Saints vs. Falcons Betting Preview 01/01/17- NFL Odds & TV Info
Betting Preview
Two of the leagues top three quarterbacks face off when the Saints visit Atlanta. The Saints are playing for a .500 record where Atlanta looks to secure the number two seed and a bye in the first round.
Saints quarterback Drew Brees is the number one quarterback in the league with over 4800 yards passing and 35 touchdowns leading a team that is ranked first in total offense and passing. They average over 29 points a game scoring but a porous defense has been their downfall. Of their seven wins, they were victorious in just one game when they scored less than 30 points and lost two games where they scored at least 32 points. They are ranked 25th in total defense and 30th in points allowed (27.7 points a game).
Atlanta has the number three quarterback in Matt Ryan who has thrown for over 4600 yards and tossed 34 touchdowns. They too have one of the league’s better offenses as they are ranked second in total offense right behind the Saints and third in passing. Their defense has been vulnerable at times and are ranked 23rd in total defense while giving up 25 points a game. The good news is they have won four of their last five games and their defense has given up just 19 points or less in those four wins.
The oddsmakers have made the Falcons a seven point favorite and set the total at 56.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 56%of the public like the front running Falcons while 68% believe these two offenses will have no problem scoring and are backing the over.
The total has gone over in 12 of the Falcons 15 games this season.
Previous Meetings
09/26/16: Falcons 45 @ Saints 32
01/03/16: Saints 20 @ Falcons 17
10/15/15: Falcons 21 @ Saints 31
Trends
- The underdog has covered the spread in their last six meetings
- The under is 6-1 in their last seven meetings in Atlanta
- The Saints have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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