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Jesse Schule Football Totals Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
10-23-20	Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5		7-45	Loss	-105	11 h 44 m	Show
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule
10-17-20	Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56		24-41	Win	100	48 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on over. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. GL Jesse Schule
10-17-20	Duke v. NC State OVER 59.5		20-31	Loss	-110	43 h 55 m	Show
8*
10-10-20	Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 58		2-24	Win	100	24 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Under. Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-10-20	Florida v. Texas A&M OVER 57.5		38-41	Win	100	19 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over. The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-08-20	Bucs v. Bears OVER 44.5		19-20	Loss	-103	9 h 38 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Over. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule
10-05-20	Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5		16-30	Loss	-108	11 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over. The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet. GL, Jesse Schule
10-05-20	Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 49		10-26	Loss	-115	8 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule
10-03-20	North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54		26-22	Win	100	20 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Under. North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-26-20	Georgia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5		20-37	Loss	-110	95 h 8 m	Show
This is a 5* play on Under. Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-20	Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5		24-34	Win	102	14 h 52 m	Show
This is a 5* play on Over. The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-19-20	Boston College v. Duke UNDER 52.5		26-6	Win	100	94 h 13 m	Show
5*
09-10-20	Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53.5		20-34	Win	100	152 h 49 m	Show
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
02-02-20	49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53		20-31	Loss	-115	329 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over 53.5. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. He's capable of driving down the field and putting points on the board quite quickly. The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in scoring this season behind Baltimore, and the Chiefs have scored a combined 87 points in their wins over Tennessee and Houston. With two weeks for these coaching staffs to scheme, expect both offenses to be explosive. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
01-19-20	Titans v. Chiefs OVER 51.5		24-35	Win	100	113 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Titans to go Over the team total. The Chiefs were down 24-0 early in the second quarter at home against the Texans, and Houston suffered the worst collapse since Atlanta's in Super Bowl 51. The Titans come in as a big underdog, and the bookmakers aren't expecting them to score a lot of points. I think that's a mistake, as this team averaged over 33 points per game in their final seven games of the regular season. They have the NFL's leading rusher, and the top ranked quarterback during that span. Kansas City on the other hand gives up a lot of points, as evidenced in their 51-31 win last week. Even if the Chiefs have a big lead, their inability to run should allow the Titans plenty of opportunity to score points of their own. Henry ran for 188 yards and two TDs in the previous matchup versus the Chiefs. He's been a beast in the playoffs, and he should get every opportunity to score here in Kansas City. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-20	Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5	Top	25-42	Win	100	261 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Under. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-20	Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47	Top	28-12	Win	100	117 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-20	Tulane v. Southern Miss OVER 56		30-13	Loss	-110	15 h 9 m	Show
8*
12-31-19	Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53.5	Top	14-20	Loss	-108	168 h 27 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-19	Oklahoma v. LSU UNDER 76.5		28-63	Loss	-110	4 h 29 m	Show
The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams. GL, Jesse Schule
12-24-19	BYU v. Hawaii OVER 64	Top	34-38	Win	100	12 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
12-14-19	Army v. Navy UNDER 41		7-31	Win	100	24 h 24 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Few things are sure in life. There is death, taxes and a low scoring Army vs Navy game. At least that's been the case for the last decade, with each of the last 10 head to head meetings going under. Last year Army led 7-0 at halftime, and went on to win 17-10. Both the midshipmen and the Black Knights are coming off high scoring games. Navy won 56-41 at Houston, while Army lost 52-31 at Hawaii. The weather will be a problem for both these offenses today though, with plenty of wind and rain in the forecast in Philly. The under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-19	Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45		17-23	Win	100	12 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Eagles secondary has been a glaring weakness this season, and they were exposed in a 37-31 loss to the Dolphins last week. Prior to that game though, they had held four straight opponents to fewer than 20 points. Eli Manning has been riding the pine for the majority of the season, and it's asking a lot of him to come in and compete on the road in Philly in bad weather in the middle of December. The Eagles are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings versus New York, and the under is 7-2 in the Giants last nine visits to Philly. Another low score should be expected in the City of Brotherly Love tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-08-19	Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49.5		23-16	Win	100	28 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-19	Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 57		21-34	Win	100	78 h 48 m	Show
8*
11-30-19	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5		34-16	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
This is a 2-team teaser with Cowboys + Under. Historically when you think of bedlam you think about all the high scores these teams have posted over the years. They have score more than 80 combined points in three of the last four head to head meetings, but both of these teams are a lot better defensively than they have been in past seasons. The Cowboys are riding a four game win streak, with not one of those games seeing a combined 70 points. The Sooners have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in November. The under is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule
11-25-19	Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5		45-6	Loss	-107	14 h 51 m	Show
5*
11-18-19	Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5		24-17	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-19	Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47		27-24	Win	100	8 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Seahawks defense has struggled this season, and that is especially true lately. Over their last five games they have allowed 28 or more in four of five games. The 49ers defense ranks first overall in the NFL in yards allowed, but they face a Seattle quarterback that has thrown for 22 TDs and one INT so far this season. The over is 6-2 in the Seahawks last eight road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 games overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-19	LSU v. Alabama UNDER 65	Top	46-41	Loss	-110	121 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] under 65. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-19	Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5		24-26	Win	100	14 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Raiders have given up over 93 points in their last three games, and both Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers threw for over 400 yards against them. During that span their offense has also been productive, and Derek Carr has thrown for over 280 yards with at least two TDs in each of his last three starts. The Raiders host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football, and NFL passing leader Phillip Rivers. The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last six games overall. The over is 37-18-3 in the Raiders last 58 games following an ATS win. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-19	Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5		28-7	Win	100	12 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Spartans are coming off a bye week, after getting throttled in a 38-0 loss to Wisconsin. They should be ready to go to war in this home game against Penn State, and both teams have been very comfortable playing low scoring smashmouth football games. The Nittany Lions have won a pair of games already that they failed to score 20 points in, 17-12 at Iowa and 17-10 at home versus Pittsburgh. The Spartans offense rarely scores 20, but their defense at home in games like this has risen to the challenge. I think if either of these teams scores 20 points in this game it will be enough to win. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-19	Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50		52-3	Loss	-100	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-12-19	Florida v. LSU UNDER 55	Top	28-42	Loss	-110	126 h 5 m	Show
10*
10-11-19	Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5		9-17	Loss	-115	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-07-19	Browns v. 49ers UNDER 48		3-31	Win	100	14 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Browns are coming off a huge win on the road at Baltimore, and Baker Mayfield threw for 340 yards on 20-of-30 passing with a TD and an INT. Mayfield has thrown at least one INT in all four of his starts this season, and he threw 10 INTs in seven starts on the road last year. He's thrown nine INTs in his last six starts on the road. Playing on the West Coast against an undefeated 49ers team coming off a bye week surely won't be easy for Cleveland. The San Francisco defense has allowed just 283 yards per game so far, and only two teams have allowed fewer. The 49ers have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games, and these teams have gone under in six straight head to head meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-19	Bears v. Raiders UNDER 41.5		21-24	Loss	-106	133 h 1 m	Show
8*
10-05-19	Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52		13-23	Win	100	18 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule
10-05-19	Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49		10-34	Loss	-109	15 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-28-19	Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5		20-35	Loss	-110	97 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-19	Bears v. Redskins OVER 41		31-15	Win	100	20 h 12 m	Show
5*
09-22-19	Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 50		33-27	Loss	-110	165 h 48 m	Show
The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better.
09-21-19	Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5		17-23	Win	100	96 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54		14-30	Win	100	61 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-14-19	Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5		27-45	Loss	-110	42 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-19	Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51.5	Top	3-33	Win	100	1170 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-08-19	Colts v. Chargers UNDER 47.5		24-30	Loss	-109	353 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58		20-63	Loss	-108	51 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-19	Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52		0-42	Loss	-105	3 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58		30-6	Win	100	55 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-31-19	Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5	Top	31-37	Loss	-117	31 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-19	Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61	Top	16-44	Win	100	212 h 58 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. They say "defense wins championships", and they aren't kidding. Clemson has held opponents to just 13.7 points per game, just slightly less than the 14.8 points per game that Alabama has allowed. I expect this year's National Championship Game to be closer to last year's game than the high scoring games in 2016 and 2017. Weather could also be a factor, as the last game played at Levi's Stadium was a 7-6 score with Oregon and Michigan State struggling to throw the ball on a windy day. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-19	LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5	Top	40-32	Win	100	666 h 46 m	Show
This is a GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-28-18	Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5	Top	34-18	Loss	-109	43 h 59 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-18	Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 54	Top	31-38	Loss	-108	161 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-18	Steelers v. Saints UNDER 56	Top	28-31	Loss	-110	139 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* (GOY) play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Steelers got it done with their defense in a 17-10 home win over New England last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. The Saints high flying offense has been grounded in recent weeks, losing to Dallas, scoring three points in the first half at Tampa, and then last week they trailed Carolina 7-6 at halftime. The bookmakers seem to be ignoring that here in this game with a total between 55-60. This is a big game for both teams, and both defenses are dialed in. I'll fade the inflated number. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-18	Redskins v. Eagles OVER 43.5	Top	13-28	Loss	-115	129 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-18	Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53	Top	21-52	Loss	-115	71 h 12 m	Show
10*
11-23-18	Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5		28-15	Loss	-110	52 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-18	Eagles v. Saints OVER 56	Top	7-48	Loss	-103	16 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Eagles will need to score plenty of points if they want to hang with the Saints at the Superdome on Sunday. That's even more true given all the injuries in the secondary for Philly. Carson Wentz might have some success against a Saints defense that was lit up for 391 yards by Jared Goff in a 45-35 win in their last home game. The Saints have scored 40+ in three of their four home games this season. These two teams have gone over the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and Philly won the last meeting by a score of 39-17. I expect the Eagles to score their share here in a shootout in the BIG EASY! Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-18	USC v. UCLA OVER 55	Top	27-34	Win	100	108 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-15-18	Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5		56-34	Loss	-110	18 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-18	Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48		13-7	Loss	-114	9 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
11-11-18	Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5		22-34	Loss	-115	129 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Lions are ... "they are who we thought they were." They have a starting quarterback with a career record of 63-70 that they have grossly overpaid for, and they are 3-5 and in last place in the NFC North. After scoring just nine points in a loss at Minnesota last week, they will be hard pressed to do any better in Chicago this week. The Bears defense has allowed a total of 19 points in back to back wins over the Bills and the Jets. The weatherman is calling for a cold and wet day in the Windy City, and the conditions might hinder the passing game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in five of the last six meetings in Chicago. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record. Matthew Stafford was sacked 10 times last week, and his life isn't going to get any easier here in Chicago. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-18	Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56		15-38	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
8*
11-06-18	Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43		14-48	Win	100	18 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. This line has been bet down quite a bit since it opened, and despite possible weather concerns, I just don't think the Golden Flashes will be able to slow down this potent Bulls offense. The Bulls come in averaging 35 points per game, but they dropped 51 on Miami-Oh in their last home game. Buffalo has gone over in six straight against teams with a losing record, and that's a trend that I expect to continue tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Alabama v. LSU OVER 53	Top	29-0	Loss	-115	97 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* GOY play on [email protected] to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56		20-38	Loss	-109	94 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59		40-52	Loss	-105	4 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-18	Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45		25-6	Win	100	18 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Patriots are an enormous favorite in Buffalo on Monday night, and given that the Bills have failed to score 14 points in four straight games, I don't doubt that this game will be indeed a one-sided affair. The Pats will be thin at running back with leading rusher Sony Michel on the shelf, but the Bills have far bigger problems with a 35 year old backup quarterback likely to start. Derek Anderson was picked off three times in last week's 37-5 loss to the Colts. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, while the Bills have gone under in five straight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-18	Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54.5	Top	30-20	Win	100	5 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. New Orleans looks to be vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball this season, and I think this total appears grossly inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-25-18	Dolphins v. Texans UNDER 44.5	Top	23-42	Loss	-107	42 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Texans are rolling, coming into Thursday's home game against the Dolphins as winners of four straight. Their defense is playing great, holding their last three opponents to an average of 12 points. They face a banged up Miami offense, missing several key players including starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. They have already ruled out Kenny Stills and Devante Parker for Thursday night. The Dolphins have failed to reach the total in four straight road games, and the under is 4-1 in the Texans last five home games. Houston has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-22-18	Giants v. Falcons OVER 54	Top	20-23	Loss	-120	139 h 8 m	Show
10*
10-21-18	Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 56		10-45	Loss	-105	7 h 21 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Chiefs defense ranks among the worst in the league when it comes to stopping the run. KC ranks 28th in the league versus the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. They also rank 27th in scoring defense, giving up over 28 points per game. Cinci has scored more than 24.5 points in four of six games so far, and with all their offensive weapons I can't see KC holding them under 27 points. The first half total of 27.5 seems just a little low, as I expect to see a minimum of 4 TDs before halftime. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56	Top	30-31	Loss	-109	83 h 1 m	Show
This is an 10* play on [email protected] to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-18	Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66	Top	20-34	Loss	-115	90 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-18	Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5		20-13	Win	100	20 h 28 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-13-18	Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5		26-23	Win	100	114 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-18	Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51		14-20	Win	100	34 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-04-18	Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5		26-41	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-01-18	Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 55		27-23	Win	100	11 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Bengals v. Falcons OVER 51	Top	37-36	Win	100	135 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-30-18	Dolphins v. Patriots OVER 49		7-38	Loss	-105	4 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Patriots need a win here at home against division rivals Miami. The Fish are undefeated at 3-0, and quarterback Ryan Tannehill has the third best QBR in the league. The Patriots defense has been brutal so far, allowing a combined 57 points in back to back losses to Jacksonville and Detroit. You know your defense is bad when Blake Bortles lights you up for over 300 yards. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the Pats have scored more than 30 points in three of the last four meetings. The Dolphins have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, while the Pats have gone over in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-29-18	Oregon v. California OVER 58	Top	42-24	Win	100	121 h 44 m	Show
10*
09-27-18	Vikings v. Rams OVER 49		31-38	Win	100	41 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-24-18	Steelers v. Bucs OVER 54		30-27	Win	100	7 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Until the NFL does something about the roughing the passer penalties on traditionally textbook quarterback sacks, it's going to be hard to bet on too many unders. Big Ben is going to be tough to stop if you aren't even allowed to hit him when he's scrambling. He might be on the wrong side of 30, and a little overweight, but he's proven to be one of the more elusive quarterbacks in the NFL. The Bucs defense has allowed over 400 yards of total offense in each of their first two games, and I expect the Steelers to pile on the points here in Tampa. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-23-18	Broncos v. Ravens OVER 43		14-27	Loss	-109	96 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Both the Broncos and the Ravens are known for their defense, and because of that we see an extremely low total for this Sunday's game in Baltimore. The thing about this game that catches my eye, is how both these teams have leaned on their passing game. The Ravens ran 55 passing plays and just 22 running plays last week. In Week 1 they ran 38 passing plays and 34 running plays in a blowout win over Buffalo. Case Keenum has put up solid numbers in his firs two games in Denver, throwing for 551 yards and three TDs. History tells us we could see plenty of points here. The Ravens have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall, and the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-22-18	Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5		43-29	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC OVER 50		36-39	Win	100	21 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Jets v. Browns UNDER 41		17-21	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Over 4.5 sacks. So far this season, the Browns have been getting after the quarterback. They sacked Big Ben four times in Week 1, and they sacked Drew Brees three times last week. We aren't going to compare Sam Darnold to a couple of savvy veterans who both have Super Bowl rings. This is a rookie starting on the road on a short week, and I think he's going to make mistakes, including holding on to the ball too long. The Browns are fortunate that they have Baker Mayfield as their backup quarterback, because Tyrod Taylor has taken a pounding so far. Taylor was sacked seven times against the Steelers and three times last week in New Orleans. Take Over 4.5. GL, Jesse Schule
09-20-18	Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55		17-31	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go UNDER. The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-17-18	Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43.5		17-24	Win	100	9 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under. The Bears appear to have improved a lot since last year. They gave the Packers a scare at Lambeau in Week 1, and the addition of Khalil Mack is bad news for opposing quarterbacks. Mack made an impact right away, returning an INT for a TD against the Packers. The new look Seattle defense was lit up in a Week 1 loss at Denver, allowing Case Keenum to throw for 339 yards and three TDs. Russel Wilson did all he could to keep the game close, but the running game was non existant. Seattle only carried the ball 16 times for 64 yards. The Bears are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have also seen the under trend at 6-1 in their last seven overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	USC v. Texas UNDER 48		14-37	Loss	-105	81 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-15-18	Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68		7-30	Loss	-107	73 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-10-18	Rams v. Raiders OVER 49		33-13	Loss	-110	705 h 55 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. The Rams were the highest scoring team in the league last year, but they ranked in the bottom half of the league defensively. They play on the road in Oakland in Week 1, and I think this game has shootout written all over it. The Raiders are looking to bounce back from a brutal 2017 season, and Derek Carr should be better this year. He threw for almost 4,000 yards with 28 TDs and just six INTs in 2016. The last time these teams met, the Rams opened up a can of whupass, winning 52-0. That sets up a nice revenge spot here for the Raiders. The Rams have gone over in seven of their last eight road games, and the over is 5-1 in their last six overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5		16-21	Win	100	24 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
09-01-18	Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48		7-33	Win	100	23 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total. The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
08-30-18	New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47		10-48	Loss	-110	14 h 29 m	Show
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-18	Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48	Top	41-33	Win	100	302 h 33 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Super Bowl to go OVER the total. While neither of the Conference Championship games saw a combined total of as many as 48 points, both those games were played outdoors in adverse weather conditions in the dead of winter. The Super Bowl will be played indoors, where we last saw the Saints and Vikings tally a combined 53 points in the divisional round of the playoffs. Rather than each team coming in a week removed from their previous game, both teams get a full two weeks to rest, practice and draw up a game plan. The Patriots game plan in their epic come from behind win over the Jags, was to force Blake Bortles to beat them. While they did a pretty good job of containing Leonard Fournette (76 yards on 24 carries), Bortles had one if his best games all year, throwing for 291 yards and a TD on 23-of-36 passing. The Eagles let Nick Foles air it out early and often in their win over the Vikings. Foles threw for 352 yards and three TDs on 26-of-33 passing. He had a lot of success with big plays, and it makes sense for Philly to have the same approach here against the Pats. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Patriots have gone over the total in eight of their last 10 post season games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66	Top	21-20	Loss	-110	602 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total. The Memphis Tigers ranked 2nd in the country in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 47 points per game. Skeptics might say they played a soft schedule, but I would point out that they scored over 100 combined points in their two games against Top 25 teams. They beat UCLA by a score of 48-45, and lost to UCF in overtime by a score of 62-55. Riley Ferguson threw for a combined 868 yards with 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. They will play Iowa State in the Liberty Bowl, and the Cyclones were surprisingly competitive in the BIG12 this season. Their fortunes took a turn for the better when they made a change at quarterback in Week 5 against Oklahoma. Senior Kyle Kempt led them to a 38-31 upset win over Oklahoma, and he finished the season with 1,473 yards, 13 TDs and just 3 INTs while playing in just six full games. While Memphis was impressive on offense, the Tigers ranked 103rd nationally in scoring defense, and they face a Power 5 team that can score with the best of them. We should expect a lot of big plays, a lot of broken tackles, and the points should pile up quick in the Liberty Bowl. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule

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