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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|11-07-18||Manchester United v. Juventus -1||Top||2-1||Loss||-100||263 h 60 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Juventus. Before the season started, I bet on Juventus to win the Champions League: "The Series A champs came very close to winning the Champions League in 2017, losing in the Final to Cristiano Ronaldo and Real Madrid. They lost again to Madrid in last year's competition. Ronaldo is the All Time leading scorer in Champions League play, and was perhaps the most impressive player at the 2018 World Cup. There is no doubt in my mind that he still has plenty left in the tank, and bringing him in will make Juventus the favorite to win this year's competition." They host Manchester United in the second leg of a Champions League tie today, and they completely out-classed the Red Devils at Old Trafford in a 1-0 win in the first leg. Jose Mourino's squad has struggled in the Premier League, and needed an injury time goal just to beat minnows AFC Bourmouth last Saturday. They show no signs of being able to compete with Europe's elite. Take JUVE. GL,
|07-11-18||England -0.25 v. Croatia||1-1||Loss||-50||53 h 19 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on England. Croatia has played some excellent football at this tournament, with impressive wins over Argentina and Nigeria. I think we've already seen the best this team has to offer, and recent performances against Denmark and Russia should give their fans reason to be concerned. Both matches were decided in a penalty shootout, despite Croatia having every opportunity to win the match before it got to that point. Allowing Russia to score a tying goal in the 101st minute in their quarterfinals match was not impressive at all. The Croatians have been beat up in recent matches, and several star players come into this match versus England with fitness concerns. England on the other hand seems to be peaking at the right time. Their 2-0 win over Sweden was likely their most impressive so far, and they easily could have added to that tally if they really wanted to. While this version of the Three Lions lacks star power in comparison to teams of the past, they make up for it with youth and speed. It might be too early to say "It's coming home", but I do expect to see England in the Final. Take England. GL,
|07-03-18||Switzerland v. Sweden||0-1||Loss||-126||102 h 1 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on Switzerland (pickem, draw no bet) The Swiss are undefeated in their last five games, and they have scored at least one goal in all five of those matches. The Swedes have scored four goals in three matches while going 1-1-1 in the group stages, but had failed to score going 0-2-1 in their final three friendlies ahead of the tournament. There's no doubt that the Swedes will be ultra conservative here, happy to play for a draw and force extra time, and eventually decide the game with a penalty shoot out. That's because they know they have inferior talent, without any skilled players to match the likes of Shaqiri and Rodriguez. "Sweden coach Janne Andersson's admission that he has a list of penalty takers sorted in his mind before the match tells its own story, and given each team's well-drilled defence, a penalty shootout is not beyond the realms of possibility. " ESPN. While this match comes with a high probability of a draw, I think it's the Swiss that are more likely of the two to end it in regulation. Take SWI. GL,
|06-30-18||Argentina v. France||3-4||Win||100||30 h 59 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on France (pickem, draw no bet). Argentina needed a miracle to get out of the group stages, and after they clinched a spot in the Round of 16 with a win over Nigeria, they celebrated like school girls. France on the other hand breezed through the group stages, which allowed them to play an almost scripted draw in their final match versus Denmark. Argentina struggled mightily during World Cup Qualifiers, and their recent performances in international competitions such as Copa America have been a major disappointment. Despite the fact that they have one of the world's best players in Lionel Messi, Argentina hasn't played at an elite level in decades. Even their run to the Final in the World Cup in 2014 in Brazil wasn't as impressive as people might think it would have been. They scored just two goals in their final four matches, and all six of their wins came in games decided by one goal. Prior to their meaningless game against Denmark, France had scored at least two goals in five of seven matches. While they don't have a star to rival Messi, the likes of Pogba, Greizmann, Giroud and Mbappe give them plenty of options when it comes to world class talent. Argentina's center back Javier Mascherano showed up for the match against Nigeria with a black eye, which is rumored to be a product of a fight with a teammate, rather than an incident on the pitch. To say that this Argentinian squad appears fragile, vulnerable, would be putting it mildly. Take France. GL,
|06-28-18||Belgium v. England||Top||1-0||Win||100||219 h 25 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Belgium. I bet on Belgium to win this group before the tournament started, and now they must beat England here today to finish top of Group G. England is coming off a 6-1 win over Panama, with Harry Kane scoring a hat trick. This sets up England for a huge let down against a far superior opponent. As good as England looked against a frustrated Panama side, they weren't nearly as sharp in their first match versus Tunisia. Belgium has won five of their last six matches by a margin of at least three goals. England might have a world class striker in Harry Kane, but Belgium has an entire squad full of mega stars. Belgium has posted a clean sheet in four of it's last six matches, England has conceded at least one goal in four of their last five matches. This English side appears to be grossly overvalued due to recency bias coming off the one sided win over Panama. Take BEL. GL,
|06-27-18||Sweden v. Mexico||3-0||Loss||-145||44 h 46 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on Mexico (pickem or draw no bet). It's hard to see the Swedes being in the right mind for this game versus Mexico. They were beaten in injury time by a Toni Kroos free kick that curled itself into the top corner in their 2-1 loss to Germany. That leaves them needing a miracle to advance to the next round. They will need to beat Mexico, and hope that Korea can stun the Germans as a 17-1 underdog. Mexico is in a good spot, needing only a draw to clinch first in the group. If there is one thing the Swedes are known for, it's playing a conservative style and playing for the draw against superior opposition. This isn't a team that is designed to play attacking football, and things could get ugly for them when they open themselves up to the dangerous Mexican counter attack. In their win over Germany, they allowed the Germans to have 61 percent of possession, and fire 25 shots at the net (9 on target). The Swedes will be forced to press here, inevitably leaving them wide open to be punished by the likes of Chicharito and Lozano. Take MEX. GL, Jesse Schule
|06-25-18||Morocco v. Spain -1.25||2-2||Loss||-128||148 h 30 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on Spain.
The Spanish might need a win here to advance, and likely will need a win to finish first in the group. Morocco is already eliminated, so we should see a wide open game here. I expect the Spanish quality to shine here in a one-sided victory. The Moroccans have yet to score in the tournament, and their 1-0 losses to Portugal and Iran came in entirely different circumstances. There is no reason for them to be conservsative here in this final match, and that shoud open things up for Spain.
|06-25-18||Russia v. Uruguay -0.25||Top||0-3||Win||100||1296 h 53 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Uruguay.
Uruguay has won the World Cup in the past, and has been competitive in international competitions in recent seasons. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani give them one of the best striker combos in the tournament, and if the defense can hold up they can compete with any team. They get a good draw in the group stages, matched up with Russia, Egypt and Saudia Arabia. This gives them a pretty easy path to the knockout rounds, as the should have little trouble emerging as the winner of Group A. They won their final three matches prior to the tournament by a combined score of 6-0, posting three consecutive clean sheets against Czech Rep, Wales and Uzbekistan.
|06-24-18||Panama +2 v. England||1-6||Loss||-150||45 h 35 m||Show|
|06-23-18||Sweden v. Germany -1||1-2||Push||0||168 h 3 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on Germany. The Germans dominated possession in their opening match versus Mexico, but the likes of Toni Kroos and Timo Werner were unable to make the most of their opportunities. The Germans struggled to deal with the speed and skill of Mexican attackers Lozano and Chicharito. I expect their second match to be a different story all together, as they match up well with an inferior Swedish side. The Swedes lack the quality required to play with Germany, and they know it. Surely the Swedes will come out and play a conservative style, desperately trying to hang on for a draw and salvage a point. The chances of the Germans being blanked in consecutive matches are slim to none. Take GER. GL, Jesse Schule
|06-22-18||Costa Rica v. Brazil -1.5||0-2||Win||100||69 h 27 m||Show|
Only three of the first eight games in this World Cup saw more than two goals, but after Day Three I predicted an uptick in scoring. What was clear right from the start here in Russia is that VAR (Video Assisted Referee) and goal line technology would play a role. We've seen a record number of penalties, and of course that will lead to more scoring overall. Brazil has to be concerned about the fitness of Neymar, but truth be told they have plenty of quality in the squad regardless. Costa Rica has lost three straight, conceding a total of seven goals in those matches. They lost their final friendly prior to the tournament to Belgium by a score of 4-1, and I expect a similar score here against Brazil.
|06-21-18||Croatia +0.5 v. Argentina||3-0||Win||100||9 h 57 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on Croatia +0.5. Argentina came into this tournament favored to win Group D, but they looked nothing like a favorite in a 1-1 draw versus Iceland in their opening match. It was all too familiar story for the Argentinians, who struggled in World Cup qualifying matches. Three of their final four World Cup Qualifiers ended in draws. Lionel Messi is under a ton of pressure after a disappointing performance against Iceland that will be remember for his missed penalty. Despite his success at the club level, his resume in international football isn't all that impressive. The Croatians come off a 2-0 win over Nigeria, which will afford them the luxury of playing for a draw here against Argentina. The Croatians have posted clean sheets in three of their last five matches, and that runs includes impressive wins over Senegal and Mexico, who have each impressed so far in Russia. This game has draw written all over it, and I am calling for a 1-1 Final. Take CRO. GL,
|06-20-18||Saudi Arabia v. Uruguay -1.5||0-1||Loss||-200||115 h 27 m||Show|
This is a 9* play on Uruguay -1.5.
Uruguay has won the World Cup in the past, and has been competitive in international competitions in recent seasons. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani give them one of the best striker combos in the tournament, and if the defense can hold up they can compete with any team. They get a good draw in the group stages, matched up with Russia, Egypt and Saudia Arabia. This gives them a pretty easy path to the knockout rounds, as the should have little trouble emerging as the winner of Group A. They won their final three matches prior to the tournament by a combined score of 6-0, posting three consecutive clean sheets against Czech Rep, Wales and Uzbekistan. The Saudis conceded five goals without registering a single shot on goal in their opening match of this tournament.
|06-18-18||Panama v. Belgium -1.5||0-3||Win||100||58 h 13 m||Show|
This is an 8* play on Belgium -1.5.
The fourth day of action at the World Cup feature a pair of shocking results, with the Germans losing to Mexico, and Brazil settling for a draw versus the Swiss. The #3 ranked Belgians will hope to avoid an upset when the take on Panama, however this match appears to be far more one-sided than those previously mentioned. When it comes to star power, nobody has more quality than Belgium. Their squad features the likes of Romelu Lukaku, who finished second in the Premier League in scoring two seasons ago. Both Lukaku and Eden Hazard finished among the scoring leaders last season. Panama comes in ranked 55th in the World, and with just one goal in their last five matches. Those matches included a 6-0 loss to Switzerland, and 1-0 losses to Denmark and Norway. This figures to be an easy 3-0 win for Belgium.
|06-17-18||Switzerland v. Brazil -1||1-1||Loss||-150||46 h 28 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on Brazil.
The Brazilians were humiliated on their home soil in the 2014 World Cup, losing to Germany by a score of 7-1. They have waited four long years for an opportunity to atone for that disappointment, and they come into Russia focused, looking like a true contender. Neymar failed to live up to expectations in 2014, but after a solid season as the star for PSG, he's likely more prepared to lead this team. After posting four consecutive clean sheets in four friendlies leading up to the tournament, they should have their way with the Swiss in their opening match.
|06-14-18||Saudi Arabia +1.25 v. Russia||0-5||Loss||-118||22 h 3 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on Saudi Arabia (handicap +1 or +1.5 depending on availability). Russia is expected to have an advantage as the host nation, but I believe that bookmakers are overcompensating for that perceived advantage. The Russians are a 2-1 favorite in their opening match versus Saudi Arabia, which might make sense when you consider that the Saudis are ranked 67th in the FIFA World Rankings. You might think that in a tournament with just 32 teams, surely that would be the lowest world rankings. Not so fast, it's Russia that ranks 70th that comes in with the lowest ranking. The Russians come in with three losses and one draw in their last four international matches. The Saudis come in off three straight losses, but two of those came in one goal games, including a 2-1 loss to defending champs Germany. Prior to that they won games against Greece and Algeria. The Russian squad includes seven players over the age of 30, and several key players are sidelined by injury. The Russians will be particularly thin at the back, which will prevent them from playing an aggressive style. Both teams would be pretty happy with a draw here. Take RSA. GL,
|12-10-17||Manchester City v. Manchester United +0.5||Top||2-1||Loss||-120||167 h 8 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Manchester United.
The Manchester Derby has been rather one-sided over the last two seasons. United is 3-1-1 in the last five head to head matches against City, and the lone loss came by a score of 2-1 last September. The Red Devils are on top form, scoring seven goals in their last two matches. City scored just five times in three matches prior to last week's game at West Ham. They took maximum points in those matches, but failed to impress. Jose Mourino's squad has conceded a Premier League best nine goals in 15 matches this season. Mourino has been known to play for a draw in situations like this, so a conservative game plan would be no surprise. City will be playing a fourth match in just 11 days, and just four days after a trip to the Ukraine. This looks like a tough spot for the road favorite.
|09-30-17||Swansea City v. West Ham United -0.5||Top||0-1||Win||100||61 h 29 m||Show|
This is a 10* play play on West Ham. The Hammers were expected to be a dark horse to threaten for one of the top five spots in the Premier League this season, but they got off to a horrendous start. They were outscored 10-2 while losing their first three league matches, but they've played far better football over their last three matches. During that span they've scored four goals while conceding three, going 1-1-1. The one loss came to Tottenham by a score of 3-2. Swansea has only scored three goals in six league games, and those goals came against Crystal Palace and Watford. West Ham has won the last two meetings between the two teams, outscoring the Swans 5-1 in those games. Take WHU. GL,
|08-23-17||Philadelphia Union v. Toronto FC -1||0-3||Win||100||29 h 31 m||Show|
|08-06-17||Atlanta United +0.5 v. Sporting Kansas City||1-1||Win||100||27 h 10 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on the draw between Sporting KC vs Atlanta FC.
Kansas City sits top of the table in the Western Conference, while Atlanta is 5th in the East. Only two points separate the two teams though, and Atlanta has played one fewer match. Kansas City has an MLS leading nine draws, and has drawn in three of it's last five matches. Atlanta is coming off a draw versus Orlando, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the visitors give KC a run for their money here Sunday. Atlanta is the highest scoring team in the MLS this season, while Kansas City is by far the best team defensively. There's no doubt that the home team will want to have a conservative approach to this match, and I don't think a draw would be too much of a disappointment for either side.
|07-19-17||Philadelphia Union +0.5 v. Montreal Impact||Top||1-2||Loss||-100||65 h 43 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on [email protected] to Draw. The Philadelphia Union will play at Montreal on Wednesday, and these two teams appear to be evenly matched. They sit 8th and 9th in the Eastern Conference, with only two points separating the two clubs. They have played three draws in the last four head to head meetings. The Union have earned points in four straight matches, and two of their last three matches have been level after 90 minutes. I think the visitors will be content to play for a draw here, and they have been solid enough defensively to do just that. Take DRAW. GL, Jesse Schule
|07-11-17||Canada +1 v. Costa Rica||Top||1-1||Win||100||6 h 51 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Canada vs Costa Rica to draw.
Costa Rica will be a big favorite in their Gold Cup match versus Canada, despite looking rather disappointing in a 1-0 win versus Honduras. Canada opened up a 3-0 lead in it's last match versus French Guiana, but they allowed a pair of late goals, and held on to win by a score of 4-2. These teams have played seven times over the last 10 years, and four of those matches finished in a draw. Canada won twice while Costa Rica only managed one win in those seven matches. With both teams coming off a win, playing for a draw wouldn't be a terrible result for either side.
|05-10-17||Real Madrid v. Atltico Madrid||Top||1-2||Win||100||18 h 60 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Atletico Madrid.
Real Madrid is level on points with Spanish league rivals Barcelona, while Atletico sits 10 points back in the La Liga standings. Atletico returns home for the second leg of this Champions League tie after suffering a 3-0 loss at the Bernabeu last week. It's going to take a miracle for Atletico to advance, needing at least four goals here at home versus Los Blancos. With a comfortable three goal lead, Real Madrid can afford to be conservative. Atletico is a formidable opponent for even the toughest challengers when they play on their home pitch. They are undefeated at home in Champions League play, and 13-3-2 in their domestic league. They have registered clean sheets in six of their last 10 matches, and have scored first in seven of those games. While I don't fancy their chances of overcoming a three goal deficit, they should find a way to win this game at home.
|07-07-16||France v. Germany||2-0||Loss||-100||61 h 42 m||Show|
This is a 5* play on Germany. The reigning World Champions Germany will be looking to make a second straight final in a major tournament when it battles France at Stade Velodrome in Marseille on Thursday. Germany defeated Italy after a penalty shootout in its quarter-finals match-up while France took care of business early against Iceland and went into halftime with a 4-0 lead. This figures to be a tougher test for the host nation though; It has not had much success against Germany in modern times and not beaten the Germans in a major tournament since 1958. The Germans defeated France 1-0 on its road to the World Cup title in Brazil two years ago. France has never kept a clean sheet in four meetings with Germany at major tournaments. France is the highest scoring team in the tournament, but will come up against the team with the best defensive record here with just one goal allowed in five games. France's defense has not looked quite as impressive and if there's a team that will edge this game within regulation time it's Germany. Take GER. GL, Jesse Schule
|06-30-16||PORTUGAL v. POLAND +0.5||Top||1-1||Win||100||38 h 19 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Poland.
|06-25-16||PORTUGAL v. Croatia||Top||0-0||Push||0||56 h 28 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Croatia.
|06-25-16||POLAND v. Switzerland||Top||1-1||Push||0||50 h 22 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Poland. The round of 16 of the European Championship opens with a clash between Switzerland and Poland on Saturday. Both teams enter the knockout stage undefeated, but I think Poland will prove to be the stronger team and advance to the next round. Poland has yet to concede a goal in this tournament and managed to successfully suffocate Germany's fearsome attack in a 0-0 draw in one of their group games. It may have managed just two goals so far and its star striker Robert Lewandowski is still looking for his first shot on target, but the Bayern Munich star is likely to raise his game here in the knockout phase. The Swiss have not been particularly successful with their goal-scoring either and both its goals so far have come as a result of corners. I don't think they'll have much success with their set pieced against the big, strong Polish centre-backs though. Poland has two terrific players in Lewandowski and Jakub Blaszczykowski, the kind of players that win you games. Take POL. GL, Jesse Schule
|06-21-16||Czech Republic v. Turkey||Top||0-2||Loss||-140||15 h 7 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Czech Republic.
Czech Republic is sitting third in Group D with one point, but could overtake Croatia for second if it was to lose against Spain while Czech defeats Turkey. I think the Czech's will do its part of the job at least and take down the lowly Turks.
Turkey is coming off back-to-back defeats against Spain (3-0) and Croatia (1-0). It has been at least one class below its opponent in both games, and that's likely to be the case today as well. Czech is coming off a 2-2 draw against Croatia where a pair of late goals earned it a draw. A morale-boosting point that has the nation right back in contention for a place in the round of 16.
Turkey's defense has been among the worst I've seen in the tournament, and the Czechs have plenty of offensive firepower which it will utilize to 100 percent today. It has scored in 12 of its last 13 games of the group stage in the European Championships, and it has won five of the last nine meetings with Turkey.
|06-13-16||Belgium v. Italy||Top||0-2||Loss||-145||15 h 57 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Belgium
Belgium was expected to make some serious noise at World Cup in Brazil two years ago, and it must have been pretty disappointing to get knocked out in the last eight. The Red Devils enter the tournament as the highest ranked European team on the FIFA rankings, and with a more experienced but still youthful side this could be its time to shine. Italy on the other hand has been on a steady decline since its runner-up finish at the Euro 2012. It scored just 16 goals in 10 qualifiers, and its main striker, Graziano Pelle, plays for Southampton, a mid-table team in the Premier League. Belgium is stacked with offensive firepower and the trio of Kevin de Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku should give a injury-ridden Italy defense plenty of trouble.
|05-01-16||Leicester +0.5 v. MANCHESTER UNIT||Top||1-1||Win||100||69 h 21 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Leicester City +0.5.
|04-02-16||Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool||Top||1-1||Push||0||83 h 3 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Tottenham.
|03-19-16||Crystal Palace v. Leicester||Top||0-1||Win||100||9 h 13 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Leicester City.
The Foxes are in the driver's seat in the English Premier League title race, and they come into Saturday's match versus Crystal Palace as winners of seven of their last 10 matches. The bookmakers still don't give them much credit, and we get a far better price on Leicester than we would get if we wanted to back any of the other top clubs in the league. Playing away from Kings Power Stadium hasn't slowed down the Foxes, who have as many wins on the road (9) as they do at home. Crystal Palace has lost five straight home games, and has been out-scored 7-4 while losing two of it's last three league games. A draw would be a great result for the home team here, but I think Palace will be lucky to avoid another loss
|03-05-16||Leicester v. Watford||Top||1-0||Win||100||31 h 11 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Leicester City.
Premier League-leading Leicester City will continue their title bid when they visit Watford Saturday afternoon. They were held to a 2-2 draw against West Bromwich Albion their last game, but this should be a more favorable match-up for the Foxes.
Watford have struggled for goals lately getting shut out in six of their last eight Premier League matches and they've found the net only six times in their last 10 games. Their main striker Odion Ighalo has scored just one goal in nine Premier League appearances so far in 2016. Six goals are what Leicester have conceded in their last 10 league games while scoring 14.
Leicester are the highest scoring team in the top flight this season with 51 goals to their name and striker Jamie Vardy is topping the league with his 19 tallies. He scored one of the goals when Leicester defeated Watford 2-1 at home back in November.
With only 10 rounds left of the Premier League season Leicester can not afford any slip ups. Manager Claudio Ranieri will not be satisfied with a point here and we should see Leicester create enough opportunities to finish off the Hornets.
|02-14-16||Leicester +0.5 v. Arsenal||1-2||Loss||-100||5 h 43 m||Show|
This is a 6* play on Leicester City +1.5.
|12-14-15||Leicester v. Chelsea||Top||2-1||Win||121||13 h 43 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Leicester City.
Former Chelsea manager Claudio Ranieri has worked wonders with Leicester City this season, and they can leapfrog Manchester City and Arsenal for the league-lead with a win here.
Chelsea meanwhile have only one win over their last six Premier League games, a 1-0 victory home in London against lowly Norwich, and four wins in 15 league-games for the season. I have a feeling controversial Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho has lost the dressing room and the players does not seem to want him there anymore, leading to subpar performances to get rid of "the Special One".
While Chelsea's team filled with superstars have under-performed, Leicester's more unknown players have risen to the occasion and Jamie Vardy who played non-league soccer only a couple of seasons ago is leading the league with 14 goals and Riyiad Mahrez is not far behind with 10 tallies.
Chelsea are the reigning champions, but the books have failed to adjust to today's reality, and that reality is that Leicester is a much more coherent and hard-working team than Chelsea at the moment. I'll take the team on a roll filled with loyal team-players over an overrated disjointed bunch of prima donnas every day of the week.
|10-31-15||Liverpool v. Chelsea -0.5||Top||3-1||Loss||-100||7 h 42 m||Show|
This is a 10* play on Chelsea.
Chelsea are off yet another disappointing performance as they lost to Stoke on penalties in the Capital One Cup Tuesday. They have only 11 points over 10 games in the Premier League, but two of their three wins of the season have come home at Stamford Bridge. They'll host a Liverpool team that won their first game with Jurgen Klopp in charge Wednesday, a 1-0 Capital Cup home-win over Bournemouth, after playing four consecutive draws under their new manager. They've scored only three goals over five road-games in the league this season though and I think they'll struggle against Chelsea here. The Blues are undefeated over the last six head-to-head meetings with three wins to their name and we should see a desperate Chelsea team that can go up on equal points as the Reds with a win today.