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This is a 10* NON-CONF GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dream.

I think this is a great "situational" play.

Atlanta is 15-14 and now third in the East ater dropping three of its last four. Most recently the Dream fell 68-67 at Seattle as five-point favorites.

But with a super tough game at Las Vegas tomorrow night, Atlanta simply can't afford to "look past" the 11-18 Sparks.

LA has snapped a three-game slide by winning two in a row as an underdog, but after six straight ATS covers, I believe the home side is now a tiny bit overvalued by the bookmakers now.

The Sparks have a seven-game break after this, and I believe the home side gets caught "looking ahead." 

This one simply means more to ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF GOW on the Fever.

I like the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand-point. 

Indiana is just 7-22. It's not a good team, but this is a good spot. Off three straight SU losses, and six straight ATS losses, the value has now swung to the Fever, who are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row.

Indiana plays with revenge as well after a 90-83 loss at Minnesota as a 2.5-point dog back in July. That's also significant to note, as the Fever are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent.

Minnesota broke a two-game slide with an 88-79 win at Chicago to move to 14-15, but with four straight games vs. Western Conference opponents after this (Seattle twice, followed by Dallas twice), I say the visitors also get caught "looking ahead." 

As stated off the top, a great situational play in my opinion.

Grab the points, the play is INDIANA.  

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Liberty.

This is a great "situational" play on New York. The Liberty are No. 1 in the East, but they've failed to cover the spread in three straight, despite going 2-1 SU.

Note though that New York is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.

The Liberty also play with revenge after falling 88-83 at home to Minnesota just last week as 13.5-point favs, which is also significant to note, as New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. 

Minnesota's three-game win streak was snapped in a 79-69 loss at Connecticut last time out and I say it's going to stumble here as well.

Lay the points, the play is NEW YORK.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Las Vegas.

With nearly 70% of the public money on the Wings here, I'm going the opposite way and expecting the Aces to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish.

These teams have played twice this year, and Dallas 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS after winning 80-78 at home as a 9.5-point dog back on July 7th.

Note though that the Aces are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. 

Dallas has a couple days off after this before a much "easier" game at Seattle, and I think it also gets caught "looking ahead." 

All things considered, I feel this line should in fact be a lot larger.

Grab the points, the play is the ACES.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Storm.

Here is a great situational play, as Seattle plays with double revenge in this one after two earlier SU/ATS losses (and note that the Storm are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.)

Las Vegas is 19-2 and not only No. 1 in the West, but easily No. 1 in the league. A big All Star Weekend hangover is about to occur though in my opinion, with the Storm coming in as the more organized and focused side.

Outright win?! I'm definitely not calling for that. But the overall situation, combined with the trends and numbers I listed above, all collide here and point to this contest being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Grab the points, the play is SEATTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE SPECIAL on the Fever.

The Fever play with revenge here after falling 90-73 at New York back on May 21st. Indiana has now lost seven straight after a slim 77-76 setback to Dallas last time out. 

The Liberty get caught looking past their lowly opponent today to time off and to a big representation at the All Star Weekend festivities. 

Note that Indiana is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. 

New York takes the foot off the gas in the fourth quarter and while I'm stopping short in calling for an outright upset, I say this one is super competitive until the final moments.

So grab as many points as you can, the play is INDIANA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Sky.

I'm primarily a situational handicapper, and this one sets up beautifully for Chicago in a few different ways from my point of view.

The Sky play with revenge here after a 96-72 road loss at Connecticut as 6.5-point dogs back on June 25th.

That's significant to note though, as Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. 

Chicago had won three straight SU/ATS before back-to-back SU/ATS home losses to ATL most recently. I say the hungry Sky will, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments.

The outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with CHICAGO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOW on the Storm.

I played on the Storm in their 80-76 loss at New York last time out. Seattle was a 15.5 point dog in that one.

New York almost got "caught looking ahead" in that one, and with the All-Star break on deck next for Washington, I think the Mystics will get caught looking past their lowly opponent here.

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but once again the conditions are right for Seattle to be extremely competitive, especially considering that the Storm have another tough game tomorrow night at Atlanta to close out their first half.

Washington has been playing poorly, just 1-3 in its last four and the Storm play with the added incentive of revenge after the Mystics took both games in Seattle back on June 9th and 11th (and note that Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last seven in trying ot avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent.)

A great situational play. Grab the points, the play is SEATTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF GOY on the Fever.

Dallas comes in off a huge 80-78 win at home over Las Vegas (the Aces now fall to 16-2) as a 9.5-point underdog, and after that epic victory, I'm expecting an immediate return to mediocrity here. 

Dallas is now 9-9 and second in the Western Conference, but with a match at Minnesota up next (who is also 9-9 and actually tied with the Wings for second place), there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the visitors.

Letdown + look-ahead = TRAP GAME.

Indiana is just 5-13 and it's lost six straight. But that fact has only helped in skewing this line today, flipping the value to this now undervalued home dog.

When these teams last played in Minnesota last year, the Lynx won by a score of 95-91 in OT as 13-point favorites. I expect a similar final outcome here as well.

Grab the points, the play is INDIANA.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Storm.

New York is first in the East. It's 12-4. It's off back-to-back wins, including an 81-66 win at Seattle on July 2nd, followed by a 99-95 victory at home here to Phoenix.

The Storm have responded well in this spot for bettors though, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.

I think the Liberty finally get caught a little flat-footed here and I look for the STORM to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Dream.

A great revenge spot here for Atlanta, which fell 109-86 at Washington as a five-point dog in its last outing. 

ATL has now lost three straight SU/ATS and that's important to note, as the Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They're also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent.

Washington is 9-5 and it's gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five. The Mystics though are interestingly just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS victories in a row.

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BEST OF BEST on Phoenix.

Indiana is coming off consecutive losses at Las Vegas, but it's covered in three straight after previous winning 80-68 at Seattle. 

I think the Fever have a letdown here in Phoenix with their fourth straight away from friendly confines.

The Mercury have lost six, both SU and ATS. Note though that Phoenix is still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after five or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. 

Indiana finally returns home after this to play Chicago in a few days, and I think it gets caught looking ahead.

The outright is clearly possible, but the official call is to grab the points and the MERCURY.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE SPECIAL on the Sky.

After six striaght SU losses, and three straight ATS losses in a row, I expect the Sky to dig deep here and finally deliver at home in the opener of this two-game series here in Chicago.

Note that the Sky are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.

LA is off two straight SU/ATS victories, but it struggles on the road. 

Look for Chicago to dig deep here as it finally gets off the schneid and back into the winner's circle.

Good luck, NP