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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|08-25-18||Ravens v. Dolphins||27-10||Win||100||35 h 11 m||Show|
NFLX BOOKIE BREAKER
Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh simply loves winning preseason games. He's 31-12 SU throughout his career and undefeated through the last three seasons. This is the Ravens fourth preseason matchup and we can expect to see the starters get plenty of time on the gridiron here in the dress rehearsal.
The Miami Dolphins have struggled through their first two games, first losing 26-24 against Tampa Bay before taking a 27-20 loss at Carolina last week. Starting QB Ryan Tannehill and the first-team offense are expected to play into the third quarter, but backup quarterback Bryce Petty was held out of Thursday’s practice because of an oblique injury.
Ravens are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings and have better depth.
8* play on Baltimore Ravens.
|08-18-18||Raiders +3 v. Rams||15-19||Loss||-117||103 h 17 m||Show|
RAIDERS @ RAMS BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY*
Oakland Raiders head coach Jon Gruden is 31-16 in preseason games and he led the Raiders to a 16-10 home win over the Lions last week. Oakland Detroist just 253 total yards, including 88 yards on the ground. The Rams took a 33-7 loss to the Ravens on the road last week and neither QB in the rotation had much success, despite the motivation of fighting for a backup role behind Jared Goff.
Oakland has a deep QB rotation with Derek Carr, Connor Cook and EJ Manuel. Cook and Manuel are fighting for the backup spot behind Carr. Cook hit 11-of-10 passes for 141 yards and a TD against Detroit while Manuel hit 4-of-6 for 46 yards.
Take the points on Oakland.
10* play on Oakland Raiders.
|08-02-18||Bears v. Ravens -2.5||Top||16-17||Loss||-112||9 h 24 m||Show|
BEARS @ RAVENS *TOP PLAY*
Handicapping preseason NFL is never easy, but I think we have a solid reason to back Ravens here with Baltimore coach John Harbaugh owning a 28-12 preseason record overall and going 4-0 both in 2016 and 2017. Chicago head coach Matt Nagy (former Kansas City Chiefs offensive coordinator) on the other hand has no experience being in charge of an NFL team.
10* play on Baltimore Ravens.
|08-31-17||Dolphins v. Vikings -3||Top||30-9||Loss||-110||64 h 6 m||Show|
TOP RATED 10* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR
The Minnesota Vikings trailed San Francisco 14-0 at half time in Week 3 but came back to beat the 49ers 32-31 with a 2-point conversion on the final play of the game here at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Just more evidence of how much Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer cares about these preseason games (2-1, this year, 14-2 all time).
The Miami Dolphins on the other hand are coming off a 38-31 setback at Philadelphia last week to fall to 1-2 in the preseason. They've allowed 69 points and 808 yards through their last two games, and that won't cut it here against a Vikings team looking to keep the momentum going.
The Vikings have a solid D and Miami must be careful with QB Jay Cutler as they've already lost Ryan Tannehill for the year.
My NFLX Game of the Year is a 10* play on Minnesota Vikings.
|08-26-17||Browns v. Bucs -2.5||13-9||Loss||-125||55 h 46 m||Show|
NFLX Saturday *BANKROLL BUILDER*
The Cleveland Browns travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers in Week 3 of preseason action Saturday night. The Browns have held the Giants and the Saints to a total of just 20 points through back-to-back victories, but I think they'll come up short here against the Bucs.
Tampa Bay has split its two games with a 23-12 defeat at Cincinnati followed by a 12-8 win at Jacksonville last Thursday. They have a big rest advantage as the Browns played Monday against the Giants. It's also worth noting that they will play in front of the home town crowd for the first time this season, and they have a solid QB in Jameis Winston who completed 21-of-29 passes for 196 yards in the last game and should get plenty of time on the field here in Week 3.
The Browns will give rookie quarterback DeShone Kizer the start under center. They must feel pretty good with a 2-0 record in the preseason, but it's a very deceptional record, and it should all change here in Week 3 when each team's starters get more playing time.
My selection is an 8* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
|08-25-17||Patriots -2.5 v. Lions||30-28||Loss||-110||38 h 11 m||Show|
Friday Night NFLX *MONEYMAKER*
The New England Patriots are 0-2 in the preseason, but I think they'll turn up the tempo here at Detroit in Week 3.
We're likely to see more of Tom Brady and the other starters, and then they're simply a much better team than Matthew Stafford and the Lions who are unbeaten through their two warmup games so far.
The Lions may have been solid on the defensive side of the ball, but they've not looked all that good offensively averaging 20 points per game. The Pats have scored a total of 47 points despite losing twice, and I think their defense will improve enough this week to make Pats the play.
My selection is an 8* play on New England Patriots.
|08-17-17||Ravens +3 v. Dolphins||Top||31-7||Win||100||61 h 11 m||Show|
*GAME OF THE WEEK* (NFLX) Top Rated 10* Selection
The Ravens' started their preseason with a dominant 23-3 victory against Washington home at Baltimore last week, and head coach John Harbaugh is now boasting a 25-12 preseason record.
The Miami Dolphins managed to beat Atlanta 23-20 at home in their preseason opener Thursday night, but had to outscore their opponent 33-0 in the fourth to get the victory.
The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven head-to-head meetings and they've covered five straight games at Miami.
It's usually tough for teams to get their offense going in the preseason games, giving teams with the better defense the advantage. In this contest that's definitely the Ravens' (note that they limited the Redskins to 138 yards of total offense in Week 1), and I also like the fact that Harbaugh takes the preseason seriously.
My selection is a 10* play on Baltimore Ravens +3.
|09-01-16||Texans -3 v. Cowboys||28-17||Win||100||40 h 12 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
The Dallas Cowboys have made it clear that Dak Prescott will not play in this game, and I've seen reports suggest that they'll rest every starter in this contest. With Tony Romo out that leaves the team with just one available QB (Jameil Showers), and this looks like a good spot to back the Houston Texans.
The Texans came away with a 34-24 win over the Cardinals in an incredible performance by Brock Osweiler last week. Osweiler might not get all that many snaps here in week 4, but I think the Texans have a deeper team on both sides of the ball. Dallas will be more concerned about not sustaining any more injuries while the Texans will be looking to defend their perfect record here in the preseason.
|09-01-16||Patriots +3 v. Giants||9-17||Loss||-115||13 h 41 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
How often do you get spotted a field goal while backing the New England Patriots? Both teams expected to rest plenty of starters (obviously) and then it comes down to coaching and roster depth. Advantage the Patriots in both those areas IMO, and this is a no-brainer play on the Patriots plus the points.
|08-27-16||Lions +3 v. Ravens||9-30||Loss||-120||15 h 55 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
The Baltimore Ravens have opened the preseason with back-to-back wins, a 22-19 victory over the visiting Panthers before edging a 19-18 game at Indianapolis last week. I think they'll face a tougher test tonight in the Detroit Lions. Detroit has allowed a total of 47 points in losing both its games so far, but I expect the Lions to step up their game here in week 3 as Tavon Wilson has been moved into the No. 1 spot at strong safety. I don't give much credit to the Ravens perfect record as it's first here in week 3 (most) teams start to care. Take the points on the Lions.
|08-25-16||Cowboys +6 v. Seahawks||17-27||Loss||-110||57 h 23 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
The Dallas Cowboys are catching a ton of points at Seattle Thursday night, and I think the they'll cover this line with ease.
The Cowboys have two hot QBs in Tony Romo and Dak Prescott. The team has averaged 32.5 points per game, more than any other team in the preseason. The Seahawks have averaged just 14 points per game while defeating the Chiefs by one point and losing 18-11 to the Vikings in week 2. Russell Wilson has a lowly 47% completion percentage and he's still without a single touchdown while getting picked off once. We can also note that Wilson has been sacked for 41 yards lost.
Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings, and I expect them to play the Seahawks hard here in week 3 of the preseason.
|08-20-16||49ers v. Broncos -5.5||31-24||Loss||-110||16 h 49 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
It's always risky to back a favorite in the NFL preseason, but I have several favorable angles for this pick on the Denver Nuggets. First of all, Denver head coach Gary Kubiak is not one to take the preseason lightly. He has a 22-14 overall record SU (7-2 in Week 2). Secondly, while both teams are looking for their starting QB, Denver has way more depth in that department. Both Mark Sanchez and Trevor Siemian are coming off strong performances in Week 1's 22-point victory in Chicago. Denver will as always have a solid D, and the 49ers are simply outmatched in this contest.
|08-19-16||Cardinals +1.5 v. Chargers||3-19||Loss||-110||18 h 12 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *Punisher*
Two teams that struggled in Week 1 of the NFL preseason will do battle at Qualcomm Stadium Friday night. The Arizona Cardinals suffered a 31-10 home defeat at the hands of the Raiders while the San Diego Chargers lost their preseason opener 27-10 to the Titans.
Neither Carlton Palmer or backup QB Drew Stanton saw much action for Arizona last week, but I think we'll see more of them tonight. Philip Rivers looked decent for the Chargers in Week 1, but they have a weak team without much depth. It does not help that first round draft pick Joey Bosa who was expected to come in and play a big role for the Chargers is still holding out on the club.
I don't even think the Chargers should be favored in this contest, so take the points on the Cardinals or play them straight up.
|08-18-16||Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks||18-11||Win||100||77 h 38 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
The Vikings are 9-1 in preseason under head coach Mike Zimmer and 7-0 ATS in their last seven preseason games. QB Teddy Bridgewater impressed when they defeated the Bengals 17-16 in their preseason opener when he completed six of his seven passes for a total of 92 yards and a TD. I have high expectations for Bridgewater this season, and combined with a solid D Minnesota will definitely be a team to keep an eye on. Seattle won its preseason opener 17-16 as well as they came from behind late to beat the Chiefs. It was far from a convincing performance from the Seahawks though and both starting QB Russell Wilson and backup QB Trevor Boykin struggled behind center while the Vikings have good depth on the QB position. The Vikings put more emphasis on the preseason than the Seahawks, and I would not be surprised to see them win this one outright, but taking the field goal and a half seems like the an sharper move.
|08-18-16||Eagles +3 v. Steelers||17-0||Win||100||6 h 49 m||Show|
|08-14-16||Texans +3.5 v. 49ers||24-13||Win||100||12 h 21 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *PUNISHER*
The 49ers will have to adjust to new head coach Chip Kelly and they look pretty weak under center. Houston meanwhile has brought in Brock Osweiler who has done excellent when filling in for Peyton Manning at Denver in recent seasons. While there's a risk he might not get that many snaps today, I'm counting on Bill O’Brien to give his new starting QB a fair amount of time on the field. We can note that the Texans won last year's preseason meeting 23-10, and I think they'll get the better of the Niners again tonight. This has turned into a no-brainer now when we can get half a point over a field goal on the visitors.
|08-13-16||Chargers v. Titans -2.5||10-27||Win||100||35 h 0 m||Show|
NFL Preseason *SATURDAY SMASHER*
Both teams are coming off a miserable campaign. This season should be better for the Titans though with a more experienced Marcus Mariota + running back DeMarco Murray and veteran receiver Andre Johnson added to the mix. The trio might not play that much tonight, but the Titans will surely enter this game and the season in positive spirits.
The Chargers are coming off a rough season as well, and there are some distractions bothering them heading into this contest. First-round draft pick Joey Bosa, a star linebacker out of Ohio State, is still holding out on the club and that's a a headache the Chargers could do without. Tennessee has an interesting team, and I think it'll come out ahead in this contest.
|08-12-16||Lions +3 v. Steelers||30-17||Win||100||23 h 30 m||Show|
NFL Preseason Lions/Steelers
Detroit has posted 3-1 SU records in preseason both in 2014 and 2015 under head coach Jim Caldwell, so I think he'll come into this game looking for a result. The Steelers' dito Mike Tomlin is 1-3, 0-4 and 1-4 in preseason over the last three years. The Steelers enter the game depleted on the defensive side and the Lions offense has shown some bite in training camp. I like the Lions to cover and also threaten to win outright.
|09-03-15||Arizona Cardinals +7 v. Denver Broncos||22-20||Win||100||20 h 23 m||Show|
8* NFLX *MONEY MAKER* [email protected]
I like the Arizona Cardinals here in week 4 of the NFL preseason. The Denver Broncos enter the game with a 3-0 record for the preseason and knows where they're at. Starters will be rested to avoid injuries as they'll face a tough Ravens team in the regular season opener. The Cardinals opened the preseason with back-to-back losses but defeated the Raiders 30-23 their last game. They have good depth for the QB slot and I like their chances of covering the spread here.
|08-29-15||San Francisco 49ers v. Denver Broncos -5||12-19||Win||100||19 h 26 m||Show|
8* NFLX *SATURDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL*
The Denver Broncos have started the preseason with back-to-back wins against the Texans and the Seahawks and I think they'll record a third one tonight as we can expect to see plenty of Peyton Manning behind center. The San Francisco 49ers opened their preseason with a 23-6 win against the Cowboys but lost 23-10 at Houston last week in a game where they gave up a total of 400 yards. It won't be any easier here and I expect the Broncos to win by quite some margin. We can note that Denvers coach Gary Kubiak is 20-13 in preseason games throughout his career.