Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-28-24 | Lions +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 147 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Lions are coming off back to back wins, and plenty of momentum with a chance to go to the Super Bowl. Their defense has been suspect, but perhaps in a "bend don't break" fashion. The 49ers on the other hand got quite lucky that the Green Bay Packers missed a key field goal last week. Brock Purdy appeared to struggle at times, and the young QB is facing more pressure than he's ever faced. Jared Goff has been here before, and he's looked pretty solid throwing for 564 yards, three TDs on 74 percent passing in this post-season. I expect Detroit to get their share of points, and at least hang with San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. The Eagles are a complete mess, coming into the playoffs as losers of five of their last six. Jalen Hurts appears to be battling injuries, and he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over his last five starts. No AJ Brown for the Eagles, and the defense is banged up on the back end. They might even have to move a corner to safety if Blankenship can't go. The Bucs defense is 100 percent healthy, and Baker Mayfield will play despite a sore ankle and bruised ribs. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored, and I'll take the home dog plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -5.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 100 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. The Jets are coming off a dubious 30-28 home win over Washington. They blew a 20-0 lead, but hit the game winning 54 yard field goal in the final seconds. Trevor Siemian threw for 217 yards on 27-of-49 passing against the NFL's worst defense. Now the Jets are on the road on a short week, and they face the NFL's top pass defense. The Browns are on a roll since the arrival of Joe Flacco, who threw for 368 yards and three TDs in a win at Houston on Sunday. The Browns are 7-1 at home this season, and the Jets have failed to cover in three straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 188 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. A lot of people are picking these two teams to meet in the Super Bowl, but the Ravens appear to be a team due for some regression. San Francisco had it's three game losing skid in the middle of the season, but since then they appear to have forgotten how to lose. The Niners have covered in six straight, and they are 13-1 SU in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to fade the Ravens. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The 3-11 Patriots are likely going to find it tough to get up for a Christmas Even game on the road in Denver. This team has nine starters listed as questionable just 48 hrs prior to the game. We know there will be a wholesale change over the off-season, and we don't expect the compete level to be very high in these final few games. This is a Denver team that can still make the playoffs, but they need to win this game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,382 yards, 13 TDs and just one INT at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 176 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI. What happened to the 10-1 Eagles? They are now the 10-3 Eagles after losing back to back blowouts versus San Francisco and Dallas. The good news is that they aren't playing the Niners or the Cowboys this week, and this looks like a potential "GET RIGHT" game for Philly. The Seahawks have lost four of their last five overall, and Geno Smith is banged up. Drew Lock came in and threw for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in the loss at San Francisco last Sunday. Lock has thrown as many picks (20) as he has TDs over his last three seasons. Smith has a groin injury that normally requires at least two weeks to heal, so even if he can play he would likely be limited. **UPDATE** - so we are now less than 18 hrs from kickoff and we still have no clarification on Geno Smith, and breaking news that Jalen Hurts might not play due to illness. If it is Marcus Mariotta, note that his last game at Seattle he threw for 229 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT on 13-of-20 passing in a win with the Falcons last year. He also scored a rushing TD in the win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos +3 | Top | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 269 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Denver. | |||||||
10-01-23 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 1487 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE. So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 160 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on KC. The public is definitely backing Philly in the Super Bowl, with 66% of the tickets on the Eagles. There is no doubt that they have been the better team in the post-season. Philly should be able to control the line of scrimmage with superior and offensive and defensive line play. The thing is, that with two weeks to prepare for this game, a Hall of Fame coach like Andy Reid should be able to game plan and scheme to minimize that advantage. There's something to be said for experience, and the Chiefs have been here before. Kansas City knows what to expect, how to handle the media and everything leading up to the game. I am going to take a contrarian approach and go with the more experienced team with the superior quarterback. GL, Jesse Schule SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD. | |||||||
12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on MIA. | |||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LV. | |||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Minny. Turn on the TV and all the analysts will tell you how bad Kirk Cousins is in Monday Night Football games. i honesty think that's a ridiculous thing to believe, that he is significantly worse on Monday than he is on Sunday afternoon. While he's 2-9 straight up in Monday night games, his QBR in those games is actually pretty good. His chemistry with Justin Jefferson and new head coach Kevin O'connell looked pretty good last week. The defense looked equally as impressive, holding Aaron Rodgers to 195 yards and an INT, and sacking him twice. The Eagles don't look bad either, but at the end of the day they beat the lions and still gave up a ton of points. Jalen Hurts was flirting with an intentional grounding penalty all day. My read here is that the Vikes are getting points, and they have the better QB, RB, WRs, coaching is a wash, hard to say who's got the better defense. I'll take the dog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 56 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
10-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams -4.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Rams. The Cardinals are undefeated, and Kyler Murray has been playing like an MVP candidate. This week looks like a tough spot for both Arizona and QB Kyler Murray, on the road at the Rams who ranks 1st in scoring defense and first against the pass allowing just 190 yards per game last season. Murray has really struggled against the Rams, throwing for 4TDs and 4 INTs in four career starts against them. The Rams won all four of those games, and the Rams are 9-1 straight up and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The under is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 road games, and Arizona has failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. The Rams are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and the under is 13-3 in Rams last 16 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills -1 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Steelers perfect record went up in smoke in last week's loss to the Redskins, and playing on the road in Buffalo this week looks like a let down spot for a Steelers team that is a little banged up. With an 11-1 record the Steelers can afford to be complacent, and they might not be able to match the intensity of a hungry Buffalo team. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in December, while the Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 202 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has run over it's opponents this season, and last week they ran for 231 yards in a 10-7 win over Houston. The final score is a little misleading, as Cleveland never trailed in the game, and only allowed a late touchdown when the game was already out of reach. Nick Chubb wisely passed on a potential TD at the end of the game, allowing the Browns to kneel and run out the clock. The Eagles gave up over 150 yards and three rushing TDs in a loss to the Giants last week, and they have to be having second thoughts about the future of Carson Wentz. Baker Mayfield has his fair share of critics, but so far this season he has a higher QBR (71.4) than Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Phillip Rivers. He's within a few decimal points of Tom Brady (71.8). The recipe for success in Cleveland is less is more for Baker Mayfield. Expect that trend to continue and the Browns to run all over Philly in Week 11. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 254 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. As difficult as it is for me to bet against Mahomes, I am more than a little concerned about just how much pressure he will be facing. The 49ers don't need a great game from their quarterback, or any single player. If their defensive line can control the line of scrimmage the way they did against Green Bay, Mahomes might not be able to save the Chiefs. Kansas City has been very impressive in these playoffs, but let's not forget that they fell into a big hole in both their wins over Houston and Tennessee. It might not be so easy to come from behind against this San Francisco team. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 118 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the 49ers. The Packers took advantage of a banged up Seattle team at home, and they barely hung on in the second half of that game. Seattle outscored them 20-7 after halftime, and they will need to avoid another blowout loss in San Francisco. The 49ers beat them by 29 points in San Francisco earlier in the season. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times and threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing. As much as you could call this a revenge game, the Packers might not be equipped to do anything about the ferocious San Francisco pass rush. The Packers are thin at several key positions, and they have a rookie head coach. An interesting stat to keep in mind is that over the last five seasons, seven times we've seen Conference Championship games featuring teams that played during the regular season. The team that won the first meeting has won six of those seven games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-20 | Seahawks +4 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Packers will be four point favorite at home versus Seattle, and this is a game that figures to be decided in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks beat the Packers by a score of 27-24 at home last year, and the last time these two teams met in the playoffs the Seahawks won in overtime in a thriller. As much as Green Bay has the home field advantage, the Seahawks won seven of eight games on the road this season. The Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. At this point it appears that Russell Wilson is a better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers, and the defense looked great in Philly last week. The Packers deserve to be the favorite, but it might be wise to take the points in a game that could go either way. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 127 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYG. If you checked last Sunday's scores, you might think that the Eagles beat the Cowboys last week? Well I watched that game quite closely, and let me tell you that Dallas beat the Cowboys. Poor decisions from head coach Jason Garrett beat the Cowboys. A boat load of dropped balls by the Dallas receivers beat the Cowboys. On a crucial 3rd and 1 late in the game, with Dallas having an opportunity to take the lead, they ran a toss to Tony Pollard that lost yards. Zeke Elliott was on the bench. Philly is a mess, banged up in the secondary and in their receiving corps. Zack Ertz has fractured ribs, and they come into New York asked to cover a bunch of points. My money is on Danny Dimes and Saquon to terrorize this Eagles team, and I think the Giants win outright. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. During the Brady and Belichick era, no matter who the Patriots played on any given Sunday, they could always say they have the better quarterback. Now 10 games into the 2019 season, and it's a tough argument to make that Brady is better than Dak (currently). Even in a 28-24 loss to the Vikings, Prescott threw for 397 yards and three TDs. While Zeke has been underperforming, Prescott has been carrying the Cowboys. The Patriots on the other hand have had to lean on their defense, and Belichick's genius. The result has been an offense that is ranked 17th in the NFL in total yards. The Cowboys rank 1st overall in total yards. New England is tough to beat at home, but I think they are being asked to cover too many points here against a dangerous opponent. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +9 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 193 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYG. The Cowboys will be a huge road favorite in New York on Monday night, despite the fact that Dallas has lost three of it's last four overall. The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. The Cowboys have lost two of three road games including a loss in New York to the Jets. They have no business being favored by more than a TD here. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -143 | 179 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the #NYG. The Giants are just 2-4, but they still have a shot in the NFC East, with Dallas and Philly sitting at just 3-3. The Cardinals on the other hand aren't going anywhere, with a stranglehold on last place on the NFC West. Both Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have given their teams reason to be optimistic about the future, but Jones has showed the world why he was drafted 6th overall in the first round, and he's been more consistent than Murray. When you consider what he's had to work with, his performance is even more impressive. This week he's going to have Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back. He's going up against an Arizona defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass. While the Giants defense is stastically just as bad, they have played tougher opposition, and they have scored significantly more points of their own. This is a tough spot for an NFC West team traveling to the East Coast for an early game. All signs point to a blowout win for the Giants. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers -4 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 180 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Pittsburgh. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots -1 v. Rams | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 329 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on New England. Why do you think the Rams beat the Saints? Are you one of those conspiracy theorists that believes the only reason the Rams are playing in the Super Bowl is because a referee missed a call at the end of the NFC Championship Game? If that's what you believe, then I think you are missing something. You have to give credit where credit is due, and I think it's fair to say that Jared Goff outplayed Drew Brees. I also think it's pretty clear that Sean McVay outcoached Sean Payton. I don't think the Rams can count on winning the quarterback battle or the coaching battle here against Brady and Belichick. My money is on experience over youth, and I expect Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski to turn back the clock. Props include: Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colts. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -5.5 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -109 | 118 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. Can you believe that the Eagles are back in the playoffs, and last year's Super Bowl MVP is once against playing like one of the league's best quarterbacks. Nick Foles is capable of being great (at times) but let's not get carried away when we compare him to other great quarterbacks. The Bears have wins over the Packers and the Seahawks, and Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers have been consistently great for their entire careers spanning the better part of the last decade. Nick Foles on the other hand has had a handful of great games in an otherwise mediocre career. He comes into Chicago nursing sore ribs, and he's in serious danger of taking a beating today. I like the Bears to win big at Soldier Field. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers +2.5 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. Lamar Jackson has turned things around for the Baltimore Ravens, who might not have made the playoffs without him. I am not convinced he is the quarterback of the future for this franchise though, as I have seen this script before. It seems like nobody remembers his teammate RGIII early in his career in Washington. As exciting as it is when he eludes defenders and picks up big gains with his athletic ability, he's nothing short of a disaster in the passing game. He matches up against a potential future Hall of Famer in Phillip Rivers, and heaven forbid if he needs to rally his team late (as Rivers has done countless times in the past). The Ravens defense is statistically the best in the NFL, but they almost didn't survive in a must win game against the Browns last week. Baker Mayfield lit them up for 376 yards and three scores. I expect Rivers to be just as good here in this Wild Card game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans may have won four straight, but those wins came against the Jets, Jags, Giants and Redskins. Not only have they built their winning streak against some of the weaker teams in the NFL, many of those wins were far from impressive. They trailed at home against the Redskins last week, and they were losing 16-6 at the half in a home win over the Jets a few weeks ago. The Colts have won eight of their last nine overall, including a 38-10 win over Tennessee. They led 24-3 at halftime in that game, and Andrew Luck threw for 297 yards and three TDs on 23-of-29 passing. The Colts last road game was a 24-21 win over the Texans in Houston, and they led 17-7 at the half in that game. If Marcus Mariota is healthy enough to start this game, he might not finish it. The Titans leading receiver Corey Davis is also banged up, and keeping up with Andrew Luck is going to be a tough ask for Tennessee. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. I took Minnesota +3.5 when they lost 25-20 at Chicago a few weeks ago. A missed two-point conversion at the end of the game cost me the cover. Here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record." The Bears have since won four of five games, including road wins at Detroit and San Francisco. This will be the Bears first road game against a team with a winning record. They have lost at Miami and at New York (Giants). It's hard to beat a team twice, and that is going to be especially true given what's at stake for the Vikings here. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -4 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LAC. I bet on the Chargers on TNF last week, and they pulled off an amazing comeback to beat the Chiefs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings" The Ravens played the Chiefs a week earlier, and they lost in overtime by a score of 27-24. Lamar Jackson played well in Kansas City, throwing for 147 yards and two TDs on 13-of-24 passing. He had thrown three picks and just one TD pass in his previous three starts, and he had a mediocre game against a terrible Tampa Bay team last week. I don't think this rookie can keep his team in the game against Phillip Rivers and a Chargers defense that ranks among the best in the NFL. A healthy Keenan Allen and Melvin Gordon will be a huge boost for the home team. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Panthers. Most people still consider the Saints to be the best team in the NFL, but if there is one weakness it is Drew Brees on the road. A week after losing to Dallas, the Saints put up just three poins in the first half at Tampa Bay. They went on to rally for a win and cover in the second half of that game, but tonight they face a different monster. Cam Newton and Riverboat Ron are still alive in the playoff hunt, and they won't be an easy out here at home in Carolina. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Vikings. | |||||||
11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -122 | 154 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOM play on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers gave the Rams all they bargained for in LA, and then they went toe to toe with the Patriots at Foxboro. They went into the fourth quarter of last week's game tied 17-17, but the Pats scored two late TDs to make a close game look like a blowout. They return home looking to extend their perfect home record, hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Fish are coming off a 13-6 home win over the Jets, but they weren't all that impressive in that game. They were out-gained by 114 yards (282-168). Brock Osweiler failed to throw for a TD in his second consecutive game, totaling 139 yards on 15-of-24 passing in the win over the Jets. It's not like they can lean on their running game, as they have scored an NFL worst three rushing TDs. A cold weather game at Lambeau Field looks like a tough spot for a Miami team with a serious lack of talent. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots and the Packers each came into this season as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but while New England is right where they were expected to be heading into Week 9, the Packers are done. The trades sending Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Ty Montgomery to Baltimore and Washington have some suggesting that the Packers are throwing in the towel. It might be a little too soon to give up on Green Bay when you consider that they are just one game out of first place in the NFC North. That being said, with three of their next four games coming on the road to teams with a winning record, it's hard to see them making up any ground. They are 0-3 on the road, and they have given up a whopping 90 points in their last three games. Aaron Rodgers can only do so much, and he doesn't have the supporting cast to win a battle versus Brady and Belichick at Foxboro. The Patriots are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 134 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Broncos aren't rolling over for anybody at home in Mile High Stadium. We saw that two weeks ago when the Broncos held a 10-point advantage in the fourth quarter versus the Kansas City Chiefs. While Kansas City rallied to win that game, it was a lot closer than some might have expected. This week the Rams will travel to Denver, and they are asked to cover even more points than the Chiefs. The Rams have been impressive on offense, but they gave up 31 points to the Vikings and the Seahawks in each of their last two games. LA has yet to be punished for their poor play on defense, coming into Sunday's game with a 5-0 record and the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl. This looks like a bit of a tricky spot though, and asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little overly optimistic. I'll take Denver plus the points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-08-18 | Redskins +7 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. The Bye Week came at a great time for Washington, allowing several key players to rest up and recover from lingering injuries. Adrian Peterson suffered an ankle injury in Washington's 31-17 win over Green Bay two weeks ago, but still he ran for 120 yards and two TDs in that game. He's surely looking forward to having a chance to stick it to the Saints. Sean Payton signed Peterson prior to last season, and then let him rot on the bench, refusing to give him an opportunity. He then went to Arizona, and has since averaged 76 rushing yards per game in nine starts for Arizona and now Washington. He's averaging a TD per game so far this season, and I expect him to keep that average up. Drew Brees is going to break another record tonight, and Mark Ingram returns from a suspension. The Superdome was once considered the toughest place in the NFL to play, and bookmakers are still giving New Orleans a lot of love at home. When you consider that the Saints were blown out by the Bucs at home in Week 1, that they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games and six straight versus the Skins, the spread for tonight's game appears to be greatly inflated. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-18 | Vikings +2 v. Packers | Top | 29-29 | Win | 100 | 150 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were one win away from going to the Super Bowl last year, and that was after losing their starting quarterback and leading rusher Dalvin Cook. Their success was a testament to just how good they are on defense, ranking 1st overall in total yards, 2nd against the pass and 2nd in quarterback sacks. With an upgrade at quarterback and a healthy Cook in the backfield, Minnesota is my pick to win the Super Bowl this season. They face the Packers in Green Bay in Week 2, and Aaron Rodgers is expected to be playing with a sprained knee. Rodgers was knocked out of last year's 23-10 loss at Minnesota, and ended up missing the Packers final nine games of the season. He engineered a miraculous comeback against the Bears last week, but the Packers defense wasn't very impressive. The Bears averaged over 5 yards per carry, and led 17-0 at halftime. Erasing a 20 point deficit against the Bears is one thing, but if they fall behind the Vikings I don't like their chances of pulling off another comeback. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns +7 | Top | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 2782 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. I had this game circled back in the beginning of the summer, and since then the money has really come in on the Browns. While it's been a long time since the Browns have actually won a game, they are expected to be a lot better here in 2018. Tyrod Taylor might not be your favorite quarterback, but he's a pretty solid bet as an underdog when you are looking to cover the points as a home dog. Taylor's biggest asset is his dependability, protecting the football and not making many costly mistakes. In a rivalry that has seen three straight games decided by four points or less, an improved Browns team at home getting points is quite attractive. The Le'Veon Bell situation has gone from bad to worse, with members of the offensive line publicly blasting Bell for putting himself above the team. The Steelers have failed to cover in five of their last seven season openers, and I think they'll have their hands full here in Cleveland. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints -5.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 150 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. The Saints gave up 11 points in the final five minuted to blow a 24-20 lead in Tampa last week. The result didn't matter, because Carolina lost to Atlanta, and New Orleans clinched the NFC South. The Panthers did not look great in their 22-10 loss to the Falcons, and Cam Newton threw three interceptions while throwing for just 180 yards and a TD on 14-of-34 passing. As bad as those numbers are, that has been the norm for Cam Newton this year. He's failed to throw for 200 yards in five of his last six games. He's been bothered by a shoulder injury that has kept him from practicing this week. The Panthers lost to the Saints twice during the regular season, and Cam threw for just 340 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs on 34-of-53 passing. The Saints have won seven straight home games, including a double digit win over Carolina. The Panthers have failed to cover in six straight against New Orleans, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 versus the NFC South. The Saints are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 26-13 | Loss | -108 | 128 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Rams. The Atlanta Falcons are limping into the playoffs, looking nothing like the team that went all the way to the Super Bowl a year ago. Matt Ryan is struggling, throwing as many picks (4) as TDs in his last five starts. He will face a Rams defense that ranks 4th in the NFL in quarterback sacks with 48. While the Falcons played a tough, hard fought game against Carolina just to get into the playoffs, the Rams rested their starters last week against San Francisco. Todd Gurley racked up 280 yards and three TDs on 43 carries in his last two starts, and he's likely to get a heavy workload here on Wildcard Weekend. Julio Jones took a big hit in the win over Carolina, and his status for Saturday is listed as questionable with injuries to his ankle and ribs. Devonta Freeman is expected to play despite suffering a knee injury. The Rams led the NFL in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 29 points per game. LA looks a lot more like last year's Falcons than the current version of this Atlanta team. If Matt Ryan plays like he has the last several weeks, this game will be over in a hurry. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 21-12 | Loss | -114 | 139 h 31 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-10-17 | Ravens +5 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. | |||||||
11-23-17 | Chargers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. | |||||||
11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 184 h 18 m | Show |
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10-08-17 | Chiefs -1 v. Texans | Top | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 139 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. | |||||||
09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | Top | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 157 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Titans. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-17 | Raiders +1 v. Titans | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 2256 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders won at Tennessee last year, winning by a score of 17-10. Derek Carr threw for 249 yards and a TD on 21-of-35 passing. They open the 2017 season on the road at Tennessee this year, and I like their chances of picking up a "W". The Titans are solid, and have been competitive for years. They never seem to have enough talent to get over the hump though, and I don't see any reason why that will change this year. Marcus Mariota is a decent quarterback, but a lackluster receiving corps has made his first two seasons a challenge. Tennessee has a solid defense and a strong running game, but that's no longer the recipe for success in today's NFL. The running game was a weakness for Oakland last season, but the arrival of Marshawn Lynch may change that in a hurry. I believe Lynch has a chance to make plenty of noise early in the season, the question will be how long he can keep it up. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -106 | 325 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The New England Patriots will be the favorites in Super Bowl 51, and I can't argue with that. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick might go down in history as the league's best ever coach, and quarterback. It's been amazing watching them keep this team on top, despite the fact that they aren't the league's most talented team. Brady's receiving corps is mediocre at best, especially after the loss of Rob Gronkowski. The Patriots simply don't have the talent that Atlanta and Matt Ryan have to work with. Julio Jones might be the most dominant receiver in the league. They have a pair of dynamic running backs that are equally as dangerous in the passing game as they are running the ball. They led the NFL in scoring during the regular season, and they have played near perfect football so far in the playoffs. The only team that beat Brady this season was Seattle, who Atlanta played twice. The Seahawks rallied to win 26-24 at home in the regular season meeting, but Julio Jones got the better of Richard Sherman with seven catches for 139 yards and a TD. Atlanta won 36-20 in a home playoff win over the Seahawks just a few weeks ago, and once again Sherman couldn't keep Jones from reaching pay dirt. The Patriots defense had no answer for Russell Wilson in a 31-24 home loss to Seattle. Wilson threw for 348 yards and three TDs on 25-of-37 passing. They will have their work cut out for them trying to stop the probable MVP Matt Ryan, who has completed more than 70 percent of his passes for more than 1,000 yards and 11 TDs in his last three starts. The fact that the game is being played in a dome could also be an advantage for the "Dirty Birds". Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 130 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Pats didn't play particularly well in their win against Houston last week, and still they won by an 18-point margin. The Steelers offense was held to field goals last week, yet they still managed to sneak out of Kansas City with an 18-16 victory. Field goals aren't going to cut it here at Foxboro, and the Steelers are going to need Ben Roethlisberger to have a big game. Big Ben has not looked sharp recently, throwing a whopping eight INTs and just six TD passes over his last five starts. This is a tough matchup for Pittsburgh, facing a Patriots team that has won the last three meetings in this series by at least seven points. The Patriots have the better quarterback, the better defense, and a huge edge when it comes to a chess match between Tomlin and Belichick. The only advantage the Steelers might have is a superior running game with Le'Veon Bell, but the Patriots defense ranks among the league's best versus the run. New England's running game is pretty good in it's own right, with the regular season TD leader LeGarrette Blount. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-15-17 | Steelers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 112 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. | |||||||
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Packers are all hyped up after winning six games in a row to clinch the NFC North, and Aaron Rodgers has historically great during that run. I think their luck is about to run out here in Dallas, playing a Cowboy's team that has won seven straight at home. The Cowboys might have a rookie quarterback, but unlike Aaron Rodgers, Dak Prescott has plenty of help. He's playing behind the league's best offensive line, and he's handing off to the NFL's leading rusher. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 157 yards on 28 carries in a 30-16 win at Lambeau during the regular season. The Packers beat the Giants by a score of 38-13 last week, but that game was closer than the final score would indicate. The Giants dominated the first half, but were forced to settle for field goals due o several key drops by their wide receivers. Green Bay didn't score until the final 2:20 of the half, and they added another TD on a Hail Mary pass as the clock expired. Even with all the drops, Eli Manning still threw for 299 yards. Matt Stafford, Sam Bradford and Matt Barkley all threw for over 300 yards against Green Bay in their previous three games, and opponents scored an average of 25 points in those games. I don't think Green Bay can continue rely on one man to bail them out, and with no Jordy Nelson, Rodgers task is that much harder. They can't run he ball, and their defense hasn't stopped anybody. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-08-17 | Giants +5.5 v. Packers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New York Giants. | |||||||
01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
The Lions come into the playoffs off three straight losses, and they conceded a whopping 73 points in losses Dallas and Green Bay in the last two weeks. After failing three times to clinch the NFC North, their reward is a road game at Seattle on Wild Card Weekend. This Seahawks defense isn't as tough as it used to be, and they are really missing safety Earl Thomas. Seattle has a reputation for playing low scoring games, but the total has gone over in five of the last seven at home, and the Seahawks have gone over in five of their last six playoff games. Russell Wilson plays better at home, completing 67 percent of his passes for 2,181 yards, 13 TDs and just three INTs. He faces a Lions secondary that has been reeling in recent weeks, and even the return of top corner Darius Slay didn't slow down Aaron Rodgers. The Packers quarterback threw for 300 yards and four TDs in a 31-24 win over the Lions last week. Detroit didn't win a single game outdoors during the regular season, and they have lost eight straight playoff games dating back to 1992. Take Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-17 | Ravens +1 v. Bengals | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. | |||||||
12-26-16 | Lions +8 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -125 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys have won 11 of their last 12 games, and have clinched their division and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They've failed to cover in four straight games though, and they are asked to cover a big spread here in a meaningless game versus Detroit. The Lions need a win here to clinch a playoff spot, and they have a history of playing close games against the Cowboys. These two teams have played three times since 2011, and all three of those games were decided by four points or less. The Lions run defense ranks among the best in the NFL, holding opponents to just 98.9 yards per game, only giving up six rushing TDs. Ezekiel Elliott has run for 266 yards on 47 carries in the Cowboys last two games, but I expect him to see limited action here against the Lions. Jason Garrett says he won't rest starters even though the Cowboy's have clinched, but that doesn't mean the backups won't get the majority of the snaps. It would be completely irresponsible to give Elliott and the rest of the starters a heavy workload tonight. Especially after seeing three teams lose key players to broken legs just 48 hours ago. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-16 | Ravens +6 v. Steelers | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. This is a huge game for the Ravens, they need to win the AFC North to clinch a playoff spot, and that can only happen if they beat the Steelers here in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won three of their last four, with the only loss during that span coming on the road at New England. Joe Flacco has been hot during that span, throwing nine TD passes and just four INTs, and going over 300 yards passing in two of those games. The defense has been a strength all year for the Ravens, but they've conceded 56 points in their last two games. Tom Brady threw for over 400 yards and three TDs against the Ravens secondary two weeks ago, and the Eagles ran wild, rushing for 169 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's 27-26 loss at Baltimore. The Steelers defense ranks in the Top 10 in the league against the pass, but they come into this game banged up on the defensive line, and that could mean more time in the pocket for Flacco. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against division rivals, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games versus teams with a winning home record. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-16 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs have won five of their last six overall after coming up short in a 26-20 defeat at Dallas on Sunday night. They turned the ball over four times in that loss, putting their defense in a tough spot. Heading into last Sunday's game the Bucs had won five straight, limiting opponents to an average of less than 13 points per game during that span. One of those wins came against New Orleans, and they picked off Drew Brees three times in a 16-11 home win. Brees is coming off a big game on the road at Arizona, but the Cardinals look like a team that has already thrown in the towel. The Bucs are still fighting for a playoff spot, and they should go all out here at the Super Dome. These two teams have gone under the total in 13 of the last 16 meetings, and the Saints have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus teams with a winning record. The Bucs have covered the spread in five straight road games, and four of their last five meetings with the Saints. | |||||||
12-18-16 | Raiders -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 162 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders six game win streak ended in Kansas City last week, and they will try to get back on track on the road at San Diego this Sunday. The Chargers are coming off back to back losses, and at 5-8 there isn't much for San Diego to play for. Phillip Rivers took a beating last week, getting sacked five times while throwing for 236 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 21-of-39 passing. He's now been picked off 10 times in his last four starts. Derek Carr has only thrown five picks all year, and he threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a 34-31 home win over the Chargers earlier this season. San Diego has battled injuries all year, and the Chargers come into this game missing a long list of key players, most notably RB Melvin Gordon. Raiders DE Khalil Mack ranks third in the NFL in sacks, and he has five forced fumbles this season. The Chargers rank dead last in the league with 30 turnovers. I like Oakland to clinch a playoff birth here with a win in San Diego. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-16 | Saints v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 48-41 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. | |||||||
12-18-16 | Eagles v. Ravens -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 56 m | Show |
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12-12-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 174 h 45 m | Show |
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12-11-16 | Cardinals +2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. After winning five straight games, the Dolphins were masquerading as a contender. I wasn't fooled, betting against them last week in a 38-6 loss to Baltimore. Joe Flacco picked apart their defense, throwing for 381 yards with four TDs on 36-of-47 passing. The are back home to host the Cardinals, a talented team that has underachieved all year. The Cards are coming off a 31-23 win over Washington, and Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and three TDs on 30-of-46 passing in the victory. David Johnson continued to put up incredible numbers, running for 84 yards and a TD on 18 carries, and catching nine passes for 91 yards and a TD. Arizona ranks 2nd in the NFL in total defense, just behind Baltimore. We saw what the Dolphins looked like against the Ravens, and I don't expect them to have much more success here against Arizona. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-16 | Redskins v. Eagles | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 154 h 28 m | Show |
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11-27-16 | Panthers v. Raiders -4 | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. | |||||||
11-27-16 | Seahawks -5.5 v. Bucs | Top | 5-14 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 64 h 29 m | Show |
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11-13-16 | Broncos v. Saints -1 | Top | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-16 | Patriots -5.5 v. Bills | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 146 h 5 m | Show |
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10-16-16 | Falcons +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-16 | Chiefs v. Raiders | Top | 26-10 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-16 | 49ers v. Bills -7.5 | Top | 16-45 | Win | 100 | 146 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-09-16 | Giants v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 162 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-09-16 | Chargers v. Raiders -4.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. | |||||||
10-09-16 | Jets v. Steelers -7 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 145 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers came out flat in a 34-3 loss at Philly two weeks ago, but they came back and throttled Kansas City 43-14 last Sunday. They host the struggling New York Jets this week, and I really see no reason why this won't be another blowout. The Jets are coming off back-to-back double digit losses, and Ryan Fitzpatrick was picked off NINE TIMES in those games. It's almost impossible to conceive that Fitzpatrick could match serves with Big Ben, but an injury to Jets top wideout Eric Decker makes that even more unlikely. There is more good news for the Steelers, as it looks like Darrelle Revis will miss the game with a hamstring injury. The Steelers have covered the spread in four of their last five home games, and the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-09-16 | Texans v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-16 | Chiefs v. Steelers -5 | Top | 14-43 | Win | 100 | 156 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-16 | Browns v. Redskins -9 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 148 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. | |||||||
09-22-16 | Texans +1 v. Patriots | Top | 0-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. After upsetting Arizona on the road in Week 1 without several starters on both sides of the ball, the Patriots seem invincible. There seems to be a feeling that Bill Belichick can get it done no matter who starts at quarterback. History tells us that isn't the case, and I think there's a big difference between 2nd string quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, and third stringer Jacoby Brissett. We saw Miami score 21 unanswered points in the second half of last week's game, and New England just barely held on. The Texans come in with the #3 ranked scoring defense, and a quarterback that beat New England last year. This Houston defense has the potential to make life miserable for an inexperienced quarterback, and I expect Brissett to struggle here. I think Belichick's luck is about to run out. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-18-16 | Cowboys v. Redskins -3.5 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 154 h 16 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time | |||||||
09-18-16 | Saints v. Giants -4 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -115 | 153 h 51 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
09-11-16 | Patriots v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -108 | 1170 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on Arizona. Notes - The Brady suspension is clearly the biggest factor, as he's dropped all appeals and will NOT play. Jimmy Garoppolo has not shown any sign of being able to step up and fill those big boots. Carson Palmer threw for 4,671 yards last year, just 99 fewer than Tom Brady. His 35 TDs were only one shy of Brady's 36. Arizona should have a superior defense, and they have perhaps the fastest wide receivers in the league. The Cardinals led the league in total offense last year, and it shoud be a tough ask for Garoppolo to match serves with Palmer. The Patriots are extremely shorthanded here without: QB Tom Brady RB Dion Lewis TE Rob Gronkowski LT Nate Solder RT Sebastian Vollmer G Jonathan Cooper DE Rob Ninkovich. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-11-16 | Giants +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 175 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New York Giants. Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +3 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos. Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos. They say that defense wins championships, and that might be good news for Broncos fans. On the other hand, the Panthers defense is pretty impressive in it's own right. The Broncos own the leagues' top ranked defense, allowing just 18.5 points per game. Carolina isn't far off, allowing just 19.3 points per game. The Super Bowl will be played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, home of the San Francisco 49ers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-17-16 | Steelers v. Broncos -7.5 | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-16 | Chiefs v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 126 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-16 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Vikings | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-09-16 | Chiefs v. Texans +3 | Top | 30-0 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-16 | Vikings v. Packers -2.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -120 | 161 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-16 | Jets -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -119 | 157 h 32 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time | |||||||
01-03-16 | Eagles v. Giants -3 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -115 | 153 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the #NYG. Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-15 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-15 | Lions v. Saints -3 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -105 | 188 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints. |
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William Burns | $483 |
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Jesse Schule | $466 |
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AAA Sports | $229 |