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T.M. Selection: Buckeyes / Fighting Irish - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Ohio State Buckeyes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish game on Monday, January 20th. Notre Dame is 14-1 this season and has scored at least 23 points in all 14 wins. Ohio State is 13-2 this season and scored at least 28 points in 12 of 15 games. This total is simply too low here. With all due respect to each one of these teams from a defensive viewpoint, the offenses are not getting the credit they deserve either. Although Ohio State has the better passing attack, the fact remains both of these teams are quite balanced offensively. Notre Dame as well as the Buckeyes both have solid ground games on offense. The rushing attack of each will open up opportunities for some bigger plays through the air. The last two meetings between these teams only totaled 31 points each in 2023 and 2022. But Ohio State has scored an average of 38 points in its last 6 wins and Notre Dame is averaging 37 ppg this season. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Ohio State. 

Line: O/U 45 

Line Parameter: play until 48.5...

T.M. Selection: Ohio State / Texas - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Texas Longhorns vs Ohio State Buckeyes game on Friday, January 10th. With how strong both of these defenses are, both of these offenses will struggle. Both defensive units are strong against the pass and I expect a lot of running play calls with both offensive units for this bowl game. We absolutely should see an emphasis on the rushing attack so the clock should be running for most of this game. Each defense is strong enough to hold their opponent to only a few scoring drives and, by that, I mean including field goals. The Longhorns, excluding OT points, have allowed an average of only 13.6 points per game this season. The Buckeyes are allowing only 12 ppg this season. Even if you had a TD to that number and evening adding 10 points to the Texas points allowed total, you still arrive at a 24-19 final. That is what I am calling for here, as you can see with my prediction below, and you can understand why this is such a strong play given the extra cushion we have with these numbers. Simply put, neither team has been giving up many points in almost all their games this season. Defensive struggle ensues here. Give me the UNDER. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-19 Ohio State. 

Line: O/U 53.5 

Line Parameter: play until 56.0...

T.M. Selection: PENN STATE - ATS

1) I like the Nittany Lions to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Fighting Irish on Thursday, January 9th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better 11-3 ATS record laying only 1.5 points even though they just beat Georgia and are facing an 8-7 ATS team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Irish are now 13-1 this season but statistically I have concerns about what this offense will be able to do against a stout Penn State defense. Though Notre Dame beat Georgia, the stats were not good and they made the most of other opportunities to secure that win. They did not impress on offense and face just as tough of a test here.    

3) Penn State has the better offense here in my opinion and is very balanced on offense. The Nittany Lions defense also has been very opportunistic. Notre Dame has been a cash cow this season so the markets are enamored with them and supporting them. The Fighting Irish, however, have met their match here and I look for Allar to lead the way at QB for the Lions to pull away in crunch-time of this game.  

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 PENN STATE

Line: +1.5

T.M. Selection: Minnesota Golden Gophers - ATS

1) I like the Golden Gophers to get the solid win in this game against the Hokies on Friday, Januay 3rd. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the nearly identical record as 6-6 Virginia Tech is nearly a double digit underdog (currently 8.5 to 9.5) against Minnesota and I am not falling for the trap line! Lay the big points here. 

2) Virginia Tech facing a tough match-up here as they have a lot of opt-outs and will be missing many starters on both sides of the ball. The Hokies struggled overall this season as it was and now will be very short-handed against a Golden Gophers team that is known for dominating in Bowl Season. 

3) PJ Fleck, head coach of Minnesota, has great bowl history and has led his team to 5 straight bowl wins. The Golden Gophers roster is mostly intact for this bowl game and in far better shape roster-wise in comparison with a depleted Hokies side. Virginia Tech has big question marks at QB and the offensive line is a shell of what it once was and the Hokies also will be without their top RB. Also the Hokies defense has been decimated by the transfer portal. The Gophers average margin of victory in their 7 wins was 19.6 ppg this season! The Hokies get blown out here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-12 Minnesota.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: Georgia Bulldogs - Moneyline 1) I like the Georgia Bulldogs to win this game handily against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Wednesday, January 1st. The line is in the -1 to -1.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -115 range. 2) Georgia QB Stockton is highly touted and it is good he already got some game action replacing the injured Beck. Also, the Bulldogs faced the tougher schedule this season plus they got a number of big game wins over solid programs. Georgia has the better special teams edge with a huge edge in the kicking game. That could be a key if this game ends up being tighter than I expect. 3) The Fighting Irish are, of course, a high-quality program but they did not face as tough a schedule. Also, they suffered a key injury with a star defensive tackle now out for this game after getting hurt versus Indiana. Notre Dame did look great in that game but Georgia is no Indiana. The Hoosiers were over-rated all season long. Things get much tougher here for the Fighting Irish and the value is with the Bulldogs and their championship pedigree. T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Georgia. Line: +102

T.M. Selection: Nittany Lions vs Broncos - OVER

I am on the OVER in the Penn State Nittany Lions vs Boise State Broncos game on Tuesday. The Nittany Lions favored by 11 but the speed of this Broncos offense is going to keep them in this game. I just don't see Penn State being able to fully slow them down. At the same time, the Nittany Lions offense is also a force to be reckoned with. Considering the weaker overall schedule Boise State faced, the Broncos defense is sure to struggle to stop this Penn State offense. The Nittany Lions have scored 38 ppg last 6 games and I expect them to reach that total again here. Penn State, prior to the big win over SMU, allowed 45 points to Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that Boise State scored 34 points against so the Broncos have already proven they can go "toe to toe" with the big boys in the nation. That said, I do expect Boise State's defense to have problems here like they did against Oregon and a few other teams early this season. But the Bronco State offense should make up for that with team speed and the best player, running back Jeanty, on the field in this one! 

T.M. Prediction: 38-27 Penn State

Line: O/U 53.5

T.M. Selection: Army.

I believe Army will not only win this game easily, but do so in blowout fashion. Louisiana Tech finished only 5-7 on the season and is in a very unusual situation here! The Bulldogs got recruited into this bowl on short notice because Marshall was so heavily hit in the transfer portal that the Thundering Herd could not even properly compete in this game. I am not so sure Louisiana Tech is going to have much more success than Marshall would have had considering their situation. The Bulldogs thought their season was over and then suddenly got called to this game and they have to, on short notice, figure out how they will defend the triple option of Army. That is not something Louisiana Tech is used to facing. So Army is in top form and ready to roll here too and they have a great defense. Almost all of the Black Knights wins have been by at least 17 points this season. The Bulldogs did perform well as an underdog this season but this is a very tough match-up for them and I am sure they want to make up for that loss to Navy by winning big in this bowl game. Louisiana Tech finished the season with a big win over Kennesaw State but scored 14 or less points in 4 of 5 games before that and their D also will not be able to stop Army. Look for the Black Knights to keep their foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Army

T.M. Selection: USC TROJANS - ATS

1) I like the Trojans to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Aggies on Friday, December 27th. The line looks like a trap line to take Texas A & M laying only 4.5 or 4 points even though they are facing a team that has a had a lot of opt-outs heading into this post-season battle. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Aggies defense got ripped down the stretch including allowing over 470 ypg in their last 3 games against SEC teams. The Texas A & M defense also dealing with some key opt-outs and the Trojans offense surely will take advantage. 

3) The USC offense, even dealing with opt-outs, is still a strong machine. They put up over 550 yards of offense when they faced Notre Dame and that says a lot for sure! Southern Cal outgained ND by over 100 yards in that 49-35 loss. This Trojans team better than their 6-6 records shows while the Aggies, though 8-4, got waxed by double digits 3 times this season including when they got outgained by more than 100 yards by the Fighting Irish. I don't trust this Aggies team. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 USC

Line: +4.5 

T.M. Selection: Spartans vs Bulls - OVER

I am on the OVER in the San Jose State Spartans vs South Florida Bulls game on Tuesday. The Spartans have a strong passing attack and this will force the Bulls to keep up here. San Jose State scored 34 points in their season finale and though they had some lower-scoring efforts before that those two games were against ranked teams, UNLV and Boise State. The Spartans Eget has thrown for at least 385 yards in 3 of the last 4 games. San Jose State does not have much of a ground game so the passing attack will be the emphasis and that also equates to higher-scoring games. The Bulls won 4 of their last 6 games and South Florida averaged 39 ppg scored in those 6 games. 5 of those 6 games got to at least 60 points and this one, considering the passing attack of San Jose State, should push well past the 60 point mark as the pass defense of South Florida is a weakness. Overall the San Jose State defense is not great either and the Spartans are facing a balanced South Florida attack here.

T.M. Prediction: 39-35 San Jose State

Line: O/U 63.5

T.M. Selection: Penn State Nittany Lions - ATS

1) I like the Nittany Lions to get the solid win in this game against the Mustangs on Saturday, December 21st. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the identical record as nearly a double digit underdog (currently 8.5 to 9.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU facing a tough match-up here on the road in cold weather against a PSU side that can run the ball so well and is known for fantastic defense. The Mustangs were down by 17 to Clemson before rallying and they won't be able to make that same type of comeback in this venue! . 

3) Penn State was truly so close to a perfect season as they blew an early 10-0 lead versus Ohio State and also very nearly beat Oregon in a high-scoring shootout. The Nittany Lions so strong in the trenches and this is not a good match-up for the Mustangs. Penn State can play with (and win with) old Big Ten style football here. Their defense will frustrate SMU and the Mustangs will not be able to trade scores with the potent Nittany Lions here in their own home.    

T.M. Prediction: 37-17 Penn State.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: Florida Gators - ATS

1) I like the Gators to get the solid win in this game against the Green Wave on Friday, December 20th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better record as a double digit underdog (currently 10 to 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) Tulane struggled late in the season and there is a certain negative energy within this team right now. Florida, on the other hand, finished the season strong and I love the fact the Gators faced the much tougher schedule this season in comparison with the Green Wave. 

3) Tulane has lost two straight games and has given up at least 34 points in all 4 of their defeats this season. The Gators roll here as they are so strong at the defensive line and Tulane is going to struggle to run the ball here. The Green Wave offense just won't have enough punch here and Florida will have too much for Tulane to keep up in this one. The Gators have won 3 straight games and 4 of their 5 losses were to ranked teams this season and the other defeat was to a solid A & M team. Florida allowed only 16 ppg in their 7 wins and can dominate here.     

T.M. Prediction: 35-14 Florida.

Line: -10

T.M. Selection: James Madison vs Western Kentucky - OVER I am on the OVER in the James Madison vs Western Kentucky game on Wednesday. The Dukes are favored by a TD here and that is with the knowledge of their QB situation. That is why I expect plenty of points here because the Hilltoppers starting QB is projected to play and this team can move the ball consistently well for long stretches. I look for that to be the case in this game and that will force James Madison to respond and they still have the talent on offense to do so. The Dukes rushing attack will give the rather weak Western Kentucky defense issues here. The Dukes - and I am excluding the Double-OT points from season finale - averaged scoring 33 points per game this season. The Hilltoppers gave up 52 points in their most recent game and this followed an 8-3 run with Western Kentucky scoring 29 points a game on average in those 11 games. With numbers like this I am all over the value with this total coming down to near 50 after being in the mid-fifties originally. T.M. Prediction: 34-27 James Madison Line: O/U 51

T.M. Selection: Memphis vs West Virginia - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Memphis vs West Virginia game on Tuesday. The Tigers pass defense struggled in the latter half of the season. The Mountaineers have a strong running game so this will also help to open up opportunities for West Virginia to take advantage of the Memphis weakness in pass D as that defense will have to worry about the run as well. The Mountaineers pass defense is also questionable as well. West Virginia struggled with pass defense much of the year plus, overall, the Mountaineers defense really fell apart late in the season over the final 4 games or so. This one looks like one without many stops for the defenses. The Tigers allowed 30 ppg last 6 games and scored 39 ppg last 6 games. The Mountaineers allowed 36 ppg last 6 games and scored 32 ppg L4 games before that horrible final game at Texas Tech which was likely the final straw for Coach Neal Brown who was fired after that game.

T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Memphis 

Line: O/U 58.5

T.M. Selection: CLEMSON - ATS

1) I like the Tigers to get the solid underdog cover in this game against the Mustangs on Saturday, December 7th. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the better record laying only 2.5 points even though they are 11-1 and facing a 9-3 team. As for the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Mustangs are now 11-1 this season but the location of this game favors the Tigers. Also, Clemson has much more experience in big games and has won 8 of 9 visits to the ACC Title game! Also Clemson actually won the yardage battle by almost 100 yards in their only ACC loss this season so that was a deceiving final score.    

3) SMU was also a bit fortunate in who they faced in terms of their ACC scheduling this season. That certainly helped the Mustangs get to their impressive record on the year and now you will see many lining up on SMU, with the better record, over Clemson but the Tigers experience edge will shine through as this game gets to late-game crunch time. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 CLEMSON

Line: +2.5

T.M. Selection: UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos game on Friday. The Rebels, in their last 10 games against everyone other than Boise State, have scored an average of 41.3 ppg. UNLV is seeking revenge here for the 29-24 loss versus the Broncos in Vegas in late October. I am convinced the Rebels will score better in the rematch here in the Championship Game for the MWC. However, I am not convinced they will be able to stop this potent Broncos offense! Boise State has scored an average of 47 ppg in their home games this season! The weather will be decent in Boise for this one which is also a positive for the over. Cold weather in Idaho but probably no precipitation as well as light winds. It sets up well for both offenses to "go off" in this one and have huge performances. Though it is a conference championship game, the strength of each team here is a very potent offense. This one should develop into a back and forth shootout because of this key factor. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-34 Boise State. 

Line: O/U 57.5

T.M. Selection: Texas - ATS

1) I like the Longhorns to get the solid win in this game against the Aggies on Saturday, November 30th. This is an interesting line considering Texas is a large favorite even though this games is taking place in Aggieland! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Horns have the better defense and the much stronger passing attack on offense which makes all the difference here. 

2) Texas A & M off a heart-breaking 4-OT loss at Auburn last week and a game like that takes a lot out of a team! Also, the Aggies lost their most recent SEC game prior to that one as well as they got hammered by 24 points in a loss at South Carolina! The Longhorns are the stronger team all over the field in this one.    

3) Texas is 10-1 this season after a massive season last year too. This program is in great shape right now and their only loss was to a tough Georgia team. In fact, the winner of this game will face the Bulldogs for the SEC Championship next week so today's game is huge! I am all over the Longhorns here and 9 of the 10 Longhorns wins have come by a double digit margin this season. In other words, covering the spread in a UT win should not be an issue here with this low number.

T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Texas

Line: -5

T.M. Selection: Georgia Tech - ATS

1) I like Georgia Tech to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Georgia on Friday, November 29th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Bulldogs considering the Yellow Jackets already have twice as many losses as Georgia this season. The Bulldogs have the better defense but the Jackets have, statistically, nearly and equal offense and they are being underestimated here. The fac tis that it is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) In terms of ATS stats, Georgia is a rough 3-8 ATS this season plus they are 0-6 ATS when favored by 14 or more plus Georgia Tech has covered all but 3 of last 11 against ranked opponents. The Yellow Jackets have a strong offense and regardless of what they might be saying, the Bulldogs can't help but to be thinking ahead to the big game with the SEC Title Game next week. 

3) Georgia Tech is well-coached under Key plus they have covered each of the last two meetings including very easily last year as a big dog in this match-up. They lost by only 8 points and a similar result looms here the way I have this one handicapped. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Georgia

Line: +18

T.M. Selection: Memphis - ATS

1) I like Memphis to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Tulane on Thursday, November 28th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Green Wave considering the Tigers already have 2 losses in AAC games while Tulane is undefeated and will play Army next week in the AAC Championship Game. Green Wave has the better defense but Memphis is being underestimated here. The fac tis that it is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) In  terms of ATS stats, Tulane has been much better in AAC games but this is why there is so much value here because Memphis is undervalued due to their 2-5 ATS mark in AAC games while Tulane is 8-2-1 ATS on the season. The Tigers have a strong offense and regardless of what they might be saying, the Green Wave can't help but to be thinking ahead to the big game with the Black Knights next week. 

3)  The Green Wave also may have a lack of typical home field edge here as the students go home for Thanksgiving Day and there may not be the typical fan support Tulane would hope for here. They are off 3 straight dominating wins but his has inflated this line against a very talented Memphis team with a strong QB who already has 4 seasons as a starter under his belt. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Tulane

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: Kent State - ATS

1) I like Kent State to stay within the huge number posted here in this game against Buffalo on Tuesday, November 26th. The line looks like a trap line to take Buffalo considering the Golden Flashes are winless on the season while the Bulls are having a solid season and already have a 7th win for bowl eligibility. It is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Golden Flashes gained some confidence on offense last week as they scored 17 points and Ulatowski was back under center and had his biggest yardage game since the middle of October. The Bulls defense, especially against the pass, has not been good so Kent State will get points here! 

3) The Bulls won by 17 last week and do only 1 win in 11 games on the season that came by a m margin of greater than 17 points. Look for Buffalo to get a big win here but then start resting players and look for the Bulls struggles on pass defense to continue. As a result this game will be closer than expected and Kent State finishes the season winless SU but does get the ATS cover. Buffalo over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 28-19 Buffalo

Line: +22.5

T.M. Selection: Fresno State Bulldogs - Moneyline

1) I like the Fresno State Bulldogs to win this game against the Colorado State Rams on Saturday, November 23rd. The line is in the -3 to -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -155 range.

2) This line looks like a trap to take Colorado State as a road dog as they are a perfect 5-0 in the MWC and also on a perfect run of 7 straight covers ATS. The Bulldogs are favored here and this could fool the masses but not us! Let's get the money here with Fresno State as the home team is still in need of a 6th win for bowl eligibility and they have a tough game on deck with UCLA and this is the Bulldogs MWC finale. Fresno State highly motivated to get that 6th win here and knock off one of just two remaining MWC teams that are undefeated in their MWC games. 

3) In terms of yardage allowed statistics, Fresno State has the better defense in this match-up and they are sure to be ready on their home field here. The Bulldogs had won 23 of 30 games (including bowls) prior to these two defeats and Fresno State blew a 20-7 fourth quarter lead in most recent home game. I am sure the Bulldogs will maintain full focus for the full 60 in this one and they catch the Rams off the big win in "The Border War" rivalry with Wyoming. Perfect set up for this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Fresno State.

Line: -160

T.M. Selection: SMU Mustangs - ATS

1) I like the Mustangs to get the solid win in this game against the Cavaliers on Saturday, November 23rd. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team as a double digit underdog (currently 10 to 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU just needs to win out to make it to the CFB playoffs and their only loss this season was by 3 points to a tough BYU team. The yardage was equal in that game until the Cougars got what ended up being the game-winning FG courtesy of a 67-yard drive! The Mustangs, as you can see, are very nearly undefeated this season! 6 of 8 SMU wins since a tight season-opening win have been by at least a 10 point margin. 

3) Virginia has lost 4 of 5 games and has given up an average of 41 points in the last 3 defeats. The Cavaliers have lost 3 of 4 home games since a season-opening win and 2 of the 3 defeats were blowout losses. I expect another blowout defeat by 10+ in this one. Road team rolls here as the Mustangs have too much offense for the Cavs to keep up and they also have the better defense. SMU adds to their 5-2 ATS run and make it 6-2 ATS last 8 games!    

T.M. Prediction: 38-17 SMU.

Line: -10

T.M. Selection: Purdue - ATS

1) I like Purdue to stay within single digits in this game against Michigan State on Friday, November 22nd. The line looks like a trap line to take the Spartans considering the Boilermakers are the worst team in the Big Ten and Michigan State still needs two wins for bowl eligibility. It is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Boilermakers will bring their top effort this week in response to having two of their worst defeats of the season in B2B weeks against two of the top teams in the country. Purdue will fare much better against a much weaker foe here and it is going to be tough for the Spartans to pull away in this one! 

3) In their last two games against teams not ranked in the top five in the country, the Boilermakrs have a pair of OT losses and I project this one to be a tight battle. The Spartans have lost 6 of 7 games and their 3 wins against non-FCS schools (so, excluding Prairie View A & M) have been by an average margin of just 7 points. None of those 3 wins were by more than 12 points. Michigan State over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Michigan State

Line: +14

T.M. Selection: Toledo Rockets - Moneyline

1) I like the Toledo Rockets to win this game handily against the Ohio Bobcats on Wednesday, November 20th. The line is in the -1.5 to -2 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -120 range.

2) The line has moved toward Ohio University as they are off a couple strong defensive performances. The Bobcats are a little over-valued now after 3 straight solid wins. Two of those wins were at home and the road win was against a horrible Kent State team. The Bobcats are 5-1 in MAC games this season but now go on the road to face a Rockets team that has dominated the series in recent meetings when playing in Toledo.   

3) Big match-up edge when you compare the passing offenses of these two teams as the Rockets rate much higher. Even with windy conditions in Toledo for this one, the short passing game of Toledo will be a big difference. Home field also a huge factor here. Ohio University was 1-3 in road games this season before that big win over a bad Kent State team. Big value here! Lay the small price here with confidence! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Toledo.

Line: -120 

T.M. Selection: Miami-Ohio Redhawks vs Northern Illinois Huskies - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Miami Ohio Redhawks versus Northern Illinois Huskies game on Tuesday. Two solid defenses but this total has dropped too low given the way these offenses have been performing as well. Weather will be fine for an over in Oxford, OH tonight so that is also not an issue here. The Redhawks are on a 5-game winning streak and have scored an average of 35 points in these 5 games. Northern Illinois has won 2 of last 3 games and has scored an average of 31 points per game in this 3-game stretch. The last two meetings between these teams both topped 50 points and all signs point to a repeat of that here! The two quarterbacks involved here are both having solid seasons including limiting turnovers and they have a combined 30 to 12 ratio of touchdowns to interceptions. Each team has great rushing attacks as well as they each showed once again in their victories last week. While both defenses are strong, not enough respect is being given to the balanced attack each of these teams has! Let's get in on this value here! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Miami-Ohio. 

T.M. Selection: Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Oregon Ducks at Wisconsin Badgers game on Saturday. Oregon is going to be unstoppable here on offense. The Badgers defense is not what it once was and Wisconsin has allowed 35 ppg last 2 games and now faces the #1 team in the country! The Ducks are averaging 35.7 ppg this season and will roll big here in this one as they are correctly expected to win this game by two touchdowns. Other than games against a slumping Illinois team and a horrible Purdue team, Oregon has given up 20 ppg in their other 7 games against FBS teams this season. The point is that expecting the Badgers to get into the low to mid-twenties here is a valid expectation yet they will not be able to stop the Ducks potent offense! Oregon also has a bye week on deck so they can go all out here! Badgers are scoring an average of 26 ppg at home this season! Coming off a bye week and with this being a night game in Madison with a raucous crowd, the Badgers could surprise with hanging around for awhile before the Ducks strongly pull away in the second half. Translation: plenty of points because of this scenario playing out Saturday night in Wisconsin!  

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 Oregon. 

Line: O/U 50.5

T.M. Selection: Utah - ATS

1) I like Utah to stay within single digits in this game against Colorado on Saturday, November 16th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Buffaloes considering the recent struggles of the Utes and the red hot run of the Buffs and I am not falling for it!

2) This line got steamed when it was lower (single digits) because of the reaction to Colorado being on a 7-0 ATS run while Utah is on an 0-5 SU run plus, before tight cover vs BYU last week, the Utes were on an 0-4 ATS run. Utah will be fired up after last week's frustrating late-game loss to the rival Cougars. The Utes will bring their top effort this week in response and it is going to be tough for the Buffaloes to pull away in this one! 

3) The Utes have lost 5 straight games after starting the season 4-0 but the 5 straight losses by an average margin of only 6 points! None of the Utah defeats by more than 13 points! The Buffaloes should have won last week just 34-27 and, prior to that, only 3 of Colorado's first 8 games were wins by more than an 11-point margin. This game is going to be a war because the Utes are fired up and fighting for bowl eligibility (need 2 wins in 3 remaining games). Colorado over-priced!   

T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Colorado

Line: +13.5

T.M. Selection: Colorado State Rams - ATS

1) I like the Rams to get the solid win in this game against the Cowboys on Friday, November 15th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog (opened up at 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) Colorado State has been rolling and is so strong on defense in comparison with a horrible Cowboys defense. Wyoming is a big step down defensively from the program they have been in recent seasons. The Rams are the stronger team and the Cowboys are off some impressive performances on offense since they made a QB switch. However, their offense was great because they faced two horrible defenses, New Mexico and Utah State!

3) Wyoming can't stop anyone on the ground and struggle to stop them through the air as well. Also, the Colorado State D has been getting stronger as the season has gone on. The Rams have allowed only 16 ppg in their 4 games in MWC action. They are 4-0 in MWC games and won by an average margin of 11 ppg. I expect another blowout by 10+ in this one. Home team rolls here as the Rams add to their 6-0 ATS run and make it 7-0 ATS last 7 games!    

T.M. Prediction: 34-14 Colorado State.

Line: -8.5

T.M. Selection: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Miami-OH Redhawks - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kent State Golden Flashes at Miami-OH Redhawks game on Wednesday. Kent State is 0-9 this season and has had major injury issues impact their QB position. Look for freshman QB Ruel Tomlinson to be much better now that he got a start under his belt last week. That being said, the Golden Flashes are 30 point dogs here for a reason and this game will get ugly. The point is, however, at least this time around Kent State will get some points on the board after being shutout last week. Kent State had scored 24 ppg in MAC games this season before being shutout last week. Miami-Ohio is on a 4-game winning streak and has scored 35 ppg in these victories. We need only to get past the mid-40s to win this selection and all 5 MAC games for Miami-OH have totaled 48 points or more. Rain is coming to Oxford OH tonight but they should get this game in before weather would become any issue and the winds will be fine and that is most important for an over. 

T.M. Prediction: 45-14 Miami-OH. 

Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Western Michigan Broncos at Bowling Green Falcons game on Tuesday. Even though the Falcons tend toward lower-scoring action, the Broncos are off their first MAC loss this season and have been scoring plenty of points this season. Western Michigan is surely set to respond on offense yet this is a defense that has been horrid and Bowling Green commands a 10-point line here per the books. The Broncos have scored an average of 41 ppg last 7 games. The Falcons have scored well of late and will be moving against a Western Michigan defense allowing 41.5 ppg last 4 road games. Bowling Green has scored an average of 30 ppg last 3 games but can top that and then some here as they take on a Broncos team that has been one of the worst defenses in the MAC this season. Western Michigan makes a game out of it however as they have scored more points than any other team in the conference this season and they have averaged 52 points scored the last two times they were entering a game off a loss.

T.M. Prediction: 41-30 Bowling Green. 

Line: O/U 58.5

T.M. Selection: Utah State Aggies vs Washington State Cougars - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Utah State Aggies at Washington State Cougars game on Saturday. Both teams are off bye weeks and the extra rest will help to turn this one into a fast-paced score-fest. The Aggies are solid offensively but very weak defensively and the Cougars, especially being at home, are going to take full advantage here. Washington State games played at Pullman this season have averaged 78 ppg and this one should get in that range as well. The Cougars offense will be unstoppable as they take on a Utah State team off a 27-25 win but allowing 49 ppg in the 6-game losing streak that preceded the win over Wyoming. The Aggies have scored 31 ppg in their 6 games since a shutout loss versus USC. Utah State's defense is allowing 6.8 yards per play and that is one of the worst in the nation. Cougars definitely the better defense in this match-up but they have allowed 30 ppg last 5 games. I really like the fact both teams are off a bye here plus the statistical support for expecting Cougars to reach the 50 range and Aggies to reach the 30 range as we can see above. 

T.M. Prediction: 52-31 Washington State. 

Line: O/U 69.5

T.M. Selection: Iowa State Cyclones - Moneyline

1) I like the Iowa State Cyclones to win this game handily against the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday, November 9th. The line is in the -2.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -130 range.

2) The line is begging you to take home dog Kansas off a bye week but I am not falling for it. The Cyclones are off their first loss of this season and will be ready to respond immediately here. Even though Jayhawks are off a bye week this followed a loss to rival Kansas State which took the wind out of their sails. Now they face a tough Iowa State team that has already shown they can battle through adversity to win tight games late (Iowa, UCF) and that makes them a solid choice again on the Big 12 road in this one.  

3) Big match-up edge when you compare the defenses of these two teams as the Cyclones rate much higher plus I would also give their offense the edge as well based on yardage per game stats this season. Kansas is only 2-5 SU against FBS schools this season. The Jayhawks have allowed more than 28 points in 4 of 5 games. The Cyclones have allowed more than 23 points only once this season and they won that game anyway! Lay the small price here with confidence! 

T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Iowa State Cyclones.

Line: -130 

T.M. Selection: Iowa - ATS

1) I like the Hawkeyes to get the solid win in this game against the Bruins on Friday, November 8th. This is an interesting line considering how the Hawkeyes are off a huge win over Wisconsin and now had to travel out west to face UCLA in Bruins country! The line looks like an invitation to grab the home dog getting nearly a TD but I am not falling for the trap line as the Hawkeyes have the better defense and the much stronger running attack on offense which makes all the difference here. 

2) UCLA has won 2 straight games but this followed a 1-5 start in their first 6 games this season. The Bruins had lost 5 straight games prior to the B2B wins and UCLA is 0-3 at home and scoring only 14 ppg at home this season!   

3) Iowa has a tough defense and runs the ball so well on offense and I just don't see the Bruins being able to keep up in this game! Not only is Iowa 6-3 this season, the Hawkeyes have scored an average of 38.5 ppg in their 6 victories. They are favored here and another solid win should result the way I see it as the Bruins remain winless at home on the season.

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Iowa  

Line: -5.5 -122 or -6

T.M. Selection: Florida Atlantic Owls vs East Carolina Pirates - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Florida Atlantic Owls at East Carolina Pirates game on Thursday. The Pirates have had 3 straight games total more than 70 points and this one should do the same. East Carolina has scored 37 points per game at home this season. The Pirates are giving up 38 ppg last 5 games which includes all 4 of their conference games as well. Florida Atlantic is at the bottom of the AAC standings but they do score well. The Owls have averaged 29 points scored in their last 6 games. FAU has a problem though and that is an inability to stop anyone! Florida Atlantic has allowed 36 ppg last 5 games and allowed at least 38 in 4 of the 5 games. The Owls are facing an East Carolina team that looks different since making the QB change and head coaching change plus the Pirates are coming off a bye. This all is pointing toward a high-scoring game as the Pirates defense has issues remaining but the offense has gone to another level and the Owls O also has been on the upswing in recent weeks - other than bad game versus UTSA. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-30 East Carolina. 

Line: O/U 57 

T.M. Selection: Western Michigan - ATS

1) I like the Broncos to get the solid win in this game against the Huskies on Wednesday, November 6th. I will grab the +2 points here but I am expecting the outright win of course! This is an interesting line considering how the line has flipped from Western Michigan as the favorite to now Northern Illinois! I am not falling for the trap line as the Huskies have the better defense but the Broncos offense as well as home field makes all the difference here. 

2) Western Michigan has won 4 straight games and scored an average of 45 points in the 4 victories. They are riding sky high right now. The Huskies off B2B losses and have averaged only 19 points scored last 7 games.  

3) This is a double revenge spot including Northern Illinois rolling to a 24-0 win over the Broncos last week. This Western Michigan team rolling with confidence and a strong offense right now and these are key factors heading into this game. The books know this too and that is why this game was originally priced with Western Michigan as the favorite. The betting masses may be fooled on this one but we won't! The Broncos are the bet here!

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Western Michigan  

Line: +2

T.M. Selection: Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas game on Tuesday. The Falcons are a heavy favorite here and are rolling right now with a 3-1 start in MAC action. Bowling Green has one ugly loss in MAC action this season but in their other 7 games on the year, the Falcons have scored an average of 30 ppg! The Chippewas are off a bad road loss but should fare much better on their home field for this one. Central Michigan only scored 7 points at Miami, Ohio but this was after the Chips averaged 34.5 ppg in 4 games preceding that ugly effort. At home this season Central Michigan has scored at least 22 points in all 4 games and has averaged 37.5 ppg scored at home. Chips allowing 34.5 ppg last 7 games. Some rain in the area this evening but not too much wind at Mount Pleasant for this one. Tyler Jefferson off a tough game at QB for the Chippewas last week but the new starter, due to injuries to others, has completed 11 of 17 passes in his two appearances at home. Also, the Falcons defense allowed over 400 yards of offense in their win at Toledo last week. BG will score just fine here but C. Mich. hangs around and the points will reflect that! 

T.M. Prediction: 37-23 Bowling Green. 

Line: O/U 48 

T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Panthers vs SMU Mustangs - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Pittsburgh Panthers at SMU Mustangs game on Saturday. The Panthers are a PERFECT 7-0 this season but will have their hands full here with this Mustangs offense at SMU. If you look at the Mustangs last 9 home games, they went 8-1 SU and averaged scoring an incredible 55.4 ppg in those 8 victories. That is NOT total points per game for BOTH teams. That is the average points scored by SMU which shows you just how potent this offense is at home. The Panthers, though likely to struggle on defense, should get their offense rolling against a Mustangs D that has allowed at least 27 points in 3 of last 5 games and allowed an average of 32 points in those 3 games. The Pitt offense had one dud against California this season but has scored an average of 44.8 points per game in their other 6 games! Both teams rank well defensively this season too but there is just too much offensive firepower on this Mustangs team and it is going for force the Panthers into a shootout in this game and getting well into the 60+ range should not be a problem as you can see from the numbers above. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-30 SMU. 

Line: O/U 56 

T.M. Selection: Texas A & M Aggies - Moneyline

1) I like the Texas A & M Aggies to win this game against the South Carolina Gamecocks on Saturday, November 2nd. The line is in the -3 to -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -155 range.

2) The Aggies, from a yardage standpoint, have the much better offense in this match-up. The defenses rate nearly equal. Also, Texas A & M has shown a knack for winning tighter, tougher games while the Gamecocks always seem to find a way to lose these types of games. That is a big part of the reason Texas A & M is 7-1 this season and 5-0 in the SEC while South Carolina is only 4-3 this season plus has a losing record in the SEC. 

3) Look for the South Carolina defense to struggle here with a dual threat QB in this one. After the Aggies switched to Reed at QB against LSU last week that changed everything in that game. Also, the Gamecocks got a couple defensive TDs to get a huge lead in their win over Oklahoma before the bye week. The Aggies pull away as this game goes along and will go all out with a bye week on deck. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Texas A & M.

Line: -154 

T.M. Selection: Georgia State Panthers vs Connecticut Huskies - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Georgia State Panthers vs Connecticut Huskies game on Friday. The Panthers are on a 4-game losing streak but have scored an average of 23.5 ppg last 6 games. Georgia State has allowed at least 31 points in 5 of 7 games this season. When you see numbers like this coupled with the fact this game is at Connecticut, you can see why this total is set far too low. The Huskies are off a 17-10 low-scoring win but this followed a 6-game stretch in which they averaged scoring 36.3 ppg! The last couple games being lower-scoring for UConn has resulted in a low total here and I will take advantage. The Panthers also made a QB switch to Gibson last week and he expect even more from him in his expected 2nd straight start under center now. Huskies have had either a 130-yard rusher or 260-yard passer in 3 straight games and they will get it done both on the ground and through the air against a mediocre Georgia State defense. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-26 Connecticut. 

Line: O/U 48 

T.M. Selection: New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers game on Tuesday. The Panthers are off a low-scoring loss but they played a tough Sam Houston team. That was a 10-7 defeat after FIU had scored average of 29 points last 6 games. New Mexico State is off a rare win which sets this up well because Aggies confidence will be up after the double OT win. NM St scored 24 prior to OT in that game and they have averaged 26 ppg last 3 games (excluding OT points). The Aggies are having a rough season because of defense as they have allowed 39.5 ppg last 6 games. With numbers like these you can see why this total is far too low. There has been over-reaction to the FIU loss by a 10-7 final last week and the result is extreme line value here which is why I am going big in this one!  

T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Florida International. 

Line: O/U 43.5 

T.M. Selection: Michigan Wolverines - ATS

1) I like the Wolverines to get the solid win and cover in this game against the Spartans on Saturday, October 26th. The line has come crashing down to 3.5 after being up near double digits originally! Do the markets really believe the oddsmakers were that far off of reality on this one from the get go? 

2) This massive line move simply does not make sense. The coaching edge here would go to the Spartans and certainly Michigan State is a much improved team. However, this team does not have the talent level that the Wolverines have. Michigan is still one of the top programs in the country from a recruiting and talent perspective while the Spartans are still rebuilding!

3) Though these teams are each 4-3 on the season, Michigan is 4-1 at home this season with their only loss to a very strong Texas team! The Spartans are 1-2 on the road this season and they went 0-2 this season against ranked teams with the losses by an average margin of 26 points. The Wolverines did beat a ranked USC team this season. Also, Jack Tuttle should be better at QB at home and in what will now be his 3rd game under center and first time in B2B weeks this season. The consistency helps him plus the Wolverines ground game is a big edge in this one.     

T.M. Prediction: 24-14 Michigan.

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: Maryland Terrapins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Maryland Terrapins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers game on Saturday. The Terrapins have a bye week on deck and the Gophers are coming off a bye week. From a situational standpoint, the set up here is ideal for solid point production. Maryland has allowed 36 ppg last 3 games. The Terrapins have averaged scoring 29.6 ppg this season. This total is set too low given numbers like these because take a look at Minnesota as well. The Golden Gophers have averaged scoring 26.3 ppg last 6 games. Minnesota has allowed an average of 23 ppg. Each of the last 5 meetings between these teams topped 50 points and many of them crushed that number! Look for another easy over here as, given the numbers above, expecting both teams to get close to the 30-point range is certainly not a big ask. The high-scoring trend between these teams continues in this season's match-up. Beautiful weather at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis for this one.  

T.M. Prediction: 32-26 Minnesota. 

Line: O/U 46.5 

T.M. Selection: Louisville Cardinals - ATS

1) I like the Cardinals to get the solid win and cover in this game against the Eagles on Friday, October 25th. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team as a big underdog as Boston College is getting as much as 7.5 out there but we can find some 7 on the favorite, even with a little extra juice, and it is well worth it. In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Louisville has been rolling and is so strong on offense in comparison with a sputtering Boston College offense. The Eagles are a big step down from the program they were in some of their better recent seasons. The Cardinals are the stronger team and this BC team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. The Eagles off 2 straight losses with the last 2 each by 10+ points!

3) Boston College has averaged only 21 ppg in their 6 games against FBS teams this season. Louisville has scored 37.4 ppg this season! The Cardinals have lost 3 of 4 but 2 of those defeats were against ranked teams. They are off a 52-45 loss to #6 Miami and will respond immediately here I am sure. Boston College was down 28-0 at half in their loss last week. Ironically they also trailed Louisville by 28 points at the half when these teams met last season as well. More of the same in this one. Road team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Louisville.

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: Syracuse Orange vs Pittsburgh Panthers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Syracuse Orange vs Pittsburgh Panthers game on Thursday. Both teams known for some high-scoring offensive production but this has elevated this total. Now you have a match-up of two top teams in the ACC that respect each others offense here. That means part of the game plan will be running the ball plenty on offense or going with short middle routes and quick dump off passes (effectively also running plays) as these teams want to keep the clock running. Why play this way? They each fear the others offense. So the emphasis will be ball control and clock management on offense to churn up clock in hopes of not allowing the opponent's offense too much time on the field here. Of course something will have to give but the point is that this is likely to be more of a tighter low-scoring game than many are expecting. Both teams have solid running games and respectable run defenses so watch this battle unfold in the trenches. Don't make the mistake of just looking at point totals these teams have produced this season, think of how the game planning will impact this battle of strong teams. Easy under here! The Orange, other than an OT game versus UNLV, have allowed 21.4 ppg this season. The Panthers, other than a high-scoring win over West Virginia, ironically have also allowed 21.4 ppg in their other 5 games this season! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Pittsburgh. 

Line: O/U 62.5 

T.M. Selection: Kennesaw State - ATS

1) I like the Owls to stay within a 2 to 3 TD margin in this game against Liberty on Wednesday, October 23rd. This is a perfect setup based on recent results leading to VALUE!

2) Kennesaw State is 0-6 this season but other than a blowout loss to Jacksonville State, they have allowed just 26 ppg in their other 5 games this season and yet 26 is the line on this game! We should not need many points from the Owls to cover this spread as they have allowed 34 points or less in 5 of 6 games this season.  

3) The Owls will come to play here. They were embarrassed in their most recent home game and don't want to get embarrassed again. Liberty is 5-0 this season but the Flames have not been as dominant as that record might make one believe. Liberty has not won a game by more than an 18 point margin this season and their average margin of victory has been 12 points. The Flames also have game on deck with Jacksonville State and those Gamecocks have been surging and are undefeated so far in CUSA just like Liberty. The Flames will get caught looking ahead here.     

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Liberty

Line: +26

T.M. Selection: LSU Tigers - Moneyline

1) I like the LSU Tigers to win this game against the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday, October 19th. The line is in the -2.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -135 range.

2) The line is begging you to take home dog Arkansas off a bye week but I am not falling for it. The Tigers are building up momentum off an OT win last week and they also went on the road earlier this season and won at South Carolina after trailing by 17 in that game. LSU has already shown they can battle through adversity to win tight games late and that makes them a solid choice again on the SEC road in this one.  

3) Big match-up edge when you compare the passing attacks of these two teams! Razorbacks Green has 5 TD and 5 INT while Tigers Nussmeier has 18 TD against 6 INT. Road team pulls away in the 2nd half of this game as that passing attack proves to be too much. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-23 LSU Tigers.

Line: -135 

T.M. Selection: Texas A & M / Mississippi State OVER.

I am on the OVER in the Texas A & M vs. Mississippi State game on Saturday. The Aggies have won 5 straight games and averaged 34.6 ppg and they can top that here against a bad Bulldogs defense. The Mississippi State defense ranks as one of the least efficient defenses in the nation. Teams score quickly on them and when they don't, they still end up scoring anyway and Mississippi State gets weakened by long drives that decimates the energy of a struggling defense. The Bulldogs have lost 5 straight games and allowed an average of 38.4 ppg. They will not be able to stop the powerful ground game of the Aggies here. However, Mississippi State just put up 31 on Georgia and also, in most recent home game the Bulldogs scored 28 points. The Dogs do have a decent passing attack and will be able to move the ball well at home here and yet the Aggies are a huge favorite here and are one of the top teams in the country. Mississippi State surely get theirs here but they will not be able to stop the Texas A & M offense. Therefore, I like the OVER in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 41-24 Texas A & M 

T.M. Selection: BYU Cougars - ATS

1) I like the Cougars to get the solid win in this game against the Cowboys on Friday, October 18th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog and visiting a team that they were actually favored by 17 against them when they faced them last season! My how things can change in the course of just one year. What a line swing! In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Brigham Young has been rolling and is so strong on defense in comparison with a horrible Cowboys defense. Oklahoma State is a big step down from the program they have been in recent seasons. The Cougars are the stronger team and this OSU team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. The Cowboys off 3 straight losses with the last 2 each by 21+ points!

3) Oklahoma State can't stop anyone on the ground and struggle to stop them through the air as well. Also, the BYU pass D has been great - among the best in the nation. Brigham Young is 6-0 SU and ATS this season and when at home they have won all 3 games by 21+ points! I expect another blowout in this one. Home team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 37-16 Brigham Young.

Line: -9

T.M. Selection: Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State game on Wednesday. Sam Houston State is 5-1 this season and their defense has impressed in the majority of games. In those 4 games (out of 6) this season, the Bearkats have allowed an average of 15 ppg. Western Kentucky is battling with the Kats among the top teams in early CUSA standings this season and it continues here with a better game defensively than most are expecting. This is a key battle at the top of the standings so defensive intensity will be up. Ever since getting blown out by Alabama, as expected, in their season opener, the Hilltoppers have allowed an average of just 16 points per game. Western Kentucky has not allowed more than 21 points in any of those 5 games. That trend continues here in a tight low-scoring battle. The Bearkats like to run on offense and that helps an under. Toppers are more of a passing team but the SHSU defense has been solid in terms of passing yardage allowed this season. Easy under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-19 Sam Houston State. 

Line: O/U 56.5 

T.M. Selection: Troy @ South Alabama - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars game on Tuesday. The under has cashed in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these SBC foes. However, that is keeping this total too low because things look much different entering this season's match-up! The Trojans are off a loss where they scored only 16 points but they actually had over 450 yards of offense in that game! South Alabama also off a loss and it was a 38-17 defeat in which they allowed over 450 yards of offense. The Jaguars defense is vulnerable but they are favored by 2 TDs here at home! Also, their QB has a 12-1 ratio and the trio of Trojans QBs have combined for a 9-1 ratio. I am fading the downward move on this total and love the line value here because of the series history between these foes. This year is different! 

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 South Alabama. 

Line: O/U 54.5

T.M. Selection: Minnesota - ATS

1) I like the Gophers to get the solid win in this game against the Bruins on Saturday, October 12th. The line looks like a trap line to take home team as an underdog and hosting a team off a hard-fought win over a tough USC team. In terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) Minnesota has a bye week on deck and they know they can rest up next week. That said, even off the late game win over Southern Cal last week, there will be not let up from the Gophers here on the road. They are the stronger team and this UCLA team has been consistently losing by a solid margin. 

3) The Bruins have played a tough schedule but the Gophers also have played a tough schedule in recent weeks. Also, the only UCLA win is over Hawaii. The Warriors are a team that is just 2-3 on the season and the only 2 wins were over FCS schools as Hawaii is 0-3 versus FBS teams! UCLA throws more than they run and the Gophers pass D has been great. Road team rolls here!    

T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Minnesota.

Line: -3.5

T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Panthers - Moneyline 

1) I like the Pitt Panthers to win this game against the California Bears on Saturday, October 12th. The line is in the -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -152 range.

2) California in a very tough spot as not only traveling so far east for this one, they are off a tremendously demoralizing loss at home to Miami last week. Cal led the Canes by 20 points in the 4th quarter of that game yet found a way to lose! The Panthers are 5-0 this season and coming off another big win as they got past North Carolina last week and outgained them by over 100 yards. 

3) The Panthers also have a bye week on deck so they are fully focused here. Cal is 3-2 this season and one of the wins over an Auburn team that is now 2-4 this season plus the Bears also lost to a Florida State team that is now 1-5 this season. Great situation here and value line for us!

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Pittsburgh. 

Line: -152 

T.M. Selection: Northwestern @ Maryland - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Northwestern Wildcats @ Maryland Terrapins game on Friday. Maryland has revenge from last season's meeting. They also have a potent offense that is one of the top 20 in the nation in terms of offensive plays per game so they do play fast. Terrapins passing attack has been strong and that is always good news for an over. Northwestern just gave up a ton of yardage in their loss last week while Maryland enters this game off a bye. The Wildcats passing attack looked much better last week as they made a change at QB and it paid off. This total is too low but was set this way based on historical Northwestern data. They are not playing the same way now and they also will be forced to play catch-up here on offense as their defense can not stop this Maryland aerial attack and I look for the points to pile up in this one because of this.  

T.M. Prediction: 34-24 Maryland. 

Line: O/U 45.5

T.M. Selection: Central Florida - Moneyline 

1) I like the Central Florida Knights to win this game against the Florida Gators on Saturday, October 5th. The line is in the -1.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -115 to -120 range as the likelihood the 1 point factor comes into play is quite slim but I do not want to risk losing this play if UCF wins by only 1 point.

2) Revenge game from the last meetings as Florida lost that one. However, revenge can be over-played and of course Central Florida wants this early season big battle just as much. The Knights did not look good against Colorado last week but they actually outgained the Buffaloes yet still ended up losing the game big. That insures proper focus here and they catch the Gators off a bye week but Florida has shown some weaknesses early this season in particular with run defense.     

3) You can see how strong this UCF offense is by the fact they have gained more yardage against every opponent this season that the opponent has allowed in any other game this season! The Knights will attack this struggling Florida defense. I expect the Knights to respond after the loss to the Buffaloes in which they perhaps overlooked Colorado and were thinking ahead to this game. This means a little more to UCF as the little brother in the state compared to teams like Florida State and Florida. The Gators bigger concern, on the other hand, is SEC action. Road team rolls! 

T.M. Prediction: 35-27 Central Florida. 

Line: -115

T.M. Selection: Michigan/Washington OVER.

1) I look for the Wolverines and Huskies to give us more offense than most are expecting in this one Saturday.

2) Will Rogers already has a 10-0 ratio at QB for Washington this season. I know the Michigan QB is not having the same level of success and is, in fact, struggling. However, the Wolverines ground game is going to give the Husky D some struggles and this will open up the ground game. 

3) With this being a Big Ten battle featuring two strong teams that are not allowing a lot of points, I do respect the betting markets as it relates to the low total here. However, it is simply too low when you consider the game-breakers each team has in terms of offensive weapons. 

4) Other than a game against a superior Longhorns team this season, Michigan has scored at least 27 in all 4 games. Washington has scored an average of 30 points in their 3 home games. 30-27 is what I am projecting here and look for more big play success than most anticipate here.  

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Washington.

T.M. Selection: SYR vs UNLV - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Syracuse vs UNLV game on Friday. I don't expect either offense to be too comfortable in this one, especially early on. The Orange are playing their first road game of the season and UNLV has allowed only 14 ppg this season. The Rebels have Williams at QB now and the transfer QB did play well last week in his first action. However, now there is film on him operating in this UNLV offense and I expect Syracuse to be fully prepared for stopping him. Of course Williams was not the original starter here for a reason. The Orange have allowed only 22.5 ppg this season. I look for both offenses to struggle a bit given the situational factors here. UNLV should look to run plenty to keep Williams comfortable at QB and not put too much pressure on him. Syracuse does have a former Ohio State QB under center here and he has played well but in the first road game of the year for the Orange, they also could play it conservative and focus heavily on the ground game in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 UNLV. 

Line: O/U 58.5 

T.M. Selection: Alabama Crimson Tide - Moneyline 

1) I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to win this game against the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday, September 28th. The line is in the +1 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the +105 to -105 range as the likelihood the 1 point factor comes into play is quite slim.

2) Revenge game from SEC Championship Game as Georgia lost that one. However, revenge can be over-played and of course Alabama wants this early season big battle just as much. The Bulldogs did not look good against Kentucky two weeks ago. Crimson Tide also coming off a bye week and has looked consistently strong in all 3 games this season and the Bulldogs showed some weaknesses in that Kentucky match-up.    

3) For a few years in recent seasons Georgia truly supplanted Alabama as the beasts in the SEC but the Crimson Tide are showing all the signs they are ready to do something about that and having them in a "pick" price range here is a huge value. I will take advantage! Officially Bama is the small dog here at the time of this writing and the dog has covered 9 of last 12 meetings. The pass D of Alabama has been great this season - tops in the land - and the Georgia D line has been dealing with injuries to two starters. Even if they play they may not be 100% here!

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Alabama. 

Line: +105

T.M. Selection: North Carolina/Duke OVER.

1) I look for the Tar Heels and Blue Devils to give us some shoddy defense in this one Saturday.

2) North Carolina just allowed 70 points to James Madison last week! The Blue Devils have some good numbers on defense early this season but now face the first true test of the season and it is a tough one as the Tar Heels gained over 600 yards last week against the Dukes! They will move the ball at ease again this week at Duke. 

3) UNC has dominated in this series and will have no troubles moving the ball but they are an underdog here because their defense has major shortcomings. This will allow Duke to trade scores with the Heels throughout and I expect a shootout here. 

4) The Blue Devils averaging 31 ppg this season. The Tar Heels averaging 44 ppg last 3 games.   

T.M. Prediction: 35-32 Duke.

T.M. Selection: Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Moneyline 

1) I like the Rutgers Scarlet Knights to win this game against the Washington Huskies on Friday, September 27th. The line is in the -1.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -125 range.

2) Washington in a very tough travel spot coming all the way across the country for this one! This is one of the problems with being in the Big Ten now instead of the Pac-12. 

3) The Huskies lost to Washington State already this season and this Rutgers team is stronger than most realize and had a 2 TD lead in their eventual win by a FG margin at Virginia Tech last week. The Scarlet Knights, when favored by single digits, are 7-2 ATS last 9 times. I am laying the price with confidence here. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Rutgers. 

Line: -125

T.M. Selection: Southern Cal - ATS

1) I like the Trojans to get the solid win in this game against the Wolverines on Saturday, September 21st. The line looks like a trap line to take home team in the Big House as an underdog and I am not falling for it!

2) USC is rested as they are coming off an early season bye week and they have looked strong already this season including on defense. 

3) Michigan is likely starting a dual-threat QB but I trust this Southern Cal defense to hold him and the Wolverines offense in check in this one. USC has looked much better early this season than Michigan plus they have the rest edge here. Texas made the Wolverines look bad here at home a few weeks ago and I expect similar dominance here.   

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 USC

Line: -4

T.M. Selection: Arizona State @ Texas Tech - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders game on Saturday, September 21st. Big 12 battle and I expect plenty of points here. The only game that Texas Tech did not score well was at Washington State. However, they piled up tons of yardage in that game and the Red Raiders certainly should have scored many more points than they did in that one. That is helping to keep this total lower than it should be because the Red Raiders defense is not great but their offense is even better than most realize. The Sun Devils have a dual threat QB and have also put up big points early this season. With the line ticking down a bit from low 60s to upper 50s we now have even more value than originally expected and that is why I am now going with one of my biggest plays of the season here. ASU has scored at least 30 in all 3 games and the Red Raiders averaging 45 ppg this season. The Sun Devils allowed over 400 yards to Texas State last week and the Red Raider defense has some issues as well this season which is the norm for the Red Raiders. I look for this to result in more points than most are expecting here. My numbers have this one getting to the low 70s rather than upper 50s and I am going with a Best Bet here. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Texas Tech. 

Line: O/U 58

T.M. Selection: Illinois @ Nebraska - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Illinois Illini @ Nebraska Cornhuskers game on Friday, September 20th. This total was expected to be low as these teams have this history and this includes in their most recent meetings as well. However, I feel the offenses have more confidence than usual heading into this one and I have also noticed some sharp books are keeping this one a little bit on the higher side of the total in terms of the posted number. The Huskers have scored 34 ppg this season! The Illini have scored 33 ppg this season! Even though these two teams are known more for defense this honestly could be the toughest offensive unit either side has faced thus far. I look for this to result in more points than most are expecting here. My numbers have this one getting to the low 50s rather than low 40s and I am going with a Best Bet here. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Nebraska. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Kentucky - ATS

1) I like the Wildcats to stay within a 2 to 3 TD margin in this game against Georgia on Saturday, September 14th. This is a perfect setup based on recent results leading to VALUE!

2) Kentucky looked horrible last week at South Carolina but absolutely can be better and they have a solid defense! As strong as Georgia is, they shocked Clemson with how they dominated in Week 1 but then did face a weak FCS school last week. Now they are over-value and over-confident.  

3) The Wildcats will come to play here. They were embarrassed last week but are at home and don't want to get embarrassed again. The Kentucky defense is good enough to keep them in this game and the offense will pull out a few trick plays here to catch the Bulldogs defense off guard. Georgia will eventually pull away but I see this game being much closer than the line suggests as recent results have over-inflated the line in this situation. Georgia best team in country but Kentucky will be treating this like their "super bowl" early this season.     

T.M. Prediction: 29-17 Georgia

Line: +23.5

T.M. Selection: Kansas State - ATS

1) I like Kansas State to get the solid win in this game against Arizona on Friday, September 13th. The line looks like a trap line to take a ranked Arizona team getting a full TD on the spread in this one and I am not falling for it!

2) Kansas State dominated Tennessee Martin in Week 1 and, though their Week 2 win was tight they faced a respectable Tulane team. 

3) Unlike Kansas State, Arizona has not yet faced a respectable team as they faced a New Mexico team that is horrible defensively and then an FCS school last week that has been struggling in recent seasons. It is concerning that Arizona only scored 22 points on Northern Arizona last week and also allowed 39 points to New Mexico in Week 1. So here we take advantage of the line value.  

T.M. Prediction: 38-21 Kansas State

Line: -7

T.M. Selection: Arizona State @ Texas State - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas State Bobcats game on Thursday. Look for a back and forth battle here. The Bobcats offense looked so strong, especially the passing game, in their win over UTSA last week. The Sun Devils offense was up against an SEC defense last week and yet they were able to run all over them. ASU, off the win over Mississippi State, also enters this game with plenty of momentum. The points fly again here as each teams strength on offense is different and each team's defense will be unable to stop it. Arizona State did allow a lot of passing yards to the Bulldogs last week but their solid ground game can attack this Bobcats defense with success as well. Strong Texas State QB helps turn this into a back and forth score-fest and I love the over here!

T.M. Prediction: 35-34 Arizona State. 

Line: O/U 59.5 

T.M. Selection: Virginia - ATS

1) I like the Cavaliers to get the solid win in this game against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, September 7th. I will grab the +1.5 points here but I am expecting the outright win of course! This is an interesting line considering Wake Forest has won 5 straight meetings! I am not falling for the trap. Virginia breaks that skid here.

2) I like what I saw from young QB Anthony Colandrea in the Virginia win over Richmond last week. Wake Forest is also off a win albeit against NC AT & T. The Cavaliers have the more experienced team and that is especially important early in the season.

3) I am looking for Virginia to improve to 8-3 ATS the last 11 times they have been in the underdog role! The Cavaliers were up by 20 last week in the 2nd quarter and then just cruised the rest of the way. I believe the Cavs defense is better than most realize and that can be key in going on the road and winning in a tough environment. The books know this too and that is why this game is priced this way. The betting masses may be fooled on this one but we won't! The Cavs are the bet here!

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Virginia

Line: +1.5

T.M. Selection: LSU - ATS

1) I like the Tigers to get the solid win by a margin in this game against the Trojans on Sunday, September 1st. The line was around a touchdown and has dropped big and I am taking the reduced line now on offer here - laying only 4 points.

2) Well, truth be told, LSU will have some early season growing pains on defense but this offense looks stacked because of a solid offensive line and they have restocked at the skill positions too. I know that the Tigers have lost 4 straight season openers and USC has not lost a season opener in almost a decade but that is why one should not question what the odds makers did here.  

3) LSU was installed as a solid favorite and this is absolutely not a bad line by the odds makers. It is an indication actually that the Tigers will not be denied here in Las Vegas for this neutral site game! The Tigers do have a lot of new players on defense, including on the defensive line, but these are talents that will quickly fit right in. I am looking for the favorite to prove to be the better team on both sides of the ball. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-28 LSU

Line: -4

T.M. Selection: New Mexico @ Arizona - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Mexico Lobos @ Arizona Wildcats game on Saturday. New Mexico just gave up over 500 yards to an FCS school. They will not be able to stop this Wildcats team. Arizona has a strong offense and will march right through the Lobos as that high-scoring tight loss for them last week was in New Mexico too. Now they have to go on the road and try to stop an even more talented team. This will not end well for them and NM is a 30 point dog with good reason. The Wildcats will not slow down offensively here as they pile up points at home but their weakness is the defense. The Lobos showed enough last week on offense (they did have defensive scores too) that I am sure they will move the ball quite well here too against a Wildcats defense that is a weak link on the team. Arizona scored an average of 39 ppg in winning 7 straight to wrap up last season and now they face a defense that is well-below average here! The Cats did allow 23 ppg over their last 9 last season and I love the over here!

T.M. Prediction: 48-21 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 58.5 

T.M. Selection: Notre Dame - ATS

1) I like the Irish to get the upset in this game against the Texas A & M Aggies on Saturday, August 31st. I am taking the available points on offer here - 3 points - but am expecting Notre Dame to get the road win. 

2) Well, truth be told, the Fighting Irish will have some early season growing pains on offense but this defense looks stacked. Notre Dame is so strong with what they have built defensively here that all the pressure will be on the Aggies at home as the fave and A & M just can't do enough on offense here.  

3) Texas A & M brought back Wiegman at QB but he missed much of last season due to injury and this Aggies offense continues to struggle to find its form (against quality teams!) year after year and especially with 3 new starters on the offensive line. Irish allowed 23 points or less in 10 of 13 games last season and allowed an average of just 11.9 points in those 10 games. Aggies allowed 30 points or more in 4 of their games last season including each of the last two. Value with the points here with consideration to the better defense! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Notre Dame.

Line: +3

T.M. Selection: Michigan State - ATS

1) I like the Spartans to win this game in blowout fashion against the Florida Atlantic Owls on Friday, August 30th. Michigan State definitely out with something to prove this season and they will want to begin their payback tour immediately at home. 

2) Well, truth be told, it is absolutely a new era in East Lansing with new head coach Jonathan Smith. He was with Oregon State and the Beavers had incredible ATS runs in home games with him at the helm there. He has the Spartans looking focused and ready coming into this season and I want to cash in on this. 

3) Florida Atlantic brought in a transfer QB from Marshall for this season. Fancher is going to take some time to work into the new system here and I was not crazy about him with the Thundering Herd either. This Owls team just does not have enough offense to keep up against a focused Big Ten team in need of a statement win in their home opener. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-13 Michigan State.

Line: -12.5  

T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina @ Jacksonville State - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks game on Thursday. We are seeing a big drop in the markets on this total since it first opened up in the 60 range. Much has been made of the QB situation for each team with Coastal Carolina bringing in someone new and Jacksonville State having a returnee at QB but with doubts about how well he can produce for them. This is leading to excellent value here because the ground game ability of each offense is not receiving the credit it should here and also these are not exactly a pair of defensive powerhouse groups we are talking about here. The defenses also each had some key player losses from last season as well. I am grabbing the big line value after this strong downward move on the total. 

T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Jacksonville State. 

Line: O/U 54.5 

T.M. Selection: SMU/Nevada OVER.

1) I look for the Mustangs and Wolfpack to give us some shoddy defense in this one Saturday.

2) Nevada is projected to be one of the worst teams in the nation this season and a sub-par defense is going to carry some blame for that for sure. Also, the Wolfpack offense was very bad last season and that will be their focus heading into the season. They need more point production. 

3) SMU is a massive 4-touchdown favorite here and will be looking to put on a clinic but the Wolfpack should be able to do enough to help push this over the total as well. My numbers have the huge dogs getting to the 20-point range and, based on the big line on this game, that projects to a 47-20 game which gets us well over the number here. 

4) The Mustangs averaged in the upper 30s for points last season and will take advantage of facing a bad team here. They also averaged about 450 yards per game last season and will air it out here and as the passing game opens up when facing one of the weakest run defense units around. Nevada will look to show some improvement on offense and should do that but the Wolfpack defense will continue to be exploited.   

T.M. Prediction: 47-20 SMU.

T.M. Selection: TEX @ WAS - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies game on Monday, January 1st. I'm expecting an epic Semi Final battle between two offenses that are more than capable of exploding. The conference championship games showed us what they could really do as they both dominated offensively. This should be the more exciting game between the two Semi's and it could go for 80+ points easily. I've been a fan of both teams all season long. This line could move up even more so hop on it ASAP. 5% MAX bet on the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-35 Washington. 

Line: O/U 64.0 

Line Parameter: play until 65.5.. 

T.M. Selection: MISSOU - ATS 

I like the Missouri Tigers to win this game against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Friday, December 29th. As injuries have pilled up and opt outs have been recorded, the line has came down significantly. Having seen that, I think that the value is still on the Missouri Tigers. They were one of the best teams in the best conference this season and have yet to show any signs of real weakness. OSU will be without the QB they started all season and could be without Marvin Harrison Jr (nobody knows yet.) The Tigers lost by single digits @UGA and lost a thriller against LSU. The Buckeyes are still sour about their loss against Michigan and that could carry on into this game. Brady Cook will explode on Friday evening and Missou will hand OSU their second loss of the year. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Missouri. 

Line: +6.0 

Line Parameter: play until ML.. 

T.M. Selection: Troy - ATS 

I like the Troy Trojans to win this game against the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Saturday, December 2nd. Although App State is a good football team, they are not nearly as good as the Trojans. Troy comes into this game having won nine straight games. These teams didn't play during the season, but Troy smells blood and is searching for a tenth straight victory. App State struggled and lost a few winnable games early on in the year. I don't think that they'll be able to move the ball at ease, like they have in previous weeks, against this very strong Troy defense. Hammer the team with the better record here. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Troy. 

Line: -4.5 

Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Fresno State - Moneyline 

I like the Fresno State Bulldogs to win this game against the San Jose State Spartans on Saturday, November 11th. Fresno St QB Mikey Keene got banged up in last weeks win. His availability could be up in the air which is the only reason I see why this line is so low. Fresno State is by far the better side and should still dominate even if Keene didn't play. San Jose State have won three games in a row but those were all against weaker opponents. The Bulldogs should be ranked in my opinion and I believe they could dominate in this game. This is the definition of a max rated bet and I'm hammering it this weekend. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-14 Fresno State. 

Line: -110 

Line Parameter: play until -140.. 

T.M. Selection: Central Michigan - ATS 

I like the Central Michigan Chippewas to win this game against the Western Michigan Broncos on Tuesday, November 7th. Both teams are coming off a loss.. But, the Chippewas own a much better record and I believe that they are the better team. Though CMU has been very bad on the road over the past few weeks, they still own a road win against USA which means they are more than capable of stealing one. It's quite evenly matched stat wise across the board but I'll take the extra points with the side with the better record here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-24 CMU. 

Line: +3.0 

Line Parameter: play until +1.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Mississippi - ML 

I like the Mississippi Rebels to win this game against the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday, November 4th. Even though I took A&M OVER 7.5 wins at the beginning of the season, I believe that Ole Miss is by far the better side. The Rebels have only suffered one loss this season to a very solid Alabama team. If they shock the world and upset UGA next week (which I wouldn't be surprised by,) I think they could make the playoff. But first, they must take care of business at home in this must win game. A&M's defense is still very young and I think Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart will be able to put up points with ease here today. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-14 Ole Miss. 

Line: -142 

Line Parameter: play until -190.. 

T.M. Selection: Marshall - ML 

I like the Marshall Thundering Herd to win this game against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers on Saturday, October 28th. After starting the year off with a 4-0 record, The Herd are now off three straight losses. However, this is still a very strong football team. Marshall's defense will be causing problems for Coastal all game as McCall (CCU's QB) is most likely going to be out. I expect Marshall's rush attack to dominate here today as well. I'll gladly take them just to win. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-17 Marshall. 

Line: -165 

Line Parameter: play until -200.. 

T.M. Selection: Rice - ATS 

I like the Rice Owls to win this game against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Thursday, October 19th. While both teams come into this game with a 3-3 record, I believe that Rice is the better of the two. Rice QB, JT Daniels, is very experienced and knowledgeable after originally starting his college career at USC and UGA. He's very solid this season averaging three touchdowns per int. On the other hand, Tulsa is turning the ball over like it's nothing. They've turned the ball over 16 times in six games and could be in for another rough game here. Rice should win this one outright, but I'll gladly take the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-26 Rice. 

Line: +3.5 

Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Duke - ML 

I like the Duke Blue Devils to win this game against the NC State Wolfpack on Saturday, October 14th. After losing their first game two weeks ago, the Blue Devils have had some time to re-group and figure things out before this game. NC State has looked good at times this year, but I don't believe that they have what it takes to beat this Duke team on the road. Duke is currently allowing more than 12 points less than NCST. Give me the Blue Devils with their home crowd behind them. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Duke. 

Line: -160 

Line Parameter: play until -199.. 

T.M. Selection: Oregon State - ATS 

I like the Oregon State Beavers to win this game against the California Golden Bears on Saturday, October 7th. Cal has played in some very close game this year. That is why this line is dropping. But, other than Washington, ORST is not like any team they've faced yet. In that Washington game, the Golden Bears were exposed. Expect them to be exposed in this one too. ORST defense will be too much for them to handle. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-14 Oregon State. 

Line: -7.0 

Line Parameter: play until -8.0..

T.M. Selection: KST @ OKST - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys on Friday, October 6th. Kansas State is a team that can put up points in bunches. Averaging 39.5 points per game, they are one of the nation's top offenses. On the other hand, OSU hasn't been very good offensively, but do own some weapons to boost their numbers. If they want a chance, they need at least 28 points in this one. I've got the OVER in what should be a big game from the Wildcats. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-23 Kansas St. 

Line: O/U 53.0 

Line Parameter: play until 54.5.. 

T.M. Selection: San Diego State Aztecs - ATS 

I like the San Diego State Aztecs to win this game against the Air Force Falcons on Saturday, September 28th. Record wise, Air Force is the much better looking team. Their perfect 4-0 record is impressive. However, the Aztecs come into this matchup battle tested as they've already played Ohio, UCLA, Oregon St & Boise St coming into this game. Air Force struggled in the first half last week, as they were trailing going into the 3rd qtr against SJST. The Aztecs are much more complete than the Spartans and could very well win this game outright. They should be able to neutralize this rushing attack of the Falcons. I'm hammering the +10 and a half points in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 23-19 SDST. 

Line: +10.5 

Line Parameter: play until +8.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Utah Utes - ATS 

I like the Utah Utes to win this game against the Oregon State Beavers on Friday, September 29th. Both of these teams play power “run the ball” football. In their toughest games of the season so far (last week,) Utah lived up to the challenge, and Oregon St looked confused. They managed to almost comeback, but the Beavers offense was completely shut down for most of that game. Even if Cam Rising doesn't play again, the Utes have plenty of talent on this football team. Nate Johnson is capable, and this defense is top tier. Give me the Utes plus the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-16 Utah. 

Line: +4.5 

Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Ohio State Buckeyes - Moneyline 

I like the Ohio State Buckeyes to win this game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday, September 24th. Both teams come into this super battle with a perfect record. Neither one of these teams have really had a tough game like this though. We've got the best WR in college football on one side, and a veteran QB on the other side who looks very comfortable in this new offense. Ohio State is one of my favorite teams this season. Kyle McCord, their QB, actually played High School Football with Marvin Harrison (the superstar WR.) The showed last week just how deadly they could be. I expect the Buckeyes to win this by at least a touchdown, even @ ND. It should be a good one but I'm hammering the Buckeyes now before the line moves even more!

T.M. Prediction: 35-24 OSU. 

Line: -175

Line Parameter: play until -235

T.M. Selection: GASO - ATS 

I like the Georgia Southern Eagles to win this game against the Ball State Cardinals on Saturday, September 23rd. Even though the Cardinals are coming off a big blowout win, they still haven't shown anything special yet. GASO coming in off a loss, but they kept it close with Wisconsin for a long time. Ball State's been tested more, but I expect the Eagles to show the country how good they really are here in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-22 Georgia Southern. 

Line: -6.0 

Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Georgia State Panthers @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers game on Thursday, September 21st. Considering how good Georgia State's defense has been at causing turnovers this season, this line is way too high. The Panthers held UCONN to only 14 points in what was an amazing game from their whole team. Looking at their offense, GAST relies heavily on the running game with Marcus Carroll. Coastal Carolina has seen two of their first three games stay UNDER the total. I expect the defenses to hold up in a huge game for both teams here this evening. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-23 Coastal Carolina. 

Line: O/U 62.5

Line Parameter: play until 61.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Mississippi Rebels game on September 16th. Ole Miss looks to have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation once again. Jaxson Dart is back and slinging the ball like it's nothing out there. Last week against Tulane's strong defense, he was still very solid. This week, he should be able to pick apart GT. The Yellow Jackets are more than capable of putting up points as well. They have now scored 82 points over the first two games. Expect a shootout here on Saturday. 

T.M. Prediction: 48-31 Ole Miss. 

Line: O/U 63.0 

Line Parameter: play until 64.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Florida - ATS 

I like the Florida Gators to win this game against the Tennessee Volunteers on September 16th. After losing in week one to the Utes, the Gators bounced back in a huge way against McNeese St last week. Now, they host Tennessee in what could turn into an absolute classic. Tennessee comes in having won both of their games. However, they struggled for a while against Austin Peay last week. They just aren't as explosive as last year and could get into some trouble against a top defense. Florida's defense looks fresh and look hungry to get back above .500 for the season. With this game being played at the Swamp in Gainesville, I'll take the extra touchdown any day of the week.  

T.M. Prediction: 29-24 Gators. 

Line: +7.0 

Line Parameter: play until +6.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Air Force - ATS 

I like the Air Force Falcons to win this game against the Utah State Aggies on Friday, September 15th. Although Air Force only scored 13 points last time out, they have still looked very good to start the year. Sam Houston State is playing some excellent defense, despite being 0-2. This week, Air Force is taking on USU. The Aggies are coming off a blowout win, but have already lost this year against Iowa. Iowa is a defensive team and don't necessarily blow out many team and they were still able to beat USU by double digits. Air Force's unique offense should be too overpowering for this Utah St team that only returns 9 of it's 22 starters from last year. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-13 Air Force. 

Line: -9.0

Line Parameter: play until -9.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS 

I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the California Golden Bears on September 9th. Cal looked good in Wk1, don't get me wrong. However, I believe that this line is a gift with how good Auburn is. The Tigers dominated UMASS in their opener and look to do the exact same thing this week. Auburn brought in former MSU QB Payton Thorne to start this season and he looked excellent. As I said early, Cal looked pretty good against UNT. But, they struggled in the first half defensively and that could be an issue in this one. They also won't be able to run the ball nearly as well as Auburn is strong in the trenches. Get the best line while you can as Auburn should dominate. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-17 Auburn. 

Line: -6.5 

Line Parameter: play until -9.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Texas - ATS 

I like the Texas Longhorns to win this game against the Alabama Crimson Tide on September 9th. In the past, I've been extremely high on Alabama each and every season. However, I believe that they are in for a long season this year. They've got some very tough games on their schedule and I just don't see how they will dominate the way that they have in the past with Milroe at QB. Texas, who went up against Bryce Young last year, should have won this matchup. Alabama got extremely lucky. This year, without Young, I expect them to be right back in it. This game could go either way, but I'm glad grabbing the extra touchdown and a half here. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Texas. 

Line: +7.5 

Line Parameter: play until +6.5.. 

T.M. Selection: KU - Moneyline 

I like the Kansas Jayhawks to win this game against the Illinois Fighting Illini on Friday. After losing Chase Brown to this past year's NFL Draft, I just don't see the Illini being that strong this year. Though they did look solid in their opening game against Toledo in a one score win. Kansas, who also won in week 1, didn't even have Jalon Daniels in their first game. I expect Daniels to be back for this game and for the Jayhawks to roll in this week 2 matchup. Hammer the home team here. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-23 Jayhawks. 

Line: -150  

Line Parameter: play until -195.. 

T.M. Selection: Florida State Seminoles - ATS 

I like the Florida State Seminoles to win this game against the Louisiana State Tigers on Sunday, Sep 3. These teams met last year in what was possibly the game of the year. FSU had the game in the bag and almost blew what was an almost guaranteed win. Jared Verse, FSU DLineman, had an insane game last year. I expect him to go crazy once again here. This year, both teams are improved, and both are National Title Contenders. Both teams will need to win some big games, but I think that the Noles will just be one step ahead here in the opener. They've got 17 returning starters compared to 15 and should get the job done. Give me FSU. 

T.M. Prediction: 33-23 Seminoles. 

Line: +2.5

Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) 

T.M. Selection: North Carolina - ML 

I like North Carolina to win this game against South Carolina on September 2nd. North Carolina is back and ready to show the world how good they are once again. Drake May was awesome last year after replacing Sam Howell. He looks to dominate against South Carolina here in this first game of the year. The Gamecoks were 8-5 last year, but have lost more than half of their starters from last season. Rattler is back in at QB and while many people are still high on him, I don't think he's all that. He's a turnover prone QB who panics under pressure. With this game being played in Charlotte at Bank of America stadium, I expect the Tar Heels to crush the Gamecocks. 

T.M. Prediction: 52-29 UNC. 

Line: -130 

Line Parameter: play until -160.. 

T.M. Selection: Western Kentucky - ATS 

I like the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win this game against the South Florida Bulls on September 2nd. Coming off a terrific 9-5 season, the Hilltoppers are back and ready to make another run for the CUSA title. They return their star QB and this offense is about to explode just like last season. South Florida was just 1-11 last season. They are slightly improved. However, it's going to take time for this group to mold together. I'm shocked that this line is so low, especially @WKU. Expect a Hilltoppers destruction here today. 

T.M. Prediction: 44-17 WKU. 

Line: -11.5 

Line Parameter: play until -13.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Louisville - ATS 

I like Louisville to win this game against Georgia Tech on September 1st. Although Georgia Tech was ok last year. However, I believe that they have taken yet another step backwards, especially on the defensive end. They've got a great coach in Key, but you need a lot more than a coach in a team sport. Louisville is back and ready to dominate this season. Even after losing Malik Cunningham, the Cardinals are looking sharp and primed for another 8+ win season. Even on the road in this opening game, I expect Louisville to get the job done and cruise to an easy week 1 victory. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-14 Louisville. 

Line: -7.0 

Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt - ATS 

I like the Vanderbilt Commodores to win this game against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Aug 26th. There isn't much to say about the stats for the first game of the year. However, this game has beatdown written all over it. Last season, when these two teams met, Vanderbilt took it to another level, winning the game 63-10. That game was played in Hawaii. Now the Rainbow Warriors, who are not very good on the road, travel all the way to Nashville to take them on again. Hawaii may be slightly better this season, but Vanderbilt should also be a bit better. SEC vs MVC. Give me the Commodores, in a blowout, in this Week 0 matchup. 

T.M. Prediction: 45-14 Commodores. 

Line: -17

Line Parameter: play until -19.0

T.M. Selection: Utah Utes - ML 

I like the Utah Utes to win this game against the Penn State Nittany Lions on Monday. While the Big Ten has already gotten exposed in the bowls, Utah is ready to dominate yet another B10 team in this one. With UofM and OSU both losing, Penn St is the best B10 school with a chance to go out with a win. But, they're going up against the back to back Pac 12 champs who have shown how dominant they are. The Utes took down the Heisman Winner and gave them the opportunity to play in this game. You know they are going to want to put on a show. Especially after having lost in this exact bowl game to OSU last season. Give me the Utes in blowout fashion in the Rose Bowl. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-21 Utah. 

Line: -115 

Line Parameter: play until -175.. 

T.M. Selection: OSU / UGA - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Ohio State Buckeyes vs Georgia Bulldogs game on Saturday. Many people may look at this contest and think points, points, points. However, the Bulldogs seem to always be in lower scoring games when the stakes are huge. Last season in the CFP Semis, Georgia held Michigan to just 11 points. They are once again in the playoff and I expect their defense to rise to the occasion once again. CJ Stroud will be without Henderson and Smith-Njigba once again in this game and that should help the UGA D. They'll shift their attention to Marvin Harrison Jr and Emeka Egbuka in this one. Expect a low scoring battle here.

T.M. Prediction: 29-23 UGA. 

Line: O/U 62.5 

Line Parameter: play until 61.0..