Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-19-25 | Rams v. Eagles -6 | Top | 22-28 | Push | 0 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
4% RAMS/EAGLES NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Rams turned heads with their one-sided Wild Card win over the Vikings, but that was a favorable matchup for them. Facing the Philadelphia Eagles is an entirely different challenge. The Eagles boast one of the most dominant rushing offenses in the league, ranking top 3 in most rushing categories, while the Rams have had trouble stopping the run all season. This matchup heavily favors Philly, especially with their ability to control the game on the ground. 4% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
01-18-25 | Commanders v. Lions -8.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
5% NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Washington Commanders have had a surprisingly strong season and defeated the Bucs as underdogs in the Wild Card round, but I think their run ends here against the standout Lions who have steamrolled virtually everything in their way all season. Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels has had an impressive season, but with no postseason experience it'll be a tough ask against a Detroit defense that has had an extra weak to heal up and prepare. 5% PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
01-13-25 | Vikings -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 9-27 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 35 m | Show |
5% MIN/LAR NFL WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings finished the regular season with an impressive 14 wins, and while one of their three losses came to the LA Rams, I still like the Vikes in this matchup. Their other two losses both came against Detroit, and they had won nine on the bounce prior to their 31-9 loss at Detroit in the season finale. The Rams have home field advantage due to winning their division, but their 10-7 record is far from impressive... The Rams' defense stepped up down the stretch, but the Vikings have been more consistent over the season. 5% PLAY ON THE VIKINGS. | |||||||
01-05-25 | Vikings v. Lions -2.5 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
4% VIKINGS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY This game is for the NFC North title and the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and I think the Lions have a clear edge. I can't help but feel like the Vikes have overachieved all season, and one of the Vikes two losses came at the hands of Detroit in Minnesota back in October, the Lions fourth consecutive win in the rivalry. 4% PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
01-05-25 | Commanders v. Cowboys +7 | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
COMMANDERS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Washington Commanders clinched a playoff berth last weekend and the Dallas Cowboys have won four of their last six games, losing to Cincy and Philly. I would not be surprised if Washington comes out flat off four straight wins. 3% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
01-04-25 | Bengals -2.5 v. Steelers | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/STEELERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Steelers have already clinched a wild card and the Cincinnati Bengals hope a late push can get them to the postseason as well. This game means a lot more for Cincy than the home team, and make no mistake, the Bengals are a lot better than their record would indicate, while one could easily argue that the Steelers have overachieved. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
12-29-24 | Jets +10 v. Bills | 14-40 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 48 m | Show | |
JETS/BILLS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Buffalo Bills have already secured their playoff spot, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them come out a bit flat in this one. The New York Jets should, despite a disappointing campaign, have every reason to put up a fight—whether it’s for pride or to make a case for future contracts. This could be a closer game than the line suggests. 3% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
12-29-24 | Cowboys +8 v. Eagles | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
4% COWBOYS/EAGLES NFL TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are starting to shed their early-season struggles, winning four of their last five, including two outright as underdogs. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles are dealing with a tough spot, coming off a divisional loss to Washington and now without Jalen Hurts, who is sidelined with a concussion. Despite Philly’s backup QB stepping in, the total looks a bit low, considering the offensive talent on both sides. I like Dallas to cover the spread and the over to hit in what could be a high-scoring affair. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-28-24 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
5% ARI/LAR MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Very different motivations in this one, with the Rams fighting for a playoff spot and the Cardinals eager to play spoiler. Divisional matchups like this can be unpredictable, and Arizona already proved capable with a dominant 41-10 win over LA earlier this season. While the Rams have been red-hot, winning four straight and going 8-2 since their bye, I expect the Cardinals to rise to the occasion and make this a much closer contest. 5% PLAY ON THE CARDINALS. | |||||||
12-28-24 | Broncos +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
5% DEN/CIN AFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off three wins but the competition has been soft. The Denver Broncos had won four on the bounce before a 34-27 loss to the Chargers in LA last Thursday and would clinch a berth in the postseason with a win here. The Broncos are healthy and rested and I think this one will go down to the wire. 5% PLAY ON THE BRONCOS. | |||||||
12-25-24 | Chiefs v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 29-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5% CHIEFS/STEELERS AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Pittsburgh Steelers off two uncharacteristic blowout losses as underdogs. The Kansas City Chiefs have all but clinched the No. 1 seed, lone first-round bye, and home-field advantage while the Steelers are battling the Ravens for the AFC North title. With both teams playing on extra short rest, I really like the home team in this matchup. 5% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-22-24 | Bucs v. Cowboys +4 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
4% BUCS/BOYS SNF TOP PLAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are riding high after four straight wins, including a 40-17 victory as underdogs at the LA Chargers last Sunday. The Dallas Cowboys are quietly trending upward with three wins in four games. While critics might argue the Cowboys haven't beaten a marquee team during that stretch, the same could be said about the Bucs' streak. I like the Cowboys to keep this one competitive. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-22-24 | Rams v. Jets +3 | Top | 19-9 | Loss | -100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
5% LAR/NYJ NFL INTERCONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The New York Jets have finally started to play up to their potential. While it's too late for a playoff push, the 4-10 Jets, led by a resurgent Aaron Rodgers, seem determined to finish strong, with Rodgers heating up over the last two weeks. The Los Angeles Rams, on the other hand, find themselves in a tough spot, traveling cross-country for an outdoor December east coast game after three straight wins, most recently a gritty 12-6 victory over the Niners. This feels like a prime letdown spot for the Rams. 5% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
12-21-24 | Steelers +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 39 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/RAVENS SAT NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back from a 27-13 loss in Philly as they head to Baltimore this Saturday. Matchups between these fierce rivals are often tightly contested, and their last meeting in November was no exception, with Pittsburgh eking out an 18-16 win at home. While the Ravens may seek revenge, history suggests it won’t come easy—Pittsburgh has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings. Expect another hard-fought battle. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Packers v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
PACKERS/SEAHAWKS SNF TOP PLAY This looks like a great spot to fade the Green Bay Packers against a red-hot Seattle team that's quietly been one of the league's best in recent weeks. The Seahawks have won four straight, all as underdogs, while Green Bay is dealing with key injuries on the defensive side of the ball. 4% PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Steelers +5.5 v. Eagles | 13-27 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
STEELERS/EAGLES NFL BOOKIE BREAKER Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog, and Pittsburgh has cashed in every time this season, winning all five games outright when getting points. This rivalry matchup should be a close one, and while the Steelers have shown vulnerability against the pass, Philly’s offense leans more on the ground game, which plays into Pittsburgh’s strengths. 3% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
12-15-24 | Commanders -7.5 v. Saints | Top | 20-19 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
5% WAS/NO NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Commanders ended a three-game losing streak with a dominant 42-19 win over the Tennessee Titans. They're almost back to full strength again, I think they're in for another blowout win here against a Saints team that struggled against the Giants in their last game. While Washington's QB Jayden Daniels is one of the top candidates for Rookie of the Year, Saints' starter Derek Carr is sidelined due to a concussion and we're likely to see Jake Haener under center for the home team. With a big edge on both sides of the ball, I trust Washington to get the job done. 5% PLAY ON THE COMMANDERS. | |||||||
12-12-24 | Rams +3 v. 49ers | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - RAMS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The San Francisco 49ers showed new life in a 38-13 win over the Bears last week, but their already injury-ridden squad has picked up even more injuries since then. The Los Angeles Rams are fairly healthy and peaking at the right time, coming off wins over New Orleans and Buffalo. 5% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys +5.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 35 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/COWBOYS MNF TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are riding high after back-to-back divisional victories over Washington and the Giants, and now they face a Cincinnati team that seems to be playing out the string at 4-8 after three straight losses. Injuries are a factor for both squads, but the Cowboys are on the mend, and their momentum makes it questionable whether they should even be underdogs in this spot. 4% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-08-24 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
4% SNF CHARGERS/CHIEFS TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs may boast an impressive 11-1 record, but their 5-7 ATS mark tells a different story, with six straight failed covers. While an overcorrection by the bookmakers seems inevitable, this Sunday night divisional clash with the 8-4 SU and ATS LA Chargers doesn’t feel the spot. Divisional games are always unpredictable, and with the Chiefs’ trend of tight finishes, this one feels primed to be decided by a late field goal. 4% PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
12-08-24 | Bears +4 v. 49ers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 89 h 54 m | Show |
5% BEARS/NINERS MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Chicago Bears, who aim to make a statement after parting ways with head coach Matt Eberflus, who had seemingly lost the locker room long ago. Teams often rally after a coaching change, eager to prove the problem wasn’t the players. Facing a San Francisco 49ers squad whose season has been derailed by injuries and now appears to lack direction, the Bears have a golden opportunity to turn the page with a strong performance. 5% PLAY ON THE BEARS. | |||||||
12-05-24 | Packers +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
4% PACKERS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Lions have devoured almost anything in their way lately, but I expect their division rivals to give them all they can handle as the Green Bay Packers roll into Ford Field for this Thursday night showdown. Detroit’s defense is dealing with key injuries, and the Packers are hitting their stride, coming off dominant wins over San Francisco and Miami. This one should be closer than the line suggests. 4% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Bucs v. Panthers +6 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
BUCS/PANTHERS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Carolina Panthers have been heating up with three straight ATS covers and they had recorded back-to-back wins SU prior to last week's 30-27 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. This week, they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that I think is massively overvalued in this NFC South rivalry matchup. Carolina QB Bryce Young is coming off arguably the best game of his career and the Bucs have allowed 255.5 passing yards per game (29th). 3% PLAY ON THE PANTHERS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Rams v. Saints +2.5 | 21-14 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
RAMS/SAINTS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The 4-7 New Orleans Saints have shown renewed energy under interim head coach Darren Rizzi, winning both games since the transition and now coming off their bye. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams are reeling from a 37-20 home loss to the Eagles, marking another shaky defensive performance. I like the rejuvenated, healthier, and well-rested Saints to cover as short home underdogs. 3% PLAY ON THE SAINTS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Texans v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
5% HOU/JAX AFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a mini-bye and had covered the spread in four consecutive games before a 52-6 loss at Detroit on Nov 17. Trevor Lawrence will make his first start since Nov 3, and I expect them to bounce back with a solid outing from that humiliating loss. The Houston Texans are in a downward spiral, having lost three of four games and only beating the shorthanded Cowboys. 5% PLAY ON THE JAGUARS. | |||||||
12-01-24 | Steelers +3 v. Bengals | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/BENGALS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I've been waiting for the Cincinnati Bengals to turn things around, but instead, they're trending downward with three losses in their last four games. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers are looking like the real deal. Their defense has always been solid, and now Russell Wilson is heating up, creating opportunities for their strong running game to shine. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
11-28-24 | Dolphins v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - MIA/GB NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Miami Dolphins are on a three-game winning streak, but those wins came in favorable conditions—two at home and one in LA. Historically, Tua Tagovailoa has struggled in cold weather, and the conditions at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving Eve won't do him any favors. Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers are one of the hottest teams in the league and well-equipped to thrive in the chilly Wisconsin weather. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
11-28-24 | Bears v. Lions -9.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
BEARS/LIONS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Detroit Lions have been dominant all season, while the Chicago Bears are heading in the wrong direction with five straight losses. Divisional matchups can be tricky, but favorites often thrive on Thanksgiving, and this is a revenge spot for Detroit after dropping their last meeting with Chicago on December 10 last year. 3% PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
11-24-24 | Eagles -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
5% EAGLES/RAMS SNF MAX BET - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Philadelphia Eagles are riding a six-game winning streak while the LA Chargers have won four of their last five, but I think the Eagles have a big edge over their opponent at SoFi Stadium Sunday night. The Rams have struggled against the run all season and the Eagles are averaging an NFL-best 181.3 rushing yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry (3rd). I expect the Eagles to run away with this one, no pun intended. 5% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
11-24-24 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | 10-38 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
NINERS/PACKERS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The 5-5 San Francisco 49ers have faced their fair share of struggles this season, and with quarterback Brock Purdy and defensive end Nick Bosa unavailable, they’ll need to dig deep. Still, even when banged up this team still boasts plenty of talent and should rise to the occasion to challenge the Packers. Green Bay is 3-1 SU in its last four games but failed to cover the spread in any of those outings, with their wins decided by a combined six points. I expect another tightly contested game here. 3% PLAY ON THE NINERS. | |||||||
11-21-24 | Steelers v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
4% STEELERS/BROWNS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Pittsburgh might be the better team, but AFC North matchups rarely follow the script. The Browns are in a prime bounce-back spot after blowout losses to the Chargers and Saints, while the Steelers could be poised for a letdown after five straight wins SU and ATS, including last week’s 18-16 upset over Baltimore. This looks like the perfect opportunity to side with the underdog. 4% PLAY ON THE BROWNS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Bengals +2 v. Chargers | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
BENGALS/CHARGERS SNF TOP PLAY This one is easy; the LA Chargers are worse than their 6-3 record, while the Cincinnati Bengals are better than their 4-6 record. The Chargers have benefited from a soft schedule, with wins over teams like Las Vegas, Carolina, Cleveland, and Tennessee. Meanwhile, the Bengals have faced a much tougher slate, including Kansas City, Washington, Philadelphia, and Baltimore twice. These teams will head in opposite directions, and I believe this game is completely mispriced due to the misleading records. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Vikings -6 v. Titans | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
VIKINGS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Tennessee Titans have been one of the NFL's biggest disappointments this season, entering this matchup with a dismal 1-8 ATS record. Their defense has been an enigma, ranking 2nd in yards allowed per game while surrendering 26.7 points per contest (29th). At 2-7, their playoff hopes are nonexistent. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Vikings are still firmly in the hunt, just one game behind the NFC North-leading Lions. After a lackluster 12-7 victory over Jacksonville last week—a game without a single touchdown, the Vikings are primed for a bounce-back outing. I expect Minnesota to come out strong and reassert themselves in the division race. 3% PLAY ON THE VIKINGS. | |||||||
11-17-24 | Ravens v. Steelers +3 | Top | 16-18 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
5% BAL/PIT AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Pittsburgh Steelers have won seven of the last eight meetings straight up and covered the spread in six of those games. They won five as underdogs and although the Ravens are having a great season, so is Pittsburgh and I'm more than happy to take a field goal on the Steelers. The Ravens have a lot of success running the football, but here they'll face a defense allowing just 3.8 yards per rush attempt. Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog, and I would not be surprised if they win outright again. 5% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
11-14-24 | Commanders v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
5% MAX BET ALERT - NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Their records might suggest only a slight talent gap between the 7-3 Washington Commanders and the 7-2 Philadelphia Eagles, but I expect Philly to take this one comfortably. Commanders' rookie QB, No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, has had an impressive season, but facing one of the league’s toughest defenses on a short week will be a true test. Meanwhile, the Eagles' ground game should thrive against a Washington defense allowing 142.7 rushing yards per game (24th) and 4.9 yards per rush attempt (29th). 5% PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
11-10-24 | Falcons v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
5% ATL/NO NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the New Orleans Saints to deliver a strong performance against a divisional rival. They’re overdue for a big effort after seven straight losses, including a humiliating one as a 7-point favorite at Carolina last week. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons could be in a letdown spot after winning five of their last six games SU and ATS. 5% PLAY ON THE SAINTS. | |||||||
11-07-24 | Bengals +6 v. Ravens | Top | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
4% BENGALS/RAVENS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Bengals kept it within a field goal when they hosted the Baltimore Ravens on Oct 6, and that was before they started to find their rhythm. The Bengals have won three of four SU and ATS since the 41-38 defeat, and while the Ravens have been balling as well, I can't help but feel that they are asked to cover too big of a number here against their division rival. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
11-03-24 | Lions v. Packers +2.5 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
5% DET/GB NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to fade the Detroit Lions following their 52-14 throttling of the Tennessee Titans. They'll face a Green Bay Packers team that has won four on the bounce but came up just short against the spread in their last two games. For this game, quarterback Jordan Love is expected to play despite being listed as questionable due to a groin injury. I think this is a potential letdown spot for the Lions while the Packers are due for a big win. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
10-28-24 | Giants v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
4% GIANTS/STEELERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Giants have scored a total of just 10 points through back-to-back home losses, and now they head on the road to face one of the sturdiest defenses in the league. Pittsburgh has been holding opponents to 14.4 points per game (2nd), and Russell Wilson threw for 264 yards and two touchdowns on 16-of-29 passing and added a rushing score in his season debut in last week's 37-15 win over the Jets. I would typically look for a reason to be contrarian and back the struggling team, but I can only look to the Steelers in this matchup. 4% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
10-27-24 | Cowboys +4.5 v. 49ers | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
5% DAL/CLE NFC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from being humiliated by the Lions. They've had two full weeks to rest and recover, mentally and physically, from the 47-9 thrashing, and I think they'll bring it big time here against a banged-up San Francisco 49ers team that has underperformed all season. 5% PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
10-27-24 | Eagles v. Bengals -2.5 | Top | 37-17 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
5% NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cincinnati Bengals opened the season with three losses, but they have since won three of their last four, and won and covered the spread as favorites. The lone loss during this four-game stretch came as a home underdog to the Baltimore Ravens. The Eagles are 4-2 on the season, but last week's 28-3 rout of the Giants I woulld not say they've looked impressive at all. The Bengals need a win to get back to .500, and they've looked much better on both sides of the ball in recent weeks, especially on defense. 5% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
10-24-24 | Vikings v. Rams +3 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
4% VIKES/RAMS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Vikings and the Los Angeles Rams have had very different starts to the season as the Vikes are coming into the week 5-1 SU and ATS, while the Rams are just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. The Rams are expected to get Cooper Kupp back from injury though, and the Vikes might be going downill from here following a heartbreaking loss to the Lions. 4% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 41-31 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
RAVENS/BUCS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Baltimore Ravens after a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS streak. If there's one team in the NFL that can match their offensive output, it's the Bucs, who have averaged 38 points per game over their last three outings. While the Bucs have been less consistent defensively compared to Baltimore, that's reflected in the home team catching a field goal here. 4% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
10-20-24 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Falcons | Top | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
5% NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Seattle Seahawks who are undervalued by the betting market following an 0-3 stretch, both SU and ATS. The Atlanta Falcons meanwhile are overvalued as they're riding a three-game winning streak, and have won each of their last two games by more than two touchdowns. 5% PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. | |||||||
10-17-24 | Broncos -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
4% DEN/NO NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I would typically be looking to back the New Orleans Saints following a 0-4 and 1-3 ATS run, but they're such a mess I can only be looking to fade them in this matchup. QB Derek Carr is listed as doubtful but did not practice all week and is not expected to be available, which would mean that rookie fifth-round draft choice Spencer Rattler gets his second consecutive start. Rattler threw for 243 yards, but only one TD against two INTs in last week's 51-27 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That's a decent amount of points scored, but I would not say the Saints looked impressive on offense, and this week, they'll face a Denver defense that is holding opponents to an impressive 283.3 yards per game (4th) and 4.7 yards per play (2nd). The Broncos are healthy and ready to bounce back from a 23-16 loss to the Chargers. 4% PLAY ON THE BRONCOS. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Texans v. Patriots +7 | 41-21 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
TEXANS/PATS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a good spot to fade the Houston Texans following back-to-back home wins over Jacksonville and Buffalo. They're still only 1-3-1 ATS on the season, the same ATS record as the New England Patriots who I think will get a boost with no. 3 overall pick Drake Maye replacing Jacoby Brissett under center. They've also had decent success running the football, and the Texans are giving up 4.8 yards per attempt (24th). 3% PLAY ON THE PATRIOTS. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Bucs -3.5 v. Saints | Top | 51-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
5% TB/NO NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the New Orleans Saints who have seen the wheels come off following a 2-0 start to the season. They'll be playing on a short week after losing at Kansas City 26-13 on Monday. Derek Carr got injured in that game, and rookie Spencer Rattler, a fifth-round draft pick, will replace him at QB. As for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they've had plenty of rest since a 36-30 loss at Atlanta on October 3. 5% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
5% IND/TEN AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Tennessee Titans will be fresh coming out of their bye week and they'll be looking to build on the momentum of their first victory of the season, a solid 31-12 win at Miami. The Indianapolis Colts are in a potential flat spot following three consecutive ATS covers, and star running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) has been ruled out while QB Anthony Richardson is listed as questionable. There are also plenty of other names on the Colts' injury report and I think they'll find it very difficult to keep up with a well-rested Titans team that is getting healthier. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Cowboys v. Steelers -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 21 m | Show | |
SUNDAY NIGHT NFL - COWBOYS/STEELERS BOOKIE BU$TER The Dallas Cowboys got back to .500 with a 20-15 win over the Giants in New York last week, but now they're heading to Pittsburgh to face a Steelers team looking to bounce back from a 27-24 loss as a road favorite over the Indianapolis Colts. Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin knows how to get his team fired up after a loss, and I expect them to run all over a Dallas team that can't stop the run. 3% PLAY ON THE STEELERS. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Ravens v. Bengals +2.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 41 m | Show | |
RAVENS/BENGALS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a good spot to fade the Baltimore Ravens following their 35-10 rout of the Buffalo Bills on prime time last Sunday, while the Cincinnati Bengals will be looking to build on their first win of the season. The Bengals are getting healthier, and I have no doubt that their results will start to improve. 3% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Browns +3.5 v. Commanders | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 39 m | Show |
5% BROWNS/COMMANDERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a prime spot to fade the Washington Commanders following their 42-14 rout of the Arizona Cardinals. They've now won three on the bounce, and I just don't see them making it four in a row, especially not against a Browns team that is coming off a disappointing 20-16 loss as a short road favorite at Vegas. 5% PLAY ON THE BROWNS. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Jets +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 14 m | Show |
5% NYJ/MIN NFL INTERCONF GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings are listed as the home team, but they'll have no home-field advantage as the game is played across the pond at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England. The Jets had won back-to-back games before laying an egg as an 8.5-point home favorite against the Denver Broncos last week. I expect a big bounce back following that disappointing 10-9 loss. Meanwhile, the Vikes are in a potential flat spot after starting the season 4-0 and winning the last three games as short underdogs. 5% PLAY ON THE JETS. | |||||||
10-03-24 | Bucs +1.5 v. Falcons | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
4% BUCS/FALCONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking a lot better than expected. Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns in last week's 33-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, and I think he'll have success against the Falcons who have traded wins and losses through their first four games. As they're coming off a 26-24 win over the New Orleans Saints, I think that trend will continue and they'll come up short this week. 4% PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Bills v. Ravens -2 | Top | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
5% BUF/BAL AFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to fade the 3-0 Buffalo Bills as they face a Baltimore Ravens team eager to build on its first win of the season. Winning four straight is tough, even for a team like the Bills, and they don't match up well against Baltimore's run-heavy game plan. 5% PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Chiefs v. Chargers +7 | 17-10 | Push | 0 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
CHIEFS/CHARGERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Kansas City Chiefs have started the season with three one-score wins, and I expect that trend to continue when they visit the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday afternoon. The Chargers will be eager to bounce back from a 20-10 loss at Pittsburgh after starting the season 2-0. With a bye week ahead, I anticipate their banged-up quarterback Justin Herbert will push through to play, knowing he’ll have time to rest after the game. 3% PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Steelers v. Colts +2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
STEELERS/COLTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a great spot to fade the 3-0 Pittsburgh Steelers. Winning four in a row is a tall order, especially for a non-elite team like Pittsburgh, and the Indianapolis Colts will be hungry to build on their first win of the season. 3% PLAY ON THE COLTS. | |||||||
09-29-24 | Saints v. Falcons -2.5 | 24-26 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
SAINTS/FALCONS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The New Orleans Saints suffered their first loss of the season last week, falling 15-12 to Philadelphia. I expect more regression from the Saints as they face a tough Atlanta team that nearly upset the Chiefs. Saints running back Alvin Kamara is dealing with injuries, and QB Derek Carr’s performance dipped last week, completing just 56% of his passes after a hot start to the season. 3% PLAY ON THE FALCONS. | |||||||
09-26-24 | Cowboys v. Giants +6 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
4% COWBOYS/GIANTS T.N.F. TOP PLAY The Dallas Cowboys are 1-2 on the season following back-to-back home losses to New Orleans and Cleveland, and while I think they'll get the win here in Week 4, I think it'll be in a close game. The New York Giants opened the season with a 28-6 home loss to Minnesota, but have since split two one-score road games (at Washington and Cleveland). They got whipped by the Cowboys in both meetings last season, but this week they're catching Dallas at a good time. 4% PLAY ON THE GIANTS. | |||||||
09-23-24 | Commanders v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 38-33 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
4% COMMANDERS/BENGALS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Bengals can’t afford another loss after starting the season 0-2. Despite last week's 26-25 defeat at Kansas City, there were plenty of positives in a game they could’ve—and arguably should’ve—won. I expect a focused Bengals team in Week 3. The Washington Commanders are coming off a 21-18 win over the Giants, but coming off a win I think they’ll struggle to match the home team’s motivation in this game. 4% PLAY ON THE BENGALS. | |||||||
09-22-24 | Chiefs v. Falcons +3 | 22-17 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 10 m | Show | |
CHIEFS/FALCONS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a hard-fought 22-21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, and I believe they can keep it close against a Kansas City Chiefs team that’s eked out two narrow wins to start the season. While grinding out close victories shows resilience, I’m hesitant to back the Chiefs against the spread until they hit their stride. 3% PLAY ON THE FALCONS. | |||||||
09-22-24 | Packers v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
5% INTERCONFERENCE NFL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Green Bay Packers after their 16-10 upset win over the Indianapolis Colts. While they were able to play around backup QB Malik Willis last week and focus on the run, that won't work against this Titans defense, and starting QB Jordan Love has been practicing with a brace on his left leg and is still questionable. The Titans, coming off two 24-17 losses as four-point underdogs, need a win, and I believe they’ll get it and cover as favorites here in Week 3. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Rams +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 61 h 33 m | Show |
5% NFC GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET I like the LA Rams to bounce back this week after an overtime loss in Detroit. Matthew Stafford threw for 317 yards, and now he’ll face an Arizona defense that might be the worst in the NFL. The Cardinals scored 28 points in their Week 1 matchup with the Bills but gave up 34 in the loss. I believe the Rams have the edge on both sides of the ball, and they’ve dominated the Cardinals in recent seasons. 5% PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Saints +6 v. Cowboys | 44-19 | Win | 100 | 57 h 21 m | Show | |
SAINTS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a great spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys after their 33-17 win as 2.5-point underdogs in Cleveland in Week 1. Sure, you could also argue for a letdown from the New Orleans Saints following their 47-10 victory over the Carolina Panthers. Still, they won as favorites, and we’re getting nearly a touchdown on the visitors in this matchup. Dallas has plenty of talent, but they often struggle with consistency. I wouldn’t be surprised if they come out completely flat this Sunday. 3% PLAY ON THE SAINTS. | |||||||
09-15-24 | Jets v. Titans +4 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
5% AFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Tennessee Titans went into halftime of their Week 1 matchup against the Bears in Chicago with a 17-3 lead, only to be outscored 21-0 in the second half. Now, in their first home game of the season, I expect a solid full-game performance from the Titans against a Jets team that was outplayed by the Niners on Monday night. Not only are the Jets playing on a short week, but they’re also on the road for the second straight week. Tough spot against a scrappy opponent, and I would not be surprised if the home team wins this one outright. 5% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
09-08-24 | Titans +4.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
TITANS/BEARS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER With the departure of head coach Mike Vrabel and star running back Derrick Henry, the Tennessee Titans will have a very different look in 2024. I'm not sure that's all bad, and we should see big improvements on the defensive side. The Chicago Bears will also have a different look compared to last season, most notably in terms of the quarterback position, where rookie Caleb Williams was named the starter. It will take a very special player for me to back a rookie in his NFL debut, especially as a starter, and Williams is not that guy, IMO. 3% PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers +3 v. Eagles | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -117 | 83 h 27 m | Show |
5% PACKERS/EAGLES NFC GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles are listed as the home team, but they'll have no home-field advantage as this game will take place in Sao Paulo, Brazil. The Green Bay Packers, and especially QB Jordan Love, finished last season on a high note, and Philadelphia’s secondary was one of the worst in the league last season. Additionally, Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is usually money against the spread as an underdog. 5% PLAY ON THE PACKERS. | |||||||
02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game. 4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field. 5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 131 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CHIEFS/BILLS NFL NO BRAINER Both the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs had their struggles during the regular season, but they both looked solid in the Wild Card round. The Bills have heated up lately, winning each of their last six games, a winning streak that started with a 20-17 win at Arrowhead, but I like the Chiefs to cover the number and possibly also win outright here in the divisional round. While Buffalo's defense has stepped up in recent weeks, I just think the Chiefs' D is on another level and as much as I respect Josh Allen, how can you go against Patrick Mahomes in a playoff game? 3* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 128 h 56 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS. I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. | |||||||
01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAMS/LIONS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Detroit Lions and the LA Rams finished the regular season with some of the best ATS records in the NFL, but I think the Lions are overvalued as a home favorite in this Wild Card round matchup. I don't think there is all that much separating these two teams, but at least the Rams have a decent amount of postseason experience on their team and we're getting points. Also, they closed out the regular season hot with seven wins in their last eight games. 3* PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs. There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. 4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Jaguars v. Titans +5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JAGS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER Sure, the Jacksonville Jaguars need a win to make the postseason, but I expect a strong effort from the Tennessee Titans after getting humiliated in a 26-3 loss in Houston last week. They're now coming off three consecutive losses but I think they'll end the season on a good note. Titans are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. Jaguars are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 3* PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday. Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win. Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival? 5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Raiders +3.5 v. Colts | 20-23 | Win | 105 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAIDERS/COLTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Las Vegas Raiders are coming off two strong outings against the Chargers and the Chiefs. They held the Chiefs to 14 points last week and they are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. I think they'll give this overrated Colts team all kinds of trouble, especially with their run game. 3* PLAY ON THE RAIDERS. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Rams -4.5 v. Giants | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAMS/GIANTS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The Los Angeles Rams are 5-1 SU and ATS over their last six games but need to keep their foot on the gas to keep their hopes of postseason football alive. The Giants offense showed signs of life last week with Tyrod Taylor replacing Tommy DeVito under center, but I don't think they'll be able to keep with the Rams who have scored 28 points or more in each of their last five games. 3* PLAY ON THE RAMS. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens +5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SEAHAWKS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER This looks like a good spot to fade the Seattle Seahawks following their 20-17 upset win over Philadelphia. They'll face a Tennessee team that came out flat in a 19-16 home loss to Houston last week, but they are a respectable 4-2 at home on the season. The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Seahawks are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 3* PLAY ON THE TITANS. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +12.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 60 h 4 m | Show |
5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EAGLES/SEAHAWKS M.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER The Philadelphia Eagles took a 33-13 beating in Dallas last weekend, but I think they'll bounce back and make the Seahawks pay for that humiliating loss. The reeling Seahawks are in a tough spot playing their third straight road game and with zero momentum off four consecutive losses. The Eagles are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. 3* PLAY ON THE EAGLES. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -2 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 83 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs. The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Vikings +3.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S VIKES/BENGALS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER Cincinnati QB Jake Browning threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns against one INT in last week's 34-14 win over Indianapolis, but he has yet to prove that he can do it week in and week out. The Minnesota Vikings' defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, and the Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. 3* PLAY ON THE VIKINGS. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team. The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Seahawks +13.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week. I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line. 5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Panthers +6.5 v. Saints | 6-28 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PANTHERS/SAINTS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER The New Orleans Saints are only 5-7 and 2-9-1 ATS on the season. I don't think they should be this big of a favorite against any team in the NFL, not even the 1-11 SU and 2-8-2 ATS Carolina Panthers. Sure, the Saints can still win the division, but the Carolina players are also professionals and would like nothing more than to play spoiler for their division rival, The Saints are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. There are honestly not many trends supporting the Panthers either, but they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC South opponents. 3* PLAY ON THE CAROLINA PANTHERS. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns -2.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JAGS/BROWNS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER Jags star QB Trevor Lawrence is likely to miss this game, and even if he goes, he won't be 100% recovered from an ankle sprain suffered in last week's loss to Cincinnati. The Browns are holding teams to an NFL-best 260.5 yards per game and they'll be looking for a win following a pair of road losses. The Browns took a 36-19 loss to the Rams in LA last week, but they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 3* PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS. | |||||||
12-07-23 | Patriots +6 v. Steelers | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PATS/STEELERS T.N.F. BOOKIE BLA$TER The Pittsburgh Steelers took a 24-10 loss as a 6-point favorite against Arizona last week. If they were a dog here I would back Pittsburgh to bounce back here, but this is a team that routinely plays down (or up) to its competition. The New England Patriots are a mess and there's very little positive to say about them, but I'm happy to fade Pittsburgh as a favorite. Note that the Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. 3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. | |||||||
12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CHIEFS/PACKERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL BOOKIE BREAKER The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 31-17 win in Vegas. They covered the spread in that game, but are still only 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win. The Green Bay Packers have played their best football of the season in recent weeks and come into this game 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games. They'll be playing on extra rest since their 29-22 win in Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. 3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS. | |||||||
12-03-23 | 49ers -3 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins. I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. 5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. | |||||||
12-03-23 | Panthers +4.5 v. Bucs | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PANTHERS/BUCS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 SU and 1-8-2 ATS on the season, but I think they can get a cover here against a Tampa Bay team that is overvalued by the betting market after going 4-1 ATS in its last five games. The Buccaneers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. There are few if any trends supporting Carolina, but these ugly spots betting against the public are often where we can find value. 3* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. | |||||||
11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -9 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15. Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday. There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. | |||||||
11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +10 | 31-17 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CHIEFS/RAIDERS SIDE The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under. The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games. The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. The Raiders kept it within the number in a 20-13 loss at Miami last week and they are now 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog while the Chiefs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. This is a "get-right" spot for the Chiefs following a loss to Philadelphia Monday night, but I think they're asked to cover too many points. 3* PLAY ON LAS VEGAS RAIDERS. | |||||||
11-26-23 | Bills +3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS. | |||||||
11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +2 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 10 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JAGS/TEXANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a potential letdown spot for the Jacksonville Jaguars following a 34-14 blowout win over Tennessee last week. This is also a bad matchup for them. Houston rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is already one of the best QBs in the league and the Jags are giving up 254.4 passing yards per game (29th). The Jags have covered the spread in six of their last seven games while the Texans are 1-3 ATS in their last four, making this a bit of a sell high buy low spot. 3* PLAY ON HOUSTON TEXANS. | |||||||
11-23-23 | 49ers -7 v. Seahawks | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NINERS/SEAHAWKS NFL THANKSGIVING BOOKIE BREAKER The San Francisco 49ers are back on track again, coming off back-to-back wins after losing three in a row. The 49ers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC teams and while they didn't cover the spread in last week's 27-14 win over Tampa Bay, note that they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. The Seahawks have been inconsistent lately, and in a tough spot here playing on short rest with a banged up quarterback that could've done with a couple of extra days to heal up. Their run game is among the worst in the NFL, so with Smith not at 100% I don't see how they're going to move the ball against this elite Niners defense. 3* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. | |||||||
11-23-23 | Commanders v. Cowboys -13 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE'S COMMANDERS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER The Dallas Cowboys have outscored their last two opponents (Giants and Panthers) by a combined 82-27. The Cowboys are 19-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NFC East rivals. The Washington Commanders are coming off a 31-19 loss as a 7.5-point favorite against the Giants and I don't see how they can compete with the red hot Cowboys who will be looking to avenge a 26-6 loss to Washington in the last meeting back in January. 3* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Cole Faxon | $1,064 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,022 |
Matt Fargo | $986 |
Steve Janus | $982 |
John Ryan | $900 |
Oliver Smith | $859 |
Nick Parsons | $768 |
Bobby Conn | $703 |
Timothy Black | $639 |
Ricky Tran | $629 |