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I am taking the points with the Valkyries here against the Dream. This is a good match up for Golden State who has covered the spread following an ATS loss every game this season, and they failed to cover last game. Atlanta has really struggled going 1-3 SU their L4 games and have not been strong defensively at all, as teams have shot 44% or more from the field in 3 straight. The Golden State defense is tough and are in great form holding teams below 38% from the field in 4 of their L5 games and are 4-2 ATS their L6. Take the points here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Fever here at home against the Sparks and am laying the points. The Fever are rolling right now playing some of their best basketball of the season with wins and covers in 3 straight. They have gone over 45% from the field in 2 of those 3 wins and defensively, have been on a tear holding teams to sub 35% in back to back. The Sparks are struggling again with just one win their last seven games and covered in just one of those - against this Fever squad. The Fever are out for revenge after losing to this Sparks team not to long ago and I expect a big win here. Lay it with the Fever. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury against the Aces. The Aces had a small resurgence winning back to back games however they lost their last game out and are now 2-4 their L6 games. The Mercury are rolling right now winning 6 straight and have covered in 5 of those 6 games. They are on an tear offensively shooting over 50% in back to back games and Top 6 in both offensive/defensive rating in the WNBA. The Aces are good but they are embarking on their first road trip after 4 straight home games, where they now have 5 straight road games. Vegas is 0-5 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Lay it with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Mystics here against the Wings. Dallas is on a back to back after a defensive no show against the Fever last night where they allowed 94 pts and have now allow 90+ in 2 of 3. The Mystics are playing great winning 3 in a row with 2 of them outright as a 7 pt dog. The Mystics defense is getting a lot better and is improving each game and will be strong against Dallas tonight who may be without a key player tonight. Washington is shooting strong going 45%+ from the field in 4 of 5 and the Wings sit way at the bottom in defensive rating, at 11. Lay the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Golden State here against the Liberty. This may be two completely different teams however the Liberty have struggled on the road this season and the Valkyries have been a force to reckon with at home and as of late. The Valkyries have covered 5 of their L6 games and have held teams sub 40% in half of those games. The Liberty, are just 1-3 SU their L4 and have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games showing their inability to close games out. The Liberty’s struggles have come from their defensive side which can be huge for Golden State to take advantage of their defense clicks like it has been. Take the points with the Valkyries here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Dream at home against the Mystics. These two teams have faced off twice already and both are 1-1 SU/ATS, teeing this off for a good match up. The Mystics got their win over the Dream in the season opener, and have just 4 wins since then. The Dream, have been on a tear going 7-2 SU their L9 and covering all of those games, but one. Atlanta Dream rank Top 3 in offensive rating and are shooting the ball very well, with an eFG of 50.4%. The Mystics offense is significantly worse sitting bottom 3 in offensive rating and the Dream defense, is Top 5 in the league and have been strong their last few games holding teams below 40% from the field in 2 of their L4. Lay the points with the Dream here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Fever here against the Valkyries. The Valkyries had a nice run winning and covering 3 in a row however after losing to the Wings, all that momentum is shattered. The Fever are rolling into this game winning 4 of their L5 (3-2 ATS) including a big Commissioner's Cup win over the Sun. Defensively, the Fever have held teams 47% or below from the field in 4 straight games and have been on a tear the other way, averaging 82 PPG over that 5 game span. The Fever rank 4th in pace and will force plenty of turnovers which should give them plenty of chances to get a double digit when. Indiana is 7-3 ATS their L10 games as a road favorite, including a 6-1 ATS run. Lay the points here with the Fever. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Valkyries here again as this is now the 3rd time in a row we are taking them. This team is much better than advertised as they have now won and covered 3 in a row as a dog and defensively, have held teams to just 38% from the field over those 3 games. On the offensive front, they are meshing much better shooting over 40% in 4 straight and have significantly out rebounded their opponents showing their ability to get second chances. The Wings might be better with Paige Bueckers in, but they have still lost 7 in a row and are just 2-5 ATS in that span. They are not good defensively as teams have shot over 45% against them from the field in 3 of 5 and they are ranked 3rd to last in defensive rating. Take the points with the Valkyries here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury on the road against the Aces. The Aces snapped their 2 gam skid with a close 4 pt win over the Wings however I see a much difficult competition in the Mercury, given the Aces have played teams all below .500 their L3. The Mercury may have 4 losses overall but they have come to the same 2 teams (Lynx & Storm) showing their ability to beat and compete with other teams. The Mercury rank 4th in defensive rating which is a huge difference to the teams the Aces have been playing. Offensively, Phoenix is shooting 50% from the field and the Aces sit way down at 9th in defensive rating, showing the Mercury can fine success here. My data base shows the Mercury are 6-2 their L8 June road games in this spot as a light road favorite. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with the Valkyries against the Storm. The Valkyries have exceeded expectations so far and I do not see them stopping now as they are really starting to gel together here. Defensively, they have held teams to sub 40% from the field in 3 of their L5 games and are 3-1-1 ATS in that span with back to back wins in there as well. The Storm are coming off a huge home win against the Lynx and are now embarking on 3 straight road games, which makes this first one a big let down spot, as the Storm are just 6-14 SU after scoring 80+ in 3 straight games. The Valkyries are a lot better than advertised and if they click like they have the L2 games, they will have success. Take the points here with Golden State. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Lynx on the road as they are just on another level right now, in my opinion. Defensively, they are ranked 2nd in Net Rating and are currently on a tear, holding teams to sub 40% from the field in 4 straight games. Offensively, they have scored 80+ in 4 of their L5 games and are sitting 2nd in offensive rating here as well. The Storm have had their short comings this season, and although strong are not stronger than this Lynx squad. The Storm defense is no where near as potent as Minnesota and they will be threatened here, especially on the boards where the Lynx are grabbing more rebounds on both ends of the floor. Lay the points with the Lynx to continue their dominance here, as they are 6-3 ATS the L9 against the Storm and 3-1 ATS the L4 in Seattle. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with the Valkyries against the Sparks. Both of these have struggled offensively however the Valkyries defense is really coming together and the Sparks, have struggled on this side of the floor, allowing 85+ in 3 of their L4 games. On the offensive side, the Sparks have really struggled with turning the ball over, doing it 13+ times in 4 straight games which can really hurt them if the Valkyries offense gets going, like they did against the Aces. The Sparks are 2-11 ATS on the road after losing 2 of their L3 games. Take the points with Golden State here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Fever against the Sky, even without Caitlin Clark. Biased, maybe a little but the Fever are the better team no matter if CC is on the floor - or not. The Fever rank 4th in offensive rating and are shooting 51% from the field. The Sky sit second to last in defensive rating and are not shooting the ball as well as Indiana, going just 46% from the field and it turning the ball over on 22% of their possessions. The Sky play fast, but so do the Fever which will benefit them more in transition due to their ability to play basketball on both ends of the floor. The Fever are 3-1 ATS the L4 h2h meetings and 6-2 ATS against the Sky since 2023. Lay it with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the Run Line here with the Yankees at home against the Guardians. Tanner Bibee takes the hill for the Guardians who has been very inconsistent and is pitching against a hot hitting Yankees offense. Bibee has allowed 8 ERs his L3 starts and holds a 5.13 ERA on the season suggesting a lot more runs are coming. Carlos Rodon has been in great form and allowed just 1 ER in his L3 combined starts overall and just 1 ER his L3 combined starts inside of Yankees Stadium. The Yankees return home after a long road stand and I look for a big splash tonight. Play the Yankees -1.5 here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Pacers at home against the Knicks. The Pacers won covered the first 2 games at MSG and the series has been zig zagging ATS/SU wins ever since and last time out, the Knicks won and covered as a 4.5 pt favorite. The pendulum swings the other way tonight, as it heads back to Indianapolis where the Pacers have been strong revenging a same season loss vs opponent going 11-6 ATS and 11-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. The Knicks are just 2-6 ATS on the road after allowing 100 pts or less and a horrid 3-8 ATS as a road underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lay the points with the Pacers here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Storm at home against he Dream. The Dream have benefited from an inferior schedule with each of their L3 wins coming against teams with a combined 3-14 record. The Storm are well rested and are returning home after a road loss to arguably one of the best teams in WNBA in the Lynx. The Storm are ranked Top 5 in defensive efficiency and are overall shooting the ball with an eFG just below 50%. The Storm defense will prove to bet to much here and allow their offense to pull away late. The Dream are 1-3 ATS off a road win dating back to last season and the Storm are 8-3 ATS at home when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Lay it with the Storm here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Fever on the road against the Dream. These two teams just played on Tuesday where the Fever lost outright as a home favorite - however I look for them to revenge this SU/ATS tonight on the road. The Fever have performed far better on the road than at home last year and after several costly mistakes the other night, I look for them to correct them here. Indiana has the best net rating through the first few games this season and the Dream are significantly slower than the Fever sitting towards the bottom in pace which can be costly when the Fever shooting gets going. The Fever went 5-2 ATS as a road favorite last season and the Dream struggled at home going 8-11 ATS in all home games and 5-7 ATS as a home dog. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury at home against the Sparks. The Mercury are playing just their second game of the season, however in their first game they looked incredible offensively and can overwhelm this Sparks defense. The Sparks looked great against the Valkryies but really struggled against a better team in the Lynx, where they shot just 40% from the field and were out rebounded. The Mercury have a strong 3 in Cooper, Thomas and Sabally all of whom can take over this game tonight. The Sparks lack of size is concerning and the Mercury can significantly exploit that here. Lay the points with the Mercury at home. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Storm on the road against the Wings. The Storm had a slow and painful opening season game against the Mercury however I expect a big turn around now that their feet are wet. The Wings similarly lost, to the Lynx but not in blowout fashion. The biggest issue for the Wings is their suspect defense as the Lynx shot 53% from the field and 35% from 3 PT against them. The Storm defense is much better than advertised against the Mercury and will be much stronger here. Offensively, they did not get many good looks and forced too many shots - they are more experienced and have more depth than the Wings so I expect a big turnaround from Game 1. Lay the points with the Seattle Storm here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Reds on the RL here against the Pirates at this nice price. The Pirates have been bad news all season and they have taken some of their worse losses this season, at the hands of their division opponents. Mitch Keller is on the hill for the Pirates who has allowed a lot of sharp contact in his recent outings with 20 hits and 9 ERs across his L3 starts. Nick Lodolo is on the hill for the Reds who has performed far better on the road than at home, allowing just 2 ERs and 7 hits across 13 IP in his last 2 road starts. The Reds are 8-3 on the RL against division opponents this season and 10-5 against the RL in road night games while the Pirates are 3-9 against the RL in division games and 9-13 against the RL in all home games. Lay the -1.5 with the Reds here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Storm here against the Mercury. They may not have been the strongest offensive team last season, but defensively they were one of the best and that will carry over this year. The trio of Nneka Ogwumike, Alysha Clark and Erica Wheeler will be tough to stop given their experience in the league and tenacity to win (4 champs combined). The Mercury lack this type of depth and experience which can really hurt them on the offensive side - especially against a team as talented as Seattle. Lay the points here with the Storm. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Valkyries here against the Sparks. The Sparks are significantly overvalued in this spot and the league is significantly underestimating the strength this Golden State team has. They are fast and play aggressive which can really fluster this Sparks roster especially given the height discrepancy down low, which can lead to many second chance opportunities for the Valkyries. The Sparks may have Kelsey Plum, but I do not expect her to shine in her first game with a new team. The Sparks were never listed as a road favorite once last season and were 3-13 SU in all road games. Take the points with Golden State who will have a BIG crowd as well tonight. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with OKC against the Nuggets. This is a must win game for OKC and when they win, they win in blowout fashion. Not only that, but they are strong revenging a road loss when playing that team again on the road, going 6-1 ATS while the Nuggets are a modest 11-15 ATS at home agains teams with a winning record. It is important to note, underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 39-81 ATS dating back to 2021, and 11-18 ATS this season. Lay it with the Thunder here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Knicks to close this series out against the Pistons. The Knicks have been playing under their mean and still have a commanding 3-1 lead here. They have shot below 50% in every game since Game 1, however I expect a big turn around here. This relies solely on if the Knicks are careful with the ball and/or are able to out rebound the Pistons - something they’ve done in all 3 wins this series. My data shows head to head in this situation the Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS. Lay it with the Knicks here. -Joey Tron 

I am laying the points here with the Clippers tonight in Game 4 against the Nuggets. Denver took Game 1 in a close one, and it has been all LAC ever since. The Clippers have outscored Denver 222 to 185 the L2 games and have been doing great on the defensive side of the ball forcing 36 TOs the L2 games. LAC went 21-8 ATS as a home fav this season and DEN is 2-6 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. This is not a good spot for Denver, lay the points with the Clippers here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with OKC here against the Grizzlies. I do not think we see anything different in Game 2 in terms of the game style and dominance from the Thunder. The Grizzlies had no response to OKC as the Thunder forced 7 more TOs and had 11 more total rebounds. Will this game get ugly again? Maybe, but I do think OKC can cover this number with ease yet again. My data shows head to head in this situation, OKC is 13-6-1 ATS. Lay the points with the Thunder here. -Joey Tron

In a battle what can arguably be called two of the best defenses in college basketball, I am taking the points with Houston here. Houston defense is out of this world and is going to give Cooper Flagg and Duke many issues tonight. Houston defense ranks #1 in eFG% and is Top 30 in 3PT% and 3rd in 2PT%. They are strong on the boards and force a handful of turnovers. Offensively, they are just as efficient as they rank 2nd in 3PT shooting % and are great at maintaining possessions which will be crucial here. We have seen this Duke team get streaky from behind the perimeter on both sides of the ball and they cannot afford that tonight. Take the points with Houston here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Giants here on the Run Line against the Mariners. The big key for me here is the offensive production and that weights significantly with SF. The Giants have a +14 run differential and as a team, have 16 RBI’s in Inter League play thus far. The Mariners offense is sluggish scoring just 18 runs and have a -11 differential. The Giants can tag Luis Castillo who is making his long awaited return to the MLB after a short stint over seas in Japan. Justin Verlander has performed well against the Mariners over the last 2 seasons and should make some noise in his Giants home debut. Take the Giants on the run line. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with Chattanooga against UC Irvine. Chattanooga has been playing some of their best basketball all season in the NIT and I expect them to finish strong in the Championship. They are averaging 50.3% from the field in this tourney and have allowed single digit Turnovers in every game since their opener. The UC Irvine offense is slowing their roll with 2 of their L3 games coming below 42% from the field and they are turning it over way too much. Chattanooga came up big with their perimeter shooting last game, and UC Irvine similarly struggles defensively around the 3PT line. Take the points here with Chattanooga. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with Butler against Boise State. Butler has a good perimeter shooting team that can really throw off the Boise State defense. Not only that, Butler has a small size advantage which will be useful in hitting further 2 PT shots and grabbing rebounds. The Butler defense is far from good but their offense significantly makes up these gaps. The key here is if Butler can hit their 3 ball, and I am confident that they will. Take the points with Butler here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Chattanooga here against Loyola. Chattanooga has a great perimeter shooting team and are incredible overall at shooting the ball ranking Top 12 in eFG%. The Loyola defense is strong, but they are inferior from behind the 3PT line as teams are hitting 33% from there against them. The Chattanooga defense is no where near as good as their offense, however they have been stepping up big time in the Crown holding their last 2 opponents to 72 and 65 points. This one will be close and it all comes down to if Chattanooga can hit their 3s, and I am confident they will. Take the points with Chattanooga here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Senators on the puck line here against the Sabres. Ottawa has everything in front of them and it all starts with securing every point possible in this game. This is a revenge spot for the Senators who just lost in Buffalo but the sights and location have changed. The Senators have played their best hockey at home and the Sabres have played some of their worst outside of their home arena. Reimer is making his 5th start in 6 games and eventually that will catch up. Buffalo exploded for 8 goals last game against the Capitals and I see a huge letdown spot here as they are tasked with their third and final road game of this trip. Lay the puck line with the Senators here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Washington State here against Georgetown. Not only is this is a super late tip for an East Coast school, but they had to travel A LOT further than the Cougars are. The Cougars have a strong and balanced offense ranking Top 50 in both 3P% and 2P% while ranking Top 10 in eFG%. Georgetown does not have a strong offense which benefits Washington State here significantly. Washington State was strong in Non-Conference play going 8-5 ATS and averaging 80 PPG in those contests while Georgetown did not fair as well as a favorite going 0-3 ATS outside of their home arena. Take the points with Washington State here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Alabama here against Duke. This Alabama offense is electric and showed some signs of strength against BYU. They held them to 20% from 3PT and played physical enough to out rebound them by 3. On the offensive side, Alabama shot 49% from 3PT and 53% overall from the field. The Duke perimeter showed glaring weaknesses against Arizona and Alabama can exploit those here. Bama is 6-2 ATS as a dog and Duke is 4-5 ATS on neutral courts. Take the points with Alabama here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Michigan State against Ole Miss. Since their home loss to Indiana back on Feb 11th, Sparty has taken the game by storm going 10-1 ATS down the stretch to where we are now. Ole Miss has played great games but they have not played a team as physical as this one. MSU has a phenomenal defense ranking 4th in efficiency and will not give Ole Miss any free looks. The Spartans offense is averaging 77 PPG their L5 and 80 in Non-Conf play this season. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points out rebounding teams by 6+ rebounds per game against a poor rebounding team being out rebounded by 3-6 rebounds per game are 68-34 ATS dating back to 2020. Lay it with Michigan State here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Duke. They have the most complete team in the Tourney and they show absolutely no signs of slowing down. They have now covered in 10 of their L12 games and have hit 45% of better from the field in 4 of 6. Duke ranks Top 5 in eFG%, Top 20 in both 2PT/3PT% and hardly turns the ball over which Arizona rarely forces any on opponents anyway. The Arizona defense is good but their size disadvantage and inability to create TOs will not help them here as they will not limit the amount of possessions Duke has. Quality possessions and protecting the ball matter this late in the tourney. Lay the points with Duke. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with UAB here against UC Irvine. UAB has been playing great basketball and will be a live dog in this one. UAB has now won back to back as a road dog and are 4-1 SU/ATS their L5. They have been strong defensively holding teams to an average of 41% from the field their L5 games and UC Irvine has seen some serious regression now shooting below 40% from the field in 2 of 3 games and have double digit turnovers in 7b straight games. Offensively, UAB is ranked Top 10 per KenPom in offensive rebounding percent and are strong from 2PT where UC Irvine ranks 209 nationally. UAB is 16-4 ATS as a dog since 2024, take the points with UAB here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Utah HC at home on the PL here against the Red Wings. The Red Wings who once had a beacon of light have absolutely plummeted now 2-9 their L11 and have lost their L6 road trips. The Hockey Club is quietly surging  in winners of back to back and 4 of their L6. They’ve covered in back to back home games and have averaged 3.75 GPG their L4. Lay it with Utah HC here. -Joey Tron

I am laying it with Iowa State here against Ole Miss. The Cyclones have been shooting the ball great and that should continue here. Iowa State had shot over 50% from the field in 3 straight and defensively, have held teams below 40% in 4 of 6. Ole Miss is super streaky on both ends of the ball - shooting below 40% in 2 of 4 and teams shot have shot 46%+ in 6 of 7 against them. Ole Miss downfall will be their inability to rebound the ball and the chances that will create for Iowa State. Lay it with Iowa State here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Duke against Baylor. With or without Cooper Flagg, Duke should be able to roll here. Duke ranks Top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency and boast the tallest average height in the nation. Baylor has a strong offense but they play at a very slow place that will not be able to hang with Duke if they are hot. Duke ranks Top 5 in eFG% and Top 20 in both 2PT/3PT%. Baylor is too vulnerable from 3PT as teams are hitting 35% from behind the perimeter and Duke has hit over 35% from 3 in back to back. Lay it with Duke here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Creighton here against Auburn. Auburn has looked underwhelming with their sloppy playing and it will catch up to them. They have now failed to cover 5 straight and 7 of their L9, including losses SU in 3 of 5. Creighton has covered in 4 of 6 and are battle tested from a tough Conference schedule. Creighton is physical down low and will be able to grab rebounds taking away chances from Auburn. Auburn lives and dies by the three, take the points with Creighton. -Joey Tron

I am laying it with St. John's here against Arkansas. The Red Storm are on a mission and I see them pulling away late here. St. John's had a slow start against Omaha but their resilience is something that is unmatched this time of the year. They are arguably one of the best defensive units in the country ranking Top 20 in defensive eFG%, TO%, Adj efficiency and Block %. St. John's is physical and will rebound the ball on both sides of the floor which really take away the amount of chances the Razorbacks can get. Arkansas 5-9 ATS in Non Conf game this year and SJU is 11-3-1 ATS on the road/neutral. Lay it with St. John's here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Liberty here against Oregon. This number has risen too much and Liberty has the strength to cover this number. They are 5th in 3PT% and 13th in 2PT% per KP and have shot over 50% from the field in 5 straight. Defensively, they have held teams to sub 44% from the field in 8 of their L10 games and have one of the best 3PT defenses in the country. Liberty is 8-2 ATS in Non-Conf games and 15-4 ATS in road/neutral games. Liberty defense can hang tough with Oregon here, take the points. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with New Mexico here against Marquette. Marquette has not looked good leading into the Big Dance and in fact, they may even leave early. They are 5-7 SU and 3-9 ATS their L12 games overall and New Mexico is peaking at just the right time. The Lobos defense is stronger and their height matches up well which will keep away many second chance opportunities from the Golden Eagles. Marquette’s vulnerabilities have shown against equal/superior teams and New Mexico should prove no different, as Marq is 5-11 ATS vs. teams that win more than 65%. This one will be close, take the points. -Joey Tron

I am laying it with Saint Mary’s here against Vanderbilt. Vandy had a decent season in the SEC but their downward spiral down the stretch going 0-3 and 3-6 SU raises many red flags.They rely on a high scoring affair but the Gaels are one of the sharpest defensive teams in the country and can shoot the ball as well as they defend it. St. Mary’s is scoring just over 75 PPG in Non-Conference games and holding teams to below 60 in road/neutral games. Vandy went 4-6 ATS and 3-7 SU against teams wining 80% or more of games this season. Lay it with the Gaels here. -Joey Tron

I’m taking the points with Utah State here. Ucla goes on hot and cold steaks and you never truly know which Bruins team you’re getting. Not only that, but Utah State shoots the ball really well ranking Top 20 in 2PT shooting and Top 20 in overall offensive efficiency. Utah State faired well on the road going  11-5 SU and had a strong Non-Conf schedule. Utah State can keep up and maybe even win. Take the points here with Utah State. -Joey Tron 

I am laying it with Gonzaga here against Georgia. The Bulldogs may have played strong down the stretch before their loss to Oklahoma, however this is not a Gonzaga team they want to be playing right now. Gonzaga has averaged 87 PPG in Non-Conference games and have won 7 of their L8 scoring 85+ in every win but one. Georgia has similarly faired well winning 4 in a row and covering in 3 of their L4 however they have not done well outside of Athens, in fact they are just 5-9 ATS and averaging just 67 PPG. Gonzaga’s strong rebounding and ability to create chances off the glass will allow them to pull away here - especially when they are hitting 80% from the line. Lay it with Gonzaga here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with San Jose State here at home. Loyola may be the better team - but in Non Conference play they struggle immensely as they went 3-9 ATS and just 6-6 SU. San Jose State finished the season strong covering 3 straight and did great defensively as teams averaged just 40.1% from the field in those contests. SJSU excelled out of Conference going 7-3 ATS and averaged just under 80 PPG. Take the points here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Xavier against Texas. Xavier was arguably one of the strongest bubble teams throughout February/March. Xavier finished 7-1 their L8 going 6-2 ATS in those games - and not covering as a double digit favorite. Texas had many shortcomings and before their Conf Tourney, they ended their season going 1-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. They have had big problems on the defensive side and the Xavier offense has been kicking it into gear. They have shot 48% or higher from the field in 4 of their L5 games and will get plenty of looks in this one. Lay it Xavier here. -Joey Tron

I am laying with George Mason here against Furman. Furman is no doubt a great team but George Mason is significantly better on the defensive side of things. They have held teams to 40% or below from the field in 4 of their L5 games and won out right in 4 of their L5 covering in 3 straight. Samford closed out their season losing back to back and 3 of 5 both SU/ATS. They have big problems defensively as teams have shot over 50% in 3 of 4 and George Mason is strongest from 3 - hitting 35%. George Mason's defense will give their offense plenty of chances to pull away. Lay it with George Mason. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with UAB. UAB offense is strong averaging 86 PPG in Non-Conference play and will be a force tonight against St. Josephs. Not only that, but the SJU offense has been super sluggish averaging just 38.6% from the field their L5. This a great spot for UAB who had a strong conference and performed well. Take the points with UAB here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with UNC here against SDSU. Yeah it seems UNC got in because of bias but down the stretch they played like a TRUE tournament team. They are 7-3 SU their L10 games (ALL 3 losses to Duke) and 8-2 ATS with covers in 8 of 9 including a 3PT loss in the ACC Finals to Duke. SDSU has been playing rocky going 3-3 SU their L6 games and 2-4 ATS. SDSU has scored just 68 PPG over their L5 while the Tar Heels defense has been superb holding teams to just 66 PPG their L5 and sub 42% from the field in 4 of 6. Lay it with UNC here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Wichita State here against Oklahoma State. The Shockers played very well down the stretch going 2-2 SU and covering in 4 of their L5 games - including to Memphis in the AAC Semis. Oklahoma State has lost 3 of 4 SU and is just 2-2 ATS their L4 and have shot below 45% from the field in 5 of their L6. The Shockers strength from the 2PT area will prove the difference. Take the points with Wichita State. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Florida. The Gators are arguably the most complete team in College Hoops and have the #1 overall seed on the line i this one. Florida has been able to perform outside from and Tennessee has had all of their big moments on their home court (minus this win vs Auburn) where they went just 6-5 SU. Florida has much more depth and will get plenty more chances on the offensive side with the best off rebounding team in the country. Lay it with Florida here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Cornell here. Yale is not trustworthy and this is too many points to be giving a red hot Cornell team. They have won 5 in a row SU and covered 6 in a row ATS. They have shot over 50% in 3 straight and topped 90 in 4 of their L5. Yale is not sooting or scoring enough as of late to keep up if Cornell stays hot - scoring 70 or less in 3 straight and also going just 2-4 ATS their L6. Take the points with Cornell. -Joey Tron

I’m taking the points here with Tulane. Memphis showed once again that they cannot close out down the stretch as they almost blew their game to the Shockers yesterday. Not only that, Memphis is 5-12 it’s L17 when playing points. Tulane is getting in stride and hitting their shots (54% against UAB). This will be much closer as Tulane has won 4 of 5 scoring 78+ in the process of all wins. Take the points here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Michigan State against Wisconsin. The Spartans are balling out and no one from the BTEN is stopping them. They are 8-0 SU/ATS and have been outstanding on both sides of the ball. Wisconsin has win four of their L7 showing some inconsistencies and flaws in with the way they play. The Spartans play just as good on the road as they do at home, going 8-2 SU outside of E. Lansing. Lay it with Michigan State here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Purdue against Michigan. Purdue had a small skid losing 4 in a row - including a loss to this Michigan team. Since then, they are 3-1 SU and shot 50% or higher in 3 of those 4 games. Michigan rides a 3 game SU and 4 game ATS streak heading into this and offensively have not been all that - which is going to be there downfall. Michigan has topped 70 points just once their L3 games and that won't be nearly enough for them in this. Lay it with Purdue here. -Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with BYU here. The Cougars have been playing incredible basketball and their offensive depth will keep up with the Houston defense. BYU has shot 49% or higher in 6 of their L8 games and defensively, have held teams to a sub 40% from the field in 3 of 4. Houston has been having difficulty pulling away from teams as they have now failed to cover in 4 straight and 5 of their L6. BYU is 3-1 ATS in all neutral court games this year. Take the points with BYU here. -Joey Tron

I like Mississippi State here with the points against Mizzou. Miss State has been playing very competitive with covers in 3 of their L4 games including a 29 point romp over LSU in the first round. Missouri has lost 4 of 5 SU and ATS coming into this and defensively it has not been pretty. Teams have shot 50% or higher from the field against them in 5 of their L7 games and they are allowing an average of 84 PPG their L5. Miss State plays high scoring games but their offense makes up for hit shooting 50% or higher from the field in 2 of their L4. Take the points with Mississippi State here. -Joey Tron

I am taking Wake Forest with the points here against North Carolina. Wake Forest is playing some great basketball and that will carry over here like it did against Notre Dame. Wake Forest has covered in 6 of their L7 games and have won 7 of 8 with both SU and ATS losses coming to Duke. UNC got their first cover in 4 games against Georgia Tech last time out and this small break is going to hurt them. They are not shooting the ball well going below 45% from the field in 3 straight. Wake Forest has shot 48% or better from the field in 7 of 8 and will keep them close in this. Take the points with WF here. -Joey Tron

I like Cal Poly here laying the points against UC Davis. Cal Poly is on a tear right now and as good as UC Davis has been it stops here. Cal Poly may not have the strongest defense but offensively they are averaging 94 PPG their L5 and an incredible 49.4% from the field. UC Davis has struggled immensely scoring shooting below 40% from the field in 4 straight and have scored 70+ just once. Lay it with Cal Poly here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Syracuse here against SMU. Syracuse just played a strong and tough game against this very SMU team and playing spoiler is something that they can do. Syracuse is shooting the ball well shooting over 48% from the field in 3 of their L5 and have been significantly out rebounding teams - including SMU 32 to 26. SMU has been zig zagging wins and losses showing no consistency with losses in 3 of their L5. Take the points with Syracuse here as they are 5-2 ATS their L7. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Arizona State here. They may have lost a handful og games down this stretch however they split their series against this Kansas State team and will play them tough given ASU had one of the HARDEST schedules in the country. Kansas State had a nice run winning 6 in a row - however they lost 5 of 7 leading into this one and offensively have been inferior shooting below 40% in 3 of 5. The Sun Devils don't turn it over much and will be able to get plenty of shots off to keep us within this number. Take the points with Arizona State here, as they are 5-1 ATS in neutral court games this year. -Joey Tron

I like Notre Dame with the points here against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has struggled immensely down the stretch and the Fighting Irish have been playing much better. They are 3-2 SU / ATS with good covers against Stanford and Pittsburgh - both as an underdog. Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU / ATS their L5 and they have shot below 42% in 3 of those 5 games. The Irish have been a great cover dog going 9-5 ATS and Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS as a road/neutral fav. Take the points with Notre Dame here. -Joey Tron

I’m playing the Oilers on the PL here against the Sabres. Buffalo has yet again become streaky with 6 straight losses - and they have not been pretty. The Oilers have new found life with wins in 3 of their L4 scoring 3+ in each win. Buffalo goaltending has been a nightmare 4 or more goals allowed across this stretch. This is game we see the true Edmonton team - especially going against Luukkonen who is 0-4 with a 4.40 GAA in March. Lay the PL with Edmonton. -Joey Tron

I like Furman here laying the points against Wofford in the SoCon finals. Furman has won 6 in a row heading into this and covered in 5 of those 6. Offensively, they are doing excellent shooting 47% or higher from the field in 4 of their L5 including 3 outright wins as a dog - with one against this Wofford team. Wofford has won and covered 3 of their L5 however offensively they have not been the best averaging just 44% from the field their L5. The Furman defense is strong and will be able to give the offense plenty of chances to pull away. Lay it with Furman here. -Joey Tron

I like Robert Morris laying the points here against Oakland. Robert Morris has been impressive all season and I do not see any signs of slowing down with the Big Dance on their forecast. Robert Morris is dominating with 8 straight wins and covers in 7 of those 8. Offensively, they have shot 47% or better in 4 of their L5 and have been strong on the defensive side as well. Oakland is 4-2 SU / ATS their L6 however they played bottom feeders in the Horizon to end their season (UWM 2x and UWGB 2x). Robert Morris should blow em' out of the water. Lay it with Robert Morris here. -Joey Tron

I like Kansas here at home on Senior Day. I may be a hater on Kansas on the road, but at home this is where Kansas shines - especially when it matters most. Arizona has been zig zagging going just 3-4 SU their L7 and covering just two times in that span. Kansas has has no doubt had trouble however their defense is still one of the best in the nation and in the Big 12. They have held teams to sub 40% from the field in 5 of their L7 games and will not make this easy for Arizona. This game means much more for Kansas and Bill Self than it does for Arizona making a massive cross country road trip. Lay it with Kansas here. -Joey Tron

I like Colorado State with the points here against Boise State. These are two very even teams and the Colorado State offense should prevail here. CSU has shot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their L6 games and have covered and won SU in all 6. Boise State is averaging just 44% from the field over their L5 games and their level of opposition has been subpar. This is a huge spot for CSU who sits one game ahead of Boise State and one behind New Mexico. Take the points with Colorado State here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Auburn here on the road against Texas A&M. The Aggies have been spiraling in Conference Play and Auburn enjoys rolling teams on the road. They have covered 5 5 in a row on the road and are 7-3 ATS their L10 overall. The Aggies have failed to cover in 4 straight - including 2 SU losses as a home favorite. Auburn is shooting the ball incredible and will not want to be caught off guard with Bama coming to town in their season finale. The Auburn Tigers are lethal from 3PT and the Aggies defense is one of the worst 3PT Defenses in the SEC. Auburn will not take their foot off the gas, lay it with em' here. -Joey Tron

I like Northwestern at home with the points here against UCLA. Northwestern is playing some of their basketball all season and it comes at the best time as they are fighting for a spot on the Big Ten conference tourney. Northwestern has won and covered 3 in a row and this is credit to their incredible defense. They have held teams to 42% or less in these 3 wins and shot an average of 46% from the field in these contests. After a big win streak, UCLA has been inconsistent at best going 2-3 SU and have not been strong at all defensively. This is a must win for Northwestern with a road trip to Maryland on deck. Take the points with Northwestern here. -Joey Tron

I like Wisconsin here with the points on the road against Michigan State. Wisconsin has faired well on the road this season including down the stretch in Conference Play winning and covering 3 straight road trips including an 11 point win over Purdue. Michigan State has won and covered 4 in a row but they have not been easy with many of these wins being late game surges - something the Wisconsin defense does not allow all too often. The Badgers have been shooting the ball incredible going 51% or higher from the field in 3 of their L4 and averaging 47.4% from the field on the road their L4. Take the points with Wisconsin here. -Joey Tron

I like San Francisco with the points here at home against Gonzaga. The Dons have been playing very well with SU wins in 8 of their L9 and covering in 7 of those games - including a cover on the road against this Gonzaga team. San Francisco has held teams to below 40% in 2 of their L3 and have been playing incredible at home going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Gonzaga has played MANY high scoring games however they have committed double digit TOs in 3 of their L5 games and SF has forced an avg of 10.6 TOs per game their L5. Take the points here with San Francisco. -Joey Tron

I like Tennessee laying this spread at home against Alabama. The Tide may have won back to back but the Vols have played superb at home all season. Tennessee has held teams to 42% or less from the field in 6 of their L9 overall and have forced 10+ TOs in 3 of their L5. Alabama has succeeded against inferior defensive teams however the Vols are a different beast especially at home where they are allowing an average of just 59 PPG. Lay it with Tennessee here  -Joey Tron

I like Marshall here laying the points at home against App State. Marshall has been shooting the ball incredible going 48% or higher from the field in 3 straight and defensively have held teams to 44% or less in 4 straight. App State has lost 3 of 4 and have had many issues shooting the ball going below 40% from the field in 3 of their L5. Marshall is strong at home and should pull away at the end. Lay it with Marshall here. -Joey Tron

I like Montana here to cover this spread on the road against Sacramento State. Montana has been on fire winning 8 in a row and covering in 7 of those 8 games. They have shot 50% or higher in every one of those games and have had very minimal TOs which is huge at putting up more points. Sacramento State has lost 8 of their L9 games SU and have covered just once their L4. Montana should run away with this one by double digits. Lay the points here with Montana. -Joey Tron

I like SMU laying the points here on the road against California. SMU has been a strong road team all year and this a big spot for them. They might be 1-2 SU their L3 however prior to this bump in the road they had won 5 straight covering in 4 of those 5 - including a double digit win over Cal. California has lost 4 in a row covering however in 3 of those 4. They return home after 3 straight road games and this is going to be another let down spot for them. SMU has won and covered their L3 road games. Lay it with SMU. -Joey Tron

I like Indiana laying the points here against Penn State. Every game is do or die for the Hoosiers and I look for them to pick up where they left off last game against Purdue. Indiana has been playing a lot better with wins against MSU and Purdue their L3 while shooting 48% or higher in 5 of their L7 contests and have single digit Turnovers in 4 straight. Defensively, they have held teams in check holding them to 43% or worse from the field in 3 of 5. PSU has won back to back, but lost 7 straight prior and teams have shot 43% or better from the field in 8 of their L9. They are sloppy with the ball allowing at least 10 TOs in 8 of 9 which will be costly on the road at Assembly Hall. Lay it with Indiana here. -Joey Tron

I like Santa Clara here with the points at home against Gonzaga. The Zags are off a home loss to Saint Mary's and overall have not playing the best. They may be 5-1 SU but they covered just twice in that stretch. Defensively, teams have shot 40% or better in 4 of their L5 played and are just 1-2 ATS their L3 road trips. Santa Clara has playing great with covers in 6 straight, holding teams to sub 40% from the field in 4 of 6. Offensively they have shot below 47% just 3x their L9. Take the points with Sant Clara here -Joey Tron

I like Cincinnati here laying the points at home against Baylor. Cincinnati has playing good basketball down stretch and I expect this type of play to continue with Baylor coming to town. The Bearcats have shot 45% or better from the field in 5 of their L6 games and they are 4-2 SU and 4-0-2 ATS in this span/ Defensively, no team has shot over 449% in this stretch and teams are averaging just 44% from the field their L5 against them. Baylor is trending opposite with losses in 5 of their L7 and covered just once against UCF. They have shot 40% or worse 4 of 6 and defensively have been subpar at best. Lay it with Cincinnati here. -Joey Tron

I like Houston laying the points here on the road against Texas Tech. The Houston defense has been locked in allowing 42% or less from the field in 3 of their L5 games and have won 6 in a row including 3 straight road games. Texas Tech has done well winning 3 of their L5 but are just 2-3 ATS in those games and teams have show 40% or higher in 3 of their L5 contests. The big issue for Texas Tech will be getting to the rim and Houston should be more than capable of getting 3 pointers off. Lay it with Houston here. -Joey Tron

I like UCLA laying the points here at home against Ohio State. The Buckeyes have been erratic and inconsistent down stretch with Conference Play. Ohio State ha now lost SU and failed to cover in 3 of their L4 games - 2 of which they were a home favorite. UCLA peeled off 5 covers in a row before a blunder at home to the Gophers - and I do not see them dropping an egg back to back. UCLA has strong home wins against Wisconsin, Oregon and Michigan State. This is the Buckeyes first West Coast trip and I expect a slow start that the Bruins defense won't allow them to claw back into. Lay it with UCLA here. -Joey Tron

I like South Dakota State laying the points at home against UMKC. South Dakota State had their 3 game win streak snapped and this is a great bounce back spot for them. UMKC is just 1-7 ATS and SU their L8 and shot 40% or worse in 3 of those games. South Dakota State is shooting the ball very well hitting 49% or higher from the field in 3 of their L4 games and have scored and average of 90.5 PPG in those contests. Expect a statement game out of the Jackrabbits before they hit the road for a few. Lay it with South Dakota State here. -Joey Tron

I like Arkansas here with the points at home against Missouri. Missouri is coming off a huge win against Alabama and have to face a streaky Arkansas team. The hogs might be 1-4 SU their L3 games but the level of competition has been Auburn, A&M and Alabama - where its worth noting they lost by an average score of 6 points. John Calipari knows his team needs a BIG win and today can be that day. Arkansas has allowed 70 or less in 4 of 5 and Missouri will not get as many chances or open looks as they did against Alabama. Take the points with the Arkansas Razorbacks. -Joey Tron

I like Dayton here on the road against Loyola. Playing in Loyola is no easy feat in itself, however Dayton has done well on the road overall winning 3 of their L4 road trips and are 3-1 ATS in those games. Loyola is on a tear winning 3 in a row however they have travelled A LOT with road games in 3 of their L4 overall and are coming off a road game as well. The Dayton offense is strong and even stronger in Conference Only play ranking 2nd in the A10. Lay the small spread on the road with Dayton. -Joey Tron

I like Harvard here with the points against Princeton. Princeton has fallen back to back games and are just 2-4 SU their L6 overall. They have had many issues offensively and have failed to score over 70 points in 4 straight. Harvard is playing some good ball with wins in back to back games and are winners in 3 of their L5. Princeton has shot below 40% from the field in 6 of their L7 games and Harvard has been shooting the ball well hitting 42% or better from the field in 4 of 5. Take the points with Harvard here. -Joey Tron

I like Towson here laying the points on the road against Elon. Towson is balling out with wins in 12 straight and 14 of 15 overall games. They are strong on the road winning 5 straight road games with an average win margin of 8.2 PPG. Elon has slid significantly in the standings with losses in 6 of their L9 games and have failed to win 3 of their L4 games at home. Towson performs stronger on the road than at home and should win big here as they have won 4 in a row against Elon and 6-2 SU the L8 against them. Lay it with Towson. -Joey Tron

I like Washington State here with eh points against Gonzaga. Gonzaga is no doubt the better team but on the road and as a double digit favorite is where they have really struggled. They are 1-4 ATS their L5 games overall and 0-3 ATS their L3 road games. Washington State has played strong at home all season going 8-3 ATS and 3-1 ATS at home following a road game. Washington State will play Gonzaga tough and Beasley Coliseum will be LOUD. Take the points with Washington State here. -Joey Tron

I like SMU here laying the small amount of points on the road against Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish have lost 4 of 5 and have failed to cover in 6 straight overall. SMU had their 5 game win streak snapped with a tough home loss to Wake Forest however this a big get right spot for the Mustangs. SMU has a significant height advantage and will be able to work the ball well down low where Notre Dame is ranked one of the worst in the nation. The SMU defense has held opponents to 35% or less from the field in 4 of 6 and will cause many bad looks and even some Turnovers. Lay it with SMU here. -Joey Tron

I like BYU laying the points here against Kansas. Kansas has struggled immensely down the stretch here with losses coming in 3 of their L5 games including all 3 of their most recent road trips (Utah, K-State, Baylor). BYU has back to back wins with covers in both of them including as a road dog however they are home tonight - and beating BYU in Provo is no easy task. 4 of the L6 overall games have been wins for BYU and they are 4-1 SU their L5 at home. Kansas has struggled away from all season and tonight should not prove differently. Lay it with BYU. -Joey Tron

I like Michigan State laying the points here at home. It is unlike Purdue to lose back to back games however they have done poor defensively and they have not had any force on offense. Teams have shot 50% or higher from the field in 4 of their L7 games and this is a great spot for Tom Izzo's Spartans who shot 48% from the field last game and can build on this. The Spartans defense has been top notch holding teams to 40% or lower from the field in 3 of 4. Lay it with Sparty here. -Joey Tron

I like Kansas State here on the road against Utah. K State had their 6 game winning streak snapped with a road loss to BYU last time out and this is a great rebound spot for them. Traveling out west is not easy however this quick turn around should benefit them. The Wildcats scored 70 or more in each of those wins and the Utah defense is far inferior compared to the teams K State has faced in that run (Zona, Kansas, ISU). Utah has had issues scoring shooting 42% or less in 3 of their L5 games - including just 37% last game. Take the points with Kansas State. -Joey Tron

I like Lamar on the road here against Northwestern State. Lamar has peeled off wins in 3 straight and 7 of 8 riding some great momentum into this one. Northwestern State has lost 4 of 6 - and 3 of those losses by double digits. Lamar has been incredible on the defensive side holding teams to below 41% from then field in 8 of their L10 games and in 5 of those games teams didn’t even sniff 40%. Lamar’s offense is far from the strongest but their defense is arguably the best in Conference and will keep them in this one. Take Lamar ML here. -Joey Tron 

I like Drake here laying the points at home. Drake is no doubt the strongest team in the MVC and the numbers show it. They rank #1 in both Conf-Only Offense/Defense and their pace of play is VERY slow which is going to really throw Bradley out of sorts. Bradley is super inconsistent ranking 323rd nationally here and Drake has a lot of momentum here against one of their arch foes. Drake will thrive near proximity here and will battle significantly down low on the glass and in the paint. Lay the points with Drake here. -Joey Tron

I like Ohio State here laying the points at home against their rival, Michigan. Ohio State has zig zagged wins and losses however I look for them to continue this momentum at home following their 24 pt rout over Washington. Michigan has peeled off 5 wins in a row but covered in just 1 of them and all 5 being decided by 4 or less points. Michigan has played far below expectations away from home this season and it will not get easier down the stretch as they have road games in 2 of their next 3 games. Michigan is turning it over on 19.5% of possessions in Conf play and that will undoubtedly cost them in this one given how close their games have been. Lay the points with Ohio State here. -Joey Tron

I like Alabama laying the points here at home against Auburn. This might be the best game of the season and the edge lays with the Crimson Tide for a few reasons. Auburn has a stout defense allowing an average of just six 3s per game however Alabama has a significant height advantage and we saw the struggles they had against Florida keeping them off the glass - Alabama ranks 15th nationally in offensive rebounding which is going to give us an ample amount of second chance opportunities. This game might be tight but Bama pulls away at the end because of their strong FT shooting. Lay it with Alabama here. -Joey Tron

I like Purdue laying the points here at Mackey against Wisconsin. This is set up for a great match up and I like Purdue to rebound here following their most recent loss to Michigan. Wisconsin is riding into this on a 3 game winning streak however the level of competition has not been strong with wins coming against teams in the bottom of 7 of the Big Ten. Each of their L3 road games against KP Top 25 teams have resulted in a loss and by an average of 5.3 points. This is a huge spot for the Boilermakers who are now tied atop the Big Ten. Lay it with Purdue at home in one of the most exciting venues in College Hoops. -Joey Tron

I like San Jose State at home with the points here against Nevada. San Jose State plays great at home and knows how to cover. They are 9-2 ATS in all home games this season and 12-3 ATS as a dog. They are fast and Nevada's slow pace will haunt them here. Nevada is 2-5 ATS on the road and 4-9 ATS against Conference foes and these two are MUCH closer than the spread is indicating. Take the points with San Jose State at home. -Joey Tron

I like Loyola laying the points here at home against Saint Louis. Saint Louis has fallen back to back and 3 of their L4 with lots of issues pointing to their defense who allowed 70+ in each of those losses. Loyola has won back to back including 3 of 4 and are good at making most of their chances. Saint Louis turns the ball over often with the worst TO margin in the A10 and playing on the road at Loyola is no easy feat. Lay it with Loyola here. -Joey Tron