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T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta.

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK).

The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening.

T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. 

T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER).

I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State.

T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN).

Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around.

T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers.

Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK).

Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it!

T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston.

T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK).

The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points!

T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando.

T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK.

I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA.

T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers.

T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER).

The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest. 

T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando.

T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick.

T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana.

T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time.

T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly)

T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER).

There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either.

T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks.

T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER.

The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest.

T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana.

T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS

OKC has won all 3 meetings this season. Those games were all B.Z. though. That's "before Zion." Williamson is now here and he's just getting better by the game. Wednesday he got 31 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. New Orleans smoked Portland 138-117. Thats 3 wins in a row. Off two losses in a row, the Thunders are going the other way. Pelicans 16-9-1 against the number their last 26, when off a home win. Revenge will be theirs. 

T.M. Prediction: 117-108 New Orleans

T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets

The Raptors just keep winning and winning. It ends today. You heard it right here. The Nets don;t have Kyrie or KD but they've got a big scheduling advantage. Toronto is 3-5 against the spread, 4 losses outright, In A Home Game Where The Total Is Greater Than Or Equal To 220.

T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Nets

T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers

In their first game back since the tragic accident, its hard for anyone to know exactly how the Lakers will respond to the devastating loss of Kobe Bryant. We do know how the Trail Blazers have reacted though. By playing their best basketball of the season! They're off back to back big wins against the Pacers and Rockets. Dame is doing it all and dropped a triple-double on Houston, after going over 50 in his previous three. Did you know that Portand is a PERFECT 7-0 against the pointspread, with one push, the last 3 years, when coming off 2 Consecutive Home Wins By 10 Points Or More. 

T.M. Prediction: 119-117 Lakers

T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets

Sure, the Nets went to OT yesterday. They're still the better team though and we're getting them as an underdog. The Knicks are 1-10 in division games. The Knicks are also 1-8 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Nets already won here earlier and consider MSG a home away from home. They'll make it their home today. 

T.M. Prediction: 113-102 Nets

T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets

With Kyrie Irving back and healthy, the Brooklyn Nets will be tough to play against, especially at home. Coming into this game Brooklyn is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games at home. The Nets are also off back-to-back wins which could help provide a confidence boost here tonight. Now, there isn't much bad to say about the Jazz. Even though they have won nine straight games, 1-4 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Utah is also only 0-4 ATS off 9 consecutive wins the past three seasons. Expect a hard fought game, but for Brooklyn to pull away late. Take the Nets.

T.M. Prediction: 117-112 Nets

T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis comes into this game with a 4-1 SU % ATS record in their last 5 games this season. Memphis is also a dominant 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, San Antonio is only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against opponents in the Western Conference. The Spurs are also only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Memphis. At home, I expect the Grizzlies to get the job done here.

T.M. Prediction: 117-109 Memphis

T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers

Portland may be having an "off season" so far, but in my opinion, they still have an excellent team that will be in the playoff hunt come time. The Trail Blazers are 6-1 in their last 7 games when they are playing on the road against New York. They are also a dominant 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. For the Knicks, they are only 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Wednesday. NY is also a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Northwest Division. I mean c'mon. This is one of the worst teams in the NBA. To be only favored by 3.5. That's awful. Blazers win big on New Year's, to prove the haters wrong.

T.M. Prediction: 111-86 Trail Blazers

T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons

The Pistons haven't had the start they were hoping for, but I believe they have the team to compete come playoff time. Coming into this game against the Jazz, Detroit are 4-2 off a blowout loss of 15 points or more this season. For Utah, they are 5-10 after playing on the road in their previous game ytd. The Jazz are also a terrible 0-5 off a win by 10+ points this season. With Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin leading the way, I expect the Pistons to keep it close here. Take Detroit.

T.M. Prediction: 111-108 Jazz

T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs

Neither team has started this season with a great record, but there is still time to improve. Detroit comes off a huge win over the Wizards on Wednesday. Even though they won that game, they are still only 1-5 SU/ATS in their last 6 games. The Pistons are also only 2-8 in their last 10 games against San Antonio. For the Spurs, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Demar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge lead the way for them. In a big gaem, I trust the better team to get the job done. Take the Spurs.

T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Spurs

T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta may be bad, I mean really bad, but I expect them to cover with ease here. Trae Young has had an unbelievable season even with his team losing. He has now scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. Trae also has PF John Collins to pair with him. That man kills weak defense. For Milwaukee, they'll be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Eric Bledsoe. They may have the best record in the entire league, but without those guys, 12 points is a lot to win by. Off 8 straight losses, Atlanta is due for a big performance here against a Bucks team full with injuries. Expect a close game on Friday Night.

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Bucks

T.M. Selection: Clippers

Christmas always delivers. Here, it's the battle for L.A. and both of these teams are almost identical in skill. The Clippers come into this game 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against opponents in the Pacific Division. They are also 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers have lost 3 games in a row. They started the season as the best team in the NBA, but now they have slipped off a little bit. In the past, the Clippers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers. The Clippers have also won 16 of their last 20 meetings against each other. Expect a similar outcome here. 

T.M. Prediction: 123-119 Clippers

T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks

Neither team has looked sharp to enter the 2019-20 season. Trae Young, Hawks point guard, has been playing phenomenal basketball. Although his team has been losing, he has scored at least 30 points in each of their last four games. Cleveland comes into this one with a terrible 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games against opponents from the Eastern Conference. The Cavs are also 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played in December. Off 7 straight loses, expect the Hawks to bounce back in a big way tonight. Take Atlanta.

T.M. Prediction: 113-104 Hawks

T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets

Boh teams have beenm excellent, as expected, to start the 2019-20 season. Houston comes into this one with a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 games. They just beat San Antonio in a great matchup on Tuesday. LA is off a win against the Suns, but they lost to the Bulls in the match previous to that. With James Harden and Russell Westbrook leading the way, I like the Rockets to not only cover, but to win this close, exciting game. Take Houston.

T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Rockets

T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavs

Both of these two teams have had insane starts to the season, and both will want to continue that here. Dallas enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their L5 games against an opponent in the Central division. The Mavs are also 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Milwaukee. The Bucks, are 4-5 in their last 9 games when playing against a team against an opponent with a winning record. The Mavericks may be without star Luka Doncic, but they've got the talent to keep up with this Bucks team. Expect Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge on Monday Night. Take Dallas.

T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks

T.M. Selection: OKC

Neither team has had the greatest start, but both are still hoping for a decent season. Entering this game, OKC is 13-8 ATS this season. Utah is only 9-14. The Thunder have also won 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 games this year. The Jazz are only 2-5 their last 7 games. Expect the Thunder to cover easily, if not win this game. Take OKC.

T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah

T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks

Both of these two teams have had excellent starts to this season. In Dallas' last 7 games, they've won ATS in 6 of em. They are also 5-1 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers haven't done so well against opponents in the same conference as them. They are only 1-5 their L6 when playing teams from the West. I like the Mavericks to get it done on the road, with Luka leading the way. Take Dallas.

T.M. Prediction: 121-120 Mavs

T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers

Neither teams has had a great start to this season so far. Although they haven't gotten fully going yet, Portland still has superstar Damian Lillard as well as CJ McCullum. On the other hand, the Cavs haven't been good at all. They have lost 6 games in a row and 5 straight ATS. I expect the Trail Blazers to destroy these guys. Take Portland.

T.M. Prediction: 116-107 Trail Blazers

T.M. Selection: GSW

The Warriors will return from a 3-game road trip on Monday where they'll face the Utah Jazz. Utah has started decently, but they have yet to cover the spread on the road (0-4.) Now, they'll play a Warriors team that is expecting the return of Draymond Green, who could provide the spark the team needed here. With DLo hot and the line so big, I like the Warriors a lot here. They might even win this one. 

T.M. Prediction: 105-103 GSW

T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors

On opening night, the Raptors beat the Pelicans by eight in a big OT game. Now they'll meet again in a spot where the Pelicans can't afford to keep losing. Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry, and Fred VanVleet have all stepped up their game and the Toronto Raptors are now comfortably sitting in tied for forth at 5-2. J.J. Reddick, a strong perimeter threat for New Orleans, is listed as questionable for this one. Without Zion and him, Toronto should be able to capitalize on the normally bench players who'll replace them. Raps by 12.

T.M. Prediction: 111-99 Raps

T.M. Selection: ROCKETS

Houston played last night and now will be without Westbrook. That has brought the line down. Yesterday's game was a destruction though and will make them mad tonight. Remember, the Rockets were just fine before they got Westbrook. Facing a bad Memphis team, they will be fine again tonight. Harden will run the point and he will be ready to welcome Ja Morant to the league. This should be good!

T.M. Prediction: 124-110 Houston

T.M. Selection SAN ANTONIO

We played against the Spurs at LA last night. Tonight they play a Warrior team decimated by injuries and player departures. The Warriors are flat out bad right now. They were never even close against Phoenix in their last game. The Spurs are 16-5 ATS on Fridays last few seasons. 

T.M. Prediction: 113-101 Spurs. 

T.M. Selection: LA Clippers

Let's face it, the L.A. Clippers are by far the better team in this matchup. Kawhi has proven to be one of the best players in the league, if not the best. I expect him to go off again tonight. Enough said. Take the Clippers with ease.

T.M. Prediction: 109-97 Clippers

T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors

The Defending Champs will return home on Monday as they will face the Orlando Magic. The Raps have looked strong offensively and defensively so far with Siakam, Lowry, and Fred VanVleet leading the way. Orlando is off to a 1-1 start with a win over the Cavs, and a loss to the Hawks. I expect Toronto to get it done in front of their home fans in this one. Take the Raptors.

T.M. Prediction: 107-93 Raptors

T.M Selection: Chicago Bulls

Both of these teams will enter this game with an 0-1 record. In the past, the Grizzlies are 10-20 off a road loss by 10+ points. They are also 18-28 as a favorite their L46. I expect the Chicago Bulls to march right through this small Memphis team. Play on the Bulls with ease,

T.M. Prediction: 105-97 Bulls

T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Toronto had its chance to put this series away and after taking the first two games of this series in Golden State, I think there’s zero chance that Kawhi Leonard and company can take all three there. Kevin Durant went down with injury and is out for the rest of the series, but Golden State is still loaded with talent and experience and I believe it’s these two things which will “win the day” in Game 6. Leonard is likely going to win MVP if the Raptors win, but Stephen Curry now has the same opportunity if he can pull off the impossible as well. And while sweeping two games in a row is a tall task, I absolutely expect Curry and company to defend home floor at all costs in Game 6. With the comforting knowledge that they can return to the friendly confines of Jurassic Park, I look for the Raptors to have a letdown here. 

T.M. Prediction: 109-102 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BLOOD-BATH).

I had a play on the “under” in Game 4, but for Game 5 I’m going to concentrate on the side. Possibly again without their best player in Kevin Durant on the floor, I believe the Warriors are still going to find a way to get the job done here and send this one back to Oakland. Serge Ibaka had a big game for the Raptors in Game 4, but it’s hard to imagine the big man duplicating that performance in back-to-back contests. I think this one has outright “upset” written all over it (that said though, grab the points!)

T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Golden State (10* GAME OF WEEK)

Golden State looked dominant in the second half of Game 2, especially on the defensive end and with this series now shifting to the West Coast, I’m expecting the veteran laden defending champions to keep the foot on the gas in front of the home town crowd. The biggest difference though between Game’s 1 and 2? Golden State’s role players stepped up big in Game 2 and outplayed their counterparts. It’s not going to get any easier for Toronto’s bench either in this hostile environment. The pressure is now definitely on the Raptors, who I believe are now in over their heads an in unchartered territory. Additionally note that Toronto is only 3-11 ATS in its last 14 at Golden State, while the Warriors are a sharp 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing on two or more days rest. 

T.M. Prediction: 108-99 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF MONTH)

If you’re watching this game, then the story lines are well known for each team. The Warriors are trying to three-peat and they’re playing without Kevin Durant. The Raptors have been on a role all season long and have been riding the fantastic play of Kawhi Leonard. With or without Durant though, I think the Warriors are going to find a way to win Game 2 outright. The playoffs, much like handicapping, is all about making adjustments and the Warriors are filled with so much talent and experience, that I look for them to do just that. I expect Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry to once again have big games, but I also expect the Warriors bench and role players to finally “show up.” Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Golden State.

T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER).

Toronto has looked decent in the first half of both games so far in the ECF’s, but the second half it’s been non-existent. The Raptors are better at home than on the road though, as they enjoy one of the league’s “best” home court advantages. It’s difficult to play North of the border and I believe the surging Bucks finally have a letdown here. Milwaukee has been playing at an extremely high level with only one loss so far in the playoffs, but it’s about to have its hands full in this difficult venue in my opinion. The Raptors are fantastic defensively on their own floor and I believe that trend carries over here. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that the Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Raptors.

T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Toronto controlled Game 1 up until about mid-way through the fourth quarter. That’s when the Bucks were finally able to get over the hump, pulling away for a very tight cover in the closing moments. But I’m expecting the Raptors to come back even harder here. There’s no reason at all not to expect another battle here, as these two evenly matched sides aren’t going to give an inch. Note that Toronto is already 2-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 20-12 ATS in its last 22 after failing to cover five or six of its last seven ATS, while Milwaukee is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after five or more consecutive victories. While I do believe the outright is a possibility, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Toronto.

T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Raptors.

T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time.

T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Golden State.

T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers (10* GAME OF WEEK)

Golden State got by the Rockets in Game 6 without the services of All Star Kevin Durant, but I think the defending champs will struggle in Game 1 of the WCF. These teams split four regular season meetings and in my opinion, everything points to another competitive affair here. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are going to be a matchup issue for the undermanned Warriors, and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I think the conditions are definitely right for a war until the end. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland is 50-32 ATS in its last 82 vs. teams which allow 106 plus points or more, while Golden State is just 18-27 ATS as a home favorite this year. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. 

T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF WEEK)

I had a play on the Rockets in their tight Game 5 loss, but for Game 6 I’m going the other way as I expect the defending champs, despite playing without the services of Kevin Durant, to battle tight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. If ever there was a time for Klay Thompson to step up and show the basketball World that he’s worth a max contract, now is the time. With Durant available for the next round, the Warriors don’t need to panic at this point. If Golden State gets a decent game out of Curry and a good one from Thompson, they have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series, but the veteran leadership which the Warriors bring to the table in this instance is the difference maker in my opinion. Note as well that Golden State is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 when trying to close out a playoff series, while Houston is 0-2 ATS in its last two when facing elimination in a playoff series. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Rockets.

T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10*)

So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series. But other than Kevin Durant, the Warriors have looked very “off” over the last two games and I think that Houston has a legitimate shot at stealing Game 5 outright. The Clippers won two games at Oracle Arena remember in the opening series. The Rockets made the necessary defensive adjustments and both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are struggling with consistency right now. James Harden and company though have definitely improved dramatically on both ends of the court and I see no reason that that momentum won’t be carried over here. Consider as well that Houston is 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Golden State is only 9-18 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER)

This has been a very competitive series and I expect nothing different in Game 5. Toronto earned the 101-96 win last time out behind 39 points from Kawhi Leonard. In Game 3 Philadelphia star Joel Embiid had 30 points, ten boards and five blocks in the 76ers 116-95 victory. Leonard has been incredible so far, but one has to wonder how much gas he has left in the tank? The rest of the Raptors have been poor and it’s the opening that Philadelphia needs to once again take control of this series. Philadelphia’s role players have also struggled at times, but I still think that Philadelphia features the deeper and more skilled scoring talent. Additionally note that Philadelphia already 4-1 ATS this year off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, while Toronto is only 20-22 ATS this season after a game where it covered the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter.

T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors.

T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* GAME OF MONTH)

After getting blown out in Game 1 the under 76ers earned the split with a dominant performance in Game 2 and I believe they’ll carry that confidence and momentum over into another small upset in Game 3 in friendly confines. Toronto shot only 36.3 percent from the floor and 27 percent from range in Monday’s loss. Philadelphia is deep and it earned the Game 2 win despite big man Joel Embiid pretty much being ineffective. With the shift in venue, I think Embiid has his biggest performance yet. Note that Toronto is just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and just 7-8 ATS when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this year off a road win vs. a division rival.

T.M. Prediction: 108-106 76ers.

T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER)

I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and I think it has a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my Game 1 analysis, do so now as the logic behind that play for the most part also directly applies to this one:

I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Boston.

T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* TRADE-MARK)

I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Bucks.

T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* GAME OF WEEK)

I had a play on the Nets in Game 4 and I lost that play, the only NBA play of the four that I released on the weekend that lost. After winning Game 1 the Nets have faltered as the 76ers have taken three straight. However, with its back against the wall, I like Brooklyn to step up here and get the job done. I also don’t think that the outright win is out of the question. Consistency from game to game has plagued the 76ers all year and while they’ve seemingly gotten it together over the last week, I’m not fully convinced quite yet until I do indeed see them finish the deal. The Nets have admittedly disappointed over the last couple of games, but we don’t have to question their drive in this one. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to deliver the goods. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Nets.

T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER)

I think the Clippers keep this crucial Game 4 competitive. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll recommend grabbing the points. After rolling to a 132-105 win in Game 3, I think the Warriors come out flat here. The Clippers know they can’t go back to Golden State down 3-1 and expect to win this series, so with the home side laying everything on the line, I do indeed expect a “nail biter” until the end. The Clippers have the offensive firepower to keep pace with Golden State and they won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. Additionally note that Golden State is still a horrible 16-20 ATS as a road favorite this season, while LA is a solid 16-8 ATS in its last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR)

Orlando dominated the second half of the regular season and it came out and accomplished exactly what it wanted to in Toronto to open this series, earning a “split” by handily taking Game 1. The Raptors bounced back in Game 2, but I smell another slight upset in Game 3 as I look for the home side to ride the wave of emotion. Of course the Magic would have loved to have taken both games from the Raptors, but that’s not realistic. A split was the goal and with that goal having already been accomplished after the first game, the Magic took the foot off the gas in Game 2. It’ll be full speed ahead though in Game 3. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the home floor advantage is significant here. Note as well that Toronto is a terrible 11-14 ATS this season as a road favorite, while Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog. 

T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Magic.

T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* GAME OF WEEK)

After three straight wins, I think the Spurs have a letdown here. San Antonio scored the major upset in Game 1 and with the “split” accomplished, I think that the Spurs predictably come up short here (just like the Nets did last night in their blowout loss to the 76ers!) It’s an identical situation. The 76ers had a great overall year, yet it would have basically all gone to waste if it didn’t buckle down and take care of business in Game 2. And now that’s exactly the same situation that the Nuggets find themselves in. San Antonio is still just 11-12 ATS as a road dog this year, while Denver is still 23-16 ATS as a home favorite (also 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two days rest.) Lay the points, expect a rout. 

T.M. Prediction: 112-98 Nuggets.

T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks (10* BEST OF BEST)

I’m expecting a decisive blowout here. Detroit won its final two regular season games to qualify for the eight spot. The Pistons reward? A date vs. Milwaukee, a team it went 0-4 against in the regular season. The Pistons average 107 PPG and they allow 107.3. The Bucks average 118.1 PPG and they allow 109.3. Milwaukee is 12-3 ATS vs. the division this year, while Detroit is just 6-9 ATS in the same position. Like the Warriors did last night, look for the No. 1 seed in the East to deliver a message here as well. 

T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Bucks.

T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK)

These are two hard-nosed defensive minded clubs, but I believe they’ll engage in an up-tempo “shootout” to open this series. I think these teams are evenly matched. The Spurs averaged 111.7 PPG and they allowed 110, while Denver averaged 110.7 PPG, while allowing 106.7. Note though that the Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS this year trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Denver is interestingly only 33-34 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest.

T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver.

T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* TRADE-MARK)

The Cavaliers are looking to snap a nine-game slide, while also looking to play spoiler here to the Hornets, who are in a dog fight until the end for one of the final spots in the East. Overall the Hornets average 110.5 PPG, while allowing 111.9. The Cavs average 104.6 PPG, while conceding 114. I’ll point out though that the Hornets are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Cleveland is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. Expect the home side to push this one to the brink.

T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Hornets.

T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH)

The Clippers are in a dog fight for one of the final spot in the West. They’ll be eager to get back on track here and to try and score the upset win after a 135-103 home loss to Houston and a 122-117 setback to the Lakers. “(If) we lose a couple more, we’ll be in the eight seed,” head coach Doc Rivers admitted, preceding that comment with some sarcasm. “That would be really smart on our part. (The seeding) matters. It absolutely matters. I don’t think anybody wants to go play Golden State. If we have to, we’ll be ready. But my guess is the other seven teams aren’t volunteering. That’s all I’m going to say.” Golden State is on the verge of clinching the Western Conference, but after four straight wins, I think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Outright upset? Nah! But grab the points and expect a battle until the final moments.

T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY

T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Spurs are trying desperately to avoid eighth spot in the West, which would almost assuredly mean a matchup with the Warriors. San Antonio handled the Hawks 117-111 at home last night and I think they carry that momentum over into the first game of their final road trip of the year. Denver on the other hand was busy losing 116-102 to the Warriors last night and I think it comes in still collectively caught up on that setback. Note that the Spurs are 32-22 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is just 6-9 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points. 

T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs.

T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Utah has won four straight over some pretty mediocre competition, but it finds itself in another favorable situation here, facing a Hornets team that comes in off a blowout loss in Golden State just last night. The Hornets would need to sweep the board and get outside help to make the playoffs at this point, while Utah is looking to gain ground. From a situational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for the home side. I’m laying the points.

T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Jazz.

T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Blazers come in off a big win on the road over Atlanta just last night. Detroit plays with the immediate revenge factor here after falling 117-112 in Portland just last week. The Pistons are in sixth spot in the East, but only 1.5 games ahead of ninth place Orlando, who they picked up a win over in their last outing. Note that Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. Detroit is in a dog fight as it looks to maintain positioning and I expect it to make the most of this situation.

T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Detroit. 

T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Wizards have essentially been eliminated from the playoffs, s they’d need to sweep their remaining six games, while also getting a lot of outside help. The odds are against Washington tremendously, but after breaking a five-game slide with a win over Phoenix last time out, clearly it hasn’t quite thrown in the towel yet. The Jazz come in on the other end of the spectrum having won four straight. Will they “get caught looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight? I think the answer to that is: “very possibly!” Note that Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Utah is just 10-16 ATS this season after having won three of its last four games. I’m grabbing all these points.

T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Utah.

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Magic torched the 76ers at home just last night, but I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back to back vs. a Heat team fighting for one of the final playoff spots in the East. Also note that Miami plays with “revenge” here after losing two of three in the season series. Note that the Magic are just 5-8 in the second game of back-to-backs this year, averaging 110.8 PPG and allowing 112.2 in those situations. The Heat return home rested after demolishing the Wizards on the road Saturday. Now tied with Orlando for the final spot, clearly the home side will be looking to push the pace from start to finish. Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. vs. a team with a losing road record, while Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road.

T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Heat.

T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Nets come in with some momentum here after back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Kings. Portland comes in having won three straight vs. Detroit, Dallas and Indiana. Two teams hungry for more wins to bolster their playoff positioning from difference conferences collide and I’m expecting a battle until the end. The Nets just held the Lakers offense to 38.5 percent shooting. The Nets are 61-44 ATS in their last 10 as a road underdog (including a money-making 17-14 this season), while Portland is just 12-21 ATS in its last 33 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 4-6 this year.) Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nets.

T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BLACK-LABEL)

Denver smashed the Knicks 111-93 on the road on Friday, while the Pacers return home to friendly confines off a humbling 0-4 Western Conference road trip, including a 112-89 setback to Golden State on Thursday. Part of their losing road trip included a 102-100 loss in Denver on March 16th. With a chance to avenge that loss and to break the four-game slide, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here as it tries to get back into the playoff hunt. Denver comes in complacent at the end of its trip and note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four after six or more SU wins. Additionally note that the Pacers are already 4-1 ATS this year as a home dog of six points or less.

T.M. Prediction: 108-103 Pacers.

T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Kings are desperately trying to post some wins to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Suns won’t be in the playoffs, but they’ll be trying to play spoiler here. The Kings come in off a win over the Mavericks, but after three straight losses, including a blowout setback at home to the Pistons, I think the Suns will give Sacramento everything it can handle tonight. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 after two straight blowout losses of 15 points or more, while Sacramento is still only 6-8 ATS vs. the division. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Kings.

T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* BANKROLL BUILDER)

Detroit’s been playing a lot better since the All Star break. After back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Raptors, the Pistons will be out to atone for a lacklustre effort vs. the Cavs in their last game. After a three week surge about a month ago, the Suns have predictably come back down to Earth and they enter off a deflating loss at home to the lowly Bulls. Phoenix has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time, going just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400, while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. I’m laying the points and expecting the Pistons to get back on track in this favorable spot.

T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Pistons.

T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER)

Outright upset? Probably not. But I think the visitors come in complacent and get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Jazz come in off a 116-95 road win over Washington on Monday, while the Knicks were killed 128-92 on the road in Toronto on Monday. Not surprisingly the home side plays with revenge here after falling 129-97 in the first matchup of the season in Utah back on December 29th. Utah’s won four straight, but with a game tomorrow night in Atlanta, it’s not to difficult to see the visitors also getting caught “looking past” their opponent as well. Additionally note that Utah is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog in the same points range. Yes the Knicks are just counting down the minutes to the off-season, but this one sets up great from a situational stand point. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 107-105 Utah.

T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT)

The Nets have lost three straight on their current road trip and I think they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. Sacramento’s playoff hopes are fading, but it comes in with momentum after breaking a three-game slide by knocking off the Bulls on Sunday. I think the Nets are still mentally caught up on their last loss, giving up a ten point lead in the final minute and losing on a last second three-pointer by one point. The Kings clearly haven’t thrown in the towel yet and I think they keep the momentum rolling tonight. Not as well that Brooklyn is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a losing SU record, while the Kings are 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 121-110 Kings.

T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Utah comes in off a satisfying 114-98 home win over the Nets on Saturday, while the Wizards got back on track in the Nation’s capital with a come from behind 135-128 home win over the Grizzlies. The Jazz got things turned around during a four-game home stand, going 3-1, including posting three straight victories. Utah averages 110.1 PPG and it allows 106.4. The Wizards average 114.6 PPG and they allow 116.9. But the Jazz find themselves in a classic “trap” game here. Winning at home is one thing, but Utah’s achilles heel has been its play on the road. The Wizards aren’t going down without a fight in the weak Eastern Conference and I believe they’ll take their complacent opponent down to the wire. Note as well that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this year off a home victory, while Washington is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog. I smell an upset.

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Wizards.

T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10*)

The Pacers have won back-to-back games. So have the Nuggets. Both teams will be in the postseason and I don’t expect either to go down without a fight tonight. Indiana comes in off a big come from behind win over OKC at home and I look for it to carry that momentum over here. Indiana is 12-7 ATS this year after playing two straight home games, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers.

T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST).

The Jazz have been playing terribly of late and the Suns have been playing great. I think those trends continue here. Utah enters off consecutive losses to the Thunder and Grizzlies, while the Suns come in off an epic road win at Golden State. Devin Booker had 37 points, eight boards, 11 assists and two steals in the win over the Warriors. The Suns are healthy and confident. The Jazz are in complete disarray and note that they’re a terrible 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Utah.

T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK)

Clearly the Rockets are the better team, but I think the home side will lets its guard down enough to allow the hungry Hornets to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Charlotte has no more room for error at this point after losing three of its last four. While the outright upset is likely out of the question, we don’t have to question the visitors resolve and focus this evening. But after winning eight straight, including a tiger than expected win over the Mavericks on Sunday, I think the Rockets do come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS already this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Rockets are just 11-14 ATS in non-conference contests. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Rockets. 

T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) 

The Suns had won four of five before a 127-117 setback in Portland last night. Phoenix won’t be resting anyone tonight though, but Golden State most likely will. After losing badly to Boston, the Warriors bounced back with a big win over the Nuggets in their last outing. The one thing that Golden State though has shown this season (especially in the second half) is inconsistency from game to game and it’s also often played down to the level of its competition. I think the Suns got caught looking ahead to this more high profile contest last night. Outright win? Nope. But closer than expected. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after leading its previous game by 15 or points at the half.

T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF MONTH)

Both teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Chances are pretty slim for either obviously. Dallas comes in off a 132-123 road loss in the nation’s capital, while Orlando lost 114-106 in Philadelphia on Tuesday. Dallas beat Orlando 101-76 at home in early December and I believe it has a legitimate shot at the outright upset here as well. The Mavericks certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after losing three straight and eight of their last nine. Dallas averages 108.2 PPG and it allows 109.8. But a date against the equally as inept Magic is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. Orlando has now lost two straight. The Magic average 105.9 PPG and they allow 106.8. Dallas though is still a solid 17-9 ATS in non-conference games, while Orlando is just 2-8 ATS when playing with two days rest and only 12-14 ATS in non-conference games this season. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Orlando.

T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Kings have been a nice surprise in the Western Conference, but clearly the Celtics are the better team. Boston has been waffling of late, but after its big blowout win at Golden State just last night, I think the visitors will stumble here in the second game of the back to back. The Kings are desperate for a win, as they’ve gone 2-4 since the All Star break, moving them back into the ninth spot in the West. Note as well that the Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect the hungry home side to step up and take advantage here. 

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings.

T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10*)

It would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both come in playing at a very high level. Toronto has won ten of its last 12 and Houston has won five in a row, including a convincing win in Boston last time out. Toronto though plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Houston earlier in the season and I think that’ll be the difference this evening. Houston stumbles finally in this difficult road arena and at the end of its lengthy Eastern trip. Lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Toronto.

T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK)

These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets come to town having lost two straight, most recently a 120-112 upset at home to New Orleans. San Antonio crushed OKC 116-102 at home on Saturday and it’s now won two straight after a poor road trip. These teams have split a pair of games this year, but I think the momentum that the Spurs have created recently gets carried over. Note as well that Denver is a terrible 2-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while San Antonio is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less. 

T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs.

T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The Blazers big post All Star run came to a crashing halt in a 119-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as their marathon road trip comes to an end. The Hornets also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 127-96 on the road in the first meeting on January 11th.  The Hornets broke a three-game slide with a quality road win in Brooklyn in their last game and they still hold the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. It’s a golden opportunity for the home side here and I expect it to make the most of it.

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Hornets.

T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER)

No need to overthink this one. The Pelicans’ big man Anthony Davis is sitting out after New Orleans’ 130-116 win over Phoenix, so we can expect the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish in the thin mountain air. Denver comes in off a loss to the Jazz, but previous to that it had won five straight. Denver is also 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home,. while New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its lats nine in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first by ten or more points. This one has blowout written all over it.

T.M. Prediction: 128-108 Denver. 

T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK)

Both teams come in off losses. The Hornets fell 118-113 at home to the Rockets, while the Nets were upended 125-116 at home to Washington. The Hornets play with revenge here though after falling 117-115 at home to the Nets on February 23rd. Both teams need victories and clearly they’re very evenly matched (as evidenced by their game last week and by tonight’s spread.) The Hornets though are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Sometimes, not always, the “revenge” angle “works.” That’s the case here. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Hornets.

T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST).

Orlando comes in off a deflating 108-103 road loss to the Knicks. The Warriors come to town off a 126-125 loss in Miami just last night. Golden State let the Heat back into the game late and an improbable last second 3-point shot by Dwayne Wade sealed the defending champs fate. A loss like that can be devastating for some teams, even in the middle of the regular season, but for the defending champs, it’s just another day at the office. The Warriors’ veterans quickly turn the page in my opinion and bounce back with a big effort in this favorable spot. Note that the Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after playing two consecutive road games, while the Magic are just 6-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout.

T.M. Prediction: 120-106 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: 10* play on the LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Both teams come in off wins over the Mavericks. Neither side has been playing particularly well since the All Star break though. But LA has many ATS advantages working in its favor today and I think that’ll be the difference. Note that the Clippers are 5-1 ATS revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side taking this one down to the wire. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Jazz.

T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* GAME OF HTE WEEK)

It’s a big divisional game, but the Thunder play with double revenge here after dropping both previous meetings. Both teams have been playing well over the last two months, but I think that OKC has made bigger strides in that time. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league since the start, but its early wins over OKC are skewed. That was then and this is now. Note that the Thunder are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. And note that the Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS this season after two straight wins by ten points or more.

T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Thunder.

T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* MONEY-MAKER)

San Antonio has looked great at time this year. It’s also looked downright atrocious. Injuries have once again been an issue for Greg Popovich this season, but after their 120-117 road loss in Toronto last time out, I think that the Spurs have a mental letdown here. The Knicks have been a “work in progress” all year and that’s the case again tonight after their most recent 115-104 home loss to the Wolves. But San Antonio has been at its worst on the road and I think the hungry home side has a very real shot at an outright upset. The Spurs are just 1-5 during their current road trip. San Antonio is also only 4-6 ATS this year as a road favorite. I’m grabbing the points.

T.M. Prediction: 111-110 San Antonio.

T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK)

I think the time off does the Mavs good and I believe the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. Denver scored the 120-118 home win over the Kings in its final game before the All Star festivities. Dallas lost 112-101 at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Dallas plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 126-118 in Denver back on December 18th in the first meeting between the clubs. I believe the extra time off throws a monkey wrench into the Nuggets chemistry. The Mavs though can’t take anything for granted here after losing three of their last four. Note as well that Denver is just 1-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Mavericks.

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER)

I think Miami comes in under the radar here and takes advantage of a Philadelphia team which will be without the services of big man Joel Embiid. Miami enters off a 112-101 road win over Dallas on Wednesday, while the 76ers knocked off the Knicks 126-111 in their final game before the break. This is a revenge game though for the visitors after Embiid and company took care of business in Miami 124-114 back on November 12th. Miami comes in motivated as its locked in a tie for the eighth spot in the East currently. The Heat come in rested as well and note that they’re a money-making 12-7 ATS as a road underdog already this season. The 76ers come in undermanned and note that they’re a money-burning 5-9 ATS already this year after a blowout win by 15 points or more.

T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Philadelphia.

T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* TRADE-MARK)

Houston is 4-1 in its last five, but it comes in off a loss to Dallas and I think it’ll stumble here against the hungry home side, which broke a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers in its most recent action. The Rockets have been playing fantastically overall of late, but one has to wonder how long James Harden can play at such a high level? If the diminutive shooter takes the foot off the gas for even a moment, then the Rockets are in trouble. The Wolves won the first matchup between the clubs 103-91 on December 3rd and clearly they also have a legitimate shot at taking this one outright as well. Houston is only 6-11 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog.

T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Wolves.

T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK)

The Lakers hit a buzzer beater to sink the C’s in Boston, but they came out flat in the second half of their last game vs. the 76ers and got blown away in the end. With this much more “winnable” contest up next, I fully expect “The King” to bring his A game tonight and to take full advantage. The Hawks enter off a 124-108 home loss to Orlando. The Lakers won’t be taking anything for granted here either as when these teams met in LA back on November 11th, they barely escaped with the 107-106 victory. So far LA averages 112.2 PPG, while allowing 113.4. The Hawks average 110.9 PPG and they allow 118.5. I’ll point out though that the Lakers are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Atlanta is interestingly only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Lakers.

T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BLOOD-BATH)

Miami upset the Blazers in Portland, but they’d run out of gas in a loss in Sacramento in its last outing. The Heat though come in “hungry” as they cling to the eighth spot in the East. The Warriors are off a 117-107 win at Phoenix, but I think they’ll suffer a bit of a letdown here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Warriors have big upcoming games against Western conference opponents Utah, Portland, Sacramento and Houston up next, so I think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead.” I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do absolutely feel that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER)

LA came out flat in a 116-92 road loss in Indiana, but I believe this talented visiting side will bounce back with a much better effort here vs. a Celtics team which enters off a deflating 125-124 home loss the Lakers. And it was the way in which the C’s lost to the Lakers, as ex-Boston star Rajon Rondo would hit the game winning jumper with time winding off the clock. I absolutely believe that Boston will be still hung up on that game mentally. LA on the other hand comes in razor focused after losing four of its last six. Note as well that LA already 9-4 ATS this year off a road loss, while Boston is a terrible 8-12 ATS in non-conference games. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Boston.

T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK)

The Heat come in off a big road win over the Blazers and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. the up-tempo and hungry Kings, who are looking to bounce back after a loss to Houston in their most recent action. The Heat average 105.2 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Kings average 113.5 PPG and they allow 115.1. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the Kings in my opinion. Also note that Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game, while Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Lay the points, expect a rout.

T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Kings.

T.M. Selection: ATL Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK)

I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Raptors look poised for a letdown here after their big 119-107 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has taken six straight in the series, including both this year. However, the Hawks are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and I believe they carry that momentum over here (just beat Washington 137-129 on the road!) Note that Toronto is just 2-6 ATS this year following a divisional contest, while the Hawks are 6-4 ATS in the same position and 4-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Raptors.

T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK)

I got down on this one early and the line has since gone up after the news that the Spurs will be resting both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. I’m stuck with the pick obviously, but I do think that the undermanned Spurs can keep this one interesting, against a Warriors team who will also be looking to get its starters a lot of rest after securing a lead. San Antonio had won five straight before a 127-112 loss at Sacramento, but I think it comes in “under the radar” here. The Warriors get caught looking past their opponent, complacent after winning ten of their last 11. San Antonio is still 15-8 ATS as an underdog this year, while GS is only 10-14 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors.

T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER)

Despite all of the turmoil that some of the players have had with head coach Luke Walton and putting aside all of the supposed trade rumours for Anthony Davis, I think that LeBron James and company will find a way to get the job done on the road here against a Pacers team which continues to soldier on without its best player, Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. LA comes in focused after a 115-101 road loss to the Warriors, while the Pacers come in complacent after their big road in New Orleans just last night. Note that the Lakers beat the Pacers 104-96 back on November 29th and I think an even bigger blowout is in store this evening. Additionally note that the Pacers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 117-100 LA.

T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* GAME OF WEEK)

Denver’s won six straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full vs. the desperate Pistons team which enters off a poor setback at home to the Clippers. Detroit fell 111-101, but had the lead in that game for most of it. The Pistons now sit three games back for the eighth spot in the East. With much more “high profile” games upcoming against the Nets and Philadelphia during this Eastern swing, I also believe that this sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. Note as well that Denver is still only 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Detroit is 3-1 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite.

T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Pistons.

T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER)

I think the correct call here is on the home side. After seven straight victories, I believe the Thunder finally have a letdown in this difficult road arena. OKC comes in off a 118-102 road win over Miami, while Boston rolled to a 113-99 win over the Knicks on the road in their most recent action. Boston posted a 101-95 road victory in the first matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here. The Thunder have difficulty against the better defensive clubs, and the C’s have been strong at the end of the floor, allowing just 105.5 PPG (ranked fifth). The numbers support us here as well, as note that OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with a winning road record. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.

T.M. Prediction: 117-110 C’s. 

T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER)

The 76ers are just 13-13 on the road. Note that Philadelphia is resting both Wilson Chandler and JJ Reddick in this contest, two of the team’s best shooters. Off a huge road win over the defending champs, can anyone say “letdown spot” here?! The Kings have been better than expected this season and they’ve been at their best at home (15-10). In fact Sacramento has won five straight at home, winning by at least seven points each time. Note as well that the Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I’ll grab the points.

T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Kings.

T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF MONTH)

The Grizzlies enter off a deflating 99-97 OT road loss in Minnesota on Friday and think they’ll have their hands full here against a Hornets team also coming off a terrible road loss, falling 126-94 in Boston on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then for sure Charlotte has to be feeling confident here, because the first time these teams met in Memphis on January 23rd, the Hornets left with a convincing 118-107 road victory. The Grizz are just 10-16 ATS on the road overall this year. Memphis averages only 100.5 PPG, while allowing 103.8. Charlotte is 14-10 ATS at home and it averages 111.5 PPG, while allowing 111.4. Note as well that the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the West, while Memphis is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. the East. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout.

T.M. Prediction: 108-98 Hornets.