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This is a 4* play on Over.

Middle Tennessee is coming of a stunning upset as a 25 point underdog at Miami, winning that game outright by a score of 45-31. This might set them up for a let down on Friday night against UTSA. The Roadrunners are 2-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Both these teams can score in a hurry, and neither team has inspired much confidence on defense. To put it into perspective, the Roadrunners gave up over 300 passing yards to Army (yes Army). The Blue Raiders allowed 44 points and six passing TDs in a loss to a an FCS team in Week 1. The over is 10-1 in the Roadrunners last 11 games overall, and they have gone over in seven straight road games. I see both these teams scoring 30+ here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

It's not Josh Allen who leads the NFL in passing after two weeks, but Tua Tagovailoa. He threw for 469 yards and six TDs in last week's 42-38 win over the Ravens. He's got has hands full this week against the Buffalo Bills who lead the league in scoring. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, as the over is 10-4 in the last 14 head to head meetings. It sure looks like the dynamic duo of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill has turned the Dolphins into an offensive juggernaut. We should expect both these teams to get their share of points, and this total appears to be a bit on the low side.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is play on Under.

Posted this Sunday night before the news broke that Dak would be out for several weeks. The line has since been bet down by more than a TD which sort of kills off any value for clients.

This is a 2* play Under.

The teams played a high scoring game in Week 1 last year, but I am not expecting a repeat performance. Tom Brady is 45 years old and didn't practice for most of the pre-season. The Bucs lost their starting center, but they are still in far better shape than the Cowboys who will really miss Tyron Smith. Dak Prescott won't have Amari Cooper, and Ezekiel Elliott is trending in the wrong direction. The under is 9-3 in the Cowboys last 12 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Tampa Bay.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

There is some optimism that the Lions will be better this year, particularly on offense. There is still plenty of reason to be skeptical of their defense. The Eagles come in with plenty of weapons, and they are projected to have the best offensive line in football. They should get their points. The Eagles scored 44 points at Detroit last year, and these two teams have gone over in eight straight head to head meetings. The over is 16-7 in Lions last 23 home games, and they have gone over in 16 of their last 21 season openers. You know they say that History Repeats Itself!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bengals managed to win on the road at Tennessee last week despite QB Joe Burrow getting sacked nine times. They will have no hope here in Kansas City if they fail to protect Burrow, despite the fact that they beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The Chiefs had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game, and we could see both teams score their share of points here in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 782 yards and eight TDs on 76 percent passing in the Playoffs so far. The Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, and they have gone over the total in seven straight overall. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this one in a blowout 42-24.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* GOY play on Under.

The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl favorites at times, but they haven't been at their best lately. Don't be fooled by their big win over the Eagles, in a game that Philly rested all their starters. Perhaps a more accurate indicator would be their home loss to Arizona a week earlier. They host a San Francisco team that poses a similar challenge. The Niners are going to try to punch the Cowboys in the mouth. What that means is, they will look to run the ball and control the clock, keeping the ball out of the hands of Dak Prescott. The Niners have failed to reach the total in five of their last six playoff games. The under is 8-3 in the Cowboys last 11 games overall, and Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games. The total for this contest is higher than it had been in each of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The total for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl is pretty low, and even though both these teams are great defensively, I think we will see closer to 50+ points. Minnesota won six of their last eight games, and they've scored an average of 27 points during that span. Minnesota has been quite successful in recent bowl games, covering in four straight. Most recently they defeated Auburn 31-24 in the Outback Bowl in 2019. I like the Gophers to win in similar fashion here in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl.

GL.

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Western Michigan will be a significant favorite here in the Quick Lanes Bowl, and we should see plenty of scoring. The Broncos averaged over 30 points per game this season, and they gave up almost as many. Nevada won't have QB Carson Strong, who opted out as he prepares for the draft. The Wolfpack will also have a running backs coach leading them in this game. The over is 5-2 in the Broncos last seven games overall, and the over is 8-3 in the Wolf Pack's last 11 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Titans offense has struggled since losing Derrick Henry, averaging fewer than 15 points in their last four games overall. Their defense has continued to play well, allowing fewer than 20 points in those games. They rank 2nd in the NFL versus the run, allowing just 86.9 rushing yards per game. The Titans have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight home games, and with all the injuries points could be hard to come by here against the 49ers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The UTSA Road Runners bring a high powered offense into this Bowl Game. They scored 49 points in a win over the Hilltoppers in the C-USA Championship game. They averaged 38 points per game this season, and the over is 5-1 in the Roadrunners last six games overall. San Diego State was a defensive powerhouse in the Mountain West, but they might not be motivated to grind it out on defense in a Bowl Game. The Aztecs have allowed an average of 27 points in their last three bowl games, and two of those went over the total. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in the Frisco Bowl.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Seahawks and the Rams are relatively lucky to come into this game with most of their players healthy. A couple extra days have allowed the Rams to get several players back from the Covid list. Both these QBs come in hot, with Russell Wilson throwing for six TDs and just one INT in his last three starts, and Mathew Stafford throwing for nine TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. Seattle still ranks dead last in total defense allowing almost 400 yards per game. When these teams played earlier this season the total was set at 53.5, and now in LA we see a much lower number. Expect Russell Wilson to score enough to keep this game interesting and push the total over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Cold winter nights at Lambeau Field are not an ideal setting for quarterbacks to pad the stats in the passing game. Justin Fields rarely tosses the ball around the yard at the best of times. He's only bettered this number twice this season, and in a home loss to the Packers he threw for 174 yards with a TD and an INT on 16-of-27 passing. Fields is coming back from a rib injury, and while he's healthy enough to start this game, there's no guarantee he will finish it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

All of a sudden the Denver Broncos have won three of their last four and they rank 1st in the NFL in scoring defense. The Chiefs have won four straight, and their defense has allowed just 12 points per gane during that span. They have been a lot more focused on their running game, and they ran for 126 yards and two TDs in a win over the Cowboys two weeks ago. Patrick Mahomes didn't throw a TD pass in that game, and he's only had one multi TD game in his last five starts. The under is 23-11 in the Broncos last 34 games in December, and the under is 4-1-1 in the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over

Utah State will play San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship game, and I think the Aggies are biting off more than they can chew. This Utah State team is fresh off a 44-17 home loss to Wyoming two weeks ago, and the Cowboys ran for 362 yards in that game. The last time they faced San Diego State, the Aztecs ran for over 400 yards and won by 31. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five versus Utah State. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on Over.

Louisville scored 35 points in the first half last week against Duke, and they scored 35 points in the first half in their last home game against Syracuse. Now Kentucky is a step up in competition, but the Cardinals are still going to score their points. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total. The over is 8-3 in the Cardinals last 11 games in November, and the over is 23-7 in the Wildcats last 30 non-conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Ducks playoff hopes are over, and they might be vulnerable here in this big rivalry game. Weather could be a factor, with rain in the forecast. We expect both teams to lean heavily on their running game, which should chew up the clock and keep the score from getting too high. The under is 4-0 in the Ducks last four games following a straight up loss. The Beavers defense held Arizona State to just 3.3 yards per carry (100 total rush yards) last week. They have plenty of reason to get up for this game, so don't be surprised if they give the Ducks a run for their money.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Cyclones are coming off back to back losses to Texas Tech and Oklahoma, and they finish the season at home against TCU. The Horned Frogs have plenty to play for, with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Cyclones have gone under in eight of their last nine home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games in November. It's going to be a freezing cold day at Jack Trice Stadium, and I think a total over 60 seems a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

You look at this game between Ole Miss and Mississippi State, with two head coaches that are known for their offense, you might think this will be a high scoring game. History says otherwise, as these teams have gone under in eight of the last 10, and seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Both teams have shown that they can play defense in recent weeks. The Rebels have held three straight opponents to fewer than 20 points, and they have gone under 60 combined points in six straight overall. The under is 12-5 in the Bulldogs last 17 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The mid week MAC games have been going over the total at an incredible rate, and perhaps that's why the bookmakers have listed the total so high for tonight's game between Buffalo and Ball State. The Bulls will have their backup QB under center, and the Cardinals offense ranks dead last in the MAC West. Ball State has failed to reach the total in seven straight home games, and the under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last five games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bucs will be a double digit favorite at home on Monday Night Football versus the Giants, but they have lost back to back games to Washington and New Orleans. While both those losses came on the road, the fact is that a pair of mediocre teams scored a total of 65 points in those games. Injuries in the secondary are hurting the Bucs, and without Vita Vea their run defense is suffering as well. Both these teams have offensive starters coming back from injury, and they have a history of playing high scoring games. The over is 6-0 in the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Baylor is coming off a huge upset win over Oklahoma, and their defense held the Sooners to just 14 points. They could suffer a let down here at Kansas State, as the Wildcats have won four straight and allowed just 16 points per game during that span. The under is 8-3 in the Bears last 11 road games, and the Wildcats have gone under in five of their last six as a favorite. The under is 11-3-1 in the Wildcats last 15 games in November.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

This total has been bet up several points over the last 24 hrs. We have seen an ongoing trend of high scoring games in the midweek MAC games, but Toledo is coming off a solid defensive performance against Bowling Green, They held the Falcons to 196 total yards, and just 67 yards passing. They ran the ball 42 times, and attempted just 25 passes. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going over in just one of the last six head to head meetings. The under is 11-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Rams are most people's favorite to win the Super Bowl, and they doubled down with the moves to add Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. They lost last week to the Titans, and that sets them up for a "get right" game here in San Francisco. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. LA has the better QB, and the better coach. The Niners drafted Trey Lance because they didn't trust Jimmy G. Kyle Shanahan might not be the answer either, and he should be on the hot seat. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Jets are a double digit dog at home versus Buffalo, but they might not be as bad as you think. There are 2-1 at home this season, and there is no denying that when Mike White steps in at QB they make things interesting. White has played in three games, completing 73 percent of his passes for 702 yards and five TDs. The Jets have gone over in five straight, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. This might be a get right game for the Bills, but I expect Mike White to put some points on the board for the Jets.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Toledo will come into Bowling Green as a double digit road favorite, and both of these two teams are coming in scoring a ton of points. Bowling Green is coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo, totaling 484 yards of offense. They allowed Buffalo to tally up 499 yards of offense in that game. Toledo is coming off a 52-49 home loss to Eastern Michigan, in a game where they racked up a whopping 672 yards. The Falcons have gone over in five of their last seven as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Bulls have had a disappointing season so far, and a 56-44 home loss to Bowling Green didn't help matters. They have had two weeks to put that behind them, and they are hoping for a much better effort here on the road at Miami-Ohio. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, the over is 12-4 in the last 16 head to head meetings. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Oxford. Both these teams should pile on the points here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Vikings know they need to be more agressive moving forward. Assistant coach Andre Patterson told reporters this week: "Instead of trying not to lose games, we need to go out and try to win". Being too conservative might explain why the Vikings offense ranks near the top of the league in total yards, but not in points scored. It's only a matter of time before those numbers even out. The over is 10-2 in the Vikings last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have gone over in five straight road games. These two teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Wake Forest is an offensive juggernaut, coming in averaging over 50 points per game in their last three games, and over 43 points per game this season. They are an underdog on the road at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels are another team that can score more than their share. These two teams have gone over the total in five straight at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels have gone over in five of their last seven overall. This game has shootout written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on Over.

Last week the Jets totaled 511 yards and upset the Bengals winning 34-31. Nobody saw it coming, but perhaps we should have been more optimistic about Mike "Effin" White. After all he did step in the previous week and immediately New York's offense started moving the ball. The Colts have been far from perfect, and they have gone over in four of their last five overall. These teams have gone over in seven of the laat 10 head to head meetings, and with Mike "Effin" White under center the Jets offense could make some noise here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Cowboys will make a decision on Dak Prescott before kickofff, but whether or not he plays it seems clear that he's not going to be 100 percent. The game plan here should be focused on a heavy dose of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott. Only Cleveland has averaged more rushing yards per game than the Cowboys this season. The Cowboys have lost five of their last six at Minnesota, and the Vikings are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record. At 3-3 the Vikings appear to be flying under the radar, and this looks like a good spot for the home team. The under is 4-1 in the Vikes last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Titans win over the Bills on Monday Night Football was quite impressive, but their defense was shredded by Josh Allen. It won't get any easier this week against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The last two meetings between these teams have gone over the total, even a high number such as 58 (the current number at some books). Kansas City ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring defense, and second in the NFL passing yards. This game has "shootout" written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Hawaii defeated New Mexico State 41-21 earlier this season, but we expect an even higher score this time around. Why? Well since that loss the Aggies haven't improved defensively, allowing a combined 92 points in losses to San Jose State and Nevada. On a positive note, the passing game has been improving. Jonah Johnson has thrown for 725 yards, six TDs and one INT in his last two starts. The over is 36-16-1 in the Aggies last 53 road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Seahawks are bound to be a bit conservative on offense with their backup QB under center and their leading rusher on the IR. While Seattle ranks dead last in total defense, that is a little misleading. It hasn't necessarily translated into points the way you would expect. The Seahawks are allowing 25 points per game in a league where four teams are allowing 30+ points per game. The Steelers are also not the ideal team to take advantage of Seattle's defensive shortcomings. The under is 7-1 in the Seahawks last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the number in six of their last seven on the road.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over

FYI, it's almost unheard of to go undefeated in the NFL, now and in years past. The Arizona Cardinals are the last of the unbeaten teams this season, and this week looks like a situational nightmare for Arizona. Their offense played terrible last week in a close game that they got lucky to win at home versus San Francisco. Kyler Murray took a big hit and ended up on the bench getting his arm worked on. He's coming into Cleveland without his head coach who has tested positive for Covid19. The Cardinals have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and the Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. Only Kansas City and Seattle have been worse against the run than Arizona this season, and that may not bode well against the league's #2 rushing offense. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bucs come into Philly as big favorites, and they sit near the top of everyone's power rankings. That comes no thanks to their defense though, allowing almost 25 points per game. When you rank first in the NFL in passing, and you average over 33 points per game, you don't have to have a great defense. The Eagles last home game was a 42-30 loss to Kansas City, and Jalen Hurts threw for 387 yards and two TDs in the loss. He could have another big game here against a struggling Bucs secondary, and he's going to need to if the Eagles want to stay in the game. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

The Memphis Tigers are still on offensive juggernaut, but they come into tonight's home game against Navy riding a three game losing streak. They put up 614 total yards in a 35-29 loss at Tulsa on Saturday, and if they didn't turn it over three times they could have gained even more. Their defense has allowed 30+ points in three straight games, and Tulsa ran for 235 yards and three TDs on Saturday. The over is 12-5 in the Midshipmen's last 17 games as an underdog. The Tigers have gone over in seven of their last nine versus teams with a losing record. The last three times Navy has played at Tulsa the total went over 55 combined points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Chargers defense ranks among the best in the NFL against the pass, but they have struggled a bit to defend the run. That could be a recipe for disaster against a Browns team that can pound the rock like no other. Cleveland leads the NFL in rushing averaging over 177 yards per game. The Browns have gone over the total in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. They will have their hands full with Justin Herbert. Both these teams are going to put points on the board, and the total  looks a little low.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Packers offense comes into this game cooking, and this game in Cincinnati is expected to be a high scoring affair. Aaron Jones comes in with five total TDs in his last three games, despite being kept out of the endzone against the Steelers. I am expecting both teams to score their share of points here in Cincinnati. The over is 6-0 in the Packers last six versus a team with a winning record, and the Bengals have gone over in six of their last severn versus a teams with a winning road record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The LSU Tigers are coming off a 24-19 home loss to Auburn, and it doesn't get any easier on the road at the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats. The under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 games as a road underdog. Kentucky looks like they are for real, coming off a 20-13 home win over the Florida Gators. The under is 21-8 in the Wildcats last 29 conference games, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under. 

Michigan could be due for a let down here on the road at Nebraska, after their 38-17 win at Wisconsin. Nebraska has quietly been one of the better defensive teams in the BIG10. Even in their losses to Oklahoma and Michigan State they didn't give up a lot of points. The under is 7-2-1 in the Cornhuskers last 10 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight as an underdog. Neither of these teams are great at the QB position, and both teams are playing lights out on defense. This game should be a defensive battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Irish are coming off a 24-13 home loss to Cincinnati, and now they have a tough road game at Virginia Tech. The Hokies already have an upset win over a ranked team, beating the Tar Heels 17-10 in their season opener. The Irish are a far tougher opponent than the Tar Heels though, especially on defense. Notre Dame is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. The Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven coming off a win. The under is 7-3 in the Fighting Irish last 10 games as an underdog. The Hokies have gone under in six straight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Cougars come into this game against rivals Boise State with injury concerns at QB, but that might not be as big of an issue given their potent rushing attack. Tyler Allgeier is a real weapon, and he ran for 218 yards and three TDs on 22 carries in a win over Utah State last week. He had a big game (124 yds, 2 TDs) against Boise State last year. The under is 7-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they have gone under in five of their last six as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Georgia Bulldogs have won four straight games by at least four scores. They could be challenged here on the road at Auburn, and this game could look a lot more like their season opener versus Clemson. The Tigers lost 27-6 at Georgia last year, and seven of the last eight meetings have gone under the number. Auburn has scored more than 10 points just twice in their last seven against Georgia. Bo Nix threw for 177 yards and an INT on 21-of-40 passing in the loss to Georgia last year. He's likely to have similar numbers here at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Stanford Cardinal are coming off a massive upset win over Oregon, thanks to their new stud QB Tanner McKee. The sophomore has thrown for over 1000 yards, 11 TDs without a single INT in four starts. He will have his work cut out for him on the road at Arizona State, taking on a 4-1 Sun Devils team. Arizona State is 2-0 in the PAC12, scoring a total of 77 points in wins over UCLA and Colorado. The over is 25-8-1 in the Cardinal last 34 games as a road underdog, and the Sun Devils have gone over in four straight conference games. This should be a slugfest with both teams scoring their share.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bucs defense has struggled so far while winning 2-of-3 games. They have allowed an average of 29 points, and opposing QBs are averaging 338 passing yards per game. This could allow Bill Belichick to scheme up a game plan for Mac Jones that will lead to points for the Patriots. Richard Sherman is expected to play at CB today, despite not playing a game in almost a year. This gives us an idea of just how shorthanded the Bucs are in their secondary. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last five as a favorite, and they have gone over in five straight when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had the under in the Falcons season opener versus Philadelphia, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Falcons will be the favorite when they host Philly in Week 1, but this team might not be as explosive as it once was. Matt Ryan is now 36 years old, and Atlanta was just 4-12 in 2020. These two teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and they failed to score 40 combined points in three of the last four meetings. This number appears to be a little inflated." The under is 11-5 in Washington's last 16 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 games in October. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had the under in the Falcons season opener versus Philadelphia, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Falcons will be the favorite when they host Philly in Week 1, but this team might not be as explosive as it once was. Matt Ryan is now 36 years old, and Atlanta was just 4-12 in 2020. These two teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and they failed to score 40 combined points in three of the last four meetings. This number appears to be a little inflated." The under is 11-5 in Washington's last 16 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 games in October. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Auburn Tigers will need better QB play if they hope to upset LSU on Saturday. Bo Nix struggled last week against Georgia State, throwing for 156 yards on 13-of-27 passing. TJ Finley came in and played much better, and now we have a QB controversy on our hands. The under is 7-1 in (Auburn) Tigers last eight road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven SEC games. The home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings, and four of the last five meetings have gone under the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Last year's game between the Rebels and the Tide was barn burner, and because of that the total for today's game is rather inflated. It opened in the mid seventies and has since been bet up over 80. It doesn't take much to stall the pace of play to prevent these teams from combining for 80+ points. A turnover here, a holding penalty or two, or maybe just some plain old good defense. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings, but the total here in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Irish are liking their own smell after a blowout win at Wisconsin, but let's pump the brakes on how great this team is. They gave up 29 points in a home win over Toledo, and Florida State nearly scored 40 on them. The Bearcats come in as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall, and they can score points on anyone. The over is 6-1 in the Bearcats last seven games as a road favorite, and the over is 9-4 in the Fighting Irish last 13 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The BYU Cougars will be a big favorite on the road at Utah State, and the total for this game has been bet up to the mid 60s. That's 10 points higher than we have seen in any of the past 10 head to head meetings. These teams did go over the total in five of the last six meetings, but only one of those games saw more than 65 points scored. The Cougars have gone under in six of their last seven overall, while the Aggies have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bengals are coming off an impressive win in Pittsburgh, and Joe Burrow threw three TD passes against one of the league's top defenses. Most significantly he didn't get sacked once, as the Steelers 75 game streak with at least one sack was broken. A home game against the Jags looks like a good spot for Burrow to fill the stat sheet. The Jags defense has allowed over 30 points per game so far, and opposing QBs are averaging over 300 passing yards per game. Burrow threw for 300 yards a TD and an INT in a 33-25 home win over the Jags as a rookie last year. With an improved offensive line, expect another big day for Burrow.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Dak Prescott has picked up right where he left off before getting hurt last year, throwing for 640 yards threw two games. The majority of those yards came in Week 1 against the Bucs, who were thin in the secondary. Last week against the Chargers, he threw for 237 yards with no TDs and an INT. In his last two starts versus the Eagles he's thrown for 265 and 239 yards. The home team won both those games, and both those games went under 50 total points. I look for both teams to try to establish the run here, and therefore I am not expecting a shootout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Purdue and Illinois have each had their struggles on offense, and history suggests that we will see a defensive battle here on Saturday. These teams have gone under in four straight head to head meetings, and four of the last five at Purdue. The Boilermakers best offensive player (WR Bell) is in concussion protocols, and might miss this game. The under is 14-6 in the Fighting Illini last 20 games in September, and the under is 4-1 in the Boilermakers last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Rutgers will be a 20+ point underdog on the road at Michigan, but I am expecting a close game with both defenses playing well. The under is 14-6 in the Scarlet Knights last 20 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines have gone under in four of their last five home games. Cade McNamara threw for a whopping 44 yards on 7-of-15 passing in a 31-10 home win over Washington a few weeks ago. He's averaging just over 100 yards passing per game, with three TDs in three starts. These teams are going to pound the rock, and that should burn up some clock.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Mike Leach is watching his offense come together here heading into their fourth game of the season. Bulldogs QB Will Rogers threw for 419 yards and three TDs in a 31-29 loss at Memphis. The Bulldogs won 44-34 at LSU last year, and I am expecting another high scoring game here this season. The Tigers have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Mississippi State threw the ball 67 times, and ran the ball just 16 times last week. Tigers QB Max Johnson threw for 372 yards and five TDs in a win over Central Michigan last week. With both teams airing it out, we should see plenty of scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Mountaineers will host Marshall on a short week, and the total for this game looks a little inflated. They have held opponents to an average of 18 points per game so far, including a 25-23 loss at Miami. Marshall is coming off a loss to East Carolina, and the Pirates had previously lost 33-19 at Appalachian State. The under is 7-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 10 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven when playing on a short week. Marshall won 17-7 at home versus the Mountaineers last September.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on Under.

I had the under in the Eagles opening game at Atlanta, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Eagles offense ranked 28th in the NFL in passing last season, averaging just 207.9 yards per game. They come into 2021 hoping that Jalen Hurts can bring their offense back to life, but that sure seems like a longshot. I can remember Hurts as the same quarterback that lost his job as the starter for Alabama. Last season he completed just 52% of his passes for 1,061 yards with six TDs and four INTs while appearing in 15 games. He isn't exactly surrounded by an all star receiving corps and the Eagles don't exactly have the most dynamic stable of running backs either." Now they went on to win 32-6, but that might say more about the Falcons defense than it does about the Eagles offense. The under is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Under.

The Auburn Tigers will play on the road at Penn State in what figures to be the toughest test they have had in quite a while. The Nittany Lions are heavily favored, but I am expecting a close, low scoring game. The under is 15-6 in the Tigers last 21 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games. Penn State has gone under in five of their last seven versus SEC teams. The Nittany Lions defense looked sharp in a 16-10 upset win at Wisconsin in Week 1. They held the Badgers under 200 passing yards and forced a pair of INTs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Miami Hurricanes are off to a disappointing start, getting blown out by Alabama in their season opener, and nearly missing another loss to Appalachian State in Week 2. D'Eric King doesn't look like himself coming off an ACL injury, and they haven't had any success running the ball. The loss of Donald Chaney is a big blow to their backfield depth. They are a big favorite against Michigan State, but I am not sure they can score enough to cover here. The Spartans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, and the under is 4-1 in the Hurricanes last five non-conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

I won with the under in the Ragin Cajuns first game of the season at Texas, and here is what I said before kickoff: " Last year the Ragin Cajuns opened the season with a road win over a BIG12 team when they defeated Iowa State in Ames by a score of 31-14. They are returning 10 defensive starters from a unit that was 1st in the Sun Belt versus the pass last year, allowing opponents to average just 170 yards per game." The under is 10-1 in the Ragin' Cajuns last 11 home games, and they have gone under in 17 of their last 22 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Rams had the NFL's #1 ranked scoring defense last season, while the Bears ranked #1 in scoring defense back in 2018. We should expect a low score here on Sunday night. The Rams brought in Matt Stafford, and he brings high expectations of an improved offense. The Rams offense has struggled since Todd Gurley left, and their current stable of running backs looks a bit lackluster with Cam Akers out and Darrell Henderson banged up. The Bears are trotting out Andy Dalton at QB in Week 1, and that looks like a recipe for disaster against this Rams pass rush. The under is 13-5 in the Bears last 18 games as a road underdog, and the under is 14-3 in the Rams last 17 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Rainbow Warriors have given up 79 points while going 1-1 in their first two games of the season. They are on the road at Oregon State this week, and the Beavers are a double digit favorite. The total for this game looks a little inflated, when you consider that neither of these teams are great in the passing game. Hawaii has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and the under is 5-0 in their last five on the road. The Beavers have gone under in four of their last five versus Hawaii.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Seminoles lost their home opener against Notre Dame, but it was a feel good story even in defeat. McKenzie Milton stepped in to lead a fourth quarter comeback bid that fell just short. Jordan Travis threw for 130 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 9-of-19 passing versus the Irish. FSU catches a break with a favorable matchup at home versus Jacksonville State this week. The Gamecocks were shutout in a loss to UAB in their first game of the season. The under is 8-1 in the Gamecocks last nine games overall, and they have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The number looks a bit too high considering that this should be a one-sided contest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

Rutgers scored 61 points in a blowout win over Temple in Week 1, but we can expect a much closer game here against Syracuse. History tells us that this might be a defensive battle. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the Scarlet Knights have gone under in four straight at Syracuse. The under is 11-5 in Scarlet Knights last 16 road games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus ACC teams. The Orange have gone under in four of their last five in the month of September.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Utah State Aggies are coming off their first win over a Power Five team since 2014, and their first road win versus the Power Five in 50 years. They needed two TDs in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter to complete the comeback in a 26-23 win over Washington State. Their defense did a fine job against the Cougars, and we can expect another defensive battle here against North Dakota. The Aggies have gone under in eight of their last 10 when coming off a win, and the Fighting Hawks have gone under in six straight overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Bucs ranked 3rd in the NFL in scoring last year, and they come into their season opener with all their starters back and at full strength. They are a huge favorite against a Dallas team that allowed opponents to average almost 30 points last year. Dak Prescott is back, and when healthy the Cowboys offense was firing on all cylinders. Dallas averaged 33 points per game in the games Prescott played last year. The over is 8-2 in the Buccaneers last 10 games as a home favorite, and the Cowboys have gone over in four straight as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Washington State Cougars have been involved in plenty of high scoring games over the year's, but this year's squad ain't you're daddy's Cougars. The Mike Leach era has ended, and the Air Raid offense will be replaced by Nick Rolovich's more balanced offensive approach. We should see Max Borghi and fellow senior Deon McIntosh do a lot of the heavy lifting. They host the Utah State Aggies in Week 1, and Utah State was 1-5 last season. The Aggies scored an average of 10 points in those five losses. The total for this game has been bet up, and now sits in the high sixties. I think that's a little over optimistic for these two teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Longhorns will have a tricky matchup in Week 1, facing a ranked team at home. New head coach Steve Sarkisian will have to have his team on their toes to avoid an upset at the hands of the #23 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. Last year the Ragin Cajuns opened the season with a road win over a BIG12 team when they defeated Iowa State in Ames by a score of 31-14. They are returning 10 defensive starters from a unit that was 1st in the Sun Belt versus the pass last year, allowing opponents to average just 170 yards per game. Sarkisian isn't likely to have his offense humming at full speed this early in the season, so we should see both teams lean heavy on the run. I don't think these teams will combine to score 60 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

North Carolina comes into a hostile environment at Virginia Tech as a significant favorite. Quarterback Sam Howell is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, but he's got his work cut out for him. The loss of Dyami Brown, Dazz Newsome, Javonte Williams, and Michael Carter will not be easy, and it could take some time to work out the offensive chemistry. Howell had a fantastic season a year ago, but he didn't exactly light it up in his first two starts. He threw for 620 yards, three TDs and three INTs in wins over Syracuse and Boston College. Neither of those games saw more than 50 points combined. The Hokies scored a ton of points in a loss at North Carolina last year, and that game was a high scoring shootout. With all the turnover I really don't see that happening here in the season opener in Blacksburg.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

The San Jose State Spartans will be a big favorite in their season opener versus Southern Utah, and money has been coming in the total. With the number bet up several points from the opening line, there looks like some value in fading the movement. The underdogs weren't great on defense last season, but they did lead their conference and finish in the top 20 of FCS with three sacks per game. It would be no surprise to see these offenses struggle to get off the ground in the season opener.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Chiefs continue to get off to slow starts, so don't be surprised if they do it again. They spotted Buffalo an early double digit lead in the AFC Championship Game, and last year in the Super Bowl they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to overcome a 10 point deficit. Nobody would be shocked to see this trend continue in SBLV. The over is 23-10 in the Buccaneers last 33 games overall, and they have gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. This total should probably be a little closer to 60 all things considered. GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on over.

The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total.

GL

Jesse Schule