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We like France to defeat Belgium on Monday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

France may be without Mbappe for this fixture, and with the departure of Griezmann there's been a lot of change. But, France still provides one of the best lineups in the world here this afternoon, with a stellar back line.

Belgium struggled dearly a few days ago when they played against Italy. It was bound to get ugly when Italy picked up a red card. They managed to get a result out of it, but it wasn't a strong performance from them.

France won the reverse fixture between these teams just over a month ago now and have won four straight meetings between these teams. (Belgium haven't won since 2015.)

Kevin De Bruyne will also not be available which is a huge blow to Belgium.

We believe France is stronger and will be more motivated on Monday.

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We like Algeria to defeat Togo on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: 

At home, Algeria have not lost a single AFCON qualifying match since 2007. 

The attacking play of Algerian star Riyad Mahrez will be able to pick a part a weak Togo defense. 

Perhaps missing their best player, Togo will be without Kodjo Fo Doh Laba for this match. 

Algeria have won both of their qualifying matches so far, with Togo drawing both of theirs. 

A win here would give even more distance to Algeria's Group E lead. They will be feeling extra confident after grabbing three more points. 

Overall, Algeria is the better side. They've got great play all-around the pitch and should be able to bag a few goals in today. We do not see Togo finding the back of the net, making Algeria -1.5 a great play. 

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We like the Ajax Amsterdam @ SK Slavia Prague game to go UNDER on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

Having scored 19 goals over their last six matches (3.16 per game,) Ajax should be ready to face this Czechia side.

Slavia Praha have looked very strong themselves this season having scored 13 goals over their last five games (2.6 per game.)

In their last meeting against each other, we saw a 2-2 finish with plenty of chances at both ends. That was also in the Europa League.

18 year old sensation & Ajax captain Jorrel Hato picked up another yellow last time out in the Europa League and will be suspended for this match. That should help open this game up.

Both sides have lots of fire-power up top and we should see another game with chances left and right.

The OVER is the play in this Europa League matchup.

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We like Bayern Munich to defeat Aston Villa for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

Even after winning with Aston Villa (against Young Boys) in match-day one of the UCL, we believe that Bayern Munich should pose a much stronger threat.

Bayern Munich won their opening game 9-2 in this competition and look to be playing very well under new manager Vincent Kompany.

Harry Kane, who got injured in their last match against Bayer Leverkusen, is expected to play in this match which should give the German powerhouse some more goal scoring threat ability.

Aston Villa gives up a lot of goals, considering that they have been near the top of the Premier League over the past couple of seasons now. They recently gave up two goals to Ipswich Town in a 2-2 draw.

Cash, Mings and Kamara are all still not ready to play and that leaves an Aston Villa side quite thin for the busy part of the season.

Bayern Munich will prove to be too much on Wednesday and we're rolling with them on the 3-Way Moneyline.

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We like Derby County vs Sunderland to stay Under the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

In seven matches this season, Sunderland have only allowed six goals in the back of their net.

Derby County tend to play better against the stronger teams, as they allowed just a goal against Sheffield and two against Watford.

As the favorites, Sunderland are supposed to score and win this game. But, Sunderland have scored just four goals over their last three matches.

Three of the past four meetings between these two clubs have featured two goals or less (4-1 in 2018, 1-1 in 2017, 0-0 in 2008, 1-0 in 2007.)

Sunderland are dealing with a lot of injuries right now and won't have their best squad playing in today's game.

We're expecting a low-scoring match with one of the following final scores likely to occur: 1-0, or 2-0. The play is the under.

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We like Juventus to defeat Genoa for a number of resasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

As the the only team in any of Europe's top five leagues yet to concede a league goal this season, Juventus is very difficult to score against.

Back in April of 2009, Thiago Motta scored 2 goals for Genoa in a 3-2 win over Juventus. Motta is now the manager of Juventus. He will make sure his new club takes care of its business against a team he once played for.

Sitting in 17th in the Serie A standings, Genoa is not playing well right now. Last Saturday's 2-0 setback to newly promoted Venezia shows that this team is currently really struggling. That was followed by a painful Coppa Italia loss to Sampdoria on Wednesday.

The price is fair, as the line could very well be higher. Juventus will score and has a very good chance at a 6th straight clean sheet. We will back the stronger and deeper visitors.

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We like Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund Over for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

We played against Borussia Dortmund in their last league match and they conceded 5 goals themselves. 

Borussia Dortmund was embarrassed by that effort and will be looking to run up the score against Bochum. 

Borussia Dortmund has won 5 straight at home and has averaged 3 goals each in those wins. They will likely get even more than that against Bochum.

Bochum should also contribute at least 1 goal. They are off a 2-2 draw in their last match. Prior to that, they'd scored against a strong Freiburg squad.

With the angry hosts running up the score, the over is the play.

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We like Nice to defeat Real Sociedad for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

Nice just smashed St. Etienne by an 8-0 score. Off that shellacking, they are clicking on all cylinders.

Nice will have the advantage of playing at Allianz Riviera.

Real Sociedad is winless (3 L, 2 D) in its last 5 matches. Confidence is low.

Real Sociedad is still adjusting to life without last year's leading goalscorer Alexander Sorloth and last year's chief creator Mikel Merino. They've moved on and are now with Atletico Madrid and Arsenal.

Real Sociedad is also minus right-back Hamari Traore who is out a cruciate ligament injury.

We are backing the more confident club in better form, playing on home soil. Nice is the play.

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We like Stuttgart to defeat Borussia Dortmund for a number of resasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Stuttgart had a tough start to the season but has found its footing. Though they lost their Champions League match, they won their last Bundesliga match 3-1.

2. Stuttgart is unbeaten in its last 13 Bundesliga matches at the MHPArena. They have only one loss (14-1-7) in their last 22 home games.

3. Stuttgart won all three of their games against Borussia Dortmund last season.

4. With 1 draw and 2 losses, Dortmund hasnt won any of its last three Bundesliga away games. Dortmund hasn't scored a goal in its last 2 Bundesliga road games. Stuttgart has scored in each of its last 19 Bundesliga matches.

5. Stuttgart has had one extra day in between games. It lost to Real Madrid on the 17th and Dortmund defeated Brugge on the 18th.

Playing this match at MHPArena provides Stuttgart, motivated from the loss to Real Madrid, with the edge it will need.

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We like West Ham and Chelsea to go over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Six of the last 9 h2h matches have finished with at least 3 goals.

2. Chelsea has scored 8 goals in its last 3 EPL matches.

3. West Ham has found the back of the net in all 4 league matches this season.

4. West Ham has conceded 5 goals in its 2 home matches.

5. The last meeting resulted in a 5-0 win for Chelsea.

Chelsea will score more than once. West Ham probably will do the same. At the least, the Hammers get one. The play is the over.

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We like Atletico Madrid to defeat Rb Leipzig for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Playing at home gives Atletico a massive edge. Atletico has not lost at home to a German club in the 21st century. 

2. Atletico is playing great football. Undefeated and already in the top 4 to start the season, despite playing some of the best teams in La Liga. Leipzig just had a scoreless draw with a lower level Union Berlin squad. 

3. Atletico was the only team in last season's Champions League with a 100% perfect home record, five wins in five tries.

4. Atletico legend and manager Diego Simeone is in a class of his own. A master strategist and tactician, his team will be ready.

5. Both teams are dangerous offensively but in our eyes, especially with Leipzig missing a couple of key pieces in the midfield, the defensive edge goes to Atletico. 

When all is said and done, this price could easily be higher. Atletico Madrid is the play!

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We like Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bologna to stay Under the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones:

1. Bologna is not a dangerous offensive team. They scored 2 against a weak (promoted) Como team last match but only 1 in their previous 2 matches combined.

2. Bologna is in unfamiliar territory, having not played on this stage for several decades. 

3. Bologna has some injuries to key offensive players including forward Nicolo Cambiaghi and attacking midfielder Lewis Ferguson. 

4. Shakhtar is off a high-scoring match against a poor Karpaty club but their last match against a decent team resulted in a 0-0 draw.

5. Shakhtar has won just twice in its last 11 Champions League away matches. Scoring on the road is not easy for the Ukranian champions. 

We're expecting a low-scoring match with one of the following final scores likely to occur: 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0.  The play is the under. 

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We like Aston Villa to defeat Young Boys for a number of reasons. Here are five of the most important ones:

1. Making their Champions League debut this season, Aston Villa will be extra determined to kick off this league phase with a victory against Young Boys in Bern.

2. Villa has tougher matches (Bayern Munchen, Juventus) ahead and needs to take advantage of this very winnable match.

3. Villa plays in the much stronger league and is the more talented squad.

4. Villa has been playing very well in the Premier League. They are off wins over Everton and Leicester. They came back from down 2-1 to defeat Everton and their confidence is soaring.

5. Young Boys are struggling in the Swiss Super League. They are bottom of the table, the only club without a victory.

Aston Villa wins!

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We expect Leeds to beat Burnley in this early Championship match. Neither of these clubs want to be here. Both believe that they belong back in the Premier League. Burnley was recently relegated. Leeds played here in the Championship last season and narrowly missed getting promoted back to the top flight. The Whites are absolutely on a mission to escape the Championship at the second try. They started this campaign slowly but have found their form with consecutive 2-0 victories over Hull City and Sheffield United. Already not as strong a squad as the one which previously dominated down here, Burnley have some serious injury concerns at the all-important centre-back position. Hjalmar Ekdal, Jordan Beyer and Maxime Esteve all expected to miss. That will cost them with streaking Leeds securing the maximum points. Leeds is the play!

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Denmark is looking to make it two in a row here after posting a 2-0 win over Switzerland in its last UEFA Nations League contest. Patrick Dorgu came off the bench to score the first goal. Serbia is off a goalless draw vs. Spain, and they are fortunate to have come away with a single point after a disappointing home performance. They're still the favorites to get relegated from this group. Now on the road, we're expecting Serbia to struggle again on the offensive end. And if recent history is any precedence, then the home side has to be loving its chances today as it has gone 3-0-1 in the last four in this series. Additionally, note that the visitor has been held scoreless the last three in this series as well. Denmark is undefeated on home soil since 2022 and we don't see that streak ending here. In fact, Denmark has won 11 of its last 12 home matches, drawing the other against Switzerland in March. The Danes are full of confidence and will come away with another win.

The New York Red Bulls will host Sporting KC for the first time in more than 3 years this evening. In fact, Sporting will play on the east coast for the first time in a year. This will not be an easy trip. The Red Bulls have gone the playoffs 24 times, more than any club in MLS history. They are eager to bounce back from their first home loss of the year last weekend in a 2-0 defeat to Philadelphia. Prior to that defat the Red Bulls were on a nine-game unbeaten run in league play. New York will miss some players but KC's absences are arguably more significant. Leading scorer William Agada is suspended, and winger Stephen Afrifa has earned his first callup to the Canadian Men's National Team. Also, Designated Player Nemanja Radoja is injured. The Red Bulls have more home wins than any other MLS team since 2010 and they will earn another one tonight.

10* Arsenal (GOW)

Both teams come in off Week 1 victories, but in the end we expect Arsenal's depth to be the difference-maker in this one. Aston Villa got by West Ham 2-1, while Arsenal edged by Wolverhampton by a score of 2-0. We think Villa will also have difficulty finding the back of the net in this one. The Lions have only started the season by winning B2B games three times in their history in the EPL, and we don't see that happening today, despite having the home field. Dating to last year Arsenal has now won seven EPL matches. It shook the summer cobwebs off with the clean sheet last weekend and everything points to a more convincing victory on Saturday in our opinion; lay the price, the play is Arsenal!

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10* Man City (ASSASSIN)

A fair price here on a team looking for an unprecedented fifth straight EPL title on Sunday afternoon. These teams met just a little over two weeks ago in the USA and Man City went on to secure the comfortable 4-2 win, and that was without several starters. Man City has to be feeling comfortable in this spot, as they've won six straight in this series. Pep Guardiola makes his official first EPL start for Chelsea, which enters the season dealing with several major defensive issues. Man City is unbeaten in its last four visits to Stamford Bridge and we're predicting an outright in regulation this time around; lay the price, the play is indeed on Man City!

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8* play on Arsenal -2 goals.

We're expecting Arsenal to lay the hammer down here and win by a score of 4-1 or even 5-1. If you do play a total, consider the over. Wolverhampton might not even get a goal here, and Arsenal could still push this total over the number by itself. Either way, we not only expect Arsenal to win this game, but we expect it to do so in blowout fashion. Gary O'Neil's men are looking to knock off Manchester City this season, as aspirations are tremendous for the home side. And a blowout victory at home to kick things off will go a long way in sending an early message. Arsenal has won two straight this month. The Wolves have lost their last two EPL openers, and everything points to another blowout loss here in this difficult road venue as well; the play is Arsenal!

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8* play on Newcastle -1.5 goals.

The Magpies have had to go through plenty of adversity over the last few months, but they had a great preseason, winning five of a possible six. Last year Newcastle found the back of the net in all 19 home games, and we're predicting that they'll do that early and often here in this favorable opening-day matchup. Southampton is back in the big time, but note that the Saints have prevailed in just two of their previous 24 gameweek one bouts in the top flight. Newcastle has to be feeling confident, as it has won five straight in this series, most recently a 3-1 setback at St. James Park in April 2023; lay the 1.5 goals and expect a blowout with Newcastle!

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8* play on Liverpool -1.5 goals.

The Tractor Boys are out of the exile from the to flight of English Football, but they run into a motivated Reds side that plays its first game under the guidance of Arne Slot. Liverpool stumbled in its preseason opener, but then won four straight on the spin vs. Real Beti, Arsenal, Man U and Sevilla. Ipswich Town had a strong preseason as well, going 3-1 overall. But Liverpool is on a mission to open the season and opens healthy. We expect the visitors to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is Liverpool!

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10* OVER Fulham/Man U (EPL TOW)

This is going to be a "gimme" for Man U. United is coming off a difficult season and off-season. The pressure is already tremendous for the home side to start performing right out of the gate, but in three pre-season matches they suffered three-defeats in five outings (including a 3-0 loss to Liverpool in the USA.) Most recently the Red Devils lost to their city rival in the FA Community Shield. Fulham won here last year, one of six home defeats out of 19 games for United. They'd lost to Fulham just three times over the previous 33 matches. Now Fulham is motivated to make it two away victories against United for the first time in its history. The Cottagers ultimately finished in 13th place last year, but they did win two of their last three away games last season (it's also noteworthy that the L4 meetings in this series in league play have been won by the away side.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, the "over" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* OVER LAFC/Seattle FC.

Seattle is now 10-7 after five straight wins. The Sounders are now unbeaten in seven. They've played incredible well defensively of late, coming off three straight shutout victories, winning 2-0 over New England, 1-0 over Austin and 2-0 over St. Louis last time out. But the last time these teams played, Seattle lost 2-1 back in February in the very first game of the season and suffice it to say, we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as note that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. LAFC is 13-5, but its winless in its last two, most recently earning a 1-1 draw with Real Salt Lake. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we're expecting, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER KC/Vancouver (TOW)

Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring "under" here finally on Wednesday nght in the PNW. KC comes to town off back-to-back victories, beating Dallas 3-2 at home, before then holding on for the 3-1 victory at San Jose last week. It plays with revenge here after a 2-1 home loss to the Caps back in May, and note that Sporting KC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vancouver has gone 3-0-1 in its last four and is off the 4-1 win at St. Louis, but we're expecting the home side to control the pace of this one at home on Wednesday night. We say this MLS battle in Vancouver on Wednesday night will be a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake and because of that, we're indeed making a play on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Charlotte/Cincinnati (MLS TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating much more of a defensive affair this weekend finally in Cincinnati. We expect the home side to go up early, and then to control the pace of this one. FC Cincinnati is now 15-4 after three straight wins, most recently crushing Miami last week 6-1. Note though that Cincinnati has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. That last time these teams played, 9-8 Charlotte held on for the 1-1 draw at home back in late March. We suspect a similar final combined score or even tighte here. We're not comfortable playing a side here, but we FOR SURE feel this O/U line is now inflated; so the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER France/Spain FIRST HALF 0.75 -107 (or OVER 1.75 FOR FULL GAME).

To say this French side has struggled to find the back of the net in this Tournament would be an understatement. France has reached the Euro Semis with zero open play goals. Obviously, if the French expect to advance to the final, it'll have to find its scoring touch. The last time these teams met back in 2021 France prevailed 2-1 and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Spain has looked like the best team so far in this Tournament, using a combination of great offense (4-1 win over Georgia), as well as defensive play. With the majority of the bets once again anticipating a really low-scoring battle, we're actually seeing this one playing out quite the opposite. This is a great time to go contrarian and take advantage of an O/U line that is lower than it should be in our opinion. Look for these two soccer powerhouses to eclipse this posted total at half time, and also for the full game!

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8* DRAW Switzerland/England (TOP PLAY)

We had a draw play on Germany/Spain yesterday and we see this matchup playing out almost identically. The Lions needed a goal in injury time, before then winning in extra to advance, while Switzerland pulled off a minor upset in its 2-0 win over Italy. In 27 meetings against each other, England has won outright 19 times. That said, these teams haven't met in the Euro since 2004. Switzerland is already playing with "house money" here, as this is the farthest its ever made it in the Euro in its history. England's form has been shaky and we see this team actually looking to play to a draw and a shootout here. We see these teams sitting back and waiting for the other to make the first mistake and in this "war of attrition," we absolutely feel that the "draw" option is once again the savvy call!

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10* Germany/Spain DRAW (TOP PLAY)

This is the biggest match so far in this tournament, although Portugal and France will also be an interesting game obviously. Spain has the best team overall so far, but the Germans will be wary of any attack. We see this one being a classic "war of attrition" between these two Soccer powerhouses. Home advantage is big for the Germans and really makes the playing field level here. This one is going to go to penalties we predict, and that makes the "draw" the correct call as far as the best value wager!

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10* ASSASSIN Portugal (goal line -1.5 +100)

Portugal was rolling over the first two games of the Euro Tourney and easily punched its ticked to the KO stage. Then it had a major meltdown in its third game, inexplicably falling 2-0 to Georgia. Slovenia snuck in for the most part, actually earning a spot in the KO round by drawing with England 0-0 in its final game. These teams met in a friendly about 8 months ago, and Slovenia won 2-0. Slovenia's unbeaten streak over 9 games comes to an end here in a lop-sided blowout, as we expect the favored side to keep the pedal to the metal after the shutout loss to Georgia, and the earlier friendly loss to Slovenia; lay the 1.5 goals, the play is Portugal!

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10* Spain FIRST HALF -0.75 -121 or FULL GAME -1.75 -122 (KO STAGE GOY)

Spain, France and Germany are the odds on favorites to win the Euro (and Portugal!), and with Germany's commanding victory yesterday, we're expecting a similar final result and effort here from favored Spain. We like the Spaniards to jump out to an early lead and our strongest play here is to grab Spain on the FIRST HALF spread option. That said, we also equally love Spain to win big for the game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also officially like Spain for the entire game on the spread option. Simply put, Georgia is just "lucky" to be here, somehow managing to get the better of Portugal in the third game of the Opening Round. Portugal had already punched its ticket to the KO stage, so had nothing to play for. Spain strolled through the opening round with a perfect record and didn't even break a sweat. Spain is better in every metric and honestly could/should in fact be a much larger favorite (both for the half AND for the game!) Lay the spread, the play is Spain!

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8* Slovakia/England OVER (ASSASSIN)

Two teams that did not have the best Group Stage now enter the KO Round and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. England somehow managed to win Group C with a very lacklustre effort, beating Serbia 1-0, and drawing with both Denmark and Slovenia. Slovakia somehow got past Belgium, before then drawing with Romania to advance. The Three Lions can't be happy clearly. Clearly their fans aren't after they managed just two goals over those first two games. With the favored side pushing the pace like we suspect from the very start, and Slovakia forced to keep tempo, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner rather than later!

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10* UNDER Chicago/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Chicago is just 4-9 and Seattle is just 6-7. These two bottom-feeders go head-to-head in the PNW on Saturday night and we definitely feel that goals will be at a premium. These teams haven't played since 2022 when the Fire beat the Sounders 1-0 in Chicago, and suffice it to say we're expecting a similar final out come here as well. Chicago had its two game win streak snapped in a 4-2 setback at Orlando City last time out, but previous to that it had conceded just two goals over two straight victories. The Sounders are 2-0-1 in their last three and off a 3-2 win here over Dallas, but everything points to a classic "war of attrition" in our estimation. When considering all of the situational factorts that each sides enters with into this one, we absolutely believe that the "under" is the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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10* Nashville (MLS GOW)

With Messi and several other players throughout the MLS participating in the Copa America and Euro Tournaments, these teams aren't up to full strength. That gives Nashville the upper-hand this weekend in our opinion for sure. Miami is off back-to-back victories over Philly and Columbus, but Nashville is out to avenge a 3-1 setback in the reverse-fixture which happened back in April. Nashville SC is now 6-5 after back-to-back wins of its own. Look for the home side to avenge the earlier loss and to take advantage of this situation; the play is Nashville!

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10* UNDER Denmark/Germany (KO STAGE TOY)

Germany is a heavy favorite here, while Denmark squeaked in an unforgettable Group C. Germany earned 7 points after two wins and a draw, while its Scandanavian partner finished with zero wins, zero losses and three draws. These teams arrive at Borussia Dortmund's headquarters and while neither team has lost yet to this point, clearly Denmark is going to have its hands full. And simply put, we look for the Germans to completely shutdown their overmatched opponent. Germany will be efficient and cruise to victory here and in our opinion, everything definitely points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned!

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8* OVER Italy/Switzerland FIRST HALF (or OVER for FULL game if don't have access to a FIRST HALF line.)

The winner will move on to meet either England or Slovakia in the quarter-finals. Regardless, we're anticiapting a much higher-scoring game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Switzerland finished with one win, two draws and no losses, while Italy had one win, one draw and one loss. This is a big game for both sides obviously, but maybe arguably more for Switzerland, which has failed to win any of its seven previous last 16-matche at either the Euros or the World Cup, making it to the quarterfinals only once. Italy squeaked in with its draw with Croatia and it'll clearly need to pick up the pace offensively and not sit on its laurels if it wants to avoid a shootout and a possible upset. For us, we see A LOT more scoring between these two sides than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe!

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8* Turkey/Czech Republic DRAW (TOP PLAY)

The time to take advantage of "DRAWS" here in the Euro is coming to an end, but here's a great opportunity to take advantage of another one. Turkey has to play to a "draw" here and it'll move onto the next round and because of that, we're absolutely expecting a classic "war of attrition." Czech Republic must win outright AND have Georgia pull off an upset to get in. The Czech Republic has not lived up to expectations and just doesn't have the firepower to get the job done here. As stated off the top, this is a great opportunity to take advantage of the DRAW option!

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10* OVER Romania/Slovakia.

Both teams need a win here. If either team can earn the full three points, it'll move onto the next round. Slovakia beat Belgium 1-0, but then inexplicably fell 2-1 to Ukraine. Romania on the other hand hammered Ukraine 3-0, but then lost 2-0 to Belgium last week. Slovakia actually had 14 shots on net in its loss to Ukraine and we expect the team to build off that performance. Romania also had 14 shots on net, but unfortunately wasn't able to find the back of the net. A big game with a lot on the line and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rarther than later!

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10* OVER Serbia/Denmark (TOP TOTAL)

Both teams are in dire need of a win here, and because of that, we're expecting the pace of this contest to help in producing a higher-scoring final outcome. Serbia is at the bottom of Group C after playing to a lacklustre 1-1 draw vs. Slovenia last time out. It'll have to push the pace here for sure to try and secure a full three-points. That of course will leave it susceptible on the backend for these opportunistic Danes, who are off a 1-1 draw with England. Denmark also needs a victory here. Neither team has yet lived up to expectations, and in this crucial contest, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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8* Italy/Croatia DRAW.

The bottom line here is this is a perfect opportunity to pull the trigger on the "DRAW" option. Italy is clearly the better team and its favored here, but it only needs a single point to advance to the KO stage. Croatia needs an outright win, but we think it'll have difficulty breaking down the Italian backend. In what we anticipate will be a classic "war of attrition," we're taking the DRAW option here between Italy/Croatia!

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8* Germany (BLOOD-BATH)

We predict the Germans to advance to the KO round off a perfect sweep in the group stage. Most recently they got the better of Hungary by a score of 2-0. Switzerland looked unremarkable in its 1-1 draw with Scotland last time out. Note though that the Germans could become the third host nation to win all their group games in a single edition of the UEFA European Championship, and we say they absolutely accomplish that feat today as they look to send a message; lay the price, the play is indeed on Germany!

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10* Real Salt Lake (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on LA as our MLS GAME OF THE WEEK on Wednesday and it came out on top in its 2-0 win over NYCFC, but now here on the road we're expecting it to stumble in this difficult venue. Real drew with LA 2-2 in the reverse-fixture back in May, but now here at home we're looking for it to earn the full three points in regulation. Real is off the 4-3 win at Sporting KC and while its unbeaten streak will come to an end at some point, we don't anticipate that happening now; great overall value for Real Salt Lake to get the job done at home on the short schedule, so lay the price with confidence!

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8* UNDER Portugal/Turkey (BLOOD-BATH)

After each team played to a high-scoring victory in its opener, we're expecting a much more intense, lower-scoring defensive battle here in the second between two teams looking for a spot in the KO round. Turkey got by Georgia by a score of 3-1, while Portugal held on for a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic. Portugal has won seven of the last nine in this series, but everything points to this being a "war of attrition," where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Invariably these types of contests lead to a pace conducive to a very low-scoring affair and that's exactly what we're expecting here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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8* Netherlands (+0.5)

Both teams have big expectations for this tournament and each will believe it has a legit shot at winning this one outright. It'll be tight, and because of that we're going to ultimately suggest laying what we deem to be a very reasonable price for Netherlands on the spread option. France narrowly got by Austria by a score of 1-0, but looked far from impressive in doing so. The Oranje on the other hand are off a great 2-1 win over Poland and we feel they do truly have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. These teams have played three times in the UEFA Euro Tourney, and France won the only KO stage, while Netherlands won both Group Stage matches. Will that happen again here? Maybe! Either way, the official call here is indeed to grab Netherlands on the spread option!

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10* OVER Slovenia/Serbia (O/U ASSASSIN)

Both teams played to tight, lower-scoring opening affairs, but we're expecting much more of a wide-open contest here on Thursday early between Slovenia and Serbia, and therefore we're recommending a play on the "over." Serbia enters off a 1-0 loss to England, while Slovenia held on for a 1-1 draw with favored Denmark. These teams played against each other back in 2022 and it ended in a 2-2 draw and suffice it to say, we're definitely expecting a similar overall pace to this one on Thursday as well. Neither team can be happy with their opening result and with each side pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* LA Galaxy (MLS GOW)

We expect this late night West Coast game to favor the home side. NYCFC is 9-6, but after having its five-game win streak snapped last time out in a 3-2 home loss to Columbus, we think the visitors are ripe for another letdown here on the road vs. LA, which is 8-3 overall and off a solid 4-2 win here over Sporting KC. LA hits the road for two straight after this, putting added emphasis onto this contest for the home side as well. As primarily situational cappers, these are indeed the exact types of games that we keep our eyes open for, as combined with this very reasonable line, everything does indeed point to a solid win for LA!

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10* UNDER Switzerland/Scotland (GROUP STAGE TOY)

Suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be at a premium here in the second game of the Group Stage between Switzerland and Scotland. Switzerland opened with a 3-1 win over Hungary, while Scotland fell 5-1 to Germany. Our advice here? Don't overreact to the plethora of goals that we saw between the clubs. The public has, but our contrarian nature definitely has us going the other way. And for good reason, as we feel fatigue becomes an issue here. This is a crucial game for each side, but we're anticipating a much slower pace, one more resembling a "war of attrition." This number is high, the play is the "under"! 

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10* Turkey (GROUP STAGE GOY)

Vincenzo Montella’s side is going to lay the hammer down here in this favorable opening game in the Group Stage in our opinion, and it's the perfect time/moment to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude. Willy Sagnol’s side is just happy to be here, needing a playoff to get to this point. Many tipped Turkey to be a darkhorse in the last Euro, but it finished the bottom of Group A, behind Italy, Wales and Switzerland. With that nightmare still fresh on the front of their collective minds, look for the favored side to come out super focussed on the task at hand. Georgia edged by Greece on penalties in the final of its playoff. These teams haven't played since 2012, and Turkey won 3-1. I predict a similar final score here as well, as it knows what's on the line here in 2024; lay the price, the play is Turkey to get the job done in regulation!

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10* England on the spread option (-1) ASSASSIN.

England is the better team on paper, and despite Serbia having an impressive qualifying, we still like the favorite to not only win this opening game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Lions won't be taking anything for granted here after a 1-0 "brain fart" loss to Iceland last time out. Serbia was in fact second in their qualifying group, but vs. Harry Kane and company, we're expecting a rout. Lay the goal, but expect a blowout; the play is England on the spread option!

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8* UNDER Albania/Italy (TOTAL BLOWOUT)

This is a great situational play in our opinion. Italy absolutely needs to win this game, being in such a tough group with Spain and Croatia up next, but after going up early, we're expecting the favorites to protect their lead. The Italians will have to save some gas and not show their entire hand to their opponents here vs. this weaker opponent and that's exactly what we're expecting. Luciana Spalletti was brought in to take this team to the next level, but to do that they're going to have to play this tournament wisely. In our opinion, this one screams "under" as far as the total is concerned!

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10* Germany (FIRST HALF. If you can't get German in the FIRST HALF, then we also like GERMANY on the spread option, -1.5.)

Steve Clarke's side is completely overmatched by the hosts and we're expecting the Germans to get out to a quick start here, ready to send an early message not only to overmatched Scotland, but also the rest of the field. It's the first time that Germany has hosted the Euro since 2004 when they reached the semi-finals. Germany has struggled in recent years, but the host side is given a "cream puff" here in the opener. Scotland finished 2nd in its qualifying group, but it was just 1-2 down the stretch. Scotland is dealing with injuries and the weight of expectations are now fully on Germany and its stars, including Florian Wirtz. Germany has won the last three in regulation in thi series, including winning home and away in qualifying for Euro 2016. The play is GERMANY FIRST HALF.

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10* Minnesota (MLS WEST-CONF GOM)

We feel that Minnesota could/should in fact be a much larger fav in this spot. We bet dogs, we bet totals, and we are also never afraid to lay chalk, especially when we feel that our "play on" side should/could be a much bigger favorite, and that's the case for this pick for sure. FC Dallas is off back-to-back road losses and sits just 3-8 overall. With a much more "winnable" game finally at home next weekend vs. St. Louis, everything points to the visitors getting caught "looking ahead." Minnesota United FC is 8-3, and one weekend after falling 3-0 at LAFC, it bounced back with a convincing 3-1 home win over Sportking KC last weekend. With two tough road games at Seattle and Dallas respectively after this, we say the home side makes the most of this moment; lay the price, the play is indeed on Minnesota!

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10* OVER Montreal/Philly (EAST-CONF TOY)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we anticipate those trends to end here this weekend in Philadelphia between hungry Eastern Conference opponents, who we expect will really push the offensive pace from start to finish. Philly is 4-4 after back-to-back scoreless draws. Previos to that it was a 3-0 win at New England. But clearly Philly can't be happy with its offense of late. Montreal fans can empathize. The team is 4-7, and one weekend of after drawing 0-0 with Nashville though, the visiting side then erupted for the 4-2 home win over Nashville last week. We're expecting a similar pace now here in Philly, where we do indeed expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* New York Red Bulls (EAST-CONF GOM)

We expect New York to win this game handily in regulation, making this a price in which we have no issues laying whatsoever. We bet dogs, we bet totals, and we're also not afraid whatsoever to pull the trigger on chalk, ESPECIALLY when we think/feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case here. Orlando City SC is 4-6 and despite a 1-1 draw at 2-8 Chicago last weekend, we think it's in over its head here. New York drew 1-1 at OCSC back in March, but now the Red Bulls enter at 7-3 and having won three of their last four in regulation, including last time out with a convincing 3-1 effort over Charlotte here. With a much tougher game at New England next weekend, we say that Red Bulls make the most of this matchup on Saturday night; lay the price, the play is New York!

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10* UNDER Portland/Austin (MLS WEST-CONF TOY)

These teams have been involved in some higher-scoring affairs, but we're expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here. Portland was our MLS Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR just this past weekend, and the Timbers did pull out the 2-1 home win over Sporting KC. Now on the road, we feel Portland will struggle to put up the same amount of offense here. The Timbers fell 2-1 at Minnesota previously. Austin FC is off the 1-1 draw at San Jose, and beat Sporting KC at home 3-2 previous to that. We anticipate a much tighter, and lower-scoring "war of attrition" here this time though, similar to their game vs. the Earthquakes last week. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

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10* Portland (MLS WEST-CONF GOY)

Sporting KC is just 2-6. It had its chance to beat the Timbers at home, but came up short in the 3-3 draw. KC has gone winless since that draw and actually comes in on terrible form, having lost four straight outright. That includes a 3-2 loss at Austin FC last time out. The Timbers are only 3-7, but we'll argue that they're playing their best soccer of the season right now. After beating San Jose here by a score of 4-2 in mid May, they then were very competitive in a slim 2-1 loss at 7-2 Minnesota last time out. Look for Portland to take advantage of home field and to find a way to deliver in this spot; lay the price for Portland to get the job done in regulation!

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10* Dynamo/Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating a higher-scoring one here finally on Saturday night. Houston is 5-5 and LA is 5-2. The Galaxy have played to four straight draws. Last time out it was a 0-0 draw at Charlotte. Previous to that though it was a 2-2 draw at Minnesota. We're anticipating a more wide-open and high-scoring affair here similar to what the team polayed to at Minnesota, and a 2-2 draw vs. Real at home previous to that even. Houston is 0-1-1 in its last two, scoring just one goal in that span. But now here on the road with the host pushing the pace, everything points to this total finally flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

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10* OVER Everton/Arsenal (EPL TOW)

The end of the regular season is here. Everton is 13-15 and in 11th, while Arsenal is 27-5 and in first. The reverse-fixutre saw Arsenal hold on for the 1-0 win back on September 17th, but note that Everon has in fact seen the total soar above the posted number 7 of its last 10 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was shutout. Everton has seen the total go under in five straight, but note that it has also seen the total go over four of its last five after playing to five or more straight unders in a row. With each side pushing the pace in this final contest of the year like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW)

Aston Villa is playing at home vs. Liverpool on Wednesday, but we're releasing this pick on Monday. Despite the result from that contest, we love how this one sets up for Crystal Palace. Aston Villa is 20-9, while Crystal Palace is still fighting for positioning in its final game of the year. Crystal Palace plays with revenge after the 3-1 loss in the reverse-fixture back on September 16th. Crystal Palace is 12-15 and 13th overall, but it's firing on all cylinders, having not lost in EPL action in six games, going 5-0-1 in that time. With extra tme off to prepare for this final home game, as mentioned above, we LOVE how this one sets up for Crystal Palace!

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10* OVER Vancouver/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Both teams are in dire need of a win. Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency of late. But all of those factors collide to push and motivate these teams to play to a much more wide-open, and ultimatley higher-scoring affair finally on Saturday night. The Whitecaps will be desperate here to snap a four-game winless streak, which includes scoring just one goal over that span. But it's Seattle which plays with revenge after a 2-0 loss at Vancouver in mid-April. That's significant to note though because the Sounders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss in which they were shutout. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Real Salt Lake (MLS GOW)

Colorado won here 2-1 back on March 9th as a +350 underdog. Note that Real is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Colorado is now 6-4 after a 1-0 win at home over Vancouver last time out. Colorado has been trading wins/losses over its last five games, and off the win, I believe this pattern continues vs. the revenge-minded home side that's not lost in five games and which has scored 11 goals in that span, while allowing three. Great value here on Real Salt Lake!

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10* Real Salt Lake/LA Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of an offensive affair here for a couple of different reasons. Real Salt Lake is 6-2 and off a 1-0 win at home over KC. Previous to that it was a 2-1 win at Philadelphia. Look for the visitors once again push the pace here and to find the back of the net at least twice on the road this time around as well. LA is 5-2 after a 0-0 draw with Seattle and previous to that it was a 2-0 loss to Austin. After being shut out in back-to-back contests, everything points to the Galaxy opening things up big time on the offensive end this weekend. With each side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Union (MLS GOW)

No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as the home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done in our opinion. Orlando is just 2-5 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 1-0 home loss to Cincinnati. Philadelphia is 3-2-1 after a 2-2 draw in the nation's capital last weekend. These team's tied 2-2 in Orlando last Summer, but we expect Philadelphia to take care of business in regulation this time around on home soil; lay the price, the play is on the Union!

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10* West Ham (EPL GOW)

We base our picks on many different things, but this one is based upon the "situation." This is a great situational play, and we'd consider ourselves primarily situational cappers. Luton is about to be relegated, sitting in 18th spot in the table. West Ham is 13-13 though and ninth overall with this, and one last tough road game at Manchester City to close out the regular season. After the tough 5-0 loss at Chelsea last weekend, look for the Hammers to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price, the play is West Ham!

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10* Burnley/Tottenham UNDER (EPL TOW)

As primarily situational cappers, these are exactly the types of games that we're constantly keeping our eyes on the look out for. Tottenham is 18-11, but after four straight losses, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to secure a victory here, and that means risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes as it looks to smother Burnely from the "get go." Burnley has nothing to play for except possibly trying to play spoiler at 5-22. Burnely has only managed a single goal in each of its last two games, and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even getting one in this one; when you add it all up, this O/U line is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* Austin/Vancouver OVER (MLS WEST-CONF TOM)

This is Austin's first trip to BC since July 2023 and suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be plentiful. Austin so far has 15 points after a 2-0 win over the LA Galaxy last time out. Note though that Austin has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 off a shutout victory. Vancouver comes in off a 1-1 draw at Red Bull Arena in its most recent action. And if recent history is any precedence, then all signs definitely point to a higher-scoring shootout, as over the last six games against each other they've produced 20 goals (an average of 3.33 GPG.) Look for this pattern to continue as this total flies "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Miami (MLS EAST-CONF GOY)

We feel that Miami and Messi at home here could/should in fact be much larger favorites. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs but Miami won't forget the last time they battled and in which they fell 4-0 last season. And with back-to-back road games after this, Miami will be looking to make the most of this opportunity. New York hasn't lost in six games, but it it also hasn't won in three straight. The Red Bulls come to down off three straight draws, including a lacklustre 1-1 effort at home vs. Vancouver last time out. With New England coming to town the following weekend, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." A great overall situational play here on Miami!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOM)

We like the Magpies to get the job done on the road here as favorites vs. the overmatched Clarets. Burnley is second to the bottom in the EPL table. Off a 1-1 draw with Man U, a letdown appears imminent now for the home side in our opinion. Newcastle finished Top 4 last year, but is seventh right now. After a 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, the Magpies bounced back with the convincing 5-1 win over Sheffield United. Burnley has been consistently inconsistent and we expect that to once again be the case this weekend vs. Newcastle!

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10* UNDER Tottenham/Chelsea (EPL TOM)

These two rivals renew that rivalry at Stamford Bridge on Thursday and while each has played to several higher-scoring games of late, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here finally on Thursday. The Hotspurs are off B2B losses, first calling 4-0 at Newcastle, before then dropping a 3-2 decision at home to Arsenal last week. They lost to Chelsea 4-1 at home in the reverse-fixture back in November, but note that Tottenham has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Chelsea is 13-11. It fell 5-0 to Arsenal, before then drawing 2-2 at Aston Villa last week. Fatigue becomes an issue here in our opinion in this mid-week contest, turning this match into much more of a "war of attrition," than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW)

Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this matchup. FC Cincinnati is 4-2 and in our estimation, it could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. It just snapped a three-game winless streak with a convincing 2-1 win at Atlanta and we say that momentum gets carried over here at home. Colorado is also 4-2, but after two straight victories, a predictable letdown seems imminent here to us in this difficult road venue. And with a game at NYCFC up next, it's also a "look ahead" for the visitors; lay the price with confidence, the play is FC Cincinnati!

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10* Manchester United -1.5 (GOW)

We're expecting the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish, making the spread option the correct call as far as the side is concerned in our opinion. Sheffield United is at the bottom of the table and is coming off a disheartening 4-1 defeat by Burnely last weekend. Manchester United on the other hand is in seventh spot in the table and still needing victories here to close the game. If recent history is any precedence though, then Man U has to be liking its chances here, as it's won eight of the last ten in this series. We say that streak continues here with another convincing blowout victory; lay the goals for Man U to win in a blowout in regulation!

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10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW)

Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa is once again a force to be reckoned with and it's now aiming to finish in the top four of the table. Most recently the Villains got the better of Arsenal on the road by a score of 2-0. Andoni Iraola's men started slowly this year, but there's now a chance the Cherries could finish in the top half of the table. Bournemouth is off a satisfying 2-2 draw with Man U at home though and is now primed for a predictable letdown here on the road. We're predicting a dominant all-around win for the home side, so lay the price with confidence!

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10* Seattle (MLS GOM)

It's another Cascadia Cup clash here this weekend at Lumens Field in Seattle, and we believe that the home field advantage will indeed prove to be a big difference-maker for the Sounders. Seattle is off a 0-0 draw with Dallas last time out, while the Whitecaps took a major step back with a 3-1 home loss to the Los Angeles Galaxy. The Sounders have taken big steps over the last few weeks and have cleaned up their defensive issues that we saw earlier on, and despite the Caps having lots of scoring potential, they're just not the same team on the road, as they are at home. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done in regulation and lay the price with the Sounders!

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10* Wolverhampton (SPREAD) EPL GOW.

We're coming down the home stretch here of the season and this is one that favors the visitors in our opinion. That said, at this price, the savvy wager is to grab Wolverhampton on the spread option (0.5 if you can get it, but also +0.25 as well is acceptable.) Wolverhampton is 12-13 and on a three-game winless streak, most recently falling 2-1 to West Ham. These teams played to a 1-1 draw in the reverse-fixture back in December and we could very well see a repeat here. Nottingham Forest is just 7-17. After upsetting Fulham 3-1, it immediately fell 3-1 at Tottenham last week. Home field has been anything but an advantage for Nottingham Forest this year, so play the Wolves on the spread option this weekend!

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10* Arsenal (EPL GOW)

Arsenal is seeking the title and we're not expecting any hiccups here from Amex Stadium. Brighton is off a goalless draw with lowly Brentford, while the Gunners looked sluggish last time out vs. Luton, but still emerged with a 2-0 victory. The Seagulls registered their most shots without scoring in team history on Wednesday, and after that letdown, we're expecting another here. The Gunners are in a fight with Liverpool and won't be taking the foot off the gas; lay the price and expect a decisive win on the road in regulation for Arsenal!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOM)

Everton has lost three straight and is winless in the EPL in 12 straight. Nothing will change here against a resurgent Newcastle side who has the advantage of playing at home. Newcastle overcame some injuries to come from behind to knock off West Ham United here at home and there's no reason not to think it won't/can't keep that momentum rolling here. Saturday's victory closed the gap with the Hammers to just a single game, making this contest the most important so far for the home side. Look for Newcastle to come out more aggressively on Tuesday and to keep the foot on the gas until the end of injury time, while taking all three points in regulation in the process!

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10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW)

Wolverhampton is in ninth currently. It returns from the break after a 2-1 win over Fulham. Aston Villa though is in fourth and well worth the price of admission here in our estimation. Wolverhampton still has some injury issues, which will be music to the ears of Unai Emery, Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins; lay the price with confidence for Aston Villa to deliver all three points in regulation!

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10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW)

NYCFC is in 12th and ripe for the picking in our estimation. It managed a 2-1 win over Toronto FC last weekend, but we definitely feel that it's in over it's head here in this difficult away venue. FC Cincinnati is in third place and off a 2-1 win over a tough New England Revolution side. NYCFC has won only one away competition across all competitions over its last 22 tries and we absolutely don't expect that string of futility to end this weekend. Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in our opinion; the play is indeed on FC Cincinnati!

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10* Sporting Kansas City (MLS GOW)

Neither team have been great, but here's a great opportunity for Sporting KC. It's 0-0-3 so far, so it won't be lacking for motivation here as it goes for its first outright win, which we predict it will earn. San Jose has lost all three of its games so far. Despite only scoring two goals, Sporting KC has looked better defensively of these two clubs as well. This is essentially a "must win" game (despite it being just the fourth of the season!) for the home side and we're expecting it to play like it; lay the price for KC to get the job done in regulation!

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10* Tottenham (EPL GOW)

Fulham is off a 2-1 loss to Wolverhampton and we think it'll stumble here on Saturday afternoon at home in the London derby. Tottenham is on top form, off a 3-1 win over Crystal Palace, followed by a 4-0 win over Aston Villa. This is just a bad matchup for Fulham, which fell 2-0 at Tottenham in the reverse-fixture in the summer. Lay the price for the Spurs to keep this momentum rolling!

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10* Atlanta United FC (MLS GOM)

Home-field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in this one. New England is 0-2 to start the season and it clearly has several issues across the board. It fell 3-1 at DC to open the season and we're predicting a similar final outcome here in this difficult road venue. Atlanta fell 1-0 at Columbus, but it was a war until the end. Now back at home for two straight, we like Atlanta United FC to take advantage of this favorable matchup and to find a way to deliver the goods before the end of extra time in regulation; lay the price, the play is indeed on Atlanta United FC!

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10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW)

In what we feel should be an even bigger line here for Crystal Palace here early on Saturday, we will indeed recommend to play the home side. Both teams are struggling, but this is a golden spot for CP, who comes in off a 3-1 loss to Tottenham. A date vs. 18th spot Luton Town is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track in our opinion though. The Hatters have lost four straight in the league and we just feel this is a really difficult spot once again vs. this super focused home side. Both teams are suffering major injuries, but Luton's list is much longer. The final thing though is the revenge factor, as Luton managed a 2-1 win in the final moments in the reverse fixture at the start of the year. We love Crystal Palace to step up and grab all three points in this one with a convincing win in regulation; lay the price, the  play is indeed on CP!

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10* OVER OCSC/Miami (TOM)

As primarily situational cappers, we love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Both teams played to lower-scoring games to open the season, and because of that we absolutely believe there's an overreaction here and that this O/U line is in fact way too low now. OCSC went to a 0-0 draw tih Montreal, while Miami opened with a 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake, before the uninspiring 1-1 draw with LA to close out Week 1. With two games under their belts and now back at home, we're expecting Messi's side to push the pace from start to finish here. With this faster-paced affair like we're anticipating, all signs do indeed point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

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10* Newcastle (GOM)

Newcastle is currently in ninth spot at 11-11, while Wolverhampton is eighth spot at 11-10. These two sides played to a 2-2 draw in the reverse-fixture back in late October, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, tips the scales in favor of the home side here. In fact, we feel that Newcastle should or could in fact be a much larger favorite. The Wolves managed an epic 2-1 win at Tottenham as large dogs, before then barely holding on for the 1-0 win at home vs. Sheffield. Newcaslte broke a two-game away slide with a 3-0 home win over lowly Fulham, but we're expecting the home side to build off that win and to make sure that they earn MORE than just the "draw" here vs. this team that struggles in EPL away contests. All things considered, we feel this to be the very defintion of "great line value;" the play is Newcastle!

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10* Austin FC (MLS GOM)

Ultimately we feel that Austin FC should/could in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. The home side will be looking to get out to a quick start this season after last year's disappointment, winning once in its last 11 games and finishing 12th in the Western Conference. Minnesota only finished two points ahead of Austin, and it was terrible on the road. It also struggled in the off-season, winning just once in four games. Seven of Austin's ten wins last year came at home and at this price, we feel we're getting fantastic line value; lay the price with confidence with Austin in regulation!

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10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW)

Crystal Palace needs a win here after going winless in its last three league outings. Last time out it played to a 1-1 draw with Everton. But here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the visitors are winless in their last eight games and enter off a pathetic 5-0 home loss to Arsenal last weekend. CP is in 15th, while Burnley is in 15th. Palace matches up well in this as it scored the 2-0 away win in the reverse fixture in November. We're expecting a similar outcome here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Crystal Palace!

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10* UNDER Chelseas/Man City.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Chelsea is in tenth, and Man City is second. Last weekend the Blues won 3-1, but we expect they'll be in for a "war of attrition" this weekend. The home side got past FC Copenhagen 3-1 in Champions League this week, and while confident, we don't anticipate a wide-open affair, as City will be cautious here in this spot vs. the Blues. With each side waiting for the other to make the first mistake, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done; the play is the "under!" 

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10* EPL GOY on Tottenham.

Tottenham is tough to beat at home. Espcially in EPL action. The Hotspurs have won four straight in front of the home town crowd in league play and we're expecting that streak to continue here. Tottenham played to a disappointing 2-2 draw with Everton last weekend, while Brighton won 4-1 over M23 derby foe Crystal Palace. Tottenham is now in fifth, just two points behind the Lions, so that puts added importance onto this week's contest. Yes they haven't kept a clean home sheet since October, but they've produced four straight outright wins at home, and nothing is going to change here vs. the Seagulls. Brighton ranks eighth and while Europe is still a possibility, we say it's in well over its head here; lay the price for Tottenham to deliver at home in regulation!

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10* Manchester City (EPL GOM)

Newcastle United is going to have its hands full here at home. It's currently in ninth spot and off a 3-0 win over Dunderland in the FA Cup. Manchester City can't afford to take the foot off the gas though sitting in third place in the table, most recently annihilating Huddersfield Town by a score of 5-0. Newcastle United can't be feeling confident here, as it has just one win in 32 matches in the EPL in this series. Manchester City has scored in each of the last 30 in this series and we have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace down the stretch; lay the price with confidence, the play is Manchester City!

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10* DRAW between Man U/West Ham (EPL GOW)

In what we believe will be a complete "war of attrition," we definitely feel that the value in this matchup lies in the "draw" option. Look at the odds, as the oddsmakers would agree that we have a very evenly matched matchup on our hands in this one. Manchester United just drew 0-0 with Liverpool in its last match, and while we'll see a bit more offense here, we do expect a "stale-mate" in the end. West Ham is off the back off a 5-1 defeat to Liverpool in the quarters of the EFL Cup last Wednesday and will be doubling down on the defensive end after that "brain fart." With each side content to sit back and wait for the other to make the first mistake, we're playing the DRAW in this one!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOW)

Newcastle is off a 2-1 midweek loss to AC Milan, which has officially dashed its European dreams. Fulham is off back-to-back 5-0 wins over West Ham and Nottingham, but we're fully expecting the visitors to back down to earth here. Fulham upset Everton 1-0 on the road in the first game of the season, but since then it's gone winless away from friendly confines. Newcastle has now also missed out on the Europa League, so it only has domestic games to take care of and worry about now until the end of the season. Now back home and looking to take out their frustrations, as they've also dropped their last two EPL contests as well, falling 3-0 at Everton, before a 4-1 loss at Tottenham. Home field is the difference-maker here; lay the price, the play is Newcastle!

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10* Burnley (EPL GOM)

Both teams are coming off home losses in their most recent EPL action. Sheffield United though has struggled with consistency away from from friendly confines this year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in this one. Burnely is just 1-11 and has yet to win at home. That's going to change here though against 1-2-10 Sheffield. The Blades are terrible and Burnely will be risking life and limb to snap this brutal slide; lay the price, the play is indeed on Burnley!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOW)

Newcastle lost 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in Champions League action most recently, but in its most recent EPL game it beat Arsenal 1-0 as a +184 dog. AFC Bournemouth on the other hand was destoryed 6-1 by Manchester City. With Newcastle pushing the pace of this one like we expect after last week's win, we have a hard time seeing this struggling AFC Bournemouth side keeping pace. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price on Newcastle in regulation!

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10* Brighton (EPL GOW)

This is a mismatch in every regard and overall we think we are in fact getting great value here on the road "favorite." Everton looks primed for a letdown here after only its third win of the year in a 1-0 victory over West Ham last week (and that was followed up with a 3-0 win over Burnley in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday.) Brighton enters motivated after a 1-1 draw with Fulham in its previous outing. Brighton is on a four-game winless run, but still remains in seventh-place, while the home side is in 15th. It must also be noted that these teams split two games last year, with each winning on the others' field. But note, Brighton has won the last two away meetings in this series and in our opinion, the third times a charm as well; lay the price, the play is Brighton and Hove Albion!

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10* Chelsea (EPL GOW)

No upsets here in our estimation, as we look for Chelsea to post the full three points here at home in regulation. Chelsea won't be taking anything for granted here after giving up a two-goal lead in 2-2 draw with Arsenal last weekend. But with the point claimed, they've now climbed into the Top 10. This becomes an almost "must win" game as well for the Blues, with  Tottenham Hotspur, champions Manchester City, Newcastle United, Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United all up next. Also note that Brentford has won the last two games here, so the Blues definitely also have revenge on their minds. The Bees are in the wrong place at the wrong time this weekend; lay the price, the play is Chelsea!

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10* Chelsea on the spread option (EPL GOW)

In an important clash at Stamford Bridge this Saturday, we're expecting a very competitive battle. Arsenal is 6-0, while Chelsea is 3-3. Chelsea is 11th place in the EPL and it returns from the international break having posted B2B victories, including allowing just one goal in doing so and by hammering Burnley 4-1 in its last outing. Now back home and refreshed, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Gunners are off a tight 1-0 win over Manchester City and we believe they're now finally primed for a letdown here. For all the situational reasons listed above, we're on Chelsea on the spread-option!

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10* FC Dallas (ASSASSIN)

FC Dallas had its midweek game vs. Colorado shelved because of bad weather, so the home side is fresh for sure. They tied 1-1 in the reverse fixture at the start of the season, but we can't understate how important we now feel that the home field advantage will prove for FC Dallas this weekend, between teams that are seperated by just one point. A win today and Dallas is guaranteed a playoff spot, but it would also open up the potential way out of the wildcard altogether as well. One game at a time though. Look for FC Dallas to dig deep here and find a way to deliver for us at this great price!

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10* Chelsea (EPL GOM)

Burnley is in 18th place in the Premier League. Somehow it managed a win over Luton Town 2-1 last week, but an immediate return to mediocrity is fully expected by us here this Saturday. Chelsea moved up to 11th with its 2-0 win over Fulham at home and we're expecting a similar final result here as well. If recent history is any precedence, then Chelsea has to be confident here that it can keep the good times rolling (remember, many pundits believed that the Blues had a legitimate shot at winning the league this season!) as it's only lost once in the last 16 in this series, with the only outright loss coming back in 2017. Burnley has lost all four of its home matches, so the home field is anything but an advantage here this weekend either. All things considered we feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; the play is Chelsea!

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10* Austin FC (GOM)

DC United may have picked up draws in its last two MLS competitions, but we feel its well in over it head here on the road this weekend. What do you base your picks on? We base ours on many different things, but for us, this one sets up fantastically from a situational stand point. Austin FC is still in the playoff hunt, while DC United can only hope to play spoiler here. We feel that the home field advantage will prove critical here, as we expect DC to just go through the motions in this one; lay the price with Austin FC in regulation!

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10* Union (MLS GOW)

No upsets here in our estimation. After three straight draws, we like the Union to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in regulation in front of the home town crowd, and before a tough away game at Columbus at the end of the month. With only five games left to go in the regular season, the Union will be looking to put together a winning run. Dallas FC is off a 1-1 draw at home to Columbus, and it travels to Houston after this. Dallas is just 10-10 this year, and it doesn't travel well. The 14-8 Union could/should be much bigger favs here; the play is Philadelphia!

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10* Chelsea (ASSASSIN)

The bottom line here is that Chelsea will be desperate to return to its winning ways here in front of the crowd at Stamford Bridge. The Blues spent heavily in the off-season, and other than a 3-1 win over newly-promoted Luton Town, they've were then held scoreless over their next two. Last weekend it was a goalless draw with Bournemouth. Aston Villa though has been consistently inconsistent this year, so far with three wins and two defeats. And finally, Aston Villa won this game 2-0 last year, so the revenge factor is huge for Chelsea; lay the price, the play is indeed on Chelsea to win in regulation!

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