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We like the Marshall Thundering Herd @ Georgia Southern Eagles game to finish OVER the total on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

As the favorites in this game, we expect Marshall to win. In their wins this season, they are averaging 41.33 points per game.

GASO are averaging 31.6 points per game themselves and have put up 38+ in three out of five games this season.

In their last five home games, the Eagles have seen the total go OVER in four of them.

Georgia Southern have also seen the total go OVER in four of their last five divisional games inside of the Sun Belt (East.)

Their latest meeting last season finished with 71 total points (38-33.)

Both teams give up a bunch of points as well as scoring. They rank #110 and #111 in points allowed per game out of 133 FBS teams.

After putting up lots of points in wins in their last games, they'll want to keep it up this week.

All signs points towards an OVER. Get the best line you can.

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We like the Penn State Nittany Lions @ USC Trojans game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Penn State is very well known as a ground and pound team that loves to play strong defense. They've got two of the best RB's in the nation and should have the clock ticking whenever they've got the ball.

USC's defense still isn't necessarily great quite yet. But, they are much stronger than last season on that side of the ball. Lincoln Riley also owns a 43-4 record at home over his coaching career so I don't see him giving up all that many points here.

Penn State's last five conference games have all gone UNDER the total.

In their one road game so far this year, the Nittany Lions gave up just 12 points against WVU.

The Trojans have given up just 21 points in two road games this season.

Getting a good line is big here. But, expect a lower scoring game in a massive matchup for both teams in week 7.

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We like the Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians game to finish "under" the total in Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tarik Skubal has nearly been un-hittable over the second half of the season. He owned an insane 2.39 ERA during the regular season. He's also yet to allow a single run in 13.0 innings in the postseason and should keep rolling in Game 5.

Cleveland's piching has been great as well. In this series, They've given up just 10 runs over the first four games (average of 2.5 runs per game.)

Matthew Boyd will probably get the start for the Guardians. When these two matched up in Game 2, neither of them allowed a single run.

Six of the past seven home games for Cleveland have gone UNDER the total with the other one drawing the total.

10 of the past 15 games played between these two teams @Cleveland have gone UNDER the total as well.

The bats have been quiet for most of this series from the two sides as both teams are hitting .214 on the dot.

In this elimination game for both clubs, expect to see yet another low scoring affair at Progressive Field in Cleveland.

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We like the San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers game to finish "under" the total in Game 5 of the NLDS on Friday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

After the first three games of this series went "over" the total, Game 4 showed signs of pitching taking over. It landed on the number exactly.

Yu Darvish gets the start for San Diego. He should be able to hold the Dodgers once again just like he did in Game 2.

Over his entire career, Darvish has seen the Dodgers 15 times. He has a 2.27 ERA against them.

With one day off this season, the Padres have seen the total stay "under" in 16 of 25 games.

The Dodgers have yet to announce their pitcher. But, they allowed not a single run in Game 4.

When the Padres haven't scored a run in a game this season, they've responded by averaging just 3.33 runs in their next game this season (30 runs in nine games.)

A low scoring contest should be on our hands in this Game 5 elimination game for both.

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We like the Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty game to finish OVER the total on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

These were the best two teams during the regular season, and a big part was their offenses. They love to score.

New York averaged 85.6 points per game during the regular season. Minnesota averaged 82.0 points per game.

In their last nine meetings against each other in New York, the total has gone OVER in seven of them. (12 of the past 17 overall have gone OVER as well.)

The Lynx have seen five of their last seven games exceed the total, while the Liberty have seen four of their last five do the same thing.

Minnesota is small and Brenna Stewart will be able to take advantage. Don't expect them to go down without a fight though. The Lynx are speedy, tough and they have lots of ability from beyond the arc. Play on the OVER.

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We like the Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers to go OVER the total on Sunday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Fields has been throwing quite a bit this season and might have to extend some plays himself with two of his top three running backs out.

Micah Parsons is out today which should give Justin Fields a bit more time in the pocket.

In their last six games against each other, four of them have gone OVER the total.

Dallas has seen five of their last six games go OVER as well.

The Cowboys need to start getting their offense going this week. We know it's a tough matchup but believe that they can get it done.

The Colts put 27 up on Pittsburgh last week. Look for this game to go OVER on Sunday Night.

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We like the Duke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to stay UNDER the total on Saturday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

The Blue Devils enter this game as nearly a double digit underdog despite being 5-0. That should tell you something about the Yellow Jackets defense.

Both Duke and Georgia Tech have seen more UNDER's than OVER's this season so far.

Georgia Tech ranks 18th in FBS allowing just 90.2 rushing yards per game. Duke ranks 18th in FBS in passing defense allowing just 155.8 yards through the air a game.

Both of the past two meetings between Duke/GT have stayed UNDER the total.

The UNDER is also 7-2 in their last nine matchups against each other when Georgia Tech is the home favorite.

We are expecting a game featuring a lot of punts in this game on Saturday. Look for these teams to stay UNDER the total.

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We like the New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers to stay UNDER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

Jose Quintana has really turned things up recently. His past four starts have seen him allow just two runs -- 25.0 innings pitched.

The Mets starter also didn't allow a single run in 5.1 innings against Philadelphia in his last playoff appearance back in 2022.

Tobias Myers may be a rookie, but he's pitched great all season long. Myers just pitched four innings of shutout baseball against the Mets on Saturday.

In Saturday's game, when both these pitchers matched up against each other, the final score was 6-0. (UNDER.)

Both games so far have gone OVER so far and you should not be fooled. Both teams rank in the top 10 in hits allowed per game.

During September, the Mets hit just .230 while the Brewers hit just .219. Both pretty bad numbers.

Our #1 Wild-Card Total Of The Year is on the UNDER.

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We like the Ajax Amsterdam @ SK Slavia Prague game to go UNDER on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

Having scored 19 goals over their last six matches (3.16 per game,) Ajax should be ready to face this Czechia side.

Slavia Praha have looked very strong themselves this season having scored 13 goals over their last five games (2.6 per game.)

In their last meeting against each other, we saw a 2-2 finish with plenty of chances at both ends. That was also in the Europa League.

18 year old sensation & Ajax captain Jorrel Hato picked up another yellow last time out in the Europa League and will be suspended for this match. That should help open this game up.

Both sides have lots of fire-power up top and we should see another game with chances left and right.

The OVER is the play in this Europa League matchup.

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We like Derby County vs Sunderland to stay Under the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

In seven matches this season, Sunderland have only allowed six goals in the back of their net.

Derby County tend to play better against the stronger teams, as they allowed just a goal against Sheffield and two against Watford.

As the favorites, Sunderland are supposed to score and win this game. But, Sunderland have scored just four goals over their last three matches.

Three of the past four meetings between these two clubs have featured two goals or less (4-1 in 2018, 1-1 in 2017, 0-0 in 2008, 1-0 in 2007.)

Sunderland are dealing with a lot of injuries right now and won't have their best squad playing in today's game.

We're expecting a low-scoring match with one of the following final scores likely to occur: 1-0, or 2-0. The play is the under.

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We like the Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions to go Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

We won with the under when the Lions played on primetime in Week 1. This is a far lower total though as that one was in the 50s. 

The Lions are averaging 399.7 yards per game, top 5 in the NFL. 

The Seahawks have scored 23 or more points in all 3 of their games. Since last year, they have scored 20 or more points in 7 straight games.

These teams faced each other last September and combined for 68 points. They also faced each other twice in 2022 and those games finished with 90 and 93 points! 

The over is the play! 

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We like the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts to go Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The total is one of the lowest of any of the Sunday totals.

The Steelers offense was solid last game. They got stronger as the game wore on and will bring the momentum into this game against a weak Indianapolis defense.

The Colts are giving up 398.3 yards per game, second most in the entire NFL.

On offense, the Colts have scored more than 20 points in 2 of their 3 games. The Colts scored 30 against Pittsburgh in last season's game.

The past four meetings have all produced greater than 40 points.

The over is the play.

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We like Oregon vs Ucla to go Over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

The total is low. The last time these teams faced each other, the o/u line was 70.5.

The Ducks have the capability of going over this low total all by themselves. Oregon has scored progressively more every week and managed 49 points (and 546 yards) last game.

Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel leads the country with an 84% completion percentage. He's the only FBS QB above the 80% mark. The dual threat Gabriel can also beat teams with his legs.

UCLA has given up 76 points the last 2 games alone. UCLA QB Ethan Garbers threw for a career-high 281 yards with two touchdowns in his last game.

The last 4 meetings had scores of 45-30, 34-31, 38-35 and 42-21. All went over. 8 of the last 9 meetings have finished with at least 56. The over is the play.

We like Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

We played against Borussia Dortmund in their last league match and they conceded 5 goals themselves. 

Borussia Dortmund was embarrassed by that effort and will be looking to run up the score against Bochum. 

Borussia Dortmund has won 5 straight at home and has averaged 3 goals each in those wins. They will likely get even more than that against Bochum.

Bochum should also contribute at least 1 goal. They are off a 2-2 draw in their last match. Prior to that, they'd scored against a strong Freiburg squad.

With the angry hosts running up the score, the over is the play.

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We like Cincinnati and Washington under on Monday night for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

The Bengals are averaging only 17.5 points. The Commanders are averaging just 20.5 points. 

The Bengals offense is averaging just 272 yards per game. Their defense is allowing only 288 yards per game. 

Burrow threw for only 201 yards and 1 touchdown in his only previous game vs. Washington. The final score was 20-9. 

Washington is running the ball more than most teams in the league and they rank #3 in rushing yards per game. Those running plays keep the clocking ticking. 

The total is high. The play is the under. 

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We like Seattle and Las Vegas to go over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

1. Las Vegas scores 86.4 points per game. That's the most in the league.

2. Known for defense, Seattle is also very capable offensively. The Storm average 83.25 points per game, 5th in the league.

3. After a run of unders, the Aces last game flew over the total. Las Vegas scored 98 points. Seattle scored 89 in its last game.

4. This O/U line is lower than any O/U line was for the last 10 h2h meetings.

5. Las Vegas played some low-scoring 4th quarters during its under streak. The Aces get a lead and then lock down. But with this being a playoff game, the losing team is going to fight right up until the final whistle.

We respect the defenses but feel that this number is too low. We see both teams getting at least their regular season averages which will mean the final score goes over rather comfortably.

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We like the Chargers and Steelers to go over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The total is very low, the lowest of any Week 3 game. It has dropped lower since it was released and that's providing strong line value. 

2. The Chargers just scored 26 points last game and that was when they took their foot off the gas in the 2nd half.

3. The Steelers offense has struggled but both their games were on the road against strong defensive teams. The Chargers defense has also been strong but playing Carolina helped pad the stats. Playing at home should help the Steelers. 

4. Fields now has a couple of games under his belt with the Steelers and his confidence is growing. Herbert has an ankle injury but is pushing to play. If Easton Stick is forced to play, we feel that he'll outperform expectations. 

5. The last meeting (2021) finished with 88 points and the last 7 meetings have all produced at least 41 points.

The defenses have played well but this total is still too low. The offenses will be better than people expect. The play is on the over. 

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We like West Ham and Chelsea to go over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Six of the last 9 h2h matches have finished with at least 3 goals.

2. Chelsea has scored 8 goals in its last 3 EPL matches.

3. West Ham has found the back of the net in all 4 league matches this season.

4. West Ham has conceded 5 goals in its 2 home matches.

5. The last meeting resulted in a 5-0 win for Chelsea.

Chelsea will score more than once. West Ham probably will do the same. At the least, the Hammers get one. The play is the over.

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We like South Alabama and Appalachian State to finish over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. The total might seem high but South Alabama just scored 87 points in its last game.

2. The Jaguars are averaging 512.3 yards of offense per game and 48.3 points.

3. The Jaguars can score but their defense can be really bad. They gave up 52 points and 550 yards in their loss to North Texas. They returned only 3 defensive starters from last year.

4. Appalachian State has had some great defenses but this doesn't seem to be one of them. The Mountaineers gave up 66 against Clemson and are allowing 31.7 points and 447 yards per game.

5. The Mountaineers scored 38 points in their only home game. Playing a home game on ESPN against a leaky South Alabama defense, they will be motivated to put up a large number.

This will be a fast-paced game with a lot of big plays. We expect both teams to put up huge offensive numbers and the final score to go over the total.

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We like Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bologna to stay Under the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Bologna is not a dangerous offensive team. They scored 2 against a weak (promoted) Como team last match but only 1 in their previous 2 matches combined.

2. Bologna is in unfamiliar territory, having not played on this stage for several decades. 

3. Bologna has some injuries to key offensive players including forward Nicolo Cambiaghi and attacking midfielder Lewis Ferguson. 

4. Shakhtar is off a high-scoring match against a poor Karpaty club but their last match against a decent team resulted in a 0-0 draw.

5. Shakhtar has won just twice in its last 11 Champions League away matches. Scoring on the road is not easy for the Ukranian champions. 

We're expecting a low-scoring match with one of the following final scores likely to occur: 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0.  The play is the under. 

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Atlanta looked poor offensively in its 18-10 home loss to Pittsburgh. The bright spot was the Falcons' defense and everything points to these trends continuing here on the road in this difficult road venue. The Eagles had to play from behind pretty much the entire game in their win at Brazil. That changed the way the game played out. Philly was just 4 of 14 on third down and turned the ball over three times. With the home side putting an added emphasis on protecting the football and establishing the run game, we're ultimately expecting a much slower overall pace this week. The Eagles offense took a big hit when it was announced that A.J. Brown would miss this game with a ham-string injury. Kirk Cousins was running for his life several times in the Falcons' Week 1 loss, and his offensive line could have another difficult time here in Week 2 as well. Adding up all of the above factors definitely points to the "under" as the correct call in this one!

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The 27-10 Connecticut Sun are on the road to take on the 24-13 Aces, and in our opinion, this one has "O-V-E-R" written all over it! The Sun play with the revenge factor after a recent 72-67 home loss, and that's significant for us to take note of, as Connecticut has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Las Vegas is off back-to-back victories and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight, but note that the Aces have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Also, those 5 straight unders have kept this o/u line lower than it could be. The total was 164.5 when these teams met on Sept. 6th and has been more than 160 for each of the past 10 meetings. The last 2 LV games had totals close to 180! Kelsey Plum had 27 points for the Aces in the win over the Sun a couple of weeks ago, and you'll definitely want to keep your eyes on her here again tonight. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

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New Orleans dismantled Carolina 47-10 at home, but now hitting the road for the first time to face this talented Dallas defense, we're expecting a completely difference pace and tempo from the visitors. Dallas returns home off a successful 33-17 win over the Browns, and we also think that the Cowboys will be looking to protect the ball better here and establish the run game throughout. Add up these game plans and you have a contest that's decided by field position and in the trenches. With the high-scoring Week 1 results, this is an extra high o/u line. We feel that these are two of the best defenses in football. New Orleans was just 4-5 on the road last year, while Dallas was 8-0 at home. Let's not overreact to Saints' QB Derek Carr's performance. Throwing for three TD's and only 200 yards looks good on paper, but then we remember who they were playing in Week 1. It's going to be significantly more difficult here vs. the Cowboys, who looked really good in shutting down DeShaun Watson and company. The Under is the play!

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We really respect both these defenses but this total is too low. Last year's game had a total of 46.5 and Georgia exceeded that all by itself. The final score was 51-13. The Bulldogs already had 34 by halftime and could have scored more in the 2nd half if Kentucky had forced them to do. Even a really good defense can't stop the powerful Bulldogs. Georgia is already averaging better than 40 points per game. Kentucky just gave up 31 points to South Carolina last week. This year, at least the Wildcats play at home which means they should have more success in remaining competitive. They also have a new offensive coordinator in Bush Hamdan with a mandate to have a faster paced offense. The Bulldogs could go over this number again by themselves. But they won't need to, Kentucky is going to be helping to get this final score over the total. The play is the over!

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Many think UNLV is a sexy "dark-horse" pick to qualify for the CFP in January, and while that may or may not go on to be true, we do expect the Rebels to keep their recent offensive momentum rolling here against a Kansas team that's looking to rebound from an upset 23-17 loss at Illinois as a five-point favorite. Before that game, Kansas had scored 48 or more in 3 straight. These teams played last year and the Jayhawks won 49-36 on Boxing Day. It was a complete shootout and all signs point to another high-scoring affair here in our opinion as well. That game had a total of 65. This lower one is giving a lot of value. UNLV is off a 72-14 victory over Utah Tech and is playing a very up-tempo brand of football. With both teams putting up big numbers, we think for sure this Week 3 matchup has "over" written all over it as well!

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Plenty of reasons for us to like the over here. Buffalo's defense looked shaky in last week's 34-28 home win over the Cardinals. Josh Allen was great against the Dolphins last year, completing 81 percent of his passes while averaging 340 yards passing per game. He also averaged 42 yards per game rushing. Despite winning 20-17 last weekend, the Dolphins still allowed the Jags to rush for the seventh-most rushing yards last weekend. Keep in mind that 3 of the past 4 meetings have finished with more than 60 points. Each offense looked "rusty" in the first half, and each looked a lot better in the second. We look for that offensive trend to carry over here on Thursday with the final score finishing with more than 50 points.

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We have a great Monday night matchup to open the season and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. I just a real common sense play here, as New York will be looking to get the most out of its 40-year-old investment under center. Aaron Rodgers will also feel he has something to prove this season obviously. These teams haven't played since 2020, and the 49ers won that contest by a score of 31-13 in New Jersey. We're definitely expecting a much more competitive game this time around. Rodgers has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. The defense though is going to be tested facing Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey at home. San Francisco's last 10 home games have all finished over the 40 mark and 4 of the past 5 (and 7 of the 10) finished with 44 or more. Admittedly these are two good defenses, but in our opinion, everything points to these two dynamic quarterbacks "stealing the headlines." SF cannot be stopped and NY will have to score to keep up. This number has fallen from when it came out, right past the key number of 44, is low. Over is the play.

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Whenever the LA Rams and Detroit Lions get together, the focus turns to the two veteran QB's. Detroit got Jared Goff, who led his team to an NFC Championship last year, while LA got Matt Stafford, who led the Rams to a Super Bowl championship in his first season. The last time these teams met was in January, the final score was 24-23. The last time these teams met in the regular season was back in 2021 and the Rams won 28-19 at home. We're expecting a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle (relative to the very high total) here as well. Detroit is 8-1 in its last nine at home and the last thing it'll want to do here is to try and turn this into a "shootout" against Stafford. We're expecting Detroit to get Goff to be a game manager here and to control the tempo of this one. We should also mention that the Lions secondary is much improved from the last time that the Rams saw it. It was a weakness last year but will be a strength this season. With each offense getting out to a tentative start like we suspect, we're expecting this total to fall "under" the big number once it's all said and done!

USC is off the 27-20 Week 1 win over LSU in Las Vegas as a four-point underdog and now the Trojans will take a big step down in class. The Trojans are now in the more difficult Big Ten, and with a week off before a trip to Michigan, followed by the heart of the conference schedule, we're absolutely expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. USC will put up a crooked number but Utah State won't be rolling over. These types of nationally televised affairs are huge for these smaller schools. Last week the Aggies posted 646 total yards of offense in their 36-14 win over Robert Morris. Bryson Barnes went 11 of 21 for 198 yards and two TD's in last week's win, while also rushing for another 88 yards and a rushing TD. Miller Moss was 27 of 36 for 378 yards and a TD for the Trojans. With these two QB's pushing the pace offensively like we suspect here on Saturday night, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

Both teams are confident heading into this one at 1-0. Duke managed the 26-3 win over Elon, almost covering the 24.5-point spread, while Northwestern held on for a 13-6 victory over Miami Ohio as a 3-point fav. The new players now have a game under their belts. Clearly the oddsmakers feel this will be a competitive game by setting a spread like this, but they're also trying to convince us that this will be extremely low scoring and we're just not buying it. This game could go "over" this small number and still be an overall lower-scoring game and that's what we're expecting. This is the fourth straight year these teams have faced off, Duke winning each of the previous three. Keep in mind that all 3 games produced more than 50 points. Mike Wright will be able to move the ball a lot better in the Wildcats' temporary lake-side home, but the defense will have a more difficult time this week. QB Maalik Murphy had a big day for Duke last week, and we're expecting him to once again push the pace here. While we're not calling for this one to go "over" by halftime or anything, everything does indeed point to the total eclipsing the very low posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!"

This game is being played in Brazil, the first ever NFL game in South America. These types of scenarios often have a way of leading to more of a defensive lower-scoring outcome, due to the unfamiliarity of their surroundings. We have two really good QB's going head-to-head here, but we're expecting each side to put an added emphasis onto establishing the run game while on offense. That helps take pressure off their defense and to keep the opposing QB on the bench. It also keeps the clock moving. Keep in mind that this is a very high total, much higher than the total of 46 that these teams had when they last faced each. Three of GB's last four games finished with 45 or less. The Eagles last 2 games finished with 41 or less. They'll score but not enough to surpass this high line. We're on the "under!"

10* UNDER Mariners/Angels 

These teams have been involved in a couple higher-scoring affairs of late, including in the Mariners 9-5 win last night, but for two really good reasons, we believe this number will fall "under" the number tonight (note as well that previous to last night's setback, the Angels had played to three straight "unders.") The two reasons are these starting pitchers, as we're anticipating a classic "duel" here. Seattle goes with Bryan Woo (6-2, 2.05 ERA), who owns a sharp 68:9 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Tyler Anderson (10-12, 3.41), who took a hard-luck loss last time out after limisting the Jays to two runs off four hits over five innings. He owns a highly respectable 122:62 K:BB. He's been a work-horse for the Angels all year and as stated off the top, all signs point to a classic "duel." So the play is indeed on the "under!"

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10* UNDER Mets/Padres (NL NON-DIV TOM)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Mets 8-3 win in yesterday's series opener, but everything points to more of a "duel" here on Friday finally in our opinion. The Padres lost their second straight and they've now also seen the total go "over" in four straight. Despite yesterday's high-scoring loss though, note that the Friars have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. More than anything though it comes down to the starting pitchers for us, with Paul Blackburn (1=1, 3.68 ERA) getting the call for the visitors, and Joe Musgrove (3-4, 4.97) countering for the home side. Blackburn is off an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Marlins on Sunday after allowing no runs over six innings and striking out four. He now has a 20:7 K:BB for his new club and he'll have to continue to be sharp here throwing opposite Musgrove, who conceded just a single run while striking out six over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Rockies in his last start. Musgrove continues to see more and more innings after an injury and to us appears headed in the correct direction, sitting with a 51:18 K:BB over 58 innings thus far. Long story short, we see this being a defensive "duel," and will therefore be playing the "under!" 

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10* Riders/Argos UNDER (TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter battle here on Thursday night. The Argos play with revenge after falling 30-23 at Saskatchewan back in Week 5, and note that Toronto has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Riders can't be happy after squandering the lead three different times last week in their eventual 27-24 loss to Montreal. Toronto is off two high-scoring games vs. Calgary, losing 27-23 on the road, and then bouncing back to win 39-25 in Week 10. Now the Argos welcome back QB Chad Kelly, making his first start of the year. Kelly's been out since May after getting sidelined due to violation of league policy. He'll have his hands full with this now desperate Riders side looking to stop a four-game slide. Saskatchewn is averaging 20.3 PPG over its last six games and the last thing it'll want to do here is turn this into a shootout on the road. We say the conditions are right for more of a defensive battle than what the oddsmakes are leading us to believe; the play is the "under!" 

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10* Packers/Broncos UNDER (BEST OF BEST)

The Packers opened the season with an upset 23-10 win over the Browns, and we're expectng a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive battle here as well. Denver opened with a high-scoring 34-30 win over Indianapolis, but after turning the ball over three times in that offensive affair, we're expecting a much more conservative approach here at home in Week 2. Green Bay has already said that its starters would see little to no action in this one. Denver is expected to start many of its starters in this one, including rookie QB Bo Nix. He's battling for the opening spot vs. Zach Wilson and Jarrett Stidham. We just see the Packers killing clock throughout this one and we also don't see Denver running up the score. All things considered, this number is much too high in our opinion, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Yanks/Tigers (SITUATIONAL SLUG-FEST)

Despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head in the finale of this three-game series in Detroit, this one sets up to be more of an offensive slug-fest in our opinion. Marcus Stroman (8-6, 4.01 ERA) and Tarik Skubal (14-4, 2.53) have been workhorses for their teams, but we feel that this O/U line is still low. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after yesterday's 4-0 win, but note that the Tigers have in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Also note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. The overall "situation" points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* OVER Lions/Chiefs (NON-CONF TOW)

Here's a great situational play. Let's not read too much into either team's Week 1 result. Detroit is off a 14-3 loss at the Giants, while Kansas City is off a 26-13 loss at Jacksonville. Both teams have big playoff aspirations once again this year and while the starters for each side will once again see little to no playing time here, we're anticipating a much more wide-open offensive affair this time around. With each team opening things up offensively this week, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER (EAST MEETS WEST)

These are the top two teams in their respective divisions, so it's a classic "East meets West" battle in the Prairies on Friday night. Last week the Riders settled for a 22-22 tie with Ottawa, and we're expecting another hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle here vs. Montreal as well. The Als cruised to a 33-23 win at home over Hamilton last weekend. Montreal held on for the 20-16 home win over the Riders as a 3.5-point favorite, and everything points to a similar final combined score here in Saskatchewan as well. Montreal has seen the total go "under" in four straight on the road, and once again the situation points to a hard-fought battle, where field position plays a key role in deciding the winner; as such, the play for us as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Fulham/Man U (EPL TOW)

This is going to be a "gimme" for Man U. United is coming off a difficult season and off-season. The pressure is already tremendous for the home side to start performing right out of the gate, but in three pre-season matches they suffered three-defeats in five outings (including a 3-0 loss to Liverpool in the USA.) Most recently the Red Devils lost to their city rival in the FA Community Shield. Fulham won here last year, one of six home defeats out of 19 games for United. They'd lost to Fulham just three times over the previous 33 matches. Now Fulham is motivated to make it two away victories against United for the first time in its history. The Cottagers ultimately finished in 13th place last year, but they did win two of their last three away games last season (it's also noteworthy that the L4 meetings in this series in league play have been won by the away side.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, the "over" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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8* UNDER A's/Mets (TOP TOTAL)

These teams have been involved in some higher-scoring "slug-fests" their last few game, but everything finally points to more of a "duel" here in the getaway contest. Oakland had its three-game win streak come to an end in last night's 9-1 loss here, one night after winning the opener by a score of 9-4. Oakland has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the A's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Mets finally broke their four-game slide with last night's win. Like its counterpart today, New York also enters having seen the total go "over" in three straight. The visitors hand the ball to Mitch Spence (7-8, 4.33 ERA), who has been a workhorse for Oakland all season, and who is off an unfortunate loss vs. the Jays by conceding just two runs with no walks over six innings. Over 106 innings of work he owns a very respectable 86:31 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Jose Quintana (6-8, 4.10), who is off an outing to forget vs. the Mariners, but who remains sharp in all "day" games this year by going 3-3 with a 3.53 ERA. He's also owns a 3.39 ERA at home despite just a 3-4 record. Regardless, we like Quintana to bounce back and for Spence to match his effort, as everything points to a bit of a "duel" here; the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Jays/Angels (AL NON-DIV TOW)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a bit of a "slug-fest" finally mid-week, despite these being a couple of decent starters featured going head-to-head. The Jays turn to Jose Berrios (10-9, 3.97 ERA), while the home side counters with Tyler Anderson (9-10, 2.99.) Both have been workhorses for their clubs this season, but note that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. While the first two games of this series stayed well below the number, everything finally points to some explosive fireworks here on Wednesday, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Nats/Orioles (ASSASSIN)

We base our picks on mnay different things, and this particular one is based upon the starting pitchers. Each side had Monday off as they prepare for this short two-game IL series. As stated off the top, for the most part this pick revolves around the starting pitchers for the most part for us. Washington hands the ball to Jake Irvin (8-10, 3.76 ERA) who is 6-3 with a 3.48 ERA on the road this year, while the home side coutners with Trevor Rogers 2-10, 4.71 ERA), who is 3-4 with a 3.35 ERA in ten career starts vs. the Nats. Look for these two competent starters to get the job done and be the main story line in this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Denver/Indianapolis (NFLX TOY)

It's a big year for both Denver coach Sean Payton and Indianapolis coach Shane Steichen, each who enters their second year with their current team. Denver will be starting Jarrett Stidham in this one, with Bo Nix getting the majority of time under center next week vs. the Packers. Stidhan went 1-1 as a starter last year for the Broncos and his experience and competitiveness is part of the reason why I really like the OVER here, as I expect him to get plenty of production vs. Indianpolis' second-stringers on defense. And outside of the QB's, the starting offense is expected to see 15 to 18 plays. The Colts already know who their QB is with Anthony Richardson. He'll only see a series or two before making way for his super capable backups in Joe Flacco and Sam Ehlinger. The backup QB's for both sides are hungry and have big chips on their shoulders and will be able to expose these sup-par defenses; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Reds/Brewers (NL CENTRAL TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Brewers 8-3 win on Friday night, but for a couple of different reasons, we're expecting much more of a "duel" here on Saturday between these division rivals. The Brewers won their fourth straight after yesterday's win, and all three games went "over" the number. Despite Friday's victory eclipsing the posted number, Milwaukee has STILL seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Reds are last in the division at 56-60. They had won three of four previous to yesterday's setback. They've now seen the total go "over" in seven straight. But we really like both these staters and everything points to them "stealing the show" so to speak in what we predict will be a classic "duel," with Nick Martinez (6-4, 3.43 ERA) going for the Reds and Tobias Myers (6-5, 3.02) countering for the home side. With each of these starters working deep into the latter frames like we suspect, the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one is definitely on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Panthers/Pats (TOTAL PROFIT$)

Both teams were terrible last year. Carolina finished a league-worst 2-5 last year and it missed out on getting the No. 1 pick int the draft after trading away the pick to the Bears the previous season. Bryce Young should be improved, but he, along with most of the other starters, won't be playing in this one. The 2023/24 campaign was also a difficult one for the Patriots, who enter with a new hea coach in Jerod Mayo and a new QB in No. 3 pick Drake Maye. These teams have plenty of holes to fill and many things to work on and actually winning this meaningless contest is WAY, WAY down on the list of importance. This one will be decided by field position, and in a contest like this, everything does indeed point to a tight, lower-scoring "under!" 

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10* UNDER Brewers/Braves (ASSASSIN)

The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but everything finally points to more of a defensive "duel" in the getaway game on Thursday. We think these starters will battle each other deep into this one, and that will be the main reason why this total stays below the number. The visitors hand the ball to Frankie Montas (4-8, 5.01 ERA), while the home side counters with Charlie Morton (6-6, 3.94.) Montas comes in off one of his best starts of the year and we're looking for him to build off that performance after he conceded three runs over five innings while striking out five in a victory over the Nationals. Morton comes in off likely his best start of the season as well, giving up one run and striking out six over six innings in a victory over the Fish on Thursday. Morton has been at his best at home this year as well, going 4-3 with a 3.00 ERA thus far. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Red Sox/Royals (ASSASSIN)

We base our picks on many different things. Primarily when we bet MLB totals, we're betting the starting pitchers. We have two teams that can hit the ball for sure, but in our estimation, it'll be these two competent starters who "steal the show" and put on a classic "duel" once it's all said and done. For us, this one starts and ends with the starters. The visitors hand the ball to Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.13 ERA), who has gotten progressively sharper all around as the season has progressed. Bello has so far been his best on the road as well this year, going 6-2 with a respectable 4.28 ERA away from friendly confines. And the home side counters with Seth Lugo (13-5, 2.57 ERA), who dominated the Tigers in his last outing, allowing one run over eight innings. Expect these starters to "duel" into the latter frames and for this total to stay well "under" the number as a result!

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10* UNDER D-Backs/Guardians (IL TOW)

Both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a "duel" in the opener of this IL series. And for us, this one starts and ends with the starting pitchers. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Gallen (9-5, 3.56 ERA), while the home side counters with Logen Allen (8-4, 5.67.) It's Gallen vs. Allen. Gallen enters off a win over Washington, allowing one run and one walk while striking out six over six innings. He's also 5-4 with a 3.39 ERA in all "night" contests. Allen has been called up from Triple A to make this start after a poor performance over the first half of the season. If he pitches well, he'll be able to stay on the team. He did well in Triple-A though, posting a 3.86 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over three outings. We're expecting this to be a bit of a "duel" and for this total to ultimately fall "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* UNDER Cards/Cubs (BEST OF BEST)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're definitely expecting more of a "duel" here on Sunday night. St. Louis has seen the total go "over" in six straight after snapping a two game slide to open this series with a 5-4 win yesterday. note that Chicago has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a fav. vs. an opponent. The Cubs' three-game win streak ended on Saturday and they've now seen the total go "over" in four in a row. St. Louis goes with Miles Mikolas (8-8, 4.99 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Steele (2-5, 3.38.) Mikolas has been pretty decent of late, posting a quality start in four of his last five outings. He also owns a quality 83:20 K:BB so far. Steele is coming off an outing to foget vs. the Reds, but note that his ERA drops to 2.90 through 11 "night" games played this year; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* UNDER Brewers/Nationals (DUEL)

Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a "duel" here on Sunday. We had a play on the "under" in this series yesterday, and while that came up short, everything definitely points to these two starters throwing deep into this one. The Brewers hand the ball to Tobias Myers (6-4, 3.10 ERA), who has actually been at his best away from friendly confines this season by going 4-4 with a 2.66 ERA. The home side counters with Mitchell Parker (5-6, 4.31), who has been his best at home this year by going 3-2 with a 3.81 ERA. With these two guys battling into the latter frames like we're expecting, the "under" is for sure the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* D-Backs/Pirates UNDER (DUEL)

These teams played to a very high-scoring game on Friday, but we're anticipating much more of a "duel" here on Saturday. The Diamondbacks go with Jordan Montgomery, who is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA, but who is still 4-2 with a 4.11 ERA on the road this year. He'll be opposed by Jordan Keller, who is 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA and who most recently faced Arizona his last outing, holding the D-Backs to two runs while striking out seven over six innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision. With these two hungry hurlers going deep into the latter innings like we're suspecting, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Brewers/Nationals (ASSASSIN)

These teams were involved in a high-scoring game on Friday, but we're anticipating much more of a "duel" here on Saturday. And for us, this play starts and ends with the starting pitchers. The Brewers hand the ball to Aaron Civale, while the home side counters with Davidjohn Herz. Civale looks to settle down for his new team in this start, as he sports a very respctable 3.99 ERA in eight "day" games already this season. Herz comes in off a strong no-decision to the Cardinals on Sunday, allowing two runs and striking out eight over six innings. Look for these two guys to take "center stage" on Saturday afternoon and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! 

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10* UNDER Jays/Yanks (AL EAST TOY)

Both of these sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games before coming into this series, but we're anticipating a classic "duel" here on Friday between a couple of competent starting hurlers. Toronto has seen the total go "over" three of its last four after dropping three off four at Baltimore over the weekend, while New York enters having seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven straight after winning its fifth in a row in a three-game series sweep at the Phillies this week. That's a lot of "overs," and we believe it's now helping to push this total here on Friday a little bit higher than it normally would/should be. Kevin Gausman is 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA for the Jays and has turned the corner with his performance over the last two months. And he'll be opposed by Marcus Stroman, who is 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA and who looked good in his first outing after the break. We're expecting these guys to battle each other into the latter frames, and as such, everything point to the total staying "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* UNDER Montreal/Hamilton (EAST-CONF TOM)

This is the opener of a home-and-home set between the teams and we're expecting a tighter, lower-scoring battle in the opener. Montreal is 6-1 overall and after falling 37-18 to Toronto at home, the Als bounced back with a 20-16 victory over Saskatchewan last week. We can expect a similar defensive affair here vs. Hamilton. The Ti-Cats are 2-5, but they've won two straight. The last thing Montreal will do is try and turn this into a shootout with the Ti-Cats, but after those two straight high-scoring wins, we feel that this O/U line is a bit TOO inflated here on Friday night. In our opinion, everything points to a tighter, lower-scoring battle, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Cards/Cubs (NL CENTRAL TOY)

These teams had been involved in several high-scoring games leading up to the opener of their four-game series on Thursday, but on Friday we're once again anticipating some offensive fireworks. Eric Fedde is 7-4 with a 3.11 ERA for the Cards, and he'll be starting opposite the Cubs' Javier Assad (5-3, 3.23.) Fedde will make his first start for his new team after coming over from the White Sox, and we're anticiapting a bit of struggles right out of the gate. This is a great "situational" play for sure. Assad gave up three runs over five innings in a win over the Royals in his last outing. It was his first win and first time he completed six innings since mid May. We're predicting more regression hee on Friday as well. While the majority are expecting a classic "duel," here, we're going the other way for sure and expecting some offense and for this total to ultimately fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Orioles/Guardians (AL NON-DIV TOM)

Whoever gets the start in the end for Baltimore, we like the "under" in this one. This is just a great overall "situational" play. That said, Dean Kremer (4-7, 4.20 ERA) is expected to get the start for the Orioles, who are 4-1 in their last five after going 3-1 vs. Toronto this past weekend. Three of those four games went "over" the number, but everything points to a much tighter affair here with Kremer, who has been much better on the road this season than anywhere else by going 3-3 with a highly-respectable 3.07 ERA. Not to be outdone though, Ben Lively (9-6, 3.44) will look to keep pace with his counterpart, as Lively has been almost unbeatable at home this season, going 5-1 with a tiny 2.69 ERA. Look for these two starting "studs" to draw most of the attention in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Yanks/Phillies (DUEL)

This pick for us is almost 100% based upon the starting pitchers. We've always liked both of these guys. They're both prone to blowups at times, but the conditions here feel "right" for a "duel" for sure on Tuesday. The Yanks hand the ball to Gerritt Cole (3-2, 5.40 ERA,) while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.44.) Cole is coming off an outing to forget vs. the Mets, but he still sports a decent 38:12 K:BB over 35 innings. The sample size is still too small to draw any concrete conclusoins on Cole and all signs point to him progressing in the second half. Nola has once again been great this year, both on the road and at home, but his ERA does drop to 3.44 in front of the home town faithful. We're expecting these competent hurlers to take "center stage" in this contest and as such, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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UPDATE: With the pitching change, we're going to make this a NO ACTION

10* UNDER Rangers/Cards (IL TOW)

The Rangers enter this Interleague series sitting at 51-55 after dropping all three games North of the border over the weekend. All three games went "over" the number, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row (also in four of its last five after three or more straight losses in a row.) We also have two really "steady" starters squaring off with the Rangers turning to Nathan Eovaldi (7-4, 3.31 ERA), and the home side countering with Andre Pallante (4-4, 3.92.) Look for these two guys to battle into the latter frames and for this total to ultimately stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* UNDER Yanks/Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

They say divsional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side. This is a very meaningful series for both teams, but for this particular play we're putting our focus onto the starting pitchers, and considering their form, we do indeed feel that this O/U line is way too high. The home side is scheduled to start Carlos Rodon (10-7, 4.42 ERA), while the home side coutners with Tanner Houck (8-6, 2.71.) Rodon most recently allowed just one run and struck out ten over seven innings in a divisional victory over the Rays, and there's no reason not to think that he won't carry that momentum over here. Houck is 7-5 with a 2.46 ERA in all "night" games this year. The overall situation points to this total staying "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* UNDER Yanks/Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

Considering the form of these two starting pitchers, we're going to suggest a play on the "under" in this one. Marcus Stroman (7-5, 3.51 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Kutter Crawford (6-8, 3.37 ERA) goes for Boston. Stroman is coming off a tough-luck loss, allowing three runs over six innings to Tampa. It was his best start in over a month and we expect the Yanks hurler to build off that performance. Crawford is coming off an outing to forget vs. the Dodgers, allowing six runs over five innings, but we're expecting a bounce-back here. Crawford has a 3.50 ERA at home and everything in our opinion points to a "duel." This number is a bit high now, so the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Rays/Jays (AL EAST TOW)

Before their series started with the Rays on Tuesday, the Jays had seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. Despite the final outcome of Tuesday's contest, we love how this game on Wednesday finally sets up to be more of a "duel." And for us, this one starts and ends with the starting pitchers! Zach Eflin (5-7, 4.14 ERA) gets the call for the Rays, while Yariel Rodriguez (1-3, 3.78) counters for the home side. Eflin is coming off an outing to forget in fact vs. the Yanks, allowing five runs over five innings in a loss on Friday. While he's been sharper at home than on the road this season, we're still not hitting the panic button when it comes to Eflin right now. Rodriguez has been better at home than on the road though, sporting a 2.57 ERA in front of the home town crowd. With these two competent hurlers battling into the deeper innings like we suspect, the "under" for sure becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this AL East matchup North of the border on Wednesday night!

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10* UNDER Mets/Yanks (IL TOM)

These two cross-town rivals meet for a two-game set in the Bronx, and in our opinion, everything points to a classic "duel" in the opener. The Mets finish a four-game series with the Marlins on Monday, while the Yanks completed a four-game series at home, going 2-2, vs. Tampa after Monday's 9-1 victory. New York has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's significant to note for sure, as the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Jose Quintana (4-6, 4.13 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Luis Gil (10-5, 3.17) counters for the home side. Quintana was rocked in his last start at Coors Field, but we're not reading too much into that one, as in his previous start he went seven scoreless vs. the Nationals. Gil gave up one run to the hard-hitting Orioles over six innings and had seven strikeouts in his last start. Look for these well-rested starting hurlers to battle each other into the latter frames and as a result, also expect this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* OVER LAFC/Seattle FC.

Seattle is now 10-7 after five straight wins. The Sounders are now unbeaten in seven. They've played incredible well defensively of late, coming off three straight shutout victories, winning 2-0 over New England, 1-0 over Austin and 2-0 over St. Louis last time out. But the last time these teams played, Seattle lost 2-1 back in February in the very first game of the season and suffice it to say, we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. LAFC is 13-5, but its winless in its last two, most recently earning a 1-1 draw with Real Salt Lake. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we're expecting, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* AL WEST TOM on the OVER Astros/Mariners.

This is an "action" play, meaning whoever gets the start for either side, this will be a valid pick. We have two decent starters going head-to-head here, but whoever gets the start, we do love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring "slug-fest," rather than a "duel." That said, Houston is expected to start Framber Valdez (8-5, 3.66 ERA), while the home side will counter with Luis Castillo (8-9, 3.53.) Honestly, it's difficult to really say anything negative about either of these guys right now, so we're not even going to bother. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 when playing with three or more days of rest. That's significant to note for this pick obviously. It's also important to note how incredibly hot it is in the PNW right now. These balls are going to have plenty of action to leave the park in this one, and when you combine all of these situational factors together, we do indeed feel that this O/U line is MUCH too small; the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER KC/Vancouver (TOW)

Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring "under" here finally on Wednesday nght in the PNW. KC comes to town off back-to-back victories, beating Dallas 3-2 at home, before then holding on for the 3-1 victory at San Jose last week. It plays with revenge here after a 2-1 home loss to the Caps back in May, and note that Sporting KC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vancouver has gone 3-0-1 in its last four and is off the 4-1 win at St. Louis, but we're expecting the home side to control the pace of this one at home on Wednesday night. We say this MLS battle in Vancouver on Wednesday night will be a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake and because of that, we're indeed making a play on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Ottawa/Edmonton (BLOOD-BATH)

Edmonton is 0-4 and desperate for a spark. So far it's been trading high-scoring losses with low-scoring setbacks, and after falling 24-21 at BC two weeks ago, we're expecting this pattern/trend to continue here at home in this important matchup. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams, as Ottawa comes to town at 2-2 and off last week's listless 25-16 loss at a desperate Winnipeg last week. Note though that Ottawa has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off a SU/ATS road loss. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything points to this total flying "over" the number well before the final whistle sounds!

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10* OVER Yanks/Orioles (AL EAST TOW)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a "slug-fest" here finally in the finale of this three game set, despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head. New York took the opener 4-1, then followed it up with a 6-1 victory yesterday. That's five straight losses for the Orioles, and four straight "unders." That's significant for us though, as Baltimore has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more straight losses in a row. New York hands the ball to Carlos Rodon (9-7, 4.63 ERA), while the home side counters with Dean Kremer (4-5, 4.42.) After decent starts to the season, each has regressed over the last month and a half. The overall situation here though points to this total flying well "over" the number before its done in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Charlotte/Cincinnati (MLS TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a defensive affair this weekend finally in Cincinnati. We expect the home side to go up early, and then to control the pace of this one. FC Cincinnati is now 15-4 after three straight wins, most recently crushing Miami last week 6-1. Note though that Cincinnati has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. That last time these teams played, 9-8 Charlotte held on for the 1-1 draw at home back in late March. We suspect a similar final combined score or even tighte here. We're not comfortable playing a side here, but we FOR SURE feel this O/U line is now inflated; so the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Saskatchewan/BC (WEST-CONF TOY)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the "over," we're for sure going contrarian here, as we expect a much more defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. And in our opinion, this one just sets up great from a "situational" stand point to be lower-scoring. Saskatchewan is 4-0 and off a 30-32 win over Toronto. So far it's seen the total go "over" in all four. Note though that despite it going "over" last time, the Riders have STILL seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. BC is 4-1 and most recently off a high-scoring 44-28 road win at Hamilton last week. BC has won four in a row, but the last thing the Riders will do is try to turn this into a shootout. Overall, taking into account all of these different factors, we say this week's O/U line is now too large for sure; the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Royals/Red Sox (ASSASSIN)

We base our selections on many different things. For this one, our primary focus falls onto the starting pitchers, and in our opinion, everything points to a classic "duel" here between the Royals' Seth Lugo, and the Red Sox' Kutter Crawford. Lugo (11-3, 2.21 ERA and 1.04 WHIP), has been "lights out" in this position all year, going 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA in all "day" games. Crawford (5-7, 3.24 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), is coming off a gem vs. the hard-hitting Yanks, allowing no runs over seven innings and striking out four. Look for these two "in form" hurlers to be the main reason why this total stays "under" the number once it's all said and done on Saturday afternoon!

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10* UNDER Guardians/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOM)

We're expecting these competent starters to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summariers of this contest and because of that we'll recommend a play on the "under." For us, this pick on the "under" starts and ends with the starters. Cleveland brings in Carlos Carrasco (3-6, 5.22 ERA) who has gotten stronger as the season has progressed, most recently conceding three runs over five innings and striking out four in a win over the Giants on Sunday. He owns a decent 62:25 K:BB over 82 innings and we expect him to carry that momentum over here. The home side counters with Taj Bradley (3-4, 3.23), who is 2-3 with a tiny 1.76 ERA at home this year. Look for these two guys to battle into the latter frames and for this total to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* UNDER Jays/Giants (IL TOY)

Despite this being a fairly "low" number, we're definitely anticipating a very low-scoring defensive "duel" in San Francisco in the opener of this IL series. Toronto is 41-49 overall, while San Francisco is 44-47. The public sees the Giants' Blake Snell getting the start here and will be quick to jump on the "over" for sure. We can't completely blame them of course for this knee-jerk reaction, with Snell entering 0-3 with a 9.51 ERA thus far. The southpaw has been reactivated from the IL with a full five days rest to regroup. In his last tune-up though, he finally returned to form, going five no-hit, shutout frames while also striking out nine. And he'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 4.12 ERA) of the Jays, who has been at his best on the road with a 2-2 record and a 3.99 ERA. We expect these two hungry hurlers to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest and because of that, the plays is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* OVER France/Spain FIRST HALF 0.75 -107 (or OVER 1.75 FOR FULL GAME).

To say this French side has struggled to find the back of the net in this Tournament would be an understatement. France has reached the Euro Semis with zero open play goals. Obviously, if the French expect to advance to the final, it'll have to find its scoring touch. The last time these teams met back in 2021 France prevailed 2-1 and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Spain has looked like the best team so far in this Tournament, using a combination of great offense (4-1 win over Georgia), as well as defensive play. With the majority of the bets once again anticipating a really low-scoring battle, we're actually seeing this one playing out quite the opposite. This is a great time to go contrarian and take advantage of an O/U line that is lower than it should be in our opinion. Look for these two soccer powerhouses to eclipse this posted total at half time, and also for the full game!

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10* OVER Mets/Pirates (NL NON-DIV TOM)

We're writing this pick on Sunday afternoon while these two teams are still playing, and this Monday contest will be the finale of the four-game set. Regardless of what transpires in the game on Sunday, we love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. We dont' have a ton of faith in the Mets' Christian Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA), who returned to the big leagues in his last outing out of neccessity, conceding four runs over five innings to the Nationals. Now on the road vs. this hard-hitting Pirates side, we're anticipating a meltdown and a quick exit. Mitch Keller (9-5, 3.48 ERA) counters for the home side and while his numbers have obviously been solid, the overall situation here in our opinion sees this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later. Look for these hungry sides to go "over" the total as the game comes down the stretch!

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10* Red Sox/Yanks UNDER (AL EAST TOM)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Yanks 14-4 win here yesterday, but we're now finally anticipating a "duel" here on Sunday in the Bronx. NY has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston had its five-game win streak snapped yesterday and it's now seen the total go "over" in five straight games after the setback. But that's also significant to take note of, as the Red Sox have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two fantastic starting pitchers going head-to-head here, and we believe they'll "steal the show" in this contest and battle each other into the deep innings, with Kutter Crawford (4-7, 3.47 ERA) getting the call for the visitors and Luis Gil (9-3, 3.41) countering for the home side; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Calgary/Montreal (BOB)

The 4-0 Montreal Alouettes will look to push the pace here in our estimation vs. the 2-1 Stampeders. Neither team's offense has yet hit its stride this year, but we say those trends end on Saturday night, as we're anticipating a faster-paced, high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. The majority of games so far this year have been decided by a TD or less, but the Stamps haven't been given much of a chance by the bookmakers in this spot. Cody Fajardo has a league-high 75.4 percent pass completion rate for the Als, and we expect him to have a big game here. The Als allowed 14 points in the second half to the Argos last week, and that's going to leave the door open for talented Stamps' QB Jake Maier to make some moves. This one has "over" written all OVER it!

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10* UNDER Toronto/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOM)

Saskatchewan is 3-0 SU/ATS and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight so far to open the season. With the majority of the general betting public once again quick to back a high-scoring win for the home side, we're going to approach this particular play with a heavy contrarian stance. Note that Saskatchewan has in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row dating back the L2 years. Toronto is 2-1 afte rfalling 30-21 to Montreal last week. Its first two games went well "over" the number in consecutive victories, but the Argos offense stalled last week at home, and now hitting the road for the first time all year, we're predicting those issues to become amplified here on the road. As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house." While the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other; this number is too high, the play is the "under!"

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8* OVER Twins/Mariners (ASSASSIN)

These teams play the rubber-match of this three-game series after splitting the first two. Both of the first two games went "under" the number, but we're anticipating much more of a "slug-fest" here finally on Sunday in the finale. Note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's been chilly in the PNW for this time of year, but finally on Sunday it's going to warm up. Two decent starters here in Joe Ryan for the Twins and Luis Castillo for the Mariners, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends in our opinion point to these teams easily combining to eclipse this total as the game comes down the stretch; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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8* Slovakia/England OVER (ASSASSIN)

Two teams that did not have the best Group Stage now enter the KO Round and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. England somehow managed to win Group C with a very lacklustre effort, beating Serbia 1-0, and drawing with both Denmark and Slovenia. Slovakia somehow got past Belgium, before then drawing with Romania to advance. The Three Lions can't be happy clearly. Clearly their fans aren't after they managed just two goals over those first two games. With the favored side pushing the pace like we suspect from the very start, and Slovakia forced to keep tempo, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner rather than later!

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10* UNDER Chicago/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Chicago is just 4-9 and Seattle is just 6-7. These two bottom-feeders go head-to-head in the PNW on Saturday night and we definitely feel that goals will be at a premium. These teams haven't played since 2022 when the Fire beat the Sounders 1-0 in Chicago, and suffice it to say we're expecting a similar final out come here as well. Chicago had its two game win streak snapped in a 4-2 setback at Orlando City last time out, but previous to that it had conceded just two goals over two straight victories. The Sounders are 2-0-1 in their last three and off a 3-2 win here over Dallas, but everything points to a classic "war of attrition" in our estimation. When considering all of the situational factorts that each sides enters with into this one, we absolutely believe that the "under" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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10* OVER Bombers/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOY)

Winnipeg is 0-3 SU/ATS and it'll have to play with a sense of desperation to avoid the dreaded 0-4 hole. Calgary comes out of its bye week rested and ready to build off its 1-1 start. From a situational stand point, we absolutely love how this one sets up to be a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a tight, lower-scoring all out battle. Calgary also hasn't beaten Winnipeg since 2021, so to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement. Winnipeg's defense allowed 398 yards through the air last week to BC, and we believe its defense will be the weak point this weekend as well. The Stamps defense has also struggled this year. It's a big game for both teams and with each pushing the pace offensively like we're anticipating, everything does indeed point to this total fying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Denmark/Germany (KO STAGE TOY)

Germany is a heavy favorite here, while Denmark squeaked in an unforgettable Group C. Germany earned 7 points after two wins and a draw, while its Scandanavian partner finished with zero wins, zero losses and three draws. These teams arrive at Borussia Dortmund's headquarters and while neither team has lost yet to this point, clearly Denmark is going to have its hands full. And simply put, we look for the Germans to completely shutdown their overmatched opponent. Germany will be efficient and cruise to victory here and in our opinion, everything definitely points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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8* OVER Italy/Switzerland FIRST HALF (or OVER for FULL game if don't have access to a FIRST HALF line.)

The winner will move on to meet either England or Slovakia in the quarter-finals. Regardless, we're anticiapting a much higher-scoring game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Switzerland finished with one win, two draws and no losses, while Italy had one win, one draw and one loss. This is a big game for both sides obviously, but maybe arguably more for Switzerland, which has failed to win any of its seven previous last 16-matche at either the Euros or the World Cup, making it to the quarterfinals only once. Italy squeaked in with its draw with Croatia and it'll clearly need to pick up the pace offensively and not sit on its laurels if it wants to avoid a shootout and a possible upset. For us, we see A LOT more scoring between these two sides than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe!

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10* OVER Dodgers/Giants (NL WEST TOW)

These two teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite these two starters sporting very impressive numbers to this point, we believe this O/U line is now TOO low for a few different reasons. LA has won four straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in three in a row after Wednesday's 4-0 win over the White Sox, but note that the Dodgers have in fact seen the total dip below the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Giants had seen the total go "under" in two straight and had won three in a row before yesterday's 5-3 setback at home to the Cubs. We actually had the "over" in that one and it was a winner. And we're expecting more offensive fireworks here tonight with two starters who we expect to finally see some minor regression moving forward, as their numbers are just unrealistic overall in our opinion. The Dodgers go with Landon Knack (1-1, 2.10 ERA), while the home side counters with Logan Webb (6-6, 3.16.) The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to the opener of this NL West series eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Elks/Lions (BOB)

CFL totals continue to creep up, and we now feel for sure that this one is much too high here on Thursday night. Edmonton is 0-3 and desperate to break the slide. Defense has been the main issue, as the Elks have conceded 29, 23 and 39 points in the three losses so far. They've been competitive, but do note that Edmonton has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. BC has is 2-1 and the last two games have gone "under" the number. And there's no reason not to think that BC won't be able to handle the Elks here on the road as well. With Edmonton doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect after last week's disaster, and when taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does point to much more of a defensive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* OVER Cubs/Giants (SLUG-FEST)

These two pitchers have been super solid all year, but we still think that this number is much too low. Chicago will be eager to avoid the 4-0 sweep here in San Francisco by handing the ball to Shota Imanaga (7-2, 2.96 ERA), who was lit up for ten runs by the Mets in his last outing. He'll be opposed by Jordan Hicks (4-4, 3.24 ERA), who is also coming off an outing to forget, conceding five runs over four innings in a loss to the Cards. These two hurlers are regressing and we expect those trends to carry over here and for this total to ultimatley eclipse the posted number well before it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Romania/Slovakia.

Both teams need a win here. If either team can earn the full three points, it'll move onto the next round. Slovakia beat Belgium 1-0, but then inexplicably fell 2-1 to Ukraine. Romania on the other hand hammered Ukraine 3-0, but then lost 2-0 to Belgium last week. Slovakia actually had 14 shots on net in its loss to Ukraine and we expect the team to build off that performance. Romania also had 14 shots on net, but unfortunately wasn't able to find the back of the net. A big game with a lot on the line and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rarther than later!

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10* OVER Serbia/Denmark (TOP TOTAL)

Both teams are in dire need of a win here, and because of that, we're expecting the pace of this contest to help in producing a higher-scoring final outcome. Serbia is at the bottom of Group C after playing to a lacklustre 1-1 draw vs. Slovenia last time out. It'll have to push the pace here for sure to try and secure a full three-points. That of course will leave it susceptible on the backend for these opportunistic Danes, who are off a 1-1 draw with England. Denmark also needs a victory here. Neither team has yet lived up to expectations, and in this crucial contest, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Oilers/Panthers (ASSASSIN)

With everything on the line, and after these teams have played to four straight "over," in Edmonton's four straight wins, we're finally anticipating a very defensive affair here in Game 7. Fatigue for sure will be a huge factor for everyone involved in this series, and we think it'll help in contributing to tonight's pace in being a much more methodical one, rather than a high-scoring high-flying "shootout." A great situational play on the "under!" 

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10* OVER HAM/SASK (ASSASSIN)

Here is a great situational play we can take advantage of. Hamilton is 0-2 SU/ATS after last week's 33-30 home loss to these very Roughriders. Note though that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. We're expecting a similar faster-paced, high-scoring affair this week as well. The Riders have already scored 62 points over the first two games and now back at home for their opener, everything points to another "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* UNDER Braves/Yanks (DUEL)

These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're anticipating much more of a "duel" here finally on Sunday afternoon in the Bronx between these two interleague opponents. The Braves saw their four-game win streak come to an end in yesterday's 8-3 loss. New York has now seen the total go "over" in three straight with the win, but that's significant to note as the Yanks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two great starters going head-to-head here in Max Fried (6-3, 3.11 ERA) for the Braves and Nate Cortes Jr. (4-5, 3.36) for the Yanks, and everything point to a classic "duel" in our opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Elks/Argos (NON-CONF TOY)

Edmonton comes to town desperate for a win, as it's 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS after last week's 23-20 home loss to Montreal as a 4.5-point underdog. Previous to that it was a 29-21 loss at home to Saskatchewan as a 1-point dog. Now out on the road and eager to avoid the 0-3 hole, we're expect the Elks to build off last week's impressive defensive performance, despite the loss. Montreal scored 27 points in its Week 1 win at Winnipeg, and then exploded for 47 on Thursday night in its victory over Ottawa. Edmonton's defense is its strength for sure. Toronto looked great in its 35-27 home win over the Lions in Week 1, but will "rest" lead to "rust" here in Week 3 after having last week off? We say YES! It's a great overall "situational" play and a great moment to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* UNDER Portugal/Turkey (BLOOD-BATH)

After each team played to a high-scoring victory in its opener, we're expecting a much more intense, lower-scoring defensive battle here in the second between two teams looking for a spot in the KO round. Turkey got by Georgia by a score of 3-1, while Portugal held on for a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic. Portugal has won seven of the last nine in this series, but everything points to this being a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Invariably these types of contests lead to a pace conducive to a very low-scoring affair and that's exactly what we're expecting here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Panthers/Oilers (BEST OF BEST)

We have a crucial Game 6 in Edmonton and we're finally expecting a very lower-scoring defensive affair. We definitely feel that fatigue will be a major issue for these players (note: this is the farthest travel time/distance in NHL Stanley Cup Playoff history) now moving forward and because of that, everything definitely points to a lower-scoring "under." Also note that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With each side doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect in this nerve-wracking Game 6, everything finally points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* OVER Brewers/Padres (ASSASSIN)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating this series-opening contest to feature plenty of runs. Milwaukee has won four of five and just took two of three at the Angels, including a 2-0 win yesterday. The Brewers have seen the total go "under" in five straight, but that's significant to note because Milwaukee has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Padres just broke a five-game slide with a 5-2 win at Philadelphia yesterday, so suffice to say they won't be lacking for motivation overall today either. Bryse Wilson has been a decent starter for Milwaukee, but we definitely don't trust Adam Mazur for the home side, who enters with a sub-par 0-2 record with a ballooned 7.82 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. This number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Redblacks/Als (EAST-CONF TOY)

Ottawa had Week 1 off, but last week it beat Winnipeg 23-19 at home as a seven-point underdog. The last time the RedBlacks faced the Alouettes, they lost 29-3 in the regular season back on October 9th of last year. They also faced each other in the pre-season this year and Ottawa won by a score of 19-13, so some pretty low-scoring games. But that's only helped in driving this Week 3 Over/Under line a bit lower than it normally would or should be in our opinion. Dru Brown looked decent for the Redblacks last week, finishing 20 of 33 for 238 yards and a touchdown (and no interectpions.) And speaking about playing to low-scoring games, the Alouettes are 1-1 as they head into Week 3 and both of their opening games have fallen "under" the number. First they opened with the 27-12 road win at Winnipeg as 7.5-point underdogs, and then they held on for the 23-20 win at Edmonton in Week 2 as 4.5-point favorites. Now back at home in front of the home town crowd for the first time this season though, we finally expect this talented Als offense to carry the load this week. Last week Cody Fajardo looked really good, he was 20 of 30 for 269 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Now back at home and facing a team that's just coming off a big upset of its own, we say it's these two competent quarterbacks that put on a show in this one on Thursday; the play is the "over!" 

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10* OVER Slovenia/Serbia (O/U ASSASSIN)

Both teams played to tight, lower-scoring opening affairs, but we're expecting much more of a wide-open contest here on Thursday early between Slovenia and Serbia, and therefore we're recommending a play on the "over." Serbia enters off a 1-0 loss to England, while Slovenia held on for a 1-1 draw with favored Denmark. These teams played against each other back in 2022 and it ended in a 2-2 draw and suffice it to say, we're definitely expecting a similar overall pace to this one on Thursday as well. Neither team can be happy with their opening result and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Switzerland/Scotland (GROUP STAGE TOY)

Suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be at a premium here in the second game of the Group Stage between Switzerland and Scotland. Switzerland opened with a 3-1 win over Hungary, while Scotland fell 5-1 to Germany. Our advice here? Don't overreact to the plethora of goals that we saw between the clubs. The public has, but our contrarian nature definitely has us going the other way. And for good reason, as we feel fatigue becomes an issue here. This is a crucial game for each side, but we're anticipating a much slower pace, one more resembling a "war of attrition." This number is high, the play is the "under"! 

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