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This is an 8* play on Under 6.5.

The Canucks have been one of the biggest disappointments so far this season, and they should be a desperate hockey club here in Winnipeg tonight. I bet on the under in the last meeting between these teams, and a game tying goal in the final minute pushed the total over. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Canucks have struggled so far, and they are coming off a 2-0 home loss to the Jets. They have been playing a desperate brand of hockey lately, resulting in just one over in their last seven games. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Jets have also been trending towards low scoring games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Jets last 8 overall. The last five head to head meetings have all gone under, and with the total over six I think the value lies with following the trends."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

 It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the under.

It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Flyers haven't had any trouble putting the puck in the net, averaging 3.44 goals per game. The return of Claude Giroux and Jakob Voracek certainly won't hurt matters. They also get a crack at a struggling goaltender here in Buffalo, with Cater Hutton filling in for the injured starter Linus Ullmark. Hutton has given up a whopping 10 goals in his last three starts. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, the over is 38-18-1 in the last 57 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Under.

The Habs have fired their coach off another disturbing loss at Ottawa, and yet they come into Winnipeg as the favorite? The Jets have the reigning Vezina winner in goal, and they have won six of their last 10 overall. All four losses during that span came in games decided by one goal. Montreal has won five of the last six meetings, but three of those games were decided by one goal. The under is 11-5 in the Canadiens last 16 road games, and the underdog is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

Atalanta will host Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday, and we might expect some fireworks here. Atalanta has scored 11 goals in their last four matches, while Madrid has scored eight goals in their last four matches. Madrid has scored 42 goals in 24 matches in La Liga, only two teams have scored more. Atalanta has scored 53 goals in 23 matches in Serie A, and only Inter has scored more. Madrid faced Inter in Champions League play earlier this season, and scored five goals in two matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Canucks have struggled so far, and they are coming off a 2-0 home loss to the Jets. They have been playing a desperate brand of hockey lately, resulting in just one over in their last seven games. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Jets have also been trending towards low scoring games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Jets last 8 overall. The last five head to head meetings have all gone under, and with the total over six I thin the value lies with following the trends.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Chiefs continue to get off to slow starts, so don't be surprised if they do it again. They spotted Buffalo an early double digit lead in the AFC Championship Game, and last year in the Super Bowl they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to overcome a 10 point deficit. Nobody would be shocked to see this trend continue in SBLV. The over is 23-10 in the Buccaneers last 33 games overall, and they have gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. This total should probably be a little closer to 60 all things considered. GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over. 

The defending champs have fallen on tough times, dropping seven points out of first place behind Manchester City. Injuries on defense have been costly, and they have conceded almost twice as many goals as Manchester City. They have scored 43 goals in 22 matches, and they have scored eight goals in their last four matches. History favors the home side here, as Manchester City has never won at Anfield. Their last visit to Merseyside resulted in a 3-1 loss back in 2019.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

Texas will play at Oklahoma State Saturday, and we are expecting a high score here in Stillwater. These two teams played three times in 2020, going over the total in all three of those games. The over is 8-0 in Longhorns last eight overall, and they have gone over in seven straight Saturday games. The over is 15-4-3 in Cowboys last 22 home games, and the over is 22-8-3 in Cowboys last 33 overall. This total should probably be a little closer to 150.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

Manchester United scored a whopping nine goals in their last match, beating the hell out of a short-handed Southampton side. They host Everton on Saturday, and we should expect these teams to put on a show. Everton has scored seven goals in their last five matches, and they have conceded three. Manchester United leads the Premier League in scoring, but they are one of just two clubs in the top 10 that have conceded more than 25 goals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Senators rank dead last in the NHL allowing almost five goals per game, and the Oilers are not a lot better ranking 29th in the league in goals against. At least Edmonton scores their fair share of goals as well, averaging 3.45 goals per game. The Sens offense is not nearly as potent. Still these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with six of the last seven head to head meetings going over. That trend should continue tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Baylor Bears are still undefeated, and they will be a six point favorite on the road at Texas Tuesday. These two teams have a history of playing very defensive basketball, and the total appears a little low given the history. The Longhorns lost both meetings versus Baylor in 2020, and they failed to score 50 points in both those games. Baylor failed to score 60 points in both those games. The total was under 140 in each of the last 10 meetings between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Sooners are coming off a huge win over Alabama, holding the Tide to just 61 points. Oklahoma has been stellar defensively during a five game winning streak, but they are a significant underdog here in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are coming off a couple high scoring games, both of those on the road. Their last home game was a 68-60 loss to #2 ranked Baylor. History tells us that these teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, yet the total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Oklahoma has gone under in nine of their last 12 overall, and the under is 25-9 in the Red Raiders last 34 versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

After failing to score in four straight Premier League matches, Liverpool has scored five goals in their last two matches. The Reds also conceded four goals in those two matches. This won't be an easy match against West Ham. The Hammers have won five straight, scoring 11 goals in those matches. History tells us that we should expect a high score here, as the last two head to head matches saw a combined eight goals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Dallas Stars scored seven goals in their season opener, and they are 3-0 ahead of tonight's home game against Detroit. Thomas Greiss has been brilliant for the Wings, going 0-3-1 with a 2.54 GAA. He has alternated starts with Jonathan Bernier, who hasn't been nearly as sharp. Bernier is 2-1 with a 3.33 GAA, and if the rotation continues he would start tonight. The Stars won Game 1 of this series by a score of 2-1, but the previous seven meetings all saw five or more goals scored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Everton has won four of it's last five matches overall, and they host Leicester who is on a five match win streak. Liverpool has scored a Premier League best 37 goals, but Leicester isn't far behind with 35 goals in 19 matches. Everton has scored just 28 goals, however they have played two fewer matches. These two teams have gone over the total in three of the last four head to head meetings. I think there's enough talent on both these teams to justify a higher number than 2.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have averaged just 57 points per game in their last four, and they are 2-2 during that span. They are excellent on defense, holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game this season. The Temple Owls know a thing or two about playing defense, and we can expect a real defensive battle here in Philly. The under is 8-2 in the Owls last 10 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Owls have gone under in seven of their last eight versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Aggies are coming off their first loss in conference play, falling 84-76 to the Colorado State Rams. They will be a road favorite at UNLV, and I expect another high score here. The Rebels have won four straight against inferior opposition, including two Division 2 teams. The last time they played a contender in the Mountain West they lost back to back games at Colorado State. Both of those games were high scoring (145+). The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I expect the Rebels to score enough points to keep this a close enough game to go over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Washington Huskies are the worst team in the PAC12, but they are coming off a big home win over Colorado. They host Utah tonight, and I expect a high score in this game. The Huskies are terrible defensively, allowing over 77 points per game. The Utes have gone over in six of their last eight road games, and the over is 12-5 in Utes last 17 overall. The Huskies have gone over in five straight overall. We should see both teams reach 70 points in this one.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The last fight ended with McGregor scoring a first round knockout, but I think Poirier will last at least a couple rounds here in the rematch. He's won more than his share of big fights since the loss to Connor. Wins over Gaethje, Holloway and Hooker, and a loss to Khabib in the third round.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is in 8* play on Over.

The Rockets have averaged over 90 points per game in their last four, and they host Kent State in what should be a shootout. These two teams have gone over in four straight head to head meetings. The over is 7-1 in the Golden Flashes last eight games following a straight up win. Kent State has scored 80+ points in five straight. Both these teams are below average defensively, so it would be no suprise to see a similar score to the most recent meeting when Toldeo won by a score of 84-82 earlier this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on under.

The Nevada Wolfpack will be the favorite when they play at Wyoming tonight, and Nevada is one of the strongest defensive teams in the Mountain West. They have help the opposition to just 65 points per game this season. The Cowboys are a high scoring team that averages 78 points per game. They are coming off back to back games against Air Force, and neither of those games saw more than 145 combined points. These two teams haven't gone over 145 points in each of the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Liverpool has failed to score in three straight Premier League matches, but they will be heavily favored to win at home against Burnley. Goals are not flying in, so we have to work on it. Look at John Stones at Manchester City, he scores three and you cannot explain it. We need to stay calm, greedy and make good decisions and the situation will change." says Jurgen Klopp. Burnley has only scored nine goals in 17 matches this season, and they have only conceded four goals in their last five matches. The last time Burnley played Liverpool they earned a 1-1 draw. We should see another low score this afternoon.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Fulham has earned points in four of their last five matches, and during that span they have conceded only three goals. Three of those matches ended in a draw, and they will likely be happy to play for a draw here against United. The Red Devils are coming off a 0-0 draw versus Liverpool, and they have conceded just three goals in their last five matches. This likely won't be the most entertaining game to watch, and I wouldn't be shocked to see another scoreless draw.

GL,

Jesse Schule,

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Wildcats are coming off an 87-73 loss to USC, and they have scored 70+ in each of their last six games. Both of these teams have averaged over 75 points per game this season, and we can expect another high score in Arizona tonight. The over is 5-2 in the Bruins last seven overall, and the Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six home games. This game really could go either way, but we expect both teams to score 70+.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Nevada has played strong defense so far this season, and in two games in the Mountain West they held their opponent to fewer than 70 points in each contest. The Lobos have played twice in the league and have failed to score 54 points in both of those games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Lobos last eight overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

Southampton has scored 25 goals in just 15 matches, and West Ham has scored 23 goals in 15 matches. Neither side is particularly strong defensively, and history tells us that we can expect plenty of scoring when these teams meet. Four of the last five meetings have seen at least three goals combined, with the most recent meeting ending in a 3-1 victory for the Hammers at home. West Ham has conceded five goals in their last two matches, and we should expect both teams to score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

These two teams have historically played low scoring games, but because of that we see a low total for tonight's contest. The low number doesn't really reflect what we've seen from these teams so far this season. The Ant Eaters are averaging just under 90 points per game, and they rank 5th in the Big West with a field goal percentage of .484. They have also hit more than 70 percent of their free throws. The Gauchos rank second in the Big West in scoring, and they have a field goal percentage of .542. The over is 4-1 in the Anteaters last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

West Ham United is sitting right in the middle of the Premier League table (10th), even though they have scored 21 goals in 14 matches. Their defense has been below average, conceding 19 goals so far this season. They host Brighton Hove Albion Sunday, and these two teams have played to a draw in each of the last three meetings. Both teams have scored six goals in their last three head to head matches, an average of four goals per match. The Hammers don't often play low scoring games, with four of their last five going over a total of 2.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over 2.5.

Arsenal has struggled of late, losing back to back games by a combined score of 6-2. They will be tested here on Boxing Day, hosting a Chelsea team that has scored 29 goals in just 14 matches. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with each of the last four meetings going over the total. Chelsea has the second best goal differential in the Premier League (+15).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Kansas Jayhawks are 7-1 and ranked #3 overall. They have been strong defensively, allowing just 59.3 points per game at home. They host West Virginia tonight, and this will be the third meeting between these teams in 2020. The previous two games each went under the total, with Kansas winning 63-50 at home, and 58-49 at West Virginia. The under is 21-10-1 in Mountaineers last 32 overall, and the under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last five overall. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was the last time these teams played last February.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

These teams played last season and the Trojans won by a score of 67-66. The total for that game was set at 140, and the total in the previous five meetings was lower than 130. This appears to be an inflated number based on season averages on both offense and defense. The Missouri State Bears have held four of their last five opponents to fewer than 70 points, and I expect them make life difficult for the Trojans. Little Rock shot just 3-of-14 from beyond the arc in last year's game against the Bears.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Davidson Wildcats are coming off a loss to Charlotte, in a game that they scored just 52 points on 34 percent shooting. They will be at Rhode Island Friday, taking on a Rams team that is coming off back to back losses averaging 63.5 points in those games. The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime, which pushed the total over the number. They came up short of the number in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 8-1 in Wildcats last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, and the under is 10-3 in the Rams last 13 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Borrussia Dortmund and Union Berlin have each scored 25 goals in 12 matches so far. Dortmund has not posted a clean sheet in any of their last six matches, while Berlin has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. These two teams have played high scoring games in recent meetings, with each of the last three head to head matches seeing at least four goals. The last time Dortmund played at Berlin, they lost by a score of 3-1. I expect a similar score here this time around.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Borrussia Dortmund hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, and they are coming off a 5-1 loss to Stuttgart. They might be in for another high scoring game versus Werder Bremen this Tuesday, and Bremen has conceded 19 goals in 11 matches this season. These two teams have played high scoring games in four of the last five meetings. Dortmund has scored at least twice in each of their last five versus Bremen.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The UCLA Bruins opened the season with a 73-58 loss to San Diego State. They shot below 40% in the loss, but they have since won four in a row, averaging 86 points. They host Marquette on Friday night, and the Golden Eagles are off to a good start despite the loss of Markus Howard. The over is 8-3 in the Golden Eagles last 11 road games, and the over is 16-7 in the Bruins last 23 games following an ATS win. Marquette is averaging 77 points per game after winning four of five. We should see a close game with both teams scoring 70+ points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are 3-1, and their lone loss came in a 99-96 loss to Xavier. They have averaged 83 points per game so far, and they will be a double digit favorite here against Morehead State. The Eagles are coming off a 77-44 loss to Ohio State, and the over is 8-3 in the Eagles last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. These two teams played twice already in 2020, and both of those games saw more than 145 combined points. The total for this game is lower than it was in those previous meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Minnesota looks impressive after three games, and they are a huge favorite against North Dakota. These teams met earlier last season, and the Gophers won that game of 79-56. The total for that game was listed at 138, more than 10 points lower than this year's meeting. This number looks a little inflated and I am making a value play by fading the big number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Sporting Kansas City finished first in the Western Conference, and they allowed just 25 goals in 21 matches. Only two teams allowed fewer, and Minnesota conceded just 26 goals in 21 matches. Both these teams have posted clean sheets in three of their last five matches, and not one of the last five head to head meetings have seen more than three goals combined. Kansas City keeper Tim Melia has stopped all six penalty shootout attempts he has faced this season. Both these teams should be overly cautious in an elimination match.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Pacific Tigers have a win and a loss so far, and they went under in both of those games. A combination of strong defense and not so strong offense seems to be a recipe for low scoring games. Hitting less than half of their free throws certainly has been a factor. Montana State scored 91 points in a win over UNLV in their opener, but they have gone under in nine of their last 11 after scoring 90 or more points. The under is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

PSG has been dropping points in recent matches in the French league, coming off a draw versus Bordeaux and a loss to Montpellier. They also conceded five goals in those two matches, and they have conceded eight goals in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester United has won four of their last five Premier League matches, scoring 12 goals in those games. Recent head to head meetings between these teams have also been high scoring, with United winning 2-1 and 3-1 in the last two matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Nevada Wolfpack have played excellent defense during a 2-0 start, holding their opponents to an average of just 57 points. A home game against Pacific should be a defensive battle, as the Tigers can also play strong defense. The under is 12-5 in the Tigers last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wolfpack's last two games against teams from the WCC were losses to St. Mary's (68-63) and to BYU (75-42). Nevada has failed to reach the total in five straight against teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Wolverines shot over 54 percent in a 96-82 win over Bowling Green in their first game of the season, and they might shoot out the lights again tonight against Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3, and they have given up an average of 85 points in those losses. These two teams haven't played since 2011, but Michigan won that game by a score of 90-80. The over is 5-1 in the Wolverines last six overall, and the over is 11-4 in the Golden Grizzlies last 15 Sunday games. I expect this non-conference game to be another shootout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Bilikens won 15 of their 18 home games last season, and they are bringing back all their starters from last season. They host LSU Saturday, and the Tigers lost six of 10 road games last season, and they also bring back the majority of their starters. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The under is 19-7-1 in Billikens last 27 Saturday games, and they allowed just 52 points in their win over SIU on Thursday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Everton will host Leeds Saturday, and they will have to manage without several key defenders. Left back Lucas Digne, right back JonJoe Kenny and captain Seamus Coleman are all dealing with injuries. This could be a problem against Leeds, despite the fact that the newly promoted side has just win in their last five matches. It's not for lack of scoring, Leeds has scored 17 goals in nine matches, just two fewer than Everton. Neither side has been great defensively. Only three teams in the Premier League have conceded more goals than Everton, and Leeds is one of those three. Everton hasn't posted a clean sheet since beating Spurs 1-0 in their season opener.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and neither team shot the ball well. Clemson was just 5-of-25 from beyond the arc in the victory. Purdue scored 77 points in a win over Liberty, but shot just 54 percent from the charity stripe. I expect a low score here between two teams capable of playing great defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Manchester City and Liverpool have been the top two teams in the Premier League for the last several seasons, and they meet in Manchester on Sunday. Both teams are on a roll, each undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions. City is coming off a 3-0 win over Olympiakos in the Champions League mid week, while Liverpool won 5-0 at Atalanta. These teams played twice last season, both matches going over with four goals combined. Liverpool allowed just 33 goals in 38 matches last season (less than a goal per game), but they have allowed 15 goals in seven matches so far this season (more than two goals per game). I expect to see some goals here in this match.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Bayern Munich is still the top dog in Germany, sitting top of the Bundesliga with a +15 goal differential after just six matches. They have scored 15 goals in their last four matches, and they lead the Bundesliga in scoring with 24 goals. Borrussia Dortmund is second in the league in scoring, but with only 13 goals (11 fewer than Bayern). If Bayern has a weakness it's their defense, and that should lead to a high scoring affair between the top two teams in Germany. The last time these two teams faced each other, the final score was 3-2 for Bayern.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Both the Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas rank near the bottom of MLS in scoring, and recent head to head meetings have been low scoring. Dallas has failed to score a goal in two of it's last three versus Houston, and the Dynamo have scored just three goals in the last three head to head matches. Dallas has gone under in each of it's last five MLS matches, while Houston has gone under in six of it's last eight overall. It's tough to see these teams combining to score more than three goals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Inter Milan will face Shaktar Donetsk in Champions League play on Tuesday, and the Italian side won by a score of 5-0 at home in the first leg. Shaktar has since won 3-2 at Real Madrid, and between these two teams they have scored a ton of goals in this competition. Inter is coming off a 2-2 draw versus German side Borrussia Monchengladbach, and they have scored 13 goals in five matches in Series A. Shaktar has scored a dozen goals in their last five matches overall, and I fancy them to score a goal or two here in this revenge fixture.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Game 4 was another slugfest in Texas, with six more home runs in a wild 8-7 win for Tampa Bay. It doesn't seem to matter who is pitching, as even the slightest mistake results in the ball leaving the yard

Between the two teams, 13 different pitchers appeared in Game 4, and both teams bullpens might be limited in Game 5. Both managers might be giving their starters a longer leash here on Sunday.

The over is 13-3 in the last 16 head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Khabib will look for the submission in this fight, while Gaethje will certainly be looking for a knockout. Gaethje has had 11 consecutive fights ending in a knockout, and when he has lost, he has been knocked out. I don't really expect an upset here, but whoever wins I think it's happening in the first four rounds.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

Manchester United will play at Old Trafford this weekend, and we are expecting to see plenty of goals. Manchester United has scored nine goals in their last four Premier League matches. Chelsea has scored 13 goals in their last five Premier League matches. Chelsea spent a small fortune in the off season acquiring Timo Werner, Kai Havertz and Hakim Ziyech. Scoring goals hasn't been a problem for Chelsea, but defending has been an issue. They conceded three goals in a 3-3 draw versus Southampton in their last league match. The Red Devils have gone over in five straight matches in all competitions.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

We saw another slugfest in Game 2 of the World Series in Texas. The Dodgers and the Rays combined to hit five home runs, scoring a total of 10 runs combined. We expect more of the same in this hitter's park in Game 3.

Walker Buehler will toe the slab for LA, and he's coming off a flawless performance in a win over San Diego. Charlie Morton is also coming off back to back starts with no runs scored.

Neither of these starters are expected to go the distnance, so both teams should get a solid crack at the opposing bullpen.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Dodgers powered past Tampa by a score of 8-3 in Game 1, and we continue to see balls leave the yard in Texas. The pitching matchup for Game 2 features a pair of starters who have been hit relatively hard of late.

Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's given up seven runs on 15 hits in 14 innings in his last three starts.

The Dodgers hand they ball to Tony Gonsolin, who has allowed 11 runs on 12 hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last three appearances.

These two teams have gone over in five straight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Chelsea has stacked their squad with offensive firepower, and after spending a fortune in the transfer market they have certainly scored their fair share of goals. They gave scored 13 times in five matches, but they have also conceded nine goals. Sevilla has been solid on both sides of the ball, and they won last year's Europa League Cup with wins over Manchester United (2-1) and Inter Milan (3-2). I expect to see at least three goals here at Stamford Bridge.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on over.

The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total.

GL

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 10* play on Over.

The Merseyside Derby has been very one-sided for decades, but this Saturday's match between Liverpool and Everton is a little different. So far it's Everton sitting top of the table in the Premier League, and they have scored 12 goals in just four matches. The defending champions have struggled on defense so far, allowing 11 goals in four matches. They haven't had any trouble scoring goals, with 11 in four matches. I am going to go out on a limb and predict an exact score of 2-2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Game 1 of this series was a pitcher's duel between Walker Buehler and Max Fried, but Game 2 features a pair of average starters in a hitter's park, and the total looks a little low.

Tony Gonsolin will fill in for scheduled starter Clayton Kershaw, and the 26 year old will be making his first appearance of the post-season. He allowed six runs on 10 hits over 11 innings in his last two starts.

The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson who hasn't allowed a run in the post-season. He did allow six runs on 11 hits over 10 1/3 innings in his last two regular season starts.

The over is 12-5-1 in Braves last 18 playoff games as an underdog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Yankees are a team designed to win games with their bats, and they haven't disappointed. The bats have scored 18 runs in the first three games, but the pitching staff hasn't been doing it's job.

They turn to the back of the rotation tonight, and we have every reason to expect the same result. The last time Jordan Montgomery faced the Rays he failed to complete an inning, allowing four runs on five hits. The Rays look like they will use an opener and lean on their bullpen.

The Yankees have gone over in six straight playoff games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

To say that the ball has been carrying well at Dodgers Stadium would be an understatement. Neither pitcher today inspires much confidence that they can reverse the trend of home runs in this series.

Greinke allowed five runs on eight hits including a pair of home runs in five innings in his last start in this ballpark.

Frankie Montas allowed five runs on seven hits including three home runs in four innings in his last start at Chavez Ravine.

We saw five home runs in the first five innings in LA yesterday.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

Leeds United has had no trouble scoring goals since their return to the Premier League, finding the back of the net eight times in three matches. They haven't had much success stopping opponents from scoring, allowing seven goals in those games. Manchester City has also struggled on defense, coming off an ugly 5-2 loss to Leicester City. This will be just the third Premier League match of the season for City, and they have gone over in four straight matches in all competitions. The over is also 4-1 in their last five matches versus Leeds.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Both the first two games of this series have been high scoring, and San Diego is running out of pitchers for Game 3. If they keep scoring runs, it might not matter who pitches.

Jack Flaherty will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he hasn't been the same pitcher in 2020 that he was in 2019. He has an ERA of 9.45 on the road, and he's 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in his last three appearances.

PETCO used to be the most notorious pitcher's park in the majors, but boy have things changed.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on OVER.

After a pitcher's duel in Game 1 in Atlanta, I expect more scoring here in Game 2. This is a hitter's park, and five of the final seven games of the regular season in Atlanta saw nine or more runs scored.

Ian Anderson will toe the slab for the Braves, and he allowed five runs on nine hits in 8 2/3 innings in his last two appearances at home.

The Reds hand the ball to Louis Castillo, who has pitched better at home than he has on the road. He was just 2-5 with a 4.12 ERA in seven starts on the road.

Atlanta has hit him hard, batting a combined .388 over 47 at bats in previous meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule