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This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

Jimmy Butler played as well as he can possibly play, and everything went right for the Heat in Game 5. They still just barely won and got the benefit of some bad calls in the final minutes. It's going to be tough to duplicate that performance here in Game 6. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Over (Lakers Team Total).

Anthony Davis was in foul trouble early in Game 3, and he only attempted nine shots in the game. He's gotta be better tonight, and the Lakers are still the overwhelming favorite. What I said prior to Game 2 is still valid: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Lakers (team total).

My analysis for Game 2 still plays: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

So I had the Toronto Raptors winning outright as a big underdog in last year's NBA Finals. If you expected me to come back with the underdog here this season, you will be disappointed. I don't see a lot of similarities between this Heat team, and the 2019 Raptors. Toronto was already a first place team in the East when the acquired NBA Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard. Coming into the Finals Kawhi had been the best player in the playoffs, and the Warriors had been banged up. The Lakers on the other hand are healthy, and LeBron James and Anthony Davis have both been dominant. The Lakers have won six of the last seven head to head meetings, and four of those six wins came by double digits. I have the Lakers winning Game 1, winning the Series in five games, and LeBron winning Finals MVP. While it's likely Anthony Davis will outscore LeBron, I don't see James being snubbed in the Finals after getting snubbed in the regular season. James is also capable of taking over games with his defense, like he did in the Western Conference Finals when he switched to guard Jamal Murray.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings."

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers won Game 4 at the free throw line, and that didn't go unnoticed. We should see the Nuggets get an opportunity to extend this series in Game 5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have already proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers are lucky they aren't losing this series. I'll take the points in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Miami Heat.

The Celtics came into this series as the better team on paper, and the favorite to advance to the NBA Finals. They come into Game 4 trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings.

Take MIA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 206.

I bet the under in Game 2, and it just barely hit landing on 207. The Celtics scored 60 points in the first half, and then once again they fell apart late. This is turning out to be a ratings nightmare for the league, and everyone outside of Miami is hoping and praying Boston can come back and make this a series again. A few favorable calls and a few more trips to the free throw line wouldn't be much of a suprise in Game 3. Miami keeps getting their points, and they are now 10-1 in the playoffs. They have averaged 112 points in those games, failing to score 100 or more just once. The over is 26-12 in Miami's last 38 games following a straight up win. These teams have only gone over in one of the last six meetings, when the Heat won in overtime in Game 1. That being said, five of those six games saw more than 206 points.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1." A late collapse by the Celtics allowed the Heat to force OT, and the total went well over. I expect a tighter defensive game here in Game 2.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Lakers.

LeBron and company lost Game 1 to the Blazers in the first round, and went on to win four straight. They can do the same thing here in Game 5 against Houston, and the Rockets look like a team ready to go home. Both Westbrook and Harden have struggled, and I'd bet everything I have that Daneul House isn't the only Houston player with his mind on pleasures off the court. This time tomorrow LeBron will be prepping for the Western Conference Finals, and Russ and James will be sinking their teeth into those legendary chicken wings at Magic City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Celtics have the defending champions on the ropes, and given that this is an elimination game for Toronto, we should expect a hard fought defensive battle. Every game in this series so far has gone under, and I don't see either of these teams lossening up the defense in Game 6. I said this prior to Game 3: "The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points."

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Celtics won the first two games of this series, and they hit over 40 percent of their three-pointers in those games. The Raptors now have their confidence back after evening the series at 2-2, and the Celtics have cooled off from beyond the arc. They were just 7of-35 (20%) from three-point range in Game 4. Toronto has all the momentum, and they can take control of this series with a win in Game 5. Here is what I said before the season started: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them at 12-1 to win the East."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Under.

The Rockets shocked the Lakers in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinal, but history tells us we can expect them to bounce back in Game 2. They lost Game 1 in their first round series versus Portland, and responded with a strong defensive effort in Game 2, holding the Blazers to just 88 points. The Rockets have a reputation for playing high scoring games, but they have gone under in six of their last seven as an underdog. The under is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Lakers have gone under in five of their last six off a double digit home loss. These teams have gone under in four of the last five head to head meetings.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks find themselves down 0-2 after losing 116-114 in Game 2. The final score soared well past the listed number, but perhaps it was closer than you think. With under two minutes to play in the game, the score was 110-102, and under bettors still had 10 points to work with. They went on to score 18 points in the final minute and 45 seconds, when they could have easily scored 8-10 or even fewer during that span. Despite some excellent defense by Miami, and the Bucks facing a must win situation, the total for Game 3 hasn't come down at all. These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the Heat have gone under in four of their last five in the Conference Semifinals.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 3, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with five of the last seven meetings going under. The under is 7-1 in the Celtics last eight overall, and the under is 14-3 in Celtics last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 11-4 in Raptors last 15 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under in Game 7.

We saw some strong defensive play in Game 6, with the Thunder recording the upset by a score of 104-100. Expect more of the same in a winner takes all Game 7. Last night's Game 7 between Utah and Denver ended with a final score of 80-78, going under by more than 60 points. The under is 48-21-1 in the Thunder's last 70 games as an underdog. The under is 9-3 in the Rockets last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 overall. We expect every possession to be a war, with no easy buckets.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 218.

The Raptors will look to improve on a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. If Game 2 is set to be anything like Game 1, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with four of the last six meetings going under. The under is 6-1 in the Celtics last seven overall, and the under is 13-3 in Celtics last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 10-4 in Raptors last 14 overall, and the uder is 16-5-1 in Raptors last 22 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 223.5.

The Miami Heat were the only team in the Eastern Conference to win a regular season series versus Milwaukee. These teams are both among the top defensive sides in the NBA, and seven of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the number. Three of the four games Miami played in the first round fell well short of the number of 223.5, and the under is 13-6-2 in Bucks last 21 versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Bucks averaged 116 points per game in their series versus Orlando, a few points fewer than their regular season average. I expect points to be even harder to come by against the Heat.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Mavs.

The Clippers and the Lakers each voted to cancel the remainder of the playoffs to protest the shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha Wisconsin. We saw the Lakers return to action last night, failing to cover in a series clinching win over Portland by single digits. The Clippers were a five point favorite in Game 2, and Dallas won outright. They were a seven point favorite in Game 4, and once against Dallas won outright despite Luka Doncic playing hurt. The extra 2-3 days for Luka to rehab his ankle should help Dallas, and according to his coach he will be at full speed. The line is now at double digits, and I just cant's see betting on the Clippers as a heavy favorite when we know they voted to walk away from the season.

Take DAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Houston.

The Thunder had all the momentum heading into Game 5, but you have to think that momentum was lost when the players decided to boycott Games over the last few days. One of the unintended results of the past few days is that players who were injured have been given more time to recover. That's the case for Russell Westbrook who looks to make his mark on this series for the first time in Game 5. Chris Paul has a lot on his plate right now, and as head of the Player's Association his mind is on matters other than basketball. All these events seem to favor the Rockets.

Take HOU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Nuggets.

The Jazz have a 3-1 series lead, and it looks like they have been dominating this series. Perhaps they have been quite fortunate, particularly in the last two games. The fact that they shot 57.5 percent from the field and yet won Game 4 by only two points, suggests to me that indeed they were more lucky than anything. . Such shooting isn't sustainable, and eventually those makes are going to turn into misses.  The Nuggets swept the season series, and they came into Game 1 as a favorite. I like the Nuggets to get back into this series with a victory in Game 5.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

All three games in this series have gone under, and that hasn't really moved the needle with bookmakers keeping the total on the same number. After a terrible shooting performance in Game 1, the Lakers have turned up the defensive intensity and focused on high percentage shots. LeBron wants to muddy it up a little, knowing it's not a good idea to get into a shootout with Dame and the Blazers. The under is 11-5 in the Lakers last 16 games as a favorite, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 14 overall. The under is 4-1 in the Blazers last five Conference Quarterfinals games, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Denver.

The Jazz have taken charge of this series by winning Games 2 & 3, and they have shot over 50 percent from the field in both those games. Denver is badly in need of a win to avoid going down 3-1 in the series, so I expect them to clamp down on defense here. Mike Conley returned to action and hit a career high 7-of-8 three pointers in Game 3. Such shooting isn't sustainable, and eventually those makes are going to turn into misses.  The Nuggets swept the season series, and they came into Game 1 as a favorite. I like the Nuggets to get back into this series with a victory in Game 4.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Thunder.

This series was never supposed to be a sweep, and I expect the Thunder to take Game 3 and get back in the series. They did everything right in Game 2, until they were outscored 34-20 in the final frame. James Harden was held to just 21 points, and the Rockets aren't going to win many games when Harden is not effective. The Thunder are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog, and they had won five straight against Houston prior to this series. This is a big revenge spot for a Thunder team that is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Take OKC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

The Pacers are down 2-0, and this series looks like it's over. One of the takeaways from Game 2 was that Jimmy Butler scored just 18 points, and had as many turnovers (5) as he did field goals. The Pacers can't count on another lackluster performance from Butler in Game 3, and we should see the Heat continue to dominate this matchup. The Pacers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games, and they are are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog.

Take MIAMI.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dallas.

The Mavs have been the better team here in this series, with the exception of the 4th quarter of Game 1 after Porzingis was ejected. With Dallas evening the series at 1-1, you might expect a bounce back performance from the Clippers here in Game 3. There is concern though that Pat Beverly isn't healthy enough to play at all, and Paul George is not all that effective playing with a sore shoulder. This series seems eerily similar to the Blazers versus Thunder, when George was sent packing by Damian Lillard. The Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite.

Take DAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

The thing about recency bias is, you don't want to overreact to the results of one game. That said, you also don't want to fail to react at all. The Bucks were the biggest Game 1 favorite on the board, and they lost outright by double digits. So it won't be a surprise at all if they come right back and win big in Game 2. But should we lay 13 points with a team that failed to win Game 1? I don't think so. The Bucks have yet to prove that they are a playoff team, last year they fell apart against the Raptors. Giannis was outplayed by Orlando big man Nikola Vucevic, and that matchup has the potential to continue to be a problem. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and while the Bucks have failed to cover in five of their last seven as a favorite.

Take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers.

So far there have been plenty of surprises in the bubble so far, and several teams have seen their stock rise and fall. The Lakers came in as consensus favorite, but failed to impress. Portland on the other hand won six of eight games, and then won their play in game against Memphis. This has people calling them a dark horse candidate to win it all. I can't say I was all that impressed with wins over Memphis, Dallas and Philly by three, and a one point win over Brooklyn. The Nets and the Grizzlies effectively shut down Damian Lillard in the fourth quarter, and now the Blazers face a well rested Lakers team. Game 1 looks like a classic let down spot for Portland.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on under 222.

The defending champions played 24 playoff games last season, and only five of those games saw more than 222 points. In their first round series versus Orlando all five games fell well short of that number. They come into the first round of this year's playoffs as the biggest favorite on the board, and they boast the NBA's #1 ranked defense. The Raptors were one of few teams (if not the only team) that played low scoring games in the bubble. The under is 7-2 in Toronto's last nine overall.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns are the biggest suprise in the bubble in Orlando, and their unbeaten run has put them in a position to force a play in game for the final playoff spot in the West. They will take on Dallas Thursday, and the Mavs are already looking ahead to their first round series. Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis should ride the pine here, at least for the majority of the game. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings versus the Suns.

Take PHX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (12-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Sixers in the second game of a back to back, possibly without Embiid and Simmonds. The Raptors rested their starters in their last game, and still beat the Bucks by eight. While Giannis didn't play, the rest of the Bucks starters did play regular minutes.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Blazers.

I bet on Portland yesterday, and here is what I said before the game: "There's nobody you would rather have in the clutch than Damian Lillard. He sent Paul George packing with a buzzer beating three-pointer in last year's playoffs, and he's made a ton of big shots in his career. He needed to make just one of two free throws to tie the game game versus the Clippers in the dying seconds yesterday, but missed them both. So the question is ... how do you think he's going to respond? I think he's gonna open up a can of whoopass on a Philly team that just lost Ben Simmons for likely the remainder of the year." He went off for 50 points, keeping the Blazers playoff hopes alive. They face a tough matchup versus Dallas tonight, but with both teams playing the second game of a back to back, there is no need for the Mavs to push things, so don't expect their starts to log a lot of minutes.

Take POR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Suns.

The Suns are a real Cinderella story, and the clock hasn't struck midnight yet. The Phillies story is more of a nightmare, losing Ben Simmons to a knee injury, and Joel Embiid battling a sore ankle. You have to wonder how much the Sixers have invested in this postseason now that they know they aren't going to be at full strength. The Suns give us no such reason to doubt, and I expect antoher imprressive performance from this young Phoenix team today.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Bucks without the Greek Freak.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a Free play on the Portland Blazers.

There's nobody you would rather have in the clutch than Damian Lillard. He sent Paul George packing with a buzzer beating three-pointer in last year's playoffs, and he's made a ton of big shots in his career. He needed to make just one of two free throws to tie the game game versus the Clippers in the dying seconds yesterday, but missed them both. So the question is ... how do you think he's going to respond? I think he's gonna open up a can of whoopass on a Philly team that just lost Ben Simmons for likely the remainder of the year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Grizzlies off their first win in the bubble, and the Raptors are looking for payback after a loss to the Celtics.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Jazz have lost three of their last four, and they are in a tough spot here in Saturday's game against Denver. This second game of a back to back in an early game could result in limiting the minutes of some star players. Denver has been far better in Orlando, with wins over the Spurs and the Thunder prior to losing to a much improved Portland team. The Jazz are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss, and they have lost both previous meetings versus Denver in 2020.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 218.5.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. So far all of the Raptor's games have gone under, and by a large margin. They are facing the Celtics for the fourth time this season, and two of the first three meetings went under the total. Kemba Walker is expected to play after resting a sore knee in the last game, but he's averaging just 14 points over his last four games. Marc Gasol preaches team defense: "In our locker room, if you don't have the will or the discipline to play defense, it is going to be really hard for you to see the floor, and that gives the coaches a lot of credit, right?"

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Houston.

The Lakers clinched first place in the West, then they lost badly to Oklahoma City. They play their second game of a back to back tonight against the Rockets, and LeBron is going to sit this one out. If the Lakers are wise, they will also limit the minutes for Anthony Davis and the rest of the starters. This could be an easy roll over for the Rockets.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 228.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Monday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. On Tuesday that trend continued, but one of the games that did go over was the Nets win over Milwaukee. It was the largest upset in the NBA in the last 27 years. That could set them up for a let down here against Boston. The Celtics are resting leading scorer Kemba Walker, so don't be surprised if these teams struggle to reach such a high number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 224.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Yesterday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. The Magic are facing the Pacers on Tuesday, and both teams have been impressive so far. The bookmakers haven't set a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 meetings between these teams, and in fact the last six meetings had a total set below 210. Both these teams are among the top defensive squads in the NBA, and I expect this game to have a playoff feel to it.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 227.5.

The Spurs and the Sixers are trending in opposite directions. This isn't the same San Antonio team we saw struggle during the season. Since the restart they have won back to back games, and they look like a team desperate to make the playoffs. The Sixers on the other hand are the exact same team they were earlier this season. Philly was brutal away from home, and their first game of the restart was a loss to Indiana. The Sixers rank just 21st in the NBA in scoring, and 7th in the NBA in points allowed. We should see a playoff type atmosphere in this game, which should keep the score under 227.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pacers.

The Wizards are coming off back to back losses by a combined margin of over 20 points. Their loss to Brooklyn likely ended any hope of an early exit from the bubble, but that might be just what they want. Who know, Magic City might seem like a lot more fun that hanging around in Orlando right now. Indiana on the other hand won outright as a 5.5 point underdog versus the Sixers, and this is a team that is firmly looking forward to the playoffs. The Pacers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings, and with Washington starting a bunch of backups, this game should be a blowout.

Take IND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They face a Miami team that is coming off a big win over Denver, and might be due for a bit of a let down. There is some concern about Jimmy Butler, although we expect him to play.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavs did everything right in their first game back, except for the final 41 seconds in an overtime loss to the Rockets. They blew a seven point lead, allowing Houston to force overtime in a game that they had no business winning. Luca Doncic had a triple-double, and Kristaps Porzingis went off for 39 points and 16 rebounds. The good news for Dallas is they are right back on the court, and they have an excellent opportunity to get that bitter taste out of their mouths. They face the Phoenix Suns, who might be happy with themselves after beating the Wizards backups. The Mavs have won three of the last four meetings by an average margin of nine points.

Take DAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Rockets should have lost to Dallas in their first game of the restart, but they took advantage of a young team making rookie mistakes. Dallas had a seven point lead with 41 seconds to play, and let it slip away. The Rockets tied the game and went on to win in overtime. Now they are facing a Bucks team that doesn't make many mistakes. Milwaukee (unlike Houston) is solid on both sides of the ball ranking top five in points scored and points allowed. The Bucks have won three straight versus Houston, and they have covered in five of the last six meetings.

Take MIL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Grizzlies were on the wrong side of an OT loss in their first game out of the restart. They looked pretty good overall, considering they were playing a healthy Portland team that is also fighting for it's playoff life. San Antonio got a win over Sacramento, but it remains to be seen if this depleted Spurs team can compete without LaMarcus Aldridge. The Spurs haven't played well all season, and they trail Memphis by three games in the standings. They have lost exactly twice as many games as they have won away from home (11-22). Memphis has won three of the last five head to head meetings, and they covered the spread in four of those games. I'll take the younger, more motivated Memphis team.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Lakers off a win in their first game over the Clippers, setting up LA for a let down spot. They didn't look impressive in the win over the Clippers, and they should be resting players here with a 6.5 game lead in the standings and only a handful of games to play.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

The Brooklyn Nets bring a rag tag group into Orlando, without KD, Kyrie and Spencer Dinwiddie. They looked completely overmatched in their first scimmage game, scoring just 68 points in a one sided loss. They face an Orlando team that ranks among the top defensive teams in the NBA, and Orlando should have a decided advantage. After losing to the Clippers and Lakers, the Magic won their final scrimmage game against Denver. The Magic are back to full strength, and Nikola Vucevic should have his way with Brooklyn today.

Take ORL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the LA Lakers.

The Lakers started the season with a loss to the Clippers, and I bet on Kawhi and company in that game. Here is what I said before the season opner: "The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step." The Clippers looked like the better team before the pandemic, but I don't like what I see from them since. While Lebron looks focused with his eye on the prize, the Clippers appear to be disorganized. Lou Williams embarrassed the team when he was caught at a strip club while he was supposed to be at his grandfather's funeral (turns out it wasn't even a family member's funeral). He wasn't the only one, Pat Bev, Montrezl Harrell and center Ivica Zubac have all left the bubble. In contrast, Alex Caruso decided to pass on his sister's wedding, putting his team first. The Lakers appear to want it more at the moment.

Take LAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8 play on the Tar Heels.

I had the Tar Heels versus Virginia Tech last nigtht, and here is what I said before that game: "North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC." The Tar Heels have won nine straight against Syracuse.

Take UNC. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.

Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points.

Take Vanderbilt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 7* play on the Tar Heels.

North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC.

Take UNC. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars.

The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Take BYU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets.

After the Lakers beat the Clippers last night at the Staples Center, they cemented themselves as a consensus favorite to win the NBA Championship. But did you know that Denver actually has a better home record than LA? In fact over the last five seasons, Denver has the best home record in the NBA. Tonight they host the Milwaukee Bucks without Giannis, and they should be ready to make a statement here. The Bucks have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Milwaukee is 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Denver.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons.

The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog.

Take SF.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Kings are coming off a double digit win at Portland last night, setting them up for a let down here at home in the second game of a back to back. The Raptors have won 19 of their last 23 games overall. Here is what I said about Toronto prior to their season opener: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." That looks like a pretty solid read right about now.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on CWM.

This will be the third meeting between Elon and William and Mary this season, and the Tribe just defeated the Phoenix by a score of 86-79 just over a week ago. Elon covered the spread in both meetings, but the number here is lower than it was in either of those games. The Tribe are 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings versus Elon, and they come into this game riding a five game winning streak.

Take CWM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Clippers.

The Clippers have won both previous meetings, and they come into today's game looking far stronger than they have all season. They picked up Marcus Morriss, and Pat-Bev is back in the lineup. They are coming off a double digit win over Houston, holding James Harden to 16 points on 4-of-17 shooting. He was 0-for-8 from beyond the arc in the loss. The Lakers really need this game, but the Clippers are going to want it just as bad. I bet on the Clippers in the last two meetings, and I still think they are the better team. I expect Kawhi to be better than LeBron, and the Clippers to make it a 3-0 sweep.

Take LAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 144.5.

Pepperdine is coming off an 84-73 win over Santa Clara, and I expect to see another high score here in Las Vegas when they play St. Mary's. The Gaels won 78-69 at Pepperdine earlier this season, the over is 19-7 in the Gaels last 26 overall. St. Mary's is coming off an 86-76 loss to Gonzaga, and the over is 6-1 in the Gaels last seven games following a straight up loss. The over is 5-1 in the Waves last six neutral site games, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 as an underdog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 130.

The Aztecs have scored over 80 points in two of their last three games, and they have allowed 60 or more points in all of those games. We have seen high scores here in Las Vegas, and I expect that trend to continue here in the Mountain West Final. The last time these teams played each other the Aztecs won by a score of 80-68. Both meetings this season have gone over, and the total here looks far too low all things considered.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the Texas Longhorns.

Texas comes into Saturday's home game against Oklahoma State as winners of five straight. Some impressive results during that span include wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma, and a home win over West Virginia. The Cowboys have won back to back games at home, but they have lost their last two road games and they are just 4-7 on the road. They have lost four straight at Texas dating back to 2015. The Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 8* play on the Virginia Cavs.

The defending champs are playing like contenders down the stretch, coming into Saturday's home game versus Louisville as winners of seven straight. Louisville on the other hand has lost three in a row on the road. They lost by double digits to Clemson and Florida State, and lost 64-58 at Georgia Tech. They beat the Cavs at home in February, but they had lost nine straight to Virginia prior to that. They are 0-5 straight up in their last five at Virginia, and they covered the spread in just one of those games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.

Take UVA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Moutaineers.

A few weeks ago the Baylor Bears were ranked #1 in the country, and they looked unbeatable. They might have peaked too early though, as they have been pretty average since. Baylor comes into Morgantown as losers of two of their last four, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. This isn't an easy place to play, and the Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Baylor did win it's last game in West Virginia, but the Bears had lost four straight at Morgantown prior to that. This just looks like a tough spot for a Baylor team that hasn't been that sharp lately.

Take WVU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers.

Portland has won three straight, and Damian Lillard is back from a hamstring injury. "I felt pretty good," Lillard told reporters after Wednesday's game. "I thought I moved pretty well. I picked my moments to really explode and take off and cut hard and fight over screens and stuff like that. I didn't feel restricted." The Blazers still have plenty of work to do if they want to get back in the hunt for a playoff spot in the Western Conference. They are in Phoenix tonight, and the Suns are slumping. Losers of four straight, Phoenix is just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. The Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

Take POR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

After cashing in with the Grizzlies in their win over Atlanta, I like them getting a bunch of points here against Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game in Atlanta: "The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team." Memphis has held three straight opponents to fewer than 90 points, including upset wins over the Lakers and the Nets. I'll take the points here in Dallas. 

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois.

Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this season, and they have won their last six home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Ball State tonight, and the Cardinals are just 4-7 on the road, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings.

I bet on the Kings in their win over the Pistons earlier this week, and they won by six as a 6.5 point favorite. With a much smaller number here at home against a shorthanded Philly team, I am back on the Kings. Here is what I said before the game against Detroit: "The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record." Philly is one of the worst road teams in the NBA, and a loss here would make it 10 consecutive road losses.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

The Huskies have just one win in their last 11 games overall, and one of their 10 losses during that span came at home to Arizona State. The Sun Devils are winners of six straight home games, and they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the PAC12. The Huskies have visited the Sun Devils twice since 2017, and both of those were double digit losses. This is a big game for Arizona State, and I think this line should be near double digits.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars.

Houston is just a half a game out of first place in the AAC with two games remaining, and I like their chances on the road at Connecticut tonight. The Huskies have hit by injuries to a pair of key guards, including team assist leader Alterique Gilbert. The Cougars are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings between the two teams, and they have won four straight since 2017. One of those wins was a 71-63 win here in Connecticut. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, with the home team failing to cover in seven of the last nine meetings.

Take HOU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 143.5.

The Bulldogs beat the Falcons by a score of 71-62 just a few weeks ago, falling short of the total of 143. It was the sixth time in the last seven head to head meetings that these teams failed to reach the total. The majority of those games saw a lower number than we see for tonight's game. Air Force only scores an average of 66 points per game away from home, and they have averaged just over 58 points per game in their last seven versus the Bulldogs. This total appears to be on the wrong side of 140.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Raptors haven't lost four straight games since 2017, and while they have lost three straight heading into tonight's game in Phoenix, they are still 18-4 in their last 22 overall. Toronto has injury concerns, but that's nothing new. Their depth has allowed them to continue to win games with whichever healthy bodies they throw out there. The Suns on the other hand will miss Kelly Oubre. Toronto has almost twice as many road wins than Phoenix has at home. The Suns are 0-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.

Northern Illinois is 10-3 at home this season, and they have won their last five home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Toledo tonight, and the Rockets appear to have decent numbers on the road. They are coming off consecutive road wins over Western Michigan and Central Michigan, two of the conference bottom feeders. I don't like their chances against MAC West leaders Norther Illinois.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Hawks have been playing well lately, winning four of their last eight overall. Those wins came against two teams hit hard by injuries (Blazers and Nets). The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings.

The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Ohio State won at Michigan by a score of 61-58 earlier this season, and I like their chances of sweeping the season series with a win here at home on Sunday. The Buckeyes are 13-2 at home while the Wolverines are just 4-5 on the road. Michigan is coming off a home loss to Wisconsin. The Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog, and they are 0-3 at Ohio State since 2014. The home team has covered in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, and I'll go with the home favorite in this one.

Take OSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs won't have LaMarcus Aldridge for tonight's home game against Orlando, but I don't think they are going to need him against a Magic team that is terrible on the road. Orlando is 11-18 on the road this season, and they are coming off a big home win over Minnesota last night. They are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games playing the second game of a back to back. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. We expect the Spurs to take care of business on their home court.

Take SA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on California.

The Cal Bears have been playing a lot better of late. They are coming off a home win over the #21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes, and they have won two of their last three. Utah doesn't have a lot to be positive about, the Utes have lost four of their last five overall and they are just 1-9 on the road. It sure seems odd that a team that has lost nine of 10 road games is actually a favorite this afternoon against a Bears team that is 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Bears are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog.

Take CAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Eastern Michigan.

Central Michigan has lost seven in a row, and last week I bet against them when they played on the road at Northern Illinois. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game." They face Eastern Michigan this Saturday, and the Eagles have been rock solid at home. Opponents have averaged fewer than 60 points per game at Eastern Michigan.

Take EMU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Iowa lost 89-86 to Penn State in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they have a chance to get revenge here at home this Saturday. The Hawkeyes are undefeated at home in conference play, and they are 13-1 overall at home this season. They come into today's game averaging over 82 points per game at home. Penn State has lost two of their last three, with the lone win coming at home by a single point against Rutgers. It's going to be difficult for the Nittany Lions to keep up with Iowa here in Iowa City.

Take IOWA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

I bet on Memphis in their first game back from the All Star break, and they lost by a score of 129-125 at Sacramento. Here is what I said before that game: "Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward." The Kings made 19-of-39 three point attempts in that game, and I don't like their chances of doing that on the road in Memphis. I'll back the Grizz in a revenge spot.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Ohio Bobcats.

The Bobcats have won four straight at home, most recently defeating MAC powerhouse Buffalo by double digits (80-69) on Tuesday. Kent State lost at home to Buffalo last week, and the Golden Flashes have dropped back to back road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll jump on board and ride the hot ream as a pickem at home here.

Take OHIO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on Over 141.

The UCLA Bruins host the Arizona State Sun Devils in a big game in the PAC12 tonight. The winner will take over first place in the conference, and both these teams come in riding long winning streaks. The Sun Devils are going for an eighth straight win, while the Bruins have won five straight. The total seems a little low here considering that both teams have been scoring plenty during their win streaks. History suggests that we could see a high score, as eight of the last 10 meetings have seen at least 150 points scored. That includes an 84-66 win for Arizona State at home just a few weeks ago. The Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last six road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Bruins last 18 games following a win.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 149.5.

LSU has struggled of late, losing four of their last six overall. It hasn't been due to a lack of scoring, they have scored 80+ points in five of their last six. The scary thing is that they've given up even more points. History tells us we should expect plenty of scoring here in Florida, as these teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings. They haven't just gone over, they have gone well over (at least 10 points over in six of the last seven overall). They have also gone to overtime twice in the last four head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.

The Warriors have lost six straight, and four of those games were decided by double digits. They host one of the league's hottest teams, a Sacramento Kings squad that has won five of seven, including a win over the Clippers in LA in their last game. The Kings have owned the Warriors in recent seasons, covering the spread in each of the last six meetings, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six at Golden State. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 136.

The Xavier Musketeers host Depaul tonight, and the bookmakers have listed a low number for the total. The reason is likely a trend of low scoring games, with these teams going under in eight straight head to head meetings and nine of the last 10. Of course tonight's total is far lower than it was in any of those games. Each of the last five meetings saw a total of 140 or higher, and twice the total was higher than 150. Depaul has given up a ton of points over their last five games, allowing an average of 79 points. They have scored 70+ points in three of their last four games. This total seems just a little lower than it should be.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

Utah has come out of the All Star break and lost back to back home games to San Antonio and Houston. I will forgive them for their sloppy start to the second half (post All Star), and I don't think there is any way in hell they drop a third consecutive home game tonight versus Phoenix. The Suns are coming off a road win at Chicago, after losing by double digits to Toronto. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah. Expect the home team to win by double digits.

Take UTAH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

The Nets got some great news last week, when they learned Kyrie Irving will miss the remainder of the season. Kyrie has been the biggest flake in the league ever since he told us the earth was flat in 2018. The Celtics are glad to be rid of him, and Brooklyn has been a better team without him. Now it's time for players like Caris Lavert and Garrett Temple to step up. Tonight they host an Orlando Magic team that is brutal on the road, and has lost 11 of it's last 15 overall. The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 overall. Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in it's last five home games, and 7-1 ATS in it's last eight as a favorite.

Take BKN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

I had the Pelicans in their win over Portland on Friday, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall." They are in Golden State tonight, and the Warriors have lost five straight. This couldn't be a bigger mismatch.

Take NO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*