PAGE_HEADER

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the LA Rams and the Seattle Seahawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that the Rams have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last five as a road dog of three points or less and in ten of their last 15 against clubs with winning records, while Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight as a favorite already this year and in all four against divisional opponents.

The bottom line: This is a pivotal game. LA is 9-4 and the Hawks are 8-5. Seattle already beat the Rams 16-10 in LA earlier in the year and we think another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle is in the cards in the rematch in the chilly Northwest. The conditions and the numbers all point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* AFC SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between the Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in three of five against teams with winning records this year and in both games that it’s tried to revenge a loss, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of its last 20 at home and in three of its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: Houston has lost three straight plays with revenge after falling 29-7 to Jacksonville earlier in the year. The Jags are rolling, they can solidfy their lead atop the division and come in off a big 30-24 beatdown of the Seahawks. When you add it all up, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy call on the total in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the LA Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense: 

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three against clubs with winning records, while KC has seen the total go OVER the number in two of three off a division game and in five of its last seven against divisional opponents.

The bottom line: Say what you want about each of these teams, but both “go” how their QB’s “go.” Clearly this is a massive game with big implications for both of these 7-6 divisional foes (No. 1 in the AFC West is on the line.) We’re fully convinced that these veteran QB’s will be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Indianapolis Colts.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in four of six on the road already this year, while Indianapolis has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Jacoby Brissett vs. Trevor Siemian. These are two of the lowest scoring teams in the league, but with nothing to lose, we’re expecting a wide-open affair. When these teams met last, it was Denver that scored the 34-20 victory last year. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six on the road already this year and in both games it’s played in this season off a win against a division rival (23-3 stomping of the Bills), while Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as an underdog of ten points or more.

The bottom line: Miami kept its hopes alive with a 35-9 win over the Broncos. Denver has no real starting QB and its defense is a complete mess though. New England just shut down a much more talented Bills team on the road and we’re fully expecting a similar effort here as well. The Pats are without Rob Gronkowski, which does indeed put added emphasis onto the ground game for New England. When you add it all up, this total is a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in in all three non-conference games that it’s played in this year, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in in both of its non-conference contests this season.

The bottom line: It’s a non-conference game, but it’s an important one for both sides. Jacksonville is tied for the AFC South division lead, while Seattle is also at 8-4 and sitting one game behind the Rams in the NFC West. Plenty to play for between these two teams and we’re expecting each to open up the playbook. This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last two times that it’s played on a “Thursday” night, while ATL has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 16 as an underdog and in five of six already this season against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for the Falcons, as a loss would almost assuredly see them fall out of playoff contention in the competitive NFC South. As explosive as Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones are, the last thing Atlanta can do is turn this one into a “track meet” with Drew Brees and company and expect to come out on the winning side. With the home side looking to “control” the tempo of this one while on offense and when taking into account the short week and above trends, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER the number in all six of its road games this year and in seven of ten when playing the role of favorite, while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (lost the first one in the season series to the Steelers 29-14 back on October 22nd) and in three of five in front of the home town crowd overall. 

The bottom line: Pittsburgh has been getting the job done all year with its defense. Cincinnati can ill afford to turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the Steelers down the stretch. The conditions and the numbers all point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER between the Tampa Bay Buaccaneers and the Green Bay Packers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Tampa has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 following a divisional contest, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 23 at home and in its last three as a home fav of 3 points or less.

The bottom line: The only way the Packers make the postseason is if Aaron Rodgers walks through the door. And that’s not happening this weekend. Tampa Bay’s season will also be over with a loss this weekend. This one sets up as a bit of a letdown for each side and as a result, we look for this one to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Washington Redskins and the Dallas Cowboys.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense: 

As note that Washington has seen the total go OVER the number in 14 of its last 19 on the road (including in three of four this year) and in 13 of its last 17 against clubs with losing records, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six home games when the total is set between 42.5 and 45 points range.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for both struggling teams. The Skins are off a less than impressive 20-10 win over the Giants on Thanksgiving, while Dallas has lost three straight with RB Ezekiel Elliot suspended. Desperation breeds motivation. We look for these teams to open up the playbook and for this one to sail OVER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Minnesota has seen the totla go UNDER the number in all three games it’s played in this year against clubs with winning records and in two of three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (lost 14-7 to the Lions at home back in early October), while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three when playing the role of underdog.

The bottom line: Clearly the Vikes will look to control this one while on offense. Case Keenum has looked sharp managing the game, while Minensota’s No. 1 ranked defense will look to slow down the one dimensional Lions offense. The short week means both teams are going to be tired. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Seattle Seahawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Atlanta has seen the total go OVER the number in interestingly, five of its last six against the NFC Wet and in 17 of its last 30 played on turf, while Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 14 against clubs with winning records and in its last two at home when favored by three points or less.

The bottom line: It’s a big game for both playoff hopefuls. Neither defense has been particulary dominant of late. We think these offenses will take center stage on Monday as the numbers/trends do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER between the Baltimore Ravens and the Green Bay Packers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER the number the last two seasons coming out of its bye week and in three of its last four as a road fav of three points or less, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 22 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: Playing at Lambeau Field is always difficult, but doubly so in November, December and January. The Ravens come out of their bye needing to almost run the table to make the postseason. Green Bay’s hopes were kept alive in last week’s 23-16 grind it out victory over at the Bears. With Aaron Rodgers gone, expect a similar game-plan of controlling the game and limiting Brett Hundley’s responsibilities. Baltimore’s pass game has been a mess all year because of injury and will also be looking to run first. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the LA Rams and the Minnesota Vikings.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: 

As note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last eight after two or more consecutive SU wins (including in two of three such instances this season), while Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in 19 of 27 home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 anf 49 points and in 13 of its last 27 against clubs with winning records (including in both such cases this year.)

The bottom line: LA continues to steam roll its opponents with its high-powered offense and bend-but-not-break defense. But a game on the road in Minnesota is obviously a very stiff test, as the Vikes rank among the league leaders in every defensive category. Minnesota does “just enough” offensively to beat you, but obviously gets the job done most weeks with its relentless defensive pressure. This one looks more like a “chess match” than a “track meet.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Carolina Panthers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten non-conference games (including in both this year), while Carlolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine non-conference contests.

The bottom line: Miami QB Jay Cutler looked decent last week, throwing for 300 yards, three TD’s and no picks. The Dolphins still lost though. Miami still owns the leagues worst offense. The Miami defense remains a strength and it’ll be leaned on here to try and keep Cam Netown and company under control. The Panthers have been hit or miss with their offense this season, but with their bye week up next, followed by a string of high profile games, they’ll look to control this one and limit any serious injuries. All signs point to a low-scoring UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five off a loss against a division rival (just lost to Carolina 20-17 last weekend) and in all three games that it’s played this year against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for two teams which have for the most part struggled this year. Dallas though is without Ezekiell Elliot this weekend and WR Dez Bryant also remains sidelined. The last thing the Cowboys can do is turn this into a “track meet” with dangerous Falcons’ veteran Matt Ryan. ATL will also look to control this one while on offense. This number is a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the LA Rams.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight games played in the month of November and in five of its last eight non-conference contests, while LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. 

The bottom line: DeShaun Watson is out for the Texans, who now seem resigned to the fact that they’re done for the season after back-to-back losses coming out of their bye week. This is a game that Rams “should” win easily and they’ll want to leave nothing to chance with tough games at Minnesota, at home to the Saints, at Arizona, at home to Philly and then at Seattle all directly on the horizon. With that killer line-up of teams upcoming, we expect the home side to hold a little back this afternoon and to control the clock while on offense. All things considered, this number is just a little high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the LA Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven poitns range and in four of its last six against the AFC South, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last 11 as a favorite and in 11 of its last 17 at home. 

The bottom line: At 3-5, clearly the Chargers have some work to do with eight games remaining. LA comes out of its bye week focused though and with a game at home against Buffalo next week, there’s no question that the Chargers could be back to .500 before you know it. Jacksonville on the other hand has bigger plans on its mind sitting at 5-3 right now. The Jags came out of their bye and easily handled the Bengals 23-7 last weekend, but should figure to have a much more difficult time against this rested Chargers offense. All signs point to the one going OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and in eight of its last 14 against the division (including in both such circumstances this year), while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 at home (including in two of three this season) and in nine of its last 15 against the division (including in all three this year.)

The bottom line: This is a big game for Seattle, as it comes off a disappointing 17-14 home loss to Washington. With a game at home against Atlanta up next, clearly the Seahawks can not look past their potentially dangerous divisional opponent today. And for the Cards, without Carson Palmer under center, it’s only so far they can go with Drew Stanton leading the charge. Arizona will be leaning heavily on RB Adrian Peterson, who had 150 yards rushing in his team’s win in San Francisco last week. There’s no doubt that this one sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Oakland Raiders and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six games played in the month of November and in in its last four against the AFC East, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 17 against teams with losing records and in four of its last five as a home dog of three points or less.

The bottom line: Clearly this is a big game for the Raiders. They’re 3-5. That’s not what Derek Carr, Marshawn Lynch and company expected they’d be sitting at at this point of the season. But with their bye week on deck, we think Carr and the offense will have a very productive day as they leave everything on the field of play. Going into their bye at 4-5 and off a solid victory would go a long way for the Raiders’ second half push. Miami is still in the thick of the race at 4-3, but off the 40-0 loss at Baltimore last weekend, we’re expecting the Dolphins’ patchwork offense to put up a much better performance in front of the home town crowd and against this suspect Raiders’ secondary. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relvant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 18 on the road, including all three this season, while New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last nine in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and both such instances this season.

The bottom line: Buffalo won the first matchup of the year, 21-12 on Opening Sunday and all signs point to another low-scoring affair. The Bills are rolling, just a 1/2 game back in the competitive AFC East, getting the job done with a strong run game, a smart QB in Tyrod Taylor and an above average defense. The Jets have been better than advertised this season, but they’re now running out of gas with three straight losses. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* MONDAY NIGHT ULTRA TOTAL on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:

As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Kansas City has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two Monday night games.

The bottom line: After a 2-0 start to the year, the Broncos have struggled across the board. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Last week they were shut out 21-0 by the Chargers, before losing 23-10 to the then winless Giants, which came before their bye-week. And for the Chiefs, after five straight wins they’ve lost two straight, most recently crushing 31-30 loss to division rival Oakland. With a tough game at Dallas next weekend before their bye, we’re expecting Alex Smith and the Chiefs to open up the playbook today. And with Trevor Siemian and company needing to keep pace, we’re expecting this one to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:

As note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four against the division, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in 11 of its last 18 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: When these team’s met on September 10th it was the Eagles that scored the 30-17 victory. Suffice it to say, we’re fully expecting a similar hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring UNDER once it’s all said and done here as well. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

First off, both teams have been playing to quite a few “unders” already this year. The “Law Of Averages” is flawed in many ways, but we’ve always been of the belief that lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, mid and long-term. Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER the number in every game it’s played this year (including all four preseason games,) while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in two straight and in all but one of its games this season. And when these teams played last, the total also went UNDER the number. That’s a ridiculous amount of UNDERs, a extremely lop-sided trend which we foresee being broken in a big way this weekend.

Also note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU wins and in three of its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range.

This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts.

Without Andrew Luck under center, clearly the Indianapolis Colts have little “luck” this season. And with two tough games upcoming at Cincinnati and Houston, it’s not too hard to imagine the struggling 2-4 home side getting caught “looking ahead.” The Jags are in the drivers seat in the division at 3-3 and could be caught “looking past” the lowly Colts this week to their bye week up next as well. Note that the the Jags have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four “dome” games, while Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten following a divisional contest. This number seems a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins.

At 3-3 the Jets are still in the mix for the division title, but after the Dolphins they face Atlanta, Buffalo and Tampa Bay before their break. At 3-2 Miami is also very much a contendor in the AFC East. This is a key/pivotal early divisional matchup and we’re expecting each side to really open up the playbook this afternoon. And from an Over/Under trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this, as New York has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight after two or more consecutive victories.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that Indinapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 against the division, while Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three when playing on Monday night.

The bottom line: Brissett has been decent for the Colts, but Indy is still going to win games this year by running the ball and coming up with some defensive stops. The Titans should have Mariota back under center, but we can also expect the home side to concentrate on running the ball first. QB issues for both teams, combined with these strong O/U trends make the UNDER the correct call for us in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New York Giants and the Denver Broncos. 

The 0-5 Giants have seen the Over/under go 3-2, while the 3-1 Broncos have seen it go 3-1. New York has issues, mainly injuries to key offensive players. Most recently the Giants fell 27-22 to the Chargers at home. Denver enters off its bye, most recently beating Oakland 16-10 at home back on October 1st. So far the Giants average just 16 PPG, while conceding 24.4. The Broncos average 24.5 PPG and allow 18.5. Denver was firing on all cylinders before the break, but one wonders if chemistry will suffer from the extra week off? Note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven following an ATS loss, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven following its bye week. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” where field position becomes paramount, rather than a high-scoring shoot-out “track meet.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals.

Neither team can be happy where it sits right now at this point of the season. Tampa is 2-2 SU, while Arizona is 2-3. The Bucs have seen the Over/under go 2-2, while Arizona has seen it go 1-4. This is a pivotal early game for both teams, as a win will go a long way in determining if either will have a shot at contending for a playoff spot at the end of the year. Neither offense has been overly spectacular to this point, but we think that’s going to change in a big way this weekend. The Bucs come in off a 19-14 home loss to the Pats, while the Cards come in off a poor 34-7 setback to the Eagles last weekend (which in hindsight at this point, doesn’t look so horrible considering what Philadelphia just did to the Cowboys.) Tampa QB Jameis Winston struggled last week, but overall he’s been very good this year as he’s so far posted over 300 passing yards in three of four games with a 7:3 TD:INT. RB Doug Martin returned last week and had 74 yards on 13 carries. With Martin now back in the line-up, it’s going to free things up a lot more for Winston moving forward. Cards’ QB Carson Palmer wasn’t horrible in last week’s setback, going 28 of 44 for 291 yards, one TD and zero INT’s. Considering how much Arizona has struggled to open the year, it may come as a surprise to learn that Palmer is second in the league with 1,573 passing yards, but with just a 6:5 TD:INT. Larry Fitzgerald has 327 receiving yards thus far. Adrian Peterson is now in the backfield, but clearly the game-plan today will be to air it out early and often. Note that Tampa has seen the togal go OVER the number in 14 of its last 21 when the line in the game is set between +3 to -3, while Arizona has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight as an underdog. The conditions, numbers and trends all point to a shootout. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings.

We have a hard time seeing Minnesota mustering much of an offensive attack today. The Packers also looked primed for a letdown here in our opinion after their epic come-from-behind 35-31 road win over Dallas last weekend, a victory on a TD in the closing seconds. Green Bay earned the victory, but clearly it can’t be happy the way its defense played, allowing 408 total yards and 7 of 12 on third downs. Clearly Green Bay’s unit catches a big break this week though in facing the Vike’s anemic offense. Last week though it was Minnesota’s defense which delivered the 20-17 road victory. QB Sam Bradford exited at half time after going 5 of 11 for 36 yards. He’s questionable for this one as well, meaning Case Keenum could see actoin. Last week Keenum was a modest 17 of 21 for 140 yards and a TD. A bright side for Minnesota’s offense was its run game which produced 159 yards. But as mentioned, it was the Vike’s defense which was the difference maker, holding the Bears to 274 total yards and limiting them to 3 of 12 on third downs. Suffice it to say, this is one of the most dangerous defenses that Pack’ QB Aaron Rodgers will see all year (a unit which has given up 17 or fewer points in three straight games.) Minnesota will be all about the run game too, so expect to see a heavy dose of Jerick McKinnon as the Vikes to try to keep Rodgers off the field of play as long and whenever possible. Note that four of the last five between these teams have fallen UNDER the number. All signs point to another lower-scoring “chess match.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Carolina Panthers.

If you want a break down on how well Carson Wentz is doing this year, or if Cam Newton is bouncing back this season, then go ahead and read the game preview by Yahoo Sports or CBS Sports or NFL etc (by the way, both Wentz and Newton are having great years, leading their teams to 4-1 records to this point.) For the most part individual player matchups don’t really enter into our equation when handicapping games, unless it’s a top 3 player like Aaron Rodgers or LeBron James etc. Otherwise, we primarily are basing our picks on emotion levels from each side, the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into the contest in question, as well as taking into consideration lopsided trends and numbers. It’s a short week and we think both sides are going to be a bit “gassed” here after the blistering start to the 2017/18 campaign. The Eagles just torched the Cardinals 34-7, while Carolina is off a high-scoring 27-24 win on the road at Detroit. That’s back-to-back big road victories for the Panthers, who knocked off the Pats 33-30 in New England previous to that. Can anyone say, “letdown spot?!” Note that Philadelhpia has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last seven as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

The Vikes are coming off a poor 14-7 loss to the Lions, while the Bears are coming off a 38-14 setback in Green Bay. It would be easy to pull the trigger on the “under” in this one. Why not? Minnesota QB Sam Bradford is questionable and if he does play, how effective will he be (rookie RB Dalvin Cook is also out with injury)? Things are going so well in Chicago, that it’s scrapped starting QB Mike Glennon and moved onto rookie Mitch Trubisky. And so far the strength of each team has been on the defensive side of the ball to this point of the season.

But the NFL is anything but predictable and we think these offenses will have their opportunities on the national stage. Note that Minnesota has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four games when the total in the contest is set between 35.5 and 42 points, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys.

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has ten TD’s and three INT’s so far on the year. Rodgers and company have enjoyed nine days off since handling Chicago 35-14 on Thursday night in Week 4. The Dallas defense gets a boost this week with the return of defensive lineman David Irving, who has now finished serving a four-game suspension to open the season. In a 30-16 win over Green Bay last year, Irving forced three fumbles and had a sack in just 19 snaps. It’s interesting to note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven games played in the month of October, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight in October. We’re expecting a highly competitive affair, one which falls UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between Buffalo and Cincinnati.

Both teams have struggled to put points on the board to this point, as the 3-1 Bills have seen the Over/Under going 1-3, while the 1-3 Bengals have seen it go 1-3 as well. However, we believe the overall situation of this particular matchup lends itself to more of a shootout than a chess match. 

The Bills: Buffalo comes in off a big 23-17 road win over the Falcons last week. The Bills look to keep the good times rolling, QB Tyrod Taylor was 12 of 20 for 182 yards, one TD and no INT’s last week. LeSean McCoy had 76 yards on 20 carries and the offense has scored at least 21 points in all three games thus far. So far it’s been the Bills’ defense which has been the difference maker, but we think the unit faces a stiff test this afternoon.

The Bengals: Cincinnati broke into the win column last week with a 31-7 pasting of the Browns. QB Andy Dalton was 25 of 30 for 286 yards, four TD’s and no INT’s. WR AJ Green had 63 yards and a TD. The defense wasn’t really tested, but it will face a much more difficult task this weekend.

The bottom line: Note that Buffalo has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine in Weeks 5 through 9, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight in Weeks 5 through 9. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

It would be easy to simply choose the “over” here. Why not? The Pats are coming off a crushing 33-30 home loss to the Panthers and will be eager to jump back into the win column with another big offensive performance. The Bucs are rolling too, they came from behind to knock off the Giants 25-23 at home last weekend. But the NFL is anything but predictable and in our opinion, the overall “situation” lends itself to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. It’s a short week and each team comes in off an epic battle. Both of clubs are going to be “gassed.” New England wouldn’t be normally “looking ahead,” but a game at division rival New York Jets is on deck, so that factor also comes into play here. Up next are two road games for the Bucs, so the possibility of a letdown tonight isn’t too hard to imagine for the home side either. Note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten games played on a grass field and in three of its last four Thursday night games, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in five of its last eight non-conference contests. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between the New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins.

The Saints are 1-2 SU and have seen the Over/Under go 3-0 so far. Miami is 1-1 SU and it’s seen the total go 0-2. New Orleans comes in off a big 34-13 road win over Carolina last weekend and we absolutely expect the team to carry that momentum over here. Saints’ QB Drew Brees was 22 of 29 for 213 passing yards and three TD’s with no INT’s. Brees now has 870 yards, six TD’s and not INT’s this season. And that’s bad news for the Dolphins, as they’ve struggled against the pass. Overall New Orleans is ranked 11th in scoring with 24.3 PPG, while ranked 30th on the defensive end in conceding 26. Miami enters off a poor 20-6 loss on the road to the Jets last Sunday (we had New York in that one.) The Dolphins have so far averaged just 12.5 PPG. Last week Jay Cutler was 26 of 44 for 220 yards and a TD. RB Jay Ajayi has also struggled, gaining just 6 yards. Clearly the Miami offense will be looking to open the playbook in this one. Note that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in ten of its last 14 as a favorite and in six of its last ten off a divisional contest, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last 11 off a divisional game and in four of its last five as an underdog. It’s a big game for both clubs as each has underperformed to this point. All signs point to a “track meet,” rather than a “chess match.” Play on the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers.

It’s a short-week for both teams obviously. The Bears come in off a big upset win at home, 23-17 in OT over the Steelers, while Green Bay also needed OT to take care of the Bengals 27-24. Chicago got 138 yards on 23 carries from rookie RB Tarik Cohen and suffice it to say, we’re not expecting lightning to strike twice this weekend. The Bears are completely one-dimensional, as the receiving core is riddled with injury, while Mike Glennon has struggled for the most part, last week completing 19 of 22 for 101 yards on just 4.6 yards per pass (he was sacked twice and threw a pick as well.) Chicago got the job done defensively as it forced two fumbles and held the high-flying Steelers to just 22 passing yards and 70 rushing yards. Packers’ QB Aaron Rodgers was sacked six times and threw a pick last week as well, but finished 28 of 42 with three TD’s. Green Bay will look to establish its run game, it had to play from behind last week so was forced to abandon any rushing plans it had. The Pack struggled defensively in the first half, but was “lights out” in the second, eventually giving up just 301 total yards of offense. Note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last two as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as a home fav in the 7.5 to ten points range. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Tennessee Titans.

Seattle has so far struggled to put points on the board this year, but we think that finally changes this weekend. Tennessee will be looking to put the foot on the gas from start to finish as well as it tries to get the Hawks’ elite defensive unit on its heels. An underachieving Seahawks offense matches up against a Titans team which rebounded off an opening week loss to smash the Jaguars 37-16 in Week 2. As good as the Hawks have looked defensively so far this year, there’s no question that the unit faces a stiff test in this dynamic Tennessee offense, led by Marcos Mariota. Mariota has a stable of backs and dangerous receiving weapons as well. Seattle’s defense is going to be taxed today in trying to stop all three phases, as Mariota is a legitimate dual threat himself. And speaking of dual threats, the Hawks’ Russell Wilson clearly can’t be happy the way his offense has been performing to this point. It’s been the red-zone offense as well, as the team had to settle for FG’s in its 12-6 win over San Francisco last weekend. Note that both teams have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last eight non-conference games as well. With each team opening up the playbook and pushing the pace from the opening kickoff until the final whistle, we’re expecting this one to fly OVER the number sooner rather than later.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between Detroit Lions and the New York Giants.

The Giants were destroyed 19-3 at Dallas on Sunday night, but will be happy to welcome back star WR Odell Beckham Jr. to the line-up. The Lions looked lost for almost three quarters in their Week 1 matchup against the Cardinals before then exploding for a 35-23 come-from-behind victory. We think Detroit carries that momentum over here and we expect New York to get untracked offensively with Beckham Jr. back in the line-up.

The Lions: QB Matthew Stafford was 29 of 41 for 292 yards and four touchdowns. This isn’t an offense predicated around the run, so expect to this team air it out early and often once again. The defense was decent, but it faces a stiff test against this hungry Giants team.

The Giants: Nothing went right for New York and Eli Manning in Week 1. Without OBJ in the lineup to keep the defense honest, he was constantly under pressure. OBJ is back this week though and we think the offense will obviously look a lot better . The defense looked decent last week, but the numbers are skewed, as Dallas completely changed up its game-plan in the second half to a much more conservative style.

The bottom line: Note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the posted number in two of its last three Monday Night games, while New York has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after scoring three points or less in its previous contest. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

The is an 8* play on the OVER between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks.

Both of these division rivals come in off disappointing/humbling Week 1 performances and as such, we’re expecting each to put the foot on the gas from start to finish in hopes to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. San Francisco lost 23-3 at home to the Panthers last weekend. QB Bryan Hoyer had 193 passing yards and an INT, while Carlos Hyde had 45 yards on nine carries. The 49ers defensive numbers are skewed though, as Carolina jumped out to an early 20-0 lead and then completely changed up its game-plan. WR Pierre Garcon was a standout with 81 yards on six catches. Seattle can empathize with the 49ers, as it’d manage just nine points at Lambeau last Sunday. Russell Wilson was 14 of 27 for 157 yards and no TD’s. Doug Baldwin had 63 receiving yards. Note though that the 49ers have seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of their last 16 on the road, while the Seahawks have seen the total go OVER ten of their last 18 at home. This one sneaks OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

The is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Oakland Raiders.

The Jets lost in Buffalo last week, but looked a little better than most expected (or was it that the Bills looked worse?) Regardless, New York is going to have to match pace with the Raiders, who we believe will be airing it out from start to finish against this suspect Jets secondary. New York’s QB Josh McCown was 26 of 39 for 187 yards. The combination of Matt Forte and Bilal Powell was stuffed for just 38 rushing yards though and clearly they’ll be out to atone for the sub-par performance. Oakland got 262 yards from QB Derek Carr along with two TD’s last week. RB Marshawn Lynch was also solid with 76 yards on 18 carries. Note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three off a loss against a division rival, while Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 14 at home. We think Carr has a monster day and we believe McCown will also have some opportunities. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

The is an 8* play on the OVER between the Chicago Bears and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

This one sets up great from a situational stand point. The Bears are coming off an encouraging home loss to the Falcons in Week 1, while Tampa comes in rested and ready to roll after its Week 1 contest was postponed at Miami due to Hurricane Irma. Bucs’ QB Jameis Winston threw for over 4000 yards last year and has plenty of weapons to utilize this year in WR DeSean Jackson and RB Jacquizz Rodgers. Last season Tampa ranked in the middle defensively, but it did have the second most INT’s. The Bears suffered some key injuries to WR’s, but in this game it’s always, “next man up!” Note that Tampa Bay has seen the total go OVER the number 12 of its last 19 games when the total in the contest is between 42.5 and 49 points, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three against the NFC South. We like Chicago and Mike Glennon to build off their decent debut and for Tampa to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Play on the OVER.

AAA Sports

The is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Eagles smashed the Redskins 30-17, while KC posted an impressive 42-27 road victory over the Pats last Thursday. Both teams put considerable points on the board, but this time around we’re expecting a much more defensive battle in the tough confines of Arrow Head Stadium. The Eagles held a slim 19-17 lead in the fourth quarter last week, before then exploding for 11 points in a 30-second span. Philadelphia outgained Washington 356-264. Eagles’ QB Carson Wentz was 26 of 39 for 307 yards and two TD’s and one INT. Overall the defense stole the show for Philadelphia in Week 1 though. KC came out like gang-busters and overwhelmed the defending champs on Opening Night, piling up a ridiculous 537 yards offensively, while holding the league’s No. 1 offense from a year ago to 371 total yards, including giving up zero TD’s to Tom Brady. Chiefs’ QB Alex Smith was 28 of 35 for 368 yards and four TD’s. RB Kareem Hunt had 148 yards rushing and a TD, as well as 98 yards receiving with two TD’s. Everyone contributed across the board in the big win, but we think some regression is imminent in this non-conference matchup. Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight non-conference games (and its last six games played in the month of September), while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 16 at home and in 17 of its last 26 when playing the role of favorite. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER between the Houston Texans and the Cincinnati Bengals.

Houston fell 29-7 at home to Jacksonville in Week 1 and will be starting a rookie QB in this one. Cincinnati came out flat and fell 20-0 at home to the Ravens last weekend. When these teams met last year the Texans held on for a low-scoring 12-10 victory. These are two teams which normally struggle to put points on the board, but we feel this number is still a little low.

The Texans: QB Tom Savage was a disaster and was sacked six times, while fumbling it twice. DeShaun Watson was thrust into the spot-light and did well in the difficult position, going 12 of 22 for 102 yards, one TD and one INT. With a full week off to prepare to be starter, we look for Watson to come out much more focused and prepared. We also think the more pressing concern for Houston is on the defensive side of the ball. The offense was supposed to go through some growing pains, but the defense was supposed to be a strength. Overall the defense allowed 155 rushing yards, while producing no sacks. and focuring zero turnovers.

The Bengals: Cincinnati was terrible on both sides of the ball last week as well. Andy Dalton threw four INT’s and also fumbled the ball, finishing 16 of 31 for 170 yards. Dalton has an eltie group of receivers and a strong group at RB and there’s no possible way the unit could do any worse that in it did in Week 1. Suffice it to say, we absolutely expect the Bengals’ offense to bounce back here. And note that Cincinnati’s defensive numbers are skewed, as Baltimore was up 17-0 at half and completely changed its game-plan to a much more conservative style in the second stanza. 

The bottom line: Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two off a loss against a division rival, while Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range. We like these offenses to bounce back and we believe each will struggle again defensively. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys.

New York took both games from the Giants last year. Both starting QB’s come into the season with a lot of pressure for different reasons. For Giants’ aging QB Eli Manning, this has to be the fnal straw as another losing campaign will likely trigger a major change for the organization. Dak Prescott of the Cowboys will be looking to prove a point and that his first year was no fluke. That’s a lot of pressure at the most important position tonight and we think each pivot comes out a bit flat here. With each side putting an emphasis on the run game while on offense, this one does indeed set up great for an UNDER from a situational stand point. Also note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons. 

REASONING: The Patriots finished the regular season with the No. 1 ranked defense, one which conceded just 15.6 PPG. New England gave up just 16 points in its win over the Texans in the divisional round and then just 17 to the Steelers in the championship round. Atlanta would surrender just 20 points to the Seahawks in the divisional round and only 21 to Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in the conference championship. While defense has been the Falcons’ main weakness all year, the unit is clearly playing at its best at the most opportune of times. The Pats have Tom Brady, but clearly the team can ill afford to get into a “shootout” with the Falcons’ No. 1 ranked offense, so look for New England to control this one while on offense, so as to keep Matt Ryan and company off the field of play as much as possible. This is the highest total in Super Bowl history and it’s a little too large in our opinion. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons.

REASONING: What’s the first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams? For us it’s clearly Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan, two of the top passing QB’s in the league and of all time. Ryan leads the league’s top ranked offense, while Rodgers comes in on a massive hot streak and finished the regular season with 40 TD strikes, two more than Ryan. With the pressure on though, we think we’re going to see each team play it a bit more conservative tonight, trying to control the clock so as to keep the other side’s QB off the field of play for as long as possible. And from an Over/Under trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this as the Packers have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while ATL has seen the total go UNDER in 35 of its last 60 games as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports 

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the New England Patriots.

REASONING: Houston managed a win over the Raiders last week, but Oakland starting QB Derek Carr wasn’t playing after suffering a season ending injury in Week 16. Now the Texans travel from the safe and much warmer confines of home to play at frigid Foxborough against the league’s No. 1 defense. Note that the Pats have allowed an average of just 15.6 PPG. The Texans strength is clearly not on the offensive side of the ball. QB Brock Osweiler finished the regular season with a 15:16 TD:INT ratio. If the visitors have any shot at stealing this one, it’ll have to be on the back of RB LaMar Miller. Where Houston does dominate though is on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 20.5 per contest, which ranked 11th. For all of the reasons listed above, we’re expecting more of a “chess match,” rather than a wide-open “shootout.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the New York Giants and the Green Bay Packers.

REASONING: New York can ill afford to get into a “shootout” with the red hot Aaron Rodgers, so we’re expecting the visitors to play it a bit conservative on the offensive end. And by that we mean we’re expecting Eli Manning and the Giants to try and control the clock as much as possible so as to limit the amount of time that Rodgers is even on the field of play. New York owns the second ranked defense, one which concedes just 17.8 PPG. When these teams met in Week 5, Rodgers was held to 259 yards passing, along with two TD’s and two INT’s. Manning had just 199 yards, one TD and no INT’s. Green Bay would win 23-16 in the end and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of eight as an underdog this year, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER in four of six this season as a home fav of 3.5 to seven points. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

REASONING: Both teams come into the playoffs on hot streaks, as Miami won three of its last four, while Pittsburgh ran off seven straight victories to end the regular season. Miami managed a 30-15 home win over the Steelers in Week 6, the Dolphins would go on to hold Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger to 189 yards with one TD and two INT. Miami had huge success with RB Jay Ajayi, who went for 204 yards against the Steelers. There’s no question what the game plan will be for Miami’s offense today, especially with competent backup Matt Moore under center for the visitors now. In the end the Fish averaged just 22.7 PPG this season, ranked 17th, while allowing 23.8. Pittsburgh is out for a little revenge today, note that it finished averaging 24.9 PPG, while allowing 20.4. We’re expecting a similar combined final score at the end of this one as when these two first met earlier in the season, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Oakland and Houston.

REASONING: Oakland’s worst nightmare came true when starting QB Derek Carr was knocked out for the rest of the season with a leg injury in Week 16. That means that the team turns to rookie Connor Cook. Clearly the pressure will be tremendous for the young man, so the Raiders will be leaning heavily on RB Latavius Murray from start to finish. Fortunately for Oakland, it faces one of the worst offenses in the league, as the Texans averaged just 17.4 PPG. QB Brock Osweiler has struggled in the starting role this year, he has a poor 15:16 TD:INT ratio. The home side will also be looking to establish its run game while on offense, so be prepared to see a heavy dose of LaMar Miller, who sat out the final two games of the regular season with an ankle injury. Neither team can afford to make a mistake on offense, so both of these QB’s will be on a leash. We expect this one to sneak UNDER the posted number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six against teams with winning records and in five of eight when playing the role of underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 14 off a divisional contest and in two of three off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: We think these two normally high-scoring teams play to more of a “chess match,” this afternoon, where field position ends up being a deciding factor. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven road games this year and in six of nine after two or more consecutive wins, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER in five of seven at home and in its last five off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: Dallas has little to play for at this point and will simply be going through the motions. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of seven road games this year and in six of nine after two or more consecutive wins, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 13 when trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and in eight of its last 13 after two or more consecutive victories.

The bottom line: There’s no way Miami can get into a “track meet” with New England and score an upset today. The Pats No. 1 rated defense will look to close the season strong. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs.

REASONING: This is an important divisional battle and as such, we’re expecting a more wide-open affair and believe these teams will combine to do just enough to push this one OVER at the end of the night. Both teams will  be hungry today as each enters off losses. Denver fell 16-3 at home to the Patriots, while KC lost 19-17 to Tennessee last weekend. Broncos’ QB Trevor Siemian will be especially motivated after stalling the last two games. When these teams met back in Week 12 though, Siemian would throw three TD’s, while Chiefs’ QB Alex Smith had one in KC’s eventual 30-27 OT victory. The Broncos get the job done on the defensive end, allowing only 18.4 PPG. But Denver needs to put points on the board if its going to have any shot at defending its title this year. KC had a 17-7 halftime lead last week and then stumbled in the second half. The Chiefs look to rebound, note that they’re 15th overall on offense with 22.8 PPG, while allowing 19.6, good for eighth overall. Note though that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in all four games this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while KC has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four when the total in the contest is set between 35.5 and 42 points. Each are desperate for a win and both are looking to erase their respective collapses from a week ago. It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances which we believe will lead to a higher-scoring OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL SUPER-BLOWOUT on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Houston Texans.

REASONING: Cincinnati has been eliminated from playoff contention, but the team won’t be going down without a fight today and it will be relishing the role of spoiler tonight as Houston is still chasing a postseason berth. Last week the Bengals fell in a hard-fought 24-20 setback to the Steelers, while the Texans held on for a 21-20 win over Jacksonville. The Bengals’ Andy Dalton will be especially motivated in our opinion today. His team was just eliminated from playoff contention and he’s had a “down” year overall. It is the first time in six seasons that the Bengals will miss the playoffs. Dalton had just 157 yards, no TD’s and an INT last week and clearly he will be looking to end the season on a positive note and to bounce back big. And it’s basically do or die for the Texans tonight, a victory will almost assuredly mean that they’ll be headed to the playoffs for a second straight year. Backup Houston QB Tom Savage was 23 of 36 for 260 yards last week. Note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four this season following a divisional contest, while Houston has seen the total go OVER in three of four off a win against a division rival and in four of six against teams with losing records. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills.

REASONING: Miami comes in off a 34-13 beatdown road win over the Jets, while Buffalo smashed the Browns 33-13. When these teams played back in Week 7, the Fish managed the high-scoring 28-25 victory. RB Jay Ajayi had 214 rushing yards in that one for Miami, while Tyrod Taylor finished with 221 yards passing and a TD for Buffalo. For a couple of different reasons, we’re expecting a much more defensive affair in the re-match. Despite the big offensive outburst against a horrible Jets’ secondary, Miami still averages just 22.5 PPG, which ranks it 17th. Backup QB Matt Moore filled in admirably in place of the injured Ryan Tanehill, but we think he’ll have a much harder time on the road in what will clearly be a very hostile environment. It should be noted that Miami did look pretty good on the defensive end last week with three sacks and two INT’s. We can expect to see a heavy dose of Bills’ RB LeSean McCoy today as he’s putting together a career season, posting 1,129 rushing yards so far. The Bills have averaged 25.6 PPG so far, while conceding 22.4, ranked 14th in the league. We’re expecting both teams to put an added emphasis on the run game while on offense and look for this one to indeed fall UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the OVER between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time.

This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER in the Carolina Panthers and Washington Redskins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 games played in the month of December, while Washington has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four when playing on a Monday night.

The bottom line: Carolina has been relegated to playing spoiler at this point of the season, but with nothing to play for, we think the team will simply go through the motions today. Washington doesn’t want to turn this one into a track meet, so expect the home side to control the clock and be as effecient as possible. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the OVER between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys.

REASONING: Both teams are jockeying for a playoff spot and we’re expecting each to open up the playbook today. Tampa comes in off a 16-11 home win over New Orleans, while Dallas fell 10-7 on the road to New York on Sunday. Clearly neither side can be happy with the way its offense played and as such, we’re expecting a much more dynamic game tonight. Tampa averages 22.5 PPG, ranked 18th and allows 22.8, ranked 16th. Dallas averages 26.2 PPG, ranked sixth and allows 18.3, ranked fifth. But Dallas has struggled to defend the pass all year, conceding an average of 268 passing yards per game (ranked 28th). We expect Jameis Winston to be given the “green light” to air it out from start to finish. And there’s no question that Dak Prescott and company will be looking to bounce back after last week’s debacle and take advantage of this suspect Bucs’ secondary. Note that Tampa has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year following a divisional contest, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER in all three of its home games this season as a favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. This one has the feel of a shootout rather than a chess match, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Detroit Lions and the New York Giants.

REASONING: This is a big game for both of these 9-4 teams. The Lions are aiming for their sixth straight win, most recently besting the Bears 20-17 last week. New York managed a 10-7 victory over the Cowboys last Sunday night. Neither can be happy on how it performed on the offensive end and as such, we’re expecting each to open up the playbook today and for this total to indeed fly OVER the number once it’s all said and done. So far the Lions average 22.7 PPG, which ranks them 17th in the league, while the defense concedes 20.6, ranked tenth. QB Matthew Stafford has almost 3,450 yards and a 22:7 TD to INT ratio. New York only averages 19.6 PPG, ranked 25th, while the defense concedes 18.8 PPG, ranked seventh. Eli Manning has 3,290 passing yards with a 23:13 TD to INT ratio. Note that Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after scoring 20 points or less, while New York has seen the total go OVER in five of its last six after scoring ten points or less. These are a couple of mediocre offenses going up against a couple of above average defenses and that’s why this number is so low. But we think the overall situation lends itself to a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring chess match. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants.

REASONING: New York beat Dallas 20-19 in Week 1 and since then the Cowboys haven’t lost. Dallas enters off a slim 17-15 road win over Minnesota last Thursday, while New York fell 24-14 to Pittsburgh last week. When the Cowboys needed it, they found enough offense to pull off the victory, scoring ten points in the final frame. Dak Prescott was 12 of 18 for 139 yards, one TD and zero picks. So far Prescott has 19 TD’s to just two INT’s. Note that Dallas averages 27.8 PPG, ranked fifth overall. The Cowboys are ranked fifth on the defensive side as well, conceding 19 PPG, but in the first match up against New York, QB Eli Manning had three passing TD’s. The Giants’ six game win streak ended in the loss to Pittsburgh, Manning was 24 of 49 for 195 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s in the red zone. So far New York averages 20.4 PPG, ranked 24th overall. The defense has been better, conceding 19.8 points, ranked eighth overall. That defense though looked pretty bad in last week’s loss, allowing 389 total yards. Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four against the division this year, while New York has seen the total go OVER in ten of its last 15 against division opponents. All signs point to a shootout, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Arizona Cardinals and the Miami Dolphins.

REASONING: Both teams are hopeful at a wild card playoff spot, but each has to essentially “run the table.” Miami is the first team out in the AFC, while Arizona sits just a game behind the first team out, Washington. Arizona has lost two of its last three, but is coming off a 31-23 victory over the Redskins last week. Cards’ QB Carson Palmer has been hit-or-miss all year. Miami reeled off six straight wins, but took a big step back in last week’s 38-6 setback in Baltimore last Sunday. The Fish will be out to atone for that listless performance, especially on the defensive side after allowing 496 yards, including 386 through the air. QB Ryan Tannehill struggled, throwing three INT’s. Note that Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 non-conference games, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 in the same position. It’s essentially a “must win” for each side. We’re expecting each to play it “safe” and for this one to fall UNDER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Chicago Bears and the Detroit Lions.

REASONING: The Lions play with revenge today after Chicago beat them earlier in the year. Since that setback though Detroit continues to find ways to win and now sits alone atop the NFC North. Chicago won’t be going down without a fight and would love to nothing more than to sweep the season series. The Bears come in with momentum as well after pulling off the 26-6 home win over the 49ers in the snow last weekend. It wasn’t a pretty victory, but in the end Chicago put up 326 yards in very adverse conditions. Last week Detroit won in New Orleans and QB Matt Stafford had a big day, throwing for 341 yards and two scores. Note that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five “dome” games, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER in six of its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. All signs point to a shootout, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Oakland Raiders and the Kansas City Chiefs.

REASONING: Oakland has won six straight and comes to division rival Kansas City on the short week. The Chiefs sit right behind the Raiders in the division and a home victory today would be huge. To do that, KC will look to take advantage of its strengths. Like home field advantage. Like the adverse weather conditions (reportedly down to -9 celsius at game time). Like efficient clock management by veteran QB Alex Smith while on offense. KC can obviously ill afford to try and match pace with Raiders’ QB Derek Carr and company, who have had to come back from some big deficits to win games this year. Everything points to a game where field position will be paramount in the final outcome. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* O/U BLOWOUT BLOOD-BATH on the OVER between the Indianapolis Colts and the New York Jets.

REASONING: New York has already been eliminated from playoff contention, but would love nothing more than to play spoiler here. Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets offense looked decent in last week’s loss to the Patriots. But Andrew Luck and the visitors are desperate for a victory, the Colts’ starting pivot returns to action after sitting last week with concussion, Indy would predictably lose 28-7 to the Steelers on Thanksgiving day. Note that Fitzpatrick was 22 for 32 for 269 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s last Sunday. Indianapolis has a top 10 offense, but it’s defense is ranked 28th overall. New York’s offense has struggled all season, but it catches a break this week in facing the Colts’ terrible secondary. Note that Indianapolis has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 14 against teams with losing records and in three of its last four when playing on Monday Night Football, while New York has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as a home dog of 3.5 points or less and in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Washington has interestingly seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five against the NFC West and in four of its last six “dome” games, while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last eight games played in the month of December, in six of eight as a favorite this year and in all six games that it’s played in front of the home town crowd thus far.

The bottom line: The Redskins feature one of the best passing attacks in the game, but we think the unit will struggle on the road in this hostile environment. It’s a big game for both teams, as each will essentially need to win-out to have any shot at a playoff berth. We’re expecting this intense focus and determination to lend itself to a classic lower-scoring defensive battle. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER between the New York Giants and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in ten of its last 16 against teams with winning records and in 17 of its last 29 games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last seven as a home favorite of 3.5 to seven points and in seven of its last 11 non-conference contests.

The bottom line: With Eli Manning and Ben Roethlisberger going head-to-head, we’re expecting a classic shootout as each of these veteran pivots will be given the green light to air it out today. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Buffalo and Oakland.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last six road games as an underdog of three points or less and in 16 of its last 23 as an underdog overall, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight games played in the month of December.

The bottom line: This is a big game for Buffalo, which can ill afford to turn this one into a “track meet.” We can expect the visitors to try and manage this one while on offense, so as to limit the time that Derek Carr and company have on the field of play. All signs point to this one sneaking UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in its last four after two or more consecutive losses and in eight of its last 14 against the division, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER in four of six as a favorite this season and in all three against the division.

The bottom line: The Bengals may be down their top receiver and a main RB, but Andy Dalton and company won’t be going down without a fight. The Ravens can smell the blood in the water and will look to bounce back today after consecutive road defeats. We’re expecting this massive sense of competition to push this one OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the LA Rams and the New Orleans Saints.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last ten after two or more consecutive losses.

The bottom line: These are two teams desperate for a victory and we’re expecting each to open up the playbook and for this total to sneak OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch. 

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Giants and the Cleveland Browns.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that New York has seen the total go OVER the number in five of six road games this year when the total is set between 42.5 points and 45 points, while Cleveland has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four off a loss against a division rival.

The bottom line: This is a dangerous spot for the Giants and we’re expecting the hungry/humbled home side to push the pace from start to finish, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Indianapolis Colts.

REASONING: We played this one early and got 53.5. The total has since dropped to around 48 after it was learned that Indianapolis QB Andrew Luck was sidelined in the concussion protocol. If you were unable to get down before the line move, don’t worry, we still love this play. And for obvious reasons. When Luck went down last year, Matt Hasselbeck filled in seamlessly as he was in his third season as the team’s backup QB. Scott Tolzien was just signed in March and has never taken a regular-season snap for the Colts. He also saw limited time in the preseason and didn’t look overly impressive anyways. The home side is going to have to fall back on its run game today to take the pressure of Tolzien. And we’re now expecting Pittsburgh to try and “manage” this one while on offense. Note that the Steelers have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of five on the road this year, while the Colts have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last six at home. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Washignton Redskins and the Dallas Cowboys.

REASONING: We jumped on this line early and got 48.5 and its since gone as high as 51.5 in some places. Regardless, we think these two normally high-scoring teams will have a bit of a letdown on the short week and on the national stage. Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott are leaders of two of the best offenses in the league. Neither team is extremely adept on the defensive end either. Washington plays with revenge today though after falling 27-23 in the first matchup from Landover. As primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, these are exactly the types of matchups that we’re on the look out for. And from an O/U trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much stronger than this as the Redskins have seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three this year after two or more consecutive SU wins and in two of three away from friendly confines, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 12 of its last 20 in front of the home town crowd. We’re expecting an all out war on Thursday afternoon, where field position becomes paramount for success. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” rather than a “track meet,” play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the OVER between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions.

REASONING: These division rivals are both in the hunt for a playoff spot and enter into this one with idential records, each going 6-4 SU/ATS and 4-6 O/U. Minnesota comes in off 30-24 win over Arizona this past weekend, while the Lions have now won two in a row and five of their last six after holding on for a 26-19 victory over the Jaguars at home. When these teams played on November 6th, Detroit scored the 22-16 OT victory. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a much higher-scoring affair this time around. Last week Vikes’ QB Sam Bradford was 20 of 28 for 169 yards and a TD. Defense and special teams for Minnesota would also both go on to score TD’s. So far the Vikes are third defensively and last in the offensive department. Detroit keeps finding ways to win, as note that it’s been down in all ten games this year in the fourth quarter. TE Eric Ebron had three passes for 70 yards and a TD last week. QB Matt Stafford has 18 TD’s and five picks with a 101.2 QB rating overall this season. Detroit so far ranks 25th in total offense and 19th on the defensive end. It’s important to note though that Minnesota has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER in its last three “Thursday” contests and in four of its last six as a home fav of three points or less. This one is just a little bit low, play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the Oakland Raiders.

REASONING: A couple of the league’s top teams collide on Monday night, this one though is being played in Mexico. Houston is 6-3 and Oakland is 7-2. The Raiders have been getting fantastic play on both sides of the ball and have had a week off after beating the Broncos. The Texans come to town off a 24-21 win over the lowly Jaguars last Sunday. Houston QB Brock Osweiler had two TD’s, but only 99 yards total passing on 14 of 27. The Texans have beaten up on lesser competition, but are just 2-3 against clubs with winning records this year. Will rest lead to rust for Oakland? That’s the big question, so far Derek Carr and company have been up to the challenge almost every week, but we think this does set up as potentially dangerous spot for the Raiders. The extra week off, combined with the out of country venue adds up to some major off field distractions that the previously well-oiled unit didn’t have to worry about. In the win over the Broncos, it wasn’t Carr that won the game, as he threw for only 184 yards, but rather the Raiders’ strong run game which outrushed Denver 218-33. We’re expecting to see a heavy dose of Latavius Murray, DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard this evening. Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight after two or more consecutive SU victories and in six of its last ten off a win against a division rival, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER in two of its last three off a win against a division rival. When taking into account all of the above info, we do indeed feel this number is just a little bit high. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Washington Redskins.

REASONING: Green Bay is 4-5 and many are wondering if QB Aaron Rodgers’ personal problems are disrupting his on field play. Rodgers has looked decent at times this year, but also very pedestrian in others. His run game has been non-existent though, so we’re expecting the visitors put an added emphasis in establishing the ground attack this evening. Someone has to step up and alleviate some of the pressure off Rodgers, so there’s no question in our minds that this will have to be Green Bay’s game-plan coming in. James Starks had 33 yards on seven carries after returning from injury last week, but with that awkward outing out of the way, expect the veteran to be more productive in his second try. Washington comes in off a satisfying victory over the Vikes, not allowing Minnesota to score a single point over the final 30 minutes of play. The Redskins did engineer four scoring drives in the second half, all which resulted in field goals though. Note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Washington has seen the total go UNDER in two of its last three against teams with losing records. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts.

REASONING: Indianpolis won the first game between these teams back on October 30th, leaving Nashville with a 34-26 victory. This time around we’re expecting more of a defensive battle. Colts’ QB Andrew Luck had 353 yards and three scores, while counterpart Marcus Mariota had 232 yards and two TD’s. After starting the year 1-3, the Titans are now 4-2 their last six. Last week Tennessee scored 47 points in its 22 point win over the struggling Packers. It was the most points the Titans had scored since 2009 and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown from the unit this week. Like Tennessee, Indianapolis struggled early but has looked better of late, winner of two of its last three and entering this out of its bye. The Colts sit just two games behind Houston for the division lead with seven games left to go, so there’s still plenty of time to make a run at the title, but first things first. Note that the Titans have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four played on “field turf,” while the Colts have seen the total go UNDER in 12 of their last 20 in front of the home town crowd. We’re expecting these division rivals to slug it out and for this one to indeed sneak UNDER the number at the end of the afternoon.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the OVER between the Arizona Cardinals and the Minnesota Vikings.

REASONING: Arizona was the highest scoring team in the league last year and with Carson Palmer successfully returning from injury, the team was supposed to have picked up right where it left off entering the 2016/17 campaign. Minnesota lost offensive stars Adrian Peterson and Teddy Bridgewater, but still managed to get out to a 5-0 start. The Cards simply haven’t lived up to expectations, while Minnesota is now in a free fall, having lost four straight. Clearly both teams are not where they’d hoped to be at this point of the season and we think this one all adds up to a perfect “situation” to exploit. So far each has seen the Over/Under go 3-6 on the year. So while each has struggled to put points on the board, we believe that the stage is now set for a more wide open affair as these two desperate teams open up the playbook and push the pace from start to finish. It’s a big game for both, as a victory would keep their respective seasons alive in the hunt for a playoff spot, while a loss will almost assuredly spell doom. This play is not about the contestants on the field of play, but about the “situation.” Also note that Arizona has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of its last 20 on the road, including in all three this year, while Minnesota has seen the total go OVER in two of its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses. Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals.

REASONING: Here are two more teams which sit on the cusp as we enter the half way point of the season, with Buffalo at 4-5 and the Bengals at 3-5-1. A win will help these teams’ chances for a wild card spot, while a loss will likely mean looking ahead to next season. Unlike the Cards and the Vikes though, we’re expecting much more of a defensive battle today as these two desperate sides fight it for an elusive victory. Buffalo enters rested after its bye week, losing 32-25 to Seattle in Week 9, while Cincinnati comes in off a crushing 21-20 road loss to the Giants. The bottom line is, these two offenses have struggled with consistency all year for the most part, but the defensive units have been solid. Note that Buffalo concededs 22.6 PPG, ranked 13th overall, while Cincinnait allows 23.3, ranked 18th. And note that the Bills have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five as a road dog of three points or less, while the Bengals have seen the total go UNDER in seven of their last 11 home games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Giants.

REASONING: These are two of the better passing teams, with Andy Dalton under center for Cincinnati and Eli Manning taking snaps for New York. Cinncy has the fourth-ranked passing attack, while the Giants own the sixth. These are also two bad defenses, as the Bengals are ranked 19th in scoring defense, while New York is 23rd overall. The runs games have been polar opposites though, with the Bengals getting consistent production from their star duo, while the Giants rank last in the entire league at only 68.2 YPG. New York will be out to establish its run game tonight though as it looks to test a Bengals run defense which so far has allowed an average of 116.1 YPG. Cincinnati’s strength on defense is its pass rush as well, having already produced 25 sacks, so expect Manning to run a lot of shorter crossing routes (to get the ball out of his hands as fast as possible), while also leaning heavily on his run game as well to keep the Bengals honest. I think Cincinnati will be doing everything it can on offense to keep Manning and company off the field for as long as possible. Both teams are going to be putting an added emphasis on establishing the run game tonight. Note that Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten games played in the month of November and in six of its last ten non-conference contests, while New York has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six off a win against a division rival. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the San Francsico 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS trends:

As note that San Francisco has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 15 against the division and in five of its last eight against teams with losing records, while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in 15 of its last 22 at home (including in all five this year) and in nine of its last 15 against the division.

Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS trends:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER in two of its last three when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, while Pittsburgh has seen the total sail above the posted number in six of its last ten non-conference games and in ten of its last 17 against teams with winning records.

Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the San Diego Chargers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS trends:

As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 18 on the road (including in two of three this year) and in 15 of its last 25 road games where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points, while San Diego has seen the total go UNDER in its last five against the AFC East.

Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Tennessee Titans.

REASONING: Tennessee is just 4-5 on the year, but it’s been putting up a good fight almost every week. In fact, it’s been a shootout almost every single time the team has stepped on the field, with seven of its nine games having gone OVER the number, including in six straight. But at 4-4, clealry the Packers are not where they’d hoped they’d be at this point of the season, with many pundits picking the team to come out on top of the NFC. This is a big game for both sides, one which could set the tone for the remainder of the year and as such, we’re expecting more of a “chess match,” than a “shootout.” Tennessee can ill afford to let this one go either with back-to-back tough road games at Indianapolis and Chicago respectively before its bye week. And for Green Bay, it will need to set the tone this afternoon, with three straight away from friendly confines on deck, with games at Washington and Philadelphia respectively. From a situational/motivational and scheduling stand point, this one does indeed set up perfectly for a lower-scoring affair. Green Bay’s offense is struggling and you have to look no further than QB Aaron Rodgers, who hasn’t looked like himself over the last month and a half. We’ll caution in reading too much into the Titan’s recent turnaround, as vicotries have come against lightweights, Miami, Cleveland and Jacksonville. Note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 14 against teams with losing records and in three of its last four after two or more consecutive losses, while Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last ten non-conference games. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Carolina Panthers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant Over/Under ATS trends:

As note that Kansas City has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last six road games with a total between 42.5 and 45 points, while Carolina has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last 11 home games with a total between 42.5 and 45 points and in ten of its last 11 against teams with winning records. 

Play the OVER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS trends:

As note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last three as a road fav of three points or less and in four of its last five against the NFC East, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last 11 following a divisional contest.

Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Buffalo Bills and the Seattle Seahawks.

REASONING: Buffalo has turned into a pretty good defensive team this season, although it comes in off a blowout loss at home to the Patriots. The Seahawks have always had a great defense and that’s once again been the case again this season, but it’s been the Seattle offense which continues to come up short. The Bills can empathize, as their offense also stalled last weekend. All of that said, we think these two under-performing offensive units finally show up tonight and put up just enough combined production to push this one OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch. Russell Wilson will be especially motivated tonight as Seattle has posted just one offensive TD in its last nine quarters, most recently a 25-20 setback to the Saints on Sunday. Wilson has been plagued by several injuries this year, but apparently is looking a lot better this week: "He's getting better," head coach Pete Carroll said. "I'm really fired up about that and we're going to keep progressing as he is able and do what we can to get back to the kind of mix that we like." With injuries to main WR Samy Watkins, the Bills went out and signed previously retired Percy Harvin: "Percy is a guy that worked so hard," Buffalo coach Rex Ryan said. "It's either full speed (or nothing), and sometimes you try to back him down a little bit, but that's why last year he was so frustrated that he wasn't able to contribute more to our team. He just needed some time away from the game to get healed up. So hopefully we catch lightning in a bottle so to speak and Percy is back to himself." Note that Buffalo has seen the total go OVER the number in all three non-conference games this year, while Seattle has seen the total go OVER in 12 of its last 21 at home, including in two of three this season. We’re expecting each side to push the pace and for this one to fly OVER once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Tennessee Titans and the San Diego Chargers.

REASONING: Both teams have seen the total go OVER the number in six of eight games this year, but we think the conditions are now right for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in this particular matchup. Tennessee has won two of its last three with recent victories over Miami, Cleveland and Jacksonville, while San Diego looks to bounce back after a 27-19 loss to Denver last weekend. The Titans have been playing “over their heads,” as they’ve scored at least 26 points in four consecutive games for the first time in 13 years. QB Marcus Mariota has gotten progressively better and he’s been the beneficiary of a strong run game, last week DeMarco Murray has 123 yards and a major score off 21 carries. San Diego will also be leaning heavily on its star RB today, last week Melvin Gordon had 111 yards against a tough Broncos’ line. Note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games that it’s played this year off a win against a conference rival and in ten of its last 17 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while San Diego has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last ten home games when the total is set between 42.5 and 49 points. We’re banking on each side coming out with a concerted plan to establish the run game throughout, a factor which will ultimatley help in pushing this number UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Carolina Panthers and the LA Rams.

REASONING: We’re expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle between two teams which remain in the hunt for their division titles. Carolina is just 2-5 and LA is just 3-4, but both are still very in the mix for top spot in their respective divisions. The Panthers snapped a four-game slide with a 30-20 win over Arizona last week, while the Rams enjoyed their bye after a 17-10 setback in London two weeks ago. Carolina’s offense has been pretty good this year, but the difference between 2016/17 and last season is clearly on the defensive side of the ball. QB Cam Newton though has just eight TD’s and six INT’s on the year. RB Jon Stewart was a bright spot last week, he had 95 yards rushing and two TD’s over the Cardinals. Carolina would also hold Arizona to just 24 rushing yards and that unit is going to be put to the test against Rams’ star RB Todd Gurley. Rams’ QB Case Keenum has eight TD’s and ten picks so far. Gurley has struggled this year, with 403 yards and three scores, but he’ll look to get untracked today against a Carolina front that’s been consistently inconsistent all season. LA looked good defensively in the loss in London, allowing just 232 total yards. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens.

REASONING: Whether Ben Roethlisberger plays for the Steelers or not, we think these two very capable offenses will combine to send this one well above the posted number. Both teams are focused and refreshed, as each comes out of its bye week. Baltimore will be especailly hungry here, after winning its first three, it went into its bye having lost four straight. Last time out Pittsburgh dropped a 27-16 decision to the Patriots. Backup QB Landry Jones and the Steelers were competitive against New England, he’d finish going 29 of 47 for 281 yards. WR Antonio Brown had seven catches for 107 yards and note that Pittsburgh did end up winning the overall yardage battle, 375-362. The Ravens sit only one game behind the first-place Steelers in the AFC North, so to say this is a big game would be a big understatement. Note that Baltimore’s four losses this year have come by a combined 19 points. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two games following its bye week, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last 12 against teams with winning records. We’re expecting each team to push the pace from start to finish and for this total to easily fly OVER the number as it comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

REASONING: The Falcons are the league’s highest scoring team with an average of almost 33 PPG. The Bucs have been poor defensively, which obviously would lead many to make a play on the OVER in this particular matchup. But we think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring “chess match,” rather than another high-scoring “shootout.” We base most of our Over/Under picks on “situations” and trends and that’s the case with this one. Divisional contests are always the most important and in the wide open NFC South, this game clearly has big implications for both sides. Atlanta is playing with revenge after losing the season opener to Tampa Bay, a game which it had control of for the most part until a late collapse allowed the Bucs to successfully come from behind. ATL’s weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Tampa’s middle of the road offense. It’s a short week and both teams are going to be “gassed” tonight, as Atlanta comes in off an OT win over the Packers, while Tampa was unable to hold on to a late lead in a disheartening setback in Oakland last week. Also note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa has seen the total go UNDER in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog in the same points range. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NFC EAST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys.

Setting the scene: Divisional contests are always the most heated and there’s no question that tonight’s game has all the makings of a classic. The 4-2 Philadelphia Eagles are in Dallas to take on the 5-1 Cowboys and we think that everything points to a shootout between Carson Wentz and Dak Prescott.

Philadelphia: The Eagles broke a two-game slide with a 21-10 win over the Vikings last week. Wentz’ line looked great as it would hold Minnesota’s top ranked defense “sackless” on the night. Wentz looked shaky early, throwing two INT’s, but the rookie would recover to throw for 138 yards a TD. 

Dallas: The Cowboys have won five in a row after dropping their season opener 20-19 to New York. Prescott has gone 125 of 182 for 1,486 yards, seven TD’s and just one INT this season. 

The bottom line: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in ten of its last 17 on the road (including in both games this year), in seven of its last 12 against the division and in four of its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 14 against the division and in its last two following its bye-week. We believe these division rivals will post just enough production to push this total OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Indianapolis Colts.

Setting the scene: Two teams hungry for more wins collide on Sunday afternoon and we think all signs point to more of a “chess match,” than a “track meet” today. KC has won two straight, most recently over the Saints, while Indy has alternated wins and losses over the past six weeks, most recently coming off a 34-26 victory over Tennessee last Sunday.

Kansas City: The Chiefs lost 43-14 to the Steelers and then went into their bye week. KC has responded with two straight victories, spurred by tough defensive play, having allowed just 31 points in that span, including just 21 to the Saints last weekend (New Orleans was the highest scoring team at the time and was held to over ten points less than its average). 

Indianapolis: The Colts needed a patchwork offense to beat the Titans last weekend, as they entered with seven injured players. Indy has played seven games this year and the total has gone OVER the number in six of those, including in four straight. But with a tough game in Green Bay next weekend, followed with their bye the following Sunday, we think injuries and scheduling finally catch up to the home side today.

The bottom line: Note that Kansas City has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 14 after two or more consecutive SU wins and in three of its last four against the AFC South, while Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten off a win against a division rival. This one sneaks UNDER the posted number.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Arizona Cardinals and the Carolina Panthers.

Setting the scene: The Cards are 3-3-1 after seven weeks, while Carolina sits at 1-5. It’s safe to say that both teams will be hungry for a victory today and we believe this immense competition will translate into some production on the field.

Arizona: The Cards are coming off a weird 6-6 tie with the Seahawks and will be looking to get their passing attack kicked into top gear against the Panthers’ abysmal secondary. RB David Johnson was a bright spot, going for 113 yards on 33 carries. So far he has 681 rushing yards and eight TD’s

Carolina: It comes out of its bye week with something prove as it looks to break a four-game losing streak. QB Cam Newton hasn’t been horrible though, it’s been his defense. Newton has eight TD passes, six INT’s as well as three more rushing scores through six games. Note that over his final ten games last year, Newton threw for 26 TD’s and only three picks. The offense averages 26.8 PPG, but the defense has been conceding 29.3 PPG thus far.

The bottom line: Note that Arizona has seen the total go OVER the number in its last four road games against teams with losing home records, while Carolina has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 16 of its last 21 against the NFC. The Panthers will need to sweep the board if they have any shot at making the playoffs again this year, so expect Newton and company to push the pace from start to finish. The Cardinals’ offense has struggled in recent weeks, but the unit catches a big break in facing this inept Carolina defense. All signs point to this one going OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans.

Reasoning: These struggling divison foes get ready to play on the short-week and each is desperate for a victory. Neither has been very good on the defensive end, with Jacksonville allowing an average of 26.7 PPG and Tennessee conceding 23 PPG, but they’ve also both been horrible on the offensive side, with the Jags averaging 19.5 PPG (ranked 25th) and the Titans posting 20.9 PPG. Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota has played better than Jacksonville’s Blake Bortles, but he’s also been the beneficiariy of one of the better run games, as Titans’ RB DeMarco Murray had 107 yards and a TD last week and now has 633 yards with four TD’s overall, ranking him third in the league. Note that Jacksonville has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Tennessee has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last ten following a divisional contest. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the Denver Broncos. 

REASONING: Houston upset Indianapolis 26-23 in OT last week. The Texans erased a 14 point deficit with less than three minutes to play to force the extra quarter. It was a big emotional win over a division rival, setting the visitors up perfectly for a letdown this week. Houston’s offense is bad, it averages just 18 PPG, ranked 31st in the NFL. If ever Denver was going to be “up” to play an opponent, it would surely be against Houston and its QB Brock Osweiler, who left the Broncos in the offseason. Denver has lost two straight and will be in a foul mood tonight and we’re expecting its Super Bowl winning defense to be on top form. Note that the Broncos allow an average of 18 PPG, ranked seventh overall. But the reason Denver has dropped two in a row has not been because of its defensive play, but rather its been because of the struggling offense, which could only post 13 points against a poor Chargers defense last week. Trevor Siemian returned from injury and was unspectacular, finishing with 230 yards and a TD. Houston’s defense has been its strength, allowing an average of just 21.2 PPG, ranked 12th overall. Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 14 against teams with winning records, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 following a divisional contest. Neither of these QB’s can produce unless his run game is “firing on all cylinders,” so each side will be looking to establish the ground attack throughout. This one has the feel of a “chess match,” rather than a “track meet.” Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Kansas City Chiefs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily off strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics: 

Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, in three of its last four off a win against a division rival and in two of its last three against teams with winning records, while Kansas City has seen the total dip below the number in 11 of its last 17 at home, in 15 of its last 24 when playing the role of favorite and in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: It’s a tough stretch for New Orleans, which has won two straight and which has the Seahawks to contend with next Sunday. After beating the Chargers and enjoying their bye, the Saints then just beat rival Carolina 41-38 last week. Now the team transitions to the tough confines of Arrow Head Stadium. The stage is set for a classic “letdown” in our opinion. And the last thing that KC wants to do is get into a “track meet” with the Saints, so it’s safe to say that the Chiefs will be looking to slow this one down and control the tempo, keeping Drew Brees off the field of play for as long possible. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Washington Redskins and the Detroit Lions.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

Note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three “dome” games and in three of its last five when playing the role of underdog, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 19 as a favorite (inc. in two of three this year) and in seven of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The Redskins come in off four straight wins. With a date at Cincinnati next weekend, before its bye, Washington no doubt is playing through a very tough part of its schedule right now and we think the team is poised for a bit of a mental lapse this week. The Lions are off back-to-back victories and face a tough two game road trip after this contest, at Houston and Minnesota respectively, before then enjoying their bye-week. Washington has been getting the job done with its run game, so we can expect the visitors to continue that trend from start to finish today as well. Strong situational factors combined with strong O/U ATS statistics do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics: 

Note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three off a loss against a division rival, while Tennessee has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of its last 27 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points.

The bottom line: This game has massive implications for these division rivals, as Indianpolis is 2-4 right now, with Tennessee at 3-3. So as such, we’re expecting an all out war from start to finish, which we feel will result in more of a “chess match,” rather than a “track meet.” Play on the UNDER.

AAA Sports