this game. Some guy named Easton Stick at QB for LAC, they have no Allen, No Herbert, and then couple that with a Raiders offense that is going backwards (Less than 17PPG L4 games) and I'd be crazy to bet the OVER here. Chargers ran the ball 35+ times in G1, and that was with NO Ekeler in the game. RUN RUN RUN, clock moves! Rinse Wash Repeat! (Even better both teams' rush offenses are bottom 6 in the NFL, so they run, but they don't go anywhere...perfect) Trends, Chargers, the total points scored have remained below the mark, with 10 of their L11 and all 5 of their recent road games falling short. LV has also witnessed a pattern of low-scoring contests, with 5 of their L6 finishing under, and 4 out of 5 games against the Chargers displaying a similar trend. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 28 | 17-11 | Push | 0 | 141 h 46 m | Show | |
OVER 28 It's the annual clash between the Army Black Knights (5-6, 3-6-1 ATS) and the Navy Midshipmen (5-6, 4-6 ATS, 5th in the AAC), set to take place on December 9, 2023, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. 3:00PM ET kickoff, on CBS. Army is coming in as a slight favorite with a -2 spread, the Moneyline odds show Army at -131 and Navy at +111, offering some enticing options. As for the Over/Under, the initial total is set at 28. Navy's recent performance wasn't exactly stellar, suffering a 59-14 loss to the SMU Mustangs. In contrast, Army heads into this showdown with a sense of momentum, having secured a 28-21 victory over the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Nov. 18th. I'm playing OVER the 28 just because the line is forcing me to play over the 28. I want action on this game, I hate the spread but the total is just begging me to play OVER. This Over is worthy of a move for a few reasons here on Saturday. It's obviously low for a reason, but these two offenses always tend to pull out the trick plays and open the playbooks when they meet. These two teams tallied 37 points last season and they come in with the ability to put up some numbers. Army games averaged 43 points per game, while Navy's sat at 41. These two teams had the ability to strike for some big runs, while allowing big plays on the defensive side of things. Navy's defense comes in after allowing 59 points in their final game against SMU, which will knock their confidence here. This is one of those games where patience will be key. Both teams will establish their run games, but look for more passing than you'd expect. We're going to see a wide open game, with both Army and Navy taking their chances. Navy has scored, 14, 10, 31, 18, 6, 14, 27, 30, 24, and 24 points in their L10. That's a 21.8PPG average for those not great at the Maths. Army has scored 28, 17, 23, 14, 0, 0, 24, 16, 37, and 57 in their L10. That's a 23.6PPG average for Army. On defense Army allows 22PPG, and Navy allows 23PPG. Last year in this matchup Army won 20-17 in OT. (O32) In 2021, we saw a Navy 17-13 scoreline (U35.5), and in 2020 the final score was 15-0 Army. (U36) Here's a brief history of the Army-Navy matchup: The series between these two teams has been continuous since 1930. As of their last meeting in 2022, Navy holds the lead in the series with a record of 62 wins, 54 losses, and 7 ties. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's L4 games. Plus, the Over is 6-1 in Black Knights L7 vs. a team with a losing record. The total has only gone OVER in 2 of Navy's L5. You know what to do! Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play | |||||||
12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 29.5 | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
OVER 30 Thursday night we get another snoozefest of a football game in the NFL. (I'll be watching NBA tournament tonight in case you're wondering!) It's the (2-10, 2-10 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) New England Patriots taking on the (7-5, 7-5 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Pittsburgh Steelers. Odds opened with the Steelers at -6.5, it's now -5.5. The O/U opened at 32.5, it's now 30. I sat on this for the longest time, as you know I usually lock in plays for NFL early in the week. But I kept coming back to this one. 30 is an exceptionally LOW total for an NFL game. I'm of the opinion both teams will have more offensive success than expected. My fingers are also crossed for some quick scores or maybe some red zone turnovers. Hell even a defensive TD will help the cause here. I know the Patriots just got shutout, but how often does that happen in the NFL? The weather was the main reason there. Is the Steelers defense really that formidable? I don't think so, and therefore I'm expecting some offense tonight. We’re on this Over on TNF as the Pats and Steelers battle it out. We get a lower total here and the public continues to pound this under. Obviously we have two teams who aren’t known to light up the scoreboard, but there’s a couple situational angles here on this total. Pittsburgh is going with Mitchell Trubisky, who does have some success in his past. With Pickett down, this is his chance to lead a team to a potential playoff spot and prove his worth. He did toss a TD in the loss to Arizona, a game in which Pittsburgh allowed 24 points. The Steelers defense has regressed a bit from their start this season. They have struggled at times with allowing the big play and the Patriots are going to find some success here with throwing the ball. New England has been a mess defensively themselves. The rain aided them last week, but they won’t slow teams down. Pittsburgh will run all over them and set themselves up for many scoring chances. The Steelers / Patriots rivalry has been played 34x (5 playoff), Steelers have won 16, NE 18. Last 5 matchups. 9/18/22 NE 17 PIT 14 in PITT, 9/8/2019 PIT 3 NE 33 in NE. 12/16/18 NE 10 PIT 17 in PIT. 12/17/17 NE 27 PIT 24 in PIT. Last one, 1/22/2017 PIT 17 NE 36 in NE. Injuries of note: Pickett (PIT), N. Harris (?) (PIT), Stevenson (NE) Weather: Low 40's 5% Chance of Rain, 5-7 mph winds. Trends: You won't find any. If you want some action tonight play this one small. Enjoy the ride on our money train tonight. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 6* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-03-23 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 46.5 | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 134 h 3 m | Show | |
OVER 46.5 As prime-time a matchup as we will see this week when two teams that met in the NFC Championship last year lock horns this week. The San Francisco 49ers on 10 days rest (8-3, 6-5 ATS, 4-2 AWAY) take on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-1, 7-2-2 ATS, 5-0 HOME), and I'm expecting points. PHI 28PPG, SF 28PPG, 49ers D #1 15PPG, but Phili's D #20 22PPG, Both teams top 5 in the Red Zone, both teams top 10 in Total Yds per game, Total yards per play, Rush Yds per game, and both Top 15 in Passing yards per game. Eagles have put up 28+ in home games, Niners seem to be able to get 8 yards on EVERY play they run from scrimmage. This game should produce plenty of back and forth action. Philadelphia continues to be the team to beat in the NFL. They had another come from behind win as they took down the Bills in OT last week. However, their defense has far too many question marks. They were on the field for 92 plays last week and now they'll get a very physical and talented 49ers team that they have to deal with. Making this Over even more lucrative, both of these offenses sit tied for 3rd in points per game. They come in averaging 28.2 PPG each as the playmakers on each side are top tier. Philadelphia has scored over 28 points in every home game this season as well. Knowing this, the 49ers aren't going to be afraid to go for big plays themselves. Given the explosiveness of these two sides, we are going to get production and a lot of big plays. I even think it could go the same way the Cowboys / Seahawks game went on Thursday night. Let's have NO punts again. Punters are over-rated anyways. OR, I'm expecting a game like the Bills/Eagles game turned out, good weather or bad weather these offenses can move the ball. Some trends that make me like my pick even more. OVER is 5-1 in Eagles L6 home games, 4-1 in Eagles L5 games after allowing 150 yards rushing in their previous matchup, and the OVER is 4-1 in Niners L5 in Week 13. (Random I know) I'm forecasting points in this one. You know what to do. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play | |||||||
12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 37 | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 52 m | Show | |
UNDER 37 Sunday the Carolina Panthers (1-10, 1-8-2 ATS, 0-6 AWAY) visit the Tampa Bay Bucs (4-7, 7-4 ATS, 2-3 HOME) in NFC South action. I'm with the PUBLIC on this one. How does this game go OVER? Will a team with a rookie QB and an entirely new offensive coaching staff be able to put any pieces in place to suddenly resurrect this offense? Young has 1877 yards on the season, a 5.4 YPC, and averaging 187 YPG thru the air. He's been picked 8x, sacked 40x and has a 61% completion percentage. Hubbard is struggling to run behind an O-line that can't get anyone out of the way. He's got 450 yards, averages 3.8 YPC, and only has 2 TD's. Miles Sanders isn't any better (he fumbles too). Thielen started the season looking like a pro-bowler, but last week was brutal. 1 catch 2 yards. Hardly inspiring. He did have 8 for 74 vs. Dallas the week before, but this is painful. Now for the Bucs. The one bright spot with the Panthers is that it seems like their defense is still playing hard. That has to be a win. So I think the Panthers can actually keep the Bucs down in this one. We don't know if Mayfield is going to play at this point either. His ankle is hurting, but the MRI was negative. Last week he was 20/30 for 199 2 TD's and 1 INT. I'm secretly hoping we see Kyle Trask this week! White, Evans, Godwin present issues for any offense, but if the main man is hobbled I'm not sure how good they can be. The Bucs average 19PPG, the Panthers 15PPG. The Bucs D is pretty good too only allowing 20PPG. (Panthers 26PPG). Neither team is good in the red zone. (CAR 19th, TB 27th), and on 3rd down they both struggle too. CAR 20th, TB 15th. When they last played 1/1/23 we saw a 30-24 scoreline, but you know who the QB's were in that one, this is much different. On 10/23/22 the Panthers won 21-3, so there's that. Trends, Under is 5-0 in the Panthers L5, 4-1 L5 vs. NFC South teams, and 5-0 in Panthers L5 vs. a team with a losing record. While the UNDER is also 4-0 in the Bucs L4 home games, and 4-0 in their L4 games following an ATS loss, and lastly the UNDER has hit in 7 of the L9 TB matchups. I'm banking on the defenses on Sunday. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play |
Service | Profit |
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ProSportsPicks | $1,080 |
Steve Janus | $805 |
Dan Kaiser | $732 |
Bobby Conn | $729 |
Cole Faxon | $716 |
Matt Fargo | $648 |
John Martin | $578 |
Nick Parsons | $568 |
Alex Smart | $542 |
Jimmy Boyd | $481 |