Saints vs. Panthers Betting Preview 11/17/16 Thursday Night Football
Saints vs. Panthers Betting Preview
The Saints have been playing much better since they started off the season with three straight losses. They have gone 4-2 since and both losses were by a combined seven points including last week’s two point loss to Denver. They actually had a 17-10 lead midway through the fourth quarter before being out scored 15-6 the last nine minutes of the game. Quarterback Drew Brees is having another fine year passing as he is ranked second in the league with 2992 yards while throwing 24 touchdowns. But as it has been in the past, it’s their defense that is holding them back. They are ranked 26th in total defense and 30th in points allowed giving up over 29 points a game.
After making it to the Super Bowl last season, to say Carolina is having a disappointing season is an understatement. Last year the Panthers lost just one game during the regular season and they have already dropped six out of the nine games they have played this year. Their problems have been on offense and defense. Last season they averaged over 31 points a game on offense and held opponents below 20 points a game on defense. This year they average less than 25 points a game on offense and give up over 25 points a game on defense. The difference in stats between the two seasons probably explains four losses this year by 10 points total.
The oddsmakers have made the Panthers a three point favorite and put the total at 52. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 63% of the public like the way the Saints are playing and are backing New Orleans while a whopping 76% believe this game will be a shootout and are behind the over.
The total went over in the last four meetings between these teams.
Previous Meetings
10/16/16: Panthers 38 @ Saints 41
12/06/15: Panthers 41 @ Saints 38
09/27/15: Saints 22 @ Panthers 27
Trends
- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings
- The Saints have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings
- The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games overall
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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