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This is 10* play on the UNDER for the Super Bowl.

The expectation for this year's Super Bowl is that two of the league's higher scoring teams won't have much trouble scoring in what will favorable (indoor) conditions at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta. New England certainly hasn't had much difficulty scoring in the postseason, averaging 39 points in wins over the Chargers and Chiefs. But Los Angeles had a terrible defensive gameplan and the Chiefs defense, at least statistically, is one of the worst in the league. But we should also remember that the Patriots had scored only 17 points through three quarters in KC before a wild fourth quarter took us to overtime. I was fortunate to have the Over in the AFC Championship Game, but will be going the other way in the Super Bowl as the Rams have the best defense NE has seen in some time. Also, while Los Angeles scored 33 or more points nine times in their first 11 games, they have done so just once in the last seven games. Super Bowls traditionally start slow. This one should be no different. This total will close as either the highest or 2nd highest for any SB in history. The previous high, set two years ago when the Patriots played the Falcons, only went Over because of overtime. Play UNDER Patriots-Rams

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This is a 10* on the OVER between New England & Kansas City.

The Over on last Sunday's Chargers-Patriots game, my only play on a NFL total for the whole weekend, won easily. As you may have read when buying this selection, was a LOCK by halftime, a WINNER by the third quarter & ended up going Over by THREE touchdowns! New England had 35 points by halftime and then was able to take its foot off the gas. The amount of scoring done by the Patriots does decline greatly on the road. But the good news for this week is that they won't have to score nearly as many points this week for the game to go Over. Not when faced with Kansas City's offense, which ranked 1st in yards per game, per play and points during the regular season. When these teams met in the regular season, it was 43-40, a win for New England. Maybe this game isn't as high scoring. But I don't think they'll combined to score 30 less points, do you? The Over is 6-1 in the Patriots last seven playoff games. Play New England @ Kansas City OVER. 

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This is a 10* play on the Over in Chargers-Patriots

The Chargers scored 23 points on the Ravens in the Wild Card Game, but they certainly didn't come easy. It was five field goals and a touchdown (with a 2-pt conversion). But keep in mind that was the best defense in the league they were facing. I got the distinct impression that had they been facing most other defenses, Philip Rivers and the offense would have scored a lot more points. Los Angeles averages 26.8 points per game and is one of the top teams in yards per play. So what I'm saying is that they should score more this week against the Patriots than they did last week vs. the Ravens. Of course, New England should score plenty as well. Tom Brady and the Pats offense were a lot more effective at home this year, so it's huge getting this game in Foxboro. They were the league's only unbeaten team at home (8-0) and a big reason for that is they averaged 32.9 PPG here. Only the Rams and Saints averaged more points at home this year. While each team has gone Under in its last three games, the Chargers had to play Baltimore twice (and a Denver team that isn't very good on offense) while the Patriots played two bad offensive teams (Jets, Bills) and a road game vs. the Steelers. Play OVER on Chargers-Patriots 

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This is a 10* play on Over Chargers-Ravens

The 12-4 Chargers and the 10-6 Ravens just met two weeks ago with Baltimore holding LA to its worst offensive game of the season. The Bolts finished with just 198 total yards and no play went for more than 17. They scored only 10 points and their one touchdown came on a drive that started on Baltimore 17-yard line after a fumble. The Ravens ended up winning 22-10, sealing the deal with a defensive touchdown. Despite the inferior record, they get to be the home team this team by virtue of winning their division. Look for the sequel to be higher scoring than the original. Yes, Baltimore's defense is most definitely "for real," but the Chargers are one of the few (maybe the only?) team to play better on the road than at home. Philip Rivers posted the second best QBR in the league in road games this year. Also, Baltimore ran for "only" 159 yards in the first meeting. Though the Chargers are the first team that gets to see Lamar Jackson twice, don't expect their defense to have the same success the second time around. That previous rushing yardage total was the lowest for any of Jackson's seven starts and I expect the Ravens offense to be closer to 200, a number they've already cracked five teams with him as the starter. Play the OVER in Chargers-Ravens

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This is a 7* play on the Under in Colts-Texans.

In my writeup on the side of this game, I established that I don't the Colts offense is in for a very successful game Saturday in Houston. The Texans defense is very strong against the run as they allow 3.4 yards per carry, which was the best mark in the NFL. To reiterate, the two times these teams played in the regular season, Indianapolis ran for just 91 yards. That wasn't their average per game, mind you. That was the total number of rush yards in two games (50 + 41). In three of the last five games, the Colts ran for 50 yards or less. Houston allows only 17.0 PPG at home. While I obviously expect them to win this game, look for them to have a somewhat limited day offensively as well. Over the last seven games, the Colts gave up more than 21 points just twice. The Under was 5-2 in those seven games, including the one here in H-town. The Under is also 8-1 the last nine times the Colts have played a team with a winning record. It's 5-1 their last six Wild Card games as well. Houston has seen the Under hit in five of its last seven home games and 13 of its last 18 against AFC teams. Play UNDER on Colts-Texans.

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This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Broncos/Raiders.

With nothing to play for, not even the role of spoiler, we look for these teams to simply “go through the motions” tonight. Denver Broncos coach Vance Joseph will be reportedly fired at the end of the season, so the entire organization is in upheaval right now. Jon Gruden completely blew up his roster and the Raiders will be in rebuilding mode for a few years. As mentioned off the top, these teams have nothing to play. Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 19 on the road, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five as a home underdog of seven points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Eagles.

From a situational stand point, we think this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Both teams have struggled at times to put points on the board this season. Each relies heavily on its defensively play. Houston rebounded from a loss to the Colts to beat the Jets 29-22 last weekend. We look for DeShaun Watson and company to carry that momentum over here. Philadelphia enters off a much needed 30-23 road win over the Rams with Nick Foles under center last week. With nothing to lose, Foles and company will be given the green light today to test this tough Texans defense. Note though that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in six of seven off a road win vs. an opponent, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER in 14 of its last 23 after a SU victory. This number is low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Ravens/Chargers.

This is a big game for both teams. The Ravens come in on top form, having won four of five since rookie QB Lamar Jackson took ver the job. Jackson isn’t asked to do too much, just to protect the ball, throw short crossing routes and use his legs when he gets into trouble. The Ravens rely on a strong run game and their No. 1 ranked defense. The Chargers are 11-3 and they come in having won four straight. Philip Rivers and company will be doing everything they can to get the defensive minded Ravens out of their comfort zone and with the home side pushing the pace at every moment possible while on offense, we’re expecting this total to sneak OVER sooner than later. Note as well that Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while LA has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year off a division game. This number is a little low, play the OVER.

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This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Saints/Panthers.

New Orleans is 11-2 and it still needs some victories to earn the bye with LA sitting with the identical record. The Saints own the tie-breaker, but clearly Brees and company can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point. Carolina opened the season 5-1, but at 6-7, it still is completely in the playoff hunt with three other clubs tied with an identical record. We’re fully expecting these “hungry” sides to open up the playbook and to push the pace from start to finish. Note as well that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in its last three after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games, while Carolina has seen the total go OVER in five of six at home already. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Packers/Bears.

Green Bay put on an impressive performance in its 34-20 home win over the Falcons, but consistency on the road has been a big issue for Green Bay. And now the Packers face a revenge minded Bears team (lost 24-23 in the first meeting), which comes off its best defensive performance of the year in its 15-6 home win over the Rams. Green Bay is averaging 24.2 PPG and its allowing 23.6, while Chicago is averaging 27.6 PPG and allowing 19. Note that Green Bay has already seen the total go UNDER in all three games that it’s played in this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER in 13 of its last 22 at home. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between the Texans/Jets.

The Jets have nothing to play for this season, but the players have everything to play for for next year. The Jets will be trying to build some momentum and something positive for 2019 and they’d love nothing more than to play spoiler to the Texans, who are looking to rebound after their nine-game win streak was snapped last week against division rival Indianapolis. Houston once again has a great defense, but the big difference has been the improved play of QB DeShaun Watson, who has 3,298 yards and 22 TD’s this year. Jets’ rookie QB Sam Darnold returned last week vs. the Bills and New York broke a three-game slide with a 27-23 win. There’s no reason not to think that Darnold and company won’t carry that momentum over here. Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after a loss by three points or less, while New York has seen the total go OVER in four of five already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Chargers/Chiefs.

The Chiefs beat the Chargers in LA 38-28 in Week 1. The first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams is “high-scoring, gun-slinging” offenses. And why not? With Patrick Mahomes and Philip Rivers going head-to-head, there’s no doubt why this number has been posted so high. 

However, the short week and the extreme importance of the overall situation as far as playoff standings sets this up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion.

Additionally note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 16 vs. the division and in its last two Thursday night games, while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 24 at home and in three of its last four after a win by three points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Rams/Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 16 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after an extremely close road loss of three points or less.

The bottom line: Both of these first place teams still need victories to lock down a top playoff spot. All signs point to a higher-scoring affair; play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Saints/Cowboys.

Dallas has been getting the job done over its three game win streak with a strong run game and highly improved defensive play. The last thing the home side can do is try to match pace with Drew Brees and company, who are still looking to lock up the first round bye. But with the home side committed to try and control the pace of this one from start to finish, we do indeed expect a lower-scoring affair. Note as well that the Cowboys have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last nine home games following a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Titans/Texans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of eight vs. conference opponents already this season and in three of four vs. teams with winning records, while Houston has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine after two or more SU wins and in three of its last four MNF contests.

The bottom line: This is an important divisional contest and we’re expecting a classic, hard-hitting defensive battle. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER Falcons/Saints.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four “Thursday night” games, while New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 15 after two or more SU victories. 

The bottom line: The Falcons are desperate for a win, as one more loss will essentially seal their fate. The last thing Atlanta can do is turn this into a shootout and expect to hang with Drew Brees and company. New Orleans has been amazing, but the short week lends itself to a letdown here. This one has UNDER written all over it.

AAA Sports

This is an 9* play on the OVER Skins/Boys.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: 

Washington has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Dallas has seen the total spar OVER in three of four already this year.

The bottom line: No Alex Smith? No problem. The veteran was struggling mightily and we don’t see much of a drop off for the Redskins. It’s “next man up.” Dallas though will be looking to avenge a loss in Washington and to continue its resurgence with a third straight victory. With both teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later.

AAA Sports

This is an 9* play on the OVER Bears/Lions.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games vs. division opponents this season and in its last four after two or more SU victories, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER eight of its last 11 vs. the division and in five of its last seven vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Chicago can’t take the foot off the gas yet. The home side won’t go down without a fight. This one has OVER written all over it.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

As note that KC has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine non-conference road games in which the total is set at 57 or higher, while LA has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 13 non-conference home games when the total is 60 or higher.

The bottom line: While many will be expecting a “shootout,” we think these hungry sides will play to much more of a defensive affair on the National Stage. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* O/U SPECIAL on the UNDER between the Raiders/Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in in six of its last seven as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in four of five at home already this season.

The bottom line: Nothing to play for here. Each benefits from losing for positioning in the draft. With both teams “going through the motions,” look for this one to stay UNDER the number.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Panthers/Lions.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive losses.

The bottom line: Carolina comes in off a humbling loss in Pittsburgh, but it’s still in second in the AFC South. The Lions are only averaging 21 PPG and in our opinion, this one has UNDER written all over it.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Redskins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records and in both games that it’s played in following its bye week, while Washington has seen the total go OVER the posted number in eight of 12 vs. teams with winning records and in five of its last eight a home dog of three points or less.

The bottom line: We’re expecting a wide open “shootout.” Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Lions/Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats:

As note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 19 at home and in four of its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.

This number is high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Panthers/Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival, while Pittsbugh has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 13 off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: Both teams playing at a very high level and each coming off an emotional divisional victory and playing on a “short week.” This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER Titans/Cowboys.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Tennessee has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 18 against teams with losing records and in seven of its last nine non-conference contests, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER in six of its last nine as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range and in its last three following its bye week.

The bottom line: And both teams do indeed come out of the bye weeks. Both sides are desperate for victories and with each opening up the playbook, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER Packers/Patriots.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER in three of four already this year as favorite in the same points range.

The bottom-line: The Pats’ defense looked dominant in last week’s win over the Bills. The Packers’ defense also looked great in defeat to the Rams. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the UNDER Texans/Broncos 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive victories and in 13 of its last 20 on the road (including in three of four this year), while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in three of four at home already and in all three games that it’s played against winning teams this season.

The bottom line: A very important game for both teams. Expect the defenses to be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Raiders/49ers.

The Raiders have completely torn their team apart and their only mission will be to protect QB Derek Carr for the remainder of the season. The 49ers come in on a six game losing streak and struggled to put points on the board against a poor Cardinals defense last weekend. The short week clearly isn’t going to help these struggling sides. Note that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 23 as an underdog, while San Fran has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. Play on the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Saints/Vikes.

Two of the top teams in the league collide on Sunday night and while these two clubs normally play to wild, wide-open “shootouts,” we’re expecting more of a conservative affair between these hungry teams on the national stage. The numbers support that as well, as note that the Saints have in fact seen the total UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while the Vikes have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 as an underdog. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Hawks/Lions.

Two teams coming off victories, but who are desperate for more collide on Sunday afternoon and in our opinion, offensive fireworks are in store. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish, expect this total to eclipse the number sooner than later. Additionally note that Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 14 as an underdog, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four as a home favorite of three points or less. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between TB and Cincinnati.

Both teams come in off losses and each is desperate for a victory. From a “situational” stand point, this one definitely sets up great for more of a “defensive” affair in our opinion. But further note that TB has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten non conference games and in nine of its last 13 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TV TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Dolphins/Texans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U stats and common sense:

As note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 19 of its last 28 games played on a grass field, while Houston has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 14 against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Houston will be looking to deliver the knock out blow here and continue its surge after four straight wins. The Dolphins are down to their final gasp, but Brock Osweiler is going to be given the green light to “air it out” all night long. In the end, we look for this total to soar OVER once the final whistle sounds.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Giants/Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: 

As note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 against teams with losing records and in 17 of its last 24 games played on “turf,” while the Falcons have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten off a win against a division rival and in their last four against an NFC East division opponent. 

The bottom line: New York obviously can’t get into a “shootout” with Matt Ryan on his home field and expect to win this one. With the visitors putting an added emphasis on their run game while on offense and taking into account the above strong O/U ATS stats, this number is indeed a little high in our opinion. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER Bengals/Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that the Bengals have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten following an ATS loss (27-20 setback to the Steelers,) while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine after allowing 40 points or more in its previous contest.

The bottom line: We think these two normally high-scoring teams come out flat on Sunday night; play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER Cowboys/Redskins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in 7 of its last 11 against teams with winning records, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 12 against division opponents.

The bottom line: Both of these heated division rivals come in off victories and each will be leaving everything it has on the field of play today. We’re expecting a complete “shootout.” Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER Browns/Bucs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 25 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: These are two teams desperate for a win. The Browns can obviously ill afford to turn this into a “track meet” and expect to “hang” with the up-tempo Bucs. All signs point to this one sneaking UNDER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER Lions/Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense:

As note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten non-conference games and in its last two following its bye week, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight when playing the role of underdog.

The bottom line: The Dolphins comes in off an impressive road win over Chicago and if it has any hopes in winning today, it’s going to have to duplicate its defensive performance against Matt Stafford and company. The Lions’s extra time off leads to “rust” here in our opinion as well. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Bucs/Saints.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Tampa has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 12 after two or more consecutive losses, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six after three or more consecutive SU losses. 

The bottom line: Tampa comes out of its bye week off two wins and desperate for a victory. The Bucs have been atrocious against the pass in the early going, but with a week off to prepare I’m expecting a marked improvement. It’s a huge game for both teams and we believe the pressure, along with all of the above posted situational and trend based factors do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy call in this one.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Colts/Jets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of its last 28 as an underdog and in 10 of its last 15 when the total in the contest is set between +3 and -3, while New York has seen the total go UNDER in seven of ten when playing against a team with a losing record and in four of its last six as a favorite. 

The bottom line: This number is a little bit high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Colts/Pats.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses and in seven of its last 12 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 13 against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: The Colts can’t afford to turn this one into a “shootout” and expect to hand with Tom Brady. Andrew Luck has been decent this season, but his No. 1 WR Ty Hilton is questionable here and if he does play, he clearly won’t be at 100%. On a short week, look for the visitors to try and control the clock while on offense. The Pats come in off the big win over the Dolphins last week, but consistency from game to game can’t be trusted yet at this point either in our opinion. We’re banking on this one staying UNDER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Chiefs/Broncos.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 15 after two or more consecutive SU victories and in 18 of its last 28 as the favorite, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in interestingly seven of its last nine games played in the month of October.

The bottom line: These are two teams which pride have in the past, prided themselves on their tough defensive play. But those days are gone, as each plays at much more up-tempo and frantic pace. But after their flawless start, we think KC finally takes a step back here in this difficult road venue. The Broncos’ defense isn’t what it used to be, but we think it can get in the back field today to throw Patrick Mahomes off his game. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NFC WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Hawks/Cards.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last nine against clubs with losing records, while Arizona has seen the total go OVER in four of its last five after two or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: It’s an important divisional battle for these struggling rivals. The situation and the numbers/stats to do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move on the total in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER Steelers/Bucs.

Pittsburgh’s season is on the line. RB Bell is out, meaning that everything falls onto Ben Roethlisberger’s broad shoulders. If the Steelers are ever going to win this games, it’s going to be on Big Ben’s arm. We expect Pittsburgh to open up the playbook through the air today, early often and throughout. Tampa is off to an unreal 2-0 start thanks to incredible play from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (8:1 TD:INT) and an offense which is “firing on all cylinders.” And that’s bad news for a Steelers’ defense which has looked terrible this season, giving up over 40 points to the Chiefs last week. We’re expecting a high-tempo, high-scoring OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Colts and the Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER in 13 of its last 19 at home and in 7 of its last 11 as a fav in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.

The bottom line: The Eagles’ defense looks to get back on track after last week’s stunning collapse. Expect that to happen against a shaky Andrew Luck. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER Saints/Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 18 road games when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: We’re expecting these two normally high-scoring division rivals to play to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle on Sunday afternoon. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Jets/Browns.

After a great opener, Sam Darnold and the Jets came back down to Earth in Week 2. The short week on the road isn’t going to help cohesion for this young team either in our opinion. On the offensive side of the ball that is. Defensively the Jets have been strong this year, allowing just 18.5 PPG. The Browns could easily be 2-0, but they’re not, they’re just 0-1-1. Cleveland continues to work through growing pains offensively, the strength being the running game which has posted 135 YPG average in the early going. Defensively the team has been sharp as well though in allowing just 21 PPG. Two young teams on a short week. Something has to give here and we believe it’ll be the offensive units. Look for the defenses to dominate the summaries tomorrow morning. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Rams/Raiders.

The last thing the Raiders can do here is get into a “shootout” and expect to win this against the league’s No. 1 offense from a year ago. Oakland traded away star player Kahlil Mack to the Bears for draft picks so the Rams have to be liking their chances tonight, but the Raiders catch a tiny break here in that none of the Rams starters saw any time in the preseason. For our Over/Under selections (in every sport), we are always on the look out for situations like this one to take advantage of. LA’s offense is rusty and the Raiders are going to want to slow this one down at every moment possible as they look to control the clock on offense, so as to limit the time the Rams’ offense is on the field of play. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high; play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the 49ers and Vikings.

San Fran went 6-10 last year, while Minnesota was 13-3. The 49ers got a boost with the acquisition of QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who had 1,560 receiving yards and a 7:5 TD:INT over six games. The 49ers only averaged 20.7 PPG last year and they could find it difficult to today to get any early chemistry going against last year’s second best defense. The Vikes allowed only 15.8 PPG, while averaging 23.9. Minnesota got Kirk Cousins in the off-season and he’s a major upgrade on the offensive end, but early chemistry will surely be an issue. The 49ers strength last year was the defense, allowing just 23.9 PPG. Richard Sherman should make that unit a lot better this season as well. More question marks on the offensive side of the ball for each side, than on the defensive. This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New England Patriots.

As stated in our play on the Jaguars, we think that Blake Bortles and Leonard Fournette will give the Patriots’ defense everything it can handle today. The Jags are No. 1 against the pass this year, but the unit looked terrible in last week’s high-scoring win at Pittsburgh. Tom Brady was his usual efficient self last week, finishing with 350 yards and three TD’s. New England averages 28.9 PPG and we think they’ll be able to find some holes today as well against this aggressive Jaguars unit. Note that Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range, while New England has seen the total go OVER the number in six of nine at home this year already and in five of its last six playoff games overall. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Jacksonville came up big defensively against the inept Bills, limiting them to just 263 total yards, including just 133 passing. The Jags though figure to have a much more difficult time in Pittsburgh, who will look to take Jacksonville out of its comfort zone by pushing the pace early and often. We think the Jags are going to be forced to play from behind today and therefore, they’re going to have to abandon the run and start airing it out. We also expect to see some defensive TD’s produced from both of these talented groups. Note that Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two as a road dog in the seven to ten points range, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in five of eight at home this season. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Eagles were among the league leaders in every offensive statistical category this year, but with starting QB Carson Wentz down with injury for the season, not many are giving his back up Nick Foles a chance. But with an extra week off to prepare, we expect the home side to put some points on the board tonight. The Falcons looked great in their Wildcard win over the Rams, capitalizing on mistakes and in the end getting solid production from their offensive veterans. Atlanta was decent defensively this year, but Philadelphia for the most part relied on its offense to carry the load most weeks this season. Philadelphia finds itself an underdog in this game. The Eagles aren’t going to get by the Falcons by “playing it safe.” We look for Philadelphia to come out and push the pace and in a game which we envision being very competitive until the final moments, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints.

New Orleans beat Carolina twice in the regular season (34-13 and 31-21.) The main thing we took out of those two games is that the Panthers are unable to slow down Drew Brees, Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Carolina won’t be rolling over, it comes in averaging 22.7 PPG, while allowing 20.4. Cam Newton had a sub-par season (22:16 TD:INT), but he has a big opportunity to avenge the two regular season losses and wipe away doubters/haters with a big performance. We’re expecting the dynamic QB to be at his best today. The Saints average 28 PPG and allow 20.4. Brees had a tremendous year with a 23:8 TD:INT. Note that he was particularly impressive against the Panthers as well this year with 389 yards and a 4:0 TD:INT in two games. Note that Carolina has seen the total go OVER the number in four of seven as an underdog this year and in six of eight against teams with winning records, while New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in five of eight at home this season and in six of 11 as a favorite. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Bengals and the Ravens.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in two of three road games when the total in the contest is set between 38.5 and 42 points, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it’s played in so far this after playing to two or more consecutive SU wins.

The bottom line: This is a big game for the Ravens, who will need to win this game and get some outside help for a spot in the playoffs. The Bengals won’t be in the postseason, but they come in off a 26-17 win over Detroit and they’ll be looking to not only play spoiler with a big victory today, but also to atone for a 20-0 setback to the Ravens earlier in the season. We think this one will be much more “wide open” than what the books would like us to believe. Play on the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Saints and the Buccaneers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four road games already this year when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 51 points and in 12 of its last 15 against teams with losing records, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after five or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: Tampa plays with revenge after falling to New Orleans 30-10 earlier in the season. The Saints want to hit the playoffs on a high note and neither of these sides will be rolling over today. When you take into account the above strong O/U trends, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

 This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Lions and Bengals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it’s played this year following a win against a division rival and in four of six on the road this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more consecutive losses. 

The bottom line: The Lions are in a dog fight for one of the remaining wild card spots and they come in with plenty of momentum after winning two straight, including a 20-10 victory over Chicago in their most recent action. With a game at home against an already eliminated Green Bay Packer team next week, the Lions have a very realistic shot at finishing the season at 10-6. But they won’t want to leave anything to chance this weekend as they’ll look to open up the playbook and try to put away the Bengals early. And for Cincinnati, it’s officially out of playoff contention and it comes in having lost three straight. Andy Dalton and company are now trying to prove themselves and finish up the season strong. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Browns and Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in all three non-conference games that it’s played in this year and in four of six on the road, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 14 off a divisional contest.

The bottom line: Two teams with nothing to play for but pride today. But there are many players on both teams and on both sides of the ball playing for a future job. That includes these two young QB’s. We’re expecting each side to open up the playbook and for this one to fly well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Browns and Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in all three non-conference games that it’s played in this year and in four of six on the road, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 14 off a divisional contest.

The bottom line: Two teams with nothing to play for but pride today. But there are many players on both teams and on both sides of the ball playing for a future job. That includes these two young QB’s. We’re expecting each side to open up the playbook and for this one to fly well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Oakland Raiders.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in two of three this year as a road fav or three points or less, while Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in both games it’s played this year off a loss against a conference rival and in three of four off a divisional contest. 

The bottom line: It’s a crucial non-conference game for both teams. Oakland is 6-7 overall, but still completely in striking distance of both KC and LA (7-6.) The Cowboys have looked much better of late behind great play from QB Dak Prescott and will likely need to run the table for a chance to the Wild card. We’re expecting a more wide open affair and for this total to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the LA Rams and the Seattle Seahawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that the Rams have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last five as a road dog of three points or less and in ten of their last 15 against clubs with winning records, while Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight as a favorite already this year and in all four against divisional opponents.

The bottom line: This is a pivotal game. LA is 9-4 and the Hawks are 8-5. Seattle already beat the Rams 16-10 in LA earlier in the year and we think another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle is in the cards in the rematch in the chilly Northwest. The conditions and the numbers all point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* AFC SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between the Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in three of five against teams with winning records this year and in both games that it’s tried to revenge a loss, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of its last 20 at home and in three of its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: Houston has lost three straight plays with revenge after falling 29-7 to Jacksonville earlier in the year. The Jags are rolling, they can solidfy their lead atop the division and come in off a big 30-24 beatdown of the Seahawks. When you add it all up, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy call on the total in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the LA Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense: 

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three against clubs with winning records, while KC has seen the total go OVER the number in two of three off a division game and in five of its last seven against divisional opponents.

The bottom line: Say what you want about each of these teams, but both “go” how their QB’s “go.” Clearly this is a massive game with big implications for both of these 7-6 divisional foes (No. 1 in the AFC West is on the line.) We’re fully convinced that these veteran QB’s will be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Indianapolis Colts.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in four of six on the road already this year, while Indianapolis has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Jacoby Brissett vs. Trevor Siemian. These are two of the lowest scoring teams in the league, but with nothing to lose, we’re expecting a wide-open affair. When these teams met last, it was Denver that scored the 34-20 victory last year. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six on the road already this year and in both games it’s played in this season off a win against a division rival (23-3 stomping of the Bills), while Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as an underdog of ten points or more.

The bottom line: Miami kept its hopes alive with a 35-9 win over the Broncos. Denver has no real starting QB and its defense is a complete mess though. New England just shut down a much more talented Bills team on the road and we’re fully expecting a similar effort here as well. The Pats are without Rob Gronkowski, which does indeed put added emphasis onto the ground game for New England. When you add it all up, this total is a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in in all three non-conference games that it’s played in this year, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in in both of its non-conference contests this season.

The bottom line: It’s a non-conference game, but it’s an important one for both sides. Jacksonville is tied for the AFC South division lead, while Seattle is also at 8-4 and sitting one game behind the Rams in the NFC West. Plenty to play for between these two teams and we’re expecting each to open up the playbook. This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last two times that it’s played on a “Thursday” night, while ATL has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 16 as an underdog and in five of six already this season against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for the Falcons, as a loss would almost assuredly see them fall out of playoff contention in the competitive NFC South. As explosive as Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones are, the last thing Atlanta can do is turn this one into a “track meet” with Drew Brees and company and expect to come out on the winning side. With the home side looking to “control” the tempo of this one while on offense and when taking into account the short week and above trends, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER the number in all six of its road games this year and in seven of ten when playing the role of favorite, while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (lost the first one in the season series to the Steelers 29-14 back on October 22nd) and in three of five in front of the home town crowd overall. 

The bottom line: Pittsburgh has been getting the job done all year with its defense. Cincinnati can ill afford to turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the Steelers down the stretch. The conditions and the numbers all point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER between the Tampa Bay Buaccaneers and the Green Bay Packers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Tampa has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 following a divisional contest, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 23 at home and in its last three as a home fav of 3 points or less.

The bottom line: The only way the Packers make the postseason is if Aaron Rodgers walks through the door. And that’s not happening this weekend. Tampa Bay’s season will also be over with a loss this weekend. This one sets up as a bit of a letdown for each side and as a result, we look for this one to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Washington Redskins and the Dallas Cowboys.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense: 

As note that Washington has seen the total go OVER the number in 14 of its last 19 on the road (including in three of four this year) and in 13 of its last 17 against clubs with losing records, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six home games when the total is set between 42.5 and 45 points range.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for both struggling teams. The Skins are off a less than impressive 20-10 win over the Giants on Thanksgiving, while Dallas has lost three straight with RB Ezekiel Elliot suspended. Desperation breeds motivation. We look for these teams to open up the playbook and for this one to sail OVER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Minnesota has seen the totla go UNDER the number in all three games it’s played in this year against clubs with winning records and in two of three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (lost 14-7 to the Lions at home back in early October), while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three when playing the role of underdog.

The bottom line: Clearly the Vikes will look to control this one while on offense. Case Keenum has looked sharp managing the game, while Minensota’s No. 1 ranked defense will look to slow down the one dimensional Lions offense. The short week means both teams are going to be tired. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Seattle Seahawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Atlanta has seen the total go OVER the number in interestingly, five of its last six against the NFC Wet and in 17 of its last 30 played on turf, while Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 14 against clubs with winning records and in its last two at home when favored by three points or less.

The bottom line: It’s a big game for both playoff hopefuls. Neither defense has been particulary dominant of late. We think these offenses will take center stage on Monday as the numbers/trends do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER between the Baltimore Ravens and the Green Bay Packers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER the number the last two seasons coming out of its bye week and in three of its last four as a road fav of three points or less, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 22 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: Playing at Lambeau Field is always difficult, but doubly so in November, December and January. The Ravens come out of their bye needing to almost run the table to make the postseason. Green Bay’s hopes were kept alive in last week’s 23-16 grind it out victory over at the Bears. With Aaron Rodgers gone, expect a similar game-plan of controlling the game and limiting Brett Hundley’s responsibilities. Baltimore’s pass game has been a mess all year because of injury and will also be looking to run first. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the LA Rams and the Minnesota Vikings.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: 

As note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last eight after two or more consecutive SU wins (including in two of three such instances this season), while Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in 19 of 27 home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 anf 49 points and in 13 of its last 27 against clubs with winning records (including in both such cases this year.)

The bottom line: LA continues to steam roll its opponents with its high-powered offense and bend-but-not-break defense. But a game on the road in Minnesota is obviously a very stiff test, as the Vikes rank among the league leaders in every defensive category. Minnesota does “just enough” offensively to beat you, but obviously gets the job done most weeks with its relentless defensive pressure. This one looks more like a “chess match” than a “track meet.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Carolina Panthers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten non-conference games (including in both this year), while Carlolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine non-conference contests.

The bottom line: Miami QB Jay Cutler looked decent last week, throwing for 300 yards, three TD’s and no picks. The Dolphins still lost though. Miami still owns the leagues worst offense. The Miami defense remains a strength and it’ll be leaned on here to try and keep Cam Netown and company under control. The Panthers have been hit or miss with their offense this season, but with their bye week up next, followed by a string of high profile games, they’ll look to control this one and limit any serious injuries. All signs point to a low-scoring UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five off a loss against a division rival (just lost to Carolina 20-17 last weekend) and in all three games that it’s played this year against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for two teams which have for the most part struggled this year. Dallas though is without Ezekiell Elliot this weekend and WR Dez Bryant also remains sidelined. The last thing the Cowboys can do is turn this into a “track meet” with dangerous Falcons’ veteran Matt Ryan. ATL will also look to control this one while on offense. This number is a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the LA Rams.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight games played in the month of November and in five of its last eight non-conference contests, while LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. 

The bottom line: DeShaun Watson is out for the Texans, who now seem resigned to the fact that they’re done for the season after back-to-back losses coming out of their bye week. This is a game that Rams “should” win easily and they’ll want to leave nothing to chance with tough games at Minnesota, at home to the Saints, at Arizona, at home to Philly and then at Seattle all directly on the horizon. With that killer line-up of teams upcoming, we expect the home side to hold a little back this afternoon and to control the clock while on offense. All things considered, this number is just a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the LA Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven poitns range and in four of its last six against the AFC South, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last 11 as a favorite and in 11 of its last 17 at home. 

The bottom line: At 3-5, clearly the Chargers have some work to do with eight games remaining. LA comes out of its bye week focused though and with a game at home against Buffalo next week, there’s no question that the Chargers could be back to .500 before you know it. Jacksonville on the other hand has bigger plans on its mind sitting at 5-3 right now. The Jags came out of their bye and easily handled the Bengals 23-7 last weekend, but should figure to have a much more difficult time against this rested Chargers offense. All signs point to the one going OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and in eight of its last 14 against the division (including in both such circumstances this year), while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 at home (including in two of three this season) and in nine of its last 15 against the division (including in all three this year.)

The bottom line: This is a big game for Seattle, as it comes off a disappointing 17-14 home loss to Washington. With a game at home against Atlanta up next, clearly the Seahawks can not look past their potentially dangerous divisional opponent today. And for the Cards, without Carson Palmer under center, it’s only so far they can go with Drew Stanton leading the charge. Arizona will be leaning heavily on RB Adrian Peterson, who had 150 yards rushing in his team’s win in San Francisco last week. There’s no doubt that this one sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Oakland Raiders and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six games played in the month of November and in in its last four against the AFC East, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 17 against teams with losing records and in four of its last five as a home dog of three points or less.

The bottom line: Clearly this is a big game for the Raiders. They’re 3-5. That’s not what Derek Carr, Marshawn Lynch and company expected they’d be sitting at at this point of the season. But with their bye week on deck, we think Carr and the offense will have a very productive day as they leave everything on the field of play. Going into their bye at 4-5 and off a solid victory would go a long way for the Raiders’ second half push. Miami is still in the thick of the race at 4-3, but off the 40-0 loss at Baltimore last weekend, we’re expecting the Dolphins’ patchwork offense to put up a much better performance in front of the home town crowd and against this suspect Raiders’ secondary. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relvant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 18 on the road, including all three this season, while New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last nine in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and both such instances this season.

The bottom line: Buffalo won the first matchup of the year, 21-12 on Opening Sunday and all signs point to another low-scoring affair. The Bills are rolling, just a 1/2 game back in the competitive AFC East, getting the job done with a strong run game, a smart QB in Tyrod Taylor and an above average defense. The Jets have been better than advertised this season, but they’re now running out of gas with three straight losses. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* MONDAY NIGHT ULTRA TOTAL on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:

As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Kansas City has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two Monday night games.

The bottom line: After a 2-0 start to the year, the Broncos have struggled across the board. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Last week they were shut out 21-0 by the Chargers, before losing 23-10 to the then winless Giants, which came before their bye-week. And for the Chiefs, after five straight wins they’ve lost two straight, most recently crushing 31-30 loss to division rival Oakland. With a tough game at Dallas next weekend before their bye, we’re expecting Alex Smith and the Chiefs to open up the playbook today. And with Trevor Siemian and company needing to keep pace, we’re expecting this one to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:

As note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four against the division, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in 11 of its last 18 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: When these team’s met on September 10th it was the Eagles that scored the 30-17 victory. Suffice it to say, we’re fully expecting a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring UNDER once it’s all said and done here as well. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

First off, both teams have been playing to quite a few “unders” already this year. The “Law Of Averages” is flawed in many ways, but we’ve always been of the belief that lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, mid and long-term. Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER the number in every game it’s played this year (including all four preseason games,) while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in two straight and in all but one of its games this season. And when these teams played last, the total also went UNDER the number. That’s a ridiculous amount of UNDERs, a extremely lop-sided trend which we foresee being broken in a big way this weekend.

Also note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU wins and in three of its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range.

This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts.

Without Andrew Luck under center, clearly the Indianapolis Colts have little “luck” this season. And with two tough games upcoming at Cincinnati and Houston, it’s not too hard to imagine the struggling 2-4 home side getting caught “looking ahead.” The Jags are in the drivers seat in the division at 3-3 and could be caught “looking past” the lowly Colts this week to their bye week up next as well. Note that the the Jags have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four “dome” games, while Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten following a divisional contest. This number seems a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins.

At 3-3 the Jets are still in the mix for the division title, but after the Dolphins they face Atlanta, Buffalo and Tampa Bay before their break. At 3-2 Miami is also very much a contendor in the AFC East. This is a key/pivotal early divisional matchup and we’re expecting each side to really open up the playbook this afternoon. And from an Over/Under trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this, as New York has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight after two or more consecutive victories.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that Indinapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 against the division, while Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three when playing on Monday night.

The bottom line: Brissett has been decent for the Colts, but Indy is still going to win games this year by running the ball and coming up with some defensive stops. The Titans should have Mariota back under center, but we can also expect the home side to concentrate on running the ball first. QB issues for both teams, combined with these strong O/U trends make the UNDER the correct call for us in this one.

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This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New York Giants and the Denver Broncos. 

The 0-5 Giants have seen the Over/under go 3-2, while the 3-1 Broncos have seen it go 3-1. New York has issues, mainly injuries to key offensive players. Most recently the Giants fell 27-22 to the Chargers at home. Denver enters off its bye, most recently beating Oakland 16-10 at home back on October 1st. So far the Giants average just 16 PPG, while conceding 24.4. The Broncos average 24.5 PPG and allow 18.5. Denver was firing on all cylinders before the break, but one wonders if chemistry will suffer from the extra week off? Note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven following an ATS loss, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven following its bye week. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” where field position becomes paramount, rather than a high-scoring shoot-out “track meet.” Play the UNDER.

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This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals.

Neither team can be happy where it sits right now at this point of the season. Tampa is 2-2 SU, while Arizona is 2-3. The Bucs have seen the Over/under go 2-2, while Arizona has seen it go 1-4. This is a pivotal early game for both teams, as a win will go a long way in determining if either will have a shot at contending for a playoff spot at the end of the year. Neither offense has been overly spectacular to this point, but we think that’s going to change in a big way this weekend. The Bucs come in off a 19-14 home loss to the Pats, while the Cards come in off a poor 34-7 setback to the Eagles last weekend (which in hindsight at this point, doesn’t look so horrible considering what Philadelphia just did to the Cowboys.) Tampa QB Jameis Winston struggled last week, but overall he’s been very good this year as he’s so far posted over 300 passing yards in three of four games with a 7:3 TD:INT. RB Doug Martin returned last week and had 74 yards on 13 carries. With Martin now back in the line-up, it’s going to free things up a lot more for Winston moving forward. Cards’ QB Carson Palmer wasn’t horrible in last week’s setback, going 28 of 44 for 291 yards, one TD and zero INT’s. Considering how much Arizona has struggled to open the year, it may come as a surprise to learn that Palmer is second in the league with 1,573 passing yards, but with just a 6:5 TD:INT. Larry Fitzgerald has 327 receiving yards thus far. Adrian Peterson is now in the backfield, but clearly the game-plan today will be to air it out early and often. Note that Tampa has seen the togal go OVER the number in 14 of its last 21 when the line in the game is set between +3 to -3, while Arizona has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight as an underdog. The conditions, numbers and trends all point to a shootout. Play the OVER.

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This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings.

We have a hard time seeing Minnesota mustering much of an offensive attack today. The Packers also looked primed for a letdown here in our opinion after their epic come-from-behind 35-31 road win over Dallas last weekend, a victory on a TD in the closing seconds. Green Bay earned the victory, but clearly it can’t be happy the way its defense played, allowing 408 total yards and 7 of 12 on third downs. Clearly Green Bay’s unit catches a big break this week though in facing the Vike’s anemic offense. Last week though it was Minnesota’s defense which delivered the 20-17 road victory. QB Sam Bradford exited at half time after going 5 of 11 for 36 yards. He’s questionable for this one as well, meaning Case Keenum could see actoin. Last week Keenum was a modest 17 of 21 for 140 yards and a TD. A bright side for Minnesota’s offense was its run game which produced 159 yards. But as mentioned, it was the Vike’s defense which was the difference maker, holding the Bears to 274 total yards and limiting them to 3 of 12 on third downs. Suffice it to say, this is one of the most dangerous defenses that Pack’ QB Aaron Rodgers will see all year (a unit which has given up 17 or fewer points in three straight games.) Minnesota will be all about the run game too, so expect to see a heavy dose of Jerick McKinnon as the Vikes to try to keep Rodgers off the field of play as long and whenever possible. Note that four of the last five between these teams have fallen UNDER the number. All signs point to another lower-scoring “chess match.” Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Carolina Panthers.

If you want a break down on how well Carson Wentz is doing this year, or if Cam Newton is bouncing back this season, then go ahead and read the game preview by Yahoo Sports or CBS Sports or NFL etc (by the way, both Wentz and Newton are having great years, leading their teams to 4-1 records to this point.) For the most part individual player matchups don’t really enter into our equation when handicapping games, unless it’s a top 3 player like Aaron Rodgers or LeBron James etc. Otherwise, we primarily are basing our picks on emotion levels from each side, the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into the contest in question, as well as taking into consideration lopsided trends and numbers. It’s a short week and we think both sides are going to be a bit “gassed” here after the blistering start to the 2017/18 campaign. The Eagles just torched the Cardinals 34-7, while Carolina is off a high-scoring 27-24 win on the road at Detroit. That’s back-to-back big road victories for the Panthers, who knocked off the Pats 33-30 in New England previous to that. Can anyone say, “letdown spot?!” Note that Philadelhpia has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last seven as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

The Vikes are coming off a poor 14-7 loss to the Lions, while the Bears are coming off a 38-14 setback in Green Bay. It would be easy to pull the trigger on the “under” in this one. Why not? Minnesota QB Sam Bradford is questionable and if he does play, how effective will he be (rookie RB Dalvin Cook is also out with injury)? Things are going so well in Chicago, that it’s scrapped starting QB Mike Glennon and moved onto rookie Mitch Trubisky. And so far the strength of each team has been on the defensive side of the ball to this point of the season.

But the NFL is anything but predictable and we think these offenses will have their opportunities on the national stage. Note that Minnesota has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four games when the total in the contest is set between 35.5 and 42 points, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

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This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys.

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has ten TD’s and three INT’s so far on the year. Rodgers and company have enjoyed nine days off since handling Chicago 35-14 on Thursday night in Week 4. The Dallas defense gets a boost this week with the return of defensive lineman David Irving, who has now finished serving a four-game suspension to open the season. In a 30-16 win over Green Bay last year, Irving forced three fumbles and had a sack in just 19 snaps. It’s interesting to note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven games played in the month of October, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight in October. We’re expecting a highly competitive affair, one which falls UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

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This is an 8* play on the OVER between Buffalo and Cincinnati.

Both teams have struggled to put points on the board to this point, as the 3-1 Bills have seen the Over/Under going 1-3, while the 1-3 Bengals have seen it go 1-3 as well. However, we believe the overall situation of this particular matchup lends itself to more of a shootout than a chess match. 

The Bills: Buffalo comes in off a big 23-17 road win over the Falcons last week. The Bills look to keep the good times rolling, QB Tyrod Taylor was 12 of 20 for 182 yards, one TD and no INT’s last week. LeSean McCoy had 76 yards on 20 carries and the offense has scored at least 21 points in all three games thus far. So far it’s been the Bills’ defense which has been the difference maker, but we think the unit faces a stiff test this afternoon.

The Bengals: Cincinnati broke into the win column last week with a 31-7 pasting of the Browns. QB Andy Dalton was 25 of 30 for 286 yards, four TD’s and no INT’s. WR AJ Green had 63 yards and a TD. The defense wasn’t really tested, but it will face a much more difficult task this weekend.

The bottom line: Note that Buffalo has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine in Weeks 5 through 9, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight in Weeks 5 through 9. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

It would be easy to simply choose the “over” here. Why not? The Pats are coming off a crushing 33-30 home loss to the Panthers and will be eager to jump back into the win column with another big offensive performance. The Bucs are rolling too, they came from behind to knock off the Giants 25-23 at home last weekend. But the NFL is anything but predictable and in our opinion, the overall “situation” lends itself to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. It’s a short week and each team comes in off an epic battle. Both of clubs are going to be “gassed.” New England wouldn’t be normally “looking ahead,” but a game at division rival New York Jets is on deck, so that factor also comes into play here. Up next are two road games for the Bucs, so the possibility of a letdown tonight isn’t too hard to imagine for the home side either. Note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten games played on a grass field and in three of its last four Thursday night games, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in five of its last eight non-conference contests. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between the New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins.

The Saints are 1-2 SU and have seen the Over/Under go 3-0 so far. Miami is 1-1 SU and it’s seen the total go 0-2. New Orleans comes in off a big 34-13 road win over Carolina last weekend and we absolutely expect the team to carry that momentum over here. Saints’ QB Drew Brees was 22 of 29 for 213 passing yards and three TD’s with no INT’s. Brees now has 870 yards, six TD’s and not INT’s this season. And that’s bad news for the Dolphins, as they’ve struggled against the pass. Overall New Orleans is ranked 11th in scoring with 24.3 PPG, while ranked 30th on the defensive end in conceding 26. Miami enters off a poor 20-6 loss on the road to the Jets last Sunday (we had New York in that one.) The Dolphins have so far averaged just 12.5 PPG. Last week Jay Cutler was 26 of 44 for 220 yards and a TD. RB Jay Ajayi has also struggled, gaining just 6 yards. Clearly the Miami offense will be looking to open the playbook in this one. Note that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in ten of its last 14 as a favorite and in six of its last ten off a divisional contest, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last 11 off a divisional game and in four of its last five as an underdog. It’s a big game for both clubs as each has underperformed to this point. All signs point to a “track meet,” rather than a “chess match.” Play on the OVER.

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This is an 8* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers.

It’s a short-week for both teams obviously. The Bears come in off a big upset win at home, 23-17 in OT over the Steelers, while Green Bay also needed OT to take care of the Bengals 27-24. Chicago got 138 yards on 23 carries from rookie RB Tarik Cohen and suffice it to say, we’re not expecting lightning to strike twice this weekend. The Bears are completely one-dimensional, as the receiving core is riddled with injury, while Mike Glennon has struggled for the most part, last week completing 19 of 22 for 101 yards on just 4.6 yards per pass (he was sacked twice and threw a pick as well.) Chicago got the job done defensively as it forced two fumbles and held the high-flying Steelers to just 22 passing yards and 70 rushing yards. Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers was sacked six times and threw a pick last week as well, but finished 28 of 42 with three TD’s. Green Bay will look to establish its run game, it had to play from behind last week so was forced to abandon any rushing plans it had. The Pack struggled defensively in the first half, but was “lights out” in the second, eventually giving up just 301 total yards of offense. Note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last two as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as a home fav in the 7.5 to ten points range. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Tennessee Titans.

Seattle has so far struggled to put points on the board this year, but we think that finally changes this weekend. Tennessee will be looking to put the foot on the gas from start to finish as well as it tries to get the Hawks’ elite defensive unit on its heels. An underachieving Seahawks offense matches up against a Titans team which rebounded off an opening week loss to smash the Jaguars 37-16 in Week 2. As good as the Hawks have looked defensively so far this year, there’s no question that the unit faces a stiff test in this dynamic Tennessee offense, led by Marcos Mariota. Mariota has a stable of backs and dangerous receiving weapons as well. Seattle’s defense is going to be taxed today in trying to stop all three phases, as Mariota is a legitimate dual threat himself. And speaking of dual threats, the Hawks’ Russell Wilson clearly can’t be happy the way his offense has been performing to this point. It’s been the red-zone offense as well, as the team had to settle for FG’s in its 12-6 win over San Francisco last weekend. Note that both teams have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last eight non-conference games as well. With each team opening up the playbook and pushing the pace from the opening kickoff until the final whistle, we’re expecting this one to fly OVER the number sooner rather than later.

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This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between Detroit Lions and the New York Giants.

The Giants were destroyed 19-3 at Dallas on Sunday night, but will be happy to welcome back star WR Odell Beckham Jr. to the line-up. The Lions looked lost for almost three quarters in their Week 1 matchup against the Cardinals before then exploding for a 35-23 come-from-behind victory. We think Detroit carries that momentum over here and we expect New York to get untracked offensively with Beckham Jr. back in the line-up.

The Lions: QB Matthew Stafford was 29 of 41 for 292 yards and four touchdowns. This isn’t an offense predicated around the run, so expect to this team air it out early and often once again. The defense was decent, but it faces a stiff test against this hungry Giants team.

The Giants: Nothing went right for New York and Eli Manning in Week 1. Without OBJ in the lineup to keep the defense honest, he was constantly under pressure. OBJ is back this week though and we think the offense will obviously look a lot better . The defense looked decent last week, but the numbers are skewed, as Dallas completely changed up its game-plan in the second half to a much more conservative style.

The bottom line: Note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the posted number in two of its last three Monday Night games, while New York has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after scoring three points or less in its previous contest. Play the OVER.

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The is an 8* play on the OVER between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks.

Both of these division rivals come in off disappointing/humbling Week 1 performances and as such, we’re expecting each to put the foot on the gas from start to finish in hopes to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. San Francisco lost 23-3 at home to the Panthers last weekend. QB Bryan Hoyer had 193 passing yards and an INT, while Carlos Hyde had 45 yards on nine carries. The 49ers defensive numbers are skewed though, as Carolina jumped out to an early 20-0 lead and then completely changed up its game-plan. WR Pierre Garcon was a standout with 81 yards on six catches. Seattle can empathize with the 49ers, as it’d manage just nine points at Lambeau last Sunday. Russell Wilson was 14 of 27 for 157 yards and no TD’s. Doug Baldwin had 63 receiving yards. Note though that the 49ers have seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of their last 16 on the road, while the Seahawks have seen the total go OVER ten of their last 18 at home. This one sneaks OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

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The is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Oakland Raiders.

The Jets lost in Buffalo last week, but looked a little better than most expected (or was it that the Bills looked worse?) Regardless, New York is going to have to match pace with the Raiders, who we believe will be airing it out from start to finish against this suspect Jets secondary. New York’s QB Josh McCown was 26 of 39 for 187 yards. The combination of Matt Forte and Bilal Powell was stuffed for just 38 rushing yards though and clearly they’ll be out to atone for the sub-par performance. Oakland got 262 yards from QB Derek Carr along with two TD’s last week. RB Marshawn Lynch was also solid with 76 yards on 18 carries. Note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three off a loss against a division rival, while Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 14 at home. We think Carr has a monster day and we believe McCown will also have some opportunities. Play the OVER.

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The is an 8* play on the OVER between the Chicago Bears and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

This one sets up great from a situational stand point. The Bears are coming off an encouraging home loss to the Falcons in Week 1, while Tampa comes in rested and ready to roll after its Week 1 contest was postponed at Miami due to Hurricane Irma. Bucs’ QB Jameis Winston threw for over 4000 yards last year and has plenty of weapons to utilize this year in WR DeSean Jackson and RB Jacquizz Rodgers. Last season Tampa ranked in the middle defensively, but it did have the second most INT’s. The Bears suffered some key injuries to WR’s, but in this game it’s always, “next man up!” Note that Tampa Bay has seen the total go OVER the number 12 of its last 19 games when the total in the contest is between 42.5 and 49 points, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three against the NFC South. We like Chicago and Mike Glennon to build off their decent debut and for Tampa to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Play on the OVER.

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