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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-29-19||Raiders v. Seahawks OVER 33||Top||15-17||Loss||-109||80 h 7 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] over 33.
The Seahawks will host Oakland in the final game of the pre-season, and the bookmakers have set the total at just 33. There is plenty of history between these teams, as they have faced each other in the final week of the pre-season every year since 2006. Last year the Raiders won 30-19 at Seattle, and it was the fifth time in the last six years that these teams combined to score 40+ points in the final week of the pre-season. Most coaches have already packed it in by Week 4, but the numbers say that Gruden and Carroll both likely want to win this game. Gruden is an incredible 7-1 lifetime in the final week of the pre-season, while Carroll is 6-3. Oakland has a pair of QBs with starting experience in Nathan Peterman and Mike Glennon, and both Geno Smith and Paxton Lynch have put up solid numbers for Seattle.
|08-24-19||Saints -125 v. Jets||Top||28-13||Win||100||127 h 1 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Saints have looked pretty good so far this pre-season. They are 1-1 heading into Week 3 at New York, but Teddy Bridgewater had a big game in Week 1 and Taysom Hill impressed in Week 2. Sean Payton takes the pre-season more seriously than most, but that is epsecially true in Week 3. The Saints have a record of 10-3 in the third week of the pre-season under Sean Payton. The Jets are focused more on staying healthy, and Adam Gase has expressed remorse after Avery Williamson was lost for the season due to injury. Expect Gase to be very conservative with his starters for the remainder of the pre-season.
|08-18-19||Seahawks v. Vikings -190||Top||19-25||Win||100||152 h 30 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. Pete Carroll has a reputation as a coach that likes to win in the pre-season. He's 23-14 overall in the pre-season with the Seahawks since 2010, but a closer look reveals that he might not be all that geared up for this week's game in Minnesota. While the Seahawks have been a good bet in the pre-season under Carroll, the second week of the pre-season might be the exception. They have winning records in Week 1, Week 3 and Week 4, but since 2010 they are just 4-5 in the second week of the pre-season. Mike Zimmer doesn't like losing ..PERIOD! He's 18-4 in the pre-season as the head coach in Minnesota. The Vikings offense looked like a well oiled machine in last week's win at New Orleans. The had a combined 247 passing yards on 19-of-27 passing with three TDs and no INTs. Kirk Cousins was 4-for-4 for 65 yards and a TD. He should see a bit more time here at home versus the Seahawks. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
|08-17-18||Bills v. Browns OVER 37||Top||19-17||Loss||-110||125 h 16 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go Over the total. Both the Bills and the Browns have talented young quarterbacks that are trying to establish themselves, and I expect to see plenty of offense as they meet in the second week of the pre-season. The Bills scored 23 points in a loss to Carolina in Week 1, but the most telling stat in my opinion was the fact that they called twice as many passing plays (39) as they did running plays (21). The Browns won their Week 1 game on the road at New York, and Baker Mayfield lit up the Giants for 212 yards and two TDs on 11-of-20 passing. He should have plenty of swagger in his step here at home, and I expect another big game from the rookie. Tyrod Taylor in under pressure to hold off Mayfield for the starting job, and he was pretty impressive in his own right against the Giants. He threw for 99 yards and a TD on 5-of-5 passing. Josh Allen, Nathan Peterman and AJ MacCarron all threw for over 100 yards last week. Take Over. GL,
|08-11-18||Chargers v. Cardinals -135||Top||17-24||Win||100||160 h 20 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. I am only betting on one pre-season game in Week 1, and it's a big play on Arizona. The Cardinals will be at home against the Chargers, and with starters expected to ride the pine, I believe the home team has a huge advantage at the quarterback position. Geno Smith and Cardale Jones are the backups for Phillip Rivers, and neither of them have proven to be NFL caliber quarterbacks. Josh Rosen is a wild card for Arizona, but veterans Sam Bradford and Mike Glennon each have plenty of experience as starters. With so many uncertainties in the pre-season, I am putting my money on what I consider to be a complete mismatch at the one position that matters most. Take ARI. GL,
|08-27-17||Bears v. Titans -165||Top||19-7||Loss||-165||49 h 51 m||Show|
|08-20-17||Saints v. Chargers -160||Top||13-7||Loss||-160||66 h 50 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers.
|08-13-17||Seahawks +2.5 v. Chargers||Top||48-17||Win||100||9 h 1 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
The Chargers have spent the last several seasons struggling through an unusual amount of injuries. I don't expect coach Mike McCoy to take any risks with his starters here in the first week of pre-season. Expect the first unit to appear briefly, if at all. Pete Carroll has a different approach than most when it comes to the pre-season, and he's always been known to play his starters a little longer, going for the win. Trevone Boykin should get the bulk of the snaps at quarterback for Seattle, but he proved he was capable in last year's pre-season, when Seattle won three of four games. The Seahawks have a healthy competition at running back, with Eddie Lacy, CJ Prosise, Thomas Rawls and Alex Collins all fighting for starting jobs.
|08-28-16||Chargers v. Vikings -4||Top||10-23||Win||100||100 h 48 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
|08-26-16||Packers +2 v. 49ers||Top||21-10||Win||100||12 h 53 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Green Bay Packers.
|08-26-16||Bills v. Redskins -138||Top||16-21||Win||100||9 h 25 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
|08-25-16||Cowboys v. Seahawks UNDER 44||Top||17-27||Push||0||18 h 5 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.
|08-20-16||49ers v. Broncos -4||Top||31-24||Loss||-115||85 h 45 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos.
|08-18-16||Bears v. Patriots -3.5||Top||22-23||Loss||-110||36 h 49 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.
|08-11-16||Saints v. Patriots -3||Top||22-34||Win||100||109 h 14 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on the New England Patriots.
|09-03-15||Philadelphia Eagles v. NY Jets OVER 44||Top||18-24||Loss||-106||60 h 7 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
|08-30-15||Arizona Cardinals v. Oakland Raiders||Top||30-23||Loss||-102||44 h 35 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
|08-28-15||Tennessee Titans v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 43||Top||10-34||Win||100||88 h 54 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
|08-22-15||Baltimore Ravens v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 44.5||Top||17-40||Win||100||123 h 5 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
|08-24-14||Cincinnati Bengals v. Arizona Cardinals -1||Top||19-13||Loss||-125||136 h 30 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on the Arizona Cardinals.
|08-23-14||Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Buffalo Bills -165||Top||27-14||Loss||-165||109 h 59 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on the Buffalo Bills.
|08-22-14||Jacksonville Jaguars v. Detroit Lions -170||Top||12-13||Win||100||88 h 59 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on the Detroit Lions.
For years the Jaguars haven been the whipping boys of the NFL, by far the worst team of the current generation. With Blake Bortles though, there is hope for the future, and they should win a few more games in 2014.
Still, this is the third week of the pre-season, which means the starters are expected to see plenty of snaps. That doesn't bode well for a weak Jacksonville defense, that will have to contend with the Lions dynamic offense. To say that Matthew Stafford looked sharp last week against the Raiders, would be putting it lightly. He completed 8-of-10 attempts for 88 yards and a pair of TDs.
Surprisingly, backup QB Dan Orlovsky has also had a fantastic pre-season, moving the ball with relative ease. This is a mismatch of epic proportions, and the Lions would be a double digit favorite if this was the real deal. I'm expecting to see the home team put on a show in the Motor City.
|08-21-14||Pittsburgh Steelers v. Philadelphia Eagles -3||Top||21-31||Win||100||64 h 60 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on the Philadelphia Eagles.
|08-18-14||Cleveland Browns v. Washington Redskins OVER 41||Top||23-24||Win||100||41 h 32 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
The Redskins host the Browns on Monday Night Football, and everyone is looking forward to seeing Johnny Manziel in just his second pre-season game. Browns rookie head coach Mike Pettine has already assured fans that Manziel will see time with the first team offense: "Johnny's going to get reps with the ones. Just to me, the factor of starting the game I think is a little bit overblown in this situation because we're going to try to balance the reps with the ones, It's a little overrated who trots out there for the first time."
The Redskins will also showcase more of their starters in this game, most notably their star wideouts Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson. Backup quarterbacks Colt McCoy and Kirk Cousins impressed in the win over New England, throwing for a combined 205 yards and a pair of TDs. They will take a back seat to Robert Griffin tonight, at least for most of the first half.
We have seen a trend of high scoring games in this pre-season, and tonight's game should be another shootout. Both teams are excited about their respective offenses, and with the aid of the flag happy officials, there should be no shortage of points.
|08-16-14||Arizona Cardinals v. Minnesota Vikings -160||Top||28-30||Win||100||14 h 16 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
|08-16-14||NY Giants v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 41||Top||27-26||Win||100||13 h 35 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on [email protected] to go OVER the total.
|08-15-14||San Diego Chargers v. Seattle Seahawks -6||Top||14-41||Win||100||19 h 11 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
|08-07-14||Seattle Seahawks +1 v. Denver Broncos||Top||16-21||Loss||-100||100 h 40 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
|08-24-13||Philadelphia Eagles -200 v. Jacksonville Jaguars||Top||31-24||Win||100||7 h 14 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on the Philadelphia Eagles.
If you are a believer in coach Chip Kelly, you have to think that the Eagles are going to get better every week as they learn more about the new coach's system. If you aren't a believer, then you should probably go look at some tape of the Oregon Ducks over the past decade.
The Jags are without any shadow of a doubt the worst team in football, tied with Kansas City with a 2-14 record last season. The Chiefs have taken steps to make improvements bringing in Alex Smith and Andy Reid, but the Jags have done very little to give fans reason for optimism.
Blaine Gabbert has been named the starting quarterback, not because of his impressive play, but because Chad Henne and Mike Kafka haven't been any better.
Gabbert won't see action tonight, as he sits with a thumb injury. Henne will likely get the bulk of the snaps, but he was terrible last week completing 4-of-10 passes and getting picked off.
How bad is the Jags defense? Well any team that gives up 400 yards to Mark Sanchez and the Jets surely has some concerns one the defensive side of the ball.
The Jags have been blown out in each of their first two games, and I see no reason to expect them to be more competitive tonight.
|08-23-13||Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 42.5||Top||17-10||Win||100||6 h 2 m||Show|
This is a 2* play on [email protected] to go UNDER.
We all remember last year's Monday night debacle, when replacement referees botched the call on the final play of the game ruling that the Seahawks scored a touchdown on a hail mary pass to Golden Tate in the endzone.
There was something else about that game that has stuck in my memory, neither team was able to move the ball. Through the first three quarters both teams combined for a total of just 13 points. They scored 13 more in the fourth quarter, but seven of those should never have counted.
The Packers and their fans surely haven't forgotten about last season's bitter Monday night defeat. The last thing anyone in Green Bay wants to see is the Seahawks come to town and embarrass their beloved Packers.
We know that Pete Carroll plays to win in the pre-season, and we've seen his Seahawks win six in row over the past two seasons, blowing out the opposition by double digits in each of those victories.
When it comes to the third week of pre-season play though, Mike McCarthy also likes to play for keeps, as the Packers are 8-2 ATS in Week 3 over the past 10 seasons.
The Pack is likely to focus heavily on running the ball, with a raging battle between Eddy Lacy and DuJuan Harris.
After two weeks of exhibition games, Seattle's defense has allowed an average of 10 points per game, while Green Bay's defense has allowed an average of just 12 points per game.
I expect to see a hard fought defensive battle here, resulting in a close low scoring affair.
|08-22-13||New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions -1||Top||9-40||Win||100||6 h 54 m||Show|
Traditionally, Bill Belichick hasn't made winning in the pre-season a priority, and his career win/loss record sits barely above .500.
The Patriots come into tonight's game with a chance to move to 3-0 after three weeks of exhibition play for the first time in 10 years.
Jim Schwartz's Lions though should be playing for keeps at home tonight. Schwartz owns a stellar 12-4 record in pre-season games.
The Patriots have looked awfully good so far, while the opposite can be said about the lions. While this might be alarming to some, I'm expecting to see Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and Matthew Stafford to play a much greater roll on offense in this game.
A poor showing from the Lions defense in the first two weeks of the exhibition season has prompted Detroit to bring in veterans Rashean Mathis and Rocky McIntosh.
I expect to see both teams put a few points on the board, but the Lions need this win a lot more than New England does, so expect the home team to come out on top.