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T.M. Selection: Buckeyes / Fighting Irish - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Ohio State Buckeyes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish game on Monday, January 20th. Notre Dame is 14-1 this season and has scored at least 23 points in all 14 wins. Ohio State is 13-2 this season and scored at least 28 points in 12 of 15 games. This total is simply too low here. With all due respect to each one of these teams from a defensive viewpoint, the offenses are not getting the credit they deserve either. Although Ohio State has the better passing attack, the fact remains both of these teams are quite balanced offensively. Notre Dame as well as the Buckeyes both have solid ground games on offense. The rushing attack of each will open up opportunities for some bigger plays through the air. The last two meetings between these teams only totaled 31 points each in 2023 and 2022. But Ohio State has scored an average of 38 points in its last 6 wins and Notre Dame is averaging 37 ppg this season. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Ohio State. 

Line: O/U 45 

Line Parameter: play until 48.5...

T.M. Selection: Ravens / Bills - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens game on Sunday, January 19th. Of course it will be cold here but both teams are use to cold weather games. Also the snow, if any, is expected to be minimal. Additionally, the winds are expected to be very moderate for this one and likely just in the 10 mph range at the most. These are two incredible offensive units and I expect the points to fly. Unbelievably Josh Allen has a 30-6 ratio and that is not even the top mark among these two QBs! Lamar Jackson has a ridiculous 43-4 ratio! These are incredible numbers plus both teams have solid run games too. There is just not enough defense on either side to slow down these powerful units. Bills are averaging 34 ppg when at home this season. Ravens have won 5 straight and averaged 31 ppg during this run. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-30 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 50 

Line Parameter: play until 53.5...

T.M. Selection: Commanders / Lions - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders game on Saturday, January 18th. Detroit has scored an average of 40 ppg in the last 7 games on their home field! This Lions offense is a machine and particularly when at home! At the same time, prior to the 31-9 win over Minnesota in their regular season finale, the Lions had allowed 30 ppg in the 5 games before that. This Washington team comes in hot and with a dual-threat QB and the Commanders offense will give this Detroit D problems. However, I just don't see Washington getting many stops either. This one has shootout tendency written all over it. The Commanders have averaged scoring 28 ppg last 6 games including last week's playoff win. Washington has the offense to keep up here and hang around but I still see the Lions prevailing by near to what the line is in this one and that should put this one in the mid-60s as high-scoring games in Detroit continue to be the trend! Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-28 Detroit. 

Line: O/U 55.5 

Line Parameter: play until 58.5...

T.M. Selection: Vikings / Rams - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams game on Monday, January 13th. The Vikings QB Darnold should be much better here after the disaster at Detroit last week. His numbers over the course of the season tell the full story so don't let the result against Detroit lead you astray here. Minnesota is going to score plenty here but the issue is, can they stop the Rams? I highly doubt that. The Rams averaged 24 ppg in their 9 home games this season. Even though this one is at Arizona due to the fires in LA, it is a home game for the Rams and they are used to games here because of facing division foe Arizona here once a year. Rams put 30 when they hosted Minnesota this season. Now it is post-season time and the Vikings averaged 29 ppg in the most recent 7 games (part of a 9-game winning run) prior to the bad defeat at Detroit. Both teams can get to the upper 20s here and that puts this one into the mid-50s. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Minnesota. 

Line: O/U 47.5 

Line Parameter: play until 49.5...

T.M. Selection: Steelers / Ravens - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens game on Saturday, January 11th. The Ravens allowed only 15.4 ppg their last 7 games of this season and that included holding Pittsburgh under 20 points in both meetings. The Steelers allowed 20 or less points in 10 of 17 games this season. This included the 18-16 win over the Ravens a couple months ago. Historically the Steelers defense is known for giving the Baltimore offense trouble. At the same time, the Pittsburgh offense enters this game on a very bad run of results and I don't see that changing here. The Ravens defense was at its best during the stretch run to the season and they should continue to be the story here in this one. But the Steelers D shows up strong again here and this one plays out similar to the first meeting this season which totaled only 34 points. The difference this time is the Ravens should come out on top and win this by 10 points but it will be a grind of a game. The Steelers have averaged only 14.3 ppg in their current 4-game losing streak. 

Give me the UNDER. 

T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 44 

Line Parameter: play until 41.5...

T.M. Selection: Ohio State / Texas - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Texas Longhorns vs Ohio State Buckeyes game on Friday, January 10th. With how strong both of these defenses are, both of these offenses will struggle. Both defensive units are strong against the pass and I expect a lot of running play calls with both offensive units for this bowl game. We absolutely should see an emphasis on the rushing attack so the clock should be running for most of this game. Each defense is strong enough to hold their opponent to only a few scoring drives and, by that, I mean including field goals. The Longhorns, excluding OT points, have allowed an average of only 13.6 points per game this season. The Buckeyes are allowing only 12 ppg this season. Even if you had a TD to that number and evening adding 10 points to the Texas points allowed total, you still arrive at a 24-19 final. That is what I am calling for here, as you can see with my prediction below, and you can understand why this is such a strong play given the extra cushion we have with these numbers. Simply put, neither team has been giving up many points in almost all their games this season. Defensive struggle ensues here. Give me the UNDER. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-19 Ohio State. 

Line: O/U 53.5 

Line Parameter: play until 56.0...

T.M. Selection: Nittany Lions vs Broncos - OVER

I am on the OVER in the Penn State Nittany Lions vs Boise State Broncos game on Tuesday. The Nittany Lions favored by 11 but the speed of this Broncos offense is going to keep them in this game. I just don't see Penn State being able to fully slow them down. At the same time, the Nittany Lions offense is also a force to be reckoned with. Considering the weaker overall schedule Boise State faced, the Broncos defense is sure to struggle to stop this Penn State offense. The Nittany Lions have scored 38 ppg last 6 games and I expect them to reach that total again here. Penn State, prior to the big win over SMU, allowed 45 points to Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that Boise State scored 34 points against so the Broncos have already proven they can go "toe to toe" with the big boys in the nation. That said, I do expect Boise State's defense to have problems here like they did against Oregon and a few other teams early this season. But the Bronco State offense should make up for that with team speed and the best player, running back Jeanty, on the field in this one! 

T.M. Prediction: 38-27 Penn State

Line: O/U 53.5

T.M. Selection: Spartans vs Bulls - OVER

I am on the OVER in the San Jose State Spartans vs South Florida Bulls game on Tuesday. The Spartans have a strong passing attack and this will force the Bulls to keep up here. San Jose State scored 34 points in their season finale and though they had some lower-scoring efforts before that those two games were against ranked teams, UNLV and Boise State. The Spartans Eget has thrown for at least 385 yards in 3 of the last 4 games. San Jose State does not have much of a ground game so the passing attack will be the emphasis and that also equates to higher-scoring games. The Bulls won 4 of their last 6 games and South Florida averaged 39 ppg scored in those 6 games. 5 of those 6 games got to at least 60 points and this one, considering the passing attack of San Jose State, should push well past the 60 point mark as the pass defense of South Florida is a weakness. Overall the San Jose State defense is not great either and the Spartans are facing a balanced South Florida attack here.

T.M. Prediction: 39-35 San Jose State

Line: O/U 63.5

T.M. Selection: Packers vs Saints - UNDER

I am on the UNDER in the New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers game on Monday. 3 of last 4 Saints road games have totaled 39 points or less. Overall, in all games, the Saints have had 3 straight games total 39 points or less. A cold night in Green Bay won't help in achieving a lot of points either. The Saints allowing just 16.6 ppg last 5 games but their offense also will struggle against the Packers at Lambeau. Green Bay has won 4 of 5 games and allowed just 14.8 ppg in those 4 wins. This will be a fierce defensive battle as all signs certainly pointing that way. The Saints defense allowing under 325 ypg last 3 games and Packers allowing under 300 ypg in home games this season. New Orleans still without starting QB Carr and plus tons of injury issues at RB and WR also. Tough game here for both offenses. 

T.M. Prediction: 24-10 Green Bay

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Patriots vs Bills - OVER I am on the OVER in the New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. The weather will be cold but light winds and little to no snow means both teams should be able to score well here. The Bills defense has struggled last two games and the Patriots have enough on offense to make those struggles continue. The key here is the offense of the Bills is rolling and also known for being even stronger at home than on the road. I see this one featuring very little punting as both teams should move the ball well. Buffalo has scored 36 ppg last 8 games and is on an 8-1 run as they continue to steamroll teams on offense. On the defensive side, the Bills have allowed 31 ppg in 5 of their last 6 games as only 1 outlier (strong game versus 49ers) was in that stretch. The Patriots have averaged 20 ppg last 6 games but have allowed 29 ppg last 4 games and now face the highest scoring team in the league. The Bills will not let up here but Patriots, at 3-11, can also play with a "nothing to lose" attitude. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Buffalo Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: James Madison vs Western Kentucky - OVER I am on the OVER in the James Madison vs Western Kentucky game on Wednesday. The Dukes are favored by a TD here and that is with the knowledge of their QB situation. That is why I expect plenty of points here because the Hilltoppers starting QB is projected to play and this team can move the ball consistently well for long stretches. I look for that to be the case in this game and that will force James Madison to respond and they still have the talent on offense to do so. The Dukes rushing attack will give the rather weak Western Kentucky defense issues here. The Dukes - and I am excluding the Double-OT points from season finale - averaged scoring 33 points per game this season. The Hilltoppers gave up 52 points in their most recent game and this followed an 8-3 run with Western Kentucky scoring 29 points a game on average in those 11 games. With numbers like this I am all over the value with this total coming down to near 50 after being in the mid-fifties originally. T.M. Prediction: 34-27 James Madison Line: O/U 51

T.M. Selection: Memphis vs West Virginia - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Memphis vs West Virginia game on Tuesday. The Tigers pass defense struggled in the latter half of the season. The Mountaineers have a strong running game so this will also help to open up opportunities for West Virginia to take advantage of the Memphis weakness in pass D as that defense will have to worry about the run as well. The Mountaineers pass defense is also questionable as well. West Virginia struggled with pass defense much of the year plus, overall, the Mountaineers defense really fell apart late in the season over the final 4 games or so. This one looks like one without many stops for the defenses. The Tigers allowed 30 ppg last 6 games and scored 39 ppg last 6 games. The Mountaineers allowed 36 ppg last 6 games and scored 32 ppg L4 games before that horrible final game at Texas Tech which was likely the final straw for Coach Neal Brown who was fired after that game.

T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Memphis 

Line: O/U 58.5

T.M. Selection: Bears vs Vikings - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings game on Monday. The Vikings won the last meeting 30-27 in OT and scored 27 points in regulation time in that match-up. I expect the rematch to finish with a similar high-scoring result. This Minnesota team is flying high right now and scoring plenty of points. The Vikes have won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 29 ppg in their last 4 games. The teams combined for 850 yards in the prior match-up and the Bears contributed well to that with nearly 400 yards of offense. So don't count them out in this rematch either as this one likely turns into a back and forth battle! The Bears are enduring a rough season but have scored an average of 20 ppg last 4 games. Chicago has allowed 29 ppg last 3 games. The Vikings are averaging 29 ppg at home in US Bank Stadium this season. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Minnesota 

Line: O/U 43.5

T.M. Selection: Rams vs 49ers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers game on Thursday. The Rams and Niners both off very high-scoring wins so this total has been getting pumped upwards. The fact that LA was averaging roughly 20 ppg this season prior to last week's win over the Bills seems to be forgotten. Also, the Rams had allowed (w/o inclusion of OT points) 24 points or less in 9 of last 10 games also seems to be overlooked by most here. The Niners, before the big win over Chicago, had scored only 18 ppg last 6 games. On the season, SF is allowing only 21 ppg in their home games. When I look at all the numbers and the situational facts I would not be surprised to see the winning team in the 20 point range or maybe 24 maximum based on the above numbers. That being said, this total seems far too high given this being a division rivalry game as well. Under it is! 

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 San Francisco. 

Line: O/U 49.5

T.M. Selection: Bengals vs Cowboys - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys game on Monday. The Cowboys defense is getting healthier again and they have a great pass rush. The Bengals offense has been strong this season with Burrow having an amazing season at QB. However, this total has been driven up by the markets and I am seeing value on the under now with this one all the way past the 49 mark. Cincinnati, though chances are very slim, is still alive in the wild card race and Dallas is very much alive in the wild card race in the NFC East. What I am saying with this is that both defenses will be ready for a strong effort. The Bengals defense has been struggling badly but gets a much better chance at redemption here against a Cowboys team still without Dak Prescott at QB. Cooper Rush is more of a game manager QB. Dallas has averaged 19 ppg last 7 games even with B2B big wins over the Commanders and Giants. Too much of the pricing on this total is related to Cincinnati's numbers and not enough to the Cowboys. They will be ready at home here and this one will have a playoff feel to it given the importance of this game to each team that is desperately trying to hang on in the playoff races. The pass rush of Dallas causes the Bengals offense problems and QB Rush leads a clock management style of game as the Cowboys want to keep the Cincinnati offense off the field. 

T.M. Prediction: 21-16 Cincinnati. 

Line: O/U 49.5

T.M. Selection: Seahawks vs Cardinals - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Neither defense is great and Seattle's rush D is worse than their pass D while Arizona's pass D is worse than their rush D. That meshes well, if you like offense, with what the strength of each team is on the other side of the ball. For the Seahawks that has been the passing attack while for the Cardinals it has been the rushing attack. Line value is big here because these teams just had a low-scoring battle at Seattle a few weeks ago. That is keeping this total well below where it should be. Other than the 16-6 loss in the last meeting between these teams, Arizona has scored an average of 27.5 ppg in their other 4 games since late October. Seattle has scored 26.4 ppg this season in road games. The games in Arizona are indoors of course and so conditions are ideal for both offenses to dominate in this game. The last 4 times these teams have met here the game have averaged 58 points apiece in these climate-controlled match-ups. The match-up of offensive strength on defensive weakness also a key here. This one should develop into a back and forth shootout because of these key factors spelled out above. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 44.5

T.M. Selection: UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos game on Friday. The Rebels, in their last 10 games against everyone other than Boise State, have scored an average of 41.3 ppg. UNLV is seeking revenge here for the 29-24 loss versus the Broncos in Vegas in late October. I am convinced the Rebels will score better in the rematch here in the Championship Game for the MWC. However, I am not convinced they will be able to stop this potent Broncos offense! Boise State has scored an average of 47 ppg in their home games this season! The weather will be decent in Boise for this one which is also a positive for the over. Cold weather in Idaho but probably no precipitation as well as light winds. It sets up well for both offenses to "go off" in this one and have huge performances. Though it is a conference championship game, the strength of each team here is a very potent offense. This one should develop into a back and forth shootout because of this key factor. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-34 Boise State. 

Line: O/U 57.5

T.M. Selection: Ravens vs Chargers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers game Monday. The Chargers are unlikely to catch the Chiefs in the AFC West but they do have the Broncos on their heels! The Ravens also saw a door open with Pittsburgh's loss at Cleveland Thursday. Baltimore can close ground on the AFC North leading Steelers with a win here. The point is that each of these teams enter this game very likely to dial up the defensive intensity in a game that is so important for each team. The Chargers defense, last week an exception, has been great this season. Los Angeles allowed 13 ppg in their first 9 games before last week's struggles in the high-scoring win versus Cincinnati. I expect LA to be better defensively here but also the Ravens defense has proven better than what their early season struggles suggested they would be this season. Baltimore also had a recent high-scoring win over the Bengals but in their other two recent games the Ravens have allowed an average of only 14 points! Baltimore has been strong against the run this season and the Chargers passing attack has had ups and downs. This is why LA may not perform well here on offense but their defense resumes its solid season. Under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Ravens. 

Line: O/U 50.5

T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders game on Sunday. The Raiders offense looks like it would be a concern here against the Denver defense but I am confident Las Vegas is going to score well here. This is their first home game in nearly a month and the Raiders will make the most of it. Las Vegas has scored at least 20 in 3 of their 4 home games this season. The Raiders are scoring 21 points per game last 3 games but this D can't stop teams. LV has allowed 31.7 ppg last 6 games. The Broncos come into this one running hot as Denver has won 6 of 9 games and they are favored here by nearly a TD. That is worthy of note as the Broncos have scored 28 ppg in their 6 victories this season. They should get into that range again here as they take advantage of a bad defense. 4 of last 5 Broncos games have totaled more than 41 points. 7 of last 9 Raiders games have totaled more than 41 points. Over is my bet here! Great value on this O/U! 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Denver. 

T.M. Selection: PIT vs CLE - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns game Thursday. Bad weather expected in Cleveland for this one and the Browns are off a 2nd half collapse last week on defense that will lead to a very strong effort from the Browns defensively in this one. The Steelers are off a big win over the Ravens but could not even score a touchdown. They also have a history of struggling in games at Cleveland. With rainy and windy conditions expected in Cleveland for this one, the set-up is perfect for another ugly AFC North battle here. The Steelers have been struggling in the red zone with Russell Wilson at the controls. The Browns also have had a QB mess all season long with their situation with Watson and now it is Winston under center. He threw for a lot of yardage last week but Cleveland still managed only 14 points and this followed a very rough 3 INT performance in Winston's most recent home start. This is going to be an ugly game dominated by the weather and the defenses! 

T.M. Prediction: 16-13 Steelers. 

Line: O/U 37 

T.M. Selection: Miami-Ohio Redhawks vs Northern Illinois Huskies - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Miami Ohio Redhawks versus Northern Illinois Huskies game on Tuesday. Two solid defenses but this total has dropped too low given the way these offenses have been performing as well. Weather will be fine for an over in Oxford, OH tonight so that is also not an issue here. The Redhawks are on a 5-game winning streak and have scored an average of 35 points in these 5 games. Northern Illinois has won 2 of last 3 games and has scored an average of 31 points per game in this 3-game stretch. The last two meetings between these teams both topped 50 points and all signs point to a repeat of that here! The two quarterbacks involved here are both having solid seasons including limiting turnovers and they have a combined 30 to 12 ratio of touchdowns to interceptions. Each team has great rushing attacks as well as they each showed once again in their victories last week. While both defenses are strong, not enough respect is being given to the balanced attack each of these teams has! Let's get in on this value here! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Miami-Ohio. 

T.M. Selection: Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys game on Sunday. The Cowboys offense was horrible last week but that was first game without Prescott at QB and they faced a tough Eagles defense. Dallas will surely be stronger on offense in this game! As for Houston, they are off B2B losses after winning 4 of 5 games and scoring 26 ppg during that stretch. The Texans offense should punish a Cowboys defense allowing 34.5 ppg in their 4-game losing streak. On the other side of the ball, however, the Houston defense has not been great either with allowing 23.3 ppg last 8 games. Texans have given up at least 20 points in 9 of 10 games this season and are favored by a TD on the road in this one. I expect upper 40s at least when you consider this season and the recent points allowed totals of each team. Overall, 6 of last 7 Texans game have totaled at least 43 points! The Cowboys have allowed 38 ppg in 4 home games this season. This one should easily go over the short total and it was 43.5 and has come down to 41 and the value makes this a best bet for me. 

T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Houston. 

T.M. Selection: Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Oregon Ducks at Wisconsin Badgers game on Saturday. Oregon is going to be unstoppable here on offense. The Badgers defense is not what it once was and Wisconsin has allowed 35 ppg last 2 games and now faces the #1 team in the country! The Ducks are averaging 35.7 ppg this season and will roll big here in this one as they are correctly expected to win this game by two touchdowns. Other than games against a slumping Illinois team and a horrible Purdue team, Oregon has given up 20 ppg in their other 7 games against FBS teams this season. The point is that expecting the Badgers to get into the low to mid-twenties here is a valid expectation yet they will not be able to stop the Ducks potent offense! Oregon also has a bye week on deck so they can go all out here! Badgers are scoring an average of 26 ppg at home this season! Coming off a bye week and with this being a night game in Madison with a raucous crowd, the Badgers could surprise with hanging around for awhile before the Ducks strongly pull away in the second half. Translation: plenty of points because of this scenario playing out Saturday night in Wisconsin!  

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 Oregon. 

Line: O/U 50.5

T.M. Selection: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Miami-OH Redhawks - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kent State Golden Flashes at Miami-OH Redhawks game on Wednesday. Kent State is 0-9 this season and has had major injury issues impact their QB position. Look for freshman QB Ruel Tomlinson to be much better now that he got a start under his belt last week. That being said, the Golden Flashes are 30 point dogs here for a reason and this game will get ugly. The point is, however, at least this time around Kent State will get some points on the board after being shutout last week. Kent State had scored 24 ppg in MAC games this season before being shutout last week. Miami-Ohio is on a 4-game winning streak and has scored 35 ppg in these victories. We need only to get past the mid-40s to win this selection and all 5 MAC games for Miami-OH have totaled 48 points or more. Rain is coming to Oxford OH tonight but they should get this game in before weather would become any issue and the winds will be fine and that is most important for an over. 

T.M. Prediction: 45-14 Miami-OH. 

Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Western Michigan Broncos at Bowling Green Falcons game on Tuesday. Even though the Falcons tend toward lower-scoring action, the Broncos are off their first MAC loss this season and have been scoring plenty of points this season. Western Michigan is surely set to respond on offense yet this is a defense that has been horrid and Bowling Green commands a 10-point line here per the books. The Broncos have scored an average of 41 ppg last 7 games. The Falcons have scored well of late and will be moving against a Western Michigan defense allowing 41.5 ppg last 4 road games. Bowling Green has scored an average of 30 ppg last 3 games but can top that and then some here as they take on a Broncos team that has been one of the worst defenses in the MAC this season. Western Michigan makes a game out of it however as they have scored more points than any other team in the conference this season and they have averaged 52 points scored the last two times they were entering a game off a loss.

T.M. Prediction: 41-30 Bowling Green. 

Line: O/U 58.5

T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams game on Monday. The Rams have been giving up big passing yardage but surviving week by week during this current run as they have put together a winning streak. But LA is truly winning with turnovers on defense and strong offensive play now that Cupp and Nacua are back to solidify the WR position. The Rams offense should move the ball well again here at home but the Dolphins also have a surging offense. Even if Hill does not play (only 11 catches last 3 games anyway), Miami will get it done again here as their offense looks great now that QB Tagovailoa is back under center. The Dolphins will turn this one into a shootout at LA and the over is the bet here. Miami's last two games totaled 55+ points and the Rams have scored 24 ppg when at home this season and scored 30 against a solid Vikings defense in most recent game in Los Angeles. Shootout here between Stafford and Tua! 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Los Angeles Rams. 

Line: O/U 48.5

T.M. Selection: New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Many expect a high-scoring game here and this total has been going up in the marketplace and this is giving under players extra value here. The Jets notched 8 sacks last week and the Cardinals had 6 sacks last week. The defenses are being undervalued here. New York did not move the ball last week and were fortunate to beat an injury-impacted Texans team. The Cardinals D will take advantage of a Jets team that is averaging less than 300 yards of offense in road games this season. These two defenses both rank as two of the best in the league against the pass and this is going to force both teams to rely more on their running game. Of course all the rushing attempts also generally lead to running clock and I just don't see this one getting out of the 30s. Cardinals had one high-scoring loss at home this season but have only allowed 13.5 ppg in their other 4 home losses! 

T.M. Prediction: 17-16 New York Jets. 

Line: O/U 46.5

T.M. Selection: Utah State Aggies vs Washington State Cougars - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Utah State Aggies at Washington State Cougars game on Saturday. Both teams are off bye weeks and the extra rest will help to turn this one into a fast-paced score-fest. The Aggies are solid offensively but very weak defensively and the Cougars, especially being at home, are going to take full advantage here. Washington State games played at Pullman this season have averaged 78 ppg and this one should get in that range as well. The Cougars offense will be unstoppable as they take on a Utah State team off a 27-25 win but allowing 49 ppg in the 6-game losing streak that preceded the win over Wyoming. The Aggies have scored 31 ppg in their 6 games since a shutout loss versus USC. Utah State's defense is allowing 6.8 yards per play and that is one of the worst in the nation. Cougars definitely the better defense in this match-up but they have allowed 30 ppg last 5 games. I really like the fact both teams are off a bye here plus the statistical support for expecting Cougars to reach the 50 range and Aggies to reach the 30 range as we can see above. 

T.M. Prediction: 52-31 Washington State. 

Line: O/U 69.5

T.M. Selection: Florida Atlantic Owls vs East Carolina Pirates - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Florida Atlantic Owls at East Carolina Pirates game on Thursday. The Pirates have had 3 straight games total more than 70 points and this one should do the same. East Carolina has scored 37 points per game at home this season. The Pirates are giving up 38 ppg last 5 games which includes all 4 of their conference games as well. Florida Atlantic is at the bottom of the AAC standings but they do score well. The Owls have averaged 29 points scored in their last 6 games. FAU has a problem though and that is an inability to stop anyone! Florida Atlantic has allowed 36 ppg last 5 games and allowed at least 38 in 4 of the 5 games. The Owls are facing an East Carolina team that looks different since making the QB change and head coaching change plus the Pirates are coming off a bye. This all is pointing toward a high-scoring game as the Pirates defense has issues remaining but the offense has gone to another level and the Owls O also has been on the upswing in recent weeks - other than bad game versus UTSA. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-30 East Carolina. 

Line: O/U 57 

T.M. Selection: Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas game on Tuesday. The Falcons are a heavy favorite here and are rolling right now with a 3-1 start in MAC action. Bowling Green has one ugly loss in MAC action this season but in their other 7 games on the year, the Falcons have scored an average of 30 ppg! The Chippewas are off a bad road loss but should fare much better on their home field for this one. Central Michigan only scored 7 points at Miami, Ohio but this was after the Chips averaged 34.5 ppg in 4 games preceding that ugly effort. At home this season Central Michigan has scored at least 22 points in all 4 games and has averaged 37.5 ppg scored at home. Chips allowing 34.5 ppg last 7 games. Some rain in the area this evening but not too much wind at Mount Pleasant for this one. Tyler Jefferson off a tough game at QB for the Chippewas last week but the new starter, due to injuries to others, has completed 11 of 17 passes in his two appearances at home. Also, the Falcons defense allowed over 400 yards of offense in their win at Toledo last week. BG will score just fine here but C. Mich. hangs around and the points will reflect that! 

T.M. Prediction: 37-23 Bowling Green. 

Line: O/U 48 

T.M. Selection: Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. The Bears off the heartbreaking Hail Mary loss at Washington last week. Chicago's normally stout defense also gave up big yardage in that game. The defense will most certainly come into this game with a chip on its shoulder as a result. That Chicago D, when it is dialed in, has been among the best in the league this season. The Bears should hold Arizona in check for much of this game as a result. The Cardinals offense is a respectable one but they have not been consistent this season. The Bears offense has not been strong and, in particular, if looking at yardage numbers Chicago has one of the weaker offenses in the NFL. Also, after the way Chicago lost last week they will want to play a conservative style this week on the road. The Bears will look to establish their ground game on offense and shorten the game with plenty of running plays and let their defense win this game for them. This is why this total has dropped from upper 40s to mid 40s and I agree strongly with this move. Under is the play here. Cards averaging only 14.7 ppg last 3 home games! Bears also scoring just 14.7 ppg in true road games (not including neutral site like London). Also, 5 of 7 Chicago games have totaled 42 points or less this season.  

T.M. Prediction: 17-16 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 45

T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh Panthers vs SMU Mustangs - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Pittsburgh Panthers at SMU Mustangs game on Saturday. The Panthers are a PERFECT 7-0 this season but will have their hands full here with this Mustangs offense at SMU. If you look at the Mustangs last 9 home games, they went 8-1 SU and averaged scoring an incredible 55.4 ppg in those 8 victories. That is NOT total points per game for BOTH teams. That is the average points scored by SMU which shows you just how potent this offense is at home. The Panthers, though likely to struggle on defense, should get their offense rolling against a Mustangs D that has allowed at least 27 points in 3 of last 5 games and allowed an average of 32 points in those 3 games. The Pitt offense had one dud against California this season but has scored an average of 44.8 points per game in their other 6 games! Both teams rank well defensively this season too but there is just too much offensive firepower on this Mustangs team and it is going for force the Panthers into a shootout in this game and getting well into the 60+ range should not be a problem as you can see from the numbers above. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-30 SMU. 

Line: O/U 56 

T.M. Selection: Georgia State Panthers vs Connecticut Huskies - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Georgia State Panthers vs Connecticut Huskies game on Friday. The Panthers are on a 4-game losing streak but have scored an average of 23.5 ppg last 6 games. Georgia State has allowed at least 31 points in 5 of 7 games this season. When you see numbers like this coupled with the fact this game is at Connecticut, you can see why this total is set far too low. The Huskies are off a 17-10 low-scoring win but this followed a 6-game stretch in which they averaged scoring 36.3 ppg! The last couple games being lower-scoring for UConn has resulted in a low total here and I will take advantage. The Panthers also made a QB switch to Gibson last week and he expect even more from him in his expected 2nd straight start under center now. Huskies have had either a 130-yard rusher or 260-yard passer in 3 straight games and they will get it done both on the ground and through the air against a mediocre Georgia State defense. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-26 Connecticut. 

Line: O/U 48 

T.M. Selection: NY Jets vs Houston Texans - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets vs Houston Texans game on Thursday. The Texans have injuries at WR which will impact their offensive production here. Also, Houston QB Stroud has lesser numbers on the road compared to at home. The Jets defense is a strength and has been better of late than what the points allowed totals show. The yardage allowed numbers show the real story and this Jets defense has been solid. The offense is another story however though as they continue to struggle week in an week out. Rodgers at QB simply has not been the answer. Firing their head coach and changing play-calling duties has not helped the offense either. All these factors add up to a solid spot here with the under. The Jets defense has been particularly strong in home games this season (not including London game of course). The Texans defense, similar to the Jets, is also undervalued based on their points allowed numbers compared to yardage allowed numbers. So this is truly a match-up of two of the top defenses in the NFL and this is a bargain with this total set too high and I will take advantage Thursday.  

T.M. Prediction: 17-14 New York Jets. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers game on Tuesday. The Panthers are off a low-scoring loss but they played a tough Sam Houston team. That was a 10-7 defeat after FIU had scored average of 29 points last 6 games. New Mexico State is off a rare win which sets this up well because Aggies confidence will be up after the double OT win. NM St scored 24 prior to OT in that game and they have averaged 26 ppg last 3 games (excluding OT points). The Aggies are having a rough season because of defense as they have allowed 39.5 ppg last 6 games. With numbers like these you can see why this total is far too low. There has been over-reaction to the FIU loss by a 10-7 final last week and the result is extreme line value here which is why I am going big in this one!  

T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Florida International. 

Line: O/U 43.5 

T.M. Selection: NY Giants @ Pittsburgh - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers game on Monday. The Steelers are a different offense with veteran Russell Wilson at the controls. The Giants are a better offense with Malik Nabers back at WR and he will likely be even stronger in his 2nd game back after the injury. Last week was below his typical results but he will be back in top form again now after working the rust off. The Steelers have scored 26 ppg last 5 games! The Giants have scored 23 ppg in their 3 road games this season. This total is only in the mid-30s and with stats like this for these teams you can see why I am backing the over in a strong way here! New York allowing 21 ppg this season and the Steelers have allowed 19 ppg last 4 games and this included games against struggling offenses like the Jets and Raiders. Those teams are each now 2-6 on the season. The Giants can score well here but the Steelers are favored by a TD and are expected to outscore them by that margin. With New York averaging 23 on the road and never scoring less than 18, expecting at least 20 here is well within reason and I have this one projected for upper 40s as final tally. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Monday.  

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Pittsburgh. 

Line: O/U 36.5

T.M. Selection: Maryland Terrapins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Maryland Terrapins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers game on Saturday. The Terrapins have a bye week on deck and the Gophers are coming off a bye week. From a situational standpoint, the set up here is ideal for solid point production. Maryland has allowed 36 ppg last 3 games. The Terrapins have averaged scoring 29.6 ppg this season. This total is set too low given numbers like these because take a look at Minnesota as well. The Golden Gophers have averaged scoring 26.3 ppg last 6 games. Minnesota has allowed an average of 23 ppg. Each of the last 5 meetings between these teams topped 50 points and many of them crushed that number! Look for another easy over here as, given the numbers above, expecting both teams to get close to the 30-point range is certainly not a big ask. The high-scoring trend between these teams continues in this season's match-up. Beautiful weather at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis for this one.  

T.M. Prediction: 32-26 Minnesota. 

Line: O/U 46.5 

T.M. Selection: Syracuse Orange vs Pittsburgh Panthers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Syracuse Orange vs Pittsburgh Panthers game on Thursday. Both teams known for some high-scoring offensive production but this has elevated this total. Now you have a match-up of two top teams in the ACC that respect each others offense here. That means part of the game plan will be running the ball plenty on offense or going with short middle routes and quick dump off passes (effectively also running plays) as these teams want to keep the clock running. Why play this way? They each fear the others offense. So the emphasis will be ball control and clock management on offense to churn up clock in hopes of not allowing the opponent's offense too much time on the field here. Of course something will have to give but the point is that this is likely to be more of a tighter low-scoring game than many are expecting. Both teams have solid running games and respectable run defenses so watch this battle unfold in the trenches. Don't make the mistake of just looking at point totals these teams have produced this season, think of how the game planning will impact this battle of strong teams. Easy under here! The Orange, other than an OT game versus UNLV, have allowed 21.4 ppg this season. The Panthers, other than a high-scoring win over West Virginia, ironically have also allowed 21.4 ppg in their other 5 games this season! 

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Pittsburgh. 

Line: O/U 62.5 

T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game on Monday. Both teams off B2B high-scoring games but this has elevated this total. Now you have a match-up of two top teams in the NFL that each sit at 4-2 on the season and they respect each other here. That means part of the game plan will be running the ball plenty on offense or going with short middle routes and quick dump off passes (effectively also running plays) as these teams want to keep the clock running. Why play this way? They each fear the others offense. So the emphasis will be ball control and clock management on offense to churn up clock in hopes of not allowing the opponent's offense too much time on the field here. Of course something will have to give but the point is that this is likely to be more of a tighter low-scoring game than many are expecting. Ravens lean on RB Henry on offense plus the Bucs ran 35 times in their big win over the Saints. Both teams have solid running games and solid run defenses so watch this battle unfold in the trenches. Don't make the mistake of just looking at point totals these teams have produced this season, think of how the game planning will impact this battle of strong teams. Easy under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Baltimore. 

Line: O/U 50 

T.M. Selection: Texas A & M / Mississippi State OVER.

I am on the OVER in the Texas A & M vs. Mississippi State game on Saturday. The Aggies have won 5 straight games and averaged 34.6 ppg and they can top that here against a bad Bulldogs defense. The Mississippi State defense ranks as one of the least efficient defenses in the nation. Teams score quickly on them and when they don't, they still end up scoring anyway and Mississippi State gets weakened by long drives that decimates the energy of a struggling defense. The Bulldogs have lost 5 straight games and allowed an average of 38.4 ppg. They will not be able to stop the powerful ground game of the Aggies here. However, Mississippi State just put up 31 on Georgia and also, in most recent home game the Bulldogs scored 28 points. The Dogs do have a decent passing attack and will be able to move the ball well at home here and yet the Aggies are a huge favorite here and are one of the top teams in the country. Mississippi State surely get theirs here but they will not be able to stop the Texas A & M offense. Therefore, I like the OVER in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 41-24 Texas A & M 

T.M. Selection: Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State game on Wednesday. Sam Houston State is 5-1 this season and their defense has impressed in the majority of games. In those 4 games (out of 6) this season, the Bearkats have allowed an average of 15 ppg. Western Kentucky is battling with the Kats among the top teams in early CUSA standings this season and it continues here with a better game defensively than most are expecting. This is a key battle at the top of the standings so defensive intensity will be up. Ever since getting blown out by Alabama, as expected, in their season opener, the Hilltoppers have allowed an average of just 16 points per game. Western Kentucky has not allowed more than 21 points in any of those 5 games. That trend continues here in a tight low-scoring battle. The Bearkats like to run on offense and that helps an under. Toppers are more of a passing team but the SHSU defense has been solid in terms of passing yardage allowed this season. Easy under here! 

T.M. Prediction: 21-19 Sam Houston State. 

Line: O/U 56.5 

T.M. Selection: Troy @ South Alabama - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars game on Tuesday. The under has cashed in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these SBC foes. However, that is keeping this total too low because things look much different entering this season's match-up! The Trojans are off a loss where they scored only 16 points but they actually had over 450 yards of offense in that game! South Alabama also off a loss and it was a 38-17 defeat in which they allowed over 450 yards of offense. The Jaguars defense is vulnerable but they are favored by 2 TDs here at home! Also, their QB has a 12-1 ratio and the trio of Trojans QBs have combined for a 9-1 ratio. I am fading the downward move on this total and love the line value here because of the series history between these foes. This year is different! 

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 South Alabama. 

Line: O/U 54.5

T.M. Selection: Indianapolis @ Tennessee - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans game on Sunday. The Colts have scored well in 4 of 5 games this season. Indianapolis averaged 27 ppg in those 4 games. However, they have also allowed 24.4 ppg this season and face a tough match-up here. Tennessee got some confidence back on offense with a 31-12 win over Miami last week. However, the Titans entered that game allowing 26 ppg this season so I do not trust their defense either. If you look at the stats on these two teams, the Colts have a decent offense but their defense is horrible. Statistically the Titans defense looks strong in terms of yardage against numbers. However, Tennessee has faced a lot of bad offenses like the Dolphins, Jets and Bears. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Sunday.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-24 Tennessee. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Northwestern @ Maryland - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Northwestern Wildcats @ Maryland Terrapins game on Friday. Maryland has revenge from last season's meeting. They also have a potent offense that is one of the top 20 in the nation in terms of offensive plays per game so they do play fast. Terrapins passing attack has been strong and that is always good news for an over. Northwestern just gave up a ton of yardage in their loss last week while Maryland enters this game off a bye. The Wildcats passing attack looked much better last week as they made a change at QB and it paid off. This total is too low but was set this way based on historical Northwestern data. They are not playing the same way now and they also will be forced to play catch-up here on offense as their defense can not stop this Maryland aerial attack and I look for the points to pile up in this one because of this.  

T.M. Prediction: 34-24 Maryland. 

Line: O/U 45.5

T.M. Selection: Saints @ Chiefs - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Monday.  The Saints have a strong ground attack on offense. That will open things up for QB Carr and this New Orleans offense to also attack through the air here. The Chiefs and Saints both have poor pass defense numbers this season so expect QB Mahomes to also have a big game for KC here as well as Carr for NO. Even with the injury at WR to Rice this Chiefs team still has plenty of weapons. It is no accident that they are already 4-0 this season. As for the 2-2 Saints, they are averaging 34 ppg in their 2 road games this season. Chiefs scored at least 26 points in each home game this season. The O/U number moved down here because of the injury situation but the weather looks great in KC for this one and I am anticipating big games from both Carr and Mahomes and look for the points to pile up in this one.  

T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 43

T.M. Selection: Colts @ Jaguars - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars game on Sunday.  The Colts offense actually looked much better once Flacco took over for the injured Richardson and this was against a solid Steelers defense. That said, I am expecting Flacco to help lead the Colts to another strong showing on offense here as they take advantage of a struggling Jaguars defense. On that note, the Colts defense is nothing special either and Lawrence and this Jacksonville offense should get rolling here. For overall defense (not scoring defense) both these teams rank in the very bottom of the league. So both teams should move the ball very well here. Clearly Jacksonville's offense has underperformed so far this season but at home and desperate for a win and able to take advantage of a weak defense, the Jags will finally get things going here. But Flacco and the Colts are ready to trade scored with this team and I sense a shootout is on the way in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Jaguars. 

Line: O/U 45

T.M. Selection: Michigan/Washington OVER.

1) I look for the Wolverines and Huskies to give us more offense than most are expecting in this one Saturday.

2) Will Rogers already has a 10-0 ratio at QB for Washington this season. I know the Michigan QB is not having the same level of success and is, in fact, struggling. However, the Wolverines ground game is going to give the Husky D some struggles and this will open up the ground game. 

3) With this being a Big Ten battle featuring two strong teams that are not allowing a lot of points, I do respect the betting markets as it relates to the low total here. However, it is simply too low when you consider the game-breakers each team has in terms of offensive weapons. 

4) Other than a game against a superior Longhorns team this season, Michigan has scored at least 27 in all 4 games. Washington has scored an average of 30 points in their 3 home games. 30-27 is what I am projecting here and look for more big play success than most anticipate here.  

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Washington.

T.M. Selection: SYR vs UNLV - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Syracuse vs UNLV game on Friday. I don't expect either offense to be too comfortable in this one, especially early on. The Orange are playing their first road game of the season and UNLV has allowed only 14 ppg this season. The Rebels have Williams at QB now and the transfer QB did play well last week in his first action. However, now there is film on him operating in this UNLV offense and I expect Syracuse to be fully prepared for stopping him. Of course Williams was not the original starter here for a reason. The Orange have allowed only 22.5 ppg this season. I look for both offenses to struggle a bit given the situational factors here. UNLV should look to run plenty to keep Williams comfortable at QB and not put too much pressure on him. Syracuse does have a former Ohio State QB under center here and he has played well but in the first road game of the year for the Orange, they also could play it conservative and focus heavily on the ground game in this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 27-20 UNLV. 

Line: O/U 58.5 

T.M. Selection: North Carolina/Duke OVER.

1) I look for the Tar Heels and Blue Devils to give us some shoddy defense in this one Saturday.

2) North Carolina just allowed 70 points to James Madison last week! The Blue Devils have some good numbers on defense early this season but now face the first true test of the season and it is a tough one as the Tar Heels gained over 600 yards last week against the Dukes! They will move the ball at ease again this week at Duke. 

3) UNC has dominated in this series and will have no troubles moving the ball but they are an underdog here because their defense has major shortcomings. This will allow Duke to trade scores with the Heels throughout and I expect a shootout here. 

4) The Blue Devils averaging 31 ppg this season. The Tar Heels averaging 44 ppg last 3 games.   

T.M. Prediction: 35-32 Duke.

T.M. Selection: Lions @ Cardinals - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Even though Detroit did not score well last week they had over 450 yards of offense so their final score was not indicative of how they moved the ball. The Cardinals also moved the ball extremely well in their blowout win over the Rams as they had nearly 500 yards of offense! This followed a strong showing at Buffalo in Week 1 also. Murray coming off a huge game for this Arizona offense last week! Remember the Lions were fortunate to beat the Rams in Week 1 and I am not sold on their defense. This Cardinals team playing with confidence right now on offense but I am sure that Goff is going to bounce back after all the INTs last week. This is an indoor stadium so ideal conditions for both teams as Detroit is an indoor team also. Fast track here with no weather worries also translates to plenty of points in this one. 4 of last 6 Lions road games, including playoffs, have totaled at least 54 points. Great set up for another one of those here after Cardinals had a rare strong defensive game against a division rival whose offense was hurt by injuries. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Lions. 

Line: O/U 51.5 

T.M. Selection: Arizona State @ Texas Tech - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders game on Saturday, September 21st. Big 12 battle and I expect plenty of points here. The only game that Texas Tech did not score well was at Washington State. However, they piled up tons of yardage in that game and the Red Raiders certainly should have scored many more points than they did in that one. That is helping to keep this total lower than it should be because the Red Raiders defense is not great but their offense is even better than most realize. The Sun Devils have a dual threat QB and have also put up big points early this season. With the line ticking down a bit from low 60s to upper 50s we now have even more value than originally expected and that is why I am now going with one of my biggest plays of the season here. ASU has scored at least 30 in all 3 games and the Red Raiders averaging 45 ppg this season. The Sun Devils allowed over 400 yards to Texas State last week and the Red Raider defense has some issues as well this season which is the norm for the Red Raiders. I look for this to result in more points than most are expecting here. My numbers have this one getting to the low 70s rather than upper 50s and I am going with a Best Bet here. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Texas Tech. 

Line: O/U 58

T.M. Selection: Illinois @ Nebraska - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Illinois Illini @ Nebraska Cornhuskers game on Friday, September 20th. This total was expected to be low as these teams have this history and this includes in their most recent meetings as well. However, I feel the offenses have more confidence than usual heading into this one and I have also noticed some sharp books are keeping this one a little bit on the higher side of the total in terms of the posted number. The Huskers have scored 34 ppg this season! The Illini have scored 33 ppg this season! Even though these two teams are known more for defense this honestly could be the toughest offensive unit either side has faced thus far. I look for this to result in more points than most are expecting here. My numbers have this one getting to the low 50s rather than low 40s and I am going with a Best Bet here. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Nebraska. 

Line: O/U 42.5

T.M. Selection: Bills @ Dolphins - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins game on Thursday. The Bills won 21-14 here last year but there should have been a lot more points. Buffalo had 475 yards of offense in that game. The Bills are off a home win last week versus Arizona and, though they won, the Cardinals put up big points on the board. This Dolphins team should be even stronger on offense in Week 2 after getting off to a slow start early in their win over the Jaguars last week. The passing attack of Miami is a potent one and the Bills have a new-look secondary. On the other side of the ball, Josh Allen is off a 4-TD performance last week and the Buffalo QB will attack this Miami team just he has in other recent meetings as the Bills have dominated this series. I think the Dolphins offense is even better this season so I don't trust the side in this match-up but the points absolutely should be plentiful in this shootout!

T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Dolphins. 

Line: O/U 48.5 

T.M. Selection: Arizona State @ Texas State - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas State Bobcats game on Thursday. Look for a back and forth battle here. The Bobcats offense looked so strong, especially the passing game, in their win over UTSA last week. The Sun Devils offense was up against an SEC defense last week and yet they were able to run all over them. ASU, off the win over Mississippi State, also enters this game with plenty of momentum. The points fly again here as each teams strength on offense is different and each team's defense will be unable to stop it. Arizona State did allow a lot of passing yards to the Bulldogs last week but their solid ground game can attack this Bobcats defense with success as well. Strong Texas State QB helps turn this into a back and forth score-fest and I love the over here!

T.M. Prediction: 35-34 Arizona State. 

Line: O/U 59.5 

T.M. Selection: LV @ LAC - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers game on Sunday. These are two teams going through a lot of transition and I don't see either defense being at their best early this season. Antonio Pierce now the head coach in Vegas and Jim Harbaugh the new head coach in LA with the Chargers. Think we'll see some big plays here as both defenses get caught missing some assignments and LA has a solid QB in Hebert while Minshew gets the call at QB in LV and has quite a bit of NFL experience even though he is a journeyman. I am expecting more success than most in terms of offensive production here as remember both these defenses had issues last season. This total has dropped to a 39.5 and the over is the way to go here. Being divisional rivals these teams meet twice a season so the last 5 years they have met 10 times and all 10 games totaled more than 40 points! I like this 10-0 stat to make this run 11 in a row here and that would make this a winning ticket for us with this very low total!

T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Chargers. 

Line: O/U 40

T.M. Selection: PHI vs GB - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers game in Brazil on Friday. This is unfamiliar territory for each team as well as the NFL. I don't expect either offense to be too comfortable in this one, especially early on. The Eagles will be looking to establish the run with Saquon Barkley. At the same time, Philly was so disappointing in the way they finished last season that I am certain that the Eagles D is going to be looking for redemption immediately this season. Hungry and attacking on defense for Philadelphia and also Green Bay allowed only about 21 ppg last season. Also, the Packers will be all about the defense here too with their new defensive coordinator. Points will be hard to come by here in a hard-fought battle and I like fading the big number here and going with the under in this one. I think both offenses are going to face some tough blitzing challenges from what I am reading here and the run game for each will be key on offense. 

T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Eagles. 

Line: O/U 49.5 

T.M. Selection: BALT @ KC - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Thursday. These are two strong defenses but the dynamic playmaking ability of Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson means expect plenty of big plays in this game. The Ravens scored only 10 points when these teams met in the post-season but turnovers were the problem for Baltimore. The Ravens moved the ball, especially through air, but just kept shooting themselves in the foot. Also, now they have former Titans RB Henry and I expect the added element of a solid ground game plus having the dangerous legs of Jackson at QB to combine to make the Ravens offense particularly tough to defend. Of course Kansas City at home is going to get their points in this one and all signs point to a shootout on Thursday night the way I see it. 

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 46.5 

T.M. Selection: New Mexico @ Arizona - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New Mexico Lobos @ Arizona Wildcats game on Saturday. New Mexico just gave up over 500 yards to an FCS school. They will not be able to stop this Wildcats team. Arizona has a strong offense and will march right through the Lobos as that high-scoring tight loss for them last week was in New Mexico too. Now they have to go on the road and try to stop an even more talented team. This will not end well for them and NM is a 30 point dog with good reason. The Wildcats will not slow down offensively here as they pile up points at home but their weakness is the defense. The Lobos showed enough last week on offense (they did have defensive scores too) that I am sure they will move the ball quite well here too against a Wildcats defense that is a weak link on the team. Arizona scored an average of 39 ppg in winning 7 straight to wrap up last season and now they face a defense that is well-below average here! The Cats did allow 23 ppg over their last 9 last season and I love the over here!

T.M. Prediction: 48-21 Arizona. 

Line: O/U 58.5 

T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina @ Jacksonville State - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks game on Thursday. We are seeing a big drop in the markets on this total since it first opened up in the 60 range. Much has been made of the QB situation for each team with Coastal Carolina bringing in someone new and Jacksonville State having a returnee at QB but with doubts about how well he can produce for them. This is leading to excellent value here because the ground game ability of each offense is not receiving the credit it should here and also these are not exactly a pair of defensive powerhouse groups we are talking about here. The defenses also each had some key player losses from last season as well. I am grabbing the big line value after this strong downward move on the total. 

T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Jacksonville State. 

Line: O/U 54.5 

T.M. Selection: SMU/Nevada OVER.

1) I look for the Mustangs and Wolfpack to give us some shoddy defense in this one Saturday.

2) Nevada is projected to be one of the worst teams in the nation this season and a sub-par defense is going to carry some blame for that for sure. Also, the Wolfpack offense was very bad last season and that will be their focus heading into the season. They need more point production. 

3) SMU is a massive 4-touchdown favorite here and will be looking to put on a clinic but the Wolfpack should be able to do enough to help push this over the total as well. My numbers have the huge dogs getting to the 20-point range and, based on the big line on this game, that projects to a 47-20 game which gets us well over the number here. 

4) The Mustangs averaged in the upper 30s for points last season and will take advantage of facing a bad team here. They also averaged about 450 yards per game last season and will air it out here and as the passing game opens up when facing one of the weakest run defense units around. Nevada will look to show some improvement on offense and should do that but the Wolfpack defense will continue to be exploited.   

T.M. Prediction: 47-20 SMU.

T.M. Selection: TEX @ WAS - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies game on Monday, January 1st. I'm expecting an epic Semi Final battle between two offenses that are more than capable of exploding. The conference championship games showed us what they could really do as they both dominated offensively. This should be the more exciting game between the two Semi's and it could go for 80+ points easily. I've been a fan of both teams all season long. This line could move up even more so hop on it ASAP. 5% MAX bet on the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-35 Washington. 

Line: O/U 64.0 

Line Parameter: play until 65.5.. 

T.M. Selection: CIN @ KC - OVER 

I am on the OVER on the Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday, December 31st. This rivalry started a few years ago when Cincinnati dominated KC in this very stadium. In recent times, the Chiefs have came bay victorious. Even though the Bengals won't have Burrow, I expect Ja'Marr Chase to play. He's questionable but he should be able to play with the season on the line. But, they've been capable of scoring without him and should be able to again in this big game. It may be a slower paced game, but I expect drives to end in touchdowns leading it to go OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-24 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 43.5 

Line Parameter: play until 44.5.. 

T.M. Selection: IND @ CAR - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Carolina Panthers game on Sunday, November 5th. Both of these teams have had their struggles this year, especially on the defensive side of the football. In previous weeks, even though they've tasted defeat, we've seen that these teams can both put up some points as well. Indy is averaging 25.6 points per game, despite just having a 3-5 record. If Carolina wants a chance at winning, which I believe that they do have a chance, they need points. Give me the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Indianapolis. 

Line: O/U 44.0 

Line Parameter: play until 45.0.. 

T.M. Selection: SEA @ CIN - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals game on Sunday, October 15th. The Seahawks are now 3-1 after winning three straight games. Their offense has looked strong and they are currently scoring an average of 27.8 points per game (6th in the NFL.) Cincinnati finally woke up last week. Ja'Marr Chase was a massive part of that success as he broke the Bengals record for most receptions in a game with 15. This week, the Bengals should be able to ride that offensive momentum into this game. Both defenses aren't very strong this year (stat wise) and that should lead to a higher scoring game. Hammer the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: Prediction: 29-27 Bengals. 

Line: O/U 44.5 

Line Parameter: play until 45.0.. 

T.M. Selection: KST @ OKST - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys on Friday, October 6th. Kansas State is a team that can put up points in bunches. Averaging 39.5 points per game, they are one of the nation's top offenses. On the other hand, OSU hasn't been very good offensively, but do own some weapons to boost their numbers. If they want a chance, they need at least 28 points in this one. I've got the OVER in what should be a big game from the Wildcats. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-23 Kansas St. 

Line: O/U 53.0 

Line Parameter: play until 54.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Georgia State Panthers @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers game on Thursday, September 21st. Considering how good Georgia State's defense has been at causing turnovers this season, this line is way too high. The Panthers held UCONN to only 14 points in what was an amazing game from their whole team. Looking at their offense, GAST relies heavily on the running game with Marcus Carroll. Coastal Carolina has seen two of their first three games stay UNDER the total. I expect the defenses to hold up in a huge game for both teams here this evening. 

T.M. Prediction: 29-23 Coastal Carolina. 

Line: O/U 62.5

Line Parameter: play until 61.5.. 

T.M. Selection: Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Mississippi Rebels game on September 16th. Ole Miss looks to have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation once again. Jaxson Dart is back and slinging the ball like it's nothing out there. Last week against Tulane's strong defense, he was still very solid. This week, he should be able to pick apart GT. The Yellow Jackets are more than capable of putting up points as well. They have now scored 82 points over the first two games. Expect a shootout here on Saturday. 

T.M. Prediction: 48-31 Ole Miss. 

Line: O/U 63.0 

Line Parameter: play until 64.0.. 

T.M. Selection: MIN @ PHI - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles game on Thursday, September 14th. After a disappointing week 1, the Vikings look to bounce back here against the defending NFC Champs. Minnesota was air raid in their opener as they couldn\'t seem to find anything in the running game. Now, although I don\'t expect it to be as pass heavy in this one, I do expect Minny to pass quite a bit once again. Jefferson, the best WR in football, is looking for yet another historic season. Expect the Vikings to get him the ball and get him the ball lots here today. The Eagles are coming off a 5pt win against NE. However, their offense looked off. They failed to get Goedert a single catch and didn't really get their rushing game going either. This is a game where both defenses are knocked up and has shootout written all over it. Grab the OVER at it\'s best price before is rises even more. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-28 Eagles.  

Line: O/U 49.0 

Line Parameter: play until 50.0..

T.M. Selection: CIN @ BUF - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. While this game was supposed to happen just a few weeks ago to decide who would host this game, the Bills suffered an injury that forced that game to be postponed. The Bills ended up lucking out as if the Bengals were to win that game (up 7-3 w/ ball and driving,) they would have been hosting this one. That should light a spark in the Bengals locker-room and get them even more fired up for this game. That game was on pace to go way over. I expect this one to go way over as well. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Bengals. 

Line: O/U 48.5 

Line Parameter: play until 50.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Jags @ Chiefs - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Saturday. While the Chiefs had their first round bye in the opening round, the Jags survived what was a 27-0 deficit at one point in their wildcard game. Kansas City has been one of the fastest scoring teams in the entire league all season long and it's because of Patrick Mahomes and what he's able to do. The OVER is 4-0 in the Jags' last four games against opponents with winning record. I'm expecting a back and forth game, but with the Chiefs pulling away in the second half with all of that talent. Grab the OVER. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-24 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 51.5 

Line Parameter: play until 54.0.. 

T.M. Selection: NYG / MIN - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. These two teams met three weeks ago where the Vikings won the game late with a FG. Although it was tight, that game still finished with over 50 points. The Vikings have been a team of one-score victories this season as they are 11-0 in games decided by 8pts or less. In their last six home games against opponents with a winning record, Minnesota has seen the total go OVER in six straight games (6-0.) The OVER is also 5-0-1 in the last six Giants games played on a turf field. Expect a high scoring game here. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-29 Vikings. 

Line: O/U 47.5 

Line Parameter: play until 50.5.. 

I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers game in week 18 on Sunday. While this will be the biggest game of the week by far, both teams must win and will be trying their absolute best. Green Bay has come alive in the past few weeks putting up an enormous amount of points. The Packers are averaging 30.4 ppg in their past five games in that span. 

The Lions have also been putting up a bunch of points themselves, averaging 31.6 in their last five games. The Packers have seen the total go OVER in ten of their last eleven (91%) games after scoring more than 30pts in their last game. With Aaron Rodgers on one side of the ball and a team with heart playing on the other, I expect a very high-scoring game in a must-win game.

T.M. Prediction: 35-28 Packers Line Parameter: play until 50.0

T.M. Selection: Kansas City @ Las Vegas - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders game on Saturday. While the Chiefs will still be trying to win this game, even if the Bills end up winning, as they want the best seed possible in the playoffs. KC has looked very strong the past few weeks and look to be a real threat once again. LV enters this game having seen at least 54 points combined in each of their last two home games. KC has seen the total go OVER in four consecutive games played against a Divisional Opponent. In their last five meetings against each other, it's gone OVER each and every time. Expect another high scoring game with the Raiders keeping it closer than people think.

T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Chiefs. 

Line: O/U 52.5 

Line Parameter: play until 55.0.. 

T.M. Selection: OSU / UGA - UNDER 

I am on the UNDER in the Ohio State Buckeyes vs Georgia Bulldogs game on Saturday. Many people may look at this contest and think points, points, points. However, the Bulldogs seem to always be in lower scoring games when the stakes are huge. Last season in the CFP Semis, Georgia held Michigan to just 11 points. They are once again in the playoff and I expect their defense to rise to the occasion once again. CJ Stroud will be without Henderson and Smith-Njigba once again in this game and that should help the UGA D. They'll shift their attention to Marvin Harrison Jr and Emeka Egbuka in this one. Expect a low scoring battle here.

T.M. Prediction: 29-23 UGA. 

Line: O/U 62.5 

Line Parameter: play until 61.0.. 

T.M. Selection: KSt / Alabama - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kansas State Wildcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide game on Saturday. Even though Bama has had some lower scoring games this season, they have an offense that can put up points in a hurry. Last week against their long time rival in Auburn, they put up almost fifty in a 49-27 victory. Kansas State was one of the highest scoring teams in the country themselves putting up 33+ a game this season. They come into this game fresh off their Big 12 Championship win and I expect them to keep this one competitive. In the end, Bama will pull away but expect a back and forth game throughout. 

T.M. Prediction: 41-31 Bama.

Line: O/U 56.0 

Line Parameter: play until 58.0.. 

T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys @ Tennessee Titans - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Dallas Cowboys @ Tennessee Titans game on Thursday. While both teams still have plenty to play for, they should be focused on getting some points on the board, and early in this one.  Dallas has seen many high scoring games all season and I don't believe that those trends will change here. They've seen the total go OVER in seven straight games following a win. They've also seen five straight OVER's in each of their last five games. Tennessee is coming off a huge loss that puts them in second in the Division at the moment. They don't exactly need to win this game, because it all depends on next weeks game against the Jags, but I expect the guys who do play to put up a big fight. If they want a chance at beating this Cowboys team, they'll need to put up a lot of points. With a total on the lower side, I expect it to go OVER once again with ease. 

T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Cowboys.

Line: O/U 42.0 

Line Parameter: play until 44.0.. 

T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland Browns - UNDER

I am on the UNDER in the New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland Browns game on Saturday. It's supposed to get ugly in Cleveland this weekend. With snow, very cold air, huge winds and much more, this game has UNDER written all over it. Now the Browns should be used to it you would think; but this will be a test for new QB Deshaun Watson who spent the first few years of his NFL career down in Texas. Expect a very low scoring game on Saturday afternoon. 

T.M. Prediction: 17-6 Browns.

Line: O/U 32.5

Line Parameter: play until 31.5..

T.M. Selection: Houston / UL Lafayette - OVER

I am on the OVER in the Houston Cougars @ UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns on Friday. The Cougars have been in dog fights all season long, making them one of the highest scoring teams in the country. It also means that they've given up a whole bunch. While averaging 37.2 ppg (T12 in CFB,) they've given up an average of 33.5 ppg. Now ULL hasn't scored that many points, but they've scored 36+ points in four games this season. I'm expecting a high scoring bowl game here.

T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Houston.

Line: O/U 56.0

Line Parameter: play until 58.5..

T.M. Selection: USA / WKU - OVER 

I am on the OVER in the South Alabama Jaguars / Western Kentucky Hilltoppers game on Wednesday. Both of these teams have no problem scoring, it's just a matter of who will put up more points. WKU is averaging 35.8 ppg with the fourth most passing yards per game in the country (339.0.) USA has one of the most complete offenses in the nation, and they'll hurt you through the air and on the ground. In their last eleven non-conference games, the Hilltoppers have seen the total go OVER in nine of them. South Alabama has also seen the total go OVER in five of their last six non-conference games. USA will be trying to win their first ever bowl game in program history in this one so I expect it to be a good one. 

T.M. Prediction: 37-31 USA.

Line: O/U 57.0

Line Parameter: play until 58.5..

T.M. Selection: LAC/TEN OVER

I am on the OVER in the Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers game on Sunday. The Chargers looked very good last week against the Dolphins in a huge win to get them back in the playoff conversation. I had very high hopes on LAC and I still do if they can make the playoffs. I even think that they could possibly win it all with a few tweaks. Now, they'll play a Titans team that is hungry after having lost three straight games. In a big game for both, I like the OVER in a one score game on Sunday afternoon.

T.M. Prediction: 31-23 LAC.

Line: O/U 46.5

Line Parameter: play until 47.5..

T.M. Selection: Panthers/Seahawks OVER

I am on the OVER in the Carolina Panthers / Seattle Seahawks game on Sunday. While the Seahawks have had a few low scoring game this season; more often than not, they are scoring a lot of points. In twelve games this season, the Seahawks are averaging the fifth most amount of points per game. Their defense has also been a struggle. They giving up the third most total yards per game as well. The Panthers come in off three straight low scoring games. However, in their game against the Niners, a team who kind of plays like the Seahawks this season, they combined for 52 points. I expect a similar result here on Sunday in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 30-22 Seahawks.

Line: O/U 43.5

Line Parameter: play until 45.0

T.M. Selection: Raiders / Rams OVER

I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders / Los Angeles Rams game on Thursday. Although the Rams have been a low scoring team throughout this season, they come in to this game off a 23 point performance in a loss against the Seahawks. The Raiders love to feed the ball to Josh Jacobs, as well as Davante Adams. If Jacobs gets a clear head of space, he's going to eat you alive like he should tonight. The Rams are giving up the 4th most rushing yards per game this season. While the Rams season is basically done now, the Raiders still have a lot to play for. Baker Mayfield may see some snap for LA, and he needs to prove himself in order to get the starts for the remainder of the year. Expect Baker to keep the in the game until the 4th with a few late scores to send this game OVER.

T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Raiders

Line: O/U 43.0

Line Parameter: play until 44.0

T.M. Selection: WSH/NYG UNDER

I am on the UNDER in the Washington Commanders vs New York Giants game on Sunday. People might look at this line and say that it looks to be low. However, these two teams love to run the ball and drain the clock. With Saquon Barkley, as well as a mobile QB in Daniel Jones, the Giants will look to take as much time as possible off the clock and tear apart this injured Commanders DLine. Washington has many running backs themselves. If they want to get all of them involved, they'll have to share it around and run a lot as well.  Expect a very low scoring game in this one on Sunday afternoon at MetLife.

T.M. Prediction: 17-9 Giants.

Line: O/U 41.5

Line Parameter: play until 39.5

T.M. Selection: Raiders/Seahawks OVER

I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks game on Sunday. While the Raiders won last week, they still need to basically be perfect from here on out, to have a chance at the postseason. The Seahawks have shocked everybody, as they still lead the NFC West. They've been in a few shootouts already this season and this one has shootout written all over it as well. Expect fireworks at Lumen Field on Sunday afternoon.

T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Raiders

Line: O/U 47.5

Line Parameter: play until 49.0

T.M. Selection: Tennessee/Vanderbilt OVER

I am on the OVER in the Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores game on Saturday. While one of the headman candidates in Hendon Hooker was injured last week, and will be sidelines for the rest of the year, this Volunteers offense is still very explosive. Joe Milton, the backup, is a very capable QB, who has been pretty good coming in relief of Hooker in blowouts. He's played in 7 games this year, and has 6TDs with no turnovers. On the other hand, all Vanderbilt does is play offense. I mean, their stats may not be incredible, but the Commodores are awful on defense. I expect a shootout here on Saturday evening.

T.M. Prediction: 47-34 Vols.

Line: O/U 66.0

Line Parameter: play until 68.5

T.M. Selection: Cards/Niners OVER

I am on the OVER in the Arizona Cardinals vs San Fransisco 49ers game in Mexico on Monday. Last week, the Cardinals shocked the Rams as they beat the defending champs in a must win game to keep their season alive. Now, they'll play a hungry 49ers team that thinks they have the tools to get back to another Super Bowl this season. Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle is one of the best trios in the NFL and I believe that they really do have a shot at glory this season. However, both of these teams sit below the Seahawks right now in the NFC West and need wins to catch them. This game will be played in Mexico City in the "International Series" which might provide a spark for more scoring offensively. I expect a higher scoring game in practically must-win games again for both teams.

T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Niners.

T.M. Selection: Pitt/UNC OVER

I am on the OVER in the Pittsburgh Panthers vs North Carolina Tar Heels game on Saturday. UNC brings a dominant 6-1 record into this matchup on Saturday. The Tar Heels have played some excellent football over the past few weeks, led by their highly explosive offense. While they may be able to score the ball a ton, their defense has been awful this year. They are allowing 488.1 total yards per game and 32.4 ppg so far though 7 games. Although this hasn't really hurt them because their offense has been so good, it has caused for some very high scoring games. Pittsburgh has one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. Israel Abanikanda is very sound and he's about to pass the 1000 mark already after this game. With Pitt's offense not being bad at all, and the UNC offense being outstanding, I'm expecting fireworks on Saturday in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 39-34 UNC.

T.M. Selection: Bills/Ravens OVER

I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens game on Sunday. The Bills come into this game hungrier than ever after last week divisional loss against the Dolphins. Offensive Coordinator Ken Dorsey was not happy whatsoever, and I expect him to have some bombs ready this weekend to take out his anger. The Bills secondary is also not at full strength for this one. Micah Hyde out for the year, Tre White still out, Xavier Rhodes out, Ed Oliver is questionable. I'm expecting this to be an offensive shootout. Buffalo has seen the total go OVER in 13 of their last 20 games played on the road, dating back a few seasons. The Ravens also love high scoring games. Especially against teams from the AFC. They've seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 6 against teams from this conference. Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. What more could you ask for. Sit back and watch them both. put on a masterclass this Sunday.

T.M. Prediction: 34-28 Bills.

T.M. Selection: Tulane/Houston OVER

I am on the OVER in the Tulane Green Wave vs Houston Cougars game on Friday. Both of these two teams come into this hungry for more wins. Although Tulane's defense has been one of the best in the country to start the year, the games against UMASS and Alcorn St play a huge part in that. They still give up 125+ rushing yards per game, and struggled against Southern Miss last week in defending the medium-long ball. Houston, a team that many thought would be excellent this season, are off to a shaky start. Although they won last time out, they have one of the nations worst defenses. Averaging a total of 458.3 yards per game given up has came back to haunt the Cougars in two of their games already this year. They have seen more than 60 points combined with their opponents in each of their first 4 games of the year. Looking at the stats, and seeing how these teams come into this game have me 50/50 on the side here. Either team could win this game but I expect both of them to turn up the scoring in the second half to win this OVER pretty comfortably here.

T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Houston

T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs/LA Chargers OVER 

I am on the OVER in the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers game on Thursday. In week 1, the Chiefs looked nearly unstoppable. Everyone thought that they might see a bit of a rough start after losing their #1 WR in Tyreek Hill. But QB Patrick Mahomes is that guy. He is undoubtably a top 3 QB in the world right now, could be #1, and he is doing some magical things out there. Now on Thursday Night, Mahomes and the Chiefs will be taking on a stacked Chargers team that also looked really solid in their opening game. Justin Herbert, another amazingly talented QB, was dropping dimes left and right. These two QBs could very well be your MVP and runner up at the end of the season. Looking at the defences, the Chiefs have lost a lot. Without safety Tyrann Mathieu this season, LA should be able to cook against that secondary. For the Chargers, their defense looked like the D we expected at times, but they still gave up nearly 20 points to a less explosive offense than they are going to see here in this one. With every win being critical in a division like this, expect both of these teams to light up the scoreboard in a highly anticipated week 2 matchup on Thursday Night.

T.M. Predcition: 34-31 Chiefs

T.M. Selection: Florida State/Louisiana State OVER 

Brian Kelly will make his long awaited debut for the LSU Tigers here on Sunday Night. The Tigers come in off yet another disappointing season. Since Joe Burrow and the 2019-20 team went undefeated, LSU is only 11-12 the past two seasons. This year, they are more motivated than ever and I expect a much improved season. Although they haven't announced the starter, I think that Jayden Daniels will get the nod. He's a capable QB that can really be good at times. He will have big time WR Kayshon Boutte to pass to, who I think is about to have a ridiculous year. Now, the Seminoles have already played a game this season. That will help them in this one as they have some film to watch. Coming into this game, FSU is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games dating back to last season. With QB Jordan Travis back, and Mycah Parsons (Michael's brother) a weapon to throw to, expect the Noles to have no problem putting up points here tonight, especially with LSU losing lockdown corner in Derek Stingley. Give me the OVER.

T.M. Prediction: 31-27 LSU.

T.M. Selection: Rams/Bengals UNDER.

I am on the under in the LA Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl game on February 13 this year. The Rams are known for their very heavy offense that loves to put up a lot of points in their games but the Rams also have a great defense and a lot of talented players on that side of the ball too. They showed that they can battle it out in a low scoring and more defensive game with their 20-17 win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship game. The 49ers have a very good defense and they were able to hold the Rams to 20 points in that game. I think that this game will also be more defensive since both teams have looked good on defense lately. The Rams have already held 2 different playoff teams to less than 20 points in these playoffs alone. The game that they didn't was the game they won over the Buccaneers but their defense had the clamp down on the Bucs offense for 3 quarters of that game. The Bengals have a very good offense but Joe Mixon will have a hard time running into Donald and Miller all game. They could also attack through the air with Ja'Marr Chase but he has to deal with Jalen Ramsey and all the other talented players they have lurking in the secondary. I don't think the Bengals offense is going to be doing much against the Rams defense here and the Bengals offense hasn't even been putting up a lot of points in their games lately. Their defense has also been stepping up in their games like in their previous game they stepped up in the 2nd half and only allowed 3 points by the Chiefs. I think the Bengals defense is going to continue to step up here and get some big stops in this game for them but I also think the Bengals are not good enough on offense to put up a lot of points on this defense. I think this is going to be a game that doesn't have a ton of points in it so I like the under here.

T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Rams.

T.M. Selection: Bengals/Chiefs OVER.

I am on the over in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday. The Bengals have gone on a great run to make it to this AFC Championship game but they haven't had to use a lot of offense to get here. They have been in control of their previous 2 games for the most part and haven't had to put up a lot of points as the offenses they faced struggled in those games. I don't think that is going to happen here though. The Chiefs just had a crazy high scoring game that became very explosive near the end and i think this game will follow suit with that game more than the other games the Bengals have played in. The other 2 teams didn't really challenge the Bengals much but the Chiefs will and I think the Bengals are going to have to put up a ton of points to keep up here. The Bengals haven't had to play from behind yet but there is a good chance they will be playing this game from behind and if that's the case then they will have to throw the ball more and put up a lot of points quickly. The Chiefs have put up 40+ points in both of their playoff games and they have looked incredible on offense in both games. They just won a shootout with the Bills and even when they were down by 3 with 13 seconds left they found a way to sling the ball down the field and tie the game with a FG in those 13 seconds. The Bills have 1 of the best defenses in the league and even they had trouble stopping the Chiefs in that game. I don't think the Bengals are going to have a better chance here of stopping them so they will need to defend this game with their offense to keep it close. They already played each other right before the playoffs started and there was 60+ points in that game, both teams putting up 30+ points. I think this is going to be a high scoring game with a lot of offenses and I think the defenses will not be able to do much to stop these 2 powerful offenses. I like the over in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Chiefs.

T.M. Selection: Bengals/Titans OVER.

I am on the over in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans game on Saturday. I think this game is going to have a lot of scoring in it from both teams. The Bengals have a very good passing game and I expect them to use their strength in this game. The Titans are a bit beaten up in the secondary and I expect Burrow to attack them deep here and throw the ball a lot. Ja'Marr Chase has become 1 of the best WRs in this league lately and he has received for 400+ yards over their previous 4 games. I expect Burrow to attack the Titans deep here and give Chase plenty of looks in this game leading to a lot of scores. I also think the great running from Mixon will help with their passing game and relieve the pressure on Burrow to make more accurate throws deep down the field. The Titans also have a lot of weapons at WR though and I think they will be airing the ball out here too. Derrick Henry is expected to return here for the 1st time since week 8 and he is an absolute monster when he has the ball in his hands. I expect him to do a lot of running all over the Bengals defense here which will also open up their passing game too. I think Tannehill is good enough to lead his offense down the field and find his star receivers on the outside. I expect a game with a lot of passing here and quick scores down field. These defenses have been good this year but neither have really been popping off the page and I think both are going to get gashed for a lot of yards and a lot of scores here. Both offenses are going to move the ball and put up points forcing the other team to respond and this could be a game that ends up going back and forth all day. I like the over in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Bengals.

T.M. Selection: Alabama/Georgia OVER.

I am on the over in the Alabama vs Georgia National Championship game on Monday. Alabama has looked great on offense all year and they have been putting up a ton of points in a lot of their games. They have scored 40+ points in 3 of their previous 5 games, still putting up 20+ points in all of those games. They just played Georgia a few weeks ago in the SEC title game and put up 41 points on them but they also gave up 24 points to Georgia in that game and their defense has been something that has been shaky at times all year. In their games before the 1 against Georgia, they even let Auburn score 22 points on them and they let Arkansas put up 35. I think Alabama is going to be able to score on that Georgia defense in this game since they have already done so not that long ago and I don't think Georgia is going to have a good enough game plan to stop them either. Alabama still looked really good on offense in their game against Cincinnati in the Cotton Bowl putting up 27 points in that game. Georgia also got their offense moving in their most recent game against Michigan in the Orange Bowl and they were able to put up 34 points on a Michigan defense that is really good ranked 4th in the country. Georgia has scored 30+ points in 12 of their previous 13 games with the 1 game that they didn't being the 1 against Alabama a few weeks ago but they still put up 24 points in that game and I think they will be able to put up more points on them here after seeing their defense in that game and planning around it now. Their last meeting went over the posted total and I expect nothing less from this game either. I think both teams are going to score a lot so I like the over in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 38-31 Georgia.

T.M. Selection: LSU/Kansas State OVER.

I am on the over in the LSU vs Kansas State game on Tuesday. LSU had a very up and down year but they managed to finish 6-6 to just sneak their way into this bowl game. They looked pretty good in their final 2 games, winning both of them to get to this game and putting up 27 points in both of them. There has been times this year that their offense has looked really good though and they have put up 40+ points in a few games this year. Their defense has also looked bad in a lot of games though and they have given up 40+ points in a few games this year too. Kansas State lost their 2 most recent games to finish the year but they did not need to win those games to get here as they had 7 wins already before those 2 losses. They had to face 2 tough teams in those games but in their 3 games before that where they played teams with defenses that weren't that great, just like the LSU defense, they were able to put up 30+ points in all 3 of those games. I think Kansas State will be able to put up a ton of points on LSU here since their offense has looked great in a lot of games this year and LSU has looked shaky on defense in a lot of games. LSU gave up 24 points to Texas A&M in their final game of the regular season but I think Kansas State will be able to score more here. I also think LSU will be trying hard to win this game and put up points since they tried so hard to win those last 2 games and get here. The total is not very high in this game and I think both teams can easily put up 20+ points in this game and shoot over that total. i like the over in this game. 

T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Kansas State.

T.M. Selection: Houston/UConn OVER.

I am on the over in the Houston vs UConn game on Saturday. Houston has put together a really good year after losing their 1st game and their offense has looked really good in their games lately. They have put up 30+ points in every game this year except for 2, the game that they lost and a 28-20 win over Navy. Houston knows that they are going to be facing Cincinnati in the AAC Championship so I think that they are going to use this game more as a tune up and try some new things to score some big plays. UConn has been terrible all year and their defense has given up 40+ points in their previous 3 games. I think Houston's offense is going to shred the UConn defense and they might score enough points themselves to put this game over the posted total. UConn might score some points in this game but I think that Houston is going to put up a ton of points in this game between their great offense and UConn's awful defense. I like the over in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 56-10 Houston.

T.M. Selection: Seahawks/Packers OVER.

I am on the over in the Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers game on Sunday. The big story here is how both Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers will be returning as the starters for this game. The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week and much healthier with Wilson back at QB for them. Geno Smith held up alright keeping them in their last couple of games and he even put up 31 points for them in his last start, but Wilson gives this team a real chance at winning any game and with their defense still looking like it needs some work, he will have to put up a lot of points in this game to keep up with the Packers. The Packers were only able to score 7 points with Rodgers out last week but their offense has been great with him under center and I'm expecting to put out a big performance to counter the week of drama he had to experience with everything that was surrounding him. I think this game could easily turn into a shootout with these 2 QBs back so I am on the over in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Packers.

T.M. Selection: Dolphins/Bills OVER.

I am on the over in the Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. The Dolphins have played some rough games in their last 2 that they had a chance at winning in both and came up short. It all started in London when they gave the Jags their 1st win of the season but still managed to put up 20 points in that game over sea. Then in their game last week they had the lead with a minute left but gave the ball back to the Falcons losing on a last attempt field goal. They still put up 28 points in that game too. Their offense has not been the problem in their games and they have been gaining yardage and putting up points well. It is their defense that keeps blowing the leads for them and if they play like that here they will definitely be giving up a ton of points to this Bills offense. The Bills just had their bye week but lost their last game to the Titans and will be looking for a win here to get right. Since their week 1 loss to the Steelers, the Bills have put up 30+ points in every game since then and have 1 of the best offense in the league. They have already played the Dolphins earlier this year and put up 35 points in that game and gave up 0. The Dolphins have been bad on defense lately and the Bills have only gotten better on offense so I think they can put up even more points here. It is a lot tougher to play a team the 2nd time around so I expect the Dolphins to play better with their improved offense and actually put up some points on the board here. I like this game to go over the posted total.

T.M. Prediction: 45-17 Bills.

T.M. Selection: Florida/Georgia UNDER.

I am on the under in the Florida vs Georgia game on Saturday. Florida just had their bye week after a game against LSU that they lost in a very high scoring shootout. They lost to LSU 49-42 after 2 games where the defense played great giving up 0 and 20 points. They fell apart in that game on the defensive side of the ball and I know that was a huge talking point during their bye. I think they would have been working to fix the problems from that game and iron out all the little things. Georgia is the best team in the country and they also sport the best defense in the country as well. They have played in 7 games this year and have not even given up 50 points total. Kentucky put up 13 points on them in their last game and that was the most points scored on them by a single team in a game this year. Georgia had their bye week last week too and they will be very focused on shutting down Florida in this game. The only way Florida is going to beat them is to play very good on defense too or they might not get any chances to put up points in this game. I expect this to be a low scoring game that Florida will struggle in to score at all and I expect them to keep Georgia at bay a bit in their desperation to win this game. I like this game to under the posted total.

T.M. Prediction: 28-7 Georgia.