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  RAPTORS @ WARRIORS

The Warriors were a 3-1 favorite to win this series, but they trail the Raptors 2-1 after losing Game 3. They face a must win situation here in Game 4, and they should get Klay Thompson back tonight. They will need to get off to a better start, and I expect them to jump all over the Raptors in the first half. The Warriors are 36-14 at home, and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. We saw Pascal Siakam struggle in Game 2 coming off an impressive performance in Game 1, and I expect that trend to continue in Game 4.

Take GSW.

    BLAZERS @ WARRIORS 

I bet on the Warriors to win Game 1, and they did just that. Portland suffered a let down coming off big comeback win in Game 7 on the road at Denver. Now it's the Warriors turn to suffer a let down, and I think the Blazers will come out fighting for their lives in the first half of Game 2. If the score is close at halftime, the Warriors will feel like they have Portland right where they want them. There isn't going to be the same amount of urgency early on for the Warriors as we saw from them in Game 1. I expect to see a bit of complacency set in.

Take POR.

 BLAZERS @ WARRIORS

The Blazers deserve plenty of credit for going into Denver and winning a Game 7 on the road, but they are likely to suffer a big let down here on the road in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final. While the Warriors won't have Kevin Durant, a Big 3 of Curry, Klay and Dramond was good enough to win multiple Championships. The Blazers are thin up front without Nurkic and a banged up Enes Kanter. Rodney Hood is also battling an injury. History favors the Warriors, as Portland is 9-22 ATS in the last 31 games at Oracle Arena in Oakland.

Take GS.

 SIXERS @ RAPTORS

Sure the Raptors are coming off a huge win in Game 4 in Philly, but I can't see laying 6.5 points here with a team that is relying so heavily on one player. Kawhi Leonard has been playing at a level comparable to LeBron James and Michael Jordan, but he's getting very little help from the supporting cast. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss, and I would expect a better game from Joel Embiid tonight. "I didn't have a good night; didn't sleep," Embiid said. "Was throwing up. I needed an IV at 6 in the morning. I tried to play and tried to get the win. Obviously, it wasn't enough. ... It doesn't really matter. Once I step on the court, I have to do a better job, no matter what the situation is." Embiid scored 33 points in the last game in Toronto.

Take PHI

    WARRIORS @ ROCKETS

Sure enough the Rockets won Game 3 to avoid being swept, but I don't think they have any chance of getting back in this series. Even the last game was a lucky win for the Rockets, who were out-scored 28-21 in the fourth quarter. The Warriors likely would have won the game in regulation if it wasn't for a few missed layups late by Steph Curry. If that's what the Rockets are relying on in Game 4, they are certainly in some trouble. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. They haven't lost back to back games since February.

Take GSW.

 ROCKETS @ WARRIORS

James Harden and the Rockets can complain all they want about the calls, but the fact is that they just have no answer for KD. Unlike Harden, Durant doesn't need any help from the boys in black and white. The Warriors failed to cover in Game 1, but they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors won 2-of-3 at home in last year's Western Conference Finals against the Rockets, and both wins came by double digits. The one game they lost was decided by just three points.

Take GSW.

   NUGGETS @ SPURS

The Nuggets came into this series with home court advantage and a far better regular season record. They matched up against a Spurs team with more playoff experience, and a head coach that has won multiple championships. Heading to San Antonio with the series tied 1-1 is a bit of a nightmare for the Nuggets. It's going to be hard to win games at San Antonio, where the Spurs boast one of the best records in the NBA. In fact the only team in the West with more home wins than the Spurs was Denver. The Spurs are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against Denver, and the Nuggets have failed to cover in five of their last seven at San Antonio.

Take SPURS.

                                ORLANDO @ TORONTO

The Raptors finished with the second best record in the NBA during the regular season, while Orlando clinched a playoff spot in their second to last game of the regular season. The Magic were just 17-24 on the road, while Toronto was 32-9 at home. There are going to be some surprises in the playoffs, but I don't think we will see any surprises in this series. Kawhi Leonard ranks 3rd in the NBA in win shares, behind only Jordan and LeBron. He's known to elevate his game in the post-season, and that's bad news for Orlando. I wouldn't be surprised if Toronto blows the doors off early in Game 1.

Take TOR.

                  HAWKS @ MAGIC

The Orlando Magic are a half game up on the Miami Heat in the Southeast Division, and they will need a win at home tonight against the Hawks to avoid falling out of first place. The Hawks have earned a handful of "feel good" wins lately, and some of those have come against some pretty decent teams. This game at Orlando is a little different though, as it might as well be a playoff game for the Magic. The Hawks have failed to cover in four of their last five at Orlando, and they are just 12-27 overall on the road this season. The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall.

Take ORL.

                     KNICKS @ MAGIC

With just a few games left in the regular season, teams like New York are giving their prospects a chance to play. The results are often a failure to compete with teams stacked with bonafied NBA starters. New York has lost 14 of their last 16 overall, and 10 of those 14 losses came by double digits. They face an Orlando Magic team tonight that needs to win this game if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Magic will likely crank up the intensity in a must win game, and we should see a blowout. The Magic have won seven straight home games, most recently winning by 21 points versus Philly.

Take ORL.

                   OREGON @ VIRGINIA

The Virginia Cavs were on the wrong side of one of the biggest upsets in the history of sports in last year's NCAA Tournament. They started off in similar fashion in their first game of this year's tournament, getting blown out in the first 10 minutes of their game versus Gardner Webb. They will be a big favorite here against Oregon, and the Ducks have played as well as anyone in the month of March. Oregon is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.

Take ORE.

                     PACERS @ THUNDER

The Oklahoma City Thunder snapped a four game losing streak with a big road win at Toronto, but went on to lose at Memphis in their next game. Now they return home to face the Pacers, and this is a crucial game for the home team. The Thunder are just a half game up on the Spurs for eighth place in the West, and a first round matchup versus Golden State is the prize for finishing in the eighth spot. The Pacers have failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at Oklahoma City.

Take OKC.

                    UCI @ OREGON

The Oregon Ducks were firing on all cylinders in their opening game against Wisconsin. They shot almost 55% from the field and hit nearly 50% of their shots from beyond the arc. They face a UCI team that they have had plenty of success against over the years. Oregon is 5-0 straight and up and 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus the Anteaters. Oregon has covered the spread in nine straight overall, and the Ducks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vsrsus the Big West. The Anteaters are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus Pac 12 teams.

Take ORE

                     WOFFORD @ KENTUCKY

The Wofford Terriers won their first round matchup versus Seton Hall, scoring 84 points and shooting over 48 percent from beyond the arc. I don't like their chances of doing that again here against Kentucky, one of the best defensive teams in the country. Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot just 38.8 percent from the field over their last five games. They held Albien Christian to 44 points on 32.1 percent shooting in their first round matchup. Kentucky is 5-0 in it's last five non conference games, and Wofford has failed to cover in five of it's last six versus the SEC. The Wildcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games.

Take UK.

8*

                       OREGON @ WISCONSIN

                       HALL @ WOFFORD

Every year you hear about all the upsets in the NCAA Tournament, and it never fails, there are always teams that pull off surprise results. Those are the games you hear about, while the majority of the games where the better team wins don't garner the same attention. While everyone is looking to back an underdog, it's easy to see why they would like Wofford. The Terriers (dogs) have won 20 in a row. and that has them pegged as favorites over a competitive team from the Big East. The Seton Hall Pirates come in as winners of four of their last five. Three of the four wins came against ranked teams, and their loss to Villanova in the Big East final came by a score of 74-72. Now they are getting a bunch of points against Wofford? Sign me up.

Take HALL.

           FLORIDA @ NEVADA

The Florida Gators are coming off a three point loss to SEC Tournament winners Auburn, and they have a resume of playing close games against elite level competition. They will be the underdog here against a Nevada team that lost 65-56 to San Diego State in the Mountain West Tournament. They lost twice to the Aztecs down the stretch, and they could be biting off more they can chew here against Florida. The Wolf Pack are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games.

Take FLA.

                   MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE

It's not easy to beat the same team twice in a season, but it's even more difficult to beat a team three times. The Spartans will try to beat the Wolverines for a third time this season, and Michigan is looking to avoid the sweep. This reminds me of a similar game in the ACC between Duke and North Carolina, and the Tar Heels couldn't get that third win over Duke. Michigan has been the better team in the tournament so far, and the Wolverines have now won a record nine straight in the BIG10 Tourney.

Take MICH.

                      FSU @ DUKE

I can't help but find Duke overvalued here in the ACC Final. While Zion Williamson has impressed since his return, scoring 60 points on 26-of-32 shooting in two games, it hasn't done much for bettors. The Blue Devils failed to cover against both Syracuse and North Carolina, despite huge games from Zion. You would have to wonder what the results would look like if he has an off game? There is an argument to be made that Florida State has been the better team in the tournament so far, and given a huge point spread, I'll take the underdog.

Take FSU.

                      ISU @ KU

For the first time in 15 years the Jayhawks failed to win the BIG12. Kansas can make a big statement here in the conference tournament though with a win over Iowa State in the Final. These two teams split the season series, but Kansas won the most recent meeting. The Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, while the Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games. Kansas comes into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six games, while Iowa State lost five of it's last six regular season games. I'll take the hot team playing at (almost).

Take KU.

                  DUKE @ UNC

The Tar Heels have already beaten Duke twice this season, but the public just loves Duke and Zion Williamson. After scoring 29 points (almost all spectacular dunks) in his return last night, Zion has Duke favored here in the rubber match. The fact is that Duke still isn't very good defensively, and they lost their starting center Marques Bolden in the last loss to the Tar Heels. I'll take the points here with North Carolina team that has already proved to be the better of the two teams.

Take UNC.

                     SYRACUSE @ DUKE

The Bookmakers might be disrespecting Syracuse in this spot. Despite splitting the season series, playing two close games, Duke is an enormous favorite here in the conference tourney. While Zion Williamson is expected to play, Maques Bolden is out and Tre Jones has been banged up all year. Zion is likely to be used sparingly, and his return might prove to be more of a distraction than a positive (at least in the short term). I'll take the points here with a Syracuse team that rarely gets blown out.

Take SYR.

                 ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS

The Memphis Grizzlies are no longer in the playoff conversation, and they have dealt away key players at the trade deadline. This team doesn't quit though, and they come into tonight's home game against Orlando as winners of three of their last four. Home wins came against Portland and Utah, while they won on the road at Dallas. Their one loss during that span came by just three points on the road at Oklahoma City. After proving they can go toe to toe with the better teams in the West, the bookmakers have them pegged as a home dog against a mediocre team from the East. The Magic have lost three of their last four on the road, and they are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Memphis.

Take MEM.

                DELAWARE @ CWM

These are two teams treding in opposite directions. William and Mary come into the Conference Tournament as winners of five straight. They have won three straight on the road. The Delaware Blue Hens come in as losers of four straight, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Tribe. The Blue Hens are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Tribe are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Take CWM

                            DUKE @ UNC

The last time these two teams played (a few weeks ago) the Tar Heels cruised to an easy win at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Zion Williamson suffered what might be a season ending injury in the opening minute of that game, and the Blue Devils have been in a bad way ever since. There is plenty of speculation that Zion suffered a minor injury, and despite being healthy enough to play he may choose to sit out and wait for the NBA draft. In addition to the Zion situation, Duke's primary PG comes into this game with a lingering injury as well. The Tar Heels are 13-2 at home, and they've scored an average of 88.7 points in those games. That's roughly 10 points more than Duke averages on the road. Duke didn't look anything like a #1 seed in a near loss to Wake Forest in their last game.

Take UNC.

                               TENNESSEE @ AUBURN

The SEC Title is up for grabs, but Tennessee will need a win at Auburn if they want to edge out LSU and Kentucky. Auburn is no pushover, boasting a 14-2 home record and a 10-7 conference record. The Tigers have lost five straight against ranked teams though, and they catch Tennessee at a bad time. Tennessee is 17-8 ATS in it's last 25 road games, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against Auburn. The Tigers have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.

Take TENN.

                   NUGGETS @ LAKERS

After watching how bad the Lakers have been since LeBron James returned from injury, it's amazing that the bookmakers can find bettors willing to back LA. Tonight's game looks like a particularly tough spot, as the Denver Nuggets are in town looking to snap a three game losing skid. The Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma, and it's plain to see that LeBron isn't interested. The Nuggets have covered in 16 of their last 23 games overall, and they are currently just a game and a half out of first place in the Western Conference. The Lakers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall.

Take DEN.

                          BULLDOGS @ VOLUNTEERS

Tennessee is coming off a huge 19-point home win over Kentucky, and they come into Tuesday's home game versus Missippi State tied for first place in the SEC with LSU. The Wildcats are just a game back, and any of those three schools could win the conference. I don't expect much of a let down here for a Vols team that is 17-0 at home. They have won six straight home games by double digits, and they have had a lead at halftime in all 17 of their home games. They had a 37-24 lead at the half in Saturday's win over Kentucky. I like the Vols to start fast and win big versus the Bulldogs.

Take TENN.

                       CLIPPERS @ LAKERS

                           MAGIC @ CAVS

The Orlando Magic are in a three way fight with Charlotte and Miami for first place in the Southeast. They come into Cleveland as winners of 10 of their last 13 overall. Cleveland of course is tanking, looking to rebuild with high draft picks. The Cavs are coming off back to back double digit home losses. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on 0 days rest.

Take ORL.

                            BC @ GEORGIA TECH

The Yellow Jackets may have lost nine of their last 10 overall, they are a solid home team. They are 10-7 overall at home this season, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The home team has won four straight meetings between these two teams. Boston College has lost seven of nine on the road, scoring an average of just 65 points in those games. The Eagles could struggle against a solid Yellow Jackets defense. Georgia Tech has held the opposition under 64 points per game at home this season.

Take GT.

                     RAMS @ LOBOS

The Rams have won three straight, while the Lobos have lost three straight. New Mexico though played two of their last three games on the road, and a home loss came in a close game to Fresno State. The Rams have lost seven of 10 on the road this season, and they are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Mexico. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and 0-3 ATS in their last 13 home games versus teams with a losing road record. This has all the signs of a let down spot for the visitors, and a "get right" game for the home team. I love the Lobos as a slight favorite at home in New Mexico.

Take UNM.

                      URI @ DAYTON

Rhode Island had lost five straight prior beating George Washington at home in their last game. Here is what I said about the Rams before their game against Davidson: "Rhode Island is really struggling, only scoring 54 points per game while losing four of their last five overall. The Rams are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss." The Rams are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road game. I like Dayton to win here by double digits.

Take DAY.

                           TEMPLE @ MEMPHIS

The Memphis Tigers might not be the best team in the American Athletic Conference, but they might just be the best home team. Memphis can sure score points at home, averaging an incredible 88 points per game. The Tigers host Temple tonight, and the Owls aren't big on scoring points. Temple will try to win with defense, but I expect them to struggle to keep up. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus team with a winning road record, while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.

Take MEM.

                       BOSTON @ TORONTO

The Celtics were supposed to be the team to beat in the Eastern Conference this year, but they come into Toronto sitting in third place in the Atlantic Division. They have lost back to back games, and they have a losing record (14-15) on the road. Home court advantage has been huge in this series, with the home team winning 10 straight since January of 2017. The Celtics are 0-7 in their last seven north of the border. If the Raptors win tonight, they will have an NBA best 26 home wins.

Take TOR.

8*

8*

                                  RHODE ISLAND @ VCU

The VCU Rams will host the Rhode Island Rams in Richmond tonight. VCU is in a first place tie with Davidson at the top of the A-10. They have won six straight overall, and they are 12-1 at home this season. Each of their last three home wins came by a double digit margin. Rhode Island has lost three straight road games, and five of their last six overall. Their last road game was a double digit loss at Davidson. The Rhode Island Rams are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings, and expect that trend to continue here.

Take VCU.

                VIRGINIA @ VIRGINIA TECH

The Hokies lost 81-59 at Virginia earlier this season, but they have covered the spread in five of their last six home meetings versus Virginia. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. Virginia Tech is 12-1 at home this season, and have held opponents to an average of 57.5 points in those games. Viriginia is coming off a 60-54 win at home versus Notre Dame, failing to cover as a 16.5 point favorite. They have only covered the spread in one of their last five overall, and they may be asked to cover too many points again here in a tough road game.

Take VT.

                                      ARIZONA @ COLORADO

An off season scandal may have taken it's toll on the Wildcats, who had been one of the elite teams in the PAC12 over the last 10 years. They bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game against Colorado. The Buffaloes have played well of late, winning three of their last four at home, and boasting a 9-2 record overall in Boulder.  The Buffaloes have scored an average of 82.7 points per game at home, while the Wildcats have scored just over 75 points per game on the road. Arizona is averaging less than 70 points per game in their last five overall.

Take COL.

                       MARIST @ MONMOUTH

The Monmouth Hawks got off to a rough start, only winning one game through their entire non-conference schedule. They are now 9-5 in the MAAC, but only 10-17 overall. The Hawks host Marist on Sunday, and the Red Foxes are coming off three straight wins. Monmouth has owned Marist in recent seasons, winning seven straight head to head meetings. The Red Foxes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Sunday games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.

Take MONM.

                     TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY

The Vols are coming into Kentucky as the #1 ranked team in the country, but they face a Wildcats team that has had a far tougher schedule. While Tennessee is 1-1 against Top 25 teams, the Wildcats are 4-2 in such games. Wins came against the likes of Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas and North Carolina. Kentucky was 13-0 at home until the lost a close game to LSU on Tuesday. They led 40-32 at the half in that game, and I expect them to get off to a good start here against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.

Take UK.

                          RED FOXES @ BOBCATS

The Fairfield Stags are 3-10 on the road, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They play at Canisius tonight, and they already lost to the Golden Griffins at home earlier this season. Canisius has been the better team in the MAAC, with an 8-4 conference record compared to the Stags at 4-9. The Stags are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Metro Atlantic Athletic. The Golden Griffins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.

Take CAN.