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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|10-06-19||Colts +11 v. Chiefs||19-13||Win||100||49 h 35 m||Show|
The Kansas City Chiefs continue to see a high rise on their number ATS each week. With the Colts surrendering a loss against the Raiders many red flags were raised. Still early in the season Jacoby Brissett is going to have to burden immense pressure to keep them in Sunday’s contest. Look for him to be up for the challenge and the Colts to be the latest to get the cover against the Chiefs.
|10-06-19||Packers +3.5 v. Cowboys||34-24||Win||100||45 h 40 m||Show|
Probably the biggest game Sunday will be played in Dallas. Green Bay comes in banged up with their biggest weapon out in wide receiver DaVante Adams. Targets for the Packers receivers will now go to a cast of former third and fourth wide receivers. Woes offensively for Green Bay have featured sporadic play. That combined with the Packers poor run defense leaves Sunday’s matchup in doubt. Still the Cowboys are prone to leaving teams in games. Look for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense to have just enough surge to cover this spread.
|10-06-19||Bucs v. Saints -3||24-31||Win||100||41 h 14 m||Show|
The Saints have changed over their offensive game plan to fit their strengths minus Drew Brees. The change over has featured short throws and opportunistic defense. What will give Sunday as the Saints face one of the top offenses in the league in Tampa Bay? Tampa put on a big display of points against the Rams and has been in every one of their games win or loss. Yet look for the Saints to pull through with a strong fourth quarter.
|10-06-19||Falcons +4 v. Texans||32-53||Loss||-104||41 h 14 m||Show|
The Atlanta Falcons had one of the biggest let downs last week a home loss to the Titans. The offense was inept and the defense was torn apart by a formerly struggling Marcus Mariotta. Now they’ll travel on the road to face a Texans team that’s been strong defensively and has weapons galore on offense. Look for the Falcons to rise to the occasion on this one and get the cover.
|10-05-19||Oregon State v. UCLA -5.5||48-31||Loss||-113||23 h 7 m||Show|
The 1-4 UCLA Bruins could easily be 0-5. Their lone win came in a desperation comeback down four touchdowns against Washington State. Last week’s golden opportunity to get a win with Arizona’s quarterback out faltered. Now they’ll face an Oregon State team that nearly comeback to defeat Stanford. They also have a senior quarterback in Jake Luton at their disposal that will test a poor UCLA defense. Still the Beavers always find a way to neutralize themselves on the field. Look for key penalties to derail their chance at a cover. Grab UCLA.
|10-05-19||Arizona +4 v. Colorado||35-30||Win||101||19 h 49 m||Show|
The Arizona Wildcats will venture on the road for the first time since their loss to Hawaii. Two solid wins in a row have still placed doubt on Arizona’s offense that has not looked like a Kevin Summerlin type. Yet their defense has rose to the challenge and gave Colorado quarterback Steven Montez troubles in last year’s contest. Grab Arizona to win the turnover battle and secure an ATS cover.
|10-05-19||Northwestern +7.5 v. Nebraska||10-13||Win||100||18 h 13 m||Show|
One of the biggest letdowns last week in college football was Nebraska. They faltered as steep home underdogs against the mighty Ohio State Buckeyes. This week they’ll get a chance to avenge that embarrassing loss as they remain at home against Northwestern. The Wildcats have looked sloppy at times but remain well coached. Look for Northwestern to have the edge and get the cover.
|10-05-19||Tulane v. Army +2.5||42-33||Loss||-105||14 h 7 m||Show|
One of the key early morning games will come between Army and Tulane. Both teams are well-rested with Tulane coming off the memorable thrilling cover against Houston. They’re capabilities offensively will test an Army squad that may still be without quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Expect a back and forth affair with Army gaining the pace and key stops late to get this cover.
|09-29-19||Cowboys -2.5 v. Saints||10-12||Loss||-110||50 h 55 m||Show|
The Dallas Cowboys have torn apart the Giants, Redskins, and Dolphins. Their strength of schedule will take a big rise Sunday night as they face the New Orlean Saints. Teddy Bridgewater and the Saints defense were strong in their road win over the Seahawks. Factoring the Saints home edge and prime time spot should put the Cowboys in a tough spot. But look for the focus of this Cowboys team to remain sharp. Grab Dallas.
|09-29-19||Vikings v. Bears -1.5||6-16||Win||100||46 h 1 m||Show|
The Bears are now 2-1 but many are basing that on the quality of their opponents. They barely escaped Denver and clearly won a sloppy performance against the Redkins on Monday Night. Stepping up against a higher caliber opponent in the Vikings will be a tough challenge. Defensively the Vikings have a solid script on Mitch Trubisky based on their past meetings. With Dalvin Cook running wild this could be a pace game that the Vikings dictate. In the end though look for the Bears to convert their red zone opportunities into touchdowns and prevail ATS.
|09-29-19||Bucs +10 v. Rams||55-40||Win||100||46 h 43 m||Show|
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have shown that they’re still exhibitioning some of the characteristics under their old regime. Two home losses were both led by execution failures against the 49ers and Giants. Now they’ll travel to California to face one of the best teams in football the past two seasons in the LA Rams. Issues may continue arise for the Bucs offense but look for their defense to show up and override last week’s meltdown against the Giants. Grab Tampa Bay.
|09-29-19||Seahawks v. Cardinals +6||27-10||Loss||-115||46 h 41 m||Show|
The Arizona Cardinals are putting a big burden on rookie quarterback Kyler Murray. While he may have the eye-popping stats the on field results have been lackluster. Yet look for this week to be a competitive game for the Cardinals. Seattle has been prone to playing down to a team home or away. Grab Arizona to put in a quality effort and cover the home points here.
|09-28-19||Ohio State -17 v. Nebraska||48-7||Win||100||2 h 18 m||Show|
The Buckeyes inexperience at quarterback has not hurt them one bit. Justin Fields has stepped in and took the reigns with no problem. In a big home spot for the Cornhuskers look for Fields to have the edge over Nebraska’s quarterback in Adrian Martinez. Grab the Buckeyes to continue to cover at a blistering rate.
|09-28-19||Stanford v. Oregon State +3.5||31-28||Win||100||22 h 55 m||Show|
The Stanford Cardinals free-fall has put them in unchartered territory. At 1-3 they’ve been blown out by double-digits in their last three games. They level of competition will be a couple of steps down for them this Saturday against Oregon State. Yet this is a chance for the Beavers to exact revenge for years of Cardinals beat downs. Grab Oregon State.
|09-28-19||Virginia +11.5 v. Notre Dame||20-35||Loss||-123||18 h 26 m||Show|
The Fighting Irish did not fall much in the polls after their competitive loss to the Georgia Bulldogs. Defensively they showed they are more than capable of contending with anyone on any given Saturday. Yet look for the challenge of slowing Bryce Perkins to be a different beast. Virginia may be prone to close games but that bodes to their advantage in this tough road environment. Grab Virginia.
|09-28-19||Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -27||16-55||Win||100||15 h 55 m||Show|
The Sooners and Texas Tech will open up Big 12 conference play Saturday morning. Both teams come in having had a full week of rest in between their last games on September 14th. Don’t expect the Sooners to have any display of rust. They’ll keep their octane offense and show enough improvements defensively to cover a nearly four touchdown spread.
|09-23-19||Bears -3.5 v. Redskins||31-15||Win||100||70 h 39 m||Show|
The Bears are fortunate to not be 0-2. Thanks to a miraculous long range field goal week two to defeat Denver they are 1-1. That does not provide relief for an offense that has looked MIA for the first two weeks of the season. Yet, Monday expect things to open up for the run game and eventually Mitch Trubisky. Washington is vulnerable on both sides of the football and will give the Bears opportunities for short fields. Grab Chicago.
|09-22-19||Steelers v. 49ers -6.5||20-24||Loss||-110||42 h 48 m||Show|
The San Francisco 49ers took care of business to jump out to a 2-0 record. They’ve done so with injuries at the tailback position and re-acclimating Jimmy Garrappollo to the offense. It’s working and right now they have a prime spot to unleash years of misery for the 49ers franchise. Pittsburgh will fight to avoid an 0-3 start but this is a 49ers team out the gate with high intensity offensively and defensively. Grab San Francisco.
|09-22-19||Giants +7 v. Bucs||32-31||Win||100||41 h 28 m||Show|
Making a quarterback change in the NFL to a rookie is usually done in an opportune spot. Facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers improving defense under Todd Bowles may serve to be a tough challenge for Daniel Jones. With an extra three days off since their win over Carolina the defense should be extra prepared. This is a spot that I’ll side with the underdog as they find a way to lean on Saquon Barkley and get the tempo in place to keep Daniel Jones unnerved. Grab the Giants.
|09-21-19||Colorado v. Arizona State -7||34-31||Loss||-120||24 h 21 m||Show|
Could this be de ja vu for the Arizona State Sun Devils? Similar to last year an upset over Michigan State led to a top twenty five ranking for the Sun Devils. This time around though they are not led by a senior quarterback. Instead they’re led by a freshman who the Sun Devils have kept under wraps in wins over Sacramento State and Michigan State. This week look for the Sun Devils to continue to lean on their defense and get enough from their offense. Grab ASU.
|09-21-19||Kentucky v. Mississippi State -6||13-28||Win||100||18 h 20 m||Show|
Comfort in a home schedule for the entire month of September did not bode to the advantage of Mississippi State last week. The game slipped away as Kansas State answered a score with a special teams touchdown. Saturday expect the Bulldogs to learn from that situation regardless of who is quarterback. Kentucky has looked the part with a cover over Toledo and nearly upsetting Florida last week. Expect this to be a reality check matchup with the Bulldogs succeeding.
|09-21-19||Auburn v. Texas A&M -3.5||28-20||Loss||-106||18 h 51 m||Show|
Saturday, Texas A&M finds themselves crunched with two top matchups over the next three weeks. Saturday they’ll face Auburn before they host Alabama in two weeks. This matchup is a rematch of one of the worst meltdowns of a team in-conference last season. Texas A&M let a sure win slip away in the final minutes by allowing two touchdowns in the final five minutes. Expect A&M to show pride this time around and get the win over a better Auburn Tigers team.
|09-15-19||Eagles v. Falcons||20-24||Loss||-125||26 h 45 m||Show|
The Philadelphia Eagles survived a scare in week one against the Washington Redskins. Now they’ll face an Atlanta Falcons team that has their backs up against the wall after a poor showing against the Minnesota Vikings. Offensively the Falcons look a few notches behind what you would expect with the veteran talent they have. Look for the Eagles to put on a showcase performance and the Falcons to start off 0-2.
|09-15-19||Chiefs v. Raiders +7.5||28-10||Loss||-125||22 h 30 m||Show|
The Chiefs potent offense did not skip a beat week one with an injured Tyreek Hill. They’ll travel to face an Oakland team that does not have the weapons to play at a face pace. Yet look for the Raiders to benefit from two home games to start the season and ride their rookie tailback Josh Jacobs as they did against Denver. Grab Oakland here.
|09-14-19||Georgia State v. Western Michigan -8.5||10-57||Win||100||4 h 36 m||Show|
Saturday an odd matchup will take place between the Sun Belt’s Georgia State and MAC’s Western Michigan. Just two weeks ago the Panthers pulled off the biggest upset of the young season over Tennessee. That was nearly overrode last week in a close victory over Furman 48-42. Look for Western Michigan to take advantage of a poor Panthers defense and cruise Saturday
|09-14-19||Buffalo -5.5 v. Liberty||17-35||Loss||-114||22 h 12 m||Show|
The Bulls find themselves in a similar spot as a season ago when they were six point favorites on the road against Rutgers. This time they’ll face a Liberty team that has not shown the offensive flashes they did a season ago with quarterback Stephen Calvert. The senior has just one touchdown in two games with a QBR rating of 11.7. Although the Bulls are led by a freshmen quarterback look for them to have the edge and ATS cover here.
|09-14-19||Arizona State v. Michigan State -14.5||10-7||Loss||-106||20 h 17 m||Show|
A year ago Herm Edwards Sun Devils were able to stun Michigan State on their home field. It was the type of game that the offense did very little until the final window of the fourth quarter. That’s fresh in the minds of a Michigan State team that will have opportunities against a different caliber ASU team. Don’t expect them to let off the gas in this one. Grab Michigan State.
|09-14-19||Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State||31-24||Win||100||16 h 54 m||Show|
Saturday morning SEC’s Mississippi State will host the Big 12’s Kansas State. This matchup marks the third straight home game to begin the season for Mississippi State. Penn State quarterback transfer Tommy Stevens has looked efficient. Yet look for Kansas State’s pace of play to be a boost ATS here. Grab the full touchdown of points.
|09-13-19||North Carolina +3 v. Wake Forest||18-24||Loss||-110||4 h 3 m||Show|
The North Carolina Tar Heels will aim to go 3-0 as they travel in-state to take on Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons have shown a prolific offense scoring 38 points and 41 to begin the season. They’v also played both of their first two games on Friday. Look for a full four quarters of focus to continue to benefit the Tar Heels. Grab North Carolina.
|09-09-19||Texans v. Saints -6.5||28-30||Loss||-110||99 h 19 m||Show|
The prime time lights will feature two Monday night football games. One of focus will be the Saints. They’ll take on a Houston Texans team that has octane weapons at wide receiver and one of the streakiest quarterbacks in football in DeShaun Watson. The Saints will have to adjust without former tailback Mark Ingram and the fact that there are still concerns at the receiver position behind Mike Thomas. Expect the ageless veteran Drew Bree’s to deliver a typical Brees prime time performance and a Saints cover.
|09-08-19||Rams -2 v. Panthers||30-27||Win||100||69 h 13 m||Show|
Over the years the Carolina Panthers have developed a stout reputation with Cam Newton under center as a great home team. They’ve had a way of controlling pace and finishing off games in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile the Rams were one of the few teams to not play their starters one bit in pre-season. Expected rust and a long road trip have trimmed this spread down. Yet I expect to see Jared Goff prepared with his vast weapons at wide receiver to showcase the Goff that flashed to begin 2018.
|09-08-19||Titans +6 v. Browns||43-13||Win||100||69 h 12 m||Show|
The hype for the Cleveland Browns finally takes center stage Sunday. All the additions and coaching changes have shifted the mentality of on field expectations. They’ll face an AFC opponent in the Titans that have under achieved multiple years with Marcus Mariotta as quarterback. His pre-season performance put a cloud on if he’ll be able to maintain the starting job over Ryan Tannehill. Defensively they can stay in this game. While the Titans offense gets enough done to cover here.
|09-07-19||Stanford +3 v. USC||20-45||Loss||-100||25 h 43 m||Show|
Justified concerns exist for both Stanford and USC entering Saturday. Injuries to their top quarterbacks have cast doubt on the prospects of their season. Stanford showed in week one that their offense is going to be a work in progress all season, and this hit probably expands those worries. As much as people harp on David Shaw’s coaching style this is the type of game where he can lean on a structured balanced game plan. Grab Stanford.
|09-07-19||Nebraska -4 v. Colorado||31-34||Loss||-109||18 h 37 m||Show|
The Colorado Buffaloes showed strengths and weaknesses in their opening victory over Colorado State. Their offense is dynamic with multiple potent weapons in their backfield and familiar names at wide receiver. A plus for their quarterback Steven Montez is his best collegiate performance came against Nebraska last year in which he threw for 351 yards. Trying to replicate that performance and an up tempo game plan bodes to the advantage of the Cornhuskers. Grab Nebraska to avenge last year’s home loss.
|09-07-19||UAB -8 v. Akron||31-20||Win||100||14 h 7 m||Show|
One of the worst performances of week one came from the Akron Zips. They were blown out by an Illinois team that dominated from start to finish 42-3. Returning home for week two they’ll face a UAB team that struggled to beat Alabama State 24-19. Yet look for UAB’s dual threat quarterback Tyler Johnston III to keep pace on UAB’s side. Eventually look for the ground game of the Blazers to over power the Zips. Grab UAB.
|09-07-19||Ohio +4.5 v. Pittsburgh||10-20||Loss||-110||13 h 8 m||Show|
The first game to kick things off Saturday comes between the ACC Pittsburgh Panthers and MAC Ohio Bobcats. This is a familiar spot and number for Ohio who faltered a year ago against Virginia. Senior quarterback Nathan Rourke has never been a light it up type of collegiate quarterback but has the savvy to keep the Bobcats in this one. Expect a close competitive game where the Bobcats hold on for the cover in the fourth.
|09-06-19||Wake Forest v. Rice +20||41-21||Push||0||14 h 21 m||Show|
For the second straight week the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will play on Friday. Last week they had a thrilling comeback victory and held off Utah State. Now they’ll face a Rice team that had a disastrous 2018 season in which they finished 2-11. Offensively they did not show much in week ones loss to Army scoring just seven points. Yet they gained confidence defensively and should maneuver against a Demon Deacons defense that isn’t as strong as years past. Grab Rice
|09-01-19||Houston v. Oklahoma -23||31-49||Loss||-110||24 h 55 m||Show|
The Oklahoma Sooners will be in the Sunday prime time spot as they take on the Houston Cougars. Lots of changes have been made for the Houston Cougars as they brought in former West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen. Holgorsen inherits lethal dual threat senior quarterback D’Eriq King and a talented Cougars team that finished he regular season 8-4. Holgorsen’s familiarity of the Big 12 and Oklahoma could be a catalyst early for the Cougars. Yet expect the Sooners who have steadily improved defensively to push through for the cover. Grab Oklahoma.
|08-31-19||Virginia Tech v. Boston College +5||28-35||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
Virginia Tech and Boston College will kick off the first true conference matchup on the new ACC network. The Golden Eagles ended last season on a three game slide after starting the year 7-2. The Hokies will attempt to avenge last years home loss to the Golden Eagles. Similar to last year the point of the season for this scheduled matchup gives the edge to the Golden Eagles style. Grab Boston College
|08-31-19||Toledo v. Kentucky -10||24-38||Win||100||7 h 34 m||Show|
The Kentucky Wildcats will aim to take another big step forward after 2018s strong season. Minus running back Benny Snell the Wildcats will have a big void to fill. They’ll face a Toledo team that’s been ATS friendly and led by returning junior quarterback Eli Peters. Yet look for the Wildcats to put their imprint on this opener and get the ATS cover.
|08-30-19||Colorado State v. Colorado -12||31-52||Win||100||2 h 54 m||Show|
The Colorado Buffs were one of the more disappointing teams in the Pac-12 last season. Expected momentum off of prior seasons just did not happen. Quarterback Steven Montez’s struggles were well documented but he is a candidate to make one of the better turn arounds this season. In a battle of in-state teams look for the Buffaloes to pour it on and start the 2019 season off with a quality win.
|06-07-19||Raptors v. Warriors -4.5||105-92||Loss||-106||6 h 33 m||Show|
For the fourth straight game line movement has went against the Golden State Warriors. Injuries, depth concerns, and the health of Klay Thompson are all main factors for Friday. The series could easily be a 3-0 lead for the Raptors if not for an early third quarter meltdown in game two. Still I’m leery of the Raptors newfound offense continuing to grow. Look for the Warriors to have an efficient game and pull away late to cover in game four.
|05-25-19||Bucks +1.5 v. Raptors||94-100||Loss||-110||3 h 21 m||Show|
Three straight losses from the Bucks has put themselves in a single game elimination environment. Failing at home with multiple big leads in game five is a spread influence for game six. This is why seven game series exist in the NBA. Expect the Bucks to respond in what surely will be a hostile environment in Toronto.
|05-23-19||Raptors v. Bucks -7||105-99||Loss||-109||5 h 2 m||Show|
The Bucks and Raptors have all the dynamics of a seven-game series. Each team has shown an ability to play at a heightened level on their home floor. That’s a bit of a conundrum for oddsmakers at this stage of the playoffs. Youth is the downside of the Bucks but their advantage on their home floor is uncanny. Grab Milwaukee to get back on track after a game four let down.
|05-18-19||Warriors v. Blazers -2||110-99||Loss||-110||7 h 28 m||Show|
The Trailblazers heartbreak in game two featured every component. After losing a seventeen point lead the Blazers regrouped and had game two won. Yet they couldn’t muster defensive stops and the Warriors were able to take advantage. Instead of expecting the Warriors to get in position to sweep look for the Blazers to take this next phase of the series head on. They still haven’t clicked 100% offensively as we saw in their series against Oklahoma City and Denver. Look for their home crowd to energize them and get the win Saturday. Grab Portland.
|05-17-19||Raptors v. Bucks -6.5||103-125||Win||100||6 h 20 m||Show|
The Bucks stormed back to not only win game one but topple the number ATS in the final seconds. It was a gut-wrenching loss for bettors and should motivate the Raptors to fix their issues from the fourth quarter. Yet the Bucks have different units to throw at the Raptors and will continue to adapt for four quarters of a game. Grab the Bucks to grab another ATS win.
|05-16-19||Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors||111-114||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
Adjustments will need to be made quickly by the Trailblazers after ineffective offense and lackluster ball screen defense in game one. Expect an increase in both areas and for the Trailblazers to respond ATS. Golden State’s weakness remains with their role players and this should be an opportune time for the Trailblazers second unit to shine similar to game seven against the Nuggets. Grab Portland.
|05-14-19||Blazers v. Warriors -7.5||94-116||Win||100||8 h 41 m||Show|
Consecutive victories by the Warriors ended the Rockets chances to take advantage of the Warriors minus Kevin Durant. Portland took advantage of a young Nuggets team that appeared to more talented but lacked the experience to put a game away. That’s where the Warriors advantage comes into play and should be worthy of backing in game one. Grab Golden State.
|05-12-19||Blazers +5.5 v. Nuggets||100-96||Win||100||2 h 24 m||Show|
The series between the Portland Trailblazers and Denver Nuggets has been a delight each game. Yet the mistake of the Nuggets was the overtime game three matchup in which the Nuggets blew several chances to win. Portland found their legs in game six and should use their veteran roster to hurdle the number ATS. Grab Portland.
|05-09-19||Raptors -2 v. 76ers||101-112||Loss||-107||3 h 19 m||Show|
In a potential close out game expect the Philadelphia 76ers to do their best to rise to the occasion. Amidst heavy media debate on the way they’ve lost the 76ers have created their own unnecessary added pressure. Expect the Raptors to feed off of this and use their experience in a do or die game four to surge forward. Grab Toronto.
|05-08-19||Rockets +6.5 v. Warriors||99-104||Win||100||10 h 17 m||Show|
One overtime in game three that went the Rockets way has completely swung the series against Golden State. In years past the Warriors have been on the fortunate side against the Rockets with injuries to CP3 (Rockets-Clippers). Changes have been made by Mike D’Antoni that have kept the Rockets fresh for four quarters. Oddsmakers may have bumped this point spread up a point from games one and two but it is the incorrect move. Grab the underdog.
|05-05-19||Nuggets v. Blazers -3||116-112||Loss||-105||5 h 7 m||Show|
The Denver Nuggets had several opportunities to take advantage of the Trailblazers in game three. Turnovers and poor execution likely cost them that victory. Now they’ll face a Portland Trailblazers team that has a chance to take control of the series. Look for the Trailblazers to continue to elevate their play via guards and do their best to contain Nokic and Millsap. Grab Portland.
|05-04-19||Warriors v. Rockets -3||121-126||Win||100||7 h 35 m||Show|
The Warriors and Rockets yearly series matchup has been dominated by the Warriors. This seems to be the case for 2019 as the Warriors handled their business on their home floor in games one and two. With the Rockets having issues with James Harden’s eye and Chris Paul’s woes game three is amped up even more. It’s a must win for the Rockets and the Warriors know it. Yet expect Houston to make this a series and cover the number Saturday.
|05-03-19||Nuggets +4 v. Blazers||137-140||Win||100||9 h 1 m||Show|
In game two the Nuggets were vulnerable to Portland’s perimeter shooting and never could recover from an early deficit. Yet this how the young Nuggets are. They lack playoff experience and although they are a two-seed oddsmakers haven’t deterred from proper point spread adjustments. After a statement win by Portland one has to anticipate that game two being the outlier of the series. Grab the Nuggets in what should be a better matchup.
|04-30-19||Rockets +5.5 v. Warriors||109-115||Loss||-108||10 h 9 m||Show|
Houston losing game one has put the pressure on them to showcase themselves in game two. One would expect Kevin Durant to continue his upward play and for Curry/Thompson to be sharper. Riding their home crowd the Warriors are in-line for another trip to the Western Conference Finals. Only if it were that easy. Look for the Rockets to play with the proper chip on their shoulder and for CP3 to be the main catalyst. Grab the Rockets plus the points.
|04-28-19||Rockets v. Warriors -5||100-104||Loss||-104||2 h 39 m||Show|
The woes of the Warriors first round against the Clippers were mainly defensive. How will they adjust in a quick turn around for game one against the Rockets? A team that gave them fits last year until Chris Paul’s injury changed the series. That angle and the Rockets seemingly growing forward are all in play for the underdog Sunday. Yet look for the Warriors to keep their playoff mode on high for game one. Grab the Warriors.
|04-27-19||76ers v. Raptors -6.5||95-108||Win||100||7 h 38 m||Show|
The Eastern Conference’s first round was a quick flash for both the 76ers and Toronto Raptors. Both teams adjusted to game one losses to cruise past their opponents. Extra rest should alleviate concerns for the 76ers in Joel Embiid Saturday. Yet the Raptors are a team that finally has depth solidified to over power the 76ers. Look for game one to side on the Raptors side ATS.
|04-26-19||Warriors -10 v. Clippers||129-110||Win||100||7 h 16 m||Show|
The Golden State Warriors find themselves engulfed in a first round series against the LA Clippers. A series that should have been a sweep has suddenly been extended with new life from the Clippers after game five. Returning home the Clippers have a chance to force a game seven. Instead look for the Warriors to have a crisp flow and game plan and take care of business ATS.
|04-25-19||Nuggets v. Spurs -3||103-120||Win||100||3 h 55 m||Show|
The Denver Nuggets have a chance to close out the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. After a complete rout of the Spurs in game five it appears that the Spurs are struggling to adjust. Tweaks have been made by Denver that have nullified the Spurs ability to score with them. Yet Coach Poppovich is a mastermind in these scenarios and will have his Spurs prepared to withstand the Nuggets in game six. Grab San Antonio.
|04-23-19||Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets||90-108||Loss||-102||9 h 37 m||Show|
The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets have been the lone unpredictable series thus far in the NBA playoffs. Game five is critical for a young Nuggets team that averted a 3-1 deficit to re-gain home court advantage. Yet this is a Spurs team that has rose via the youth-veteran infusion of teams past. Look for Poppovich and the Spurs to cover the 5.5 tonight.
|04-22-19||Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz||91-107||Loss||-110||10 h 5 m||Show|
The tide has swung dramatically in the favor of the Houston Rockets in their series against the Jazz. A Utah team that has been competitive against the Rockets has been in complete disarray. A win tonight gives the Rockets a chance to rest their veterans and accomplish a series sweep. Oddsmakers sense that. With the Jazz’s issues defensively and offensively take the Rockets ATS Monday.
|04-21-19||Raptors -5.5 v. Magic||107-85||Win||100||8 h 37 m||Show|
Value continues to be on the Toronto Raptors for their series against the Magic. After losing game one in Toronto oddsmakers have dwindled value on the two-seed Raptors since. After a close call in game three the pressure would seem to still be on the Raptors. Instead it’s on the home Magic who know if they don’t even the series the tide switches dramatically to the Raptors. Grab Toronto.
|04-20-19||Bucks -9 v. Pistons||119-103||Win||100||8 h 39 m||Show|
The complete dominance of the Bucks over the Pistons is what one would expect with a one-seed versus an eight-seed. Mid-teens spreads were easily covered by the Bucks in the first two games, and forced the oddsmakers hands for game three’s spread. Look for the Pistons to grab an early lead but be completely dominated when the spread matters in the fourth. Grab Milwaukee.
|04-19-19||Blazers v. Thunder -7.5||108-120||Win||100||9 h 13 m||Show|
Two straight bad losses to open the series in Portland has changed the dynamics for Oklahoma City. They’ve shown an inability to adjust to Portland’s defense as well as being capable of defending the Trailblazers. Home court edge played a big role in that and now OKC gets a chance to show their atmosphere tonight. Grab OKC to get a big win on a line that is skewed appropriately.
|04-17-19||Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets||98-118||Loss||-100||12 h 25 m||Show|
One playoff win and a lot can change in the eyes of oddsmakers. Off of Houston’s game one dominant win that’s not the case for Wednesday’s game two. Oddsmakers hardly shift the line even though there has been a frenzy for how well the Rockets have looked. The reason why is because over the last 4-5 seasons the Utah Jazz have been one of the best teams against James Harden. Look for a better performance in game two to cover the six and a half point spread.
|04-16-19||Spurs v. Nuggets -6.5||105-114||Win||100||8 h 56 m||Show|
Skewed value to earn a win before heading on the road is the oddsmakers angle for Tuesday. They have the Nuggets as sizable favorites against a Spurs team they trailed the entirety of game one. Although the Nuggets are a young team they earned a second-seed in the West. Expect them to bounce back tonight against the veterans of the Spurs.
|04-14-19||Thunder v. Blazers -3||99-104||Win||100||12 h 30 m||Show|
In round one in both the 2017 and 2018 post-season the Portland Trailblazers were swept. It won’t get any easier in the 2019 playoffs with the Blazers minus a key player in Joseph Nurkic. Yet this is where the foundation of balance and depth pays off to the Trailblazers side. Oklahoma City falls in game one as the Trailblazers finally get a win in round one.
|04-13-19||Nets v. 76ers -5||111-102||Loss||-110||17 h 41 m||Show|
Market correction on opening lines was driven hard on the 76ers and Nets. A steep line would not be the case in the regular season and the Nets have shown vast depth and not to be taken lightly. Yet this 76ers team is a playoff roster. Look for their playoff ats value to start off with a huge rise
|04-10-19||Thunder -5 v. Bucks||127-116||Win||100||7 h 32 m||Show|
The Bucks phenomenal regular season has set them up for a well deserved end of season scenario. Similar to a dominant NFL team they have earned the right to treat tonight like an exhibition. Although they’re a deep team it’s a different mentality as a whole even at home. Grab OKC in a game that will have has wagering limits in Vegas.
|04-09-19||Knicks +2 v. Bulls||96-86||Win||100||3 h 4 m||Show|
The youth has begun to shine for the woeful New York Knicks. They’ve won two of their last four games including a win at home recently over the Chicago Bulls. Tuesday’s opponent for the Knicks is a Chicago team that’s been decimated by injuries. This is a game where you throw the records out and prior player data and instead focus on the Knicks front office. They’re moving forward and have cemented their season goal of getting a top pick and off-season luring of top free agents. Grab the Knicks Tuesday.
|04-08-19||Texas Tech v. Virginia -1||77-85||Win||100||7 h 42 m||Show|
Virginia clearly is lucky to have escaped their past two games. Now they’re at the finish line against a team in Texas Tech that is peaking. They’re clicking on all cylinders and play the same pace style as Virginia. Yet the Cavaliers have another gear left in them. Expect a second half surge to be the difference for the Cavaliers to win a national title.
|04-06-19||Auburn +6 v. Virginia||62-63||Win||100||5 h 49 m||Show|
Auburn’s gained a half point with late line movement and is now at six. The Tigers are going to have to play to their strength of guard play while defeating Virginia’s strength of perimeter defense. We’ve seen the Virginia Cavaliers show signs of vulnerability while it seems the Tigers are gaining in momentum every game. Look for the Tigers to seize the opportunity once again and cover the spread later today.
|04-05-19||Heat -2 v. Wolves||109-111||Loss||-115||13 h 23 m||Show|
Consecutive losses for the Miami Heat have left them on the outside looking in for a playoff spot. The good news for the Heat is they’re one game behind for three playoff spots in the East. With three of their final four games on the road they must find a way to win Friday against the Timberwolves. Grab the Heat Friday to make things interesting as the season winds down.
|04-04-19||Cavs +9.5 v. Kings||104-117||Loss||-102||8 h 40 m||Show|
After consecutive victories over the Pistons and Bucks, Cleveland has now lost six straight games. Now it’s unclear if the Cavaliers will even attempt to win a game to conclude the season. As the Phoenix Suns are just one game back of them in the loss column leaving the door open for an NBA Draft tank situation. Oddsmakers know this and have boosted tonight’s spread against the Kings far too high. Grab the value on Cleveland.
|04-03-19||Bulls +10 v. Wizards||115-114||Win||100||6 h 47 m||Show|
The woeful Chicago Bulls are on an elongated losing streak that has featured ATS losses galore. Perhaps their ATS value could not be over extended as is the case today. They’re coming off a loss to the NY Knicks and will be without the majority of their roster today. Grab the ATS value tonight on the Bulls
|03-30-19||Texas Tech +5 v. Gonzaga||75-69||Win||100||4 h 7 m||Show|
The Red Raiders didn’t surprise folks with the way they handled Michigan. They stuck to their strength and used their size/athleticism advantage to handle the Wolverines. Tonight they’ll need to adjust their game plan tremendously to keep up with the Zags. Yet look for the gritty Red Raiders to showcase their improved offense down the stretch of the season and cover the number tonight against Gonzaga.
|03-29-19||Virginia Tech v. Duke -7||73-75||Loss||-102||8 h 46 m||Show|
The Duke Blue Devils are coming off the biggest scare they’ve had all season fully healthy. Surviving a situation that looked like a loss is a strong signal in the NCAA tournament. Nearly every team that advances far has a situation as such. Refocused and refreshed look for the Blue Devils staff to implement plenty of new wrinkles to offset their earlier season loss against the Hokies. Grab Duke
|03-28-19||Magic +3.5 v. Pistons||98-115||Loss||-103||5 h 9 m||Show|
Thursday the Detroit Pistons return home hoping to end a three-game slide. They’ll face an Orlando Magic team that is currently entrenched in the eighth spot of the East and just a half game back of the Pistons. With the stakes high with playoff assurances on the line grab the value with the points in Orlando.
|03-27-19||Wizards v. Suns +2||124-121||Loss||-109||10 h 48 m||Show|
For the second consecutive night the Wizards find themselves in a small spread matchup. With the regular season winding down the Phoenix Suns appear to be set in finishing with the second to worst record in the NBA. In fact they’ve lost their last three games in blowout fashion. Returning home look for the Suns to play above a Wizards team that’s lost five in a row.
|03-27-19||Pacers v. Thunder -6||99-107||Win||100||8 h 58 m||Show|
Wednesday, the Oklahoma City Thunder look to repay a loss on March 14th to the Indiana Pacers. The loss was one of a many that featured five losses in six games for the Thunder. The back pedaling has put the Thunder in position and be in an unenviable position as the eighth seed in the West. Yet expect a wake-up call tonight for the Thunder as they attack a prime weakness of a Pacers team that has lost eighth straight road games.
|03-26-19||Wizards v. Lakers -2||106-124||Win||100||9 h 40 m||Show|
Tuesday the Lakers will look to build off their last game victory over the Sacramento Kings. They’ll take on a Washington Wizards team that’s lost four straight games but is coming off three days rest. Los Angeles on the other hand has won just three of their last seventeen games. While Washington has the depth advantage look for the Lakers to get their first consecutive victories in quite a long time.
|03-24-19||Cal-Irvine +5 v. Oregon||54-73||Loss||-105||17 h 4 m||Show|
The Oregon Ducks have had a whirlwind finish to the season. They were the only team from a power five conference to secure an at large bid based on a conference tournament title. They’re hot at the right time but now no longer have the underdog role of the past several weeks. That’s a factor for a team that has a short rotation and a slim margin of error. Look for Irvine to be the value play off of Oregon’s recent stretch of dominant play.
|03-23-19||Auburn v. Kansas +2||89-75||Loss||-105||8 h 58 m||Show|
Saturday the Jayhawks will face an Auburn team that nearly blew a sizable lead against New Mexico State. Yet they survived and have now won nine straight games. That momentum coupled with Kansas late season play puts the value on the Jayhawks. Grab the underdog on a small line here with Kansas.
|03-22-19||Ohio State v. Iowa State -5||62-59||Loss||-112||24 h 54 m||Show|
Throughout conference play it was clear that the Big 10 was head and shoulders over the Big 12. One of the teams that never could clear their own hurdle was Iowa State. In fact to wrap up the regular season the Cyclones had lost six of their last eight games. Yet their conference tournament run was a confidence booster at the right time. Expect Ohio State to show proper fight but for the Cyclones to wear out the Buckeyes in the second half. Grab Iowa State.
|03-22-19||Washington +3 v. Utah State||78-61||Win||100||21 h 59 m||Show|
The Huskies did themselves no favors with an ugly conclusion to Pac-12 conference play. Featured losses included a blowout Pac-12 championship loss to Oregon and a disastrous loss to California. They’ll face a Utah State team that played well in losses to Houston/ASU and grew as the season came to an end. Yet Coach Hopkins and his staff will be ready defensively with their 2-3 zone. Expect Utah State to struggle to muster baskets and for Washington to cover the small line.
|03-21-19||Murray State +3.5 v. Marquette||83-64||Win||100||24 h 40 m||Show|
Murray State gets a chance to show the world just how special Ja Morant is. He’ll surely put on a wonderful display against a Marquette team that’s vulnerable defensively. The question ATS is can Murray State sustain prolonged offense against Marquette? Yes especially in a tournament format. Marquette is accustomed to free-flowing offense by design which benefits Murray State. Grab Murray State.
|03-21-19||Vermont +9 v. Florida State||69-76||Win||100||21 h 46 m||Show|
Customary of Florida State is being susceptible to any competition. Essentially they play to the level of their opponents which has been a trait all season long. They’re size also makes them susceptible to tight man to man half-court defense. Expect Vermont to control pace and try and limit Florida State’s second chance opportunities. After last year’s run as an 11-seed Florida State is a tad over rated ATS. Grab Vermont
|03-20-19||Pelicans v. Magic -7||96-119||Win||100||7 h 2 m||Show|
Wednesday the Orlando Magic will host their third straight home game as they take on the Pelicans. Chances of the Magic continuing to climb into contention for the final East playoff spot are on the line. They’ll face a Pelicans team that had lost six straight before a win in their last game over the Mavericks. Look for Orlando to have their way tonight against a Pelicans team with imbalanced scoring options.
|03-19-19||Pacers v. Clippers -4.5||109-115||Win||100||10 h 59 m||Show|
The LA Clippers just won on a thrilling buzzer beater victory over the Brooklyn Nets Sunday night. They’ve now won seven of their last eight games and will take on the Indiana Pacers tonight. While the Pacers made things interesting in the final minutes against the Blazers their not playing a full four quarters of solid basketball. Grab the Clippers to continue their momentum but this time ATS.
|03-17-19||Cincinnati +5 v. Houston||69-57||Win||100||11 h 48 m||Show|
Sunday the Houston Cougars and Cincinnati Bearcats will play for the third time this season. In both matchups the Bearcats had the upper hand for periods before the Cougars overwhelmed the Bearcats. Both games the Cougars took care of business in the final ten minutes to pull away decisively. Sunday look for that to be a key momentum factor for the Bearcats. Grab Cincinnati.
|03-16-19||Grand Canyon +4 v. New Mexico State||57-89||Loss||-106||9 h 39 m||Show|
Time and time again the main representative for the WAC in March Madness has been New Mexico State. That could remain Saturday as the Aggies take on a 20-12 Grand Canyon team. The Antelopes sustained two late season losses to both of the teams they defeated in the opening rounds of the WAC tournament. They’ll face an Aggies team that they had two close losses against in the regular season. Look for a third close result and an Antelopes cover.
|03-15-19||Minnesota v. Purdue -8||75-73||Loss||-110||13 h 41 m||Show|
On March 5th the Minnesota Golden Gophers upset Purdue on their home floor 73-69. In the affair Purdue sustained multiple cold offensive droughts uncommon to their season. With both teams having played Wednesday one has to anticipate tournament style play affecting offense. On the contrary expect the teams to be much looser and for that to bode to the advantage of Purdue. Grab Purdue to cash ATS Friday.
|03-14-19||Georgetown +2.5 v. Seton Hall||57-73||Loss||-105||15 h 60 m||Show|
A benefit for Seton Hall is playing so close to their home for the Big East tournament. That also adds pressure as they face a confident Georgetown team that knows they can defeat the Pirates. These teams met on March 2nd as the Hoyas won in double-overtime. Although the Pirates grabbed two quality wins to close the year, look for the Hoyas to cover for the second time in as many days against the Pirates.
|03-14-19||Colorado v. Oregon State||73-58||Loss||-110||11 h 1 m||Show|
All it took for Colorado was health to show their dynamic ability. Since regaining key pieces they’ve closed the season winning nine of their last eleven games. Yet Wednesday they could not find their offense against a Cal Bears team that scored just fifty-one points. Even though the Beavers dropped four of their last six to close the year, they are a veteran team that will have the advantage Thursday. Grab Oregon State.
|03-13-19||Notre Dame v. Louisville -7.5||53-75||Win||100||17 h 43 m||Show|
Down the stretch Louisville lost six of their last eight games. Pressure is assuredly on them to get some momentum going in the ACC tournament. The Irish gave themselves some confidence with a stout victory over Georgia Tech on Tuesday. An issue in meeting conference opponents in March is the worry of a recent matchup. That’s the case as these two met on March 3rd. Still look for the Cardinal to have a strong focus even on a neutral court. Grab Louisville.
|03-13-19||Magic +2.5 v. Wizards||90-100||Loss||-113||4 h 26 m||Show|
A banged up Orlando Magic team received positive news for Wednesday as Aaron Gordon is expected to play. That’ll be key against a Washington Wizards team that has been a strong home team (20-12) this season. In fact, they’ve won four of their last five at home including a thrilling ATS finish in their last outing against Sacramento. Still look for the Magic’s youth to outshine a Wizards team that is the second-worst defensively in the NBA.
|03-13-19||Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU||70-73||Win||100||17 h 38 m||Show|
Teams on the bubble obviously have to improve their stance in conference tournaments. In Joey Lunardi’s current Bracketology TCU is one of the last four teams in. Essentially a misstep Wednesday could derail their post-season from March Madness to the NIT. While the Cowboys may not get the outright victory look for a cover on a small number.
|03-11-19||San Diego v. St. Mary's -4.5||62-69||Win||100||17 h 23 m||Show|
Defeating a team handily three times is always a tough task. San Diego hurdled this feat in their last win against BYU. The Cougars had won both regular season matchups over San Diego before faltering on Saturday. The Toreros are a team with strong talent that underachieved in-conference. With three straight wins by 17 points or more they are on the cusp of getting back to pre-conference levels that saw them defeat San Diego State, Colorado, and almost Washington. Yet look for St. Mary’s to be determined and take care of business Monday in Las Vegas.
|03-11-19||Celtics v. Clippers +2||115-140||Win||100||5 h 1 m||Show|
The Celtics have been sparked by their current road trip. Three straight wins and two that were dominant over the Warriors and Lakers. Offense has sparked the Celtics turn around as they’re back in sync. Tonight they’ll have the rare opportunity of facing a road team in LA without travel. They’ve been in LA since Wednesday night’s victory over Sacramento. Yet look for the Clippers to continue their surge and cover the small home dog line.
|03-11-19||NC-Greensboro +7.5 v. Wofford||58-70||Loss||-110||5 h 59 m||Show|
Tonight the southern conference title will be played between UNC Greensboro and Wofford. Wofford had the better season and stronger non-conference schedule. In fact Wofford has won eighteen games in a row and has not lost in-conference. Meanwhile UNC Greensboro was on the ropes in both conference tournament games. They needed a big run late to get by Samford and erased a small deficit in the final minutes yesterday to beat Furman. Offensively Greensboro has to find a way to generate points. In both in-season losses to Wofford, Greensboro lost by nearly thirty points each outing. Expect Greensboro to elevate their play as they’ve been on the doorsteps before in the Southern Conference final. Grab Greensboro.