Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-02-23 | Stanford v. Utah -6.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UTAH. The Utes are just a game out of first place in the PAC12, and they host bottom feeders Stanford tonight. I have to believe Utah is at least 7-points better than Stanford. They beat the Cardinal by a score of 71-66 at Stanford earlier this season. Stanford comes in off four straight home wins, most recently against last place California. The Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Utes have outscored opponents by an average margin of 17 points while going 10-3 at home. The home team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-30-23 | Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. The Wizards have won five straight, and they are 11-5 in their last 16 overall. They are in San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs have lost five straight and 10 of their last 11. Their last game was a 128-118 OT loss at home versus Phoenix. The Spurs have failed to cover in four straight, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a loss. The Wizards have covered in four straight road games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. The conclusion is that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, giving us value backing the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -3 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Wolverines are 1-3 SU on the road, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six game overall. They are at Penn State, and the Nittany Lions are 10-1 SU at home, and have covered in 18 of their last 24 home games. Penn State is coming off a blowout loss at Rutgers, and the Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Michigan has failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-28-23 | Suns -6 v. Spurs | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the SUNS. I had Phoenix in their last game, and it was a disappointing loss to the Mavs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding." The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -4.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Magic are coming off a blowout win over the Celtics, and they are .500 at home. They host a Pacers team playing the second game of a back to back without their leading scorer. Indiana is 8-16 SU on the road this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. They Pacers haven't covered any of their games since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury. The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they have won three of their last four home games by more than four points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-23 | St. Joe's v. George Washington -4 | 91-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GW. The Colonials will be a short home favorite versus St. Joe's on Wednesday, and some might think this looks like a let down spot coming off a win over Dayton. It might be a bigger let down for the Red Hawks who have won three straight versus conference bottom feeders UMass, LaSalle and Loyola Chicago. The Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost three of their last four at George Washington. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and this looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-24-23 | Hornets v. Suns -6.5 | 97-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Suns are still dealing with more than their share of injuries, but CP3 returned and scored 22 points in a home win over Memphis over the weekend. The Suns are still 17-7 at home, and they have won their last two games versus Charlotte by a combined 65 points. The Hornets are coming off an 18 point loss at Utah, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are just 8-19 SU on the road, and they should be looking at another double digit loss here in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-24-23 | Ohio State v. Illinois -3.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. The Buckeyes have lost five of eight games in the BIG10, and they have lost four of five on the road. They might not have leading rebounder Zed Key for tonight's game in Illinois, as his status is questionable with a lower body injury. They are coming off a home win over Iowa, and they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Illinois is 9-2 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 home games. This looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-22-23 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 96-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I bet against the Pelicans in their last game, and here is what I said before their loss at Orlando: "The Pelicans are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost five of their last seven overall. They have three starters out of the lineup, including two of their top three scorers. Their last game was a 26 point home loss to the Miami Heat." Now they are on the road in Miami just a few days later, and two of their three top scorers remain sidelined. The Heat are at full strength, despite dealing with a ton of injuries all year. The Heat are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus New Orleans. The Pelicans have failed to cover in four straight at Miami and they are 5-18 ATS in the last 23 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-21-23 | Magic v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-138 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. I had Orlando last night, and they won easily over a shorthanded New Orleans team at home. Now the Magic play on the road in the second game of a back to back in Washington. The Wizards have won six straight in this series, and five of those six wins came by 6+ points. The Magic are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Magic are 6-16 straight up on the road, and this looks like a tough spot on no rest. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas Tech. Kansas State is coming off an 83-82 home win over Kansas, setting them up for a let down here against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are still looking for their first conference win, but they are healthier now than they have been over the last few weeks. Their last road game was a 72-70 loss at Texas. The Red Raiders are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and three of those wins came at Manhattan. The underdog has covered in five straight in this series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Rams in a matchup between two teams sitting at the bottom of the standings in the Mountain West. While both teams have just one conference win, the Rebels losses have come against Mountain West powerhouses San Diego State, Boise State and on the road at San Jose State. The Rams on the other hand are coming off a double digit home loss to Air Force. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Rebels are coming off a home loss to Boise State, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-23 | Gonzaga v. BYU +7 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BYU. This will be the third consecutive road game for Gonzaga, after beating San Francisco by two points, and winning 81-76 at Santa Clara. Despite being 5-18-3 ATS in their last 26 games overall, they are asked to cover another big number on the road at BYU. I don't think the markets have yet caught up to the fact that this Gonzaga team is no longer in the elite class it has been in recent seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-23 | St. Peter's v. Siena -7.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Siena. The Saints are undefeated in the MAAC, and they host St. Peters on Friday. This isn't the same Peacocks team that made noise in the NCAA Tournament last year. The Peacocks are 2-3 in the MAAC, and their wins have come against Manhattan and Quinnipiac, two of the worst teams in the country. St. Peters has failed to cover in eight straight road games, and the home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Providence. The Huskies are no longer invincible, coming off their first loss of the season on the road at #22 ranked Xavier. They will be asked to cover a sizable number here on the road at unranked Providence. History favors the Friars, who are unbeaten at home, and unbeaten in the Big East. They have won four of their last five home games versus Connecticut, and the one loss came by a score of 82-79. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and the home team has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-22 | Baylor -1 v. Iowa State | 62-77 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BAY. The Cyclones will be a short home dog against undefeated Baylor, and some will think they look like a sharp play today. Iowa State has covered the spread in four straight meetings, but they have lost six straight and nine of the last 10 in this series. I have this line at -5.5 based on my numbers, and getting the Bears at a pickem is too goo to pass on. Baylor has a starting PG listed as questionable with a concussion, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc is out with a finger injury. The Bears are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ILL. The Missouri Tigers look pretty good with a 10-1 record, until you examine who they beat (10 unranked teams), and how they lost (by 28 points to Kansas). Illinois has played a much tougher schedule, with wins over #2 Texas and #8 UCLA. Mizzouri lost by 26 points in this exact game at this exact venue exactly one year ago (to the day). Illinois has lost five straight versus ranked teams, and four of those losses came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors -5 | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | Ohio +13 v. Florida | 48-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats lost their first four road games, but they are coming off an 81-79 win at Youngstown state for their first road win of the year. They lost by just four points at #20 ranked Michigan in Ann Arbor. This is not a true road game, as they face the Gators in Tampa rather than Gainesville. The Gators are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. This line looks a little inflated considering that the Gators have lost four of their last eight games outright. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | DePaul +1.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons will be an underdog on the road at Duquesne tonight, and you could call this a revenge spot since DePaul beat the Dukes by 20 points in Chicago last year. DePaul has a pair of senior starters that average over 15 points per game. Umoja Gibson is a transfer from Oklahoma, while Javan Johnson transferred from Iowa State midway through last season. The Dukes have lost back to back home games to Marshall and New Mexico State, and both losses came by a double digit margin. The Dukes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, while the Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-22 | Nets -5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Raptors -6.5 v. Magic | 99-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -1 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on VT. The Hokies are 9-1, and they are 2-0 in neutral site games. This is an experienced squad with three senior starters all scoring in double digits. They come off a 77-49 win over Dayton, and Grant Basile led all scorers with 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting. The Cowboys are 6-3, coming off a win over Sam Houston. The Cowboys are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. While these teams haven't played since 2012, the Hokies have won four straight versus Oklahoma State. This team won 13 of their last 15 games last season, beating Duke in the Final of the ACC Tournament. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-22 | Wolves +3 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Dayton v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 49-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. This is a revenge spot for the home team, as Dayton beat the Hokies in Ohio last year by a score of 62-57. They didn't fare so well in non-conference road games, losing at SMU and Ole Miss by a combined 16 points. This will be just their second road game this season, losing 60-52 at UNLV last month. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Hokies are 6-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games is 17 points. This should be a double digit win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Lakers v. Raptors -8 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | South Dakota State v. Kent State -7 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KENT. It comes as no surprise that Kent State is off to a good start, with an overall record of 5-2, and a 4-0 home record. They have three senior starters, all scoring in double digits. The Golden Flashes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They host South Dakota State, and the Jack Rabbits have failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. South Dakota State lost two of it's top three scorers from last season via transfer, and the other to graduation. This should prove to be a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Seattle University -9.5 | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. This line looks a little short when you look at the overall body of work for Seattle University. The Redhawks suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Washington over the weekend. They are 5-1 overall, and 3-0 at home. They have outscored opponents by more than 30 points per game at home, and they have faced some strong teams. They won by a dozen in a home win over Portland State, a team that has a pair of wins over the PAC12 already. They also beat a Portland Pilots team by a dozen on the road, and the Pilots have a win over Villanova followed up by a one point loss to Michigan State. The Titans lost their last road game by 16 points at North Dakota, and another double digit defeat should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans | 108-126 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points. | |||||||
11-26-22 | Lakers -3 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Alabama v. Michigan State +4 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MSU. Alabama is powered by a pair of talented freshmen, and they face their first real test here in the Phil Knight Invitational on Thanksgiving. Michigan State has a ton of experience, with their three top scorers all seniors. The Spartans have already faced two teams ranked in the Top 5, winning outright by double digits versus #4 Kentucky and losing by a point to #2 Gonzaga. They also beat unranked Villanova by a bucket. The experience in close games early in the season is invaluable. Alabama is 4-0 versus unranked competition, and the Crimson Tide are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Iowa State v. Villanova -1 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VILL. The 3-0 Cyclones are facing the 2-2 Villanova Wildcats at the Phil Knight Invitational in an afternoon game on Thanksgiving. The Wildcats were 1 bucket away from beating #12 ranked Michigan State at East Lansing. This Villanova team made the Final Four last year, and they bring back plenty of key players from that team. Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-22 | Nets -7 v. 76ers | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FSU. The public is tripping over themselves to bet against the Seminoles here, as they have looked like hot garbage starting the season 0-3. A home game against rivals Florida as a big underdog looks like a good spot to grab the underdog plus the points. The Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus Florida State. I'll roll the dice here and hope FSU can cut down on the turnovers and hit a few more free throws to hang tight in a home game against Florida. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-22 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -15 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies are 3-0 and all three of those wins have come by 20+ points. Last year they won their first five games versus unranked teams all by 20+. Old Dominion is coming off a win over a Div 2 team, after losing by a dozen at Drexel. The Monarchs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. This should be a blowout win for the Hokies who have superior talent and experience. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-22 | Vermont v. USC -11 | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is not the same Vermont team that went 17-1 in conference play last year, and lost by just four points to Alabama in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Finn Sullivan is the only remaining starter from that squad, and he scored just five points in 18 minutes in a loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. The Trojans bounced back after losing their season opener to FGCU, by blowing out Alabama State by 38 points. Senior guard Drew Peterson scored 21 points on 7-of-9 shooting in the victory. USC appears to be undervalued here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -9.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SDSU. The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-22 | George Mason +12.5 v. Auburn | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on GMU. The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +7 | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Cavs lost their season opener on the road at Toronto, but they have since won six straight. They will be a big favorite here in the Motor City, but Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are both a little banged up. This looks like a natural let down spot for the visitors. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pistons are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The home team is 6-0 straight up in the last six head to head meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +3.5 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Utah. I said this prior to the Jazz winning outright as a home dog versus Memphis on Saturday: "I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game." Not enough has changed to justify the Grizz laying points here two days later. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-22 | Mavs -4.5 v. Pelicans | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs will be a favorite here in New Orleans, with Ingram out and Zion questionable. Herbert Jones also suffered a knee injury late in the Pelicans loss to Utah over the weekend. With the status of three starters in question, the Mavs depth should be enough to power them to a comfortable win here. History is on their side, having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, including a pair of wins at New Orleans last season. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Kings v. Warriors -8.5 | 125-130 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Dubs are coming off a 128-123 home loss to Denver, but they should be able to bounce back Sunday against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game last season. They are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on one day's rest. Golden State has won the last four head to head meetings by 10+ points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 111-109 | Push | 0 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Clippers. The Kings lost their home opener by a score of 115-108, and they might struggle here against the Clippers on Saturday. The Kings were 16-25 at home last year, and only Houston and Oklahoma City had fewer home wins in the Western Conference. The Clippers finished with a dozen more wins than Sacramento last season, and they are in far better shape now with a healthy Paul George, Norman Powell and Marcus Morris. Of course Kawhi is back as well, but after we learned he will sit out for load management, this line has dropped. Kawhi only scored 14 points in 21 minutes off the bench in a 103-97 win over the Lakers in the season opener. The Clippers should be in good shape without him here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. I said this before Game 5: "So far this series has been back and forth, and the team coming off a loss has bounced back each time. The Heat come in looking to avenge a brutal 102-82 loss in Boston in Game 4. They are back home for Game 5, and with a healthy squad you would expect them to be far better on their home court. They don't have a healthy squad though, and without a healthy Jimmy Butler they are going to struggle to keep up to Boston. Butler scored just six points on 3-of-14 shooting in 27 minutes in Game 4. He's struggled while playing through a knee injury, and he's certainly not going to be at 100 percent just a few days later. The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they should have more healthy bodies to throw out there in tonight's game." It was another disappointing performance from Jimmy Butler, and the injuries appear to have derailed the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. | |||||||
05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. This isn't the first time in these playoffs that the Warriors have had a chance to sweep. After going up 3-0 on Denver, they came out flat in Game 4. The Nuggets had a double digit lead at halftime, and went on to win by a score of 126-121. In the second round against the Grizzlies, they had a chance to close out the series in Game 5. Memphis jumped all over them early, clobbering them by a score of 134-95 to extend the series. It certainly wouldn't be any shock at all if the Warriors turned in another lackluster effort here, and then take the series back home in Game 5. The old saying goes: "History Repeats Itself". GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. The Celtics got off to a strong start in Game 1, but the Heat took over the game in the third quarter and went on to win 118-107. Boston has proven the ability to bounce back from a loss, covering in four straight when coming off a loss. The Celtics are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Miami, and they are are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. While it looks like Al Horford will miss Game 2, Marcus Smart is expected to be in the lineup. I like Boston to even this series at 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GSW. After crushing the Suns in Game 7, there are no shortage of believers in this Dallas team. The Mavs do look like the real deal, but Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals looks like a let down spot for Dallas. The Warriors have won all six of their home games in these playoffs, and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. Prior to their win in Game 7, the Mavs had lost all three road games in their series versus Phoenix. You might here a lot of talk of how the Mavs won the season series 3-1, but it's important to put those games into perspective. Draymond Green wasn't even in the lineup in three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHX. The home team is 6-0 in this series heading back to Phoenix for Game 7. Historically home court advantage has been quite significant when an NBA series goes to a seventh game. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. They shot just 38 percent from the field and scored just 80 points while losing Game 5 here at the Footprint Center. The Suns are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Here is what I said before Game 6: "The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home." Neither of these teams has won back to back games in this series, and I expect that trend to continue in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Grizz. Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls. When it was announced that Ja Morant will not play Game 5, the line moved 2.5 points. Of course Morant didn't play Game 4 in Golden State and that game went right down to the wire. Memphis is now 20-6 straight up in games without Morant this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Memphis, and the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -5 | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Boston. The Celtics stole all the momentum in this series with a come from behind win in Milwaukee in Game 4. Al Horford took the game over in the 4th quarter, scoring 30 points on 11-of-14 shooting. A pivotal Game 5 on the road looks like a tough spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six at The Garden. They are are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. My money is on the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. I said this prior to Game 2: "The Suns just barely covered in Game 1, after allowing Dallas to score 35 in the fourth quarter. That being said the game was never in doubt, the Suns were up by 13 points at the half and they took a 17 point lead into the 4th quarter. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in the last 30 meetings, and they are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix. The Suns have won 10 straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them." The Mavs went on to win both games in Dallas drawing level in the series, and Chris Paul really struggled in those games. CP3 has something to prove here, and I like the Suns to blow the doors off early. The home team has won the first quarter in all four games in this series so far. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. The Bucks held on to win Game 3 as the Celtics game tying shot came just after the time expired. There was a lot of talk about controversial calls, and neither team was happy about the officiating. The fact that Jason Tatum scored 10 points on 4-of-19 shooting and the game nearly went to overtime might actually be a good sign heading into Game 4. Surely Tatum will be better here on Monday. The Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. The Celtics are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -6 | 112-142 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Grizzlies have had trouble with slow starts in these playoffs, and they are strutting into San Francisco with their chests puffed out after a big win in Game 2. This sets them up for a big let down here in Game 3, and I expect the Warriors to blow the doors off early. The Warriors lost once in their first round series versus Denver, and in the next game they started strong leading 30-25 after the first quarter. The Grizzlies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-03-22 | Bucks +4.5 v. Celtics | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucks. The Celtics had no answer for Milwaukee in Game 1, and it's difficult to imagine how they are going to turn things around a few days later without Marcus Smart. Boston was a 4.5 point favorite in Game 1, and they are again asked to cover points in Game 2. It seems quite clear that even if the Celtics can win this game (and that might be a big if) they shouldn't be asked to cover a bunch of points against a the two time MVP and defending NBA Champions. The Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHX. The Suns came into the post-season as the best team in the NBA, and in the first round they survived an injury to Devin Booker. They host the Mavs in the second round, and Booker is back at full strength. Chris Paul ia coming off a perfect shooting night, going 14-of-14 from the field in Game 6 versus the Pelicans. The Suns have won nine straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I bet Miami in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4." Back in Miami it's going to get ugly for Trae Young and the Hawks. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-20-22 | Bulls +10 v. Bucks | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. DeRozan after Game 1: "I'm not gonna go 6-for25 again". The Bulls shot 32 % from the field and just 18 % from beyond the arc in Game 1 and still almost won. While I am not convinced the Bulls won't get swept, I think it's asking a lot for the Bucks to be a double digit favorite after nearly blowing the series opener. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -6.5 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. I had high hopes for the Raptors in this series, but losing three key players (Barnes, Trent Jr. and Young) in Game 1 doesn't bode well heading into Game 2 in Philly. The MVP Joel Embiid scored just 19 points on 5 -of-15 shooting in Game 1, and the Sixers won by 20. You can expect Embiid to be better in Game 2, and all of a sudden the Raptors are at a huge disadvantage. Toronto was in foul trouble throughout Game 1, and Van Fleet and Boucher both fouled out. Staying out of foul trouble is going to be that much more difficult with fewer bodies to through out there. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-16-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. I like the Raptors to steal Game 1 and win this series in six games or less. Philly is the favorite, but it's no secret that they don't match up well with this young, athletic Raptors team. James Harden is a proven playoff performer (proven to underperform). He averaged just over 10 points per game in the Eastern Conference Semi Finals versus Milwaukee last year. He averaged just over 15 points per game in the month of April, and it's obvious that he didn't come into this season in the best shape of his life. The Raptors are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus Philly. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-10-22 | Heat v. Magic +12 | 111-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Orlando. The Heat have already clinched first place in the East, so this is a meaningless game in Orlando. Jimmy Butler didn't travel with the team, and this should be a game where the starters give way to the backups. The Magic won their last home game by a score of 120-115 over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat have only covered twice in their last seven games at Orlando, and the Magic look good as a double digit home dog in a meaningless game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. Here is what I said prior to the Tar Heels Final Four win: "Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%." As good as Kansas is, they aren't unbeatable. They had their hands full with Creighton and Providence in the tournament, and it seems like a big ask to cover and handful of points here in the Final. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-02-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Duke | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. The Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, and I am not sure they are 4.5 points better than UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. There isn't a lot of room left on the St. Peters bandwagon, as it seems that everyone is a die hard Peacocks fan these days. It's impossible not to give them credit for making the Elite-8, but the road to the Final Four has a major obstacle ahead. North Carolina has scored an average of 87 points per game in the tournament so far, including a 93-86 win over defending champs and #1 seed Baylor. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. Everyone loves a Cinderella Story, but we all know how it ends. The clock is about to strike midnight for the Peacocks. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. While the Hurricanes are one of the few remaining teams that were not projected to be here, keep in mind that they finished just two games behind Duke and a game back of North Carolina in the ACC this year. They beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium and won at home versus the Tar Heels. The were bounced from the ACC Tournament in an 80-76 loss to Duke. Kansas survived close games against Creighton and Providence, and they can expect to be challenged once again in the Elite-8 versus Miami. The Hurricanes are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-22 | North Carolina +2.5 v. UCLA | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 140 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UNC. The Tar Heels scored 90+ points in both their first two games of the tournament. UCLA struggled on offense in their first round matchup versus Akron, scoring just 57 points, and they have averaged less than 70 points over their last five games. The Tar Heels are 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and that includes a win at Duke in Coach K's last home game. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. I will take the hot team as an underdog here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 55 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Providence. I bet on the Friars in their win over Richmond, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond." They won the game by 28 points, and they look good as a big underdog here versus Kansas. The Friars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Villanova. Michigan has got off to slow starts in both their first two games at the NCAA Tournament, but they have manged to come back and win. That might not be so easy in the Sweet-16 versus Villanova. The Wildcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. They beat Ohio State by double digits in their last game, and they have won 12 of their last 13 overall. The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pistons. The Pistons are one of the worst teams in the NBA, so it looks a little strange seeing them such a big favorite here tonight. They host a Portland team that is playing on back to back nights at the end of a road trip on the other side of the country. The Blazers have lost 10 of their last 11 and nine of those 1o losses came by at least nine points. The Trail Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Pistons don't win a lot of games, but they have been playing great lately. This is a chance to get a win at home, and I expect them to take full advantage. The Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-20-22 | Spurs v. Warriors -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
03-18-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Jazz | 92-121 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. | |||||||
03-16-22 | Raptors v. Clippers +1.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The Raptors have been on a roll, but injuries could put their winning streak in jeopardy. Three of five starters could be out of the lineup in LA tonight. Fred Van Fleet is dealing with knee pain after playing 40 minutes against the Lakers. The injury may explain his 11 points on 3-of-14 shooting. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable due to illness. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in 10 of their last 14 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND. The Irish won 22 games this season, and finished 15-5 in the ACC (tied with North Carolina for 2nd). The shot over 38 percent from beyond the arc, ranking 2nd in the ACC in three points field goal percentage. They also shot 75.7 percent from the free throw line, second best in the ACC behind the Tar Heels. Rutgers ranked near the bottom of the BIG10 in both three point shooting as well as free throw percentage. The Scarlett Knights struggle to score at the best of times, and they averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Fighting Irish are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-11-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
03-11-22 | Pistons +14 v. Celtics | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Pistons are in dead last in the Central Division Standings, but they've actually been one of the hotter teams in the Eastern Conference lately. Detroit has won six of nine overall, and one of those wins came against the Celtics in Boston. A few days after beating the Celtics at the Garden, the Celtics won at the Palace by a score of 113-104. The Pistons have covered the spread in nine straight games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. They have also covered in seven straight versus the Celtics, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in Boston. This line looks a bit inflated all things concerned. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Scott Rickenbach | $1,260 |
Matt Fargo | $1,072 |
AAA Sports | $825 |
ProSportsPicks | $810 |
Dana Lane | $712 |
Jeff Alexander | $612 |
Rocky Atkinson | $560 |
ASA | $457 |
Rob Vinciletti | $355 |
Doc's Sports | $350 |