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This is a 10* play on MTL.

The Bombers are back in the Grey Cup for the fourth consecutive season. They will be a huge favorite against an ALs team that just knocked off the league leading Toronto Argonauts. Montreal is playing their best football down the stretch, and their defense has been formidable. There is no doubt that the Bombers deserve to be favorites, and you can call them the better team. The Als look dangerous in the role of the underdog, and it's hard to ignore their seven game winning streak. Montreal might be the best team in the CFL right here right now, and I don't think they are getting enough respect. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WPG.

The Blue Bombers are still the best team in the CFL, and they have owned the BC Lions. The Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they covered the spread in all eight of those wins. The last time BC went to Winnipeg, they lost 50-14 as a six-point underdog. The Lions defense has really struggled in the second half of the season, and they face a Winnipeg offense that is firing on all cylinders. The Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games in the post-season. The Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Winnipeg.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play Over.

We often see low scores in the CFL playoffs, but most of the games are outdoors in the winter weather. BC plays in a dome, and we have a matchup between two of the league's top passing offenses. Vernon Adams was the league's leading passer, while Jake Maier was 3rd in the CFL in passing. The Lions were great defensively early in the season, but they have not stopped anybody in the final few weeks of the season. They gave up 41 in a loss to Calgary in their final home game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Ottawa.

The Argos are going to the Playoffs, so this is a game that they really have no interest in. They are expected to rest their starters, and the only goal here is to get out of Ottawa without sustaining any serious injuries. Ottawa has nothing to prevent them from laying it all out in their season finale, with guys playing for future roster spots. The home team should be able to close out a disappointing season with a home win in a game that is meaningless for their opponent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

This is a big game for both teams, as BC is still in the hunt for first place in the West, and Calgary needs a win just to make the playoffs. The Lions have gone over the total in six straight, and one of the reasons for that has been a lackluster defense. The Lions have allowed opponents to average over 30 points per game in their last six overall. Five of those games were wins, so they are clearly scoring more than their share as well. Calgary gets WR1 (Beggleton) back for tonight's game. We should see both teams score plenty.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the ELKS.

So the Elks played last Friday, losing on the road at 1st place Toronto. The Als on the other hand played on Monday, setting up a game on short rest on the road. Montreal clinched 2nd place in the East with Hamilton losing to BC last night. This might prevent them from taking this game seriously, and it looks like a good spot to rest starters for the playoffs. The Elks are playing for a roster spot next year. “I really don’t care how they approach it,” he said, after letting the media know he was unhappy with the Elks’ concentration level at practice Thursday afternoon. “Ours is just come out and try to hit them in the mouth and be more physical than they are. If we don’t, it’s going to be real tough on us.” - said Chris Jones.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on HAM.

The BC Lions might be the better team here, but this is a tough spot. While a heartbreaking home loss to Winnipeg last week hasn't officially ended their quest to finish first in the West, it's likely only a matter of time. The Bombers only need to win one of their two remaining games, and they will be heavily favored in both of those contests. BC would need to win out, and hope for a miracle. I think they will still be reeling from last week's loss. Hamilton has been banged up all year, but they are coming off back to back wins over West Division opponents, and they have all their QBs back now after a long stretch with their 3rd stringer Taylor Powell. Matthew Shiltz threw for 271 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT on 16-of-18 passing in a 38-13 win at Saskatchewan last week. The Ticats look good as a home dog here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MTL.

The Als crushed the Redblacks in Ottawa last week, winning by a score of 32-15. Now they play at home versus Ottawa on Thanksgiving, and this is a big game for Montreal. Currently tied with Hamilton for second place in the East, the ALs will move ahead of the Ticats with a win over Ottawa. The Redblacks defense has allowed 27.4 points per game this season, only Saskatchewan has allowed more. Ottawa has lost six of seven road games, and they are 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus Montreal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring in the CFL, and we should see plenty of scoring in an indoor game in BC tonight. The lions have gone over in four straight, and Winnipeg has gone over in eight of their last 10. The BC defense has looked suspect, allowing 29.4 points per game in their last five overall. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads the CFL with 30 TD passes so far, while BC QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the league in passing averaging 308 yards per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WPG.

The Argos have already clinched 1st place in the EAST, so they are coming into Friday's game at Winnipeg with a plan to rest their starters. Starting QB Chad Kelly won't play, and it seem pretty clear that Toronto doesn't have any interest in winning this game. It is a big game for Winnipeg, who sit tied for first place with the BC Lions. Winnipeg leads the CFL in scoring, and they rank first scoring defense allowing 21 points per game. Zach Collaros has thrown a CFL best 29 TD passes, and he ranks 1st in the league with a QBR of 115.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Over.

The Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game by a wide margin, and he ranks second in the league with 23 TDs in 11 starts. The Edmonton Elks are clearly not the same team with Trey Ford at QB. They are coming off a 36-27 road win at Saskatchewan, and they have scored 30+ in two of their last three games. The longest home losing streak in North American professional sports is now over, and Edmonton has won three of their last four games. Both teams should do plenty of scoring here, pushing the total over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

The Lions come out of the bye week to take on the Ottawa Redblacks, and we should expect a blowout here. The Lions are 4-1 at home, while Ottawa is 1-5 on the road. Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game (296), while Ottawa QB Dustin Crumm has thrown more picks (6) than he has TDs (5). The Lions have won seven straight head to head meetings, and they have won all four home games during that span by a double digit margin. This game has blowout written all over it!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Edmonton Elks are a different team since Tre Ford took over at QB. Edmonton has won three of their last four games, averaging over 27 points per game during that span. The Riders have had some success at home, upsetting the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their last two home games. Saskatchewan ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and the Elks aren't far behind. Expect both teams to put points on the board here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Here is what I said about these two teams last week: The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Hamilton.

The Ottawa Redblacks have played 11 games, and have only one win by more than three points. That came against the Edmonton Elks, who they lost to by double digits in their last game. Hamilton has won nine straight head to head against Ottawa. The Ticats have been playing a bit better of late, winning their last road game at BC. James Butler has been playing a bigger role in the offense, and Taylor Powell seems to have settled in at QB. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Elks.

Edmonton is coming off it's first home win since 2019, snapping the longest home losing streak in North American sports history. Since the arrival of Tre Ford at QB, the Elks have won two of three and covered in all three games. The Stamps are struggling, with just three wins on the season, and QB Jake Maier leads the CFL with 12 INTs in 11 games. Only the Saskatchewan Roughriders have allowed more points this season than Calgary. The Stamps defense has been decimated by injuries, and seven defensive players are listed as "out" for today's game. I'll take the hot team plus the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

The Lions own the CFL's #1 scoring defense, and they are undefeated at home so far. They host the Hamilton Ticats, who rank last in the Eastern Conference, and last in scoring defense in the East. Hamilton has a 3rd string QB that has thrown for 749 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs in five games. The Lions are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while Hamilton has failed to cover in four straight and seven of 10 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Toronto.

This is a good spot for the Argos, coming off a bye week and hosting the Calgary Stampeders who lost a war of attrition versus Winnipeg last week. Leading rusher Kadeem Carey is out for Calgary, and QB Jake Maier is coming off one of the worst games of his career. He threw for 190 yards, no TDs and an INT on 11-of-24 passing in the 19-18 loss to the Bombers. Maier has thrown for 8 TDs and a CFL high 12 INTs this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

The Lions got starting QB Vernon Adams Jr back last week, and he threw for 322 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 23-of-32 passing in a blowout win over Calgary. The Lions play on the road at Regina Sunday, but the Riders are down to their third string QB. Saskatchewan has allowed opponents to average 27 points per game this season, and only Hamilton has allowed more. Last year the Lions played at Regina twice, winning by double digits in both games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MTL.

The Als are 5-3, but what I find significant is that their three losses have come against the top three teams in the CFL. Toronto, BC and Winnipeg have a combined record of 26-5. Ottawa sits in last place in the East, and they are down to their third string QB. Dustin Crum balled out against the Argos, throwing for 292 yards, 3 TDs and no INTs on 21-of-26 passing. Despite his best game of the season, Ottawa lost the game by double digits. Montreal has won five straight at Ottawa, and the road team is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Bombers come into Calgary as the highest scoring team in the CFL, and they have the league's leading passer. Jake Maier is 2nd in the CFL in passing, and we should expect these teams to air it out here in Calgary tonight. Zach Collaros is banged up, and it might have to be Dru Brown, but the backup threw for 307 yards and four TDS on 17-of-24 passing after replacing Collaros last week. Calgary isn't exactly a defensive powerhouse, so expect the Bombers to move the ball regardless of who is under center. Winnipeg has gone over in five of their last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Hamilton Ticats are down to their 3rd string QB after injuries to Bo Levi Mitchell and Matthew Shiltz. Taylor Powell has averaged 138 yards per game with just one TD and three INTs since taking over. Hamilton has averaged just 20 points per game, and only the Edmonton Elks have scored fewer. The Elks have averaged fewer than 17 points per game. Trey Ford made his debut last week, throwing for 189 yards, a TD and an INT on 12-of-16 passing. The Elks ran the ball for 173 yards on 21 carries. Both these teams will likely want to establish the run, and we should not be surprised to see a low scoring game between the two worst offensive teams in the league.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

Vernon Adams Jr is back for BC, and that's good news after the Lions second and third string QBs struggled in a loss at Winnipeg last week. Adams Jr leads the CFL in completion percentage (71.3%) and he's 3rd in the league in yards per game (258). Calgary QB Jake Maier is also among the league leaders, but he also leads the league in INTs. The Lions have covered the spread in six straight home games, and this looks like a good bounce back spot for BC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Montreal.

As we try to figure out how good these teams really are, I want to point out that the Als three losses came against teams with a combined record of 19-4 (in other words, the three best teams in the CFL). Saskatchewan on the other hand has four wins, and two of them came against the worst team in the CFL (Edmonton). The Roughriders are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven straight versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SASK.

The Riders are coming off a bye week, giving them time to get Mason Fine tuned up for this home game against Ottawa. While both teams come in with a 3-4 record, and a backup quarterback under center, the strength of schedule and extra rest has me looking at the home dog. The Riders losses came against Winnipeg, BC, Toronto and Calgary. They also lost to Calgary by just two points. Saskatchewan has won all three meetings since 2019, and all those wins came at home. Mason Fine has shown some potential, ranking near the top of the league in yards per pass (8.2) as well as completion percentage (74%).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MTL.

The Als are 3-3, but what I find significant is that their three losses have come against the top three teams in the CFL. Toronto, BC and Winnipeg have a combined record of 23-4. Montreal has won four straight versus the Ticats, and they are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 road games. Hamilton is down a pair of QBs, and 3rd string QB Taylor Powell has thrown for 329 yards, a TD and an INT on 64% passing while appearing in three games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

The Lions have the second best record in the CFL going 6-1. Their only loss came against the undefeated Toronto Argos. They rank first in the league in scoring defense (by a country mile). The Bombers defense has not looked as good as it has been in recent years, and in Week 6 they blew a 16 point lead in the final two minutes, losing in overtime at Ottawa. While the history favors Winnipeg, the times change and the Lions appear to the better team getting a bunch of points in this matchup. After losing 30-6 at home to BC earlier this season, this is a revenge spot for the Bombers, but that doesn't mean they should be a six point favorite in my opinion.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on OTT.

Both these teams are banged up at quarterback, but Dustin Crum has looked sharp for the Redblacks. He threw for 254 yards and a pair of TDs on 23-of-29 passing in a win over Calgary last week. Taylor Powell struggled in his first start for Hamilton, throwing for 283 yards and an INT on 27-of-41 passing in a home loss to Toronto. The Tiger-Cats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Ticats rank dead last in the CFL IN scoring defense so far this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing, averaging 308 yards per game. BC is 4-1 overall and the Lions have allowed the fewest points in the CFL. The Riders lost starting QB Trevor Harris, and that leaves backup Mason Fine to start on the road this week. He threw for 690 yards, three TDs and three INTs as a backup last season. The Lions won by double digits in both their home games against Saskatchewan last season. The Roughriders are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Toronto Argos are 1st in the CFL in scoring averaging 39 points per game. They should be able to pile on the points here in Hamilton, against the worst defense in the CFL. Hamilton has allowed a CFL worst 33 points per game. Scoring is up in the CFL here in July, with all four games going over last week. History says we can expect another high score in Hamilton, as the over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. The Als have gone over in six of their last eight in Steel Town.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Gonna keep this simple...say what you want about the Ottawa Redblacks, but the fact is that they have allowed fewer points than any other team in the CFL. They have a problem at quarterback though, with their fourth string quarterback set to start Saturday's game. His last meaningful football game was at the 2021 Idaho Potato Bowl. He faces a Bombers team that has held it's last two opponents to a combined 14 points. Ottawa has gone under in 20 of their last 28 overall, and they have gone under in four straight versus the Bombers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is 4* play on Over.

The Toronto Argos lead the CFL in scoring, and they scored 30+ points in their last two games versus Montreal. The Als are coming off a 35-19 loss at BC, and they play on short rest here against an Argos team that is coming off a bye week. Montreal should score some points here at home, but I don't like their chances of stopping the defending champs. The over is 7-3 in the Alouettes last 10 games in July.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on EDM.

Edmonton is coming off a 12-11 loss at Saskatchewan, and now they return home where they have lost 18 straight. The defense was pretty solid last week, holding the Riders to three points in the first three quarters. Hamilton isn't exactly a powerhouse at this point, with their only win coming against an Ottawa team with their 4th string QB under center. This spot looks like the right time and place for the Elks to snap this losing skid. The Ticats defense ranks dead last in the CFL, and I don't think they have any business being a road favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

The Lions are coming off a 45-24 loss at Toronto, but they out-gained the Argos 413-269 in total yards. Vernon Adams Jr threw for 388 yards and three TDs, which would be great if he didn't throw six INTs. Adams Jr leads the league in passing with 1,249 yards and eight TDs on 69 percent passing. The Lions have covered in four straight home games, and their last home win was a 22-0 shutout win over Edmonton. The Alouettes are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 meetings in BC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on OTT.

Both these teams signed high profile quarterbacks during the off-season, and so far it hasn't worked out for either team. Jeremiah Masoli is expected to make his debut for Ottawa here this week, while Bo Levi Mitchell has been a bust for the Ticats. After throwing for 361 yards with a TD and four INTs, Mitchell has been sidelined. There are some huge revenge angles here for Ottawa, as they have lost seven straight to Hamilton. Masoli is not the only former Ticat now in Ottawa, Jaleon Acklin at WR and DE Lorenzo Mauldin were stars in Hamilton. This looks like a classic example of wrong team favored. The RedBlacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Hamilton.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Bombers scored 40+ points in their first two games of the season, but they also gave up 58 points in those games. They will host Calgary tonight, and the Stampeders are coming off a 29-26 loss to Saskatchewan. The last two head to head meetings between these teams have gone well over the total, and we expect another high scoring game here in Week 5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Elks are 0-4, and they are coming off a blowout loss at Ottawa last week. As bad as things look for Edmonton, I think last week's game was closer than the score would indicate. The Elks did play a close game against the Riders in Week 1, losing by a score of 17-13. The Riders currently have 13 players on their injured lists, including starting centre Peter Godber and receivers Jake Weineke, Derel Walker, Brayden Lenius, Juwan Brescacin and Kian Schaffer-Baker. Saskatchewan is looking to snap a seven game home losing streak, and asking them to cover eight points might be asking too much. The road team is 5-1 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and last year Edmonton won by a score of 26-24. The over is 11-5 in the Roughriders last 16 games following a bye week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BC. 

The Lions have the top ranked defense in the CFL, allowing just 21 points in three games. It's not like they have had a soft schedule, winning on the road at Winnipeg and Calgary. The Argos are 2-0, but their opponents are a combined 0-7 so far this season. Toronto's QB Chad Kelly has pedestrian numbers, especially when you consider the opponents he has faced. He's thrown for 502 yards a TD and two INTs on 59 percent passing in two starts. Vernon Adams has dealt with injuries at WR, but still ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing. He will get two of his top three targets back for tonight's game. The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MTL.

The Bombers injury woes were too much to overcome last week in a home loss to BC. It looks like they are still banged up heading into tonight's game in Montreal. The Als defense and running game looks strong, and that's a big plus as a home dog getting six points. I think Montreal should give the Bombers a run for their money.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Edmonton Elks.

Edmonton will be an underdog here in Ottawa Friday, in a matchup between possibly the two worst teams in the CFL. One of these winless teams is going to get it's first win here, but I don't think Ottawa deserves to be the favorite. The Redblacks quarterback situation doesn't look pretty. Starter Jeremiah Masoli is injured, and backup Nick Arbuckle has thrown for 286 yards, no TDs and four INTs on 55 percent passing in two starts. Ottawa is expected to roll out their third string quarterback who threw for 129 yards and an INT 9-of-17 passing after replacing Arbuckle last week. Jarrett Doege looked a lot better for Edmonton in the same role, completing 9-of-11 passes for a pair of TDs and an INT. Edmonton has won two of their last three at Ottawa, including a 30-12 win last August.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TOR.

The Argos are defending champs, coming off an impressive home win at Hamilton in Week 2. They visit Edmonton, a team that has lost 18 straight home games dating back to 2019. The Elks are coming off a shutout loss to the B.C. Lions last week, and it seems like you're trying to re-invent the wheel if you're looking for the Elks to snap an epic losing streak here. Taylor Corneilius thre for 98 yards and a pick on 13-of-23 passing last week, and it's no surprise that the Elks rank dead last in the CFL in scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Montreal.

Hamilton made a splash when they acquired Bo Levi Mitchell to be their starting quarterback, but he will not take the field here at home in Week 3. It will be backup Matthew Shiltz will take over, and he's thrown as many picks (13)as he has TDs in his career. The Als are coming off a bye, and their defense looked solid in a Week 1 win over Ottawa. They have a solid running game with Cody Fajardo and William Stanback. Fajardo threw for just 261 yards and no TDs in Week 1, but he was accurate and he moved the ball. I think the books have the wrong team favored here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

In the first two weeks of the season, only two of eight games saw more than 46 combined points. Of course both of those games were blowout wins for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The BC Lions might make life a little more difficult for the Bombers. BC comes in allowing just 7.5 points per game, fresh off a shutout win over Edmonton. The Lions have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 15-6 in the Bombers last 21 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings in Winnipeg. Both teams are banged up, with several key offensive players expected to miss this week's game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Low scores at the beginning of the season are nothing new in the CFL, so it comes as no surprise that five of seven games have failed to reach the total so far. One of the two games that did go over the number was the Ticats loss to Winnipeg in Week 1. Hamilton scored 31 points in that game, but most of that scoring came in garbage time. They trailed 29-4 at halftime, and Bo Levi Mitchell threw for just 200 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT on 17-of-33 passing in the loss. Mitchell has the lowest completion percentage in the CFL after Week 1. The under is 16-7 in the Tiger-Cats last 23 games in June, and the under is 17-4 in the Argonauts last 21 games in June.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

Surely the Edmonton Elks have to be better than they were a year ago. They ranked dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and it wasn't even close. This is a tough spot for the Elks on the road, facing a BC team that has won the last four meetings by an average margin of 32 points. Vernon Adams Jr. might not be Nathan Rourke, but throwing for 300 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a blowout win at Calgary in Week 1 is a positive sign.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is 4* play on OTT.

I am not big on either of these two teams, but with money coming in on Calgary I'll take the points here with the home dog. It's a battle between two former Stampeders backups, who each played behind Bo Levi Mitchell. Neither of them had much success in Week 1, and we should expect another low scoring game here in Ottawa. The Stamps will miss leading rusher Kadeem Carey, and I am not convinced that this offense is good enough to be favored by a TD.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Elks allowed a CFL worst 599 points last season, and the Saskatchewan Roughriders were the 2nd worst in the league defensively. Both teams look to have improved offensively in the off-season, and the total for their season opener looks a little low. The total in all three of last year's meetings was over 48 .. and they went over in two of three games. We should see both teams do some scoring here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MTL.

The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and the Redblacks come into this game without their #1 quarterback. Nick Arbuckle will start for Ottawa, and he's coming off a 2022 season when he threw for 14 INTs and just six TDs. Ottawa ranked dead last in scoring in the CFL last year, and it's asking a lot for Arbuckle to come in Week 1 and turn things around.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Points could be hard to come by in Winnipeg on Opening Night. These teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings, and six straight in Winnipeg. The Bombers have owned the top defense in the CFL several seasons in a row. The under is 23-9 in Blue Bombers last 32 home games, and the under is 21-8 in the Tiger-Cats last 29 games in Week 1.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BC.

I am optimistic about Vernon Adams Jr. taking over for Nathan Rourke. He steps into a far better situation than in previous years in Montreal. The Lions had the league's best offense last year, and many of those pieces are still in place heading into 2023. Dominic Rhymes, Lucky Whitehead and Jevon Cottoy were all productive last year. The Stampeders also have a new QB, and Jake Maier looked good after taking over from Bo Levi Mitchell last year. He could be in a tough spot in Week 1 with a couple of offensive lineman and a key receiver expected to miss the opener.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Montreal.

The Argos finished first in the East, but Montreal was the hottest team in the CFL in the second half of the season. Trevor Harris finished third in the CFL in passing, and he completed 80 percent of his passes in a win over Hamilton in the East Semi Final. William Stanback missed the majority of the regular season, but the leading rusher in the CFL in 2021 is healthy for the playoffs. He ran for 66 yards on 10 carries in the win over the Tiger Cats. Montreal has won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the four games they lost were decided by an average margin of fewer than three points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MTL.

The Allouettes are the hottest team in the CFL heading into the Eastern Conference Semi Final, and they host Hamilton. The Ticats have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. The home team has won four straight head to head meetings. William Stanback has recently returned  to the lineup, and he should play a big role here versus Hamilton.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on BC. 

This is a simple handicap on this game. Winnipeg has already clinched first place, and the Bombers are resting as many players as they can this week. In fact they would like to rest even more: "“You're hampered by a (salary) cap and by the number of bodies you have available to you, so you can't switch everybody out," Mike Oshea said. "And there's probably some guys playing that you may have liked to rest or they may have wanted to rest." The Lions on the other hand still have plenty to play for here at home. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule. 

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Lions offense has stalled since the injury to Nathan Rourke, but they brought in veteran QB Vernon Adams (former Oregon Duck) a few weeks back. He only saw a few snaps in a loss to Montreal last week. He's now had plenty of time to get familiar with the offense and he is expected to start here in Calgary. We could have a shootout on our hands, as Calgary scored 56 points in a win over Edmonton last week. Both teams are banged up in the secondary and along the defensive line, and that could open things up for both QBs. The last time these teams played it was BC winning by a score of 41-40. Prior to that it was Calgary winning 33-23. I expect another high score here on Saturday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

The total for this game stands out to me, and I am convinced that this number is inflated because both these teams gave up 50+ points last week. The total was listed well below 50 in each of the last six head to head meetings between these teams. The Riders are averaging just 23 points per game this season, while Edmonton has averaged just over 20 points per game. Prior to last week, the Riders defense had been solid allowing just over 24 points per game. The Elks do rank dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, but they face a Riders offense that has been hit hard by injuries. These teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five in Regina.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the BC Lions.

The Lions lead the CFL in scoring despite playing only 10 games (most teams have played 12). They lost their first game since the injury to Nathan Rourke (leads the CFL in passing), but they have had plenty of time to regroup coming off a bye week. They picked up former Oregon Ducks QB Vernon Adams Jr. in a trade with Montreal, and he could face his former team here on Friday night. The Lions have owned this Als team, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. BC is still undefeated in road games this season. The Alouettes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. This is a great spot to back BC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Hamilton.

While the Ticats turn to a rookie QB, this is a good spot for the home team. A revenge game in the Labor Day Classic, versus their biggest rival. The Argos have lost four of their last five at Hamilton, and it's widely considered the toughest place to play in the CFL. This team is particularly tough to beat at this time of year, the Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last nine games in September. Hamilton owns the CFL's top ranked run defense, and they are good at getting to the QB with 25 sacks in 11 games so far in 2022. The Argonauts are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Hamilton. History favors the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on the BC Lions.

So Nathan Rourke is sidelined with an injury, and the Lions quarterback leads the CFL in passing yards as well as TDs. So how will the Lions fare without him? I personally think they will do just fine. In fact I think Michael O'Connor is stepping into an ideal situation. It wouldn't surprise me at all if this moment is remembered similar to Cardale Jones stepping in for JT Barrett at Ohio State and winning a National Championship. Or Kurt Warner stepping in at quarterback for the Rams and winning a Super Bowl. The Lions are stacked with talent, studs on the offensive line, a talented receiving corpse and a dynamic running back in James Butler. Last year O'Connor beat out Dakota Prukop for a roster spot in Calgary, and he had a solid training camp with the Lions this summer. Meanwhile they face a Saskatchewan team that benched their starting QB in a 28-10 home loss to BC last week. Cody Fajardo has been playing with a knee injury, and his ineffective play can likely be blamed on his injury. The Lions don't have to reinvent the wheel here, and they should be able to beat a banged up Saskatchewan team at home Friday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Calgary.

The Stamps are coming off a 41-40 shootout loss to the mighty BC Lions. They are on the road in Toronto Saturday night, and it's unlikely that the Argos can keep up with that kind of offense. Toronto quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has been inconsistent, and losing leading rusher Andrew Harris will put more pressure on him. The Stampeders are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings, and they have won eight of the last 10 outright. They are 15-0 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 11, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Sask.

The Riders are coming off a bye week, which should benefit banged up starting quarterback Cody Fajardo. They are on the road in Edmonton, and the Elks are coming off a 46-14 loss to B.C. last weekend. While Edmonton doesn't have the league's worst record, they have scored the fewest points of any team in the CFL this season. They have also allowed a CFL worst 290 points in eight games. The Roughriders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in August, and they have covered in five of their last seven at Edmonton. The Elks are 0-10 straight up in their last 10 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Hamilton.

The Argos are coming off a home loss to the worst team in the CFL. They will host a scrappy Hamilton Tigercats team that is coming off a home win over Montreal. The Ticats are just 2-5, but keep in mind they have played a tough schedule facing five Western Division teams in their first six games. Dane Evans ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing, and while his TD/INT ratio appears concerning, he's thrown three TD passes and no INTs in two games against East Division opponents. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Toronto, and they are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 meetings. The Argonauts are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus East Division teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Calgary.

The Ottawa Redblacks are 1-6 overall, and 0-3 at home this season. They are coming off their first win of the season on the road at Toronto, but I don't like their chances of making it two in a row. The Stampeders are the second best team in the CFL, coming off a loss to defending champions Winnipeg. The Stampeders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss, and they are 7-1 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Toronto.

The Argos are in first place in the East, the only team with a winning record. They are coming off back to back wins over Saskatchewan, and this week they host the last place Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa has lost all six of their games, and their starting quarterback is out until late September. The RedBlacks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Toronto. I like the Argos to win big at home here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BC.

The Riders are coming off a home loss to Toronto on Sunday, in a game that was rescheduled due to a Covid outbreak. They still have some injury concerns, and playing the BC Lions on a short week isn't ideal. Their biggest problem is that quarterback Cody Fajardo has been playing on one leg. The Lions are 4-1, and they boast the CFL's #1 ranked offense. The Lions are well rested coming off a home win over Hamilton last Thursday. Saskatchewan comes into this game with 36 players on the injury report. Many of those players are probable, but there is no question that the Riders are going to be short-handed.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

The two time defending champions are still undefeated, and they play on the road at Edmonton this week. The Elks picked up a win on the road at Montreal last week, but they trailed by 19 points in the 3rd quarter of that game. Edmonton has allowed a CFL worst 220 points, more than double what Winnipeg has allowed in the same number of games. The Elks have lost nine straight home games, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the B.C. Lions.

Hamilton is coming off it's first win of the season at home over Ottawa, but now they play on short rest on the other side of the country in Vancouver. The Lions own the league's highest scoring offense, averaging 40 points per game. Nathan Rourke has completed 80 percent of his passes this season, with 12 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. Coming off a bye week, we should expect BC to be at it's best. The Tiger-Cats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games in July. The Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. Hamilton has failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Vancouver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Argos.

The Riders are tied for second in the CFL with a 5-1 record, and they will be a road favorite (at a neutral site in NS) at Toronto this week. The Argos have played two fewer games, and they are coming off a bye. That should be an advantage here against a Riders team that lost by 24 at Montreal a few weeks ago. Strength of schedule favors the home team, who lost by a single point at home to defending champs Winnipeg in their last game. Their other loss came on the road against the Lions in Vancouver. The Riders have won three of their last four at Toronto, but only one of those wins came by more than three points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Bombers.

The top two teams in the CFL meet tonight in Winnipeg, and only one team will come away with their perfect record intact. The Bombers are defending champs two years running, and they have won 11 straight home games dating back to the beginning of last season. The Stampeders come in looking like contenders, but strength of schedule warns they may be pretenders. With wins over Montreal, Hamilton and Edmonton, their opponents have a combined record of 2-12. The Bombers defense ranks #1 in the CFL, and that could be the difference here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Montreal.

The Edmonton Elks are coming off a 49-6 home loss to Calgary, falling to 1-4 on the season. Edmonton has not yet had a bye week, and the grueling schedule has taken it's toll. This team is banged up with several injuries to key players, and they play on the road against a well rested Montreal team. The Als are coming off a bye week, looking to bounce back from a 41-20 loss at Saskatchewan. They scored 37 points in a 24-point win over the Riders in their last home game. Despite losing QB Tre Ford with a leg injury, Edmonton traded their Week 1 starter Nick Arbuckle to Ottawa on Monday. Needless to say, they have some serious issues with their QB depth. This should be a blowout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on B.C.

The Lions are off to an impressive start going 3-0 and scoring over 44 points per game. Despite playing one fewer game than Winnipeg, the Lions have scored 50 more points (OMG am I reading that right?). Not only that, their defense has been outstanding as well. This is a tough spot for the Bombers, who just barely survived in a 23-22 win at Toronto on Monday, and now travel to Vancouver on short rest. The Lions haven't played since last Thursday, so they should have a significant advantage when it comes to rest and time to prepare. Winnipeg was outscored 19-6 in the second half of Monday's win over Toronto, and it wouldn't be any surprise to see that carry over into this road game just five days later.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Calgary.

The Stampeders are coming off a 30-23 home win over Edmonton in Week 3, and the final score might suggest that the game was closer than it actually was. Calgary was in full control, but the Elks scored twice in the final two minutes to get a back door cover. The Stamps had last week off, giving them more time to prepare for this week's game at Edmonton. The Elks are coming off a surprising upset win at Hamilton, and they took advantage of a second half collapse by the Ticats. Hamilton turned the ball over four times, and Dane Evans was picked off twice. Trey Ford got his first win at QB for the Elks, despite completing only 57 percent of his passes and throwing for 159 yards with a TD and an INT. Playing a well rested Calgary team looks like a let down spot for the Elks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Toronto TT Over.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are defending champions, and they come into this game in first place tie with B.C. and Calgary. This is a tough spot for them however, playing on the road versus an Eastern Conference team, with a marquee matchup versus B.C. coming up just days later. This is also a big spot for Toronto, coming off a blowout loss at B.C. in just their second game of the season. Starting QB MacBeth was heated when he was taken out of the game late in Vancouver. It was not due to poor play, as he completed 15-of-21 passes for 174 yards, but the Argos defense just couldn't get off the field. The home team has won five straight and eight of the last nine head to head meetings. The Argos beat Winnipeg 30-23 at home last season. The over is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and the losing team has scored over 20 points in seven of those 10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

While you don't want to overreact to the Als winning the first leg of this home and home series by a score of 37-13, you also can't ignore that since the change at quarterback their offense has been on fire. Trevor Harris replaced Vernon Adams in Week 2 in Toronto, and Montreal lost that road game by just a single point. He comes into Week 4 ranking second among CFL starters in yards per pass, and 3rd in efficiency rating. His numbers are considerably better than his counterpart Cody Fajardo. The last time the Als played at Saskatchewan, they lost by a score of of 27-25. I expect a similar score here tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the BC Lions.

While the Lions play on the road for the first time this season, on short rest and without their star WR Bryan Burnham, they are only a slight favorite against a winless Redblacks squad. This actually looks like a good setup for a play on the home dog (situational), but I am not sure these teams are close in terms of talent. The Lions out-scored their first two opponents a combined 103-18. Nathan Rourke has completed 88 percent of his passes for over 700 yards and no picks. Their most recent opponent was a pretty talented Toronto team. Jeremiah Masoli threw for over 5000 yards and 28 TDs in 2018 in Hamilton, but has pedestrian numbers over the last two seasons. Last year he lost his job to Dane Evans. While I expect the Redblacks to give the Lions a run for their money, BC has won five straight head to head versus this team, and they are still the better team IMO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

The Lions didn't just win their home opener, they dropped a whopping 59 points on the sad sacked Edmonton Elks. Nathan Rourke threw for 282 yards and three TDs on 26-of-29 passing. James Butler scored four TDs and ran for over 100 yards. The defense was just as impressive, forcing four turnovers and allowing just 15 points. The Argos won their home opener, but it was far less impressive. They just barely edged out Montreal by a score of 20-19. The Argos last visit to BC ended in a blowout loss by a score of 55-8, and the home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. An extra week to prepare will also be an advantage for the home team here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on WPG.

The Hamilton Tigercats really faded at the end of last season, and it's been a slow start to 2022. They are in a tough spot this week, playing on the road at Winnipeg where the defending Grey Cup champs are 16-1 since 2018. The Bombers have showed no signs of slowing down, ranking 1st in the CFL in scoring defense heading into Week 3. Only Edmonton has allowed more points per game than Hamilton so far in 2022. Only the Elks QB has thrown more INTs (5) than Dane Evans (4) so far this season. Zach Collaros has thrown for 416 yards with three TDs and one INT in the first two weeks. The Bombers should probably be favored by at least a TD here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Saskatchewan.

The Riders won 30-13 at home versus Hamilton in Week 1, and they head out on the road to face the Elks in Edmonton in Week 2. Edmonton looks like the worst team in the CFL after giving up 59 points in a loss to BC in their season opener. Home field might not help, as the Elks were 0-7 in Edmonton last year. Starting QB Nick Arbuckle threw for 254 yards on 20-of-29 passing, with no TDs and three INTs in the loss to BC. The Elks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. The Roughriders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have won five straight head to head versus Edmonton.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

So the defending champs only scored 19 points in a home win over Ottawa in Week 1, but the same two teams face each other in a rematch in Ottawa in Week 2. With both teams already having a game under their belt, we can expect more scoring here in the rematch. The Redblacks have upgraded their QB since last season, bringing in Jeremiah Masoli from Hamilton. Masoli threw for 380 yards and a TD on 24-of-34 passing in Week 1. Some of the trends might point toward an under, but it's noteworthy that the total for this game is much lower than it was in each of the previous 10 head to head meetings. In fact the total was over 50 in eight of the last 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Ticats are in Saskatchewan for their season opener, and history tells us that we should expect a low score. The under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Ticats lost 19-6 in their season opener versus Winnipeg last year. The under is 14-6 in the Tiger-Cats last 20 games overall, and they have gone under in 20 of their last 28 season openers. They have also failed to reach the total in 14 of their last 19 in the first month of the season. Hamilton lost their most dynamic playmaker on offense when Brandon Banks signed with Toronto, and they are 3-18-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Saskatchewan.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Under.

It's typical to see low scoring games in the first few weeks of the CFL season, but last year we saw scoring down overall. That's particularly true for Calgary as the Stamps ranked second in the West in scoring defense. The Als ranked second in the East in scoring defense. These two teams have gone under in nine of the last 13 head to head meetings. The under is 13-5 in the Stampeders last 18 games in June, and the under is 19-3 in the Alouettes last 22 games in June. Calgary held the Elks to just seven points in their final game of the pre-season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on WPG.

The Hamilton Ticats are the best team in the ... Eastern Conference. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers though are the best team in the CFL. The Bombers rank 1st in the CFL in scoring defense allowing just 13.4 points per game. Bombers QB Zach Collaros ranked 2nd in the CFL in passing yards, 1st in TDs, and 1st IN QBR. Winnipeg has won their last two games versus Hamilton (2021 & 2019) both by double digits. The Tiger-Cats are 3-11-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and the Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Hamilton's defense was dominant in a 23-12 win over Montreal in the East Semifinal. The Ticats forced five turnovers, and sacked Trevor Harris six times. Toronto will be lucky if their QB is able to start this game, after he violated Covid19 protocols during the week. The miscue caused him to miss practice during the week. The under is 6-0 in the Tiger-Cats last six games as an underdog, and offense could be hard to come by in December in Toronto with snow in the forecast.

GL,

Jesse Schule

1

This is a 10* play on Hamilton.

Montreal had a chance to secure home field for this game, but they lost at home to a last place team with a rookie QB, and now they will visit Hamilton. Home field could be quite significant here, as there are few places tougher to play than Steel Town. The iger-Cats are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, and they have covered in five straight home playoff games. The Als most dangerous weapon on offense is RB William Stanback, but he matches up against a Ticats run defense that ranks 1st in the CFL allowing just 79.6 rushing yards per game, and a league low 4.2 yards per carry. Jeremiah Masoli finished the season strong after missing four games, and ranked second in the CFL in yards per attempt (9). The Als picked up Trevor Harris after the injury to Vernon Adams, and Harris has played well, but it's still a downgrade.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Hamilton.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders have already clinched a playoff spot, so they will not have the majority of their offensive starters on the field when they visit Hamilton Saturday. The Tigercats have also clinched a playoff spot, but they still have a chance to lock up home field advantage. This should be quite a mismatch with Hamilton's starters going up against the Riders backups. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite, and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The BC Lions host the Edmonton Elks Friday, and neither of these two teams are headed to the playoffs. BC ranks dead last in the West Division in scoring defense, and Edmonton isn't far behind. Lions QB Mike Reilly leads the CFL in passing, and he's got some of his top receivers back. He should have little trouble carving up this Edmonton defense. The over is 6-1 in the Elks last seven games following a straight up win, and the Lions have gone over in five straight. I expect to see another high score here in Vancouver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

I bet the over when these two teams played four weeks ago, and here is what I said prior to the game: "It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game both QBs are former league MVPs (MOP). Both teams come in averaging over 23 points per game, even though both these star QBs missed time early in the season. This is by far the lowest total in the previous 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and the average total was over 50." Calgary won that game by a score of 39-10, and I expect another high score here in BC tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 8* play on Over.

It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game the Lions come in with a veteran QB who is coming off a stellar performance. Mike Reilly threw for 290 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Argos. With Lucky Whitehead back from injury, this BC offense is as good as any in the CFL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Tiger Cats.

Hamilton comes into Edmonton as a road favorite, and these two teams are trending in opposite directions. The Tigercats are eyeing the CFL Playoffs, while Edmonton is looking to start over with a new QB. The Elks traded former Redblacks QB Trevor Harris back to Ottawa, and picked up former Calgary Stampeder Nick Arbuckle from the Argos. This move might pay dividends in the long term, but it's not likely to help much against one of the best defenses in the CFL here in the short term.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

My top play last week was on the over in Calgary's win at B.C., and here is what I said about that game: "It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game both QBs are former league MVPs (MOP). Both teams come in averaging over 23 points per game, even though both these star QBs missed time early in the season. This is by far the lowest total in the previous 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and the average total was over 50." I expect a similar result here this week with Calgary hosting Saskatchewan.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Toronto.

The Argos are one of the hottest teams in the CFL, winning three straight and taking over first place in the Eastern Conference. They are in Montreal, and the Als are coming off back to back wins over Ottawa. The Redblacks rank dead last in the league in total defense, and they have the league's worst record. Their starting QB is out with an injury, and his replacement Matthew Shiltz played well in his first start. He won't have the luxury of facing the league's worst defense this week. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

It's no secret that scoring is down in the CFL this season, and perhaps that can be explained by almost a two year layoff. The bookmakers have been offering lower numbers every week, and I think this presents an opportunity to capitalize on an over-correction. Here in this game both QBs are former league MVPs (MOP). Both teams come in averaging over 23 points per game, even though both these star QBs missed time early in the season. This is by far the lowest total in the previous 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and the average total was over 50.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Over,

Scoring has been down in the CFL this year, and because of that the bookmakers have adjusted with lower totals. I think tonight's total might be a bit of an overcorrection. The Stampeders won 23-17 at home against Saskatchewan last week, but four of the previous five head to head meetings have gone over the total. The Calgary offense is getting healthier, with Bo Levi Mitchell back under center and star wide receiver Josh Huff back this week. Cody Fajardo ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing with almost 2000 yards in eight starts. He's also ran for over 300 yards and four TDs. Both teams should get their share of points here in Saskatchewan.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Scoring has been down in the CFL this year, and because of that the bookmakers have adjusted with lower totals. I think tonight's total might be a bit of an overcorrection. The Ottawa Redblacks rank dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and they will be on the road at Toronto. The good news for the Redblacks is that they might have found their QB. Rookie Caleb Evans threw for 191 yards and three TDs on 15-of-22 passing in a 34-24 win over Edmonton last week. The bad news is that they allowed a rookie (Taylor Cornelius) to throw for 334 yards and three TDs in that game. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and seven of those 10 games saw a total in the 50s. The Argos are coming off a bye week, and they have gone over in four of their last five when coming off a bye.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the under.

The Tigercats are in Montreal today, and they have some good news and some bad news.

The good news is that Jeremiah Masoli is expected to return at QB.

The bad neww is that he wasn't very good before he got hurt (1 TD, 4 INT).

The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Montreal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on Under.

The BC Lions host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Friday, and this matchup features the league's leading passer versus the best defense in the CFL. Mike Reilly has thrown for 1870 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT, but the Bombers defense has allowed only two passing TDs in seven games. Something has got to give here in Vancouver, but it's also noteworthy that the Lions defense has played well above average. The last time these teams met, the Bombers won by a score of 32-16. The Bombers have gone under in seven of their last nine overall, while BC has failed to reach the total in eight straight when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Argos.

The Montreal Alouettes have two wins this season, but when you look at who they beat in those games it isn't very impressive. The Ottawa Redblacks are the worst team in the CFL with a record of 1-5. The Edmonton Elks aren't much better, and Ottawa's only win came against Edmonton. The Argos on the other hand are 3-3, and they have wins over two first place teams (Winnipeg and Hamilton). McLeod Bethel-Thompson will start at QB for the Argos, and he's played well so far throwing for 535 yards, three TDs and no INTs in three appearances. He was the starter in Week 1 when the Argos won on the road at Calgary. The Alouettes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Toronto. The Argonauts are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine versus teams from the Eastern Conference.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a late breaking play on Ottawa.

The Hamilton Tigercats will be playing their fourth game in 16 days, on a short week. They have their third string QB playing again tonight. He did almost nothing in the win over Calgary last week, a victory that came almost exclusively due to their defense. With such a quick turnaround that defense may not be up to the task here against Ottawa coming off a bye. No doubt Ottawa is the weaker team here, but they are set up for success. Dominic Davis has stepped in to do a decent job at QB, throwing for 624 yards and three TDs on 53-of-84 passing. This gives the Redblacks a significant advantage at the most important position. This one has "upset" written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Winnipeg.

I had the Bombers in their win over the Riders last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bombers won big at Saksatchewan in the Labour Day Classic, and they look good as a pickem in the rematch just five days later. Cody Fajardo took a beating in the loss, throwing for 211 yards and three INTs on 23-of-39 passing. The Blue Bombers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They have covered in six of their last seven versus Saskatchewan." They are taking on Edmonton who will miss starting QB Trevor Harris, who was the CFL's leading passer. The Elks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule