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This is a 4* play on ATL.

The Mystics lost at Atlanta by a score of 94-89 at the end of Jiune, but Elena Delle Donne scored 31 points in that game. Delle Donne and several other starters are out of the lineup, leaving Washington shorthanded here in Sunday's game. The Mystics are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games, and the home team is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on DAL.

Washington has some serious injury concerns. with three of their top five scorers out for tonight's game. The Mystics are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. The Wings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have covered in four of their last five home games. The Wings won the last meeting by 17 points earlier this month. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ATL.

These teams have played three teams in 2023, and the home team has lost all three meetings. This trend goes back to 2021, with the road team winning outright in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Dream are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.The Liberty are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. This is the first leg of a back to back for the Liberty, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see some players see limited minutes. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the Suns.

Connecticut is 8-2 overall, and one of their wins came against the defending champion Las Vegas Aces. They won by a dozen at Atlanta in their last game, and they are asked to cover just a single digit spread in a home game against the Dream. History favors the Suns who have won seven straight against Atlanta, with all seven of those wins coming by double digits.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Dallas.

The Liberty are just 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus Dallas, and only one of those wins came by more than seven points. Dallas is coming off back to back wins over Phoenix, but prior to that they lost three of four. Those losses all came in games decided by six points or less. The Liberty blew a 19-point lead in an 89-82 loss to Chicago in their last home game. I'll take the points here with Dallas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DAL.

The Sun are 5-1, but a closer look at their schedule reveals that there might be more to the story. Not one of those five wins came against a team with a winning record. Only one of those five wins came by a margin wide enough to cover the spread here. Dallas has two losses, and the combined margin of defeat in those games is less than the spread for this game. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Dallas.

The Wings are still undefeated, and last year they were the only team in the WNBA with a better record on the road than at home. They look good on the road here against a Chicago Sky team that lost three of it's top four scorers from last year. The Sky lost their only home game to a below average Washington Mystics squad, and both their wins have come against inferior opponents in close games. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the Dallas Wings.

The Seattle Storm were one of the top teams in the WNBA last season, but they lost Brianna Stewart, Sue Bird and Tina Charles. Jewel Loyd scored 22 points in a 105-64 home loss to the Aces in the season opener, but she shot just 7-of-25 from the field. Kia Nurse got the start, but played just 11 minutes and didn't score any points. Expect this Seattle team to struggle here early in the season. Dallas was the only team in the WNBA with more wins on the road than they had at home last season. The Wings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Sun.

The Suns have been a very good road team during the regular season and the playoffs. They are 3-1 straight up on the road in these Playoffs, losing 85-77 at Chicago in the one loss. They won 97-90 at Las Vegas this season, and these teams have a history of playing close games. The Aces are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Sun are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on SEA.

The Zig Zag Theory is a popular strategy for basketball bettors, especially in the playoffs. I've never been a fan of this angle, especially when bookmakers adjust the lines accordingly. The Seattle Storm just won Game 1 outright, and now they are getting six points in Game 2. While the Aces are the #1 ranked team in the WNBA, they haven't been kind to bettors. Las Vegas is just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five coming off a loss. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Connecticut.

Lets keep this simple, the Sun have simply been playing better ball down the stretch. They are 11-3 straight up in their last 14 overall, and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games. Three of their last four head to head matchups versus Chicago have been decided by four points or less. Chicago came out flat in Game 1 of their first round series versus the Liberty, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last nine home games. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on New York.

This series heads to New York tied 1-1, but the Chicago Sky blew the doors off in a 100-62 home win in Game 2 after losing outright in Game 1. These two teams played twice in New York this season, splitting those games. The game Chicago won was close, ending with a score of 88-86. Chicago has failed to cover in four straight coming off a win, and the Sky are 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Chicago has failed to cover in four of the last five in New York. I am gonna take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Las Vegas.

The Aces wrapped up the season with a 109-100 win over Seattle, clinching the #1 seed. They face a Phoenix team in the first round that is trending in the opposite direction. Their leading scorer left the team before the end of the regular season, and veteran Diana Taurasi is sidelined by injury. The Mercury have lost five of their last seven, and they appear to have no interest in competing. The Mercury are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Vegas. The Aces are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Phoenix.

The Mercury overcame injuries to win 76-62 at home versus the New York Liberty last week, and they are now 10-5 at home. They host the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday, and the Lynx are 6-10 on the road. While Leading scorer Skyler Diggins-Smith missed the last game with an illness, she is set to return here against the Lynx. This really does look like a case of the wrong team favored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on the Seattle Storm.

No team in the WNBA has won more home games than the Seattle Storm. The Storm host Minnesota tonight, and the Lynx are sitting second to last in the league standings. Seattle is coming off a road loss at Washington, and the Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Lynx are 10-25 ATS in the last 35 meetings in Seattle, and they have failed to cover in 11 of the last 14 head to head meetings. Seattle is 5-0 straight up in their last five home games versus Minnesota, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SEA.

The Seattle Storm have more home wins than any other team in the WNBA, and they host the last place Indiana Fever on Sunday. This will be the third meeting between the two teams, and Seattle won the previous meetings by 22 and 18 points. The Fever are coming into this game riding an eight game losing streak, and six of those eight losses came by double digits. During their current losing streak, the average margin of defeat for Indiana is 15 points. Asking a powerhouse team like Seattle to cover 14 at home seems like a bargain.

GL,

Jesse Schule