Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-19-25 | Rams v. Eagles -6 | Top | 22-28 | Push | 0 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
4% RAMS/EAGLES NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Rams turned heads with their one-sided Wild Card win over the Vikings, but that was a favorable matchup for them. Facing the Philadelphia Eagles is an entirely different challenge. The Eagles boast one of the most dominant rushing offenses in the league, ranking top 3 in most rushing categories, while the Rams have had trouble stopping the run all season. This matchup heavily favors Philly, especially with their ability to control the game on the ground. 4% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
01-18-25 | Commanders v. Lions -8.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
5% NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Washington Commanders have had a surprisingly strong season and defeated the Bucs as underdogs in the Wild Card round, but I think their run ends here against the standout Lions who have steamrolled virtually everything in their way all season. Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels has had an impressive season, but with no postseason experience it'll be a tough ask against a Detroit defense that has had an extra weak to heal up and prepare. 5% PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
01-13-25 | Vikings -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 9-27 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 35 m | Show |
5% MIN/LAR NFL WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings finished the regular season with an impressive 14 wins, and while one of their three losses came to the LA Rams, I still like the Vikes in this matchup. Their other two losses both came against Detroit, and they had won nine on the bounce prior to their 31-9 loss at Detroit in the season finale. The Rams have home field advantage due to winning their division, but their 10-7 record is far from impressive... The Rams' defense stepped up down the stretch, but the Vikings have been more consistent over the season. 5% PLAY ON THE VIKINGS. | |||||||
01-12-25 | Packers v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
4% PACKERS/EAGLES NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I feel like both the Green Bay Packers and the Philadelphia Eagles' offenses have been stealing the headlines, but note that the Eagles rank No. 1 in total defense and the Packers No. 5. Philly won 34-29 when they hosted the Packers back in September, but playoff clashes typically play out very different than regular season matchups. We can also note that Eagles' QB Jalen Hurts has been missing time with a concussion, and Packers' QB Jordan Love has been bothered by a right elbow injury sustained in their Week 18 loss to Chicago. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
01-11-25 | Chargers v. Texans UNDER 42 | Top | 12-32 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
5% LAC/HOU NFL WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Houston Texans stumbled down the stretch, with a total of only 44 points scored over their last three games and an average of 17.4 ppg over their last five games. Both teams rank in the top 10 for total defense and the bottom 10 for total offense. I expect a tight, low-scoring wild card clash. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
01-05-25 | Vikings v. Lions -2.5 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
4% VIKINGS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY This game is for the NFC North title and the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and I think the Lions have a clear edge. I can't help but feel like the Vikes have overachieved all season, and one of the Vikes two losses came at the hands of Detroit in Minnesota back in October, the Lions fourth consecutive win in the rivalry. 4% PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
01-05-25 | Dolphins v. Jets -105 | Top | 20-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
5% MIA/NYJ NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The New York Jets will look to close out a disappointing season with a home win. The visiting Miami Dolphins have managed to stay in the playoff hunt with two straight wins, but need the Broncos lose at home to the Chiefs in order to clinch the AFC's final playoff berth. They know it's a long shot, and they'll probably have to do their part without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Nothing can save the season for the Jets, but I think they got this one. 5% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
01-04-25 | Bengals -2.5 v. Steelers | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/STEELERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Steelers have already clinched a wild card and the Cincinnati Bengals hope a late push can get them to the postseason as well. This game means a lot more for Cincy than the home team, and make no mistake, the Bengals are a lot better than their record would indicate, while one could easily argue that the Steelers have overachieved. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
12-29-24 | Cowboys +8 v. Eagles | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
4% COWBOYS/EAGLES NFL TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are starting to shed their early-season struggles, winning four of their last five, including two outright as underdogs. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles are dealing with a tough spot, coming off a divisional loss to Washington and now without Jalen Hurts, who is sidelined with a concussion. Despite Philly’s backup QB stepping in, the total looks a bit low, considering the offensive talent on both sides. I like Dallas to cover the spread and the over to hit in what could be a high-scoring affair. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-28-24 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
5% ARI/LAR MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Very different motivations in this one, with the Rams fighting for a playoff spot and the Cardinals eager to play spoiler. Divisional matchups like this can be unpredictable, and Arizona already proved capable with a dominant 41-10 win over LA earlier this season. While the Rams have been red-hot, winning four straight and going 8-2 since their bye, I expect the Cardinals to rise to the occasion and make this a much closer contest. 5% PLAY ON THE CARDINALS. | |||||||
12-28-24 | Broncos +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
5% DEN/CIN AFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off three wins but the competition has been soft. The Denver Broncos had won four on the bounce before a 34-27 loss to the Chargers in LA last Thursday and would clinch a berth in the postseason with a win here. The Broncos are healthy and rested and I think this one will go down to the wire. 5% PLAY ON THE BRONCOS. | |||||||
12-25-24 | Chiefs v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 29-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5% CHIEFS/STEELERS AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Pittsburgh Steelers off two uncharacteristic blowout losses as underdogs. The Kansas City Chiefs have all but clinched the No. 1 seed, lone first-round bye, and home-field advantage while the Steelers are battling the Ravens for the AFC North title. With both teams playing on extra short rest, I really like the home team in this matchup. 5% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-22-24 | Bucs v. Cowboys +4 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
4% BUCS/BOYS SNF TOP PLAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are riding high after four straight wins, including a 40-17 victory as underdogs at the LA Chargers last Sunday. The Dallas Cowboys are quietly trending upward with three wins in four games. While critics might argue the Cowboys haven't beaten a marquee team during that stretch, the same could be said about the Bucs' streak. I like the Cowboys to keep this one competitive. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-22-24 | Rams v. Jets +3 | Top | 19-9 | Loss | -100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
5% LAR/NYJ NFL INTERCONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The New York Jets have finally started to play up to their potential. While it's too late for a playoff push, the 4-10 Jets, led by a resurgent Aaron Rodgers, seem determined to finish strong, with Rodgers heating up over the last two weeks. The Los Angeles Rams, on the other hand, find themselves in a tough spot, traveling cross-country for an outdoor December east coast game after three straight wins, most recently a gritty 12-6 victory over the Niners. This feels like a prime letdown spot for the Rams. 5% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
12-22-24 | Giants v. Falcons UNDER 43 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
4% GIANTS/FALCONS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Giants hold the league's worst scoring average, while the Atlanta Falcons aren't much better offensively. Atlanta recently benched their $180 million QB Kirk Cousins, and last week's 15-9 win in Vegas does little to alleviate concerns about their sputtering offense. This matchup shapes up as a battle of struggling offenses. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-21-24 | Steelers +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 39 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/RAVENS SAT NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back from a 27-13 loss in Philly as they head to Baltimore this Saturday. Matchups between these fierce rivals are often tightly contested, and their last meeting in November was no exception, with Pittsburgh eking out an 18-16 win at home. While the Ravens may seek revenge, history suggests it won’t come easy—Pittsburgh has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings. Expect another hard-fought battle. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-21-24 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 41.5 | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 4 m | Show |
4% TEXANS/CHIEFS SAT NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The KC Chiefs will most likely have to do without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, but they still boast one of the best defensive units in the league and Houston has won its last two games with its defense. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-19-24 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - DEN/LAC TNF TOTAL OF THE WEEK On paper, the Denver Broncos' four-game winning streak looks like it has been fueled by a humming offense, but the truth is that they have struggled to generate offense and have scored plenty off takeaways. That's not sustainable, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair here against a Chargers team off three consecutive 17-point games. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-16-24 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
4% BEARS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY Matchups between these two division rivals tend to be low-scoring affairs, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 15. The Bears rank dead last in total offense, averaging just 288.5 yards per game, and they managed a measly 162 yards and 13 points in interim coach Thomas Brown's debut last week. Defensively, the Bears are capable of holding their own, and while Vikings QB Sam Darnold has a couple of elite weapons at his disposal, I think Chicago’s defense can keep this game tight and the scoring to a minimum. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Packers v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
PACKERS/SEAHAWKS SNF TOP PLAY This looks like a great spot to fade the Green Bay Packers against a red-hot Seattle team that's quietly been one of the league's best in recent weeks. The Seahawks have won four straight, all as underdogs, while Green Bay is dealing with key injuries on the defensive side of the ball. 4% PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Commanders -7.5 v. Saints | Top | 20-19 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
5% WAS/NO NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Commanders ended a three-game losing streak with a dominant 42-19 win over the Tennessee Titans. They're almost back to full strength again, I think they're in for another blowout win here against a Saints team that struggled against the Giants in their last game. While Washington's QB Jayden Daniels is one of the top candidates for Rookie of the Year, Saints' starter Derek Carr is sidelined due to a concussion and we're likely to see Jake Haener under center for the home team. With a big edge on both sides of the ball, I trust Washington to get the job done. 5% PLAY ON THE COMMANDERS. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Chiefs v. Browns UNDER 41.5 | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - CHIEFS/BROWNS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off back-to-back 19-17 victories, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see another similarly tight final score here. The Cleveland Browns have shown flashes of improvement on offense with Jameis Winston under center, but Kansas City's defense remains one of the most underrated units in the league. The Chiefs are 12-1 this season, not because of their usual offensive firepower but due to their defensive dominance. I expect a relatively low-scoring affair in this matchup. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-12-24 | Rams +3 v. 49ers | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - RAMS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The San Francisco 49ers showed new life in a 38-13 win over the Bears last week, but their already injury-ridden squad has picked up even more injuries since then. The Los Angeles Rams are fairly healthy and peaking at the right time, coming off wins over New Orleans and Buffalo. 5% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys +5.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 35 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/COWBOYS MNF TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are riding high after back-to-back divisional victories over Washington and the Giants, and now they face a Cincinnati team that seems to be playing out the string at 4-8 after three straight losses. Injuries are a factor for both squads, but the Cowboys are on the mend, and their momentum makes it questionable whether they should even be underdogs in this spot. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-08-24 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
4% SNF CHARGERS/CHIEFS TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs may boast an impressive 11-1 record, but their 5-7 ATS mark tells a different story, with six straight failed covers. While an overcorrection by the bookmakers seems inevitable, this Sunday night divisional clash with the 8-4 SU and ATS LA Chargers doesn’t feel the spot. Divisional games are always unpredictable, and with the Chiefs’ trend of tight finishes, this one feels primed to be decided by a late field goal. 4% PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
12-08-24 | Bears +4 v. 49ers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 89 h 54 m | Show |
5% BEARS/NINERS MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Chicago Bears, who aim to make a statement after parting ways with head coach Matt Eberflus, who had seemingly lost the locker room long ago. Teams often rally after a coaching change, eager to prove the problem wasn’t the players. Facing a San Francisco 49ers squad whose season has been derailed by injuries and now appears to lack direction, the Bears have a golden opportunity to turn the page with a strong performance. 5% PLAY ON THE BEARS. | |||||||
12-08-24 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 30-18 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 36 m | Show |
5% SEA/ARI NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Arizona Cardinals defense had stepped up in recent games, something the Seahawks saw firsthand when these two teams clashed in Seattle on Nov 24. The Seahawks still won 16-6 though, and they had played five consecutive unders prior to last week's 26-21 win over the Jets. The Cardinals have seen their last four games stay under the closing total, and I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-05-24 | Packers +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
4% PACKERS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Lions have devoured almost anything in their way lately, but I expect their division rivals to give them all they can handle as the Green Bay Packers roll into Ford Field for this Thursday night showdown. Detroit’s defense is dealing with key injuries, and the Packers are hitting their stride, coming off dominant wins over San Francisco and Miami. This one should be closer than the line suggests. 4% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Texans v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
5% HOU/JAX AFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a mini-bye and had covered the spread in four consecutive games before a 52-6 loss at Detroit on Nov 17. Trevor Lawrence will make his first start since Nov 3, and I expect them to bounce back with a solid outing from that humiliating loss. The Houston Texans are in a downward spiral, having lost three of four games and only beating the shorthanded Cowboys. 5% PLAY ON THE JAGUARS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Steelers +3 v. Bengals | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/BENGALS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I've been waiting for the Cincinnati Bengals to turn things around, but instead, they're trending downward with three losses in their last four games. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers are looking like the real deal. Their defense has always been solid, and now Russell Wilson is heating up, creating opportunities for their strong running game to shine. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Chargers v. Falcons OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
5% LAC/ATL MAX BET ALERT - NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a 30-23 loss to Baltimore but had scored 26+ points in four straight games prior. Their last three games have gone over the total, and I expect the Chargers to keep lighting up the scoreboard, while the Atlanta Falcons, fresh off their bye, rebound from lackluster offensive performances at New Orleans and Denver. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
11-28-24 | Dolphins v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - MIA/GB NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Miami Dolphins are on a three-game winning streak, but those wins came in favorable conditions—two at home and one in LA. Historically, Tua Tagovailoa has struggled in cold weather, and the conditions at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving Eve won't do him any favors. Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers are one of the hottest teams in the league and well-equipped to thrive in the chilly Wisconsin weather. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
11-25-24 | Ravens -145 v. Chargers | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
4% RAVENS/CHARGERS MNF TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Los Angeles Chargers following four consecutive wins SU and ATS. The Baltimore Ravens are set to bounce back from a disappointing 18-16 loss at Pittsburgh and while they are 1-3 ATS in divisional games on the season, they're 4-2-1 ATS against opponents from outside their division. 4% PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
11-24-24 | Eagles -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
5% EAGLES/RAMS SNF MAX BET - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Philadelphia Eagles are riding a six-game winning streak while the LA Chargers have won four of their last five, but I think the Eagles have a big edge over their opponent at SoFi Stadium Sunday night. The Rams have struggled against the run all season and the Eagles are averaging an NFL-best 181.3 rushing yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry (3rd). I expect the Eagles to run away with this one, no pun intended. 5% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
11-24-24 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | Top | 29-19 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
5% DEN/LV AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Denver Broncos have held four of their last five opponents to 16 points or fewer, with the lone exception being a 41-10 loss at Baltimore. The Raiders, however, are no Baltimore, and they’ll likely struggle against a Broncos defense that ranks 3rd in total defense this season. Meanwhile, the Raiders' offense ranks 30th in total offense, making this a tough matchup for them to generate points. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-24-24 | Chiefs v. Panthers UNDER 43 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
5% KC/CAR NFL INTERCONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Carolina Panthers have seen improved production since turning back to Bryce Young at quarterback. Their defense has also stepped up in back-to-back wins over the Giants and Saints, and I expect a relatively low-scoring game here against a Kansas City Chiefs team focused on tightening up defensively after allowing 30 points in a loss to Buffalo last week. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-21-24 | Steelers v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/BROWNS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Pittsburgh might be the better team, but AFC North matchups rarely follow the script. The Browns are in a prime bounce-back spot after blowout losses to the Chargers and Saints, while the Steelers could be poised for a letdown after five straight wins SU and ATS, including last week’s 18-16 upset over Baltimore. This looks like the perfect opportunity to side with the underdog. 4% PLAY ON THE BROWNS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Bengals +2 v. Chargers | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
BENGALS/CHARGERS SNF TOP PLAY This one is easy; the LA Chargers are worse than their 6-3 record, while the Cincinnati Bengals are better than their 4-6 record. The Chargers have benefited from a soft schedule, with wins over teams like Las Vegas, Carolina, Cleveland, and Tennessee. Meanwhile, the Bengals have faced a much tougher slate, including Kansas City, Washington, Philadelphia, and Baltimore twice. These teams will head in opposite directions, and I believe this game is completely mispriced due to the misleading records. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 46.5 | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
4% CHIEFS/BILLS NFL TOP PLAY It feels like I'm repeating myself every time I bet on a Kansas City Chiefs game, but their defense continues to be underrated. While the bookmakers are starting to adjust, the Chiefs are still 5-4 to the under this season. They've once again overestimated the scoring potential here, likely influenced by the marquee quarterbacks. On the Bllls' side, their defense has also proven capable of stepping up, holding four of its opponents to just 10 points each. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Ravens v. Steelers +3 | Top | 16-18 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
5% BAL/PIT AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Pittsburgh Steelers have won seven of the last eight meetings straight up and covered the spread in six of those games. They won five as underdogs and although the Ravens are having a great season, so is Pittsburgh and I'm more than happy to take a field goal on the Steelers. The Ravens have a lot of success running the football, but here they'll face a defense allowing just 3.8 yards per rush attempt. Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog, and I would not be surprised if they win outright again. 5% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Green Bay Packers are coming off their bye week but lost 24-14 to Detroit on November 3. They had scored 24 points or more in four straight games leading up to that loss, but now they'll face a tough defense in the Chicago Bears, who are holding opponents to 18.6 points per game (7th). The Bears are still only 4-5 on the season due to a consistently sputtering offense that has scored a combined 27 points over three consecutive losses. The Packers' defense has struggled recently, allowing 22+ points in three straight games, but 21 points from either team should be more than enough to win this game. I rarely call out exact scores, but 20-17 Packers. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-14-24 | Commanders v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Their records might suggest only a slight talent gap between the 7-3 Washington Commanders and the 7-2 Philadelphia Eagles, but I expect Philly to take this one comfortably. Commanders' rookie QB, No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, has had an impressive season, but facing one of the league’s toughest defenses on a short week will be a true test. Meanwhile, the Eagles' ground game should thrive against a Washington defense allowing 142.7 rushing yards per game (24th) and 4.9 yards per rush attempt (29th). 5% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
11-11-24 | Dolphins v. Rams OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK With Tua Tagovailoa back from his latest concussion, the Miami Dolphins have put up 27 points in each of their last two games, though they lost both. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams are riding a three-game winning streak, scoring 76 points during that stretch. Matthew Stafford has been sharp, throwing for six TDs and just one INT over the last two games, and Miami’s defense just gave up three passing touchdowns to Josh Allen last week. All signs point to an action-packed Monday night showdown at SoFi Stadium. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
11-10-24 | Falcons v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
5% ATL/NO NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the New Orleans Saints to deliver a strong performance against a divisional rival. They’re overdue for a big effort after seven straight losses, including a humiliating one as a 7-point favorite at Carolina last week. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons could be in a letdown spot after winning five of their last six games SU and ATS. 5% PLAY ON THE SAINTS. | |||||||
11-10-24 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
5% DEN/KC AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Denver Broncos are 6-3 to the over this season, with each of their last five games going over the total. However, I expect a lower-scoring game when they visit KC on Sunday. Matchups with their divisional rival tend to stay on the lower side, and while KC has allowed more points recently, I don’t see Denver finding much success offensively here, as KC's D is still one of the best units in the league IMO. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-07-24 | Bengals +6 v. Ravens | Top | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/RAVENS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Bengals kept it within a field goal when they hosted the Baltimore Ravens on Oct 6, and that was before they started to find their rhythm. The Bengals have won three of four SU and ATS since the 41-38 defeat, and while the Ravens have been balling as well, I can't help but feel that they are asked to cover too big of a number here against their division rival. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
11-03-24 | Lions v. Packers +2.5 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
5% DET/GB NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to fade the Detroit Lions following their 52-14 throttling of the Tennessee Titans. They'll face a Green Bay Packers team that has won four on the bounce but came up just short against the spread in their last two games. For this game, quarterback Jordan Love is expected to play despite being listed as questionable due to a groin injury. I think this is a potential letdown spot for the Lions while the Packers are due for a big win. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
11-03-24 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 48.5 | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
5% LAR/SEA NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Seahawks struggled offensively last week, scoring just 10 points against the Bills, and now face a Rams team that has seen two of its last three games go under the total. The Rams, coming off a solid 30-20 win over the Vikings, benefited from the return of receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua; however, Nacua is questionable this week with a knee injury. While both teams have scoring potential, the total here feels inflated given the matchup and recent trends. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
11-03-24 | Chargers v. Browns UNDER 42.5 | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
4% CHARGERS/BROWNS NFL TOP PLAY The Cleveland Browns scored a season-high 29 points against the Baltimore Ravens last week. They certainly look more lively with Jameis Winston under center instead of Deshaun Watson, but the Chargers' defense is still their biggest strength. The Chargers have held four straight opponents to 17 points or fewer. In fact, the Chargers have yet to allow more than 20 points in a game this season and I think this will be a low-scoring affair. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
10-28-24 | Giants v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
4% GIANTS/STEELERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Giants have scored a total of just 10 points through back-to-back home losses, and now they head on the road to face one of the sturdiest defenses in the league. Pittsburgh has been holding opponents to 14.4 points per game (2nd), and Russell Wilson threw for 264 yards and two touchdowns on 16-of-29 passing and added a rushing score in his season debut in last week's 37-15 win over the Jets. I would typically look for a reason to be contrarian and back the struggling team, but I can only look to the Steelers in this matchup. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
10-27-24 | Cowboys +4.5 v. 49ers | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
5% DAL/CLE NFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from being humiliated by the Lions. They've had two full weeks to rest and recover, mentally and physically, from the 47-9 thrashing, and I think they'll bring it big time here against a banged-up San Francisco 49ers team that has underperformed all season. 5% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
10-27-24 | Bills v. Seahawks UNDER 45.5 | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Buffalo Bills are coming off a 34-10 win over the Tennessee Titans, but I think they'll find it a bit more difficult to put points on the board this week, against a Seattle team that limited the Atlanta Falcons to just 14 points last week. Bills QB Josh Allen is coming off a big game, but has otherwise had an underwhelming season. As for the Seahawks, Geno Smithh has had the offense rolling, but they're likely to be without star receiver DK Metcalf who suffered a knee injury last week. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
10-27-24 | Eagles v. Bengals -2.5 | Top | 37-17 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
5% NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cincinnati Bengals opened the season with three losses, but they have since won three of their last four, and won and covered the spread as favorites. The lone loss during this four-game stretch came as a home underdog to the Baltimore Ravens. The Eagles are 4-2 on the season, but last week's 28-3 rout of the Giants I woulld not say they've looked impressive at all. The Bengals need a win to get back to .500, and they've looked much better on both sides of the ball in recent weeks, especially on defense. 5% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
10-24-24 | Vikings v. Rams +3 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
4% VIKES/RAMS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Vikings and the Los Angeles Rams have had very different starts to the season as the Vikes are coming into the week 5-1 SU and ATS, while the Rams are just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. The Rams are expected to get Cooper Kupp back from injury though, and the Vikes might be going downill from here following a heartbreaking loss to the Lions. 4% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 41-31 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
RAVENS/BUCS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Baltimore Ravens after a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS streak. If there's one team in the NFL that can match their offensive output, it's the Bucs, who have averaged 38 points per game over their last three outings. While the Bucs have been less consistent defensively compared to Baltimore, that's reflected in the home team catching a field goal here. 4% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
10-20-24 | Panthers v. Commanders OVER 51.5 | Top | 7-40 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Carolina Panthers are allowing an NFL-worst 33.8 points per game, and the red-hot Washington Commanders are averaging 378.0 total yards per game, good for the fifth-best mark in the league. Defensively, the Commanders have not been quite as sharp, allowing 354 yards per game (22nd) and 6.3 yards per play (30th). The Panthers have scored 20 points or more in three of their last four games and veteran QB Andy Dalton has thrown for 896 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions across four starts since taking over for Bryce Young. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
10-20-24 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Falcons | Top | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
5% NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Seattle Seahawks who are undervalued by the betting market following an 0-3 stretch, both SU and ATS. The Atlanta Falcons meanwhile are overvalued as they're riding a three-game winning streak, and have won each of their last two games by more than two touchdowns. 5% PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. | |||||||
10-17-24 | Broncos -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
4% DEN/NO NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I would typically be looking to back the New Orleans Saints following a 0-4 and 1-3 ATS run, but they're such a mess I can only be looking to fade them in this matchup. QB Derek Carr is listed as doubtful but did not practice all week and is not expected to be available, which would mean that rookie fifth-round draft choice Spencer Rattler gets his second consecutive start. Rattler threw for 243 yards, but only one TD against two INTs in last week's 51-27 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That's a decent amount of points scored, but I would not say the Saints looked impressive on offense, and this week, they'll face a Denver defense that is holding opponents to an impressive 283.3 yards per game (4th) and 4.7 yards per play (2nd). The Broncos are healthy and ready to bounce back from a 23-16 loss to the Chargers. 4% PLAY ON THE BRONCOS. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Bengals v. Giants UNDER 47 | Top | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
5% CIN/NYG INTERCONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 41-38 loss to Baltimore, but I expect a very different type of game when they visit the New York Giants on Sunday night. The Bengals have scored 30-plus points in each of their past three games while the Giants have not allowed more than 21 points since their 28-6 Week 1 loss to Minnesota. The Bengals D is a mess, but the Giants lack weapons to take advantage. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Bucs -3.5 v. Saints | Top | 51-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
5% TB/NO NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the New Orleans Saints who have seen the wheels come off following a 2-0 start to the season. They'll be playing on a short week after losing at Kansas City 26-13 on Monday. Derek Carr got injured in that game, and rookie Spencer Rattler, a fifth-round draft pick, will replace him at QB. As for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they've had plenty of rest since a 36-30 loss at Atlanta on October 3. 5% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
5% IND/TEN AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Tennessee Titans will be fresh coming out of their bye week and they'll be looking to build on the momentum of their first victory of the season, a solid 31-12 win at Miami. The Indianapolis Colts are in a potential flat spot following three consecutive ATS covers, and star running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) has been ruled out while QB Anthony Richardson is listed as questionable. There are also plenty of other names on the Colts' injury report and I think they'll find it very difficult to keep up with a well-rested Titans team that is getting healthier. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
10-07-24 | Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 43 | Top | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
4% SAINTS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Kansas City Chiefs may be 4-0, but they've looked far from dominant. Averaging just 5.7 yards per play (17th), they’ve only done enough and keep finding ways to edge out their opponents. While the last four primetime games have hit the over, I expect a lower-scoring affair here as I trust the Chiefs' defense more than their offense until they find their rhythm. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Browns +3.5 v. Commanders | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 39 m | Show |
5% BROWNS/COMMANDERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a prime spot to fade the Washington Commanders following their 42-14 rout of the Arizona Cardinals. They've now won three on the bounce, and I just don't see them making it four in a row, especially not against a Browns team that is coming off a disappointing 20-16 loss as a short road favorite at Vegas. 5% PLAY ON THE BROWNS. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Bills v. Texans OVER 47 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 32 m | Show |
5% BILLS/TEXANS AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET I expect the Buffalo Bills' offense to snap back after scoring just 10 points against the Baltimore Ravens. The Houston Texans rank fifth in total defense, but they're giving up a fair amount of points, and the Bills are averaging 30.5 points per game (2nd) for the season despite laying an egg last week. 5% PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Jets +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 14 m | Show |
5% NYJ/MIN NFL INTERCONF GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings are listed as the home team, but they'll have no home-field advantage as the game is played across the pond at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England. The Jets had won back-to-back games before laying an egg as an 8.5-point home favorite against the Denver Broncos last week. I expect a big bounce back following that disappointing 10-9 loss. Meanwhile, the Vikes are in a potential flat spot after starting the season 4-0 and winning the last three games as short underdogs. 5% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
10-03-24 | Bucs +1.5 v. Falcons | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
4% BUCS/FALCONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking a lot better than expected. Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns in last week's 33-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, and I think he'll have success against the Falcons who have traded wins and losses through their first four games. As they're coming off a 26-24 win over the New Orleans Saints, I think that trend will continue and they'll come up short this week. 4% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
09-30-24 | Seahawks v. Lions OVER 46.5 | Top | 29-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
4% SEAHAWKS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Seattle Seahawks have allowed just 248.7 yards per game (2nd), but this will be a big step up in competition compared to the offenses they've faced. The Detroit Lions are well-balanced and can attack both on the ground and through the air, and Seattle's QB Geno Smith should have success against a Detroit secondary that is giving up over 216 passing yards per game. 4% PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Bills v. Ravens -2 | Top | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
5% BUF/BAL AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to fade the 3-0 Buffalo Bills as they face a Baltimore Ravens team eager to build on its first win of the season. Winning four straight is tough, even for a team like the Bills, and they don't match up well against Baltimore's run-heavy game plan. 5% PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Rams v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago Bears have struggled offensively in recent weeks, but their defense has kept games relatively close. The Los Angeles Rams could be in a potential flat spot after their come-from-behind win over the 49ers, and they're dealing with key injuries on offense. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-26-24 | Cowboys v. Giants +6 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
4% COWBOYS/GIANTS T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are 1-2 on the season following back-to-back home losses to New Orleans and Cleveland, and while I think they'll get the win here in Week 4, I think it'll be in a close game. The New York Giants opened the season with a 28-6 home loss to Minnesota, but have since split two one-score road games (at Washington and Cleveland). They got whipped by the Cowboys in both meetings last season, but this week they're catching Dallas at a good time. 4% PLAY ON THE GIANTS. | |||||||
09-23-24 | Commanders v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 38-33 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
4% COMMANDERS/BENGALS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Bengals can’t afford another loss after starting the season 0-2. Despite last week's 26-25 defeat at Kansas City, there were plenty of positives in a game they could’ve—and arguably should’ve—won. I expect a focused Bengals team in Week 3. The Washington Commanders are coming off a 21-18 win over the Giants, but coming off a win I think they’ll struggle to match the home team’s motivation in this game. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
09-22-24 | Panthers v. Raiders UNDER 40 | Top | 36-22 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
5% INTERCONFERENCE NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Carolina Panthers have struggled mightily on offense, and this week they'll be making a change at quarterback, moving from 2023 No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young to veteran Andy Dalton. However, based on Dalton's recent seasons, it's unclear how much of an upgrade that will be. The Las Vegas Raiders are capable of moving the ball, particularly through the air, but the Panthers have shown they can defend the pass effectively, allowing just 7.5 yards per attempt. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-22-24 | Packers v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
5% INTERCONFERENCE NFL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Green Bay Packers after their 16-10 upset win over the Indianapolis Colts. While they were able to play around backup QB Malik Willis last week and focus on the run, that won't work against this Titans defense, and starting QB Jordan Love has been practicing with a brace on his left leg and is still questionable. The Titans, coming off two 24-17 losses as four-point underdogs, need a win, and I believe they’ll get it and cover as favorites here in Week 3. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
09-19-24 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
4% PATS/JETS T.N.F. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Jets' defense has underperformed compared to projections, but this could be a good opportunity to bounce back against a New England Patriots team averaging a paltry 4.8 yards per play. The Pats rely heavily on their rushing attack to move the ball, which, even when successful, drains a lot of clock. The Patriots' defense has looked solid, as expected. Through the first two weeks of the season, they have allowed the fifth-fewest points per game (16.5). They've struggled somewhat against the pass, but Aaron Rodgers has yet to surpass 200 passing yards with the Jets. I'll gladly take the under in this feisty Thursday night rivalry game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Rams +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 61 h 33 m | Show |
5% NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET I like the LA Rams to bounce back this week after an overtime loss in Detroit. Matthew Stafford threw for 317 yards, and now he’ll face an Arizona defense that might be the worst in the NFL. The Cardinals scored 28 points in their Week 1 matchup with the Bills but gave up 34 in the loss. I believe the Rams have the edge on both sides of the ball, and they’ve dominated the Cardinals in recent seasons. 5% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Jets v. Titans +4 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
5% AFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Tennessee Titans went into halftime of their Week 1 matchup against the Bears in Chicago with a 17-3 lead, only to be outscored 21-0 in the second half. Now, in their first home game of the season, I expect a solid full-game performance from the Titans against a Jets team that was outplayed by the Niners on Monday night. Not only are the Jets playing on a short week, but they’re also on the road for the second straight week. Tough spot against a scrappy opponent, and I would not be surprised if the home team wins this one outright. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Colts v. Packers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a 34-29 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Brazil. Jordan Love suffered a sprained MCL in his left knee late in the game and is expected to miss this Week 2 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. Malik Willis is expected to start under center instead for the Packers, and while he's made three NFL starts, note that Willis did not throw for 100 yards in any of those games. The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a 29-27 loss against the Houston Texans, but I expect a lower-scoring and short game today as both teams are likely to rely on their running game to move the football. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins -136 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
4% BILLS/DOLPHINS T.N.F. TOP PLAY Both teams won but failed to cover the spread in their opening game of the season, but I was more impressed with Miami's win over Jacksonville in which Tua Tagovailoa put up 338 passing yards, the most of all NFL quarterbacks in Week 1. Bills' QB Josh Allen meanwhile got banged up in their 36-28 home win over Arizona. Allen threw for two touchdowns and ran for two more, and is pretty much their whole offense. 4% PLAY ON THE DOLPHINS. | |||||||
09-09-24 | Jets v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 19-32 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
4% JETS/NINERS M.N.F. TOP PLAY One must wonder how Jets veteran QB Aaron Rodgers will perform in his first start in over a year and a half, after going down with a season-ending Achilles injury in the opening series of last season. He certainly could have hoped for an easier opponent to make his comeback against, but the Jets also have one of the best defensive units in the NFL, which makes me think this will be a low-scoring game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-08-24 | Cowboys v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 47 m | Show |
5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The game features two of the league's top defenses, and the Browns will be without key players, including running back Nick Chubb. Cleveland's quarterback Deshaun Watson has yet to return to his previous form, and offensive chemistry may be an issue early in the season. 5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers +3 v. Eagles | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -117 | 83 h 27 m | Show |
5% PACKERS/EAGLES NFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles are listed as the home team, but they'll have no home-field advantage as this game will take place in Sao Paulo, Brazil. The Green Bay Packers, and especially QB Jordan Love, finished last season on a high note, and Philadelphia’s secondary was one of the worst in the league last season. Additionally, Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is usually money against the spread as an underdog. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
4% RAVENS/CHIEFS TNF TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs defense is never getting enough credit, IMO, and the Ravens will, as always, be run-heavy with their dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson and especially now with the addition of Derrick Henry in the backfield. Additionally, early-season scores tend to be low as offenses work out the kinks with fresh faces and new schemes. The Chiefs defeated the Ravens 17-10 in the AFC title game last season and I think this will be another low-scoring game. 4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game. 4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 41 h 39 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons. Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field. 5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock. I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS. I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs. There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers OVER 45 | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good. The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday. Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win. Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival? 5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 2 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens +5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins UNDER 50 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +12.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 60 h 4 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
John Martin | $964 |
Sean Higgs | $920 |
Frank Sawyer | $858 |
Cole Faxon | $839 |
Tom Macrina | $778 |
Marc David | $752 |
Bobby Conn | $749 |
R&R Totals | $718 |
ASA | $607 |
Jack Jones | $599 |