07-10-16 |
France +109 v. PORTUGAL | Top | 0-0 |
Loss | -100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on France.
The French will host Portugal in the Euro 2016 Final on French soil, and I think this game is an epic mismatch. Portugal arrives to the Final with just one regulation win under it's belt. When faced with a must win situation in their final match of the group stages, the Portuguese conceded three goals in a 3-3 draw versus Hungary. They failed to score in regulation in draws against Austria and Croatia, and they also drew 1-1 in a match versus Iceland. France has had no troubles finding the net in this tournament, scoring 13 goals in six matches. They showed character in their knockout round game versus Ireland, coming back from down 1-0 to win 2-1. The only match that they failed to win, was a meaningless game against the Swiss, after they had already locked up first in their group. I expect France to win here in the Final quite convincingly.
Take FR.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-10-16 |
Angels v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 111 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles beat the Angels 3-2 at home yesterday, evening this series at 1-1. Baltimore leads the major leagues with 32 home victories so far this season, and I like the O's in the rubber match this afternoon.
Chris Tillman will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's having a career year. Tillman (11-2, 3.55 ERA) allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings in a win at LA his last time out. He's 7-0 with a 3.45 ERA in 11 starts at home this season, and he's 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts versus the Angels.
The Halos hand the ball to Tim Lincecum, who still battles control issues. Lincecum (1-2, 7.50 ERA) gave up five runs on 10 hits over 4 1/3 innings in a no decision versus Tampa his last time out. After looking impressive in his season debut, he's since been rocked in three straight starts.
Mark Trumbo leads the major leagues with 28 home runs, and he's hitting .375 with a home run lifetime versus Lincecum.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-08-16 |
Calgary v. Ottawa | Top | 26-26 |
Push | 0 | 89 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ottawa Redblacks. The undefeated Redblacks opened the season with a an upset win on the road in Edmonton in a rematch of last season's Grey Cup. They lost starting quarterback Henry Burris, but backup Trevor Harris has been impressive in his place. Harris leads the CFL in passing yards, TDs and completion percentage. The former Argo has completed 37-of-45 attempts for 687 yards and six majors. His top target Chris Williams leads the CFL in receiving with 383 yards and three TDs. The Redblacks host the 1-1 Calgary Stampeders tonight, and Calgary's offense didn't look good on the road at B.C. in a 20-18 loss in Week 1. I don't think Calgary will be able to match the high octane offense of the Redbacks here in Ottawa's home opener. Take OTT. GL, Jesse Schule |
07-07-16 |
Mariners v. Royals -126 | Top | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals.
The defending champs have lost four straight, and return home after getting swept in a three game series at Toronto. They host the Mariners tonight, and Game 1 looks like a favorable spot to back the home team.
Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's been very sharp in recent outings. Duffy (4-1, 3.11 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out eight in 8 2/3 innings in a 6-2 win over Philly his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in five home starts, and he has been successful in previous meetings with Seattle. The Mariners lineup has as many strikeouts as hits (13) in a combined 49 previous at bats.
The Mariners hand the ball to James Paxton, who hasn't been missing many bats lately. Paxton (2-3, 4.24 ERA) gave up four runs on nine hits over 5 2/3 innings in a home win over the Orioles his last time out. He's 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA in three starts on the road.
Eric Hosmer is having a big year, and he's hitting .340 at home. Hosmer is 2-for-4 lifetime versus Paxton.
Take KC.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-06-16 |
Wales v. PORTUGAL OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 |
Push | 0 | 37 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wales/Portugal to OVER the total.
Wales shocked Belgium in the quarterfinals, scoring three unanswered goals after going down 1-0 early. The Welsh haven't had any trouble scoring in this tournament, with 10 goals in their last five matches. Their defending hasn't been quite as impressive, especially when facing top tier opposition. They posted clean sheets in wins over Russia and Northern Ireland, but they conceded two second half goals in a 2-1 loss to England, and they've allowed seven goals in their last six matches. They will face a Portuguese side that has also looked suspect defensively, conceding four goals in their last three matches. In their final game of the group stages, the Portuguese played a must win game against Hungary, and conceded three goals, settling for a draw. I can't see either of these two teams registering a clean sheet here in this match, and neither team looks capable of protecting a 1-0 lead.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-06-16 |
Tigers v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-2 |
Loss | -105 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Indians crushed the Tigers by a score of 12-1 on Tuesday, but I think this afternoon's game will be more of a pitcher's duel.
Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been nothing short of dominant in recent outings. Fulmer (8-2, 2.17 ERA) struck out 10 batters, tossing seven scoreless innings in a win at Tampa his last time out. The 23 year old is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in four starts in day games this season.
The Indians hand the ball to Josh Tomlin, who has been enjoying a career year. Tomlin (9-1, 3.21 ERA) allowed one run on seven hits, striking out eight in six innings in a 2-1 win at Toronto his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts in day games, and 3-0 with a 2.61 ERA in three starts against the Tigers this season.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-03-16 |
Orioles v. Mariners -139 | Top | 4-9 |
Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Mariners.
The Mariners have had their way with Baltimore's pitching staff in this series, and I expect that to continue at Safeco on Sunday.
Ubaldo Jimenez will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's been getting roughed up all year long. Jimenez (5-7, 6.63 ERA) allowed one run on three hits and four walks over five innings in a win at San Diego his last time out. He was torched for six runs on five hits and four walks in 4 1/3 innings in a home loss to Seattle earlier this season. Robinson Cano was 3-for-4 in that game, and the Mariners slugger is 8-for-14 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Jimenez.
The Mariners hand the ball to Hisashi Iwakuma, who is coming off a solid performance. Iwakuma (7-6, 4.34 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings in a home win over the Pirates his last time out. He's won four in a row at Safeco, and he's sporting a 1.90 ERA in his last three starts versus Baltimore.
The Orioles have lost six of their last seven when Jimenez starts on the road.
Take SEA.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-02-16 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF@ARI to go OVER the total.
The Giants won Game 1 of this series by a score of 6-4, and I expect another high scoring affair here tonight.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for San Fran, and he's been roughed up on occasion this season. Samardzija (8-5, 3.91 ERA) was torched for six runs on eight hits over six innings in a home loss to Oakland his last time out. He was 1-2 with a 6.83 ERA in five starts in June.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who has been brutal at home lately. Corbin (4-6, 4.99 ERA) gave up six runs on seven hits over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Colorado his last time out. He's a woeful 0-5 with a 7.02 ERA in seven starts at home in 2016.
The over is 5-1-1 in Samardzijas last 7 starts overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-02-16 |
Pirates v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 |
Loss | -120 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@OAK to go OVER the total.
The Pirates are hot, coming into Game 2 in Oakland as winners of five of their last seven. They won Game 1 by a score of 7-3, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight.
Rookie Chad Kuhl will toe the slab for the Pirates, making just his second career start. All he did in his debut was win opposite Clayton Kershaw. The 23 year old was quite lucky though, giving up three runs on four hits and four walks in five innings against the Dodgers.
Oakland will hand the ball to Rich Hill, who hasn't pitched since May 29th. Hill (8-3, 2.25 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits and three walks over 6 1/3 innings in a home win over Detroit his last time out.
The over is 8-0-1 in Athletics last nine overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-02-16 |
Tigers -118 v. Rays | Top | 3-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Tigers.
The Tigers spanked the Rays, winning by a score of 10-2 in Tampa last night. They've won four straight, and I like their chances of making it five in a row here on Saturday afternoon.
Justin Verlander will toe the slab for Detroit, and he was roughed up at home against Cleveland his last time out. Verlander (7-6. 4.30 ERA) gave up eight runs on nine hits in just 4 2/3 innings in the loss to the Tribe. He should be able to bounce back this afternoon against a Tampa team that he's dominated in the past. He's 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in two starts against the Rays since 2013. Tampa's lineup is batting just .197 with 20 strikeouts and just 14 hits in 71 previous at bats versus the veteran.
The Rays hand the ball to rookie Blake Snell, who is coming off his first major league win. While he got credit for the victory, he didn't pitch particularly well, allowing four runs on eight hits and four walks in 5 1/3 innings.
The rookie won't be able to count on much run support from Tampa, as the Rays rank dead last in the American League with a team batting average of .241.
Take DET.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-02-16 |
White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 7-6 |
Loss | -117 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@HOU to go UNDER the total.
The White Sox were blanked 5-0 in Game 1 of this series in Houston Friday, but they came into this series as winners of seven of their last 10. We should see a pitcher's duel here in Game 2, as Chris Sale goes for his 14th win.
Doug Fister will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's having a fine season in his own right. Fister (8-4, 3.36 ERA) gave up four runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. He's 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA in six starts at home this season, and he's defeated the White Sox once already this season. He didn't pitch particularly well in that game, giving up three runs on nine hits over 6 1/3 innings. Melkey Cabrera was 2-for-4 in that game, but luckily for Fister, he won't have to face Chicago's most dangerous hitter today.
Chris Sale (13-2, 2.79 ERA) struck out seven while allowing a pair of runs on five hits in eight innings in a 5-2 win over the Blue Jays his last time out. He went the distance, striking out nine and surrendering just one run on four hits in a 2-1 win the last time he faced Houston. He absolutely owns the Astros, holding them to a .197 average over a combined 71 at bats.
These teams have gone under in eight of their last nine head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
07-01-16 |
Royals -115 v. Phillies | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -115 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals.
The Royals come into Philadelphia as winners of four of their last five, but they are still six games back of Cleveland in the AL Central. They play Game 1 of a new series in Philly tonight, and they appear to have a favorable matchup on the mound.
Ian Kennedy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's coming off a stellar performance. Kennedy (6-6, 3.96 ERA) gave up one run on three hits, striking out 11 in seven innings in a home win over Houston his last time out. He's owned the Phillies in previous meetings, holding them to a combined .145 batting average in 55 at bats.
The Phillies hand the ball to Jeremy Hellickson, who hasn't pitched well in Philadelphia. Hellickson (5-6, 4.23 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to Arizona in his last home start. He's 2-3 with a 3.37 ERA in eight starts at Citizen's Bank Park. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 9.17 ERA in his last four starts versus Kansas City.
The Royals bullpen still ranks 1st in the major leagues with an ERA of 2.72.
Take KC.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-30-16 |
Orioles -102 v. Mariners | Top | 3-5 |
Loss | -102 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles come into Seattle as winners of seven straight, and they send their ace to the mound at Safeco tonight.
Chris Tillman (10-1, 3.52 ERA) allowed six runs on 10 hits over five innings in an 8-6 home win over Tampa his last time out. He gave up two runs on four hits, striking out six in 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mariners earlier this season.
The Mariners hand the ball to Taijuan Walker, who has just one win in his last 10 appearances. Walker (3-6, 3.45 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits and two walks over five innings in a loss to the Orioles earlier this year.
Mark Trumbo is on fire, hitting his major league leading 23rd home run in San Diego last night. He's 2-for-3 with a home run lifetime versus Walker.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-30-16 |
Ottawa v. Montreal | Top | 28-13 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ottawa Redblacks.
Ottawa lost starting quarterback Henry Burris in the season opener at Edmonton last week. The veteran left in the third quarter with a broken finger, and was replaced by Trevor Harris. The former Argo completed 17-of-19 passes for 292 yards and three TDs, leading Ottawa to a come-from-behind win. The 30 year old quarterback threw for over 4000 yards and 33 TDs with the Argos last season, and he may well be the better of Ottawa's two signal callers. The Redblacks will play in Montreal Thursday, and the Als are coming off a 22-14 win over Winnipeg. Montreal's defense looked impressive in Week 1, but they face a much tougher opponent here tonight. The Alouettes lost all three meetings with Ottawa last year, including a 20-16 loss at home in Montreal. Ottawa is 4-0 ATS in it's last four road games, while the Alouettes are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. As much as Montreal has improved since last season, I still don't think they have enough firepower to keep up with the CFL's highest scoring offense.
Take OTT.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-30-16 |
PORTUGAL v. POLAND +0.5 | Top | 1-1 |
Win | 100 | 38 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Poland.
Portugal comes into this quarterfinals matchup with Poland as a heavy favorite, despite barely qualifying for the round of 16. They finished third in one of the competition's weakest groups, and when they needed a win against Hungary, they conceded three goals and had to settle for a draw. Hungary was completely out-classed by Belgium in the round of 16, losing 4-0. Portugal managed to hang on to beat Croatia in extra time after playing a scoreless draw through 90 minutes. I think the Portuguese are going to struggle to create offense here against Poland, a team that has only conceded one goal in the tournament so far. After registering three consecutive clean sheets in the group stages (including a scoreless draw versus Germany), Xherdan Shaqiri scored a late equalizer in the 82nd minute to force extra time. Poland went on to win on penalties, which was a fitting result after they dominated play for most of the match. Poland probably should be the favorite here, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them handle Portugal with ease.
Take POL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-30-16 |
Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 |
Loss | -120 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAD@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The Dodgers were shutout in Milwaukee last night, and I think runs will be hard to come by again this afternoon.
Zach Davies will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's had an impressive season so far. Davies (5-3, 3.74 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits, striking out nine in five innings in a 5-3 home win over Washington his last time out. He's 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his last five starts, and one of those was a no-decision at LA, where he allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who was pitching opposite Davies in a 2-1 win at Chavez Ravine last week. He allowed one run on six hits, striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings in that game. He's 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA in seven starts on the road this season.
The Under is 10-4 in the Brewers last 14 home games versus a right-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-30-16 |
Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@CWS to go UNDER the total.
The Sox evened this series with Minnesota, winning Game 2 in a slugfest by a score of 9-6. The rubber match goes this afternoon, and we are likely to see a pitcher's duel in Chicago. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's been very sharp in recent weeks. Rodon (2-6, 4.09 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits, striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a home win over Toronto his last time out. He tossed six scoreless innings in a win at Minnesota earlier this season, and he boasts an impressive 2.64 ERA in day games this season.
The Twins hand the ball to Tommy Milone, who is still looking for his first win of the season. Milone (0-2, 5.33 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits and two walks over just 3 2/3 innings in a 5-3 loss in the Bronx his last time out. The southpaw has had success against the White Sox in the past, going 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA in his last seven starts against them.
Run support could be a problem for Milone, as the Twins rank dead last in the American League in runs scored. The White Sox have failed to reach the total in six of Rodon's last seven home starts. Take UNDER
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-29-16 |
Orioles -138 v. Padres | Top | 12-6 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles have won six straight, and they look to put the finishing touches on a three game sweep of San Diego this afternoon. The Padres simply don't have the firepower to keep up to Baltimore, and I expect another blowout at PETCO in the finale.
Yovani Gallardo will toe the slab for the visitors, and his return to the majors has been quite successful so far. Gallardo (2-1, 6.04 ERA) has allowed five runs on 12 hits over 10 1/3 innings in back to back wins since coming off the DL. He's 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA in his last three starts at PETCO.
The Friars hand the ball to Christian Friedrich, who has been hit hard of late. Friedrich (4-2, 3.60 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits and four walks over five innings in a win over Cincinnati his last time out. Prior to that he was torched for six runs on nine hits and two walks over six innings in a home loss to Washington.
Mark Trumbo was 2-for-5 with an RBI last night, and he leads the major leagues with 22 home runs. He's 3-for-4 lifetime versus Friedrich.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-28-16 |
Pirates v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 2-5 |
Loss | -114 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Pirates won three of four in a home series versus the Dodgers, and they will travel across the country to play Seattle in Game 1 of a new series at Safeco tonight.
Jonathan Niese will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he's coming off three consecutive poor performances. Niese (6-5, 4.93 ERA) was torched for five runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings in a home loss to the Giants his last time out. He could be in for a rough night against this Seattle lineup that leads the major leagues in runs scored versus left-handed pitching.
The Mariners hand the ball to Hisashi Iwakuma, who has not looked very sharp this season. Iwakuma (6-6, 4.45 ERA) was lit up for five runs on 11 hits in just 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Detroit his last time out. He's surrendered seven home runs in his last three starts.
The Over is 11-5-1 in Mariners last 17 games at Safeco.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-28-16 |
Twins v. White Sox -164 | Top | 4-0 |
Loss | -164 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chisox.
The White Sox have won five of their last seven overall, moving back to .500 on the season. They host the Twins tonight, and Minnesota owns the worst record in the major leagues. The Twins are 9-26 on the road this year, and I don't like their chances with a struggling starter on the mound here in the Windy City.
Kyle Gibson hasn't won a game all year, but he's been at his absolute worst on the road. Gibson (0-5, 6.05 ERA) was torched for five runs on eight hits in six innings in a no decision versus the Phillies his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 12.38 ERA on the road in 2016, and he allowed three runs on six hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings in a home loss to the White Sox earlier in the year.
Chicago will hand the ball to Jose Quintana, who has been having another solid season. Quintana (5-7, 3.04 ERA) struck out 10, allowing three runs on eight hits over eight innings in a loss to Kansas City in his last home start. He's 3-3 with a 2.55 ERA at home this season, and 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two previous starts against Minnesota.
The Twins have lost their last six versus the White Sox, and they are 5-18 in their last 23 road games versus a left-handed starter.
Take CWS.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-28-16 |
Red Sox v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-2 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@TB to go OVER the total.
We saw a slugfest in St. Petersburg last night, with the Rays beating Boston by a score of 13-7. The total for Game 2 looks a little low, given that both scheduled starters have struggled lately.
Chris Archer will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's been absolutely brutal in 2016. Archer (4-10, 4.70 ERA) gave up four runs on six hits and two walks in six innings in a loss to Cleveland his last time out. In his only start against Boston this season he was lit up for six runs on eight hits and two walks in just 4 1/3 innings.
The Red Sox hand the ball to Rick Porcello, who has struggled on the road. Porcello (8-2, 3.93 ERA) gave up four runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the White Sox his last time out. The Red Sox have lost five of his last six starts away from Fenway, and they've gone over the total in each of his last five road starts.
Boston leads the major leagues in runs scored, batting average and on base percentage.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-28-16 |
Cubs v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHC@CIN to go OVER the total.
The Cubs clobbered Cincy by a score of 11-8 last night, and I expect to see another slugfest at Great American Ballpark tonight.
Jon Lester will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been great so far this season. Lester (9-3, 2.10 ERA) gave up a pair of solo home runs and walked three in seven innings in a loss at Miami his last time out. He should have plenty of margin for error here opposite a struggling Cincinnati starter tonight.
The Reds hand the ball to John Lamb, who has just one win in his last 10 appearances. Lamb (1-4, 4.78 ERA) gave up four runs on four hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to the Padres his last time out. This figures to be a tough matchup for the southpaw.
These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over at a rate of 16-5-2 in the last 23 meetings.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-27-16 |
A's v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-3 |
Win | 104 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OAK@SF to go OVER the total.
The Giants have won five of their last six, and all five of those wins saw at least eight runs scored. They beat the Phillies 8-7 yesterday, and I expect another high scoring contest here tonight versus Oakland.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been hit hard of late. Samardzija (8-4, 3.59 ERA) gave up six runs on six hits, with two walks and a pair of home runs in just three innings in a loss to Pittsburgh his last time out. He's now surrendered 15 runs, and a whopping eight home runs in his last four starts. He hasn't has much success against Oakland in recent seasons, going 1-1 with a 10.64 ERA in two starts over the last three seasons.
The Athletics hand the ball to Daniel Mengden, who is still searching for his first major league victory. The 23 year old allowed three runs on seven hits in six innings in a loss to Milwaukee his last time out.
Oakland ranks dead last in the American League with a fielding percentage of .981.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-27-16 |
Astros v. Angels OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@LAA to go OVER the total.
The Angels lost three of four in a home series versus Oakland over the weekend, and all four games went over the total. That's eight straight home games that have gone over for LA, and I think we'll see another high scoring game here tonight against Houston.
Colin McHugh will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's coming off a win over LA at home last week. McHugh (5-5, 4.70 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over seven innings in that game. He's struggled on the road though, going 2-3 with a 5.02 ERA in seven starts.
The Angels hand the ball to Matt Shoemaker, who has been inconsistent all year. Shoemaker (3-8, 4.43 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits and two walks over 7 1/3 innings in a loss to Houston his last time out. He's winless in his last five starts, and he has a history of struggling versus Houston.
Jose Altuve leads the major leagues with a .347 batting average, and he's hitting .429 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Shoemaker.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-26-16 |
CHILE v. Argentina -129 | Top | 0-0 |
Loss | -129 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Argentina. Argentina and Chile will do battle in the final of Copa America for a second straight year. Chile won last year's final after a penalty shootout, but Argentina is looking good to take revenge this time around. Argentina has won each of its five games here at Copa leading up to the final, and that includes a 2-1 victory against Chile on June 6 in their opener of the group stage. The win was more convincing than the scoreline would suggest as Chile's goal came three minutes into injury time. Chile was fairly lucky in its semi-finals game against Colombia as two quick goals had its opponent completely demoralized and a red card early in the second half made a Colombian comeback near impossible. Argentina thrashed the USMNT 4-0 in its semi-final game and has won each of its last four games by at least three goals. Argentina has almost unparalleled offensive firepower in Lionel Messi, Gonzalo Higuain and Ezequiel Lavezzi, who all found the net against the US. I don't see how Chile can keep Argentina in check over a full 90 minutes. Take ARG. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-26-16 |
Hungary v. BELGIUM -157 | Top | 0-4 |
Win | 100 | 78 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Belgium.
The Red Devils began the tournament with a 2-0 loss to Italy, but that game was much closer than the final score would indicate. Belgium failed to capitalize on several quality chances, and eventually Italy was able to punish them on the counter attack. The Italians added a late goal while Belgium pressed for the equalizer. When they faced an inferior opponent in their next game, they defeated Ireland in a rout, winning 3-0. A 1-0 win over Sweden propelled them into the knockout round, and they have to be pleased with their draw. Hungary came out on top in one of the weaker groups, but they conceded four goals in draws against Portugal and Iceland in their last two matches. Belgium is a far superior opponent to those two teams, and I expect this to be a one-sided affair from start to finish.
Take BELGIUM.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-26-16 |
Astros v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 |
Win | 106 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@KC to go UNDER the total.
The Houston Astros are on fire, coming into Game 3 of this series in Kansas City as winner of seven straight. They've outscored the Royals 26-9 in the last two games, but I expect the bats to cool off in a matinee at Kauffman Stadium today.
Ian Kennedy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and the veteran has had plenty of success against Houston in the past. Kennedy (5-6, 4.19 ERA) allowed two runs on four hits over just four innings in a 2-1 loss at New York his last time out. He's been better at home, with a record of 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA in Kansas City. He allowed one run on just two hits, fanning seven in seven innings in a win over Houston earlier this year, and the Astros lineup has hit just .161 in a combined 62 at bats in previous meetings.
Houston hands the ball to Doug Fister, who has been pretty sharp in his own right. Fister (8-3, 3.21 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over seven innings in a home win over the Angels his last time out. The Astros are 10-0 in his last 10 starts, and he's 4-0 with a 1.71 ERA in four starts so far in June.
There is reason for concern though, as Fister has been roughed up in past meetings with Kansas City. He gave up six runs on nine hits in 5 2/3 innings, losing his only start versus the Royals this year, and he was 1-3 with a 3.41 ERA in his previous five meetings with Kansas City.
The Astros had failed to reach the total in eight straight on the road prior to arriving in Kansas City.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-26-16 |
Indians v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 |
Loss | -120 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@DET to go UNDER the total.
I am expecting a pitcher's duel in the Motor City Sunday, when the Tigers host the Indians in the series finale at Comerica Park.
Justin Verlander will toe the slab for the Tigers, and the veteran has been dominant so far in 2016. Verlander (7-5, 3.78 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits, striking out five in seven innings in a 4-2 win over Seattle his last time out. The Tigers are 6-1 in his last seven starts, and six of those games went under the total.
The Indians hand the ball to Josh Tomlin, who is already 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against the Tigers this year. Tomlin (8-1, 3.32 ERA) allowed just one run on four hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 2-1 win at Detroit earlier this season. He's 4-0 with a 2.63 ERA in six starts on the road.
The Under is 8-3-2 in Indians last 13 games versus a right-handed starter.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-26-16 |
Padres v. Reds -131 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Reds.
The Padres have out-scored the Reds 23-8 while taking the first three games of this series in Cincinnati, but I don't like their chances of completing the sweep Sunday.
Luis Perdomo will toe the slab for the Friars, and he hasn't fooled anyone in his brief stay in the big leagues. Perdomo (2-2, 9.00 ERA) gave up six runs on seven hits, including a pair of home runs in a 10-7 win at Baltimore his last time out. He's surrendered a whopping eight home runs in his last 23 innings pitched, and opponents are batting .362 against him for the season.
The Reds hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani, who makes his fourth appearances this season. The 26 year old right-hander has been solid in the previous three, posting a 2.30 ERA in 15 innings of work. He gave up just two runs on six hits, striking out six in seven innings in an 8-2 win at Texas his last time out.
The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 road games versus a right-handed starter.
Take CIN.
GL, Jesse Schule |
06-25-16 |
Ottawa v. Edmonton UNDER 54 | Top | 45-37 |
Loss | -110 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OTT@EDM to go UNDER the total.
The Eskimos defeated Ottawa by a score of 26-20 to win the 2015 Grey Cup, and we'll see a rematch of the Championship Game here in Week 1. These two teams ranked 1st and 3rd respectively in overall defense last season, and they've gone under in four of the last five head to head meetings. While both teams were equally as prolific offensively, I think it's going to take time for both teams to get settled in as both have replaced the majority of their coaching staffs. The Redblacks were fortunate that Henry Burris was able to be so successful last year, turning back the clock at the age of 40. Now a year later I think he might just look his age facing the top defense in the CFL on the road. The weather is also a potential factor, as rain and wind are in the forecast tonight in Edmonton.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-25-16 |
PORTUGAL v. Croatia | Top | 0-0 |
Push | 0 | 56 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Croatia.
Portugal entered the tournament as the favorite to win their group, but even against the likes of Iceland and Hungary, they looked over-matched. Three draws against inferior opposition doesn't inspire a lot of confidence ahead of their Round of 16 match versus Croatia. A 2-1 win over Spain raised plenty of eyebrows, and Croatia comes into the knockout round in fine form. They've out-scored the opposition 19-4 while going 5-0-2 in their last seven matches. Portugal on the other hand has won just three of it's last eight matches, failing to score in three of those games. The Portuguese defense was shocking in a 3-3 draw versus Hungary, and a team with the quality of Croatia should be able to take advantage, especially with Luka Modric back in the midfield.
Take CROATIA.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-25-16 |
POLAND v. Switzerland | Top | 1-1 |
Push | 0 | 50 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Poland. The round of 16 of the European Championship opens with a clash between Switzerland and Poland on Saturday. Both teams enter the knockout stage undefeated, but I think Poland will prove to be the stronger team and advance to the next round. Poland has yet to concede a goal in this tournament and managed to successfully suffocate Germany's fearsome attack in a 0-0 draw in one of their group games. It may have managed just two goals so far and its star striker Robert Lewandowski is still looking for his first shot on target, but the Bayern Munich star is likely to raise his game here in the knockout phase. The Swiss have not been particularly successful with their goal-scoring either and both its goals so far have come as a result of corners. I don't think they'll have much success with their set pieced against the big, strong Polish centre-backs though. Poland has two terrific players in Lewandowski and Jakub Blaszczykowski, the kind of players that win you games. Take POL. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-24-16 |
Rays v. Orioles -128 | Top | 3-6 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles sit in first in the AL East, 9.5 games up on last place Tampa. The Rays come into Game 1 of a four game series at Camden Yards as losers of seven straight, and I don't like their chances of snapping out of it tonight.
Yovani Gallardo will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he looked sharp in his first start off the DL. Gallardo (2-1, 6.26 ERA) gave up a pair of runs on five hits, striking out five in five innings in a 4-2 win over the Jays last week. He's seen plenty of Tampa in the past, and the team as a whole is batting just .198 in a combined 81 at bats against him. Evan Longoria is 1-for-9 with two strikeouts.
The Rays hand the ball to Matt Moore, who has been roughed up on the road this year. Moore (3-4, 4.90 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits and two walks over six innings in a 6-4 loss to the Giants his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA in five starts on the road, and he's struggled against the big bats in Baltimore's lineup.
Matt Weiters is hitting .400 with a pair of home runs in 20 career at bats versus Moore, and Adam Jones is hitting .407 with a pair of homers.
Take Baltimore.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-23-16 |
Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 54.5 | Top | 42-20 |
Loss | -105 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HAM@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The CFL season kicks off at BMO Field in Toronto, with the Argos hosting bitter rivals Hamilton. This will be the Argos first game at their new facility, and there are a few things that might take some getting used to. One interesting bit of information is that the endzones at BMO Field are not the standard 20 yards deep, they only go back 18 yards from the goal line. This could prove to be problematic when it comes to redzone scoring, leaving the offense less room to work with. Think of all the touchdowns you see thrown to the back of the endzone, and just imagine that space not being there.
Traditionally we see low scoring games in the first week of the season, with teams still trying to get settled on offense. The Argos have trended under at a rate of 23-9 in their last 32 games in Week 1, while the Tiger Cats have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 13 season openers. The two Eastern Conference rivals have gone under in four of the last five meetings, including a 25-22 home win for the Tiger Cats in the last meeting.
Hamilton comes into this game without starting quarterback Zach Collaros, and his replacement Jeremiah Masoli owns a career completion percentage below 50%, and has thrown for as many INTs (3) as touchdowns. Defense should be a strength for the Tiger Cats, who ranked in the top 3 in scoring defense last season. The Argos are also expected to be vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball under the leadership of Rich Stubler.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-23-16 |
Mets v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYM@ATL to go UNDER the total.
The Mets are 3.5 games back of Washington in the NL East, and they visit the last place Braves on Thursday night. The Braves rank dead last in the major leagues in scoring, and the Mets are only slightly better, ranking 28th among 30 teams. Given the offensive shortcomings of both teams, tonight's total looks a little high.
Matt Harvey will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's looking to bounce back from a home loss to the Braves in his last start. Harvey (4-9, 4.76 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits, striking out five in six innings, losing 5-1. That came after allowing just two runs over 20 innings in his previous three starts. He's lost twice to the Braves at home this season, but he won in Atlanta, allowing just two runs on seven hits in five innings. Prior to this season he was 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA in two starts at Turner Field.
The Braves hand the ball to Matt Wisler, who nearly tossed a no-hitter against the Mets earlier in the year. The 23 year old gave up just one hit and a pair of walks through eight scoreless innings in a 3-0 win at Citi Field. He's owned the Mets in his short career, holding them to a combined .172 batting average over 85 at bats.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-22-16 |
Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@LAD to go UNDER the total.
The Dodgers have won back to back games in this series versus Washington, and four of their last five have gone under the total. I think we'll see another pitcher's duel at Chavez Ravine tonight.
Julio Urias will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's still looking for his first "W". Urias (0-2, 4.50 ERA) pitched a gem at home against the Brewers, tossing five scoreless innings while striking out eight in a no decision his last time out. He's allowed just one run while striking out 15 batters in nine innings of work at Dodgers Stadium so far.
The Nats hand the ball to Joe Ross, who is unbeaten in his last five starts. Ross (6-4, 3.13 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits, striking out six in six innings in a win at San Diego his last time out. He's 4-2 with a 2.80 ERA on the road, and the Nats are 6-2 in his last eight starts on the road.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-22-16 |
Rays v. Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 1-6 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Indians are sitting in first in the AL Central, two game up on the Royals. They host Tampa in Game 3 of this home series tonight, and we should see a pitcher's duel in "Believeland".
Chris Archer will toe the rubber for the Rays, and Tampa's ace has struggled in 2016. Archer (4-9, 4.60 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits, striking out seven in six innings in a home loss to the Giants his last time out. He's still got great stuff, and he's racked up 27 strikeouts in his last three starts.
The Indians had the ball to Trevor Bauer, who is coming off a fantastic performance. Bauer (4-2, 3.46 ERA) struck out nine batters while allowing one run on four hits over seven innings in a 3-2 win over the White Sox his last time out. He's been great under the lights, going 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA in nine appearances at night.
The under is 11-4-1 in Bauer's last 16 starts overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-22-16 |
Sweden v. Belgium -114 | Top | 0-1 |
Win | 100 | 112 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Belgium. Belgium managed to rebound from a disappointing loss to Italy in its tournament opener with a strong 3-0 win against Republic of Ireland. It'll now take on the lowly Swedes, and I expect Belgium to record an easy win. Sweden has posed very little offensive threat so far in the tournament and has yet to register a shot on goal after 180 minutes of football. Its superstar Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been efficiently isolated and Belgium's world class centre-backs should be able to contain the enigmatic Swede. Belgium showed its true potential in the last game and a front-three of Eden Hazard, Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku should be enough to have the Swedes sweating bullets. De Bruyne has five goals and as many assists in his last 10 games for the national team while Lukaku has tallied six goals in his last six games. Sweden needs to win but giving up an early goal would be devastating. It'll try to keep the game close and hope to run away with a late goal. I think the Belgians will be the ones to take advantage once Sweden go on the attack though to take down a low-scoring contest. Take BEL. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-22-16 |
Sweden v. Belgium UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 |
Win | 100 | 63 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SWE@BEL to go UNDER. Belgium managed to rebound from a disappointing loss to Italy in its tournament opener with a strong 3-0 win against Republic of Ireland. It'll now take on the lowly Swedes, and I expect Belgium to record an easy win. Sweden has posed very little offensive threat so far in the tournament and has yet to register a shot on goal after 180 minutes of football. Its superstar Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been efficiently isolated and Belgium's world class centre-backs should be able to contain the enigmatic Swede. Belgium showed its true potential in the last game and a front-three of Eden Hazard, Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku should be enough to have the Swedes sweating bullets. De Bruyne has five goals and as many assists in his last 10 games for the national team while Lukaku has tallied six goals in his last six games. Sweden needs to win but giving up an early goal would be devastating. It'll try to keep the game close and hope to run away with a late goal. I think the Belgians will be the ones to take advantage once Sweden go on the attack though to take down a low-scoring contest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-22-16 |
Rockies v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 8-9 |
Loss | -125 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL@NYY to go UNDER the total.
The Rockies won by a score of 8-4 in last night's series opener in the Bronx, but I expect the bats to be a little quieter this afternoon. Yankee Stadium is notorious for being a pitcher's park during the day, and not so much at night.
C.C. Sabathia will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he's been sharp all season. Sabathia (5-4, 2.20 ERA) struck out seven while holding the Twins to just one run on six hits over six innings in a 4-1 win at Minnesota his last time out. He boasts an ERA of 2.31 in four home starts this season, and he's 1-2 with a 2.38 ERA in four starts in day games. He's own the Rockies, limiting the Colorado lineup to a .172 batting average with 19 strikeouts and just 11 hits over a combined 64 at bats.
The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has pitched extremely well in his rookie season. Gray (4-3, 4.55 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a loss at Miami his last time out. He's only pitched in one day game this year, tossing seven scoreless innings in a near no-hitter versus the Giants.
The under is 9-1-1 in Sabathias last 11 home starts, and 8-3-1 in the Yankees last 12 versus Colorado.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-21-16 |
Brewers v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 3-5 |
Push | 0 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@OAK to go OVER the total.
The Brewers come into Oakland as losers of six of their last seven, while the Athletics have lost five of their last six (all at home). These are two of the worst teams in the majors, and not surprisingly they rank 25th (Oakland) and 27th (Milwauke) in fielding percentage. Neither of today's starting pitcher's inspire much confidence, and both teams have a below average bullpen.
Sonny Gray will toe the slab for Oakland, and while he's supposed to be the A's ace, his numbers don't show it. Gray (3-6, 5.54 ERA) was torched for five runs on eight hits, including a pair of home runs in a home loss to Texas his last time out. He's now surrendered a whopping 17 runs in his last three home starts.
The Brewers hand the ball to Jimmy Nelson, who has been lit up to the tune of 14 runs on 15 hits over just 7 2/3 innings in his last two appearances on the road. Nelson (5-6, 3.92 ERA) gave up eight runs on eight its and three walks in just 3 2/3 innings in a 10-1 loss at San Francisco his last time out.
The total has gone over in eight of Gray's last 10 starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-21-16 |
Czech Republic v. Turkey | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -140 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Czech Republic. Czech Republic is sitting third in Group D with one point, but could overtake Croatia for second if it was to lose against Spain while Czech defeats Turkey. I think the Czech's will do its part of the job at least and take down the lowly Turks. Turkey is coming off back-to-back defeats against Spain (3-0) and Croatia (1-0). It has been at least one class below its opponent in both games, and that's likely to be the case today as well. Czech is coming off a 2-2 draw against Croatia where a pair of late goals earned it a draw. A morale-boosting point that has the nation right back in contention for a place in the round of 16. Turkey's defense has been among the worst I've seen in the tournament, and the Czechs have plenty of offensive firepower which it will utilize to 100 percent today. It has scored in 12 of its last 13 games of the group stage in the European Championships, and it has won five of the last nine meetings with Turkey. Take CZE. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-21-16 |
Ukraine v. Poland -103 | Top | 0-1 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Poland. Poland held the mighty Germans to a 0-0 draw in its last game and enters the last round of the group stage tied with Germany at the top of the group. It'll take on bottom dwelling Ukraine today, and the Polish are looking good to hand the Ukrainians a third straight defeat. Goalscoring has been a major issue for the Ukrainian team so far in the tournament, and it has not really created many dangerous chances at all. A lack off offensive threat combined with subpar defending is a recipe for disaster, and that has been the story for Ukraine here in the European Championship finals. It has been outscored 4-0 over its first two games, and first choice goalkeeper Andriy Pyatov could be replaced by Denys Boyko after two unconvincing displays. Poland meanwhile has been extremely organized while defending, and with plenty of motivation against the knocked out and demoralized Ukrainians I think we'll see a comfortable Poland win today. Take POL. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-20-16 |
Slovakia v. England -171 | Top | 0-0 |
Loss | -171 | 180 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on England. England is in a prime position to win Group B as it enters the last round of the group stage top of the table with four points. Slovakia is tied for second with Wales at three points but will likely need to go for a victory to secure its place in the next round with Wales facing the lowly Russians in its last game. That should suit England pretty well. Roy Hodgson is expected to make several changes to his starting eleven and give Daniel Sturridge and Jamie Vardy starts up top. The Three Lions trailed Wales by one goal in the last game before the introduction of the speedy duo who single-handedly turned the game around to earn England a 2-1 win. They'll want to show the coach he made the right decision. England has won all three of their previous meetings with Slovakia which has failed to keep a clean sheet in each of its six previous games at a major tournament. While a draw would see the Englishmen progress to the round of 16, I think they'll get plenty of opportunities to take advantage of this sub-par Slovakia defense and run away with the win. Take ENG. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-19-16 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles -104 | Top | 6-11 |
Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Jays have split the first two games of this series in Baltimore, but they run up against red hot Orioles starter in the rubber match.
Chris Tillman comes in riding a 10 game unbeaten streak. Tillman (9-1, 2.87 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, striking out seven in seven innings in a 3-2 win over Boston his last time out. He's 6-0 with a 2.39 ERA at home this year, and he allowed just a pair of runs on four hits in six innings in his only meeting with the Jays this season. The Orioles won that game by a score of 3-2.
The Jays hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, who has really been struggling. Stroman (6-2, 4.76 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 6-5 home loss to Baltimore just 10 days ago.
The Orioles are 35-16 in their last 51 home games, and they are 15-3 in Tillman's last 18 starts.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-19-16 |
White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWS@CLE to UNDER the total. The Indians are clinging to a half game lead at the top of the AL Central, and they go for the sweep in the series finale versus Chicago this afternoon. We should see a pitcher's duel here in Cleveland Sunday. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a solid performance. Rodon (2-6, 4.28 ERA) struck out seven, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits over six innings in a 3-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. It was the fourth time in his last five starts that he held the opposition to two or fewer earned runs. The southpaw is 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts versus Cleveland. The Indians hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who has looked pretty sharp lately. Carrasco (2-2, 3.40 ERA) struck out eight, surrendering a pair of runs while scattering 10 hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss to the Royals his last time out. The under is 9-4-2 in Cleveland's last 15 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-18-16 |
Tigers v. Royals -139 | Top | 5-16 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals. The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals have split the first two games of this four-game set at Kauffman. The loss in the series opener is the Royals lone in their past eight games, and I think the surging Monarchs will take the lead in the series tonight. Edinson Volquez (6-6, 3.90) will toe the slab for Kansas City. He's coming off seven shutout innings of two-hit ball against the Tribe to improve to 4-2 with a 2.06 ERA and in eight outings home at Kauffman this season. He threw seven shutout innings while allowing only five hits to top the Tigers 4-0 back in April. The Tigers hand the ball to Matt Boyd (0-1, 4.91 ERA) who is still searching for his first winning decision this season. The Tigers have lost four of his five starts and he was shelled for six runs on seven hits in only four innings of a 10-9 loss to the White Sox his last start, without factoring in the decision. Boyd has posted a 5.59 ERA in four career starts against Kansas City. Kansas City scored nine of its runs against the Tigers' bullpen in yesterday's 10-3 win, and the Tigers relievers' 4.66 ERA this season is the third worst mark in baseball. The Royals' bullpen is top for that category with a 2.91 ERA. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-18-16 |
Rockies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 6-9 |
Loss | -105 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL@MIA to go UNDER the total. The Rockies wasted a solid effort from Jon Gray in Game 1 of this series in Miami, but they send another talented young pitcher to the mound in Game 2. We could see another pitcher's duel here at Marlin's park, but I've spot some interesting data in the home/away splits for both pitchers.
Tyler Chatwood will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been flat out dominant away from Coors Field. Chatwood (8-4, 2.89 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings in a home win over the Padres his last time out. He's a staggering 5-0 with a 0.65 ERA in six starts on the road this season, and 5-0 with a 1.76 ERA in six starts in day games.
The Marlins hand the ball to Wei Yin Chen, who has not missed many bats lately. Chen (4-2, 4.68 ERA) has given up a whopping seven home runs in his last two starts. He's been far better on the road (3-1, 4.29 ERA) than he has been at home (1-1, 5.01 ERA).
These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings.
Take UNDER
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-17-16 |
Rockies -103 v. Marlins | Top | 1-5 |
Loss | -103 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colorado Rockies.
The Rookies have something brewing, coming into Miami as winners of eight of their last 10. The Fish have won just five of their last 12, and slugger Giancarlo Stanton is batting well below the Mendoza line during that span.
Adam Conley will toe the slab for Miami, taking the place of scheduled starter Jose Fernandez. The Marlins are choosing to rest their ace, saving his arm for more important games later in the season. Conley (3-4, 4.13 ERA) was torched for six runs on 11 hits in just five innings in a loss at Arizona his last time out. He's winless in his last five starts, and he's 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA at home so far.
The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has been outstanding in his rookie season. Gray (4-2, 4.70 ERA) allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits, striking out seven in seven innings in a no decision at San Diego his last time out. He's putting up impressive strikeout totals, with 68 Ks in 10 starts.
Nolan Arenado leads the major leagues with 20 home runs, and he comes in swinging a hot bat. He's batting .302 with four home runs in June. Arenado may benefit from playing half his games at hitter friendly Coors Field, but 40% of his home runs have come on the road.
Take COL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-17-16 |
Mariners v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA@BOS to go OVER the total.
When the Red Sox host the Mariners in Game 1 at Fenway Friday, we'll see the two highest scoring teams in the American League do battle in a hitter's park. History tells us we should expect fireworks, as these teams have gone over in nine straight meetings in Boston.
Former Mariner Roenis Elias will toe the rubber for the Red Sox, making just his second appearance in 2016. He was torched for three runs on four hits and a pair of walks in just 1 2/3 innings in an 8-3 loss at Houston back in April. The southpaw will have his hands full with Robinson Cano, who is batting .355 in his last 62 at bats at Fenway.
The Mariners hand the ball to Hisashi Iwakuma, who hasn't been quite as sharp as expected this season. Iwakuma (5-5, 4.10 ERA) allowed three solo home runs over seven innings in a 7-5 home win over Texas his last time out. He hasn't had any success against Boston, going 0-1 with a 10.20 ERA in his last four starts.
Big Papi is 4-for-8 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Iwakuma.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-17-16 |
Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 0-6 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Cubs -1.5.
After dropping two of three in Washington, the first place cubs return home to face a Pirates team that is in free fall. The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight, and six of those losses came by at least two runs. With a struggling left-hander starting opposite Jake Arrieta, it's going to be tough to snap out of this slump at Wrigley.
Arrieta (10-1, 1.86 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over seven innings in an 8-2 win over Atlanta his last time out. He's struck out 16, gong 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts versus the Pirates already this year.
Francisco Liriano has struggled, especially against the Cubs. The southpaw was torched for eight runs on nine hits and four walks in just 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Wrigley earlier this year.
The Cubs are 47-18 in their last 65 home games, and they've won seven of their last eight versus Pittsburgh.
Take CHC.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-16-16 |
Warriors +120 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 |
Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Golden State Moneyline.
The Warriors were in complete control of this series after winning big in Cleveland in Game 4, but they were embarrassed in a shocking 112-97 home loss in Game 6. The Cavs would love to ride that momentum here in Game 6, but with two days of rest between games in the Finals, momentum hasn't been an easy thing to hang on to. It's hard to beat the Warriors at the best of times, but handing them consecutive losses is a momentous task. As good as Cleveland looked winning Game 3 by a whopping 30 point margin, they were unable to deliver a repeat performance at home in Game 4. The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games at Quicken Loans Arena, including last year's Finals that ended here in Cleveland. They are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 in this series, and with Draymond Green back from suspension, I like the Warriors to end it tonight.
Take GS.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-16-16 |
Reds -110 v. Braves | Top | 2-7 |
Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds have taken two of three in Atlanta, and they wrap things up in an early game at Turner Field Thursday. The Braves are by far the worst team in the majors, and they'll have their work cut out for them against a quality pitcher here in Game 4.
Dan Straily will toe the slab for Cincinnati, and the 27 year old is having a career year. Straily (4-2, 3.15 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, striking out five over seven innings in a 2-1 win over Oakland his last time out. He's been at his best in the afternoon, going 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA in six appearances in day games this year. He should be in a good spot here against a Braves lineup that has scored the fewest runs in the major leagues.
The Braves hand the ball to Matt Wisler, who comes in off four straight losses. Wisler (2-7, 4.36 ERA) has been torched for 13 runs on 16 hits over just eight innings in his last two starts, and he's 0-5 with a 4.78 ERA in seven home starts so far. His day/night splits are also concerning, as he's 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in five appearances in day games.
The Braves are 5-17 in Wislers last 22 starts, and 17-42 in their last 59 home games.
Take CIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule. |
06-15-16 |
Astros v. Cardinals -116 | Top | 4-1 |
Loss | -116 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis had a five game win streak snapped in the series opener versus Houston last night, but I like the Cardinals chances to even the series here in Game 2.
Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's really looked sharp in recent outings. Wainwright (5-4. 5.21 ERA) gave up a pair of runs on just two hits, striking out nine in a 3-2 win over Cincinnati his last time out. The Cardinals have now won eight of his last nine starts, and he's 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA against Houston since 2013.
The Astros hand the ball to Colin McHugh, who has been a bit of a disappointment this season. McHugh (5-5, 5.22 ERA) was torched for four runs on seven hits in just 3 1/3 innings in a loss to Texas his last time out. The Astros are 2-5 in McHughs last 7 road starts.
The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 meetings versus the Astros.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-15-16 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 |
Loss | -125 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAD@ARI to go OVER the total.
The Dodgers have split their first two games of this series in Arizona, but despite a sub .500 road record, they are heavy favorite in the rubber match. Nobody likes to bet against Clayton Kershaw, but the Dodgers ace has a history of struggling here in Arizona.
Kershaw (9-1, 1.52 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out 13 in a 3-2 win at San Francisco his last time out. He's just 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his last four starts at Chase Field. The D'Backs are batting .265 over a combined 136 at bats in previous meetings with Kershaw. That's better than their team batting average against the rest of the major leagues so far this season.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who has shown flashes of brilliance in recent starts. Corbin (3-5, 4.81 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, striking out six in 6 1/3 innings in an 8-6 home loss to Miami his last time out. He's 0-4 with a 7.53 ERA in six starts at home this season, but he's 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA against the Dodgers.
Jean Segura is swinging a hot bat of late. He was 4-for-4 last night, and he's batting .327 at home this season.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-14-16 |
Marlins v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@SD to go UNDER the total.
The Marlins lit up the Padres in Game 1 of this series, winning by a score of 13-4. I think we'll see a lot less scoring in Game 2 of this series, as both teams send capable pitcher's to the mound.
Drew Pomeranz will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's having a career year with the Padres. Pomeranz (5-6, 2.44 ERA) allowed three runs on nine hits, striking out six in five innings in a 4-2 loss to the Braves his last time out. He's held the opposition scoreless in five of his last 10 appearances, and he's 3-2 with a 1.52 ERA in five home starts in 2016.
The Fish hand the ball to Tom Koehler, who has also been having a fine season. Koehler (4-6, 4.36 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits, fanning six in six innings in a win over the Twins his last time out. He's held the opposition to three runs or less in seven straight starts. He's 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three appearances versus San Diego since 2013.
The under is 7-1 in Pomeranz's last eight starts.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-14-16 |
Reds v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 105 | 19 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@ATL to go UNDER the total.
We saw a slugfest in Atlanta last night, with the Reds coming from behind to win 9-8. I think Game 2 of this series will be more of a pitcher's duel.
Julio Teheran will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's been pitching far better than his record indicates. Teheran (2-6, 2.85 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out eight in eight innings in a 4-2 win over the Padres his last time out. The 25 year old is 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his last four starts versus Cincinnati.
The Reds hand the ball to Brandon Finnegan, who has showed plenty of promise in his first full season in the majors. Finnegan (2-4, 3.77 ERA) allowed just two runs on five hits, fanning seven in seven innings in a 3-2 home loss to St. Louis his last time out. He's allowed three runs or less in eight of his last nine appearances, and he faces the weakest lineup in the majors tonight.
The under is 6-2-2 in Teheran's last 10 home starts, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-14-16 |
Pirates v. Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 4-0 |
Win | 111 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@NYM to go UNDER the total.
The Pirates come into New York as losers of five straight and 10 of their last 13. The Mets have also cooled off, losing five of their last eight. They lost two of three in a series at Pittsburgh last week, and two of those three games went under the total.
Jacob deGrom will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's coming off back to back losses. deGrom (3-2, 2.80 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits, striking out nine in six innings in a 3-1 loss at Pittsburgh his last time out. Prior to that he struck out 10 in seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the White Sox.
The Pirates hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who makes just his second major league start. The 24 year old made his major league debut against the Mets, allowing three runs on six hits in six innings in a no-decision. He's in a better spot here in this pitcher's park, facing a Mets lineup that is missing key starters Lucas Duda, David Wright and Neil Walker. They played their last game against the Brewers with just two of their opening day starters in the lineup.
The Pirates are hitting just .192 in previous meetings versus deGrom.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-13-16 |
Belgium v. Italy | Top | 0-2 |
Loss | -145 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Belgium Belgium was expected to make some serious noise at World Cup in Brazil two years ago, and it must have been pretty disappointing to get knocked out in the last eight. The Red Devils enter the tournament as the highest ranked European team on the FIFA rankings, and with a more experienced but still youthful side this could be its time to shine. Italy on the other hand has been on a steady decline since its runner-up finish at the Euro 2012. It scored just 16 goals in 10 qualifiers, and its main striker, Graziano Pelle, plays for Southampton, a mid-table team in the Premier League. Belgium is stacked with offensive firepower and the trio of Kevin de Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku should give a injury-ridden Italy defense plenty of trouble. Take BELGIUM. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 103 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAD@SF to go UNDER the total.
The Giants are three games clear of the Dodgers at the top of the NL West, and the two rivals face off at AT&T Park in the rubber match of a three game series Sunday.
Jake Peavy will toe the slab for San Francisco, and while he doesn't come in with great numbers, he's owned he Dodgers throughout his career. Peavy (2-6, 6.41 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits over five innings in a loss at St, Louis his last time out. His last home start was one of his best this season, going 6 2/3 innings, allowing one run on six hits in a 4-3 win over the Padres. The Dodgers have a team batting average of just .193 in a combined 145 at bats versus Peavy.
The Dodgers hand the ball to 19 year old rookie Julio Urias, who is still looking for his first win. His last start was his best so far, allowing one run on three hits while striking out seven in four innings of work. A high pitch count (86) preventing him from coming out for the 5th, so he didn't get the decision in a 4-3 Dodgers victory.
These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 of the last 14 head to head meetings. Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Penguins v. Sharks -110 | Top | 3-1 |
Loss | -110 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose Sharks.
The Penguins have out-played the Sharks for most of this series, and they had a chance to clinch the Stanley Cup in Game 5 on home ice. The Sharks had other ideas though, jumping out to a quick 2-0 lead, and holding on to win 4-2. Now the series shifts back to California for Game 6, and the Sharks can smell blood in the water. The last thing the Penguins want is to return home for a winner takes all Game 7, but the Sharks are a dangerous team an they have now seized the momentum. Goaltender Martin Jones stood on his head for the final 40 minutes of Game 5, stopping all 31 shots he faced. The Penguins defense continued to protect Matt Murray, as the rookie faced just 21 shots, making 18 saves. With such high stakes, I expect Game 6 to be a tightly contested battle, with the home team emerging victorious.
Take SJS.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Penguins v. Sharks UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 109 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@SJS to go UNDER the total.
The Penguins have out-played the Sharks for most of this series, and they had a chance to clinch the Stanley Cup in Game 5 on home ice. The Sharks had other ideas though, jumping out to a quick 2-0 lead, and holding on to win 4-2. Now the series shifts back to California for Game 6, and the Sharks can smell blood in the water. The last thing the Penguins want is to return home for a winner takes all Game 7, but the Sharks are a dangerous team an they have now seized the momentum. Goaltender Martin Jones stood on his head for the final 40 minutes of Game 5, stopping all 31 shots he faced. The Penguins defense continued to protect Matt Murray, as the rookie faced just 21 shots, making 18 saves. With such high stakes, I expect Game 6 to be a tightly contested battle with goals hard to come by.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Cardinals +108 v. Pirates | Top | 8-3 |
Win | 108 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Pirates have lost four straight, opening the door for St. Louis to move past them in second place in the NL Central. They try to avoid a sweep in the series finale at home Sunday, but I like the visitors to make it three in a row.
Jonathon Niese will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he's been pretty solid this season. Niese (6-2, 3.93 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a home win over the Mets his last time out. He's in for a tougher test up against one of the hottest hitting teams in baseball. St. Louis has not been fooled by Niese in previous meetings, batting .297 over a combined 111 at bats.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Mike Leake, who was lit up by his former team in Cincinnati in his last start. Leake (4-4, 4.22 ERA) allowed six runs on 10 hits over 6 1/3 innings, but his offense bailed him out, and he wasn't saddled with a loss. Another rough day at Great American Ballpark simply serves as a reminder why the right-hander was so eager to get out of Cincinnati. He had won four of his previous five starts, and he's 6-0 with a 2.86 ERA in his last 13 starts versus Pittsburgh.
Only the Nationals have been hotter at the plate than St. Louis over the last seven days, and the Cardinals have scored more runs than any team in the National League this season.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Mets v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYM@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The Brewers have been playing solid ball these days, coming into the series finale at home versus the Mets as winners of six of their last 10. I like the Brewers chances of salvaging a split here, with a hot young pitcher on the mound.
Zack Davies (4-3, 4.29 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on two hits over seven innings in a 5-4 win over Oakland his last time out. He took a no-hitter into the seventh inning, before Oakland finally broke through. He's undefeated in his last seven starts, and only once during that span has he given up more than two earned runs.
The Mets hand the ball to Steven Matz, who was on the wrong side of a pitcher's duel in Pittsburgh his last time out. The 25 year old allowed a pair of runs on eight hits, fanning eight in five innings in a 3-1 loss to the Pirates. He beat the Brewers at home earlier this season, allowing a pair of runs on three hits, with eight strikeouts seven innings.
The Brewers have gone under in eight of their last nine home meetings versus New York.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Tigers v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@NYY to go UNDER the total.
The Bronx Bombers host Detroit in the series finale at Yankee Stadium Sunday, with the series tied at 1-1. Both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, and I expect another pitcher's duel here in the finale.
Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's coming off a string of impressive starts. Fulmer (6-1, 2.83 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings, surrendering just two hits in a home win over the Blue Jays his last time out. He's blanked the opposition in three straight starts, riding a 21 1/3 innings scoreless streak.
The Yankees hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who has been having a tough season. Pineda (3-6, 6.14 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over seven innings in a home win over the Angels his last time out. He's actually been pretty good lately, winning three of his last four starts. and a matinee at home looks like a good spot for him.
The Tigers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games, while the under is 4-1-2 in Yankees last 7 home games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
A's v. Reds -114 | Top | 6-1 |
Loss | -114 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds will look to complete the sweep in this home series versus Oakland on Sunday, and they appear to have a pitching mismatch in their favor.
Jon Lamb will toe the slab for Cincinnati, and he's been pretty sharp in recent starts. Lamb (1-3, 4.74 ERA) allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits over 7 1/3 innings in a no decision versus St. Louis his last time out. Prior to that he allowed one run on six hits over seven innings in a win at Coors Field.
The A's hand the ball to Kendall Graveman, who has been getting torched all season long. Graveman (2-6, 5.49 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits over just 4 1/3 innings in a 6-5 loss at Houston his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA in six starts on the road this season.
The Athletics are 6-20 in their last 26 road games. They've lost seven straight overall, six straight versus the National League, and five straight when Graveman starts on the road.
Take CIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-12-16 |
Poland -143 v. Northern Ireland | Top | 1-0 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Poland. Poland is the favorite to clinch second place behind Germany in Group C of the European Championship. It'll face the presuably weakest team of the group in its tournament opener on Sunday when taking on Northern Ireland at Stade de Nice, and I think Poland will take three important points today. Northern Ireland has a team with players from the lower tier of the Premier League or the weaker leagues on the British Islands. It made it to the European Championship finals with hard team work and an easy qualification group, but that won't cut it here in the main tournament. Poland has a fix star in Bayern Munich's Robert Lewandowski who has terrorized top defenders in the German Bundesliga all season and now will come up against two competent, but not great, centre-backs. He's far from the only goal-scoring threath the Poles have though as Arkadiusz Milik is coming off a terrific season with Ajax with 21 goals in 31 games. Milik supplied six assists during the qualification phase, the joint-highest figure of all players. Four of those assists were to Lewandowski so there's no doubt they have a great chemistry. Take Poland. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-11-16 |
Astros v. Rays -123 | Top | 4-3 |
Loss | -123 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Rays.
The Rays might be in last place in the AL East, but they come into Saturday's matinee against Houston as winners of six of seven. The Astros have lost four of their last five, and things don't get any easier with Tampa sending it's ace to the mound today.
Chris Archer has not lived up to expectations this season, but he's coming off a promising performance in his last start. Archer (4-7, 4.73 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out a dozen in six innings in a 6-4 win at Arizona. He's owned the Astros, going 3-1 with a 0.80 ERA in his last five starts versus Houston.
The Astros hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who is winless in his last five starts. Fiers (3-3, 5.00 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits over just 5 1/3 innings in a 6-5 loss to Texas his last time out. He's been roughed up on the road, going 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in five appearances so far in 2016.
The Astros are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings between the two teams.
Take TB.
GL, |
06-11-16 |
England -113 v. Russia | Top | 1-1 |
Loss | -113 | 57 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on England. The English National team has been so disappointing for so long, that they come into this tournament flying under the radar. The English are dogged by a reputation of underachieving, but there is reason to think things will be different this time around. Gone are the old guard of Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard, and this young team features the likes of Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane (top two scorers in the Premier League). It shouldn't be too difficult for England to emerge from this group without suffering a loss. England was the only team that had a perfect record while qualifying for this tournament, led by Wayne Rooney's seven goals. Take the Three Lions. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-10-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 |
Loss | -108 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. After both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 3 in Cleveland. The pace of play in the first two games should have resulted in a higher score, but Cleveland just kept on missing shots. The Cavs shot 52.7 percent from the field in Game 3, and they were 12-of-25 from three point range. Still the total for Game 4 remains much lower than it was in the first two games, and I think after three straight lob-sided games, we might finally see a competitive contest here in Game 4. Surely the Splash Sisters have to be better, and they have plenty to prove after going a combined 4-of-16 from beyond the arc in Game 3. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-09-16 |
Sharks v. Penguins UNDER 5 | Top | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJS@PIT to go UNDER the total. Here is what I had to say prior to Game 4: "So far all three games between the Sharks and the Penguins have failed to reach the total in the Stanley Cup Finals. We should expect another defensive battle in a pivotal Game 4 at the Shark Tank Monday. Both goaltenders have been rock solid, and neither team has looked great offensively. Joe Pavelski leads all scorers with 13 goals in the playoffs so far, but he hasn't registered a single point in this series. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven meetings, and the Penguins have gone under in six straight Stanley Cup Final games. The Pens are just 1-12-1 in their last 14 at the Shark Tank, and they might have a tough time bouncing back from such a tough loss in Game 3. Both these teams have been outstanding on the Penalty kill, and a lack of scoring with the man-advantage is one of the reasons why all three games have been low scoring. Game 4 should prove to be a lot like the first three games in this series." The Pens won by a score of 3-1, and with the Cup up for grabs here in Game 5, another tight, low scoring game is expected. The Blackhawks clinched the Cup with a 2-0 win in Game 6 of last year's Finals, The Kings clinched with a 3-2 win in Game 5 versus the Rangers the previous season. It's really quite rare to see a lot of offense in these type of elimination games in the Finals. While there is a high possibility of a push, I think the under is by far more likely than an over.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-08-16 |
Warriors -108 v. Cavs | Top | 90-120 |
Loss | -108 | 44 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors.
The Cavs put up a hell of a fight in last year's Finals, despite injuries to Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving. Many thought that Cleveland would have a better chance with all it's star players healthy heading into the rematch. So far it's been all Golden State, and the scariest thing for Cavs fans is that neither of the Splash Brothers have scored 20 points in either of the first two games. Both Curry and Thompson were efficient in Game 2, going a combined 8-of-16 from beyond the arc. If the Warriors require somebody to step up their game, look for the dynamic duo to turn it up a notch.
The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two teams, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10 in Cleveland. The last time these two teams played at Quicken Loans Arena, the Warriors won by a score of 132-98. It sure looks like the balance of power in the NBA is heavily stacked toward the Western Conference, and the Cavs just don't look like they can keep up with the best team in NBA history (most regular season wins).
Take GS.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-08-16 |
Royals v. Orioles -139 | Top | 0-4 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles have moved into first in the AL East after winnings six of their last seven overall. They have out-scored Kansas City 13-2 in the first two games of this series, and I like Baltimore in the series finale.
Edinson Volquez will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's been hit hard of late. The veteran surrendered five runs on seven hits and four walks over 6 1/3 innings in a 6-1 loss at Cleveland his last time out. He's 2-3 with a 6.67 ERA in five starts on the road this season, and he's facing a Baltimore lineup that has hit a major league best 47 home runs at home in 2016.
The Orioles hand the ball to Chris Tillman, who has been having another solid season. Tillman (7-1, 3.33 ERA) did not have his best stuff, allowing five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no decision versus New York his last time out. Baltimore's bats bailed him out though, and he didn't factor in the decision in a 6-5 win. He's 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA in eight starts at home in 2016, and he's 2-1 with a 3.76 ERA in his last four starts versus Kansas City.
Adam Jones has hit three home runs over the past seven days, and he's batting .444 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Volquez.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-08-16 |
Braves v. Padres UNDER 7 | Top | 4-2 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@SD to go UNDER the total.
The Braves and the Padres will wrap things up at PETCO Wednesday afternoon, and I think this could turn into a pitcher's duel.
Julio Teheran will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's pitcher a lot better than his record would indicate. Teheran (1-6, 2.92 ERA) allowed three runs on three hits, fanning seven over 5 2/3 innings in a 4-2 loss to the Dodgers his last time out. Atlanta's ace has racked up 22 strikeouts in his last three starts.
The Padres hand the ball to Drew Pomeranz, who is coming off a fantastic performance in a 4-0 win over Colorado. Pomeranz (5-5, 2.22 ERA) went seven scoreless innings, surrendering just two hits and striking out eight. He's been nothing short of dominant at PETCO, going 3-1 with a 0.73 ERA in four starts this season.
Atlanta ranks dead last in the majors in runs scored, and owns a major league worst .227 team batting average.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-07-16 |
Indians v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 1-7 |
Push | 0 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@SEA to go OVER the total.
A four game losing streak has put the Mariners four games back of first place Texas in the AL West, and they will have their hands full in a home series with Cleveland, already down 1-0 after losing Game 1 by a score of 3-1. I think we'll see a lot more scoring here in Game 2.
Wade Miley will toe the slab for Seattle, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Miley (5-2, 5.85 ERA) was torched for nine runs on 12 hits in just 4 2/3 innings at San Diego his last time out. He was bailed out by Seattle's surging offense, as the Mariners came back to win 16-13. He gave up five runs on six hits in just four innings in a home loss to Minnesota prior to that.
The Indians counter with Cody Anderson, who has had plenty of his own struggles. Anderson (1-3, 6.81 ERA) struck out nine, allowing one run on five hits over seven innings in a win over the White Sox his last time out. Prior to that he was lit up by the Reds, surrendering six runs on nine hits over just 4 1/3 innings. The Mariners roughed him up in Cleveland earlier this year. He gave up five runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings in that game.
The over is 7-1 in the Mariners last eight at Safeco.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-07-16 |
A's v. Brewers -129 | Top | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Brewers earned a 2-2 split in a four game series versus Philly over the weekend, and they come into Game 1 of this home series versus Oakland as winners of eight of their last 13.
Zach Davies has been one of the lone bright spots in another tough season for Milwaukee, and he'll look to keep rolling after an outstanding performance in his last start. Davies (3-3, 4.53 ERA) struck out nine through eight scoreless innings in a 3-1 win over St. Louis. The Brewers have won four of his last five starts, and he's held the opposition to a total of six earned runs in those four wins. His ERA at home is less than half of what it is on the road, and he draws a favorable matchup tonight.
The A's hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who's might not last much longer in the starting rotation. Manaea (2-3, 6.16 ERA) struck out eight, allowing one run on five hits in six innings in a home win over Minnesota his last time out. He's been brutal on the road though, allowing eight runs on 10 hits over 2 2/3 innings in a loss at Fenway in his lone away start.
Oakland has lost five straight road games, and that trend is likely to continue here at Miller Park.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-06-16 |
Braves v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 |
Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@SD to go OVER the total.
The Padres are coming off a 10-3 loss in the series finale at home versus Colorado on Sunday, while the Braves lost 12-6 to the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine. I think we could see a slugfest when the two teams open a new series at PETCO Monday.
Williams Perez will toe the slab for the Braves, and he hasn't pitched well on the road this season. Perez (2-1, 3.86 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits and a pair of walks over 5 2/3 innings in a 5-4 win over the Giants his last time out. He's just 1-1 with a 4.86 ERA in three starts on the road.
The Padres hand the ball to Christian Friedrich, who didn't fool many batters in his last start. The southpaw gave up four runs on nine hits and four walks in just five innings in a 14-6 home win over the Mariners.
The Padres have gone over in eight of their last 10, and six of their last eight versus Atlanta. Neither team has the luxury of a reliable bullpen, so tacking on runs in the late innings is nothing out of the ordinary.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-06-16 |
Penguins v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@SJS to go UNDER the total.
So far all three games between the Sharks and the Penguins have failed to reach the total in the Stanley Cup Finals. We should expect another defensive battle in a pivotal Game 4 at the Shark Tank Monday. Both goaltenders have been rock solid, and neither team has looked great offensively. Joe Pavelski leads all scorers with 13 goals in the playoffs so far, but he hasn't registered a single point in this series. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven meetings, and the Penguins have gone under in six straight Stanley Cup Final games. The Pens are just 1-12-1 in their last 14 at the Shark Tank, and they might have a tough time bouncing back from such a tough loss in Game 3. Both these teams have been outstanding on the Penalty kill, and a lack of scoring with the man-advantage is one of the reasons why all three games have been low scoring. Game 4 should prove to be a lot like the first three games in this series.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-05-16 |
Rockies v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL@SD to go OVER the total. The Rockies lost 4-3 at PETCO last night, and despite 21 hits between the two teams, they came up just short of the total. I think we'll likely see a few more runs on Sunday, especially with the Padres turning to an inexperienced arm out of the bullpen. Luis Perdomo will toe the slab for San Diego, and he was torched for six runs on six hits in just two innings in a relief appearance at Safeco his last time out. His 10.04 ERA over 26 innings so far this season inspires little confidence. The Rockies counter with Jon Gray, who lost at PETCO earlier this season. Gray (3-2, 5.76 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a 17-4 home win over the Reds his last time out. He's just 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in four starts on the road. Both teams have poor bullpens, with the Rockies ranking 25th, and the Padres ranking 28th in ERA by reliever. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-05-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | Top | 77-110 |
Loss | -110 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total.
After cashing in on a heavy under trend this post-season, I decided to switch things up with a play on the over in Game 1. It didn't work out, with the Splash Brothers shooting just 8-of-27 combined, totaling only 20 points. The Cavs were brutal, shooting just 38.1 percent in a 104-89 loss. Cleveland missed a lot of easy put-backs and layups that you would have expected them to hit. Heading into Game 2, we see that the bookmakers have adjusted with a total that is 3-4 points lower than it was in Game 1. We know Curry and Thompson are going to be better than they were in Game 1, and I expect Cleveland to play a bit better as well. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, but three of those games saw enough points to go over tonight's total.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-04-16 |
Rockies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL@SD to go OVER the total.
We saw the Padres win Game 1 of this series versus Colorado by a score of 4-0. We should see a lot more scoring here in Game 2, with a couple of struggling pitchers on the mound.
Andrew Cashner will toe the slab for San Diego, and he hasn't missed many bats of late. Cashner (2-5, 4.79 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 9-3 loss to Seattle his last time out. He gave up three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings in a 6-3 home win over the Rockies earlier this season.
The Rockies hand the ball to Chad Bettis, who's last two starts have been just brutal. Bettis (4-4, 5.46 ERA) was torched for six runs on eight hits in just 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Cincinnati his last time out. Prior to that he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering seven runs on seven hits and four walks in a 10-3 loss at Fenway.
The Padres have not been fooled by Bettis, hitting a combined .327 over 52 at bats.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-04-16 |
Penguins v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 57 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks return home down 0-2 after losing back to back one-goal games in Pittsburgh. This is a must win, as they know it will be impossible to come back from an 0-3 deficit in the Stanley Cup Finals. During the regular season, home ice was not a big factor for San Jose, but that has changed here in the playoffs. They've won six of their last seven at the Shark Tank, and Martin Jones has two shutouts during that span. Jones has been rock solid at home, with a record of 7-2 and a stellar .934 save percentage. Joe Pavelski leads all scorers in the post-season with 13 goals, and he alongside Logan Couture and Brent Burns are 1-2-and-3 in playoff points. San Jose owns one of the NHL's most potent power-plays, converting on 22.5 percent of their chances, while the Penguins rank below average clicking at around 18 percent. The Sharks are likely to be flying tonight, and it's going to be tough for the Pens to match the intensity of a team that is fighting for survival. Take SJS. GL, Jesse Schule |
06-04-16 |
Giants v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 4-7 |
Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF@STL to go OVER the total.
We saw a low scoring game in St. Louis last night, with both teams sending their ace to the mound in the series opener. The Giants and won by a score of 5-1, with Johnny Cueto out-dueling Adam Wainwright. Prior to last night's game, the Cardinals had gone over in six of their previous seven home games.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he was roughed up by the Braves his last time out. Samardzija (7-3, 2.84 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits and two walks over five innings losing 5-3 in Atlanta. Yadier Molina has seen plenty of Samadzija, and he hasn't been fooled, going 10-for-20 lifetime versus the 31 year old.
The Cardinals hand the ball to Michael Wacha, who has been a major disappointment in 2016. Wacha (2-6, 4.99 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over six innings in a 10-2 loss to the Nationals his last time out. He's given up a whopping 14 runs on 16 hits in consecutive losses in his last two home starts.
The over is 16-5 in Wacha's last 21 starts.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-03-16 |
Yankees v. Orioles -113 | Top | 5-6 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Orioles.
The Orioles are just a game back of first place Boston in the AL East, and they are coming off back to back home wins over the Red Sox. They begin a new series at home tonight, hosting the Yankees who are 6.5 games back in the standings.
Nathan Eovaldi will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's a spectacular 6-0 in his last seven starts. His luck might be coming to an end tonight though, facing an Orioles team that has scored a total of 25 runs in it's last two home games. Baltimore has hit him hard in the past, with a combined .306 average over 49 at bats against him. Adam Jones hit a pair of home runs last night, and he's 3-for-9 lifetime versus Eovaldi.
The Orioles hand the ball to Chris Tillman, who is always solid at home. Tillman (7-1, 2.92 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits over six innings in a 6-4 win at Cleveland his last time out. He's 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA at home, and 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA against the Yankees this season.
Tillman is 4-2 with a 2.58 ERA in his last eight starts against the Yankees.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-02-16 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 210 | Top | 89-104 |
Loss | -103 | 57 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total.
The playoffs have been very profitable for The Iceman so far, and much of the success has come with totals. Those who have followed would know that The Iceman plays a lot more unders than he does overs, but he's changing things up here in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. While he Warriors failed to reach the total in five of their seven games in the Western Conference Final, only two of those games saw fewer points than the total here for Game 1. When these two teams met in the Finals last year, we saw tight, low scoring games. The series opener went just over, only because of overtime. Things have changed here in 2016, with a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving, these Cavs can score with the best of them. The Warriors certainly are the best of them, averaging 111 points per game in the playoffs. The Cavs come in averaging 107 points per game. The Warriors didn't play particularly well against the Thunder, but with Klay Thompson making 11 three-pointers in Game 6, and the Splash Bros hitting a combined 13-of-23 from downtown in Game 7, they survived. I think if they play that way against the Cavs they could be in for a tough series.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
06-02-16 |
Pirates v. Marlins -118 | Top | 3-4 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Marlins.
The Fish lost the opening game in this home series versus Pittsburgh, but have since won games 2 and 3. They wrap things up tonight, and I like Miami in the series finale.
Wei Yin Chen will toe the slab for the Marlins, and he's pitched well of late. Chen (3-2, 4.37 ERA) allowed one run on two hits over five innings in a 2-1 loss at Atlanta his last time out. The Fish have prevailed in each of his last three home starts, and he struck out 12 in a 3-2 win over Milwaukee three weeks ago.
The Pirates hand the ball to Juan Nicasio, who has struggled on the road so far. Nicasio (4-4, 4.79 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits, including a pair of home runs over 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Texas his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts on the road.
Giancarlo Stanton returned to the lineup last night, going 0-for-3. He's 2-for-6 lifetime versus Nicasio.
Take MIA.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-31-16 |
Reds v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 4-17 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN@COL to go OVER the total.
We've seen three straight slugfests at Coors Field, and with a pair of struggling starters and two below average bullpens in tonight's game, the over looks like an easy call.
Jon Moscot will toe the slab for Cincinnati, and he's coming off a shoulder injury. Moscot (0-2, 4.02 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits and four walks over just five innings in a loss to the Mets his last time out. His nine walks in three starts are three more than his six strikeouts, and a rate like that could spell disaster in a hitter's park in Colorado.
The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has won two of his last three starts. Gray (2-2, 5.95 ERA) gave up a pair of runs on five hits and three walks over 7 1/3 innings in a win over Boston his last time out. He struck out eight, allowing a pair of runs on five hits in seven innings in a win over the Mets in his last home start.
The Reds bullpen is a complete disaster, ranking dead last in the majors with an ERA of 6.49.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-31-16 |
Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 10-3 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STL@MIL to go OVER the total. The Brewers lost Game 1 of this home series versus St. Louis by a score of 6-0, but I expect a higher scorer here in Game 2.
Mike Leake will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's given the Cardinals four consecutive quality starts. Leake (3-4, 3.90 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out five in seven innings in a 2-1 loss to Washington his last time out. He had won four straight prior to that, and he should look forward to more run support tonight in Milwaukee. He may need it, as the Brewers have hit him pretty hard in the past.
Milwaukee hands the ball to Wily Peralta, who has not missed many bats this season. Peralta (3-5, 6.62 ERA) gave up two runs on seven hits and a pair of walks over 5 1/3 innings in a win over the Braves in his last start. He's been brutal at Miller Park, posting an ERA of 8.76 in five starts. Facing the Cardinals won't help, he's 4-8 with a 4.74 ERA in his last 13 starts against St. Louis.
Matt Carpenter is hitting .457 with three home runs lifetime versus Peralta, and Matt Holliday is batting .357 with a pair of home runs against him.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-30-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 88-96 |
Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors have won back to back games to force a Game 7 at Oracle Arena, but neither of those wins were particularly convincing. They trailed 53-48 at halftime in Game 6, and they have trailed at the half in three of the last four games in this series. The only thing that saved them from elimination in Game 6 was the red hot shooting from Klay Thompson, who hit 11 three-pointers. If the Warriors are counting on Thompson (not Curry) to carry the load here in Game 7, they could be in trouble.
The Thunder have really turned up the defensive intensity in the playoffs, not just in this series, but also in their semi finals series versus San Antonio. Steven Adams continues to own the boards, and he had three blocks in Game 6. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six meetings at Golden State, and the Warriors have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 Conference Finals games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-30-16 |
Sharks v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 |
Win | 100 | 59 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJS@PIT to go UNDER the total. The Sharks come into Pittsburgh well rested after dispatching of the Blues in six games. The Penguins have only had one day off after escaping with a 2-1 win in Game 7 versus Tampa Bay. The opening game of the Stanley Cup Final goes tonight, and I expect a cautious approach from both teams here. Both these teams have been riding hot goaltenders, as Martin Jones sports a record of 12-6 with a 2.13 GAA in the post season, and he had a pair of shutouts in the Western Conference Finals. Matt Murray has played well for the Pens, and was only asked to face 17 shots in Game 7 versus Tampa. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, as five of the last six meetings have gone under, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
05-30-16 |
Rays v. Royals -105 | Top | 2-6 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals.
The World Series hangover might be over for the Royals, who have seized control first place in the AL Central after winning five of six. They host the Tampa Rays at Kauffman Stadium tonight, and my money is on the defending champs.
Ian Kennedy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's been a great pick up for Kansas City. Kennedy (4-3, 3.38 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits over 3 1/3 innings in a no decision versus Minnesota (rain delay) his last time out. Prior to that he allowed a pair of runs on six hits while striking out nine in 5 2/3 innings in a home win over Boston. He's 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in three home starts.
The Rays hand the ball to Matt Andriese, who wasn't very sharp last time out. Andriese (3-0, 2.63 ERA) gave up three runs on eight hits over six innings in a home loss to Miami. He isn't likely to get a lot of run support from the Rays 22nd ranked offense, with a team batting average of .238.
The Yankees beat Tampa with just one hit yesterday, handing the Rays their fourth loss in five games.
Take KC.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-29-16 |
Padres +104 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-6 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Diego Padres.
The Padres are sitting dead last in the NL West, but they are just a game and a half back of Arizona. These teams have split the first two games of this series at Chase Field, and I like the visitors in the rubber match.
Drew Pomeranz will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been pitching far better than his record indicates. Pomeranz (2-3, 1.70 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing just a pair of hits in a no decision versus San Francisco his last time out. He's now blanked the opposition in three of his last four starts, but has just two wins to show for it.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Archie Bradley, who makes just his third start of the season. The 23 year old right-hander surrendered nine runs on 14 hits over 10 1/3 innings in his previous two outings.
Bradley rarely goes deep into ballgames, so the Padres should get a good crack at Arizona's 27th ranked bullpen.
Take SD.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-28-16 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 | Top | 108-101 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors are down, but not out. After getting throttled in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City, they face elimination once again, but this time on the road. Steph Curry said after Game 4: " this is not how we're going to go out." Head coach Steve Kerr insists that Curry isn't injured, but then goes on to say that "it's the playoffs, everyone is a little banged up".
Curry was 2-for-10 from beyond the arc in Game 4, and 3-for-11 in Game 3. He's only averaged 24 points per game in the series, well below his regular season average of 30.1 PPG. We've seen three of the first four games in this series fall well below these inflated totals, and we only saw a combined 85 points in the second half of Game 4. In an elimination game, I expect both teams to go all out on defense from start to finish. The Warriors haven't taken a lead to the locker room at halftime in any of their road games in these playoffs. Despite scoring 31 points in Game 5, Curry was just 3-for-8 from beyond the arc.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-28-16 |
Dodgers v. Mets -140 | Top | 9-1 |
Loss | -140 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYM.
The Mets hung on to win 6-5 in the series opener at Citi Field last night, and they are a favorite here in Game 2 on Saturday.
Noah Syndergaard will toe the slab for the home team, and he's having a fantastic 2016 campaign. Syndergaard (5-2, 1.94 ERA) has allowed just one unearned run while striking out 21 batters in 14 innings in his last two starts. He allowed a pair of runs on six hits over eight innings in a win over the Dodgers earlier this season.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has really fallen apart after a successful start to his career in the majors. Maeda (3-3, 3.29 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits and a walk over five innings in a no decision his last time out. The Dodgers have lost four of his last five starts, and he's 0-3 during that span.
Not only was Maeda out-pitched the last time these two starters went head to head, but Sydergaard hit a pair of home runs off him.
Take NYM.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-28-16 |
Real Madrid +200 v. Atletico Madrid | Top | 1-1 |
Loss | -100 | 386 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Real Madrid.
Atletico has had the better of this series in recent meetings, conceding just one loss in the last 12 matches versus Real Madrid. It was Zidane's men that finished with a superior record in the Spanish league this season though, and it was Real Madrid that won when these teams met in the Final two season's ago. Christiano Ronaldo suffered a minor injury that kept him out of the first leg of the semi final versus Manchester City. He returned in the second leg to score two goals, and he's been cleared to start in the Final. Ronaldo is the tournament's all time leading scorer, with a whopping 93 goals. He's scored 15 goals in 19 career games against Atletico. I expect the best player in the world to be the difference here, as he goes for his third European crown.
Take RM.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-27-16 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 113-87 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@TOR to go OVER the total. After three of the last four games in this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 6 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the three games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 6. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to close out the series, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 road games, and 12-6 in their last 18 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
05-27-16 |
Yankees v. Rays -101 | Top | 4-1 |
Loss | -101 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Rays.
The Rays lost three of four in a home and home series versus the Fish, but they send their ace to the mound at home in Game 1 of a home series versus the Yankees tonight.
Chris Archer (3-5, 5.16 ERA) was roughed up by the Tigers in his last start, giving up six runs on eight hits over just three innings in a loss at Detroit. He's been dominant in his last two home starts, giving up just two runs on six hits with 14 strikeouts over 12 2/3 innings in a pair of wins over Toronto and Baltimore. He's had plenty of success against the Yankees, going 5-2 with a 2.25 ERA in his last 10 starts against them.
New York will hand the ball to their ace, Masahiro Tanaka. The 27 year old is undefeated with a record of 2-0, 3.24 ERA. The Yankees have lost two of his last three starts on the road though, despite how well he's pitched in those games.
With a nickname like "Bronx Bombers", you expect the Yankees to score their fair share of runs. That hasn't been the case this year, ranking 24th in the majors in runs scored, with a team batting average of .238.
Take TB.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-26-16 |
Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 221 | Top | 111-120 |
Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total.
The Warriors are down, but not out. After getting throttled in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City, they face elimination at home in Game 5 tonight. Steph Curry says: " this is not how we're going to go out." The Warriors are asked to cover a bunch of points here, and I just can't bring myself to bet on a team that has already displayed an inability to stop Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. Head coach Steve Kerr insists that Curry isn't injured, but then goes on to say that "it's the playoffs, everyone is a little banged up".
Curry was 2-for-10 from beyond the arc in Game 4, and 3-for-11 in Game 3. He's only averaged 24 points per game in the series, well below his regular season average of 30.1 PPG. We've seen three of the four games in this series fall well below these inflated totals, and we only saw a combined 85 points in the second half of Game 4. In an elimination game, I expect both teams to go all out on defense from start to finish. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings at Oracle Arena, and the Thunder have gone under in four straight road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-26-16 |
Lightning v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@TB to go UNDER the total.
The Penguins host Tampa in a deciding Game 7 in Steel Town Thursday, and history tells us we should expect tight defense in this elimination game. Pittsburgh took a 3-0 lead into the third period in Game 6, but four more goals in the third pushed the total over. Since the 2006 season, studies show that referees call roughly 50% fewer penalties in Game 7s, in comparison to the regular season. This means fewer power-plays, and often fewer scoring chances when the refs let the defenders get away with more physical play. "The numbers do seem to support this theory. Since 2006, the Under has gone 20-14-7 in Game 7’s for an 11% ROI (going under the total by an average of 0.3 goals per game)." These stats are based on totals of 5 goals or lower, which would mean that all seven of those pushes would have fallen below 5.5. It's also likely that the 14 games that went over would also include a few games that finished with five goals, with a total of 4.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule |
05-25-16 |
Blues v. Sharks -155 | Top | 2-5 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks can punch a ticket to their first ever Stanley Cup Final with a win at home in Game 6 of the West Final tonight. The Sharks suffered a let down at home in Game 5, after out-scoring the Blues 7-0 in consecutive shutout wins in Games 2 & 3. After more than a decade of disappointment in the playoffs, this year's squad appears destined to hoist Lord Stanley's Mug. Joe Pavelski leads all scorers in the post-season with 12 goals, and he's just one of three Sharks that rank in the top 5 in points scored. The old saying goes like this: "To win in the playoffs, you need your best players to be your best players." That's certainly been the case for the Sharks, but Blues leading scorer Vladimir Tarasenko has been held off the scoresheet in this series so far. Take SJS. GL, Jesse Schule |