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We like the Minnesota Lynx @ New York Liberty game to finish OVER the total on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

These were the best two teams during the regular season, and a big part was their offenses. They love to score.

New York averaged 85.6 points per game during the regular season. Minnesota averaged 82.0 points per game.

In their last nine meetings against each other in New York, the total has gone OVER in seven of them. (12 of the past 17 overall have gone OVER as well.)

The Lynx have seen five of their last seven games exceed the total, while the Liberty have seen four of their last five do the same thing.

Minnesota is small and Brenna Stewart will be able to take advantage. Don't expect them to go down without a fight though. The Lynx are speedy, tough and they have lots of ability from beyond the arc. Play on the OVER.

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We like the Minnesota Lynx to defeat the Connecticut Sun on Tuesday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones.

The Lynx have had a better record all season and owned a 16-4 record on this court this year. Crowd should be a big part in this win-or-go-home Game 5.

In Game 3, we won with this Minnesota and we're with them again to close the series out.

Minnesota have covered the spread in four out of the seven meetings between these two this season so far.

The Lynx also have the best overall player in this series in Napheesa Collier.

After shooting 3/12 from deep last game combined, Carleton and McBride should bounce back here at home. They shot better than 40% from the three point line during the regular season.

We know that Connecticut has a strong defense. But, Minnesota also has a very capable defense, giving the edge to the better all-around offensive team.

We look for a lower scoring Game 5 with the home team winning this one by at least five points.

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We like the Minnesota Lynx to defeat the Connecticut Sun on Friday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Game 2 was a much needed win for the Lynx to get back in this series. Now, they'll look to build on that here in Game 3.

In the Sun's last six games at home against the Lynx, they've only covered the spread in one of them -- 1-5 ATS over those games.

Minnesota really turned it up a notch over the second half of the season. They've won 17 of their last 20 games, including five straight on the road.

On the season, Minnesota owns a 15-6 ATS record on the road. For Connecticut, they had just a 8-13-1 ATS record at home.

Even though this series shifts to the far east coast for Games 3 and 4, Minnesota should try and end this series as fast as they can. They owned the best record in the Western Conference this year.

As a slight underdog, we love Minnesota on Friday. The road side should prevail in this game.

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We like Seattle and Las Vegas to go over the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the most important ones.

1. Las Vegas scores 86.4 points per game. That's the most in the league.

2. Known for defense, Seattle is also very capable offensively. The Storm average 83.25 points per game, 5th in the league.

3. After a run of unders, the Aces last game flew over the total. Las Vegas scored 98 points. Seattle scored 89 in its last game.

4. This O/U line is lower than any O/U line was for the last 10 h2h meetings.

5. Las Vegas played some low-scoring 4th quarters during its under streak. The Aces get a lead and then lock down. But with this being a playoff game, the losing team is going to fight right up until the final whistle.

We respect the defenses but feel that this number is too low. We see both teams getting at least their regular season averages which will mean the final score goes over rather comfortably.

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The 27-10 Connecticut Sun are on the road to take on the 24-13 Aces, and in our opinion, this one has "O-V-E-R" written all over it! The Sun play with the revenge factor after a recent 72-67 home loss, and that's significant for us to take note of, as Connecticut has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Las Vegas is off back-to-back victories and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight, but note that the Aces have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Also, those 5 straight unders have kept this o/u line lower than it could be. The total was 164.5 when these teams met on Sept. 6th and has been more than 160 for each of the past 10 meetings. The last 2 LV games had totals close to 180! Kelsey Plum had 27 points for the Aces in the win over the Sun a couple of weeks ago, and you'll definitely want to keep your eyes on her here again tonight. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

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Las Vegas is off back-to-back wins and is now 20-12 and second in the Western Conference. After a run of ATS losses, the world champions covered the spread in both games. Suffice it to say, we're expecting the Aces to carry that momentum over here and not only win but win big and cover this larger spread at the same time. This game takes on added importance as well for the home side, which will hit the road for four straight tough Eastern Conference matchups. Las Vegas also won't be taking the Sky lightly, as they had to hold on for the tight 77-75 win in Chicago in late August, unable to cover the 9.5-point spread. The Sky are moving in the opposite direction, losers of six straight. But with three straight at home starting on the weekend, there's a very real chance the Sky will get caught "looking ahead." When you add up all of these strong situational factors working in favor of the home side and when you consider the obvious talent gap, we're definitely going to lay the points and expect a blowout here; the play is Las Vegas!

10* Mercury (BLOOD-BATH)

We base our picks on many different factors. Line movement, injuries, scheduling, trends. Many different things. For this particular one, we're keeping it "simple." Both these teams are terrible. Phoenix is 9-20, while Seattle is 8-21. Phoenix though has won two in a row and it also plays with revenge after losing 97-91 at home to the Storm as 4-point favorites back on August 5th, which is very significant to note here, as the Mercury are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points!

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10* Wings (BOB)

This one sets up well for the revenge-minded Wings in our opinion. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note in this case, as the Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They also indeed do play with the "revenge factor" after falling 88-83 to the Sun as 3.5-point favs here back in July. With an upcoming game at Connecticut, it puts added importance onto this contest as well. The Sun just had their three-game win streak snapped in a lackluster 90-84 loss at Phoenix as 7.5-point favorites and we feel they're "ripe for the picking" here as well. And with the majority of the public money on the visiting side, that'll "seal the deal" for us in pulling the trigger and laying the short points with Dallas!

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10* OVER Dream/Storm (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now expecting much more of an offensive affair here on Thursday. ATL has seen the total go "under" in four straight after beating Indiana 82-73 at home last time out. Seattle has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in its lastest 81-69 loss to Connecticut here at home last time out. The Storm lost 85-75 at Atlanta in July, and while that total also stayed "under" the number, the overall situation now points to tonight's O/U line being just a little lower than it normally would/should be; the value now swings the other way as far as the total is concerned, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Fever (REVENGE BLOWOUT)

Two bottom feeders, but we like the way this one sets up for the Fever. LA is just 10-18, and off a rare 91-83 road upset at Washignton to snap a 3-game slide, everything points to an immediate return to mediocrity. The Fever are only 7-21, but here's an opportunity for them to score a victory and avenge an 81-68 loss at LA as 2.5 points dogs back in July (that's important to note though, as Indiana is in fact 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. And with the majority of the public money on the Sparks, we love the Fever to get back into the winners circle here tonight!

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10* OVER Sparks/Mystics.

We base our picks on many different things. This particular one sets up fantastic from a "situational" stand-point. LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight games after its 79-77 loss here just two nights ago (but note, the Sparks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) LA has lost three straight, but the Sparks have also seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after three or more SU losses in a row. Washington snapped a 3-game slide with the much-needed victory, but barely held, unable to even cover the small 3-point spread on Friday night. Expect the Mystics to push the pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Connecticut/Indiana (U OF U)

We're expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Connecticut is 4-1 in its last five, but it's coming off a lower-scoring 79-69 win over Minnesota. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in four straight after its narrow 72-71 home win here over Phoenix on Monday. A whole lot of collective "unders," but that fact has only helped in driving today's number a few points lower than it normally would/should be. These teams played a competitive game in Connecticut at the start of the season, with the Sun holding on for the 81-78 victory. All signs point to another competitive game, but one that flies well "over" the posted number once it's all said and done!

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10* OVER Liberty/Sparks.

Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on the West Coast on Tuesday night. These teams just played here two nights ago and the Liberty came out on top by a score of 87-79. It was the Sparks third straight "under," but note that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. New York leads the East and it enjoys a couple days off after this before a big matchup in Minnesota vs. the red hot Lynx. In what we anticipate will be a very fast-paced affair, expect this total to fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds!

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10* Storm (ASSASSIN)

The Storm just snapped a lengthy losing streak with an 83-74 win at Chicago as 4.5-point dogs last time out, and we believe they'll keep that momentum roling here against the lowly Fever. Seattle plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after Indiana scored the 80-68 road win as a 2.5-point dog back in June. THe Fever are just 6-18 and off back-to-back road losses at LA. We feel the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Seattle!

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10* UNDER Mystics/Wings (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams are 1-1 in the season series so far, but both games went "under" the number. We're expecting a similar defensive affair here as well now in the third matchup. Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, and note that the Wings have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington has been trading high-scoring contests, with lower-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 97-92 loss last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* OVER Fever/Sparks (ASSASSIN)

This one sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring shootout in our opinion. The Fever play with revenge after a tight 79-78 loss here just two nights ago, and note that Indiana has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. LA broke an 8-game slide with that victory, and we're expecting it to come out play at a faster-pace here tonight as well to keep the momentum rolling. As stated off the top, a great situatinoal call for this rematch to fly "over" the posted total sooner, rather than later!

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10* Mystics (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams are 1-1 this season, but the Lynx are 2-0 ATS. We like the Mystics to though, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and find a way to deliver the goods. They're 12-10 and coming off a quality 84-69 win over Phoenix. The Lynx are just 10-13 and they're off an awkward 98-81 loss to Las Vegas in their last outing. And with an ultra-tough East Coast road trip starting in New York, and then B2B games at Connecticut (followed by another home game vs. New York!), there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side; while the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Washington!

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10* OVER Aces/Sky (WNBA NON-CONF TOW)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we don't expect a lot of defense to played in this one on Tuesday night, and ultimatley we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. These teams played in Las Vegas back on June 11th, and while the Sky earned the cover in the 93-80 setback as 13.5-point dogs, the total flew "over" the posted number of 168. We're expecting a similar style pace and similar final combined score here as well once it's all said and done; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH)

This is a great situational play. New York is 15-5 SU and No. 2 in the Eastern Confernece, and while it's 5-1 SU in its last six, note that the Liberty are 0-5 ATS in their last five (but also note that New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row.) These teams just played in Indiana about ten days ago, and the Liberty managed to come out on top by a score of 98-87 in OT, unable to cover the 10.5 points. But all signs point to a comfortable cover here in our opinon after the Fever finally broke their eight-game slide last time out with an 82-76 road win at Washington (can anyone say letdown spot?!) Lay the points, the play is New York!

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10* UNDER Sparks/Lynx (NON-CONF TOW)

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here finally. The Sparks enter having lost six straight, both SU and ATS, but note that LA has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 still after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Lynx are desperate for a win here as well, as they've lost three in a row SU/ATS (but once again, that's significant for us to take note of here as Minnesota has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) Everything points to a very defensive battle; the play is the "under!" 

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8* Fever (DESTRUCTION)

Indiana sneaks in under the radar here in our opinion and steals one from the Mystics. The Fever plays with revenge after falling 96-88 here as 1-point favorites on July 7th. The Mystics are 11-8 and fourth in the Eastern Conference, but with a game here at home vs. East leading New York up next on Friday, this sets up as a classic "look ahead" for the home side as well. Clearly, the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Indiana!

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