Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-04-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Saturday OVER 49.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - We get a rather low total here because it is the playoffs now but Calgary piled up points in the recent meeting with the Lions in BC but now the rematch will see the hosts scoring much better in this one too. BC is so potent on offense but their defense faded a bit as the season when on and the Stamps could surprise here. But this BC offense is so tough at home and they will be ready to go here after Calgary embarrassed them in the most recent meeting. Remember the Stampeders lost here last season however in the post-season and they will be out for revenge. I see Calgary, better than their record shows, moving the ball quite well here again as they have confidence against the Lions. But, again, they can not stop this potent offense which will be clicking at home for the post-season. The play here is 50+ points in this one! OVER 49.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
09-15-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 46.5 | Top | 36-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9:30 ET - Good weather here and I love the fact that Edmonton has been winning some games and their confidence is up. Saskatchewan just got rocked 51 to 6 at Winnipeg. I am sure the Roughriders will bring a much better effort here and score plenty of points but I certainly can not trust their defense. The way the Elks are going they will move the ball here. Edmonton has scored an average of 28 points in their last 5 games! As for the Riders, they have averaged 31 points in their last 4 home games. This total is a bargain in the mid-40s with good weather expected here also. 10* OVER 46.5 in Saskatchewan | |||||||
08-27-23 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks OVER 45.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - The hosts are off their first win of the season. However, this team has also lost 22 straight home games! Edmonton will have some extra confidence from getting that first win of the season and they are getting better QB play of late and can take advantage of a Redblacks team that is struggling against the pass. However, it is no accident that the Elks have lost so many in a row at home and they will struggle to stop an Ottawa team that is fired up after a 1-point loss last week. The Redblacks have post-season hopes too and every win is critical and they should move the ball well here. Nice weather is expected in Edmonton for this one and both teams can really open up the passing attacks here. This one should work into a back and forth battle with plenty of points. The Elks have averaged 26.5 points per game the last two weeks. The Redblacks last 3 games have averaged 58 points and all 3 games totaled more than the number on this game. This one gets there for us! 10* OVER 45.5 in Edmonton | |||||||
08-26-23 | Hamilton v. BC UNDER 46.5 | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER 46.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7 ET - The Tiger-Cats started this season 0-3. While their offense is still struggling often, their defense has been better overall in their last 6 games and they have allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg in these 6 games. The problem for Hamilton is their offense is struggling and now they are at BC and the Lions are off a loss. So you know the BC defense is going to come to play here. If you look at the Ti-Cats last 8 games and eliminate the one outlier, a game in which they scored big at Edmonton, note that the Tiger-Cats scored an average of only 14.6 ppg in the other 7 games. They are about a 10 point dog here and you can see, per the above, why I am anticipating a 24-14 type game here. Amazingly, the Lions have allowed an average of only 9 points in their 4 home games this season! Coming off a loss last week, Hamilton's defense also has plenty of motivation here after giving up 24 points to an Edmonton team that was winless on the season. So look for both defenses to be the story in this one. 10* UNDER 46.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
08-19-23 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 47.5 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - The Redblacks defense was scorched in a 44-31 loss last week and they are dealing with a lot of injuries on that side of the ball entering this contest. Not only that, the Alouettes are off a win in which they scored 41 points last week plus now they get QB Fajardo and RB Stanback returning for this game Saturday. The Als will score plenty of points again but I do expect Ottawa to also light up the scoreboard well at home in this one. Keep in mind, they also scored 24 points on the road the week before last. The Redblacks are happy to be back home and their offense should atone for a 12 point effort the last time they were here. They have not forgotten that home loss. Speaking of losses not forgotten, the Redblacks lost their season opener at Montreal so they will be eyeing payback here. However, Ottawa's defense simply can not be trusted. I also like the fact the Alouettes defense might overlook the Redblacks as Montreal has a big game on deck versus league-leading Winnipeg coming up. That is the same Blue Bombers team that the Als would have met for the Grey Cup last season if they had not lost to Toronto the game before the Argos won it all. Considering injury and situational factors and the Redblacks ready to explode at home (but with a leaky defense too), this one should soar over the total. Looks like winds will be rather insignificant by gametime of this one also. 10* OVER 47.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - The Stamps are off the huge 20-7 win over the previously undefeated Argos. That was at home too and so it would not be a surprise to see the defense struggle here as they come up flat on the road after that huge performance at home. Also, the Lions will have Vernon Adams back at QB for this one and they are back home after getting drilled 50 to 14 last week. BC is known for piling up points at home and should do the same here. However, I can't trust the defense after the way they got lit up last week and now they face a confident Stampeders offense that saw their QB complete 24 of 26 passes last week. Calgary will keep the roll going on offense here but will not be able to stop the Lions offense which will be aggressive here with Adams back. 10* OVER 45.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
07-30-23 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 47.5 | Top | 18-25 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Montreal vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - This is Week 8 of the CFL season and is the final of 4 match-ups this week. The first 3 games this week have all remained under. There has NOT been a single week this season out of the 8 weeks so far that we did not see at least ONE over in the CFL. Look for that streak to remain intact as both teams are off high-scoring games (Montreal's was before bye week last week). So both teams off high-scoring losses and this is a non-divisional match-up. This is the perfect set-up for these teams to turn this into an offensive-minded shootout. Nice set up for an over and we get a rather low number to work with. The Alouettes last two games have each totaled at least 54 points and the Stampeders last two games have each totaled at least 64 points! Also, warm weather conditions for this one without any concern for any significant winds. As a result, expect plenty of points here. 10* OVER 47.5 in Montreal | |||||||
07-23-23 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 44.5 | Top | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - This is Week 7 of the CFL season and is the final of 4 match-ups this week. The first 3 games this week have all remained under. There has NOT been a single week this season out of the 7 weeks so far that we did not see at least ONE over in the CFL. Look for that streak to remain intact as both teams are off wins. Both were high-scoring wins and this is a non-divisional match-up. This is the perfect set-up for these teams to perhaps lose some defensive edginess. It is a non-divisional battle and both teams did win their games last week despite each allowing a ton of points. Nice set up for an over and we get a low number to work with. Also, warm weather conditions for this one without any concern for any significant winds. As a result, expect plenty of points here. 10* OVER 44.5 in Calgary | |||||||
07-09-23 | Montreal v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Sunday OVER 45.5 in BC vs Montreal @ 7 ET - Historically BC is particularly strong at home and they score a lot of points here. That should be the case again in this one! Even in last week's road loss the Lions scored 24 points but the problem was they allowed 45 points. Now they face a Montreal club that scored just 3 points last week at home! After that embarrassing home loss, I am certain the Alouettes will bounce back with much bigger scoring on the road here but the problem is that they will struggle to stop a BC team determined to bounce back off a loss! The Als did average scoring 28.5 points the first two games. The Lions are averaging 25 points scored per game. This one will be a wild back and forth high-scoring affair the way I see it and we will finally see an over in the final of 4 games on this week's slate. In the first 4 weeks of this season, there has never been a week that did not feature at least one over or one under. I don't expect that to change in week 5 either because the set up here is perfect! OVER 45.5 in BC | |||||||
07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
CFL Saturday OVER 44 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Look for plenty of points here. I expect the 0-3 Ti-Cats to respond at home and finally get something going here but I also expect their struggles on defense to continue here. Note that Hamilton has allowed 37 ppg this season! The Tiger-Cats should score well here though too. They had scored an average of 22.5 ppg in first two games before struggling in the game before last week's bye week. As for Ottawa, their confidence is up after scoring 26 points last week and notching their first win of the season. Hamilton did score 31 points in their season-opener and now, 0-3 and coming off a bye, they will be ready to go in a big way here. 4 of last 5 CFL games have gone under and this is starting to drive totals lower than they should be. We step in here and take advantage as the situation is right for a high-scoring battle here. OVER 44 in Hamilton | |||||||
07-06-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 43.5 | Top | 11-12 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Thursday OVER 43.5 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9 ET - The Roughriders are off a bye week preceded by averaging scoring 26 points in their prior two games. However, they also allowed 35.5 points in those two games. The fact these teams met in week one and it was only a 17-13 Saskatchewan win helps to give us some line value here. I look for this one to be much different. The Elks are off a game in which they were held to just 7 points. I know Edmonton has had a slow start to the season but this is the week they get their offense going and yet this is a team that has allowed 27 ppg this season so look for the Riders to score well also. OVER 43.5 in Saskatchewan | |||||||
07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - The Argos are off a very high-scoring game and they have been piling up points early this season. However, BC has been strong offensively too and the much better defense as well. The way I see this one playing out however is that the Lions D will finally struggled here as this Argos offense is the real deal. At the same time, just do not see Toronto shutting down the red hot BC offense. The Argonauts averaging 37.5 ppg this season and the Lions averaging 26 ppg this season. A pair of undefeated teams meeting in this one and the offenses will rule the night on an evening with pleasant weather in Toronto. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto | |||||||
06-30-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa OVER 41.5 | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 41.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - Two winless teams and something has to give here. While I am not comfortable with the side in this one I do like the total for a strong play. Both teams could struggle defensively in this one. Edmonton is allowing 27.3 ppg so far this season. Ottawa allowing 22.5 ppg so far this season plus allowed 26.5 ppg last season and went 0-9 in home games last season. In other words, the Redblacks are known for giving up bigger points at home and struggling to win games. But couple that with the fact they are facing an Edmonton team struggling to stop anyone and you have the perfect set-up for points in this one. 10* OVER 41.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
06-24-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 45.5 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
CFL Saturday OVER 45.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Not going to write a ton here. This is a bit of a contrarian play but both these teams capable of putting up solid points. Calgary scored 26 points last week and Saskatchewan scored 27. The Riders did allow big point totals though too however, and I expect a repeat this week. Calgary's first home game this season was a disappointment but was because they faced a Lions team that has been the best defense in the league so far this season. The Stamps will look to make up for it here and will take advantage of facing a lesser foe this week. Calgary will have a breakout game on offense but the Riders, as they proved last week too, can match them score for score here. That is the reason the line is only in the -3 range on this one too. This will be a close game and should be high-scoring back and forth battle. I am aware of some injuries on offense but there are injuries on defense too and that goes for both of these teams. OVER 45.5 in Calgary | |||||||
06-23-23 | Montreal v. Hamilton OVER 43.5 | Top | 38-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
CFL Friday OVER 43.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Hamilton has been giving up a ton of points this season. But they should score well here at home in this one. Couple that with the fact Montreal has played only one game so far and certainly should have fresh legs here, you have the perfect situation for plenty of points and we will take advantage of a low total here. Hamilton's first two games this season have averaged 60 points. Montreal's offense was not great in their first game but they also settled for field goals instead of touchdowns on 4 of 5 drives. So the point total could have been bigger and I have not liked what I have seen from the Ti-Cats defense so far this season. I do expect their offense to have a big game here at home though and we should see plenty of points in this one. OVER 43.5 in Hamilton | |||||||
11-06-22 | Calgary v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - BC will have Bryan Burnham available for this game at WR. They also welcomed back star QB Nathan Rourke late in the season. Remember this team is a different animal on offense when he is under center as he had a breakout season for the Lions. The thing is, Calgary can put up huge points too. I look for this one to turn into a back and forth shootout. I know it is playoff football time but these two offenses are just too good. The Stampeders averaged 31 points per game this season. The Lions averaged 29 points per game this season and that was even with Rourke out injured for a significant number of games. I am expecting this to be a 31-28 type game at a minimum and the fact it is at BC Place in Vancouver means we have no weather concerns with this one either as the roof will be closed. Look for a ton of offense in this one. 10* OVER 50 in BC Lions | |||||||
10-28-22 | BC v. Winnipeg OVER 50 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs BC Lions @ 8:30 ET - Rourke is back for BC at QB. They want to get him into rhythm before the playoffs start. This is the regular season finale. It really carries no meaning and I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity because of that key factor. Both teams are going to the playoffs and are hosting playoff games in the coming weeks. That means this game is all about staying in rhythm on offense. The weather is going to be nice in Winnipeg too by late October standards. Both offenses can air it out in this one. The Blue Bombers and Lions are both averaging 30 points per game. Don't be surprised if, based on that fact as well as the spread for this game, we see a 34-31 type game. Winnipeg has averaged 39 points per game last 5 games. BC has averaged 31 points per game last 4 games and now Rourke is back and he was phenomenal early this season before getting hurt. 10* OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg | |||||||
10-21-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 49.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - I know both teams are coming off high-scoring games last week but it is going to be windy in Hamilton for this one. Also, this game has huge playoff implications. Though Ottawa's chances of making the post-season are extremely slim, they can at least keep hopes alive for one more day with a win here. As for Hamilton, they need a win too as the bigger battle is between the Tiger-Cats and Saskatchewan for that final playoff berth. That said, both teams will play this game with playoff intensity plus it is a division rivalry plus the weather should help us. 10* UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton | |||||||
10-15-22 | Toronto v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50.5 | Top | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Decent weather in this one in Edmonton with light winds and cool, but not cold, temperatures. That means both offenses are fully functional for this one. I feel certain the Elks, still winless at home this season, are going to do everything they can to win this game. However, that will mean reliance on offense and QB Taylor Cornelius had been playing better for Edmonton before a tough game against the league-best Blue Bombers last week. That said, Cornelius and Company should bounce back big here at home but the issue will be stopping the Argonauts. That is an issue the Elks just can't seem to solve. They are allowing an average of 34 points per game on the season! Toronto is favored by 5 in this game. Assuming the line is right then that would put this game finishing in a range of 34-29 Argos! That would total 63 and we are dealing with a total a dozen points below that. I love the value here as a game finishing in that range would not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER 50.5 in Edmonton | |||||||
10-10-22 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | Top | 24-18 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 47 or 47.5 in Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 1 ET - First off both teams get their top running backs for this game. Establishing the run will open up the passing game. Secondly, there have been a lot of points when these teams have met. Thirdly, Ottawa just fired their head coach after the loss to BC. The Redblacks will be highly motivated here but the Alouettes also can clinch a home playoff game by getting a victory here. So this rivalry game will have even more energy than usual on this Thanksgiving Monday in Canada. The Redblacks just threw for a pile of yards last week. The passing attack for the Als has thrived against Ottawa's defense this season. It will be cool in Montreal today for this one but not cold. Temperatures right around 50 degrees Fahrenheit and light winds. Nice conditions for both offenses to open things up. With this total also dropping down after opening up near 50, I feel we have excellent line value here. 10* OVER 47 or 47.5 in Montreal | |||||||
10-08-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg OVER 50.5 | Top | 11-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
Rickenbach CFL 10* OVER 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - Winnipeg has the best record in the league but they only have 3 regular season games left (including this one) and they still have not locked up the division just yet let alone the best league record. So the point is that the Blue Bombers still have plenty of motivation here. They are favored by two touchdowns for a reason here. They will not stop scoring in this one. The Bombers can do some damage here against a bad Elks defense. Additionally, Edmonton will score some points here. I know they just lost leading WR Kenny Lawler to season-ending surgery. However, Dillion Mitchell is off a big game and fully capable of big games. Also, Derel Walker off a quiet game but he has been solid this season too. That means QB Taylor Cornelius still has plenty of talent to work with and he had been playing well prior to throwing 2 picks last week. The Elks will move the ball some in this game and score decently but Winnipeg will be scoring like a machine. I am looking for at least a 35-21 game and that gets past the current total sitting in the 50 range and again I am looking for mid-50s at the very least here. Elks allowing 33 points per game this season but they are 4-4 on the road this season so they actually have been better away from home. They are winless at home this season but playing .500 ball on the road. Edmonton, prior to last week's low-scoring loss, had averaged 24 points per game last 6 games. But again Elks can't stop Blue Bombers and there you have it. 38-24 sounds about right here on second though and that would be double digit cover on this total. 10* OVER 50.5 in Winnipeg | |||||||
09-30-22 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 8 ET - Both teams coming off a bye week preceded by a loss. Winnipeg allowed a ridiculous 48 points in their loss at Hamilton. Speaking of ridiculous, it was only 3 weeks ago that Winnipeg embarrassed the Roughriders by hanging 54 on them right here. That said, I feel both defenses are going to come to play here. Saskatchewan off a home loss to Edmonton and the D will want to respond after the 54-point debacle the last time here. As for the Blue Bombers, their defense also has had two weeks to think about the debacle at Hamilton as Tiger-Cats QB Dane Evans had a career day against them there. Don't expect a repeat of that here for sure as the Riders offensive line was a big reason they allowed 8 sacks in the loss to the Elks and the Blue Bombers should be getting QB pressure for sure. That is why I feel this one could finish as more of a defensive battle than most are envisioning. Also, the Blue Bombers can lock up a home field playoff game with a win here so their defense has some extra motivation because of that as well. 10* UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg | |||||||
09-24-22 | Toronto v. Ottawa OVER 46.5 | Top | 45-15 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - These teams are off a bye week last week and had met the week before. The bye week means fresh legs here and the offenses will push the pace. The meeting the week prior staying under the total despite both teams putting up very impressive yardage numbers means line value here. The game two weeks ago should have easily gone over the total and yet ended up an under. The result is we have a total lower than it should be here and we have false perception in the marketplace. We'll take advantage. This one flies over the total as both offenses move the ball very well again and, this time, the points scored are commensurate with the yardage being piled up! 10* OVER 46.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
09-16-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 50 | Top | 26-24 | Push | 0 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Elks @ 9:30 ET - Good weather expected in Regina for this one. The Elks offense has been looking better the way Taylor Cornelius has played recently. That means Edmonton should score plenty of points here. The Roughriders and Elks each gave up a bunch of points in their games last week. Yes, the Riders defense can be tougher when at home but, again, really like what I saw from Elks offense last week and that was against a solid Stampeders defense. Yes, the Saskatchewan offense struggled last week but the faced the best team in the league and it was a road game at Winnipeg. Compared to facing the Blue Bombers on the road, Saskatchewan will enjoy a lot more success here hosting an Elks team with horrible defense. On the season, Edmonton has allowed 34 points per game. If the oddsmakers are also correct about the 7 points spread here, that puts this game at 34-27 and totaling 61 points. Given all of the above as well as the situational value here the way Cornelius has been playing, I like the over here. Little side note here that QB Cody Fajardo's wife gave birth to a son on Tuesday. Everyone is doing well and Fajardo was back at practice yesterday and feeling good. He and the Riders offense will be able to exploit a struggling Elks defense Friday. 10* OVER 50 in Saskatchewan | |||||||
09-10-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49.5 | Top | 56-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 8 ET - Spectacular weather expected in Edmonton for this one and both teams will be airing it out. I realize last week's game between these teams in Calgary totaled only 44 points. However, turnovers were the story. That kept points off the board and I do no expect a repeat here. As Elks were turning it over on downs, etc. but will be stronger here at home. At the same time, they are not going to be able to shut down this Stampeders offense. The end result is this one flies over the total as Elks so hungry for that first home win of the season but their defense is always a concern. Edmonton scores well here but just can't keep Calgary from doing the same and I expect a high-scoring shootout on a day more like summer than autumn in the province of Alberta this evening. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton | |||||||
09-05-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 49.5 | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 4:30 ET - This line dropped because the top receiver for Edmonton is out. However, Calgary does allow the most passing yardage of any team in the league. That said, the Elks may still get some yardage through the air. They still have a veteran WR and young dynamic talented WR that they even use out of backfield packages and for trick plays. They find a way to get the ball in his hands and he makes things happen. We get some line value here because the total is being held lower due to the injury situation for Edmonton at WR. I like the fact that some defensive injuries are getting less attention from the markets and note that Elks have been horrible against the run. So the Stampeders will get their run game going plus had a huge game through the air in their most recent game. Once you establish the run the passing game becomes more and more wide open. Hence that is why the Elks are so bad this season. They can't stop teams on the ground and then they get burned through the air. That is why I expect Stamps, coming off a loss, to have a huge game here and put up a ton of a points. But I am not comfortable laying double digits with Calgary as I am a contrarian by nature. I fully expect the Elks to surprise some people by moving the ball better than most expect here. That turns this one into a shootout. 10* OVER 49.5 in Calgary | |||||||
08-26-22 | Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - This is a bitter rivalry but the defensive intensity sure has not resulted in many stops. Both of these teams have moved the ball well in the first two meetings this season and they scored 54 in the first one and 61 in the 2nd one. I know the weather may not be ideal tonight but I do think it will be decent enough and we get this game into the 50s the way these teams have been able to move the ball against each other. Take advantage of a rather low total here. Keep in mind, Hamilton has scored 26.5 points per game last 4 games and the Argonauts have scored 27 or more points in 4 of last 5 games. 10* OVER 48.5 in Toronto | |||||||
08-19-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan OVER 52 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 52 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions @ 10 ET - These teams met a few weeks ago and the game landed on 49 and pushed the total. There is good reason this total is a full 3 points higher. This BC offense is simply a well-oiled machine right now. It is very unlikely they will be slowing down anytime soon. Saskatchewan just allowed a bunch of yardage in their win at Edmonton last week so don't be surprised if the Lions pile up big numbers here. BC has averaged 40 points per game last 3 games and is averaging 37 points per game this season! Lions are 3-0 on the road this season thanks in part to averaging 36 points per game away from home on the year. The Riders offense is different when they are at home and they were averaging 30 points per game in home games before being slowed down a bit the first time hosting the Lions this season. They will be better in round two here and that helps push this one over the total because I just do not see this BC offense being stopped the way it is flying so high right now. 10* OVER 52 in Saskatchewan | |||||||
08-06-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 51 | Top | 14-46 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 51 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - Edmonton had been playing a little better prior to a 24-10 loss to Winnipeg prior to their bye week last week. The Elks certainly want revenge here as they got hammered 59 to 15 at BC earlier this season. I do expect, rested and off a bye week and playing better overall than earlier this season, the Elks will put up a fight here. However, the problem is that BC has been rolling on offense all season and now gets WR Burnham back for this one too. That said, the Lions are going to be hard to stop in this one. BC is averaging 35 points per game this season. The line on this game is around a 10 and the Elks are allowing 35 points per game this year. That said, 35-25 sounds about right here and that puts this total close to 60. The fact is the Lions have allowed 26 points per game last 4 game and I know Edmonton is hell bent on being competitive here after how ugly the first meeting was. The Elks will have to score well to compete here and hence that is why I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 51 in BC | |||||||
08-05-22 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 50 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa is off their first win of the season and it came by a 23-13 final. That Redblacks defense must really be firing on all cylinders, right? Hardly! Ottawa actually allowed 340 passing yards in that game and was very fortunate to only allow 13 points. The fact is that the Redblacks entered that game allowing an average of 27.5 points per game and they are in trouble here against an angry Stampeders team. Calgary is off their 2nd loss of the season to Winnipeg and there is no shame in that as the Blue Bombers remain undefeated on the season and are now 9-0 on the year! I love the fact that Calgary is averaging 31.5 points per game on offense this season and they will be relentless here and put up big points. However, I also expect the Redblacks to hang around in this game and score plenty. Keep in mind, the Stamps had one game this season in which they allowed only 6 points but in their other 5 games they have allowed an average of 28.2 points per game. Evans is off a strong game at QB for the Redblacks so the entire offense has more confidence here and this one should turn into a shootout as a result. 10* OVER 50 in Ottawa | |||||||
07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - The Redblacks will keep going hard here as they remain the only winless team in the CFL. In fact, every other team has at least 2 wins this season! As for Ottawa, a big problem is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game in their 4 games since they had a bye in Week 3. As for Toronto, they have scored at least 30 points each of their last two games but have allowed 28 points per game last 4 games. You can see, given these numbers, why I am expecting this game to get into the 50s. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto | |||||||
07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - The Stampeders ran the ball for over 100 yards but QB Bo Levi Mitchell had a rare bad performance at Winnipeg two weeks ago after starting the season strong. That said, coming off a bye week and now back home, Calgary will get much stronger QB play here. However, there also is no slowing down a Winnipeg team that is undefeated on the season and had over 300 yards through the air in the big win two weeks ago. The Blue Bombers are off a bit of a ho-hum 24-10 victory at Edmonton last week but know they must do much more on offense against this talented Calgary team this week. That was a "sandwich game" for the Bombers after beating the Stamps at home the prior week and then knowing they had this game on deck to again face the Stampeders. The set up is a good one for plenty of points and the Stamps are averaging 32 points per game this season. Winnipeg has averaged 28 points per game last 5 games. This one should get well into the 50s given all of the above. 10* OVER 46 in Calgary | |||||||
07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks OVER 48 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - This is a tough scheduling spot for the Blue Bombers so I do expect the Elks to come up with a big effort here and be able to score plenty. Winnipeg is the only undefeated team left in the league and off a win against the previously unbeaten Stampeders. That was huge win last week for the Bombers and now next week they face Calgary again! That said, a game at Edmonton in a sandwich spot is the perfect letdown spot for the Winnipeg defense. They will give up plenty of points here as a result as the rejuvenated Elks have won 2 of last 3 games and scored at least 29 points in each win. The problem for Edmonton is they are allowing 36.7 points per game. 10* OVER 48 in Edmonton | |||||||
07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC OVER 51.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 10 ET - BC has allowed 37 points per game last two games. They are off their bye week and have scored points like crazy this season. Lions averaging 40 points per game. Hamilton is allowing 28 points per game this season but, on the other side of the ball, the Tiger-Cats did pile up yardage in last week's tight 25-23 win versus the Redblacks. That said, I love the over here. Hamilton is on a short week and traveling and their defense will struggle to slow down a Lions team determined to get back on track after suffering their first loss of the season. However, at the same time, BC defense just can not be trusted in my opinion. As I mentioned earlier this season, they were a little over-rated after first two games. Their true colors are starting to show now their past two games and the Ti-Cats have the firepower to take advantage. Lions score well but Hamilton answers throughout this contest and this should be another high-scoring match-up involving a home game at BC Place in Vancouver. 10* OVER 51.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and that goes for all sports. That said, the fact that Ottawa just loss QB Masoli to injury and then acquired Arbuckle (but unavailable for this game) is even more reason I like the over here. We get a low number because Evans will be under center for the Redblacks. Now in his 2nd CFL season and getting his first significant work of the season Saturday, don't be surprised if Caleb Evans has a big game both through the air and with his legs in this one - as he is a running threat too. The Tiger-Cats also have a QB by the name of Evans and Dane Evans gets the start here. He is off to a shaky start this season but the Redblacks have some injuries in the secondary and we've seen Evans average 270 yards per game through the air this season but he has been done in by interceptions. This is a match-up of two very hungry teams each seeking their first win of the season and also each dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The weather is going to be good for this one too and all signs point to a higher-scoring game than many expect here. Take advantage of the low total here and don't be surprised when this one gets into the 50s for total points scored. 10* OVER 44.5 in Hamilton | |||||||
07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 49 | Top | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49 in Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are changing things up at QB and that will be a good thing as they are off a 49-6 loss last week. Ford is listed as out for this week and Arbuckle was traded to Ottawa. That means Edmonton wanted change and they got it. Most likely Taylor Cornelius under center for this one and remember he averaged, before a dismal final game of the season last year, about 250 yards per game with a 6-1 TD-INT ratio over a 4-game stretch. No matter who is under center for the Elks, they will enjoy success against an Als defense that has allowed 26 points per game game this season. The key here though is Montreal is off a bye week which followed their own blowout loss, 41-20, at Saskatchewan. That said, the Alouettes are primed for a huge bounce back effort and they are scoring an average of 26 points per game this season and facing an Elks team that is giving up 38 points per game this season. So worst defense in CFL against highest scoring team from the East Division. Perfect set-up too considering each team off an embarrassing loss. Focused efforts here and solid offensive production with Edmonton buoyed by the QB change as well. 10* OVER 49 in Montreal | |||||||
07-09-22 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - I know the Blue Bombers defense has been solid in the red zone and in terms of takeaways this season. However, Winnipeg has still given up a pile of yardage and this includes through the air where they have been particularly weak. That does not bode well for now facing a BC team that has been lighting up opposing defenses so far this season. In fact, it should mean a ton of points here because the Lions are likely to move the ball very well at home in this match-up as they look to take down the defending champs. BC is out to prove their hot start this season is no fluke and I do expect them to achieve that goal with offensive production here as they have been the offensive juggernaut of the CFL so far this season. However, I do not trust this Lions defense. They have faced some weak offensive units so far this season. I know the Blue Bombers have not put up big points on offense so far this season but the 2x defending champs are more than capable on that side of the ball and they will need to (and can) score plenty to keep up with high-flying Lions. A match-up of unbeatens in a Week 5 game might have you thinking under and certainly intensity will be high here. But the offenses are going to be the story here. BC dictates flow of game at home and this will be another shootout at BC Place in Vancouver! 10* OVER 50 in BC | |||||||
07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 9 ET - This total opened up at a 50.5 and has risen to a 52. That gives us some line value here because actually the yardage stats were way down in the Elks upset win at Hamilton last week even though the game found its way over the total. Also, when the Elks visited Calgary a few weeks ago that game had late scoring as a key in getting to a total of 53 points. That said, we really have some solid line value here with this total at a 52 as I feel strongly that it will prove to be too high. Edmonton has the confidence in going toe to toe with the Stampeders earlier this season and nearly getting the upset. The Stamps come into this one with fresh legs off a bye week and will put the clamps down defensively on the Elks in this one. Calgary looks to grind out a road win and control the clock and I look for that to help key a low-scoring battle here. 10* UNDER 52 in Edmonton | |||||||
07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 46 | Top | 29-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - We are getting some line value here because this total is being held lower due to the treat of rain in the forecast for this game. The key here is I do not expect it to be full-on rain event. Rather look for some scattered storms which means it may or may not happen during the game. Additionally, the winds are not expected to be too bad. That said, I love the over here. Edmonton allowing 38 points per game this season and Hamilton allowing 30 points per game this season. Each team has allowed at least 26 points in all 3 of their games. Given those numbers you can see why I am fully expecting this non-divisional match-up to get into the 50s for total points. 10* OVER 46 in Hamilton | |||||||
06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - The Elks are so bad defensively and then you look at all the points the Stampeders have given up this season and you can see how this one should play out. This should be an absolutely shootout with both offensive units on full display and we get some added value because Edmonton's game last week stayed under the total. Lets not forget the Elks are allowing 42.5 points per game this season and the Stampeders first two games both have gone over the total. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 48.5 in Calgary | |||||||
06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - These are the perfect type of set-ups I like to look for when it comes to an over. Edmonton has a leaky defense and allowed 59 points last week at BC. The Elks are back home and their offense will respond after moving the ball but having too many turnovers last week. As for Saskatchewan, they are on the road now and coming off a huge win over a Hamilton team that was playing for the Grey Cup in November! In other words, that was a huge win for the Riders and their defense gave a massive effort at home and now they go on the road to face an Elks team that is off to a horrific start and had a horrible season last year too. In other words, this is the perfect set-up for a flat-footed performance from the Riders defense. So Elks offense bounces back and Riders offense responds against a bad defense as the game goes on and "Voila" the perfect set up for a high-scoring game comes to fruition. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton | |||||||
06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - These teams just met last week in the season opener and Ottawa gave Winnipeg all they could handle. However, the Redblacks managed just 17 points despite new QB Masoli throwing for 380 yards. The way I see the rematch playing out in Ottawa is that the hosts will again pile up big yardage but this time the points will match it. However, can you really doubt the defending champion Blue Bombers here? I don't think so and I absolutely feel this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. Instead of a 19-17 final look for a 30-27 type game but as to who the winner is it looks like another tight finish in my book. That said, over is the play. 10* OVER 45.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
06-16-22 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 49.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Both meetings between these teams last season reached at least 53 points and now we have a total in the upper 40s for first match-up this season between these rivals. Keep in mind, scoring is expected to be up this season so this is a strong value. Montreal scored 27 points in week 1 despite 2 interceptions and turning the ball over 1 time on downs too. The Als issue this season, especially early on in my opinion, will be a defense with a lot of new faces. Toronto is also in the same boat in terms of a leaky defense in my opinion and though this is their first game of the new season I do expect the offense to do just fine. Rule changes are designed to help the offense this season and a match-up like this is conducive to offense. As we saw in Week 1 with two overs and two unders, you can not just blindly play overs that is for sure. But the scoring is expected to be up overall and this is the right match-up for another high-scoring game. 10* OVER 49.5 in Toronto | |||||||
06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 48 | Top | 15-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - These teams are both coming off rough seasons and it had a lot to do with not being able to stop the opposition. Note that the BC Lions allowed 25 points per game last season and Elks allowed 27 points per game! Couple that with the fact that some rule changes were made coming into this season that are supposed to improve point production plus the fact that Edmonton wants to play fast and you have a great set up for an over here. The Elks and Lions both want to be very aggressive in the passing attack and that emphasis should help lead to a shootout here. Each team has some unproven areas defensively and I expect the quarterbacks to be successful in attacking those weaknesses. Look for an absolute shootout with a raucous atmosphere at BC Place in Vancouver for this one. Huge crowd expected and an electric atmosphere. Big scoring rules the night in this one. 10* OVER 48 in BC | |||||||
11-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-43 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions - I know the Lions are starting Rourke here at QB but it is with good reason and he has already gained some experience this season and I expect the 23 year old to fare very well here. Keep in mind, the Elks are playing their 3rd game in 7 days in a scheduling quirk to close out the regular season. Edmonton is off an upset win at Toronto Tuesday. Look for BC to throw all over a tired Elks defense and stretch them out here. However, the Elks will have some success when they have the ball too. Edmonton had averaged 21 points per game last 3 games before the low-scoring win over the Argos. Keep in mind neither of these teams in tonight's match-up will be going to the post-season so this should be played as a rather wide-open affair. Note that Elks Cornelius has been gaining confidence at QB and they can attack a Lions defense allowing 33.3 points per game last 4 home games. 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
11-12-21 | Calgary v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year - 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in BC Lions - Both these teams have gotten stronger at the WR position as the Stampeders recently added Reggie Begelton to the roster again after the former Calgary WR had spent some time with the Packers in the NFL. As for the Lions, they welcomed back Lucky Whitehead from injury a few weeks ago and he is ramping back up into top form and is one of the most dangerous receives in the league as he has phenomenal speed. The Lions have allowed about 26 points per game game this season and this line has Calgary as a 1.5 point favorite which means you are looking at about a 26-25 game under normal circumstances here based on that line. However, I am expecting even much more than that because the Lions need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive but they allowed 39 points the last time they faced the Stamps and I feel this one is going to turn into an absolute shootout as BC going to have to rely on their offense in this one and they will be airing it out here. 10* OVER 45.5 in BC Lions | |||||||
10-29-21 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 42.5 | Top | 26-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Non-Conf Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #669 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 42.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - The Stamps are angry off a home loss to Saskatchewan in which interceptions were the difference. Calgary has a bye on deck so they will go all out here and that means plenty of points as they look to bounce back from the loss to the Roughriders last week. Ottawa has very ugly numbers on the season but they do tend to score better at home and this includes averaging 25 points per game the past two games as a host. The Redblacks can take advantage of a Stampeders pass defense which ranks among the worst in the league. 10* OVER 42.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
10-23-21 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 44 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44 in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:45 ET - The Stampeders have been red hot and are off a 39-point outburst last week. The Roughriders had a much needed bye last week and have some key weapons entering the lineup this week to help out QB Cody Fajardo. Look for the rested Riders to enjoy some success on the offensive side of the ball but they also will struggle to stop this red-hot Calgary team. The last two games between these teams totaled right around 40 but I think the better health of each of these two offenses will lead to the 3rd game in this 3-game set getting into the 50s. That said, excellent line value with this total in the 44 range. 10* OVER 44 in Calgary | |||||||
10-08-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg vs Edmonton @ 8:30 ET - Edmonton's defense is not getting any respect here because of the ugly loss at Ottawa last week. However, the Elks have had a knack this season for allowing more points than they should have based on yardage allowed. This is shading some value toward the under in this one as a result as there should be a regression to the mean in that regard. Winnipeg is 7-1 this season and has been incredibly good on defense. In the 7 wins the Blue Bombers have allowed only 11 points per game. So if the odds makers are correct and Winnipeg wins this by 10 and has an "average" game for them in a victory (allowing around 11 points) that puts this game around 21-11. You can see why I feel we have some very solid line value here! This total, per the above as well as the simulation report, is simply too high. Also note that it did open up at 43.5 and has jumped to 48.5 and the odds makers likely had it in the better range with their original number and it will be the betting markets that are proven wrong in this one. 10* UNDER 48.5 in Winnipeg | |||||||
09-11-21 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 45.5 | Top | 32-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Edmonton - The Elks and Stampeders had a high-scoring game last week and the way Harris played at QB for Edmonton and with how leaky the Calgary defense has been, we should again see a huge game from the Elks offense. However, the Stampeders should get a boost with the return of Mitchell because, even under the direction of rookie QB Maier, the Calgary offense has been electric early this season. The Stampeders problem has been in terms of bogging down in the red zone. However, with the veteran Mitchell now back at the pivot, look for the Stamps to get more production out of all their red zone opportunities. No team has more red zone opportunities this season than Calgary. However, no defense has allowed more passing yardage than the Stampeders have. Another shootout likely here. 10* OVER 45.5 in Edmonton | |||||||
09-06-21 | Toronto v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 19-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #675 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts @ 1 ET - I know this is a rivalry game and an early-season battle for first place in the East. However, the over should prove to be the play here. Hamilton is coming off a big road win at Montreal and got a big game from QB Dane Evans, filling in for the injured Jeremiah Masoli. Ironically, Evans also was the starting QB in the most recent Labor Day battle (2019) between these teams and he led them to the comeback win with 31 of 37 completions and over 440 yards passing! As for the Argonauts, they have looked very strong early this season and Nick Arbuckle coming off a huge game at QB for them two weeks ago in their big win versus Winnipeg. He completed 23 of 32 for over 300 yards of offense. Don't be surprised if both offenses fare much better than you would think in a typical rivalry game as each of these units is "feeling it" right now and playing with a lot of confidence. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
08-28-21 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
ESPN+ Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 43.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - The news on the injury front for each of these teams was better on the offensive front and worse on the defensive front. That, in and of itself, certainly helps an over. What also helps an over is value in the line and this total has been pushed very low because of early season results. I look for both teams to come out strong offensively in this one. BC has allowed at least 21 points in 2 of 3 games this season. Ottawa has played only two games but did allow 23 points (and 400 yards!) last week at Saskatchewan. This is the Redblacks home opener. They should respond better at home and, looking to bounce back after some ugly performances on offense, I do expect Ottawa to score more in this one. However, the Redblacks also allowed just 12 points (but on 443 yards!) in their very fortunate week one upset at Edmonton. That said, this defense just can not be trusted and the BC offense is capable of a big showing here. It all points to this total being set far too low and I am expecting 50+ in this one so we elevate this one to a top play rating. 10* OVER 43.5 in Ottawa | |||||||
08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts @ 8:30 ET - The early line on this total was a 47.5 and it dropped to a 46.5 but where it goes from there is a big question mark as the odds makers have been slow putting up numbers on CFL action early this season. In any event, I am going big on the over here as both teams are off victories last week in which they each received strong QB play. Also, Blue Bombers still missing RB Andrew Harris which could make them pass even more which is good for an over. Toronto was a pass-heavy team last week and that should continue here. Winnipeg off big win in a Grey Cup rematch and Argonauts off big upset road win. That sets this one up well for a bit of a letdown for each defense and we have good value with the early line movement on an already low total. I know we have seen a lot of unders so far in this young season but this one should play out much differently. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
11-17-19 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 45 | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Playoff Total of the Year - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #894 Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4:30 ET - I know this is a low total but don't let that scare you away. The Blue Bombers are off a fantastic defensive effort last week in their playoff upset win. The Roughriders are known for their tough defense, particularly when at home. Also, Winnipeg has been employing a two-headed QB system primarily because one of the two is more of a running QB and the Bombers are emphasizing the run more and more. The Riders are known for being very tough to beat when a team has to face them at Regina and their QB is currently dealing with an injury. They will also emphasize the ground game here more than you would typically see in a CFL game. Saskatchewan wants to control the tempo here and grind it out with long drives and this game will be a ball-control type playoff game with a lot less than scoring than you typically expect in a CFL game. All 3 meetings between these teams this season stayed under the total and I am looking for another one here. When Winnipeg enters a game on a winning streak of 2 or more games the under has cashed in 4 of 6 times. The Roughriders have stayed under in 30 of 45 November games long-term including 5 straight unders cashing in recent seasons as they enter this match-up. Look for that streak to reach 6 in a row here! 10* UNDER the total in Saskatchewan | |||||||
11-02-19 | Toronto v. Hamilton OVER 52.5 | Top | 18-21 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #815 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7:05 ET - Not much defense expected in this one. The Tiger-Cats already wrapped up the top spot in the CFL for the season and, of course, are awaiting post-season action. The Argonauts have struggled on defense all season as their 31.8 points per game allowed is dead last in the league. However, Toronto has been scoring well recently as they have averaged 30.3 points per game the last 3 weeks. Their is a little renewed enthusiasm on the team since they made some changes in the front office and it is translating to more inspired play on the field. That said, I am expecting this game to be quite entertaining with plenty of points. The Argos scored 39 points last week. The Tiger-Cats can score plenty even with back-ups seeing action in this one. Hamilton is the highest scoring team in the CFL this season and have averaged 35.2 points per game their last 5 games with 3 of the 5 going over. The total is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams and I look for them to make it 6 in a row here on Saturday. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton UNDER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #696 Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Temperatures below freezing with northerly winds blowing at nearly 20 mph sets up this divisional battle for a low-scoring grudge match. The Roughriders still have their sights set on winning the division and even though the Eskimos clinched a post-season berth they certainly won't be laying down against their division rivals. This is particularly true at home and also coming in rest off a bye week. This is the front end of a home and home set to close out the regular season as the Eskimos will be at Saskatchewan next week. With Edmonton at home this week and rested off a bye week but having seen some struggles on offense due to inconsistent QB play, this game will be all about defense! The Riders have allowed an average of only 17.8 points per game in their last 4 games. The Eskimos have allowed 16 points or less in 2 of their past 3 games. More of the same here. 10* UNDER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
10-25-19 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | Top | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Calgary Stampeders @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Bombers become the first team to wrap up their regular season as their Friday game is their final one since they have a bye next week. Last week Winnipeg lost 37 to 33 at Calgary. The Blue Bombers passing attack was not good though even though that point total would lead you to believe otherwise. That said, back home and with pleasant weather expected in Winnipeg for this one, the Blue Bombers offense gets back on track. However, the reason the Bombers limped down the stretch run is a struggling defense as they have allowed 30.6 points per game in going 1-4 SU their past 5 games. Calgary has allowed 27.3 points per game their past 3 games and we've got a low total to work with here. The Stampeders rarely run the ball and I also look for the Blue Bombers to throw more here as this is their last chance to get their aerial attack back on track before the post-season begins. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these teams in Winnipeg. Also, the over is 11-4 in Blue Bombers games where their line is in a +3 to -3 range. Look for the over to improve to a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times Calgary was in a road game where the posted total was in a range between 45.5 and 49 points. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
10-11-19 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - No pressure on either team here as both know the playoffs are out of sight. Even Ottawa knows this is the case, barring a miracle, and that is why Arndt is getting the start at QB in this one. Look for Arndt, under no pressure, to have a big game here as he has had only limited action so far this season but now gets the start and gets to take on a struggling Toronto defense. The Argonauts counter with Bethel-Thompson at QB and he had a huge game in a rout of the Redblacks in their earlier meeting this season. With Toronto making some organizational changes coming into this week there is no shortage of motivation for the Argos to again have a huge game against their rivals from Ottawa. However, the Redblacks want payback for that ugly home loss earlier this season and, to get it, they're going to have put up plenty of points too because their defense has been struggling also. Rain will be coming to Toronto but it is not expected until after this game is already in the books and with both teams unlikely to enjoy success on the ground their will be a heavy dose of the "aerial attack" from both teams in this one. The result should be this one flying over the low total. Ottawa has allowed 35.2 points per game their past 5 games. The Argonauts have allowed 33.3 points per game in their last 4 home games. Overall, in just their past two games the Argos have allowed 48 points per game! 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
10-05-19 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 51 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4 ET - Great QB match-up here as Calgary's Bo Levi Mitchell is delivering a huge season and so too is Montreal's Vernon Adams and he returns this week after a one week suspension. Look for a huge game from Adams here but note that Mitchell and the Stamps are seeking revenge on the Als after an OT loss in Calgary in their most recent meeting. That game totaled 74 points. While this game won't get quite that many I do expect it to get well into the 50s. The weather will be beautiful in Montreal this afternoon with light winds and clear skies and cool autumn temperatures. Both teams can have the playbooks fully opened up for this one. Also, with Adams and Mitchell both out of action last week due to suspension and bye week, respectively, look for both of them to be very aggressive in attacking downfield in this game. I also, as a general rule, like overs in non-divisional match-ups in CFL action and this one "checks all the boxes" for me based on the reasons noted above. Look for a shootout in this one. 10* OVER the total in Montreal | |||||||
10-04-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton OVER 46.5 | Top | 12-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 7 ET - Nice weather expected in Hamilton with light winds and no precipitation and a cool autumn evening on tap. The Tiger-Cats offense has continued to roll as they scored 33 points last week with QB Dane Evans throwing for over 350 yards and three scores! Edmonton also comes into this game riding the momentum of a win, though theirs was much more dramatic, as the Eskimos own on a late TD strike to get past Ottawa last week. The Ti-Cats won't sit back on their heels here and the way Evans and Company have been playing on offense will force the Eskimos to have to throw plenty to keep up in this game. I particularly like overs in a situation like this that involves an East-West match-up as well. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Last week Edmonton's game stayed under the total but the Eskimos entered that game on a 4-1 run to the over. Friday games for Edmonton are on an 11-4 run to the over and that includes 5-1 this season! Even without QB Trevor Harris, the Eskimos score plenty here and Hamilton rolls up big points too as the over improves to 6-2 in their past 8 October games. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
09-28-19 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 49 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Making the QB switch in the 2nd half last week shows the Argos are ready, willing and able to give the offense a shot in the arm if needed. I feel that was the wake up call Toronto needed on the offensive side of the ball and they will have a much stronger game this week. However, their defense can not be trusted and the Roughriders certainly are capable of taking advantage. Saskatchewan has averaged 33.5 points per game in their last two match-ups with East Division opponents. However, the Riders enter this game having allowed 30 points per game in their past two games. The Argonauts had averaged scoring 30 points per game in their 5 games preceding last week's dismal effort at home. Toronto will bounce back on offense but this is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game on the season! The over is 9-2 in the Argonauts last 11 September games. The Roughriders have averaged 29 points per game in their last 7 games against the Argos. Coming off their bye week, Saskatchewan's offense runs wild in this one as the over improves to 6-2 (and 3-0 this season) when coming off a bye week. Some rain in the area this morning but it will move out by game time this evening. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
09-20-19 | Calgary v. Toronto OVER 53.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - I am aware of the injury to wide receiver Reggie Begelton for the Stamps. However, Calgary also is going to be without their leading tackler, linebacker Cory Greenwood. That said, Toronto is going to score their fair share of points in this one. This is particularly true because they are at home for this one also. But I just don't see the Argos being able to stop a potent West Division offense even with the Stampeders being with a top wide receiver. Calgary still have plenty of firepower all over the field and the Stamps enter this game off a low-scoring win. Rarely do the Stampeders ever have back to back low-scoring performances. Prior to the tight win over Hamilton, Calgary had averaged 31 points per game in their 3 prior games. As for the Argonauts offense, they seemed to respond to their "wake-up call" of a late July shutout loss to Edmonton. Ever since then Toronto has scored an average of 30 points per game and 4 of their 5 games since being shutout by the Eskimos have gone over the total. Look for the Stampeders over to improve to 3-0 in their past 3 road games with a high-scoring contest expected here. The past two seasons, when Calgary is facing a team with a losing record in a game played in the second half of a season, the over is 3-1. Toronto's over is 4-1 this season when facing a team with a winning record. Also, in September games the Argonauts are 9-1 to the over. All these trends continue Friday. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
09-14-19 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan OVER 49.5 | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - There are a lot of trends that point to the under for this game and their first match-up this season stayed well under the total. However, I am riding high with the over here because the Riders are off back to back sub-par showings on offense this season. Normally Saskatchewan has bounced back every single time off a low-scoring game and I fully expect that here after scoring just 10 points last week. QB Cody Fajardo and the Riders are fired up for a strong game and they want to stretch the field and put pressure on the Als and force them to play catch-up. Saskatchewan does not want to allow the Alouettes to get into a ball-control ground-based attack that serves them well. The Riders want to force QB Vernon Adams and Montreal out of their typical came plan. By the way, the Als are also off a low-scoring effort last week and, like the Riders, Montreal has shown a knack for bouncing back with strong games offensively when off a rare dud in terms of offensive production. Montreal had scored 27 points or more in 5 of 7 games previous to being held to 21 points last week. The Roughriders, prior to back to back low-scoring results (first time this season!) had averaged 31 points per game over an 8-week stretch. I am looking for a 33-27 type game here and that total is double digits in excess of the current posted number on this game. Keep in mind, non-conference match-ups for these teams (their own earlier match-up this season notwithstanding) have proven to be high-scoring affairs more often than not. This one flies over the total as the weather forecast is also a good one here. 10* OVER the total in Saskatchewan | |||||||
09-07-19 | Calgary v. Edmonton OVER 47 | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #687 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Eskimos @ Calgary Flames @ 7 ET - It looks like it was an easy under last week when these same teams met on Monday in Calgary but it truly wasn't. The final score of the game took place on the very FIRST play of the fourth quarter and that brought the game total to 34 points but then there was no more scoring in the final 15 minutes of action. That is not the big story though as the bigger story was the fact that in terms of field goals and touchdowns there were EIGHT scores but the problem for over players was that SIX were field goals and only TWO were touchdowns. Once again, just like last week, the team swill move the ball quite well but this time we'll have more points to show for it. The Stampeders got Bo Levi Mitchell back last week and he threw for 263 yards while running back KaDeem Carey ran for 143 yards. Edmonton's defense will again be put to the test this week. The difference this week though is that, at home, the Eskimos score much better. QB Trevor Harris completed 77% of his passes last week for over 200 yards but Edmonton managed only three field goals and zero touchdowns. That won't happen again as they respond big at home and I look for Harris to really make this game all about an aerial assault on his part. There will be a ton of big passing from the home team in this one. The over improves to 3-0 this season when the Eskimos are a home favorite of 7 points or less. Calgary's over also improves to 3-0 in road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
09-06-19 | BC v. Montreal OVER 50 | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #681 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Both teams are off bye weeks which were preceded by games that went under the total. However, BC is 4-2 to the over when coming off a bye week. Also, Montreal's game at Toronto two weeks ago had no business staying under the total. The teams combined for over 900 yards of offense! Considering that as well as the fact that the Alouettes entered that game on a 4-2 run to the over, I love the over in this match-up. Montreal has now allowed over 100 yards on the ground each of their past two games plus an average of 400 passing yards their past two games! As for the Lions defense, they are allowing 32.1 points per game on the season. Only Toronto has allowed more points per game than BC. Mike Reilly did throw for nearly 300 yards in the Lions low-scoring loss prior to their bye week. They'll put a lot more points on the board in this inter-divisional match-up. This one will be a shootout. 10* OVER the total in Montreal | |||||||
09-02-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 47 | Top | 9-25 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 4:30 ET - I am well aware of the fact that this is a fierce rivalry game and these types of games tend to be lower scoring. However, this total is simply far too low given the situation. The Eskimos Trevor Harris continues to light it up through the air and leads the CFL in passing yards. The Stampeders are getting a boost this week with the return of their starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell. Calgary will be taking on an Edmonton defense that has allowed an average of 30 points the past two weeks. As for the Stamps defense, they entered last week's bye having allowed an average of 33 points per game their past two games. These teams met a month ago and Calgary won 24-18 but the Eskimos got 373 passing yards from Harris in that game and certainly should have scored much more than 18 points. That low-scoring result is helping to give us value here with Monday's total. This total has dropped to as low as a 47 after opening up above a 50. I'll take the extra value as Mitchell couldn't wait to get back on the field and it helps that his return comes at home while I also don't see the weekly aerial assault display from Harris slowing down here. Plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER the total in Calgary | |||||||
08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 54 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Total of the Year - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #687 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes @ Noon ET - The Argonauts are having a miserable season but are at home where they have averaged 27 points per game their past two games. While Toronto is starting to turn the corner (finally) in terms of offensive production at home, the Argos defense is a major weakness. Toronto has allowed 35.3 points per game this season and they now host a red hot Alouettes offensive unit. Montreal has scored an average of 38 points per game in its past two road games and this is a team that has plenty of momentum. After an impressive OT win at Calgary last week, the Als have now won 4 of their past 6 games and Vernon Adams, Jr. continues to pile up yardage through the air for the Alouettes. Look for the over to improve to 4-1 in Montreal's last 5 Sunday games. The over is 10-5 the last 15 times the Argonauts have been a home dog. McLeod Bethel-Thompson, Argos QB, has thrown for 543 yards with 5 TDs and 0 INTs his past two games. Both teams getting solid QB of late and this one turns into a shootout. That is why the game total opened up at a 55.5 and now that the markets have pushed it lower (54) it is "go time" with this totals selection as I don't foresee many defensive stops in this one! 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
08-16-19 | Edmonton v. Toronto OVER 50.5 | Top | 41-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #691 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 7:30 ET - No team in the CFL has allowed fewer points than the Eskimos this season. No team in the CFL has scored fewer points than the Argonauts this season. That said, this looks "easy", right? We all know what happens when something looks "easy" of course. The fact is there is more than meets the eye here at first glance. Toronto is off a bye week which was preceded by the Argos getting their first win of the season and it came in a huge upset as a double digit home dog against Winnipeg. I look for Toronto to use this for momentum here at home and coming off a bye week. That will translate to some success on offense again for the Argonauts but truly their defense can not be trusted. They have allowed an average of 34 points per game on the season. That is why I love the over in this match-up because I don't see the Argos stopping Edmonton in this game. It is a revenge game for the Argonauts after they were shutout in the first meeting earlier this season at Edmonton. Also, the Eskimos have a huge divisional match-up on deck with division-leading Winnipeg next week. That coupled with the fact that Edmonton shut out Toronto earlier this season could lead to a bit of a lackadaisical effort from the Eskimos defense in this one. The Argonauts will take advantage and score plenty here but they can't stop the Edmonton offense. The most recent meeting between these teams stayed under the total but the over was 10-3 in the 13 prior meetings and that long-term trend resumes here. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
08-10-19 | BC v. Hamilton OVER 51 | Top | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #687 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - Hamilton is fired up off a 5-point loss at Saskatchewan and will be ready to take out their frustration on a weak BC defense. The Lions are coming off a bye week and will be ready to respond after being held to just 18 points in a home loss prior to the week off. Note that the last 5 meetings between these teams have averaged 57.4 points per game and the posted total on this one has dropped down to a 51 as of early Saturday morning. The Tiger-Cats have scored an average of 44 points per game in their last two home games against BC! The Lions have averaged a respectable 24.5 points per game in their 4 road games this season. The over is 5-1 this season when BC is an underdog. The over is 12-5 the past 3 seasons combined when the Tiger-Cats are playing against a team with a losing record. The Lions have allowed 37.3 points per game in their 6 defeats this season and BC has given up at least 33 points in all 6 of their defeats. Considering that as well as the fact that the Lions have scored 23 points or more in all but one of their road games, you can see why this game is offering great value on the high side of the total. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
08-02-19 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 52.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - The total opened up at a 54.5 but has dropped to 52.5 as of early morning on game day. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the line move. The Alouettes are off a bye week and that was preceded by a low-scoring win. The Redblacks are off a tight low-scoring loss last week at home against Calgary. This has led to value here with the over because their prior game results are being over-valued here and I am expecting this one to play out much differently than those games. These two teams are ranked 8th and 9th in the 9-team CFL for team defense in terms of yards allowed per game. Also, Montreal has allowed 26 points per game and Ottawa has allowed 30 points per game on the season. Both defenses are likely to struggle here and I like the QB play we've been seeing from both of these squads. That being said, throw the trends out the window here (I am aware the trending favors the under here) and look for this one to get much closer to 60 points than 50 points! 10* OVER the total in Montreal | |||||||
07-25-19 | Toronto v. Edmonton OVER 51 | Top | 0-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Toronto Argonauts @ 9:30 PM ET - It will still be windy during the day in Edmonton but the breezy conditions will be subsiding as evening comes and I expect only moderate winds for this one Thursday night in Alberta. The line has moved down to as low as 51 as everyone is liking the under after the Eskimos scored only 10 points last week and the Argonauts managed to put just 16 points on the board. Keep in mind this is a non-conference match-up and these types of match-ups, especially with Toronto being winless on the season, don't bring out the best usually in terms of level of defensive play. Also, Edmonton could get caught looking ahead to their big match-up with division (and provincial rival) Calgary that is coming up next week. The Argonauts are allowing 37.6 points per game this season. The over is 3-1 in Toronto's last 4 Thursday games. The Eskimos are a double digit favorite and the over is 18-8 the last 26 times they have been a favorite of 10 or more points. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams in Alberta. Toronto has averaged 332 passing yards per game their last 3 games and the Eskimos will take advantage of the Argonauts porous defense as well. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
07-20-19 | BC v. Saskatchewan OVER 50 | Top | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #695 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - Contrarian play, which as long-time followers know, is quite typical for me. The Lions scored only 6 points in last week's loss and everyone is deeming QB Mike Reilly to BC for this season to be a bust. But, keep in mind, we have a long way to go this season and I fully expect the Lions offensive production to get back on track this week. As for the Roughriders, they are off their bye week and that was preceded by Saskatchewan scoring just 10 points in a home loss to Calgary. Based on the ugly scoring results for each of these teams last week, both teams (including their QBs) have plenty to prove here. Keep in mind the Riders now face a weaker defense than they did in their most recent game (that was against the Stampeders). Under center for the Roughriders is Cody Fajardo for the injured Zach Collaros. The most recent game notwithstanding, Fajardo has played quite well and I also know full well what Reilly is capable of and I am expecting both teams (and their QBs) to respond huge this week. The Riders had averaged 30 points per game in their first 3 games this season and the Lions had averaged 24 points per game in their first 4 games this season. That equates to 54 points but, because of the most recent game for each team, we've got a total hovering around 50 here. Value is big here and note that the over is 3-1 in BC's divisional games this season. The over is 7-3 the last 10 times the Roughriders have been a home favorite of 7 or less points. 10* OVER the total in Saskatchewan | |||||||
07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #691 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 8:30 ET - I like the overs in situations that have all the elements we are seeing in this match-up. Winnipeg already beat Ottawa, a non-conference foe, earlier this season. The Blue Bombers have Hamilton on deck. Even though the Tiger-Cats are another non-conference foe, if the Winnipeg defense was going to get geared up about facing someone it would be the streaking Ti-Cats next week. Hamilton has the best record in the East and the undefeated Bombers, of course, have the best record in the West. That sets up a showdown for next week and I could see the Blue Bombers defense being a little lax in this one as a result. As for the Redblacks defense, they are likely to be shredded by a powerhouse Winnipeg offense further strengthened by QB Matt Nichols looking sharp last week after his Week 4 injury. Prior the previous meeting between these teams this season staying under the total, 4 of the last 5 had gone over the total. Also, the over is 6-3 in the last 9 meetings between these teams at Winnipeg. Ottawa's game hosting the Blue Bombers earlier this season was the only game this season that has been an under for the Redblacks. Their QB Dominique Davis has had trouble with throwing too many picks but he is a dual threat and will run more than he did in the first meeting between these teams. He has 5 rushing TDs this season and also had a 3-TD passing game earlier this season. This total has gone from 55 to 51.5 and is therefore offering even more value here with pleasant weather also expected here. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 51 | Top | 36-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #685 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - Montreal had one bad game offensively but they've averaged 30.5 points per game in their other two games. Ottawa had a flat performance last week following a bye week but the Redblacks had averaged 38 points per game in their two prior games this season. The last 5 meetings between these teams have all resulted in unders and that has helped move this total move down from a 52.5 to a 51 as of early game day morning and I love the extra value now being offered here. Montreal has red hot running back William Stanback whom ran for over 200 yards last week. That will result in the Ottawa defense having to focus some attention on him which will open up the passing game for Alouettes QB Vernon Adams. For the Redblacks, it is Dominique Davis at QB and he has plenty of playmaking ability but must cut down on his mistakes as he has thrown too many interceptions. Davis was stronger in the first two games and I look for him to bounce back after he and the Redblacks ran into a buzzsaw when they faced the Blue Bombers last week. Keep in mind, Winnipeg won again last night and the 4-0 Bombers are the only undefeated team in the league and they are allowing just 19.8 points per game. Now Ottawa can take advantage of a Montreal team that is allowing 34 points per game. A lot of playmakers on the field in this one and I expect the early market move in this one to prove false as this game flies over the total. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
07-12-19 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 51 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts @ 8:30 ET - With the Argonauts and Blue Bombers both entering this match-up off back to back unders, most will be looking that way in this game. However, the over is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg have gone over the total. The Blue Bombers have averaged 40 points per game in their last 3 games hosting the Argos. Toronto enters this game doing a good job through the air on offense except they don't have the points to show for it. That is leading to some value here as they could get overlooked by the Blue Bombers as Winnipeg is off a big road win last week and now facing a winless non-conference opponents. These are the types of games where defenses get overconfident and overlook an opponent and it would not surprise to see Winnipeg's D expecting this to be a cakewalk at home and then they end up being surprised. One thing is for sure though, Blue Bombers offense should enjoy a huge game here as the Argonauts are allowing 378 passing yards per game this season! Winnipeg QB Matt Nichols left last game with a neck injury but is probable for this game. Toronto QB James Franklin is current out but McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw for over 300 yards in last week's game. The Argonauts points will finally be commensurate with their yardage output in this game but their leaky D won't be able to stop the potent Blue Bomber attack. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
07-06-19 | BC v. Toronto OVER 54.5 | Top | 18-17 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #693 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - A match-up of two winless teams and the oddsmakers set this total in the upper 50s for a reason. You don't think the oddsmakers know that the Argonauts have averaged just 10.5 points per game in their first two games? Of course they do. But yet the betting markets are jumping all over the under in this game even though the Lions have allowed at least 33 points in all 3 of their games. Yes, BC is 0-3 on the season but they do have Mike Reilly at QB and they've been putting up some big points. The Lions should have no trouble with the Argos defense (especially with Toronto on a short week as they just played Monday) but the issue for BC is a leaky defense. Yes, the Argos have been ugly so far on offense but they will be better in what is just their 2nd home game this season. Toronto got shell-shocked in their first home game as they were the only team that didn't play in week one (bye week) and then got blasted in week two. Then in week three the Argos ran into a buzzsaw as they faced an angry Roughriders team that was 0-2 and playing their home opener. That led to an ugly loss for Toronto. I am saying there is a reason the Argos have scored so few points this season and I am saying the oddsmakers had it right with a bigger number on this game and we should see this one get into the 60s for totals points scored as the over improves to 4-0 in Lions games this season. BC went 5-2 to the over in July games the past two seasons. Toronto is 12-7 to the over when playing with 6 or less days of rest. The Argonauts are 8-4 to the over when they are a home underdog. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary UNDER 53.5 | Top | 32-36 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #686 Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - The over cashed in plenty in Weeks 1 and 2 of this CFL season but we've now seen 2 straight unders here in Week 3 and I am forecasting another one on Saturday evening in Alberta. The last 5 meetings between these teams have all resulted in an under. Additionally, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams in Calgary have resulted in an under. Yes the over is 2-0 in Lions games this season and the Stamps only game thus far also went over the total. However, I see both teams emphasizing the ground game more in this one and also I expect a huge defensive effort from both teams. The Stampeders let one get away in their week one loss. The defense feels responsibility for that as they were up by 12 after just 1 quarter and couldn't get the job done. Additionally, Calgary got outscored 11-0 in the 4th quarter of that game. Look for the defending champs, having taken advantage of the bye week, to come up with a much stronger effort defensively in this game plus to do a lit bit more "grinding of the clock" by utilizing the ground game more in this one. BC is off to a tough start this season as prized offseason acquisition QB Mike Reilly has struggled. The Lions know they need to take some pressure off him by utilizing their ground game a little bit more. BC also knows that the Stamps D proved susceptible to the run in their week one loss. That said, we're going to see some ground game from both teams in this one and that will help it stay under the rather inflated number on this one. The last 5 meetings between these teams have averaged a total of only 41 points. Prior to the Stampeders surprising week one result, the O/U was on a 4-16 run in Stamps games in the month of June. As for the Lions, prior to last week's over, the O/U was on a 4-9 run when BC was off a loss to a divisional foe in the prior week. Look for those trends to resume here as the 6th straight under occurs between these teams on Saturday. 10* UNDER the total in Calgary | |||||||
06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #682 Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 8:30 ET - With all 3 games flying over the total last week as well as the fact that 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams in Winnipeg have gone over the total, we're seeing a lot of upward movement on this total. It is up to a 58.5 and I feel we're getting great line value here with the under as a result. This is a divisional battle. Edmonton has allowed 25 points or less in each of their first two games this season. Winnipeg was off last week so their D is well rested and they allowed only 23 points in their Week 1 victory over BC. So with a total in the upper 50s and the fact both these teams have proven the ability to run the ball and both teams having proven they can play some defense too, this one has the makings of a solid under. Note that 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games as a road dog in a range of 3.5 to 7 points have resulted in an under. Also, the under has cashed in an incredible 27 of 35 times when the Eskimos are on the road in a game with a posted total of 56 points or more. This, of course, is the Blue Bombers first time this season coming off a bye week. That is a situation that saw the under go a PERFECT 4-0 the past two seasons. Take advantage of the big number here and look for this one fall well short of it. 10* UNDER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
06-20-19 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 43.5 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #689 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - Line moves are funny sometimes, even in the CFL. The odds makers, of course, knew about the Zach Collaros (Riders QB) injury and yet they set the total on this game at 49.5 with that in mind. The betting markets are indicating that was a horrible number and the total has now plummeted a full 6 points down to 43.5 as of early game day morning. Long-time followers know I love grabbing the value in contrarian situations like this as, let us not kid ourselves, the fact is the odds makers are quite sharp! The Redblacks are certainly going to be geared up for their home (and season) opener! At the same time, the Roughriders are ready to bounce back (even without Collaros) after losing a tight one 23-17 last week. Keep in mind he got hurt early on in that game so the Riders already have had some time playing without him. That will help them this week but they're going to struggle to stop Ottawa's offense in this one. Note that the over went 4-1 in Redblacks June games the past two seasons. Also, the over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. This one is all about the line value but certainly includes match-up value and situational value. Big game for the Redblacks for the home fans but look for the Riders to match them score for score. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
06-14-19 | Montreal v. Edmonton OVER 51 | Top | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Rotation #683 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Montreal Alouettes @ 9 ET - Major changes for both teams in terms of personnel heading into this season. Additionally, a sudden coaching change for the Alouettes occurred only about a week before the season got underway as Montreal is now being coached by their offensive coordinator and the Mike Sherman stint - a short one - is finished in Quebec. With all the changes I am expecting some breakdowns in this game. Both teams could be mistake-prone which can lead to some big plays. The over is 3-1 in the last 4 home games with a posted total between 49.5 and 52 points for the Eskimos. Also, the last 3 meetings between these teams all resulted in an over. Not only did each game go over, each one totaled at least 64 points and flew over the total by a double digit margin. Both teams have made changes at QB heading into this season and Edmonton is known for their offensive production while the Als have much to prove and now have their offensive coordinator calling the shots as the head coach. The result should be plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 53 | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Game #667 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Grey Cup: Calgary Stampeders vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 6 ET in Edmonton, Alberta - The CFL Grey Cup Final is being played in Edmonton and the weather can certainly be frigid and ugly in late November. However, the offenses caught a break here as skies will be clear, temperatures will be just below freezing, and winds will light. This has led to line value with the over in this one in my opinion. The Redblacks have an offense firing on all cylinders after crushing Hamilton last week. The Stampeders of course were the top team in the league this season and their offense is very dynamic and averaged 34.3 points per game in their last 6 games against Ottawa. This is a rematch of the 2016 Grey Cup which the Redblacks won 39-33. Of course the Stamps are seeking revenge here and are 3-0-1 in the 4 regular season meetings with Ottawa since that 2016 Final. They are expected to get revenge here but I feel this game is going to be a shootout (similar to the 2016 Grey Cup) that could go either way and I like the over. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these teams and that includes 5-1 when the Redblacks face the Stampeders away from Ottawa. 10* OVER the total in Grey Cup | |||||||
10-19-18 | Edmonton v. BC OVER 52 | Top | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Game #653 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in BC Lions vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 10 PM ET - This is a value spot because Edmonton continues to get involved in low-scoring games (miraculously) even though their defense has been sub-par and even though QB Mike Reilly is leading the CFL in passing yards. The Eskimos, based on their stats, should be scoring much more than they have been and also should be giving up a lot more points than they have been. Of course this combination has led to excellent line value here in a game that should fly over the total. The BC ground game has boosted by the addition of RB Tyrell Sutton while the passing game received a jolt with the return of Travis Lulay at QB. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams and this should end up being a traditional shootout between these West Division foes in a game that is key in the playoff race. Truly neither team can rely on their defense so it is all about the O in this one! The over is 6-1 in Edmonton's road games with a posted total between 49.5 and 52 points. The over is 8-4 when the Lions enter a game on a SU winning streak of 2 or more games. 10* OVER the total in BC | |||||||
10-08-18 | Edmonton v. Saskatchewan OVER 52.5 | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Game #657 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Sasktachewan Roughriders vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 4 ET - Cold weather in Saskatchewan this afternoon but not much, if any, precipitation expected and the winds won't be bad either. That said, both offenses can be fully functional. The Eskimos are off a bad effort on the scoreboard last week and I expect them to make up for that here but the Edmonton defense won't be able to stop the Roughriders offense. Last week Edmonton piled up a ton of yardage but was done in by 5 turnovers. It was absolutely a phony final in terms of the lack of points the Eskimos offense ended up with considering how they moved the all up and down the field. As for the defense, Edmonton has allowed an average of 33.3 points per game their last 3 games as they continue to have issues on that side of the ball. The Roughriders are off a 34-29 win last week and Sasktachewan is averaging 31 points per game the last 7 weeks! When they're hot the point totals tend to keep climbing and the over is a perfect 4-0 this season when the Riders are on a winning streak of 2 or more games. As for the Eskimos, they are 4-1 to the over when playing on a Monday and 4-1 to the over when playing with 8 days of rest between games. Edmonton also is a perfect 2-0 to the over this season when off a loss in divisional action. 10* OVER the total in Saskatchewan | |||||||
09-29-18 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton OVER 56 | Top | 30-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
Total of the Year - Rickenbach CFL Game #675 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - As you would expect for late September in Edmonton, the weather will be cold tonight. However, no precipitation is expected and the winds are not expected to be significant either. That said, look for these two offenses (two of the tops in the CFL as they are only behind league-best Calgary) to have huge games. The Eskimos defense has struggled badly of late and the Blue Bombers can (and will) put up points in a hurry. We're getting line value here because Edmonton put up only 15 points last week. That was a "fluke" performance as they actually gained plenty of yardage but were done in by 2 fumbles, 1 interception, and twice they turned the ball over on downs. Those same mistakes, from a highly talented Eskimos offense, are unlikely to recur here at home! The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The average point total in those 4 overs was 65 points. That said, even though 56 is a sizable total, you can see why I still expect them to top this by 10 or more points. The over is 7-3 when the Eskimos are a home favorite in a range of 3.5 to 7 points. The over is 4-0 this season in Winnipeg's games against teams with a winning record. The over is also a long-term 20-8 in Blue Bombers divisional games. This one has shootout written all over it. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
09-22-18 | Edmonton v. Ottawa OVER 54 | Top | 15-28 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Game #653 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 4 ET - Beautiful weather in Ottawa Saturday afternoon. The Eskimos are off of their bye week but their prior game totaled 90 points. I do not trust Edmonton's defense but they certainly can put up plenty of points as they are averaging nearly 30 points per game. Look for the Redblacks to match them score for score in this one and that sends it flying over the total. Ottawa has a bye on deck so they're certainly going to go all out here. Also, this is the Redblacks only home game in the month of September and they scored just 11 points in their most recent game as a host. In other words they've been waiting for this one and ready to make up for that poor effort in their most recent game in front of home fans. The over is 4-0 in Edmonton's last 4 games in which they are a road favorite of 3 or less points. Look for the over to improve to 8-4 the last 12 times that the Redblacks have faced a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of a season. Big game here between two teams with winning records and it will be the offenses that "prevail" in this one. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
09-15-18 | Calgary v. Hamilton OVER 50.5 | Top | 43-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Game #661 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4 ET - The Stamps are off of a loss last week and come into this game angry as a result. I do expect them to put up big points but, in my opinion, their defense can't be trusted right now. They've given up an average of 33.5 points in their last 4 games. Also, even though they held the Ti-Cats to just 14 points in their meeting earlier this season that was a bit of a "fluke" on the scoreboard. Hamilton was done in by penalties and turnovers in that game. Certainly the Tiger-Cats should have scored much more than 14 points considering they piled up 333 passing yards in that game. The Stampeders have averaged scoring 36.4 points per game in their last 5 meetings with Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats have averaged scoring 35.2 points per game in their last 5 games overall. This is a meeting of two offenses that have been surging and the weather is ideal for an over Saturday afternoon in Hamilton. Additionally, the total has dropped from its opener so we are getting excellent line value here. In road games with a posted total between 49.5 and 52 points, Calgary is 4-0 to the over. In home games with a posted total between 49.5 and 52 points, the Tiger-Cats are 5-2 to the over. Combined 9-2 (82%) trend I am happy to test in this one with a big play. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
09-02-18 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 54 | Top | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach CFL Game #643 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 3 ET - The Blue Bombers have a strong offense, averaging 31.5 points per game on the season. However, the Winnipeg defense has allowed 41.5 points per game in their last two. Also, this series has a history of being very high-scoring. In fact, each of the last five meetings between these teams in Saskatchewan have gone over the total. Also, the weather Sunday afternoon in Regina is forecast to be gorgeous with rather light winds and no precipitation. With that said, both offenses will be able to 'air it out" here and Roughriders QB Zach Collaros has been playing very well of late. Facing the struggling Winnipeg defense should help him to stay hot! Also note that Saskatchewan totaled over 360 passing yards in each of their 3 match-ups with the Blue Bombers last season. Winnipeg is 11-2 to the over the last 13 times in games where their line ranged from +3 to -3. When off of a loss against a divisional foe, the Blue Bombers are 8-3 to the over. The Bombers will be hungry to bounce back after losing at Calgary last week. As a home favorite of 3 points or less, the Roughriders are 20-11 to the over including a perfect 4-0 to the over in recent seasons. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Saskatchewan | |||||||
08-31-18 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 51 | Top | 21-11 | Loss | -108 | 71 h 32 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFL Game #641 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - This is contrarian in a number of ways. First off many will think it is contrarian to even play CFL now that CFB is underway and regular season NFL is soon to follow. The answer there is that value is value! Secondly, this is contrarian because the long-term trending relating to his match-up would point you to the under. Here are the key facts that matter: Montreal has been much better on offense the past two weeks as they have averaged 24.5 points per game and even rallied for a win last week versus Toronto. The Alouettes have been getting much better QB play. The problem for Montreal remains a defense that has allowed an average of 36 points per game their last 5 games. Keep in mind that Ottawa is favored by about 16 here so if Motnreal hits their recent average of 24 that should have them given up 40 and you've got a game total in the mid-60s which is way past the posted total on this game. The Redblacks are fresh off of a bye week and they averaged 36 points per game their last 3 games before their bye. Those big point total averages came against much better defenses than that of Montreal's. Also, the weather is going to be great in Ottawa on Friday evening for this one. All signs pointing to plenty of points for the Redblacks and the Als in this one. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
08-17-18 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 53.5 | Top | 44-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Game #371 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 8:30 ET - The Redblacks scored only 24 points versus Montreal last week but this was despite Ottawa QB Trevor Harris throwing for nearly 500 yards! In other words, the low point total versus the Alouettes was certainly a bit of a fluke. With both the Redblacks and Blue Bombers off of wins and with Winnipeg possibly peeking ahead to their huge game at league-best Calgary next week and Ottawa possibly peeking ahead to their bye week, I would not be surprised to see both defenses struggle in this match-up. There is simply a natural let-up in cases like this in terms of defensive intensity and the fact that this is a non-divisional match-up also adds to the likelihood of plenty of points. The over is 13-5 in Ottawa's last 18 Friday games. As for Winnipeg, the over is 10-4 in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Also, in weeks 10 through 15 of a season, the over is on an 8-3 run in Blue Bombers games. Look for a huge game from QB Matt Nichols here for the home team but the Bombers defense is not going to slow down a red hot Trevor Harris either and this one turns into a shootout. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
08-11-18 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 49.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 15 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach CFL Game #355 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 8:00 ET - The over is 2-0 in the Alouettes last two games as they've allowed an average of 47 points per game. While it is true that there were a lot of points off Johnny Manziel's turnovers last week it is also true that Montreal's defense has allowed 481 yards or more in 3 of their last 4 games. The Redblacks have also had issues on defense as they've seemed to wear down as games have gone on. Ottawa has allowed an average of 411 yards per game their past 4 games. Also, the Redblacks have given up 25 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games. The Als run game has produced an average of 154 yards per game on the ground the past two weeks and this will open things up for the passing offense to get things going this week as the Ottawa D has to respect Montreal's ground game. Other than a tough game versus league-best Calgary, the Redblacks offense has been in high-gear, particularly through the air, and the porous pass defense of the Alouettes will be tested early and often in this one. The end result should be the over improving to 3-1 in the Redblacks last 4 games. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
07-20-18 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 53 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 69 h 42 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Game #373 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - The Redblacks overall season numbers don't look that great but they had to play undefeated Calgary twice and the Stampeders are playing the best football of any team in the CFL so far this season. In their two games NOT against Calgary this season, Ottawa has averaged scoring 34 points per game. In other words don't be surprised if the Redblacks put up plenty of points here against a BC team that was the worst team in the West last season and is likely to finish in that final spot again this season. However, part of the reason I like the over here is that the Lions rattled off 20 straight points to rally for the win versus Winnipeg last week. Not only is that the type of win that builds confidence for an offense, it also can leave a defense a little flat in the the next game. With BC off of an upset win and Ottawa ready to take out their frustration against anybody but Calgary, this game will surprise some people and turn into a shootout as the over improves to 6-2 in the Lions last 8 games! Lulay had a huge game for BC last week and threw for over 300 yards. Redblacks QB Harris has been bad versus the Stampeders but great in the other two games! More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
06-29-18 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton OVER 55.5 | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -112 | 72 h 24 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFL Game #373 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - The CFL is heavily pass-dominated due to being a 3-down league. That said, when the quarterbacks are firing on all cylinders, points can be put up in a hurry and that is the case with BOTH of these teams right now. Hamilton is coming off of a huge performance last week as they got the 38-21 win at Edmonton. Having WR Terrence Toliver back certainly helps the offense and they're going to need all the help they can get this week. As strong as Jeremiah Masoli has been for the Tiger-Cats, take note of rookie Chris Streveler for the Blue Bombers. The pivot has helped lead the way to an average of 43 points per game for Winnipeg in the first two weeks. I know the under has been the trend in recent meetings between these teams but this one has all the makings of a shootout between Masoli and Streveler and the weather is also forecast to be ideal for this game as well. Again, ignore the trends here (most trends favoring the under) and go with current style/level of play which says this game is going to be up and down the field all night long with big gains through the air at Tim Hortons Field. 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
08-26-17 | Toronto v. Calgary OVER 54.5 | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts @ 9 ET - Both teams are off of unders last week but Toronto did put up 38 points in their win. As for the Stampeders they only scored 21 points but that was in a tough, hard-fought win over a divisional rival. That win over BC could leave Calgary's defense a little flat-footed here and I expect the Argonauts to take advantage. However, at the same time, there is no reason the Stampeders offense won't end up responding and put up a ton of points in this one. They are ultra dangerous and are arguably the #1 offense in the league hands down. When these teams met a few weeks ago in Toronto the game totaled 65 points and I expect a similar result Saturday. The Argos are 6-3 to the over when off of a win against a division rival and also 3-1 to the over in non-divisional games this season and 3-1 to the over when playing on short rest of 6 days or less. The Stampeders are 5-0 to the over in their games against East Division opponents this season. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Calgary | |||||||
08-17-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg OVER 58.5 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 8:30 ET - Two of the highest scoring teams in the league matched up here. Last week saw all 4 games in CFL action stay under the total. Don't look for a repeat of that this week and, in fact, the under streak should end right away here with Thursday's game. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams in Winnipeg have gone over the total. Edmonton's Mike Reilly led the Eskimos to another win last week as they remain undefeated on the season but he did throw 2 picks and is ready to atone for that performance here. The Blue Bombers Matt Nichols is also having a huge season under center thus far and he has helped lead Winnipeg to a tally of 33 points or more in 5 consecutive games. With Edmonton undefeated and the Blue Bombers on a scoring spree, don't be surprised if EACH team gets to 33 in this game as only winless Hamilton has been worse defensively than Winnipeg. In other words, the Blue Bombers can put up big points but they also give them up big time. Last week was a rare exception as they held the struggling and still winless Tiger-Cats to just 12 points. They're not facing the Ti-Cats this week! Shootout expected between Reilly and Nichols in this one as they each continue to be gunslingers! The over is on a 15-8 run when the Eskimos are on a winning streak of 2 games or more. The over is on a 15-9 run in Blue Bombers divisional games. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
08-05-17 | Saskatchewan v. BC OVER 55.5 | Top | 15-30 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Total of the Year - Rickenbach Saturday CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in BC Lions vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7 ET - Off of a loss last week BC is fired up. They will respond here and put up a ton of points at home. Saskatchewan's defense has struggled to stop both of the divisional opponents they have seen this season and it certainly won't get any easier against the potent offense of the Lions. BC has averaged 38 points per game in their last 4 games versus the Roughriders and they've scored 40 points or more in 3 of the 4 contests! The key to the over here is that Saskatchewan's Kevin Glenn has been quite impressive this season. He has thrown for 11 TDs against only 4 interceptions and he is averaging about 320 passing yards per game! I expect Glenn and Company to be dangerous in this one when it comes to the backdoor cover. That's why my play (and a big one at that!) is on the total as I see this game being a back and forth shootout! The Lions were held in check by the Eskimos last week but their defense has been solid this season. Whether it was Jonathan Jennings or Travis Lulay making this start the fact is that the Lions will be moving the ball at ease through the Saskatchewan defense. This is the only West vs West battle this week and that means points, points, and more points as that is what the division is known for. This one has "shootout" written all over it and the over is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. The Roughriders gave up the most points in the West last season but their offense struggled badly. This season, with the way Glenn has been playing, the Saskatchewan offense has improved but they still can't stop the potent offenses in their own division. The over is also 4-2 in the Roughriders last 6 road games with a posted total between 52.5 and 56 points. This total has gone from as high as a 57.5 to a 55 as of Friday afternoon and this is offering great value here with the over. As for BC, the over is 8-4 when they are off of a loss in a divisional game and the Lions are also a solid 6-1 to the over in home games with a posted total between 52.5 and 56 points. 10* OVER the total in the BC Lions game Saturday | |||||||
08-03-17 | Calgary v. Toronto OVER 54 | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Argonauts vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7:30 ET - Toronto is 0-3 against teams from the West and they've allowed 33 points per game in those match-ups. Calgary is averaging 35.5 points per game and I look for the Stampeders offense to stay red hot here. However, Calgary does have a bye week on deck and they allowed just a single point versus Hamilton last week! As result, I expect a let-up from Stampeders defense in this one and that will open the door for the Argonauts to likely "trade scores" with Calgary throughout this game. The Argos Ricky Ray threw for 3 touchdowns and nearly 400 yards in a losing effort at Saskatchewan last week. Toronto is leading the CFL with 380.3 passing yards per game on the season. In other words, don't be surprised if this game turns into an "aerial assault" with both teams marching up and down the field through the air throughout this contest. The over is a perfect 4-0 in Calgary's games against teams from the East this season. Also, the Stampeders are on a long-term run of 21-9 to the over in games played on grass. Look for the over to improve to 8-4 in Argonauts games played in Weeks 5 through 9 the last 3 seasons combined. 10* OVER the total in Toronto Thursday | |||||||
07-27-17 | Montreal v. Winnipeg OVER 51 | Top | 40-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach Thursday CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Montreal Alouettes @ 8:30 ET - Montreal's Darian Durant threw for 452 yards last week but he and the Alouettes were done in by two early interceptions in the game. They Als were held to just 19 points in that game but that is despite all the passing yardage. The result is value this week because Winnipeg has been an "over machine" this season. The Blue Bombers are scoring an average of 32 points per game and are allowing 35 points per game on the year! They won't be able to stop the Montreal offense here but certainly one has to respect what Winnipeg has been doing on that side of the ball too. That's why the play here is the over as the Blue Bombers have averaged 37.5 points per game in their last two games and I expect more of the same in this East-West battle Thursday night. Look for the over to improve to 8-4 the last 12 times that Winnipeg has been a favorite. Also, the over is a fantastic 9-4 the last 13 times the Blue Bombers have faced a team with a losing record on the season. More of the same on Thursday! 10* OVER in Winnipeg | |||||||
07-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 55.5 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
Saturday Slaughter - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9 ET - This total has gone from as high as a 60 a few days ago all the way down to as low as a 55 as of the night before the game. This is offering fantastic line value for the over. The Roughriders are averaging 31 points per game so far this season and the Stampeders are averaging 31.5 points per game on the season thus far. Both of these teams have non-conference match-ups on deck so they'll be fully focused here and that should mean plenty of offense in this one. Saskatchewan is coming off of a bye week and they are 3-0 to the over the last 3 times they've been off of a bye. The Roughriders are also 2-0 to the over this season in Saturday games while Calgary is 2-0 to the over this season in their games against teams with a losing record. These records combine for a perfect 7-0 mark to the OVER! The Stampeders are hungry to respond as they are off of a loss last week and they'll be ready to bounce back after scoring just 23 points. That came against Montreal but the Alouettes have one of the top defenses in the league this season. Calgary should find a lot more to exploit in terms of match-ups this week against the Roughriders defense. The Stampeders have averaged 38.5 points per game in their last two home games versus Saskatchewan and they'll be "on the attack" again Saturday. 10* OVER the total in Calgary | |||||||
07-20-17 | Edmonton v. Hamilton OVER 52.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 7:30 ET - Hamilton is on the only team without a win this season and I certainly look for them to "bring it" tonight in terms of an intense effort at home. However, the problem for the Tiger-Cats is they've allowed 37 points per game. The Ti-Cats won't be able to stop an Edmonton offense that is much more talented than their early season scoring average of 25 points per game would lead you to believe! The fact is that the Eskimos defense has been a pleasant surprise this season in terms of points allowed but this is a definite flat spot in terms of defensive intensity for Edmonton. Last week the Eskimos squeaked out a tight win over the Grey Cup champion Ottawa Redblacks. Also, on deck for Edmonton is a huge divisional game next week versus the BC Lions. The point is that the Eskimos will struggle to maintain their defensive intensity here and that should open things up for a Hamilton offense that is desperate to get enough done to get their first win of the season. I am well aware of the fact that Edmonton has not had an over yet this season but there is good reason that the odds makers opened up this total in the mid-fifties. The fact that it has since dropped into the low-fifties has given us great line value in this spot! The over is 3-1 the last 4 times the Eskimos have been a road favorite of 3 points or less. Look for the over to improve to 3-0 this season in Tiger-Cats non-conference action! 10* OVER the total in Hamilton | |||||||
07-14-17 | Ottawa v. Edmonton OVER 57.5 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
Friday Total Annihilation - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Eskimos vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 10 ET Friday - The Eskimos are coming off of a bye week and they have a long-term mark of 9-5 to the over when they are playing with 2 or more weeks of rest. Edmonton's offense was one of the tops in the league last season. Though they've scored a little less this season one of their games was a tough road match-up. Although the Eskimos other game was a home match-up it was against a defensive-minded team as they hosted Montreal. Look for Edmonton to have a breakout game at home off of their bye week as they now host an Ottawa team that, just like them, is happy to air it out. The Redblacks are already 2-0 to the over this season (and 10-4 to the over the last 3 seasons combined) in games where they are a road dog in a range of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Ottawa is still winless on the season so they'll go hard here but their defense has been a concern with 33.3 points allowed per game so far this year. In other words, look for a shootout in this one. In fact, the last two meetings between these teams in Edmonton have totaled 63 and 82 points, respectively. Overall, only 2 of the last 8 meetings between these teams in Alberta have seen the game stay under the total! As a home fave of 3.5 to 6 points, the Eskimos are 6-2 to the over. I am expecting the over to improve to 11-3 in Ottawa's last 14 Friday games! Don't let the big number on this game scare you as indeed it does have "shootout" written all "over" it! 10* OVER the total in Edmonton in late night action Friday. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |