Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-22-24 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 224 | Top | 109-132 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATLANTIC DIV. TOM on the UNDER Knicks/Celtics. The Celtics will be raising the banner to the rafter and getting their rings before kicking off the 2024/25 season at home to the Knicks. Both teams had 4-1 pre-seasons. Each played to several high-scoring games in the pre-season, but now that the "real" thing is here, I believe that we'll finally see a much more defensive battle. Boston returns its core group and has no significant injuries, except one to offensive standout Kristaps Porzingis. New York is looking to build off a successful season that came up short in the playoffs due to injury. The Knicks brought in Mikal Bridges to lay alongside Josh Hart and Jalen Bruson, all of who were on the 2016 Villanova Wildcats championship team. But their biggest move was bringing in big man Karl-Anthony Towns. I'm expecting a more methodical pace on Opening night, rather than a blistering "shootout." The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-17-24 | Mavs v. Celtics OVER 209 | Top | 88-106 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* NBA TOW on the OVER Mavs/Celtics. While the first four games have gone "under" the number, I'm expecting Game 5 to finally be a lot more wide open, and because of that I'll be playing the OVER. Dallas finally figured out its offense in the 122-84 home win. Note though that Boston has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. How could you fault the Celtics for taking a mental night off after jumping out to the 3-0 lead?! Now back in front of the home town crowd, expect the Celtics to pick up the efficiency here. And also look for Dallas to maintain its new found confidence. Everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in my opinion. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-14-24 | Celtics v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the MAVS. I played Boston over the first two games and then had Dallas on the moneyline in Game 3. While that play came up short, I say that Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and the rest of the Mavs will dig deep here and find a way to avoid the sweep. Note that Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. I think this strong trend continues here. Boston can wrap this up in front of the fans at home in Game 5 and that's what I see going down. The play is DALLAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-12-24 | Celtics v. Mavs -135 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOM on the Mavericks moneyline. The Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Boston has done a good job slowing down Luca and Kyrie, but now back at home, I think we'll see a completely "different" Mavs team here, one which will push the pace and stretch this Boston defense. Look for Dallas to go up early, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to find a way to get the job done before the final horn sounds. The play is the MAVERICKS MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-09-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Celtics. The majority of the betting public is on Dallas still, which has dropped this line a bit and I think it's now way too low for sure. Being successful in the Playoffs is about making adjustments from game-to-game, but this is just a bad matchup for the Mavericks, who defied the odds to make it to the Finals. I had the Celtics in Game 1, stating that their backcourt would be able to match anything that the Mavs' backcourt produces, while at the same time, I didn't think Dallas had/has an answer for Boston star Jason Tatum. I expect an even more decisive outcome here, so lay the points, the play is in deed on BOSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-06-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -6 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOW on the Celtics. Dallas has been on quite the roll to get to this point, defying the odds as underdog to advance to the NBA Finals. Boston was favored and was expected to be here. There are plenty of storylines in this series, but I just think that the Cetlics backcourt will be able to match whatever Luka and Kyrie do, while at the same time, I don't think that the Mavs have an answer for Celtics' star Jason Tatum. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the visitors, this one also appeals to my contrarian side. I'm laying the points, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-30-24 | Mavs v. Wolves UNDER 209.5 | Top | 124-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Mavs/Wolves. Minnesota doubled down defensively in Game 4 to pull out the 105-100 victory, and I believe we'll see a similar, if not even slower pace here now that the Wolves are back at home. Note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent as well. Everything points to an even tighter and lower-scoring battle here in Game 5 in my opinion, so the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-28-24 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 210.5 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Wolves/Mavs. The first three games have flown OVER the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 4. The Wolves will need to win four straight if they're going to move into the Finals. Likely won't happen. Either way, note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has been very impressive defensively throughout the playoffs and we could be in store for their best defensive performance so far this evening. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-27-24 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Celtics/Pacers. All three games in this series have flown OVER the number. But that's significant for us to take note of for a couple of different reasons. Firstly, note that the Pacers have seen the total go OVER in five straight now, but note that Indiana has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row. And secondly, Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. Indiana is on the ropes. How much gas does this team have left? Boston can smell the blood in the water and will be looking to control the pace of this one from the outset to take the crowd out of it early. Everything points to a lower-scoring UNDER here finally in Game 4. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-26-24 | Wolves v. Mavs -143 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Mavericks moneyline. I'm going to bypass the spread and instead just play the Mavs on the moneyline option to win this game straight up. It's essentially do or die for the Wolves, but I say that Luka and Kyrie can smell the blood in the water. The Wolves have been overconfident and this is just a bad matchup for them. I'm laying the price here and expect DALLAS to find a way to go up 3-0 in this series! Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-25-24 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Celtics/Pacers. The first two games of this series have flown well OVER the number, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive affair here finally in Game 3. The Pacers have their backs against the wall now as they look to avoid the 0-3 hole. Indiana has seen the total fly OVER in four straight now, but that fact has only now helped in driving today's O/U line a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion. Boston's also played to four straight OVERS. It's now won five straight. With nearly 75% of the money on the OVER, we'll go full on contrarian here on Saturday and finally expect a more defensive battle here from Indiana. This number is high in my opinion, so the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-24-24 | Mavs +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Mavericks. The Mavericks looked good in Game 1, while the Wolves looked tired. This Dallas defense will wear a team down, and that's going to again be the case here in Game 2 in my opinion. Kyrie Irving is playing at a really high level right now and is a major matchup issue for Minnesota. The Wolves matched up better against the Nuggets. I just see this contest being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so I'm grabbing the points. The play is DALLAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-23-24 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 224.5 | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONF FINALS TOY on the UNDER Pacers/Celtics. Dating to the regular season, these teams have seen the total go OVER the number in three straight against each other. Game 1 was a barn-burner offensively as far as the total was concerned, with the Celtics holding on for the slim 133-128 OT win. But I think the public is now quickly anticipating another high-scoring affair here in Game 2, and the oddsmakers know it. This O/U line is a few points higher than it normally would/should be. 70% of the early public money is already on the OVER, so this clearly appeals to my contrarian nature. We're into single digits as far as the spread is concerned now, and if the Celtics have any hopes of covering this more manageable number, clearly, they'll have to slow the pace of this one down. With the majority going one way, we'll go the other. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-22-24 | Mavs +4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Mavericks. Neither team was supposed to be here, but we're going to have some new faces in the NBA Finals from the Western Conference no doubt. The Wolves won three of four regular season matchups, but all occurred before Dallas added P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford before the trade deadline. In the one 121-87 rout, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively and Derrick Jones Jr. were all out. This Dallas defense is legit. Minnesota "getting over the hump" though in its dramatic Game 7 win at Denver will be an issue for the home side though in my opinion, with a bit of a hangover here for that now legendary franchise playoff series victory. Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are a deadly one-two punch and while I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'm grabbing the points. The play is DALLAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-21-24 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 221.5 | Top | 128-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Pacers/Celtics. Boston is 41-6 at home. The Pacers are 23-26 on the road. Indiana is coming off an exhausting seven-game upset series win over the Knicks, and I believe it'll be "gassed" here in Game 1. Fatigue will play a factor for sure for the visitors. The home side has been off for a week now. Look for Boston to play aggressively defensively here as it looks to control the pace of this Game 1. This number is high in my opinion, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-19-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 198 | Top | 98-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Wolves/Nuggets. Game 7 here back in Denver and I'm definitely expecting some offensive fireworks. This has been a back-and-forth and highly unpredictable series to say the least. This however is for sure the lowest total set so far in the playoffs for both sides, and it's now TOO low in my opinion. Denver has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. After the humbling 115-70 loss in Game 6, we can fully expect Denver to now push the pace back at home here. With the home side following suit, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-18-24 | Thunder v. Mavs OVER 209 | Top | 116-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER Thunder/Mavericks. I'm finally anticiapting a high-scoring shootout here between the Thunder and Mavericks. Dallas is one win away from moving on to the Western Conference Final, but OKC won't be going down without a fight obviously. It's been a struggle to score points for the Thunder, but note that they've still seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. I just expect OKC to have a much more efficient game here in this crucial moment and ultimatley I expect this faster pace to produce a higher-scoring result once it's all said and done. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-17-24 | Knicks +6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 103-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Knicks. Outright win?! I think its possible. So far home floor has been crucial in this series, and while Indiana may go on to win this game outright, I believe it'll be decided in the final moments. The last two games have been blowouts for each side, but I'm anticipating a much tighter game here now in Indiana finally. This series have been completely unpredictable, but I say that NY has now figured out this Indiana team and we'll see further adjustments now here on the road. I think the outright is very possible as well. Yes, the NBA would love a Game 7, and while that my occur, everything does indeed point to this one "coming down to the wire" in my opinion. So grab the points, the play is NEW YORK. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-16-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 204.5 | Top | 70-115 | Win | 100 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Nuggets/Wolves. Everyone was quick to jump ship on the Nuggets, but now here The Joker is back in familiar territory, about to finish off a series and move onto the Western Conference Finals. Will that happen?! If not now, almost assuredly in Game 7 back at home I'd say. Clearly, Minnesota won't be rolling over here. Quite the opposite obviously! But to beat the Nuggets, they're going to have to body up against Denver and turn this Game 6 into a brawl. Note as well that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. And with Denver committed to running its offense through its super-star big man, look for this slower-paced affair to produce a lower-scoring outcome. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-14-24 | Wolves +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Wolves. So far home court advantage has meant nothing in this series. I say that pattern continues here and while I do definitely think that the Wolves have a legit shot at winning this one outright, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. And despite the loss in Game 2, note that Minnesota has is still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-13-24 | Thunder v. Mavs OVER 214.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* NBA WEST-CONF TOW on the OVER Thunder/Mavericks. Game 1 went UNDER, Game 2 went OVER and Game 3 went UNDER in the Mavericks 105-101 win. If the Thunder are going to get back into this series they're going to have to be the aggressors though ehre in Game 4, or risk falling to 1-3. Note that OKC has seen the ttoal go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. With each side pushing the pace like I'm anticipating, all signs do indeed point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-11-24 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | Top | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Thunder/Mavericks. This series is all ties up at 1-1. Game 1 went UNDER the number in the Thunder's victory, while Game 2 flew OVER the number in the Mavericks' win. Now with the series shifting venues, I believe we'll see a very defensive affair here in the first game in Dallas. Note as well that the Thunder have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were favored. I think both teams will barely reach 100 points as they each double down defensively to try and grab back the upper-hand in this competitive series. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-10-24 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Wolves | 117-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show | |
8* play on the Nuggets. Not many predicted that Minnesota would roll over Nuggets in Denver over the first two games, including myself! I'm not giving up on Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray quite yet though. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments (both for these teams/players, but also us as sports bettors!) and I say the tools are in place for Denver to be much more competitive on the road here. With the majority of the gernal betting public going one way, we'll go the other. The play is DENVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-10-24 | Knicks v. Pacers -7 | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
8* play on Indiana. Down 0-2 SU in this series, I'm expecting Indiana to push the pace and find a way to not only win Game 3, but to do so in blowout fashion. New York lost Game 3 of its first round series in Philadelphia after winning the first two games at home, and I believe we see a similar pattern here. The Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent as well. Lay the points, the play is INDIANA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-10-24 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 223 | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
8* play UNDER Knicks/Pacers. The first two games of this series have flown OVER the number, but now with the shift in venue I'm finally expecting much more of a defensive affair here, especially from Indiana as it looks to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Note as well that the Pacers have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. With Indiana looking to put pressure on the Knicks throughout, all signs definitely point to the UNDER as the correct call as far as the total is concerned here in Game 3 in my opinion. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-09-24 | Mavs +5 v. Thunder | Top | 119-110 | Win | 100 | 31 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOB on the Mavericks. The Mavericks looked competitive in the first half in Game 1, but then they fatigued in the second half and weren't able to keep pace with the Thunder. But with Game 1 now out of the way, I'm expecting a much more competitive affair here in Game 2. Dallas has performed well in this spot for bettors though, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. OKC is so far perfect in the postseason, but that streak is going to end shortly. It may not end tonight, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is DALLAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-07-24 | Mavs +3.5 v. Thunder | Top | 95-117 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Mavs. Dallas took care of the Clippers in six games, while OKC got past a wounded Pelicans teams in four. The Thunder weren't tested, but will now run into a man on a mission here in Luka Doncic. OKC went 3-1 SU in the regular season sereis, but I'm not reading too much into those results now that the playoffs are here. The Mavericks defense looked particularly awesome in the first round and I think the Thunder are going to be in for a big surprise here on the step-up in the competition level after the cake-walk in the first round. While the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with the MAVERICKS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-06-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 205 | Top | 106-80 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* 2ND RND WEST-CONF TOY on the OVER Wolves/Nuggets. Game 1 went UNDER, but Game 2 is going to go OVER. The Wolves did what they wanted in getting a split already in Denver, meaning that the Nuggets will be risking life and limb here to try and bounce back. And note that the Nugs have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I'm expecting a completely different pace and overall tempo to Game 2 as the home side pushes the pace and sends a message that they're still to be reckoned with. With each side pushing the pace like I anticipate, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -178 | 106-99 | Loss | -178 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 6* TOP PLAY on the Nuggets moneyline. I'm going to lay the price and bypass the spread option, as I expect Denver to find a way to deliver in Game 1. Both teams rolled through their Round 1 opponent, but now the Playoffs get going for real in the West. Minnesota lost here 116-107 at the start of April, and I'm predicting a similar final outcome here as well. In what I believe will be a blowout of epic proportions, I'm going to lay the price with confidence and expect just that. The play is DENVER on the MONEYLINE option. Good luck, NP | |||||||
05-03-24 | Cavs v. Magic -165 | 96-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL WINNER on the Magic moneyline. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series. I expect this pattern to continue, and that's why I'm going to bypass the spread and just lay the price and take the home side on the moneyline option. Orlando destroyed the Cavs here in Game's 3 and 4, holding them to under 90 points in each. Cleveland is just 22-21 on the road, while Orlando is 31-12 at home. Orlando did post the cover in Game 5 though and while it didn't earn the outright, that's what I expect will once again happen here in friendly confines. Lay the price, the play is ORLANDO on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF GOW on the Nuggets. The Lakers didnt' get swept. But now they're about to lose here in the thin air of Denver in Game 5. I'm predicting not only a victory for the Nuggets, but a blowout win in fact. The Lakers were just 20-23 on the road this year, while the Nuggets were 35-8. The cast of characters and strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams is well known, so I don't need to break down the individual player matchups or give you any background on what's going on. Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent though. Look for the defending champs to make an example of the King tonight and to keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn. Lay the points, the play is DENVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-28-24 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 209 | Top | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Clippers/Mavericks. So far the first three games have all gone UNDER the number, but that fact has only helped in contrbuting to this O/U line being a couple points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. Dallas has won two straight, but note that LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. The Dallas defense has been tight over the last two games, but I'm finally expecting this talented Clippers' offense to get going here in this crucial contest for both teams. This faster pace will lead to higher-scoring game finally. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-27-24 | Cavs v. Magic OVER 201.5 | Top | 89-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Cavaliers/Magic. Do I expect the Magic to build off their blowout 121-83 win over the Cavaliers here in Game 3?! I sure do! And do I think that Cleveland will bounce back offensively after that disastrous shooting performance last time out? I also believe that will be the case. The shift in venue will help in this being another offensive affair, in fact I'm expecting even more points than what we saw in Game 3. With both teams pushing the pace like I suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later this afternoon. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns OVER 207.5 | Top | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U BK on the OVER Wolves/Suns. Game 1 went OVER in the Wolves 120-95 win, while Game 2 went UNDER in Minnesota's 105-93 victory. I'm anticipating a more wide-open offensive affair like what we say in Game 1. In fact, note that Phoenix has seen the total eclipse the posted number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With their backs against the wall and now back in front of the home town crowd, look for Phoenix, much like the Magic last night, to now push the pace from start to finish and ultimately expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-25-24 | Cavs v. Magic OVER 199 | Top | 83-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BEST BET on the OVER Cavs/Magic. The first two games of this series have gone well UNDER the number, but I think this Game 3 and the shift in venue will spark this Magic offense finally, and I look for this competitive contest to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later because of that. The Cavs have a commanding 2-0 lead, but Orlando was 29-12 at home this year, including 27-13 ATS. I think the Magic will put forth their best effort here. Also note that they've seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like I anticipate from start to finish, everything points to this total finally flying OVER the posted number. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-24-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Pels. The Pels had a chance to win Game 1 in their 94-92 setback. I'm anticipating another tight game until the end here. I even considered taking New Orleans on the moneyline, but in the end let's grab up all these points. Zion Williamson is still out likely to next weekend, but CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas will be able to once again pick up the slack in my opinion. The Thunder were a great regular season team, but they're in unchartered territory right now for most of these guys. Playing as the No. 1 seed in the playoffs puts a target on your back. Both teams shot poorly in Game 1. New Orleans has the depth and veteran experience to once again make Game 2 interesting. While I do think an outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with NEW ORLEANS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-23-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 216.5 | Top | 96-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Mavs/Clippers. I had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and that came up short. It was because the Mavericks' offense looked terrible in the first half, only scoring eight points in the second quarter. The Mavs though scored 34 and 33 points in the third and fourth quarters respectively, and that's the offense that I'm expecting to show up here tonight. The Clippers looked great though and there's no reason not to think the offense won't be firing on all cylinders again, especially with the expected return of Kawhi. But whether he plays or not, in my opinion all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-22-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 223.5 | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Lakers/Nuggets. Game 1 went UNDER the number in the Nuggets 114-103 victory. Note though that LA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. LA lost to Denver in the Playoffs last year as well, as this is just a difficult matchup for the Lakers as far as depth is concerned. Either way, all the work that Lebron and company have put in to get this point is once again on the line, as clearly an 0-2 hole will be difficult to climb out of. I anticipate LA pushing the pace of this one from start to finish. While Game 1 was a very defensive affair in the end, all signs point to a much more wide-open shootout this time around. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-22-24 | Magic +5.5 v. Cavs | 86-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Magic. Orlando will be risking life and limb to avoid the 0-2 hole. Will that be enough to win this game outright? Maybe. But I do think that this one will go right down to the wire, so I'll be grabbing the points. Cleveland took Game 1 97-83, but note that the Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Orlando shot poorly in Game 1, but I don't see that major discrepancy happening again. With the jitters out of the way, look for ORLANDO to, at the very least, keep this one interesting until the final moments. Grab the points, the play is ORLANDO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-22-24 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | 86-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Magic/Cavs OVER. Game 1 went WELL under the number in the Cavaliers 97-83 win. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. This pick is part of a three-game report, and I also have a pick on the Magic. I anticipate Orlando to be much more efficient shooting the ball this time around. They just couldn't get anything to drop last time out. Cleveland isn't great defensively and I'm expecting a faster pace overall than what we saw in Game 1. This can still be a low-scoring overall game and easily eclipse this super low O/U line and that's exactly what I'm expecting as well. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-21-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 222.5 | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Mavericks/Clippers. Dallas will look to push the pace here and steal the home-court advantage from the Clippers in my estimation. LA won the regular season series 2-1. The Mavs average 117.9 PPG, while conceding 115.6, so Dallas will have to be efficient in this series to pull off the slight upset. LA averaged 115.6 PPG, while allowing 112.3. I look for each team to at least reach its seasonal offensive average here. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-20-24 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-114 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Lakers. To say the "revenge" factor comes into play here would be an understatement, as Denver has won eight straight in this series. But note that five of those games were decided in the final five minutes. LA though enters playing its best basketball of the season after winning 12 of its last 15. The Lakers are healthier than they've been in years and it's now or never. Will that be good enough to pull off the straight up upset?! Maybe! But in the end, I'm going to grab the points with the LAKERS here in Game 1. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 210 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Kings/Pels. With Zion Williamson out, CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram will now be forced to push the pace here to keep up with the Kings. Sacramento has a golden opportunity here to avenge five straight regular season losses to the Pels right here. None of the five head-to-head meetings this year came in under 211 points, and they in fact averaged 237.2 points per game. The Kings defense isn't that great. And the Pels are going to be more stretched than ever. Expect a faster overall pace, and a more efficient game from each side than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe with what I feel to be a very low O/U line set for this one. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 205.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Bulls/Heat. I'm expecting a very defensive battle here between the Bulls and Heat in this Final Play in contest. Last year the Bulls lost to Miami in the Play In, so they're out for revenge. Both teams though are moving on without their best offensive players. The Bulls were already without Zach Lavine, but Miami lost Jimmy Butler in the first half of the Bulls' win over the Hawks. With each team doubling down defensively here like I suspect, everything does definitely point to a lower-scoring defensive battle, so the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-17-24 | Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls | 116-131 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hawks. ATL finished 36-36 and as the last seed in the East. All Star point guard Trae Young though is back and healthy for the playoffs. Experience counts at this time of year and Atlanta has a ton of it and Chicago has now, as note the Hawks are 3- in the Play-In Tournament in their history. ATL is fifth overall in scoring and has the potential to win this game outright. The Bulls finished 39-43, including just 20-21 at home. They've dealt with several injuries all year, including to star Zach Lavine, who is still out. Look for ATLANTA'S depth and experience to prove to be invaluable in this moment but, that said, make sure to grab as many points as you can. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207.5 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Heat/76ers. Two really good coaches going head to head in this one and two pretty good teams as well. Regardless, while the oddsmakers have done their best to lead us to believe that this will be a lockdown defensive affair, I don't see it that way at all. In fact, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in my opinion. Nick Nurse and Eric Spoelstra have been here and done that. Now they just need to get the best out of their players. The two teams split the season series. Will home court advantage prove to be critical (read some of the other analysis contained inside this three-game report to find out!) These two teams can both play defense, but it's going to be the one that plays the most efficiently on the offensive end that comes out on top. With each team pushing the pace like I anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -200 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the 76ers moneyline FIRST HALF (it's also a play on the 76ers for the GAME ATS, if no FIRST HALF line available.) If you can get a FIRST HALF line, I think Philly on the moneyline is worth the price of admission here. That said, if you can't, then I also like Philadelphia ATS for the entire game. As mentioned on my play on the OVER in the same game, these are two really well-coached teams. But having Joel Embiid back is a big difference-maker for Philly. The 76ers are built to slow down Heat star Jimmy Butler as well. I'm expecting a rout, the play is PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-16-24 | Warriors -140 v. Kings | 94-118 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Warriors moneyline. The Warriors took out the Kings in the first round last year. Golden State always gets the better of the Kings at this time of the season, and nothing will change here. Just like the Lakers pick, clearly the NBA wants Steph and company playing in these Playoffs as long as possible. Golden State came together down the stretch, and its experience can't be overlooked in this important Play-in contest. The play is GOLDEN STATE on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-16-24 | Warriors v. Kings OVER 223.5 | 94-118 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Warriors/Kings OVER. To go along with my play on the Warriors, I'm also going to play the OVER in the same game. The last time these teams played, Sacramento won 134-133 at Golden State back in January, and note that the Warriors have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU home loss vs. an opponent. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-16-24 | Lakers -105 v. Pelicans | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Lakers moneyline. The bottom line here is that I think that the NBA wants the Lakers playing as long as possible throughout the playoffs. I also expect Anthony Davis to play out of his mind here and to do whatever he has to do to get the better of his old team. Experience counts at this point as well. I really respect the Pels and think their time will come. But time has run out for Bron, and this is the final "kick of the can." The play is LA on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-14-24 | Bucks +5 v. Magic | Top | 88-113 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Bucks. It's a big game for both teams with playoff implications on the line. Both teams are really struggling as well, but despite not having Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court, I like the Bucks to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire in a competitive battle and to earn the comfortable cover with the handful of points that they've been afforded. Even without the Greek Freak, the correct call is still the Bucks. We just saw Milwaukee beat the Magic by 18 points without Giannis earlier this week. Orlando has dropped three straight games and its inexperience at this time of year will be its undoing. While I do think an outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The play is MILWAUKEE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-09-24 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Suns. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams, and I think the Suns will risk life and limb here to secure the home victory. Phoenix had its three game win streak snapped last time out in a 113-105 home setback to New Orleans. But with its final three games on the road, this becomes a very important game for the SUNS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut OVER 145.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* CBB TOM on the OVER Purdue/UConn. UConn has so far seen every game its played in during this tournament go UNDER the number, and I believe that this O/U line is now a bit TOO low. Note as well that the Huskies have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten after after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Purdue has seen its last three go UNDER the number, but note that the Boilermakers have also seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. The two best teams in the country going head-to-head here and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written ALL over it. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-07-24 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM on the Pelicans. The Pelicans have lost four straight, but despite who gets the start here today, I definitely am expecting New Orleans to put up a fight and go down hard trying. Most recently it was a 111-109 loss to San Antonio. Note that the Pels are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were a double-digit favorite though. They play with revenge as well after a 124-111 home loss to the Suns at the start of the month. That was the first win of three straight now for Phoenix, but note that the Suns are a sub-par 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU victories in a row. Grab the points, thep lay is NEW ORLEANS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut -11.5 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UConn. The Crimson Tide have exceeded expectations. They lost four of their final six games before the Tournament started, but here they are in the Final Four, and according to KenPom they've faced the toughest schedule so far in the Tournament. Bama can score with the best of them, averaging 90.8 PPG, but overall the Crimson Tide are ranked just 105th in defensive efficiency. The tourney defending champs on the other hand are ranked 1st in offensive efficiency and 4th in defensive efficiency in the country. So far the Huskies are 4-0 ATS in this tournament, and with their ultimate goal now in sight, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points, the play is UCONN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue -9 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Purdue. With the majority of the public riding the Cinderella Wolfpack here, I'm going the other way. This is the first time that NC State has been in the Final 4 since 1983. The Boilermakers have won a school record 33 games this year and I think their deep and veteran team will pull away comfortably for the win here, and have NC State playing from behind from start to finish. So far the Wolfpack is averaging 75.5 PPG in this tourney, and conceding 65.5, while the Boilermakers are averaging 84 PPG, while holding teams to just 62.8. These two teams are on different levels and I don't see Purdue allowing the Wolfpack to dictate the pace of this one. I expect a wide-open shootout, but one that Purdue pulls away for both the blowout win and comfortable cover at the same time. Lay the points, the play is indeed on PURDUE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue OVER 146.5 | 50-63 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER NC State/Purdue. With the majority of the public riding the Cinderella Wolfpack here, I'm going the other way. This is the first time that NC State has been in the Final 4 since 1983. The Boilermakers have won a school record 33 games this year and I think their deep and veteran team will pull away comfortably for the win here, and have NC State playing from behind from start to finish. So far the Wolfpack is averaging 75.5 PPG in this tourney, and conceding 65.5, while the Boilermakers are averaging 84 PPG, while holding teams to just 62.8. These two teams are on different levels and I don't see Purdue allowing the Wolfpack to dictate the pace of this one. I expect a wide-open shootout, but one that Purdue pulls away for both the blowout win and comfortable cover at the same time. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-05-24 | Heat v. Rockets UNDER 215 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOB on the UNDER Heat/Rockets. Both teams are fighting for a spot and each has been involved in several higher-scoring games of late. This time though, I'm expecting a very defensive battle. At the start of the year, totals were regularly in the 240's. Now we're seeing some dip as low as 202 etc. Regardless, this one sets up nicely to for a lower-scoring war in my opinion. Miami had its three-game win streak snapped in last night's 109-105 loss at home to Philly, so fatigue will be a factor for the Heat, who already play at a really slow pace. Houston plays with revenge after a 120-113 loss at Miami back in January, and note that the Rockets have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-04-24 | Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 159 | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT TOTAL BK on the UNDER. It's the top two seeds going head-to-head here in the NIT Championship Game and instead of trying to figure out who is actually going to win/cover, I'm instead going to focus on the total. And for me, the old saying that "defense wins championships," couldn't be more apt here in my opinion. These are two great offensive teams, but the one that can step up and play better defensively is going to be the one that comes out on top. The Pirates did look good defensively though in their most recent 84-67 victory over Georgia. Indiana State just beat Utah 100-90, and it's seen the total go OVER in two straight now in the tournament. But the general betting public is now quick to hammer the OVER whenver the Sycamores and Larry Blur hit the court. While the majority go one way with this total, I'm going the other. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-03-24 | Cavs v. Suns UNDER 226.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOW on the UNDER Cavs/Suns. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one now points to this non-conference contest being a lot more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Cleveland has seen the total go OVER in six straight after last night's 129-112 win at Utah. With two whole nights off after this before a game at the Lakers, we feel fatigue will be an issue here for the visitors in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Phoenix returns home after a three-game road trip, and I believe that the Suns will have "heavy legs" here as well. I'm anticipating a very defensive affair here, so the play is indeed on the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -108 | 55 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Georgia/Seton Hall. The NIT shifts to MSG and I'm expecting much more of a defensive affair here between these two teams than what the oddsmakers are trying to leads us to believe. Seton Hall averages 73.3 PPG, and Georgia concedes 73.3. The Pirates allow only 69.8, while the Bulldogs average 74.9. This game is going to be tight from start to finish, but look for the longer lay off to give these teams their "legs" back, and for that to benefit the defensive end. I say this one falls UNDER once the final horn sounds. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-02-24 | Thunder v. 76ers UNDER 225.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOW on the UNDER Thunder/76ers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm anticipating a much tighter affair here on Tuesday finally. OKC is coming off back-to-back victories. It's seen the total go OVER in five straight after its most recent 113-112 road win at New York, but that's significant to take note of, as the Thunder have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Philly just snapped a three-game slide with a big 135-120 road win North of the border and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight, but note that the 76ers have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. I think these teams are fatigued, and that's going to translate into this particular contest being much more defense-oriented than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-31-24 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Jazz/Kings. These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a high-scoring "shootout" here in my opinion finally on Sunday. Utah is trying to snap an eight game slide. It plays with revenge here after a 125-104 loss to the Kings here back on December 16th, ando note that the Jazz have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Sacramento lost two straight to the Mavericks and their offense stalled. The Kings have seen the total go UNDER in six straight now, but that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a bit lower than it normally would/should be as well in my opinion. With each team pushing the pace like I anticipate, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke -6.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* ELITE 8 TOP SIDE on Duke. I've played on both these teams already in this tournament. However, I believe that the Wolfpack's Cinderella run is coming to an end finally. Duke averages 79 PPG, while conceding 66. NC State averages 76 PPG, while conceding 72.2. These teams split a pair of games this year, but Duke will now have a chance to avenge the quarterfinal loss in the Conference tournament game. Duke's an elite team that's had a couple huge "brain farts" this year. It's able to match up with anyone and it looked dominant defensively in its win over Houston. I don't see the Wolfpack beating the Blue Devils twice in two weeks. Duke was an 11.5-point favorite in the Conference Tournament, so is a huge overreaction now by the oddsmakers in trying to "lead" the general betting public?! I'm not buying it, and am instead laying the points here with revenge-minded DUKE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut OVER 154.5 | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Illinois/Connecticut. What more can be said about these two teams which hasn't been said a million times at this point. If you're betting on this game, you almost assuredly know all the cast of characters on each side, and the strengths and weaknesses of each side. Illinois averages 84.2 PPG, while allowing 73.2. UConn averages 81.6 PPG, while allowing 63.6. Coach Dan Hurley says, "We suck at winning close games, [so] you've got to go with the alternative." With the defending champs pushing the pace like I suspect, everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-29-24 | Mavs v. Kings OVER 230 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Mavs/Kings. This total is a little low for a few different reasons in my opinion. Both sides have been involved in several lower-scoring affairs of late, including in their most recent matchup together just two nights ago here when Dallas won 132-96. That result though is very important for a few different reasons. The first being that Sacramento has seen the total go "over" the number eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. And with the loss, Sacramento has now seen the total go UNDER in five straight, which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Kings have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Dallas has won five straight now, and it's seen the total go UNDER in five straight, but note that the Mavs have also seen the total dip below the posted number in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. With each team pushing the pace like I'm anticipating, everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-29-24 | Duke v. Houston -3.5 | 54-51 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston. I had a play on Duke in its win over James Madison last time out, but I think the No. 4 Blue Devils will bow out here now vs. the No. 1 seed Houston. The Cougars survived an OT thriller with Texas A&M, and with that legendary game now under their belts, I think we'll see a much more efficient Houston side here. The Cougars are basck in the Sweet 16 for the fifth straight time and they're going to have a distinct home-court advantage here, as this South Region portion is being played in Dallas. Lay the points, the play is HOUSTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-29-24 | Gonzaga v. Purdue -5.5 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Purdue. Gonzaga beat McNeese and a banged-up Kansas side, but I say it's run in this year's Tourney comes to an end this weekend. Overall they average 85.6 PPG, while conceding 68.7. Purdue averages 84.2, while allowing 70.2. The Boilermakers have had a more difficult schedule, have been more consistent overall this season, and will have the best player on the floor in Zach Edey (24.5 points and 12.1 rebounds.) Lay the points, the play is PURDUE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-29-24 | NC State +6.5 v. Marquette | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. NC State ranks 42nd nationally on offense and 76th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Marquette is healthy an on a mission of its own. The Golden Eagles are 19th on offense and 21st on defense. The Wolfpack have been one of these teams that simply won't go away and I expect that to again be the case in this matchup. Marquette will likely win this game, but it's going to be a dogfight down to the end, as Marquette does lack that killer's mentality overall in my opinion. Either way, grab the points with NC STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-28-24 | Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. The Tide is the Nation's No. 1 scoring team and I think Alabama's offense will, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Overall the Tide average 90.7 PPG, while UNC averages 90 so far over the first two games. Alabama will have its hands full in the middle with Armando Bacot, but look for their efficient shooting to keep them in this one late. Grab the points, the play is ALABAMA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-28-24 | San Diego State +11 v. Connecticut | 52-82 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on San Diego State. SDSU survived a late push from UAB in the first round, and then it blew out Yale 85-57 in the second. The Huskies are on a mission to repeat as Tourney champs after cruising by Stetson, before beating Northwestern 75-58. The Aztecs are out for revenge here after falling to the Huskies in last year's tournament championship game 76-59. SDSU returns many of those same players and I expect that experience to be crucial in this one. Grab the points, the play is SDSU. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-28-24 | Clemson +7.5 v. Arizona | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. Clemson beat No. 11 seed New Mexico, then upset Clemson by eight points to arrive to this point, while Arizona beat LBSU, before then taking down No. 7 seed Dayton by ten. The Tigers ranks 24th in offensive efficiency, and 38th in defensive efficiency, while Arizona is ninth in offensive and tenth in defensive efficency. PJ Hall and the Tigers won't be going down without a fight here. I'll argue it's had the tougher road to this point. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do think this one will be a "nail-biter." Grab the points, the play is CLEMSON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 | Top | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Seton Hall. I'm a contrarian at heart, but when you get to this point of the season with so few games and teams remaining, I believe "where the money is" so to speak becomes less of an important factor. And that's the case in this one with UNLV visting Seton Hall in the quarterfinals. I had a play on the Pirates in their most recent 72-58 home win over defending tourney champ North Texas and I thought the home floor advantage would be important in the outcome in that one, and that'll again be the case once the final horn sounds in this one as well. The Rebels first took care of Penn 84-77 on the road, before returning home to beat Boston College by a score of 79-70. So far the Rebels have won their first two games by an average of eight points, but they haven't been great defensively, conceding 78 points so far in the early going. The Pirates had to hold on for dear life in their first game, beating Saint Joseph's 75-72 in overtime, but they looked a lot better in their win over the Mean Green, beating North Texas 72-58. It's just packed every time Seton Hall plays, and while the Rebels have been decent on the road this year with an 8-3 record, I just think their time has now run out here on Wednesday night. Hall has stepped up its defensive play in the tournament, holding its two opponents to an average of just 65 points per game. The Pirates are also the much better rebounding team. I think when you add it all up, home court advantage will indeed prove critical in the outcome of this game on Wednesday night for SETON HALL. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings OVER 235 | Top | 132-96 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISION TOM on the OVER Mavs/Kings. The Mavericks are playing well after four straight wins. That includes a 115-105 win at Utah last night. Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in five straight now, but note that the Mavs have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. This is the start of two straight here in Sacramento between the clubs, and because of that I'm expecting this first one to be faster-paced. Note as well that Dallas plays with revenge after falling 120-115 to the Kings at home as a 4-point favorite, and note as well that the Mavericks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Kings have won four of their last five. They've also seen the total go UNDER in five straight after their most recent 108-96 home win over Philly. Note though that Sacramento has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 99 or fewer points in. The stage is set for a wide-open shootout between these teams tonight, so the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-26-24 | Cincinnati v. Indiana State OVER 153.5 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT TOY on the OVER Cincinnati/Indiana State. Cincinnati beat San Francisco 73-72 in OT to open, and then 74-57 over Bradley. Both of those totals were set at 143.5 and the only reason the Game 1 total went OVER the number was because it went to OT. Now here are the Bearcats facing another high-tempo and efficient offense and I don't think this number is nearly high enough. Indiana State beat SMU 101-92, before then pulling away for the 76-65 victory over Minnesota. I'm fully expecting each side to reach into the 80's in this one. Indiana State is 15-1 at home this year and will look to get the Bearcats out of their comfort zone, and playing from behind. Keep your eyes on Cream Abdul-Jabarr, who leads a highly efficent offense (best "2-point" offense in the country at 62.7%.) Look for this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-25-24 | Blazers v. Rockets UNDER 225 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF TOW on the UNDER Blazers/Rockets. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive battle here finally on Monday between these Western Conference opponents on Monday night. Portland is just 8-25 on the road this season. It comes in off six straight losses. It's seen the total go OVER in five straight after its most recent 114-111 loss at home to Denver, but note that the Blazers have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row. The Rockets are arguably the hottest team in the league right now with eight straight victories. Most recently it was a 147-119 win over Utah. Houston has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight games, but note that the Rockets have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row. These teams played to a higher-scoring OVER just at the start of the month in the Rockets 123-107 win at Portland, but all signs point to a much tighter and lower-scoring UNDER this time around. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-25-24 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 219 | Top | 96-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONF TOW on the OVER Nets/Raptors. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but I'm anticipating much more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Brooklyn is off six straight losses, including a 105-93 setback at New York last time out. Note though that the Nets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Toronto is off ten straight losses. So something has to give for one of these two teams today. Each is in tank mode, but note that the Raptors have seen the total go OVER the number in six of their last eight still after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Look for these two hungry sides to push the pace and to play efficiently and for this total to ultimatley soar OVER the number before the final buzzer sounds. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-25-24 | Montana v. Arkansas State UNDER 155.5 | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* CBI TOURNEY TOM on the UNDER Arkansas State/Montana. It's the quarter-finals of the CBI and while both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to this point, I'm anticiapting a much more defensive affair this afternoon finally. Arkansas State is off a nail-biting 86-85 win over BCU. Overall it averages 79 PPG, while allowing 77.6 this year. Montana enters off a super high-scoring affair as well, holding on for an 82-79 overtime victory over Presbyterian. Overall the Grizzlies average 77.3 PPG, while conceding 71.3. These teams don't typically play at a fast pace and each comes in fatigued. Look for this afternoon contest to produce a much more defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-24-24 | Yale +5.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Yale. SDSU held on for the 69-65 win over UAB in the First Round, and was unable to cover the 6.5-point spread. I think the Aztecs will now also struggle to cover here vs. this confident and red hot Yale side got the better of Auburn 78-76 as 14-point dogs. The Bulldogs are 5-1 SU in neutral site games this year and simply won't be fazed. They had to compete with the Tigers in the middle of the paint last time out, but they do in fact matchup a lot better here vs. the Aztecs. Outright win?! Anything's possible, but I see this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points, the play is YALE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-24-24 | Clemson +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. While I think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Clemson hammered New Mexico 77-56 to advance, while Baylor breezed by Colgate 92-67. The Tigers locked down New Mexico and held the Lobos to just 31 percent shooting, and I believe this aggressive defensive play will give the underdog a legit chance at winning this one outright. Grab the points, the play is CLEMSON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-24-24 | James Madison v. Duke -7 | Top | 55-93 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. I think No. 12 seed James Madison's Cinderella run will come to an end here vs. No. 4 Duke. James Madison got out to an early lead and never looked back in the win over Wisconsin, but Duke buried Vermont 64-47. The Dukes only concede 68.9 PPG, but Duke averages 79.4. I think the Blue Devils up-tempo offense will be just too much for James Madison to keep up with down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is DUKE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-24 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 210.5 | Top | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHWEST TOW on the UNDER Nuggets/Blazers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm predicting much more of a defensive affair here on Saturday. Denver is 21-15 on the road. It's coming off a 113-100 win over New York. It returns home for five straight after this. It beat Portland 127-112 in February, but everything points to a much tighter and defensive affair this time around. The Blazers enters off five straight losses, and note that Portland has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after five or more SU losses in a row. Portland fell 125-117 here at home to the Clippers just last night, so fatigue will also be an issue for the home side here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. All of these different situational factors point to this total staying well UNDER the posted number once the final horn sounds. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-24 | Duquesne v. Illinois -9.5 | Top | 63-89 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOLDEN SIDE PLAY on Illinois. I say No. 11 Duquesne's "Cinderella" run comes to an end here vs. No. 3 Illinois on Saturday night. The Illini smashed Morhead State 85-69, and I'm predicting a similar final outcome in this one as well. The Dukes somehow managed a 71-67 win over No. 6 BYU as nine-point dogs, and I say there's now a major over-reaction by the general betting public for the underdog side. Lay the points with confidence, the play is ILLINOIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-24 | Gonzaga v. Kansas +4.5 | Top | 89-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Kansas. I had a play on Gonzaga in its opening round win over McNeese State, but I believe the Bulldogs will have their hands full here with the Jayhawks. Kansas beat Samford 93-89 to move, but was unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Jayhawks are without their best player, but they're still loaded with talent, including the likes of Hunter Dickinson and KJ Adams. Graham Ike and Ryan Nembhard round out a deep Gonzaga squad, but I don't see Kansas going down here without a fight. In a game that I see going down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points. The play is KANSAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-24 | North Texas v. Seton Hall -3.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Seton Hall. UNT moved into the second round of the NIT with a big road win at LSU on Tuesday (I had the Mean Green in that one), but I believe they'll now finally stumble here in this difficult road venue. They're the defending champs of this Tournament, but with a new coach. While they pulled off the slight road upset in the First Round, I'm not predicting lightning to "strike twice" here. I also had the Pirates in their 75-72 win over St. Joes, and while they did win SU, they didn't cover the four-point spread. But the Pirates own a size advantage, while also bringing a better overall offense to the table (with pretty much even defensive units.) SETON HALL is 15-3 at home this year and the fans will be out here in force to ensure there will be a new NIT champion this year. Lay the points. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-22-24 | James Madison v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 72-61 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP CONTRARIAN SIDE on Wisconsin. I think No. 12 James Madison will have its hands full here with No. 5 seed Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a close loss in the Big Ten Championship game and I see them taking out their frustrations here on the Dukes. James Madison has won 13 straight, which includes the Sun Belt Tourney Championship, but the old saying: all good things must come to an end, couldn't be more apt in my opinion. The Dukes only managed one win over a ranked team, it was their first game of the year at then No. 4 Michigan State, winning 79-76. I don't think they'd win again if those teams played today. Look for the Badgers size and and shooting percentage to be just too much for James Madison to keep up to down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is on WISCONSIN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-22-24 | Celtics v. Pistons OVER 222.5 | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Celtics/Pistons. These teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a "shootout" here in Detroit in my opinion finally. Boston is 55-14 overall, including 23-11 on the road, while Detroit is only 12-57 overall, including 7-29 at home. The Pistons have lost four straight now, and they've seen the total go UNDER in six straight. Scoring is down around the league right now. One of those losses includes a 119-94 setback at Boston just a couple of nights ago, and note that Detroit has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Boston enters off six straight wins over six straight sub-par teams. The Celtics should win again tonight as well after holding on for the 122-119 win over Milwaukee at home last time out. I suspect a similar final combined score in this one as well, as all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in my opinion. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-22-24 | UAB v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on San Diego State. I think SDSU will not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion, making this a spread in which I have no issues at all in laying. UAB finished 23-11, while SDSU was 24-10. UAB beat Temple in the AAC Championship Game, while the Aztecs earned the No. 5 seed by finishing 11-7 in the Mountain West, ranked in the Top 25 for most of the season. UAB managed to rattle off three wins in the conference tournament, but I think it'll have its hands full here. Overall the Blazers average 77.4 PPG, while conceding 75.8. SDSU averags 74.2 PPG, while conceding only 67.3. The difference will come down the stretch on the defensive end. Lay the points with confidence, the play is SDSU. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-21-24 | McNeese State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. No. 12 seeds are just 53-99 vs. No. 5 seeds in this Tournament. Gonzaga finished 25-7 overall, while McNeese State was 30-3. The Cowboys are a tough team under coach Will Wade, who took LSU to the Sweet 16 in 2019, but the Bulldogs experience here at this point will prove to be a difference-maker in my opinion. Mark Few will find a way to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion. Lay the points, the play is GONZAGA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-21-24 | Pelicans v. Magic OVER 207.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER Pels/Magic. At the start of the year, we saw a lot of high-scoring games. Not so much anymore! That said, I do now think this O/U line is much too low here. New Orleans is off three straight wins. It's No. 1 in the Southwest. It has another tough game at Miami tomorrow night. These teams all play tough defense, but the one that's the most efficient on the offensive end will win this game. This doesn't need to be a super high-scoring game at all to over this super low number. Orlando has won four straight and is No. 1 in the Southeast. It's seen the total go UNDER in three straight after its most recent 112-92 win over Charlotte (second straight opponent its held to under 100 points.) Note though that the Magic have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Look for this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-21-24 | Oakland +13.5 v. Kentucky | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oakland. The Wildcats can score. We all know this. But they can't defend. And the Grizzlies know this. In what will likely turn out to be a high-scoring shootout, we think that Oakland can "hang" with the Wildcats and, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with all the points they've been afforded in this one. The Grizz have been competitive all year, as evidenced by their 21-13 ATS record this season. Oakland was a dog in 12 games this year and covered in nine of them. No outright in this one, but much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, the play is OAKLAND. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | 44-56 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado State. Ultimately I feel that "rest" will lead to "rust" here for Texas. Colorado State rolls into the Round of 64 off a dominant 25-point victory over Virginia, shooting 55.3 percent from the field, while holding its opponent to just 25 percent shooting. The Longhorns have been off since March 13th when they lost in the second round of the Big 12 Tournament. Joel Scott looks on fire right now again for the Rams, so I'm grabbing the points with COLORADO STATE in this one. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State +2.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Boise State. Colorado finished 24-10 and had its eight-game win streak snapped in its 75-68 loss to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament title game, but they return to the Tournament in the First Four for the first time since 2021. Boise State finished 22-10, and it's one of the only teams to earn a bid after losing its first conference tournament game. The Broncos though had some big wins this year and won't be fazed. They beat Saint Mary's and went 2-1 in their last three regular-season games vs. Tournament bound teams. Boise State defends the three-point line incredibly well, ranked 23rd nationally, while also finishing with a top-five defensive rebounding percentage. Colorado won only one game away from home vs. an NCAA Tournament team. Boise State has two extra days of rest here after losing its first game in the conference tournament, which is really big situationally as well at this point of the year. While I clearly feel the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with BOISE STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-20-24 | St. Joe's v. Seton Hall -7 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT OPENING RND TOP SIDE on Seton Hall. If we're looking at this from a betting perspective, which clearly we are, then we find that nearly 75 percent of the early public money is on the visiting side. That of course makes the home side really attractive to me, appealing to my natrual contrarian ways. The Hawks enter the NIT Tournament averaging 76.7 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Erik Reynolds II leads the nightly charge by averaging 17 points and 2.7 rebounds. Seton Hall averages 72.8 PPG, while conceding 69.5. Kadary Richmond leads most nights by averaging 16.1 points and 4.9 assists. The Pirates are 14-3 SU at home. I think they'll control the pace of this one and be able to pull away down the stretch for not only the win, but also the comfortable cover. Lay the points, the play is SETON HALL. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-20-24 | Grambling State +4 v. Montana State | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 56 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Grambling State. I think Grambling State is primed for its first-ever NCAA Tournament win, in its first-ever Tournament Berth, after beating Texas Southern in the SWAC Tournament, after losing in the same game each of the last two years. The Montana State Bobcats entered the regular-season finale with a 13-17 record, and then they posted four straight wins, winning the Big Sky Conference Tournament to earn a third straight NCAA tournament berth (note that the Bobcats are 0-5 all-time in March Madness games.) The Bobcats got hot from range in March and won their tournament, but Grambling State defends the perimeter incredibly well, allowing the second-lowest percentage (30%) in the SWAC. Montana State struggles to defend the rim, ranking near the bottom in many metrics. So that plays into Grambling State's strength, as it generates 53 percent of its points from inside the arc. Look for Grambling State to exploit this weakness, which could also easily lead to an outright victory. That said, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with GRAMBLING STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 212.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHWEST TOM on the OVER Nuggets/Wolves. These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late (like most of the NBA right now!), but I'm finally expecting more of a wide-open shootout here. Denver is 40-17 overall, but just 20-15 on the road. It's off a 107-105 loss at Dallas, snapping a five-game win streak. The Nuggets have seen the total go UNDER in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note, as Denver has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge here after a humbling 110-89 loss to Minnesota back in early November, and note that the Nuggets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Minnesota is also 47-21, including 23-8 at home. The Wolves have won three straight after last night's 114-104 win at Utah. They return home here after a six-game road trp and are playing the second game of the back-to-back, but will look to keep the pressure on the defending champs by pushing the pace in my opinion. This number is a little low now, so the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-24 | Colorado State v. Virginia OVER 119.5 | Top | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Colorado State/UVA. This is the lowest total on the board, but it's a bit TOO low in my estimation. Yes, these two teams feature two of the slowest paces in the country, but the Rams still feature a Top 50 offense led by senior Isiah Stevens (ranked seventh nationally in assists.) The team oveall is ranked second in the country in assist rate as well at 65.7 percent. These teams lost in their conference tournaments and enter as tenth seeds. Virginia of course plays smothering defense and ranks seventh in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. But the Cavaliers have conceded at least 60 points in four of their last five games, and note that the Rams have scored 60-plus in nine straight. This can still be a low-scoring game and go OVER this tiny number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting to see transpire. This O/U line is low in my estimation, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-24 | Kansas State v. Iowa -5.5 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT ATS BLOOD-BATH on Iowa. Kansas State finished 19-14, but just 2-8 in true road games. Iowa finished 18-14 overall, but 13-4 at home. I think these numbers matter right now here in this NIT Opening matchup, as look for the Hawkeyes to not only win this game, but to do so by a sizeable margin. The Hawkeyes averaged 82.9 PPG, while conceding 79. The Wildcats average 71.9 PPG, while allowing 70.5. The margin of error is pretty slim for each team, but there's a big road a home discrepancy factor that comes into play here. Tournament time and home floor advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Lay the points, the play is IOWA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-24 | North Texas +3 v. LSU | Top | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT ULTIMATE BK on North Texas. North Texas has a new coach this year in Ross Hodge. UNT enters the defending NIT champs though and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. UNT finished 18-14, while LSU was 17-15. The Mean Green went 4-2 down the stretch, while Matt McMahon and the Tigers went 3-2 in their final five. Interestingly, this is the second meeting of the season between the teams, and UNT plays with revenge after the 66-62 neutral site loss to LSU back on November 17th. But that was then, and this is now. UNT enters 73rd in the KenPom rankings, while LSU is 91st. The Mean Green have one of the best defenses in the nation still, and that'll be the difference-maker in the end. While I clearly feel the outright is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with NORTH TEXAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-24 | Wagner +3.5 v. Howard | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Wagner. These two teams were "lucky" to win their respective conference tournaments to earn this opportunity, but that said, I still have no idea how the books have Howard favored here. They won two more games, but they have one of the worst defenses in the entire nation and they also turn it over 21.7 percent of their possessions (easily the worst of all the teams in the Tournament.) The Seahawks have the second slowest tempo in the country, but they also rank tenth in opponent three-point %, which counters Howard's crutch on leaning on the three-ball for offensive production. Wagner seems to be the healthier team coming in on paper as well from what I'm seeing. In a contest that could come down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is WAGNER. Good luck, NP |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Calvin King | $1,130 |
Steve Janus | $1,000 |
Dave Price | $913 |
Cole Faxon | $853 |
Michael Alexander | $807 |
Kevin Young | $687 |
Sal Michaels | $683 |
Dustin Hawkins | $547 |
Tom Macrina | $526 |
Brandon Lee | $509 |