Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-22-25 | Pacers +7.5 v. Thunder | 91-103 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Pacers’ grit and resilience throughout the series. They’ve fought hard to win three games outright, and while their losses haven’t been close enough to cover the spread, their relentless, never-say-die attitude makes them a strong candidate to cover in Game 7. Given the intensity of a decisive game and the competitive nature of this team, this looks like good value backing the Pacers on the spread. This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
06-19-25 | Thunder v. Pacers +6.5 | Top | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Finals *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that a loss would end the season for the Pacers, and with their backs against the wall, we expect maximum effort. While the Thunder have won more than they've lost on the road, they’ve struggled to cover inflated spreads, especially in playoff pressure spots like this. This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
06-16-25 | Pacers +9.5 v. Thunder | 109-120 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Thunder were fortunate to cover the spread in their Game 4 win, and now they’re being asked to cover an even bigger number. Home or away, the Pacers have proven they’re not going away quietly. This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
06-08-25 | Pacers +11 v. Thunder | Top | 107-123 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that while the Thunder are unlikely to drop another home game after losing Game 1, this is simply too many points to lay in an NBA Finals contest. The Pacers are scrappy, selfless, and play with a relentless edge. With their never-say-die attitude, no lead is safe and a backdoor cover is always in play. This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
05-31-25 | Knicks v. Pacers -3.5 | 108-125 | Win | 100 | 40 h 60 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that it will be tough for the Knicks to bring the same energy on the road after leaving it all on the floor in Thursday’s home win to extend the series. Now back in Indiana, we expect the Pacers to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals, as they surely do not want to go back to NY for a Game 7. This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
05-29-25 | Pacers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 94-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Conf Finals *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Knicks' only win in the series came after erasing a 20-point deficit. The Pacers have clearly had their number, and with the Knicks down 3-1 in the series, a comeback feels highly unlikely. Even at home, we expect New York to struggle matching Indiana's energy and intensity. This is a 5% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
05-28-25 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | 94-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Thunder are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread at home in the postseason. With a 3-1 lead in the series, they can smell blood, and we doubt the Wolves can muster up much resistance. This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. | |||||||
05-26-25 | Thunder -3 v. Wolves | 128-126 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how well the Thunder have responded to losses in the playoffs, and the Wolves won't be allowed to take a big lead again. This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. | |||||||
05-24-25 | Thunder -2.5 v. Wolves | 101-143 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how dominant the Thunder have been through the first two games, winning 114-88 and 118-103. They've completely smothered the Wolves offensively, forcing tough shots and bad passes, disrupting their rhythm from start to finish. This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. | |||||||
05-21-25 | Pacers v. Knicks -4 | 138-135 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the home team won all three regular-season meetings, with the Knicks dominating at Madison Square Garden by scores of 123-98 and 128-115. While the Pacers impressed offensively in their series win over the Cavs, the Knicks proved they can bring the defensive intensity in their hard-fought series victory against Boston. This is a 4% play on the Knicks on the spread. | |||||||
05-18-25 | Nuggets +8.5 v. Thunder | Top | 93-125 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nuggets have covered the spread in each of the last four games of the series and five of six overall. Oddsmakers still aren't giving them the respect they deserve in a Game 7 that’s likely to come down to the wire This is a 5 play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
05-14-25 | Warriors +11.5 v. Wolves | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Warriors would have covered this number in three of the first four games of the series. Underdogs have performed exceptionally well against the spread throughout the playoffs, and we believe this line is inflated. This is a 5% play on the Warriors on the spread. | |||||||
05-13-25 | Nuggets +10.5 v. Thunder | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how well underdogs have performed in Round 2 of the playoffs, and the Nuggets are no exception. They’ve won two of four games in the series outright and are 3-1 against the spread. Denver also gave OKC trouble during the regular season, and this is too many points for an erratic Thunder team to be laying against a gritty Nuggets team. This is a 4% play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
05-12-25 | Wolves v. Warriors +5.5 | 117-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you factor in the adjustments Golden State made in Game 3, which allowed them to go toe-to-toe with the Wolves in a narrow 102-97 loss. That performance should give this group a confidence boost, and we wouldn’t be surprised if they steal this one outright. Either way, we’re happy to take the points. This is a 4% play on the Warriors on the spread. | |||||||
05-11-25 | Cavs -5 v. Pacers | Top | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the No. 1 seed in the East is still trailing 2-1 in the series, even after a dominant 126-104 win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday. The Cavaliers are a perfect 3-0 on the road this postseason, and with their backs still against the wall, we expect another focused and complete performance to even the series. This is a 5% play on the Cavs on the spread. | |||||||
05-10-25 | Wolves -5 v. Warriors | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced with the Warriors set to be without Stephen Curry once again—just as they were in the 117-93 blowout loss in Game 2. Without Curry on the floor, Golden State simply doesn't have the firepower to keep up. We expect Minnesota to overpower them again and take back control of the series. This is a 4% play on the Wolves on the spread. | |||||||
05-07-25 | Nuggets +11.5 v. Thunder | Top | 106-149 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA West *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how resilient the Nuggets were in Game 1, stealing a late win and showing they won’t go away quietly. With that victory, the Nuggets have now won three of the five meetings this season and bring a wealth of playoff experience to the table. We expect another tight contest in Game 2 and love getting points with the visitors. This is a 5% play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
05-06-25 | Pacers v. Cavs -9 | 120-119 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how fired up the Cavs will be after dropping Game 1 at home. We cashed with Indiana in that one, but this is a classic bounce-back spot for a desperate home team looking to even the series. This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. | |||||||
05-05-25 | Knicks v. Celtics -9 | 108-105 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider how the Knicks sruggled with the Pistons, who are far below the quality of the Celtics, in the last round. The Celtics are coming off a gentleman's sweep of the Magic, and their loss came by just two points. They outscored the Maring by almost 13 points per game and have dominated the Knicks all season. This is a 4% play on the Celtics on the spread. | |||||||
05-04-25 | Pacers +8 v. Cavs | 121-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Pacers just knocked out the Bucks in five games and have won three of four outright against the Cavaliers this season. Cleveland cruised past an overmatched Heat team in the first round and hasn’t really been tested yet, but this is a much tougher matchup. The Pacers’ tempo, spacing, and shot-making give the Cavs problems. This is a 4% play on the Pacers on the spread. | |||||||
05-02-25 | Rockets v. Warriors -5 | 115-107 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the Rockets emptied the tank in their Game 5 blowout to stay alive. Still trailing 3-2, they now head back to Chase Center where we expect a much sharper performance from the Warriors after a lackluster showing in the 131-116 loss, a game that wasn’t nearly as close as the score suggests. This is a 4% play on the Warriors on the spread. | |||||||
05-01-25 | Knicks +1.5 v. Pistons | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the spot. The New York Knicks still hold a 3-2 series lead despite dropping Game 5 at home, and this looks like a prime bounce-back spot. The Pistons pulled off a surprise win at Madison Square Garden, but asking them to replicate that effort back-to-back, especially against a more focused Knicks squad, is a tall order. This is a 4% play on the Knicks on the spread. | |||||||
04-30-25 | Wolves +6 v. Lakers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
David's 4% NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Lakers continue to be overvalued based on name recognition, but this Timberwolves squad has the size, youth, toughness, and defensive intensity that L.A. can't match. Minnesota has owned the paint in this series, and unless the Lakers find a way to counter that physicality, they’re in for another rough night. This is a 4% play on the Timberwolves on the spread | |||||||
04-29-25 | Pistons +5.5 v. Knicks | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
David's 4% DET/NYK NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Knicks have won the last two games by a combined three points, and the Pistons' win in the series came at Madison Square Garden in Game 2. The Pistons have a positive point differential over the last three games. This is a 4% play on the Pistons on the spread. | |||||||
04-28-25 | Cavs -8.5 v. Heat | Top | 138-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks way off when you consider the Cavs have absolutely owned Miami all season and haven’t given the Heat a sniff of hope in this series. With Cleveland eyeing the sweep, we’re expecting another wire-to-wire beatdown against a disheartened and overmatched Miami squad. This is a 5% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. | |||||||
04-26-25 | Cavs -5 v. Heat | Top | 124-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Cavs have won the last four meetings, and the change of venue does not justify this big of adjustment of the line from the first two games of this series at Cleveland, which the Cavs won comfortably. This is a 5% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. | |||||||
04-24-25 | Nuggets v. Clippers -5 | 83-117 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
David's DEN/LAC NBA *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the Clippers in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Clippers arguably deserved to win both games at Denver, and with a healthy Kawhi Leonard in top form the Clippers look good to take a lead in the series. This is a 3% play on the Clippers on the spread. | |||||||
04-15-25 | Hawks v. Magic -5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
David's Hawks/Magic NBA *BANKROLL BUILDER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The Magics' defense is miles better than the Hawks who are too reliant on Trae Young magic on offense to win games. This is a 3% plau on the Magic on the spread. | |||||||
04-13-25 | Mavs +3.5 v. Grizzlies | 97-132 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
David's 4% DAL/MEM NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Grizzlies are locked into the play-in no matter what, and the Mavs have a shot to even the season series. Memphis has dropped two straight and six of their last nine, and with an interim coach at the helm, it’s tough to trust them in a spot like this. This is a 4% play on the Mavericks on the spread. | |||||||
04-11-25 | Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
David's 4% Cavs/Knicks NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that although the Cavs have the Eastern Conference wrapped up and can afford to rest players, they're still fighting OKC for the best record in the league and trying to reach the 60-game mark. The Cavs just put up a good fight at Indiana last night and can do it again here. This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread | |||||||
04-10-25 | Cavs v. Pacers -9 | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The line may look a little odd, even appearing that the wrong team is favored. There is a good reason for that, the Cavs are resting all their starters, and have little interest in competing in the front end of a back to back. The Pacers have won five straight, and might be the hottest team in the NBA. | |||||||
04-08-25 | Bulls v. Cavs -11.5 | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
David's 4% CHI/CLE NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Cavaliers would clinch the top seed in the Eastern Conference with a win, and they've already recorded three dominant wins over the Bulls this season. This is a 4% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. | |||||||
04-06-25 | Pacers +6.5 v. Nuggets | 125-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
David's 4% IND/DEB NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering the Nuggets are just 1-5 ATS in their last five games, while the Pacers have picked up their scoring and won eight of their last 10. Indiana is playing with confidence, and this feels like a spot where they can keep it close—or even pull off the upset. This is a 4% play on Pacers. | |||||||
04-05-25 | Florida -2.5 v. Auburn | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 90 h 26 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% Gators/Tigers NCAAB *BEST BET* We really like the Gators in this matchup. The line looks mispriced, considering Auburn may have had too easy of a path to the Final Four to be fully prepared for what Florida will bring. The Gators got a wake-up call after being pushed to overtime by Texas Tech in the last round, and we think that experience will have them more ready for this showdown. After falling to Florida 90-81 in the regular season, Auburn fans better prepare for another setback. This is a 5% play on the Gators. | |||||||
04-05-25 | UCF +3.5 v. Villanova | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
David's 4% UCF/VILL NCAAB *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering how Villanova struggled with USC in their last game while UCF won 88-80 as an underdog at Cincinnati in their last game. Our numbers say that UCF is undervalued again. This is a 4% play on Knights. | |||||||
04-04-25 | Blazers v. Bulls -5.5 | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Blazers will play on 0 days rest off an win in Toronto and the raging Bulls come in off two days rest. This is a 5% play on Bulls. | |||||||
04-03-25 | Chattanooga +4 v. Cal-Irvine | 85-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
David's 4% CHAT/UCI CBB *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that although both teams have been money against the spread all season, the Mocs have shown time and time again how competitive they can be as underdogs. This is a 4% play on the Mocs. | |||||||
04-03-25 | Blazers -3 v. Raptors | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
David's 4% POR/TOR NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced considering that the Raptors lost lost after four straight wins while the Blazers ended a five-game skid with a 127-113 win in Atlanta on Tuesday. They'll be eager to build on the win and have owned the Raptors in recent seasons. This is a 4% play on Blazers. | |||||||
04-01-25 | Tulane v. USC -8.5 | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
David's 4% TULN/USC NCAAB *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Tulane has lost two starting players to the transfer portal, and that USC rarely disappoints as favorites. This is a 4% play on the Trojans. | |||||||
04-01-25 | Suns v. Bucks -6.5 | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
David's 4% PHX/MIL NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider this is a big revenge spot for the Bucks after a 108-106 loss at Phoenix a week ago, a loss that started a four-game skid. The Suns have lost three in a row since that win, and the injured Kevin Durant will not fly with the team to Milwaukee. This is a 4% play on the Bucks on the spread. | |||||||
03-31-25 | Clippers v. Magic +3.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
David's 4% LAC/ORL NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Clippers have been far better at home than on the road all season and fatigue could be an issue here on the second leg of a back-to-back situation and in their fourth consecutive game on the road. This is a 4% play on the Magic on the spread. | |||||||
03-30-25 | Tennessee +3.5 v. Houston | 50-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Cougars are coming off back to back wins in games that were a lot closer than they should have been. They missed their free throws against Gonzaga. and they couldn't put away Purdue. The Vols are the type of team that might give them fits. This is a 4* play on TEN. | |||||||
03-28-25 | Michigan +8.5 v. Auburn | 65-78 | Loss | -115 | 113 h 37 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Wolverines won their conference tournament, and the Tigers stumbled at the end of the year losing three of four games. They came from behind to beat Creighton in their last game, but the 12 point margin is a little misleading. It was a six point game with 1:39 remaining, and Auburn scored eight of the final 10 points. Johni Broome has averaged just 11 points per game in the tournament so far. This is a 5* play on Michigan. | |||||||
03-28-25 | Suns v. Wolves -6.5 | 109-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Suns have twice as many losses as they have wins on the road (12-24). Minnesota is well rested, and Anthony Edwards was able to play in Indiana on Monday. The Suns have had lost six straight in this series, and without Bradley Beal that trend is expected to continue tonight. This is a 5* play on MIN. | |||||||
03-26-25 | Bucks v. Nuggets -4.5 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Bucks come limping into town with a banged up Giannis and Damian Lillard on the shelf. Denver should have it's starting lineup intact, and there is nowhere tougher to play than at altitude in Denver when the Nuggets are healthy. This is a 5* play on DEN. | |||||||
03-26-25 | UAB +4.5 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Blazers have won back to back road games against quality opponents (Santa Clara and St. Joe's) while the Ant Eaters have played at home against lesser competition. Their win over Jacksonville State by a score of 66-61 was rather underwhelming. UAB was the highest scoring team in the AAC and boast a lineup loaded with seniors. We will take the points. | |||||||
03-25-25 | Hawks v. Rockets -8 | 114-121 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Hawks are 9-17 against the Western Conference. The Rockets are 100 percent healthy, while the Hawks lost Capella for the season and their current lineup is full of holes. The Rockets are 20-9 versus Eastern Conference times, and they have won 9-of-10 overall, and 6-of-7 at home. This is a 5* play on HOU. | |||||||
03-23-25 | New Mexico v. Michigan State -7 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Spartans are ranked #8 nationally by Ken Pom, 34 spots higher than New Mexico. Mountain West teams came into this tournament with a record of 26-53 ATS. Michigan State ranks 3rd in the BIG10 allowing just 67 points per game. | |||||||
03-22-25 | Drake +7 v. Texas Tech | 64-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Red Raiders failed to cover, and didn't look all that sharp in the first round against UNCW. Drake is a legit Top 50 team with an impressive non conference record. They play at the slowest pace in the country, and they should be able to hang with the Red Raiders.
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03-22-25 | McNeese State v. Purdue -5.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Cowboys almost blew a big lead against Clemson. As impressive as their first round win was, it's important to remember that the Tigers leading scorer was injured. This team was blown out by Gonzaga in the first round last year, and Purdue should prove to be a far tougher test than a shorthanded ACC team. | |||||||
03-21-25 | Troy State v. Kentucky -10 | Top | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 112 h 4 m | Show |
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Kentucky ranks Top 20 nationally according to Ken Pom, 78 spots higher than Troy. The Wildcats have covered in five straight games as a favorite. Thursday six teams were favored by double digits, and all six teams won by double digits. | |||||||
03-20-25 | McNeese State v. Clemson -7.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Cowboys coach Will Wade is leaving for NC State, while Clemson has signed their coach to an extension. Yes Clemson lost it's leading scorer in the conference tournament, but the #18 ranked team by Ken Pom is not a one man show. Their depth will power them past the Cowboys. This is a 5* play on CLEM. | |||||||
03-20-25 | Montana v. Wisconsin -16.5 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that Wisconsin is ranked #13 by Ken Pom, 148 spots higher than Montana. The Grizzlies don't have a single win against a Top 100 team this season. They better think twice about fouling the Badgers, who rank 1st in the BIG10 hitting 83% from the free throw line. This is a 5* play on WISC. | |||||||
03-19-25 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that LeBron is still out of the lineup, and several other Lakers are banged up. The Nuggets rested several starters in Golden State on Monday, but they still won outright. Westbrook had a triple-double, and he seems to be back to the form he was in prior to his injury. The Nuggets own the lakers, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. This is a 5* play on DEN. | |||||||
03-18-25 | Cavs v. Clippers +4.5 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that this is the first leg of a back to back, and the middle game of a 3-in-4 situation for Cleveland. The Cavs 16 game losing skid just ended at the hands of Orlando on Sunday, and public money will back them to get right back on the horse. This isn't a great spot for the road favorite. The Clippers are healthy, and they are winners of six of seven. The Clippers are 4-1 in their last five home games in this series. | |||||||
03-17-25 | Bulls -5.5 v. Jazz | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
We really like the favortie in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Jazz have lost nine straight games, they are playing the second game of a back to back, and Chicago is looking at a play-in spot. The Jazz starters played full minutes last night, and they may not get their regular workload tonight. | |||||||
03-16-25 | Hornets +12.5 v. Clippers | 88-123 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that the Hornets come in as winners of three of four. They have lost 10 straight to the Clippers, but have covered in four of the last five. This looks like a flat spot for LA with Cleveland on deck, and three games against top 5 teams coming up. This is a 5* play on Charlotte. | |||||||
03-16-25 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +4 | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The number looks a bit off when you consider that both these teams played games decided by 3 points or less on Saturday. The Wolverines swept the season series, and they are 5-1 in the last six versus Wisconsin. The games have been close, so the point spread could come into play here. | |||||||
03-15-25 | Knicks v. Warriors -6.5 | 94-97 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little off when you consider that the Knicks are without their leading scorer Jalen Brunson. The Dubs are 12-1 with Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and Jimmy has a personal grudge against Karl Anthony Towns, who was a teammate briefly in Minnesota. Jimmy owns KAT, and the Dubs should own the Knicks tonight. This is a 5* play on the GSW. | |||||||
03-13-25 | Lakers v. Bucks -6 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Lakers are crushed by injuries, and it's unclear if Luka will even play. LeBron is on the shelf for a few weeks and Austin Reaves is the only healthy starter right now. The Bucks appear to be healthy as both Giannis and Dame are listed as probable. | |||||||
03-11-25 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +4 | Top | 58-51 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
We really like the Underdog in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that these teams have already played twice this season, and St. Mary's won both games. Their win at Gonzaga in the most recent meeting was even more convincing than the previous game at home. They also won 2 of 3 meetings last year, including the WCC Tournament Final. A clear case of a false favorite here. This is a 10* play on SMC. | |||||||
03-03-25 | Pistons v. Jazz +10 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Jazz rested all their starters last night, and should have fresh legs tonight at home versus Detroit. As well as the Pistons have been playing, the Jazz have been competitive as well. History favors Utah, as the Jazz are 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings. Utah is just 3-5 SU in their last eight, but they are 6-2 ATS in those games. | |||||||
02-27-25 | William & Mary v. Towson -5.5 | Top | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Tribe are just 4-10 on the road. Towson is now in first place in the CAA, and they are 10-1 on their home floor. William & Mary are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Towson has won 13 of their last 14 games overall, and they are 5-1 in their last six versus William and Mary. | |||||||
02-25-25 | Mavs v. Lakers -7.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that these teams just traded superstars, and the Mavs got a banged up AD that is now out for the season. Luka scored 32 in a win over Denver in his last game. This is a 5* play on LAKERS. | |||||||
02-21-25 | Kent State v. Miami-OH | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a off when you consider that the Red Hawks are 12-1 at home, and undefeated in the MAC at home. Miami-Ohio are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games, and are coming off back to back road losses. This is a back to back road game for the Golden Flashes. | |||||||
02-20-25 | Lakers -4.5 v. Blazers | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 113 h 22 m | Show | |
We really like the road favorite in this matchup. The price looks a little off when you consider that the Lakers have owned Portland, winning seven of the last eight meetings. This is a clear case of rust versus rest. It's the second game of a back to back for the Lakers, but it's the first game after a long layoff for the Blazers. Based on the shooting in LA last night, we might conclude it's an advantage to have at least a game under your belt coming out of the break.
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02-15-25 | Troy State v. Arkansas State -5.5 | Top | 71-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Red Wolves are the best team in the Sun Belt. They have the edge in experience with a starting lineup full of Seniors. Arkansas State are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home and they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Troy are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Arkansas State
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02-14-25 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee -5.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Panthers are 9-2 at home while the Raiders have lost 8 of 11 on the road. The Panthers won by 16-points at Wright State just a few weeks ago. The Panthers are ranked 45 spots higher than Wright State in Ken Pom's national rankings. | |||||||
02-13-25 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 60-61 | Push | 0 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Tribe are undefeated at home this season with a 10-0 record. Hofstra comes in as losers of 6 of 10 road games. The Tribe rarely win on the road, but won by 18-points at Hofstra in January. | |||||||
02-12-25 | Warriors -4.5 v. Mavs | 107-111 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
We really like the road favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Mavs are dealing with injuries to several key players, and still reeling from the trade that sent Luka to LA for an over the hill AD. The Dubs are surging since adding Jimmy Butler. | |||||||
02-11-25 | Pittsburgh v. SMU -4.5 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Mustangs lead the ACC in scoring averaging 83 points per game. Pitt has lost four of their last five road games, with the win coming at Syracuse. The Mustangs are 10-3 at home.
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02-10-25 | Wolves v. Cavs -8 | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The number looks a little low when you consider that the Cavs own the best record in the Eastern Conference, and they are 33-19 ATS on the season. The Cavs are 6-1 SU in their last seven overall, and 3-0 ATS at home during that span.
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02-08-25 | Coastal Carolina v. Bowling Green -4.5 | 53-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
We really like the home favorite in this matchup. The line looks a little low when you consider that Coastal Carolina is ranked 325th nationally by Ken Pom, and they are 2-11 on the road. They are in danger of losing a 10th consecutive game here today. They are dead last in the Sun Belt with a 1-11 conference record.
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02-07-25 | St. John's +3 v. Connecticut | Top | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Johnnies have only lost 1 game by just 1 point in 12 conference games in the Big East this season. They have lost three games overall by a combined 5 points. UCONN is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. | |||||||
02-06-25 | Rockets +1.5 v. Wolves | 114-127 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Rockets are desperate to snap a four game losing streak. Minnesota is coming off a big win and will be playing the second game of a back to back. This is a revenge spot after Houston lost 113-112 at home to Minnesota in December.
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02-06-25 | St. Thomas +5 v. South Dakota State | Top | 86-102 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Tommies are 8-1 in the conference, and they have already beaten South Dakota State. They also have a road win at North Dakota State. It actually looks like this might be a case of the wrong team favored. | |||||||
02-05-25 | Illinois v. Rutgers +8 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Scarlet Knights only lost by three points at home to Michigan their last time out, and that came after a road win at Northwestern and a 7-point home loss to Michigan State. | |||||||
02-05-25 | Cavs v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
We really like the home underdog in this matchup. The line looks inflated when you consider that the Cavs are playing on back to back nights, coming off a home loss to the defending champs. This clearly sets them up for an emotional let down just 24 hrs later on the road.
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02-02-25 | Bulls v. Pistons -5 | Top | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
David's Top-rated NBA East *GAME OF THE YEAR* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bulls are in a tough spot playing their third straight and sixth of eight on the road and off an upset win in Toronto while the Pistons opened a six-game homestand with a dominant win over Dallas Friday night. This is a 5% play on the Pistons on the spread. | |||||||
02-02-25 | Robert Morris v. Wright State -2.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NCAAB *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that this could be a trap game for Robert Morris after six consecutive wins and covers against the spread, a run that started with a 75-72 win over Wright State on Jan 12. Tonight, the Raiders get their revenge. This is a 5% play on the Raiders on the spread. | |||||||
02-01-25 | Nuggets v. Hornets +14 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
David's 4% Nuggets/Hornets NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that while Denver’s offense was clicking in Philly last night, their defense remains a major liability. The Nuggets have covered just once in their last five games, while Charlotte, despite its struggles, has shown fight. With Denver’s shaky defense and a massive spread to cover, the Hornets are the right side. This is a 4% play on the Hornets on the spread. | |||||||
02-01-25 | Magic -5 v. Jazz | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the Suns in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that although the Magic have struggled with disappointing losses recently, a matchup against a struggling Jazz team is a prime opportunity to get back on track. This is also a revenge spot for Orlando after a 105-92 home loss to Utah last month, but this time, they’ll have Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero healthy. This is a 5% play on the Magic on the spread. | |||||||
01-31-25 | Nuggets -9 v. 76ers | 137-134 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
David's 4% Nuggets/76ers NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nuggets head to Philly with a sour taste in their mouth after three straight losses. The Sixers have managed four upsets in a row despite missing key players, but they can’t keep overachieving forever. Back Denver in a prime bounce-back spot. This is a 4% play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
01-30-25 | Magic -5 v. Blazers | Top | 90-119 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that it's about time for the Magic to go on a run with their star players back in the mix and the Blazers are overvalued after a string of upsets. This is a 5% play on the Magic on the spread. | |||||||
01-30-25 | Rockets +5 v. Grizzlies | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
David's 4% Rockets/Grizzlies NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that while both teams are on a strong run, the quality of the competition tells a different story. The Rockets' surge includes wins over elite teams like Cleveland (twice), Boston, and Denver, proving they can compete at the highest level. This is a 4% play on the Rockets on the spread. | |||||||
01-29-25 | Nets v. Hornets -3 | 104-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
David's 4% Nets/Hornets NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the Nets' lack of form (and talent). The Hornets are 0-4 ATs as favorites on the season, which makes them undervalued in this matchup. This is a 4% play on the Hornets on the spread. | |||||||
01-28-25 | Bucks -5.5 v. Blazers | 112-125 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
David's 4% Bucks/Blazers NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by the Blazers 5-0 run against the spread, but we think this is an overreaction. The Bucks are also coming in hot, but unlike the Blazers, that's what you should expect from a team of their caliber. Now its the time to fade the suddenly overachieving Trail Blazers. This is a 4% play on the Bucks on the spread. | |||||||
01-26-25 | Thunder -12.5 v. Blazers | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
David's 4% Thunder/Blazers NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Thunder have failed to cover in back-to-back games and even lost outright to Dallas on Thursday. That should have them fired up, and on two days rest and coming off a loss, expect OKC to lay down the hammer tonight. This is a 4% play on the Thunder on the spread. | |||||||
01-25-25 | Nuggets -4 v. Wolves | Top | 104-133 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA West DEN/MIN *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Nuggets are playing their best basketball of the season while the Wolves have struggled to live up to expectations all season, and even more so in recent games. This is a 5% play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
01-24-25 | Cavs -10 v. 76ers | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% Cavs/76ers NBA East *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Cavaliers are looking to recover from a disappointing loss in Houston. With both Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond sidelined for Philly, the 76ers are likely to struggle containing the Cavs' dominant big men, making this a favorable spot for Cleveland. This is a 5% play on the Cavaliers on the spread. | |||||||
01-23-25 | Blazers +8.5 v. Magic | 101-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
David's 4% Blazers/Magic NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Blazers are playing their best basketball of the season, coming off back-to-back wins, while the never-healthy Magic can't catch a break. This is a 4% play on the Blazers on the spread. | |||||||
01-22-25 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NCAAB *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by the Aggies 0-3 run against the spread while Ole Miss has covered in five straight games, but the Rebels have been covering as underdogs, so this will be an unfamiliar role for them, asked to cover as favorites. This is a 5% play on the Aggies on the spread. | |||||||
01-20-25 | Celtics -8.5 v. Warriors | Top | 125-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% BOS/GSW NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Celtics are coming off a loss to Atlanta, and they typically rebound with strong outings after a loss, and although the Warriors are coming off a pair of wins, they've struggled with consistency most of the season. This is a 5% play on the Celtics on the spread. | |||||||
01-19-25 | Bulls -4 v. Blazers | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA Non-conference *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bulls are undervalued after dropping four straight games. However, they face a weak Blazers team lacking depth and playing on no rest, which sets up a mismatch that favors the more rested road team. This is a 5% play on the Bulls on the spread. | |||||||
01-19-25 | Nuggets -6 v. Magic | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
David's 4% Nuggets/Magic NBA *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that although the Magic are getting healthier week by week, they're still shorthanded and not up to par with a well-oiled winning machine like the Nuggets. This is a 4% play on the Nuggets on the spread. | |||||||
01-18-25 | Rockets -11 v. Blazers | Top | 125-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
David's Top-rated HOU/POR NBA West *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Rockets had won five straight before losing as underdogs in Sacramento on Thursday. The Rockets are 17-10 against the spread as favorites, and this is a revenge spot after losing the second game of a back-to-back set against Portland on Nov 22-23. This is a 5% play on the Rockets on the spread. | |||||||
01-17-25 | Magic v. Celtics -11.5 | Top | 94-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NBA East *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider the Magic's injury situation and that this is a big revenge game for Boston after a shocking 108-104 loss in Orlando on December 23. This is a 5% play on the Celtics on the spread. | |||||||
01-16-25 | UC-Davis +3.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 65-54 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% NCAAB Big West *GAME OF THE MONTH* We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by UC Davis' 84-73 loss as a 5.5-point favorite against Long Beach State on Saturday, but Cal Poly was on an 0-8 run against the spread before covering just barely in a 75-72 loss to UCSB in its last game. This is a 5% play on UC Davis on the spread. | |||||||
01-15-25 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
David's Top-rated 5% Mavs/Pels NBA West *GAME OF THE WEEK* We really like the Pelicans in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that this line is highly influenced by the Pelicans' slow start due to injuries. They're getting healthier, though, and have won four of their last seven games, and the Mavs are also dealing with injuries. This is a 5% play on the Pelicans on the spread. | |||||||
01-15-25 | Indiana State v. Bradley -7.5 | 65-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
David's 4% Indiana State/Bradley NCAAB *MAJOR WAGER* We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line is highly influenced by Bradley's 0-5 run against the spread, but they've been grinding out close wins (8-2 straight up L10) and a breakout game is imminent. This is a 4% play on Bradley on the spread. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
John Ryan | $1,892 |
Oliver Smith | $1,564 |
Jimmy Boyd | $1,408 |
Bobby Conn | $1,148 |
Bobby Wing | $1,076 |
Matt Fargo | $860 |
Michael Alexander | $622 |
Marc Lyle | $606 |
Calvin King | $577 |
Nick Parsons | $559 |