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PREMIUM PICKS & BEST BETS
|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|10-18-19||Pittsburgh -3.5 v. Syracuse||27-20||Win||100||20 h 10 m||Show|
Syracuse’s woes on the offensive side of the football are proven to be uncorrectable in-season. As the offense continues to work on getting better it’s created a burden for the defense. At the mid-season point look for Syracuse’s defense to show more and more cracks against a sound Pittsburgh team. Grab Pittsburgh in the Carrier Dome to get the win and cover the number ATS.
|10-17-19||UL-Lafayette -6.5 v. Arkansas State||37-20||Win||100||30 h 59 m||Show|
Off a bye week Arkansas State will have rest and extra preparation over Thursday’s opponent in UL Lafayette. It’ll be interesting to see how UL Lafayette adjusts from another loss last week to the Sun Belt’s premier team in Appalachian State. Road environments have been friendly for the Ragin Cajuns with their offense producing forty-five points against Ohio and thirty-seven against Georgia Southern. Look for their offense to be a catalyst edge over Arkansas State.
|10-12-19||Penn State v. Iowa +3.5||17-12||Loss||-110||18 h 53 m||Show|
The Big Ten will take center stage for a key top twenty-five matchup Saturday night. Hosting will be the Iowa Hawkeyes as they look to topple undefeated Penn State. The Hawkeyes are coming off a sputtering performance in which the offense scored just three against Michigan. Meanwhile Penn State has defeated Big 10 opponents by a whopping 93-7 advantage. Yet look for the Hawkeyes to be ready to answer off last week’s disappointment and protect their home field. Grab Iowa.
|10-12-19||Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina -4||31-21||Loss||-103||15 h 22 m||Show|
Georgia State had the biggest upset of the season when they toppled Tennessee in September. Last week against Arkansas State they bounced back to win by two touchdowns. The win ended a two-game losing streak and showcased the high skillset of quarterback Dan Ellington. Yet Saturday look for Coastal Carolina to keep up with the Panthers offensively and cover the small number.
|10-10-19||Syracuse v. NC State -4.5||10-16||Win||100||20 h 8 m||Show|
Two teams that are in transition phases will battle each other Thursday. The Syracuse Orangemen travel to face the Wolf Pack of NC State. Both teams are coming off bye weeks and looking to gain their fourth wins of the season. A simple fact of the matter for Syracuse has been the struggles of sophomore quarterback Tommy DeVito. That has created issues for the Syracuse defense over the course of four quarters. Lean on NC State here even with Bailey Hockman getting his second starter at quarterback for the Wolf Pack.
|10-09-19||Appalachian State +1 v. UL-Lafayette||17-7||Win||100||21 h 50 m||Show|
Both Appalachian State and UL Lafayette in action for the Sun Belt Wednesday have had extended rest. Neither team has played since Saturday September 28th. UL Lafayette has been unfaceable ATS going unblemished on the season. Yet I expect that to change Wednesday as Appalachian State’s size defensively will hinder UL Lafayette’s potent run game. Grab Appalachian State for a Wednesday winner.
|10-05-19||Oregon State v. UCLA -5.5||48-31||Loss||-113||23 h 7 m||Show|
The 1-4 UCLA Bruins could easily be 0-5. Their lone win came in a desperation comeback down four touchdowns against Washington State. Last week’s golden opportunity to get a win with Arizona’s quarterback out faltered. Now they’ll face an Oregon State team that nearly comeback to defeat Stanford. They also have a senior quarterback in Jake Luton at their disposal that will test a poor UCLA defense. Still the Beavers always find a way to neutralize themselves on the field. Look for key penalties to derail their chance at a cover. Grab UCLA.
|10-05-19||Arizona +4 v. Colorado||35-30||Win||101||19 h 49 m||Show|
The Arizona Wildcats will venture on the road for the first time since their loss to Hawaii. Two solid wins in a row have still placed doubt on Arizona’s offense that has not looked like a Kevin Summerlin type. Yet their defense has rose to the challenge and gave Colorado quarterback Steven Montez troubles in last year’s contest. Grab Arizona to win the turnover battle and secure an ATS cover.
|10-05-19||Northwestern +7.5 v. Nebraska||10-13||Win||100||18 h 13 m||Show|
One of the biggest letdowns last week in college football was Nebraska. They faltered as steep home underdogs against the mighty Ohio State Buckeyes. This week they’ll get a chance to avenge that embarrassing loss as they remain at home against Northwestern. The Wildcats have looked sloppy at times but remain well coached. Look for Northwestern to have the edge and get the cover.
|10-05-19||Tulane v. Army +2.5||42-33||Loss||-105||14 h 7 m||Show|
One of the key early morning games will come between Army and Tulane. Both teams are well-rested with Tulane coming off the memorable thrilling cover against Houston. They’re capabilities offensively will test an Army squad that may still be without quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Expect a back and forth affair with Army gaining the pace and key stops late to get this cover.
|09-28-19||Ohio State -17 v. Nebraska||48-7||Win||100||2 h 18 m||Show|
The Buckeyes inexperience at quarterback has not hurt them one bit. Justin Fields has stepped in and took the reigns with no problem. In a big home spot for the Cornhuskers look for Fields to have the edge over Nebraska’s quarterback in Adrian Martinez. Grab the Buckeyes to continue to cover at a blistering rate.
|09-28-19||Stanford v. Oregon State +3.5||31-28||Win||100||22 h 55 m||Show|
The Stanford Cardinals free-fall has put them in unchartered territory. At 1-3 they’ve been blown out by double-digits in their last three games. They level of competition will be a couple of steps down for them this Saturday against Oregon State. Yet this is a chance for the Beavers to exact revenge for years of Cardinals beat downs. Grab Oregon State.
|09-28-19||Virginia +11.5 v. Notre Dame||20-35||Loss||-123||18 h 26 m||Show|
The Fighting Irish did not fall much in the polls after their competitive loss to the Georgia Bulldogs. Defensively they showed they are more than capable of contending with anyone on any given Saturday. Yet look for the challenge of slowing Bryce Perkins to be a different beast. Virginia may be prone to close games but that bodes to their advantage in this tough road environment. Grab Virginia.
|09-28-19||Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -27||16-55||Win||100||15 h 55 m||Show|
The Sooners and Texas Tech will open up Big 12 conference play Saturday morning. Both teams come in having had a full week of rest in between their last games on September 14th. Don’t expect the Sooners to have any display of rust. They’ll keep their octane offense and show enough improvements defensively to cover a nearly four touchdown spread.
|09-21-19||Colorado v. Arizona State -7||34-31||Loss||-120||24 h 21 m||Show|
Could this be de ja vu for the Arizona State Sun Devils? Similar to last year an upset over Michigan State led to a top twenty five ranking for the Sun Devils. This time around though they are not led by a senior quarterback. Instead they’re led by a freshman who the Sun Devils have kept under wraps in wins over Sacramento State and Michigan State. This week look for the Sun Devils to continue to lean on their defense and get enough from their offense. Grab ASU.
|09-21-19||Kentucky v. Mississippi State -6||13-28||Win||100||18 h 20 m||Show|
Comfort in a home schedule for the entire month of September did not bode to the advantage of Mississippi State last week. The game slipped away as Kansas State answered a score with a special teams touchdown. Saturday expect the Bulldogs to learn from that situation regardless of who is quarterback. Kentucky has looked the part with a cover over Toledo and nearly upsetting Florida last week. Expect this to be a reality check matchup with the Bulldogs succeeding.
|09-21-19||Auburn v. Texas A&M -3.5||28-20||Loss||-106||18 h 51 m||Show|
Saturday, Texas A&M finds themselves crunched with two top matchups over the next three weeks. Saturday they’ll face Auburn before they host Alabama in two weeks. This matchup is a rematch of one of the worst meltdowns of a team in-conference last season. Texas A&M let a sure win slip away in the final minutes by allowing two touchdowns in the final five minutes. Expect A&M to show pride this time around and get the win over a better Auburn Tigers team.
|09-14-19||Georgia State v. Western Michigan -8.5||10-57||Win||100||4 h 36 m||Show|
Saturday an odd matchup will take place between the Sun Belt’s Georgia State and MAC’s Western Michigan. Just two weeks ago the Panthers pulled off the biggest upset of the young season over Tennessee. That was nearly overrode last week in a close victory over Furman 48-42. Look for Western Michigan to take advantage of a poor Panthers defense and cruise Saturday
|09-14-19||Buffalo -5.5 v. Liberty||17-35||Loss||-114||22 h 12 m||Show|
The Bulls find themselves in a similar spot as a season ago when they were six point favorites on the road against Rutgers. This time they’ll face a Liberty team that has not shown the offensive flashes they did a season ago with quarterback Stephen Calvert. The senior has just one touchdown in two games with a QBR rating of 11.7. Although the Bulls are led by a freshmen quarterback look for them to have the edge and ATS cover here.
|09-14-19||Arizona State v. Michigan State -14.5||10-7||Loss||-106||20 h 17 m||Show|
A year ago Herm Edwards Sun Devils were able to stun Michigan State on their home field. It was the type of game that the offense did very little until the final window of the fourth quarter. That’s fresh in the minds of a Michigan State team that will have opportunities against a different caliber ASU team. Don’t expect them to let off the gas in this one. Grab Michigan State.
|09-14-19||Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State||31-24||Win||100||16 h 54 m||Show|
Saturday morning SEC’s Mississippi State will host the Big 12’s Kansas State. This matchup marks the third straight home game to begin the season for Mississippi State. Penn State quarterback transfer Tommy Stevens has looked efficient. Yet look for Kansas State’s pace of play to be a boost ATS here. Grab the full touchdown of points.
|09-13-19||North Carolina +3 v. Wake Forest||18-24||Loss||-110||4 h 3 m||Show|
The North Carolina Tar Heels will aim to go 3-0 as they travel in-state to take on Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons have shown a prolific offense scoring 38 points and 41 to begin the season. They’v also played both of their first two games on Friday. Look for a full four quarters of focus to continue to benefit the Tar Heels. Grab North Carolina.
|09-07-19||Stanford +3 v. USC||20-45||Loss||-100||25 h 43 m||Show|
Justified concerns exist for both Stanford and USC entering Saturday. Injuries to their top quarterbacks have cast doubt on the prospects of their season. Stanford showed in week one that their offense is going to be a work in progress all season, and this hit probably expands those worries. As much as people harp on David Shaw’s coaching style this is the type of game where he can lean on a structured balanced game plan. Grab Stanford.
|09-07-19||Nebraska -4 v. Colorado||31-34||Loss||-109||18 h 37 m||Show|
The Colorado Buffaloes showed strengths and weaknesses in their opening victory over Colorado State. Their offense is dynamic with multiple potent weapons in their backfield and familiar names at wide receiver. A plus for their quarterback Steven Montez is his best collegiate performance came against Nebraska last year in which he threw for 351 yards. Trying to replicate that performance and an up tempo game plan bodes to the advantage of the Cornhuskers. Grab Nebraska to avenge last year’s home loss.
|09-07-19||UAB -8 v. Akron||31-20||Win||100||14 h 7 m||Show|
One of the worst performances of week one came from the Akron Zips. They were blown out by an Illinois team that dominated from start to finish 42-3. Returning home for week two they’ll face a UAB team that struggled to beat Alabama State 24-19. Yet look for UAB’s dual threat quarterback Tyler Johnston III to keep pace on UAB’s side. Eventually look for the ground game of the Blazers to over power the Zips. Grab UAB.
|09-07-19||Ohio +4.5 v. Pittsburgh||10-20||Loss||-110||13 h 8 m||Show|
The first game to kick things off Saturday comes between the ACC Pittsburgh Panthers and MAC Ohio Bobcats. This is a familiar spot and number for Ohio who faltered a year ago against Virginia. Senior quarterback Nathan Rourke has never been a light it up type of collegiate quarterback but has the savvy to keep the Bobcats in this one. Expect a close competitive game where the Bobcats hold on for the cover in the fourth.
|09-06-19||Wake Forest v. Rice +20||41-21||Push||0||14 h 21 m||Show|
For the second straight week the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will play on Friday. Last week they had a thrilling comeback victory and held off Utah State. Now they’ll face a Rice team that had a disastrous 2018 season in which they finished 2-11. Offensively they did not show much in week ones loss to Army scoring just seven points. Yet they gained confidence defensively and should maneuver against a Demon Deacons defense that isn’t as strong as years past. Grab Rice
|09-01-19||Houston v. Oklahoma -23||31-49||Loss||-110||24 h 55 m||Show|
The Oklahoma Sooners will be in the Sunday prime time spot as they take on the Houston Cougars. Lots of changes have been made for the Houston Cougars as they brought in former West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen. Holgorsen inherits lethal dual threat senior quarterback D’Eriq King and a talented Cougars team that finished he regular season 8-4. Holgorsen’s familiarity of the Big 12 and Oklahoma could be a catalyst early for the Cougars. Yet expect the Sooners who have steadily improved defensively to push through for the cover. Grab Oklahoma.
|08-31-19||Virginia Tech v. Boston College +5||28-35||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
Virginia Tech and Boston College will kick off the first true conference matchup on the new ACC network. The Golden Eagles ended last season on a three game slide after starting the year 7-2. The Hokies will attempt to avenge last years home loss to the Golden Eagles. Similar to last year the point of the season for this scheduled matchup gives the edge to the Golden Eagles style. Grab Boston College
|08-31-19||Toledo v. Kentucky -10||24-38||Win||100||7 h 34 m||Show|
The Kentucky Wildcats will aim to take another big step forward after 2018s strong season. Minus running back Benny Snell the Wildcats will have a big void to fill. They’ll face a Toledo team that’s been ATS friendly and led by returning junior quarterback Eli Peters. Yet look for the Wildcats to put their imprint on this opener and get the ATS cover.
|08-30-19||Colorado State v. Colorado -12||31-52||Win||100||2 h 54 m||Show|
The Colorado Buffs were one of the more disappointing teams in the Pac-12 last season. Expected momentum off of prior seasons just did not happen. Quarterback Steven Montez’s struggles were well documented but he is a candidate to make one of the better turn arounds this season. In a battle of in-state teams look for the Buffaloes to pour it on and start the 2019 season off with a quality win.
|01-07-19||Alabama v. Clemson +6||16-44||Win||100||7 h 58 m||Show|
It’s another college football championship and yet another matchup between Clemson and Alabama. While Alabama has a lot of the same key pieces as prior runs, it’s Clemson that has modified their team. A true freshman quarterback and key upgrades defensively have them primed to stay in this game similar to their run with DeShaun Watson. Line detraction for the Tigers lies with suspensions on the defensive side of the football. Yet look for Dabo and his assistants to have a proper game plan in place. Grab Clemson.
|12-31-18||Northwestern v. Utah -6.5||31-20||Loss||-110||6 h 34 m||Show|
Conditions in San Diego are expected to involve rain. Throughout the year Northwestern was a darling ATS. Covering a plethora of matchups with late surges and underdog outright victories. Yet Utah is a team that has size on the defensive end to prevent Wildcats sustained drives. There offense is never great but look for key plays to lead to a spread clearance. Grab the Utes.
|12-29-18||South Carolina -4.5 v. Virginia||0-28||Loss||-107||14 h 9 m||Show|
Down the stretch we saw the Virginia Cavaliers fade. They lost three of four in a tough ACC conference, and it appeared quarterback Bryce Perkins wore down a bit. The Cavaliers offensive system puts too much of a burden on Perkins which is a heavy factor in the original point spread. Although South Carolina’s schedule doesn’t match Virginia they’re the right side. Grab South Carolina.
|12-28-18||Iowa State v. Washington State -2.5||26-28||Loss||-109||2 h 33 m||Show|
An aggressive line buy down has made tonight’s night matchup even more intriguing. Washington State will be the second bowl representative out of the Pac-12. It’s well known that the Pac-12 has been subpar and mediocre in bowl seasons of the past. Iowa State’s been a team that will fight no matter the scenario of their game. Yet look for Washington State to be able to counter Iowa State’s in-game adjustments to pull off the cover. Grab Washington State.
|12-28-18||Auburn -3.5 v. Purdue||63-14||Win||100||10 h 20 m||Show|
Seeing Auburn finish 3-5 in conference play was shocking. They’ll face a Purdue team that has rose to the occasion this year against top teams such as their win over Ohio State. Senior quarterback David Blough and the Boilermakers will look to replicate their upset last year as a small dog over Arizona. Instead grab the value on Auburn whom has the offensive and defensive balance to topple Purdue ATS. Grab Auburn.
|12-27-18||Vanderbilt v. Baylor +4||38-45||Win||100||5 h 34 m||Show|
Stumbling into bowl season is typically a recipe for disaster. Vanderbilt comes into tonight’s bowl with impressive late season wins in SEC conference play. That in itself is an ATS inflator with eyes on the impressive SEC. Look for Baylor’s quick strike offense and speed to keep them in this game. Grab Baylor.
|12-22-18||Buffalo -1.5 v. Troy||32-42||Loss||-110||3 h 33 m||Show|
The MAC for years has been a disappointment during bowl season. That has changed to begin bowl play and I look for that to continue this evening with Buffalo. An interesting angle for today’s bowl is that Troy is playing in their home state of Alabama. The MAC is one of the few conferences thats travel is minimal throughout conference play for away games. That presents value on a Buffalo team thats program is on the rise. Grab Buffalo.
|12-22-18||Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis||37-34||Win||100||14 h 54 m||Show|
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are one of a team that strangely became better minus their starting quarterback. With backup Kaleb Newman in the team has re-energized with upsets over NC State and a strong win over Duke. Although Memphis is tough to handle defensively for four quarters look for the ACC Demon Deacons to prevail ATS.
|12-15-18||Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State||13-45||Loss||-110||26 h 13 m||Show|
During bowl season the Sun Belt has done an outstanding job over the years. Appalachian State has stood out from the pack thanks to their superb regular seasons. They’ll look to finish off another great year against a Middle Tennessee team that lost two of their final three games. Yet Appalachian State’s methodical offense is an issue ATS. Grab the points here on Middle Tennessee.
|12-15-18||Arizona State +6.5 v. Fresno State||20-31||Loss||-110||21 h 51 m||Show|
Fresno State will look to finish off a solid year with a victory over a potent Arizona State offense. Arizona State is led by senior quarterback Manny Wilkins whom has done a solid job transitioning from Todd Graham. Still, ASU’s defense is going to have high problems against the Bulldogs offense. That’s where the tail end growth of ASU nixing a defensive strategy comes into play. Look for ASU to match the Bulldogs scoring and cover an aggressive line move.
|12-01-18||Texas +8 v. Oklahoma||27-39||Loss||-105||47 h 12 m||Show|
A revenge spot for the Sooners lies in Saturday’s Big 12 matchup against Texas. With a win and a Georgia loss the Sooners likely would make it back to the CFB playoff. Motivation to impress for the committee is certainly a spread uplifter. Instead look for Texas to play spoiler in more ways than one. The Sooners have been winning but they’ve shown plenty of weaknesses as of late. Grab Texas.
|12-01-18||UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -16.5||19-30||Loss||-107||47 h 7 m||Show|
For the first time the Sun Belt hosts a conference championship. As expected Appalachian State is back but will take on a veteran UL Lafayette team. A vulnerable element for a high spread is the fact that the Mountaineers haven’t been scoring many points in-conference. Instead they’ve relied on their defense and that’s where the value on Appalachian State lies. In four of their six conference wins they’ve allowed ten points or less. Expect much of the same Saturday and a cover.
|11-24-18||Colorado +13 v. California||21-33||Win||100||24 h 31 m||Show|
Two former top twenty-five teams have seen reversals of their seasons. California has turned theirs around thanks to improved defense and winning three of their last four. Meanwhile Colorado has dropped six straight while not covering any of those matchups. Damaging their season further was the firing of Coach MacIntyre, with him gone for Saturday the line has moved further up. Instead of looking at the Buffaloes dropping their heads look for them to play strong. They still have a chance to become bowl eligible and will put up a hard fought game.
|11-24-18||SMU -2.5 v. Tulsa||24-27||Loss||-125||20 h 60 m||Show|
The SMU Mustangs will have one last try to secure a bowl bid after faltering last week to Memphis. They’ll take on a Tulsa team that’s record is not true to their true capabilities. With a chance to play spoiler expect Tulsa to play with impact energy. On the year all four of their home losses were by close margins. That’ll continue Saturday and on a small number be key to an SMU cover.
|11-24-18||Syracuse +7 v. Boston College||42-21||Win||100||17 h 31 m||Show|
In key spots the Syracuse Orangemen have shown they’re still a few key position spots away from having the talent to be elite. In all likelihood they’ll be without senior quarterback Eric Dungey and have to rely on freshman Tommy DeVito. DeVito did not look prepared last week but has shown the capabilities to be an emerging quarterback. Look for Syracuse’s defense to be prepared off the embarrassing performance and boost the Cuse’s chances.
|11-24-18||Marshall v. Florida International +3||28-25||Push||0||17 h 30 m||Show|
Bettors are backing the strength of schedule of Marshall over Florida Internationals. Marshall faced Southern Miss in conference as the Panthers did not, they also had a non-conference loss to NC State. Returning from three of four road games the pressure is certainly on the Panthers. Look for them to respond
|11-23-18||Nebraska +8.5 v. Iowa||28-31||Win||100||11 h 37 m||Show|
Nebraska’s end of season conclusion in the right direction has one more stop Friday. They’ll travel to Iowa and take on a Hawkeyes team that is coming off one of the more dominating victories of the season. Last week they walloped Illinois 63-0 to improve to 7-4 on the year. The Cornhuskers will face a step up in class against the Hawkeyes in a road environment. Yet look for the line move to provide value on the underdog. Grab Nebraska.
|11-17-18||Arizona State v. Oregon -3.5||29-31||Loss||-100||24 h 19 m||Show|
There are few teams in college football that have got more out of their talent than ASU. There’s no doubt that Herm Edwards has had his team well prepared week in and week out. Now they’ll venture on the road to Oregon against a Ducks team that’s decimated with injuries on both sides of the football. That’s a big factor in the small line but look for the Ducks to be ready for the Devils simplified game plan. Grab Oregon.
|11-17-18||West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +7||41-45||Win||100||17 h 15 m||Show|
After the Cowboys faltered in the fashion they did one has to wonder their psyche for Saturday. They’ll face a Mountaineers team that has shown no mercy home or away and is primed to put on another offensive dazzling show behind quarterback Will Grier. Oklahoma State’s poor conference record has created value on them Saturday. Look for an enthused Cowboys squad that puts in a max effort. Grab Oklahoma State.
|11-17-18||Georgia State v. Appalachian State -28||17-45||Push||0||16 h 15 m||Show|
The fact that Georgia State has not been winning is well known at just 2-8. Yet they’ve been able to produce points within the conference. They’re averaging 31 points per game through six conference games. Yet Appalachian State has a size/speed advantage to limit the Panthers offense. Grab Appalachian State to cruise Saturday.
|11-10-18||Oregon State +24 v. Stanford||17-48||Loss||-107||48 h 31 m||Show|
After a stretch that featured three of four home games the Oregon State Beavers now venture on the road to take on Stanford. Thus far on the year Oregon State’s Pac-12 losses have all been by high-teens or higher. With a Stanford team looking for confidence one would expect this to be a boosting ATS performance. Instead the Cardinals issues are prevalent against any Pac-12 opponent. Look for Oregon State to take advantage in regards to a high number.
|11-10-18||Oregon v. Utah -3.5||25-32||Win||100||44 h 1 m||Show|
In a span of a week the Utah Utes went from a potential Pac-12 threat to back in the pack with everyone. The defensive schemes of Arizona State gave Utah huge problems as well as a broken collarbone injury to Nick Huntley. Undoubtedly the task will be tough for Utah starting a backup quarterback. Yet Ducks quarterback Justin Herbert has not been the same since a home win against Washington. Grab the home short favorite value on the Utes.
|11-10-18||Troy v. Georgia Southern +1.5||35-21||Loss||-106||40 h 32 m||Show|
For the first time the Sun Belt conference will host a conference championship this season. That’s a factor to consider in Saturday’s Troy vs Georgia Southern matchup. Over the years Troy has been one of the prominent Sun Belt teams along with Appalachian State, yet Georgia Southern has a chip on their shoulder after last week’s loss. Look for the Eagles to regroup on a number that likely would have been in their favor if they were still undefeated in conference.
|11-10-18||North Carolina +11 v. Duke||35-42||Win||100||39 h 52 m||Show|
A profiled team the last month for myself has been North Carolina. They’ve been a strange team for oddsmakers to figure out. On paper their talent does not match their record of 1-7. It’s been an under lying factor as they have not lost by more than ten points in four straight weeks. This is the week that ATS value is finally on their side as the Duke Blue Devils return home off of three of four road games. Grab the value on North Carolina.
|11-10-18||TCU +12 v. West Virginia||10-47||Loss||-110||39 h 31 m||Show|
Sometimes towards the tail end of a season you can get reverse value in key matchups. That’s the case with TCU against West Virginia. Off of West Virginia’s thrilling victory over Texas they have their sights on something special. Opposite TCU has struggled mightily at just 4-5 as Michael Collins has taken over at quarterback for injured quarterback Shawn Robinson. Their ugly one point win over Kansas State to end a three-game losing streak did not showcase any positives. Yet look for TCU to hang around as West Virginia comes back down to Earth.
|11-09-18||Louisville v. Syracuse -21||23-54||Win||100||44 h 18 m||Show|
Seeing teams make a big push in the polls late in the year does not happen. For the Syracuse Orangemen they’ve had quite a reversal after a near third straight loss at home against UNC. That game sparked them and they now have regained momentum offensively to match an under rated defense. Over the years they’ve had their woes against Louisville and the Cardinal have not shied away from running up scores. Victories in 2017 of 56-10, 2016 in 62-28, and 2015 41-17. Look for the Orange to give the Cardinal a dose of their own medicine as a heavy upper class Orange squad delivers ATS.
|11-07-18||Ohio v. Miami-OH +4||28-30||Win||100||18 h 42 m||Show|
Stand out successive wins have been the staple for the Ohio Bobcats. They’ve won three straight games by an average of 53 points. Defensively they’ve matched their potent offense by giving up fourteen points in each of those contests. They’ll face a Miami-Ohio team that’s been subpar offensively all season. Yet they’ve also had a road heavy schedule playing five of their last seven away. Look for Miami-Ohio to find balance defensively to keep them in this game. Grab Miami-Ohio.
|11-06-18||Kent State v. Buffalo -17||14-48||Win||100||4 h 53 m||Show|
The clear front runner in the MAC has been Buffalo. At 8-1 they’ve shown versatility each and every week. This started with a runaway victory as six point road favorites against Rutgers. They’ve also shown an uncanny ability to surpass the number ATS. Tonight should be another instance as the drop down in line value is centered on Kent States recent string of close losses. Grab Buffalo
|11-03-18||California +10 v. Washington State||13-19||Win||100||28 h 38 m||Show|
Week after week people have been betting against Washington State as the school reaches new heights ATS and in the polls never seen. Last week’s win over the Stanford Cardinal is the type of soaring victory bettors were waiting for. That is a climax season building win that has produced a double-digit line this week against California. Although the Bears have not been consistent offensively they’ve overcome their own adversity from a poor October stretch. Grab the value here on the Bears.
|11-03-18||Connecticut v. Tulsa -17.5||19-49||Win||100||24 h 50 m||Show|
Frustrations boil over on the field in competitive sports. Tulsa has been a competitive 1-7 team that just has not been able to clear the hurdle late in games. That was evident in a poor series of sequences last week against Tulane that cost them. Yet this week they’ll take on a UConn team that hung around against USF and had a chance to win against UMass last week. That’s a value indicator against them as Tulsa will have fun running up the score as they seek their first American conference win of the season.
|11-03-18||Missouri +6.5 v. Florida||38-17||Win||100||21 h 52 m||Show|
Each and every week Missouri has been one of the public/sharps circled teams that continues to fail ATS. This slide has been since their narrow victory non ATS cover in non-conference play against Purdue. An 0-4 SEC conference record has finally circled the wagons in terms of ATS value on their side. Florida is coming off a bad loss to Georgia that is a confidence shaker. Look for the Tigers to capitalize on the double-angle of Florida getting back in the win column and their 0-4 SEC record.
|11-03-18||Tulane +6 v. South Florida||41-15||Win||100||20 h 26 m||Show|
Tulane has been a puzzling team to figure out. One thing we know is that they step up in big profiled games. This is an tv network game against a South Florida team that likely feels a bit slighted not being ranked off a loss against Houston. Lets face it the storm heading USF’s way was seen for weeks with sloppy play. Tulane may be 3-5 but they’re a competitive team that knows how to stay in games. Grab the line value on Tulane South Florida aiming to get back in the win column.
|11-03-18||UTEP +1 v. Rice||34-26||Win||100||20 h 20 m||Show|
The battle of the two teams with a combined 1-16 record takes place in Conference USA Saturday between UTEP and Rice. UTEP had close outcomes against Louisiana Tech and North Texas before last week’s poor home performance against UAB. That’s created value against a Rice team that just can not hold up defensively. Grab the value on the road UTEP Miners.
|11-03-18||Georgia Tech -4.5 v. North Carolina||38-28||Win||100||17 h 8 m||Show|
Traction on devalued lines is key in any betting sport. Georgia Tech’s buy down is easy to see as they start a true freshman at quarterback for a second consecutive game. North Carolina on the other hand has played in games ATS in road environments against Syracuse and Virginia. Yet this is where the difference of style of play becomes a problem for the Tar Heels. Look for Georgia Tech’s explosive rushing attack to throw off any chance of rhythm for the Tar Heels offense.
|11-03-18||Michigan State v. Maryland +3||24-3||Loss||-110||17 h 53 m||Show|
Michigan State and Maryland both are seeking to become bowl eligible Saturday. Two of the last the last three weeks Michigan State has caught the eyes of the betting world with wins over Purdue/Penn State. Yet Saturday is a let down spot opportunity as Maryland side steps distractions around the school to become bowl eligible. Grab the Terrapins.
|11-03-18||Texas A&M v. Auburn -3.5||24-28||Win||100||17 h 52 m||Show|
Two teams at 5-3 in the SEC battle it out Saturday as Texas A&M travels to Auburn. With Auburn coming off a bye week oddsmakers calculated this spread originally at six. Yet Auburn’s not shown an ability to be trustworthy ATS which caused a two point swing. That’s too much buy down in an SEC matchup that has an A&M team showing signs of wearing down. Grab Auburn.
|11-02-18||Colorado v. Arizona -3||34-42||Win||100||28 h 55 m||Show|
Two programs in the Pac-12 that are trending downward are the Colorado Buffaloes and Arizona Wildcats. Three straight losses by the Buffaloes have put them in a tough spot on the road Friday in Arizona. Furthermore, keep in mind that Khalil Tate’s collegiate break through began against Colorado in last year’s 45-42 victory. Look for Tate to be as comfortable as he was in that matchup and UofA’s offense to continue trending upward.
|10-27-18||NC State v. Syracuse +2.5||41-51||Win||100||20 h 21 m||Show|
Over the years NC State has had Syracuse’s numbers winning outright in four straight. Quarterback Ryan Finley is the accurate deep ball quarterback that has exposed Syracuse’s aggressive defense year over year. Yet I believe we’re at the final stop of Syracuse’s ATS value after last week’s woeful performance against North Carolina. Sometimes a sloppy win over a poor team is an eye-opener. Look for Syracuse to finally hurdle their woes against NC State.
|10-27-18||Tulane v. Tulsa +1||24-17||Loss||-100||20 h 20 m||Show|
Certain teams fall just short and that’s been the case of Tulsa. On the year they’ve faltered to a 1-6 record. Their first five losses were close in margin until last week’s 23-0 loss to Arkansas. Now they’ll face a Green Wave team that market wise is still generating the residual affects of an outright win over Memphis on national television. Grab Tulsa to finally end their regular season slide.
|10-27-18||North Carolina v. Virginia -8.5||21-31||Win||100||14 h 41 m||Show|
Virginia is one of those teams with a winning record that leads you to believe a questionable conundrum ATS. Yes they’re winning but they’ve done so against the weaker ACC teams. They’re also not scoring a ton of points which is why this weeks line against North Carolina is smaller than one would expect. The Tar Heels nearly defeated Syracuse and I believe a sound Virginia team will be prepared to expose the poor Tar Heels defense. Expect gash plays that lead to touchdowns early and often.
|10-26-18||Miami-FL v. Boston College +4||14-27||Win||100||2 h 16 m||Show|
Sometimes value can be had ATS simply by waiting for further money to pound the wrong team. That’s the case in today’s ACC showdown between the well rested Hurricanes and BC. Switching starters at quarterback to Rosier for the Hurricanes gives them a boost ATS and for people that remember the hurricanes strong run of 2017. Yet look for Boston College to cover on the improper line movement.
|10-23-18||Troy -10.5 v. South Alabama||38-17||Win||100||5 h 2 m||Show|
Drop down line value exists in Tuesday’s lone college football action between Troy and South Alabama. South Alabama has not been a functional team in terms of wins and losses this year at 2-5. Meanwhile Troy has suffered a setback with quarterback Kaleb Barker out for the season. Fill in sophomore quarterback in Sawyer Smith struggled as they lost to Liberty in their last game. Yet look for a much more focused Troy team that should use their prime advantages offensively and defensively to run away from South Alabama.
|10-20-18||North Texas v. UAB -1||21-29||Win||100||22 h 3 m||Show|
A big game will take place in Conference USA Saturday, as UAB hosts North Texas. On the year already North Texas has passed two major tests with blowout wins over SEC Arkansas and also SMU. That’s created value on a UAB team that people are over looking. Most teams show a level of unfocused leading up to a big game. That wasn’t the case last week as UAB crushed Rice in not allowing a single point. Grab UAB to carry that momentum over on their home field.
|10-20-18||Oregon v. Washington State -3||20-34||Win||100||22 h 3 m||Show|
For the third time this season Oregon is featured in a small line matchup against a Pac-12 school. Coming off an outright home victory over Washington they have a chance to be the one-loss Pac-12 school to make some noise. Yet parity in the Pac-12 has always been a factor and historically Washington State has given the Ducks fits. Look for Mike Leach to have a proper game plan to take advantage of the Ducks speed. Grab the Cougars.
|10-20-18||California -7.5 v. Oregon State||49-7||Win||100||19 h 32 m||Show|
There is not a team in college football that has experienced the type of slide the Cal Bears have. They went from a viable ranked team to losing ATS and straight up against Oregon, Arizona, and UCLA. To lose the way they did against the Bruins a week ago shows a team that’s lost itself quite a bit. They’ll have a chance to wake up against an Oregon State team that still has know team identity. It may take until the fourth quarter but look for the Bears to show a small reason why they were formerly ranked.
|10-20-18||North Carolina +10.5 v. Syracuse||37-40||Win||100||15 h 53 m||Show|
Just three weeks ago Syracuse was a quarter away from being 5-0 and knocking off Clemson. They let that win get away and it carried over to a blown loss to Pittsburgh the following week. Post bye week one would think Syracuse has put aside the emotional let down losses. Yet in college sports one main turn in a season creates ATS momentum. Facing a 1-4 North Carolina team the value remains against the Cuse’. Grab UNC.
|10-13-18||West Virginia v. Iowa State +7||14-30||Win||100||22 h 8 m||Show|
Every test this season West Virginia has passed with flying colors. They blew out Tennessee and Kansas State as well as had a nice resume road win against Texas Tech. For Iowa State the unknown at quarterback may help give them the edge they need at home. Third string quarterback Brock Purdy sparked a win against Oklahoma State and has the intangibles to give West Virginia a true test. Grab the home dog Cyclones.
|10-13-18||UL-Monroe +7 v. Coastal Carolina||45-20||Win||100||21 h 8 m||Show|
Teams with winning records usually receive an upgraded edge ATS from oddsmakers returning home from a road trip. Out in the Sun Belt that appears to be the case with Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers return home to take on UL Monroe after a three-game road trip. Overall defensively UL Monroe ranks 127th of 130 division one teams. After giving up 70 points last week to Ole Miss the Warhawks enter their third straight road game. Grab the value on Monroe.
|10-13-18||Washington -3.5 v. Oregon||27-30||Loss||-105||19 h 39 m||Show|
The Huskies have been that familiar team in the top ten for the Pac-12 that have faltered to get over the hump. They’ll have a great chance Saturday in a tough environment against the octane Oregon Ducks. Oregon’s lone blemish on the season was a tough blown loss against the Stanford Cardinal. Off a bye week they’ll have the edge as far as preparation. Yet look for the Huskies defense to rise to the occasion and lead Washington to a victory.
|10-06-18||New Mexico v. UNLV -7.5||50-14||Loss||-125||19 h 15 m||Show|
The UNLV Rebels should benefit from a bye week combined with their early season strength of schedule. Losses against Arkansas State and USC both showcased the Rebels potential. Meanwhile New Mexico is coming off a poor loss at home to Liberty. That’s put UNLV in an unfamiliar spot as sizable favorites. It’s not a common thing to see which poses value for Saturday. Grab the Rebels Saturday.
|10-06-18||Arizona State +3 v. Colorado||21-28||Loss||-115||19 h 14 m||Show|
Colorado has planted themselves inside the top twenty-five with wins over Colorado State, Nebraska, and UCLA. All quality wins but also against teams that are not where they expected to be. ASU has had their down to Earth moments with consecutive losses to Washington and San Diego State. Look for the Sun Devils improvement offensively to give them confidence on the road against the Buffaloes. Grab the Sun Devils here.
|10-06-18||Buffalo v. Central Michigan +7.5||34-24||Loss||-105||15 h 15 m||Show|
Four straight wins from the Buffalo Bulls came to a screeching halt as they were dismantled 42-13 by Army. Now they’ll travel to take on a Central Michigan team that has a tough time getting things going offensively. Junior quarterback Tommy Lazarro has failed to throw for more than 155 yards and the offense is dependable. Yet look for Central Michigan’s defense to carry over the confidence they showcased in the first quarter and parts of the second half against Michigan State. Grab Central Michigan.
|10-06-18||Tulane v. Cincinnati -7||21-37||Win||100||15 h 15 m||Show|
The Bearcats will take on the Tulane Green Wave Saturday morning. Tulane comes into this game with sky high confidence after knocking off the octane Memphis Tigers in front of a nationally televised Friday audience. They’ll put the Bearcats defense to the test and will be a popular underdog to start off Saturday. Yet there are always undefeated non top twenty five teams that go under the radar. That’s typical in the American Conference and Cincinnati is a team that will continue to be undervalued ATS. Grab the Bearcats Saturday morning.
|09-29-18||Oregon v. California +2||42-24||Loss||-106||27 h 27 m||Show|
Oregon looked like a top ten team for three quarters against Stanford before the wheels fell off. Can a team respond the next week in a loss as such? It’s tough to do and I believe will be a difficult task against the Cal Bears. California already has two solid wins on the year against North Carolina and BYU and arguably should be favored in this matchup. Grab the home underdog.
|09-29-18||Virginia Tech +4.5 v. Duke||31-14||Win||100||24 h 53 m||Show|
Undoubtedly a poor loss is going to exponentially affect a team’s morale. Virginia Tech is in that boat after losing in all phases to Old Dominion. Compounding matters is the loss of their star quarterback in Josh Jackson. That’s going to put immense pressure on a Virginia Tech defense that must find a way to stop a high impact Duke offense. With their backs against the wall grab the Hokies to respond ATS.
|09-29-18||Arkansas State v. Georgia Southern +3.5||21-28||Win||100||23 h 48 m||Show|
A team that took some bumps a year ago with a freshman quarterback was Georgia Southern. Their woes were evident as they nearly went winless in Sun Belt play. They’ll take on an Arkansas State team that is well known outside of Sun Belt fans as being a solid ATS performer. Consecutive weeks of wins over Tulsa and UNLV would seem like indicators to prepare Arkansas State for Sun Belt play. Especially with three-year starting quarterback Justice Hansen under center. Yet grab the small line on the home underdog as Georgia Southern continues to show new dimensions compared to last season.
|09-29-18||Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3||26-23||Loss||-115||23 h 47 m||Show|
Eastern Michigan finds themselves in an unfamiliar spot as a favorite against Northern Illinois. Sometimes a strong schedule can be boosted too high. Northern Illinois has had that with losses against Iowa, Utah, and Florida State. That’s a value indicator for Saturday as Eastern Michigan is being devalued utilizing two quarterbacks. Grab the Eagles here.
|09-22-18||Arizona State v. Washington -17.5||20-27||Loss||-110||28 h 0 m||Show|
This number continues to go up and rightfully so. Senior quarterbacks often times have a chip on their shoulder against a conference opponent. For Washington’s senior quarterback Jake Browning has that against ASU. Former Sun Devils Coach Todd Graham had his number in disguised defenses that caused Browning’s problems. His freshman year they lost a 17-0 lead and lost 27-17. Last year the Huskies sustained a poor loss in Tempe 13-7. Ignore ASU’s early season success and grab the Huskies to roll here with no mercy.
|09-22-18||Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -3||30-28||Loss||-110||25 h 41 m||Show|
The Cajun Cajuns continue to have one of the worst defenses in college football. They’ll be put to the test against a Coastal Carolina team with a highly capable senior quarterback in Kilton Anderson. Anderson led an offense that rushed for 333 yards last week against Campbell. Yet look for the home Rajun Cajuns to match Coastal Carolina’s offense, in what should be a miniature Big 12 style result.
|09-22-18||Florida -4 v. Tennessee||47-21||Win||100||24 h 29 m||Show|
A yearly tricky ATS scenario surrounding Florida as a road favorite is their offense. Can they muster enough points in an SEC road environment? One result against SEC school Kentucky already showcased that an issue remains as the Gators lost 27-16. Yet a vulnerability for the Volunteers remains that they play to the level of competition especially in big games. Look for that issue to lurk again creating an ATS grab opportunity for the Gators. Grab Florida.
|09-22-18||Minnesota v. Maryland -2.5||13-42||Win||100||18 h 30 m||Show|
The Golden Gophers have been a juggernaut ATS to begin the season. At 3-0 they’ll face a Maryland team coming off an embarrassing loss to Temple. Yet sometimes a surprise loss creates carry over ATS value the following week. The Terrapins are never going to be a team that makes it easy, but they’ve grown due to the program issues of the off-season. Look for the Terrapins to cash as slim favorites.
|09-22-18||Ohio +8 v. Cincinnati||30-34||Win||100||17 h 30 m||Show|
A team that’s surely inflated their value ATS are the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Bearcats have toppled teams in UCLA and Miami Ohio as underdogs for outright wins. They’ll get their second MAC opponent of the year Saturday with a home matchup against Ohio. As great as the Bearcats defense has looked on paper, they’ve had the advantage of playing the right team at the right time. UCLA started a true freshman in Dorian Thompson and Miami-Ohio could not throw a wet ball in down pour conditions. Grab the road value here on Ohio.
|09-15-18||Arizona State v. San Diego State +6||21-28||Win||100||28 h 44 m||Show|
San Diego State’s value has continued to slide ATS. They opened the year with a dud performance against Stanford and followed that up by a two touchdown victory over lowly Sacramento State. Without their starting quarterback the Aztecs must try to contain a confident and now ranked Sun Devils team. This surge in Sun Devil value is not false but the number is. Grab the value on the home Aztecs.
|09-15-18||Texas State +10 v. South Alabama||31-41||Push||0||24 h 14 m||Show|
For years Texas State has struggled in the Sun Belt conference. They’ll take on a South Alabama team that has converted to a senior quarterback to lead them. The Jaguars have some talent on both sides of the football to cause problems to a vulnerable Texas State team. Yet, look for Texas State to do enough to cover this double digit number. Grab Texas State.
|09-15-18||Rutgers v. Kansas -2.5||14-55||Win||100||17 h 13 m||Show|
Kansas pulled away last week after a stunning upset the prior. Now they’ll aim to win in consecutive games as home favorites against the Big 10 Rutger Scarlet Knights. This is a team that appears to be in the right situation at the right time in Kansas. Rutgers has been down trending since their days in the Big East and American conference. Grab the value on Kansas to begin the day.
|09-08-18||USC +6 v. Stanford||3-17||Loss||-110||24 h 33 m||Show|
Key line movement that’s noteworthy early in the season typically results in tickets cashed for bettors. Yet I’m leery of that being the case for the Stanford Cardinal. They do possess the experience edge over the talent on the field for USC, but USC showed another gear in the fourth quarter against UNLV. This is a program that’s held itself back for a few years but has had Stanford’s number. Although Stanford has a few days extra rest over the Trojans, look for the value to be on USC. Grab USC.
|09-08-18||Cincinnati v. Miami-OH +1||21-0||Loss||-100||23 h 48 m||Show|
Cincinnati executed a proper game plan against the Bruins to pull off a double-digit outright road upset. Now they’ll head back to Ohio to take on a familiar opponent in Miami-Ohio. A rematch of last year’s 21-17 victory for the Bearcats. While many will boost the Bearcats from last year’s familiarity there are factors for caution. Miami-Ohio is a more fluid offense than the Bruins at this point and has a quarterback capable of carrying his team on his shoulders. Look for the RedHawks to avenge last year’s loss.
|09-02-18||Miami-FL -3.5 v. LSU||17-33||Loss||-102||50 h 0 m||Show|
Sunday, a neutral site matchup will take place in Arlington, Texas as Miami takes on LSU. No team free fell as fast as the Hurricanes did to close out the 2017 season. Three straight losses took them from a BCS contender to a team with questions heading into 2018. Accuracy struggles with quarterback Malik Rosier thwarted the offense. Now a senior look for Rosier and his Hurricane teammates to thrive against the SEC inflated LSU Tigers.
|09-01-18||SMU v. North Texas -4.5||23-46||Win||102||26 h 56 m||Show|
Saturday, SMU will be aiming to win their fourth straight yearly matchup against North Texas. None of the matchups have been close including last year’s 54-32 final. Yet North Texas showcased team growth last year with a 9-3 start. Consecutive losses to close out the year halted their momentum and has created value against an SMU team that has had their number. Grab North Texas.