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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|06-09-21||Israel v. Portugal -1.5||0-4||Win||100||8 h 57 m||Show|
My selection is on Portugal -1.5 goals over Israel at 2:45 pm et on Wednesday.
We won with Portugal +0.5 in its last match against Spain and will go back to the well with A Selecao here as it draws a more favorable match against Israel ahead of its Euro opener against Hungary next Tuesday. We certainly didn't see Portugal's 'A' squad against La Roja last week. I suspect we'll see something closer to it here on Wednesday, however, even if Cristiano Ronaldo is likely to only make a cameo appearance (if he plays at all). Note that while Israel is coming off consecutive victories, scoring a whopping seven goals in the process, those came against the likes of Moldova and Montenegro. The fact that it conceded a goal in each of those contests was somewhat discouraging. Note that the last two times Israel stepped up in class it failed to find the back of the net against Denmark and the Czech Republic. I suspect it will have a difficult time breaking down a tremendous Portugal defense here as well. A Selecao certainly wants to head into the Euros on a positive note and consecutive clean sheets would do exactly that. On the flip side, regardless whether Ronaldo is on the pitch, I expect Portugal to go on the attack in this match - unlike what we saw against Spain when it didn't record a shot on target until the closing minutes. Prior to that 0-0 draw, Portugal had tallied nine goals in its last four matches. It should only be a matter of time before it puts its stamp on this one as well. Take Portugal -1.5 goals (10*).
|06-07-21||Cyprus v. Ukraine -1||0-4||Win||100||6 h 37 m||Show|
My selection is on Ukraine -1 goal over Cyprus at 12 noon et on Monday.
We won with Ukraine in last week's 1-0 victory over Northern Ireland and I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, this time laying a goal to get a more reasonable price. While the final scoreline was 1-0, the damage could have been much worse as Ukraine missed a number of prime opportunities to extend its lead, particularly in the first half of that most recent match. All told, Ukraine made 18 shot attempts with four hitting the target. While it did get put back on its heels for a stretch in the second half, I'm not convinced Cyprus has the same ability to do so here. Note that Cyprus has managed to score just a single goal in its last five matches and will have to be careful here after losing defender Andreas Karo to injury in its match against Hungary last week. While Cyprus has proven to be a tough defensive squad, I expect Ukraine's duo of Yaremchuk and Zinchenko (he didn't see the field in its last match after playing in the Champions League Final days earlier) to find some success here, with Yaremchuk building off a strong showing against Northern Ireland last week. While the result here is of little consequence given that it is simply an international friendly, a positive showing should be important to Ukraine ahead of a very difficult Euro opener against the Netherlands coming up in a week. With Austria also lurking in its group, it will need to hit the ground running heading into the tournament and I'm confident we'll see Andriy Shevchenko field his 'A' squad for this tune-up. Take Ukraine -1 goal (10*).
|06-06-21||Greece +0.5 v. Norway||2-1||Win||100||5 h 37 m||Show|
My selection is on Greece +0.5 goals over Norway at 12 noon et on Sunday.
The presence of Erling Haaland will have many rushing to back the Norwegians in this friendly match on Sunday. However, after Norway was only able to break down the likes of Luxembourg for one goal last time out I believe it will be hard-pressed to come away victorious against a Greece side that actually brings solid form to the table. Greece has in fact gone undefeated in its last nine matches including a 1-1 draw against top-ranked Belgium earlier this week. While the Belgians were missing a number of key players in that match, it was still another encouraging result for this gritty Greece side. We're not asking for it to work any miracles here, but I do expect Greece to find a little more success disseminating a vulnerable Norwegian defense and ultimately keep this match level at the very least. Take Greece +0.5 goals (10*).
|06-04-21||Portugal +0.25 v. Spain||0-0||Win||50||7 h 49 m||Show|
My selection is on Portugal +0.5 goals over Spain at 1:30 pm et on Friday.
|04-27-21||Chelsea +0.5 v. Real Madrid||1-1||Win||100||8 h 26 m||Show|
My selection is on Chelsea +0.5 goals over Real Madrid at 3 pm et on Tuesday.
Note: I'm recommending playing this at +0.5 goals which may be an alternate goal-line at your book. I get the feeling many bettors feel that backing Real Madrid in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final matchup will serve as a safe investment given the fact that Los Blancos haven't lost a match since January (they're riding a 17-game unbeaten streak). Of course, Real Madrid also has the Champions League pedigree with 13 all-time wins and has the benefit of playing at home. That's not to mention the fact that Real will have Eden Hazard back on the pitch after he returned and played 30 minutes in its last match. However, I don't expect Chelsea to simply roll over. Yes, the Blues have one eye on the Premier League, where they sit fourth in the table by the slimmest of margins but there's no question they'll have little trouble getting up for this trip to Spain to face a true world football power. While Real Madrid has Hazard at possibly less than 100% health and will be without Sergio Ramos as he continues to work his way back from injury, Chelsea has a full squad for this semi-final opener. The Blues certainly weren't happy with their performance in their last Champions League match as they lost 1-0 against Porto on home soil (after taking the first leg 2-0 in Sevilla to hold on for a 2-1 aggregate victory). They'll be looking to make amends here and while Real Madrid serves as an extremely difficult squad to break down, I expect the Blues to keep pace for the full 90+ minutes. Take Chelsea +0.5 goals (10*).
|03-09-21||FC Porto v. Juventus -1||Top||1-2||Push||0||27 h 40 m||Show|
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Juventus -1.5 goals over FC Porto at 3 pm et on Tuesday.
The reality here is that Juventus needs only 1-0 victory to advance past Porto onto the Champions League quarter-final round, despite suffering a stunning 2-1 road defeat in the first leg of the Round of 16. With that in mind, I don't believe we're see Pirlo's side hold anything back or leave anything to chance on Tuesday. It's interesting to note that the total has been set at 2.5 for this match. I actually do believe Juventus has a good chance at coming away with a clean sheet, noting that it has allowed just six goals in its last 12 matches combined. Porto clearly caught Juventus flat-footed in the first leg of this matchup but the Italian side's late goal served them well, giving them more than a fighting chance of advancing heading into this match at home. We're being offered a very reasonable price to back the superior side with high motivation here. Take Juventus -1.5 goals (10*).
|12-01-20||Inter Milan v. Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5||3-2||Loss||-135||18 h 7 m||Show|
My selection is on Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5 goals over Inter Milan at 3 pm et on Tuesday.
These two clubs played to a 2-2 draw earlier in Champions League action and I certainly believe there's a good chance they finish level again on Tuesday but also feel Gladbach has a good shot at winning outright. I'll grab the 0.5-goal cushion here in Germany. Inter Milan will have Lukaku back on the pitch after he missed last week's disappointing 2-0 loss to Real Madrid. Let's face it, Inter has been highly disappointing in Champions League action to date, collecting just two of a possible 12 points. It's desperation time for the Italian side on Tuesday but this is certainly another tough draw, even with Lukaku in the mix. Gladbach has lost just once going all the way back to September 26th. Inter needs this one more but I don't see Gladbach rolling over as they can use the point(s) as well. Take Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5 goals (10*).
|11-24-20||Barcelona FC v. FC Dynamo Kiev +0.5||4-0||Loss||-100||17 h 11 m||Show|
My selection is on Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 goals over Barcelona at 3 pm et on Tuesday.
I'll take a shot with underdog Dynamo Kyiv in Ukraine on Tuesday. This obviously isn't the same dominant Barca side we've seen in years' past, despite the fact that it checks in sporting a perfect 3-0 Champions League record. Overall, it has just four outright wins in its last nine matches. It will be without Leo Messi on Tuesday and make no mistake, this isn't an enjoyable trip, nor is it one where a loss or draw would be back-breaking (or surprising for that matter). Kyiv had a tough draw here in the Champions League, landing in a group with not only Barca but Juventus as well. Credit it for putting up a good fight at Camp Nou earlier this month, ultimately falling by a 2-1 score against Barca. That loss was sandwiched around a 2-2 draw against Ferencvarosi and a 2-0 loss to Juventus. We have to take a bit of a leap of faith in this Tuesday match, but I believe there's a good chance we'll be rewarded for grabbing the half-goal. Take Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 goals (10*).
|11-21-20||Real Madrid v. Villarreal +0.5||1-1||Win||100||19 h 17 m||Show|
My selection is on Villarreal +0.5 goals (-168) over Real Madrid at 10:15 am et on Saturday.
|10-27-20||Ajax Amsterdam +0.5 v. Atalanta||2-2||Win||108||18 h 12 m||Show|
My selection is on Ajax +0.5 goals over Atalanta at 4 pm et on Tuesday.
Solid value being offered with Ajax here as it looks to rebound following a tough 1-0 loss to Liverpool last week. Atalanta is obviously a popular squad right now and quite simply one of the hottest names in all of European football. With that being said, off a 4-0 victory last week I believe it is being overvalued here. Ajax could certainly use a point out of this match, and for that matter so could Atalanta. Both sides would be alright with a draw in this situation although I don't believe an outright Ajax victory is completely out of the question. Take Ajax +0.5 goals (10*).
|10-20-20||Sevilla +0.5 v. Chelsea||Top||0-0||Win||100||7 h 53 m||Show|
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Sevilla +0.5 goals over Chelsea at 3 pm et on Tuesday.
I'll take a strong position with Sevilla catching a half-goal against Chelsea in Champions League action on Tuesday. While the Spanish side is coming off a tough 1-0 loss to Granada in La Liga action and has gone winless in consecutive matches, I expect it will be up to the challenge against an opponent that draws plenty of motivation here. Chelsea is coming off a disappointing result of its own on Saturday - settling for a 3-3 draw against Southampton. I feel that Chelsea's aggressive style may open it up for some fruitful counter-attacks from Sevilla here and feel we're getting a bargain price to grab the insurance half-goal. Take Sevilla +0.5 goals (10*).
|07-21-20||Manchester City -1.5 v. Watford||4-0||Win||100||6 h 41 m||Show|
My selection is on Manchester City -1.5 goals over Watford at 1 pm et on Tuesday.
This is an incredible bounce-back spot for City coming off a highly disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal in FA Cup play on Saturday. Watford should offer little resistance, with its lone two victories since the restart coming against Norwich City and Newcastle earlier this month. I'll lay the extra goal here as City looks to 'get right' in a 'name your score' type of affair. Take Manchester City -1.5 goals (10*).