Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs +3.5 | 41-31 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
I like the Bucs to cover this small spread at home against the Ravens. Both of these offenses are able to put up points however I give the edge to the Bucs in this one. The Ravens may be 2-1 SU on the road this year however both wins were by exactly 3 points and the Bucs have a better defense than both the Bengals and Cowboys. The Bucs defense ranks towards the middle of the NFL in TDs allowed and are holding teams to 37% on 3rd down. Getting Lamar off the field and this electric Bucs offense on the field is how they cover and eventually win. Tampa has scored 30+ in 2 of 3 home games this season and will benefit playing at home after back to back road games. The Ravens secondary is ranked 32 in the NFL in passing yards allowed while the Bucs are averaging 230 per game making this a great matchup for Baker Mayfield. Teams favored by at least 3.5 on the road in primetime over an eventual playoff team are just 1-9 ATS all-time. Take the points with the Bucs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-20-24 | Jets v. Steelers +2 | 15-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
I like the Steelers to cover this spread at home against the Jets. No matter if Russell Wilson or Justin Fields is starting - I still give the edge to the Steelers and especially at home. The Jets will be into the second week with Interim HC and just signed over WR Davante Adams reuniting him with Aaron Rodgers. ALL of that means nothing if you cannot move the ball down field and win games when it matters most as they have lost 3 straight by an average of 2.3 points. The Steelers rebounded nicely with a commanding 19 point win over the Raiders and are returning home where they play their best football. The Steelers have a very disciplined offense ranking 5th in TOs allowed and have a really good rush offense averaging 131 Rushing Yards per Game. The Jets are 1-5 ATS in road games with the total between 35.5 and 42 since 2023 and the Steelers are 6-3 ATS at home in the exact same situation and time frame. Take the points with the Steelers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-20-24 | Texans v. Packers -3 | 22-24 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I like the Packers to cover this spread at home against the Texans. The Packers have arguably one of the best offenses in the NFC and Houston has played A LOT of close games (3 of their L4 wins decided by 1 possession or less). The Packers defense has been rock solid holding teams to 19 or less in 4 of their L5 games and lead the NFL in TOs with 17. Green Bay ranks top 10 in EPA per play on both sides of the ball making every drive Houston has as crucial as the previous. Texans are 0-2 ATS in road games with the total between 42.5 to 49 and Green Bay is 2-1 ATS at home this year. Play the Packers -3. Joey Tron | |||||||
10-17-24 | Broncos -2.5 v. Saints | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this small spread on the road against the Saints. The Saints are hammered with injuries and are spiraling downward. The Broncos suffered a tough home loss last time out however Bo Nix has played back to back solid games with a completion percentage of 63% and 4:1 TD-INT ratio. The Saints offense will have a lot of issues moving the ball with Rattler making just his second career start and off two ints last week. Broncos are 6-3 ATS following 1 or more losses since 2022 and the Saints are 1-5 ATS as a home dog in the same time period. Play the Broncos here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Bengals v. Giants +3.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
I like the Giants in this spot at home against the Bengals. The Giants have been playing progressively better each week starting with their win against the Browns and I LOVE this momentum to carry over into a tough spot for the Bengals. The Bengals have now lost 4 of their L5 games and have allowed an average of 33 PPG in this span - their only win against the Panthers (24 PA). The Giants and Daniel Jones are starting to wake up and if their defense steps up in big ways like they have been, they may even win this one outright. Its bad news bears for the Bengals where even with 5 TDs out of Burrow, they still failed to lose last week against Baltimore. The Giants are 3-0 ATS the L3 games and Danny Dimes has a 6:1 TD to INT ratio the L4. Play the Giants with the points here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 23-16 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this spread against the Chargers. The Broncos are sneaky good this season and should find success today at home against their divisional rival - who I should add has not WON in Denver in 6 years. The Chargers offense has looked pedestrian at most - Justin Herbert is coming off an injury which has slowed him down and the Chargers are a more run focused offense under Coach Harbaugh. The Broncos defense has been SHARP all season holding teams to an average of just 11.7 PPG their L4 (LV, NYJ, TB, PIT). Denver wins close games by shortening the field and not having to force Bo Nix into stressful situations. Sean Payton is the more experienced and veteran coach in this matchup. Take the Broncos with the points as home dogs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Steelers -2.5 v. Raiders | 32-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
I like the Steelers to cover this spread on the road against the Raiders. The Raiders are benching Gardner Minshew and resorting to Aiden O'Connell which is a HUGE mistake. O'Connell is no where near as mobile as Minshew was and this Steelers defense ranks 4th in INTs and 14th in Sacks. Not only that, but the Steelers defense is GREAT in the Red Zone ranking 5th in RZ TD% and have allowed the 2nd least amount of TDs this season. Pittsburgh has had two hiccups against the Cowboys & Colts where they were each a play away from winning. With back to back tough losses, I expect a big showing out of Justin Fields and the Steelers offense here as the Raiders rank towards the bottom of the league in RZ Attempts and RZ Td's. Lay the points with the Steelers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this spread and win at home against the Colts. The Colts have some significant injuries on both sides of the ball and this is only making the Titans defense stronger. Tennessee ranks 10th in the NFL in DVOA and will give Anthony Richardson a difficult time today. The Titans found success against the Dolphins by shortening the field for the offense and they will do just that again. The Colts defense struggles to get their defense off the field as teams are converting 46% on 3rd down and they have one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL allowing 157 RYPG. H2H, the Titans are 5-2 ATS the L7 games against the Colts, and this is a great spot for the Titans after a bye week and plenty of rest for Will Levis. Lay the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-07-24 | Saints +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-26 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
I like the Saints to cover this spread on the road against the Chiefs in this MNF clash. The Chiefs may be 4-0 however every win has come by 7 points or less and the Saints defense will keep them within this spread. The Saints defense ranks 4th in defensive EPA per Play and will force to Chiefs to make risky plays as they are without 2 Top WRs and RB. The Saints are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and are converting 51% of 3rd downs which is crucial is maintaining possession. Shortening the field Carr needs work work and keeping Mahomes sitting is how the Saints cover and maybe even win. | |||||||
10-06-24 | Cowboys +3 v. Steelers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
I like the Cowboys to cover this number on the road against the Steelers. Their is no doubt that Justin Fields has done well in this spot for Pittsburgh, however 2 of the L3 games for them game down to a single possession and they are banged up on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys have been struggling but are 2-0 on the road this season and need to get going sooner than later and this is a good spot for them. The Steelers struggle to stop the passing attack and Pittsburgh's offense is too one dimensional. This might be a low scoring game which definitely favors the Cowboys here as they are 7th in the NFL in Passing TDs and 5th in Pass Completions. Take the points with the Cowboys here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Packers -3 v. Rams | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Packers to cover this spread at home against the Rams. The Rams are riddled with injuries on both sides of the ball and Jordan Love is getting healthier with each play. The Rams defense ranks 31st in Defensive EPA per play and the Packers offense has significantly improved their run game with Josh Jacobs - the Rams rank 32nd in Rushing Yards allowed per Game. The Packers defense ranks 1st in the NFL in Turnovers and are holding teams to 30% on 3rd down. Carolina is 3-8-2 ATS in Conf games since 2023. Lay the points with GB here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 18-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I like the Broncos to cover this number at home against the Raiders. Their has been a lot of locker room drama in LV surrounding DaVante Adams and that is no doubt catching fire amongst the team. Not only that, but the Raiders have a handful of injuries, including Maxx Crosby who is Q for today. Gardner Minshew has been far from good from the Raiders with just 3:3 TD-INT Ratio in 4 games. The Broncos defense has kept their offense in the game by shortening the field in which Bo Nix has to work with. Denver has held their L3 opponents to an average of just 9.6 PPG. Lay the points with Denver at home here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
10-06-24 | Panthers v. Bears -4 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I like the Bears to cover this spread at home against the Panthers. The Panthers showed life against the Raiders but then stumbled against the Bengals. To make matters worse for the Carolina defense, they are also down their top 2 linebackers which should give a lot more mobility to Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift. On the defensive side for Chicago, they rank Top 5 in the NFL in EPA per play and no team has scored more than 21 points on them this season. The Bears cover this number and then some this afternoon at home. Lay the points with the Bears here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-30-24 | Titans +2.5 v. Dolphins | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this number on the road against the Dolphins. Both of teams have looked awful to start to the season and I have to give the edge to the Titans here. There are question marks at QB for the Dolphins but the bigger issue here is the absence of their talented LT who is in concussion protocol. The Titans defense is ranked 8th in 3rd down %, and 4th in total yards. The Titans are slowly getting healthier each week and Will Levis should improve because of that. The Titans defense should be able to shorten the field for Levis and be able to lean on Pollard to get them down field. Take the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-26-24 | Cowboys v. Giants +6 | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
I like the Giants to cover this spread at home against the Cowboys. Both of these teams have not looked great to start the season however the Giants front is strong and can give the Dallas O-Line problems like they did to Cleveland. Before the ferocious comeback, Dallas had scored just 3 offensive TDs thru the first 11 quarters of the season. The Giants offense ranks 12th in Red Zone efficiency and Dallas sits 32nd here defensively. Take the points with the NY Giants here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-23-24 | Jaguars v. Bills -5.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
I like the Bills to cover this spread at home against the Jags. The lack of Jags success stems from Trevor Lawrence’s struggles and inability to generate offense. The Jags rank 27th in passing yards and 29th in points scored. The Bills have looked electric since their opening game and rank 4th in RZ TD% and have scored on practically every drive. This a tough spot the Jacksonville, lay the points with the Bills here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-22-24 | Eagles v. Saints -2.5 | 15-12 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
I like the Saints to cover this small spread at home against the Eagles. The Eagles secondary has been their weakest link thus far and this Saints offense is GOOD. The new Saints OC has taken full control of this offense and Derek Carr is flourishing with his numerous targets presented to him along with Alvin Kamara popping off already. The Saints rush defense is one of the best in the NFL allowing just 63 RYPG and will give a Saquon a rough afternoon. Play the Saints -2.5 here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-19-24 | Patriots +6.5 v. Jets | 3-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
I like the Pats to cover this spread on the road in this AFC EAST clash between the Jets and Pats. The Patriots defense has looked great under their new coach and offensively they aren’t doing much - but it’s enough to keep them in games throughout. Veteran Jacoby Brissett has improved his playing significantly and has a big threat at RB in Rhamondre Stevenson. New England has covered 4 of the L5 meetings and this is a BIG game for Jerod Mayo. Take the points with the Pats here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-16-24 | Falcons v. Eagles -5.5 | 22-21 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Eagles to cover this spread at home against the Falcons in this NFC Clash. The Eagles will be without AJ Brown in this contest however the Eagles have a number of weapons in Devonta Smith, Jahan Dotson and Saquon Barkley. The Falcons biggest weakness in their season opener was their inability to stop the run where they allowed 137 yards on the ground. In addition to this, they struggled on 3rd downs going just 2-9 (22%) and Kirk Cousins looked SLOW. He threw 2 interceptions and will be going up against a much stronger D-Line in Philly. The Eagles are not only well rested, but they are 6-2 ATS at home since 2023 and 6-1 ATS as a home favorite in this same time frame. Lay the points with the Eagles here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Bears v. Texans -6.5 | 13-19 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I like the Texans to cover this spread at home against the Bears. The Bears did not score a single offensive TD last week and their defense will not be as lucky to get that many free turnovers from an inexperienced QB like Will Levis. The Texans offense is lightyears ahead of the Titans and should have an offensive rout against this Chicago defense. Not only that, but Caleb Williams did nothing special against a lackluster defense (14-29 ; 93 yards) and will not be able to play catch up if they go down early. Home opener for the Texans on SNF.. Lay the points with Houston. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Bengals v. Chiefs -5.5 | 25-26 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the Chiefs to cover this spread at home against the Bengals. The number is a little high however the Chiefs showed minor set backs in their opener against Baltimore however the Bengals offense STRUGGLED against New England. The Bengals totaled just 224 yards of offense and 70 of those yards came on the ground. The Chiefs defense was no doubt torched by Lamar and Co however their offense figured it out and they came thru. I suspect a similar outcome where the the Bengals will be able to move the ball but the Chiefs offense overpowers this Bengals defense and puts points on the board when it counts. Lay the points with the Chiefs. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-15-24 | Chargers -5 v. Panthers | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Chargers to cover this spread on the road against the Panthers. The Chargers moved the ball well last week against the Raiders and theirs no reason they cannot do the same against the Panthers. The Panthers were destroyed on the ground last week averaging 4.9 yards per carry and Jim Harbaugh's offense racked up 176 rushing yards last week. The Chargers defense locked down the Raiders rush game and Bryce Young should struggle immensely going up against players like Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa. Lay the points with the Chargers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-12-24 | Bills v. Dolphins -2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
I like the Dolphins to cover this spread at home against the Bills tomorrow on THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL. Both teams had come from behind wins and I look for Miami to come out firing right from the start. The Bills may have won the L4 in a row, however Miami has covered 3 of 5. The Dolphins offense has A LOT more speed in them behind Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De'Von Achane. The Bills only allowed 270 yards of offense however allowed 4 TDs and 2 of the came in the Red Zone. Miami held the Jaguars to just 76 yards in the 2nd Half and really locked down the mobile threat of Trevor Lawrence - something they must do out of the gate against Josh Allen and Co. This has all the making to be a "Playoff Preview" game and I give the advantage to the home team. Lay the points with the Dolphins here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-09-24 | Jets v. 49ers -3.5 | 19-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
I am going with the 49ers to cover this spread at home against the Jets. I have no doubt that Aaron Rodgers is pumped up and ready to play - however he has not taken a true snap in an NFL game since Week 1 of 2023 and it was literally one snap. The 49ers are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and I expect SF to come out firing. The Jets will be without Hasson Reddick tonight and that will make a bigger impact than most people think. The 49ers are returning a bulk offensive starters in Brandon Aiyuk, CMC, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel - all of whom will a be a threat to this high ranked Jets defense. Both teams might start slow, but once SF gets in their groove - I expect they pull away late. Lay the points with the 49ers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Rams v. Lions -4.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
I like the Lions to cover this spread at home against the Rams. The last time these two faced off, the Lions won a thriller in the Wild Card round last season by a score of 24-23. Since that game, the Lions have trended upwards and the Rams, their defense specifically has trended downwards. The Rams are going to be without their starting LT and the absence of CB Darious Williams will be a big blow especially against Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams. The Rams O-Line is going to struggle against this strong Lions defense line with the additions of Reader and Davenport - who should pressure Stafford often and early. Lay the points with Detroit at home here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Commanders v. Bucs -3.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
I like the Bucs to cover this spread at home against the Commanders. The Bucs closed out last season on a strong 6-1 rout and eliminated the Eagles in the Wild Card round. I expect all of this momentum to carry over into the new season as Baker Mayfield is finally settled into his new home. He has so many weapons in Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rachaad White. Defensively, this Bucs team should be able to stop the Rookie QB in Jayden Daniels - especially given a difficult road test in Tampa Bay. The Bucs coaching staff is comfortable and ready to fight - The Commanders are still figuring things out. Lay the points with the Bucs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-08-24 | Titans +4 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
I like the Titans to cover this spread on the road against the Bears today. The Titans looked good in Pre-Season, especially behind the arm of Will Levis who produced 24 points on just 4 drives. This line is where it is because of the hype behind Caleb Williams and I totally get it - but this is not college anymore and he will be facing some BIG men on this Titans D-Line. The Titans made many significant roster improvements this season, especially on the defensive front with L'Jarius Sneed, Ernest Jones and Chidobe Awuzie. This is too many points for an improved offense and defense looking to get a good start under new HC Brian Callahan. Take the points with the Titans here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles -2 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
I like the Eagles to cover this small spread in Brazil against the Packers. These are no doubt two of the upper tier teams in the NFC however the Eagles offense is the difference for me. With the additions of Jahan Dotson and Saquon Barkley, this offense is LETHAL. Not only that, but the Eagles have a new DC in Vic Fangio and significantly improved their secondary. This very well can be a NFC Championship game preview… however the Eagles have the advantage on both sides of the ball and should control the game from start to finish. Lay the points with the Eagles. -Joey Tron | |||||||
09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs -3 | 20-27 | Win | 104 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
I like the Chiefs to cover this small spread at home against the Ravens. These are no doubt two of the juggernauts in the AFC and we are getting a GREAT game for the 2024 season opener. The Chiefs lost last years opener to Detroit - and I don’t see them starting 0-1 back to back seasons. The Chiefs got stronger on offense with the addition of Marquise Brown and that gives Patrick Mahomes even more options to throw too. The difference for me in this game is going to be how fast can this new Ravens Defense adapt on the go with their new DC? Too early against this elite of a team in Kansas City. Lay the points with the Chiefs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
I like the Ravens to cover this spread at home in the AFC Championship game. Theirs no doubt these are two of the best teams in the AFC and it will be a great game. I give the edge to the Ravens not only because they are home, but because their offense is more versatile than the Chiefs. The Ravens rank 4th in total points, 4th in rushing TDs, 2nd in RZ attempts and rank 1st in RYPG. The Chiefs defense has been inconsistent in stopping the run game all season. They rank 18th in rushing yards allowed and do not force many TOs ranking 27th in the NFL. The Ravens defense is just as good as their offense - they rank 1st in forced TOs, 3rd in overall TDs allowed and 2nd in points allowed. The biggest difference maker here is going to be the Time of Possession… The Ravens rank 5th in TOP averaging 31:23 per game. The Chiefs rank 14th in this category and keeping it out Mahomes hands is how you win. The Chiefs are 3-4 ATS vs teams allowing less than 21 PPG ; the Ravens are 7-1 ATS when the spread was -5 to -2 and 10-5 ATS as a fav. Home teams are 11-6 ATS the L17 AFC Champ games. Lay the points with the Ravens here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
I like the Bucs to cover this spread on the road against the Lions this afternoon in the final NFC Divisional round game. The Bucs looked great on both sides of the ball last week against the Eagles racking up 32 points and holding the Eagles to just 9 points. The Bucs defense played its best game all season as the Eagles went 0-9 on 3rd down and could not generate much of any offense. The Bucs defense will have their hands full today with this Lions offense, however the Lions are going to have a hard time running the ball against this defense. The Bucs are allowing just 95 RYPG and rank 6th overall in TDs allowed. The Bucs offense under Baker Mayfield has been great, as he has thrown 2+ TDs in 5 of his L6 games and has not turned the ball over in back to back games. The Lions secondary was the weakest link in their WC Game allowing 367 yards, and the Bucs offense is HOT and can do that and much more. The Bucs rank 8th in Passing TDs and are going to be throwing the ball A LOT today against the Lions secondary who ranks 27th in Passing Yards and Passing TDs. The Bucs are 8-1 ATS on the road and the Lions are 2-2 ATS as a favorite of 6 or more. Take the points with Bucs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-15-24 | Steelers +10 v. Bills | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
I like the Steelers here no matter what the circumstances are as I strongly believe 10 points in the playoffs is too much. The Bills enter this game on 5 game win streak, however just one of those wins were by double digits coming against a questionable Cowboys team. The biggest issue I see for the Bills in this is Josh Allen and his turnover frequency, averaging 1.3 Ints per game his L3. His turnovers are extremely costly and they may pay the price from them in this game. Both teams can comfortably play in cold weather with the forecast we are seeing, and I give this edge to the Steelers, giving their tendency to NOT turn the ball over. The Steelers defense ranks 3rd in TDs allowed and 2nd in RZ TDs, which will make it difficult for the Bills on a small field. The Steelers offense is by no means great but their O-Line is solid. They rank 9th in sacks allowed and that is huge for Mason Rudolph allowing him to survey the field and remain composed. The Steelers are 5-3 on the road and the Bills are 6-8 as the favorite. Take the points with the Steelers here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
I like the Cowboys to cover this spread at home against the Packers in this NFC Wild Card showdown. Dallas is so dominant at home scoring an average of 37 PPG at home and I don’t think the Packers will be able to keep up if this becomes shootout, which it likely may. GB scored over 37 points just once this season, and it was in week 1 against the Bears. Theirs no doubt the Cowboys can win this one in the air, but they need to diversify their play calling and get the ground game going. The Packers are one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL, ranking 28th in Rushing Yards allowed per game. The Cowboys defense is ranked 6th in Yard Allowed per Game and 5th in PPG with just 18. The Packers are going to have a difficult time in this one, and the Packers defense will surely not make it any easier on them. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS at home this season and the Packers are 4-5 ATS on the road. Lay the points with the Cowboys here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This game is going to be beyond freezing, and I have to give that edge to the Chiefs in this match up. The Dolphins come into this game pretty banged up on both sides of the ball and that is going to be an issue for them, like we saw last week against Buffalo. The Chiefs are considerably healthy in this match up after resting a bulk of their starters last week, and this will be beneficial today. The Chiefs offense is ranked 7th in RZ attempts and T6 in Pass Att and Completions while the Dolphins defense is not the best ranking 25th in Passing TDs and Rushing TDs - which makes them very vulnerable in this game. Whether the Chiefs try to throw the ball with Mahomes or generate the ground game with Pacheco, the Chiefs are going to have their way with this Dolphins team who saw their home game vanish before their eyes. The Chiefs are 9-7 ATS as a fav this season and the Dolphins are 1-5 as a dog this season. Lay the points with the Chiefs at Arrowhead in this Wild Card game. -Joey Tron | |||||||
01-07-24 | Bills -3 v. Dolphins | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
I like the Bills to cover this spread on the road against the Dolphins in a game that has huge Playoff Implications on the line for both teams. The Bills are revitalized and look like a brand new team, winning 5 of their L6 games scoring 20+ in each of those wins. The Dolphins are 2-2 their L4 games and were just steam rolled by the Ravens, 56-19. The difference in this game is going to be the Bills pass offense and the Miami secondary - both that are trending in different directions. The Bills offense ranks 3rd in RZ TDs and are 1st in the league on 3rd downs, which is imperative in keeping Josh Allen and the Bills offense on the field. Defensively, the Bills have held their L4 opponents to an average of 17.5 PPG, including the Cowboys and Chiefs. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS against plus .500 teams this season and the Bills are 2-1 ATS when the spread was -4 to -1. Lay the points with the Bills here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | 19-20 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cowboys return home to face Detroit after b2b road games in a pivotal game for Dallas. After falling 2 in a row, they now sit 1 game back of the Eagles in a MUST win game. Detroit just won the NFC North with a road win over the Vikings, and I see a let down spot here after a very sloppy win. The Lions secondary has been inconsistent all season ranking 25th in Passing TDs allowed and 30th in RZ TDs. The Cowboys feast on these types of defenses at home and today should be no different with seeding on the line. The Dallas offense is lethal this season ranking 1st in Passing TDs and 5th in Plays per game, which is huge in covering this number. The Lions defense has allowed 24+ in 5 of their L6 games and the Cowboys offense are a threat to them. Dallas is 9-2 ATS as a favorite this season and the Lions are just 1-1 as a dog. Lay the points with the Cowboys here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs -10 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
I like the Chiefs to cover this spread at home against the Raiders in an AFC West show down. The Chiefs offense woke up last week against the Pats with a 27-17 win on the road, and I look for them to have a BIG Christmas game at home with the playoffs looming. The Chiefs offense is averaging 22 PPG and the 9th most yards of offense per game, and they should be able to move the ball comfortably here. The Raiders just scored a MASSIVE 63 points on the Chargers and I look for them to significantly come back down to earth in this one. The Chiefs defense is ranked 4th in passing yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed with 17.5 PPG and the Raiders are possibly without Josh Jacobs. The Chiefs may have struggled as of late, however the Raiders have absolutely nothing to play for in this one, and the 1 seed is very much alive for them. Lay the points with the Chiefs here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -3.5 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
I like the Bears to cover this spread at home against the Cardinals in an NFC show down. The Bears have had a second wind this season, winning 3 of their L5 games, and 2 of their L3. These wins are due in part to their defense, who has allowed just 14 PPG across this stretch. The Bears defense is LEGIT ranking Top 3 in Rushing Yards, Rushing Attempts and Rushing TDs, which should significantly slow down the Cardinals rushing threat of James Conner and Kyler Murray. The Cardinals defense has been abysmal and ranks 29th in Passing TDs, 26th in Rushing TDs and 32nd in RZ TDs. The Bears offense has slowly been waking up averaging 22.5 PPG their last 2 games and I look for this momentum to carry over at home behind Justin Fields and DJ Moore. Lay the points with the Bears here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals -2.5 v. Steelers | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
I like the Bengals to cover this spread on the road against the Steelers in an AFC North showdown, and a revenge factor for Cincinnati, whose last loss was to the Steelers, at home. The Bengals ride into this match up on a 3 game winning streak, and are led by Jake Browning, who has 5 Passing TDs and 2 Rushing TDs in this span. The Steelers are turning to Mason Rudolph, who has yet to start a game all season and the Steelers offense has had minimal production as of late, scoring no more than 18 points, in their current 3 game skid. The Bengals offense is averaging 21 PPG on the season but are currently averaging 31 in their L3. The Steelers defense has really struggled as of late and are ranked 20th in passing yards and 22nd in passing yards, giving a good opportunity for the Bengals rush offense to open up. The Bengals offense is on a tear right now, and I am not convinced the Steelers and Mason Rudolph can keep up with them. Pittsburgh has covered in 2 of the L3 games H2H, but that changes Saturday afternoon. Lay the points with the Bengals here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
I like the Rams to cover this spread at home in PRIME TIME against the Saints. The Rams enter this game winning 4 of their L5 and the Saints have won 2 of the L5 against sub .500 teams. The Rams offense has been explosive scoring 28+ in all 5 of those games and the Rams offense led by Matthew Stafford, will be a threat to the Saints secondary who has not seen tough competition in back to back games. The Rams are 4-1 ATS their L5 games and the Saints are 2-4-1 ATS on the road this season. Lay the points with the Rams here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
The Eagles come into this game off of back to back loses by 20+ and are HUNGRY for a win after that Cowboys loss. The Seahawks have lost 3 in a row, and this is due in part to their defense, whose allowed 28+ in each of those losses. The Eagles offense is their strongest link as they are averaging 26 PPG and 373 yards of offense per game, and are loaded with weapons in AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith and D'Andre Swift. The Seahawks secondary sits towards of the bottom of the NFL allowing 243 PYPG and ranks 20th in Passing TDs and 22nd in Passing Yards. This is a crucial game for the Eagles who just finished their gauntlet of games and I look for a big rebound statement here from Jalen Hurts on Prime Time. The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS as a road favorite this season and the Seahawks are 2-3-1 ATS at home. Lay the points with the Eagles here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
I like the Rams to cover this spread at home against the Commanders in an NFC Clash. The Rams have looked great as of late, going 3-1 ATS and SU while the Commanders have struggled immensely, and are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. The Commanders woes have been on the defensive side, where they have allowed 28+ points in 4 straight games, including 90 combined their L2. The Rams pass offense will be a threat to this Commanders secondary, who ranks 32nd in Passing TDs and 30th in Passing Yards. The Rams defense has buckled down and has allowed 19 or less points in 3 of their L4 games and have a strong enough defense to contain Sam Howell in this one. The Rams are 9-1 ATS in December games over the L3 seasons and have a lot to play for in this one, sitting just outside of the wildcard. Lay the points at home with the Rams in this one. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +6 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
I like the Giants to cover this spread at home in PRIME TIME against the Packers in a very important game for the Giants. The Giants have found new life and won b2b games due to good defense and starting in good field position. They allowed just 26 points in those 2 games and forced 8 punts with 9 total take aways. The Packers are hot winning 3 in a row and hunting down the Lions however I see a let down spot for them after that huge home win against the Chiefs. The Packers have been winning close games and I think that luck runs out tonight. The Giants come into this game fresh off the bye, well rested and hungry to keep their season alive. The Giants are 2-0 ATS when the spread is +4.5 to +7.5 this season. Take the points with the Giants here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys -3.5 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
I like the Cowboys to win this game at home against the Eagles in a VERY PIVOTAL NFC EAST clash. Both the Cowboys and Eagles have been electric all season losing just 5 games total. The Cowboys are well rested coming into this game not playing since Nov 30th and the Eagles are pretty beat up after playing a brutal game against the 49ers, just 7 days ago where they lost 42-19. Dallas has won 4 straight games scoring 40+ in 3 of those 4 games and have arguably the best QB:WR duo in Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb. The Eagles defense has struggled immensely their last 2 games allowing a total 79 points and are now tasked with a road trip against one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Eagles won earlier this season 28-23 after being out gained by 114 yards, and I have a hard time seeing the same results, with a short turnaround and road trip. The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS as a favorite this season and 24-12 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points with Dallas here. -Joey Tron | |||||||
12-10-23 | Texans -3 v. Jets | 6-30 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
I like the Texans to cover this spread on the road against the Jets in a pivotal game for Houston, as they are tied for 2nd in the AFC South. The Texans have a really solid offense and are able to move the ball downfield very well. They are averaging 395 yards of offense per game and have the 2nd best pass offense in the NFL with 275P PYPG, being led by CJ Stroud. Stroud has several targets on offense that can shake up this Jets defense. The Jets defense has hit some speed bumps as the season has gone on, ranking 28th in Rush Defense and their secondary has allowed over 220 passing yards in 2 of their L3 games. Whether the Jets start Zach Wilson the entire game or decide to throw in Tim Boyle halfway thru... It does not matter. The Texans defense has allowed 20 or less points in 2 of their L3 games with at least 1 turnover in 5 straight. Neither of those QBs are going to slow down this Texans team. The Texans are 8-1 ATS in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points with the Houston Texans here. -Joey Tron |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Steve Janus | $1,518 |
Calvin King | $1,240 |
Dave Price | $1,233 |
Michael Alexander | $1,030 |
Doc's Sports | $813 |
Dustin Hawkins | $747 |
R&R Totals | $578 |
Bobby Conn | $559 |
Nick Parsons | $505 |
Mikey Sports | $461 |