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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|03-02-18||Texas-Arlington v. Texas State +3.5||85-82||Win||101||5 h 56 m||Show|
Out in the Sun Belt, a former popular team ATS has rebound their confidence in UT-Arlington. They’ve won five of their last seven games with high improvement offensively. Yet, they have a weak link ATS that should come into play tonight. They’ve lost eight of nine road games including four straight. Grab Texas State.
|02-27-18||Kansas State +6.5 v. TCU||59-66||Loss||-105||8 h 60 m||Show|
A revenge spot is in place tonight in the Big 12 as TCU hosts Kansas State. Both teams stand at 20-9 which means tonight’s game huge for seeding advancement. Yet this is a value spot on the underdog Wildcats. The revenge angle and fact that TCU has blown out their last three opponents at home by double-digits in no sweat easy covers.
|02-27-18||Bulls v. Hornets -10.5||103-118||Win||100||6 h 60 m||Show|
In a back to back scenario the Bulls travel to Charlotte. Post All-Star break the Bulls have lost four straight games. Yet, they’re 2-0 thus far on the year against the Hornets. Still, the Bulls lack of energy on the defensive end of floor is worrisome in a back to back spot. Look for the veteran players of the Hornets to not take this matchup lightly. Grab Charlotte.
|02-26-18||Grizzlies +11.5 v. Celtics||98-109||Win||100||15 h 5 m||Show|
The Celtics and Grizzlies will meet for the second time this season on Monday. Earlier this year the Celtics took care of business in Memphis. In that game both teams played in back to back scenarios, with the Grizzlies fading late to lose ATS. Nine straight losses by the Grizzlies have compounded this line far too high. Grab the value on the Grizzlies Monday.
|02-24-18||Northeastern v. Elon +3.5||81-59||Loss||-110||5 h 23 m||Show|
Out in the CAA no one saw the steep slide and struggles of Elon occurring. They’ve lost four straight games, which all were by double digits. Their opponent today in Northeastern is once again near the top of the conference with a 13-4 overall record. With their twelve point victory earlier this season against Elon, you’d expect a higher spread here. That’s telling by the oddsmakers and value to not ignore. Grab Elon.
|02-22-18||Arizona State +3.5 v. Oregon||68-75||Loss||-106||10 h 45 m||Show|
ASU’s loss last Thursday to Arizona was an exact copy of their home loss to Oregon earlier this season. They were to sporadic offensively and did not have enough left in the tank to fight back at the end. Traveling up to Oregon doesn’t figure to bode well for the Sun Devils, yet there were positives in ASU’s home loss to Arizona. Defensively they fought for more loose balls and had proper spacing offensively. Look for the Sun Devils to hit an unseen gear in conference play tonight. Grab ASU.
|02-22-18||Georgia Southern +5.5 v. Texas-Arlington||63-83||Loss||-108||6 h 25 m||Show|
Off of two straight losses UT-Arlington is suddenly 16-12. This is not what UT Arlington fans were expecting from a team known for their strong non-conference abilities. Led by seniors Kevin Hervey (20.9 PPG) and senior Erick Neal (15.6 PPG) the Mavericks aren’t finding a defensive angle to uplift their scoring. One team that thwarted UT Arlington in an earlier conference game was Georgia Southern. With UT Arlington leading 21-8 the Eagles went on to hold the Mavericks to 38 points over the last thirty-two minutes. Grab the value on Georgia Southern once again.
|02-22-18||Knicks v. Magic -3.5||120-113||Loss||-100||6 h 31 m||Show|
Post All-Star break teams far below .500 are expected to retreat further in tank mode. The Orlando Magic at 18-39 went into the break with three straight losses, but managed to cover all three. Meanwhile the Knicks have lost eight straight games. While this may seem like the perfect spot to stop the bleeding, grab the under valued Magic to continue the Knicks free fall.
|02-22-18||Wisc-Milwaukee -3 v. Detroit||72-49||Win||100||5 h 14 m||Show|
ATS there may not have been a better team in the month of February than Detroit Mercy. Over the course of the month they went 4-1-1 against the number. Oddly enough their uplift in play came with a huge blow to the program on February 3rd. Multiple players were ruled ineligible due to academics including senior leader Jaleel Hogan. Grab Milwaukee to combat the improved play of Detroit.
|02-21-18||USC -3 v. Colorado||75-64||Win||100||10 h 39 m||Show|
Former top fifteen teams can be forgotten in a hurry at this stage of a college basketball season. USC entered the year as a top ten team before fading out in a hurry. USC currently has work to do if they’re going to sneak into the tournament. Looking back on their season one of their turn around games came at home against Colorado. It was the first game USC showed improved defense as they scored at will against Colorado. While many will see this as a revenge spot, look for the Trojans to showcase their hunger to get to the big dance.
|02-21-18||Clemson v. Virginia Tech -4||58-65||Win||100||6 h 54 m||Show|
Clemson heads on the road Wednesday as they hope to prevent a three-game losing streak. In both losses to Florida State and Duke, Clemson had great opportunities to pull out the victories. For Virginia Tech they must showcase the same effort as their last game in which they won by twenty points against Georgia Tech. In the last two years in three conference matchups the outcome has been decided by three points or less. Yet, grab the Hokies to inch closer to a tournament bid. Grab Virginia Tech.
|02-19-18||Maryland v. Northwestern||71-64||Loss||-106||22 h 0 m||Show|
Top teams off a disappointing loss are hard to back ATS. Monday Northwestern will play on their home floor forty-eight hours after a heart break loss to Michigan State. In the game they led by 25 points which put their losing streak at three games. Their opponent Monday in Maryland needs to keep padding their resume(18-11) and go far in the Big 10 tournament to have a chance at a March Madness bid. Yet, look for Northwestern to erase the memory of their meltdown against the Spartans and rise to the occasion. Grab Northwestern.
|02-17-18||NC-Greensboro v. Mercer +1.5||74-77||Win||100||4 h 5 m||Show|
Mercer out of the Southern conference Saturday finds themselves as slight home underdogs. This is a case of a conference leader in UNC Greensboro gaining oddsmakers trust with their season performance. This has grown to a peak with their dominating victory Monday over East Tennessee State. Yet look for an under achieving Mercer team to play beyond the level of UNC Greensboro. Grab Mercer.
|02-17-18||Miami-OH v. Ohio -3||87-92||Win||100||4 h 34 m||Show|
Out in the MAC we will back Ohio as slight home favorites. The Bobcats are coming off a loss against Toledo in which they were down double digits the majority of the game. Yet they were able to score which should be a confidence booster at home against Miami-Ohio. Look for Miami-Ohio to show the effects from a tough game against Eastern Michigan. Grab Ohio.
|02-16-18||Northern Kentucky -1 v. Wright State||67-69||Loss||-106||6 h 7 m||Show|
Friday, the top two teams in the Horizon league square off in a nationally televised matchup between Northern Kentucky and Wright State. Wright State already has a showcase win on the road against Northern Kentucky but has lost two of four. It appears oddsmakers are valuing the Raiders road win over Northern Kentucky more. Yet don’t discount the veteran Northern Kentucky team that appears poised to get back to March Madness. Grab Northern Kentucky.
|02-16-18||Bowling Green v. Buffalo -14||82-95||Loss||-115||4 h 8 m||Show|
Friday, the MAC conference has a quick turn around from Tuesday’s games. Tonight Buffalo is heavy favorites at home against Bowling Green. The Bulls whom are the top team in the MAC conference with an 11-2 record will face the Falcons for the first time this season. Yet, Buffalo has tapered off a tad as their last eight games have been decided by fourteen points or less. They’ve also lost two of their last five games. Still, grab the value on a double-digit spread buy against the second best team in the MAC. Grab Buffalo.
|02-14-18||Memphis v. SMU -6.5||70-67||Loss||-105||7 h 24 m||Show|
In past seasons SMU has never been a team with a deep roster. Somehow they were able to avoid injuries but that has not been the case this season. Two key players in Shake Milton (hand) and Jarrey Foster (ACL) are out. Losing freshman Tom Wilson as a transfer to Boise State in late December is also a forgotten piece. Yet, SMU has a style of play that matches up well against an inconsistent Memphis team. Look for better chemistry Wednesday from the Mustangs off an embarrassing 25 point home loss to the Bearcats.
|02-14-18||Pacers v. Nets +4.5||108-103||Loss||-110||6 h 59 m||Show|
Through the first half of the NBA season one of the top five teams oddsmakers have had a tough time with are the Indiana Pacers. Wednesday figures to be another hurdle as the Pacers travel to Brooklyn. Mentally the Pacers benefitted from a postponed game against the Pelicans last week. It led to consecutive victories over the Celtics and Knicks in sharp performances. Wednesday may not be a tricky spot in terms of a win for the Pacers but look for the small line to be a factor as the Nets keep it close.
|02-14-18||Davidson -2.5 v. VCU||74-63||Win||100||5 h 24 m||Show|
Friday, Davidson fell woefully short in a poor road performance against A-10 power Rhode Island. Traveling on the road Wednesday they’ll look to redeem that effort against VCU. For VCU this game is vital in their chances on gaining in the conference standings as a loss would put them in danger of the backline for the A-10 tournament. In the end look for Davidson’s better balance offensively to be the key.
|02-13-18||Kings v. Mavs -6.5||114-109||Loss||-102||9 h 43 m||Show|
An abnormal point spread typically does not go hand in hand with two teams far below .500. Yet that’s the case tonight as the Dallas Mavericks are sizable home favorites against the Kings. Sacramento has not looked the same since trading away two non-rotation players in Malachi Richardson and George Hill. Off their close loss to the Timberwolves many may look for the underdog value. Instead back the Mavericks.
|02-13-18||Hawks +7.5 v. Bucks||92-97||Win||100||8 h 14 m||Show|
Sunday, Atlanta came from behind to fend off the Detroit Pistons. Tuesday, they’ll face the Milwaukee Bucks for the second time this season. Their first matchup came on October 29th in which the Bucks were a similar range of favorites of six points. The 1.5 difference is one to ponder as oddsmakers have boosted the Hawks play. With All Star break looming look for the home team to be the one looking ahead to their eight day break. Grab the Hawks.
|02-10-18||Kentucky +5.5 v. Texas A&M||74-85||Loss||-101||7 h 30 m||Show|
Consecutive losses by Kentucky has dropped them to seven on the season. Their opponent tonight in Texas A&M is suddenly back in the fold at 16-8. Texas A&M has used a better balanced offense to compete and are coming off their biggest win of the season against Auburn. Yet, Kentucky looked the most comfortable this year in a home win against the Aggies. Look for them to carry that momentum on the road against the Aggies.
|02-10-18||Bucks -4.5 v. Magic||111-104||Win||100||13 h 35 m||Show|
Friday, the Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Miami Heat as Dwayne Wade made his debut return. Saturday, they’ll play in back to back nights as they travel up north to Orlando. That is a value booster for the Bucks Saturday, but the biggest is Orlando’s great play as of late. The Magic have won three in a row and four of five games. Look for that mini turn around to end Saturday. Grab Milwaukee.
|02-10-18||Seton Hall -5 v. Georgetown||80-83||Loss||-115||2 h 11 m||Show|
One of the underperforming teams in conference this year has been Seton Hal. They were expected to contend with Villanova and instead are barely over .500 in conference. They’ve lacked the cohesion shown in non-conference play to be reliable ATS in conference. Five losses in their last seven games surely show a team wearing down. Yet, this is a good spot with a buy down line against a Hoyas team returning from a three-game road trip. Grab the Pirates.
|02-09-18||Clippers +4 v. Pistons||108-95||Win||100||13 h 50 m||Show|
High value lies with the LA Clippers Friday as they travel to take on the Detroit Pistons. Two obvious angles of value are facing their former teammate in Blake Griffin. Griffin with his new team in the Pistons have won four consecutive games. In fact, Friday marks the Pistons sixth straight home game. Grab the Clippers to perform sharp against their former teammate and pull off the cover.
|02-09-18||Davidson +5.5 v. Rhode Island||59-72||Loss||-109||1 h 29 m||Show|
It’s obvious the A-10 is a down season. A positive has been Rhode Island who has ascended into the top twenty. Yet, tonight’s matchup also pins them in a tough spot. A nationally televised matchup and facing a team in Davidson that’s well prepared. Even though this is a home game look for Rhode Island look for Davidson to hold fort for forty minutes. Grab Davidson.
|02-08-18||Hornets v. Blazers -3.5||103-109||Win||100||15 h 58 m||Show|
Portland returns home from an East coast road trip with a game Thursday against the Hornets. Portland’s last outing two nights ago featured a blowout loss to the Pistons. They looked as tired as any team this season capping off a road trip and it appears bookmakers have taken notice. The Hornets traveled a shorter distance as they played in Denver Monday. Still, look for Portland to take care of business. Grab the Trailblazers.
|02-08-18||Portland +10 v. San Francisco||63-65||Win||100||15 h 45 m||Show|
Portland is yet another team that is showing out of nowhere signs trending upward. They’ve now won four of their last six games in the West coast conference after beginning league play at 0-6. One of their biggest embarrassments of conference play was an 84-61 home loss to San Francisco. Yet the final score is a bit misleading. Portland was within twelve points at the official timeout of the seven minute mark before San Francisco poured it on. Look for a much more competitive game in a revenge spot for Portland.
|02-08-18||Stanford +4.5 v. Utah||60-75||Loss||-105||13 h 44 m||Show|
A conference team that no one expected to turn around their season was Stanford. Entering Pac-12 play they had a record below .500 at 6-7. Thanks to consecutive wins they’ve now moved to 7-4 in the Pac-12. Now they’ll face a stiff conclusion to their season as five of their last seven games are on the road. While Utah may seem in desperate need of a win, expect Stanford’s confidence to withstand to push through ATS.
|02-08-18||Northeastern -5 v. Delaware||70-67||Loss||-110||12 h 54 m||Show|
Northeastern staved off a feisty UNC Wilmington team Saturday in overtime to avoid a three game losing streak. Thursday they’ll travel to Delaware in hopes of a season series sweep. In the prior matchup Northeastern actually trailed at halftime 31-28 only to explode for 48 second half points. Amidst a six game losing streak a home dog will get support. Yet expect Northeastern to pull away in similar fashion to the first meeting. Grab Northeastern.
|02-08-18||Georgia Tech +10 v. Louisville||54-77||Loss||-105||12 h 54 m||Show|
Four of five losses have dropped Louisville from a borderline ranked team to now in jeopardy of March Madness aspirations. Oddsmakers have shaded the line to double digits against a Georgia Tech team that has lost five of six games. Yet, Louisville’s struggles have surged defensively as they were exploited by a poor shooting Syracuse team Monday. Look for the Yellow Jackets to be the latest to find offensive success. Grab the Yellow Jackets.
|02-07-18||La Salle v. George Washington +3||69-80||Win||100||5 h 3 m||Show|
LaSalle has showed signs of turning things around in-conference as they’ve won two of their last three games. They’ll travel on the road against a George Washington team that is just 2-8 in conference. In fact, the Colonials have lost eight of their last nine games. Scoring efficiency has been their detriment as well as dynamic scorers in the A-10. Yet, look for George Washington to capitalize on being a slight home underdog. Grab GW.
|02-06-18||Grizzlies +3 v. Hawks||82-108||Loss||-103||6 h 33 m||Show|
Two teams with similar records square off Tuesday as the Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Atlanta Hawks. The Grizzlies have lost five of six games and appear to be a team that may be active before the trade deadline. Their 5-19 record in away games is the biggest non attractor from an ATS stand point. Value lies with the Grizzlies with the Hawks returning home off a competitive loss to the Celtics and win in New York.
|02-03-18||Virginia v. Syracuse +5.5||59-44||Loss||-105||2 h 20 m||Show|
Virginia continues to get it done on a big scale with just one loss. They’ve done it with improved offense and their suffocating half court defense. Syracuse already has a loss to Virginia earlier in conference play but found their rhythm at the tail end of that game. Look for the Orange to finally showcase some offense and pull out the cover in the dome.
|02-02-18||Warriors v. Kings +13.5||119-104||Loss||-110||7 h 27 m||Show|
Typically revenge spots are automatically inflated ATS. Add a Warriors dimension and that boosts it even further. Friday the Golden State Warriors take the short trip to other side of Northern California to play against the Kings. Off a twenty point loss to the Jazz the Warriors should be in an aggressive mode. They also lost to the Kings on November 27th on their home floor short handed without Kevin Durant and Steph Curry. Grab the high value Friday on the double-whammy angle.
|02-02-18||Green Bay +7 v. Wisc-Milwaukee||58-76||Loss||-101||5 h 52 m||Show|
Two teams with identical conference records at 5-7 meet tonight in Horizon league play. Green Bay will travel to Milwaukee hoping to emulate a home 99-92 victory earlier in conference play. Apparently oddsmakers have boosted Milwaukee in the revenge spot but also a lengthy home stretch. Tonight marks Milwaukee’s sixth consecutive home game that began on January 18th. This also marks Green Bay’s first road game since January 12th. Grab the value on that angle.
|02-02-18||Lakers v. Nets -1||102-99||Loss||-110||4 h 27 m||Show|
The Nets ended a four game losing streak by defeating the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Friday they’ll host a Lakers team that has had consecutive woeful performances on their east coast road trip. The issue has been defensively as they’ve surrendered over 120 points in each of those losses. Look for Brooklyn to take advantage and cash against the Lakers.
|02-01-18||Furman -1.5 v. Mercer||85-73||Win||100||6 h 46 m||Show|
Both Mercer and Furman come into Thursday’s matchup with five days rest since last Saturday. Oddsmakers continue to dangle improper value Mercer’s way. Throughout their current 10-12 season they’ve been underdogs of four points or higher only three times this season. They’re talent is apparent on the court but has not developed in the fashion you would expect in the Southern conference. Grab Furman to cash.
|02-01-18||Grizzlies v. Pistons -8.5||102-104||Loss||-105||5 h 16 m||Show|
An aggressive line lies Thursday with the Detroit Pistons as Blake Griffin makes his debut in a Grizzlies uniform. Typically trades of star magnitude are over inflated by oddsmakers which is the case here. Yet, a team such as Detroit is harder for oddsmakers to pinpoint as they have not had a superstar in years. Look for Griffin’s teammates to feel the energy of the trade and for Coach Van Gundy to want to reap the rewards for the fans in game one. Grab Detroit.
|01-31-18||Knicks v. Celtics -5||73-103||Win||100||6 h 25 m||Show|
The Knicks handily defeated the Brooklyn Nets last night and now will head to Boston Wednesday evening. On Monday, Boston ended their losing streak with a narrow 111-110 victory over the Denver Nuggets. In a lower number than anticipated for a team in a back to back scenario oddsmakers are expecting a rusty Celtics team. Yet, even though they’re travel back from Denver will create rust expect the Celtics to push through in the fourth quarter. Grab Boston.
|01-30-18||Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -2.5||71-57||Loss||-103||6 h 47 m||Show|
Two teams with identical 12-9 records will battle in the MAC as Eastern Michigan hosts Western Michigan. Both teams are coming off wins which makes tonight matchup even more important. With a small point spread Vegas is banking on the same thing. Here expect Eastern Michigan’s overall better defense and home court edge to prevail and get the cover for backers.
|01-28-18||Lakers +10.5 v. Raptors||111-123||Loss||-108||5 h 37 m||Show|
The Lakers travel to Toronto on Sunday as they continue to extend their east coast road trip. Toronto is coming off a lackluster home loss against the Jazz in which they surrendered a late lead. With their strong home court edge over the last several years a bounce back spot seems in order against the Lakers. Instead grab Los Angeles whose youth is finally starting to mesh minus the assists of injured point guard Lonzo Ball.
|01-27-18||Texas-Arlington v. Georgia Southern -2.5||59-74||Win||100||3 h 20 m||Show|
Maintaining proper production for forty minutes on the road is extremely difficult in-conference. UT-Arlington found that out the hard way as they led for thirty minutes in their latest matchup against Georgia State, before the Panthers pulled away. Today, UT Arlington will get a better matchup against Georgia Southern. Yet, a consecutive road game produces the same result for UT Arlington. Grab Georgia Southern.
|01-27-18||TCU -3.5 v. Vanderbilt||78-81||Loss||-101||2 h 10 m||Show|
Jamie Dixon’s Horned Frogs are back in the fold after faltering for a stretch. They’ll travel to Vanderbilt as part of the Big 12 vs SEC classic. This should be a solid test for TCU even with Vanderbilt’s 7-13 record. On the year TCU has not been a good road team at 1-3. That’s where the value lies. Grab the Horned Frogs.
|01-24-18||Wolves +3.5 v. Blazers||114-123||Loss||-108||9 h 53 m||Show|
The Timberwolves travel to Portland with two key players out. Jimmy Butler and Jamal Crawford both will sit out with injuries. That factored with a late night west coast game has put oddsmakers in the spot to make Portland favorites. A boost of confidence for Trailblazers point guard Damian Lillard is that he is an All-Star reserve. Yet, expect the Timberwolves to rise to the occasion and benefit off the Blazers poor shot selections. Grab the Timberwolves.
|01-23-18||Texas A&M -1.5 v. LSU||65-77||Loss||-113||8 h 49 m||Show|
The Aggies precipitous fall from the top twenty-five looks uncommon from the outside. The fact of the matter was they were on the bubble of being ranked week one and gained momentum in non-conference. Yet they’ve won consecutive games in the SEC to move to 2-5 in conference. With both wins at home oddsmakers are putting bettors in an unseen position as the Aggies are 0-3 on the road in-conference. That’s where value lies. Grab the Aggies.
|01-22-18||Blazers v. Nuggets -3||101-104||Push||0||8 h 45 m||Show|
The struggling Denver Nuggets have dropped consecutive games to dip to .500. Their struggles have caught the attention of oddsmakers as typically they’re inflated due to their home court edge. Portland on the other hand is healthy and has won three straight games. Yet even with the Nuggets tinkering with their starting lineup grab Denver to handle the Trailblazers. Take Denver.
|01-18-18||UCLA -1 v. Oregon State||63-69||Loss||-107||10 h 53 m||Show|
Thursday UCLA will travel to take on an Oregon State team that fared unsuccessful in a road trip to Arizona. The Beavers showed strong competitiveness to show their improvements against Arizona, and had a great chance to defeat ASU before melting late. For UCLA a possibility of looking ahead to Saturday’s matchup in Oregon is plausible. Still, even minus depth look for the Bruins to pull away from the Beavers.
|01-18-18||Wright State -4 v. Green Bay||80-67||Win||100||7 h 54 m||Show|
Wright State -4
Out in the Horizon league Wright State has begun conference play 6-0. All of their conference wins have been by ten points or less, showcasing an ability to close out games. Thursday marks their fourth road game in five games which has decreased the spread against Wisconsin-Green Bay. Still, expect Wright State’s confidence to win to be the deciding factor in a late push past the number.
|01-18-18||76ers +5 v. Celtics||89-80||Win||100||6 h 48 m||Show|
The Philadelphia 76ers will travel to Boston and face the Celtics for the second time in a week. Last week’s 114-103 Boston win was played in London and was a tale of two halves. Leading by nine at halftime the 76ers fell apart with poor offense and defense in the third quarter. Expect a better performance tonight as they withstand the Celtics home crowd. Grab the 76ers.
|01-17-18||Iowa State v. TCU -10||73-96||Win||100||8 h 57 m||Show|
At just 1-4 in Big 12 play the TCU Horned Frogs find themselves as double digit favorites Wednesday. The reason why is they’ve been a play or two away in all of their losses this season. In fact all four of their losses were by five points or less. While Iowa State has the team identity and public betting notoriety they’re a huge liability in a down season. Their win in their latest outing over Baylor dips the line just enough here to grab the Horned Frogs.
|01-17-18||South Florida +3 v. East Carolina||52-90||Loss||-108||6 h 57 m||Show|
In the American conference the only winless team that remains is South Florida. They’ll travel on the road to face an East Carolina that’s one conference win was on the road against South Florida. This is a spot where one can grab the value on East Carolina’s win in South Florida. Expect a better offensive effort from the Bulls and for them to avenge their prior loss to the Pirates.
|01-16-18||Drake +6.5 v. Northern Iowa||54-68||Loss||-105||7 h 40 m||Show|
Parity in the Missouri Valley conference has created an oddsmaker conundrum for Tuesday. After starting conference play at 0-5, Northern Iowa finally broke through and toppled Valparaiso. Drake on the other hand is 5-1 in conference but their one loss was a 17 point drubbing to Valparaiso. With Northern Iowa’s big win over Valparaiso bettors may chase the illusion that they’re a team to back with confidence. Yet with six days rest expect Drake to have the fresher legs and withstand the Panthers.
|01-14-18||Pacers v. Suns +4||120-97||Loss||-110||7 h 50 m||Show|
Friday the Phoenix Suns were one of the more popular underdog consensus plays as they hosted the Rockets. A rare stretch of five days rest was the angle bettors chased but the Suns were blown out by 17. Now they’ll step onto the court less than 48 hours later against a Pacers team that defeated the Cavaliers in a miraculous comeback Friday. That’s created value on the Suns as Indiana is inflated off that victory. Grab the Suns.
|01-14-18||Utah v. USC -6.5||67-84||Win||100||7 h 35 m||Show|
After pulling off a narrow ATS victory against Colorado Wednesday, USC will look for another Pac-12 victory against Utah. Utah once was a 10-3 team that looked the role as a dark horse Pac-12 contendor. Unfortunately scheduling has not benefitted them as they’ve lost three straight against the meat of the Pac-12 in Arizona, ASU, and UCLA. Although USC has been turnover prone and susceptible defensively they’ve grown accustomed to playing in the Sunday night spot on a weekly basis. Grab the value on the Trojans.
|01-14-18||Davidson -8.5 v. Fordham||75-45||Win||100||2 h 45 m||Show|
Sunday, Davidson travels to take on Fordham in the Bronx. Fordham’s a team that has been an under the radar reliable conference ATS team in recent years. Yet, they’re 1-3 in conference play and are coming off two steep consecutive losses. Davidson on the other hand has rebounded from a 4-6 start to win four of their last five. Grab them to continue their higher level of play on the road against Fordham.
|01-13-18||Pacific -3.5 v. Portland||66-54||Win||100||9 h 34 m||Show|
A team that keeps losing in the WCC is Portland. They’re winless in conference and just lost by fifty points at Gonzaga. Pacific on the other hand has rebounded from a subpar non-conference performance to go 3-2 in conference. Yet they’re venturing on the road for the first time in nine days. Still this is a baited home dog spread as Pacific’s 8-10 record offers a peculiar spot for a favorite. Grab it as Portland’s woes continue.
|01-13-18||Pistons v. Bulls +1.5||105-107||Win||100||7 h 48 m||Show|
The return of Zach Lavigne for the Bulls is not one to consider from a value stand point. Lavine has been away due to injury for a year and is also stepping onto the court with a new team as opposed to his familiar prior setting with the Timberwolves. The thunder of the Bulls former torrid stretch of having won ten of twelve games has dissipated as they’ve dropped five of seven. Detroit has the depth and size to offset a young Bulls team. Still, look for the back end of a Detroit three-game road trip to keep the Bulls in position to win. Grab the Bulls.
|01-13-18||Oregon State +11.5 v. Arizona State||75-77||Win||100||5 h 43 m||Show|
In college hoops ASU continues to be a hot bed to go against ATS for several reasons, but primarily based on their schedule. After opening up conference play with three straight road games the Sun Devils dropped their first home game to Oregon on Thursday. Saturday’s opponent is one in Oregon State that also lost but on the road Thursday to Arizona. The angle that ASU is in need of a win and is facing a team continuing road travels is one offered by oddsmakers. Yet even though ASU has the quick spurt capabilities this is too many points to bypass. Grab the Beavers.
|01-12-18||Warriors v. Bucks +5||108-94||Loss||-110||3 h 19 m||Show|
Friday the Bucks will host the Warriors in a key interconference matchup. On the injury report for the Warriors is Steph Curry who is listed as doubtful with a sprained ankle. Yet the Warriors have already dealt with playing without Curry prior this season and boast a 17-3 away record. Of their nine losses this year none have come consecutively. That’s where the value lies here as bettors chase the number on the Warriors team strength of the past four seasons. Grab the home Milwaukee Bucks.
|01-11-18||Oregon +7.5 v. Arizona State||76-72||Win||100||9 h 42 m||Show|
Arizona State returns home tonight to face Oregon after a three-game road stretch to start the Pac-12. Most coaches would have been happy with the results of the stretch. ASU fought tough against 17th ranked Arizona, played Colorado to overtime, and held off Utah. Yet, tonight’s point spread is more indicative of a returning home tilted line as well as ASU’s strong ATS record (10-2). The fact of the matter is ASU lacks size and does not defend for forty minutes. Grab the value on Oregon.
|01-11-18||NC-Wilmington +7 v. Elon||80-78||Win||100||5 h 28 m||Show|
At 4-12 UNC Wilmington has had an extreme free fall from their tournament appearance two years ago. Tonight they’ll take on conference opponent Elon whom has won four of their last five. Yet I see value on UNC Wilmington who still has prime talent at several positions. The Seahawks looked extremely flat in their latest matchup allowing 96 points in a twenty point loss to Delaware. That’s created value on the Seahawks tonight as they conclude a conference three-game road trip. Grab the Seahawks.
|01-10-18||Colorado v. USC -10.5||58-70||Win||100||10 h 26 m||Show|
Oddsmakers have dangled out a large point spread Wednesday on the Trojans. The fact of the matter is their improper top ten ranking to start the season made it difficult for oddsmakers to adjust their number. At 11-6 they’re the only team not in the Pac-12 outside of ASU that has a positive mark ATS at 10-7. Colorado is coming off home upsets against both Arizona State and Arizona which further elevates their inflation. They also played their latest game against Arizona mid-day Saturday PST compared to USC’s Sunday evening buzzer beat loss to Stanford. Grab the value on the underachieving but talented Trojans.
|01-10-18||Pelicans -1 v. Grizzlies||102-105||Loss||-110||8 h 27 m||Show|
Once again the Pelicans will be minus star athlete Anthony Davis. Traveling on the road against Memphis will be a challenge as the Grizzlies still are capable of solid half-court defense. Yet offensively they’ll keep the Pelicans within striking distance with their inopportune offensive lulls. Value here is based on the fact that of the Grizzlies last twelve games four opponents they faced multiple times. That led to tighter games based on familiarity similar to an MLB home-away series. Grab the value on the Pelicans.
|01-10-18||Mavs +7 v. Hornets||115-111||Win||100||7 h 27 m||Show|
In a back to back scenario the Dallas Mavericks will travel to Charlotte. This is a skewed line as Charlotte returns home from a lengthy west coast trip. During the trip the Hornets defeated the Warriors and also blew out their last two opponents. That figures to translate at home against a tired team far below .500. Yet look for the Mavericks to fight in this one and cover a skewed line.
|01-09-18||Texas A&M +5.5 v. Kentucky||73-74||Win||100||6 h 10 m||Show|
Dropping from a top five team to unranked has occurred for Texas A&M. Issues diagnosed pre-season with Texas A&M’s lack of a point guard have been a main downgrade to their 0-3 SEC start. Opposite the Kentucky Wildcats have not been the same caliber of a typical Coach Calipari. That’s showcased by oddsmakers offering low numbers against Louisville (-4.5) and Virginia Tech (-6.5). Yet there is value to be had here off the Aggies slide and last year’s blowout 100-58 Kentucky victory over A&M. In the victory Kentucky did not ease off the gas as they hunted to score 100 points. An added ATS indicator for the Aggies is this is the first collegiate game of conference play with class back in session from the holidays. Grab the Aggies.
|01-08-18||Hawks v. Clippers -5||107-108||Loss||-103||9 h 26 m||Show|
The depleted Clippers were further hit with the injury bug as they’re now minus Blake Griffin and Austin Rivers. That’s created ATS value tonight against an Atlanta Hawks team that were blown out by 19 points against the Lakers and by 21 in Portland. Grab the Clippers to get it done with a core of non original starters as they sweep the Hawks.
|01-07-18||Thunder v. Suns +9||100-114||Win||100||8 h 43 m||Show|
The Suns thin roster will likely be without more players Sunday as TJ Warren and Isaiah Canaan are likely to miss today’s game against Oklahoma City. For the Thunder they’ve become a stronger group on their current road trip with blowout wins over the Lakers and Clippers. The catalyst has been rookie Terrance Ferguson whom has given the Thunder an athletic spark of youth. Phoenix’s poor home record of just 7-14 adds to their value. Grab the Suns to put up points and cover the big number.
|01-07-18||Arizona State -2 v. Utah||80-77||Win||100||7 h 27 m||Show|
Signs of ASU having glaring weaknesses were evident before conference play began. Under sized and offensive droughts plagued them in come back wins over Vanderbilt, Longwood, and others. Starting off the Pac-12 0-2 is a cause of those issues but also a tough conference schedule out of the gate. Both their games were on the road as is tonight’s matchup against Utah. That’s where the value lies ATS. Look for ASU to show a concerted effort to avoid falling to 0-3 in the Pac-12.
|01-07-18||Panthers v. Saints -6.5||26-31||Loss||-112||42 h 13 m||Show|
It’s rare to see two teams at 11-5 in the wild card round. Yet, a deep NFC has caused an NFC South matchup. This of course will be the third meeting between the teams with the Saints dominating both over the Panthers. While the Saints went just 3-3 to finish out the season, they have the edge on both sides of the football to handle the Panthers one more time. This line likely would be higher if it were not for the Panthers strong regular season and Super Bowl appearance just two seasons ago. The notion of a team having difficulty beating a team three times won’t be the case here. Grab the Saints.
|01-07-18||Loyola-Chicago +4.5 v. Northern Iowa||56-50||Win||100||4 h 37 m||Show|
Continued credit for being a former dominant conference team is what oddsmakers have granted Northern Iowa. The Panthers have now lost four straight after starting the season 8-3. The Missouri Valley has increased their offensive production and been able to bypass the Panthers typical strong defense. After consecutive road games this is a spot oddsmakers have baited bettors to grab the home Panthers. Instead look for further rust from Northern Iowa and for Loyola-Chicago to be the aggressors as they’ve lost three of four.
|01-06-18||Western Carolina v. Samford -4.5||71-85||Win||100||6 h 36 m||Show|
Samford finds themselves in an unordinary spot as a favorite this season. Minus key contributors Wyatt Walker and Christen Cunningham Samford has started the season 5-10. Yet, they both may play today which would be a small conference oddsmaker miss in the Southern conference. Even if both fail to return expect Samford to bypass Western Carolina’s methodical slow pace offense. Grab Samford.
|01-06-18||Celtics v. Nets +5||87-85||Win||100||4 h 41 m||Show|
Saturday, we’ll grab the value on Brooklyn as home underdogs against the Celtics. Boston is coming off a nationally televised blowout win as Kyrie got the upper hand over Lebron and the Cavaliers. Yet the Nets have won consecutive home games and have played two close games against the Celtics. One resulted in a seven point loss and there most recent matchup on New Year’s Eve was by three points. Grab the Nets to keep this close again.
|01-06-18||Jacksonville State +6.5 v. Belmont||64-60||Win||100||4 h 35 m||Show|
Saturday there is value in the Ohio Valley conference as Jacksonville State travels to take on Belmont. Here the value lies with Jacksonville State’s second consecutive road game. In their prior road game the Gamecocks lost by seven to a lowly 6-8 Tennessee State team. Yet, Belmont should bring a higher level of energy from the Gamecocks. Grab the road value.
|01-04-18||UCLA v. Stanford +3.5||99-107||Win||100||8 h 7 m||Show|
Just one team in the Pac-12 has a losing record below .500. That is Stanford which is just 6-8 overall and has poor losses on their resume to teams such as Portland State, Eastern Washington, and Long Beach State. They’ll face a UCLA team tonight that’s gaining their confidence. After a neutral site victory over Kentucky, UCLA has started off Pac-12 play 2-0. Yet, expect Stanford to show some strides in this one as they lost by just three points in their latest matchup against California.
|01-04-18||VMI +15 v. Wofford||53-92||Loss||-108||5 h 58 m||Show|
The Wofford Terriers host their first home game in Southern Conference play against VMI. VMI is coming off a thirty point loss in which they allowed sixteen three pointers to Furman. Fletcher Magee of Wofford figures to be in for a great evening as one of the country’s premier three-point shooters. Yet, be leery of another Wofford offensive lapse to detriment this large spread. In their latest matchup against UNC Greensboro they scored just twenty second half points, including a stretch of twelve minutes with just seven points. Grab the underdog here.
|01-03-18||Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz||108-98||Win||100||8 h 38 m||Show|
In two of the Jazz last three home games they’ve defeated the Spurs and Cavaliers. Still they’re a team struggling with camaraderie amongst their starting five with a record of 16-21. Meanwhile the Pelicans have dropped consecutive home games against the Knicks and Mavericks. Yet, their starting five has been extremely productive and has to much fire power for the Jazz in a road spot. Grab the Pelicans.
|01-03-18||VCU v. St. Joe's +1.5||81-87||Win||100||5 h 23 m||Show|
Four of five losses by Saint Joseph’s has dropped their season record below .500 at 5-7. Today they’ll host a VCU team that is 9-5. All five of the Rams losses were to reputable teams in Texas, Michigan, Virginia, Marquette, and Seton Hall. That’s created value for Saint Josephs tonight on their home floor. Grab the Hawks.
|01-02-18||Delaware v. College of Charleston -9||78-93||Win||100||3 h 13 m||Show|
We’ll grab the value on the College of Charleston for Tuesday in college hoops. This has been a competitive series over the last couple of years with Charleston sweeping last year’s matchup. Charleston’s pace of play seemingly hurts them on a big number ATS. Yet they’re a team that you can feel comfortable clinching a spread with late free throws. Grab Charleston.
|01-01-18||Alabama v. Clemson +3||24-6||Loss||-100||47 h 12 m||Show|
At first assessment of Alabama and Clemson my angle was to side with Alabama. Nick Saban’s overhaul of coordinators has been a non-issue for the majority of this season. That in large part was off set by his upper echelon recruits. Yet, Clemson has maintained their core of coaching with long term coordinators in Tony Elliott and Brent Venables. Although Deshaun Watson is no longer a Tiger, Clemson has the determination and better overall coaching to overcome. Grab Clemson to head back to the National title game.
|01-01-18||Lakers +10.5 v. Wolves||96-114||Loss||-110||6 h 42 m||Show|
Zack will grab the value on the Lakers traveling to Minnesota tonight. There are a couple of quality angles in this game, with both teams in back to back scenarios. For one the Timberwolves handily defeated the Lakers on Christmas Day. Secondly, the Lakers lost in overtime in a high scoring affair last night against the Rockets. They’re lacking depth but expect them to showcase their youth and hang tighter than expected. Grab the Lakers.
|01-01-18||Magic +2.5 v. Nets||95-98||Loss||-115||5 h 35 m||Show|
Two teams with subpar records meet today as the Magic travel to Brooklyn. Orlando has lacked the cohesiveness shown last season. For one Jonathan Simmons is adjusting as a starter and their bench has far less fire power. That’s an issue against a Nets team that’s depth is challenging even for veteran teams. Yet, expect Orlando to capitalize off of the Nets turnovers and poor defense. Grab the Magic.
|12-31-17||Mavs +6 v. Thunder||116-113||Win||100||6 h 60 m||Show|
After six straight wins the OKC Thunder lost in a controversial finish against the Milwaukee Bucks. Sunday, they’ll face a Mavericks team that has won three straight games. Yet they’re just 12-25 and on the third game of their road trip. This has created value as bettors seek to back OKC to get back in the win column. Grab Dallas.
|12-31-17||Bills v. Dolphins +3||22-16||Loss||-120||40 h 7 m||Show|
Two teams with division familiarity will square off in the AFC East in the Bills and Dolphins. Buffalo has motivation to finish above .500. Their quarterback in Tyrod Taylor also will be showcasing his skillset as it doesn’t appear that he will remain a Bill. With these two teams just meeting two weeks ago value may appear to be on Buffalo. Yet grab the value on the Dolphins who have a young roster improving heading into 2018.
|12-30-17||San Francisco -5 v. Portland||84-61||Win||100||5 h 3 m||Show|
Post holiday break two teams looking for a boost in-conference will be the Dons and Pilots. Both have six losses with inconsistent offense to match subpar defense. Yet the Dons have a core starting five that is starting to show growth. While many will remember Portland’s national TV game against UNC, they’ve not shown the team chemistry needed. Grab the road value on the Dons.
|12-30-17||Wisconsin -6 v. Miami-FL||34-24||Win||100||20 h 2 m||Show|
Road games aren’t supposed to happen in bowl season but that is the case for Wisconsin as they take on the Hurricanes. Some may look at this as a matchup of two teams that were on the doorsteps of the playoffs. Wisconsin’s poor schedule harmed them while Miami’s issues with playing complete games finally caved at season’s end. Even with time off I don’t see the Hurricanes on field issues changing. Grab the Badgers in Miami.
|12-30-17||Blazers v. Hawks +3.5||89-104||Win||100||4 h 47 m||Show|
Off of just one day of rest Portland will attempt to travel to face an Atlanta team that’s coming off a road game in Toronto. It’s one of the more peculiar travel assessments to break down. Yet, I see value with the two angles of the Hawks playing 24 hours ago and their poor overall record. Grab the value on the Hawks.
|12-30-17||Wofford +5.5 v. NC-Greensboro||67-71||Win||100||1 h 13 m||Show|
Wofford ended their non-conference play with a big win over fifth ranked North Carolina. It was a game they had supreme offensive efficiency and also their second win over an ACC opponent. Saturday they’ll step into conference play against UNC Greensboro. Look for Wofford to shake off the rust of last year’s 19 point loss at UNCG and grab the cover.
|12-30-17||Iowa State v. Memphis -4||21-20||Loss||-102||12 h 23 m||Show|
Out of all of the changes amongst college football programs one move remained relatively quiet. Earlier this month the Memphis Tigers and Mike Norvell agreed to a long-term deal to keep him in Memphis. His octane offense is coveted and is one that will be awfully tough for Iowa State to handle. The biggest key in this small number is the durability and explosiveness of Memphis. Grab the Tigers Saturday.
|12-30-17||Louisville v. Mississippi State +7||27-31||Win||100||12 h 53 m||Show|
A key injury to Bulldogs quarterback Nick Fitzgerald has skewed Saturday’s bowl line on Louisville’s side. The hype of Lamar Jackson did not wane in 2017 yet the level of Louisville’s play as a team did. Poor defense and less playmakers for Jackson thwarted the teams growth. Look for the Bulldogs SEC defense to keep them in this matchup against the Cardinal. Grab the Bulldogs.
|12-29-17||Utah State -4 v. New Mexico State||20-26||Loss||-104||18 h 15 m||Show|
For the second consecutive season the Sun Belt has been stellar in bowl season. New Mexico State will look to add to the success as they take on Utah State. Yet, the Aggies have one of the worst consistent offenses remaining in bowl season. Unsettling performances down the stretch showcased an offense that lacks the combo running to pass balance. This bodes to Utah State who should outproduce a poor New Mexico State defense. Grab Utah State.
|12-29-17||NC State -6.5 v. Arizona State||52-31||Win||100||16 h 14 m||Show|
At first review this matchup seemed to be an ASU read. They’ve played above expectations all season and have had Todd Graham’s back throughout the process. Yet this is a poor matchup for the Sun Devils. The youth on the defensive side of the football will be in for a long day against NC State quarterback Ryan Finley. Defensively NC State should be well prepared for ASU’s go to play calls as they’ve seen similar styles from their conference. Grab NC State to spoil Graham’s exit.
|12-29-17||Texas A&M +3 v. Wake Forest||52-55||Push||0||14 h 34 m||Show|
Two strong variables are in-line to side with Texas A&M Friday. For one the Aggies no longer have former Coach Kenny Sumlin. Second, the Aggies are traveling to North Carolina the home state of Wake Forest. Yet, the identity of Wake Forest flipped this season from a defensive minded team to an increasing offensive attack. With the layoff of bowl season don’t be surprised for rust to show for Wake Forest. Grab the Aggies.
|12-28-17||Creighton v. Seton Hall -4.5||84-90||Win||100||6 h 32 m||Show|
The first conference top twenty-five game is slated between Creighton and Seton Hall. Can Seton Hall score at the same level as Creighton? That will be a challenge as depth-wise the BlueJays have the upper hand. From an ATS perspective the line is a bit lower due to Creighton’s full eight days of rest versus Seton Hall’s five. Still, look for the Pirates to take advantage of home-court and pull off the ATS cover.
|12-28-17||Virginia v. Navy +1||7-49||Win||100||10 h 12 m||Show|
Thursday’s bowl games are filled with tight lines and little margin of advantages. Yet, I have my eyes on the AM game between Virginia and Navy. In the ACC Virginia showcased an ability to hang in games but not solidify victories, while Navy lacked the defense to contain teams. This should be a matchup dictated by field position and clock management. Look for Navy to control both and too pull out a close victory. Grab Navy.
|12-27-17||Purdue +3 v. Arizona||38-35||Win||100||7 h 40 m||Show|
The Arizona Wildcats were a team the entire country started to back amidst a five game winning and ATS streak. That’s hard to resist in a small bowl game line with an electrifying player such as Tate at quarterback. He’s healthy and the Wildcats have the ability to score 40 plus with him on the field. Yet, defensive game plans have become better against him as the season has gone on. Look for Purdue to employ a solid strategy as well and get the cover.
|12-27-17||Boston College v. Iowa -2||20-27||Win||100||3 h 30 m||Show|
Iowa’s offensive woes against solid defenses in Big 10 play is a detractor against Boston College. Yet Boston College is a team that may have reaped the benefits of an end of season run. They won five of their last six games against teams that were vulnerable that given week. Look for Iowa to showcase the strength of their 7-5 Big Ten record over BC in the ACC. Grab Iowa.
|12-26-17||Northern Illinois +6.5 v. Duke||14-36||Loss||-105||4 h 5 m||Show|
Duke was a team that had issues finishing off games. Four of their six losses were by seven points or less. To end the season they were able to correct their errors and roll off two dominant wins against Georgia Tech and Wake Forest. That combined with the MAC’s poor showing with Toledo has created value on Northern Illinois. Grab Northern Illinois to prevail ATS on a key two point move from the original 4.5.
|12-25-17||Cavs +5 v. Warriors||92-99||Loss||-110||4 h 37 m||Show|
Cleveland will look to get revenge based on last year’s NBA Finals 4-1 result. Minus Steph Curry the Warriors will be relying on more youth than in prior matchups. Cleveland has solidified their veteran depth with new acquisitions. Look for the Cavs to showcase their growth. This is a rare spot where the Warriors are slight home favorites. Take advantage with a play on the Cavaliers.
|12-24-17||Browns v. Bears -6.5||3-20||Win||100||44 h 39 m||Show|
Examining both the Bears and Browns will offer many comparisons. Both have been in numerous games only to fall apart late. Attraction for the Browns to not go winless is something bettors continue to chase. Yet there has been no balance of play calls offensively which has only become worse with Josh Gordon’s return. This should play into the Bears hands which has been a top five team at sticking to their game plans under John Fox. Look for their discipline and hunger to get a strong win to payoff ATS.