Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-17-22 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -111 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -111 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Brooklyn. It was almost a month ago now that I published an article titled: "Why The Nets Won't Win The Title in 2021". Here is an excerpt: "Having the best players is only an advantage if they can stay healthy, and that’s asking a lot for a group that has only managed to play eight games together this season. KD is returning from an Achilles injury, Kyrie has been injury prone the majority of his career, and Harden is dealing with a lingering hamstring issue. All three players have a reputation for creating drama in a locker room. KD had his issues with Draymond, Harden burned all his bridges in Houston on his way out the door, and there was no love lost between LeBron and Kyrie in the final days in Cleveland. The folks in Boston don’t speak highly of Kyrie either." I still don't think Brooklyn is in great shape as far as winning the championship, but KD is still the best player in this series, and James Harden has improved with each game back. Home court, and a healthier Harden might be too much for the Bucks in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
05-30-21 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | Top | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. I bet on the Clippers to win the West, so needless to say I didn't expect them to be down 0-2 in this series versus Dallas. So now I have to figure out where I went wrong? Well there are two things that stand out, one that I should have considered, and another woud have been impossible to predict. I noted that Paul George really looked like he was on top of his game heading into the playoffs, but the fact is that this isn't the first time we've seen him struggle in the post-season. He's forcing up some pretty questionable shots for a guy that currently can't hit the broadside of a barn. The Mavs three-point shooting (roughly 50 percent in the series so far) isn't something that anyone could have predicted. They can't maintain that percentage forever, and eventually those shots will stat rimming out and falling short. Paul George simply needs to be realistic about who he is, and try to be more like Ben Simmons and less like Michael Jordan. At the end of the day, I still think Kawhi is the best player in this series, and I expect LA to run the table now that they have seized the momentum. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Western Conference is wide open heading into the playoffs. The defending champion LA Lakers are still the favorite, despite facing a play-in situation versus the red hot Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry has played at an MVP caliber all season long, while LeBron has been in and out of the lineup, and doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy. The Utah Jazz finished first in the standings, and the Phoenix Suns were only one game back. Neither of those teams is getting much respect from bookmakers, who give them the third and fourth best chance to win the West. The media was buzzing when LeBron James was quoted a few weeks ago as saying: "I don't think i'll ever get back to 100% in my career." While I believe that was mostly clickbait, I do think he's already looking for an excuse if he fails to get out of the first round, or gets bounced by the Warriors in the play-in. The Clippers are guilty of tanking in their final few games, a strategic move to avoid facing the Lakers until the Western Conference Final. Kawhi Leonard has had a pretty quiet season, but he has a history of elevating his game in the playoffs. He's also been perhaps the only player in the league to get the better of LeBron James. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers -1 | Top | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clippers. The Clippers have won five straight home games, and Kawhi Leonard scored 28 points in a 122-112 win over the Sixers Saturday. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and Giannis has been struggling with a knee injury. The "Greek Freak" had failed to score 20 points in his last two starts, and did not play in Saturday's loss to New York. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-03-21 | LSU v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in the SEC, and they spanked LSU by a score of 105-75 in Baton Rouge a few weeks ago. After losing by 30 points at home, you might figure this would be a revenge spot for the Tigers. They might not have a lot of fight in them though, losing their leading rebounder Darius Days to a knee injury in a loss to Texas Tech. Day played 21 minutes in Sunday's game, scoring 11 points and pulling in nine rebounds before suffering a knee injury that will keep him out for at least a month. LSU has lost three of their last four overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six at home. This should be a double digit win for the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-02-21 | North Carolina v. Clemson +4 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers have lost four of their last five, but three of those losses came on the road. The other was a home loss to first place Virginia, the defending national champions. The Tar Heels on the other hand have won six of seven, but four of those wins came at home. None of those six wins came against teams with a winning record in the ACC. Historically these teams have played close games in recent seasons, and last year Clemson won 79-76 in overtime at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels last win at Clemson came by just two points, and their previous win at Clemson (2015) came in overtime by three points. The Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-20 | South Carolina v. Houston UNDER 141 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. So far there have been plenty of surprises in the bubble so far, and several teams have seen their stock rise and fall. The Lakers came in as consensus favorite, but failed to impress. Portland on the other hand won six of eight games, and then won their play in game against Memphis. This has people calling them a dark horse candidate to win it all. I can't say I was all that impressed with wins over Memphis, Dallas and Philly by three, and a one point win over Brooklyn. The Nets and the Grizzlies effectively shut down Damian Lillard in the fourth quarter, and now the Blazers face a well rested Lakers team. Game 1 looks like a classic let down spot for Portland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-02-20 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 127-88 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Hawks have been playing well lately, winning four of their last eight overall. Those wins came against two teams hit hard by injuries (Blazers and Nets). The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-20 | Oregon v. Arizona OVER 139.5 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
02-20-20 | Grizzlies +1 v. Kings | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 65-54 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The #1 ranked Baylor Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of 22 straight. They are 12-0 in the BIG12, and they are 11-0 on the road. You've got to have BIG BRASS TACKS to bet against a team that hasn't lost since November ... but sign me up! The Bears keep winning, but rarely are they blowing teams out. Four of their last five road games were single digit wins, and all five of those games came against teams that trail Oklahoma in the standings. They won by a score of 61-57 at home versus Oklahoma just a few weeks ago. The Sooners are 11-1 at home, and they won their last two home games by a combined 39 points against #13 ranked West Viriginia and Iowa State. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is making a run for the post-season, which really shouldn't surprise anyone. If you have been paying attention over the last several years, you should remember that this is a team that has started slow only to dominate in the second half of the season, and then they have made plenty of noise in the playoffs. It seems like Dame Time has arrived, as Damian Lillard has scored 40+ points in six of his last nine games. It's not surprising that the Blazers have won six of their last nine games. They take on a shorthanded Miami Heat team tonight. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are expected to sit out tonight. The Blazers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Miami. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 242 | Top | 111-139 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@NO to go Under the total. The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-20 | Towson v. William & Mary -6 | Top | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on William and Mary. The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games. The Tribe won a close game at Towson last year, and in 2018 they won both meetings by double digits. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and I think the Tribe deserve to be closer to a double digit favorite here. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-22-20 | St. Louis +2.5 v. Davidson | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Davidson Wildcats are still one of the more recognizable brands in the Atlantic-10 Conference. They have been far more successful than Saint Louis over the last decade, but so far this season there is no doubt that the Bilikens have been the better team. Saint Louis is 14-4 overall, and three of their four losses came against ranked teams. The one loss against an unranked opponent came against a Duquesne team that is on the cusp of being ranked. They are 3-2 in conference play, and both losses came against the top two teams in the conference. Most recently they lost in overtime on a buzzer beater by a score of 78-76 at home versus Dayton. These two teams split the season series in 2019, and Saint Louis won by 20+ points at Davidson. They had previous lost to the Wildcats by a single point at home earlier in 2019. I think the Bilikens should be the favorite here. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-18-20 | BYU v. Gonzaga OVER 153.5 | Top | 69-92 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the BYU@GONZ to go Over the total. These teams played twice last season, and Gonzaga scored over 100 points at home, and more than 90 points on the road. They won and covered in both games, and each of those games went over the total. The Cougars come into tonight's game playing great offensively, they've scored 90+ in back to back wins, and they scored 84 points in a loss to St. Mary's in their last road game. Gonzaga has gone over in six of their last seven home games, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight as a road underdog. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
01-16-20 | Oregon State +4.5 v. Washington | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oregon State. The Beavers are getting a bunch of points on the road at Washington, and history tells us that the underdog has been the play in recent meetings. These teams have gone to overtime three times in the last five head to head meetings. The underdog has covered the spread in four of those games. The Huskies are shorthanded, with their starting PG missing the last two games since being ruled academically inelligeble. Quade Green leads the team in assists, and he's the Huskies best free throw shooter and he's also their biggest threat from beyond the arc. Green isn't available until late March. The Huskies are 0-2 without him, failing to score 60 points in each of those losses. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. I'll take the points. Take ORST. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-20 | Blazers v. Heat UNDER 223 | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go Under the total. The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-04-20 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington OVER 131 | Top | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOW@UNCW to go Over the total. The Seahawks were once the powerhouse in the CAA, but they have slipped all the way to the cellar. They will be a home underdog against Towson on Saturday, and their poor play doesn't inspire me to back them in this role. That being said, they still average over 77 points per game at home, and history suggests they will score their fair share against the Tigers. These two teams have played eight times since 2015, and all of those previous eight meetings saw a total higher than 140. Towson gave up 81 points in a loss to Charleston in their last game, and the over is 5-1 in the Tigers last six games following an ATS loss. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 121-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@BKN to go Under the total. The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-19 | Clippers -130 v. Lakers | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. Here is what I said prior to the first meeting between these teams earlier this season: "The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA." Now LeBron and AD are both banged up, and LA comes in off three straight losses. I think Kawhi has got this! Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-19 | Gonzaga v. Arizona OVER 152 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-30-19 | Tulsa v. Vanderbilt OVER 137.5 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TULSA@VAN to go Over the total. The Vanderbilt Comodores come into tonight's home game against Tulsa averaging over 85 points per game on better than 51 percent shooting. They have gone over the total in all six games so far this season, and tonight's total seems a little low (on the wrong side of 140). Vandy isn't quite as impressive on defense, allowing opponents to average over 70 points per game. The Comodores have gone over in nine straight non-conference games, and the over is 5-0 in their last five home games. Tulsa has scored 72 or more in five of their six games so far. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-19 | Mavs -120 v. Suns | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors +127 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 127 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Now KD is gone and isn't coming back. Cousins and Klay Thompson are banged up, and Looney is hurt. Toronto is the better team at this point. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -118 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Toronto. For all but the first 5-6 minutes of the third quarter in Game 2, the Raptors have completely dominated this series versus the Warriors. They appear to be younger, healthier, and depth has been a huge advantage. The Warriors are hoping to get KD back in Game 5, but I am not sure that it will be enough. Surely if KD isn't 100 percent healthy he could actually be a defensive liability. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-05-19 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto heads to Oakland with the series tied 1-1, and they will be getting a handful of points as the underdog here in Game 3. The Raptors have been the better team, in all but six of minutes in the 3rd quarter of Game 2. They have dominated the first half of both the first two games so far, and I expect them to do it again in Oakland. The Warriors aren't a first half team, as they often wait until the third quarter before they really get going. They might struggle to do that tonight if Clay Thompson can't Play. Looney is out, and Cousins isn't 100 percent. Andre Iguodala has to he held together by duct tape. The 35 year old has battled injuries for the entire post-season, and he suffered an upper body injury in Game 2. Pascal Siakam should be better in Game 2, and as long as the Raptors stay out of foul trouble they should have a chance to win this game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -185 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 46 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Nuggets seized all the momentum in this series with a gutsy win in Game 4. What was most impressive is how they responded to losing a 4 overtime thriller in Game 3. Watching the game it looked like Denver's depth was the difference. It doesn't have to be Nikola Jokic carrying the load when they can get 20+ points from the likes of Jamaal Murray, Paul Millsap or Will Barton. Here is what I said about Denver prior to Game 1: "Portland is coming off a shocking first round series win over Oklahoma State, but I think they are vulnerable to a let down here in Game 1 at Denver. The Blazers took full advantage of home court in round 1, winning all three of their home games. They will have to win on the road here if they want to get past Denver, and that's not going to be easy. The Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA in the regular season (34-7). Denver doesn't have the same problems that Oklahoma City has. Poor decision making by Russell Westbrook really cost the Thunder, and the Blazers can't count on the Nuggets beating themselves. The Blazers have lost six of the last seven head to head meetings versus Denver, and they have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five at the Pepsi Center." Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -128 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -128 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boston. I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | Top | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 49 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. The Rockets delivered a detailed report on last year's WC Final, suggesting that the officials were biased in favor of Golden State. Most people see this for what it is, a rather classless position for a franchise who's star player has earned a living on cheap foul calls. Still the squeaky wheel often gets the grease, and Harden will likely get a call or two in his favor tonight. If there's one thing that conspiracy theorists know about NBA officiating, it's that the league loves to extend a series. The Rockets lost Game 1 last year and responded with a huge win in Game 2. The Warriors have been rather sloppy of late, losing two of their last three at home and failing to cover in four of their last five home games against the Rockets. I'll take the points. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 90 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-20-19 | Bucks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 65 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are heading into Game 3 of this series up 2-0, and some might expect them to suffer a let down here as the series shifts to Detroit. Well they didn't finish with the best record in the NBA by taking nights off. This Milwaukee team enjoys beating up on the opposition, and I expect them to cruise to another double digit win over an inferior opponent. The Bucks have won six straight against the Pistons, and their last game in Detroit was a 115-105 win on January 29th. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Blake Griffin hasn't seen any action in this series, and his status is in serious doubt for Game 3. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 203.5 | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 42 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go Under the total. I bet on the under in Game 2 of this series, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-10-19 | Magic v. Hornets -172 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -172 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. It all might be too little too late for the Hornets, but they have stayed alive in the hunt for the playoffs by winning four straight games. They play their final home game against Orlando (already clinched) and they need a win to get in. They also need help, and given that it's the New York Knicks that they are cheering for, they are unlikely to get it. They have won 2-of-3 versus Orlando this season, and Charlotte has been a strong home team. There is a possibility that Orlando rests some players, and I like Charlotte to come out like gangbusters. Take CHA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 117.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TTU@UVA to go Over the total. Both the Cavs and the Red Raiders are capable of completely shutting down their opponent, and each team has been involved in more than it's fair share of low scoring games. The bookmakers have taken this into account by posting a total well below what we normally see in an NCAA Tournmanet game. Both these teams come in averaging over 65 points per game in the tournament, and I expect both these teams to get their points tonight. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of either team's previous games at this tournament. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-06-19 | Auburn +6 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 87 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Auburn. In recent memory, this Virginia team has been a juggernaut in the regular season, but they always disappoint in the NCAA Tournament. Things got really bad when they were bounced in the first round last year losing to UMBC. Then in their first game of this Tournament, they got blown out in the first half by Gardner Webb. They have avoided disaster with wins by the closest of margins against Oregon and Purdue, and really needed a miracle to get past the Boilermakers. Auburn's journey to the Final Four has been far more impressive, beating Kansas, Kentucky and North Carolina in their last three games. I'll take the Tigers plus the points against a fragile looking favorite. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-05-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 113-149 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@ORL to go Under the total. The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-28-19 | Purdue v. Tennessee -115 | Top | 99-94 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. I bet on Tennessee in their last game at the tournament, and here is what I said before the game: "The Vols got off to a good start in their first round win over Colgate, leading by a dozen at halftime. Tennessee came into the NCAA Tournament as winners of five of seven. Two of those five wins came against #4 ranked Kentucky." They jumped all over the Hawkeyes, building a 21 point lead at halftime. They let Iowa come back in that game and force overtime, before going on to win 83-77. If the Vols have had trouble finishing games, they certainly haven't had a lot of trouble starting them. The Vols have a big edge when it comes to free throws and three point shooting, and I expect them to take it to Purdue early. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHI@CHA to go Under the total. The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-19 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 121 | Top | 68-48 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORE@WAS to go Over the total. | |||||||
03-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs -130 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs come into tonight's home game versus Portland as winners of seven straight, and they still have one of the best home records in the NBA. In fact their 27-7 home record is the best in the Western Conference, and only Toronto and Philly (each have 28 home wins) have a better record. While both teams will be playing the second game of a back to back, the Spurs didn't have to travel, and Pop was able to rest the starters in the second half of a blowout win over the Knicks on Friday. The home team has won five straight head to head meetings, and the Trail Blazers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio. Take SPURS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-09-19 | Duke v. North Carolina -3.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. It was just a few weeks ago that North Carolina went into Cameron Indoor Stadium and laid a whupping on Duke. Now the Blue Devils look to return the favor, and some might think this looks like a natural revenge spot. I might like Duke's chances of an upset here, if they had Zion Williamson back, or if Trey Jones wasn't hurt, or if they didn't just come oh so close to losing to one of the worst teams in the conference a few days ago. Duke is a mess, and expecting them to pull it all together to beat the Tar Heels at Chapel Hill just doesn't seem at all realistic. North Carolina lead by double digits at the half in the last meeting. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-03-19 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech UNDER 135 | Top | 78-81 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC@GT to go Under the total. The Yellow Jackets have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they have scored just 60 points per game over their last five. They host Boston College, who has lost six of their last nine, averaging 68 points in their last five games. It seems like asking a lot for either of these teams to score 70 points today. Boston College has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven overall, while Georgia Tech has gone under in seven of it's last 10 when coming off a loss. The Yellow Jackets have a long history of playing low scoring games at home, the under is 50-23-1 in Yellow Jackets last 74 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-02-19 | Boise State v. UNLV -2 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. The Boise State Broncos have been a powerhouse in the Mountain West for years, but they have really fallen off this year. They come into UNLV with a losing record in the conference, and a road record of 3-8. They already lost by a score of 83-72 at home versus the Rebels earlier this year, and I don't like their chances of avenging that loss here in Las Vegas. The Broncos have lost six of their last seven games, and the lone win during that span came against the bottom feeders San Jose State. The Rebels lost their last home game by a single point against one of the top teams in the conference (San Diego State), and prior to that they beat Air Force by a score of 77-72. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-23-19 | Oregon v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCLA. The Ducks are coming off another double digit loss at USC, and I bet against them in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "It's been a lost season for the Ducks, who were expecting to challenge for another PAC12 Title. They lost their leading scorer Bol Bol after just nine games, and Louis King and Kenny Wooten have been banged up. The Ducks lost 72-57 at Oregon State in their last game, and they shot just 53.3 percent from the free throw line in that game. They have averaged just 59.9 points per game on the road, losing five of eight games. The Ducks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games." The Bruins have won three of the last four head to head meetings, including an overtime win at Oregon earlier this season. UCLA averages a staggering 81.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting at home. I can't see Oregon finding enough offense to hang with the Bruins. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-20-19 | North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 166.5 | Top | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on under 166.5. The Blue Devils have won nine straight since losing in overtime to Syracuse. They failed to reach the total in six of those nine games, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those contests. Everyone expects fireworks every time Duke and North Carolina play each other, but these teams played three times last year and went under in all three games. Duke is allowing just 62.7 points per game at home, and 66.8 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 20-8-1 in the Blue Devils last 29 home games, and 15-5-2 in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The under is 5-1 in the Tar Heels last six road games, and 3-0-1 in their last four at Duke. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-16-19 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 147 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH@WSU to go Over the total. Washington State is just 3-8 in the PAC12, ahead of only California. The Cougars do score a lot of points at home though, averaging 84.4 points while winning eight of 11 games. They lost 85-67 at Washington earlier this season, but tonight's game could be a lot closer than that. The over is 13-4 in Cougars last 17 home games, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in their previous four home games versus the Huskies. Washington State's last home game was a 93-84 loss to USC. The Huskies gave up 75 points in a loss at Arizona State in their last road game, and I expect the Cougars to get their points at home tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-09-19 | Duke +2.5 v. Virginia | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. A lot of people will be backing Virginia here at home, especially given that they lost by just two points at Duke a few weeks ago. The thing is, you have to remember that the Cavs were catching Duke in a particularly vulnerable spot, without their starting PG. Tre Jones is back playing at full strength, and Duke is coming off four straight double digit wins. The last meeting between these two teams wasn't as close as the final score would indicate, as the Cavs made it close with a few late buckets. Duke has won four of the last five head to head meetings, two of those wins coming at Virginia. The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and the underdog is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. I'll take the points. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-02-19 | Lakers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Lakers got LeBron James back from injury on Thursday, and they managed to beat the Clippers in overtime. There are still plenty of rumors swirling around the team, and it remains to be seen if players like Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Brandon Ingram will be part of the future in LA. Anthony Davis has issued a public demand to be traded, and he's looking to become a Laker. Lonzo Ball says if he get's traded to New Orleans he won't play for the Pelicans. It sounds like a hot mess to me. The Warriors won 11 straight before losing at home to the Clippers on Thursday. Perhaps they were looking ahead to this game against LeBron and the Lakers. Golden State has covered in four of it's last five when coming off a loss, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus the Lakers. I think they'll jump all over LA in the first half, and cover easily. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-31-19 | Lakers v. Clippers -5 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Lakers are a mess at the moment, coming into tonight's game against the Clippers as losers of four of their last five. LeBron James is still recovering from a groin injury, and isn't expected to return tonight. Lonzo Ball is also sidelined by and injury, leaving LA extremely shorthanded. Anthony Davis has been fined by the league for publicly demanding a trade to the Lakers. Lonzo Ball has already gone on record saying he won't play for the Pelicans if he's included in such a trade. The Clippers had won three straight before suffering a home loss to Atlanta. That was the second game of a back to back and a third game in four nights. They should be ready to bounce back here against the struggling Lakers. The Clippers have won six of the last seven meetings, and they've covered the spread in six of the last eight meetings. The Lakers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings at Staples Center. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-26-19 | Kansas v. Kentucky OVER 144 | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KU@UK to go Over the total. I bet on the over in the Jayhawks win over Iowa State on Monday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The #7 ranked Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a 65-64 loss on the road at West Virginia, but I expect a much higher score here in Ksnsas tonight. The Jayhawks are 10-0 at home, and they have averaged 81.2 points on 49.5 points in those games. Their most recent home game was an 80-78 win over Texas." The Over is 12-3-1 in the Jayhawks last 16 non-conference games, and 20-9-2 in their last 31 overall. I like both teams to pile on the points here in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-26-19 | VCU v. Duquesne +3.5 | Top | 80-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The VCU Rams have won six straight meetings versus the Dukes dating back to 2013, but they come into today's game trailing Duquesne in the A-10 standings. The Dukes are 5-1 on conference play, and their last win came at home against first place Saint Louis. The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I like Duquesne to get off to a good start as a home dog here today. The Dukes have averaged 78.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting in their last five games, more than 11 points more than the Rams have averaged during that span. Of course the Rams are better defensively, but they were able to overcome stifling defense in their last game against the Bilikens. I'll take the points here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-19 | Raptors -1 v. Rockets | Top | 119-121 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Rockets haven't won back to back games since the beginning of January, and coming off a close win over the Knicks, I expect them to have trouble at home tonight versus the Toronto Raptors. They are just 5-5 over their last 10 games, and four of those five wins came against teams with a losing record. Only Golden State has a better road record than the Raptors, who have won their last two games at Houston. Kawhi Leonard sat out the last two games for what the Raptors claim was simply rest. He's expected to return to action here in Houston. The Rockets are still extremely thin with Cint Capela and Chris Paul both sidelined by injuries. James Harden has averaged over 52 points per game in his last five starts, and he's going to need to score at least 50 to give the Rockets at chance tonight. It's only a matter of time before he runs out of gas, and the Raptors aren't going to make life easy for him. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-19-19 | Virginia v. Duke OVER 138.5 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UVA@DUKE to go Over the total. The Virginia Cavs might be catching Duke at a good time, with the Blue Devils coming off a 95-91 home loss to Syracuse. Remember the Cavs beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last January by a score of 65-63. Virginia comes in averaging 78.4 points on 50.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Blue Devils have allowed opponents to average over 72 points in their last five games. There are plenty of shooters on both these teams, and both teams hit for a high percentage from the free throw line. Virginia has been on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 45.9 percent over their last five games. I expect both teams to score over 70 points here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-19 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia UNDER 145 | Top | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKST@WVU to go Under the total. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight games. I bet the under in their last game, a 61-58 win over Texas. Here is what I said prior to tipoff: "an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater." I will go against another high total here as they play at West Virginia. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 223.5 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go Under the total. One of the biggest stories of the first half of the season has been an increase in scoring league wide. While the numbers are up this year from years past, one trend has held true for as long as I can remember. When the playoffs get closer, the defensive intensity always increases. This appears to be the case for the Spurs, who have been steadily impoving on defense. Their last home game was a 108-88 win over the Grizzlies. They come into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six, and they have allowed just 103 points per game during that span. The Thunder rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and 4-1 in the last five at San Antonio. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-19 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 147 | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
01-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio -3 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio Bobcats. Ohio is 7-0 at home so far, and the Bobcats have won four straight head to head meetings versus Northern Illinois. They have won all three home games during that span by a double-digit margin. The Huskies have lost four of their five road games so far, and they have allowed opponents to average over 81 points in those games. The Bobcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus MAC teams. This Northern Illinois team finished dead last in the MAC last year, and they were 1-13 on the road. They should be a far bigger underdog here in Ohio. Take OHIO. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Spurs were blown out in the first half in Denver last night, and while they rallied to make it close in the fourth quarter, they ultimately came up short. That is nothing new for San Antonio, a team that has been terrible on the road this season. The Spurs are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 road games, and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing the second game of a back to back. While both teams played last night, the Clippers don't have to travel after beating the Lakers at the Staples Center. LA is one of the hottest teams in the league, winning four of their last five overall and ranking 3rd in the NBA in points scored. The Clippers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight when playing on back to back nights. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +1.5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Louisville. Kentucky is coming off an 80-72 win over North Carolina at the United Center, but I think this sets them up for a let down in their first true road game at Louisville. The Cardinals are 8-0 at home, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Louisville has been impressive on defense holding opponents to just 61.2 points on 37.8 percent shooting in their last five games. The Cardinal beat Michigan State 82-78 at home earlier this season, and they won that game at the free throw line. They hit 30-of-41 attempts and hit six of eight attempts in the final 30 seconds of overtime. Home court has been key in this series, and I'll take Louisville as a home dog here today. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on INDPU@NKU to go Under the total. The Norse are a strong team on defense, allowing just 65 points per game this season, and allowing just over 62 points per game at home. Northern Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six home games, and tonight's number is far higher than it was in most of those previous contests.These teams have played in each of the last two seasons, playing low scoring games with INDPU failing to reach 60 points in both games. INPU has failed to reach the total in four straight versus teams from the Horizon, while Northern Kentucky has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 as a home favorite. This total appears to be 5-6 points higher than it should be. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNC Tar Heels. Two of the top teams in the country will face off in Chicago on Saturday, and I like the ACC team here against the big dog from the SEC. Kentucky got crushed by Duke in their season opener, and has since lost to unranked Seton Hall. The Tar Heels last loss came on the road at #7 ranked Michigan, but two of their last three wins have come against ranked teams (UCLA and Gonzaga). Kentucky is 3-9-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. North Carolina has had little trouble with SEC teams, going 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 versus the SEC. The Tar Heels scored 103 points in a double digit win over #4 ranked Gonzaga last Saturday, and they beat #17 ranked UCLA by 16 points at the end of November. Senior guard Cameron Johnson has scored 45 points on 15-of-26 shooting in his last two starts, and I expect him to have a big game here against the Wildcats. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-18 | Texas Tech +10 v. Duke | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The #2 ranked Blue Devils have only lost once this season (89-87 vs Gonzaga), and they played a close game in a 78-72 win over Auburn. They opened as a 7.5 point favorite for tonight's neutral site game versus Texas Tech and MSG, but they have since been bet up to a double digit favorite. The Red Raiders come undefeated at 10-0, and while they haven't played any ranked teams, they do have an experienced squad with two seniors in the starting five. Texas Tech made it to the Elite Eight in last year's NCAA Tournament, beating the likes of Purdue and Florida before losing to Villanova. The Red Raiders rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average as well as opponent's field goal percentage. They could make life tough for Duke's talented freshman. I'll take the points. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-18 | North Texas v. New Mexico -155 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. The North Texas Mean Green come into New Mexico with a 9-1 record, but they haven't been tested by many quality teams. They are 2-1 on the road, but the one loss came by a 16-point margin at unranked Oklahoma. The Lobos don't have a very impressive record, 5-4 overall and just 3-2 at home. Their losses though have came against tough teams the likes of New Mexico State, St. Mary's and Colorado. While they lost 78-75 at home to the Buffaloes, they led by nine points at halftime in that game. They followed up that game with a double-digit home win over UNC Ashville. Tonight they host a North Texas team that has failed to cover in four of their last five overall, and in four straight when coming off a win. The Mean Green have built a strong record by winning close games against lesser opponents, and they should be overmatched here in New Mexico. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-18 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma State UNDER 142.5 | Top | 79-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NEB@OKST to go Under the total. When the Cornhuskers take on the Cowboys in Sioux Falls, SD on Sunday, I expect to see a defensive battle. Both these teams have played strong defense so far, but Nebraska has been really impressive only allowing 59.6 points per game. Previous head to head meetings have been really low scoring, going under in each of the last three. Oklahoma State won by a score of 53-52 in the most recent head to head meeting. Low scoring games are nothing new for the Cowboys, the under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 overall. They have also gone under in seven of their last eight neutral site games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230 | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-18 | Dayton v. Auburn UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DAY@AUB to go Under the total. Two of the best defensive teams in the country will face each other when #6 ranked Auburn hosts Dayton on Saturday . The Tigers will be a 15 point favorite, and they are 5-0 at home so far. Perhaps more impressive is that Auburn is only allowing 53.5 points per game at home. Neither of these teams are particularly good at shooting free throws, but hitting around 65 percent from the charity stripe. The Tigers have gone under in six of their last eight at home, and eight of their last 11 overall. All three head to head meetings (in the last decade) went under. Dayton has gone under in four of their last five road games, and in four straight versus SEC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-18 | Nevada -7.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada is off to a hot start, coming into Friday's game versus Arizona State ranked sixth in the AP Poll. It's not just that the Wolfpack are 8-0, it's that all eight wins came by double-digits. Their closest game so far was a 96-86 win over Tulsa, in a game that they led by 11 at the half. The Sun Devils are also undefeated, and ranked in the Top 25. Their 7-0 start hasn't been quite as impressive, winning close games over teams like Utah State and Cal State Fullerton. They have only faced one ranked team, beating Mississippi State by a score of 72-67 in Las Vegas. Their last game was far from impressive, turning the ball over 19 times and shooting just 13-of-25 (52%) from the free throw line in a home win over Texas Southern. If they play like that here at the Staples Center, another double-digit win for Nevada will likely be the result. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-18 | Indiana v. Duke OVER 155 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@DUKE to go Over the total. The Blue Devils will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they take on Indiana at home Tuesday night. Last year the Blue Devils won 91-81 at Indiana, and in the only other meeting in the past decade (2015) they won at home by a score of 94-74. The total for tonight's game is significantly lower than it was in the Hoosiers last trip to Cameron Indoor Stadium. In fact it's the lowest total the Blue Devils have seen all season. They come in averaging 91.8 points per game, but on defense they are allowing opponents to average 71.2 points per game. I guess that's what you get will a roster full of talented freshman. Indiana is lighting up the scoreboard as well, shooting 55.1 percent from the field and averaging 84.3 points per game. The over is 4-1 in Duke's last five games against BIG10 teams, and I woudn't be surprised to see another barn burner here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Heat -124 v. Nets | Top | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat. The Brooklyn Nets are a young and exciting team, that has been quite competitive early this year. Losing their leading scorer Caris LaVert to a gruesome injury is sure to take some of the wind out of their sails. They play their first game since the injury, at home versus Miami tonight. The Heat are looking to snap a three game losing skid, and they have lost three straight versus Brooklyn. Goran Dragic sat out two games last week with a sore knee, and he was 0-for-7 for no points in 21 minutes in his first game back. He's coming off a 22-point game against Philly, shooting 8-of-15 from the field. History is certainly on the side of Dragic and the Heat. Miami is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings versus the Nets, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 at Brooklyn. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier OVER 143.5 | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WIS@XAV to go Over the total. The Musketeers won at Wisconsin by a score of 80-70 last November, and I think we'll see another high scoring game here in Cincinnati. This time the Badgers are a road favorite, coming off an 85-63 win over Coppin State. The Musketeers are 2-0 with a couple of close wins over unranked teams. They have not looked strong defensively, ranking 243rd in the country allowing 77 points per game. They are coming off a 91-85 win over the Evansville Aces, and the over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. The Badgers have gone over in four of their last five non-conference games. Tonight's total is lower than it has been in any of Xavier's last 10 games, and this early in the season I don't expect either of these two teams to be dialed in defensively. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-18 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -120 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are undefeated at home so far this season, and they host the Sixers on Saturday night. Philly was expected to be one of the top teams in the East this season, but so far they haven't lived up to expectations. While they are just a half game back of Boston in the Atlantic Division, they have lost five of six road games so far. The 76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games, and they are 1-9 straight up in their last 10 versus Memphis. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. I don't like the Sixers chances on the road in the second game of a back to back versus the #1 scoring defense in the NBA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | Celtics -147 v. Pacers | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Boston really is the BEAST of the EAST, and I expect them to prove it here in Indiana tonight. The Pacers are returning home after a taxing win at Chicago last night. Victor Oladipo appeared to be drained after the game: "I'm not feeling well, but I don't care, it's time to win," Oladipo told Fox Sports Indiana. "The game ball should go to the bench because we did a terrible job coming out strong. The bench lifted us and we finally got our groove late." The Celtics have won five of the last seven meetings in this series, and four straight at Indianapolis. Boston ranks 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they are the only team allowing less than 100 points per game this season. This looks like a tough spot to play a back to back for the home team, and my money is on the visitors. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. I wouldn't read to much into LeBron James having an off night and looking tired in Game 5, and I expect James and the Cavs to be much better tonight. That being said, they are asked to cover a whopping seven points, which is a few too many in my opinion. After getting blown out in Game 3, I bet on Boston +7 in Game 4. They failed to cover, but it was close. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cavs won big (by 32 points) in Game 3 in Cleveland, but I don't think they are 32 points better than Boston. In fact, I don't think they are seven points better than Boston. Prior to Game 3 they had played 13 playoff games, and only two of those were wins by more than four points. The Celtics will surely be better tonight, and I expect a close game from start to finish. Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Cavs have not been a good bet following a blowout win, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win." I expect tonight's game to be the closest game we will see in this series. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-24-18 | Warriors +103 v. Rockets | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. A lot of talk about how the Rockets beat the Warriors in Game 4, and it's all hogwash. The Warriors beat themselves. They played like a team that was far too confident, and showed a lack of respect for their opponent. Kevin Durant and Steph Curry took some terrible shots in the fourth quarter, and it was terrible coaching by Steve Kerr. Golden State started the game on a 12-0 run, and they took a double-digit lead into the fourth quarter. They got exactly what they deserved, and the loss will likely serve as a wake up call ahead of Game 5. Home court advantage hasn't been a factor in this series so far, and with the Warriors covering the spread in 10 of their last 14 at Houston, I can't see betting this game any other way. Take the champs in a must win game. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-18 | Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Surely LeBron isn't going to allow the Cavs to lose at home in Game 3? Well, that's what everyone said about Game 2 in Boston, and despite 42 points and a triple-double, the Cavs suffered another double-digit loss. Bettors must have short memories, because if you go back just a few weeks when the Cavs were struggling against the Pacers, all the so called experts were saying that Philly would sweep the Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. A few days later the Sixers found themselves right where Cleveland is now, heading home down 0-2 and heavily favored in Game 3. Boston won that game and ended up winning the series in five games. Cleveland has eight wins in these playoffs, and six of those have come by four points or less. Asking them to cover almost twice that margin here in Game 3 doesn't seem realistic at all. The Celtics were just a 4.5 point underdog in their last game at Cleveland, and they have covered in five straight visits to Quicken Loans Arena. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-14-18 | Warriors +110 v. Rockets | Top | 119-106 | Win | 110 | 84 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston. Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total. The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-23-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 96-113 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. | |||||||
04-22-18 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total. The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-21-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 207 | Top | 102-115 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
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04-11-18 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 | Top | 98-122 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@NO to go Under the total. | |||||||
04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan Wolverines. By now you have probably already heard that Michigan is the only team to make the Final without playing at least a #5 seed. Don't kid yourself, this Wolverines team didn't get here because of a soft schedule. Their 14 game winning streak includes wins over #2 ranked Michigan State (they beat the Spartans twice this year) and #8 ranked Purdue. They lost two of three versus the Boilermakers, but the two losses came by a combined margin of five points. Villanova comes in as the highest scoring team in the country, and they deserve to be the favorite. The line looks a little inflated though, asking them to cover a whopping seven points in a game of this magnitude. The Wildcats offense struggled against Texas Tech, but they were fortunate that the Red Raiders couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Michigan has far better shooters, and the Wolverines rank 8th nationally allowing just 62.9 points per game. The last five National Championship Games were all decided by less than seven points, and I expect another close game here in 2018. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-30-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@OKC to go Under the total. The NBA Playoffs are just a few weeks away, and as teams jockey for playoff position, we see a lot more intensity on defense. I bet on the under in the Thunder's 108-105 loss to Portland, and here is what I had to say before the game: "Both the Blazers and the Thunder rank among the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th and 7th in opponent’s scoring average. The Thunder are just one game back of Portland in the Northwest, and there is just two games separating 3rd place Portland and 6th place New Orleans in the Western Conference standings. The Blazers have won all three of their games against the Thunder this season, and two of those three games fell short of the total. The total for tonight’s game is higher than it was in any of those previous three contests." The Thunder host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and these two teams have gone under in two of three previous meetings this season. Once again, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous three games. I'll place a value bet here on what appears to be an inflated total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |