Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-19-25 | Ravens v. Bills OVER 51 | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens / Bills - OVER I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens game on Sunday, January 19th. Of course it will be cold here but both teams are use to cold weather games. Also the snow, if any, is expected to be minimal. Additionally, the winds are expected to be very moderate for this one and likely just in the 10 mph range at the most. These are two incredible offensive units and I expect the points to fly. Unbelievably Josh Allen has a 30-6 ratio and that is not even the top mark among these two QBs! Lamar Jackson has a ridiculous 43-4 ratio! These are incredible numbers plus both teams have solid run games too. There is just not enough defense on either side to slow down these powerful units. Bills are averaging 34 ppg when at home this season. Ravens have won 5 straight and averaged 31 ppg during this run. Give me the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 31-30 Baltimore. Line: O/U 50 Line Parameter: play until 53.5... | |||||||
01-18-25 | Commanders v. Lions OVER 55.5 | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Commanders / Lions - OVER I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders game on Saturday, January 18th. Detroit has scored an average of 40 ppg in the last 7 games on their home field! This Lions offense is a machine and particularly when at home! At the same time, prior to the 31-9 win over Minnesota in their regular season finale, the Lions had allowed 30 ppg in the 5 games before that. This Washington team comes in hot and with a dual-threat QB and the Commanders offense will give this Detroit D problems. However, I just don't see Washington getting many stops either. This one has shootout tendency written all over it. The Commanders have averaged scoring 28 ppg last 6 games including last week's playoff win. Washington has the offense to keep up here and hang around but I still see the Lions prevailing by near to what the line is in this one and that should put this one in the mid-60s as high-scoring games in Detroit continue to be the trend! Give me the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 37-28 Detroit. Line: O/U 55.5 Line Parameter: play until 58.5... | |||||||
01-13-25 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 47.5 | Top | 9-27 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikings / Rams - OVER I am on the OVER in the Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams game on Monday, January 13th. The Vikings QB Darnold should be much better here after the disaster at Detroit last week. His numbers over the course of the season tell the full story so don't let the result against Detroit lead you astray here. Minnesota is going to score plenty here but the issue is, can they stop the Rams? I highly doubt that. The Rams averaged 24 ppg in their 9 home games this season. Even though this one is at Arizona due to the fires in LA, it is a home game for the Rams and they are used to games here because of facing division foe Arizona here once a year. Rams put 30 when they hosted Minnesota this season. Now it is post-season time and the Vikings averaged 29 ppg in the most recent 7 games (part of a 9-game winning run) prior to the bad defeat at Detroit. Both teams can get to the upper 20s here and that puts this one into the mid-50s. Give me the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Minnesota. Line: O/U 47.5 Line Parameter: play until 49.5... | |||||||
01-11-25 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 44 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers / Ravens - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens game on Saturday, January 11th. The Ravens allowed only 15.4 ppg their last 7 games of this season and that included holding Pittsburgh under 20 points in both meetings. The Steelers allowed 20 or less points in 10 of 17 games this season. This included the 18-16 win over the Ravens a couple months ago. Historically the Steelers defense is known for giving the Baltimore offense trouble. At the same time, the Pittsburgh offense enters this game on a very bad run of results and I don't see that changing here. The Ravens defense was at its best during the stretch run to the season and they should continue to be the story here in this one. But the Steelers D shows up strong again here and this one plays out similar to the first meeting this season which totaled only 34 points. The difference this time is the Ravens should come out on top and win this by 10 points but it will be a grind of a game. The Steelers have averaged only 14.3 ppg in their current 4-game losing streak. Give me the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 23-13 Baltimore. Line: O/U 44 Line Parameter: play until 41.5... | |||||||
12-23-24 | Saints v. Packers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 0-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers vs Saints - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers game on Monday. 3 of last 4 Saints road games have totaled 39 points or less. Overall, in all games, the Saints have had 3 straight games total 39 points or less. A cold night in Green Bay won't help in achieving a lot of points either. The Saints allowing just 16.6 ppg last 5 games but their offense also will struggle against the Packers at Lambeau. Green Bay has won 4 of 5 games and allowed just 14.8 ppg in those 4 wins. This will be a fierce defensive battle as all signs certainly pointing that way. The Saints defense allowing under 325 ypg last 3 games and Packers allowing under 300 ypg in home games this season. New Orleans still without starting QB Carr and plus tons of injury issues at RB and WR also. Tough game here for both offenses. T.M. Prediction: 24-10 Green Bay Line: O/U 42.5 | |||||||
12-22-24 | Patriots v. Bills OVER 46.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Patriots vs Bills - OVER I am on the OVER in the New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. The weather will be cold but light winds and little to no snow means both teams should be able to score well here. The Bills defense has struggled last two games and the Patriots have enough on offense to make those struggles continue. The key here is the offense of the Bills is rolling and also known for being even stronger at home than on the road. I see this one featuring very little punting as both teams should move the ball well. Buffalo has scored 36 ppg last 8 games and is on an 8-1 run as they continue to steamroll teams on offense. On the defensive side, the Bills have allowed 31 ppg in 5 of their last 6 games as only 1 outlier (strong game versus 49ers) was in that stretch. The Patriots have averaged 20 ppg last 6 games but have allowed 29 ppg last 4 games and now face the highest scoring team in the league. The Bills will not let up here but Patriots, at 3-11, can also play with a "nothing to lose" attitude. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Buffalo Line: O/U 46.5 | |||||||
12-16-24 | Bears v. Vikings OVER 43.5 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bears vs Vikings - OVER I am on the OVER in the Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings game on Monday. The Vikings won the last meeting 30-27 in OT and scored 27 points in regulation time in that match-up. I expect the rematch to finish with a similar high-scoring result. This Minnesota team is flying high right now and scoring plenty of points. The Vikes have won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 29 ppg in their last 4 games. The teams combined for 850 yards in the prior match-up and the Bears contributed well to that with nearly 400 yards of offense. So don't count them out in this rematch either as this one likely turns into a back and forth battle! The Bears are enduring a rough season but have scored an average of 20 ppg last 4 games. Chicago has allowed 29 ppg last 3 games. The Vikings are averaging 29 ppg at home in US Bank Stadium this season. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Minnesota Line: O/U 43.5 | |||||||
12-12-24 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 49 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams vs 49ers - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers game on Thursday. The Rams and Niners both off very high-scoring wins so this total has been getting pumped upwards. The fact that LA was averaging roughly 20 ppg this season prior to last week's win over the Bills seems to be forgotten. Also, the Rams had allowed (w/o inclusion of OT points) 24 points or less in 9 of last 10 games also seems to be overlooked by most here. The Niners, before the big win over Chicago, had scored only 18 ppg last 6 games. On the season, SF is allowing only 21 ppg in their home games. When I look at all the numbers and the situational facts I would not be surprised to see the winning team in the 20 point range or maybe 24 maximum based on the above numbers. That being said, this total seems far too high given this being a division rivalry game as well. Under it is! T.M. Prediction: 20-17 San Francisco. Line: O/U 49.5 | |||||||
12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 49.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bengals vs Cowboys - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys game on Monday. The Cowboys defense is getting healthier again and they have a great pass rush. The Bengals offense has been strong this season with Burrow having an amazing season at QB. However, this total has been driven up by the markets and I am seeing value on the under now with this one all the way past the 49 mark. Cincinnati, though chances are very slim, is still alive in the wild card race and Dallas is very much alive in the wild card race in the NFC East. What I am saying with this is that both defenses will be ready for a strong effort. The Bengals defense has been struggling badly but gets a much better chance at redemption here against a Cowboys team still without Dak Prescott at QB. Cooper Rush is more of a game manager QB. Dallas has averaged 19 ppg last 7 games even with B2B big wins over the Commanders and Giants. Too much of the pricing on this total is related to Cincinnati's numbers and not enough to the Cowboys. They will be ready at home here and this one will have a playoff feel to it given the importance of this game to each team that is desperately trying to hang on in the playoff races. The pass rush of Dallas causes the Bengals offense problems and QB Rush leads a clock management style of game as the Cowboys want to keep the Cincinnati offense off the field. T.M. Prediction: 21-16 Cincinnati. Line: O/U 49.5 | |||||||
12-08-24 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks vs Cardinals - OVER I am on the OVER in the Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Neither defense is great and Seattle's rush D is worse than their pass D while Arizona's pass D is worse than their rush D. That meshes well, if you like offense, with what the strength of each team is on the other side of the ball. For the Seahawks that has been the passing attack while for the Cardinals it has been the rushing attack. Line value is big here because these teams just had a low-scoring battle at Seattle a few weeks ago. That is keeping this total well below where it should be. Other than the 16-6 loss in the last meeting between these teams, Arizona has scored an average of 27.5 ppg in their other 4 games since late October. Seattle has scored 26.4 ppg this season in road games. The games in Arizona are indoors of course and so conditions are ideal for both offenses to dominate in this game. The last 4 times these teams have met here the game have averaged 58 points apiece in these climate-controlled match-ups. The match-up of offensive strength on defensive weakness also a key here. This one should develop into a back and forth shootout because of these key factors spelled out above. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Arizona. Line: O/U 44.5 | |||||||
11-25-24 | Ravens v. Chargers UNDER 50.5 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens vs Chargers - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers game Monday. The Chargers are unlikely to catch the Chiefs in the AFC West but they do have the Broncos on their heels! The Ravens also saw a door open with Pittsburgh's loss at Cleveland Thursday. Baltimore can close ground on the AFC North leading Steelers with a win here. The point is that each of these teams enter this game very likely to dial up the defensive intensity in a game that is so important for each team. The Chargers defense, last week an exception, has been great this season. Los Angeles allowed 13 ppg in their first 9 games before last week's struggles in the high-scoring win versus Cincinnati. I expect LA to be better defensively here but also the Ravens defense has proven better than what their early season struggles suggested they would be this season. Baltimore also had a recent high-scoring win over the Bengals but in their other two recent games the Ravens have allowed an average of only 14 points! Baltimore has been strong against the run this season and the Chargers passing attack has had ups and downs. This is why LA may not perform well here on offense but their defense resumes its solid season. Under here! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Ravens. Line: O/U 50.5 | |||||||
11-24-24 | Broncos v. Raiders OVER 41 | Top | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders - OVER I am on the OVER in the Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders game on Sunday. The Raiders offense looks like it would be a concern here against the Denver defense but I am confident Las Vegas is going to score well here. This is their first home game in nearly a month and the Raiders will make the most of it. Las Vegas has scored at least 20 in 3 of their 4 home games this season. The Raiders are scoring 21 points per game last 3 games but this D can't stop teams. LV has allowed 31.7 ppg last 6 games. The Broncos come into this one running hot as Denver has won 6 of 9 games and they are favored here by nearly a TD. That is worthy of note as the Broncos have scored 28 ppg in their 6 victories this season. They should get into that range again here as they take advantage of a bad defense. 4 of last 5 Broncos games have totaled more than 41 points. 7 of last 9 Raiders games have totaled more than 41 points. Over is my bet here! Great value on this O/U! T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Denver. | |||||||
11-21-24 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 37 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PIT vs CLE - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns game Thursday. Bad weather expected in Cleveland for this one and the Browns are off a 2nd half collapse last week on defense that will lead to a very strong effort from the Browns defensively in this one. The Steelers are off a big win over the Ravens but could not even score a touchdown. They also have a history of struggling in games at Cleveland. With rainy and windy conditions expected in Cleveland for this one, the set-up is perfect for another ugly AFC North battle here. The Steelers have been struggling in the red zone with Russell Wilson at the controls. The Browns also have had a QB mess all season long with their situation with Watson and now it is Winston under center. He threw for a lot of yardage last week but Cleveland still managed only 14 points and this followed a very rough 3 INT performance in Winston's most recent home start. This is going to be an ugly game dominated by the weather and the defenses! T.M. Prediction: 16-13 Steelers. Line: O/U 37 | |||||||
11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys OVER 41 | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys - OVER I am on the OVER in the Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys game on Sunday. The Cowboys offense was horrible last week but that was first game without Prescott at QB and they faced a tough Eagles defense. Dallas will surely be stronger on offense in this game! As for Houston, they are off B2B losses after winning 4 of 5 games and scoring 26 ppg during that stretch. The Texans offense should punish a Cowboys defense allowing 34.5 ppg in their 4-game losing streak. On the other side of the ball, however, the Houston defense has not been great either with allowing 23.3 ppg last 8 games. Texans have given up at least 20 points in 9 of 10 games this season and are favored by a TD on the road in this one. I expect upper 40s at least when you consider this season and the recent points allowed totals of each team. Overall, 6 of last 7 Texans game have totaled at least 43 points! The Cowboys have allowed 38 ppg in 4 home games this season. This one should easily go over the short total and it was 43.5 and has come down to 41 and the value makes this a best bet for me. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Houston. | |||||||
11-11-24 | Dolphins v. Rams OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams - OVER I am on the OVER in the Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams game on Monday. The Rams have been giving up big passing yardage but surviving week by week during this current run as they have put together a winning streak. But LA is truly winning with turnovers on defense and strong offensive play now that Cupp and Nacua are back to solidify the WR position. The Rams offense should move the ball well again here at home but the Dolphins also have a surging offense. Even if Hill does not play (only 11 catches last 3 games anyway), Miami will get it done again here as their offense looks great now that QB Tagovailoa is back under center. The Dolphins will turn this one into a shootout at LA and the over is the bet here. Miami's last two games totaled 55+ points and the Rams have scored 24 ppg when at home this season and scored 30 against a solid Vikings defense in most recent game in Los Angeles. Shootout here between Stafford and Tua! T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Los Angeles Rams. Line: O/U 48.5 | |||||||
11-10-24 | Jets v. Cardinals UNDER 46.5 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Jets vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Many expect a high-scoring game here and this total has been going up in the marketplace and this is giving under players extra value here. The Jets notched 8 sacks last week and the Cardinals had 6 sacks last week. The defenses are being undervalued here. New York did not move the ball last week and were fortunate to beat an injury-impacted Texans team. The Cardinals D will take advantage of a Jets team that is averaging less than 300 yards of offense in road games this season. These two defenses both rank as two of the best in the league against the pass and this is going to force both teams to rely more on their running game. Of course all the rushing attempts also generally lead to running clock and I just don't see this one getting out of the 30s. Cardinals had one high-scoring loss at home this season but have only allowed 13.5 ppg in their other 4 home losses! T.M. Prediction: 17-16 New York Jets. Line: O/U 46.5 | |||||||
11-03-24 | Bears v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 9-29 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. The Bears off the heartbreaking Hail Mary loss at Washington last week. Chicago's normally stout defense also gave up big yardage in that game. The defense will most certainly come into this game with a chip on its shoulder as a result. That Chicago D, when it is dialed in, has been among the best in the league this season. The Bears should hold Arizona in check for much of this game as a result. The Cardinals offense is a respectable one but they have not been consistent this season. The Bears offense has not been strong and, in particular, if looking at yardage numbers Chicago has one of the weaker offenses in the NFL. Also, after the way Chicago lost last week they will want to play a conservative style this week on the road. The Bears will look to establish their ground game on offense and shorten the game with plenty of running plays and let their defense win this game for them. This is why this total has dropped from upper 40s to mid 40s and I agree strongly with this move. Under is the play here. Cards averaging only 14.7 ppg last 3 home games! Bears also scoring just 14.7 ppg in true road games (not including neutral site like London). Also, 5 of 7 Chicago games have totaled 42 points or less this season. T.M. Prediction: 17-16 Arizona. Line: O/U 45 | |||||||
10-31-24 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Jets vs Houston Texans - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the New York Jets vs Houston Texans game on Thursday. The Texans have injuries at WR which will impact their offensive production here. Also, Houston QB Stroud has lesser numbers on the road compared to at home. The Jets defense is a strength and has been better of late than what the points allowed totals show. The yardage allowed numbers show the real story and this Jets defense has been solid. The offense is another story however though as they continue to struggle week in an week out. Rodgers at QB simply has not been the answer. Firing their head coach and changing play-calling duties has not helped the offense either. All these factors add up to a solid spot here with the under. The Jets defense has been particularly strong in home games this season (not including London game of course). The Texans defense, similar to the Jets, is also undervalued based on their points allowed numbers compared to yardage allowed numbers. So this is truly a match-up of two of the top defenses in the NFL and this is a bargain with this total set too high and I will take advantage Thursday. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 New York Jets. Line: O/U 42.5 | |||||||
10-28-24 | Giants v. Steelers OVER 36.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NY Giants @ Pittsburgh - OVER I am on the OVER in the New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers game on Monday. The Steelers are a different offense with veteran Russell Wilson at the controls. The Giants are a better offense with Malik Nabers back at WR and he will likely be even stronger in his 2nd game back after the injury. Last week was below his typical results but he will be back in top form again now after working the rust off. The Steelers have scored 26 ppg last 5 games! The Giants have scored 23 ppg in their 3 road games this season. This total is only in the mid-30s and with stats like this for these teams you can see why I am backing the over in a strong way here! New York allowing 21 ppg this season and the Steelers have allowed 19 ppg last 4 games and this included games against struggling offenses like the Jets and Raiders. Those teams are each now 2-6 on the season. The Giants can score well here but the Steelers are favored by a TD and are expected to outscore them by that margin. With New York averaging 23 on the road and never scoring less than 18, expecting at least 20 here is well within reason and I have this one projected for upper 40s as final tally. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Monday. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Pittsburgh. Line: O/U 36.5 | |||||||
10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs UNDER 50 | Top | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game on Monday. Both teams off B2B high-scoring games but this has elevated this total. Now you have a match-up of two top teams in the NFL that each sit at 4-2 on the season and they respect each other here. That means part of the game plan will be running the ball plenty on offense or going with short middle routes and quick dump off passes (effectively also running plays) as these teams want to keep the clock running. Why play this way? They each fear the others offense. So the emphasis will be ball control and clock management on offense to churn up clock in hopes of not allowing the opponent's offense too much time on the field here. Of course something will have to give but the point is that this is likely to be more of a tighter low-scoring game than many are expecting. Ravens lean on RB Henry on offense plus the Bucs ran 35 times in their big win over the Saints. Both teams have solid running games and solid run defenses so watch this battle unfold in the trenches. Don't make the mistake of just looking at point totals these teams have produced this season, think of how the game planning will impact this battle of strong teams. Easy under here! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Baltimore. Line: O/U 50 | |||||||
10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans OVER 43 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indianapolis @ Tennessee - OVER I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans game on Sunday. The Colts have scored well in 4 of 5 games this season. Indianapolis averaged 27 ppg in those 4 games. However, they have also allowed 24.4 ppg this season and face a tough match-up here. Tennessee got some confidence back on offense with a 31-12 win over Miami last week. However, the Titans entered that game allowing 26 ppg this season so I do not trust their defense either. If you look at the stats on these two teams, the Colts have a decent offense but their defense is horrible. Statistically the Titans defense looks strong in terms of yardage against numbers. However, Tennessee has faced a lot of bad offenses like the Dolphins, Jets and Bears. This is a bargain with this total set so low and I will take advantage on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 28-24 Tennessee. Line: O/U 42.5 | |||||||
10-07-24 | Saints v. Chiefs OVER 43 | Top | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints @ Chiefs - OVER I am on the OVER in the New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Monday. The Saints have a strong ground attack on offense. That will open things up for QB Carr and this New Orleans offense to also attack through the air here. The Chiefs and Saints both have poor pass defense numbers this season so expect QB Mahomes to also have a big game for KC here as well as Carr for NO. Even with the injury at WR to Rice this Chiefs team still has plenty of weapons. It is no accident that they are already 4-0 this season. As for the 2-2 Saints, they are averaging 34 ppg in their 2 road games this season. Chiefs scored at least 26 points in each home game this season. The O/U number moved down here because of the injury situation but the weather looks great in KC for this one and I am anticipating big games from both Carr and Mahomes and look for the points to pile up in this one. T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Chiefs. Line: O/U 43 | |||||||
10-06-24 | Colts v. Jaguars OVER 45.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colts @ Jaguars - OVER I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars game on Sunday. The Colts offense actually looked much better once Flacco took over for the injured Richardson and this was against a solid Steelers defense. That said, I am expecting Flacco to help lead the Colts to another strong showing on offense here as they take advantage of a struggling Jaguars defense. On that note, the Colts defense is nothing special either and Lawrence and this Jacksonville offense should get rolling here. For overall defense (not scoring defense) both these teams rank in the very bottom of the league. So both teams should move the ball very well here. Clearly Jacksonville's offense has underperformed so far this season but at home and desperate for a win and able to take advantage of a weak defense, the Jags will finally get things going here. But Flacco and the Colts are ready to trade scored with this team and I sense a shootout is on the way in this one. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Jaguars. Line: O/U 45 | |||||||
09-22-24 | Lions v. Cardinals OVER 51.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lions @ Cardinals - OVER I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals game on Sunday. Even though Detroit did not score well last week they had over 450 yards of offense so their final score was not indicative of how they moved the ball. The Cardinals also moved the ball extremely well in their blowout win over the Rams as they had nearly 500 yards of offense! This followed a strong showing at Buffalo in Week 1 also. Murray coming off a huge game for this Arizona offense last week! Remember the Lions were fortunate to beat the Rams in Week 1 and I am not sold on their defense. This Cardinals team playing with confidence right now on offense but I am sure that Goff is going to bounce back after all the INTs last week. This is an indoor stadium so ideal conditions for both teams as Detroit is an indoor team also. Fast track here with no weather worries also translates to plenty of points in this one. 4 of last 6 Lions road games, including playoffs, have totaled at least 54 points. Great set up for another one of those here after Cardinals had a rare strong defensive game against a division rival whose offense was hurt by injuries. T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Lions. Line: O/U 51.5 | |||||||
09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 48.5 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills @ Dolphins - OVER I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins game on Thursday. The Bills won 21-14 here last year but there should have been a lot more points. Buffalo had 475 yards of offense in that game. The Bills are off a home win last week versus Arizona and, though they won, the Cardinals put up big points on the board. This Dolphins team should be even stronger on offense in Week 2 after getting off to a slow start early in their win over the Jaguars last week. The passing attack of Miami is a potent one and the Bills have a new-look secondary. On the other side of the ball, Josh Allen is off a 4-TD performance last week and the Buffalo QB will attack this Miami team just he has in other recent meetings as the Bills have dominated this series. I think the Dolphins offense is even better this season so I don't trust the side in this match-up but the points absolutely should be plentiful in this shootout! T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Dolphins. Line: O/U 48.5 | |||||||
09-08-24 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 40 | Top | 10-22 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LV @ LAC - OVER I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers game on Sunday. These are two teams going through a lot of transition and I don't see either defense being at their best early this season. Antonio Pierce now the head coach in Vegas and Jim Harbaugh the new head coach in LA with the Chargers. Think we'll see some big plays here as both defenses get caught missing some assignments and LA has a solid QB in Hebert while Minshew gets the call at QB in LV and has quite a bit of NFL experience even though he is a journeyman. I am expecting more success than most in terms of offensive production here as remember both these defenses had issues last season. This total has dropped to a 39.5 and the over is the way to go here. Being divisional rivals these teams meet twice a season so the last 5 years they have met 10 times and all 10 games totaled more than 40 points! I like this 10-0 stat to make this run 11 in a row here and that would make this a winning ticket for us with this very low total! T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Chargers. Line: O/U 40 | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI vs GB - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers game in Brazil on Friday. This is unfamiliar territory for each team as well as the NFL. I don't expect either offense to be too comfortable in this one, especially early on. The Eagles will be looking to establish the run with Saquon Barkley. At the same time, Philly was so disappointing in the way they finished last season that I am certain that the Eagles D is going to be looking for redemption immediately this season. Hungry and attacking on defense for Philadelphia and also Green Bay allowed only about 21 ppg last season. Also, the Packers will be all about the defense here too with their new defensive coordinator. Points will be hard to come by here in a hard-fought battle and I like fading the big number here and going with the under in this one. I think both offenses are going to face some tough blitzing challenges from what I am reading here and the run game for each will be key on offense. T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Eagles. Line: O/U 49.5 | |||||||
09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BALT @ KC - OVER I am on the OVER in the Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Thursday. These are two strong defenses but the dynamic playmaking ability of Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson means expect plenty of big plays in this game. The Ravens scored only 10 points when these teams met in the post-season but turnovers were the problem for Baltimore. The Ravens moved the ball, especially through air, but just kept shooting themselves in the foot. Also, now they have former Titans RB Henry and I expect the added element of a solid ground game plus having the dangerous legs of Jackson at QB to combine to make the Ravens offense particularly tough to defend. Of course Kansas City at home is going to get their points in this one and all signs point to a shootout on Thursday night the way I see it. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Chiefs. Line: O/U 46.5 | |||||||
12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 43.5 | Top | 17-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CIN @ KC - OVER I am on the OVER on the Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday, December 31st. This rivalry started a few years ago when Cincinnati dominated KC in this very stadium. In recent times, the Chiefs have came bay victorious. Even though the Bengals won't have Burrow, I expect Ja'Marr Chase to play. He's questionable but he should be able to play with the season on the line. But, they've been capable of scoring without him and should be able to again in this big game. It may be a slower paced game, but I expect drives to end in touchdowns leading it to go OVER. T.M. Prediction: 29-24 Chiefs. Line: O/U 43.5 Line Parameter: play until 44.5.. | |||||||
11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers OVER 44 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IND @ CAR - OVER I am on the OVER in the Indianapolis Colts @ Carolina Panthers game on Sunday, November 5th. Both of these teams have had their struggles this year, especially on the defensive side of the football. In previous weeks, even though they've tasted defeat, we've seen that these teams can both put up some points as well. Indy is averaging 25.6 points per game, despite just having a 3-5 record. If Carolina wants a chance at winning, which I believe that they do have a chance, they need points. Give me the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Indianapolis. Line: O/U 44.0 Line Parameter: play until 45.0.. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 44.5 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SEA @ CIN - OVER I am on the OVER in the Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals game on Sunday, October 15th. The Seahawks are now 3-1 after winning three straight games. Their offense has looked strong and they are currently scoring an average of 27.8 points per game (6th in the NFL.) Cincinnati finally woke up last week. Ja'Marr Chase was a massive part of that success as he broke the Bengals record for most receptions in a game with 15. This week, the Bengals should be able to ride that offensive momentum into this game. Both defenses aren't very strong this year (stat wise) and that should lead to a higher scoring game. Hammer the OVER. T.M. Prediction: Prediction: 29-27 Bengals. Line: O/U 44.5 Line Parameter: play until 45.0.. | |||||||
09-14-23 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 49 | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIN @ PHI - OVER I am on the OVER in the Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles game on Thursday, September 14th. After a disappointing week 1, the Vikings look to bounce back here against the defending NFC Champs. Minnesota was air raid in their opener as they couldn\'t seem to find anything in the running game. Now, although I don\'t expect it to be as pass heavy in this one, I do expect Minny to pass quite a bit once again. Jefferson, the best WR in football, is looking for yet another historic season. Expect the Vikings to get him the ball and get him the ball lots here today. The Eagles are coming off a 5pt win against NE. However, their offense looked off. They failed to get Goedert a single catch and didn't really get their rushing game going either. This is a game where both defenses are knocked up and has shootout written all over it. Grab the OVER at it\'s best price before is rises even more. T.M. Prediction: 34-28 Eagles. Line: O/U 49.0 Line Parameter: play until 50.0.. | |||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 48.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CIN @ BUF - OVER I am on the OVER in the Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. While this game was supposed to happen just a few weeks ago to decide who would host this game, the Bills suffered an injury that forced that game to be postponed. The Bills ended up lucking out as if the Bengals were to win that game (up 7-3 w/ ball and driving,) they would have been hosting this one. That should light a spark in the Bengals locker-room and get them even more fired up for this game. That game was on pace to go way over. I expect this one to go way over as well. T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Bengals. Line: O/U 48.5 Line Parameter: play until 50.0.. | |||||||
01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52.5 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jags @ Chiefs - OVER I am on the OVER in the Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs game on Saturday. While the Chiefs had their first round bye in the opening round, the Jags survived what was a 27-0 deficit at one point in their wildcard game. Kansas City has been one of the fastest scoring teams in the entire league all season long and it's because of Patrick Mahomes and what he's able to do. The OVER is 4-0 in the Jags' last four games against opponents with winning record. I'm expecting a back and forth game, but with the Chiefs pulling away in the second half with all of that talent. Grab the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 38-24 Chiefs. Line: O/U 51.5 Line Parameter: play until 54.0.. | |||||||
01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NYG / MIN - OVER I am on the OVER in the New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. These two teams met three weeks ago where the Vikings won the game late with a FG. Although it was tight, that game still finished with over 50 points. The Vikings have been a team of one-score victories this season as they are 11-0 in games decided by 8pts or less. In their last six home games against opponents with a winning record, Minnesota has seen the total go OVER in six straight games (6-0.) The OVER is also 5-0-1 in the last six Giants games played on a turf field. Expect a high scoring game here. T.M. Prediction: 34-29 Vikings. Line: O/U 47.5 Line Parameter: play until 50.5.. | |||||||
01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I am on the OVER in the Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers game in week 18 on Sunday. While this will be the biggest game of the week by far, both teams must win and will be trying their absolute best. Green Bay has come alive in the past few weeks putting up an enormous amount of points. The Packers are averaging 30.4 ppg in their past five games in that span. The Lions have also been putting up a bunch of points themselves, averaging 31.6 in their last five games. The Packers have seen the total go OVER in ten of their last eleven (91%) games after scoring more than 30pts in their last game. With Aaron Rodgers on one side of the ball and a team with heart playing on the other, I expect a very high-scoring game in a must-win game. T.M. Prediction: 35-28 Packers Line Parameter: play until 50.0 | |||||||
01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 52.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City @ Las Vegas - OVER I am on the OVER in the Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders game on Saturday. While the Chiefs will still be trying to win this game, even if the Bills end up winning, as they want the best seed possible in the playoffs. KC has looked very strong the past few weeks and look to be a real threat once again. LV enters this game having seen at least 54 points combined in each of their last two home games. KC has seen the total go OVER in four consecutive games played against a Divisional Opponent. In their last five meetings against each other, it's gone OVER each and every time. Expect another high scoring game with the Raiders keeping it closer than people think. T.M. Prediction: 31-28 Chiefs. Line: O/U 52.5 Line Parameter: play until 55.0.. | |||||||
12-29-22 | Cowboys v. Titans OVER 39.5 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys @ Tennessee Titans - OVER I am on the OVER in the Dallas Cowboys @ Tennessee Titans game on Thursday. While both teams still have plenty to play for, they should be focused on getting some points on the board, and early in this one. Dallas has seen many high scoring games all season and I don't believe that those trends will change here. They've seen the total go OVER in seven straight games following a win. They've also seen five straight OVER's in each of their last five games. Tennessee is coming off a huge loss that puts them in second in the Division at the moment. They don't exactly need to win this game, because it all depends on next weeks game against the Jags, but I expect the guys who do play to put up a big fight. If they want a chance at beating this Cowboys team, they'll need to put up a lot of points. With a total on the lower side, I expect it to go OVER once again with ease. T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Cowboys. Line: O/U 42.0 Line Parameter: play until 44.0.. | |||||||
12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns UNDER 32 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland Browns - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland Browns game on Saturday. It's supposed to get ugly in Cleveland this weekend. With snow, very cold air, huge winds and much more, this game has UNDER written all over it. Now the Browns should be used to it you would think; but this will be a test for new QB Deshaun Watson who spent the first few years of his NFL career down in Texas. Expect a very low scoring game on Saturday afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 17-6 Browns. Line: O/U 32.5 Line Parameter: play until 31.5.. | |||||||
12-18-22 | Titans v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LAC/TEN OVER I am on the OVER in the Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers game on Sunday. The Chargers looked very good last week against the Dolphins in a huge win to get them back in the playoff conversation. I had very high hopes on LAC and I still do if they can make the playoffs. I even think that they could possibly win it all with a few tweaks. Now, they'll play a Titans team that is hungry after having lost three straight games. In a big game for both, I like the OVER in a one score game on Sunday afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 31-23 LAC. Line: O/U 46.5 Line Parameter: play until 47.5.. | |||||||
12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Seahawks OVER I am on the OVER in the Carolina Panthers / Seattle Seahawks game on Sunday. While the Seahawks have had a few low scoring game this season; more often than not, they are scoring a lot of points. In twelve games this season, the Seahawks are averaging the fifth most amount of points per game. Their defense has also been a struggle. They giving up the third most total yards per game as well. The Panthers come in off three straight low scoring games. However, in their game against the Niners, a team who kind of plays like the Seahawks this season, they combined for 52 points. I expect a similar result here on Sunday in this one. T.M. Prediction: 30-22 Seahawks. Line: O/U 43.5 Line Parameter: play until 45.0 | |||||||
12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams OVER 42 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raiders / Rams OVER I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders / Los Angeles Rams game on Thursday. Although the Rams have been a low scoring team throughout this season, they come in to this game off a 23 point performance in a loss against the Seahawks. The Raiders love to feed the ball to Josh Jacobs, as well as Davante Adams. If Jacobs gets a clear head of space, he's going to eat you alive like he should tonight. The Rams are giving up the 4th most rushing yards per game this season. While the Rams season is basically done now, the Raiders still have a lot to play for. Baker Mayfield may see some snap for LA, and he needs to prove himself in order to get the starts for the remainder of the year. Expect Baker to keep the in the game until the 4th with a few late scores to send this game OVER. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Raiders Line: O/U 43.0 Line Parameter: play until 44.0 | |||||||
12-04-22 | Commanders v. Giants UNDER 40.5 | Top | 20-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WSH/NYG UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Washington Commanders vs New York Giants game on Sunday. People might look at this line and say that it looks to be low. However, these two teams love to run the ball and drain the clock. With Saquon Barkley, as well as a mobile QB in Daniel Jones, the Giants will look to take as much time as possible off the clock and tear apart this injured Commanders DLine. Washington has many running backs themselves. If they want to get all of them involved, they'll have to share it around and run a lot as well. Expect a very low scoring game in this one on Sunday afternoon at MetLife. T.M. Prediction: 17-9 Giants. Line: O/U 41.5 Line Parameter: play until 39.5 | |||||||
11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks OVER 47.5 | Top | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 147 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raiders/Seahawks OVER I am on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks game on Sunday. While the Raiders won last week, they still need to basically be perfect from here on out, to have a chance at the postseason. The Seahawks have shocked everybody, as they still lead the NFC West. They've been in a few shootouts already this season and this one has shootout written all over it as well. Expect fireworks at Lumen Field on Sunday afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Raiders Line: O/U 47.5 Line Parameter: play until 49.0 | |||||||
11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 176 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Niners OVER I am on the OVER in the Arizona Cardinals vs San Fransisco 49ers game in Mexico on Monday. Last week, the Cardinals shocked the Rams as they beat the defending champs in a must win game to keep their season alive. Now, they'll play a hungry 49ers team that thinks they have the tools to get back to another Super Bowl this season. Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle is one of the best trios in the NFL and I believe that they really do have a shot at glory this season. However, both of these teams sit below the Seahawks right now in the NFC West and need wins to catch them. This game will be played in Mexico City in the "International Series" which might provide a spark for more scoring offensively. I expect a higher scoring game in practically must-win games again for both teams. T.M. Prediction: 28-23 Niners. | |||||||
10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Ravens OVER I am on the OVER in the Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens game on Sunday. The Bills come into this game hungrier than ever after last week divisional loss against the Dolphins. Offensive Coordinator Ken Dorsey was not happy whatsoever, and I expect him to have some bombs ready this weekend to take out his anger. The Bills secondary is also not at full strength for this one. Micah Hyde out for the year, Tre White still out, Xavier Rhodes out, Ed Oliver is questionable. I'm expecting this to be an offensive shootout. Buffalo has seen the total go OVER in 13 of their last 20 games played on the road, dating back a few seasons. The Ravens also love high scoring games. Especially against teams from the AFC. They've seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 6 against teams from this conference. Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. What more could you ask for. Sit back and watch them both. put on a masterclass this Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 34-28 Bills. | |||||||
09-15-22 | Chargers v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs/LA Chargers OVER I am on the OVER in the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers game on Thursday. In week 1, the Chiefs looked nearly unstoppable. Everyone thought that they might see a bit of a rough start after losing their #1 WR in Tyreek Hill. But QB Patrick Mahomes is that guy. He is undoubtably a top 3 QB in the world right now, could be #1, and he is doing some magical things out there. Now on Thursday Night, Mahomes and the Chiefs will be taking on a stacked Chargers team that also looked really solid in their opening game. Justin Herbert, another amazingly talented QB, was dropping dimes left and right. These two QBs could very well be your MVP and runner up at the end of the season. Looking at the defences, the Chiefs have lost a lot. Without safety Tyrann Mathieu this season, LA should be able to cook against that secondary. For the Chargers, their defense looked like the D we expected at times, but they still gave up nearly 20 points to a less explosive offense than they are going to see here in this one. With every win being critical in a division like this, expect both of these teams to light up the scoreboard in a highly anticipated week 2 matchup on Thursday Night. T.M. Predcition: 34-31 Chiefs | |||||||
02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 201 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bengals UNDER. I am on the under in the LA Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl game on February 13 this year. The Rams are known for their very heavy offense that loves to put up a lot of points in their games but the Rams also have a great defense and a lot of talented players on that side of the ball too. They showed that they can battle it out in a low scoring and more defensive game with their 20-17 win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship game. The 49ers have a very good defense and they were able to hold the Rams to 20 points in that game. I think that this game will also be more defensive since both teams have looked good on defense lately. The Rams have already held 2 different playoff teams to less than 20 points in these playoffs alone. The game that they didn't was the game they won over the Buccaneers but their defense had the clamp down on the Bucs offense for 3 quarters of that game. The Bengals have a very good offense but Joe Mixon will have a hard time running into Donald and Miller all game. They could also attack through the air with Ja'Marr Chase but he has to deal with Jalen Ramsey and all the other talented players they have lurking in the secondary. I don't think the Bengals offense is going to be doing much against the Rams defense here and the Bengals offense hasn't even been putting up a lot of points in their games lately. Their defense has also been stepping up in their games like in their previous game they stepped up in the 2nd half and only allowed 3 points by the Chiefs. I think the Bengals defense is going to continue to step up here and get some big stops in this game for them but I also think the Bengals are not good enough on offense to put up a lot of points on this defense. I think this is going to be a game that doesn't have a ton of points in it so I like the under here. T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Rams. | |||||||
01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -103 | 75 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bengals/Chiefs OVER. I am on the over in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday. The Bengals have gone on a great run to make it to this AFC Championship game but they haven't had to use a lot of offense to get here. They have been in control of their previous 2 games for the most part and haven't had to put up a lot of points as the offenses they faced struggled in those games. I don't think that is going to happen here though. The Chiefs just had a crazy high scoring game that became very explosive near the end and i think this game will follow suit with that game more than the other games the Bengals have played in. The other 2 teams didn't really challenge the Bengals much but the Chiefs will and I think the Bengals are going to have to put up a ton of points to keep up here. The Bengals haven't had to play from behind yet but there is a good chance they will be playing this game from behind and if that's the case then they will have to throw the ball more and put up a lot of points quickly. The Chiefs have put up 40+ points in both of their playoff games and they have looked incredible on offense in both games. They just won a shootout with the Bills and even when they were down by 3 with 13 seconds left they found a way to sling the ball down the field and tie the game with a FG in those 13 seconds. The Bills have 1 of the best defenses in the league and even they had trouble stopping the Chiefs in that game. I don't think the Bengals are going to have a better chance here of stopping them so they will need to defend this game with their offense to keep it close. They already played each other right before the playoffs started and there was 60+ points in that game, both teams putting up 30+ points. I think this is going to be a high scoring game with a lot of offenses and I think the defenses will not be able to do much to stop these 2 powerful offenses. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Chiefs. | |||||||
01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans OVER 47 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -109 | 100 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bengals/Titans OVER. I am on the over in the Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans game on Saturday. I think this game is going to have a lot of scoring in it from both teams. The Bengals have a very good passing game and I expect them to use their strength in this game. The Titans are a bit beaten up in the secondary and I expect Burrow to attack them deep here and throw the ball a lot. Ja'Marr Chase has become 1 of the best WRs in this league lately and he has received for 400+ yards over their previous 4 games. I expect Burrow to attack the Titans deep here and give Chase plenty of looks in this game leading to a lot of scores. I also think the great running from Mixon will help with their passing game and relieve the pressure on Burrow to make more accurate throws deep down the field. The Titans also have a lot of weapons at WR though and I think they will be airing the ball out here too. Derrick Henry is expected to return here for the 1st time since week 8 and he is an absolute monster when he has the ball in his hands. I expect him to do a lot of running all over the Bengals defense here which will also open up their passing game too. I think Tannehill is good enough to lead his offense down the field and find his star receivers on the outside. I expect a game with a lot of passing here and quick scores down field. These defenses have been good this year but neither have really been popping off the page and I think both are going to get gashed for a lot of yards and a lot of scores here. Both offenses are going to move the ball and put up points forcing the other team to respond and this could be a game that ends up going back and forth all day. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Bengals. | |||||||
11-14-21 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 49 | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seahawks/Packers OVER. I am on the over in the Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers game on Sunday. The big story here is how both Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers will be returning as the starters for this game. The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week and much healthier with Wilson back at QB for them. Geno Smith held up alright keeping them in their last couple of games and he even put up 31 points for them in his last start, but Wilson gives this team a real chance at winning any game and with their defense still looking like it needs some work, he will have to put up a lot of points in this game to keep up with the Packers. The Packers were only able to score 7 points with Rodgers out last week but their offense has been great with him under center and I'm expecting to put out a big performance to counter the week of drama he had to experience with everything that was surrounding him. I think this game could easily turn into a shootout with these 2 QBs back so I am on the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Packers. | |||||||
10-31-21 | Dolphins v. Bills OVER 48 | Top | 11-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins/Bills OVER. I am on the over in the Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills game on Sunday. The Dolphins have played some rough games in their last 2 that they had a chance at winning in both and came up short. It all started in London when they gave the Jags their 1st win of the season but still managed to put up 20 points in that game over sea. Then in their game last week they had the lead with a minute left but gave the ball back to the Falcons losing on a last attempt field goal. They still put up 28 points in that game too. Their offense has not been the problem in their games and they have been gaining yardage and putting up points well. It is their defense that keeps blowing the leads for them and if they play like that here they will definitely be giving up a ton of points to this Bills offense. The Bills just had their bye week but lost their last game to the Titans and will be looking for a win here to get right. Since their week 1 loss to the Steelers, the Bills have put up 30+ points in every game since then and have 1 of the best offense in the league. They have already played the Dolphins earlier this year and put up 35 points in that game and gave up 0. The Dolphins have been bad on defense lately and the Bills have only gotten better on offense so I think they can put up even more points here. It is a lot tougher to play a team the 2nd time around so I expect the Dolphins to play better with their improved offense and actually put up some points on the board here. I like this game to go over the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 45-17 Bills. | |||||||
10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers OVER 47.5 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington/Packers OVER. I am on the over in the Washington Football Team vs Green Bay Packers game on Sunday. Washington lost to the Chiefs in their last game and there was 44 points put up in that game. That was the 1st time in 5 games that a Washington game did not have 50+ points in it. It was also the 1st time in 5 games that Washington didn't put up 20+ points themselves. They did not put up any points in the 2nd half of that game as the Chiefs finally tightened up their defense at halftime and played well. I think they should have an easier time scoring against the Packers though. Terry McLaurin barely got any action in that game and he is one of their best players on the offense. I expect them to get him going in this one and once he's rolling, the offense should roll right along with him. The Packers have not put up 30 points themselves in their last 3 games with all of those games staying under this posted total. Washington has one of the worst defenses in the league this year and I expect the Packers to be able to roll them here. The Packers can attack this defense in the running game and the passing game and either way they will not have any answers for Aaron Rodgers and this Packers offense. I think Washington can put some more points up in this game than they did in their last game and I think the Packers are going to have no troubles moving the ball on a bad Washington defense. I like this game to go over the total. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Packers. | |||||||
02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 | Top | 9-31 | Loss | -105 | 289 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Bucs OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). I expect this total to blast past the posted number sooner, rather than later. Cmon, what's this Super Bowl all about? It's about the veteran Tom Brady, about to pass off the torch to the now future of the league. Brady can have a big performance here, lose, add to his legacy still, and pass on the responsibility of being the face of the league to Patrick Mahomes. These two QB's won't be leaving anything on the field of play today and I absolutely believe they'll be the main story line here. I'll admit, each team has an "under the radar" defense, in fact those units are clearly a big reason why each team is here today. But at the end of the day, these two teams are built around their offensive leaders and I expect the NFL to put on a show the nation here. As stated off the top, look for this total to blast past the posted number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Chiefs. | |||||||
01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints OVER 51.5 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Bucs OVER (10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST). If you're wagering on this contest, then you already are well aware of each team's strengths and weaknesses. You also know the cast of characters on each side. New Orleans did win both regular season games over Tampa, and each game went under the number. Suffice it to say, I expect that trend to get blown out of the water here today, as I look for Drew Brees and Tom Brady to engage in an old fashioned shootout for sure. This could be Brees's last game ever, as he's intimated that he'll retire at the end of the season. And for Brady, he's out for double-revenge and for greater overall glory to his own story. Two pretty good defenses, but the overall situation points to a classic "shootout" in my opinion; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 47 | Top | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 53 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers/Browns OVER (10*). There's no love loss between these two teams. Cleveland is going to have to do what it does best if it's going to pull off an upset today, and that's play at a very high-pace when on offense. These teams both have decent defenses, but each unit struggled with consistency down the stretch. I expect Ben Roethlisberger and Baker Mayfield to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | Top | 31-23 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tampa/WFT UNDER (10*). Two aging QB's with something to prove, but the winner of this contest will be the team which can establish the run and win the turnover battle. These are two of the best defenses in the league and I expect them to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. This number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
01-03-21 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 47.5 | Top | 33-7 | Loss | -103 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Saints OVER (10*). This is an important game for New Orleans despite having already clinched a playoff spot. The Saints need a win here to qualify for the No. 2 spot in the NFC. New Orleans will be playing today without its entire starting RB group, which means that Drew Brees becomes the focal point of today's Saint's offense. The Panthers won last weekend to break a three-game slide and there's nothing more that Teddy Bridgewater would love to do than to finish the season with two straight wins, especially over his old team. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 46 | Top | 38-9 | Win | 100 | 108 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bills/Pats OVER (10* TOTAL MAYHEM). Despite being eliminated, I don't think the proudful Patriots will simply roll over here. The Pats hate the Bills, no matter who is under center. New England plays with revenge here as well after a low-scoring loss in Buffalo at the start of the season. Buffalo could care less about New England's issues. The Patriots have crushed the Bills for well over a decade, so Buffalo will have no mercy on this organization ever. The Bills have averaged over 33 points over their last four games and I expect that offense to lay the hammer down here as well. Buffalo allows 24.3 PPG, so Cam Newton and the home side will have some opportunities. This one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 34-27 Bills. | |||||||
12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 56 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Titans under (10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR). These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league (in fact, Tennessee is the highest-scoring club in the league at just under 32 points per game average.) Each also comes in in the middle of the pack on the defensive side of the ball. Many may think this will be a high-scoring shootout, but I definitely am not expecting that whatsoever. Each team is in the playoffs, but still looking to cement a better spot. This is a non-conference game, so the emotion levels are always a little less in those situations. It's going to be a cold and blustery day in Green Bay and I expect the Titans to run with Derrick Henry, and then run some more. It's interesting to note as well that Tennessee has seen the the total dip under in 11 of its last 15 non-conference road games when the total in the contest is set between 53.5 and 57.5 points; this number is definitely too high in my opinion, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -116 | 57 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Niners/Cards OVER (10* NFC West TOTAL OF THE YEAR). Arizona enters on top form and in such a pivotal contest, I believe it continues to build momentum. Arizona averages 27.9 PPG and at 8-6, it now controls its own destiny as far as a playoff spot is concerned. I don't expect Arizona to sit on a lead or "try to play it safe." Even if the Cardinals have a big lead, I believe they'll continue to keep the foot on the gas now at every opportunity as they try to continue to build offensive chemistry. San Fran's a mess, but it gets TE George Kittle back from injury. The 49ers are out to play spoiler today and I think that motivation helps in driving up this score as well. This one has "shootout" written all over it; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers/Raiders UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Chargers finally covered a spread last weekend, managing to come from behind to knock off the Falcons 20-17. Maybe that's not such a big surprise though considering how many times the Falcon's have given up late leads. The Chargers are banged up and they only average 22.8 PPG at the best of times. The Raiders just fired their defensive coordinator, as head coach Jon Gruden puts his foot down with one last effort/push to close out the season. It's basically do or die for the Raiders today, who will look to control this one from the outset and to limit mistakes. Note that over the last ten games between these teams the average score has been 42.6. I think today's will be even less than that. I'm banking on a lower-scoring defensive battle! T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Vegas. | |||||||
12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 128 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers/Bills UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). This one has "under" written all over it in my opinion. Pittsburgh is now 11-1 after suffering its first loss of the yar last week in a 23-17 setback to Washington. Buffalo enters off a second straight win, beating San Francisco on the road last weekend. Pittsburgh has the No. 1 defense in the NFL, and I think that Josh Allen will have a difficult time getting set this evening. The Steelers will look to establish the run throughout as well. THe last thing Pittsburgh wants to do is to turn this into a shootout. The Steelers want to control the tempo of this one, win the field position battle and special teams play. Considering all of the above circumstances, I do indeed feel this number is a little high; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. | |||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 45 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 59 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Pats UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK.) These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league. New England allows 21.3 PPG and LA allows 20.3. Both teams come in off high-scoring victories, but the short week will turn this one into more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout" in my opinion. New England got the job done last week with 180 rushing yards and some great special teams play. Expect these two teams to go well under once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 21-13 Rams. | |||||||
12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers UNDER 44 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 124 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers/Washington UNDER (10* MAYHEM). Washington has become a "run first" team behind the great play of rookie running back Antonio Gibson, who has 645 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Alex Smith has lost a step. The last thing he'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout. The Steelers excel at stopping the run, ranked 8th overall in that department. Pittsburgh's perfect record is on the line here after barely holding on for the 19-14 win over Baltimore last time out. Pittsburgh is ranked third overall defensiely and Washington is ranked fourth. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-9 Pittsburgh. | |||||||
12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 42 | Top | 14-19 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Steelers OVER (10* DOMINATION). This is a weird game and weird circumstances. Baltimore has its running backs available, but starting QB LaMar Jackson is out with COVID. Several other defensive players are also out for Baltimore. I think the Ravens fight hard in the second half, but I expect Pittsburgh to lay it on hard out of the break and I look for this total to sneak over the number once the smoke clears at the end of the night! T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Pittsburgh. | |||||||
11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 131 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bucs OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The Buccaneers bounced back from a humbling defeat to the Saints to smash the Panthers 46-23 last weekend. The Rams came out of their bye-week and beat Seattle 23-16. Tampa will look to push the pace from the outset though as it tries to get the defensive-minded Rams out of their comfort zone. Despite the low-scoring victory last week though, I'll point out that Rams' QB Jared Goff posted his second-straight 300-plus yards passing game. This one is going to be centered around these two red-hot QB's; look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Tampa. | |||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 57 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 107 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Raiders UNDER FIRST HALF (10* BLOWOUT). The Raiders won a high-scoring thriller in Kansas City a couple of weeks ago. Both teams come in off wins, but while the first game went over the number, I believe the second affair between these two AFC leading clubs with fall well under once the smoke clears at the end of the night. And I believe this will in fact pay immediate dividends for us in the first half (note as well that the total has gone under in seven of these teams last ten vs. each other). With each team looking to establish the run early, the savvy call is the under in the first half! T.M. Prediction: 13-7 KC. | |||||||
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -109 | 156 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikings/Bears OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUIILDER). Minnesota averages 27.1 PPG and it allows 29.3. Dalvin Cook has been unstoppable of late though and I think he'll be a difference maker here in Chicago as well. Cook had 858 rushing yards and 13 total TDs so far. The Bears will be leaning on QB Nick Foles to snap a three-game slide. Foles looked good in defeat to Tennessee in the Bears last game, going 36 of 52 for 335 yards and two TDs. Minnesota desperately needs a win here to keep its slim playoff hopes alive and the Bears are on the cusp of falling out of second after three straight losses. With both teams pushing the pace from start to finish, look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Minnesota. | |||||||
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 52 | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints/Bucs UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). These defenses are both underrated. I think these units will absolutely become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. The first game between these clubs went over, but this one has under written all over it. Tampa's run game is strong and the last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with Drew Brees. Note as well that the under has hit in nine of these teams last 12 against each other on this field. This number is too high! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. | |||||||
11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Niners/Packers UNDER FIRST HALF (10* SUPER TOTAL). San Francisco has struggled this year, mainly due to injuries. Last week it's two-game win streak was snapped in a 37-27 setback at Seattle. The 49ers though lost the services of their two best offensive players in QB Jimmy G and TE George Kittle. Green Bay was upset at home to the Vikings last weekend, getting torched by Dalvin Cook for 187 rushing yards and three TD's on the ground. The 49ers will look to duplicate that same success vs. Green Bay here, as it looks to avoid putting the ball into Rodgers hands as long as possible. Look for these two teams to battle tough in the opening half and for this total to fall well under the number. T.M. Prediction: 13-7 Green Bay. | |||||||
10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rams/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Bears are out for their third straight win today, most recently beating Carolina 23-16. The Rams are off a 24-16 loss at San Francisco. Both teams only ask their quarterbacks to manage the game, instead relying on strong run games and elite defensive units to wear their opponents down. Chicago only averages 21.3 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 19.3. The Rams average 25.3 PPG and they allow only 19. Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to under 20 points. The Bears have a similar defense as San Francisco, so I look for a similar final combined score as what LA posted in its last game. This one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Chicago. | |||||||
10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 55 | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 175 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/Cowboys UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Cowboys have put up some unreal offensive numbers this year. Their defense has been terrible and Dak Prescott has had to play from behind several times this year to try and furiously make a come back. But now Prescott is injured and out for the season and Andy Dalton will be forced into the spotlight. As good as Dalton is, it's hard to imagine this Dallas offense operating at the same level moving forward. The Cowboys have been atrocious on the defensive end, so they'll be eager to try and improve in that department as well, to alleviate the pressure from Dalton. The Cards only allow 22 PPG and I think the last thing they want to do here is turn this into a "shootout." This number is high, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Arizona. | |||||||
10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 44.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs/Bears UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). Note that the under has hit in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games overall and in six of its last seven at home. Tampa has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring 35 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. Nick Foles and this Bears offense looked out of sync last week vs. the Colts and I they'll have a difficult time as well here vs. this improved Tampa unit. And after slinging five TD's in a come from behind win last weekend, I think that old Tom Brady comes out flat and tired on the short week. This one has "u-n-d-e-r" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Tampa. | |||||||
10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 57.5 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Falcons OVER (10* TOP TOTAL). Green Bay is 3-0, but it'll have a fight on its hands here as Atlanta looks to get off the schneid with a victory here. The Falcons have given up sizeable leads in all three of their setbacks (which they've lost by a combined 12 points.) Atlanta is getting great production from its offense, but it's conceding 38 PPG. That's brutal and great news to the ears of Packers' red hot veteran QB Aaron Rodgers, who already has 887 yards passing, nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Green Bay defense has done just enough, but it's issues have been masked over by the great play of Rodgers and the offense. The over has hit in Green Bay's last four following a SU win and all signs point to this trend continuing in a big way this evening; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 37-27 Green Bay. | |||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -107 | 61 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Broncos/Jets under (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER). These defenses are terrible, but each unit catches a big break this week facing these terrible offenses. Both teams are equally as hungry to get off the schneid. Obviously neither is dillusional in thinking that they'll actually make the playoffs, rather these clubs need a victory to calm down their respective fan bases. I don't expect a high-scoring "shootout," rather I expect a "chess match." Sam Darnold needs to get back to basics for the Jets, so expect a lot of crossing routes and dumps. The Broncos are down to their third-string QB, so don't expect the visitors to be asking much of Rypien here either. I expect a boring, low-scoring affair once the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Denver. | |||||||
09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 53.5 | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs/Ravens OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). I think that both defenses will have trouble containing these high-powered offenses. Patrick Mahomes and LaMar Jackson would have had this game circled on their calendars before the season started. This is a prime-time matchup that the entire NFL is hoping will have huge ratings and as such, I definitely expect these two offenses to take center stage. Each is capable on the defensive end as well, but mostly any inefficiences on that end are masked by each side's dynamic offense. Baltimore has revenge on its mind after losing 33-28 at Arrowhead last year and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. This number is low, the play is the OVER! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 Ravens. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Panthers v. Chargers UNDER 44 | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Panthers/Charges UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH). The Panthers are 0-2 and the Chargers are 1-1. LA looked decent in its loss to the Chiefs last time out, but it wasn't particularly spectacular in its Week 1 win over the Colts. Carolina is averaging 23.5 PPG, but clearly it'll be out to clean up its play on the defensive end after allowing 32.5 in the early going. However, Carolina catches a bit of a break here facing this Chargers offense. LA is only average 18 PPG, but the good news is it's only allowing 18 as well. With Christian McCaffrey out for the Panthers, their offense becomes even more one-dimensional. This one has UNDER written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 20-13 LA. | |||||||
09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks/Pats OVER (10* TRADE-MARK). Seattle CRUSHED the Falcons by a score of 38-25 last weekend. The only issue was, the Hawks allowed 500 yards of offense. Seattle will once again look to keep the foot on the gas in prime time on Sunday night with the New England Patriots coming to town. The Pats looked decent in their 21-11 win over the Fish, but the pressure is going to be on to match pace with the high-flying Hawks today. Cam Newton will be given the green light here to test his suspect Hawks secondary and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, I look for this total to sail well over the posted number. Play the over! T.M. Prediction: 31-27 Seattle. | |||||||
09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team OVER 43 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 263 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philly/Washington OVER (10* NFC NORTH TOY). Carson Wentz and the Eagles will look to push the pace and take advantage of this Washington team under first year head coach Ron Rivera. Philadelphia was just 9-7 last year, but the addition of DeSean Jackson is a signficant one for this offense. The Eagles' secondary was a joke last year, and while it did make some upgrades, the unit still has question marks coming in. Dwayne Haskins will also be playing with a chip on his shoulder for Washington (completed 59 percent of his passes for seven TD's and seven INT's last year.) Like its counterpart today, Washington's weakness last year and coming into this season is on the defensive side of the ball. I think this will be a highly competitive game which blasts past the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Philadelphia. | |||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC/SF UNDER San Francisco has an excellent defense, that I believe, is the best in the NFL. Richard Sherman, Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner and many more are why they are so talented. So far this season, the 49ers defense have held opposing quaterbacks to an average of only 174.28 passing yards per game. That's incredible! After a 2 game home stand, San Fran has seen the total stay UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games the past three years (2 of 2 this season.) For the Chiefs, they have had another stellar year as well. Their defense may not be as talented, but they sure have shut the door this playoffs. They have held opposing offenses to an average of 20.17 points per game. In the end, Patrick Mahomes is going to get his touchdowns, but I believe that both defenses will start out strong and for this game to stay well under the number. Take the UNDER and you'll be glad you did. T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Chiefs | |||||||
01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 44 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New England Patriots/Tennessee Titans OVER With the Houston Texans resting most of their starters in week 17, Tennessee had a very easy victory. For New England, they got shocked by the entire world again. And when I say again, I mean AGAIN. The Dolphins have now pulled off the upset against New England two years in a row. Off of that high-scoring game in week 17, the total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC conference. For the Titans, they have seen the total go OVER in 9 of their last 10 games this season. The total nhas also gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Expect a very high scoring game in the AFC Wild Card Game between the New Engalnd Patriots and the Tennessee Titans. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Pats | |||||||
12-29-19 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 36 | Top | 21-19 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vikings/Bears UNDER The Vikings come into this game with a nice 10-5 record. Their whole team has looked strong lately. Although they lost to the Packers last week, Minnesota has only allowed 40 points over the past 3 weeks. Coming inot this game, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games against opponents in the NFC North Division. For Chicago, they are out of playoff contention. The Bears have seen the total go UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games this season. In their meeting last year, on week 17, these two teams combined for only 34 points. I expect a similar outcome here on Sunday. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 24-10 Vikings | |||||||
12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 45 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SF/LA UNDER Defense, Defense, Defense is the only word that comes to mind in this matchup. Despite, having lost to the Falcons last week, the 49ers come in as a 7-point favorite. This year, San Fran has only allowed 18.43 points per game. They are ranked 1st in passing yards allowed (154.4,) 2nd in ttoal yards per game (269,) and 1st in fumbles recovered this season (21.) The Rams hasve also been playing very good defense. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams' L9 games this season. They have also seen the total go UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games on the road, against the 49ers. I expect a very low-scoring game here today. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 21-10 49ers | |||||||
12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders UNDER 47.5 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Titans/Raiders UNDER This is a must-win game for both teams and I expect both defenses to be on their game in this one. Tennessee enters with a 7-5 record this season. They have seen the total go UNDER 6 of 9 games as a road favorite of 7 points or less. Oakland comes in with a 6-6 record. They have seen the total go UNDER in 9 of their last 11 games played in December. The total has also gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's L6 games this season. Look for a low-scoring game to be played here in Oakland, California. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Titans | |||||||
12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 38 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers/Broncos UNDER This total is pretty low, but it’s that low for a reason. Phillip Rivers is having one of his worst seasons, in terms on TD/INT ratio so far this year. The Chargers have seen the total go UNDER in 8 of their L10 games. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER in the Broncos’ L9 games vs. teams in their own division. The L4 of their meetings have also gone UNDER. Expect that to be a similar sight in this one. Take the UNDER with room to spare. T.M. Prediction: 17-13 Chargers | |||||||
11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 46 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans/Indianapolis Colts UNDER These two teams played earlier this season and finished with a total of 53 points. I expect it to be different here. Houston just gave up 41 points last week to the Ravens. They'll look to step up their defense against this weaker Colts offense. They have also seen the total go UNDER 60% of the time ytd. On the other hand, t total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indianapolis' L18 road games. I expect great defense on Thursday Night. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 17-10 Texans | |||||||
11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns OVER 41.5 | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Prediction: Steelers/Browns OVER In the past, the total has gone OVER in each of the L3 Browns-Steelers games, with an average combined score of 48.33 points. The over is also 39-27 when the Steelers are off an upset win. I expect both young QB's to throw multiple INT's in a big Prime-Time game. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Steelers | |||||||
11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys UNDER 48.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cowboys/Vikings UNDER Both of these two teams enter tonight's game with 3 losses on the season. In the past, Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER 7 out of 10 times as a road underdog. The UNDER is also 20-13 when they are playing against conference opponents. Both of these teams also have very strong running games and both should try and utilize it here as the clock keeps ticking away. I like the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Cowboys | |||||||
10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 42.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 49ers/Cardinals UNDER The San Fran 49ers come into this game with a perfect 7-0 record. Their defense has been stellar and I expect that to continue on Thursday Night. Look for the Cardinals to struggle on the offensive end in this one. Take the UNDER! T.M. Prediction: 21-13 49ers | |||||||
10-27-19 | Browns v. Patriots OVER 43 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New England Patriots/Cleveland Browns OVER The Patriots are yet again the team to beat in the NFL. Tom Brady has looked sharp and now, they have added WR Mohamed Sanu to the roster. The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Patriots L5 games vs the Browns aswell. I expect the Browns to have a decent game, while New England keeps scoring here. Take the OVER T.M. Prediction; 31-24 Patriots | |||||||
10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 46.5 | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Texans/Indianapolis Colts UNDER As you may know, the Colts have been typically an "UNDER" team, and I look for that to continue here. Coming into this game, the total has gone UNDER in 25 of the Colts’ L31 home games vs. an opponent in their own division. In the past (in this matchup,) these two teams have averaged a combined score of 42.0. That's in their last six meetings. Expect both defenses to show up again here. Take the UNDER T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Texans | |||||||
10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay/Detroit UNDER On Monday Night, the Lions will take on the Packers. Both of these teams come in to this game with a winning record. Detroit, fresh off their bye, has now seen the total go UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games (with an avg. combined score of 39.09). The Packers will have to deal with the absence of WR Devante Adams. That might give the Lions some energy on defense. I expect a tight low-scoring game on Monday Night with the Packers taking this close one. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Packers | |||||||
10-13-19 | Steelers v. Chargers UNDER 42 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Chargers/Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER Both teams enter this game with a losing reocrd on the season. LA QB Phillip Rivers is off one of his worst games of his career. The Steelers are giving the nod to the undrafted rookie named Devlin Hodges. This will be Hodges first career start in Primetime. Note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Chargers' last 5 at home vs. an East Coast team. Expect the two QB's to struggle putting point on the board on Sunday Night. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Steelers | |||||||
10-06-19 | Cardinals v. Bengals UNDER 47.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals/Cincinnati Bengals UNDER Two winless squads will battle it out on Sunday afternoon. Starting with the Cards, QB Kyler Murray has yet to get anything going in his rookie year so far. He's averaged a little over 230 passing yards a game. Looking at Cinci, they have also been terrible. As a matter of fact, I think they might be even worse. Last week, QB Andy Dalton was getting frustrated after every single possesion. He ended up getting sacked 8 times over the course of the game, AND he threw an INT. That just tells you that he isn't getting much help by his offensive line, but also that he isn't using his feet to motivate them to block better. I expect both of these offenses to be awful once again as they barely get any points. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 14-6 Cardinals | |||||||
09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos UNDER 38.5 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNDER (Jax/Den) Both teams enter this matchup with a losing record and neither of them have looked sharp through the opening 3 weeks. Although they found a way to win last week, Jacksonville is now led by backup QB in Gardner Minshew II who has yet to throw for 210+ yards in his first 2 starts. Now, the Jags will try to bring their winning spirits to Mile High as they'll play the Broncos who have yet to win a game YTD. Vic Fangio's starting QB Joe Flacco has only reached the endzone twice. That's not how he planned to start his HC career at all. Expect both QB's to look shaky once again as Flacco has to go against a mighty Jacksonville secondary while Minshew II will have to deal with the thin air in Mile High. T.M. Predicted Final Score: 17-9 Broncos | |||||||
09-15-19 | Chargers v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 144 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers/Lions under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 51 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 79 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs/Panthers under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Carolina got a big game from RB Christian McCaffrey, who had 128 yard rushing, two TD’s and ten catches in Week 1. That performance however wasn’t good enough to earn the Panthers the victory unfortunately as they’d fall 30-27 at home to the Rams. After that high-scoring affair and on the short-week, I expect much more of a “chess match” between these NFC South opponents. The Bucs look completely inept offensively last week in their 31-17 loss at home to the 49ers and I believe they’ll struggle again here vs. this Panthers defensive unit playing with a chip on its shoulder this week. Five of their last six in this series have fallen under and I expect that strong trend to continue in their first matchup of 2019/20. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Carolina. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins OVER 37.5 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 214 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens/Dolphins over (10*) Baltimore’s great pre-season (4-0), won’t mean much if it can’t continue to build momentum. Last year they fell 23-17 to the Chargers in the playoffs. The Fish were only 7-9 last year, but they went 3-1 in the preseason. These are two teams with big expectations and I believe we’re going to see a more wide open “shootout,” than a defensive “chess match.” Let’s throw the ATS stats out the window in Week 1. These are two teams which showed some of the most considerable “chemistry” in the preseason and while neither has been known for their offensive prowess the last couple of seasons, I believe the stage is set for an explosive offensive affair in Week 1. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Ravens. | |||||||
09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 46.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Packers/Bears under (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK) The Packers were just 6-9-1 last year, while the Bears went 12-4. Green Bay has a new head coach in Matt LaFleur, who is an offensive minded skipper, but I still believe that this number is too high. The Packers were terrible defensively in 2018, allowing 25.0 PPG and the team hopes that it’s addressed several issues on that side of the ball in the off-season, especially in the secondary. The Bears though return all of their main pieces from their league leading defensive unit which allowed only 17.7 PPG, led by Khalil Mack with 12.5 sacks and 13.5 tackles for a loss. I think the offenses come out flat on Opening night, leaving the door open for the defensive units to shine. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 21-17 Bears. |
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