PAGE_HEADER

This is a 10* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the OVER SDSU/UConn.

I had a play on the OVER in SDSU's Final Four win over FAU. I expect another higher-tempo and ultimately higher-scoring affair here as well.

SDSU will be forced to match pace with UConn, which is loaded with diverse offensive talent. 

Both teams have played to several UNDERS throughout their Conference and NCAA Tournament runs, but that fact has only helped in driving this Championship Game total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

I just think that if UConn does sit back and let the Aztecs control the tempo, and if this does turn into a full-court defensive battle, then it's a game that will favor the underdog here.

So I don't see the offensively talented Huskies letting that happen.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the OVER FAU/SDSU.

These are two of the best defensive clubs in the nation. The reason they've advanced to this point is because of their incredibly tough defensive play.

This fact however has only helped in driving this Over/Under line finally a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

FAU is off a high-scoring 79-76 win over KSU, and it'll look to duplicate that performance.

SDSU though has seen the total go UNDER the number in all seven of its postseason games this year. Despite that though, note that the Aztecs have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row.

The Law of Averages is flawed in many ways, but I do now finally expect some more efficient offensive play in this one to help in seeing this total eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NIT GOW on Utah Valley.

Utah Valley has consistently been undervalued throughout the playoffs and that's the case again here in my opinion.

The Wolverines average 76.7 PPG, while allowing 67.6. 

Can't take anything away from the UAB Blazers either, whose only loss in the playoffs came against FAU in the Conf. Champ. game. UAB averages 82.2 PPG, but it concedes 71.0. 

The Wolverines aggressive trapping style of defene will be the differnece here though in my opinion. I think an outright victor is possible, but in the end let's grab the points.

The play is UTAH VALLEY.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER Miami Florida/Texas.

Miami Florida is coming off the 89-75 upset win over No. 1 Houston last time out. That's three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Note though that the Hurricanes have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last six after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.

Texas had played to five straight UNDERS in the playoffs before its most recent 83-71 win over Xavier. Suffice to say, I'm expecting another good defensive performance from the Longhorns today.

I'm expecting a lot of half and full court pressure throughout, and as such, everthing does point to this total being a few points too high.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* ELITE EIGHT TOY on the UNDER FAU/KSU.

If this were a regular season game, I'd likely lean to the OVER, but the overall situation points to more of a defensive affair here in my opinion.

K-State has seen the total go OVER in three straight now in the Tournament, but note that the Wildcats have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. After their tough 98-93 OT win over MSU last time out, I think the Wildcats will come in fatigued here finally.

FAU has seen five of its six postseason games go UNDER the number, including in its most recent 62-55 upet win over Tennessee. It was another impressive defensive performance and I expect the Owls to once again be on top of their game defensively here.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the OVER Xavier/Texas.

Texas has so far rolled through the Big 12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament having played to five straight UNDERS. 

The Longhorns are also 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS so far in the postseason. 

Note though that the Longhorns have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row.

Xavier has played five postseason games as well and the total has gone 3-2 to the UNDER. The Musketeers though are off a impressive 84-73 win over Pitt last time out and I think they carry that offesive momentum over to this one.

This O/U number is a little low in my opinion, as I expect a faster-paced affair that eclipses the total as the game comes down the stretch. 

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Gonzaga/UCLA.

UCLA will be looking to slow this one down vs. the Bulldogs offense. Gonzaga is ranked 75th in adjusted defensive efficiency. 

The Bruins have the second-ranked defense in the country though, limiting teams to just 87.8 points per 100 possessions, while only averaging 74.1 PPG themselves.

Expect a more methodical pace, and as a result, the play here is on the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* FIRST HALF BOOKIEKILLER on Tennessee.

I think we're getting great value here on the No. 1 defense in the country in the FIRST HALF.

The last thing Tennessee can do is give FAU any sort of momentum or confidence, so I'm expecting the Vols to really take control of this contest from the outset. FAU struggled against the 350th ranked defense in Fairleigh Dickinson last time out, and this is a major step up.

The Vols assert themselves early here; the play is Tennessee in the FIRST HALF!

(If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, then I also still LOVE Tennessee for the entire game as well, so also a play on TENNESSEE for the GAME.)

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL on Michigan State (MONEYLINE).

I'm taking Tom Izzo and the Spartans on the moneyline option. These teams are evenly matched. 

Michigan State has the better offense, while K-State has the better defense. Michigan State has faced better defenses though this season.

The Spartans are shooting the three-ball well this year, but they were just 2 of 16 in their win over the Golden Eagles. I don't see that type of futility happening twice in a row though.

Look for Michigan State's superior overall play on both ends of the court to be the difference. The play is MICHIGAN STATE on the MONEYLINE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Charlotte.

Charlotte is coming off a relatively simple 63-56 win over Radford yesterday, also going on to cover the five-point spread. The 49ers have been roughly a five-point fav in each game so far throughout this Tournament, and they've covered quite easily in each with a dominant defensive effort.

It's been anything but easy for EKU though, which has played to three straight OT victories to advance, including a double OT win over Southern Utah last night. The last two games the Colonels have been underdogs.

Fatigue is an issue for both sides obviously, but much more so for EKU. I just can't see this team having enough energy to overcome this aggressive 49ers defense.

I smell a blowout here, so the play is indeed on CHARLOTTE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Southern Utah.

Southern Utah got past rice to advance in the CBI, while Eastenr Kentucky needed OT to upset Indiana State 89-88 as a 6.5-point underdog. 

Southern Utah lost to Grand Canyon in the final of the WAC. Overall they shot 47 percent from the field and 35 percent from range.

The Colonels upset Indiana State, but I expect a letdown here. Their weakness comes at the free throw line, where they rank 333rd in the country at 65.9 percent shooting.

EKU has had to play two straight OT games. I say its out of gas here. 

Southern Utah shoots the three-ball well, and the Colonels strugge to defend it.

Lay the points, the play is SOUTHERN UTAH.

Good luck, NP

10* Saint Mary's (TOP DOG SHOCKER)

Saint Mary's is battle-tested. So is UConn. The Gaels' defense is ranked 12th, with an adjusted efficiency margin of +21.94. 

The Gaels limit teams to just 91.3 points per 100 possessions. They are averaging 71.1 PPG as well, so I expect them to keep pace with a Huskies side averaging 78.7 PPG.

This will be one of the Huskies most difficult defenses they've faced all year and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has it's hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is SAINT MARY'S.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Oklahoma State.

Eastern Washington upset Washington State 81-74 as a nine-point underdog to advance to the second round of the NIT, but I am expecting a letdown here as the competition increases. 

Beating your weak instate rival is one thing, but taking out Oklahoma State is going to be quite another. l

The Cowboys beat Oklahoma in the conference tournament, before bowing out to Texas. Then Oklahoma State opened this tourney with a 69-64 win over a potentially dangerous Youngstown State side.

Great defensive play and efficient offensive play will be just too much for the Eagles to overcome this time around.

This is a great matchup for OKLAHOMA STATE and I expect it to make the most of it, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SHCKER on Arkansas.

The Razorbacks have won six of eight neutral site games this season and I think they're going to, at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

Kansas also had a 6-2 record in neutral-site games this season.

The Razorbacks were impressive defensively in their win over Illinois, holding it to just 27.6 percent from the floor.

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is ARKANSAS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Michigan.

The bottom line here is that Michigan is ranked better in both shooting efficiency and effective field goal percentage. 

The Wolverines' defense is also ranked higher in most metrics.

Michigan is also ranked in the top 10 for defensive rebounds per game. 

The eye test here for me says that Michigan is the better overall team.

The play is the WOLVERINES.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on TCU.

ASU managed a 98-73 win over Nevada in the FIRST FOUR, but I'm not reading too much into that final outcome. I think we can all agree that that Mountain West Conference is just terrible.

TCU is a huge step up in competition. It beat KSU 80-67 in the Conference Tournament, before then falling to Texas 66-60.

The Horned Frogs played in the much tougher conference and I expect them to completely slow down ASU's attack here today.

Look for the FROGS to grind out the solid win and cover in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL on Xavier.

These teams are similar, in that they like to shoot the three-ball; Kennesaw State is ranked 34th in the country with a 37.1 percentage, while Xavier is No. 3, with a 39.5 percentage.

The Owls are just overmatched here. They've averaged 71.3 PPG over their last four games, but their competition has been weak. 

The Musketeers have averaged 76 PPG over their last four in the much tougher Big East conference.

Look for the size and experience of the Musketeers to be just too much for the Owls to handle down the stretch.

Lay the points, the play is XAVIER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* RND. 1 DOG on Northern Kentucky.

Yes, Houston has a great defenese. But so does UNK.

The Cougars could be without their leading scorer here in Marcus Sasser. If he does play, will he be at 100% health?

UNK closed out the regular season and conference tournament well and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here.

No outright, but closer than expected.

Grab the points, the play is NORTHERN KENTUCKY.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL on Arizona.

Princeton is completely overmatched here. This will be the best defense it's seen all season.

Princeton faced only one NCAA Tourney team this year and it lost to Iona in December.

Arizona faced seven different tourney teams throughout the season, including more than once, and the Wildcats went 10-2 SU vs. them.

It's a mismatch. I say that Arizona keeps its foot on the gas until the final horn.

Lay the points, the play is ARIZONA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* FIRST ROUND TOY on the OVER Charleston/SDSU.

Both teams enter the NCAA Tournament having played to several "unders," but I expect those trends to end here this afternoon.

Charleston is 31-3, including 11-2 on the road, while SDSU finished 27-6 overall.

Charleston has five players averaging in double figures. 

SDSU won both the Mountain West Conference regular and Conference Tourney.

Ultimately though I think that Charleston's pace will help in driving this total well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL WINNER on the OVER WVU/Maryland.

I'm expecting a much more wide-open offensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting.

WVU is 19-14, but it's going for its fourth win in its last five games. 

Maryland started the season 8-0, and finished 21-12.

WVU was decent defensively at home, but it struggled on the road. That'll be the case for both teams here in my opinion. 

With a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these teams are evenly matched. Expect that to result in a highly-competitive, but ultimately higher-scoring game than what this O/U line is suggesting.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Utah Valley.

I think Utah Valley sneaks in under the radar here. It finished 25-8, but was knocked out of the semifinals of the WAC Tournament to Southern Utah by a score of 89-88, squandering a 23-point second-half lead. 

The Wolverines will be eager to take out their frustrations here today with a concerted effort obviously. 

New Mexico finished 22-11 and was bounced from the MW semi's by Utah State 91-76. 

New Mexico has dropped nine of its last 13 games, while Utah Valley is in much better form.

I think the outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the points with UTAH VALLEY.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* FIRST FOUR TOY on the OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/Texas Southern.

With a chance to advance, I'm expecting a wide-open "shoot-out" between these teams. This total opened at 146.5 and it's already gone up a point. I'm going to follow this movement as I still don't think it's nearly high enough.

Both teams move at a good pace, with Texas Southern 72nd in the nation in that category, and FDU rated 110th. 

Fairleigh Dickinson averages 78.3 PPG, and it concedes 76. The Knights need to push the pace to win.

The Tigers average 69.7 PPG, while conceding 72.7. 

This is going to be a wide-open offensive affair in my opinion, as I expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Pittsburgh/Mississippi State.

I'm expecting a very defensive affair here. With a spread like this, obviously the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched and they pretty much are.

Pittsburgh averages 76.1 PPG, while allowing 70.5, while Mississippi State averages only 65.9 PPG, while conceding just 61. 

The Bulldogs will be looking to control the pace of this one obviously (managed just 49 points in a loss to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Tourney quarter-finals.) 

I'm expecting full and half-court pressure throughout. 

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

10* Bradley (BLOWOUT)

Bradley won the Missouri Valley Conference regular season crown, but lost in the Conference tournament and missed its change for a ticket to the Big Dance. With a chance for this veteran team to take out its frustrations here, I think the Badgers are going to be in trouble. 

Wisconsin finished 11th in the Big Ten. The Badgers lost in the first round of the Tournament to Ohio State, led by some terrible shooting. 

The Braves enter with a net scoring margin of +8, which is 31st in the nation. The Badgers end this game with a net scoring margin of +1.1 points, which is 151st. 

I think BRADLEY has every opportunity to win this game outright, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Princeton.

I'm going to grab the points and expect a battle until the final horn here.

Princeton finished 20-8 this year, while Yale was 21-7.

The Tigers beat Penn yesterday by a score of 77-70 as two-point favorites. 

The main reason I like Princeton here is that it does play with revenge after a setback in these team's most recent matchup, falling 93-83 in OT at home as a two-point favorite in mid-February.

Note that the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent.

Yale didn't have much trouble with Cornell yestreday (80-60), but the competition goes up dramatically here today vs. the Tigers.

These teams won't give an inch, and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is PRINCETON.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG WEST TOY on the UNDER CSU Fullerton/UC Santa Barbara.

Both teams ended the regular season playing to several high-scoring games. The last game they played against each other went OVER the number as well. 

They're also coming off second-round high-scoring victories to advance here. All of these higher-scoring outcomes has helped in driving tonight's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

The Titans beat the Gauchos 74-60 on February 20th, and the total sailed well OVER the number of 128.5 in that one. Note though that Santa Barbara has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. 

Expect fatigue to finally play a major factor in the final combied score here as well.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL TOTAL on the UNDER Tulane/Memphis.

Tulane has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its successful 82-76 win over Wichita State yesterday. Note though that the Green Wave have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

Memphis saw its total go OVER the number yesterday as well in its 81-76 advancing victory over UCF.

It's intereting to note here though that Memphis plays with revenge after falling 90-89 to Tulane in OT as a seven-point home favorite oin Feruary 4th, as the Tigers have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponet.

Expect a very competitive, but ultimatley lower-scoring outcome in this one. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* PAC 12 TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER Oregon/UCLA.

Both teams ended the season playing to a couple of high-scoring games, and each advanced to this point after a high-scoring games in their Pac 12 Tourney openers. The last time they played against each other in the regular season though the total went UNDER the number, and I'm expecting another hard-fought and ulimtatley lower-scoring battle here as well.

Oregon has now seen the total go OVER the number in four straight after a 75-70 win over Washington State yesterday. The Ducks lost to UCLA by a score of 70-63 in February, and the total stayed UNDER the number of 133.5 in that one.

Note though that the Ducks have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. 

UCLA has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its 80-69 thrashing of Colorado. Note though that the Bruins have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

Second round of the Tourney, expect this one to indeed be a very tight and competitive, but lower-scoring war. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an ATS TOMAHAWK on Houston.

I think ECU's run in the Tournament ends here. I don't believe Houston will have any mercy on the Pirates, as I expect them to keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn.

ECU beat USF 73-58 as a 3.5-point dog yesterday, but I believe that fatigue will be a major factor here in the second game of the B2B sceanrio. 

Previous to that the Pirates backed their way into the Tournament by losing three of their final four.

ECU covered against Houston earlier in the season, but still lost by 18. The Cougars come in well-rested, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing with five or more days of rest between games.

Look for HOUSTON to send an early message here to the rest of the conference with a brutal beatdown of the Pirates.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MW TOURNEY GOY on UNLV.

UNLV is 19-12 overall. It's comingin off a 78-70 OT win and cover over Air Force yesterday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn here as well.

Note that the Rebels play with REVENGE today, as they lost 73-69 to BSU in Mid-February. Note that UNLV is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. 

Boise State finished 23-8. It went just 1-2 in its final three regulat season games. The Broncos have had five days off between games, and I think that "rest" leads to "rust" in this instance. 

Grab the points though, the play is UNLV.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Ohio State/Iowa.

Ohio State advanced to the second round of the Big Ten Tournament with a 65-57 win over Wisconsin yesterday. The total went UNDER the number of 130.5. 

Iowa had a first round bye. It averages 80.6 PPG, and it beat Ohio State 92-75 at home in mid-February, the total sailing well OVER the posted number of 153.5 in that one. l

But note that the Buckeyes have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. 

Ohio State will be looking to slow this one down whenever possible. I believe the rematch will be a tighter, slower and more defensive affair overall.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GOY on Miami Ohio.

Miami Ohio finished just 12-19, but it was playing some of its best basketball down the stretch, winning four of its last five.

The RedHawks play with revenge here after falling 89-71 to Toledo as a 16-point dog in mid-February. Note though that Miami Ohio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent.

Toledo enters with a 25-6 record, No. 1 in the conference. It's won 15 straight and covered in five straight. Note though that the Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.

I think the Rockets are slightly overvalued here. Look for the RedHawks to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. 

The play is MIAMI OHIO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SWAC TOURNEY GOY on Texas Southern.

I like the way this one sets up for Texas Southern.

The Tigers stumbled down the stretch of the regular season going 0-3 SU/ATS to close out the year. That's important to note for us betting on the today though, as note that Texas Southern is a wallet-expanding 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

The Tigers also play with revenge after falling 89-81 to Alcorn State in these team's most recent matchup in late February.

Once again though, that favors us as bettors here today as note that Texas Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent.

Alcorn State won and covered in its final three games, but note that the Braves are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.

Grab the points, the play is TEXAS SOUTHERN.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL on Virginia Tech.

I like VT to build off yesterday's 67-64 win over Notre Dame. The Hokies didn't cover, but they got the win.

The play with revenge here as well after falling 73-69 to NC State as 5.5-point favs in January. Note that VT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

I think the Wolfpack get caught off-guard here. The outright is obviously a very real possibility, but let's grab the points.

The play is VIRGINIA TECH.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SOUTHLAND TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER McNeese State/Texas A&M CC.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I expect this one to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

McNeese State has now seen the total go OVER in five straight after starting the tournament with back-to-back upset victories. Note that the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row.

They play with revenge after a 77-54 loss to Texas A&M CC as 5.5-point undredog at home back in February.

Suffice it to say I'm expecting a similar final combined score here today as well. 

The Islanders enjoyed a double-bye to reach this point and I think they'll double down on the defensive side here as they look to take advantage of his now fatigued Cowboys team.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SPECIAL on the UNDER Louisville/BC.

The ACC Tournament gets underway and a couple of bottom feeders go head-to-head here.

Louisville finished just 4-27, while BC finished 15-16.

Louisville was 0-11 on the road this year. It lost 75-65 to BC as a 9.5-point underdog in January. That's significant to note here though, as the Cardinals have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against a conference opponent.

Expect the rematch to be a much tighter, and lower-scoring defensvie affair. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BAIL-OUT on Gonzaga.

After two straight SU/ATS victories to open up the West Coast Conference Tournament, I expect a letdown here finally from the Dons. They needed OT to get by Santa Clara last time out and I believe fatigue will be a major issue here.

Gonzaga is always a heavy favorite, but not quite "heavy" enough here in my opinion. It comes into the tournament on fire with seven straight victories. The Bulldogs won and covered at home over San Fran by a score of 99-81 and I expect a similar final combined score here as well.

Lay the points, the play is GONZAGA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY on Idaho State.

While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. 

This one ticks off all the boxes for a great situational play here on the College hardwood, as this is the opener of the Big Sky Conference Tournament, which sees Idaho State and Montana facing off on a neutral court. 

The Bengals plays with revenge here after falling 69-61 at home to Montana as 3.5-point underdogs in February. Note that Idaho State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent.

The stage is set for a tight battle until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points.

The play is IDAHO STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER W&M/Hofstra.

This is the second round of the CAA Conference Tournament. Hofstra received a bye in the first roud after finishing 23-8.

It comes into the Tournament having seen lthe total go UNDER in five straight games, and that's significant to note here, as the Pride have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row.

Not surprisingly, the Tribe play with revenge here after falling 75-62 to Hofstra as seven-point dogs on January 7th. Note that William and Mary have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five though in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conferece home loss vs. an opponent.

The Tribe easily moved past Elon 73-51 yesterday afternoon and I expect another good offensive showing here as well in this revenge spot.

This one has all the makings of a shootout IMO, so the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER Butler/Xavier.

It's the final game of the regular season for each team and I'm expecting a wide-open SHOOT-OUT.

Butler has seen the total go UNDER in nine straight. It fell 69-67 to Xavier at home in February, and while that total did also go UNDER the number, I look for this anticapted faster-paced affair to produce plenty of offensive fireworks.

As note that Butler has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. 

Xavier has won two straight on the road. Both totals went OVER the number. At 22-8, the Musketeers look to close out the regular season and enter the conference tourney on a roll.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA TOM on the UNDER FIU/Rice.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect more of a defensive affair here in their final regular-season game of the year.

FIU is just 13-17, including only 2-10 on the road. It's coming in off five straight losses. It'll be still mentally hung up on the last one, falling 77-76 in OT to Louisiana Tech. The Panthers have seen the total go OVER in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note of, as FIU has in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

FIU plays with revenge as well after an 85-78 home loss to Rice as a three-point favorite on February 11th, which is also important to take note of, as the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Look for the rematch to be a tight, lower-scoring UNDER once the final buzzer sounds.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY on Gardner Webb.

Gardner Webb finished the regular season at 15-15, while South Carolina Upsate was 15-14. 

The Bulldogs finished with four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here for us, as Gardner Webb is still 8-3 ATS in its last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

Also note, the Bulldogs lost 75-69 to South Carolina Upstate as a 2.5-point favorite in these team's final regular season game of the year.

That's also working in our favor here though, as Gardner Webb is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Look for the Bulldogs to exact a little revenge here in this neutral site contest. The play is GARDNER WEBB.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* WINNER Monmouth.

This is the first round of the CAA Championship and it's wo that favors 6-25 Monmouth in my opinion. 

Note that Hampton is just 7-23. Both teams have been brutal on both ends of the court this season. 

Monmouth plays with the added incentive of revenge here though after falling 86-81 to Hampton on the road as a two-point dog just about two weeks ago. 

That was a very competitive game, but the Pirates don't have the home-floor advantage, as this is a neutral site game.

Grab the points, the play is MONMOUTH.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Evansville.

Evansville is just 5-26, but after five straight SU losses, note tha it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more SU losses in a row.

The Purple Aces also play with "revenge" here after falling 83-65 to Indiana State at home on February 1st as a l4-point underdog. 

The Sycamores are 20-11. They had a string of nine straight ATS victories in a row going for bettors until their final game of the regular season, falling 66-62 to Missouri State as eight-point favorites.

I think they're overvalued here now as well in this neutral site affair.

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Grab the points, the play is EVANSVILLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NORTHEASTERN TOURNEY GOY on LIU.

LIU is a terrible team it's just 3-25, including only 1-13 on the road. 

Merrimack is a poor team at 15-16, including 7-6 at home.  

The Sharks play with revenge here after falling 80-59 as 12.5-point underdogs on February 25th at home, which is significant to note here, as LIU is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. This is in fact a double revenge (both SU and ATS) for LIU.

It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, and even more difficult to beat it both SU and ATS three times.

I believe that Merrimack will earn another elusive victory today, but I do also firmly believe that this spread is a few points larger that in really should be.

The value now swings to the undervalued underdog.

The play is LIU.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* PATRIOT LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY on Holy Cross.

Neither team is very good. Loyola Maryland finished 12-19 and in seventh in the Conference, while Holy Cross was right below it in eighth with a 10-21 record.

The last time these teams played against each other, Loyola Maryland earned the 90-68 victory as a 4.5-point favorite just last week.

"Revenge" is a dish best served cold they say, and I hear that it's absolutely freezing at Loyola Maryland today. 

Note that Holy Cross is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent.

Also note that it did win the first matchup with the Greyhounds in the 63-55 victory back on January 8th.

These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is HOLY CROSS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Montana State.

I love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Two really good teams going head-to-head here in the final game of the regular season for these Big Sky opponents.

Montanta State is 21-9, including 9-5 on the road, while Eastern Washington is 22-8, including 11-0 at home.

The Bobcats would love nothing more than to hand the Eagles their first loss of the season at home, while at the same time avenging a 70-67 loss to EWU as six-point favorites on December 31st.

Note that Montana State is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent. 

Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can.

The play is MONTANA STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Valparaiso.

I love the way this one sets up for Valparaiso to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch.

Valpo is just 11-19. It's off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here as the Beacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

They also play with revenge here after a 77-70 OT home loss to Murray State as three-point underdogs back in December, which is also important to note here, as Valporaiso is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent.

Murray State is getting just a little too much respect here in my opinion, after an 84-69 road loss at Missouri State last time out.

I'm not calling for the outright upset, but this one comes "right down to the wire."

Grab the points, the play is VALPARAISO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG SKY GOY on Idaho.

I love the way this one sets up for Idaho here. The Vandals are just 10-19, including 4-10 on the road, while Weber State is 15-14, including 7-4 at home.

Idaho though is playing with revenge here after a 73-65 loss at home to Weber State as a 2.5-point underdog in January, and that's significant to note here as the Vandals are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent.

And with an even "easier" game upcoming vs. 8-21 Northern Arizona on the road to end the regular season, there's every reason to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half of this one.

Look for IDAHO to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* MAC SUPER TOTAL on the OVER NIU/CMU.

These teams played to a lower-scoring UNDER when they played earlier in the season, but all signs point to this rematch flying OVER the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

NIU won that game by a score of 73-54. Note though that the Chips have seen the total go OVER the number in nine of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. 

CMU is coming off B2B losses. It fell 63-35 in its last outing at Buffalo. Note though that CMU has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after a loss in which it was held to 41 or fewer points in.

NIU has lost three straight, and the Huskies have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last seven after three or more SU losses in a row.

As mentioned above, all signs point to this games total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Iowa.

MSU is 17-10, but it's just 3-5 on the road. Iowa is 17-11, but it's 13-2 at home. 

Look for the home floor advantage to prove to be BIG in the outcome of this one.

One other factor working in Iowa's favor here is that it plays with revenge after falling 63-61 at MSU back in January, and that's significant to note, as the Hawkeyes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent.

The play is IOWA.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE BLOWOUT on Richmond.

Richmond has done well in this spot for bettors, and I expect this strong trend to continue here.

The Spiders have been trading wins and losses over their last five games, but off an 81-78 SU win over Saint Louis as an underdog, I look for them to keep the momentum rolling. They also play with revenge here after 74-62 at home to VCU as 1.5-point favorites back in January. Note that Richmond is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.

No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is RICHMOND.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* ASUN TOY on the OVER Austin Peay/FGCU.

This one sets up well to be high-scoring affair from a situational stand point.

This is the final game of the regular season for both teams. Austin Peay has seen the total go UNDER the number in six straight. 

That's significant to note though, as the Governors have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 still after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row.

Florida Gulf Coast plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 61-59 to Austin Peay as a 4.5-point favorite back on January 5th. That's also important to note here, as the Eagles have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent.

Look for this final game of the regular season to be a wide open one, and as a result, expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Louisiana Tech/WKU.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. 

Louisiana Tech is 13-14, including just 4-9 on the road, while WKU is 14-13 overall, including 8-4 at home.

The Bulldogs have lost four straight and they've seen the total go OVER in three straight. Note though that Louisiana Tech has see the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

The last time these teams played against each other was at WKU, and the Hilltoppers would finally pull away for an 84-74 OT win on January 19th, covering the four-point spread, and the total blastig past the posted number of 141.5.

Note as well that WKU has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. 

WKU has actually seen the total go OVER the number in five straight. It's lost back-to-back high-scoring and tight road games.

Now back home, I look for WKU to double down on the defensive end.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Maine.

Neither team has been great this year. Maine is 11-15, and New Hampshire is 12-13. Both have been better at home than on the road, but on January 11th, New Hampshire upset Maine on the road by a score of 71-58 as a four-point dog. 

Note though that the Black Bears 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite to an opponent.

Maine is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row, as despite a 74-72 outright win over Albany last time out, the Bears have indeed dropped three straight ATS right now.

While the outright is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with MAINE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* A.E. GOM om UMBC.

This one sets up great for the home side. UMass is 22-7 this year, but just a pedestrian 8-7 on the road.

UMBC is 17-12 overall this season, but 13-2 in front of the home town crowd.

This is a revenge game for UMBC, which fell 81-75 at UMass as a four-point dog back in mid January. 

Note though that the Retreivers are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. 

The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points with UMBC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Toledo/Akron.

Two of the best in the conference duke it out here, but instead of a high-scoring shootout, I believe that this one sets up to be a very defensive affair. 

Akron is 19-8, but just 5-4 on the road. Akron is 21-6, including 11-1 at home. 

The Zips have seen the total go OVER in three of their last four, but note that they play with revenge here after an 84-74 loss at home to the Rockets as two-point favorites at the start of February.

Akron though has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent in which it was the favorite. 

Toledo has won 11 in a row. It's seen the total go OVER in three straight, which is significant to note here, as the Rockets have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Expect the rematch between these two conference heavyweights to be a very defensive affair. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* ULTIMATE REVENGE BLOOD-BATH on Buffalo.

This particular play is indeed based entirely around the "revenge" factor.

CMU is 10-17, including just 3-10 on the road, while Buffalo is 12-15 overall, but 9-4 at home.

The Bulls play with revenge after falling 87-78 in OT at CMU in mid-January.

Note that Buffalo is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was the favorite vs. an opponent.

Revenge is a dish best served "cold," they say, and I hear that it's FREEZING in Buffalo tonight.

Lay the points, the play is the BULLS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG WEST GAME OF THE YEAR on Cal Poly Slo. 

UC Irvine is currently No. 1 in the Big West, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today, leaving the back door wide open for a solid cover for Cal Poly Slo, which is currently 11th in the Conference.

The Mustangs play with revenge here after a tight 55-54 loss at UC Irvine two weeks ago. The Anteaters easily covered with the 13.5 points in that one, and I'm expecting a similar "gutty" performance here now at home as well from Cal Poly Slo.

I think this one'll be much tighter than what this spread is suggesting. Grab the points, the play is CAL POLY SLO.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8 MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT on the UNDER Hawaii/CSU Bakersfield.

The last time these teams played against each other, the total went OVER the number, but I'm expecting more of a defensive battle this time around. 

Hawaii beat CSU Bakersfield by a score of 72-69 as a 16-point favorite at home back in January. The total went OVER the number of 119.5 in that one. 

Note though that CSU Bakersfield has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in tryihng to avenge a conference road loss against an opponent. The Roadrunners have actually see the total go OVER the number in nine straight now.

That's only helped in driving this particular total a few points higher than it normally would/should be though.

Look for a very defensive, lower-scoring UNDER in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Belmont/Drake.

Two of the best in the conference go head to head here in this Missouri Valley matchup, and in my opinion, all signs point to more of a defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Belmont is 19-9, including just 6-6 on the road though, while Drake is 22-6, including 12-1 at home.

Belmont plays with revenge here after falling 79-61 at home to the Bulldogs back on January 29th, but note that the Bruis have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. 

Drake has won eight in a row. It's now seen the total go OVER in six straight. But note that the Bulldogs have still seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row.

Expect this highly-competitive battle to be a defensive one.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the UNDER ECU/SMU.

Neither team is very good, and I'm expecting that a combination of ineptitude and aggressive defensive play will lead to this total staying UNDER the posted number.

ECU is 13-12, but just 1-6 on the road. It averages only 69.8 PPG, while allowing 70.2. The Pirates have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five, and while their last game vs. SMU did fly OVER the number in their 77-72 upset home victory as two-point dogs back on February 4th, I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the rematch.

Note that SMU has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite against an opponet. 

SMU has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine, including four straight. Off back-to-back high-scoring losses, I look for the Mustangs, who are just 9-18 overall and only 6-8 at home, to double down on the defensive end this evening.

In my estimation, this total is a little high. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA TOY on the UNDER WKU/Rice.

Everything points to this one being a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

WKU is 14-12, including only 4-7 on the road. It's three-game win streak was snapped in a 68-64 OT loss at Charlotte last time out. The Hilltoppers have seen the total go OVER the number in four straight, but note that they've seen the total go UNDER in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. They play with revenge here as well after falling 81-78 to Rice as six-point favorites on December 29th, and that's significant to note here, as WKU has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Rice has seen the total go OVER in five straight, but note that the Owls have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. 

Expect a hard-fought and competitive game, but one that falls UNDER the number once it's all said and done.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Albilene Christian/Grand Canyon.

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here.

These teams have played each a total of three times, and Grand Canyon is 3-0. That includes a 75-73 win back in January. Note though that Albilen Christian has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a conference loss vs. an opponent. 

The Wildcats average 70.4 PPG, while the Antelopes average 70.2. I don't see either team reaching its offensive average here though in the rematch.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SEC GOM on Tennessee.

I think that this is one favors No. 10 Tennessee at home.

Alabama is No. 1 and it's led by Brandon Miller. The Tide are 22-3 and 12-0 in SEC action.

They won for the 12th time in their last 13 games in a 77-69 victory at Auburn on Saturday.

Miller leads the way most nights for the Tide with 18.8 points and 8.2 boards per game, but he saw his streak of 15 straight games in which he made a 3-pointer come to an end last time out.

Alabama is winning despite not getting the best play out of its best player.

Tennessee has taken a bit of a step back of late, but that fact only adds fuel to the fire for a better performance here.

The Volunteers are still 19-6 overall this year and 8-4 in league play, but clearly the Vols are going to be eager to get back on track after back-to-back one-point losses.

First losing 66-65 at Vanderbilt, before dropping an 86-85 contest to Missouri on Saturday.

Tennessee did overcome a 17-point second half deficit in the latest loss and while the Volunteers did come up short, I think they can keep that momentum rolling here to open up this game as well.

These teams haven't played since 2021 and Alabama won that one by a score of 73-68.

It's a bit of a revenge game here for Tennessee. The Vols are the more motivated team after back-to-back one point heartbreakers, and they're playing at home.

Give me the VOLUNTEERS to cover this manageable spread.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MEAC TOY on the UNDER Delaware State/Norfolk.

As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I think this one really does set up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle.

These teams have been playing to so many OVERS of late, that this O/U line is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be.

Norfolk has seen the total go OVER the number in eight straight games. That run of OVERS started with a 78-65 win over Delaware State.

Note that the Hornets have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Hornets only average 64.7 PPG, so the last thing they can do is turn this into a "shootout" in their revenge bid this evening.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* ACC GOY on UNC.

Miami is 20-5, and UNC is 16-9.

The Hurricanes one weakness this season has been their play on the road, where they're a pedestrian 5-4 so far.

The Tar Heels have not lived up to their lofty expectations before the season started, but they've consistently been at their best in front of the home town crowd with an 11-1 record.

Miami has won four straight, but note that the Hurricanes are just 3-6 in their last nine after three or more straight SU wins in a row.

The Tar Heels are the hungrier team here after snapping a three-game skid with a convincing win over Clemson. 

Miami doesn't matchup well against UNC big man Armando Bacot. The Hurricanes only rank 126th in defensive efficiency. 

Look for UNC to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to pull away for the comfortable win and cover once the final horn blares.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* WALLET-EXPANDER on Cleveland State.

The outright win is definitely in the cards, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

Youngstown State is 20-6, most recently coming off an 81-72 road win over Purdue Fort Wayne. Cleveland State is 15-11 and coming off an inspiring 57-55 home win over Robert Morris. 

The Penguins average 83.5 PPG, while allowing 72.7. The Vikings are averaging 70.4 PPG, while allowing just 67.2.

The Vikings also rank 29th in the country in offensive rebounds, with 10.7 per game. The Penguins rank 193rd, with 8.3. 

The home team has covered in five of the last seven between these teams and I expect that strong trend to continue here.

Grab the points, the play is CLEVELAND STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* WAC TOY on the UNDER Grand Canyon/Seattle.

Sets up really well from a number of different angles to bea  lower-scoring battle.

Grand Canyon is 16-8, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's played to TEN STRAIGHT "overs" and I believe that's definitely helped in driving tonight's O/U line with Seattle a few points higher than it normally would/should be. 

The Antelopes beat Seattle 78-66 earlier in the season, and the total went OVER the number of 139.5 in that one.

Note though that Seattle (17-8, 10-1), has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* IVY LEAGUE GOY on Dartmouth.

Princeton is a bit over-priced here. I think that it stumbles here on the road just enough to allow the hungry home side to comfortably cover with the healthy spread that it's been afforded in this one.

The Tigers are off back-to-back SU/ATS home wins, but in their last road game they fell 87-65 at Yale as three-point underdogs.

I like Big Green here. They're coming off two straight SU/ATS home losses, but when they played at Princeton on January 21st, they lost 93-90 in OT as 12-point underdogs.

I think the stage is now set for a very tight battle. I'm not calling for the outright, but I expect this one to come "down to the wire."

Grab the points, the play is DARTMOUTH.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Penn State.

Penn State won't be going down without a fight here today. The Nittany Lions are a thorn in everyone's side this year in the Big Ten, as you can't let your guard down with this deep team.

Penn State has an extremely efficient offense, that averages 115.4 points per 100 possessions. 

Maryland WAS riding a four-game win streak before a 63-58 loss to the Spartans.

I say the Terps are vulnerable here, and while I won't call for the outright, I'm indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn.

Grab the points, the play is PENN STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MAC TOM on the UNDER Akron/Ohio.

Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring contests of late, but everything points to a very defensive affair here tonight finally in my opinion. 

Akron is 17-7 overall, but just 4-3 on the road.

Ohio is only 13-11 overall, but it's 10-1 at home.

Akron is off an 84-74 loss to Toledo as a two-point fav. Note though that the Zips have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite.

Ohio has now won back-to-back games. It's seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last seven. 

Four of their last five vs. each other have gone OVER the number, but I expect this to be a competitive affair, and a much tighter and more defensive one finally than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Canisius.

I'm not predicting an outright win, but I think that 16-7 Iona comes in a bit complacent here, and the revenge-minded home side keeps it close down the stretch. 

Iona comes in off three straight wins, most recently a 70-61 road victory at Fairfield as a seven-point favorite. Now it's a double-digit favorite, and I just think this spread has ballooned a few points higher than it normally would/should be.

Canisius is off five straight losses, but note that the Golden Griffins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU losses in a row. 

And as I mentioned, they play with revenge here as well after a 90-60 loss at Iona earlier in the season, and note that Canisius is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. 

With a much more high-profile game at 13-9 Niagara in two nights, this also sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side.

No outright, but MUCH closer than expected.

Grab the points, the play is CANISIUS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* OHIO VALLEY TOY on the UNDER Tennessee Martin/Eastern Illinois.

Situationally, this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair here between these usually high-scoring offensive clubs.

Tennessee Martin is 15-10 overall this year, but just 3-9 on the road. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, which is significant to note here, as the Skyhawks have in fact seen the total go UNDER in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Tennessee Martin beat Eastern Illinois by a score of 91-78 in January, and the total blasted past the posted number of 142 in that one. 

Today's total is much higher, and it's a clear over-reaction in my opinion, as additionally hnote that the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent.

Look for this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* AMERICA EAST GOY on Albany.

Bryant is 15-8, but just 5-5 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back home victories, but in its last road game it fell 84-67 at Binghamton as a 7.5 point favorite. I just don't trust the Bulldogs on the road.

Albany is only 6-19, but it's 3-5 at home. It plays with revenge here after falling 86-69 at Bryant back in January. The Great Danes have lost seven straight, both SU and ATS, but that fact has only helped in bumping up their spread a few points higher than it normally would/should be. And note, Albany is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent.

No outright, but expect this one to come "down to the wire." The play is ALBANY.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY TOY on the UNDER Drake/Murray State.

Murray State is 13-11, and Drake is 19-6. Murray State has seen the total go OVER the number in nine straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this total with Drake a few points higher than it normally would/should be.

Note that the Racers are off a humbling 99-56 loss at Indiana State as seven-point dogs. That's important for us to note, as Murray State has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 59 or fewer points in.

Drake has won five straight. It's gone to OT in each of its last two games and won and covered in each. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but note that the Bulldogs have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Expect a highly competitive, but lower-scoring UNDER in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER Texas.

Kansas has played a tough schedule, but it's lost four of its last six games. The Longhorns have struggled in Lawrence over the years, but here's the perfect moment to pull off an upset.

The Longhorns already have conference road wins over K-State, WVU, Oklahoma and OKS. They average 79.9 PPG (No. 1 in the conference), and they have the best scoring margin at +11.8 PPG. 

The outright is possible, but grab the points with TEXAS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SWAC GOM on Prairie View A&M.

Two poor teams, but I say that home floor advantage turns out to be the difference-maker.

Florida A&M is just 5-15, while Prairie View A&M is 8-15. 

The Panthers have the best defense in the conference, and I don't trust A&M's offense to produce anything on the road. 

This line should in fact be larger.

The play is PRAIRIE VIEW A&M.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG TEN GOY on Nebraska.

Penn State is 14-8, but only 1-5 on the road. 

Nebraska is only 10-13, but it's 7-3 at home.

The Huskers play with revenge here after falling 76-65 at Penn State as eight-point dogs back in January.

Note that Nebraska is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent.

The play is NEBRASKA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* REVENGE BK on Tulsa.

I think an outright is possible, but I'll suggest grabbing the points. 

This is indeed a "revenge" game for Tulsa, which fell 73-69 at Wichita State on January 14th. 

It was an "easy" cover for the Golden Hurricane, who had ten-points afforded to them. 

Wichita State has had success for bettors on the road this season, but I expect that streak to come to an end here with a date at UCF up next after this to look ahead to.

Grab the points, the play is TULSA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NORTHEAST GOY on St. Francis PA.

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

St. Francis PA is only 8-14, including just 1-11 on the road. The good news though is that Merrimack is just 8-16 this season, including only 4-6 at home.

The Red Flash have lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important to note in our case here, as St. Francis PA is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

When these teams last played last season, Merrimack scored the 65-64 road win. We can absolutely expect another competitive "nail-biter" here as well.

Merrimack only averages 58.9 PPG, while St. Francis PA averages 73.3. The difference comes on the defensive end obviously, but that said, the Red Flash catch a big break today on that end of the court.

I do think an outright win is possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with ST. FRANCIS PA.

Good luck, NP

This is an A-10 TOY on the OVER VCU/Saint Louis.

Both teams have been playing to several UNDERS of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. 

VCU is 8-2 in its last ten, but it's coming off three straight UNDERs (which is actually very signficant for us to note here, as the Rams have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERs in a row), while Saint Louis is 7-3 in its last ten, and it's seen the total go UNDER the number in two straight.

This is the first matchup of the season between the teams, but last March Saint Louis won by a score of 69-65. We can expect a much faster pace here though between two of the top in the Conference. 

VCU averages 70.4 PPG, while Saint Louis averages 76.2. Look for the tempo of this one to help in pushing this total OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* ASUN GOY on North Florida.

This the opener of a home and home set for North Florida and Jacksonville. While I'm stopping short in calling for an outright upset, I do believe that this contest will come "down to the wire." 

North Florida has lost three straight both SU and ATS. Note though that it's 7-2 ATS in its lasrt nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. 

The Ospreys average 75 PPG, while the Dolphins average 65. Jacksonville makes up for it on the other end, allowing just 62.2 PPG. Jacksonville has been trading ATS wins and losses over its last ten games though, and after a 74-64 win over Central Arkansas last time out, I believe this strong pattern continues here.

This is a bit of TRAP game for the home side. Grab the points, the play is NORTH FLORIDA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG SOUTH GOM on High Point.

I'm not calling for the outright win, but I think this sets up well for the revenge-minded High Point Panthers, who lost to UNC Asheville 76-72 at home as two-point favorites back on January 4th. 

Note that High Point is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. 

The Panthers are bad, but they're a bit undervalued here after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note though that High Point is also 6-2 ATS in is last eight after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

UNCA is 8-0 SU its last eight, but this is a few too many points to be giving up here in my opinion.

I say these teams play to another competitive and tight battle here as well. Grab the points, the play is HIGH POINT.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SOUTHERN GOY on Samford.

I think Samford should be a bigger favorite in this matchup. It's 14-9 overall, while Western Carolina is 12-11. 

The Bulldogs are tough on both ends of the court, averaging 78.3 PPG, while allowing 71. 

The Catamounts have been decent as well, averaging 74.7 PPG, and conceding 69.2.

The favorite is 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 in this series. Samford is 0-3 ATS in its last three, but that's signficant to note as well, as the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row.

Samford is the better team, and it won't be looking past the Catamounts. I expect the Bulldogs to keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds.

Lay the points, the play is SAMFORD.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MAC TOY on the UNDER Ball State/Bowling Green.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I finally expect those trends to end this evening.

Ball State is 14-7, but just 4-4 on the road. It's comig off an 87-69 wi over NIU. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but note that the Cardinals have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Ball State averages 75.6 PPG, while Bowling Green averages 78.1. The Green Falcons are off a 91-77 home loss to Toledo, which is significant for us to take note of, as BG has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 14 off a SU/ATS loss in which it allowed 90 or more points in.

Expect the 10-11 home side to double down defensively today in trying to pull off the SU upset.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SWAC GOY on Jackson State.

I'm not calling for an outright, but in a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The Tigers are just 6-15, while the Jaguars are 10-10.

So far Jackson State is averaging 6l6 PPG, while allowing 76.5. Despite going 2-1 SU in its last three, it's 0-3 ATS, which is signficant to note here as the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row.

Southern averages 75.3 PPG, while allowing 73.1. The Jaguars have been ATS covering "machines" of late, but I think this spread is now a little inflated. NOte that they are in fact just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row.

I expect a very competitive battle until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points.

The play is JACKSON STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* AAC TOY on the UNDER USF/SMU.

As primiarly a situational handicapper at heart, these are the types of games that I wait for to come along each season. This one ticks all the boxes for me.

Both teams need a win. USF is just 9-12, and SMU is just 7-14. Look for this competitiveness to translate into a tight, defensive affair here.

USF has now seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last ten, including six straight after a 79-76 OT loss at Temple. That's significant to note here though, as the Bulls have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row.

SMU has played to three straight OVERS, and that's also important for us to take note of, as the Mustangs have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

This O/U line is now inflated a few points higher than it normally would/should be.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* MONEY-BOMB on UAB.

UAB is 14-7, but just 1-4 on the road. Rice is 15-5, and it's 10-2 at home. 

Despite that, I think that the Blazers are undervalued here. UAB has lost nine of ten ATS. That's skewed this line here finally in my opinion. 

The Blazers average 82.6 PPG, while allowing 71.3, while th eOwls average 80.7, while conceding 73.1.

The favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five in this series, and I look for that near-perfect streak to continue.

The play is UAB.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* AE GOM on UMBC.

UMBC has been trading ATS wins and losses for seven straight games, and off a 69-65 upset loss at NJIT last time out, I belive this pattern continues.

NOte that UMBC is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite.

It's also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent, which occured on January 1st, falling 74-61 to Vermont as a two-point home dog.

Vermont is off three straight SU/ATS victories, which is significant to note here, as it's just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU victories in a row.

Despite Vermont's home record, I say this one favors the visitors.

The play is UMBC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* HORIZON LEAGUE TOTAL OF YEAR on the UNDER Oakland/Youngstown State.

This one sets up to be a defensive affair from a situational stand point, but it's also backed by a couple of strong and relative O/U trends.

Oakland is in need of wins as it comes to town 9-12. Youngstown State is 15-6. These teams played two weeks ago and the Penguins won by a score of 85-69 at Oakland, the total going OVER the number of 151.5 in that one. 

Tonight's total is a couple points higher, and now it's a little too high. Nte that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. 

Youngstown State is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but after its five-game win streak was snapped in an 88-75 loss to Milwaukee, I'm expecting it to come out more focussed on the defensive end this evening vs. the offensively challenged Grizzlies. 

Note as well that the Penguins have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

Expect a much tigher, and more defensive battle than what we saw between these schools in Oakland. 

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* PAC 12 TOY on the UNDER ASU/Washington.

This one sets up great to be a lower-scoring game from situational and trends based reasons.

ASU has seen the total go OVER the number in six straight now after its most recent 77-69 loss to USC, but that's significant for us to note, as the Sun Devils have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

ASU beat Washington 73-65 at home as a 9-point favorite back on January 8th, and that total went OVER the number of 137.5 in that one.

Tonight's total is a few points higher, and now just TOO high in my opinion. Note that the Huskies have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. After playing to five straight OVERS themselves, I think tonight's total is indeed now inflated.

Look for a hard-fought conference battle, but expect this competitive atmosphere to finally produce a lower-scoring UNDER in the end.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GOM on Utah State.

Utah State will carry over its recent momentum here in my opinion after winning two straight. It's 16-4 overall and 5-2 in the MWM. 

SDSU has also won two in a row. The Aztecs are 8-1 in their last nine. 

In the Aggies most recent win, they came back from a seven-point half-time deficit to beat SJSU by a score of 75-74. In the end the Aggies would shoot 53.8 percent from the floor. Overall the Aggies average 80.6 PPG, while allowing 71.2. It's 3-2 on the road. 

SDSU is off a 70-60 win over Air Force, although the Aztecs shot only 42.6 percent from the floor. SDSU averages 75.1 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Aztecs are 9-1 at home.

I like UTAH STATE here, and I look for the Aggies superior offense to be the difference in the end.

The play is UTAH STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER BG/CMU.

Neither team is having a great season. CMU is 7-12 overall and 2-4 in league play. It's coming off a 96-68 loss at Ohio, but note that it's seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five off a SU/ATS loss in which it allowed 95 or more points in.

BG is 9-10 and 3-3 in MAC action. It just broke a three-game slide with an 83-73 win at home over Miami Ohio. 

Central Michigan only averages 67.4 PPG. It plays at one of the slowest paces in the nation. Because it's at home here, we can expect it to set the tone.

Bowling Green averages 77.9 PPG, but I don't see the visitors coming to close to reaching their offensive average tonight. 

This is a game that both teams will believe that it can win. Expect this competitive battle to be a tighter, lower-scoring one though.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF TOW on the UNDER Chicago State/CC.

Chicago State is just 4-16. That includes going 0-16 SU on the road.

Despite having seen the total go OVER in three straight, note that Chicago State still only averages 66.8 PPG. Also note that it's in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Coastal Carolina is 2-1 over its last three games, and it's also seen the total go OVER the number in three straight. That includes in back-to-back OT contets.

Suffice it to say, I'm not expecting another OT contest here. I'm not laying the points, but everything points to this O/U line being a few points higher than it should be.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Mount St. Mary's.

As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I like the way this one sets up for Mount St. Mary's.

Both teams have struggled on both sides of the ball, but the home-court advantage, coupled with the immediate "revenge factor" makes the home side the correct call here.

Marist did indeed beat Mount St. Mary's at home by a score of 63-56 as a 1-point favorite at the start of January.

Note that Mount St. Mary's is 7-2-1 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent.

Look for the home side to use the revenge angle as motivation today and lay the points with confidence.

The play is on MOUNT ST. MARY'S.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BIG WEST TOY on the OVER CSU Fullerton/CSU Northridge.

This big play is for the most part a great "situational" selection. 

CSU Fullerton is 10-10, but just 2-7 on the road. It's coming off a 72-67 loss to LBSU. It averages just 69.8 PPG, but note that it had seen the total go OVER the number in two straight previous to that.

Fullerton catches a break here facing CSU Northridge's defense today as well. the Matadors are struggling on both ends of the court this season at 3-16. They're 3-5 at home though. They only average 63.7 PPG. They're coming off a 72-52 loss at UC Santa Barbara, but that's significant to note here though as the Matadors have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last six after a SU/ATS loss of 20 or more points.

The overall situation, combined with the above trend do indeed tip the scales in favor of a faster-paced, and higher-scoring affair here between these two hungry teams.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* SEC GOY on Mississippi State.

The Gators are 10-8 SU, and they're coming off a 54-52 road loss to Texas A&M. 

The Bulldogs are 12-6, but just 1-5 in league action. They're coming off a 70-59 home loss to Tennessee.

Neither team can be happy about its recent performance, but I say that home floor advantage ultimately turns out to be the difference-maker in this one.

The Gators average 65.1 PPG, and allow 70.7, while the Bulldogs average 65.3 PPG, while conceding only 58.2. 

Florida can't be trusted on the road whatsoever. Look for the hungry home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish.

The play is MISSISSIPPI STATE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Villanova.

I always take "revenge" into account. It's a powerful motivating factor that teams can use to their advantage. 

That factor at times though can certainly be "overrated," and this is one of those cases in my opinion.

Villanova is 9-10, but it just broke a three-game slide with a 77-73 home win over Georgetown. It's lost four straight ATS.

It beat the Red Storm 78-63 at home back on December 21st, and while I am expecting a tighter game here, really I just think that this is a good matchup for the Wildcats once again.

The Red Storm are 2-1 in their last three and 3-0 ATS. They're off an epic 85-74 win at UConn as 14.5-point underdogs, and I say a predictable letdown here is absolutely in order.

Look for the underachieving visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably earn the ATS cover.

The play is VILLANOVA.

Good luck, NP