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This is a 10* MLS BEATODWN on Charlotte FC.

Montreal is 10-12 after three straight victories, but I think it runs out of gas here vs. 12-11 Charlotte that's looking to avenge a 2-1 loss at Montreal last month. 

Note that Charlotte is 4-2 in its last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. 

Charlotte's spot is guaranteed in the playoffs, but it won't want to back in and it'll be out to de-rail this dangerous Montreal side, who I do feel will finally show some fatigue here after three weeks of desperate style of play.

Lay the price, the play is CHARLOTTE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* UPSET PLAY on Ipswich Town.

These two teams are in fact moving in opposite directions as far as their form is concerned. That's funny to say obviously about 0-2 Ipswich Town, who actually enters off four straight draws.

I thought last week's 2-2 draw with Aston Villa was impressive and I believe it's now on the cusp of earning its first EPL victory this season.

And what better team to do that against than 1-3 West Ham, which enters off an uninspiring 1-1 draw with Brentford.

West Ham's new head coach Julen Lopetegui seems lost to me and I think the home side is WAY overvalued here.

The value here swings to IPSWICH TOWN.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on Atlanta.

Both teams are near the bottom of the table, but Montreal doesn't travel well and Atlanta plays with revenge here after a 1-0 loss at Montreal earlier in the season.

Montreal is off back-to-back home wins over San Jose and Chicago, but a predictable letdown is imminent in this great situational play.

Lay the price with confidence, as I think this one has blowout written all over it.

The play is ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* WINNER on Bayern.

Bayern Munich is on top form, at the top of the Bundesliga standings. They're off a 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen in their previous game.

Aston Villa is in fifth in the EPL, most recently off a poor 2-2 draw with lightweight Ipswich Town last week. 

BAYERN is off the huge opening victory and I think it'll pull away down the stretch for the comfortable victory.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* CHAMPIONS LEAGUE BOB on Salzburg.

Salzburg is coming off back-to-back wins entering this contest, most recently a 2-0 victory over Austria Wien in Austrian Bundesliga. Salzburg is unbeaten in eight at home and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here in Champions League action on Tuesday.

Brest is off a 3-0 loss against Auxerre in Ligue 1, where it sits 13th in the table.

Salzburg though has lost only two of its last 20 matches across all competitions, winning 14 since May. 

Brest on the other hand has lost its last three away games this year, conceding eight goals while posting just one of its own.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is SALZBURG.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on St. Louis City FC.

The MLS season is winding down, and two under-achieving sides collide here in St. Louis on Saturday night and in my opinion, the home-field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor.

St. Louis City looks to carry the momentum from a 2-1 win over San Jose. It's now picked up eight points from the last 15 available. 

St. Louis is still 11 points behind Minnesota with four games remaining, so the likelihood of making the playoffs is slim, but for sure the team enters this game on top form.

Sporting Kansas City is off a 3-1 defeat to LA Galaxy in the final of the US Open Cup on Thursday morning, and I say it carries over that hang over here.

A great situational play on ST. LOUIS FC.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Ajax.

Both teams advanced to the league phase through qualifiers a few weeks ago.

Ajax is unbeaten in its last four games, winning three, and I'm expecting it to keep that momentum rolling here. 

Beskitas enters on top form as well, having gone unbeaten over its first six competitions, winning six. 

But if history is any precedence, then Ajax has to be loving its chances, as it has won all six in this series (keeping three clean sheets) and scoring at least twice in each.

Ajax also only has two losses at home in its last 20 Europa League competitions, winning 13. Besiktas on the other hand has lost its last three Europa League road contests, allowing 11 goals and scoring just three times. 

Look for the home field to play a factor here and for AJAX to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* NO-MERCY BLOOD-BATH on Galatasary.

PAOK isn't going to roll over, but I still believe that Galatasary is worth the price of admission here at home in this matchup.

Galatasary has a 75% win rate at home this year and has won four of its last six matches across all leagues outright. 

PAOK has actually won four of its last five away games, but Galatsaray's Turkish striker Alper Yilmaz is on fire right now, netting three goals in his last four appearances.

Look for the home side's depth on offense to be the difference-maker here; the play is GALATASARY.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the OVER Arsenal/Man City.

Arsenal is 3-0-1 since returning from the break, but not one of its game has gone OVER the number. That's saying something obviously, as it seemingly flew OVER the number every other week last season.

Now it faces Man City, which is 4-0, having scored 11 goals and allowed just 3. Arsenal has six goals and conceded only 1.

Two really great defensive clubs in the early going, but I think there's now been a complete overreaction here and that this total will fly well OVER the number before it's all said and done.

This is a top of the table showdown and I'm expecting some fireworks here to cap off the EPL weekend on Sunday afternoon (especially with each off the back of goalless draws vs. Italian clubs in Champions League action earlier in the week.)

A great situational play. With each of these elite sides pushing the pace like I suspect, everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on the Red Bulls.

Atlanta earned a tough draw with Inter Miami, but it still sits in 11th and is in tough at the end of the season here. 

New York is in fifth and looking to secure a better spot in the post-season. 

The Red Bulls won't be looking past this favorable opportunity as it looks to end its six-game match winless streak. But at home the Red Bulls have been one of the best in their division, losing just once this season. 

And if recent history is any precedence, then the Red Bulls have to be loving their chances here, as they've won 10 of the last 16 in this series, including three of the last four.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is the RED BULLS.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* ULTIMATE PLAY on SK Sturm Graz (+0.5 goal)

Stade Brestois is host to Sturm Graz, which has won six straight. Stade Brestois lost 3-1 to PSG in their Ligue 1 clash last time out.

Brest finished third in Ligue 1 last year to secure its first-ever UEFA Champions League berth, but it runs into a super hot Sturm Graz side that's off a 4-1 win over Trainingzentrum Messendorf. 

Sturm Graz has won six straight, scoring 17 goals and conceding just five.

Stade Brestois has failed to win eight of its last nine, losing six and drawing two, while Sturm Graz has lost just one of their last 12 competitive away games.

The play is SK STURM GRAZ.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* WINNER on the DRAW between Shakhtar and Bologna.

Bologna makes its debut in the Champions League here and while it has better historical stats than its opponent, its current form leaves everything to be desired.

The Rossoblu have drawn three of their four Serie A games so far and are winless on the season, most recently playing to a 2-2 draw with Como last week.

Shakhtar came out of the break with a 5-2 home win over Karpay Lviv. 

Bologna though has drawn its last five competitive home games. But Shakhtar is winless in its last eight meetings vs. Italian teams in European competitions.

Considering all of these factors, a "war of attrition" appears the most likely outcome in my opinion.

Great value here on the DRAW option.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Real Salt Lake +0.5 goal.

Real Salt Lake is 13-6, while Houston is 11-8. These teams played in July and Real Salt Lake won by a score of 3-2.

Houston though has been shutout in two of its last three games, most recently a 0-0 draw with LAFC.

Real Salt Lake broke its 0-3-1 slide with an important 2-0 home win over New England last time out and with two weeks off to prepare for this one, I expect the visiting side to be extremely competitive here.

I thought about the "draw," and I thought about just taking Real Salt Lake to win this game outright. But after looking more closely at the lines, I've concluded that grabbing REAL SALT LAKE on the SPREAD OPTION (+0.5 goal), is the best overall value in this matchup.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOM on Vancouver.

I had Vancouver +180 in Austin last weekend, and I think the Whitecaps for sure offer great value at this price at home vs. FC Dallas, which doesn't travel well.

Dallas fell 3-2 to Colorado and we believe it'll have difficulty North of the border as well this weekend.

Vancouver has lost only once in its last nine in this series, and has never lost at home to Dallas (W3, D1.) 

The Whitecaps are playing sound on both end of the field and I expect that consistency to pay dividends in BC Place this weekend.

The play is on VANCOUVER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER LA/St. Louis.

St. Louis is 13th in the Western Conference with 24 points. St. Louis is off a high-scoring 4-4 draw with Portland and has played to several higher-scoring games of late, which is why today's total is a bit higher than it normally would/should be.

St. Louis will have a much more difficult time moving the ball here against LA, which won 2-0 over Atlanta United in its last outing. Marco Reus had an assist and a goal in that one.

The last time these teams played against each other it ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw, but with each side doubling down defensively like I suspect here on the lone game on Sunday, I say this O/U line is finally too high.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER Liverpool/Man U.

Liverpool has won b2b 2-0 victories to open the season, while Man-U is 1-1 after last week's shocking 2-1 defeat to Brighton.

Liverpool won 3-0 in the preseason this summer, and while the visitors are once again favored to win here on the road, goals are going to be at a premium.

Both sides are playing better defensively now and with these two coaches who are very familiar with each other, I'm anticpating these trends to carry over in this much-anticipated match.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Vancouver FC.

When these teams played in Vancouver before the Summer break back in May, they drew 0-0. I expect a similar competitive affair here in Austin.

Austin FC is 8-10 and came out of the break with a 2-0 win at Nashville, while Vancouver is 11-8 after having its five-game unbeaten streak in which it won four outright, come to an end in a 4-3 setback at home to Houston in its final game before the break. 

Austin FC has won just one of its last five home MLS contests.

The Whitecaps are fresh off a 1-0 win over Pacific FC in the Canadian Championship on Tuesday. The Caps already have six away wins this year, a record for the team in a single regular season since 2016. 

Look for VANCOUVER to come out firing in Austin this weekend.

Good luck NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Aston Villa.

Aston Villa came into the season determined to finish in the Top 6, and off a 2-0 loss to Arsenal at Villa Park, the visiting side won't be looking past this favorable opponent. 

Leicester lost 2-1 to Fulham last weekend, but bounced back mid week to defeat League Two side Tranmere Rovers 4-0 on Tuesday. 

Leicester has kept just one clean sheet in its last 25 top flight matches and only Man City and Arsenal have won more away games than Villa in the last 18 months.

Lay the reasonable price, the play is ASTON VILLA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the OVER Arsenal/Aston Villa.

In my opinion, the conditions are definitely correct for a much more offensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in this one.

Arsenal is off a comfortable, albeit less than impressive 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton.

Aston Villa snuck away with a sneaky 2-1 win over West Ham.

Each team will be confident going in, but note that the hosts haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five EPL matches. 

Arsenal also hasn't kept a clean sheet vs. Villa in its last five vs. the home side.

With each team pushing the pace like I suspect, everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Tottenham.

Tottenham has a full squad to take on newly-promoted Leicester and I think it'll do enough to win this game in regulation.

Tottenham missed out on a top four spot last year, and it'll be hungry to get back. The addition of Dominic Solanke should prove to be a big acquisition for the Spurs. 

Leicester has had a poor preseason and is still transitioning from Enzo Maresca to Steve Cooper. 

Leicester is without four key contributors as well, with forward Jamie Vardy and Patson Daka listed as questionable. Backup netminder Jakub Stolarczyk is now out for the season most likely, and centre-back Conor Coady is also out for at least four weeks.

The last five games between these teams have produced 28 goals, but the Foxes could struggle to even find the back of the net in this one.

In the end look for TOTTENHAM's depth to lead it to a solid victory in regulation in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the OVER Man City/Chelsea.

We have recent history between these sides to draw upon here to make an accurate prediction for this contest, as they met in the States just 15 days ago, and the Citizens posted the 4-2 victory.

I'm expecting another offensive affair here as well. 

Chelsea is looking to end a six-game slide in this series. Interestingly though the Blues have picked up more points than any other Premier League club from their opening matches of a new campaign. 

These teams recently played to a 4-4 draw here, and while I'm not expecting that many goals, everything definitely points to a few finding the back of the net today.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOP PLAY on the DRAW Aston Villa/West Ham.

West Ham finished in ninth place last year, while Aston Villa finished fourth.

West Ham finished its preseason with a 6-5 win after penalties over Celta Vigo, while Aston Villa lost 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in its finale.

In two of the last three in this series, its ended in a DRAW, as these sides are evenly matched and play a similar style.

West Ham has also lost just one of its last 12 Premier League matches in this series and everything once again points to a classic "war of attrition."

The value here lies with the DRAW option.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* ULTIMATE BLOWOUT play on Fulham (+1 on the spread option).

This could very well be a war of attrition, so you may want to even sprinkle a little on the "draw" option, but in the end I feel that Fulham will take Man U to the brink and that grabbing the visitors on the spread option holds the best value in this matchup.

Fulham finished 13th last year, but it beat Man U here last season. Fulham also had a great preseason.

Man U finished eighth, and its been very inconsistent in all play over the last year. 

It's also important to note that the away side has won three of the last four in this series.

For all the reasons listed above, the play is FULHAM on the SPREAD option.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* VALUE TOP PLAY on the DRAW Toronto FC/CF Montreal.

Playing "draws" is all about betting "situations," and ultimately about "line value." 

As primarily a "situational" capper, this one falls right into my "wheelhouse." 

Montreal is 6-9 and it's off a 2-2 draw with the Red Bulls. The last time these teams played though in Toronto, CF Montreal lost 5-1 back on May 18th. Montreal is arguably playing its best soccer of the season right now though having not lost over its last three games and I'm expecting another competitive effort here at home in this revenge spot. 

And for TFC, it enters at 8-14 after a listless 3-1 loss at Miami mid-week. TFC though always plays Montreal tight and in this classic "war of attrition," I believe the "DRAW" option offers the best overall value in this matchup.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS TOW on the UNDER St. Louis/Seattle.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I think we're in store for much more of a defensive battle here finally on Wednesday night from Seattle.

For the most part, this one sets up really well to be low-scoring game from a couple different situational stand points. 

St. Louis is just 4-9 after back-to-back 4-1 losses, most recently in Vancouver this past weekend. St. Louis plays with revenge though after falling 2-1 to the Sounders at home back on May 25th and note that it has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. 

Seattle is now 9-7 after four straight victories. It hasn't lost in MLS action in six straight. It's off the 1-0 win at Austin, and it's only conceded one goal in its last three games.

I believe Seattle will once again be sharp defensively here at home on Wednesday night and when you take into account the rest of the above-listed factors, the UNDER is for sure the correct call as far as the total is concerned in my opinion.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS TOM on the UNDER Vancouver/St. Louis.

Both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive "war of attrition" this time around finally in St. Louis on Saturday.

These two teams already played to a high-scoring game in Vancouver's 4-3 victory at home on June 29th.

That result however is for sure significant for us to take note of though, as St. Louis FC has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss vs. a opponent. 

Vancouver is 9-7 and hasn't lost in three games after a 1-1 draw at Montreal last time out.

St. Louis is 4-8 and with it doubling down defensively here like I expect, everything does indeed point to the UNDER as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! 

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EURO CUP GOW on Netherlands on the goal-line option (PICK +110).

Neither team has looked great in this tournament so far, but somehow they've advanced to the Semis.

I think this one favors the Netherlands though.

England was lucky to get past Switzerland in a 1-1 tie. The Dutch though looked great in the second half of their win over Turkey in their eventual 2-1 victory.

The English route has been a cakewalk and the Three Lions have looked pathetic.

The play is NETHERLANDS on the goal-line option.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the OVER France/Portugal.

In a repeat of the 2016 Euro Cup Final, in which France won, I'm predicting more goals than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Neither team looked great in the Round of 16, and each will be out to push the pace in this one in my estimation.

Both teams have struggled mightily to this point, and that's abnormal. Now there's been a complete over-reaction to this total in my opinion. 

These teams have most of the World's best players on the field in this one, and I say that finally their offenses show up here in this tournament.

In my opinion, everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later!

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* KO STAGE TOM on the OVER Belgium/France.

Two teams that had mediocre results in the group stage now collide here in the KO round, and in my opinion, everything points to this competitive battle flying "OVER" the number sooner, rather than later.

Belgium finished second in Group E and was held to a scoreless draw in its final contest.

France also failed to meet lofty expectations over th efirst three games and drew 1-1 with Poland last week.

These teams are very familiar with each other, having faced off 37 times in international competition.

I just think both of these underachieving sides will be pushing the pace from the outset after a lackluster Group State, and as such, I expect this total to indeed fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* KO ROUND TOY on the OVER Georgia/Spain.

I think Spain will really open up things offensively here in the KO round, and I also believe that Georgia will find the back of the net at least once. 

Because of that, I am going to make a play on the OVER here. In fact, these teams met in the qualifier a couple of months ago and combined for 7 goals in Spain's 7-0 victory.

Georgia finished in third place in Group F with a shocking 2-0 win over Portugal. 

Spain is undefeated and won 1-0 over Albania in their last game.

With the Spaniards now ready to push the pace after being eliminated from the Round of 16 in three of their last four appearancs in major international tournaments, and with Georgia keeping things interesting like I suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BK on Germany.

Germany absolutely destroyed Scotland by a score of 5-1 in the Tournament's opening game, sending an early message. It then cruised into the KO round with a convincing 2-0 win over Hungary. 

After that they drew 1-1 with Switzerland, conserving their game-plan and not tipping their hand as to save something for this exact moment.

Denmark has played well, but not grat. It enters off three straight draws, including a scoreless one vs. Serbia to finish second in Group C.

De Rod-Hvide have failed to live up to expectations and simply lack the offensive talent to keep pace with a German side that's rested and prepared to really lay the hammer down.

Honestly, I feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on GERMANY.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL WIN on the UNDER Portugal/Georgia.

This is a great common sense play. Portugal has already punched its ticket to the KO round. It won't want to lose, but it'll be resting some stars and have a much different game-plan overall.

Georgia needs to win outright and get some help, but the bottom line here is it lacks the offensive firepower to effectively breakdown this strong Portugal backline.

While each side has seen plenty of goal-scoring action over their first two games, this third one points to a lower-scoring defensive UNDER in my opinion.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOWOUT WINNER on Austria (goal line option)

Both teams are already assured a place in the KO round. So this is a great "situational" play.

The bottom line here though is that Austria has a legit shot at winning this one outright. 

This one has the feel of being a "war of attrition," where the other team sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake.

In a scenario like that, I'll grab the hungry dog on the GOAL LINE option. The play is AUSTRIA.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* EURO WINNER on Croatia +0.25 goal.

Here's a great situational play. Italy needs only a point to advance, meaning a draw would do the job. 

Croatia though needs the full three points to advance.

Croatia was the Wold Cup bronze medalist and has the depth and experience to get the job done. 

Italy fell 1-0 to Spain in its second game.

Croatia has a legit shot at winning this one outright in my opinion, the savvy wager is to grab the underdog on the spread option (+0.5 goal.) 

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SUPER SPECIAL on the DRAW between Hungary/Scotland.

The bottom line here is that each side needs a win to advance. Each though is going to be extremely fatigued and a classic "war of attrition" is about to ensue.

Scotland is off the 5-1 loss to Germany, while Hungary was held to a 1-1 draw with Switzerland.

With each team determined to pull off a victory here, instead expect this sense of competition to lead to an evenly matched DRAW.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOP WIN on the OVER Romania/Belgium.

Belgium will be desperate here, pushing the pace from start to finish after its 1-0 upset loss to Slovakia.

Romania looked decent in its 3-0 win over Ukraine, and there's no reason not to think it won't keep that offensive momentum rolling here, especially with their opponent playing at a faster tempo than normal.

In what I anticipate will be a really wide-open offensive affair, this great situational opportunity points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rarther than later.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* EURO CUP WINNER on Austria.

It's a do or die game for these teams after each suffered defeat in its opener. Austria has more depth here though and that will ultimately prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion.

Poland lost 2-1 to Netherlands, while Austria fell 1-0 to France. 

Poland allowed 21 shots on goal, and those defensive problems will once again be an issue here ni my opinion.

Both teams had been on lengthy unbeaten runs up until this latest defeat, but Austria is going to be trying to extend a 46-year run having not lost three straight matches at major tournaments since the 1978 World Cup.

Whether the veteran Lewandowski makes an appearance for the Poles are not, look for AUSTRIA to find a way to collect all three points here on Friday afternoon.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Italy/Spain.

Both teams won their opening match, and will need likely just one more point to secure a spot in the KO Round.

In what I anticipate will be a classic "war of attrition" now here in this second game between two of Europe's Soccer power-houses, I'm going to suggest a play on the UNDER as far as the total is concerned.

With each team hoping to rest players in the third game, this one definitely points to a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion, with each side content to sit back and wait for the other one to make the first mistake.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BK on the Czech Republic +1/2 (-120) FIRST HALF or +1 FOR FULL GAME.

I like the Czech Republic to throw its best shot at favored Portugal in the first half of this game and that's why I'm going to suggest a play on the Czech' on the FIRST HALF with the spread option. If you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, then I also do love the Czech Republic with the spread for the entire game. 

France, Germany and England are the favorites to win the Euro, but Portugal is right behind. 

Portugal has actually lost two of its last four matched, while Czech Republic has won five straight.

Czech Republic has played well on the big stage as well, most recently finishing in the quarterfinal of the 2020 Euro.

They've lost four of the previous five matches vs. Portugal, so the "revenge factor" comes into play here as well.

I see this being a war of attrition, so I'm grabbing the spread option with revenge-minded CZECH REPUBLIC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on LA FC.

Both teams usually are in the hunt at the end of the season for a playoff spot. LAFC is off a 2-2 draw with Portland, while LA FC is off a 0-0 draw with Chicago at home.

Now on the road, I think the Red Bulls will once again have a difficult time here finding the back of the net. 

The last time they played here at the Banc of California Stadium, LA FC beat the Red Bulls 2-0 and I predict a similar final outcome. 

NEw York has averaged 1.30 goals per game over its last ten on the road, while LA FC has averaged 2.60 goals and conceded 1.10 in its last ten at home.

The play is LA FC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Brentford.

Brentford is in 15th spot and hasn't lived up to expectations this season.

It'll look to take out its frustrations this week vs. 18th place Luton Town. 

Brentford is off a confidence-building 2-0 win over Sheffield and I predict a similar outcome here as well. 

Luton is off a disheartening 5-1 loss to Manchestery City.

Brentford has won six of the last seven vs. Luton Town in league competitions, and I don't expect that streak coming to an end here.

Great value here on BRENTFORD.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOM on the UNDER Luton/Man City.

Manchester City is off a 3-3 high-scoring draw with Real Madrid in Champions League action on Tuesday. 

It hammered Luton Town on its own field 6-2 in the FA Cup two months ago.

While Man City has been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, I'm anticipating the home side to go up early, before then just locking down Luton.

Man City won 2-1 at Luton back in December in the reverse fixture, and I anticipate an even lower-scoring affair here. 

Luton is off a rare 2-1 win as a +285 dog over Bournemouth, but previous to that it scored a total of just two goals over its previous three games.

Luton has stuggled on the road all season, and I have a hard time seeing the visitors doing anything offensively this weekend.

This O/U number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Aston Villa.

I think considering a few different factors, that we are in fact getting great value here on Aston Villa at this price at home to win in regulation.

Brentford is currently in 15th place in the EPL and only managed a 0-0 draw with Brighton and Hove Albion last weekend.

Aston Villa is in fourth place, but it won't be lacking motivation here after slumping to a 4-1 defeat to Manchester City in its last game. 

Brentford has yet to win a league away game here and I don't see that happening this weekend vs. this now hungry home side.

Lay the price for ASTON VILLA in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOM on Newcastle.

Everton has lost three straight, and it's winless in its last 13 Premier League games. I think it'll have a difficult time here on Tuesday afternoon vs. this rejuvenated Newcastle side, which came from behind to beat West Ham United last weekend.

Newcastle came from two goals down to stun their opponent, and I see a "carry over of momentum" here for sure.

Newcastle also plays with revenge after losing 3-0 at Everton in the reverse fixture in December. 

Everton is struggling to score though, and it's struggling to defend, and facing this revenge-minded Newcastle side that just scored three unanswered goals in an epic victory on the road is NOT what the doctor ordered for the Toffees whatsoever.

I say this is the very definition of "great line value."

The play is NEWCASTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Newcastle.

Newcastle went into the International break off a 3-2 loss at Chelsea, but it draws the perfect opponent to get untracked against here to open up the final stretch. 

These teams played to a 2-2 draw in the reverse-fixture back in October, but Newcastle is tough in this series at home.

I'm banking on the home side collecting all three-points in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Portland.

I like Portland to find a way to get the job done at home. The Timbers have scored 2 or more goals in 11 of their last 14 matches.

They've won 7 of their last ten at home and the Union have conceded an average of 2.3 goals over their last six matches.

Lay the very reasonable price for PORTLAND to bounce back in the PNW this weekend.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Portland (+0.5 goal).

Portland is 2-0-1 this year and comes in "under the radar" in my opinion.

Houston is 0-1-1 and 12th in the conference.

The Timbers just won 2-1 in New York City, and there's no reason not to think they can't keep the momentum rolling here. Maxime Crepeau made five saves, and the Timber's back line had a total of seven interceptions.

That's bad news for Houston's pathetic offense which has managed just two goals so far.

Great value here on PORTLAND on the SPREAD OPTION.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Luton Town.

I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the home side. 

Luton is winless in seven straight, but not for a lack of trying. It's lost 3-2, drawn 1-1 and mid-week lost 4-3 at Bournemouth over its last three games.

Nottingham Forest has hardly been any better. In fact, I'd say it's in much worse current form, dropping three straight, including back-to-back 1-0 setback to Liverpool and Brighton. 

These teams played to a 2-2 tie in the reverse-fixture back in October, but look for Luton to take FULL advantage this time around and to keep the recent goal surge going strong.

The play is LUTON TOWN.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Real Salt Lake.

Home field advantage will prove to be the difference here. 

Colorado is off the 4-1 loss at Portland to open the season, before managing a 1-1 draw with Nashville at home as an underdog. 

Now back on the road, I am expecting the Rapids to once again struggle in this difficult away venue.

Real Salt Lake opened the season with a 2-0 loss at Miami, followed by a 1-1 draw at St. Louis, which was then followed by a commanding 3-0 home win here over LA FC last week. 

Expect this progression to continue here in this favorable matchup and lay the price with confidence.

The play is indeed on REAL SALT LAKE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Manchester United.

These teams met last November, and the Red Devils secured the 3-0 win at Goodison Park, and I'm expecting a similar final result here this time around as well.

Man U won't be taking this game lightly after B2B losses in top-flight matches vs. Fulham and Manchester City.

Off a loss to Man City, I say Man U responds here at home finally.

Note that they've won a total of 40 league meetings with the Toffees, so they'll be extra motivated and confident (they've won the last four by an aggregrate score of 8-1.)

Everton is off a listless 3-1 loss to West Ham. A date here on the road is not what the doctor ordered for the Toffees, as they have won one, drawn eight times, and lost 21 of their last 30 EPL road trips to Old Trafford, with their lone victory taking place in 2013.

Lay the price, the play is MANCHESTER UNITED.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on the Whitecaps.

We're just at the start of the MLS season, so often its best to look at "external" factors to come to a decision, and for a variety of reasons, I feel this one sets up really well for Vancouver to win in regulation.

And when you take into account the reasonable price, all of these factors collide to have this play my MLS "GAME OF THE WEEK" status!

Charlotte FC managed a 1-0 win at home over NYCFC but didn't travel well last year. A game on the West Coast of Canada on Saturday doesn't bode well facing this Vancouver side that opens the season with a favorable matchup, before hitting the road for two straight.

Look for VANCOUVER to figure out a way to get the job done this weekend in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Everton.

West Ham is in eight spot right now. Last week it beat Brentford 4-2, but I think the Hammers will have a difficult time duplicating that performance here in this difficult road venue.

Everton has struggled this year and enters in 15th spot. Last week the home side played to a 1-1 draw vs. Brighton. 

Everton did win the reverse fixture as well in October by a score of 1-0. 

I say the home side risks life and limb to secure a victory this weekend after going winless across their last nine matches spanning all competition.

The play is EVERTON.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS TOM on the OVER Miami/LA.

Miami won the season opener 2-0, but I'm expecting a lot more offense here in LA, as Miami concludes the 2024 opening matchday at Healthe Sports Park for the very first time.

The Herons began the season with the 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake, while the Galaxy missed the playoffs for the third time in four seasons. 

LA will be looking for a different start this year. Last year the Galaxy won just once over their first ten fixtures. Then they went winless over their final six MLS fixtures. Defensively LA was a mess last year, conceding a league-high 67 goals.

So the Heron's will now look to book-end victories here to close out the first week. That said, Inter Miami did conceded three or more goals away from home five times, while giving up strikes on eight occassions.

The bottom line here is that everything points to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOM on Columbus.

Home-field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker here. You may want to sprinkle a little on the OVER as well here, as these were the top two-scoring teams in the MLS last year. 

The Crew though were the No. 1 offense with 67 goals and they're the defending champs at home. 

Atlanta got knocked out of the MLS Cup Playoffs last year, as they played all three games to decide a winner. Columbus won the finale 4-2 and I'm expecting a similar final score line here on Saturday afternoon as well.

Atlanta will have its hands full with an offense that scored 32 goals at home last year, and which conceded just 17. 

Lay the price, the play is indeed on COLUMBUS.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOM on Manchester United in the FIRST HALF (I also like for the entire game, but take on the spread option if you don't have a FIRST HALF option available.)

Fulham is just in 12th place. It comes in with zero momentum, off a 2-1 loss to Aston Villa. It will have to play at an elite level and make zero mistakes to pull off an upset. I don't see that happening. I see the visitors going down early and then struggling to find any momentum whatsoever.

Manchester United is in sixth place. It's looked better over the last month. It edged past Luton 2-1 last week. I think it'll win by an even bigger margin here.

Man U is unbeaten in its last 16 matches vs. the EPL. Fulham has lost 13 of its last 16 matches away from home against Manchester United in EPL action.

Look for the home side to go up EARLY in the FIRST HALF, but then to also keep the foot on the gas and to win BIG overall as well in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* GOW on Newcastle United.

The bottom line here is that I feel we're getting fantastic overall "line value" in this spot and matchup.

AFC Bournemouth is terrible. It's 7-10 overall, but somehow it beat Newcastle 2-0 in the reverse fixture at home back in November.

Newcastle is 11-10 and it's off the 3-2 win at Nottingham. 

Look for the revenge-minded home side to pull away for the convincing victory in regulation and lay the price with confidence on NEWCASTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* GOM on Luton Town.

I don't have a lot of faith in either side, but this is one matchup in which the home field advantage can't be overlooked.

Sheffield United has lost ten of its last 12 away EPL contests.

Luton has scored at least two goals in four of its last six EPL home games.

Sheffield United has conceded over 1.5 goals in nine of its last 11 on the road.

All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value."

Lay the price with LUTON in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOM on Chelsea.

Fulham is currently in 13th and it's off a listless 2-1 defeat to Liverpool in the EFL Cup this past week and I just can't see this team mounting much (or any!) of an attack here in this difficult road venue. 

Chelsea is in tenth spot and it's admittedly been inconsistent this season. A date at home vs. Fulham is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though.

The Blues will be especially motivated here as well after their humbling 1-0 loss at Middlesbrough mid-week.

But if history is any precedence, then Chelsea has to be loving its chances as it's won 51 of the 90 between the clubs, with Fulham posting 12 victories. It's also unbeaten at home in its last 18 in this series.

Yes, Chelsea is a shadow of its former self, but it still has all the pieces, combined with the motivation and home pitch advantage working in its favor here and I say that'll be MORE than enough to get the job done in the end. 

The play is indeed on CHELSEA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Fulham.

This is a big game for 11th place Fulham and I'm expecting it to make the most of this opportunity.

The Cottagers earned a win over Everton in the EFL Cup in the last game and they have something to prove this weekend.

Burnely is down and out in 19th and it's struggled with consistency all season long, most recently falling 2-0 to Everton last week.

This line could/should in fact be much larger in my opinion. 

Lay the price with confidence, the play is FULHAM.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Manchester City on the spread option.

This is a case of David vs. Goliath, but in this version I'm predicting that the Giant will stomp its overmatched opponent through the pitch.

Manchester City returns to EPL action on top form after a Champions League victory in Belgrade and while it has some injury issues, so to does Crystal Palace.

Manchester City has not been at its best in EPL play of late, as last week's 2-1 win over Luton snapped a three-game winless streak. 

But they're unbeaten their last 18 here at the Etihad. 

I expect a beatdown of lop-sided propotions.

Lay the goals on MANCHESTER CITY on the SPREAD OPTION.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOM on the UNDER City/Villa.

Manchester City is coming off three straight draws. I'm expecting another competitive battle this weekend hereon the road at Aston Villa, but I think it'll be a lower-scoring "war of attrition."

This is a battle between two of the best, and I believe the intense competition will translate into a very defensive battle, rather than a high-scoring wide-open shootout etc.

Last week Aston Villa came from behind to draw 2-2 with Bournemouth, a result which saw them snap a four-game win streak across all competitions. 

A defeat here vs. City will see Villa slip to sixth and out of a Champions League spot, but a return home after two straight on the road, is just what the doctor ordered as they've won 17 of their last 18 home matches across all competitions.

In my opinion, this one sets up to be a lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOY on Newcastle.

Manchester United is 8-5. It's coming off a mid-week Champions league loss.

Newcastle is one spot ahead of the visiting side sitting at 7-4. Newcastle is also off a mind-week Champions league loss.

If recent history is any precedence, then the Magpies have to be liking their chances to rebound here in regulation, as they've won the last two in this series.

They've also won six of the last seven here at St. James Park. 

Newcastle does have a plethora of injuries, but so to does Manchester United.

All things being equal, this one is in fact not equal whatseover in my estimation. This play is all about "perceived value," of which I feel we're getting a TON of here at this price.

Lay the price, the play is indeed on NEWCASTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the UNDER Tottenham/Wolverhampton.

Tottenham finally lost in regulation in EPL action this year, falling 4-1 at home to Chelsea.

Note though that the Hot Spur have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five off a three goals or greater home loss as a favorite in their last outing.

The Wolves five game unbeaten streak came to an end in last week's 2-1 loss at Sheffield United, and I'm expecting them to now double down defensively in this bounce back scenario as well this weekend.

With both teams having just come off losses, everything points to a very defensive battle in my opinion between these clubs this weekend.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the OVER Arsenal/Newcastle.

In this evenly-matched affair, I expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Arsenal is 7-0 and off a 5-0 win over Sheffield United. There's no reason not to think it won't be able to keep that momentum rolling here.

Newcastle United won't be rolling over at home though obviously. So far it's 5-3 after a 2-2 draw at Wolverhampton last time out (note, when Newcastle played at Sheffield at the end of September it won by a score of 8-0.) 

The Magpies also beat Manchester United 3-0 in the EFL Cup this week. 

In my opinion, everything points to this total eclipsing the posted number well before the end of regulation.

The play is indeed on the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the OVER Tottenham/CP.

Tottenham is in impressive form right now and should be able to come out on top here quite easily. That said, Crystal Palace won't be rolling over and will be feeling the pressure after a poor 4-0 loss to Newcastle Uited last time out.

Tottenham is off a 2-0 win over Fulham, but I think the visitors will have their hands full today with the motivated home side.

CP doesn't have a good history against Tottenham though, having won only one of the last 16 matches in EPL action. 

Tottenham though is "firing on all cylinders" right now, with Son Heung-Min and James Maddison on top form. CP has yet to hit its stride, but here at home I'm expecting it to find the back of the net at least once.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* EPL BLOWOUT on Aston Villa.

Aston Villa is 5-2 and sixth in the table after drawing with Wolverhampton 1-1 before the international break. Westham United is 4-2 and ninth in the table and drew 2-2 with Newcastle before the break.

Only four points seperates Villa from leader Tottenham and note that Aston Villa does come in on top form, looking to extend its game scoring streak to eight straight games here across all competitions. 

Also note that the hosts are on a ten game EPL win streak at home.

The fact that West Ham got two goals in its final game before the break is great for Hammers fans, but the fact that it allowed two goals to Newcastle is what is of concern here.

West Ham has enjoyed remarkable success here in the past and in this matchup, but that run is about to come to an end here finally against the better team at home in my opinion.

All things considered, a really great price as I expect ASTON VILLA to capture all three points this afternoon!

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOY on the OVER Luton Town/Nottingham Forest.

Both teams have been struggling to put balls in the back of the net, but I'm expecting those trends to end finally this weekend.

Nottingham Forest is looking to end a four-game winless run in the EPL. The Tricky Trees are currently in 14th in the table, but Luton Town is back in 17th. 

Since posting a 1-0 away win at Chelsea to open the season, Nottingham Forest has drawn three and lost one of its last four matches including back-to-back draws before the break. 

The positive though is that Forest has picked up nine points over its first eight games, which is five more than it managed at this point last season. 

City is unbeaten in six games at City Ground as well, and that includes a 2-1 win over Sheffield United and a 1-1 draw with Burnley.

Luton Town went into the break on the heels of back-to-back losses, including a 1-0 defeat to Tottenham. Luton is hovering just above relegation, and the road ahead won't get any easier for it.

These are two teams that are really at a crossroads right now, and really the International Break could not have come at a better time.

Look for this faster-paced affair to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* GOW on Charlotte FC on the spread option.

This is a home and home set to end the year for the Clubs. Inter Miami has been eliminated and Messi isn't even playing in this one, away playing for his National team.

Charlotte holds its playoff hopes in its own hands though and I'm expecting it to make the most of this opportunity. 

Inter Miami enters off a 1-0 loss to FC Cincinnati, while Charlotte FC enters off a crucial and momentum-building 2-0 win over the Chicago Fire.

The Herons though got eliminated from playoff contention with their latest loss, and I just can't see the motivation here to play "spoiler" immediately after that collective mental letdown.

Charlotte FC can make the playoffs if it wins out, and it would be the first time in club history if it does.

With so much on the line, I think the correct call in this matchup is CHARLOTTE FC on the SPREAD option.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Nashville SC.

Nashville SC is currently in seventh in the MLS Eastern Conference. It's coming off a 0-0 draw with Philadelphia last weekend. 

New England is in fifth place, but enters off a poor 3-2 loss to Orlando City.

Both teams have failed to live up to expectations this year, but this one simply means a lot more to the home side. Finally, note that New England is winless in its last 12 matches in a visitors role. 

Home field proves to be the difference-maker here for NASHVILLE SC on Saturday night.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Houston.

I'm not expecting any upsets here. These teams played to a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture at the start of the season, but I just can't understate how important that I believe that the home field advantage will be here. 

Houston is 12-11 with just a few games remaining in the season and comes in as the "hungrier" side after a 2-1 loss at Sporting KC. Previous to that it hammered Vancouver here 4-1.

FC Dallas is just 10-10, but after going five straight games without a loss, I expect that streak to finally end here.

All in all, great line value for a number of different reasons on HOUSTON.

(Addtional analysis available.)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the UNDER Brighton/Villa.

Here's a great "situational" play. Brighton enters on top form after three straight 3-1 victories, but note that it's seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight victories in a row.

Aston Villa had played to five straight overs before last week's 1-0 upset win at Chelsea. 

Look for Aston Villa to play a similar pace here, and for Brighton to follow suit.

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

(Additional analysis available.)

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SUPER SIDE on FC Cincinnati.

Here is a great situational play. FC Cincinnati is 17-4, but it's going to be super eager here to snap a three-game winless run. That includes back-toback road draws, and a 1-0 home loss to OCSC as a huge favorite at the start of the month.

It won't be taking anything for granted either after drawing with Charlotte 2-2 in early July.

Charlotte FC is 7-9 and it hasn't lost in five games, drawing its last four and earning a 2-1 win over LAFC previous to that.

But the visting side is just completely overmatched this weekend. Look for FC CINCINNATI to go up early, but to keep the foot on the gas until the end.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the OVER Everton/Brentford.

What do you base your totals on? Do you simply look if a team is "on fire" offensively of late and blindly take the over? 

Or do you take into account other information? Most serious bettors would take a plethora of different information into account before making a pick.

This parituclar one is a great "situational" play. Both teams are desperate for a win.

Brentford is 11th in the table at 1-1-3. It's off a 1-0 loss at Newcastle, so it'll be looking to push the pace here against 0-4-1 Everton, which sits 18th.

With each side looking to "get off the schneid," defense is going to take a back seat in this one.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOW on the UNDER Burnley/Nottingham Forest.

Burnley upset Nottingham Forest in the EFL Cup just two weeks ago, so it'll be out for revenge here. Both teams desperately need a win here, and I'm expecting a real "war of attrition" in this one, where each side sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake.

Burnley went into the international break off a 5-2 drubbing to Tottenham, while Nottingham Forest earned a tough 1-0 win over Chelesea.

I see a similar lower-scoring outcome here as well. Nottingham Forest has endured an early difficult schedule. Forest has won each of its last four at home, so the Clarets will be wary here, especially after the last thrashing they endured in league play.

I expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring UNDER in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* VALUE PLAY on the DRAW between Brentford/Newcastle.

Considering the form of these two sides, I think this line is really out of whack. And that's why I'm avoiding a side play here. I see this being really competitive, and because of that, the DRAW option becomes the best value play in EPL for me this weekend.

Brentford has yet to taste defeat this year, going 1-0-3 so far. Last week it drew 2-2 with Bournemouth at home. It's only win so far was on the road at Fulham, a 3-0 victory.

Newcastle opened with a surprising 5-1 win over Aston Villa to open the season, but it's since struggled to score in losing three straight outright, posting a combined two goals during the slide.

I see the home side risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes today. I also think that the visitors are undervalued here.

In what looks to be another "war of attrition," I am going to grab this one on the DRAW.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on DC United.

No upsets here. DC United is off a convincing 4-0 thrashing of the Chicago Fire, and I expect it to keep that momentum rolling here at home this weekend. 

Keep your eyes on Chris Benteke, who scored a brace against Chicago. 

The Earthquakes on the other hand struggle at the best of times on the road and have suffered a poor stretch overall, failing to win in their previous three league matches.

Considering the form of DC United, I think this line should in fact be a lot larger.

Lay the price for DC UNITED in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on LAFC.

I simply don't have enough time to be completely detailed with my analysis here. It's a busy time of year and I only have so much time, so I'll be succinct.

Yes, Inter Miami has Messi, but LA FC is simply better in every other regard. The general betting public is quick to hammer Miami now whenever possible, and  here on the road I think the team is getting much too much respect.

Great line value here on the hungry home side, the play is LA FC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* PUNI$HER on Arsenal.

Both teams are looking for a better result here after a mediocre start to the season, but I believe this one definitely favors Arsenal.

Manchester United came from behind to manage a 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest, while Arsenal is off a 2-2 draw with Fulham.

The bottom line here though is that home field advantage can not not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one.

Arsenal rarely puts forth a poor effort at the Emirates, and at this price, I don't expect that to happen here on Sunday either.

So lay the price with confidence, the play is ARSENAL.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOM on Nashville SC.

The bottom line here is that these teams have almost identical numbers/records in front of goal, but Nashville's superior defensive play will ultimately prove to be the difference-maker in this one. 

Nashville SC is winless its last five MLS contests. It came close to breaking that streak last time out against Miami, but drew 0-0. 

Nashville won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in May and I'm expecting an even bigger blowout here at home. 

Charlotte beat Los Angeles FC 2-1 at home, before a satisfying 1-1 draw with OCSC. 

All signs finally point to a letdown here on the road though, and NASHVILLE is going to take advantage and get off the schneid, so lay the price.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Tottenham.

No upsets here. Tottenham does at times "play down" to the level of its competition, but I don't suspect that'll be the case this weekend whatsoever.

Burnley comes in off a narrow 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest, but the Clarets are clearly overmatched here. 

Tottenham is currently in third place right now. It's been in impressive form in league play, but it'll be extra motivated here to return to its winning ways after falling to Fulham in the EFL Cup.

The Spurs won't be taking Burnely lightly either, as the Clarets won the previous match with Tottenham by a 1-0 score in February 2022. 

Ange Postecoglou though has the Hotspur firing on all cylinders right now and I expect that progression to continue here on the road in this favorable spot. 

Lay the price, the play is TOTTENHAM.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on NYCFC.

NYCFC will be hungry here after a 3-0 defeat to Cincinnati last Saturday. In fact NYCFC has lost three straight across all matches. That's significant to note though, as NYCFC is in fact 7-3 in its last ten after three or more straight losses in a row.

It beat Montreal 1-0 on the road back on July 1st, but I'm expecting a more decisive victory here. 

CF Montreal is now poised for a letdown after having won all but one of it last five across all competitions. 

But note that CF Montreal definitely doesn't trravel well, having just one win out of its last eight away matches, while losing five and drawing twice. 

It's a big game for the home side as it looks to shake off its recent frustrations and at this price, it's too good to turn down.

The play is NYCFC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Orlando City SC.

Orlando City SC enters off a 3-1 MLS win over Chicago, while St. Louis City enters off a 6-3 against Austin. 

Orlando City at home though has been money in the bank, where it's currently unbeaten in seven games. 

This is a big game for Orlando City and while St. Louis is ranked higher, it doesn't travel as well on the road as it plays at home.

Lay this reasonable price, the play is ORLANDO CITY SC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL TOM on the OVER Everton/Wolverhampton.

Here is a great situational play. Everton is 0-2 so far, losing 4-0 to Aston Villa and 1-0 to Fulham. Wolverhampton hasn't had much better success so far, falling 1-0 to Manchester United and 4-1 to Brighton and Hove Albion. 

These two desperate sides will be looking to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole, and the fact that they haven't had any luck in scoring any goals so far this season, has in fact helped in driving this O/U line a little lower than it normally would/should be.

These teams are poor, but this is a contest that each will feel it can win. I see little defense being played, and ultimately I expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS WEST-CONF GOY on St. Louis CITY SC.

St. Louis CITY SC beat Austin 3-2 on the road all the way back on February 25th, and I'm expecting an even bigger blowout here at home.

St. Louis CITY SC went into the break off a 3-0 home win over Miami, and I believe we'll see a similar final outcome here as well.

Austin FC has been hit or miss this year. It's just 9-9 this season, and for the most part it's been better at home than on the road. 

St. Louis leads the Western Conference, and at this price, I think we're getting fantastic value on what I believe to be the overall "better" team. Lay the price for St. Louis CITY SC to win in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOM on Newcastle United on the spread option (+1).

Newcastle United is off the commanding 5-1 win over Aston Villa and with upcoming games vs. Liverpool and Brighton and Hove Albion, I think it'll, at the very least, be able to cover with the spread option.

Newcastle United features an awesome player in Callum Wilson, and I think he'll keep his team in form vs. Erling Haaland and company.

This won't be a cake-walk whatsoever for Man City, who got the better of Burnely 3-0 in its opener.

Everything points to a competitive affair. The play is NEWCASTLE UNITED on the SPREAD OPTION.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Manchester United -1.5.

These two teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum. Wolverhampton finished 13th last year, while Man U was third. 

Wolverhampton did beat Rennes 3-1 in its final tune-up, but now the level of competition gets considerably higher. 

The Red Devils finished third in the table, and overall they've impressed under the direction of Erik ten Hag. 

Man U played to an unimpressive 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao last time out, clearly getting caught looking ahead to this one.

If recent history is any precedence though, then Man U has to be loving it chances today, as it's lost only one of its last 12 matches against Wolverhampton in EPL action. Also note that Wolverhampton has dropped its last two EPL Openers.

I say a third straight is in store here, as I expect MANCHESTER UNITED to not only win this game, but will do so in blowout fashion.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* VALUE WIN on the DRAW Chelsea/Liverpool.

Both teams will be very aware of the importance of getting out to a "quick" start this year. Chelsea finished 12th in the EPL standings, while Liverpool was fifth. 

The Blues managed a 1-1 draw with Borussia Dortmund in their final preseason game, while Liverpool got past Darmstadt 3-1. 

If recent history is any precedence, then you have to love the DRAW here, as each of the last four matches in this series have resulted in 0-0 draws. 

This play is all about VALUE. Grab the DRAW in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EPL GOW on Newcastle United.

Aston Villa finished in seventh spot last year. It managed a 2-1 win last week vs. Valencia, but now the level of competition obviously is much greater.

Newcastle United finished fourth in last year's table, and they continue to excel over the last year. The Magpies slaughtered Villareal 4-0 in their final tune-up, and I'm expecting a similar destruction here as well on their own field of play.

Newcastle is unbeaten in its last 14 at home in this series, and I don't see that record being broken today. 

Aston Villa has been a force under Unai Emery, and have an improved squad overall, but I see another disappointing result for the visiting side at the end of the day.

Lay the price, the play is NEWCASTLE UNITED.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the OVER 1 -160 FIRST HALF between Man CIty and Burnley. If unable to find this line, I also like the OVER 3 for the entire contest.

I'm predicting a 4-2 final. Man City is the defending champ, but it comes in hungry already after a humbling defeat on penalties vs. Arsenal in the FA Community Shield.

Manchester City lost a few key players, but it's still loaded with talent with the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland.

Burnely have improved a lot under Vincent Kompany, and they hit the ground running here facing such an elite opponent.

All signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on the Chicago Fire.

Toronto FC is poor at home, but it's even worse on the road. It arrives in Chicago at 3-10 and off a fifth straight loss in a 1-0 setback to St. Louis. 

These teams drew 0-0 in Toronto back on May 31st, but now I expect Chicago to lay the hammer down.

The Fire are now 7-7 after winning their second straight and fourth in their last five in a dominant 3-0 victory over Montreal. 

When it comes to playing moneyline home favorites, this is more on the expensive side as far as MLS is concerned. Most of the time, this league is quite diverse, but in this case I absolutely feel this line could/should be a lot larger.

Lay the price with confidence, the play is CHICAGO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE GOY on the New England Revolution.

New England is 10-4, but off a 2-1 loss at the Red Bulls, I like the Revs to dig deep here and deliver at home with a bounce back effort.

These teams did play in Atlanta back on May 31st, and they played to a 3-3 draw. That was Atlanta United FC's big chance, and it blew it on home soil.

Atlanta is 9-5, but off consecutive victories, I suspect regression in this difficult road venue, especially with an upcoming home game vs. OCSC.

Gonzalo Pineda's team lacks defensive consistency, having already conceded 35 goals. Atlanta United has also won only one of its last ten away games this year. 

New England now only has a two-point lead over Atlanta United in the Eastern Conference, so this now becomes the Revs most important contest of the season so far.

I look for New England to indeed bounce back here at home and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish.

The play is the REVS.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL WINNER on the Red Bulls.

The Revs have been better offensively this year, but with Carles Gil being forced to miss this game due to suspension, the advantage swings to the home side.

The Red Bulls only sit three-points back of a playoff spot, so this a golden opportunity, and one which I expect they make the most of.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SUPER SPECIAL on Orlando City SC.

In sports, anything can happen. On "any given Sunday," any team can beat any other team. 

That said, I don't see any crazy upsets here happening whatsoever, in fact, I believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger.

Toronto FC is winless in its last six in the MLS and it doesn't travel well at all.

Orlando City SC is 8-5 overall, but it's been in top form the last month, having not lost in three straight MLS games and off a convincing 3-1 win here over Chicago on July 1st.

With five straight games on the road after this, look for the home side to figure out how to win this one in regulation.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EAST-CONF TOTAL OF WEEK on the UNDER Philadelphia/ATL.

A great situational play here. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon.

Philadelphia is 10-5 and it's seen the total soar OVER in four straight. Note though that the Union have still seen the total go UNDER in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

Atlanta United FC is 7-5 and it has seen the total go OVER in three straight. 

All of these facts though have helped in driving this particular O/U line a little too high here on Sunday.

The play is the UNDER in what I expect to be a classic "war of attrition." 

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on Toronto FC.

Toronto hasn't won in five straight MLS contests, including losing the last two outright, first falling 3-0 at Cincinnati, and then 2-1 at New England.

Now back North of the border, I expect that a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered. 

Real Salt Lake hasn't lost in MLS action for six games, most recently drawing 2-2 with Minnesota at home, previous to that pulling off two epic outright road victories at DC (as a +406 dog) and then at St. Louis (as a +323 dog.) Suffice it to say, I don't expect lightning to strike three times here in Toronto.

After a stretch of really tough games, look for the home side to take advantage of this favorable matchup.

The play is TORONTO FC.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILER on Charlotte FC to win in regulation.

This is a great situational play, as I expect Montreal to take a step back here off its upset home win last week.

Charlotte FC has lost three straight in MLS action, but note that it's 3-1 in its last four after three or more straight losses in a row.

(This is the abridged version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest.)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS GOW on St. Louis CITY SC.

The bottom line here is that this line absolutely should be a lot larger in my opinion. I'm not afraid to lay chalk, and this line could easily be closer to -200 in my opinion.

The bottom line here is that St. Louis owns the best offensive record in the West, and Real Salt Lake boasts the worst overall defensive record. 

Off two losses and a draw over its last three games, I like the conference leader to return to form at home here in this favorable matchup.

Lay the price, the play is ST. LOUIS FC.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* BLOWOUT on New England Revolution.

Home field advantage is going to prove to be big here for the Revolution at Gillette Stadium. 

Orlando is simply overmatched here, sitting in seventh in the MLS. Orlando City is coming off a 2-0 win over Colorado, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here.

The Revs on the other hand are in fourth place and they're coming off a 3-1 win over Inter Miami. 

New England is currently unbeaten in its first eight matches at home in MLS action, and I don't see that streak ending here. 

This is a series that the Revolution have dominated at home, and at this price, I'm expecting that streak to continue.

Lay the price on NEW ENGLAND in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE SPECIAL on St. Louis.

It's worst vs. first here in the standings and I'm not expecting any titanic upsets here or anything. Good value on St. Louis, which is 9-1-5. LA enters 3-3-9. 

St. Louis had to play a rescheduled game on Wednesday and fell 2-0 to Dallas. It'll be eager to take out its frustrations here.

LA is off a rare 3-2 win over Real Salt Lake, and an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. 

St. Louis has destroyed its competition at home for the most part though, scoring three or more goals six times already.

Lay the short price for ST. LOUIS to win this in regulation.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* MLS TOW on the OVER Atlanta/DC.

This is an important game here at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. DC is currently in seventh spot, but it managed an impressive 2-1 victry over Inter Miami last week, and I think it carries that momentum over here.

Atlanta is coming off a war of attrition vs. LA, drawing 0-0 last week. Atlanta is in fifth spot.

That was in fact Atlanta's fourth straight draw, and it marked a run of 18 league games without at least one goal.

I look for ATL to bounce back here after last week's lower-scoring affair.

The OVER is juiced here, but not nearly enough. The value here in my opinion is the OVER.

Good luck, NP