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I am playing the under here between the Lynx and Mystics. The Lynx defense is strong holding teams to sub 40% in 4 of their L6 games and offensively have been so inconsistent, shooting below 40% in 3 of their L7 games. The Mystics offense is horrid shooting below 40% in 2 of their L3 games  however they have been modest on the defensive end and have forced 17+ TOs in 3 of their L4 games. This should be a relatively slow game as both teams rank towards the bottom in pace. The Lynx are strong under at home going 6-3 while the Mystics are 6-3 to the under on the road. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Lynx and Fever in the Commissioner's Cup Final. This should be a defensive battle given how strong these teams play defense. The Lynx are 5-3 to the under at home this season, while the Fever, are 5-2 to the under in road games showing each teams tendencies in this respective situation. Both teams are strong on the glass which should limit the amount of points in the paint forcing teams to shoot from the field and Lynx have held teams to sub 40% in 4 of 5 and the Fever have held teams to sub 45% in 5 of 7. Play the UNDER in the Commissioner's Cup Final. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury against the Aces. The Aces had a small resurgence winning back to back games however they lost their last game out and are now 2-4 their L6 games. The Mercury are rolling right now winning 6 straight and have covered in 5 of those 6 games. They are on an tear offensively shooting over 50% in back to back games and Top 6 in both offensive/defensive rating in the WNBA. The Aces are good but they are embarking on their first road trip after 4 straight home games, where they now have 5 straight road games. Vegas is 0-5 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Lay it with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Mystics here against the Wings. Dallas is on a back to back after a defensive no show against the Fever last night where they allowed 94 pts and have now allow 90+ in 2 of 3. The Mystics are playing great winning 3 in a row with 2 of them outright as a 7 pt dog. The Mystics defense is getting a lot better and is improving each game and will be strong against Dallas tonight who may be without a key player tonight. Washington is shooting strong going 45%+ from the field in 4 of 5 and the Wings sit way at the bottom in defensive rating, at 11. Lay the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Lynx on the ML here against the Dream. This should be an incredible game however I still am not convinced the Dream can handle a team like the Lynx. The Dream have split their L4 games going 2-2 however they are just 1-3 ATS in that span. Offensively, they have some issues hitting below 43% from the field in back to back games, including going just 23% from the field last game. The Lynx are 3-1 ATS/SU their L4 and have been so strong defensively holding teams below 40% from the field in 3 straight. The Lynx offense might be inconsistent however they have shot 48% or better in 3 of 5 and are 5-2 SU in road games this season. This is a great price the visitors. Play the Lynx ML here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Sparks and Fever. The Fever offense is starting to get going again and its a perfect time as the Sparks defense has been virtually non-existent. They have allowed 89 or more points in 5 of their L6 games and have gone over in each of those games where they allowed just under 90 pts. The Fever just had a commanding win over the Storm where they scored 94 pts and are shooting the ball much better, averaging 49% from the field their L2 games. The Sparks offense is far from good, however the Fever have been slipping on the defensive end getting costly fouls and the Sparks can take advantage of this. Both teams will want this to be a fast paced game as they are ranked top 4 in pace per 40 in the WNBA this season indicating points will be scored. Take the over here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Golden State here against the Liberty. This may be two completely different teams however the Liberty have struggled on the road this season and the Valkyries have been a force to reckon with at home and as of late. The Valkyries have covered 5 of their L6 games and have held teams sub 40% in half of those games. The Liberty, are just 1-3 SU their L4 and have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games showing their inability to close games out. The Liberty’s struggles have come from their defensive side which can be huge for Golden State to take advantage of their defense clicks like it has been. Take the points with the Valkyries here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Lynx and and Mystics. The Mystics have played to the over in back to back games but are playing are much more fierce defense in the Lynx here. They have held teams to a sub 40% eFG in back to back game and are sitting ranked 2nd in overall defensive net rating. The Mystics defense is Top 8 in the league in defensive rating and will need to be on their A game defensively if they have any hopes of stopping this Lynx offense. The Mystics offense has been inconsistent shooting below 40% in 3 of their L5 games and will likely have an uphill battle in this one. This game smells like defense from start to finish. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the Fever here on the ML against the Aces. The Fever defense slipped up taking a crushing loss last time out, however I see this as a great rebound spot against a struggling Aces squad. The Aces have now lost 3 in a row in addition to 5 of 6 and have failed to cover in 6 straight due in part to poor offense. They have shot sub 40% in 4 of those 6 games and will not be able to keep with Indy shooting the ball like that. The Fever have rebounded from each of their last 2 losses with back to back to wins and should be hungry for a win in the middle of this road trip. Take the Fever ML here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Aces and Storm in what should be a competitive game. Both of these teams rank towards the middle in defensive rating and will be strong here. The Aces have struggled offensively shooting below 40% from the field in back to back games but defensively, they are strong right. Their opponents have shot sub 40% in back to back and allowed just 76 pts. The Storm have been playing well above their expectations with wins in 4 of their L5 however I see regression tonight with the Liberty and Fever on deck. The under is 8-4 the L12 head to head and 4-2 the L6 in Las Vegas. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Dream at home against the Mystics. These two teams have faced off twice already and both are 1-1 SU/ATS, teeing this off for a good match up. The Mystics got their win over the Dream in the season opener, and have just 4 wins since then. The Dream, have been on a tear going 7-2 SU their L9 and covering all of those games, but one. Atlanta Dream rank Top 3 in offensive rating and are shooting the ball very well, with an eFG of 50.4%. The Mystics offense is significantly worse sitting bottom 3 in offensive rating and the Dream defense, is Top 5 in the league and have been strong their last few games holding teams below 40% from the field in 2 of their L4. Lay the points with the Dream here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Fever here against the Valkyries. The Valkyries had a nice run winning and covering 3 in a row however after losing to the Wings, all that momentum is shattered. The Fever are rolling into this game winning 4 of their L5 (3-2 ATS) including a big Commissioner's Cup win over the Sun. Defensively, the Fever have held teams 47% or below from the field in 4 straight games and have been on a tear the other way, averaging 82 PPG over that 5 game span. The Fever rank 4th in pace and will force plenty of turnovers which should give them plenty of chances to get a double digit when. Indiana is 7-3 ATS their L10 games as a road favorite, including a 6-1 ATS run. Lay the points here with the Fever. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Sun and Mercury. The Sun just had a Commissioners Cup game last night where they were trounced and the Mercury are much more rested, not having played since the weekend. The Mercury defense ranks 4th in Defensive Rating and are doing a lot better on this end of the floor and held the Aces to just 36% from the field in their last game. The Sun have an overall net rating of -22.2 and offensively, are one of the worst in the league showing that they will not score much here. Not only that, but these are two of the slower teams in terms of pace where the Sun sit 12th and Mercury are T6th. Take the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Valkyries here again as this is now the 3rd time in a row we are taking them. This team is much better than advertised as they have now won and covered 3 in a row as a dog and defensively, have held teams to just 38% from the field over those 3 games. On the offensive front, they are meshing much better shooting over 40% in 4 straight and have significantly out rebounded their opponents showing their ability to get second chances. The Wings might be better with Paige Bueckers in, but they have still lost 7 in a row and are just 2-5 ATS in that span. They are not good defensively as teams have shot over 45% against them from the field in 3 of 5 and they are ranked 3rd to last in defensive rating. Take the points with the Valkyries here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Sky and Mystics. Neither of these teams are all that on the offensive front and I look for their defenses to out perform whatever offensive production we get. The Sky have played to the under in 4 straight as they have not shot over 40% once in that span and the Mystics, have played to the under in 4 of their L6 and are just as bad offensively, shooting below 30% from the field last game. I look for a much slower paced game with lots of turnovers and missed opportunities. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury on the road against the Aces. The Aces snapped their 2 gam skid with a close 4 pt win over the Wings however I see a much difficult competition in the Mercury, given the Aces have played teams all below .500 their L3. The Mercury may have 4 losses overall but they have come to the same 2 teams (Lynx & Storm) showing their ability to beat and compete with other teams. The Mercury rank 4th in defensive rating which is a huge difference to the teams the Aces have been playing. Offensively, Phoenix is shooting 50% from the field and the Aces sit way down at 9th in defensive rating, showing the Mercury can fine success here. My data base shows the Mercury are 6-2 their L8 June road games in this spot as a light road favorite. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with the Valkyries against the Storm. The Valkyries have exceeded expectations so far and I do not see them stopping now as they are really starting to gel together here. Defensively, they have held teams to sub 40% from the field in 3 of their L5 games and are 3-1-1 ATS in that span with back to back wins in there as well. The Storm are coming off a huge home win against the Lynx and are now embarking on 3 straight road games, which makes this first one a big let down spot, as the Storm are just 6-14 SU after scoring 80+ in 3 straight games. The Valkyries are a lot better than advertised and if they click like they have the L2 games, they will have success. Take the points here with Golden State. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Liberty and Fever as this should be a much close game. The Liberty have gone under in 4 of their L5 games attributing to incredible defense as teams as averaging just 36% from the field over the L3 games and forced at least 10 TOs per game their L4. The Fever have also been playing well going defensively hitting the under in 3 straight games and hitting this mark in 4 of the L5. The Fever force a lot of TOs and will be a thorn in the side this afternoon. Both the Fever and Liberty sit top 2 in defensive rating indicating that this will be much more of a defensive battle. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Aces and Wings. The Wings offense looks like night and day when Paige Bueckers is on the floor and the Aces, play minimal defense themselves. Dallas and Las Vegas rank 11th and 9th respectively in defensive rating and both display pretty good ball control, with minimal turnovers forced or created. On the offensive side, they both sit with a rating over 100 and are Top 4 in pace which indicates a fast paced, high scoring game. The over is 4-2 the L6 matchups in Las Vegas and and 7-4 the L11 overall head to head. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Lynx on the road as they are just on another level right now, in my opinion. Defensively, they are ranked 2nd in Net Rating and are currently on a tear, holding teams to sub 40% from the field in 4 straight games. Offensively, they have scored 80+ in 4 of their L5 games and are sitting 2nd in offensive rating here as well. The Storm have had their short comings this season, and although strong are not stronger than this Lynx squad. The Storm defense is no where near as potent as Minnesota and they will be threatened here, especially on the boards where the Lynx are grabbing more rebounds on both ends of the floor. Lay the points with the Lynx to continue their dominance here, as they are 6-3 ATS the L9 against the Storm and 3-1 ATS the L4 in Seattle. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Fever and Dream. This number has come down since it opened and I think it has fallen too low here. The Fever offense, even without Caitlin Clark have still been a threat averaging 82 PPG their L3 games and should continue that force tonight. Defensively teams have now shot over 50% from the field in 2 of the L3 games against them, albeit it was against two of the worse teams in the league. The Dream though, are strong sitting in front of the Fever in offensive rating and shoot an eFG just under 50%. Head to head, the over is 17-9 the L26 matchups and 6-4 the L10 including a spit this season. This should be a back and forth, fast paced game, play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with the Valkyries against the Sparks. Both of these have struggled offensively however the Valkyries defense is really coming together and the Sparks, have struggled on this side of the floor, allowing 85+ in 3 of their L4 games. On the offensive side, the Sparks have really struggled with turning the ball over, doing it 13+ times in 4 straight games which can really hurt them if the Valkyries offense gets going, like they did against the Aces. The Sparks are 2-11 ATS on the road after losing 2 of their L3 games. Take the points with Golden State here. -Joey Tron

I am playing the under here between the Sun and Mystics. Neither of these two teams are going be a threat offensively and while on paper the Sun look BAD, they can still play defense and will give the Mystics some problems here. Both the Sun and Mystics rank bottom 4 in offensive rating and are towards the middle in terms of play. Not only that, but both teams are shooting below 50% from the field and the Mystics are a great rebounding team indicating they will be taking away several second chance opportunities. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Mercury and Storm. The Mercury are ranked 3rd in defensive rating while the Storm, are not far behind sitting 6th exhibiting that this will be a great defensive showdown. On the offensive front, the Storm sit 8th in offensive rating while the Mercury are 10th and the Storm are shooting just a hair over 50% from the field while the Mercury are shooting sub 48%. The pace of play is going to be very slow and I look for long possessions and plenty of rebounds on both sides of the floor. The under is 7-3 the L10 h2h meetings. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Fever against the Sky, even without Caitlin Clark. Biased, maybe a little but the Fever are the better team no matter if CC is on the floor - or not. The Fever rank 4th in offensive rating and are shooting 51% from the field. The Sky sit second to last in defensive rating and are not shooting the ball as well as Indiana, going just 46% from the field and it turning the ball over on 22% of their possessions. The Sky play fast, but so do the Fever which will benefit them more in transition due to their ability to play basketball on both ends of the floor. The Fever are 3-1 ATS the L4 h2h meetings and 6-2 ATS against the Sky since 2023. Lay it with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Dream and Sun. Neither of these two teams are ALL THAT offensively and the Dream defense is a lot better than advertised. The Dream rank 8th in defensive rating and while the Sun are sitting dead last, they are tall and are grabbing a lot of rebounds. Offensively, they are just as bad the Sun, shooting just 44% from the field while the Dream are not much better, at 49%. This is going to be a game with several scoring droughts and TOs as these are two of the slowest teams in pace of play. The under is 14-9 the L23 head to head matchups and 5-3 to the under the L8. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Mystics and Liberty. The Liberty rank 1st in the WNBA in defensive rating while the Mystics are not too far behind sitting 7th indicating this will be a good defensive match up. Not only that, but the Mystics are a strong rebounding team which can take away chances from the Liberty, who have a VERY strong offense. The Mystics offense is far from good sitting towards the bottom 3 in offensive rating, and shooting just 46% from the field. The under is 7-4 the L11 h2h meetings played in Washington since 2018. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am playing the under here between the Lynx and Mercury. This games features two of the stronger defenses in the WNBA and I look for strong defense and minimal open looks here. Both rank Top 4 in defensive rating and play at a much slower pace, especially the Lynx who rank dead last in pace per game. The Mercury are holding teams to just 44% from the field while the Lynx are similarly holding teams to just 46%. This should be a slow low scoring game with periods of scoring droughts. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Lynx and Valkyries. The Lynx are ranked 2nd in net rating and have a very strong defense ranking 4th in the WNBA. The Valkyries are far from good on offense but defensively they are strong ranking 6th in defensive rating and will contest a lot of rebounds on both ends of the floor. The pace of play in this game is going to be very slow with not a lot of tempo as the Lynx are one of the slowest paced teams and will want to control the floor. Both offenses have struggled as the Lynx have shot below 40% in 2 of 3 and the Valkyries have shot 42% or less from the field in every game thus far. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Storm at home against he Dream. The Dream have benefited from an inferior schedule with each of their L3 wins coming against teams with a combined 3-14 record. The Storm are well rested and are returning home after a road loss to arguably one of the best teams in WNBA in the Lynx. The Storm are ranked Top 5 in defensive efficiency and are overall shooting the ball with an eFG just below 50%. The Storm defense will prove to bet to much here and allow their offense to pull away late. The Dream are 1-3 ATS off a road win dating back to last season and the Storm are 8-3 ATS at home when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Lay it with the Storm here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Lynx and Mercury. These are two fast paced offenses that will be able to score often and quick on each other. The Lynx rank 2nd in offensive rating while the Mercury are not too far behind sitting 8th, and both are shooting an incredible 50%+ from the field.  These might be two strong defensive teams, however they are more offensive and will put defense on the. back burner here. The Lynx are 7-1 to the over on the road when playing 5 or less games in 14 daysand 15-2 to the over on the road when playing against a team with a winning record while the Mercury are 5-1 to the over at home off a home win and 6-3 to the over in all games where where the total is 159.5 or less. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am playing the over here between the Mystics and Fever. Without Caitlin Clark the Fever are missing a big component on offense and even a bigger one on defense. The Fever are scoring just under 90 PPG and the Mystics have had their moments as well. scoring 90+ in 2 of their 5 games thus far. The Fever and Mystics are two of the fastest teams in terms of pace and defense will be on the back burner here s this will be a quick paced game. Head to head, the over is 5-1 the L6 meetings and 3-0 the L3 in Washington. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Lynx and Storm. This is going to be a great game with arguably two of the better teams in the WNBA going head to head. The Lynx rank second in offensive rating while the Storm are not too far behind sitting 7th. Both the Lynx and Storm are shooting over 50% from the field which will put the defenses at a huge disadvantage. The Storm came out firing last game dropping over 100 points and the Lynx, had a small hiccup with the Sun, so I look for a huge turn around on the offensive front. Defense will be at a minimum and the over is 3-1 the L4 head to head when playing in Minnesota. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Dream and Sun. The Sun offense is far from good and they are chippy on defense as we saw in their last game holding the Lynx to sub 80 points. Offensively, they have scored 70 or less in 2 of their 3 games played this season and are shooting just 43% from the field. The Dream are not much better on either side of the floor, and will have long periods of scoring droughts in this one. The Dream are 11-3 to the under at home when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days dating back to last season and the Sun are 10-6 to the under on the road when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the same time span. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Liberty and Fever, as this should be fast paced game with points coming often and quick. Both offenses sit ranked Top 4 in offensive rating thus far in the season and will be making splashes on Saturday. The Fever are strong at home and are shooting 51% from the field on the season while the Liberty, are even stronger, shooting 60% from the field. Both defenses will have trouble stopping each others offense as we have seen the total go over in 5 of the L7 h2h match ups. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Sparks and Valkyries. These two played a low scoring game the first time they met, and theirs no reason why that cannot happen again here. Both rank towards the bottom in offensive rating to start the season and the Sparks defense has been playing well and can give Golden State issues scoring again. The Valkyries are far from good, shooting less than 40% from the field in both of their games but they are chippy and make games competitive. Play the Under here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Fever on the road against the Dream. These two teams just played on Tuesday where the Fever lost outright as a home favorite - however I look for them to revenge this SU/ATS tonight on the road. The Fever have performed far better on the road than at home last year and after several costly mistakes the other night, I look for them to correct them here. Indiana has the best net rating through the first few games this season and the Dream are significantly slower than the Fever sitting towards the bottom in pace which can be costly when the Fever shooting gets going. The Fever went 5-2 ATS as a road favorite last season and the Dream struggled at home going 8-11 ATS in all home games and 5-7 ATS as a home dog. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Mercury at home against the Sparks. The Mercury are playing just their second game of the season, however in their first game they looked incredible offensively and can overwhelm this Sparks defense. The Sparks looked great against the Valkryies but really struggled against a better team in the Lynx, where they shot just 40% from the field and were out rebounded. The Mercury have a strong 3 in Cooper, Thomas and Sabally all of whom can take over this game tonight. The Sparks lack of size is concerning and the Mercury can significantly exploit that here. Lay the points with the Mercury at home. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between Mystics and Valkyries. The Mystics have had a strong start offensively to their season scoring 90 or more points in both of their wins but have also shown vulnerabilities on defense as well. The Valkryies stalled out in the fourth quarter of their opening game, however I look for a turn around spot here against a weak defensive team in the Mystics, who are ranked one of the worst in the WNBA in defensive rating the last 2 seasons. This should be a back and forth game with points coming often. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Fever and Dream. The Fever offense is legit and the Dream showed their defensive weaknesses against the Mystics in their season opener, as they allowed 94 points in their season opening loss. Both teams offensively did damage as both scored over 90+ points and both grabbed over 50 rebounds indicating second chance points on both ends. The Dream are 5-2 to the over as a road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 6-2 to the over on the road off a loss against a division rival and the Fever are 8-1 as a home favorite and 8-4 to the over at home, after playing a home game. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with the Storm on the road against the Wings. The Storm had a slow and painful opening season game against the Mercury however I expect a big turn around now that their feet are wet. The Wings similarly lost, to the Lynx but not in blowout fashion. The biggest issue for the Wings is their suspect defense as the Lynx shot 53% from the field and 35% from 3 PT against them. The Storm defense is much better than advertised against the Mercury and will be much stronger here. Offensively, they did not get many good looks and forced too many shots - they are more experienced and have more depth than the Wings so I expect a big turnaround from Game 1. Lay the points with the Seattle Storm here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the over here between the Mystics and Sun. The Mystics showed little to no defensive efforts in their first game against the Dream, as they allowed 90 points and 51 total rebounds. This is a fresh start for the Sun who have virtually a new starting 5 - and will be scrappy in their first game, but I still expect them to be competitive. My system shows that in games where the total is 159.5 or less and a team (Washington) that had a losing record last season, are in the 1st 5 games of the season, against division opponents are 50-25 to the over since 2021. This will be a fast paced game, with points coming often. Play the over here. -Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Storm here against the Mercury. They may not have been the strongest offensive team last season, but defensively they were one of the best and that will carry over this year. The trio of Nneka Ogwumike, Alysha Clark and Erica Wheeler will be tough to stop given their experience in the league and tenacity to win (4 champs combined). The Mercury lack this type of depth and experience which can really hurt them on the offensive side - especially against a team as talented as Seattle. Lay the points here with the Storm. -Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Valkyries here against the Sparks. The Sparks are significantly overvalued in this spot and the league is significantly underestimating the strength this Golden State team has. They are fast and play aggressive which can really fluster this Sparks roster especially given the height discrepancy down low, which can lead to many second chance opportunities for the Valkyries. The Sparks may have Kelsey Plum, but I do not expect her to shine in her first game with a new team. The Sparks were never listed as a road favorite once last season and were 3-13 SU in all road games. Take the points with Golden State who will have a BIG crowd as well tonight. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to cover this spread against the Liberty. As long we keep getting the Lynx with points - we are TAKING IT. The Liberty have struggled to cover the spread at home all season going 8-18 ATS and this series has been A LOT closer than what the spread indicates. I noted in my last write up that the Lynx have dominated most of the series outside of that blow out in Game 2, and that still holds true. The Lynx have a had greater 3PT% in each of the L3 games played against the Liberty in this series and have shot no worse than 39% from 3PT in this span. The Liberty have averaged 15.6 TOs per game the L3 and the Lynx must capitalize on these opportunities when presented. The Lynx are 20-11 ATS as a road dog since 2023 and the Liberty are 16-32 ATS as a home favorite in the same time span. Take the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to cover this spread at home in Game 4. The series score paints a different picture to how this series has gone as the Lynx have controlled majority of Game 1 and Game 3 - Game 4 should be no different. The Lynx are 9-1 ATS this season following a home loss by 6 or less points and this is a huge revenge spot for them. Not only that, but the Liberty have struggled against Western Conference opponents this season going 13-15 ATS against them. The Lynx defense is stronger and better than this Liberty offense and they need to hold strong down the stretch. Take the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron

I like Game 3 of the WNBA Finals to go OVER 160.5 points. The Lynx and Liberty have played to the over in 7 of their L12 H2H matchups and I expect this one to pivot that way as well. The Lynx are no doubt playing with motivation following their 14 point loss in Game 2 and Minnesota is 10-3 to the over when revenging a same season loss versus an opponent. The Liberty are a lot more offensive heavy on the road than at home as they are averaging 87 PPG on the road this season and are 28-19 to the over in road games since 2023. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to cover this spread on the road against the Liberty here. The Liberty started off great in Game 1, but collapsed down the stretch. The Lynx are the stronger and better team here and it showed Game 1 when they were down as many as 18. The Lynx defense is one of the strongest in the WNBA and they will want a strong lead heading back to Minnesota. The Liberty struggle in these spots at home going just 5-16 ATS at home and 17-21 ATS as a fav. The Lynx are STRONG on the road going 15-6 ATS and are 11-3 ATS as a dog. This is way too many points for a team HUNGRY to end this series as soon as possible. Take the point with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron

I like the game between the Sun and Lynx to stay UNDER. This is a win or go home situation for both teams and I expect a BIG defensive showing. The Sun are a much better defensive team on the road and the Lynx defend their home court very well. The Sun are 7-1 to the UNDER as a dog and the Lynx are 14-5 to the UNDER at home. Both defenses are ranked Top 2 in defensive rating and neither will want to concede costly runs. Play the UNDER. -Joey Tron 

I like the Liberty to cover this spread against the Aces. They fell short last time out however I expect a quick turnaround here. The Liberty rank 1st in 2PT% and are the better 3PT shooting team here. They are ranked 5th in the W while the Aces defense struggles to defend the 3 ball ranking 9th in the WNBA. The Aces do not grab a lot of defensive rebounds so the Liberty getting second chance points is crucial here. The Liberty have one of the strongest defenses in the WNBA ranking 3rd in points allowed and 3rd in 3 PT defense. The Liberty will want to bring this series back to NY up and NOT tied. Take the points with the Liberty here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sun to win this game at home against the Lynx. The Sun slipped last time out but this is a great spot for them at home. No team has won back to back in 3 straight h2h meetings and the Sun have been victorious SU in 3 of 5 against the Lynx. The difference maker in this series has been the 3 ball and the Sun are LETHAL from downtown at home. Play the Sun ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Liberty to cover the spread in this one against the Aces. The Liberty dominated Game 1 from all cylinders and I expect the same showing tonight. The Liberty played STRONG defense holding the Aces to just 25% from 3PT and out rebounded the Aces by 9. The Aces may be the defending champs, but the Liberty are HUNGRY. The Liberty are lethal on offense ranking 5th in 3PT% and are 1st in the W in 2PT%. The Liberty are too tall and strong for this Aces squad. Liberty are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the L4 h2h meetings. Lay the points with the Liberty here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sun to cover this spread on the road against the Lynx in this Semi-Finals match up. The Sun had a much tougher series against the Fever and that momentum should carry over. The Sun won and covered 2 of 3 games this season and all games were decided by 5 points or less. This game is going to come down to whether or not the Lynx hit their 3PT shots and if they can contain the Sun down low. Given how well the Mercury played the Lynx, the Sun are live dogs in this. Take the points with the Sun here. -Joey Tron

I like this game to go OVER between the Lynx and Mercury. These two teams played a high scoring fast paced game last time out and with the Mercury on the brink of elimination - I expect a similar tempo. The Mercury have scored 85+ in 3 of 4 games and the Lynx have been dominant down the stretch scoring 80+ in 3 of 5. This is going to be a fast paced game that will have defense on the back burner. Play the OVER.-Joey Tron

I like this game between the Sun and Fever to go OVER this total. The Fever had a underwhelming showing last time out and I expect a different showing tonight. The Fever are dependent on their offense to keep them in games and the Sun have been shooting the ball really well giving us a recipe for an OVER here. Fever are 7-3 to the over their L10 and the Sun are 13-6 to the over at home. Take the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Storm and Aces to stay UNDER this total. Game 1 stayed way under the total and theirs no reason that won’t happen again in Game 2. Seattle was held to just 2 points in the 4th quarter and shot just 37% from the field. On the other side, the Aces shot 44% from the field and 39% from 3PT. Both teams shot under 70 FGs and had a combined 21 TOs. These small mistakes limit the amount of shots taken and both teams force a handful of turnovers. We see a similar style of play to Game 1 here. Take the UNDER. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road in Game 1 of the first round. A lot of teams, including the Sun DID NOT want to play the Fever and theirs reason for it. The Fever went on one of the best runs post Olympic Break and surged them into the playoffs. The Fever had a rough stretch of playing the Aces twice their final 4 games but this will significantly benefit them. The Fever are one of the best 3PT teams in the W at 36% and are averaging 2 more rebounds per game which can be a HUGE swing. This is too many points for a hungry Fever team. Take the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mercury to cover this spread on the road against the Sparks. The Sparks season has been long done and this is a MUST WIN spot for the Mercury. They play strong as a favorite going 11-5-1 ATS and have won each of the L3 contests against the Sparks by 6+. The Sparks have failed to cover 3 of their L4 home games and this game means A LOT more to the Mercury as they are sitting just 2 games back of the 6 seed. The Mercury get back on track tonight and cover this number. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to win this one on the road against the Sun. The Sun do not put up a lot of points offensively and the Lynx show no signs of slowing down as they want that top spot. The Sun are just 6-12 ATS at home and 2-6 ATS as a dog. The Lynx are 9-1 their L10 and have won 4 of their L5 road games by 5+. This is going to be a playoff like game the Lynx must win. Play the Lynx ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Liberty to cover this spread at home against the Lynx in a battle of the Top Two teams in the WNBA. The Liberty are not only the best in the W but they are the STRONGEST team at home going 16-2 SU. They have won 3 of the L5 contests against the Lynx, the most recent being at home by 9 points. The Liberty have a +10 +/- and are ranked higher in offensive and defensive rebounding indicating they will get more chances on the glass and take away chances from the Lynx. The Liberty dominate in the paint and the Lynx really struggle here averaging 27 points in the paint the L3 games. This is a game the Liberty won't take lately. Lay the point with the Liberty at home here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sun to cover this spread on the road against the Mercury. Phoenix has been in a rough spot failing to cover in 4 out of 5 while the Sun look like they’re in Post Season form, covering back to back. The Sun have no doubt had a lighter schedule however the Mercury offense has been their weakest link and won’t be able to keep up with the Sun. Mercury are averaging just 74 PPG their L5 and that won’t be enough. The Sun are still fighting for a big seed in the playoffs and I expect them to continue playing strong. Lay the points here with the Sun. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Wings and Liberty to go OVER the total. Both teams have had high scoring games the last few times out and I see that trend continuing tonight. The Liberty offense has dropped 95+ in 2 of their L4 games and the Wings have scored 90+ in 3 of their L5. The Wings lack the defense to slow up the Liberty meaning their offense needs to take off in order to keep up. The Wings may be eliminated from the post season, but they are still balling offensively. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Sky and Mystics to stay UNDER 161 total points in this contest. The Sky have been playing a lot more defensive and have played to the UNDER in 2 of their L3 games and the Mystics had a rough time last time out and I see that hangover carrying over into this match up. The Sky defense is holding teams to 43% from the field and have a +/- rating of 2.9. Both of these teams rank towards the middle of the WNBA in defensive rating while their offenses are among some of the worst in the WNBA. Both of these teams are on the cusp of making the playoffs and I expect a close defensive game where neither team wants to make a costly mistake. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to win this game at home against the Aces. The Las Vegas Aces may have won 4 in a row against the Fever - however all of those were in LAS VEGAS. The Fever are 11-6 at home this season and sit just 3 games behind the Aces. Indiana Fever rank 2nd in 3PT% and 1st in FG% in the WNBA. The Aces have a strong defense however they are ranked 9th in 3PT defense and the Fever have shot 40% or higher from 3PT in 3 of their L4. This is a great price for the home team. Take the Fever ML. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to cover this spread on the road against the Dream. The Atlanta Dream have no doubt been playing better basketball as of late however I give a big edge to the Lynx here. Minnesota has owned Atlanta in head-to-head showdowns winning four in row SU and are 3-0-1 ATS. Minnesota is strong on the road winning back to back road contests by an average of 8.5 points. The Lynx are shooting 44.7% from the field and have a +/- of +6.6. The Dream sit way down at the bottom of the W with a +/- of -3.6 and rank towards the middle of the W in defensive rating. The Lynx should continue to dominate the Dream like they have in the past. Lay the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this spread at home against the Atlanta Dream and get back in the Win column. Before that loss to the Lynx, the Fever had won 4 in a row scoring 84+ points in each contest, including crossing 100 points twice. The Dream are super inconsistent when playing on the road and are 1-3 their L4 road contests, scoring an average of just 74 PPG in those road games. The Fever are strongest at home where they are 10-6 ATS. The Fever rank 3rd in the WNBA in 3PT% where the Dream defense sits 7th making this a big advantage for Indy. The Fever can pick up an extra game on the Mercury with a win, and I expect a BIG showing from the Fever this afternoon. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I like the Aces to win this one on the road against the Sun. The Sun have really struggled after the Olympic Break and are just 2-2 their L4 games with both losses coming to teams above .500. The Aces are playing great basketball right now winning 3 in a row and 4 of their L5 games. They have scored 90+ points in 4 of their L5 games and are shooting 34.6% from 3 PT. The Sun offense has been their weakest link as of late scoring 80 points or lower in 3 of their L5 games. The Aces offense is on fire right now and the Sun will have a hard time keeping up if they give up an early lead. Take the Aces ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mystics to cover this spread against the Mercury tonight. The mystics have been on a tear and sit just 1 game back of the final playoff spot. They are 4-1 SU & ATS their L5 games with 2 big road wins. The Mercury snapped their 3 game losing streak last time out however they really struggle at home going 0-3 ATS their L3 home games. The Mystics live by the 3 ranking 2nd in the WNBA in 3PT% and the Mercury rank towards the middle of the W here. The Mystics will keep this one close and fight for that playoff spot. Take the points with the Washington Mystics here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Mercury and Dream to go OVER 159.5 points in this match up. These two teams have played to the over in 3 of their L4 meetings and that should hold true again tonight. The Mercury defense is ranked 9th in defensive rating and teams are scoring the most off of them in terms of second chance points. The Dream defense ranks 7th in 3PT defense and teams are shooting 42.5% from the field against them. Both offenses are starting to find their groove and both will want a win with the post season around the corner. Points will be scored often and frequent. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sun to cover this spread at home against the Storm. The Sun are dialed back in winning and covering back to back games, and should continue this at home. The Sun have dropped 93+ points in back to back games and defensively looked better than as of late. The Sun have a positive 6.3 +/- are shooting 44% from the field. The Storm really struggle shooting from 3PT at 28.6% and are averaging 13.3 Turnovers per Game. The Sun are stronger, faster and more athletic than this Storm team. If Connecticut gets an early lead, it will be tough for Seattle too find their way out of that hole. The Sun have dominated winning 4 of 5 and covering in 3 of 4. Lay the points with the Sun here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to win this game on the road against the Wings. Both teams are playing some great basketball right now, and both are riding into this game on 3 game win streaks. The difference maker here is going to be offensive production and we will see A LOT of that out of the Fever. The Indiana Fever are ranked 4th in offensive rating while the Wings rank dead last in defensive rating at 110.1. The Fever are shooting 34.5% from 3PT and have the 3rd best eFG% in the WNBA at 44.9%. As good as the Wings have been as of late, the Fever offense should control this game from start to finish and cruise to victory here. Take the Fever ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mystics to cover this spread at home against the Sun. The Mystics are hot right now and have gone 3-1 SU their L4 and 4-0 ATS. They are playing great defense and have held teams to 74 or less in 3 straight. The Sun have lost ATS 4 of their L5 and have struggled offensively, scoring 82 or less in 5 straight games. The Mystics are lethal from 3PT shooting 35.8% and have scored 74+ in 3 straight games. The Sun defense has held teams to 32% from 3PT, including 43% last game and if that is any indication of today, the Mystics should have a field day from downtown. The Mystics are 10-5 ATS at home and 7-3 their L10. Take the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road against the Sky. These two teams are trending in total opposite directions right now - the Fever are winners of 4 of their L5 and the Sky have falling 4 in a row and 5 of 6. The biggest issue for the Sky has been their offense. They have scored over 80 points just twice since after the Olympic Break and are averaging just 74 PPG in this span. The Fever offense has been electric socring 84+ points in each of their 4 wins. The Fever rank 4th in eFG at 51.3% and are lethal from 3PT shooting 34%. The Sky will have trouble keeping this Fever offense from scoring and the Sky's offense will be their deadweight. Lay the points with the Fever here .-Joey Tron

I like the Mystics to win this one on the road against the Sky. The Sky have struggled post olympic break losing 4 of their L5 games and have dropped both games played at home. The Mystics have won back to back and sit just 3 games back of the Sky, who hold the last playoff spot. The Mystics are shooting 43% from the field and are strong from 3PT, ranking 2nd in the WNBA, shooting 35.8%. Teams are shooting 32% against this Sky defense and they are allowing 81 PPG. The Mystics defense has played great holding teams below 80 points in back to back games, and are holding teams to an average of just 38% from the field the L3 games. The Mystics are 2-0 SU as a fav this season and the Sky are 4-16 SU as a dog. Play on the Mystics ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this small spread on the road against the Dream. The Fever had slip up last time out but are winners in 2 of their L3 games. The Dream have looked great winning 3 of 4 out of the break but lost last time out. The Fever offense is lethal shooting 44.9% from the field and a shooting 33.6% from 3PT. The Dream struggle significantly on the offensive side shooting 41% from the field and only 30% from 3 PT. Defensively, the Dream are going to have their hands full. They rank 8th in 3PT defense and are 7th in defensive rebounds, which should give the Fever ample of second chance points in this one. The Fever have had the upper hand on the Dream going 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS their L4 meetings, including 2-0-1 ATS this season. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I like the Wings to cover this spread at home against the Sparks. This line may have ballooned up, but I still find it to be relatively low here. The Sparks have lost 8 of their L9 coming into this match up and have been plagued with injuries all season. Not only this, but they rank 11th TO%, 10th in eFG%, and 11th in Opponent FG%. The Wings thrive down low scoring 48% of their points in the paint and the Sparks are the 2nd worst defensive team in this area. The duo of Arike Ogunbowale and Satou Sabally should overwhelm this young and inexperience Sparks team. The Sparks have failed to eclipse over 80 points in each of their L3 games and that will not be enough for this hungry Wings team who has played the best 2 WNBA teams the last 3 games. Lay the points with the Wings here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Fever and the Lynx to go OVER the total. Both teams are riding hot right now and are a combined 7 game win streak and have not lost coming out of the break. Both offenses have been electric and I do not see them taking their foot off the gasses for a minute here. The Fever are shooting 45% from the field and 34% from 3PT. The Lynx, are shooting 44% from the field and a whomping 39% from 3PT. Defensively, the Fever rank 10th in 3PT defense and the Lynx rank 8th in defensive rebounding which is going to give the Fever ample amount of chances to score here. The Fever have gone over in 2 of their L3 games and the Lynx have played to the over in 2 of 3 as well. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Sparks and Mystic to go UNDER the total. Both offenses really struggle and their defenses have been top notch as of late. The Sparks  just played a great game against the Sun holding them to just 69 points and the Mystics have played to the UNDER in 2 of their L3 games. Offensively, both of these teams rank towards the bottom and should hold true here. The Mystics rank 9th in FG% and the Sparks sit worse, ranked 11th here. Both defenses are really good at forcing turnovers as the Sparks are ranked 1st in steals and the Mystics are ranked 3rd. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mercury to win this one on the road against the Dream. The Dream have no doubt looked great coming out of the Olympic break however I expect some serious regression tonight. The Mercury are shooting a 51% eFG and are ranked 5th in the W in 3 PT% at 34.4%. The Dream defense is. no doubt their weakest link and they will struggle. Teams are shooting 34% from 3PT against them and are ranked 7th in forcing TOs. The Mercury are loaded with talent and should be able to keep the pace throughout. Play on the Mercury ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mystics to cover this spread at home against the Storm. The Storm are playing their fourth road game in a row overall, and their third straight since returning from the Olympics. They have lost both games since returning and allowed an average of 87.5 PPG. The Mystics struggled in their first two games back however they have some strengths that the Storm will struggle with. The Mystics are ranked 2nd in the W from 3 shooting 36% and shoot 43% from the field. The Mystics are grabbing 70% of defensive rebounds and are averaging 18 PPG off of defensive turnovers. The Storm are in a rut right now and they are far less superior on the road than at home (6-7 ATS). The Mystics play strong in front of their home crowd and tonight should not be any different. Take the points with the Mystics here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Storm and Fever to go OVER this total today. The Fever looked great in their game right out of the break and I expect another big offensive showing from them. Seattle just had a tough loss to Atlanta and a bounce back game is something they are striving for. The Fever offense is their strongest link as they are shooting 33% from 3PT and rank 3rd from the field, shooting 44.9%. The Storm offense are just as lethal shooting 43% from the field and rank 3rd in offensive rebounds. Teams are shooting 31% from 3PT against the Storm and the Fever must take advantage of this. The Fever have gone over in 4 of their L5 and the Storm have gone over in back to back games. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Liberty to win this game on the road against the Aces. The Liberty showed no signs of against the Spark and have the advantage against the Aces, with a game under their belt already. The Liberty offense is shooting 45% from the field and 35% from 3PT. In addition to this, the Liberty rank 1st in the W in Assist-to-TO ratio which is huge in maintaining possessions and creating chances. Defensively, the Liberty will give the Aces a hard time here. The Liberty are holding teams to just 42% from the field and to under 80 PPG. These are two high powered offenses and the value lies with the visitors. Play on the Liberty ML here. -Joey Tron 

I like this game between the Fever and Mercury to go OVER the total here. The Mercury looked great in their first game back dropping 85 points. The Fever are hungry to get back and I expect a fast start. The Mercury and Fever both are shooting 44% from the field and are both making over 33% from 3PT. The Fever rank 11th in defensive rating and the Mercury are 9th which should provide us plenty of scoring chances. Both of these offenses carry their respective teams and it will be on full display tonight. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Liberty and Sparks to stay UNDER this number. Their was a long break from the Olympics and I expect their to be some rust from these players. Not only that, but the Liberty  have one of the best defenses in the W. They ae holding teams to just 42% from the field and are forcing an average of 13 TOs per game. The Sparks are from the best defense, however I look for them to start this game strong and get better as they progress. The Sparks and Liberty are a combined 9-4 to the UNDER their L15 combines games. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Mercury to cover this spread on the road against the Sky. The Mercury had quite a few players contribute to Team USA's gold medal and I like them to continue this basketball. The Mercury have a 50.6 eFG% and are grabbing 26% of offensive rebounds which is huge in grabbing second chance points. In addition to this, Phoenix is shooting 33% from 3PT and teams are shooting 32% against the Sky from this area. This will be a tough one for Chicago and the Mercury should be able to keep the pace here. Lay the points with the Mercury here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road against the Wings and go into the month break on a high note. The Fever have now won back to back and 6 of their L10 while the Wings are in a rut losing 3 in a row and are just 2-8 their L10. The Fever offense ranks 3rd in FG% and are great at grabbing offensive rebounds, ranking 6th in the W which should create second chance points. Defensively, the Wings have the worst defensive rating in the WNBA and teams are shooting a FG% of 46% against them. The Fever's depth and ability to move the ball should overpower this weak and not in tuned Wings team. The Fever are 7-3 ATS their L10 games. Lay the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Sky and Aces to go OVER in this match up. The Aces have the 2nd best FG% in the WNBA and are lethal behind the 3PT line shooting 35%. The Sky are averaging the most offensive rebounds in the WNBA which is going to give them plenty of second chance scoring chances. The Sky dominate the ball down low scoring 54% of their points in the paint. The Aces are fast and shoot quick while the Sky play aggressive and strong. This is going to be a back and forth up tempo game with points coming often. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Liberty and the Sun to go UNDER in this contest. Defensively, these are two of the best teams in the W going head to head as the Sun rank 2nd in def efficiency and the Liberty rank 4th. The Liberty rely heavily on their 3PT ball however the Sun rank 2nd here defensively. The Sun offense work the ball thru the middle of the paint and the Liberty rank 4th in defense rebounding and 4th in defensive FG%. These two teams will play a very defensive game right before the Olympic break. The under has cashed in 2 of their L3 head to head games. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sparks to cover this spread on the road against the Wings in this Western Conference clash. Both teams enter this game 1-4 their L5 and I give the edge to the Sparks here. The LA Sparks are shooting a 48% FG% and are great at grabbing offensive rebounds ranking 5th in the W here. The Wings really struggle covering the spread at home going just 2-7 ATS at home this season. These two met earlier this season and the Sparks grabbed more rebounds and forced more TOs - the recipe to beating this Wings team. They did it once and can do it again. Take the points with the Sparks here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Aces and Dream to stay UNDER the total. The Aces and Dream rank 6th and 7th respectively in defensive rating and both  are grabbing over 70% of defensive rebounds. This should translate to minimal second chance opportunities and strong defense. The Atlanta Dream have the lowest FG% in the W and the Aces allow the least amount of TOs per game. The Dream defense is tough to figure it out and the Aces should have issues early on in this one. The total has gone UNDER in 3 of the L4 head to head meetings between these two. Play the UNDER. -Joey Tron

I like the Sky to cover this spread on the road against the Liberty. The Liberty just had a big road win against the Sun however they really struggle at home and I look for the Chicago Sky to exploit this. The Sky offense score 53% of their points down low in the paint and the Liberty allow 34 PPG from this area giving them a huge advantage. The Sky are 1st in the W in offensive rebounds which will give them second chance opportunities and keeping the ball out of the Liberty's possession. The Sky have been playing great basketball averaging 80 PPG their L4 and going 3-1 in this span. The Liberty are 1-4 ATS their L5 home games and 0-4 ATS their L4 games as a double digit favorite. Take the Sky with the points here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Aces and Storm to stay UNDER the total in this afternoon match up. Not only do I believe that this number is too high, however the total between these two has gone UNDER in 3 of the L5. The Storm and Aces rank 3rd & 6th respectively in defensive rating and are holding their opponents to a sub 44% FG%. The Storm rank 1st in the W as they are forcing an average of 17 Turnovers per game and the Aces are averaging the most defensive rebounds in the league. Both teams have strengths that will take away opportunties to score thus driving us further from going over this number. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Storm to cover this spread at home against the Sky. The Storm have been playing great basketball winning and covering in 4 straight games and are now playing their 5th consecutive home game. The Storm offense shoots 43.5% from the field and are the third best offensive rebounding team in the W. In addition to this, the Seattle offense thrives down low scoring 49% of their points in the paint. The Sky defense ranks 5th in defensive rating and ranks 10th in the W in opponent points in the paint. The Sky offense really struggles against good teams as they have scored 80 or less points in 3 of their L4 games against teams over .500. The Storm are 7-2 ATS at home this season. Lay the points with the STORM. -Joey Tron

I like the Lynx to cover this spread on the road against the Liberty. The Lynx just played a great game against the Liberty to win the Commissioner's Cup 94-89 and I see another great game on the horizon. The Lynx are shooting 45% from the field and are great from 3PT shooting at 39.8%! The Lynx are a 3PT heavy team as this makes up over 35% of their total points and they are one of the best mid range shooting teams in the W. Defensively, the Lynx rank 1st in the W in defensive rating and are forcing 16.5 Turnovers per game. The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their L5 games and with the Lynx coming to town, its hard believing they will find a way to cover. The Lynx are 2-0 SU and ATS against the Liberty this season. Take the points with the Lynx here. -Joey Tron

I like the Sun to win this game on the road against the Mercury. The Mercury just played an exhausting game against the Fever where they collapsed down the stretch and I do not see them turning it around this fast against one of the best teams in the W. The Sun are shooting 43% from the field and a modest 30% from 3PT. The Sun thrive shooting in front of the 3PT line as nearly 47% of their points from this range and 41% are scored from in the paint. Just like the game yesterday where they struggled to stop the Fever in the paint, the same outlook should happen today. The Sun are faster, stronger and more athletic than the Mercury. Play the Connecticut Sun ML here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to cover this spread on the road against the Mercury. Both teams enter this match up winning 6 of their L10 games setting this up for a great contest. The Fever offense is shooting 35.9% from the field and are the 3rd best 3PT shooting team in the W, converting at 35.9%. The Mercury defense is one of the worst at guarding the 3 ball ranking 9th, allowing teams to shoot just under 36% from 3. In addition to this, the Mercury are one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the league which should give the Fever ample second chance opportunities. On the offensive side, the Mercury live and die by their 3 point shot setting this up for a thriller. The Fever defense is far from the best however their offense is loaded with talent in Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell - both of whom should be able to keep pace with this Mercury offense. Take the points with the Fever here. -Joey Tron

I like the Storm to cover this spread at home against the the Wings in a Western Conference clash. The Wings just had a huge win at home against the Lynx and I see some serious regression in this road match up against the Storm. Seattle ranks 3rd in the W in defensive rating and are grabbing 71% of defensive rebounds which is huge in taking away second chance points. In addition to this, Seattle is averaging 10 steals per game. The Wings defense is not as good as the Storm and are ranked towards the bottom of the W in opponent points in the paint, defensive rebound percent and are second to last in opponent FG%. The Storm offense should capitalize in the paint where they are 49% of their points from here and this is one of the Wings biggest weaknesses. The Storm are 8-1 ATS after scoring 80+ this season and the Wings are 2-9 ATS in the month of June. Seattle has won back to back home games by double digits and that trend should continue today. Lay the points with the Storm here. -Joey Tron

I like this game between the Fever Storm to go OVER the total tonight. These are two high powered offenses and I believe defense will be far and few tonight. The Fever are shooting 44% from the field and 35% from 3PT. In addition to this, the Fever rank 5th in offensive rating. The Storm offense are just as good ranking 6th in offensive rating, are shooting 43% from the field however struggle from 3PT at 29%. The Storm defend their home court really well going 5-1 this season and the Fever are picking up steam going 6-4 their L10. These two teams met earlier this season and played to a 103-88 score. I do not think we will see close to 200 points again, however I do believe their offenses will be on full display tonight. Play the OVER. -Joey Tron

I like this Commissioner’s Cup Championship between the Liberty and Lynx to go OVER the point total in this one. Both of these teams are very strong offensively and we have seen the Liberty have some holes in their defense as of late. The Liberty have allowed 80 or more points in 5 of their L6 games and the Lynx offense has proven to keep up with some of the best teams in the W, as they are averaging 84 PPG this season. The Liberty thrive down low in the paint where this makes up 42% of their points and are shooting just under 36% from 3PT. The Lynx offense is even better from 3 PT shooting 39.8% and are 3rd in offensive rating. I see a high scoring affair between two of the top teams in the WNBA. Defensive play will be far and few when you have two teams that shoot as good the Lynx and Liberty. Play the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I like the Fever to win this game on the road against the Sky. The Fever are playing great basketball right now winning 4 in a row and have had the upper hand both times they have me this season. The Sky just ended their losing streak against arguably the worst team in the WNBA and I see regression. The Fever do not play fast however they are really good on offense. They are shooting 44% from the field and are the 3rd best 3PT shooting team in the W, at 35%. The Fever are grabbing 68% of defensive rebounds taking away plenty of second chance points allowing them to break out in transition and create scoring opportunities. Their's no doubt these are two of the lower ranked defenses, however the Fever offense should prove to be too much handle yet again in this one. Play the Indiana Fever ML here. -Joey Tron