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This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have averaged just 57 points per game in their last four, and they are 2-2 during that span. They are excellent on defense, holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game this season. The Temple Owls know a thing or two about playing defense, and we can expect a real defensive battle here in Philly. The under is 8-2 in the Owls last 10 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Owls have gone under in seven of their last eight versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Aggies are coming off their first loss in conference play, falling 84-76 to the Colorado State Rams. They will be a road favorite at UNLV, and I expect another high score here. The Rebels have won four straight against inferior opposition, including two Division 2 teams. The last time they played a contender in the Mountain West they lost back to back games at Colorado State. Both of those games were high scoring (145+). The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I expect the Rebels to score enough points to keep this a close enough game to go over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Washington Huskies are the worst team in the PAC12, but they are coming off a big home win over Colorado. They host Utah tonight, and I expect a high score in this game. The Huskies are terrible defensively, allowing over 77 points per game. The Utes have gone over in six of their last eight road games, and the over is 12-5 in Utes last 17 overall. The Huskies have gone over in five straight overall. We should see both teams reach 70 points in this one.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is in 8* play on Over.

The Rockets have averaged over 90 points per game in their last four, and they host Kent State in what should be a shootout. These two teams have gone over in four straight head to head meetings. The over is 7-1 in the Golden Flashes last eight games following a straight up win. Kent State has scored 80+ points in five straight. Both these teams are below average defensively, so it would be no suprise to see a similar score to the most recent meeting when Toldeo won by a score of 84-82 earlier this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on under.

The Nevada Wolfpack will be the favorite when they play at Wyoming tonight, and Nevada is one of the strongest defensive teams in the Mountain West. They have help the opposition to just 65 points per game this season. The Cowboys are a high scoring team that averages 78 points per game. They are coming off back to back games against Air Force, and neither of those games saw more than 145 combined points. These two teams haven't gone over 145 points in each of the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

After a brutal start to the season the 2019 NBA Champion Toronto Raptors have won three straight. They host the Miami Heat tonight, but it looks like Miami will be shorthanded for this game. Jimmy Butler and a handful of others are expected to miss the game due to health and safety protocols. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six road games. Despite their struggles, Toronto has a respectable home record of 4-2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs.

I had the Bulldogs in their last home game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Florida: "Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Louisville.

Louisville is coming off it's first loss in conference play on the road at Miami, and they are back home to host Florida State on Monday. The Seminoles aren't quite as formidable as they were a year ago when they finished first in the ACC, but they are just a half game back in the conference standings. Louisville is 23-1 in 24 home games since the beginning of last season, and I like their chances of adding to that total. The Seminoles have only played once on the road this season, losing to Clemson. This spread should be 3-4 points higher than it is.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Tulsa.

Tulsa is sitting in third in the AAC, and the Golden Hurricanes are 7-4 overall. They have won four of five at home, and they have won three of the last four head to head meetings versus Memphis. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. I think this might be a case of Memphis being overrated based on past performance, when they are not quite as strong this season as they have been in the past.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Alabama.

The Crimson Tide are coming off a massive double digit win at Kentucky, and you might think that sets them up for a let down here on Saturday. I expect them to be all fired up for a home game against Arkansas, a team that they have lost to in six straight head to head meetings. The Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost 15 of 20 road games since the start of last season. Alabama is undefeated (5-0) in conference play, despite playing some of the best teams in the SEC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toledo.

The Rockets are the cream of the crop in the MAC so far, with a 6-0 conference record. They will play on the road at Akron, and asked to cover a few points. Akron isn't the powerhouse it was a year ago, coming off back to back losses to Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Zips are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 8* play on Rutgers.

I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Raptors are sitting dead last in the Atlantic Division with a record of 2-8 overall. They have lost back to back games by a single point, but they have a home game against Charlotte tonight. This should give the struggling Raptors a chance to get a W, and make a statement with a double digit home win. Charlotte is playing on back to back nights after losing 104-93 at home to Dallas Wednesday. The Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. Gordon Hayward leads the Hornets in scoring averaging 22 points per game, and he left last night's game with a hip injury. His status for tonight is in doubt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Santa Clara.

The Broncos are coming off a 66-64 road win at St. Mary's, and they are 7-2 overall so far this season. They play at Pacific tonight, and this will be the Tigers first conference game, and just their fifth game this season. It's been over a month since the last time Pacific played a competitive game against a Division 1 school. The Tigers have had 10 games cancelled or postponed, and that has to take a lot of the wind out of their sails. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, and the road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Georgia.

Both the Bulldogs and the Tigers are winless in the SEC so far, but that will change when Georgia host's Auburn tonight. I like the home side here, as Georgia has been highly competitive despite losing their last three games. They lost to LSU by just two points on the road, and they are 7-1 overall at home this season. The Tigers have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on FSU.

The Seminoles might not be the powerhouse they were last year, but they are still a formidable home team. They host NC State tonight, and the Wolfpack haven't covered in any of their last five road games. They have only covered in one of their last six games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. FSU is 21-1 at home since the beginning of last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Warriors.

The Warriors are 4-2 since Draymond Green returned to the lineup, and tonight they catch the Pacers playing on back to back nights after a loss in Sacramento. The Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on 0 days rest. The Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. Steph Curry is averaging over 28 points per game so far, and he's scored over 30 in three of his last five games. He's proving he's still capable of carrying this team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Virginia Tech.

The Hokies are 3-1 in the ACC, with their only loss coming at first place Louisville. They host Duke tonight, and the Blue Devils come in as a road favorite. Duke hasn't looked worthy of laying points on the road, just barely beating Boston College at home last week. The Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Florida.

The Gators have lost back to back games, but to the top two teams in the SEC. They now have a home game against Ole Miss, and the Rebels are 2-12 in their last 14 road games. The Rebels are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning straight up record, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and the home team has won six straight between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Portland.

I bet against the Raptors last night, and here is what I said prior to their loss at Golden State: "The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points." The Raptors are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings versus Portland.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCONN.

The Huskies come into DePaul with a 6-1 record, and their lone loss came against #7 ranked Creighton. They have a history of beating up on their conference rivals, winning 10 straight versus DePaul. Eight of those 10 wins came by a double digit margin. The Blue Demons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. UCONN is coming off back to back double digit road wins over Butler and Marquette.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Warriors.

The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Steph Curry and Draymond Green likely still have a bitter taste in their mouth after watching Toronto celebrate a Championship win in their building. The Dubs aren't going to let up here against Toronto.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Nebraska.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are not a good team, let's be honest. They finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, and they are well on their way to another last place finish this season. As bad as they are, they have nine wins in 24 home games since the beginning of last season. They are getting a bunch of points here against Indiana on Sunday, and the Hoosiers have just two road wins in 13 games during that span. Indiana covered in both meetings last year, but had failed to cover in their previous four versus Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are coming off losses to Michigan. Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin, so it's not a surprise they have struggled against the better teams. This game should be a better matchup for them.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Wildcats are coming off an 87-73 loss to USC, and they have scored 70+ in each of their last six games. Both of these teams have averaged over 75 points per game this season, and we can expect another high score in Arizona tonight. The over is 5-2 in the Bruins last seven overall, and the Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six home games. This game really could go either way, but we expect both teams to score 70+.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Nuggets.

Philly will be forced to fave the Nuggets with just nine players available after several players have been sidelined by health and safety protocols. Ben Simmons won't play because of a knee injury, and starting and backup PG Seth Curry and Shake Milton are also out Saturday. This looks like a situation where Philly will be waiving the white flag.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on California.

The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year, and they are the favorite to finish last this year. The come into Berkeley with an 0-4 record in the conference, and a 1-8 overall record. The Bears aren't a whole lot better, also winless in the conference, but 5-7 overall. While California has lost three straight, for the most part they were competitive in those games. The same can not be said for the Huskies, who have lost by 16, 27 and 23 in their last three overall. The Huskies are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on West Virginia.

Texas will come into West Virginia as a favorite, with a record of 9-1. The Mountaineers are 9-3, but two those three losses came to teams ranked in the Top 5 (Gonzaga and Kansas). They are 5-1 at home, after going 14-2 at home last season. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings, and the Longhorns lost by 38 points in their last game at Morgantown. The Mountaineers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games, and the home team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Buckeyes have failed to cover in five straight road games, while the home team has covered in each of the last five meetings between these two teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Celtics.

Boston has won five of their last six games, and they host the Washington Wizards on Friday. Washington is just 2-6 to start the season, and they haven't had much success in recent trips to Boston. They are 2-11-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Boston. The Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Bradley Beal scored a whopping 60 points in his last start, but the Wizards lost nevertheless. After coming back from 21-points down at Philly, they went on to lose 141-136. This could set them up for a let down on the road here in Boston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Michigan State.

I had the Spartans in their win at Nebraska, and here is what I said before tipoff: "Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points." The Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and the home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Arizona.

The Wildcats host USC Thursday, and home court has been a huge factor in recent meetings between these PAC12 rivals. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, with the lone exception being a road win for the Wildcats. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Trojans suffered a double digit home loss to Colorado, before beating Utah by a score of 62-46 in their last game. This will be their first true road game. Should be an easy W for the Cats.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Memphis.

The Grizzlies are 0-4 at home and they are really missing Ja Morant. They do draw a favorable matchup here on Thursday though, hosting Cleveland on the back end of a back to back. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings straight up, and I expect Memphis to be far more motivated here still in search of the first W at home. They are coming off back to back losses to the Lakers, but the last game was close, decided by just two points. Darius Garland is the Cavs second leading scorer, assist leader and starting PG. He's out for at least a week with a shoulder injury. The Cavs might just mail this in.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Boston College.

The Blue Devils haven't played a game since mid December, and after losing to Illinois Coach K suggested that playing during a pandemic didn't seem like the right thing to do. He's since been forced to quarantine, and he won't be at tonight's game at Cameron Indoor Stadium. I can't see laying double digits with a team that isn't mentally ready, and hasn't played in almost a month. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in four straight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pacers.

The Rockets are still shopping James Harden, and until they sort that out it's hard to imagine they will be competitive. They are coming off a 113-100 home loss to the Mavericks, and Harden scored just 21 points of 5-of-17 shooting. The Pacers are currently in first place in the Central Division, and they should be all fired up for a home game tonight. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana. The Pacers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

The Brooklyn Nets made a lot of noise by winning their first two games, and the media and fans were already planning their parade. They have since lost four of five, losing Spencer Dinwiddie for the season with an injury. There are still trade rumors surrounding the team, and Kyrie seems to always be battling injury. KD is now under quarantine, leaving the Nets undermanned for a home game against the Jazz who are 3-0 on the road. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Jazz are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings, and they have covered in five of their last six at Brooklyn.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Sacramento.

The Golden State Warriors are coming off a blowout win over Portland, with Steph Curry going off for a career high 62 points. This puts them at .500 on the season, and still a long way from looking like a playoff team. Draymond Green didn't do much last night, scoring one point and pulling just three rebounds in 28 minutes. The Dubs look like they face a massive let down spot here in the second game of a back to back. The Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, and the Warriors are are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on West Virginia.

The Mountaineers have lost back to back road games, but they have traditionally played pretty well in previous trips to Stillwater. They won here last year by a score of 55-41, and the home team is just 2-7 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. West Virginia has played a tough schedule, with losses to Kansas and Gonzaga. They should handle a lesser opponent here on the road tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dallas.

The Rockets are still dealing with disgruntled superstar James Harden, who sat out the last game with an ankle injury. Harden is still demanding to be traded, so we aren't expecting him to play hurt or give 100 percent for the Rockets on his way out the door. The Mavericks are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Dallas has covered in four of their last five visits to Houston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan State.

Coming off three straight losses, the Spartans are asked to cover heavy chalk as a road favorite. I love it! Nebraska has lost five straight by double digits, and they have lost five of their last six versus the Spartans by 10 points or more. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. The Cornhuskers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall, they are also 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games. This should be a get right game for Michigan State.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Under.

Nevada has played strong defense so far this season, and in two games in the Mountain West they held their opponent to fewer than 70 points in each contest. The Lobos have played twice in the league and have failed to score 54 points in both of those games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Lobos last eight overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Raptors.

The Raptors are still winless after three games, and I bet against them in their loss at San Antonio. Here is what I said: "The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio." The Knicks aren't quite the same level of opposition as the Spurs, Pelicans or 76ers. The fact that they won back to back games might just make them like their own smell even a little more than they should. It's time of the Dinosaurs to fight back, or risk extinction.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equiped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Arizona.

In the past 10 head to head meetings between the Buffaloes and the Wildcats, the home team has won ALL 10 GAMES! The Wildcats have won 19 of their last 23 home games, while the Buffaloes have lost eight of their last 13 on the road. The Buffaloes are 13-39 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Home court should be huge here, as the home team has also covered in four straight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets won 26 games at home last year, one fewer than the LA Clippers who had the best home record in the Western Conference. This came after winning 34 home games (NBA best) the previous season. Now they have started the season with back to back home losses, and they host a shorthanded Houston team on Monday. James Harden wants a trade, but he scored 44 points in the season opener almost beating the Blazers in Portland. If he continues to put up MVP numbers, the Rockets might not be in a hurry to get a deal done. I wouldn't want to count on getting 100% from Harden moving forward, and with Ben Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall out of the lineup, it's going to be tough to ask them to hang in there in Denver. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and the Nuggets are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

These two teams have historically played low scoring games, but because of that we see a low total for tonight's contest. The low number doesn't really reflect what we've seen from these teams so far this season. The Ant Eaters are averaging just under 90 points per game, and they rank 5th in the Big West with a field goal percentage of .484. They have also hit more than 70 percent of their free throws. The Gauchos rank second in the Big West in scoring, and they have a field goal percentage of .542. The over is 4-1 in the Anteaters last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

The Toronto Raptors are homeless vagabonds here as we head into 2021. They have been banished from their Kingdom in the North, and forced to relocate in Tampa Florida. Their first game in their new home was a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and now they are asked to win and cover as a road favorite in San Antonio. Prior to last season the Spurs had owned the best home record in basketball for almost a decade. They might be a lot better this season, and they got off to a good start with a win on the road at Memphis. The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Antonio, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight against the Spurs. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 team in the country, and they haven't had any trouble so far when playing quality opponents. They have wins over Iowa, West Virginia and Kansas by an average margin of nine points. Virginia has yet to play a ranked team, and they have failed to impress against lesser opponents. The lost to San Francisco, and came close to losing to Kent State in a game that was decided in overtime. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Boilermakers.

Purdue is coming off a 70-55 loss at Iowa, but I like their chances of bouncing back at home against Maryland. The Boilermakers have won 16 of their last 22 home games, while the Terps are 5-7 in their last 12 road games. The Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they haven't covered in four straight road games. Maryland is 5-2 with losses to Rutgers and Clemson, and all five of their wins came against inferior opposition. This looks like a tough ask for the visitors on Christmas Day.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pelicans.

New Orleans started the season with a win on the road versus the Raptors. Zion Williamson only scored 15 points in 30 minutes, but he was quite efficient shooting 7-of-9 from the field and pulling in 10 rebounds. Brandon Ingram lead the way, scoring 24 points on 10-of-19 shooting. This is a young team that is on the rise, coming off an undefeated pre-season. The Heat are coming off a 113-107 loss at Orlando in their opener, and they may be suffering an NBA Finals let down. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Buckeyes.

Ohio State has lost it's only BIG10 game so far, losing by a score of 67-60 at Purdue. They look to bounce back with a home game against Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights haven't been as strong on the road as they are at home. Last year Rutgers was 18-1 at home, but they lost eight of 10 on the road. The Buckeyes won 16 of 18 home games last year. The Buckeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, and the home team in 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

This time last year we were all wondering if it would be the Lakers or the Clippers that would win the NBA Championship. As it turned out, the Clippers suffered an epic meltdown in the bubble, and there was clearly a group of players that weren't buying into the idea of playing during a pandemic. Lou Williams legendary trip to Atlanta for the wings at Magic City was a clear example of a team in disarray. The Clippers are trying to regroup with a new coach, and more personnel moves are expected to be imminent. Montrezl Harrell has already landed on the other side of town with the Lakers. I would expect LeBron and company to be far more focused here on Opening Night.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Kansas Jayhawks are 7-1 and ranked #3 overall. They have been strong defensively, allowing just 59.3 points per game at home. They host West Virginia tonight, and this will be the third meeting between these teams in 2020. The previous two games each went under the total, with Kansas winning 63-50 at home, and 58-49 at West Virginia. The under is 21-10-1 in Mountaineers last 32 overall, and the under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last five overall. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was the last time these teams played last February.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

These teams played last season and the Trojans won by a score of 67-66. The total for that game was set at 140, and the total in the previous five meetings was lower than 130. This appears to be an inflated number based on season averages on both offense and defense. The Missouri State Bears have held four of their last five opponents to fewer than 70 points, and I expect them make life difficult for the Trojans. Little Rock shot just 3-of-14 from beyond the arc in last year's game against the Bears.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights will be a home dog Sunday against Illinois, and Rutgers has won 22 of their last 23 home games. Illinois on the other had is 7-7 on the road dating back to the beginning of last year. Rutgers won the last meeting by 15 points last February, and the home team has won seven of the last nine head to head meetings. The Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games versus a team with a winning record. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Stanford.

Stanford finished just 9-9 in conference play last season, and 20-12 overall. They were 14-4 at home, and Arizona was just 4-6 on the road. The Wildcats have a youthful team after losing the majority of their starters from last season, while Stanford is bringing almost everyone back. Senior forward Oscar Da Silva leads the team averaging over 20 points per game. Daejon Davis is the team's assist leader, and he is also in his senior season. The Wildcats are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 Saturday games, and the Cardinal are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Notre Dame.

Purdue comes into Saturday's game with a 5-2 record, and both of their losses came against ACC teams. The Irish are 2-3, but all three of their losses came against Top 25 teams. Notre Dame has won three of their last four against Purdue, with the lone loss coming at Purdue by a five point margin. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games, while the Boilermakers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. I'll take the points here in a game that I expect to be pretty close.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Northern Kentucky. 

The Norse finished two games out of first place in the Horizon League last year, with an overall record of 23-9 and a home record of 11-4. They won both their games against Youngstown State, and they have won seven straigt against the Penguins since 2017. The Norse are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss, and the home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. The Norse are very much the same team they were a year ago, and they should still be able to handle a home game against the Penguins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Davidson Wildcats are coming off a loss to Charlotte, in a game that they scored just 52 points on 34 percent shooting. They will be at Rhode Island Friday, taking on a Rams team that is coming off back to back losses averaging 63.5 points in those games. The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime, which pushed the total over the number. They came up short of the number in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 8-1 in Wildcats last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, and the under is 10-3 in the Rams last 13 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on St. Joes.

The Hawks are 0-2, with losses to Kansas and Auburn. They will be looking for their first win of the season here against a Drexel team that they have won six straight against dating back to 2011. Drexel is coming off a double digit home loss to La Salle. Ryan Daly was the Hawks leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game last year. Taylor Funk only played seven games, but he was third on the team in scoring. Both players are back in 2021, and the Hawks should be stronger than they were last year. Each of the last three meetings have been close games decided by three points or less, with the last two meetings decided by a single point. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

The Cowboys host TCU tonight, and the home team has won the last six head to head meetings. The Horned Frogs were just 1-9 on the road last season, while Oklahoma State was 10-6 at home. One of those victories was a 72-57 win over the Horned Frogs. TCU has some injury concerns, with two key players banged up heading into this contest. The Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Clemson.

I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Alabama with a 4-0 record. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, while the Tigers have covered in five straight at a neutral site.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Oregon.

The Huskies finished dead last in the PAC12 last year and they come into tonight's hoime game against the Ducks with just one win in four games. The Ducks lost their opener to Missouri, but have since won three straight. Oregon has won nine of their last 10 against the Huskies straight up, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing record (below .400). There have been a lot of people asking questions about why they should even play college basketball at a time like this, and it's likely the Huskies will be a lot less enthusiastic about playing than a Ducks team with a lot more to play for.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The UCLA Bruins opened the season with a 73-58 loss to San Diego State. They shot below 40% in the loss, but they have since won four in a row, averaging 86 points. They host Marquette on Friday night, and the Golden Eagles are off to a good start despite the loss of Markus Howard. The over is 8-3 in the Golden Eagles last 11 road games, and the over is 16-7 in the Bruins last 23 games following an ATS win. Marquette is averaging 77 points per game after winning four of five. We should see a close game with both teams scoring 70+ points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on North Dakota State.

The 0-4 North Dakota Bison will be a huge underdog against rivals South Dakota. The Jack Rabbits are 3-2, but they haven't had as tough a schedule as the Bison. North Dakota State lost close games against Kansas and Creighton recently. History tells us that when these two teams meet they tend to play close games. The Bison won the last meeting in overtime by a score of 71-69, and the last three meetings were all decided by five points or less. South Dakota State's last two wins each came by four points or fewer.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Clemson.

I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and come into today's game against Maryland with a 3-0 record. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Syracuse.

The Orange are 3-0, but they will be an underdog at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise, but they haven't had any success in recent meetings versus the Orange. Syracuse is 8-0 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings dating back to 2007. The Orange are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered in six of their last seven as a road underdog. I think the Orange are too good of a team to be getting this many points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Notre Dame.

Notre Dame lost it's season opener by a 10-point margin on the road at #13 ranked Michigan State, but I am not sure I would ask #22 ranked Ohio State to come into South Bend and cover a big spread. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Irish were 15-4 at South Bend last year, despite playing the likes of Louisville, Florida State and North Carolina. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Iowa.

It might seem odd to see the Tar Heels as an underdog in this spot, but Iowa has a huge advantage in experience. Luka Garza is a senior averaging 34 points per game. He's not the only senior in the starting lineup, Jordan Bohannon gives them experience at the guard spot. Junior Joe Wieskamp was the team's second leading scorer last season, and he returns for what could be a huge year for the Hawkeyes. I like the home team to win and win big.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Boston College.

The Eagles have lost three of their first four games, but two of those losses came in close games against tough teams. They lost their opener by single digits versus #3 ranked Villanova, and then lost by just four points in a shootout versus St. Johns. I don't expect an unranked Minnesota team to win here by double digits. The Golden Gophers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are 3-1, and their lone loss came in a 99-96 loss to Xavier. They have averaged 83 points per game so far, and they will be a double digit favorite here against Morehead State. The Eagles are coming off a 77-44 loss to Ohio State, and the over is 8-3 in the Eagles last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. These two teams played twice already in 2020, and both of those games saw more than 145 combined points. The total for this game is lower than it was in those previous meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Minnesota looks impressive after three games, and they are a huge favorite against North Dakota. These teams met earlier last season, and the Gophers won that game of 79-56. The total for that game was listed at 138, more than 10 points lower than this year's meeting. This number looks a little inflated and I am making a value play by fading the big number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Wisconsin.

The Badgers are off to a good start, heading into Friday's game against Marquette with a perfect 3-0 record. They have played excellent defense in all three of those games, allowing an average of 55.7 points per game. This success is not surprising given the experience in the starting lineup. Their top three scorers are all seniors, and all three are scoring in double figures. Marquette is missing Markus Howard, who averaged almost 28 points per game last season. So far nobody has stepped up to fill in anywhere near that kind of production. I expect the Eagles to struggle against this veteran team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on USC.

The Trojans are coming off an impressive 79-53 win over BYU. They out-rebounded the Cougars 50-35, and they shot 53.3 percent from the field in the victory. Their enormous front court with the Mobley brothers (Isaiah and Evan) proved to be quite an advantage. The pair of seven-footers each recorded double-doubles against the Cougars. The Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games, and they are  9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Huskies come in as favorites, yet they haven't proved a lot during their 2-0 start. I'll take the hot team in this spot.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Pacific Tigers have a win and a loss so far, and they went under in both of those games. A combination of strong defense and not so strong offense seems to be a recipe for low scoring games. Hitting less than half of their free throws certainly has been a factor. Montana State scored 91 points in a win over UNLV in their opener, but they have gone under in nine of their last 11 after scoring 90 or more points. The under is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MSU.

Duke is loaded with freshman talent, but lacks experience early in the season. This was quite evident in their opening game against Coppin State. They turned the ball over a whopping 22 times, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite in an 81-71 win. The Spartans lost a lot of star power from last year's squad (Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman), but Rocket Watson and Aaron Henry are back, and the addition of Joey Hauser gives them plenty of experience in their starting five. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between these teams. I think it's to early in the year to back Duke's freshman as favorites.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Nevada Wolfpack have played excellent defense during a 2-0 start, holding their opponents to an average of just 57 points. A home game against Pacific should be a defensive battle, as the Tigers can also play strong defense. The under is 12-5 in the Tigers last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wolfpack's last two games against teams from the WCC were losses to St. Mary's (68-63) and to BYU (75-42). Nevada has failed to reach the total in five straight against teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Wolverines shot over 54 percent in a 96-82 win over Bowling Green in their first game of the season, and they might shoot out the lights again tonight against Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3, and they have given up an average of 85 points in those losses. These two teams haven't played since 2011, but Michigan won that game by a score of 90-80. The over is 5-1 in the Wolverines last six overall, and the over is 11-4 in the Golden Grizzlies last 15 Sunday games. I expect this non-conference game to be another shootout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Bilikens won 15 of their 18 home games last season, and they are bringing back all their starters from last season. They host LSU Saturday, and the Tigers lost six of 10 road games last season, and they also bring back the majority of their starters. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The under is 19-7-1 in Billikens last 27 Saturday games, and they allowed just 52 points in their win over SIU on Thursday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had Clemson in their season opener, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms." They ended up beating Mississippi State by a score of 53-42, and neither team shot the ball well. Clemson was just 5-of-25 from beyond the arc in the victory. Purdue scored 77 points in a win over Liberty, but shot just 54 percent from the charity stripe. I expect a low score here between two teams capable of playing great defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs come into their season opener ranked #1 in the AP Poll, and they will face #6 ranked Kansas at Fort Myers on Thanksgiving Day. The Jayhawks will have plenty of new faces in their starting lineup, losing their leading scorer Devon Dotson and leading rebounder Udoka Azubuike to the NBA Draft. Gonzaga also lost their leading scorer, but they still have plenty of depth. Corey Kispert is back, he lead the team in minutes played, three-point percentage and was second in scoring last season. Joel Ayayi was second on the ream in rebounds, and first in free throw percentage, and he's back for his Junior year. Drew Timme played over 20 minutes per game last year, and lead the team in blocks. He's back as a sophomore. The Bulldogs should be a better team with more depth and experience here at the beginning of the year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. 

Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms. The Bulldogs aren't as fortunate. They had four starters score in double figures last season, and they lost all four of them. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games as an underdog. This Clemson team was good enough last season to get wins against the likes of Duke, North Carolina, Louisville and Florida State. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

Jimmy Butler played as well as he can possibly play, and everything went right for the Heat in Game 5. They still just barely won and got the benefit of some bad calls in the final minutes. It's going to be tough to duplicate that performance here in Game 6. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Over (Lakers Team Total).

Anthony Davis was in foul trouble early in Game 3, and he only attempted nine shots in the game. He's gotta be better tonight, and the Lakers are still the overwhelming favorite. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Lakers (team total).

My analysis for Game 2 still plays: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

So I had the Toronto Raptors winning outright as a big underdog in last year's NBA Finals. If you expected me to come back with the underdog here this season, you will be disappointed. I don't see a lot of similarities between this Heat team, and the 2019 Raptors. Toronto was already a first place team in the East when the acquired NBA Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard. Coming into the Finals Kawhi had been the best player in the playoffs, and the Warriors had been banged up. The Lakers on the other hand are healthy, and LeBron James and Anthony Davis have both been dominant. The Lakers have won six of the last seven head to head meetings, and four of those six wins came by double digits. I have the Lakers winning Game 1, winning the Series in five games, and LeBron winning Finals MVP. While it's likely Anthony Davis will outscore LeBron, I don't see James being snubbed in the Finals after getting snubbed in the regular season. James is also capable of taking over games with his defense, like he did in the Western Conference Finals when he switched to guard Jamal Murray.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings."

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers won Game 4 at the free throw line, and that didn't go unnoticed. We should see the Nuggets get an opportunity to extend this series in Game 5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have already proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers are lucky they aren't losing this series. I'll take the points in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Miami Heat.

The Celtics came into this series as the better team on paper, and the favorite to advance to the NBA Finals. They come into Game 4 trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings.

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 206.

I bet the under in Game 2, and it just barely hit landing on 207. The Celtics scored 60 points in the first half, and then once again they fell apart late. This is turning out to be a ratings nightmare for the league, and everyone outside of Miami is hoping and praying Boston can come back and make this a series again. A few favorable calls and a few more trips to the free throw line wouldn't be much of a suprise in Game 3. Miami keeps getting their points, and they are now 10-1 in the playoffs. They have averaged 112 points in those games, failing to score 100 or more just once. The over is 26-12 in Miami's last 38 games following a straight up win. These teams have only gone over in one of the last six meetings, when the Heat won in overtime in Game 1. That being said, five of those six games saw more than 206 points.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule