09-03-19 |
Storm v. Mercury UNDER 152.5 | Top | 82-70 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (649) and the Phoenix Mercury (650). THE SITUATION: Seattle (16-15) snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 92-75 win over Atlanta as an 8.5-point favorite. Phoenix (15-16) saw their two-game losing streak snapped on Sunday with their embarrassing 105-78 loss at Chicago as a 4.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Seattle has played 14 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. The Under is also 13-3-1 in the Storm’s last 17 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 9 games after scoring at least 80 points, Seattle has played all 9 games Under the Total. The reigning WNBA champions made 58.5% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting effort in their last twenty-six games. Regression on the offensive end of the court tonight is very likely as the Storm rank 9th in the twelve-team league in Offensive Efficiency — and they are 10th in the WNBA in Offensive Efficiency over their last ten games. Seattle goes back on the road where they are making just 41.8% of their shots. The Under is 12-5-1 in the Storm’s last 18 games on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total with the number set at 150 or higher. Seattle has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Phoenix will be focused on playing better on the defensive end of the court after allowing Chicago to make 50.6% of their shots in what was the worst defensive performance in their last twelve games. The Mercury have played 30 of their last 41 home games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 50% of their shots. Phoenix has also played 8 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Mercury return home where they limit their opponents to just 41.2% shooting from the field — and they have still held their last five opponents to just 40.3% shooting while ranking 5th best in the league in Defensive Efficiency during that span. Additionally, Phoenix has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Mercury have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when listed as the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Seattle and Phoenix remain in 7th and 8th place in the standings to determine the eight playoffs teams later this month — so this contest matters significantly to both teams. The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams — and these two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings in Phoenix Under the Total. 25* WNBA ESPN2 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (649) and the Phoenix Mercury (650). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
08-11-19 |
Sun v. Aces UNDER 160.5 | | 81-89 |
Loss | -108 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Sun (607) and the Las Vegas Aces (608). THE SITUATION: Connecticut (16-7) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 89-57 upset loss at Minnesota as a 3-point favorite. Las Vegas (15-8) has lost two of their last three games with their 87-84 upset loss to Chicago as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sun have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Connecticut has played 7 straight games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss by at least 10 points — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The Suns have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Head coach Curt Miller will want his team focusing on defense after allowing the Lynx to make 53.7% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort of the season. Connecticut stays on the road where they limit their hosts to shooting just 37.8% from the field. The Suns have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total as an underdog. Connecticut has also played 6 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. Head coach Bill Laimbeer will also likely be stressing defense after his team’s upset loss at home on Friday. Last Vegas held the Sky to 42.9% shooting but that was still the worst defensive performance in their last five games. The Aces stay at home where they limit their opponents to just 37.9% shooting. The Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Aces have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. And while Las Vegas has scored at least 75 points in two straight games, they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. The Aces have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 4-0-1 in Las Vegas’ last 5 games when playing with one day of rest.
FINAL TAKE: The Aces are tops in the WNBA in Defensive Rating with the Sun ranking third in the league in that metric — and both teams hold those same spots in the Defensive Rating numbers over their last ten games. These two teams have also played 9 of their last 12 encounters Under the Total when playing in Las Vegas. 10* WNBA Connecticut-Las Vegas ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Sun (607) and the Las Vegas Aces (608). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
08-04-19 |
Storm v. Sparks UNDER 151 | Top | 75-83 |
Loss | -103 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
At 5:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (635) and Los Angeles Sparks (636). THE SITUATION: Seattle (12-10) has lost two straight games after their 99-79 loss to Washington on Friday as a 5-point underdog. Los Angles (12-8) has their last two games as well as five of their last six contests with their 76-68 win over Las Vegas on Thursday as a 1.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Storm played their worst defensive game of the season on Friday as they allowed the Mystics to nail 54.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed in 2019. Head coach Dan Hughes will certainly get on his team to play better on the defensive end of the court tonight. As it is, Seattle has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 50% of their shots from the field. The Storm has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The reigning WNBA champions are one of the best defensive teams in the league this season even without Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird who have not played this year due to their respective injuries. Seattle is 3rd in the WNBA with a Defensive Rating of 95.2 — and they hold their home hosts to just 41.7% shooting. The Storm made 40% of their shots agent the Mystics which may not sound much like but it was their best shooting mark in their last three games. Seattle has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last game — and they may be without forward Kaleena Mosquera-Lewis who is questionable with a knee injury. That game with the Mystics flew over the 158 point Total on Thursday but the Storm have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Under is also 17-4-1 in Seattle’s last 22 games played with one day of rest. The Storm go back on the road they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Under is 22-3-2 in Seattle’s last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Storm have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total as the underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. The Sparks have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. LA’s 42.3% shooting percentage on Thursday was their worst shooting effort in their last three games — but they have played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total after making at least 42% of their shots in three straight games. The Sparks will be understaffed in this game with Alana Beard out with a hamstring injury, Riquina Williams still serving her ten-game suspension and Nneka Ogwunmike listed as questionable with a jaw injury. Los Angeles stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 37 of their last 52 games — and they have played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total as the favorite. The Sparks have also played 11 of their last 12 home games Under the Total when favored by 6.5 to 9 points. Look for LA to lean on their defense that has been bolstered by the return of Candace Parker in the middle. Over their last ten games, the Sparks’ Defensive Rating of 92.4 is second best in the WNBA — and they have held their last five opponents to just 37.9% shooting from the field. The Under is 20-6-2 in Los Angeles’ last 28 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Sparks will be motivated to avenge an 84-62 upset loss at Seattle where they allowed the Storm to nail 14 of their 26 shots from behind the arc for a sizzling 53.8% percentage. Los Angeles has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. The Under is 38-11-3 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams — and the Under is 21-6-2 in the last 29 battles taking place in Los Angeles. 25* WNBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (635) and Los Angeles Sparks (636). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
08-03-19 |
Aces v. Wings UNDER 147 | Top | 75-70 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (631) and the Dallas Wings (632). THE SITUATION: Las Vegas (14-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 76-68 loss in Los Angeles against the Sparks as a 1.5-point underdog. Dallas (6-15) snapped their six-game losing streak on Thursday with their 87-64 upset victory over New York as a 1.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wings made 46.9% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. But Dallas is still making only 36.5% of their shots over their last five games so regression from that outlier effort against the Liberty is likely. The Wings’ 90.4 Offensive Rating is the second-lowest in the WNBA. The Wings have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Their victory over New York finished below the 151 point total — and they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished below the number. Dallas stays at home where the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 140 or higher. The Wings hold their visitors to just 39.1% shooting on their home court. Dallas has also held their last five opponents to just 37.6% shooting from the field. The Wings have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total as the underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Las Vegas has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Aces allowed Los Angeles to shoot 42.3% from the field which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed in their last three games. Las Vegas still leads the WNBA with a Defensive Rating of 88.9 under head coach Bill Laimbeer who has instilled a commitment to defense that is reminiscent of his old Bad Boys’ teams as a member of the Detroit Pistons. The Aces have played 18 of their last 25 road games Under the Total after allowing at least 75 points in their last game. Las Vegas holds their home hosts to just 38.3% shooting from the field — and they have still held their last five opponents to just 35.9% shooting from the field. The Aces have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. The bigger concern for Laimbeer may be the shooting slump of center Liz Cambage who missed eleven of her twelve shots on Thursday. Cambage has managed only 15 combined points in her last two games after scoring double-digits in fifty straight contests. With the All-Star break last week, this is just their third game in eleven days — and Las Vegas has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when not playing more than their third game in ten days. The Aces have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Las Vegas’ 86-54 win at home to Dallas back on Wednesday. The Wings have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when they are looking to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. Dallas has also played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 85 points. 25* WNBA NBA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (631) and the Dallas Wings (632). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
08-01-19 |
Aces v. Sparks UNDER 155 | Top | 68-76 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (623) and the Los Angeles Sparks (624). THE SITUATION: Las Vegas (14-6) has won three straight games after their easy 86-54 win over Dallas on Tuesday as an 11.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (11-8) has won four of their last five games as they return to the court for the first time after the All-Star break which concluded with their 78-66 win at Atlanta back on July 23rd as a 1-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Look for the Sparks to be a bit rusty with their nine-day layoff. They made 43.1% of their shots in their victory over the Dream which was tied for the best shooting effort in their last game. But Los Angeles has then played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last game. The Sparks have also seen the Under finish 34-16-1 in their last 51 games when playing with at least three days of rest — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total at home when playing no more than their third game in ten days. Los Angeles has also played 21 of their last 28 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Sparks return home here they have played 36 of their last 51 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total when favored by no more than 3 points. They will be understaffed tonight with guard Riquina Williams serving a ten-game suspension and guard Alana Beard doubtful with a hamstring injury. Las Vegas made 46.9% of their shots on Tuesday in their 32-point victory over the Wings which was the best shooting effort in their last seven games. That nice shooting percentage was the product of a whopping 27 team assists in that game — but they have then played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after a game where they generated at least 24 assists as a team. More impressively, the Aces limited Dallas to just 28.6% shooting from the field. Head coach Bill Laimbeer has his team playing like his old Bad Boy Detroit Pistons teams as they lead the WNBA with a Defensive Rating of 88.9. Las Vegas has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no better than a 30% field goal percentage. The Aces have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Las Vegas goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Aces have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. And while this is just their third game in the last ten days, Las Vegas has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when not playing more than their third game in the last ten days.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 13 meetings Under the Total — and this includes them playing six of their last seven games Under the Total when playing in Los Angeles. 25* WNBA ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (623) and the Los Angeles Sparks (624). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-30-19 |
Wings v. Aces UNDER 150.5 | Top | 54-86 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Wings (615) and the Las Vegas Aces (616). THE SITUATION: Dallas (5-14) returns from the All-Star break having lost five straight games after their 70-66 loss to Phoenix as a 2-point underdog back on July 20th. Las Vegas (13-6) returns to the court after their 79-62 win over Seattle last Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wings have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Dallas has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days rest. The Wings go back on the road where they are a winless 0-10 this season. Dallas scores only 67.7 PPG away from home while making just 37.1% of their shots. The Wings have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total. Dallas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes. Las Vegas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Aces have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Head coach Bill Laimbeer has his team playing like his old Bad Boy Detroit Pistons teams as they lead the WNBA with a Defensive Rating of 90.0. Las Vegas holds their visitors to hitting just 38.3% from the field when playing at home — and they have limited their last five opponents to just 36.8% shooting from the field. The Under is 9-4-1 in the Aces’ last 14 games at home. Las Vegas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. They will likely be without one of their top scorers in forward A’Ja Wilson who has missed their last two games with an ankle injury — last year’s Rookie of the Year is scoring 15.4 PPG this season.
FINAL TAKE: These are the two bottom teams in the WNBA when it comes to offense. Dallas is second-to-last with their 91.7 Offensive Rating while Las Vegas is last in the league with their 89.0 Offensive Rating. Expect a lower scoring game. 25* WNBA Bailout Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Wings (615) and the Las Vegas Aces (616). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-20-19 |
Mercury v. Wings UNDER 145 | | 70-66 |
Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Mercury (639) and the Dallas Wings (640). THE SITUATION: Phoenix (8-8) takes the court again after their 69-64 victory over these Wings on Wednesday as a 6.5-point favorite. Dallas (5-13) then played the next day on Thursday where they lost in Los Angeles by a duplicate 69-64 score as a 7.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mercury have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total for a point spread loss. This team is still without two starters with both Diana Taurasi and Sancho Little out with injuries. Phoenix did it with their defense on Wednesday as they held the Wings to just 34.7% shooting from the field. Now the Mercury goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total away from home. Additionally, Phoenix has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as the favorite. Dallas has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while their loss to Los Angeles finished below the 150 point Total, the Wings have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. Dallas scored 64 points in their game on Thursday despite making only 39.1% of their shots — yet that was the best shooting effort in their last three games. The Wings did hold the Sparks to just 38.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last four games. But Dallas returns home where they hold their guests to just 40.6% shooting. The Wings have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on their home court. Dallas has also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 16 games as an underdog, the Wings have played 13 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 10* WNBA Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Mercury (639) and the Dallas Wings (640). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-19-19 |
Aces v. Storm UNDER 157 | | 66-69 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (635) and the Seattle Storm (636). THE SITUATION: Las Vegas (11-5) has won five straight games with their 85-81 upset win at Washington last Saturday as a 2-point underdog. Seattle (11-8) has won three straight games in a row themselves with their 90-79 upset victory in Minnesota on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Storm made 53.2% of their shots on Wednesday which was the second-best shooting effort of their season. Seattle nailed 12 shots from behind the arc to help them pull the upset over the Lynx. The Storm have played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after making at least eleven shots from 3-point land in their last contest. Additionally, Seattle has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 13-3-2 in the Storm’s last 18 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after a point spread victory. The Under is also 16-4-1 in Seattle’s last 21 games when playing with just one day of rest. Las Vegas has had five days to rest and prepare for this Storm offense — and their head coach Bill Laimbeer will certainly have prepared his team to tighten things up on defense. The Aces have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Las Vegas has also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after allowing at least 75 points in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Aces have also played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. This Las Vegas team plays good defense — the 38.9% shooting from the field that the Mystics managed was the highest opponent field goal percentage in their last three games. The Aces are holding their last five opponents to that 38.9% shooting mark. Las Vegas stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the June 25th encounter between these two teams that the Aces won by a 60-56 score. Expect another defensive battle between these two teams. 10* WNBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (635) and the Seattle Storm (636). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-17-19 |
Storm v. Lynx UNDER 147.5 | Top | 90-79 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (627) and the Minnesota Lynx (628). THE SITUATION: Seattle (10-8) has won two straight games after their 78-69 win over New York on Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. Minnesota (10-7) has won four of their last five games with their 75-62 victory over Phoenix as a 1-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Storm flexed their muscles on defense in that game as they held the Liberty to just a 36.8% shooting percentage in that win. That defensive effort might be a good sign for the reigning WNBA champions who will likely need to lean heavily on their work rate of that end of the court given the injuries this team has sustained. Last year’s Most Valuable Player, Breanna Stewart, is out the season with a torn Achilles — and Sue Bird is also is still out with a bad knee who contributed last year with a 40.8% assist percentage along with a 44.8% shooting mark from behind the arc. Seattle is also now without Jewell Loyd who has been their second-leading scorer this season. The Storm still has Natasha Howard to sore points but she is also one of the best defenders in the league while being the second-best shot-blocker in the WNBA last season. The Under is 13-2-2 in Seattle’s last 17 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win at home. The Under is also 8-1-1 in the Storm’s last 10 games after a point spread loss. Seattle now goes on the road where they only make 40.2% of their shots — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set at 140 or higher. Additionally, the Storm have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against fellow Western Conference rivals. Minnesota has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Lynx have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning at least three of their last four games. Minnesota made 42.7% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting mark in their last three games. That is well above their 41.6% shooting mark over their last five games — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last game. The Lynx have all tightened things up on defense as they have held their last five opponents to just 38.0% shooting from the field. Minnesota has also been ravaged with injuries and absences this year. Rebekkah Johnson is still recovering from post-concussion symptoms from last August while All-Star Seimone Augustus is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Additionally, Jessica Shepard and Karima Christmas-Kelly are both out for the season with injuries — and Damiris Dantas has missed the last few games with a calf injury. All these missing players make the decision by forward Maya Moore to take a personal sabbatical this season even more challenging for this franchise that has won four of the last seven WNBA titles. They stay at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total when laying no more than 6 points. And in their last 29 games against Western Conference rivals, the Lynx have played 21 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the first meeting between these two teams back on June 4th where both teams scorched the nets in an 84-71 victory for Seattle. The Storm shot 59.3% from the field while making 7 of their 13 (53.8%) of their 3-point shots. Minnesota made 50.9% of their shots while nailing 8 of their 17 (47.1%) shots from downtown. Defense will be a priority for both teams in this rematch — and the Regression Gods have had this date (along with me) circled for weeks. 25* WNBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Storm (627) and the Minnesota Lynx (628). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-14-19 |
Liberty v. Storm UNDER 155 | Top | 69-78 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Liberty (621) and the Seattle Storm (622). THE SITUATION: New York (7-9) has lost two straight games after their 99-83 loss in Chicago on Friday as a 3.5-point underdog. Seattle (9-8) snapped a three-game losing streak on Friday with their 95-81 win at home over Dallas laying 5.5-points as the favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Liberty loss that game to Chicago primarily because of their lackluster effort on defense as they allowed the Sky to shoot 54.3% from the field. That was the worst defensive effort for New York this season. The Liberty have been playing better defense as of late — they have still held their last five opponents to just 41.8% shooting even after Friday’s performance. New York has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. The Liberty have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in their last game. Additionally, New York has played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 14 games against Western Conference foes, the Liberty have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Seattle made 54.8% of their shots on Friday in their win which was the best shooting effort in their last sixteen contests. The Storm nailed 14 of their 23 shots from behind the arc for a red hot 54.8% 3-point shooting clip — but they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making at least nine 3-pointers in their last game. Seattle has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. Additionally, the Under is 12-2-2 in the Storm’s last 16 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 15-5-1 in Seattle’s last 21 games when they are playing with one day of rest. And in their last 14 games against teams from the Eastern Conference, the Under is 9-4-1 for the Storm. Seattle remains without some of their scorers with Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird having not played this season given injuries — and their second-leading scorer this season in Jewell Loyd is also out with her ankle injury.
FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch from an 84-83 upset victory by the Liberty in Seattle where they were 7.5-point underdogs. New York made 49.3% of their shots which was well above the 41.1% shooting percentage for the season. After the Storm’s shaky defensive effort on Friday, tightening things up on that end of the court will be a priority for head coach Dan Hughes’ team. 25* WNBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Liberty (621) and the Seattle Storm (622). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
07-03-19 |
Liberty v. Storm UNDER 152.5 | | 84-83 |
Loss | -115 | 0 h 1 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Liberty (633) and the Seattle Storm (634). THE SITUATION: New York (5-7) has won two straight games after their upset 74-58 victory in Atlanta on Sunday as a 4.5-point underdog. Seattle (8-6) has lost two of their last three games with their 69-67 upset loss at home to Phoenix as a 1-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Liberty played their best defensive game of the season by holding Atlanta to just 27.1% shooting from the field. New York has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing their last opponent to shoot better than 30% from the field. Additionally, the Under is 14-5-1 in the Liberty’s last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after registering an upset victory. Furthermore, New York has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Seattle shot 41.5% from the field in their loss which also happened to be the best shooting effort in their last four games. The Under is 8-3-1 in the Storm’s last 12 games after a point spread loss. Seattle stays at home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Storm have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference foes, the Under is 8-3-1.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing in Seattle. Expect another lower scoring game this afternoon. 10* WNBA Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Liberty (633) and the Seattle Storm (634). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
06-23-19 |
Fever v. Storm UNDER 154 | | 61-65 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Fever (667) and the Seattle Storm (668). THE SITUATION: Indiana (5-5) snapped a two-game losing streak on Friday with their 76-69 upset win in Chicago as a 5-point underdog. Seattle (6-4) has won three of their last four games with their 84-62 upset win over Los Angeles on Friday as a 1.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Fever made 44.3% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. Indiana is making only 41.8% of their shots over their last five games — and they shoot just 43.4% when playing on the road. The Fever have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Indiana has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, the Fever have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. And in their last 9 road games against Western Conference foes, Indian has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Seattle has played 20 of their last 25 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three contests. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread victory. The Storm was red hot from behind the arc on Friday as they nailed 14 of their 26 shots (54%) from 3-point land. But Seattle has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after making at least eleven 3-pointers in their last game. Moving forward, the Under is 9-3-1 in the Storm’s last 13 games when playing with one day of rest. Seattle stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games against Eastern Conference opponents in non-conference play, the Under is 4-1-1.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams with both clubs coming off one of their shooting efforts of the season. 10* WNBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Fever (667) and the Seattle Storm (668). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
06-20-19 |
Mystics v. Aces UNDER 166.5 | Top | 95-72 |
Loss | -109 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Mystics (647) and the Las Vegas Aces (648). THE SITUATION: Washington (5-3) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 81-52 blowout upset victory at Los Angeles as a 1.5-point underdog. Las Vegas (4-3) has won their last two games with their 80-75 victory at Minnesota as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mystics won their game in LA on Tuesday based off the strength of their strong play on defense as they held the Sparks to just 28.8% shooting from the field. Washington stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. The Mystics have also played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. Washington has scored at least 71 points in their last seven games after beginning the year by scoring only 69 points — and they have then played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total after scoring at least 70 points in four straight games. The Mystics have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Las Vegas has seen the Under go 6-0-1 in their last 7 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the Aces’ last 5 games after a point spread loss. Las Vegas won that game despite the Lynx making 42.6% from the field which was the Aces’ worst defensive effort in their last five games. Under former Detroit Pistons’ star Bill Laimbeer, this Las Vegas team has taken on a defense-first identity like his Bad Boys’ teams. They limit their visitors to just 34.2% shooting from the field on their home court which results in just 71.7 PPG. The extra days of rest should help the energy of this team on defense — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Under is also 6-0-1 in the Aces’ last 7 games at home — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as the favorite. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Las Vegas has played 6 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 13 meetings Under the Total — and this includes these two teams playing five of their last six encounters Under the Total when playing in Las Vegas. Finally, these team trends are complemented by a historical WNBA angle that has been 72% effective since 1997. In games with the Total set at 140 or higher in the month of June, when the home team comes off a game where they won but did not cover the point spread as the favorite, these games then finished Under the Total in 52 of the last 72 situations where these conditions applied. 25* WNBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Mystics (647) and the Las Vegas Aces (648). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
06-18-19 |
Mystics v. Sparks UNDER 166.5 | | 81-52 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
At 10:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Mystics (639) and the Los Angeles Sparks (640). THE SITUATION: Washington (4-3) has lost two straight games after their 74-71 upset loss at home to Seattle as a 9.5-point favorite last Friday. Los Angeles (4-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday when they were upset at home to New York by a 98-92 score as an 11-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mystics enjoyed a 13-point lead in the 4th quarter in their first opportunity to avenge the three-game sweep they suffered to Seattle in the WNBA Finals last September. But they only scored 8 points in the final quarter to blow that game. Washington shot only 34.8% from the field in that game — and now they go on the road where they are making just 41% of their shots. The Mystics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. Washington has also played 19 of their last 25 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The Mystics have scored at least 71 points in six straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after scoring at least 70 points in four straight games. Washington needs to tighten things up on the defensive end of the court after allowing their last five opponents to make at least 45.8% of their shots. The Mystics have played 7 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least three straight opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. Additionally, Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. Los Angeles has played 6 straight games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. The Sparks have also played 8 straight games at home Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a point spread loss. LA has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. The Sparks have scored 85 points in three straight games — but they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in three straight contests. They stay at home where they have played a decisive 40 of their last 58 games Under the Total on their home court. They are holding their visitors to just 38.5% shooting when playing at home this season — and they will be anxious to play better on defense after allowing New York to make 47.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive of their season.
FINAL TAKE: The Sparks look to see the debut of Candace Parker back on the court tonight after she has missed the first seven games of the season with a hamstring injury. While she is a force on offense, she also helps Los Angeles on the defensive end of the court. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* WNBA Tuesday Late Show Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Mystics (639) and the Los Angeles Sparks (640). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
06-16-19 |
Aces v. Lynx UNDER 160.5 | | 80-75 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (637) and the Minnesota Lynx (638). THE SITUATION: Las Vegas (3-3) enters this game looking to build off their 100-65 blowout victory over New York on Friday as a 13-point favorite at home. Minnesota (4-4) has lost three straight games after their 85-81 loss at home to Connecticut as a 5.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aces have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. With LeBron James, James Harden, and Chris Paul watching courtside Las Vegas made 67% of their shots in the first half as they put on a show — and the 54.1% field goal percentage they ended the game with was their highest mark of the season. But the Aces go back on the road where they are shooting just 42.0% from the field. Las Vegas has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road. The Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games when playing with one day of rest. Despite their offensive explosion on Friday, the calling card for head coach Bill Laimbeer’s team is defense — just like his old Pistons’ team — as the Aces have held their last five opponents to only 37.7% shooting. Las Vegas has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total as the favorite. Minnesota has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. The Lynx have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last contest. Minnesota has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. They made only 43.3% of their shots in their loss on Friday — but that was still tied for their best shooting mark in their last four games. The Lynx will be looking to play better on defense after allowing Connecticut to make 50% of their shots. Minnesota should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight where they limit their opponents to 41.4% shooting which translates into 72.4 PPG. The Lynx have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These team trends are supported by a historical angle that has been 69% effective since 1997. Las Vegas is outscoring their opponents by +8.9 PPG — and in games with the Total set at 140 or higher, when the road team is outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG and they are facing a home team that comes off a narrow loss by 5 points or less, these games finished Under the Total in 50 of these last 73 situations. 10* WNBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Aces (637) and the Minnesota Lynx (638). Best of luck for us — Frank. |