Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs +3.5 | 41-31 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
I like the Bucs to cover this small spread at home against the Ravens. Both of these offenses are able to put up points however I give the edge to the Bucs in this one. The Ravens may be 2-1 SU on the road this year however both wins were by exactly 3 points and the Bucs have a better defense than both the Bengals and Cowboys. The Bucs defense ranks towards the middle of the NFL in TDs allowed and are holding teams to 37% on 3rd down. Getting Lamar off the field and this electric Bucs offense on the field is how they cover and eventually win. Tampa has scored 30+ in 2 of 3 home games this season and will benefit playing at home after back to back road games. The Ravens secondary is ranked 32 in the NFL in passing yards allowed while the Bucs are averaging 230 per game making this a great matchup for Baker Mayfield. Teams favored by at least 3.5 on the road in primetime over an eventual playoff team are just 1-9 ATS all-time. Take the points with the Bucs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-20-24 | Jets v. Steelers +2 | 15-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
I like the Steelers to cover this spread at home against the Jets. No matter if Russell Wilson or Justin Fields is starting - I still give the edge to the Steelers and especially at home. The Jets will be into the second week with Interim HC and just signed over WR Davante Adams reuniting him with Aaron Rodgers. ALL of that means nothing if you cannot move the ball down field and win games when it matters most as they have lost 3 straight by an average of 2.3 points. The Steelers rebounded nicely with a commanding 19 point win over the Raiders and are returning home where they play their best football. The Steelers have a very disciplined offense ranking 5th in TOs allowed and have a really good rush offense averaging 131 Rushing Yards per Game. The Jets are 1-5 ATS in road games with the total between 35.5 and 42 since 2023 and the Steelers are 6-3 ATS at home in the exact same situation and time frame. Take the points with the Steelers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-20-24 | Lynx +6 v. Liberty | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
I like the Lynx to cover this spread against the Liberty. As long we keep getting the Lynx with points - we are TAKING IT. The Liberty have struggled to cover the spread at home all season going 8-18 ATS and this series has been A LOT closer than what the spread indicates. I noted in my last write up that the Lynx have dominated most of the series outside of that blow out in Game 2, and that still holds true. The Lynx have a had greater 3PT% in each of the L3 games played against the Liberty in this series and have shot no worse than 39% from 3PT in this span. The Liberty have averaged 15.6 TOs per game the L3 and the Lynx must capitalize on these opportunities when presented. The Lynx are 20-11 ATS as a road dog since 2023 and the Liberty are 16-32 ATS as a home favorite in the same time span. Take the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-20-24 | Texans v. Packers -3 | 22-24 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I like the Packers to cover this spread at home against the Texans. The Packers have arguably one of the best offenses in the NFC and Houston has played A LOT of close games (3 of their L4 wins decided by 1 possession or less). The Packers defense has been rock solid holding teams to 19 or less in 4 of their L5 games and lead the NFL in TOs with 17. Green Bay ranks top 10 in EPA per play on both sides of the ball making every drive Houston has as crucial as the previous. Texans are 0-2 ATS in road games with the total between 42.5 to 49 and Green Bay is 2-1 ATS at home this year. Play the Packers -3. Joey Tron | |||||||
10-19-24 | Iowa -5.5 v. Michigan State | 20-32 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
I like Iowa to cover this spread on the road against Michigan State. Iowa rebounded nicely following their blow out loss to OSU with a commanding 24 point win over Washington and Michigan State has now lost 3 in a row by an average of 18 PPG. Sparty may be coming off a bye week but I see this as a horrible spot for them against a surging Hawkeyes Offense who has scored 30+ in 3 of their L4 games. Iowa is 8-1 ATS on the road where the total is 42 or less since 2022 and Michigan State is 2-7 ATS at home against Conf Opponents in the same time frame. Lay the points with Iowa here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-19-24 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 25 m | Show | |
I like Georgia Tech to cover this spread against Notre Dame. Georgia Tech had a BIG neutral field upset in Ireland against FSU and theirs no reason they cannot compete with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Georgia Tech defense is holding teams to just 4.2 YPP and holding teams to 31% on 3rd down which is huge at getting this ND offense off the field. The Georgia Tech rush defense is legit and has held 3 of their L4 opponent to less than 100 rushing yards. Offensively, GT is averaging 35 PPG their L4 due to their dynamic dual threat offense. Georgia Tech is 8-2 ATS after the first half of the season since 2022 and Notre Dame is 2-4 ATS after allowing 14 or less points the previous games. Take the points with Georgia Tech here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-19-24 | Arizona State v. Cincinnati -4 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 18 m | Show | |
I like Cincinnati to cover this spread at home against Arizona State. Arizona State will be without their starting QB and coming off a big home win against ranked Utah, while traveling practically all the way across the country. Jeff Sims is making his firs start for ASU and over the last 2 seasons he has a 6:9 TD-INT ratio and the Cincinnati defense is improving each week. Cincinnati is allowing 19 PPG over their L3 games and just 16 at home. The Bearcats have a great offense averaging 291 Passing Yards per game which is going to test this Arizona State secondary who has benefited from a very weak SOS. Lay the points with Cincinnati here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-18-24 | Liberty v. Lynx +3 | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
I like the Lynx to cover this spread at home in Game 4. The series score paints a different picture to how this series has gone as the Lynx have controlled majority of Game 1 and Game 3 - Game 4 should be no different. The Lynx are 9-1 ATS this season following a home loss by 6 or less points and this is a huge revenge spot for them. Not only that, but the Liberty have struggled against Western Conference opponents this season going 13-15 ATS against them. The Lynx defense is stronger and better than this Liberty offense and they need to hold strong down the stretch. Take the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-18-24 | Florida State v. Duke -2.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
I like Duke to cover this small spread at home against FSU. It has been bad news for FSU all season and I see another tough game on the horizon for them. Duke is coming home off a tough road loss to Georgia Tech and this is a great spot for them. Defensively, they have allowed 21 or less points in 4 of their L5 games overall and they arguably one of the better defenses in the ACC holding teams to just 326 total yards of offense. The FSU offense has struggled moving the ball all seasons and averaging just 14 PPG on the season and have scored exactly 14 or lower in 4 of their L5 games. This dual threat offense of Duke will prove to be too much for this lowly FSU team and force them to cause costly mistakes throughout. Duke is 3-1 ATS against Conf Teams at home since 2023 and FSU is 3-4 ATS against Conf opponents on the road in the same timespan. Lay the points with Duke here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-17-24 | Broncos -2.5 v. Saints | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this small spread on the road against the Saints. The Saints are hammered with injuries and are spiraling downward. The Broncos suffered a tough home loss last time out however Bo Nix has played back to back solid games with a completion percentage of 63% and 4:1 TD-INT ratio. The Saints offense will have a lot of issues moving the ball with Rattler making just his second career start and off two ints last week. Broncos are 6-3 ATS following 1 or more losses since 2022 and the Saints are 1-5 ATS as a home dog in the same time period. Play the Broncos here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-15-24 | Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 145 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees in this spot again against the Guardians. The Yankees are sending Gerrit Cole to the hill who had a great outing last time out going 7 IP & allowing just 1 ER. He is strongest at Yankee Stadium where he had a 2.88 ERA and is 4-1 his L6 against Cleveland. Tanner Bibee is pitching for Cleveland and he has not gone more than 4 IP yet this post season and that’s going to hurt them as their BP has been subpar at most. The Yankees have outscored Cleveland 19-3 the L3 games ; play the Yankees RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-14-24 | Guardians v. Yankees -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 138 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
I like the Yankees to cover this RL against the Guardians. The Yankees are well rested and I trust they’re pitching a lot more than the Guardians who used their BP significantly against DET. Carlos Rodon is strongest at home with a 3.11 ERA and has allowed no more than 3 ERs in his 5 previous starts before his rocky game against KC. Alex Cobb is making just his 5th start of the season today and was tagged for 2 runs on 3 hits in his post season debut. The Yankees have outscored Cleveland 14-1 the L2 games and should pound more runs tonight. Play the Yankees RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Bengals v. Giants +3.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
I like the Giants in this spot at home against the Bengals. The Giants have been playing progressively better each week starting with their win against the Browns and I LOVE this momentum to carry over into a tough spot for the Bengals. The Bengals have now lost 4 of their L5 games and have allowed an average of 33 PPG in this span - their only win against the Panthers (24 PA). The Giants and Daniel Jones are starting to wake up and if their defense steps up in big ways like they have been, they may even win this one outright. Its bad news bears for the Bengals where even with 5 TDs out of Burrow, they still failed to lose last week against Baltimore. The Giants are 3-0 ATS the L3 games and Danny Dimes has a 6:1 TD to INT ratio the L4. Play the Giants with the points here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 23-16 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this spread against the Chargers. The Broncos are sneaky good this season and should find success today at home against their divisional rival - who I should add has not WON in Denver in 6 years. The Chargers offense has looked pedestrian at most - Justin Herbert is coming off an injury which has slowed him down and the Chargers are a more run focused offense under Coach Harbaugh. The Broncos defense has been SHARP all season holding teams to an average of just 11.7 PPG their L4 (LV, NYJ, TB, PIT). Denver wins close games by shortening the field and not having to force Bo Nix into stressful situations. Sean Payton is the more experienced and veteran coach in this matchup. Take the Broncos with the points as home dogs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Steelers -2.5 v. Raiders | 32-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
I like the Steelers to cover this spread on the road against the Raiders. The Raiders are benching Gardner Minshew and resorting to Aiden O'Connell which is a HUGE mistake. O'Connell is no where near as mobile as Minshew was and this Steelers defense ranks 4th in INTs and 14th in Sacks. Not only that, but the Steelers defense is GREAT in the Red Zone ranking 5th in RZ TD% and have allowed the 2nd least amount of TDs this season. Pittsburgh has had two hiccups against the Cowboys & Colts where they were each a play away from winning. With back to back tough losses, I expect a big showing out of Justin Fields and the Steelers offense here as the Raiders rank towards the bottom of the league in RZ Attempts and RZ Td's. Lay the points with the Steelers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Lynx +7.5 v. Liberty | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
I like the Lynx to cover this spread on the road against the Liberty here. The Liberty started off great in Game 1, but collapsed down the stretch. The Lynx are the stronger and better team here and it showed Game 1 when they were down as many as 18. The Lynx defense is one of the strongest in the WNBA and they will want a strong lead heading back to Minnesota. The Liberty struggle in these spots at home going just 5-16 ATS at home and 17-21 ATS as a fav. The Lynx are STRONG on the road going 15-6 ATS and are 11-3 ATS as a dog. This is way too many points for a team HUNGRY to end this series as soon as possible. Take the point with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this spread and win at home against the Colts. The Colts have some significant injuries on both sides of the ball and this is only making the Titans defense stronger. Tennessee ranks 10th in the NFL in DVOA and will give Anthony Richardson a difficult time today. The Titans found success against the Dolphins by shortening the field for the offense and they will do just that again. The Colts defense struggles to get their defense off the field as teams are converting 46% on 3rd down and they have one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL allowing 157 RYPG. H2H, the Titans are 5-2 ATS the L7 games against the Colts, and this is a great spot for the Titans after a bye week and plenty of rest for Will Levis. Lay the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-12-24 | Iowa State -3 v. West Virginia | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
I like Iowa State to cover this small spread on the road against WVU. Iowa State has quietly climbed the rankings after upsetting Iowa a few weeks back and have not looked back. They are ranked 21st in offensive efficiency and QB Rocco Becht has thrown for at least 2 TDs in every game this season except for one. The Cyclones defense is one of the best, if not the best defense in the BIG 12 and have yet to allow more than 21 points in a game this season (Last week vs Baylor). The Mountaineers defense is one of the worst in the FBS in terms of total yards allowing 388 per game. The Cyclones dual threat on offense between Rocco Becht and Jaylon Jackson is going to overwhelm WVU. WVU is 1-6 ATS against AP Top 25 teams since 2022. Lay the FG with Iowa State here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-12-24 | Ohio State v. Oregon +3.5 | 31-32 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show | |
I like Oregon to cover this spread against Ohio State. Oregon had a rough start to their season however have gone on to win by 2 or more TDs in 3 straight contests. Ohio State has had a cake walk of a schedule thus far and are making their first West Coast road trip of the season - against a Top 5 opponent I might add. The Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite vs AP Top-5 Teams and this is going to be a CLOSE game. Oregon has one of the toughest home environments (34-1 L35 home games) and are 9-2 ATS L11 home vs AP Top 10. Oregon has been tested with Boise State and Oregon State - both games they scored 5+ TDs. Take the points with the Oregon Ducks here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-12-24 | Cincinnati +3.5 v. Central Florida | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
I like Cinncy to cover this spread against UCF. The Bearcats have been playing tough teams in tough environments very well and UCF has really stumbled the last few weeks. Neither defense is playing out of this world however the UCF has scored just 21 points or less in back to back games and the Bearcats offense is lighting it up offensively. They are averaging 301 yards of passing per game and if this becomes a shoot out im backing the QB whose thrown 6 TDs the L2 games - and thats Cincinnati QB Brendan Sorsby. Take the points with the Cinncy Bearcats here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-11-24 | UNLV -18.5 v. Utah State | 50-34 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
I like UNLV to cover this spread against Utah State. I see this as a great rebound spot for UNLV after losing in OT to Syracuse last time out. Hajj-Malik Williams has been dominant since stepping in with a 6:1 TD/INT ratio. The Utah State secondary is allowing just under 300 yards of passing per game and 41 PPG. The UNLV defense will stop the run and force UTSU to pass - and their QB is typically playing from behind. Lay the points with UNLV here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-08-24 | Blackhawks v. Utah Hockey Club -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 160 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Hockey has arrived in Utah and this is an exciting time for the state and people of Utah.. This isn’t expansion team so they have the same roster as the Coyotes with a few key additions. Mikhail Sergachev was a key addition to the defensive front which will significantly help Connor Ingram who posted a 2.91 GAA and .907 SV%. The Blackhawks struggled on the road all last season going just 7-32-2 and had a -111 goal differential. Utah went 5-2 in preseason play winning 3 of those by 2+. Play the Utah Hockey Club on the PL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-07-24 | Saints +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-26 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
I like the Saints to cover this spread on the road against the Chiefs in this MNF clash. The Chiefs may be 4-0 however every win has come by 7 points or less and the Saints defense will keep them within this spread. The Saints defense ranks 4th in defensive EPA per Play and will force to Chiefs to make risky plays as they are without 2 Top WRs and RB. The Saints are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and are converting 51% of 3rd downs which is crucial is maintaining possession. Shortening the field Carr needs work work and keeping Mahomes sitting is how the Saints cover and maybe even win. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Cowboys +3 v. Steelers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
I like the Cowboys to cover this number on the road against the Steelers. Their is no doubt that Justin Fields has done well in this spot for Pittsburgh, however 2 of the L3 games for them game down to a single possession and they are banged up on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys have been struggling but are 2-0 on the road this season and need to get going sooner than later and this is a good spot for them. The Steelers struggle to stop the passing attack and Pittsburgh's offense is too one dimensional. This might be a low scoring game which definitely favors the Cowboys here as they are 7th in the NFL in Passing TDs and 5th in Pass Completions. Take the points with the Cowboys here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Packers -3 v. Rams | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Packers to cover this spread at home against the Rams. The Rams are riddled with injuries on both sides of the ball and Jordan Love is getting healthier with each play. The Rams defense ranks 31st in Defensive EPA per play and the Packers offense has significantly improved their run game with Josh Jacobs - the Rams rank 32nd in Rushing Yards allowed per Game. The Packers defense ranks 1st in the NFL in Turnovers and are holding teams to 30% on 3rd down. Carolina is 3-8-2 ATS in Conf games since 2023. Lay the points with GB here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 18-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this number at home against the Raiders. Their has been a lot of locker room drama in LV surrounding DaVante Adams and that is no doubt catching fire amongst the team. Not only that, but the Raiders have a handful of injuries, including Maxx Crosby who is Q for today. Gardner Minshew has been far from good from the Raiders with just 3:3 TD-INT Ratio in 4 games. The Broncos defense has kept their offense in the game by shortening the field in which Bo Nix has to work with. Denver has held their L3 opponents to an average of just 9.6 PPG. Lay the points with Denver at home here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Liberty +3.5 v. Aces | 76-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
I like the Liberty to cover this spread against the Aces. They fell short last time out however I expect a quick turnaround here. The Liberty rank 1st in 2PT% and are the better 3PT shooting team here. They are ranked 5th in the W while the Aces defense struggles to defend the 3 ball ranking 9th in the WNBA. The Aces do not grab a lot of defensive rebounds so the Liberty getting second chance points is crucial here. The Liberty have one of the strongest defenses in the WNBA ranking 3rd in points allowed and 3rd in 3 PT defense. The Liberty will want to bring this series back to NY up and NOT tied. Take the points with the Liberty here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Panthers v. Bears -4 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I like the Bears to cover this spread at home against the Panthers. The Panthers showed life against the Raiders but then stumbled against the Bengals. To make matters worse for the Carolina defense, they are also down their top 2 linebackers which should give a lot more mobility to Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift. On the defensive side for Chicago, they rank Top 5 in the NFL in EPA per play and no team has scored more than 21 points on them this season. The Bears cover this number and then some this afternoon at home. Lay the points with the Bears here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-05-24 | Rutgers +7.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
I like Rutgers to cover this spread on the road against Nebraska. The Rutgers defense has been solid this season and will give Nebraska a good test. Defensively, they are allowing just 16 PPG and have a really good secondary which will threaten the aerial attack of the Cornhuskers. The Rutgers offense is averaging 237 yards of rushing per game and are converting over 50% of 3rd down attempts. Nebraska has a great rush defense averaging just 85 yards of rushing however they have yet to play a RB at this caliber which makes for a GREAT battle up front. Rutgers is riding high with a big road win against VT and and opened up Conference play with a win against Washington. Rutgers covered this number 2 years ago and with a better program - theirs no reason they can't do it again. Take the points with Rutgers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-05-24 | Indiana -12.5 v. Northwestern | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
I like Indiana to cover this spread against Northwestern. The Northwestern attack looks lethargic to put it mildly and will not be able to keep up if IU makes this a track meet. Ohio U transfer, QB Kurtis Rourke has been dominant since Week 1 and is meshing well with HC Curt Cignetti who has a knack for winning. The Hoosiers boast one of the best offenses in the FBS, ranking 2nd in Offensive Efficiency. This game will not be pretty and IU will want a dominating road Conf game on their resume. IU has scored 40+ in 4 straight games and NW will not be able to sniff that against this defense. Lay the points with Indiana here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-05-24 | Missouri +3 v. Texas A&M | 10-41 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
I like Missouri in this spot on the road against Texas A&M. Missouri was great on the road last season going 4-0 ATS and with their first road game against an SEC opponent - I expect a BIG showing. Mizzou has a solid defense holding teams to just 230 yards of offense per game and are holding teams to sub 25% conversion rate on 3rd downs. Offensively, they are a juggernaut gaining 476 yards per game and are completing 54% of 3rd down attempts. Mizzou keeping their offense on the field for prolonged periods of time is how they cover and potentially even win. The Aggies offense runs through the ground game however the Missouri rush defense is one of the best in FBS holding teams to sub 100 Rush yards per game. Missouri is 5-2 ATS against ranked opponents since 2023. Take the points with Mizzou here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-04-24 | Syracuse v. UNLV -6.5 | 44-41 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
I like UNLV to cover this spread against Syracuse. Star QB for UNLV departed and it’s like it didn’t even matter as they dominated Fresno state 59-14 last week and backup Hajj Williams had 4 total TDs. Syracuse has struggled against against strong teams and defensively will struggle here. They are allowing 335 yards of offense per game and rank T180th with points allowed. UNLV has strong wins against Kansas and Houston. Lay the points with UNLV. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-02-24 | Tigers v. Astros -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
I like the Astros to cover this RL against the Tigers with their backs against the wall. Houston is sending Hunter Brown to the hill who shut down Detroit twice this season (0.75 ERA across 12 IP) and is currently holding a 2.25 ERA his L2 starts. Detroit is going with Tyler Holton who hasn’t gone more than 3 IP this season. The Astros had 15 LOB yesterday and today they will drive them in. HOU is 38-35 against the RL following a loss, play the Astros on the RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-01-24 | Braves v. Padres -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 155 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
I like the Padres to cover this RL against the Braves. This a bad spot for Atlanta who had to play a double header and travel to SD right after. The Padres are rested and starting one of their best in Michael King. He is 2-1 his L4 starts with a 1.57 ERA. San Diego is strongest after 1 day of going 17-4 SU. San Diego is one of the hottest teams post ASB and will show that tonight. Play the Padres -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-01-24 | Aces v. Liberty -3 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
I like the Liberty to cover the spread in this one against the Aces. The Liberty dominated Game 1 from all cylinders and I expect the same showing tonight. The Liberty played STRONG defense holding the Aces to just 25% from 3PT and out rebounded the Aces by 9. The Aces may be the defending champs, but the Liberty are HUNGRY. The Liberty are lethal on offense ranking 5th in 3PT% and are 1st in the W in 2PT%. The Liberty are too tall and strong for this Aces squad. Liberty are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the L4 h2h meetings. Lay the points with the Liberty here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-30-24 | Titans +2.5 v. Dolphins | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this number on the road against the Dolphins. Both of teams have looked awful to start to the season and I have to give the edge to the Titans here. There are question marks at QB for the Dolphins but the bigger issue here is the absence of their talented LT who is in concussion protocol. The Titans defense is ranked 8th in 3rd down %, and 4th in total yards. The Titans are slowly getting healthier each week and Will Levis should improve because of that. The Titans defense should be able to shorten the field for Levis and be able to lean on Pollard to get them down field. Take the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-29-24 | Sun +4.5 v. Lynx | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
I like the Sun to cover this spread on the road against the Lynx in this Semi-Finals match up. The Sun had a much tougher series against the Fever and that momentum should carry over. The Sun won and covered 2 of 3 games this season and all games were decided by 5 points or less. This game is going to come down to whether or not the Lynx hit their 3PT shots and if they can contain the Sun down low. Given how well the Mercury played the Lynx, the Sun are live dogs in this. Take the points with the Sun here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-28-24 | Navy -4 v. UAB | 41-18 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
I like Navy to cover this spread on the road against UAB. Navy is off to a great 3-0 start and their new OC Drew Cronic, has shown what the Navy offense can do. They have scored 35+ in every game this season and QB Blake Horvath looked incredible last week against Memphis, accounting for 6 total TDs. The UAB offense has been super inconsistent in their first few matchups and their QB has thrown an INT in every game this season. This game may get ugly before it gets pretty and Navy is not messing around. Lay the points with Navy here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-27-24 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -17.5 | 34-38 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
I like Miami here in this spot at home against VT. Virginia Tech has lost both games against P4 schools and their trip to Miami will not be fun. Miami has arguably one of the best offenses averaging 52 PPG and are averaging 8 Yards per Play. The VT defense is their weakest link allowing over 5 Yards per Play and have one of the worst rush defenses in the country. Miami can move the ball FAST and will want to make a statement under the lights at home. Miami is 4-2 ATS and 5-1 SU the L6 against the Hokies. Lay the big number with Miami here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-27-24 | White Sox v. Tigers -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
I like the Tigers here. They are red hot and the White Sox will not be playing spoiler here. Detroit is 9-1 against the Chi Sox this season, winning 5 in a row by 2 or more runs. Garrett Crochet is on the hill for the Chi Sox who had a great showing last time out which means regression is on the horizon. He is 0-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his 3 starts prior to his outing against SD. Detroit beat him earlier this season and with their season on the line, they will do it again. Play the Tigers RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-26-24 | Cowboys v. Giants +6 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
I like the Giants to cover this spread at home against the Cowboys. Both of these teams have not looked great to start the season however the Giants front is strong and can give the Dallas O-Line problems like they did to Cleveland. Before the ferocious comeback, Dallas had scored just 3 offensive TDs thru the first 11 quarters of the season. The Giants offense ranks 12th in Red Zone efficiency and Dallas sits 32nd here defensively. Take the points with the NY Giants here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-26-24 | Army -12 v. Temple | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
I like Army to cover this spread against Temple. Outside of their lone win against Utah State, Temple has looked flat. The Army offense has been excellent at moving the ball down field averaging 6.61 Yards per Play and have racked up 14 TDs in 3 games. The Temple defense is horrid at stopping the run averaging 5.3 Yards per Carry and even in their loss, they allowed 479 yards of total offense. The Army defense has not allowed more than 14 points in a game, and I do not see that changing tonight with a VERY SLOW Temple offense. Lay the points with Army here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-23-24 | Jaguars v. Bills -5.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
I like the Bills to cover this spread at home against the Jags. The lack of Jags success stems from Trevor Lawrence’s struggles and inability to generate offense. The Jags rank 27th in passing yards and 29th in points scored. The Bills have looked electric since their opening game and rank 4th in RZ TD% and have scored on practically every drive. This a tough spot the Jacksonville, lay the points with the Bills here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-22-24 | Fever +5.5 v. Sun | 69-93 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road in Game 1 of the first round. A lot of teams, including the Sun DID NOT want to play the Fever and theirs reason for it. The Fever went on one of the best runs post Olympic Break and surged them into the playoffs. The Fever had a rough stretch of playing the Aces twice their final 4 games but this will significantly benefit them. The Fever are one of the best 3PT teams in the W at 36% and are averaging 2 more rebounds per game which can be a HUGE swing. This is too many points for a hungry Fever team. Take the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-22-24 | Eagles v. Saints -2.5 | 15-12 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
I like the Saints to cover this small spread at home against the Eagles. The Eagles secondary has been their weakest link thus far and this Saints offense is GOOD. The new Saints OC has taken full control of this offense and Derek Carr is flourishing with his numerous targets presented to him along with Alvin Kamara popping off already. The Saints rush defense is one of the best in the NFL allowing just 63 RYPG and will give a Saquon a rough afternoon. Play the Saints -2.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-21-24 | Tennessee -6.5 v. Oklahoma | 25-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
I like Tennessee to cover this spread on the road against Oklahoma. The Vols rank 5th in offensive efficiency and arguably have the best defense in College Football. The Vols handled business their first 3 games outscoring their opponents 191-13. The Sooners have struggled defensively the last 2 weeks against mid level FBS teams and will face issues against this Tennessee offense. Their offensive numbers are no doubt inflated however they can MOVE the ball FAST and Oklahoma will not be able to climb out of a hole if they fall in one. Oklahoma’s biggest weakness the last 2 weeks has been the aerial attacks and the Volunteers WR core is loaded with talent and height that can wreak havoc on this OU secondary. Lay the points with Tennessee here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-21-24 | California +2.5 v. Florida State | 9-14 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
I like Cal to cover this small spread on the road against FSU. Will FSU get their first win? Likely yes but this one will be CLOSE. The California defense has been solid thus far allowing just 288 yards per game and have conceded just 5 total TDs in 3 games. FSU has been super one dimensional and have only garnished an average of 295 YPG (211th FBS) which is not going to be enough going up against this Golden Bears offense. They are battle tested with a big road win against Auburn and no team has scored more than 14 points on them this season. FSU’s woes of getting DJ Uiagalelei continue. Take the points with California here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-21-24 | USC -4 v. Michigan | 24-27 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
I like USC to cover this spread on the road in their first Big Ten test since joining this Conference. Michigan has looked disastrous on offense and have already thrown 6 interceptions in just 3 games. The USC defense has been electric and has allowed just 2 offensive TDs this season. The Michigan defense has been slow to start allowing 304 YPG and have not been able to make the big stops up front. They are allowing just under 5 yards per play and this can be an explosive game for the USC offense who is ranked 23rd in efficiency and their QB Miller Moss can SLING the ball and hit Michigan where it hurts - through the air. Lay the points with USC here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-20-24 | Illinois v. Nebraska -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
I like Nebraska to cover this spread at home against Illinois. Theirs no doubt these two programs really turned it around however I give a huge edge to the Huskers at home. Nebraska is ranked 25th in offensive efficiency and 26th in defensive while Illinois sits 69th offensively and 32nd defensively. Illinois has been fortunate to play every game at home and are now tasked with a difficult Conference game under the lights in Lincoln. Nebraska is led by QB Dylan Raiola who has been electric to start the year with 5 TDs / 670 yards and should have another big game tonight. This is a game that will be settle by double digits. Lay the points with Nebraska at home. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-20-24 | Stanford v. Syracuse -8.5 | 26-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
I like Syracuse to cover this spread against Stanford in their first ACC test. Kyle McCord is on a tear for the Orange throwing 8 TDs thru the first 2 games and racked up just under 800 yards passing. The Orange defense is far from the best however their offense is explosive enough to pull away in this one. Stanford is horrible with their run game and will be passing a lot with an untrustworthy QB. This is a great spot for Syracuse and McCord to show they can stand out in the ACC. Lay the points with Cuse here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-19-24 | Patriots +6.5 v. Jets | 3-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
I like the Pats to cover this spread on the road in this AFC EAST clash between the Jets and Pats. The Patriots defense has looked great under their new coach and offensively they aren’t doing much - but it’s enough to keep them in games throughout. Veteran Jacoby Brissett has improved his playing significantly and has a big threat at RB in Rhamondre Stevenson. New England has covered 4 of the L5 meetings and this is a BIG game for Jerod Mayo. Take the points with the Pats here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-18-24 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 5-10 | Win | 110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
I like the Cardinals to win this game and cover the RL at home against the Pirates. Sonny Gray is on the hill for St. Louis who has been phenomenal with a 2-0 record and a 1.42 ERA in his L3 starts. Jake Wofford gets the start for Pittsburgh and he’s 0-4 his L4 big league starts with a 9.19 ERA. The Pirates slow offense won’t be able to keep pace if Wofford has one bad inning. The Cards have covered the run line in 10 of the L12 meetings. Play the Cards -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-17-24 | Mercury -2.5 v. Sparks | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
I like the Mercury to cover this spread on the road against the Sparks. The Sparks season has been long done and this is a MUST WIN spot for the Mercury. They play strong as a favorite going 11-5-1 ATS and have won each of the L3 contests against the Sparks by 6+. The Sparks have failed to cover 3 of their L4 home games and this game means A LOT more to the Mercury as they are sitting just 2 games back of the 6 seed. The Mercury get back on track tonight and cover this number. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-16-24 | Falcons v. Eagles -5.5 | 22-21 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Eagles to cover this spread at home against the Falcons in this NFC Clash. The Eagles will be without AJ Brown in this contest however the Eagles have a number of weapons in Devonta Smith, Jahan Dotson and Saquon Barkley. The Falcons biggest weakness in their season opener was their inability to stop the run where they allowed 137 yards on the ground. In addition to this, they struggled on 3rd downs going just 2-9 (22%) and Kirk Cousins looked SLOW. He threw 2 interceptions and will be going up against a much stronger D-Line in Philly. The Eagles are not only well rested, but they are 6-2 ATS at home since 2023 and 6-1 ATS as a home favorite in this same time frame. Lay the points with the Eagles here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Bears v. Texans -6.5 | 13-19 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I like the Texans to cover this spread at home against the Bears. The Bears did not score a single offensive TD last week and their defense will not be as lucky to get that many free turnovers from an inexperienced QB like Will Levis. The Texans offense is lightyears ahead of the Titans and should have an offensive rout against this Chicago defense. Not only that, but Caleb Williams did nothing special against a lackluster defense (14-29 ; 93 yards) and will not be able to play catch up if they go down early. Home opener for the Texans on SNF.. Lay the points with Houston. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Bengals v. Chiefs -5.5 | 25-26 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the Chiefs to cover this spread at home against the Bengals. The number is a little high however the Chiefs showed minor set backs in their opener against Baltimore however the Bengals offense STRUGGLED against New England. The Bengals totaled just 224 yards of offense and 70 of those yards came on the ground. The Chiefs defense was no doubt torched by Lamar and Co however their offense figured it out and they came thru. I suspect a similar outcome where the the Bengals will be able to move the ball but the Chiefs offense overpowers this Bengals defense and puts points on the board when it counts. Lay the points with the Chiefs. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Lynx v. Liberty -5.5 | 88-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
I like the Liberty to cover this spread at home against the Lynx in a battle of the Top Two teams in the WNBA. The Liberty are not only the best in the W but they are the STRONGEST team at home going 16-2 SU. They have won 3 of the L5 contests against the Lynx, the most recent being at home by 9 points. The Liberty have a +10 +/- and are ranked higher in offensive and defensive rebounding indicating they will get more chances on the glass and take away chances from the Lynx. The Liberty dominate in the paint and the Lynx really struggle here averaging 27 points in the paint the L3 games. This is a game the Liberty won't take lately. Lay the point with the Liberty at home here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Chargers -5 v. Panthers | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Chargers to cover this spread on the road against the Panthers. The Chargers moved the ball well last week against the Raiders and theirs no reason they cannot do the same against the Panthers. The Panthers were destroyed on the ground last week averaging 4.9 yards per carry and Jim Harbaugh's offense racked up 176 rushing yards last week. The Chargers defense locked down the Raiders rush game and Bryce Young should struggle immensely going up against players like Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa. Lay the points with the Chargers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-14-24 | Oregon v. Oregon State +17 | 49-14 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
I like Oregon State to cover this spread against Oregon in this legendary IN-STATE rivalry. Oregon is off to a SLOW start in the Big Ten and with vengeance on the Beavers mind, I expect a STRONG showing from this PAC-12 school in front of their home crows. The Oregon run defense has been getting obliterated through the first 2 weeks (135 RYPG) and Oregon State has one of the best rush offenses in the NCAAF. The duo of Jam Griffin and Anthony Hankerson has already produced 475 yards and 6 TDs through the first 2 weeks and should tally a few more against this weak Ducks defense. The Beavers keep this one a lot closer than the books give them credit for. Take Oregon State with the points. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-14-24 | North Texas +11.5 v. Texas Tech | 21-66 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
I like North Texas to cover this spread on the road against Texas Tech in this Non-Conference matchup. The Mean Green had a great season last year and are looking to continue it this year as they are 2-0 right off the gate with double digit wins in both games. Texas Tech has looked shaky winning by just 1 against Abilene Christian and got trounced by Washington State. Both of these defensive secondaries are not the strongest (236 and 240 in PYPG) however the North Texas offense is FAST. They have scored a total of 12 TDs in 2 games and are sneaky good on special teams. This is way too many points for two offenses that are likely going to have a showdown. Take the points with North Texas. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-13-24 | Sun -5.5 v. Mercury | 88-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
I like the Sun to cover this spread on the road against the Mercury. Phoenix has been in a rough spot failing to cover in 4 out of 5 while the Sun look like they’re in Post Season form, covering back to back. The Sun have no doubt had a lighter schedule however the Mercury offense has been their weakest link and won’t be able to keep up with the Sun. Mercury are averaging just 74 PPG their L5 and that won’t be enough. The Sun are still fighting for a big seed in the playoffs and I expect them to continue playing strong. Lay the points here with the Sun. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-13-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
I like the Dodgers to cover this RL on the road against the Braves. Each of the Dodgers L5 wins have come by 2+ runs and theirs no reason they can’t do that today. Spencer Schwellenbach takes the hill for Atlanta and he’s been in a rut his last few starts. He holds a 3.33 ERA his L5 starts and has a 4.05 ERA at home. The Dodgers bats are hitting a .460 SLG% in September and have beaten Atlanta by 2+ in 4 straight. Play the Dodgers RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-13-24 | UNLV +9.5 v. Kansas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
I like UNLV to cover this spread on the road against Kansas. Kansas struggled offensively against Illinois scoring just once in the second half and I see those similar struggles coming against this UNLV team. UNLV defense has been battle tested with a road game against Houston where they succeeded and held them to just 7 points. Not only this, but their D-Line is legit and is allowing just 52.5 RYPG so for during the first 2 weeks. UNLV rush offense has been electric and I look for them to utilize their run game in burning the clock and increasing the field Kansas has to work with. Jalon Daniels has now thrown 4 INTs this seas (3 last game) and I expect this UNLV defense to force AT LEAST 1 out of him. This an underrated and hungry UNLV team. Take the points with UNLV here.-Joey Tron | |||||||
09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins -2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Dolphins to cover this spread at home against the Bills tomorrow on THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL. Both teams had come from behind wins and I look for Miami to come out firing right from the start. The Bills may have won the L4 in a row, however Miami has covered 3 of 5. The Dolphins offense has A LOT more speed in them behind Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De'Von Achane. The Bills only allowed 270 yards of offense however allowed 4 TDs and 2 of the came in the Red Zone. Miami held the Jaguars to just 76 yards in the 2nd Half and really locked down the mobile threat of Trevor Lawrence - something they must do out of the gate against Josh Allen and Co. This has all the making to be a "Playoff Preview" game and I give the advantage to the home team. Lay the points with the Dolphins here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-10-24 | Lynx -4.5 v. Dream | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
I like the Lynx to cover this spread on the road against the Dream. The Atlanta Dream have no doubt been playing better basketball as of late however I give a big edge to the Lynx here. Minnesota has owned Atlanta in head-to-head showdowns winning four in row SU and are 3-0-1 ATS. Minnesota is strong on the road winning back to back road contests by an average of 8.5 points. The Lynx are shooting 44.7% from the field and have a +/- of +6.6. The Dream sit way down at the bottom of the W with a +/- of -3.6 and rank towards the middle of the W in defensive rating. The Lynx should continue to dominate the Dream like they have in the past. Lay the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-10-24 | Mets -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Mets to cover this RL on the road against the Jays. David Peterson takes the hill for the Mets who has been killing it for them - he is 3-0 his L5 starts with a 1.60 ERA and the Mets have won 5 straight when Peterson starts. The Jays are sending Chris Bassitt to the hill who has not won a game since early August and is 0-3 his L5 starts with a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. The Mets crush the ball on the road with a .426 SLG% and .748 OPS. The Mets are hot right now and I expect their bats to pick up tonight after a quiet night last night. Play the Mets on the RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-09-24 | Jets v. 49ers -3.5 | 19-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
I am going with the 49ers to cover this spread at home against the Jets. I have no doubt that Aaron Rodgers is pumped up and ready to play - however he has not taken a true snap in an NFL game since Week 1 of 2023 and it was literally one snap. The 49ers are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and I expect SF to come out firing. The Jets will be without Hasson Reddick tonight and that will make a bigger impact than most people think. The 49ers are returning a bulk offensive starters in Brandon Aiyuk, CMC, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel - all of whom will a be a threat to this high ranked Jets defense. Both teams might start slow, but once SF gets in their groove - I expect they pull away late. Lay the points with the 49ers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-09-24 | Rays v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Phillies have fallen back to back and I see this as a great spot for them against a team who is mediocre on the road. The Phillies are sending Christopher Sanchez to the hill who has been dominant at home with a 7-3 record and 2.24 ERA. The Rays have a bullpen game in store and I suspect the Phillies bats will want a homecoming parade after 6 straight road games. The Phillies are hitting a .434 SLG% at home with a .767 OPS. Play the Phillies on the RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Rams v. Lions -4.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
I like the Lions to cover this spread at home against the Rams. The last time these two faced off, the Lions won a thriller in the Wild Card round last season by a score of 24-23. Since that game, the Lions have trended upwards and the Rams, their defense specifically has trended downwards. The Rams are going to be without their starting LT and the absence of CB Darious Williams will be a big blow especially against Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams. The Rams O-Line is going to struggle against this strong Lions defense line with the additions of Reader and Davenport - who should pressure Stafford often and early. Lay the points with Detroit at home here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Commanders v. Bucs -3.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
I like the Bucs to cover this spread at home against the Commanders. The Bucs closed out last season on a strong 6-1 rout and eliminated the Eagles in the Wild Card round. I expect all of this momentum to carry over into the new season as Baker Mayfield is finally settled into his new home. He has so many weapons in Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rachaad White. Defensively, this Bucs team should be able to stop the Rookie QB in Jayden Daniels - especially given a difficult road test in Tampa Bay. The Bucs coaching staff is comfortable and ready to fight - The Commanders are still figuring things out. Lay the points with the Bucs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Dream v. Fever -5.5 | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
I like the Fever to cover this spread at home against the Atlanta Dream and get back in the Win column. Before that loss to the Lynx, the Fever had won 4 in a row scoring 84+ points in each contest, including crossing 100 points twice. The Dream are super inconsistent when playing on the road and are 1-3 their L4 road contests, scoring an average of just 74 PPG in those road games. The Fever are strongest at home where they are 10-6 ATS. The Fever rank 3rd in the WNBA in 3PT% where the Dream defense sits 7th making this a big advantage for Indy. The Fever can pick up an extra game on the Mercury with a win, and I expect a BIG showing from the Fever this afternoon. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Titans +4 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this spread on the road against the Bears today. The Titans looked good in Pre-Season, especially behind the arm of Will Levis who produced 24 points on just 4 drives. This line is where it is because of the hype behind Caleb Williams and I totally get it - but this is not college anymore and he will be facing some BIG men on this Titans D-Line. The Titans made many significant roster improvements this season, especially on the defensive front with L'Jarius Sneed, Ernest Jones and Chidobe Awuzie. This is too many points for an improved offense and defense looking to get a good start under new HC Brian Callahan. Take the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-07-24 | Giants v. Padres -1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I like the Padres to cover this RL at home against the Giants in this NL WEST clash. This should be a great pitching match up however Logan Webb has been really struggling and I like the Padres bats to take advantage of this. Webb is 0-1 his L3 starts allowing 12 ERs across just 19 IP. He holds a 5.68 ERA in this span and is allowing an average of 1 HR per game in this span. Dylan Cease is on the hill for the Padres and is having a decent season with the Padres going 3-1 his L4 starts. SDP is in post season form winning 4 of their L5 games and tallying 21 runs in this span. Take the value with San Diego -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-07-24 | Kansas -4.5 v. Illinois | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
I like Kansas to cover this spread on the road against Illinois. History with Power House schools tends to repeat itself, and that will be the case today. Kansas rolled last year 34-23 at KU and I expect a similar outcome with a STRONGER Kansas team. Both teams had cake walk games last week so this week is a big test for both of these Power 4 schools. Kansas returns a handful of starters on offense including QB Jalon Daniels and duo star WRs in Lawrence Arnold and Quentin Skinner. The Illinois defense is super weak on the D-Line losing 3 members of it to the NFL and the Jayhawks offense needs to utilize this with their dual threat QB. This game may not be pretty especially if Altmyer is throwing the ball - where he threw 2 INTs last season against KU. Lay the points with Kansas here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-07-24 | Iowa State v. Iowa -2.5 | 20-19 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
I like Iowa to cover this spread at home against in state rival, Iowa State. The Iowa offense looked light years better against Illinois State last week than it did in any game last season. They will not drop 40 points again, but they will be able to move the ball. The Hawkeyes are averaging just 248 yards per game over the L5 contests against Iowa State, however they have are 4-1 SU in those games and won by 3 or more in 3 of those wins. The Iowa State defense is going to struggle this afternoon as they did last week - even with a 21-3 win. NDST logged 295 total yards of offense an 174 of those on the ground. The Cyclones defense is thin as it is at LB and are potentially down a few members of their offensive line. This is a BIG game that Iowa never takes lightly. Lay the points with the Iowa Hawkeyes here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles -2 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
I like the Eagles to cover this small spread in Brazil against the Packers. These are no doubt two of the upper tier teams in the NFC however the Eagles offense is the difference for me. With the additions of Jahan Dotson and Saquon Barkley, this offense is LETHAL. Not only that, but the Eagles have a new DC in Vic Fangio and significantly improved their secondary. This very well can be a NFC Championship game preview… however the Eagles have the advantage on both sides of the ball and should control the game from start to finish. Lay the points with the Eagles. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-06-24 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 120 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
I like the Mets to cover this RL at home against the Reds. After sweeping the Astros - I expect the Reds to take a big step back in this series after 10 straight home games. Fernando Cruz is on the hill for the Reds indicating this is going to be BP game for them. He is 3-8 with a 4.99 ERA on the season and 2-4 on the road. The Mets are sending Sean Manea who is sharp this season. The Mets are 12-3 his L15 starts and he holds a 2.71 ERA in this span. The Mets bats are hot hitting a .410 SLG% & .721 OPS in September so far. Play on the Mets RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-05-24 | Mystics +5.5 v. Mercury | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
I like the Mystics to cover this spread against the Mercury tonight. The mystics have been on a tear and sit just 1 game back of the final playoff spot. They are 4-1 SU & ATS their L5 games with 2 big road wins. The Mercury snapped their 3 game losing streak last time out however they really struggle at home going 0-3 ATS their L3 home games. The Mystics live by the 3 ranking 2nd in the WNBA in 3PT% and the Mercury rank towards the middle of the W here. The Mystics will keep this one close and fight for that playoff spot. Take the points with the Washington Mystics here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs -3 | 20-27 | Win | 104 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Chiefs to cover this small spread at home against the Ravens. These are no doubt two of the juggernauts in the AFC and we are getting a GREAT game for the 2024 season opener. The Chiefs lost last years opener to Detroit - and I don’t see them starting 0-1 back to back seasons. The Chiefs got stronger on offense with the addition of Marquise Brown and that gives Patrick Mahomes even more options to throw too. The difference for me in this game is going to be how fast can this new Ravens Defense adapt on the go with their new DC? Too early against this elite of a team in Kansas City. Lay the points with the Chiefs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-04-24 | Tigers v. Padres -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
I like the Padres to cover this run line against the Tigers. The Padres are getting back to the their full healthy roster, and adding Fernando Tatis back into this mix, only makes them stronger. The Padres are sending Yu Darvish to the hill who is making his return from the 15 day IL. I expect him to be on a very short leash, however he has owned Detroit going 7-0 and holding a 3.35 ERA in his career against them. The Tigers are sending Keider Montero to the hill who has been slowly regressing. He had a nice 3 game win streak, however he is 0-1 since then with a 4.50 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. The Padres are crushing RHP with a .430 SLG% and .762 OPS - play on the Padres RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-03-24 | Red Sox v. Mets -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 165 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
I like the Mets to cover this RL against the Red Sox. The Mets are sitting 1/2 game out of the last WC Spot and it’s crunch time now. David Peterson is on the hill for the Mets and they are 13-2 his L15 starts, and he holds a 2.78 ERA in that span. The Red Sox are sending Kutter Crawford who has been getting rocked. He has a 6.75 ERA his L7 starts. The Mets are bats should take care of Crawford and this week BP. Play on the Mets -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-03-24 | Storm v. Sun -3.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
I like the Sun to cover this spread at home against the Storm. The Sun are dialed back in winning and covering back to back games, and should continue this at home. The Sun have dropped 93+ points in back to back games and defensively looked better than as of late. The Sun have a positive 6.3 +/- are shooting 44% from the field. The Storm really struggle shooting from 3PT at 28.6% and are averaging 13.3 Turnovers per Game. The Sun are stronger, faster and more athletic than this Storm team. If Connecticut gets an early lead, it will be tough for Seattle too find their way out of that hole. The Sun have dominated winning 4 of 5 and covering in 3 of 4. Lay the points with the Sun here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-01-24 | LSU -4 v. USC | 20-27 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
I like LSU to cover this spread against USC at a Neutral Venue in Allegiant Stadium. LSU is returning four starting members of the O-Line which is going to be the biggest difference maker in this one. Garrett Nussmeier is the replacement for Jayden Daniels, who should thrive under this offense. He is equipped with RB Kaleb Jackson and Senior WR in Kyren Lacy, who should both help significantly. The LSU defense is now ran by Blake Baker who will utilize Harold Perkins Jr in anyway that he can and cause mayhem in the box. This should be a great battle that is won on the offensive side of the ball and LSU has that significant edge here. Lay the points with LSU here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-31-24 | Notre Dame v. Texas A&M -3 | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
This a huge game for both teams to start the season and I like Texas A&M to cover this spread at home. Notre Dame is hyped up year after year and I refuse to buy it. The Irish may have Duke transfer at QB in Riley Leonard, but has not played since October. He has struggled in "road" games his entire career throwing just a 53.3% completion rate and College Station is no easy feat. Most importantly, the Texas A&M HC Mike Elko, coached Riley Leonard at Duke and has one of the strongest D-Lines in College Football that will test this inexperienced front line of the Irish who lost three talented members of that line this off season. The defensive line will be all the difference in this Power 4 clash and the Aggies will reign supreme. Lay the points with Texas A&M here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-31-24 | Sun v. Mystics +9 | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Mystics to cover this spread at home against the Sun. The Mystics are hot right now and have gone 3-1 SU their L4 and 4-0 ATS. They are playing great defense and have held teams to 74 or less in 3 straight. The Sun have lost ATS 4 of their L5 and have struggled offensively, scoring 82 or less in 5 straight games. The Mystics are lethal from 3PT shooting 35.8% and have scored 74+ in 3 straight games. The Sun defense has held teams to 32% from 3PT, including 43% last game and if that is any indication of today, the Mystics should have a field day from downtown. The Mystics are 10-5 ATS at home and 7-3 their L10. Take the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-30-24 | TCU v. Stanford +9.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
I like Stanford to cover this spread at home to start their 2024 campaign against TCU. Stanford is a growing team under Troy Taylor and they are going to be an interesting team to watch in the ACC. Stanford is returning 6 of their 7 top tackles on the defensive side of the ball and are returning their QB, 3 best WRs, two solid running backs and 5 starters of their OL. TCU really struggled in the red zone last year ranking 123 in RZ scoring % and I do not see that getting any better against a Stanford defense that is returning a handful of experience. This game may not be pretty, but Stanford's experience on offense should keep us within this number. Take the points with Stanford here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-30-24 | Fever -5.5 v. Sky | 100-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road against the Sky. These two teams are trending in total opposite directions right now - the Fever are winners of 4 of their L5 and the Sky have falling 4 in a row and 5 of 6. The biggest issue for the Sky has been their offense. They have scored over 80 points just twice since after the Olympic Break and are averaging just 74 PPG in this span. The Fever offense has been electric socring 84+ points in each of their 4 wins. The Fever rank 4th in eFG at 51.3% and are lethal from 3PT shooting 34%. The Sky will have trouble keeping this Fever offense from scoring and the Sky's offense will be their deadweight. Lay the points with the Fever here .-Joey Tron | |||||||
08-28-24 | Marlins v. Rockies -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 155 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
I like the Rockies to cover this RL at home against the Marlins. The Rockies bats have found some wind and when they are hot, they stay hot. Colorado has logged 23 runs and counting their L5 games. Max Meyer takes the hill for the Marlins who has been rocked his last few starts and Coors certainly is not a “pitcher friendly” park. He is 1-3 his L5 starts with a 7.46 ERA and allowed a total 8 HRs in this span. The Rockies are sending Kyle Freeland to the hill who is strongest at home with a 3.86 ERA and is averaging 6.3 K/9. His L4 starts come against teams above .500 and should have a strong outing as he has faced no one in this lineup. The Rockies are hitting a .433 SLG% at home and have a .766 OPS. Play on the Rockies RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-26-24 | Fever -2 v. Dream | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
I like the Fever to cover this small spread on the road against the Dream. The Fever had slip up last time out but are winners in 2 of their L3 games. The Dream have looked great winning 3 of 4 out of the break but lost last time out. The Fever offense is lethal shooting 44.9% from the field and a shooting 33.6% from 3PT. The Dream struggle significantly on the offensive side shooting 41% from the field and only 30% from 3 PT. Defensively, the Dream are going to have their hands full. They rank 8th in 3PT defense and are 7th in defensive rebounds, which should give the Fever ample of second chance points in this one. The Fever have had the upper hand on the Dream going 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS their L4 meetings, including 2-0-1 ATS this season. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-25-24 | Sparks v. Wings -5.5 | 110-113 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
I like the Wings to cover this spread at home against the Sparks. This line may have ballooned up, but I still find it to be relatively low here. The Sparks have lost 8 of their L9 coming into this match up and have been plagued with injuries all season. Not only this, but they rank 11th TO%, 10th in eFG%, and 11th in Opponent FG%. The Wings thrive down low scoring 48% of their points in the paint and the Sparks are the 2nd worst defensive team in this area. The duo of Arike Ogunbowale and Satou Sabally should overwhelm this young and inexperience Sparks team. The Sparks have failed to eclipse over 80 points in each of their L3 games and that will not be enough for this hungry Wings team who has played the best 2 WNBA teams the last 3 games. Lay the points with the Wings here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-25-24 | Titans -4.5 v. Saints | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this spread against the Saints in their Pre-Season finale. The Titans have had a solid NFLX going 2-0 thus far and have won because of great defense. They are holding teams to an average of just 14 PPG, forced a total of 5 sacks and are holding teams to just 30% on 3rd down (6-20). The Saints offense struggled to move the ball as their O-Line has allowed 4 sacks on 26 pressures thus far. The Titans offense has looked really good behind the trio of Will Levis, Maliks Willis and Mason Rudolph. Both Willis and Rudolph averaged 7 yards per pass last game out and the run game should continue to be explosive where they gained over 100+ RYPG in NFLX. The Titans have a backup QB battle still under competition and both will want to shine today. Lay the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-23-24 | Rangers v. Guardians -1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
I like the Guardians to cover this RL at home against the Rangers. After a tough series against the Yankees, the Guardians return home where they are their strongest, going 38-20. Tanner Bibee is on the hill for them where he has shined as of late going 3-1 his L5 starts with a 1.65 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. He has been dominant at home with a 4-2 record and his team has gone on to win 3 of his L4 home starts. Nathan Eovaldi takes the hill for Texas and he has been struggling. He is 0-3 his L3 starts with a 6.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The Guardians have a .730 OPS and the Rangers offense has struggled all season on the road with a -62 run differential. Texas has scored just 5 runs their L3 games and that will not be enough against a Guardians team desperately needing to make up ground. Play on the Guardians RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-23-24 | Jaguars -7 v. Falcons | 31-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
I like the Jaguars to cover this spread on the road against the Falcons. The Jaguars look like they are in mid season form and will be starting a bulk of their key players for a good duration of the first half. The Falcons are winless in NFLX and have really struggled to move the ball and have yet to score more than 13 points. They are a combined 6-30 on 3rd Downs their first 2 games and the Jaguars defense has smothered their opponents thus far holding them to an average of just 235.5 yards per game. The Jaguars are going to leave no stone unturned as this is their last pre season game and I expect them to go out with a BANG. Lay the points with the Jaguars here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-21-24 | Brewers -1.5 v. Cardinals | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I like the Brewers to cover this RL on the road against the Cardinals. The Brewers are getting into playoff form and another win against their division rivals will boost confidence even more. The Brewers are sending Tobias Myers to the hill who has doing a lot better than his numbers show. He might be 1-2 his L6 starts, however he holds a 1.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP throughout those games and is on pace for a big one today. The Cardinals are sending Kyle Gibson to the hill who has been getting rocked and the Brewers will continue that. He is 0-2 his L4 starts holding a 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in those games. The Brewers are on an absolute tear winning 6 in a row and have scored 23 runs across those games. Play on the Brewers RL here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-20-24 | Storm v. Mystics +6.5 | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
I like the Mystics to cover this spread at home against the Storm. The Storm are playing their fourth road game in a row overall, and their third straight since returning from the Olympics. They have lost both games since returning and allowed an average of 87.5 PPG. The Mystics struggled in their first two games back however they have some strengths that the Storm will struggle with. The Mystics are ranked 2nd in the W from 3 shooting 36% and shoot 43% from the field. The Mystics are grabbing 70% of defensive rebounds and are averaging 18 PPG off of defensive turnovers. The Storm are in a rut right now and they are far less superior on the road than at home (6-7 ATS). The Mystics play strong in front of their home crowd and tonight should not be any different. Take the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-19-24 | Mariners v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 150 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
I like the Dodgers to win this one at home against the Mariners. After a 7 game road trip, the Dodgers return home and I expect a big game from them. Gavin Stone takes the hill for the Dodgers who has been on a tear for them all season and is getting back into form. He went 5 IP last time out and allowing just 1 ER off of 3 hits. At home this season, he is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA. Bryan Woo takes the hill for Seattle who has now drawn back to back no decisions and I sense regression coming. The Dodgers are hitting a .431 SLG% against RHP and have a .778 OPS at home. Play on the Dodgers -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-17-24 | Bucs v. Jaguars -2 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
I like the Jags to win this game at home against the Bucs in a battle of two Florida teams. The Jags moved the ball great against the Chiefs totaling 348 yards of offense. The Bucs won against the Bengals however they had struggled with scoring (17 points) and converting on 3rd down (35%). The Jags defense was strong in their opener forcing a total of 4 fumbles and holding KC to 18% on 3rd down. Tampa is in the middle of a QB battle and I expect them to make risky plays which can result in TOs for us. The Jags will be splitting time between Mac Jones and CJ Beathard - both of whom had a rating over 103. Lay the points with the Jaguars here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-16-24 | White Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
I like the Astros to cover this RL at home against the Chi Sox. Houston is playing great baseball winning 8 in a row and have surged to first in the AL WEST. Chicago is sending Garrett Crochet to the hill who has been bad news for the White Sox after the ASB. Grochet is 0-3 his L4 starts holding a 8.78 ERA and 2.02 WHIP. At home this season he is 4-6 with a 3.39 ERA. Houston is sending Spencer Arrighetti who had an excellent showing last time out picking up a win against Boston where he allowed just 2 ERs. He holds a 3.25 ERA his L5 starts and can pitch thru this Sox lineup. Houston and their offense are on fire right now and should get the job done. Play on the Astros -1.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-15-24 | Mercury -2.5 v. Sky | 85-65 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Mercury to cover this spread on the road against the Sky. The Mercury had quite a few players contribute to Team USA's gold medal and I like them to continue this basketball. The Mercury have a 50.6 eFG% and are grabbing 26% of offensive rebounds which is huge in grabbing second chance points. In addition to this, Phoenix is shooting 33% from 3PT and teams are shooting 32% against the Sky from this area. This will be a tough one for Chicago and the Mercury should be able to keep the pace here. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
08-15-24 | Eagles +2.5 v. Patriots | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
I like the Pats to cover this less than a FG spread at home against the Eagles. Philadelphia is not playing any of their key starters leaving this game up to Kenny Pickett and Tanner McKee. The Pats defense looked solid in Week 1 holding the Panthers to just 2.9 years per play. Defensively, the Eagles are trying out a bunch of new schemes under new DC Vic Fangio and that should leave some holes in their defense. The Patriots offense no doubt has a lot of work to do behind Jacoby Brissett (starting), Drake Maye and Joe Milton, however this is what pre season is for. The Pats moved the ball well against the Panthers and if their defense stands strong, they should keep us within striking distance of this number. Lay the points with the Pats here. -Joey Tron |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Steve Janus | $1,518 |
Calvin King | $1,240 |
Dave Price | $1,233 |
Michael Alexander | $1,030 |
Doc's Sports | $813 |
Dustin Hawkins | $747 |
R&R Totals | $578 |
Bobby Conn | $559 |
Nick Parsons | $505 |
Mikey Sports | $461 |