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This is an 8* play on the Raptors.

Two last place teams face off when the Raptors host the Magic tonight. Neither of these teams have much left to play for, but both teams are coming off a win. The Magic won on the road in Chicago, and Toronto won at home versus the Spurs. Toronto will have leading scorer Fred VanVleet back in the lineup tonight. The Raptors have owned Orlando, covering the spread in eight straight head to head meetings. Toronto is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against the Magic.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Cleveland.

The Raptors are in Cleveland tonight, and they will rest their starters in the first game of a back to back. This has been a theme for Toronto this year, letting the young players get some experience. The results have been as expected, as they sit dead last in the Atlantic Division. They have lost nine straight on the road, and they have failed to cover in seven straight away from home (not really home). Cleveland is coming off back to back wins, and their young stars have been playing well. The Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies.

Memphis is on a roll, coming into New York as winners of three straight on this road trip. Wins came at Philly, Miami and Atlanta. They are now just two games out of first place in the Southwest Division. The Knicks have lost five of their last six overall, and they have slid all the way to fourth in the Atlantic Division. The Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings versus the Knicks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LA Clippers.

The Suns are coming off an OT win at home over Utah, setting them up for a big let down here in LA in the second game of a back to back. The Clippers are coming off back to back wins over the Lakers and the Blazers. The Clippers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home games. LA is also getting healthier, with Patrick Beverly back, and the addition of DeMarcus Cousins. The Suns are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 head to head meetings, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine at LA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Gonzaga.

The UCLA Bruins played well enough to win in the Elite 8 versus Michigan, but keep in mind they scored just 51 points and Michigan was playing without their best player. Gonzaga on the other hand scored 85 points in a blowout win over USC. The Trojans were far better than UCLA in the PAC12 this season, beating them in both meetings by a combined 19 points. I'll have to make this analysis brief, because we want to get this bet in quick before the line inevitably gets bet up.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

The Mavs are 5-2 in their last seven overall, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin. They are in Washington, and the Wizards are coming off back to back double digit losses. The Mavericks are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games, and they have covered in four of their last five road games. The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on 1 days rest. History favors Dallas, the Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 135.5.

The Baylor Bears will face the Houston Cougars in the Final Four, and I expect this to be a battle. Both these teams are capable of playing lock down defense, and I expect every possession to be played with the same intensity that is normally reserved for the final minute of a tight game. The Cougars have held the opposition to an average of just 55 points in their last five overall. The under is 23-9 in the Cougars last 32 games as an underdog, and the under is 4-1 in Cougars last five NCAA Tournament games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bulls.

Chicago is coming off a 121-116 loss at Phoenix, their seventh loss in their last eight overall. They easily covered in what was a very close game, and now they are double digit underdog at Utah. The Jazz have won seven straight, and after suffering a near death experience when their plane was forced to make an emergency landing, we could expect them to suffer a bit of a let down. The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog, and the Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

This is a 10* play on the Clippers.

The Clippers have won five straight home games, and Kawhi Leonard scored 28 points in a 122-112 win over the Sixers Saturday. The Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and Giannis has been struggling with a knee injury. The "Greek Freak" had failed to score 20 points in his last two starts, and did not play in Saturday's loss to New York. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the USC.

The Trojans won 15 games in the Pac12 during the regular season, one more than the Ducks. The two teams played each other twice, and the Trojans won the most recent meeting by a whopping 14 points. The previous meeting was decided in overtime, with the Ducks winning at home in January. The Trojans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have covered in six straight NCAA Tournament games. USC is stronger defensively, which might just be the difference here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on FSU.

The Wolverines have cruised into the Sweet 16 with back to back wins over Texas Southern and LSU. They will be a favorite against Florida State, but I think the Seminoles have looked like the better team lately. BIG10 teams have disappointed so far, and Michigan is the last of nine teams in the tournament. Michigan will be shorthanded after Isaiah Livers suffered a stress fracture that has him listed as "out indefinitely". The Seminoles are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog, and they appear to be peaking at the right time.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs are the biggest favorite in any of the Sweet 16 games, but I am not sure the bookmakers can set a line high enough. Gonzaga is undefeated (28-0), and the majority of those wins came by double digits. They beat Oklahoma by 16 points in their last game, and the Sooners actually played a helluva game. Even shooting 50% from the field and scoring 71 points wasn't enough to keep that game close. The Bluejays are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 220.5.

The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Oral Roberts.

After betting on Oral Roberts in their upset win over Florida, I have to like them as a double digit dog verus Arkansas in the Sweet 16. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Gators: "Oral Roberts was more impressive in their first round upset over Ohio State. Max Abmas scored 29 points on 10-of-24 shooting. He leads the nation in scoring averaging 24.2 points per game. The Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog." They played at Arkansas during the regular season, and that was quite a competitive game. The Golden Eagles have covered in five straight games played at a neutral site.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Atlanta.

The Hawks eight game winning streak ended on the road in LA, falling to the Clippers by a score of 119-110 on Monday. I like them to bounce back tonight in Sacramento. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 1 days rest. The Kings are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 225.5.

The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ohio.

I had Ohio in their first round upset win over Virginia, and I like them again here against a Creighton team that just barely avoided a first round upset. The Blue Jays defeated UCSB by a score of 63-62, hitting a pair of free throws in the dying seconds. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Bluejays are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I'll take the points. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

The Bruins are coming off consecutive impressive wins over Michigan State and BYU, and they will face Abilene Christian in the second round. The Wildcats are coming off a 53-52 upset win over Texas, and I expect them to suffer a let down here in their next game. They beat Texas with a pair of free throws with two seconds on the clock, but I doubt they will be as fortunate here against UCLA. The public will be quick to back the underdogs after so many early upsets in this year's tournaments, but the favorite appears to be the play here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Portland.

The Blazers have won four of their last five overall, and star guard CJ McCollum is back from injury. McCollum scored just 21 points in his first two games against New Orleans, but in his third game back he went off for 32 points against Dallas. The Trail Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and I gotta take Portland getting points at home here in the second game of this set versus the Mavs. The Blazers are 14-7 at home, and they have won five of their last seven games against Dallas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Oregon State.

I had the Beavers in the first round versus Tennessee, and this is what I said before that game: "The Beavers finished the season hot, winning the Pac12 Tournament and they won six of their last seven overall. The Beavers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall." They didn't just beat the Vols, they spanked them by double digits. Oregon State was 10-of-21 from beyond the arc, and shot 48.2 percent from the field. Who in their right mind would bet against The Beavers as a 6.5 point dog in this spot?

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ohio.

The thing about the Virginia Cavaliers is that they can beat anybody on any given day, as evidenced by finishing first in the ACC. They can also lose to anybody on any given day, as evidenced by their loss to San Francisco in non conference play. The Cavs were on the wrong end of one of the biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history just a few years ago. Ohio is a good team out of the competitive MAC Conference, and they should have good chance to pull off a first round upset.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Clemson.

The Tigers were undefeated in non-conference play, and two of those wins came against Big10 teams (Purdue and Maryland). They are the underdog in the first round versus Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights pick up most of their wins at home. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Clemson has covered in six of their last seven neutral site games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games as an underdog. There is a lot of talk of all the Big10 teams in the Tournament, but they are already 0-1 after the Spartans lost to UCLA last night.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GT.

The Loyola Chicago Ramblers have been lights out all year long. They won 18 of their last 19 games overall, and there is no doubt in my mind that they can play with anybody. That being said, I am not convinced that they are better than a Georgia Tech team that won the ACC Tournament, and finished with eight straight wins. The Yellow Jackets finished two games out of first place in the ACC standings, and they won some big games against the best teams in the country. The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Texas Tech.

The Utah State Aggies had won six straight heading into the Mountain West Tournament Final, but they really struggled offensively in a loss to San Diego State. It won't get any easier against one of the top defensive teams from the BIG12 Conference. Texas Tech has allowed opponents to average just 63 points per game this season, and the Aggies only scored an average of 64 points in their last five games overall. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. The Aggies defense looks great on paper, but they gave up 80+ points in losses to VCU, Boise State and Colorado State.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Hokies.

Florida won just once in their final four games of the season, and that win came against last place Vanderbilt. The Gators have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. The Hokies finished in the Top 3 in the ACC despite playing four fewer games than first place Virginia. They beat the Cavs by a score of 65-51 at the end of January. Florida struggled to score down the stretch, and I am not sure the Gators have the shooters to match serves with a talented VT team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan State.

The Spartans may have won fewer games than the UCLA Bruins, but they survived the gauntlet of the Big10. Their quality wins came against the likes of Michigan, Illinois, Duke and Ohio State. The Bruins lost their last four games, and they blew a 16 point lead in a loss to Oregon State in the Pac12 Tournament. The Bruins are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bruins are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Raptors have lost five straight, and they have sorely missed the likes of Siakam, Van Fleet and head coach Nick Nurse. Everyone was back at practice this week, and Siakam could return as soon as tonight. Nick Nurse is back behind the bench, and we should expect Toronto to be all business here in Detroit. The Raptors losing streak started against the Pistons, and Detroit was 20-of-41 from beyond the arc in their victory. It's highly unlikely they will be as fortunate here tonight. The Raptors are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Detroit.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toledo.

The Rockets finished the season strong, winning five of their final seven games. The same can't be said of Richmond, who lost their final three games. The Spiders top two players are each listed as questionable for tonight's game. The Rockets are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Spiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Toledo has averaged 86 points over their last five games, 14 points more than Richmond has scored during that span.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

I bet on the Heat one oft their most recent games, a decisive win over Orlando. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Cincinnati.

We've seen a lot of shockers in the conference tournaments so far. Georgetown winning the Big East, Oregon State winning the Pac12, and Ohio State knocking Michigan out of the Big Ten tournament. So it seems a little surprising to see Cincinnati getting a double digit spread in the final of the American Athletic Conference. It's the largest spread we've seen in any of their previous 10 meetings versus Houston. This comes after they knocked off the first place Wichita State Shockers on Saturday. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Oregon State.

The Colorado Buffaloes are better team on paper, but at this time of the year you can't underestimate the power of momentum. The Beavers are on a roll, coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon. They have already proved they can compete with Colorado, losing at home to the Buffaloes by just four points earlier this season. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns are one of the league's hottest teams, winning eight of their last nine overall. They host the Indiana Pacers tonight, and the Pacers are coming off a loss to the Lakers in LA last night. The Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six straight when coming off a loss. The Suns are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Caris Levert is expected to return tonight, but he likely will be on a minutes restriction.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Utah.

This game appears to be a setup for a beat down of epic proportions. The Jazz have the best record in the NBA, but they lost three of four heading into the All Star break. They host Houston on the back end of a back to back, coming off a 20 point loss at Sacramento. PJ Tucker has left the team, and Victor Oladipo is surely on his way out the door. The Jazz are hungry to get back on track, while the Rockets are mailing it in. The Jazz are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games, and the Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Spurs.

Orlando is coming off a loss at Miami, and they head to Texas to play the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Magic have lost six straight, and they are rumored to be shopping leading scorer Nikola Vucevic. The Spurs have been up and down, but they still hold a slim lead at the top of the Southwest. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, while the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Neither of these teams are great, but at least the Spurs still have something to play for.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings went into the All Star break winning two of their last four games. While that might not sound impressive, it's a lot better than Houston that has lost 13 in a row. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. The Kings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. DeAaron Fox scored 32 points on 12-of-26 shooting and had a dozen assists against Portland in his last start. The Kings have a lot more talent to work with, and should get a "W" at home versus Houston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

The defending Eastern Conference champs have had their struggles in the first half of the season, but they went into the All Star break as winners of six of their last seven. Jimmy Butler scored 29 points on 10-of-14 shooting in his return to action versus New Orleans last week. The Magic are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games, and rumors are swirling about possible trades involving their top players. Orlando appears ready to sell off talent and concentrate on rebuilding with a lottery pick.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

The Bruins have lost three straight, and we are often hesitant to back teams that appear to be slumping at this time of year. Those losses came to USC, Oregon and Colorado. The Beavers aren't exactly the same quality of opposition. UCLA has won four of their last five against Oregon State, and seven of the last 10 meetings. Oregon State just lost by 13 at Oregon, and another double digit loss could be in the cards here against UCLA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

We would expect both these teams to be prepared to grind out a gutty defensive game here in the ACC Tournament. The total for this game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Virginia is 5-1 straight up in their last six versus Syracuse, and the Orange averaged just 50 points per game in those losses. Both these teams played a few high scoring games down the stretch, but when they get together we expect the defense to shine.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MSU.

The Spartans have won five of their last seven, and both losses during that span came on the road. There is no doubt they have been the hotter team here as they get set to face Maryland in the conference tournament. Maryland is coming off back to back losses to Penn State and Northwestern. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, and they have struggled offensively during that span. The timing is right to back Sparty as the underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Northwestern.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers simply collapsed down the stretch, losing seven straight games. One of those losses came at home against Northwestern by a score of 67-59. The Wildcats have also had a disappointing season, but they head into the conference tournament riding a three game winning streak. Poor defense has been a problem for Minnesota all season, and they have allowed an average of 80 points over their last five games. Northwestern has played solid defense during that span, holding opponents to just 66.6 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Pitt.

The Miami Hurricanes are thin in the backcourt with a pair of starting guards sidelined by injury. The Canes faced Pittsburgh twice in 2020, losing both those games. The Hurricanes are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games, and the Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Pittsburgh has lost six of it's last seven games overall, but what is significant about that run is that five of those six losses came in games decided by single digits. Two losses to NC State came by a combined four points, and losses to Virginia and Florida State each came by seven points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

St. Mary's in one of the top defensive teams in the country, but the Gaels have had little success slowing down the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Bulldogs rank 2nd nationally in scoring, averaging over 92 points per game. They dropped 87 on the Gaels in the most recent head to head meeting, and the over is 10-1 in the Bulldogs last 11 neutral site games. Gonzaga is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and they averaged 84 points in those games. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of the last five meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Baylor Bears beat Texas Tech 68-60 on the road earlier this season, and we should expect another defensive battle here in Sunday's game. The total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of the previous nine head to head meetings. The under is 20-8 in the Red Raiders last 28 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite, and I think they will have their hands full here against Texas Tech.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Louisville.

Virginia has lost three of their last four overall, and back to back games on the road. The Cavs have struggled to score, averaging just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall. This is reminiscent of the Cavs team that was bounced from the NCAA Tournament by UMBC in one of the biggest upsets in history. Louisville has won nine of 10 home games, and they beat the Cavs at home last season by a score of 80-73. The Cardinals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the Cavs have failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. I'll take the home dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

There are four teams at the top of the Mountain West standings with 14 wins, one of those teams is the Colorado State Rams. The Rams will play at Nevada Friday, and we might expect both these teams to play tough defense. The Rams have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine coming off an ATS loss. The Wolfpack won by a score of 67-61 in their last home game against the Rams. I expect to see another low scoring game here tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on New York.

The Knicks are legit contender to make the playoffs in the East, while the only thing Detroit has a chance of winning is a lottery pick. The Pistons won last night against a group of second and third stringers in a 129-105 win over the Raptors. Playing the second game of a back to back in New York, they should be due for a let down. The Pistons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double digit win. The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dayton.

The Flyers are playing their best basketball here at the end of the season, while Rhode Island has lost six of it's last seven overall. History certainly favors Dayton, as the Flyers have won three of the last four head to head meetings. The Flyers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and one of those wins was a 67-56 home win over Rhode Island. The Rams are tough at home, but here in a neutral site game against a conference powerhouse, they should find themselves overmatched.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Ducks.

First place UCLA is just a half game up on Oregon in the PAC12, and they play at Eugene as a four point underdog tonight. The Ducks are tough at home, with a 10-2 home record. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Ducks are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 home games. Oregon shot 12-of-22 from beyond the arc in an 80-69 home win over Arizona in their last game. They beat the Bruins by 21 points in Eugene last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan State.

The Spartans last two home games were wins over ranked teams, beating Illinois and Ohio State. They are coming off a road loss at Maryland, but back in East Lansing they should be able to handle Indiana. The Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 3-5 on the road. The Indiana offense has struggled, averaging just 66.4 points per game in their last five overall. Indiana has lost four of their last five overall, including a home loss to the Spartans. Aaron Henry scored 27 points on 9-of-17 shooting in that game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ISU.

The Cyclones have lost 14 straight overall, but their last three losses came in games decided by 10 points or less. They already lost at Texas earlier this year, but they easily covered the spread losing by six as a 12 point underdog. The Longhorns are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the home team has won outright in seven straight head to head meetings. Expecting Texas to win by double digits on the road here seems to be a bit of a tough ask.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ohio State.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 22 point road loss at Michigan, and they have lost three of their last five road games. Losses came at Indiana, Illinois and Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Buckeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

free play

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

 It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the under.

It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

Two struggling teams meet in the BIG10 tonight, but the Gophers appear to be a well deserved home favorite. Here is what I said prior to their last home win: "The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game." The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are just 1-8 on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Clemson.

The Tigers aren't ranked in the Top 25, but they sure have proved that they can play with the top teams in the country. They've beaten Alabama, Florida State, Louisville and North Carolina (all ranked). They come into today's game as winners of four of five, while Wake Forest is a bottom feeder with just a 3-11 conference record. The Deacons have lost back to back home games by a combined margin of more than 40 points. Clemson has won outright in seven of the last eight meetings, winning three of their last four at Wake Forest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Orlando.

The Pistons lost in Orlando on Sunday, and often when a team loses the first game of a back to back set you would expect them to have a better showing in Game 2. For a team that has just two road wins all year, that might not be the case. Here is what I said prior to Sunday's game: "The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Hokies.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have played some good games this season, mostly at home. They are just 2-5 on the road, and they have lost four straight at Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 9-1 overall at home this season. The Yellow Jackets won at home versus the Hokies last February, but had lost six straight to the Hokies prior to that. The Hokies last home game was a double digit win over Virginia.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Orlando.

The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on St. Bonaventure.

The Davidson Wildcats come into Sunday's game at Saint Bonaventure as winners of five in a row, but they might struggle against the first place Bonnies. The Bonnies are undefeated at home so far, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bonnies are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights were 18-1 at home last year, and they have won nine of 12 at home this season. They host Maryland Sunday, and the home court should be a big factor. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when coming off a win. The Scarlet Knights are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. Rutgers won by a score of 78-67 at home versus Maryland last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bearcats.

Cincinnati comes into Houston as winners of four straight, but they are just 7-7 overall. Six of their seven losses have come in games decided by single digits, so the double digit cushion here against Houston looks generous. The Cougars are a strong team that have struggled a bit lately. They are coming off a loss at Wichita State, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The underdog has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings, so I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Huskies.

Washington and California are both sitting at the bottom of the PAC12 with just three conference wins. The Bears beat the Huskies in Berkeley earlier this year, but I expect the Huskies to get revenge here in Washington. The Golden Bears are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games, and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. California was an 8.5 point dog at Washington last year, and they lost by 35 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHX.

The Suns are the hottest team in the NBA dating back to the bubble this summer. They have won 10 of their last 12 overall, and they are just a slight favorite in tonight's game at Memphis. Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but superior talent should make the difference for the visitors. The Suns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and the Grizzlies aren't strong at home. Memphis is 3-3 in their last six home games, with wins coming against the likes of Detroit, OKC and Charlotte.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LSU.

Auburn has lost four of their last five games, and the one win came against last place Vanderbilt. Playing on the road at third place LSU Saturday, I don't expect this game to be close. LSU is 9-2 at home, averaging 84.4 points in those games. Auburn has lost six of eight on the road, averaging 71.9 points per game. LSU is coming off a 78-65 home win over Tennessee, shooting 51.9 percent from the field. Auburn won't likely be able to match the Tigers (LSU) scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

The Gophers are coming off back to back road losses, but they have been an absolute monster at home. They are 13-1 overall at home, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, so getting 5.5 points seems like a helluva bargain. Illinois has won six straight, but three of their last five wins have come by five points or less.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Vols.

The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off back to back wins, but neither of those were particularly impressive. I bet on them in their home win over Auburn, and they just barely hung on winning that game by two points. They followed that up with a narrow win on the road at last place Auburn, and that inspires little confidence as they head to Knoxville to take on the #19 ranked Vols. The Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Tennessee has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the average margin of victory was far greater than seven points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Clippers.

Breaking news suggests Kawhi and PG are going to suit up for the Clippers. This sets up a classic revenge spot for LA, after losing at home by double digits to Utah on Wednesday. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. This is also a natural let down spot for Utah.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Oregon.

The Ducks have won three straight, including back to back road wins in Arizona. They host Colorado Thursday, and home court advantage figures to be key here. The home team is 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The Buffaloes are 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games, and the Ducks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

The Nets got the win in Phoenix after trailing by 24 points. They did it without Kyrie and KD, but don't think that's gonna happen on LeBron's watch. KD is not going to play in LA, although Kyrie could be back. I think the Nets will miss Durant more than the Lakers miss AD. LA has won eight of their last nine, while the Nets are 5-4 in their last nine. If we're talking GOAT, then I am firmly in the MJ camp, but if we're talking MVP it's LeBron all day.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

The Bruins are 9-0 at home, and yet they are just a small favorite in Thursday's home game against Arizona. The Wildcats have struggled on the road, and they have lost four of their last six overall. They have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games against teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Bruins have won five of their last six versus Arizona outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

The Lakers and the Clippers are each looking up at the Utah Jazz, who sit in the top spot in the Western Conference. The Clippers have done well to keep pace with the Lakers and the Jazz, sitting just 2.5 games out of first. They are a bit banged up though, with Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and Nick Batum all dealing with injuries. The Jazz are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They have covered in eight of their last 10 road games against the Clippers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Indiana.

I bet against the Gophers in their last road game at Maryland, and they got clobbered. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month." The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a Free play on DePaul.

The Blue Demons are just 1-9 in the BIG EAST, and they will be a 13.5 point underdog at Seton Hall Wednesday. DePaul has been perhaps more competitive than you would expect for a team with a 1-9 conference record. Their last three losses came by 10 or fewer points to Creighton, Butler and Providence. Seton Hall has failed to cover in four straight home games, and seven of their last eight games against De Paul have been decided by a single digit margin.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PHX.

Two of the league's hottest teams will meet in Phoenix tonight, but this won't be an ideal situation for the visitors. Brooklyn is 9-4 in their last 13, but they won't have the services of Kevin Durant, and playing the second game of a back to back they might want to limit the minutes for stars James Harden and Kyrie Irving. The Suns have won nine of their last 10 overall, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Nets have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on St. Johns.

Xavier has played just twice in the last month, and they are coming off a loss to the UCONN Huskies. The St. John's Red Storm are coming off a three-point loss on the road at Butler, but they had won six straight prior to that. Their win streak included a home win over Villanova, and a double digit road win over Providence. The Red Storm are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. St. John's scores an average of over 80 points per game at home, and a banged up Musketeers team may not be able to keep up.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Purdue.

The Spartans are struggling, coming into Tuesday's road game at Purdue as losers of five of their last seven overall. They have lost all three road games during that span, and they lost at home by a score of 55-54 to Purdue. That was the only time the road team won in the last six head to head meetings. The Spartans have lost their last three at Purdue by double digits. The Spartans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play Providence.

The Huskies will be a pretty sizeable favorite here at home against Providence, but I think this looks like a tough spot for the home team. The Huskies got off to a strong start, but they have lost four of their last six. Their leading scorer James Bouknight remains sidelined with an elbow injury. They have missed his 20 points per game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than five points. The Friars have played well on the road, going 2-2 in their last four away from home. They won outright at Creighton and lost by a single point to Georgetown. Don't be suprised if they give the Huskies all they can handle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

I bet against the Cavs last night, and they got clobbered by a shorthanded Clippers team. They play their second game of a back to back with Andre Drummond benched, and I think they lose by double digits again in California. Here is what I said last night: "The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Maryland. 

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on GT.

The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back losses in close games. They lost at home by six points to first place Viginia, and they lost by two points on the road to a very strong Clemson team. Pittsburgh has been pretty competitive as well, but this looks like a tough matchup for the Panthers. Pittsburgh has failed to cover in nine of their last 10 against Georgia Tech, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Seton Hall.

The Pirates are 8-5 in the Big East, but they are 8-1 against everyone other than Creighton and Villanova. They host Marquette Sunday, and these teams are trending in opposite directions. The Golden Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five straight road games. Marquette has lost five in a row to Seton Hall, and the average margin of defeat in those games is over eight points. This should be a comfortable win for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Missouri.

The Tigers are coming off a loss at Ole Miss, but they had won six of seven prior to that. They have won four straight at home, and they are 8-1 overall at home. The Razorbacks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The home team has covered in five of the last six meetings between these teams. Missouri has been a good bet coming off a loss, covering the spread in six of their last eight such situations.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Suns.

Phoenix was the biggest surprise team in the bubble this summer, but they got off to a slow start to the 2020-2021 regular season. They come into this afternoon's game on a roll though, winners of seven of their last eight overall and five straight at home. They host the Sixers, who aren't that strong on the road. The 76ers are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven versus the Suns. Phoenix has covered in five straight home games, and the Suns are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on WVU.

The Mountaineers will host Oklahoma Saturday, and the Sooners have a dozen wins so far this season. Ten of those wins came at home, and they have lost four of six on the road. The Mountaineers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record. The Sooners offense has struggled on the road, averaging just 68.5 points per game. We expect the Mountaineers to win a close game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

I had the Mavs in their last game, a come from behind win over Atlanta. Here is what I said prior to Tip Off: "It's been a slow start to the season for a Dallas team that came in with such high expectations. Luca Doncic has averaged 27 points per game, but he hasn't lived up to the hype after an outstanding season a year ago. The Mavs may be turning the corner though, coming into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four. They host Atlanta, and the Hawks are coming off a four game home stand that saw them lose three of four. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, and they lost by double digits in their last two visits to Dallas."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on VCU.

The Rams lost at St. Bonaventure by a score of 70-54 in January, but I like their chances in this revenge spot at home Friday. They are 7-1 straight up at home, and they are coming off road wins over Dayton and Rhode Island. The Rams have won three of their last four home games against the Bonnies, and last year they won at home almost 30 points. St. Bonaventure doesn't score a lot of points on the road, averaging just 63.6 points per game. The Rams have averaged 76.8 points per game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule