PAGE_HEADER

This is a 10* play on Bayern.

Robert Lewandowski left Bayern in the off-season to join Barcelona, and returns to face his former club in a Champions League match in Munich on Tuesday. While he's off and running with his new club, his replacements at Bayern are also making their mark. Jamal Musiala leads the team in scoring with four goals in five matches, while Sadio Mane has scored three times in six matches. These teams have played three times over the last seven years, Bayern has won all three of those matches by a combined score of 14-2. As good as Barcelona looks, this is a tough spot and they will do well just to keep the game close.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

I said this about Kansas City a few weeks ago: "Kansas City sits dead last in the MLS standings, but after picking up William Agada and Erick Thommy in the mid season transfer market, they are not the same squad. They have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, winning two of those games" They since won at home versus San Jose, and then earned a 2-2 draw on the road at LAFC. It would appear that the betting markets haven't properly accounted for the new additions to this team. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five matches, and three of the last four head to head meetings went over. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Austin F.C. is the second highest scoring team in MLS behind LAFC. After upsetting LAFC they suffered a let down in their next game losing 2-1 at home to Portland. They look to get back on track here in Nashville, and I like both teams to score in a high scoring match here. Nashville has one of the worst home records in MLS, despite scoring 25 goals in 15 matches. Austin F.C. has the second best away record in MLS, scoring 23 goals in 14 matches. The over is a combined 10-0 in these teams last 10 matches combined.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Liverpool.

After a lackluster start to the season Liverpool scored nine times in a 9-0 win over Bournemouth over the weekend. They host Newcastle here on Wednesday, and this looks like a tough spot for the Magpies. Newcastle could be without six starting players for this match, and that includes stars Allan Saint-Maximin and Callum Wilson. The last visit to Anfield was a 3-1 loss for Newcastle, and a similar score should be expected here in this match.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on KC.

Kansas City sits dead last in the MLS standings, but after picking up William Agada and Erick Thommy in the mid season transfer market, they are not the same squad. They have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, winning two of those games. They host San Jose Saturday, and this appears to be a let down spot for the Earthquakes. San Jose is coming off a 2-1 home win over LAFC, but the Earthquakes have just one win in 13 away matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Liverpool.

Neither of these two clubs have started the season the way they have hoped, but the situation at Old Trafford is a real dumpster fire. There have even been rumors that this match could be postponed due to protests from fans calling for the American owners of the club to be ousted. Erik Ten Hag has made a move to sign defensive midfielder Casemiro, but he's not going to play in this match. It will be the same squad that allowed four goals to Brentford, and lost 2-1 at home to Brighton. Liverpool has won three straight Premier League matches versus United by a combined score of 13-2. Two of those wins came at Old Trafford. It goes from bad to worse for the Red Devils.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Sporting KC sits dead last in the Western Conference standings, and they have scored an MLS worst 26 goals in 26 matches. The good news is that they have scored seven of those goals in their last two matches. Their mid season signings (Erik Thommy and William Agada) have made an immediate impact, combining to score four goals in four matches since joining the club. History tells us we should expect a high score in a home game against the Portland Timber, as Kansas City looks to avenge a 7-2 loss to at Portland earlier this season. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings, and both teams have scored in all five of those matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Real Salt Lake.

Salt Lake is one of the best home sides in all of MLS. They are 7-3-2 in a dozen home matches, with a +8 goal differential. Only two teams in the Western Conference have a better home record than Salt Lake. They host Vancouver on Saturday night, and the Whitecaps have just two wins in 13 away matches. The home team has won four of the last five meetings between these clubs, with the one exception being a 4-0 win for Salt Lake in Vancouver. The Whitecaps have conceded 45 goals this season, and only two teams in MLS have conceded more.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The LA Galaxy have fallen far from grace in MLS, coming into tonight's home game against Seattle with a sub .500 record. They have scored seven goals in their last two matches, but they have also conceded six while going 1-1 during that span. The Sounders finished second in the Western Conference last season, but they are currently sitting in 10th in the West. They are coming off a shocking 2-1 home loss to Salt Lake, and they have gone over the total in four of their last five overall. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four head to head matches, and we can expect another high score here in LA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Toronto FC is 3-0-1 in their last four matches, and since acquiring Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi they are a different team. Both players found the net in a 3-1 win over Portland in their last match, and Toronto has only lost once in 13 home matches. They have scored 23 goals in those games. New England comes in as one of the more competitive teams in away matches, and they are one of just six teams to score 20 or more goals on the road. We should expect at least three goals here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* play on LAFC.

While the home team is an enormous favorite here, this just seems like too great a mismatch for the visitors to overcome. LAFC (the best team in MLS) has a +20 goal differential at home, while the visitors (DC United) have a -18 goal differential on the road. Only Charlotte has a worse goal differential in away matches (-19), and they just lost 5-0 at Banc of California Stadium. LAFC won the last meeting 4-0 in Washington, and a similar score is expected here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Liverpool. 

I am not concerned by a 2-2 draw at Fulham in their season opener. Liverpool was coming off a 3-1 win over Manchester City in the Community Shield. They were entitled to suffer a bit of a let down on the road. This is a whole different kettle of fish (and chips). Playing at home at Anfield where they were undefeated last season. The Reds were 15-4-0 with a +40 goal differential in 19 home matches a year ago. They are facing a Crystal Palace team that they have beaten in five straight meetings. All five of those games were decided by 2+ goals, with a combined score of 17-1. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Spurs.

While Chelsea has won the last four meetings between these two teams, holding Tottenham scoreless in all four matches, Spurs appear to be vastly improved since last season. They got off to a convincing start with a 4-1 win over Southamton in their season opener, while Chelsea just barely beat Everton in a 1-0 win decided by a penalty. Last season Chelsea played to a draw in seven of their 19 home matches, winning just nine of those contests. Tottenham suffered just six losses in 19 away matches last season. I like the Spurs chances of at least earning a draw here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Toronto FC looks like a different team since acquiring Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardesch. Both players scored in a 4-3 win over Nashville in their last match. They have struggled defensively all season long, conceding 42 goals in 24 matches. They host the Portland Timbers on Saturday, and these two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings. Portland has conceded 22 goals in a dozen away matches, and Toronto has scored 20 goals in a dozen home matches. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Austin FC.

Sitting second in the Western Conference, and just four points back of league leaders LAFC, the bookmakers appear to be late to the party with Austin FC. They are just a small favorite in a home game against a San Jose team that is winless in it's last five matches. The Earthquakes have won just once in 11 away matches, and their goal differential is -10 in those games. Austin FC has scored an MLS best 47 goals in 23 matches. It's asking a lot for SJ to keep up here in Austin.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Portland Timbers are coming off a 4-4 draw versus Minnesota, and high scoring games have been the norm for this team in recent weeks. They have gone over the number in four of their last five matches, scoring a dozen goals during that span. Tonight they host a Nashville team that has the 5th best away record in MLS, and I fancy Nashville to score here in Portland. The last time these teams played it ended in a 2-2 draw. I expect a similar result here this time around.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the NYRB.

The Red Bulls don't have a great home record overall, but they have won three of their last four at home. Tuesday they face a Colorado Rapids team that has the worst away record of any team in MLS. Colorado is 0-3-7 with a -13 goal differential in 10 away matches so far this season. The Rapids have scored nine fewer goals and conceded five more than New York. Two teams trending in opposite directions, and it appear the home side is undervalued.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Austin.

Only four teams have a positive goal differential on the road, and one of those teams is Austin FC. There are only three teams in Major League Soccer with a negative goal differential at home, and one of those is Sporting KC. Ranked dead last in the Western Conference, Sporting KC also has the worst home record in the league. Austin FC leads MLS in scoring with 45 goals in 22 matches, while Sporting KC ranks dead last in the league with just 19 goals in 23 matches. Home field may not make a difference here in tonight's match.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on LAFC.

They were already the best team in MLS, but the addition of Garreth Bale makes them even better. I had this to say prior to their last match: "Garreth Bale's LAFC debut was rather uneventful, coming off the bench in the finals minutes of a 2-1 win over Nashville. He might see more action here in Kansas City tonight. Sporting KC sits at the bottom of the table, one of just four MLS clubs with a negative goal differential at home. LAFC is one of the best road teams in MLS, going 5-1-3 in nine matches. With a challenge at the top of the table from Austin FC, we should expect LAFC to go for the win tonight." Bale scored and they won 2-0 at Atlanta. We should expect them to have little trouble with Seattle here at home. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on LAFC.

Garreth Bale's LAFC debut was rather uneventful, coming off the bench in the finals minutes of a 2-1 win over Nashville. He might see more action here in Kansas City tonight. Sporting KC sits at the bottom of the table, one of just four MLS clubs with a negative goal differential at home. LAFC is one of the best road teams in MLS, going 5-1-3 in nine matches. With a challenge at the top of the table from Austin FC, we should expect LAFC to go for the win tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Argentinos Juniors.

The Boca Juniors are the most famous team in Argentina, winning the league a record 34 times. The betting markets have been slow to adjust to the fact that they are no longer one of the top teams in the league. Argentinos Juniors are level on points with the first place team in the league, and they are unbeaten at home (3-0-1). Boca Juniors have lost two of three away matches, and are just 4-4 overall in the league. The poor results have led to the sacking of Sebastian Battaglia, and Boca will have an interim manager moving forward. The home dog appears to be the sharp play here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Atlanta is coming off a 2-1 home win over Real Salt Lake, and they have gone over 2.5 goals in five straight matches. They host Orlando FC on Sunday, and these two teams have gone over in three of the last four head to head meetings. High scoring games have been the trend in Atlanta, with the home squad scoring 19 goals and conceding 14 in 10 home matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the LA Galaxy.

LA is ranked 5th in the Western Conference, and they are in danger of falling out of the top tier in MLS. They are coming off a 3-2 loss at LAFC, but prior to that they beat Montreal 4-0 at home. They still have a respectable home record, and tonight they face a team that is winless on the road. San Jose is 0-3-6 with a -10 goal differential on the road. Home field is so huge in MLS, and this looks like a spot to back the home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Montreal.

Just last week Montreal was sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference, but after losing on the road at LA they have slipped to third. A home game against the last place team in MLS appears to be a great spot to get back on track. Sporting KC is just 1-2-7 with an MLS worst -16 goal differential in 10 games on the road. Montreal has a fairly average home record with five wins in eight matches, but they did score 16 goals in those games. All three of their home losses came against teams versus a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

Montreal is all of a sudden sitting at the top of the Eastern Conference standings, despite a goal differential of just +3. While they have scored 32 goals in 17 matches, they have conceded almost as many. They will play in LA on the 4th of July, and the Galaxy are just 4-1-1 with a negative goal differential at home. I expect both teams to score here, and it should take at least two goals to win it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on New York FC.

New York City is a powerhouse at home, and they have the best goal differential of any team in the MLS while going 6-2-1 in their nine home games. They host Atlanta, a team that struggles on the road. Atlanta is 1-1-6 in eight road games this season. New York is 3-0-1 in the last four head to head meetings, and they are back home after going winless on a three game road trip. New York has out-scored Atlanta 8-2 in the last four meetings. This looks like a great spot for the home favorite to get back on track.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Over.

Of the seven games in MLS on Wednesday, six of them went over the total. I expect that trend to continue here tonight with Austin FC playing at Charlotte. Only two teams in MLS have scored more goals this season than Austin FC. That said, their record in away matches is pretty pedestrian with a negative goal differential. Charlotte on the other hand has one of the better home records in MLS, going 6-2 with a +6 goal differential. Austin FC has gone over in four of their last five matches overall, while the over is 3-2 in Charlotte's last five matches. The most likely outcome here is a 2-1 final score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Madrid.

Here is what I said about Madrid prior to their win over Manchester City in the Semifinal: " Karim Benzema scored twice for Real Madrid, and he leads all scorers in Champions League play with 14 goals in 10 matches. He's the best player in the world at the moment, so it's expected that he will score at home in the second leg." Madrid scored three goals in five minutes to come back from the dead and eliminate City. Liverpool comes into the Final off a let down on the final day of the Premier League. They appeared to have passed Manchester City on points, but the Citizens staged a late comeback of their own to hold on and win another title. Liverpool has played two draws, and won by a single goal twice in their last five matches. Madrid is 4-0-1 in their last five matches versus Liverpool, and I wouldn't be surprised if this game goes to extra time to decide a winner.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

This is a huge game for both teams, with a spot in next season's Champions League up for grabs. Arsenal has been playing like they are on a mission, winning four straight matches and scoring 10 goals in those games. The Spurs have not been on top form, with just two wins in their last five matches. These teams played twice in the Premier League in 2021, and both those games went over the total. Arsenal has gone over in all four games during their current winning streak.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

So Man City was on their way to the Champions League Final, but after conceding not one but two goals in injury time they lost on a Benzema penalty in extra time in the Semi Final. Now they focus on clinching the Premier League with Liverpool still hot on their heels. They host a Newcastle team that has won four of their last five matches. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone over the total, and we should expect another high scoring affair here in Manchester.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 10* play on Real Madrid +1.5.

Manchester City has no business being such a big favorite here in the first leg of this Champions League tie. While City is under heavy pressure in a heated Premier League battle with Liverpool, Madrid is on the verge of clinching another La Liga title. Karim Benzema looks like the best player in the world at the moment, with a dozen goals in nine matches in Champions League play. Manchester City has injury concerns that might cause Gabriel Jesus to play out of position at right back. We expect a cautious approach from both teams, and a draw seems like a likely result. Only once in the last five head to head meetings has either of these teams won by more than one goal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on Over,

Manchester United finished at the top of Group F, despite conceding eight goals in six matches. Atletico Madrid finished second in Group B, also conceding eight goals in six matches. Both teams also rank poorly in goals against in their respective domestic leagues. We saw a 1-1 draw in Spain, which means neither team has the luxury of protecting a lead. I expect both teams to go for it here in the second match at Old Trafford. The leading scorer in Champions League history is on top form, scoring a hat trick over the weekend in a 3-2 win over Spurs. Atletico has scored seven goals in three matches in Spain since the first leg match. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

They say "money isn't everything", but it sure as hell helps. Newcastle has benefited from deep pockets, buying players over the last few months, and it's helped them turn their season around with a record of 6-0-2 in their last eight matches. They have a history of playing high scoring matches against Southampton. Last year these teams played twice, and both teams scored at least twice in each meeting. Only Leeds and Norwich have conceded more goals than Newcastle this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Madrid.

PSG won the first leg by a score of 1-0, but they head to the Bernabeu for the second leg of this Champions League tie versus Real Madrid. The home team is sitting top of the table in Spain, leading the league in goals scored as well as goal differential. They have yet to be beaten at home in La Liga this season, boasting a record of 10-0-4. Paris has lost two of three domestic league games since their first leg win versus Madrid, and they might not have Kylian Mbappe in the lineup Wedneday. The French international suffered a foot injury over the weekend. "Kylian Mbappé received a knock on his right foot in training today. He has undergone treatment this afternoon," read the release. "The medical tests are reassuring and another update will be made in 24 hours." It was Mbappe who scored the only goal in the first leg.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAFC.

Carlos Vela missed most of the last two MLS seasons, and his team suffered in his absence. His last full season was in 2019, and he scored an incredible 36 goals in 33 starts. LAFC finished first in MLS that season, eight points clear of their closest competitor. Vela appears to be healthy, scoring a hat trick in the season opener. Portland needed to score a late equalizer to salvage a draw in their home opener versus New England. I don't fancy the Timbers to earn any points here in LA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LA.

I ain't gonna blow smoke up your @## and pretend I know everything about the expansion team from Charlotte. This is just the second weekend of the MLS season, and with college hoops in full swing and NBA and NHL into the second half of the season, my focus hasn't been on soccer. I do know that Charlotte lost it's first match 3-0 to a mediocre DC United team, and I know that the last few expansion teams in the MLS have finished at or near the bottom of the table in their first season. LA Galaxy had high expectations when they signed Chicharito, but he's had trouble staying healthy. He scored a goal in their season opener, giving him 18 goals in his last 21 starts. He's still a world class player, and he should give the Galaxy a huge edge. I will take the plus money for a small play.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Spurs.

Tottenham sits eighth in the Premier League table, which would have to be considered a disappointment. Harry Kane has only scored seven goals, but two of those came in a win over Manchester City over the weekend. Spurs come in on top form, looking to finish the season strong. Burnley is sitting in the relegation zone, and they have just two wins so far this season. History favors Spurs who have outscored Burnley a combined 12-1 while going 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Chelsea.

After finishing at the Top of League 1 in France last year, Lille sits 11th in the table this season. Chelsea sits third in the Premier League table, and they come in on top form with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. While they aren't really in the running to to win the Premier League, I think Chelsea may be better suited to win the Champions League. They have the best goalkeeper, and they are incredibly efficient on defense. The Blues have posted a clean sheet in three of their last four matches in all competitions, and I expect another clean sheet here. Looking for a 2-0 win for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Newcastle has won three straight matches, moving them out of the relegation zone. They still need to earn points to hold off the likes of Norwich and Watford who are just a few points back. Points will be hard to come by against West Ham, who are sitting in 5th in the Premier League. The Hammers have scored 44 goals in 25 matches, and Newcastle has allowed 44 goals in 23 matches. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

West Ham and Leiceser have a history of playing high scoring games. The last five head to head matches have all seen at least three goals combined. Leicester has conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, while West Ham is one of four clubs in the Premier League to have scored 40 or more goals. West Ham has scored 10 goals in their last three matches versus Leicester, and I expect both teams to score here on Super Bowl Sunday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Watford. 

Brighton Hove Albion sits in the top 10 in the Premier League table, despite winning just six of their 22 matches. They have played a Premier League leading 12 draws, making it twice as likely they draw than actually win, and three times as likely to lose or draw rather than win. They face a Watford club fighting to avoid relegation, and another draw here seems likely. Watford has played to a draw twice in their last four matches, and two of the last four head to head versus Brighton have been draws.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Aston Villa.

Steven Gerrard has Villa playing on top form, coming off a 1-0 win over Everton and a 2-2 draw versus Manchester United. They host Leeds United Wednesday, and this is a game they should win. Leeds has failed to score in two of their last three matches, and they have a -12 goal differential while going 2-2-7 in away matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Manchester United.

The Red Devils sit in fourth in the Premier League table, nine points behind Chelsea. They are coming off a disappointing loss to Middlesbrough in the FA Cup. They look to get back on track here against Burnley, who sit dead last in the Premier League. Burnley is coming off a scoreless draw at home versus Watford, a game that was entirely uninspiring. They would be thrilled to earn a draw here today, but given that they have scored a Premier League low eight goals in 19 matches, and have just one win, it's hard to like their chances.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

There are only three teams in the Premier League that have scored 30 or more goals as well as conceded 30 or more goals. Two of those teams will play each other on Saturday when Manchester United hosts West Ham United. The Hammers have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches, and they have scored 41 goals in 22 matches in the Premier League this season. These two teams are fighting for a spot in the Champions League, and we should see an exciting game with both teams scoring here at Old Trafford.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Leicester City has scored 31 goals this season, which is eight more than Tottenham. They have also conceded 33 goals, which is 13 more than Spurs. These teams have each scored their share in recent head to head meetings. Spurs won the last meeting by a score of 4-2 at King Power Stadium last May, and four of the last five meetings have seen a total of three or more goals. Leicester has scored at least one goal in 10 straight matches, and I expect to see goals from both teams here at King Power on Wednesday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

At this point in the Premier League season, a match between two teams at the bottom of the table can be just as exciting as a match between two of the top teams. Watford is just two points clear of relegation, and Newcastle is currently tied with Burnley and just one point clear of last place Norwich. That makes this a must win for both these teams as they look to aviod relegation. Newcastle has the advantage, with deep pockets they have been buying players to improve their squad. Watford has scored at least one goal in seven of their last eight matches, and they have conceded at least two goals in seven of those eight games. This one should be a thriller.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MUTD.

The Red Devils remain undefeated since Ralf Ragnick replaced Ole Gunnar Solsksjaer as head coach. They are coming off a 3-1 home win over Burnley. Manchester United struggled defensively under Solksjaer, but they have conceded just three goals in five matches under Ragnick. Wolverhampton doesn't pose much of a threat, only cellar dwelling Norwich has scored fewer goals than Wolves. The visitors will try to play for a draw, but I don't like their chances of stopping the mighty Red Devils at Old Trafford.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

West Ham will visit Crystal Palace on New Years Day, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring matches. They have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings. The Hammers have gone over in each of their last three matches, while Palace has gone over in four straight matches. Patrick Vieira's side is missing some top players, but they still managed to score three goals in their last match versus Norwich.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Over.

Liverpool leads the Premier League in scoring with 48 goals, eight more than Premier League leaders Manchester City. The Spurs have had limited success this season, but they have score five goals while winning their last two matches. Liverpool has scored five goals while winning their last two versus Spurs 3-1 and 2-1. Liverpool has conceded at least one goal in four of their last five matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on Over.

I bet the over in the Gunners last game, and fell short after a missed penalty. Here is what I said prior to that match: "The big news out of Arsenal is that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been stripped of the captain's arm band. They did just fine without him in a 3-0 win over Southampton in their last match. It won't be so easy today as they face 4th place West Ham." They are at Leeds on Saturday, and Leeds is coming off a 7-0 loss to Manchester City. Leeds has conceded 32 goals this season, only two teams have conceded more (Newcastle and Norwich).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The big news out of Arsenal is that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been stripped of the captain's arm band. They did just fine without him in a 3-0 win over Southampton in their last match. It won't be so easy today as they face 4th place West Ham. The Hammers have scored 28 goals in 16 matches, and recent history between these teams suggests we could see a high score here. The last meeting was a 3-3 draw, and three of the last four meetings have gone over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Only two teams in the Premier League have conceded 30+ goals, and Newcastle is one of them. Leicester City is hardly a defensive powerhouse, coming off a 3-2 loss to Napoli that knocks them out of the Europa League, and they have conceded two or more goals in four straight matches. This will be the third meeting between these teams in 2021, and they scored a combined seven goals in the first two meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Manchester United.

The Red Devils have looked better since Ralf Rangnick has taken over. A 1-1 draw against Young Boys in the Champions League was not a bad result given that they rested most of their regular stars. They have won their last two Premier League starts versus Crystal Palace and Arsenal. They will play Norwich City Saturday, and this should be a mismatch. Norchwich sits dead last in the table, with no real hope of avoiding relegation. Manchester United has won the last three head to head meetings by a combined score of 9-2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Brentford will host Watford in a Friday match in the Premier League, and both these teams have been conceding a ton of goals lately. Watford has lost three straight matches, conceding nine goals in those matches. Brentford is coming off a 2-2 draw versus Leeds United, and they have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches. Watford has scored eight goals in their last four matches, unfortunately their defense has been sloppy. They have conceded 29 goals this season, only Newcastle and Norwich have conceded more.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 2.5.

Atalanta will need to win as the home favorite in order to qualify for the round of 16 in the Champions League. They host Villa Real, and these teams played to a 2-2 draw earlier in the competition. Atalanta ranks 2nd in Series A in scoring, and they have scored 16 goals in their last five matches in all competitions. Another draw might be enough to get Villa Real through, but they will have to score to keep up to Atalanta. This should be an exciting match with plenty of scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Liverpool and AC Milan played a cracker of a game back in September, and Liverpool won by a score of 3-2. While Liverpool sits comfortably on top of the group, this is a must win game for Milan. They won't have the luxury of playing for a draw, and their tactics will reflect a level of desperation. Milan needs a win to have any chance at advancing to the round of 16. These teams have gone over in all three previous meetings in the Champions League dating back to 2005. We expect plenty of scoring here at San Siro.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MUTD. 

The Red Devils appear to have turned the corner since sacking Ole Gunnar Sosksjaer. They are coming off a 3-2 win over Arsenal midweek, and last weekend they played a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea. A home game against Crystal Palace is a must win for new boss Ralf Rangnick. Palace have lost back to back games. Both these teams rank among the worst in the Premier League in goals against, each conceding over 20 goals in 14 matches. Both teams have scored above the Premier League average. We should expect a high score here at Old Trafford.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over. 

The Red Devils appear to have turned the corner since sacking Ole Gunnar Sosksjaer. They are coming off a 3-2 win over Arsenal midweek, and last weekend they played a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea. A home game against Crystal Palace is a must win for new boss Ralf Rangnick. Palace have lost back to back games. Both these teams rank among the worst in the Premier League in goals against, each conceding over 20 goals in 14 matches. Both teams have scored above the Premier League average. We should expect a high score here at Old Trafford.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Bayern Munich.

The Ballon D'or was presented to Lionel Messi this week, and this was one of the most obvious signs that FIFA is even more crooked that a two dollar bill. For the second season in a row, the rightful winner of the Ballon D'or will not receive his trophy. Robert Lewandowski has scored 14 goals in 13 matches in the Bundesliga this season. Messi has scored one goal for PSG... 

Bayern sits in first place, with a goal differential of +29 compared to second place Dortmund +14. Bayern has won five straight head to head versus Dortmund, and we should expect Lewandowski to have a statement game here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MUTD.

Manchester United finally sacked Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, and there is still time to turn their season around. If their 1-1 draw against Chelsea is any indication of what's to come, they may be in good shape. Arsenal comes in with four wins in their last five matches, three of those wins coming at home. The Gunners have a -8 goal differential in away games this season, only Norwich City ranks worse. This is a big game for the Red Devils, and I expect their talent to shine here in a big rivalry game at Old Trafford.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The bottom two teams in the Premier League will play at St. James Park Tuesday, and neither of these clubs have been able to stop opponents from scoring. Between them the have conceded a total of 56 goals while each playing in 13 Premier League matches. These teams have scored a combined four or more goals in four of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Chelsea.

Chelsea sits top of the table in the Premier League, and they host a mediocre Manchester United squad Sunday. The Red Devils have themselves a new manager, and perhaps Ralf Rangnick can turn things around at Old Trafford. Don't expect it to happen overnight, and in the mean time they are likely to continue to struggle. The Blues have only conceded four goals this season, posting four clean sheets in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester United has been embarrassed by top teams this year, losing to Liverpool and City by a combined score of 7-0. They will do well to avoid another embarrassment here at Stamford Bridge.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 3.5.

Manchester City has been scoring plenty of goals versus lesser opponents, but the last time they faced PSG they lost 2-0 at Paris. In fact the last two head to head meetings between these teams ended with a final score of 2-2. Manchester City has only conceded three goals in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted three clean sheets during that span. It's expected to be a wet and windy day in Manchester, and I don't expect to see more than three goals scored in this match.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over 2.5.

Brighton Hove Albion is coming off a pair of 2-2 games against Premier League powerhouses Liverpool and Leicester. They host Newcastle today, and they have won their last two versus Newcastle by a combined score of 6-0. Newcastle has conceded 23 goals in 10 matches so far this season, only Norwich has conceded more. The good news for Newcastle is that they have only been held scoreless in one of their last eight matches, scoring nine goals during that span. Expect a high score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

I had the over in the first leg of this Champions League tie, and here is what I said prior to that match: "Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on over.

I bet against Manchester United last weekend, and here is what I said before the game: "Manchester United is coming off a 3-2 win over Atalanta in the Champions League, just a few days after they lost 4-2 to Leicester in the Premier League. Their defense will need to be a lot better if they hope to come away with any points in this weekend's fixture versus Liverpool. Mo Salah leads the Premier League in scoring with seven goals in eight starts, and Liverpool is tied for 2nd with a +16 goal differential. Manchester United is 0-2-1 in their last three Premier League games versus Liverpool." I am expecting another high score here in their match versus Tottenham.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Liverpool.

Manchester United is coming off a 3-2 win over Atalanta in the Champions League, just a few days after they lost 4-2 to Leicester in the Premier League. Their defense will need to be a lot better if they hope to come away with any points in this weekend's fixture versus Liverpool. Mo Salah leads the Premier League in scoring with seven goals in eight starts, and Liverpool is tied for 2nd with a +16 goal differential. Manchester United is 0-2-1 in their last three Premier League games versus Liverpool.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MUTD.

Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Both Spurs and Newcastle have their issues, neither team playing particularly well defensively. Neither team has posted a clean sheet in their last five matches, and neither team has posted a clean sheet the last three times these teams have faced each other. Spurs have scored seven goals in their last two matches, while Newcastle has conceded 10 goals during a five game winless run. We should expect both teams to score here in a high scoring game at St. Jame's Park.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 10* play on the Under.

The Wolverhampton Wanderers, otherwise known as "Wolves", will host Newcastle United on Saturday, and we shouldn't expect to see a high score here. Newcastle is coming off consecutive 1-1 draws, while Wolves has gone under in four of their last five matches in all competitions. Goals have been few and far between for Wolves, scoring in just three of their six matches. The good news is that they have only conceded five goals in those games. History paints a pretty clear pitcture, as the last four head to head meetings all ended with the same score (1-1 draw).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Chelsea.

Chelsea sits in a first place tie with Liverpool, and they host fifth place Manchester City on Saturday. While City are defending champions, they failed to land a striker this summer, while rivals Chelsea and Manchester United signed the likes of Lukaku and Ronaldo. Manchester City was fortunate to come away with a draw at home versus Southampton last weekend, and they could be in trouble here at Stamford Bridge. The last time these teams played head to head was in the Champions League Final, and Chelsea won that game 1-0. Chelsea has won three straight versus City, posting a clean sheet in two of those wins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over 2.5.

Two of the top teams in the Premier League will meet in London on Sunday, and I expect to see plenty of scoring when the Hammers host the Red Devils. West Ham has not lost in four Premier League matches so far, and they have scored 10 goals in those games. Manchester United has scored 11 goals in four matches, settling for three wins and a draw. Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice in a 4-1 win over Newcastle in his Red Devils debut (2nd stint), and he's sure to find the net here in London. Manchester United won 3-1 the last time they played at West Ham.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Draw.

Brentford has impressed since being promoted to the Premier League, with a win and two draws in their first four matches. There is no doubt they will be playing for a draw here on the road versus Wolves this week. Both teams have been strong defensively, and this game sets up as a defensive battle. Wolverhampton has failed to reach the total in four of their last five matches, including a 1-0 home loss to Manchester United. Brentford has conceded just two goals in four matches. All four of their games have gone under the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over 2.5.

Arsenal sits dead last in the Premier League table, and coach Mikel Arteta is on the hot seat. They host Norwich City, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Both clubs are winless in the Premier League with a -9 goal differential, and both teams won by a score of 6-0 in their respective Carabao Cup matches against Championship clubs. I wouldn't fancy either of these teams to post a clean sheet, and I expect a high score here in London. The last three head to head meetings all went over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Manchester United.

The Red Devils came into the season as a serious contender to win the league, but after acquiring Cristiano Ronaldo they are probably now the favorites. Confidence should be high heading into this Sunday's away match at Wolves. It's been a rough start for Wolves losing both their first two league matches, and failing to score a goal in those games. United scored twice against Southampton last week, but unfortunately one of those was an own goal. The Red Devils are 29-9-7 all time at Wolverhampton.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Manchester City.

The Gunners come into this game off a high, beating West Brom 6-0 in the Carabao Cup. It's time for a reality check though, as they have been outscored 4-0 in their first two Premier League matches. That includes a 2-0 loss at home to newly promoted Brentford. Mancehster City is the favorite to repeat as champions, and they are coming off a 5-0 home win over Norwich. Arsenal has given no indication they can do what few teams can, and that's come away with points at the Etihad.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Over.

West Ham got off to a cracking start, beating Newcastle by a score of 4-2 in their season opener, and they host Leicester City on Monday. West Ham scored 62 goals in the league last year, that's four more than Chelsea, and seven more than Arsenal. Their defending however is nowhere near the quality of the top teams in the Premier League, and I don't like their chances of posting a clean sheet here against Leicester. These teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Chelsea.

Chelsea finished fourth in the Premier League last season, but they won the Champions League Final versus Manchester City. They were a different team after Thomas Tuchel took over for Frank Lampard. They went on a spending spree last summer, and have since added more big names ahead of this season. The likes of Werner and Havertz should be better in their second year at the club, while Romelu Lukaka is a familiar face in the Premier League. Arsenal is a bit of a mess, and they aren't at a level that would allow them to compete with the top five clubs in the league. The Gunners haven't won in five matches, and they have only scored once in their last three matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Everton won their opening match by a score of 3-1 at home versus Southampton, and this week they head out on the road for a match at Leeds. They won here last year by a score of 2-1, and I would expect another high score this time around. Neither of these teams are likely to post a clean sheet, and it's probably going to take two goals to get a win. Leeds gave up five goals in a loss to Manchester United in their opening match. Leeds scored 62 goals in the league last year, that's four more than Chelsea, and seven more than Arsenal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Chelsea is stacked with talent heading into the 2021 season, and the Champions League winners will take on the Eufa Cup Champs in Ireland today. We have seen Chelsea score plenty of goals in recent friendlies, and they haven't posted a clean sheet since last season's Champions League Final. Villarreal has conceded seven goals in four friendlies since defeating Manchester United in the Eufa Cup. I like both teams to score here and the total to go over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Italy.

England fans fancy their team as the favorites to win the Euro, but perhaps Graeme Souness said it best:

"If I was Gareth Southgate, sitting down to write his Russia 2018 report for the FA, then top of my notepad would be the following – never allow that song, 'Football's Coming Home', to be played again during a major tournament," declared Souness.

"Football's coming home, is it? So, England effectively own the sport. I don't think so.

"They didn't have a monopoly on it when their teams and the FA were big players in the global power game back in the last century, and they don't now."

Their win over Denmark was a result of a controversial penalty that Kane missed, but had the good fortune to score on the rebound. All the pressure is on the English here in the Final, and they are up against an Italian side that is unbeaten in their last 33 matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 10* play on England.

Denmark takes on England in the Euro Semifinal, and the Danes will be playing the roll of Cinderella. Denmark is coming off a win over the Czech Republic, a match that they were favored to win, while England is coming off a 4-0 win over the Ukraine. The Three Lions still haven't conceded a goal in this tournament, and that bodes well here against the Danes. Denmark did win their last game against England 1-0 in 2020. England had two players sent off with red cards, and played the majority of that game with 10 men. The Three Lions were 3-0-1 in the previous four versus Denmark. Harry Kane got off to a slow start at the Euros, but he's found his form here in the last few games. I like England to cruise into the Finals with a decisive victory.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Italy.

Spain has survived extra time and penalty shootouts in their last two matches, while Italy is coming off an impressive 2-1 win over Belgium. If you've been betting on Spain in this tournament, you lost a lot of money. Their only regulation win came against Slovakia. Draws against Sweden and Poland were a huge disappointment. Italy has been spectacular defensively, conceding just one goal (from the penalty spot) in their last 12 matches. There's a meme going around that kind of says it all about their veteran defenders: "They aren't 19 year olds with cool haircuts, they don't have 50 million followers on Instagram, They don't have great cards on FIFA, they only know one thing and that's proper defending."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on England.

England has not allowed a goal in four matches in this tournament, and they draw a favorable matchup in the quarterfinals. The Ukraine lost two of three matches in the group stages, with their one win coming against the biggest underdog in the entire tournament. They were so lucky to have advanced to the round of 16, and then their luck continued in their win over Sweden. Emil Forsberg scored his fourth goal, and he struck the post twice on chances that should have found the back of the net. England is a big favorite, but I think this is a mismatch of epic proportions.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Switzerland.

Spain will once again be a big favorite in the quarterfinals versus giant-killers Switzerland. The Swiss have just upset tournament favorites Frances, while Spain has just one win in four matches at this tournament. Their win over Croatia in the round of 16 was a draw as far as bettors are concerned, as the score was level after 90 minutes. They also played to a draw in matches versus Poland and Sweden. Spain is just 1-1-2 in their last four matches versus Switzerland, and the one win came by a score of 1-0.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Netherlands.

Anything can happen in the round of 16, as witnessed with Austria pushing Italy to the brink yesterday. I expect a more commanding performance from the Dutch here against a Czech team that was quite fortunate to lose by just one goal in their match versus England at the end of the group stages. The Dutch finished the group stages strong with back to back wins by a combined score of 5-0. Their 2-0 win over Austria looks even better after the Austrian's surprise performance yesterday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Italy.

I had Italy in their first match versus Turkey, and they won that game 3-0. Here is what I had to say before kickoff: "The Italian national team has seen dark times over the last decade, but I think this group has a chance to put some respect back in the name “Azzurri”. They come into this tournament as winners of five straight matches, posting a clean sheet in all five of those games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 win over the Czech Republic on June 5. Ciro Immobile opened the scoring, and Barella, Insigne and Berardi also scored." They have now gone over 1000 minutes without conceding a goal, and 30 matches without suffering a loss. Italy should move on with a convincing win over Austria.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Czech +1.

England has long been the most overrated team in international football, and their impressive showing in World Cup 2018 only added fuel to the fire. So far in this tournament, that previous success appears to be the exception rather than the rule. Harry Kane came in as the favorite to win the Golden Boot, and he has yet to score. In fact he was taken off the field for a substitute in the draw against Scotland. England has put together a string of less than impressive results, winning four straight one goal games against inferior opposition prior to their embarrassing result against Scotland. They could be settling for another draw here against a far better Czech team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Russia is in a position to qualify for the next round, and a draw in their match versus Denmark would likely be enough. Denmark lost their leading scorer in their opening match, when Christian Eriksen collapsed on the field and was brought back to life by medical staff. Between these two teams, they have each scored just one goal in their first two matches of the group stages. They both played Finland, and the final score in each of those games was 1-0. I expect the Russians to be very careful here, and a low score is to be expected.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* prop bet on Germany not to qualify.

The Germans have plenty of work to do in order to move on to the next round. Sure they are favorites against Portugal on Saturday, but only slightly. There is an argument to be made that Portugal has a superior squad with the likes of Bruno Fernandez, Ruben Dias and Christiano Ronaldo. Germany would be eliminated with a loss, and while the price of Portugal to win outright is roughly 2-1, the payoff on this prop bet is twice as good. What about a draw? Well win lose or draw, this prop bet is still alive.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Belgium.

Denmark will return to action at the Euros after a terrifying start to the tournament. Christian Eriksen collapsed early in the match versus Finland, and actually died before being brought back to life by medical staff. After losing their best player (leading scorer in the Nations League) they went on to lose 1-0 to Finland. Now they take on Belgium, a team that is as talented as any in Europe. These two teams played twice in the Nations League, and Belgium won both those matches by a combined score of 6-2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Ukraine.

A 3-2 loss to Netherlands in their opening match was actually quite an impressive result for Ukraine. After going down early, they battled back to draw even at 2-2. Even though they lost on a late goal, the two goals will put them in good standing to advance from the first round. Northern Macedonia lost their first match by a score of 3-1, and they are likely over their heads in this tournament. Not only is Northern Macedonia 0-1-2 in their last three matches versus Ukraine, but they didn't score a single goal in those matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Italy.

I had Italy in their first match versus Turkey, and they won that game 3-0. Here is what I had to say before kickoff: "The Italian national team has seen dark times over the last decade, but I think this group has a chance to put some respect back in the name “Azzurri”. They come into this tournament as winners of five straight matches, posting a clean sheet in all five of those games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 win over the Czech Republic on June 5. Ciro Immobile opened the scoring, and Barella, Insigne and Berardi also scored." Switzerland had to settle for a draw against Wales, and even thought they have fared well in recent meetings with Italy, I don't think they have the quality to compete with this team.

GL,

Jesse Schule